2023 Balearic regional election
{{Short description|Election in the Spanish region of the Balearic Islands}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2023 Balearic regional election
| country = Balearic Islands
| type = parliamentary
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2019 Balearic regional election
| previous_year = 2019
| next_election = Next Balearic regional election
| next_year = Next
| outgoing_members =
| elected_members =
| seats_for_election = All 59 seats in the Parliament of the Balearic Islands
| majority_seats = 30
| opinion_polls = #Opinion polls
| registered = 828,278 File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg3.3%
| turnout = 456,505 (55.1%)
File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg1.2 pp
| election_date = 28 May 2023
| image1 = 170x170px
| leader1 = Marga Prohens
| party1 = People's Party of the Balearic Islands
| leader_since1 = 24 July 2021
| leaders_seat1 = Mallorca
| last_election1 = 16 seats, 22.2%
| seats1 = 25
| seat_change1 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg9
| popular_vote1 = 161,267
| percentage1 = 35.8%
| swing1 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg13.6 pp
| image2 = 170x170px
| leader2 = Francina Armengol
| party2 = PSIB–PSOE
| leader_since2 = 25 February 2012
| leaders_seat2 = Mallorca
| last_election2 = 19 seats, 27.4%
| seats2 = 18
| seat_change2 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg1
| popular_vote2 = 119,540
| percentage2 = 26.5%
| swing2 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg0.9 pp
| image3 = 170x170px
| leader3 = Jorge Campos
| party3 = Vox (political party)
| leader_since3 = 1 April 2019
| leaders_seat3 = Mallorca
| last_election3 = 3 seats, 8.1%
| seats3 = 8
| seat_change3 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg5
| popular_vote3 = 62,637
| percentage3 = 13.9%
| swing3 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg5.8 pp
| image4 = 170x170px
| leader4 = Lluís Apesteguia
| party4 = Més per Mallorca
| leader_since4 = 24 October 2021
| leaders_seat4 = Mallorca
| last_election4 = 4 seats, 9.2%
| seats4 = 4
| seat_change4 = File:Arrow Blue Right 001.svg0
| popular_vote4 = 37,651
| percentage4 = 8.4%
| swing4 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg0.8 pp
| image5 = 170x170px
| leader5 = Josep Castells
| party5 = MxMe
| leader_since5 = 16 December 2018
| leaders_seat5 = Menorca
| last_election5 = 2 seats, 1.4%
| seats5 = 2
| seat_change5 = File:Arrow Blue Right 001.svg0
| popular_vote5 = 6,486
| percentage5 = 1.4%
| swing5 = File:Arrow Blue Right 001.svg0.0 pp
| image6 = 170x170px
| leader6 = Antònia Jover
| party6 = EUIB–Podemos
| leader_since6 = 4 November 2022
| leaders_seat6 = Mallorca (lost)
| last_election6 = 6 seats, 9.7%
| seats6 = 1
| seat_change6 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg5
| popular_vote6 = 19,980
| percentage6 = 4.4%
| swing6 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg5.3 pp
| image7 = 170x170px
| leader7 = Llorenç Córdoba
| party7 = Sa Unió
| leader_since7 = 6 March 2023
| leaders_seat7 = Formentera
| last_election7 = 0 seats, 0.3%
| seats7 = 1
| seat_change7 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg1
| popular_vote7 = 1,747
| percentage7 = 0.4%
| swing7 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg0.1 pp
| image8 = 170x170px
| leader8 = Josep Melià
| party8 = Proposta per les Illes (2021)
| leader_since8 = 26 November 2022
| leaders_seat8 = Mallorca (lost)
| last_election8 = 3 seats, 7.3%
| seats8 = 0
| seat_change8 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg3
| popular_vote8 = 17,089
| percentage8 = 3.8%
| swing8 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg3.5 pp
| image9 = 170x170px
| leader9 = Patricia Guasp
| party9 = CS
| leader_since9 = 28 September 2020
| leaders_seat9 = Mallorca (lost)
| last_election9 = 5 seats, 9.9%
| seats9 = 0
| seat_change9 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg4
| popular_vote9 = 6,097
| percentage9 = 1.4%
| swing9 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg8.5 pp
| map_image =
| map_size =
| map_caption =
| title = President
| before_election = Francina Armengol
| before_party = Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands
| after_election = Marga Prohens
| after_party = People's Party of the Balearic Islands
}}
The 2023 Balearic regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 11th Parliament of the autonomous community of the Balearic Islands. All 59 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
Overview
=Electoral system=
The Parliament of the Balearic Islands was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of the Balearic Islands, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Balearic Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.{{cite act |title=Ley Orgánica 1/2007, de 28 de febrero, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía de las Illes Balears |type=Organic Law |number=1 |language=es |date=28 February 2007 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-2007-4233&tn=1&p=20100717 |access-date=13 September 2017}} Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Balearic Islands and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system ({{langx|es|Voto rogado}}), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote.{{cite web |last=Reig Pellicer |first=Naiara |date=16 December 2015 |url=http://www.cafebabel.co.uk/politics/article/spanish-elections-begging-for-the-right-to-vote.html |title=Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote |website=cafebabel.co.uk |access-date=17 July 2017}} The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force.{{cite news |last=Araque Conde |first=Pilar |date=8 June 2022 |title=El Congreso acaba con el voto rogado: diez años de trabas burocráticas para los residentes en el extranjero |url=https://www.publico.es/politica/congreso-acaba-voto-rogado-diez-anos-trabas-burocraticas-residentes-extranjero.html |language=es |newspaper=Público |location=Madrid |access-date=31 July 2022}}
The 59 members of the Parliament of the Balearic Islands were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the islands of Mallorca, Menorca, Ibiza and Formentera, with each being allocated a fixed number of seats:{{cite act |title=Ley 8/1986, de 26 de noviembre, Electoral de la Comunidad Autónoma de las Islas Baleares |type=Law |number=8 |language=es |date=26 November 1986 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1987-2903&tn=1&p=20190202 |access-date=2 February 2020}}
class="wikitable" style="text-align:left;" |
width="50"| Seats
! width="200"| Constituencies |
---|
align="center"| 33
| Mallorca |
align="center"| 13
| Menorca |
align="center"| 12
| Ibiza |
align="center"| 1 |
=Election date=
The term of the Parliament of the Balearic Islands expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Balearic Islands (BOIB), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 26 May 2019, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 26 May 2023. The election decree was required to be published in the BOIB no later than 2 May 2023, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 25 June 2023.{{cite act |title=Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General |type=Organic Law |number=5 |language=es |date=19 June 1985 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=20221003 |access-date=8 April 2023}}
The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of the Balearic Islands and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a sixty-day period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.
The Parliament of the Balearic Islands was officially dissolved on 4 April 2023 after the publication of the dissolution decree in the BOIB, setting the election date for 28 May.{{cite journal|journal=Boletín Oficial de las Islas Baleares|issue=42|date=4 April 2023|language=es|title=Decreto 2/2023, de 3 de abril, de la presidenta de las Illes Balears, de disolución del Parlamento de las Illes Balears y de convocatoria de elecciones|url=https://intranet.caib.es/eboibfront/es/2023/11717/671924/decreto-2-2023-de-3-de-abril-de-la-presidenta-de-l|issn=2254-1233|page=17999}}
Parliamentary composition
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the time of dissolution.{{cite web |url=http://contingutsweb.parlamentib.es/comunicacio/10/HemicicleParlamentari2019.pdf |title=The parliamentary hemicycle |language=ca |website=parlamentib.es |publisher=Parliament of the Balearic Islands |access-date=15 June 2020}}
class="wikitable" style="text-align:left;"
|+ Parliamentary composition in April 2023 |
rowspan="2" colspan="2"| Groups
! rowspan="2" colspan="2"| Parties ! colspan="2"| Legislators |
---|
Seats
! Total |
width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}}"|
| Socialist Parliamentary Group | width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}}"| | 19 | 19 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}"|
| People's Parliamentary Group | style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}"| | PP | 16 | 16 |
rowspan="2" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Unidas Podemos}}"|
| rowspan="2"| United We Can Parliamentary Group | style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos (Spanish political party, 2022)}}"| | Podemos | 5 | rowspan="2"| 6 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Esquerra de Menorca}}"|
| EM–EU | 1 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}}"|
| Citizens Parliamentary Group | style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}}"| | CS | 4 | 4 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Més per Mallorca}}"|
| More for Mallorca Parliamentary Group | style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party of Majorca}}"| | 4 | 4 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}"|
| Vox–ACTUA Balearics Parliamentary Group | style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}"| | Vox | 3 | 3 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Proposta per les Illes (2021)}}"|
| El Pi–Proposal for the Isles Parliamentary Group | style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Proposta per les Illes (2021)}}"| | El Pi | 3 | 3 |
rowspan="2" bgcolor="gray"|
| rowspan="2"| Mixed Parliamentary Group | style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Més per Menorca}}"| | MxMe | 2 | rowspan="2"| 3 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}}"|
| 1{{efn|Antonio Jesús Sanz, representing the GxF+PSOE+EU coalition for the single-member constituency of Formentera.{{cite news |last=Radioilla |first= |date=14 September 2021 |title=Antonio Jesús Sanz, nou diputat per Formentera |url=https://www.radioillaformentera.cat/antonio-jesus-sanz-nou-diputat-per-formentera/ |language=ca |newspaper=radioillaformentera.cat |access-date=15 September 2021}}}} |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Independent politician}}"|
| Non-Inscrits | style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Independent politician}}"| | INDEP | 1{{efn|Maxo Benalal, former CS legislator.{{cite web |url=http://www.parlamentib.es/webdocs/NoticiaPIB.aspx?id=3537 |title=El diputat Maxo Benalal adquireix la condició de diputat no adscrit |language=ca |website=www.parlamentib.es |publisher=Parliament of the Balearic Islands |date=13 September 2021 |access-date=15 September 2021}}}} | 1 |
Parties and candidates
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
class="wikitable" style="line-height:1.35em; text-align:left;" |
colspan="2" rowspan="2"| Candidacy
! rowspan="2"| Parties and ! colspan="2" rowspan="2"| Leading candidate ! rowspan="2"| Ideology ! colspan="2"| Previous result ! rowspan="2"| {{abbr|Gov.|Government}} ! rowspan="2"| {{abbr|Ref.|References}} |
---|
Vote %
! Seats |
width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}}"|
| align="center"| PSIB–PSOE | {{Collapsible list | title = List | bullets = on | Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands (PSIB–PSOE) }} | 50px | align="center"| 27.4% | {{big|19}} | {{ya}} |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}"|
| align="center"| PP | {{Collapsible list | title = List | bullets = on | People's Party (PP) }} | 50px | Conservatism | align="center"| 22.2% | {{big|16}} | {{na}} |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}}"|
| align="center"| CS | {{Collapsible list | title = List | bullets = on | Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS) }} | 50px | align="center"| 9.9% | {{big|5}} | {{na}} | {{cite news |last=Cortés |first=Alexander |date=28 September 2020 |title=Patricia Guasp, nueva líder de Ciudadanos en Baleares |url=https://www.diariodemallorca.es/mallorca/2020/09/28/patricia-guasp-nueva-lider-ciudadanos-14193193.html |language=es |newspaper=Diario de Mallorca |location=Palma |access-date=4 July 2021}} |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Unidas Podemos}}"|
| align="center"| EUIB– | {{Collapsible list | title = List | bullets = on | We Can (Podemos) | United Left of the Balearic Islands (EUIB) }} | 50px | Antònia Jover | Left-wing populism | align="center"| 9.7% | {{big|6}} | {{ya}} |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Més per Mallorca}}"|
| align="center"| Més | {{Collapsible list | title = List | bullets = on | Socialist Party of Majorca–Agreement (PSM–E) | InitiativeGreens (IV) | Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) }} | 50px | Left-wing nationalism | align="center"| 9.2% | {{big|4}} | {{ya}} |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}"|
| align="center"| Vox | {{Collapsible list | title = List | bullets = on | Vox (Vox) }} | 50px | Right-wing populism | align="center"| 8.1% | {{big|3}} | {{na}} |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Proposta per les Illes (2021)}}"|
| align="center"| El Pi | {{Collapsible list | title = List | bullets = on | Proposal for the Isles (El Pi) }} | 50px | Josep Melià | align="center"| 7.3% | {{big|3}} | {{na}} | {{cite news |date=30 April 2021 |title=La coalición Proposta per Eivissa se disuelve tras la incorporación de Más Eivissa a El PI |url=https://www.europapress.es/illes-balears/noticia-coalicion-proposta-per-eivissa-disuelve-incorporacion-mas-eivissa-pi-20210430112524.html |language=es |publisher=Europa Press |location=Ibiza |access-date=4 July 2021}} |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Més per Menorca}}"|
| align="center"| MxMe | {{Collapsible list | title = List | bullets = on | More for Menorca (MxMe) }} | 50px | Josep Castells | Left-wing nationalism | align="center"| 1.4% | {{big|2}} | {{na}} |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Gent per Formentera}}"|
| align="center"| GxF | {{Collapsible list | title = List | bullets = on | People for Formentera (GxF) | Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands (PSIB–PSOE){{efn|name="Form"|In Formentera.}} }} | 50px | Silvia Tur | Environmentalism | align="center"| 0.5% | {{big|1}} | {{na}} |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Sa Unió de Formentera}}"|
| align="center"| Sa Unió | {{Collapsible list | title = List | bullets = on | People's Party (PP){{efn|name="Form"}} | Commitment to Formentera (CompromísFormentera) }} | 50px | Llorenç Córdoba | align="center"| 0.3% | {{big|0}} | {{na}} |
Campaign
=Election debates=
class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"
|+ 2023 Balearic regional election debates |
rowspan="3"| Date
! rowspan="3"| Organisers ! rowspan="3"| Moderator(s) ! colspan="11"| {{smaller| }} {{Colors|black|#90FF90| P }} {{smaller|Present{{efn|Denotes a main invitee attending the event.}} }} {{Colors|black|#D0F0C0| S }} {{smaller|Surrogate{{efn|Denotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.}} }} {{Colors|black|#A2B2C2| NI }} {{smaller|Non-invitee }} {{Colors|black|#FF9090| A }} {{smaller|Absent invitee }} |
---|
scope="col" style="width:5em;"| PSIB
! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| PP ! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| UP ! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| CS ! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| Més ! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| Vox ! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| El Pi ! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| MxMe ! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| GxF ! rowspan="2" scope="col" style="width:5em;"| Audience ! rowspan="2"| {{abbr|Ref.|References}} |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}};"|
! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Unidas Podemos}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Més per Mallorca}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Proposta per les Illes (2021)}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Més per Menorca}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Gent per Formentera}};"| |
style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| 2 May
| style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| Diario de Mallorca | style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| Marisa Goñi | {{Yes|P | {{Yes|P | {{Yes|P | {{Yes|P | {{Yes|P | {{Yes|P | {{Yes|P | style="background:#A2B2C2;"| NI | style="background:#A2B2C2;"| NI | — |
style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| 14 May
| style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| IB3 | style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| Xavi Garcia | {{Yes|P | {{Yes|P | {{Yes|P | {{Yes|P | {{Yes|P | {{Yes|P | {{Yes|P | {{Yes|P | {{Yes|P | 5.2% | {{cite news |date=14 May 2023 |url=https://ib3.org/debat-ib3-eleccions-28m |title=Les claus d'"El Debat" d'IB3 als candidats i candidates a la presidència del Govern de les Illes del 28M |language=ca |newspaper=IB3 |access-date=16 May 2023}} |
style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| 15 May
| style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| Última Hora | style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| Nekane Domblás | {{Yes|S | {{Yes|P | {{Yes|P | {{Yes|P | {{Yes|P | {{Yes|P | {{Yes|P | style="background:#A2B2C2;"| NI | style="background:#A2B2C2;"| NI | — |
style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| 16 May
| style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| Espai Mallorca | style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| Pau Torres | style="background:#D0F0C0;"| S | style="background:#D0F0C0;"| S | style="background:#D0F0C0;"| S | style="background:#A2B2C2;"| NI | style="background:#D0F0C0;"| S | style="background:#A2B2C2;"| NI | style="background:#D0F0C0;"| S | {{Yes|P | style="background:#D0F0C0;"| S | — |
style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| 26 May
| style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| Cadena SER | style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| Juan Antonio Bauzá | {{Yes|S | {{Yes|P | {{Yes|P | {{Yes|P | {{Yes|P | style="background:#A2B2C2;"| NI | {{Yes|P | style="background:#A2B2C2;"| NI | style="background:#A2B2C2;"| NI | — |
Opinion polls
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
=Graphical summary=
{{wide image|OpinionPollingBalearicRegionalElection2023.svg|750px|Local regression trend line of poll results from 26 May 2019 to 28 May 2023, with each line corresponding to a political party.}}
=Voting intention estimates=
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 30 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of the Balearic Islands.
;{{smaller|Color key:}}
{{smaller|{{legend2|#FFEAEA|Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls|border=1px solid #AAAAAA}}}}
class="wikitable collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:center; font-size:95%; line-height:16px;" |
style="height:42px;"
! style="width:250px;" rowspan="2"| Polling firm/Commissioner ! style="width:125px;" rowspan="2"| Fieldwork date ! style="width:50px;" rowspan="2"| Sample size ! style="width:45px;" rowspan="2"| Turnout ! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo PSIB-PSOE.svg ! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo PP Baleares 2022.svg ! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo de Ciudadanos reducido (2023).svg ! style="width:35px;"| File:Isotipo de Unidas Podemos (2023).svg ! style="width:35px;"| File:Més per Mallorca logo.svg ! style="width:35px;"| File:VOX logo.svg ! style="width:35px;"| File:El Pi-Proposta per les Illes logo 2021.svg ! style="width:35px;"| File:MÉS per Menorca simplified logo.svg ! style="width:35px;"| File:Gent per Formentera ( GxF ).png ! style="width:35px;"| File:Sa Unió de Formentera icon.svg ! style="width:30px;" rowspan="2"| Lead |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}};"|
! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Unidas Podemos}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Més per Mallorca}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Proposta per les Illes (2021)}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Més per Menorca}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Gent per Formentera}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Sa Unió de Formentera}};"| |
---|
colspan="15" style="background:#A0A0A0"| |
style="background:#EFEFEF;"
| 28 May 2023 | {{N/A}} | 55.1 | 26.5 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 35.8 | 1.4 | 4.4 | 8.4 | 13.9 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 9.3 |
colspan="15" style="background:#A0A0A0"| |
style="background:#FFEAEA;"
| 22–27 May 2023 | 1,900 |? | 25.3 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 31.1 | 2.3 | 7.8 | 10.0 | 14.3 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 5.8 |
NC Report/La Razón{{cite web |title=Elecciones autonómicas: El PP arrebataría al PSOE la Comunidad Valenciana, Castilla-La Mancha y La Rioja |url=https://www.larazon.es/espana/elecciones-autonomicas-arrebataria-psoe-comunidad-valenciana-castillala-mancha-rioja_20230522646a68d0910a1b0001cf9f5f.html |language=es |work=La Razón |date=22 May 2023}}
| 22 May 2023 |? |? | 22.5 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 34.2 | – | 8.5 | 10.1 | 11.7 | 5.9 | {{efn|name="Més"|Within Més.}} | 0.4 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 11.7 |
KeyData/Público{{cite web |title=La izquierda y la derecha se disputan Balears en uno de los escenarios más abiertos del 28M |url=https://www.publico.es/politica/izquierda-derecha-disputan-balears-escenarios-abiertos-28m.html |language=es |work=Público |date=21 May 2023}}
| 19 May 2023 |? | 55.5 | 24.0 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 30.3 | 2.3 | 7.9 | 9.5 | 12.9 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 0.7 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 6.3 |
Data10/Okdiario{{cite web |title=PP y Vox siguen a un diputado de conseguir la mayoría absoluta para derrotar a Armengol en Baleares |url=https://okdiario.com/baleares/pp-vox-siguen-diputado-conseguir-mayoria-absoluta-derrotar-armengol-baleares-10946376 |language=es |work=Okdiario |date=21 May 2023}}
| 16–18 May 2023 | 1,500 |? | 23.8 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 30.9 | – | 7.6 | 9.0 | 13.8 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 0.4 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 7.1 |
IBES/Última Hora{{cite web |title=Vuelco a la derecha: PP y Vox lograrían la mayoría y el PI se quedaría a las puertas |url=https://www.ultimahora.es/noticias/elecciones-28m/2023/05/21/1940361/elecciones-baleares-vuelco-derecha-vox-lograrian-mayoria-quedaria-puertas.html |language=es |work=Última Hora |date=21 May 2023}}
| 12–18 May 2023 | 2,300 |? | 25.2 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 30.7 | 2.7 | 7.6 | 9.3 | 14.4 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 5.5 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=Más que una encuesta: al PP y a Vox no le salen las cuentas en Baleares |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/espana/mas-encuesta-pp-vox-no-salen-cuentas-baleares_311082102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=20 May 2023}}{{cite web |title=EP Autonómico (20My – Final): nos espera un 28M de infarto |url=https://electomania.es/ep-autonomico-20my-final-nos-espera-un-28m-de-infarto/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=20 May 2023}}
| 11–17 May 2023 | 600 |? | 23.7 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 30.6 | 2.0 | 8.5 | 10.3 | 13.3 | 6.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 6.9 |
Gadeso/Diario de Mallorca{{cite web |title=La izquierda pierde la mayoría en el Parlament y queda a expensas del Pi |url=https://www.diariodemallorca.es/elecciones/2023/05/20/izquierda-pierde-mayoria-parlament-queda-87622052.html |language=es |work=Diario de Mallorca |date=20 May 2023}}
| 30 Apr–15 May 2023 | 2,000 |? | 25.4 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 27.9 | 2.3 | 8.5 | 9.6 | 13.4 | 5.2 | 1.5 | – | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 2.5 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=Se confirma el vuelco electoral en Baleares |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/confirma-vuelco-electoral-baleares_310738102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=13 May 2023}}{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Autonómico (13M) |url=https://electomania.es/ep-autonomico-13m-exclusivo-patrones/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=13 May 2023}}
| 4–10 May 2023 | 600 |? | 23.6 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 30.7 | 2.1 | 8.5 | 10.2 | 13.3 | 6.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 7.1 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=Vuelco en Baleares y dos diputados que pueden ser clave para gobernar |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/vuelco-baleares-dos-diputados-pueden-ser-clave-gobernar_310348102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=6 May 2023}}{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Autonómico (6M) |url=https://electomania.es/ep-autonomico-6m-23/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=6 May 2023}}
| 26 Apr–3 May 2023 | 600 |? | 23.7 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 30.4 | 2.4 | 8.6 | 10.2 | 13.3 | 6.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 6.7 |
CIS{{cite web |title=Preelectoral elecciones municipales y autonómicas 2023. Comunidad Autónoma de les Illes Balears (Estudio nº 3402. Abril 2023) |url=https://www.cis.es/documents/d/cis/es3402mar_Balearespdf |language=es |work=CIS |date=11 May 2023}}{{cite web |title=Estimación de voto. Municipios, grandes ciudades y Comunidades Autónomas (Estudio nº 3402. Abril 2023) |url=https://www.cis.es/documents/d/cis/3402_EstimacionEAMpdf |language=es |work=CIS |date=11 May 2023}}
| 10–26 Apr 2023 | 418 |? | {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 31.5 | 26.1 | 2.3 | 7.4 | 10.8 | 13.6 | 2.8 | 1.7 | – | – | style="background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 5.4 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=Islas Baleares / La izquierda y nacionalistas, a solo un diputado de impedir el gobierno de PP y Vox |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/izquierda-nacionalistas-solo-diputado-impedir-gobierno-pp-vox-baleares_310046102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=29 April 2023}}{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Autonómico (29A) |url=https://electomania.es/ep-autonomico-29a-exclusivo-patronest/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=29 April 2023}}
| 19–25 Apr 2023 | 600 |? | 23.6 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 30.6 | 2.6 | 8.5 | 10.2 | 13.4 | 6.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 7.0 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=Baleares / Escenario electoral muy ajustado en las Islas |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/baleares-escenario-electoral-muy-ajustado-islas_309676102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=23 April 2023}}{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Autonómico (22A) |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-autonomico-22a-exclusivo-patrones/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=22 April 2023}}
| 12–18 Apr 2023 | 600 |? | 23.4 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 30.9 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 10.1 | 13.3 | 6.3 | 1.5 | 0.6 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 7.5 |
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es{{cite web |title=Armengol gana en Balears y puede repetir su actual pacto con Més y Unidas Podemos para un tercer mandato |url=https://www.eldiario.es/illes-balears/politica/armengol-gana-balears-repetir-actual-pacto-mes-unidas-tercer-mandato_1_10133638.html |language=es |work=elDiario.es |date=21 April 2023}}
| 5–18 Apr 2023 | 560 |? | {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 28.6 | 23.6 | 3.9 | 8.7 | 11.9 | 12.4 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | – | style="background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 5.0 |
NC Report/Mallorca Diario{{cite web |title=Prohens logra 24 diputados, el Pacte no suma y los pactos decidirán el Govern |url=https://www.mallorcadiario.com/prohens-logra-24-diputados-el-pacte-no-suma-y-el-govern-queda-en-manos-de-pactos |language=es |work=Mallorca Diario |date=2 May 2023}}
| 11–17 Apr 2023 | 1,375 |? | 22.7 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 33.8 | 2.7 | 8.1 | 8.4 | 11.2 | 7.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 11.1 |
Data10/Okdiario{{cite web |title=PP y Vox se quedan a un diputado de la mayoría absoluta para derrotar a Armengol en Baleares |url=https://okdiario.com/baleares/pp-vox-quedan-diputado-mayoria-absoluta-derrotar-armengol-baleares-10761242 |language=es |work=Okdiario |date=16 April 2023}}
| 12–15 Apr 2023 | 1,500 |? | 23.8 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 30.9 | – | 7.6 | 9.0 | 13.8 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 0.4 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 7.1 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Islas Baleares / Fuerte subida del PSOE, cada vez más cerca de repetir Gobierno |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/espana/electopanel-islas-baleares-fuerte-subida-psoe-cada-vez-mas-cerca-repetir-gobierno_309230102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=15 April 2023}}{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Autonómico (15A) – varias CCAA en un puño |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-autonomico-15a-varias-ccaa-en-un-puno/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=15 April 2023}}
| 5–11 Apr 2023 | 600 |? | 23.9 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 30.5 | 2.4 | 8.5 | 10.1 | 12.9 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 0.6 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 6.6 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Islas Baleares / El PSOE sube y tiene posibilidades de mantener el gobierno |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/electopanel-islas-baleares-psoe-sube-tiene-posibilidades-mantener-gobierno_308851102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=8 April 2023}}{{cite web |title=EP Autonómico 8A – comienza el juego |url=https://electomania.es/ep-autonomico-8a23-comienza-el-juego/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=8 April 2023}}
| 27 Mar–4 Apr 2023 | 600 |? | 22.5 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 30.0 | 2.4 | 8.5 | 10.2 | 12.9 | 6.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 7.5 |
KeyData/Público{{cite web |title=Empate técnico en Illes Balears entre los bloques de izquierda y derecha |url=https://www.publico.es/politica/empate-tecnico-illes-balears-bloques-izquierda-derecha.html |language=es |work=Público |date=8 April 2023}}
| 3 Apr 2023 |? | 58.0 | 22.8 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 31.1 | 2.9 | 8.4 | 9.7 | 12.4 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 8.3 |
NC Report/La Razón{{cite web |title=Baleares. El PP y Vox frenan un nuevo gobierno de Armengol |url=https://www.larazon.es/espana/baleares-vox-frenan-nuevo-gobierno-armengol_202303206417bf4535808d0001d8b622.html |language=es |work=La Razón |date=20 March 2023}}
| 10–17 Mar 2023 |? | 51.3 | 22.4 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 33.3 | – | 8.8 | 10.2 | 10.7 | 7.2 | {{efn|name="Més"}} | 0.4 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 10.9 |
Data10/Okdiario{{cite web |title=PP y Vox logran la mayoría absoluta en Baleares por la caída de Armengol y Podemos y la extinción de CS |url=https://okdiario.com/baleares/pp-vox-logran-mayoria-absoluta-baleares-caida-armengol-podemos-extincion-cs-10458153 |language=es |work=Okdiario |date=17 February 2023}}
| 13–14 Feb 2023 | 1,500 |? | 23.3 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 30.7 | 3.1 | 8.0 | 8.9 | 14.1 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.4 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 7.4 |
IBES/Última Hora{{cite web |title=La izquierda acaricia su tercer mandato pero PP y Vox acechan |url=https://www.ultimahora.es/noticias/local/2023/01/29/1871207/elecciones-baleares-izquierda-acaricia-tercer-mandato-pero-vox-acechan.html |language=es |work=Última Hora |date=29 January 2023}}
| 5–15 Jan 2023 | 1,300 |? | 23.6 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 31.3 | 3.6 | 8.2 | 8.0 | 13.2 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.4 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 7.7 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo{{cite web |title='Sorpasso' del PP en Baleares que roza con Vox la mayoría absoluta ante un PSOE en retroceso |url=https://www.elmundo.es/espana/encuestas/2022/12/25/63a857d4fc6c83ce6d8b45a5.html |language=es |work=El Mundo |date=25 December 2022}}{{cite web |title=ILLES BALEARS. Encuesta SigmaDos 26/12/2022: PODEM-EUIB 7,9% (4), MÉS 11,1% (5), MxME 2,0% (3), GxF 0,4% (1), PSOE 21,7% (13/14), EL PI 6,9% (3), Cs 3,3% (0/1), PP 28,6% (23/25), VOX 11,5% (5) |url=https://www.electografica.com/2022/12/illes-balears-encuesta-sigmados-221226.html |language=es |work=Electográfica |date=25 December 2022}}
| 16–22 Dec 2022 | 735 |? | 21.7 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 28.6 | 3.3 | 7.9 | 11.1 | 11.5 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 0.4 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 6.9 |
CIS{{efn|Vote+Simpathy figures with undecided and/or abstentionists excluded.}}{{cite web |title=Macroencuesta sobre tendencias en voto autonómico (Estudio nº 3386. Noviembre-diciembre 2022) |url=https://www.cis.es/visor?migrado=true&fichero=cru3386ccaahtml |language=es |work=CIS |date=22 December 2022}}
| 17 Nov–2 Dec 2022 | 234 |? | {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 37.6 | 25.5 | 3.1 | 10.1 | 5.1 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.2 | – | – | style="background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 12.1 |
Data10/Okdiario{{cite web |title=PP y Vox rozan la mayoría absoluta en Baleares por la caída de Armengol y la desaparición de Cs |url=https://okdiario.com/baleares/pp-vox-rozan-mayoria-absoluta-baleares-caida-armengol-desaparicion-cs-9942117 |language=es |work=Okdiario |date=7 November 2022}}
| 2–4 Nov 2022 | 1,000 |? | 23.2 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 29.7 | 2.8 | 8.1 | 9.7 | 14.5 | 5.9 | 1.7 | 0.4 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 6.5 |
IBES/Última Hora{{cite web |title=La alianza del PP y Vox bordea la mayoría absoluta en Baleares |url=https://www.ultimahora.es/noticias/local/2022/10/09/1806677/elecciones-baleares-alianza-del-vox-bordea-mayoria-absoluta.html |language=es |work=Última Hora |date=9 October 2022}}
| 26–30 Sep 2022 | 1,300 |? | 21.4 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 29.8 | 3.8 | 10.2 | 8.9 | 15.4 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 0.5 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 8.4 |
IBES/Última Hora{{cite web |title=Baleares gira a la derecha y abre la puerta al cambio político por la caída del PSIB |url=https://www.ultimahora.es/noticias/local/2022/03/20/1712437/encuestas-electoral-baleares-gira-derecha-abre-puerta-cambio-politico.html |language=es |work=Última Hora |date=20 March 2022}}
| 1–10 Mar 2022 | 1,000 |? | 20.8 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 26.1 | 7.2 | 12.5 | 9.2 | 14.6 | 5.3 | 1.8 |? | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 5.3 |
Data10/Okdiario{{cite web |title=El PP gana las elecciones en Baleares, el PSOE pierde 2 escaños y Vox se dispara al pasar de 3 a 7 diputados |url=https://okdiario.com/baleares/pp-ganaria-elecciones-baleares-psoe-pierde-2-escanos-vox-dispara-pasar-3-7-diputados-encuesta-electoral-7832636 |language=es |work=Okdiario |date=23 September 2021}}
| 22–23 Sep 2021 | 1,000 |? | 25.7 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 28.3 | 3.2 | 8.3 | 9.5 | 12.5 | 6.4 | 1.5 | 0.4 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 2.6 |
IBES/Última Hora{{cite web |title=El PP vuelve a ser el partido más votado pero queda lejos del Govern |url=https://www.ultimahora.es/noticias/local/2021/07/04/1280827/encuesta-electoral-vuelve-ser-partido-mas-votado-pero-queda-lejos-del-govern.html |language=es |work=Última Hora |date=4 July 2021}}{{cite web |title=ILLES BALEARS. Encuesta IBES 04/07/2021: PODEM-EUIB 10,1% (5/6), MÉS 8,9% (4), MxME 1,4% (2), GxF-PSOE-EUIB (1), PSOE 24,5% (16/17), PI 6,9% (2/3), Cs 6,8% (3/4), PP 26,9% (18/20), VOX 9,9% (4/5) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2021/07/illes-balears-encuesta-ibes-210704.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=4 July 2021}}
| 8–12 Jun 2021 | 1,000 |? | 24.5 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 26.9 | 6.8 | 10.1 | 8.9 | 9.9 | 6.9 | 1.4 |? | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 2.4 |
IBES/Última Hora{{cite web |title=Los partidos de izquierdas ganan pero Armengol sube a costa de sus socios |url=https://www.ultimahora.es/noticias/local/2020/06/21/1174825/partidos-izquierdas-ganan-pero-armengol-sube-costa-socios.html |language=es |work=Última Hora |date=21 June 2020}}{{cite web |title=ILLES BALEARS. Encuesta IBES 21/06/2020: UNIDES PODEM 9,0% (5/6), MÉS 8,2% (3/4), MxME 1,3% (2), GxF-PSOE-EUIB (1), PSOE 28,7% (19/21), EL PI 5,8% (2), Cs 7,0% (3/4), PP 24,2% (17/18), VOX 10,4% (3/5) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2020/06/illes-balears-encuesta-ibes-200621.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=21 June 2020}}
| 8–12 Jun 2020 | 1,000 |? | {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 28.7 | 24.2 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 8.2 | 10.4 | 5.8 | 1.3 |? | – | style="background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 4.5 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=EP (17My): Baleares – sube el PP, pero Armengol podría mantener el Gobierno |url=https://electomania.es/ep-17my-baleares-sube-el-pp-pero-armengol-podria-mantener-el-gobierno/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=17 May 2020}}{{cite web |title=MacroPanel Autonómico (17My): 8 gobiernos para PSOE+, 8 para PP+ y 3 para otros+ |url=https://electomania.es/macropanel-autonomico-17my-8-gobiernos-para-psoe-8-para-pp-y-3-para-otros/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=17 May 2020}}
| 1 Apr–15 May 2020 |? |? | {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 26.8 | 25.3 | 5.9 | 9.7 | 10.4 | 8.2 | 7.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | – | style="background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 1.5 |
style="background:#EFEFEF;"
| November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | {{N/A}} | 56.8 | {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 25.4 | 22.8 | 7.4 | 18.1 | 4.0 | 17.1 | – | {{efn|name="ME"|Within Més Esquerra.}} | – | – | style="background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 2.6 |
colspan="15" style="background:#A0A0A0"| |
style="background:#EFEFEF;"
| 26 May 2019 | {{N/A}} | 53.9 | {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 27.4 | 22.2 | 9.9 | 9.7 | 9.2 | 8.1 | 7.3 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | style="background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 5.2 |
colspan="15" style="background:#A0A0A0"| |
=Voting preferences=
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
class="wikitable collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:center; font-size:90%; line-height:14px;" |
style="height:42px;"
! style="width:250px;" rowspan="2"| Polling firm/Commissioner ! style="width:125px;" rowspan="2"| Fieldwork date ! style="width:50px;" rowspan="2"| Sample size ! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo PSIB-PSOE.svg ! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo PP Baleares 2022.svg ! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo de Ciudadanos reducido (2023).svg ! style="width:35px;"| File:Isotipo de Unidas Podemos (2023).svg ! style="width:35px;"| File:Més per Mallorca logo.svg ! style="width:35px;"| File:VOX logo.svg ! style="width:35px;"| File:El Pi-Proposta per les Illes logo 2021.svg ! style="width:35px;"| File:MÉS per Menorca simplified logo.svg ! style="width:35px;"| File:Gent per Formentera ( GxF ).png ! style="width:35px;" rowspan="2"| {{Qmark}} ! style="width:35px;" rowspan="2"| {{cross}} ! style="width:30px;" rowspan="2"| Lead |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}};"|
! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Unidas Podemos}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Més per Mallorca}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Proposta per les Illes (2021)}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Més per Menorca}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Gent per Formentera}};"| |
---|
colspan="15" style="background:#A0A0A0"| |
style="background:#EFEFEF;"
| 28 May 2023 | {{N/A}} | 14.9 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 20.2 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 4.7 | 7.8 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | {{N/A}} | 42.6 | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 5.3 |
colspan="15" style="background:#A0A0A0"| |
CIS
| 10–26 Apr 2023 | 418 | {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 23.4 | 18.8 | 1.3 | 4.5 | 7.5 | 8.8 | 0.5 | 1.3 | – | 26.3 | 4.1 | style="background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 4.6 |
CIS
| 17 Nov–2 Dec 2022 | 234 | {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 23.0 | 15.3 | 1.5 | 6.8 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 0.9 | – | 32.2 | 5.9 | style="background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 7.7 |
SocioMétrica{{cite web |title=El PP avanza en las encuestas de Baleares y supera al PSOE en intención de voto |url=https://www.mallorcadiario.com/pp-avanza-encuestas-baleares-supera-intencion-voto-psoe |language=es |work=MallorcaDiario.com |date=28 May 2021}}
| 13–18 May 2021 | 1,100 | 11.4 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 15.4 | – | – | – | 10.1 | – | – | – | – | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 4.0 |
style="background:#EFEFEF;"
| November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | {{N/A}} | {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 14.8 | 13.3 | 4.3 | 10.5 | 2.3 | 9.9 | – | {{efn|name="ME"}} | – | {{N/A}} | 41.3 | style="background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 1.5 |
colspan="15" style="background:#A0A0A0"| |
style="background:#EFEFEF;"
| 26 May 2019 | {{N/A}} | {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 15.1 | 12.3 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 5.1 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | {{N/A}} | 46.1 | style="background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 2.8 |
colspan="15" style="background:#A0A0A0"| |
=Preferred President=
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Balearic Islands.
class="wikitable collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:center; font-size:90%; line-height:14px;" |
style="height:42px;"
! style="width:250px;" rowspan="3"| Polling firm/Commissioner ! style="width:125px;" rowspan="3"| Fieldwork date ! style="width:50px;" rowspan="3"| Sample size ! style="width:35px;"| 50px ! style="width:55px;"| 50px ! style="width:55px;"| 50px ! style="width:55px;"| 50px ! style="width:55px;"| 50px ! style="width:55px;"| 50px ! style="width:55px;"| 50px ! style="width:55px;"| 50px ! style="width:55px;" rowspan="3"| Other/ ! style="width:55px;" rowspan="3"| {{Qmark}} ! style="width:30px;" rowspan="3"| Lead |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}};"|
! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Unidas Podemos}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Més per Mallorca}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Proposta per les Illes (2021)}};"| |
---|
{{small|Armengol {{small|PSIB}}}} ! {{small|Company ! {{small|Prohens ! {{small|Yllanes ! {{small|Ensenyat ! {{small|Campos ! {{small|Amengual |
IBES/Última Hora
| 8–12 Jun 2021 | 1,000 | {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 27.1 | – | 26.9 | 9.6 | 8.6 | 11.2 | 8.7 | 7.9 | colspan="2"| 13.0 | style="background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 0.2 |
SocioMétrica
| 13–18 May 2021 | 1,100 | {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 15.5 | 14.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | colspan="2"| 69.6 | style="background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 0.6 |
Results
=Overall=
class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;"
|+ ← Summary of the 28 May 2023 Parliament of the Balearic Islands election results | |||
colspan="7"| File:BalearicParliamentDiagram2023.svg | |||
style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2" colspan="2" width="525"| Parties and alliances
! colspan="3"| Popular vote ! colspan="2"| Seats | |||
---|---|---|---|
width="75"| Votes
! width="45"| % ! width="45"| ±pp ! width="35"| Total ! width="35"| +/− | |||
width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}"|
| align="left"| People's Party (PP) | 161,267 | 35.79 | style="color:green;"| +13.59
| 25 | style="color:green;"| +9 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}}"|
| align="left"| Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands (PSIB–PSOE) | 119,540 | 26.53 | style="color:red;"| –0.84
| 18 | style="color:red;"| –1 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}"|
| align="left"| Vox (Vox) | 62,637 | 13.90 | style="color:green;"| +5.78
| 8 | style="color:green;"| +5 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Més per Mallorca}}"|
| align="left"| More for Mallorca (Més) | 37,651 | 8.35 | style="color:red;"| –0.83
| 4 | ±0 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Unidas Podemos}}"|
| align="left"| United We Can (EUIB–Podemos) | 19,980 | 4.43 | style="color:red;"| –5.31
| 1 | style="color:red;"| –5 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Proposta per les Illes (2021)}}"|
| align="left"| El Pi–Proposal for the Isles (El Pi) | 17,089 | 3.79 | style="color:red;"| –3.51
| 0 | style="color:red;"| –3 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Més per Menorca}}"|
| align="left"| More for Menorca (MxMe) | 6,486 | 1.44 | style="color:green;"| +0.03
| 2 | ±0 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}}"|
| align="left"| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS) | 6,097 | 1.35 | style="color:red;"| –8.55
| 0 | style="color:red;"| –5 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Animalist Party with the Environment}}"|
| align="left"| Progress in Green–PACMA (Progreso en Verde–PACMA)1 | 4,389 | 0.97 | style="color:red;"| –0.43
| 0 | ±0 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Sa Unió de Formentera}}"|
| align="left"| The Union of Formentera (PP–CompromísFormentera) (Sa Unió) | 1,747 | 0.39 | style="color:green;"| +0.06
| 1 | style="color:green;"| +1 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Gent per Formentera}}"|
| align="left"| People for Formentera+PSOE (GxF+PSOE) | 1,679 | 0.37 | style="color:red;"| –0.10
| 0 | style="color:red;"| –1 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Ara Eivissa}}"|
| align="left"| Now Ibiza (Ara Eivissa) | 1,407 | 0.31 | style="color:green;"| +0.03
| 0 | ±0 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Spanish Liberal Project}}"|
| align="left"| Spanish Liberal Project (PLIE) | 817 | 0.18 | style="color:green;"| +0.08
| 0 | ±0 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Coalition for the Balearics}}"|
| align="left"| Coalition for the Balearics (CperB) | 762 | 0.17 | New
| 0 | ±0 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|EPIC Ibiza Citizen Movement}}"|
| align="left"| EPIC Ibiza Citizen Movement–El Pi (EPIC–El Pi)2 | 597 | 0.13 | style="color:red;"| –0.51
| 0 | ±0 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Political Reset}}"|
| align="left"| Political Reset (Reset) | 509 | 0.11 | New
| 0 | ±0 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|For the Balearics}}"|
| align="left"| For the Balearics (PerxB) | 424 | 0.09 | New
| 0 | ±0 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New National Order}}"|
| align="left"| New National Order (Orden) | 359 | 0.08 | New
| 0 | ±0 |
align="left" colspan="2"| Blank ballots
| 7,207 | 1.60 | style="color:green;"| +0.59
| bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"| | |
colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"| | |||
style="font-weight:bold;"
| align="left" colspan="2"| Total | 450,644 | bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"|
| 59 | ±0 | |
colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"| | |||
align="left" colspan="2"| Valid votes
| 450,644 | 98.72 | style="color:red;"| –0.58
| bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2" rowspan="5"| | |
align="left" colspan="2"| Invalid votes
| 5,861 | 1.28 | style="color:green;"| +0.58 | |
style="font-weight:bold;"
| align="left" colspan="2"| Votes cast / turnout | 456,505 | 55.11 | style="color:green;"| +1.18 | |
align="left" colspan="2"| Abstentions
| 371,773 | 44.89 | style="color:red;"| –1.18 | |
style="font-weight:bold;"
| align="left" colspan="2"| Registered voters | 828,278 | bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"| | ||
colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"| | |||
align="left" colspan="7"| Sources{{cite journal |publisher=Govern de les Illes Balears |journal=Butlletí Oficial de les Illes Balears |issue=78 |date=13 June 2023 |language=ca |title=Proclamació dels diputats i diputades electes com a conseqüència de les eleccions del 28 de maig de 2023 al Parlament de les Illes Balears |url=https://intranet.caib.es/eboibfront/ca/2023/11753/674666/proclamacio-dels-diputats-i-diputades-electes-com- |issn=2254-1233 |pages=35026–35029}} | |||
colspan="7" style="text-align:left; max-width:790px;"| {{hidden|ta1=left|title=Footnotes:|content={{ubl
| 1 Progress in Green–PACMA results are compared to Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals totals in the 2019 election. | 2 EPIC Ibiza Citizen Movement–El Pi results are compared to the combined totals of Proposal for Ibiza and EPIC Ibiza Citizen Movement in the 2019 election.}}}} |
{{bar box
|title=Popular vote
|titlebar=#ddd
|width=550px
|barwidth=500px
|bars=
{{bar percent|PP|{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}|35.79}}
{{bar percent|PSIB–PSOE|{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}}|26.53}}
{{bar percent|Vox–AB|{{party color|Vox (political party)}}|13.90}}
{{bar percent|Més|{{party color|Més per Mallorca}}|8.35}}
{{bar percent|EUIB–Podemos|{{party color|Unidas Podemos}}|4.43}}
{{bar percent|El Pi|{{party color|Proposta per les Illes (2021)}}|3.79}}
{{bar percent|MxMe|{{party color|Més per Menorca}}|1.44}}
{{bar percent|CS|{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}}|1.35}}
{{bar percent|Sa Unió|{{party color|Sa Unió de Formentera}}|0.39}}
{{bar percent|Others|#777777|2.43}}
{{bar percent|Blank ballots|#DDDDDD|1.60}}
}}
{{bar box
|title=Seats
|titlebar=#ddd
|width=550px
|barwidth=500px
|bars=
{{bar percent|PP|{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}|42.37}}
{{bar percent|PSIB–PSOE|{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}}|30.51}}
{{bar percent|Vox–AB|{{party color|Vox (political party)}}|13.56}}
{{bar percent|Més|{{party color|Més per Mallorca}}|6.78}}
{{bar percent|MxMe|{{party color|Més per Menorca}}|3.39}}
{{bar percent|EUIB–Podemos|{{party color|Unidas Podemos}}|1.69}}
{{bar percent|Sa Unió|{{party color|Sa Unió de Formentera}}|1.69}}
}}
=Distribution by constituency=
class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right; line-height:20px;" |
rowspan="3"| Constituency
! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| PP ! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| PSIB ! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| Vox ! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| Més ! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| UP ! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| MxMe ! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| Sa Unió |
---|
colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}"|
! colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands}}"| ! colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}"| ! colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|Més per Mallorca}}"| ! colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|Unidas Podemos}}"| ! colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|Més per Menorca}}"| ! colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|Sa Unió de Formentera}}"| |
data-sort-type="number"| %
! data-sort-type="number"| S ! data-sort-type="number"| % ! data-sort-type="number"| S ! data-sort-type="number"| % ! data-sort-type="number"| S ! data-sort-type="number"| % ! data-sort-type="number"| S ! data-sort-type="number"| % ! data-sort-type="number"| S ! data-sort-type="number"| % ! data-sort-type="number"| S ! data-sort-type="number"| % ! data-sort-type="number"| S |
align="left"| Formentera
| colspan="2" bgcolor="#AAAAAA"| | colspan="2" bgcolor="#AAAAAA"| | 3.3 | − | colspan="2" rowspan="2" bgcolor="#AAAAAA"| | colspan="2" bgcolor="#AAAAAA"| | colspan="2" rowspan="3" bgcolor="#AAAAAA"| | style="background:{{party color|Sa Unió de Formentera}}; color:white;"| 46.5 | 1 |
align="left"| Ibiza
| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 48.8 | 7 | 25.6 | 4 | 9.2 | 1 | 6.4 | − | colspan="2" rowspan="3" bgcolor="#AAAAAA"| |
align="left"| Mallorca
| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 34.2 | 13 | 26.9 | 10 | 15.3 | 6 | 10.4 | 4 | 4.0 | − |
align="left"| Menorca
| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 38.7 | 5 | 26.7 | 4 | 7.2 | 1 | colspan="2" bgcolor="#AAAAAA"| | 6.8 | 1 | 16.6 | 2 |
style="background:#CDCDCD;"
| align="left"| Total | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of the Balearic Islands}}; color:white;"| 35.8 | 25 | 26.5 | 18 | 13.9 | 8 | 8.4 | 4 | 4.4 | 1 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 | 1 |
colspan="19"| |
style="text-align:left; font-weight:normal; background:#F9F9F9" colspan="15"| Sources |
Aftermath
{{Further|Government of Marga Prohens}}
class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;" |
colspan="4" align="center" bgcolor="#C0C0C0"| Investiture Marga Prohens (PP) |
colspan="2" width="150px"| Ballot →
! 4 July 2023 ! 6 July 2023 |
---|
colspan="2"| Required majority →
| 30 out of 59 {{xmark|15}} | Simple {{tick|15}} |
width="1px" style="background:green;"|
| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = Yes |• PP (25) |• Sa Unió (1) }} | {{Composition bar|26|59|green|width=125px}} | {{Composition bar|26|59|green|width=125px}} |
style="color:inherit;background:red;"|
| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = No |• PSIB-PSOE (18) |• Més (4) |• MxMe (2) |• EUIB-Podemos (1) }} | {{Composition bar|25|59|red|width=125px}} | {{Composition bar|25|59|red|width=125px}} |
style="color:inherit;background:gray;"|
| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = Abstentions|• Vox (8) }} | {{Composition bar|8|59|gray|width=125px}} | {{Composition bar|8|59|gray|width=125px}} |
style="color:inherit;background:black;"|
| align="left"| Absentees | {{Composition bar|0|59|black|width=125px}} | {{Composition bar|0|59|black|width=125px}} |
align="left" colspan="4"| Sources{{cite news |last=Ballesteros |first=Esther |date=4 July 2023 |title=Prohens cae en la primera votación para presidir Balears y el PP se encomienda a la abstención de Vox este jueves |url=https://www.eldiario.es/illes-balears/politica/prohens-fracasa-primera-votacion-investidura-encomienda-mayoria-simple_1_10349912.html |language=es |newspaper=elDiario.es |access-date=4 July 2023 }}{{cite news |last=Colom |first=Eduardo |date=6 July 2023 |title=Margalida Prohens (PP), investida presidenta de Baleares con la abstención de Vox |url=https://www.elmundo.es/baleares/2023/07/06/64a6e9e4e4d4d8a65b8b45b6.html |language=es |newspaper=El Mundo |location=Palma |access-date=6 July 2023}} |
Notes
{{notelist}}
References
;Opinion poll sources
{{reflist|group="p"}}
;Other
{{reflist}}
{{Balearic Islands elections}}
{{Regional elections in Spain in the 2020s}}