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2024 Arizona Republican presidential primary

{{Short description|none}}

{{Use American English|date=June 2025}}

{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}}

{{Main|2024 Republican Party presidential primaries}}

{{row hover highlight}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2024 Arizona Republican presidential primary

| country = Arizona

| type = presidential

| ongoing = Yes

| previous_election = 2016 Arizona Republican presidential primary

| previous_year = 2016

| next_election = 2028 Arizona Republican presidential primary

| next_year = 2028

| election_date = March 19, 2024

| outgoing_members = GU

| elected_members = FL

| votes_for_election = 43 Republican National Convention delegates

| map_image = 2024 Arizona Republican presidential primary results map.svg

| map_size = 250px

| map_caption = County results {{col-begin}}

{{col-2}}

Trump

{{legend|#4156CD|70–80%}}

{{legend|#1E39C0|80–90%}}

{{legend|#243179|>90%}}

{{col-end}}

| image1 = TrumpPortrait.jpg

| candidate1 = Donald Trump

| color1 = 283681

| home_state1 = Florida

| popular_vote1 = 492,299

| percentage1 = 78.84%

| delegate_count1 = 43

| image2 = Nikki Haley (53299447738) (cropped).jpg

| candidate2 = Nikki Haley
(withdrawn)

| color2 = FE6100

| home_state2 = South Carolina

| popular_vote2 = 110,966

| percentage2 = 17.77%

| delegate_count2 = 0

| reporting =

| last_update =

| time_zone = MST

}}

{{Elections in Arizona sidebar}}

The 2024 Arizona Republican presidential primary was held on March 19, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 43 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis.{{Cite web |date=January 19, 2023 |title=Arizona Republican Presidential Nominating Process |url=https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P24/AZ-R#0319 |access-date=February 6, 2023 |website=thegreenpapers.com}} The contest was held alongside primaries in Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio.

Background

In the 2016 Republican presidential contest, Donald Trump won the Arizona primary with 46.0% of the vote, with his nearest opponent, Senator Ted Cruz, taking 27.6% of the vote. In the 2020 primaries, the Arizona Republican Party canceled their contest.{{cite news |url=https://ktar.com/story/2734796/arizona-gop-wont-hold-2020-presidential-preference-election/ |title=Arizona GOP won't hold 2020 presidential preference election |publisher=KTAR |date=September 9, 2019 |access-date=September 11, 2019 |last=Stone|first=Kevin}}

Candidates

The filing deadline was December 11, 2023.{{Cite web |title=Important dates in the 2024 presidential race |url=https://ballotpedia.org/Important_dates_in_the_2024_presidential_race |access-date=2023-12-12 |website=Ballotpedia |language=en}} The following candidates filed:{{Cite web |title=2024 Presidential Preference Election Filed Candidates |url=https://apps.azsos.gov/election/2024/ppe_cand/2024_ppe_candidates_filed.pdf |access-date=December 11, 2023 |website=Arizona Secretary of State}}

Endorsements

{{main|Endorsements in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries}}

{{Endorsements box|title=Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)|list=

Former federal executive official

  • Donald Tapia, U.S. Ambassador to Jamaica (2019–2021){{cite web |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2023/02/21/republican-2024-donors-00083670 |title=Republican 2024 rivals go shopping for big donors |date=February 21, 2023 |first=Alex |last=Isenstadt |work=Politico |access-date=March 3, 2023}}

Former U.S. representative

  • Matt Salmon, AZ-05 (2013–2017) and AZ-01 (1995–2001){{cite web |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2023/03/06/ron-desantis-house-00085523 |title=From loner to phenom: DeSantis' old colleagues are surprised at his rise |date=March 6, 2023 |first1=Rachael |first2=Bethany |last1=Bade |last2=Irvine |work=Politico |access-date=March 6, 2023}}

State senators

State representatives

County official

Notable individuals

  • Jim Lamon, founder of DEFCOM Power, Inc. and Republican candidate for U.S. Senator from Arizona in 2022{{Cite web |last=Palmer |first=Ewan |date=July 20, 2023 |title=Arizona Republican Jim Lamon Turns on Trump, Bankrolls Campaign to Stop Him |url=https://www.newsweek.com/arizona-republican-jim-lamon-trump-pac-electoral-1814239 |access-date=July 20, 2022 |website=Newsweek}}
  • Meghan McCain, political commentator and daughter of 2008 nominee for President John McCain{{Cite web |last=Oshin |first=Olafimihan |date=2022-11-09 |title=Meghan McCain: Midterm results should be ‘final nail’ in Trump’s political coffin |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/media/3727512-meghan-mccain-midterm-results-should-be-final-nail-in-trumps-political-coffin/ |access-date=2024-01-27 |website=The Hill |language=en-US}} (switched endorsement to Haley)

}}

{{Endorsements box|title=Nikki Haley (withdrawn)|list=

Notable individuals

  • Meghan McCain, political commentator and daughter of 2008 nominee for President John McCain{{Cite web |title=Meghan McCain Drops F-Bomb, "I Really Need Republicans to Explain" |url=https://2paragraphs.com/2023/11/meghan-mccain-drops-f-bomb-i-really-need-republicans-to-explain/ |access-date=2024-01-27 |website=2paragraphs.com |language=en-US}}

}}

{{Endorsements box|title=Donald Trump|list=

U.S. representatives

  • Andy Biggs, AZ-05 (2017–present){{cite news |last1=Astor |first1=Maggie |title=Republican reaction to Trump: A few endorsements, and a lot of crickets |url=https://www.seattletimes.com/nation-world/nation-politics/republican-reaction-to-trump-a-few-endorsements-and-a-lot-of-crickets/ |access-date=March 16, 2023 |work=The New York Times |agency=The Seattle Times |date=November 16, 2022}}
  • Eli Crane, AZ-02 (2023–present){{cite news |last1=Ballasy |first1=Nicholas |title=Trump picks up early 2024 endorsements from GOP lawmakers, other political figures |url=https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/elections/trump-picks-early-2024-endorsements-gop-lawmakers-and-other-political |access-date=March 16, 2023 |work=Just The News |date=December 1, 2022}}
  • Paul Gosar, AZ-09 (2011–present)
  • Debbie Lesko, AZ-08 (2018–present){{cite news |title=Which 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate Has The Most Endorsements? |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-endorsements/ |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230419062253/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-endorsements/ |url-status=dead |archive-date=April 19, 2023 |access-date=April 25, 2023 |work=FiveThirtyEight |date=April 24, 2023}}

State senators

  • Anthony Kern, Member of the Arizona Senate from the 27th District (2023–present){{Cite news |last=Murdock |first=Corinne |date=August 16, 2023 |title=Arizona Politicians React To Trump's Indictment |work=AZ Free News |url=https://azfreenews.com/2023/08/arizona-politicians-react-to-trumps-indictment/ |access-date=September 23, 2023}}
  • Wendy Rogers, district 7 (2023–present) and 6th district (2021–2023){{cite news |last=Pesce |first=Nicole Lyn |date=November 15, 2022 |title=Cheers and jeers from Republicans as Trump announces 2024 presidential bid |url=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/cheers-and-jeers-from-republicans-as-trump-announces-2024-presidential-bid-11668571407 |access-date=March 16, 2023 |website=MarketWatch}}
  • Justine Wadsack, district 17 (2023–present){{Cite news |last=Poling |first=Hannah |date=July 21, 2023 |title=Arizona Legislative District 17's Freedom Team Endorses Donald Trump for President |work=Arizona Sun Times |url=https://arizonasuntimes.com/news/arizona-legislative-district-17s-freedom-team-endorses-donald-trump-for-president/hpoling/2023/07/22/ |access-date=July 21, 2023}}

State representatives

  • Mark Finchem, district 11 (2015–2023); Republican nominee in the 2022 Arizona Secretary of State election{{cite news |date=November 16, 2022 |title=Arizona election 2022: Finchem won't acknowledge loss in secretary of state race |url=https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2022/11/15/arizona-election-2022-live-voting-updates-across-state/10700204002/ |access-date=March 16, 2023 |website=azcentral}}
  • Rachel Jones, district 17 (2023–present)
  • Cody McGarr, district 17 (2023–present)
  • Austin Smith, Member of the Arizona House of Representatives from the 29th district (2023–present){{Cite news |date=August 2, 2023 |title=Smith: 'It's about what they've done to half the country by extension' |work=Coconino News |url=https://coconinonews.com/stories/648075491-smith-it-s-about-what-they-ve-done-to-half-the-country-by-extension |access-date=October 14, 2023}}

Former county official

  • Joe Arpaio, Maricopa County Sheriff (1993–2017){{cite news |date=November 11, 2022 |title=I hope Trump runs, he's my hero {{!}} Sheriff Joe Arpaio {{!}} American Agenda |url=https://headtopics.com/us/i-hope-trump-runs-he-s-my-hero-sheriff-joe-arpaio-american-agenda-31583845 |access-date=March 16, 2023 |website=Headtopics}}

Notable individuals

  • Kari Lake, news anchor; Republican nominee in the 2022 Arizona gubernatorial election{{cite news |last=Jones |first=Dustin |date=November 15, 2022 |title=What lawmakers are saying about Trump's run for the presidency |url=https://www.npr.org/2022/11/15/1137021923/what-lawmakers-are-saying-about-trumps-run-for-the-presidency |access-date=March 16, 2023 |website=NPR}}
  • Blake Masters, venture capitalist and the Republican nominee for U.S. Senator from Arizona in 2022{{Cite news |last=Baizal-Emil |first=Eric |date=October 26, 2023 |title=Blake Masters announces House bid in Arizona, forgoing another run for Senate |work=Politico |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/26/blake-masters-house-bid-arizona-00123783 |access-date=October 26, 2023}}

}}

{{Endorsements box|title=Declined to endorse|list=

U.S. representative

  • David Schweikert, AZ-01 (2023–present), AZ-06 (2013–2021), AZ-05 (2011–2013){{cite web |last1=Mutnick |first1=Ally |last2=Ferris |first2=Sarah |title=Trump's loosening grip on GOP defines early 2024 campaign |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2023/03/02/trumps-loosening-grip-gop-early-2024-campaign-00085092 |publisher=Politico |access-date=May 31, 2023 |date=March 2, 2023}}

}}

Results

{{2024AZRep}}

Polling

class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign="bottom" style="font-size:90%;"

!States
polled

!Dates
administered

!Dates
updated

! Nikki
Haley

! Donald
Trump

! Other/
Undecided{{Efn|Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.|name=|group=}}

! Margin

FiveThirtyEight[https://web.archive.org/web/20220604115942/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/arizona/ FiveThirtyEight]

| through February 4, 2024

| March 5, 2024

| 19.9%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |77.3%

| 2.8%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Trump +57.4

class="wikitable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
{{nowrap|of error}}

! Chris
Christie

! Ron
DeSantis

! Nikki
Haley

! Asa
Hutchinson

! Mike
Pence

! Vivek
Ramaswamy

! Tim
Scott

! Donald
Trump

! Other

! Undecided

rowspan="2" |Noble Predictive Insights[https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/update-on-the-2024-presidential-election Noble Predictive Insights]

| rowspan="2" |October 25–31, 2023

| rowspan="2" |348 (RV)

| rowspan="2" |± 5.25%

|2%

|16%

|8%

|0%

|3%

|9%

|1%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |53%

|7%{{efn|"Someone else not listed" & "None of these candidates" with 2%; Doug Burgum with 1%; Ryan Binkley, Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson & Francis Suarez with 0%}}

|–

–

|32%

|–

|–

|–

|–

|–

| {{party shading/Republican}} |68%

|–

|–

Emerson College[https://emersoncollegepolling.com/arizona-2024-senator-kyrsten-sinemas-independent-candidacy-could-help-democrats-for-u-s-senate/ Emerson College]

|August 2–4, 2023

|663 (LV)

|± 3.7%

|6%

|11%

|3%

|0%

|3%

|4%

|3%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |58%

|11%{{efn|Doug Burgum and Will Hurd with 1%; Francis Suarez and Perry Johnson with 0%; "Someone else" with 9%}}

|1%

rowspan="2" |Noble Predictive Insights[https://www.noblepredictiveinsights.com/post/trump-gains-ground-in-arizona?hss_channel=tw-804770917846876160 Noble Predictive Insights]

| rowspan="2" |July 13–17, 2023

| rowspan="2" |346 (RV)

| rowspan="2" |± 5.3%

|2%

|19%

|4%

|0%

|5%

|9%

|2%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |50%

|7%{{efn|Ryan Binkley, Doug Burgum, Francis Suarez, Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson, and "Someone Else not Listed" with 0%; "None of these Candidates" with 7%}}

|–

–

|38%

|–

|–

|–

|–

|–

| {{party shading/Republican}} |62%

|–

|–

rowspan="2" |J.L. Partners[https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5db0ca668552dd5ab1168a91/t/643caf7b6b7b75042ffc7162/1681698683843/Arizona+Poll+-+April+2023+-+Report.pdf J.L. Partners]

| rowspan="2" |Apr 10–12, 2023

| rowspan="2" |550 (LV)

| rowspan="2" |± 4.2%

|–

|24%

|3%

|0%

|4%

|2%

|1%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |47%

|8%{{efn|Liz Cheney with 4%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%}}

|11%

–

|35%

|–

|–

|–

|–

|–

| {{party shading/Republican}} |52%

|–

|13%

rowspan="2" |Noble Predictive Insights

| rowspan="2" |Apr 4–11, 2023

| rowspan="2" |371 (RV)

| rowspan="2" |± 5.1%

|–

|21%

|4%

|–

|7%

|–

|0%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |49%

|20%{{efn|Liz Cheney with 4%; Marco Rubio with 3%; Mike Pompeo, Chris Sununu, and Larry Hogan with 1%; Glenn Youngkin with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%; "None of these Candidates" with 9%}}

|–

–

|41%

|–

|–

|–

|–

|–

| {{party shading/Republican}} |59%

|–

|–

Rasmussen Reports[https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/public_surveys/most_arizona_voters_believe_election_irregularities_affected_outcome Rasmussen Reports]

| Mar 13–14, 2023

| –

| –

|–

| 24%

| –

|–

| –

|–

|–

| {{party shading/Republican}} |52%

| –

| 24%

OH Predictive Insights{{usurped|1=[https://web.archive.org/web/20230228215620/https://blog.ohpredictive.com/press-releases/az-gop-two-way-race-between-desantis-and-trump-in-a-2024-primary OH Predictive Insights]}}

| Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2023

| 350 (RV)

| ± 5.2%

|1%

| 26%

| 5%

|–

| 8%

|–

|–

| {{party shading/Republican}} |42%

| 11%{{efn|Liz Cheney with 5%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Mike Pompeo with 2%; Marco Rubio with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%}}

| 7%

Blueprint Polling{{Cite web |url=https://blueprintpolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/2024_AZ_election_preview.pdf |title=Blueprint Polling |access-date=March 3, 2023 |archive-date=March 14, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230314163349/https://blueprintpolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/2024_AZ_election_preview.pdf |url-status=dead }}

| Jan 5–8, 2023

| 303 (V)

| –

|–

| 34%

| –

|–

| –

|–

|–

| {{party shading/Republican}} |43%

| –

| 23%

Echelon Insights[https://netchoice.org/new-national-poll-89-of-americans-say-congress-should-focus-on-addressing-inflation-not-breaking-up-tech/ Echelon Insights]

| Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022

| 337 (LV)

| ± 4.5%

|–

| 36%

| –

|–

| –

|–

|–

| {{party shading/Republican}} |53%

| –

| 11%

rowspan=2|OH Predictive Insights{{Cite web |url=https://blog.ohpredictive.com/press-releases/gop-establishment-could-be-trumped-in-2024 |title=OH Predictive Insights |access-date=March 3, 2023 |archive-date=December 20, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221220123456/https://blog.ohpredictive.com/press-releases/gop-establishment-could-be-trumped-in-2024 |url-status=usurped }}

| rowspan=2|Nov 1–8, 2021

| rowspan=2|252 (RV)

| rowspan=2|± 6.2%

|1%

| 16%

| 6%

|–

| 9%

|–

|–

| {{party shading/Republican}} |48%

| 9%{{efn|Ted Cruz and Mitt Romney with 3%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%}}

| 9%

0%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |29%

| 8%

|–

| 21%

|–

|–

| –

| 25%{{efn|Ted Cruz with 10%; Donald Trump Jr. with 8%; Mitt Romney with 4%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%}}

| 16%

See also

Notes

{{notelist|refs=Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear}}

References

{{Reflist}}

{{2024 Republican primaries}}

Republican presidential primary

Arizona

Arizona Republican presidential primary

Category:Arizona Republican primaries