2024 Queensland state election
{{Short description|none}}
{{Use Australian English|date=April 2023}}
{{Use dmy dates|date=April 2023}}
{{for|the local government elections held in March|2024 Queensland local elections}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2024 Queensland state election
| country = Queensland
| type = parliamentary
| vote_type = First-preference
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2020 Queensland state election
| previous_year = 2020
| outgoing_members = outgoing members
| elected_members = elected members
| next_election = 2028 Queensland state election
| next_year = 2028
| seats_for_election = All 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly
| majority_seats = 47
| election_date = 26 October 2024
| opinion_polls = 2024 Queensland state election#Opinion_polling
| registered = 3,683,368
| turnout = 3,231,968 (87.74%)
({{decrease}}0.2 pp)
| image1 = David Crisafulli 2024.jpg
| colour1 =
| leader1 = David Crisafulli
| party1 = Liberal National Party of Queensland
| leader_since1 = 12 November 2020
| leaders_seat1 = Broadwater
| last_election1 = 34 seats, 35.89%
| seats_before1 = 35{{efn|name=iw}}
| seats1 = 52
| seat_change1 = {{increase}} 17
| popular_vote1 = 1,289,535
| percentage1 = 41.5%
| swing1 = {{increase}} 5.6
| image2 = Steven Miles official portrait (cropped).jpg
| colour2 =
| leader2 = Steven Miles
| party2 = Australian Labor Party (Queensland Branch)
| leader_since2 = {{nowrap|15 December 2023}}
| leaders_seat2 = Murrumba
| last_election2 = 52 seats, 39.57%
| seats_before2 = 51{{efn|name=iw|Labor lost the seat of Ipswich West to the LNP at a by-election in 2024, increasing the LNP's seat total to 35 and decreasing Labor's seat total to 51.}}
| seats2 = 36
| seat_change2 = {{decrease}} 15
| popular_vote2 = 1,011,211
| percentage2 = 32.6%
| swing2 = {{decrease}} 7.0
| image4 = Robbie Katter with hat at lookout (crop).jpg
| colour4 =
| leader4 = Robbie Katter
| party4 = Katter's Australian
| leader_since4 = 2 February 2015
| leaders_seat4 = Traeger
| last_election4 = 3 seats, 2.48%
| seats_before4 = 4{{efn|name=mirani|MP for Mirani Stephen Andrew left One Nation after being disendorsed, and joined the KAP shortly thereafter.}}
| seats4 = 3
| seat_change4 = {{decrease}} 1
| popular_vote4 = 75,773
| percentage4 = 2.4%
| swing4 = {{decrease}} 0.1
| image5 = Greens placeholder-01.png
| leader5 = No leader
| party5 = Queensland Greens
| last_election5 = 2 seats, 9.47%
| seats_before5 = 2
| seats5 = 1
| seat_change5 = {{decrease}} 1
| popular_vote5 = 307,178
| percentage5 = 9.9%
| swing5 = {{increase}} 0.4
| 1blank = TPP
| 2blank = TPP swing
| 1data1 = 53.8%
| 2data1 = {{increase}} 7.0
| 1data2 = 46.2%
| 2data2 = {{decrease}} 7.0
| map_image = File:2024 Queensland state election map.svg
| map_caption = Winning margin by electorate.
| title = Premier
| posttitle = Subsequent Premier
| before_election = Steven Miles
| before_party = Australian Labor Party (Queensland Branch)
| after_election = David Crisafulli
| after_party = Liberal National Party of Queensland
}}
The 2024 Queensland state election was held on 26 October 2024 to elect all members to the Legislative Assembly of Queensland pursuant to the Constitution (Fixed Term Parliament) Amendment Act 2015. As a result of the 2016 Queensland term length referendum, the term of the parliament will run for four years.[https://www.parliament.qld.gov.au/explore/about-us/parliament-overview/queensland-electoral-system The Queensland Electoral System] Queensland Parliament[https://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-04-05/four-year-fixed-parliamentary-term-referendum-declared-yes-ecq/7299386 Queensland referendum: Vote on four-year parliamentary terms passes] ABC News 5 April 2016
The election was the first since 2006 to feature two men leading the major parties. The opposition Liberal National Party (LNP) led by David Crisafulli defeated the incumbent Labor government, led by Premier Steven Miles after three terms in government.{{cite web|url=https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2024/oct/27/david-crisafulli-claims-lnp-victory-in-queensland-election-ending-labors-decade-long-reign|title=David Crisafulli claims LNP victory in Queensland election ending Labor's decade-long reign|work=The Guardian|date=27 October 2024}} Katter's Australian Party and the Queensland Greens also held seats in parliament, while other parties that contested the election included Pauline Hanson's One Nation, Legalise Cannabis Queensland,{{cite web |url= https://lcqparty.org/current-candidate-bios/candidates-2024/ |title= Candidates 2024 |website= lcqparty.org |publisher= Legalise Cannabis Queensland |access-date= 3 July 2024}} other minor parties as well as independents.
The LNP's victory was not clear until late on the night of the election count, when analysts projected Labor had lost their majority and the LNP was on track to form a majority government.{{cite web|url=https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2024/oct/26/qld-election-2024-results-live-updates-polls-voting-labor-steven-miles-david-crissafulli|title=QLD election: David Crisafulli claims victory – as it happened|work=The Guardian|date=26 October 2024}} Crisafulli declared victory in a late-night speech following the close of polls, however Miles initially held back on conceding pending further counting in several seats, though by the following morning he conceded defeat at a press conference.{{cite web|url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jkq3WG9U104|title=IN FULL: Outgoing Queensland Premier Steven Miles concedes election defeat|work=ABC News and YouTube|date=27 October 2024}}{{cite web|url=https://www.9news.com.au/national/queensland-election-steven-miles-concedes-election-after-david-crisafulli-win/ad114053-2f13-4cb2-ac96-a7c2faf29f6c|title=Outgoing Queensland premier Steven Miles concedes election after LNP victory|work=9news.com.au|date=27 October 2024}}
The LNP won 52 seats in the assembly (enough for a six-seat majority), with a positive swing of over five and a half percentage points on first-preference (primary) votes translating into a net 17-seat gain. Labor by contrast had a swing against them of seven percent, losing a net 15 seats and leaving them on 36 seats. Katter's Australian Party (KAP) retained three of their seats, though former One Nation MP Stephen Andrew, who joined KAP six weeks prior to the election and boosted the party's seat figure in parliament to four, lost the seat of Mirani to the LNP. The Greens were targeting victories in multiple seats throughout metropolitan Brisbane after strong performances at the 2022 federal election,{{cite web|url=https://www.abc.net.au/listen/programs/am/shock-result-for-queensland-greens-/104523208|title=Shock result for Queensland Greens|date=27 October 2024|work=ABC Listen}} however their primary vote stagnated and the party's representation in parliament was halved, winning only one seat (Maiwar). Independent Sandy Bolton retained the seat of Noosa.{{cite web|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/qld/2024/results?filter=all&sort=az|title=Queensland Election 2024 Results|work=ABC News|date=13 November 2024 }}
Crisafulli was sworn in as Queensland's 41st Premier by Governor Jeannette Young on 28 October, alongside his deputy Jarrod Bleijie.{{cite web|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-28/david-crisafulli-premier-queensland-election-government-house/104524048|title=David Crisafulli formally sworn in as Queensland premier after the LNP's election victory over Labor|author=Jack McKay|date=28 October 2024|work=ABC News}} The pair formed an interim ministry, with the full ministry sworn in later in the week.{{cite web|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-11-01/qld-queensland-government-cabinet/104537852|title=David Crisafulli's cabinet has been sworn in. Here are the ministers of Queensland's new look government|work=ABC News|date=1 November 2024}}
Electoral system
Queensland has compulsory voting and uses full-preference preferential voting for single-member electorates. The election is conducted by the Electoral Commission of Queensland. The party or coalition that wins the majority of seats (at least 47) forms the government. If no majority emerges, then the party or coalition that is able to command the confidence of the Legislative Assembly forms government as a minority government.
The party or coalition that wins the second-highest number of seats forms the opposition, with the remaining parties and independent candidates being allocated to the cross bench.
The Queensland Parliament is the only unicameral state parliament in Australia, composed of the Legislative Assembly. The upper house, the Legislative Council, was abolished in 1922.
Key dates
The election was for all 93 members of the Legislative Assembly. Pursuant to Constitution (Fixed Term Parliament) Amendment Act 2015 Queensland has fixed terms, with all elections following the 2020 election held every four years on the last Saturday of October.{{Cite web |title=Constitution (Fixed Term Parliament) Amendment Act 2015 |url=https://www.legislation.qld.gov.au/view/pdf/asmade/act-2016-015 |website=www.legislation.qld.gov.au |format=PDF}} The Governor may call an election earlier than scheduled if the Government does not maintain confidence, or the annual appropriation bill fails to pass.
- Issue of election writ – Tuesday 1 October 2024, by the Governor of Queensland.
- Candidate nominations period – Wednesday 2 October to Tuesday 8 October 2024 at 12pm, local time.
- Ballot paper order draw – Tuesday 8 October 2024 at 2.30pm.
- Early voting period – Monday 14 October to Friday 25 October 2024 from 8am–6pm (excluding the weekend).
- Postal vote applications close – Monday 14 October 2024 at 7pm.
- Election Day – Saturday 26 October 2024 (from 8am–6pm).
- Postal vote return deadline – Tuesday 5 November 2024.{{cite web | url=https://www.ecq.qld.gov.au/elections/election-events/2024-state-general-election | title=2024 State General Election | date=15 November 2024 }}
Background
After suffering a landslide defeat at the 2012 state election, the Labor Party achieved a 37-seat swing and returned to power in Queensland at the 2015 state election under the leadership of Annastacia Palaszczuk. Initially forming a minority government, they later won a majority at the 2017 state election, and further increased their number of seats in 2020 at an election overshadowed by the COVID-19 pandemic. Palaszczuk resigned as Premier in December 2023 and was succeeded by her deputy, Steven Miles.{{Cite news |last=Remeikis |first=Amy |date=2023-12-10 |title=Queensland premier Annastacia Palaszczuk retires from politics |url=https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/dec/10/queensland-premier-annastacia-palaszczuk-retires-from-politics |access-date=2024-03-14 |work=The Guardian |language=en-GB |issn=0261-3077}} On 16 March 2024, the first elections during his leadership, two by-elections, were held in Inala and Ipswich West.{{Cite news |date=2024-03-08 |title='Send a strong message': Why a Labor seat could be in play in Queensland's upcoming by-election |url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-03-09/analysis-inala-ipswich-west-by-elections/103520928 |access-date=2024-03-14 |work=ABC News |language=en-AU}} Despite being held by safe margins of 28.2% and 14.3% respectively, a massive swing against the Labor party was recorded in both seats, resulting in the margin in Inala being cut by more than 20%, and the loss of Ipswich West to the LNP.{{Cite web |date=2024-03-16 |title=Shockwaves as voters deliver Miles government a huge blow in by-elections |url=https://7news.com.au/news/miles-government-set-to-lose-ipswich-west-suffers-swing-against-in-inala-as-qld-labor-struggles-c-13979452 |access-date=2024-03-17 |website=7NEWS |language=en}}
Registered parties
The following parties are registered with Queensland Electoral Commission:{{Cite web |last=Queensland |first=Electoral Commission of |date=2022-08-26 |title=Registers |url=https://www.ecq.qld.gov.au/donations-and-expenditure-disclosure/registers |access-date=2022-08-29 |website=ecq.qld.gov.au |language=en}}
- Australian Labor Party (State of Queensland)
- Liberal National Party of Queensland
- Katter's Australian Party (KAP)
- Queensland Greens
- Animal Justice Party (Queensland)
- Family First Queensland
- Legalise Cannabis Queensland (Party)
- Libertarian Party of Queensland
- Pauline Hanson's One Nation Queensland Division
Campaign
The LNP campaigned heavily on four key issues, which it has labelled as crises: crime (particularly youth crime), cost-of-living, housing affordability and health. Crisafulli credited Labor's poor results at by-elections, held in March 2024, with voters' anger over Labor's handling of those key issues.{{Cite news |date=2024-03-17 |title='A kick in the pants with steel cap boots': What do two 'very bad' by-elections mean for Labor in Queensland? |url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-03-18/qld-what-now-for-labor-after-very-bad-by-election-results/103598442 |access-date=2024-05-15 |work=ABC News |language=en-AU}} After what Miles described as a "very bad result" for Labor at the two state by-elections, he accused the LNP of "sensationalising and politicising" crime to win votes.{{Cite web |date=2024-03-17 |title=Miles concedes his government faces wipe-out if local elections replicated |url=https://www.9news.com.au/national/queensland-election-results-steven-miles-labor/91a78e2f-ca9e-4db2-92c4-24943b6d1b26 |access-date=2024-05-15 |website=www.9news.com.au}}
Opinion polling and betting odds had the LNP as the firm favourites to win the election in a landslide, with Miles himself conceding that it was "very likely" that Labor would lose the election, whilst also criticising Crisafulli's "small target strategy" and claiming he had a lack of plans despite likely becoming the state's next Premier.{{Cite web |title=Subscribe to The Australian |url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/subscribe/news/1/?sourceCode=TAWEB_WRE170_a_GGL&dest=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theaustralian.com.au%2Fnation%2Fsteven-miles-says-election-wipeout-very-likely-as-new-poll-puts-lnp-in-box-seat%2Fnews-story%2F7ec5fecda60b5a839b958decfe05f957&memtype=anonymous&mode=premium&v21=GROUPA-Segment-1-NOSCORE&V21spcbehaviour=append&nk=10fc24e8df3cec35599142367b446702-1714116206 |access-date=August 17, 2024 |website=www.theaustralian.com.au}} An opinion poll conducted by YouGov and released on 26 April 2024 saw Labor record a two-party-preferred vote of just 44%, while Miles had a net negative approval rating of –22%, marking the worst opinion poll result for a Queensland Premier in 20 years.{{Cite web |title=The most brutal poll result for a Qld premier in a decade |url=https://www.townsvillebulletin.com.au/news/queensland/yougov-poll-steven-miles-more-unpopular-than-campbell-newman-before-2014-election-defeat/news-story/501b518ab9e7194dbe636b4f4afec6d0 |access-date=2024-05-15 |language=en-AU}}
In August 2024, Miles announced a policy of state-owned petrol stations,{{Cite news |last=Messenger |first=Andrew |date=2024-08-05 |title=Queensland Labor plans state-owned petrol stations as it bids for fourth term |url=https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/article/2024/aug/05/queensland-labor-plans-state-owned-petrol-stations-as-it-bids-for-fourth-term |access-date=2024-08-17 |work=The Guardian |language=en-GB |issn=0261-3077}}{{Cite web |date=2024-08-06 |title=Queensland premier proposes state-owned petrol stations in re-election bid |url=https://www.9news.com.au/national/queensland-premier-proposes-state-owned-petrol-stations-in-election-bid/0eeabcbc-c31e-4a87-8e86-ae7608e95136 |access-date=2024-08-17 |website=www.9news.com.au}}{{Cite news |date=2024-08-05 |title=Queensland premier floats state-owned petrol stations and cap on fuel price hikes in re-election bid |url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-08-06/queensland-labor-state-owned-petrol-stations-state-election/104186768 |access-date=2024-08-17 |work=ABC News |language=en-AU}} while Crisafulli promised to re-introduce optional preferential voting, which was previously used in Queensland from 1992 to 2015, and is currently used at a state level in New South Wales and Tasmania.{{Cite news |last=Atfield |first=Cameron |date=2024-08-24 |title=Compulsory preferential voting to be scrapped if LNP takes power |url=https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/compulsory-preferential-voting-to-be-scrapped-if-lnp-takes-power-20240824-p5k50q.html |access-date=2024-09-09 |work=Brisbane Times |language=en-AU}}
The lack of affordable rentals, and rent increases emerged as a major issue over the campaign. In Brisbane, median advertised rents increased by 49 per cent from the start of the COVID pandemic to December 2023.{{Cite web |date=9 September 2024 |title=Report: Living affordability in Queensland 2024 |url=https://www.qcoss.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/Report_Living-Affordability-in-Queensland-2024_web.pdf |access-date=6 October 2024 |website=Queensland Council of Social Services}}
On 26 September Miles suggested Labor would consider introducing a cap of 10% on the amount rent can increase each year.{{Cite news |last1=Lynch |first1=Lydia |last2=Scott |first2=Mackenzie |date=26 September 2024 |title=Queensland Premier Steven Miles to reconsider rent caps ahead of state election |url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/queensland-premier-steven-miles-to-reconsider-rent-caps-ahead-of-state-election/news-story/487a5d7ccf7bddc41f485554c08075b4 |work=The Australian}} Miles subsequently came under pressure by property industry lobbyists to rule out the policy, with Queensland Greens MP, Amy MacMahon commenting “Make no mistake, the only reason Labor is finally considering something they've opposed for years is because they're under massive pressure from the Greens this election,”.{{Cite news |last1=Fellow |first1=Taylah |last2=Johnson |first2=Hayden |date=26 September 2024 |title=Premier told to rule out 'last straw' rent cap policy |url=https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/qld-politics/premier-told-to-rule-out-last-straw-rent-cap-policy/news-story/9c4c651bd2c0253e5ca4eaa93315ce16 |access-date=6 October 2024 |work=The Courier Mail}} Support for rent caps was expressed by social housing peak body Queensland Shelter.
A YouGov poll commissioned by the Queensland Greens published by Seven News on 2 October and the Courier Mail 3 October indicated 54% of Queenslanders polled supported rent increases being capped at 1% annually, with 60% of Labor voters, 44% of LNP voters and 70% of Greens voters supporting the policy.{{Cite news |last=Mccormack |first=Madura |date=2 October 2024 |title=Labor Doubles Greens' Support |url=https://todayspaper.couriermail.com.au/infinity/article_popover_share.aspx?guid=083db2a1-a158-4782-ac16-1107397f2299&share=true&fbclid=IwY2xjawFu2VBleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABHYQLjnHS2AEwm0lhNcacBTmoobXNRAmKOIWgnxgPhsxUbQIG51Ha3dh-Ig_aem_7bcamsaRCoOwrB1Jav5gtQ |access-date=6 October 2024 |work=The Courier Mail |page=7 |type=Newspaper}}
A leaders debate was held on the 3rd of October broadcast by Channel 9, 4BC radio and the Brisbane Times.{{cite news | url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-03/qld-miles-and-crisafulli-face-off-in-first-leaders-debate/104430080 | title=LNP leader hangs his future on crime victims in first Queensland election debate | newspaper=ABC News }} An online reader poll with 64,000 votes conducted by the Brisbane Times declared opposition Leader David Crisafulli won the debate with 57% of the vote.{{cite web | url=https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/qld-election-2024-leaders-debate-live-updates-steven-miles-david-crisafulli-go-head-to-head-20241003-p5kfq1.html | title=QLD election 2024 leaders debate LIVE updates: Steven Miles, David Crisafulli go head-to-head | Leaders quizzed on cost-of-living, youth crime and health | date=3 October 2024 }}
Miles and Crisafulli ruled out introducing a rent cap during the leaders debate.{{Cite web |last=Holloman |first=Sebastian |date=2024-10-04 |title=Rent caps ruled out in Qld |url=https://www.realestatebusiness.com.au/property-management/28769-rent-caps-ruled-out-in-qld |access-date=2024-10-06 |website=www.realestatebusiness.com.au |language=en}}
In 2 October 2024, Labor's Miles announced a policy of a state-owned energy retailer.{{cite news|url=https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2024/oct/02/steven-miles-qld-state-owned-energy-electricity-plan|title=New state-owned energy retailer will put 'people before profits', Steven Miles says|author=Joe Hinchliffe and Andrew Messenger|date=2 October 2024|work=www.theguardian.com|access-date=13 October 2024}}{{cite news|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-02/qld-labor-promises-publicly-owned-energy-retailer-state-election/104420604|title=Queensland Labor leader Steven Miles to pledge publicly owned energy retailer if re-elected|author=Kate McKenna|date=2 October 2024|work=www.abc.net.au|access-date=13 October 2024}} On 13 October 2024, Labor announced a policy of Free school meals.{{cite news|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-13/queensland-election-labor-promises-free-lunches-at-state-schools/104466724|title=Queensland Labor promises free lunches for state school students, if re-elected on October 26|author=jack mckay|date=13 October 2024|work=www.abc.net.au|access-date=13 October 2024}}
A second leaders debate between the LNP and ALP leaders was held on the 16th of October.
A final leaders debate between the ALP and LNP leaders was hosted by Sky News and The Courier-Mail People’s Forum on October 22.{{cite news|url=https://www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/politics/how-to-watch-queensland-peoples-forum-for-final-debate-between-steven-miles-and-david-crisafulli-ahead-of-state-election/news-story/0960acc0d872977758693c371e9fc563|title=How to watch Queensland People's Forum for final debate between Steven Miles and David Crisafulli ahead of state election|author=|date=|work=|access-date=22 October 2024}} The debate consisted of 100 undecided voters picked by YouGov, who would then be chosen to ask questions to the leaders. The results of the debate are as follows: 39% Miles, 35% Crisafulli, and 26% still undecided.{{Cite web |title=Results of Queensland People's Forum revealed |url=https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/national/results-of-queensland-peoples-forum-revealed/video/051740db7c25795fde457d380fb6c6de |website=couriermail}}
=Controversy=
Some candidates attracted controversy during the course of the campaign, in particular for insensitivity regarding Nazi symbolism.{{cite news|url=https://www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/politics/caloundra-labor-mp-jason-hunt-defends-wearing-hitler-tshirt-in-high-school-year-book-claims-it-was-satirical/news-story/9e5a01875a3fef7d78434456546e6356|title=Caloundra Labor MP Jason Hunt defends wearing 'Hitler t-shirt' in high school year book, claims it was 'satirical'|author=|date=|work=|access-date=22 October 2024}}{{cite news|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-22/lnp-queensland-election-candidate-bree-james-hitler-post-apology/104501732|title=LNP Queensland election candidate Bree James sorry for making Hitler joke on Facebook|author=|date=|work=|access-date=22 October 2024}}{{cite news|url=https://www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/politics/queensland-lnp-candidate-bree-james-reviled-for-facebook-post-joking-about-hitler-graffiti-on-her-election-poster/news-story/5fe2648f7edf36c894d1a803cb9228f7|title=Queensland LNP candidate Bree James reviled for Facebook post joking about Hitler graffiti on her election poster|author=|date=|work=|access-date=22 October 2024}}
Results
{{main|Results of the 2024 Queensland state election|Post-election pendulum for the 2024 Queensland state election|Members of the Queensland Legislative Assembly, 2024–2028}}
| style="width:50%; text-align:center;" |
| style="color:white;"
| style="color:white; background:{{party color|Australian Labor Party}}; width:38%;" | 36 | style="background:{{party color|Australian Greens}}; width:1%;" | 1 | style="background:{{party color|Independent politician}}; width:1%;" | 1 | style="background:{{party color|Katter's Australian Party}}; width:3%;" | 3 | style="background:{{party color|Liberal National Party of Queensland}}; width:57%;" | 52 |
| style="color:{{party color|Australian Labor Party}};"|ALP
| GRN |style="color: black;"|IND |style="color:{{party color|Katter's Australian Party}};"|KAP | LNP |
| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right; margin-bottom:0"
|+Legislative Assembly (IRV) – Turnout TBD (CV){{cite web|url=https://results.elections.qld.gov.au/SGE2024|title=2024 State General Election provisional results|work=Electoral Commission of Queensland|date=July 2019 }}{{Cite web |last=Green |first=Antony |title=2024 Queensland Election |url=https://www.abc.net.au/dat/news/elections/qld/2024/guide/QLD2024_ResultSummary.pdf |access-date=15 November 2024 |website=Australian Broadcasting Corporation}} |
| style="width:10px" colspan=3 | Party
! style="width:70px;"|Votes ! style="width:40px;"|% ! style="width:45px;"|Swing ! style="width:40px;"|Seats ! +/– |
|---|
| {{Australian party style|Liberal National|width:1px}} |
| style="text-align:left;" colspan="2"| Liberal National | 1,289,535 | 41.52 | {{increase}}+5.63 | 52 |{{Increase}} 17 |
| {{Australian party style|Labor|width:1px}} |
|style="text-align:left;" colspan="2"| Labor | 1,011,211 | 32.56 | {{Decrease}}−7.01 | 36 |{{Decrease}} 15 |
| {{Australian party style|Greens}} |
| style="text-align:left;" colspan="2"| Greens | 307,178 | 9.89 | {{increase}}+0.42 | 1 |{{Decrease}} 1 |
| {{Australian party style|One Nation}} |
| style="text-align:left;" colspan="2"| One Nation | 248,334 | 8.00 | {{increase}}+0.88 | 0 | {{Steady}} |
| {{Australian party style|Katter's Australian Party}} |
| colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Katter's Australian | 75,773 | 2.44 | {{Decrease}}–0.08 | 3 | {{Decrease}} 1 |
| {{Australian party style|Family First 2021}} |
| colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Family First | 57,826 | 1.86 | {{increase}}+1.86 | 0 |{{Steady}} |
| {{Australian party style|Independent}} |
| colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Independents | 52,657 | 1.69 | {{Decrease}}−0.79 | 1 |{{Steady}} |
| {{Australian party style|Legalise Cannabis Qld}} |
| colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Legalise Cannabis | 49,621 | 1.60 | {{increase}}+0.69 | 0 |{{Steady}} |
| {{Australian party style|Animal Justice}} |
| colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Animal Justice | 9,669 | 0.31 | {{Decrease}}−0.03 | 0 |{{Steady}} |
| {{Australian party style|Libertarian}} |
| colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Libertarian | 4,141 | 0.13 | {{increase}}+0.13 | 0 |{{Steady}} |
| colspan="3" rowspan="1" | Formal votes
| 3,105,945 | 96.10 | {{Decrease}}−0.50 | | |
| colspan="3" rowspan="1" | Informal votes
| 126,023 | 3.90 | {{increase}}+0.50 | | |
| colspan="3" rowspan="1" | Total
| 3,231,968 | 100 | | 93 | |
| colspan="3" rowspan="1" | Registered voters / turnout
| 3,683,368 | 87.74 | {{Decrease}}−0.17 | | |
| colspan="8" | Two-party-preferred vote |
| {{Australian party style|Liberal National}} |
| style="text-align:left;" colspan="2"| Liberal National | 1,669,799 | 53.8 | {{Increase}} 7.0 | | |
| {{Australian party style|Labor}} |
| style="text-align:left;" colspan="2"| Labor | 1,436,146 | 46.2 | {{Decrease}} 7.0 | | |
=Seats changing hands=
Members in italics did not recontest their seats.
| class="wikitable sortable" |
| style="text-align:center"
! rowspan="2" | Seat ! colspan="4" | Pre-election ! rowspan="2" | Swing ! colspan="4" | Post-election |
| style="text-align:center"
! colspan="2" | Party ! Member ! Margin ! Margin ! Member ! colspan="2" | Party |
| Barron River
| {{Australian party style|Labor QLD}}| | {{Australian politics/name|Labor QLD}} | style="text-align:right;" | 3.1 | style="text-align:right;" | 6.8 | style="text-align:right;" | 3.7 | {{Australian politics/name|LNP}} | {{Australian party style|LNP}}| |
| Caloundra
| {{Australian party style|Labor QLD}}| | {{Australian politics/name|Labor QLD}} | style="text-align:right;" | 2.5 | style="text-align:right;" | 4.3 | style="text-align:right;" | 1.8 | {{Australian politics/name|LNP}} | {{Australian party style|LNP}}| |
| Capalaba
| {{Australian party style|Labor QLD}}| | {{Australian politics/name|Labor QLD}} | style="text-align:right;" | 9.8 | style="text-align:right;" | 11.7 | style="text-align:right;" | 1.9 | {{Australian politics/name|LNP}} | {{Australian party style|LNP}}| |
| Cook
| {{Australian party style|Labor QLD}}| | {{Australian politics/name|Labor QLD}} | style="text-align:right;" | 6.3 | style="text-align:right;" | 11.2 | style="text-align:right;" | 5.0 | {{Australian politics/name|LNP}} | {{Australian party style|LNP}}| |
| Hervey Bay
| {{Australian party style|Labor QLD}}| | {{Australian politics/name|Labor QLD}} | style="text-align:right;" | 2.0 | style="text-align:right;" | 10.4 | style="text-align:right;" | 8.4 | {{Australian politics/name|LNP}} | {{Australian party style|LNP}}| |
| Ipswich West
| {{Australian party style|LNP}}| | {{Australian politics/name|LNP}} | Darren Zanow{{efn|Zanow was elected at the 2024 Ipswich West state by-election after the resignation of Labor MP Jim Madden. The LNP's margin at the by-election was 3.5%.}} | style="text-align:right;" | 14.4 (ALP) | style="text-align:right;" | 10.4 (LNP) | style="text-align:right;" | 3.9 | {{Australian politics/name|Labor QLD}} | {{Australian party style|Labor QLD}}| |
| Keppel
| {{Australian party style|Labor QLD}}| | {{Australian politics/name|Labor QLD}} | style="text-align:right;" | 5.6 | style="text-align:right;" | 16.1 | style="text-align:right;" | 10.5 | {{Australian politics/name|LNP}} | {{Australian party style|LNP}}| |
| Mackay
| {{Australian party style|Labor QLD}}| | {{Australian politics/name|Labor QLD}} | style="text-align:right;" | 6.7 | style="text-align:right;" | 17.2 | style="text-align:right;" | 10.4 | {{Australian politics/name|LNP}} | {{Australian party style|LNP}}| |
| Maryborough
| {{Australian party style|Labor QLD}}| | {{Australian politics/name|Labor QLD}} | style="text-align:right;" | 11.9 | style="text-align:right;" | 14.6 | style="text-align:right;" | 2.7 | {{Australian politics/name|LNP}} | {{Australian party style|LNP}}| |
| Mirani
| {{Australian party style|KAP}}| | {{Australian politics/name|KAP}} | Stephen Andrew{{efn|Andrew was elected as a One Nation member but left to join Katter's Australian Party (KAP) after his disendorsement.}} | style="text-align:right;" | 9.0 (ONP) | style="text-align:right;" | 50.9 | style="text-align:right;" | 0.9 | {{Australian politics/name|LNP}} | {{Australian party style|LNP}}| |
| Mulgrave
| {{Australian party style|Labor QLD}}| | {{Australian politics/name|Labor QLD}} | style="text-align:right;" | 12.2 | style="text-align:right;" | 15.4 | style="text-align:right;" | 3.1 | {{Australian politics/name|LNP}} | {{Australian party style|LNP}}| |
| Mundingburra
| {{Australian party style|Labor QLD}}| | {{Australian politics/name|Labor QLD}} | style="text-align:right;" | 3.9 | style="text-align:right;" | 13.3 | style="text-align:right;" | 9.4 | {{Australian politics/name|LNP}} | {{Australian party style|LNP}}| |
| Nicklin
| {{Australian party style|Labor QLD}}| | {{Australian politics/name|Labor QLD}} | style="text-align:right;" | 0.1 | style="text-align:right;" | 2.8 | style="text-align:right;" | 2.7 | {{Australian politics/name|LNP}} | {{Australian party style|LNP}}| |
| Pumicestone
| {{Australian party style|Labor QLD}}| | {{Australian politics/name|Labor QLD}} | Ali King | style="text-align:right;" | 5.3 | style="text-align:right;" | 5.7 | style="text-align:right;" | 0.4 | {{Australian politics/name|LNP}} | {{Australian party style|LNP}}| |
| Redcliffe
| {{Australian party style|Labor QLD}}| | {{Australian politics/name|Labor QLD}} | style="text-align:right;" | 6.1 | style="text-align:right;" | 9.2 | style="text-align:right;" | 3.1 | {{Australian politics/name|LNP}} | {{Australian party style|LNP}}| |
| Redlands
| {{Australian party style|Labor QLD}}| | {{Australian politics/name|Labor QLD}} | style="text-align:right;" | 3.9 | style="text-align:right;" | 5.8 | style="text-align:right;" | 1.9 | {{Australian politics/name|LNP}} | {{Australian party style|LNP}}| |
| Rockhampton
| {{Australian party style|Labor QLD}}| | {{Australian politics/name|Labor QLD}} | style="text-align:right;" | 8.6 | style="text-align:right;" | 10.4 | style="text-align:right;" | 1.8 | {{Australian politics/name|LNP}} | {{Australian party style|LNP}}| |
| South Brisbane
| {{Australian party style|Greens QLD}}| | {{Australian politics/name|Greens QLD}} | style="text-align:right;" | 5.3 | style="text-align:right;" | 11.4 | style="text-align:right;" | 6.1 | {{Australian politics/name|Labor QLD}} | {{Australian party style|Labor QLD}}| |
| Thuringowa
| {{Australian party style|Labor QLD}}| | {{Australian politics/name|Labor QLD}} | style="text-align:right;" | 3.2 | style="text-align:right;" | 13.2 | style="text-align:right;" | 9.9 | {{Australian politics/name|LNP}} | {{Australian party style|LNP}}| |
| Townsville
| {{Australian party style|Labor QLD}}| | {{Australian politics/name|Labor QLD}} | style="text-align:right;" | 3.1 | style="text-align:right;" | 8.7 | style="text-align:right;" | 5.6 | {{Australian politics/name|LNP}} | {{Australian party style|LNP}}| |
Candidates
{{main|Candidates of the 2024 Queensland state election}}
A total of 525 candidates from nine political parties (or independent) will contest the election. It is the second-most contested election by nominated candidates in Queensland history, behind the previous election (2020).{{cite news |last1=Dennien |first1=Matt |date=17 October 2024 |title=Who are the Qld crossbench contestants – and what do they want? |url=https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/who-are-the-qld-crossbench-contestants-and-what-do-they-want-20241014-p5ki38.html |work=Brisbane Times |publisher=Nine Entertainment }}{{cite web |last1=Green |first1=Antony |author-link=Antony Green |date=8 October 2024 |title=QLD2024 – Candidates and Parties Contesting Election |url=https://antonygreen.com.au/qld2024-candidates-and-parties-contesting-election/ |website=antonygreen.com.au }}
Crisafulli began announcing LNP candidates 18 months prior to the election, making the LNP the first party to formally endorse candidates for the election.{{cite news|last=Cosoleto|first=Tara|url=https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/queensland/lnp-names-candidates-18-months-out-from-queensland-poll-20230326-p5cvcd.html|title=LNP names candidates 18 months out from Queensland poll|work=Brisbane Times|date=26 March 2023|access-date=27 March 2023 |agency=AAP}} The LNP announced several other candidates afterwards. The second party to formally endorse a candidate was Katter's Australian Party (KAP), announcing their candidate for the Far North Queensland seat of Cook on 6 October 2023.{{cite news |url-access=subscription |last=McCarthy|first=Isaac|date=6 October 2023|title=Katters announce Malanda man, ex-SAS soldier Bruce Logan as Cook candidate|url=https://www.cairnspost.com.au/news/cape-york/katters-announce-malanda-man-exsas-soldier-bruce-logan-as-cook-candidate/news-story/d8b91be8cfe0e95744356f0a9eef08fc|work=Cairns Post|location= |access-date=19 October 2023}}
Labor, the LNP, and the Greens have announced candidates in all 93 electorates. Pauline Hanson announced 2 October her One Nation Party would also be contesting every seat.{{Cite web |date=October 2, 2024 |title=Queensland Election Called |url=https://qld.onenation.org.au/queensland-election-called |access-date=2024-10-06 |website=One Nation Queensland|language=en}}
=Preferences=
Candidates and parties may publish recommendations to voters on How-to-vote cards and other materials indicating how that candidate or party suggests a voter should order their ballot under the state's full-preference instant-runoff voting system. Voters must number every candidate on the ballot paper to cast a formal vote. A candidate or party cannot determine the order a vote is distributed for a voter. Preference deals refer to parties or candidates agreeing to order recommendations on each other's how-to-vote materials that are favourable to the other.
==Liberal National==
In late 2023, it was reported in The Australian that Leader of the Opposition David Crisafulli considered preferencing the Greens over Labor at the upcoming state election.{{cite news |url-access=subscription |date=20 October 2023 |title=LNP leader David Crisafulli considers deal to preference Greens over Labor |url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/lnp-leader-david-crisafulli-considers-deal-to-preference-greens-over-labor/news-story/50818fa239be8e7eb67d419b18178abf |work=The Courier-Mail |publisher=News Corp Australia }} Crisafulli told the newspaper: "Now, the same doesn't happen on the other side of the draw – the preferences on the right don't flow in the same way that the Greens' preferences flow to Labor," adding: "So it is a corrupt system... and I have a big concern about the prospect of a Labor–Greens coalition. They will say no deals... but they've said that before and they then broke the promise anyway. So I am deeply concerned by that."
On 1 October 2024, the LNP officially announced they would preference Labor over the Greens at the state election.{{cite news |url-access=subscription |last=Walker|first=Jamie|date=1 October 2024|title=2024 Queensland election: opposition to preference Labor above 'anarchist' Greens|url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/2024-queensland-election-opposition-puts-labor-above-anarchist-greens/news-story/c9e4c7f0605a174c0d96898e5fac4f9f?amp&nk=3863a092a6b3cbec668da09398794dc4-1727729687|work=The Australian|location= |access-date=1 October 2024}}
==One Nation==
One Nation leader and federal Senator for Queensland, Pauline Hanson, confirmed in February 2024 that One Nation would preference the LNP over Labor in every seat, despite her reported distrust of both major parties.{{cite news |url-access=subscription |date=6 February 2024 |title=Qld election preferences: One Nation to preference LNP |url=https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/state-election/one-nation-to-preference-lnp-at-queensland-state-election-in-october-despite-pauline-hansons-distrust-of-david-crisafulli/news-story/696ea31c756fb37531a6e9a0455a6a66 |work=The Courier-Mail |publisher=News Corp Australia }}
==Labor==
Retiring Labor MP and Attorney-General Yvette D’Ath claimed on 24 August the that the Greens were "happy to do deals" with the LNP to get more members elected to parliament. While Ms D'Ath issued a plea to voters to not replace Labor MPs with Greens members, she refused to concede that the polling showed a progressive swing among inner-city residents.{{Cite news |last1=Johnson |first1=Hayden |last2=Fellows |first2=Taylah |date=24 August 2024 |title=Qld election: Greens claim they're set to take three Brisbane seats at expense of Labor minister, MPs |url=https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/state-election/qld-election-greens-claim-theyre-set-to-take-three-brisbane-seats-at-expense-of-labor-minister-mps/news-story/685390a21678712a4a728a0d22f61545 |access-date=6 October 2024 |work=The Courier Mail}}
Labor is giving preferences to Legalise Cannabis ahead of the Greens in 28 seats.{{cite news|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-19/queensland-election-labor-legalise-cannabis-greens-lnp/104476282|title=Labor preferences Legalise Cannabis Queensland ahead of Greens in 28 seats in state election|author=|date=|work=|access-date=24 October 2024}}
==Greens==
The Queensland Greens had previously ruled out doing any preference deal with the LNP in 2024.{{Cite web |last=Puglisi |first=Leonardo |date=2024-09-20 |title=FACT-CHECK: No, the Greens haven't done a 'preference deal' with the Liberal Nationals {{!}} 6NewsAU |url=https://www.6newsau.com/post/fact-check-no-the-greens-haven-t-done-a-preference-deal-with-the-liberal-nationals |access-date=2024-10-06 |website=6 News Australia |language=en}}
==Katter==
The Katter's Australian Party will give its preference to the LNP in North Queensland seats.{{cite news|url=https://www.inqld.com.au/news/queensland-votes-2024/2024/10/02/they-need-to-be-taught-a-lesson-katter-reveals-plan-to-preference-lnp-for-first-time|title=Labor needs to be taught a lesson': Katter to preference LNP for first time|author=|date=|work=|access-date=24 October 2024}}
Retiring members
=Labor=
- Yvette D'Ath (Redcliffe) – announced retirement on 22 February 2024, citing the need to find more balance in her life.{{cite news |last=McKenna|first=Kate|date=22 February 2024|title=Queensland Attorney-General Yvette D'Ath to quit politics at the end of the year |url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-02-22/qld-yvette-d-ath-to-quit-politics/103497526|work=ABC News|location= |access-date=22 February 2024}}
- Julieanne Gilbert (Mackay) – announced retirement on 25 July 2024.{{Cite news |last=Lynch |first=Lydia |date=25 July 2024 |title=Mackay MP Julieanne Gilbert announces retirement at state election |work=The Australian |url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/mackay-mp-julieanne-gilbert-announces-retirement-at-state-election/news-story/a8288ebeb032c3ef6b700394d5a91a30?amp |access-date=25 July 2024}}
- Stirling Hinchliffe (Sandgate) – announced retirement on 11 October 2023.{{Cite news |last=Elks |first=Sarah |date=11 October 2023 |title=Stirling Hinchliffe calls it quits after 17 years to 'put family first' |work=The Australian |url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/stirling-hinchliffe-calls-it-quits-after-17-years-to-put-family-first/news-story/5eb4bc911d6246c300fdb4ce279183a2?amp&nk=3d22738ac0af640263ff39b6dc05b537-1697013130 |access-date=15 October 2023}}
- Barry O'Rourke (Rockhampton) – announced retirement on 13 November 2023, citing health issues.{{cite news |last=Johnson|first=Hayden|date=13 November 2023|title=Premier to lose another Labor MP at 2024 poll|url=https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/premier-to-lose-another-labor-mp-at-2024-poll/news-story/faba4e2000ac5b282ddf11665f70bf17|work=The Courier-Mail |access-date=14 November 2023}}
- Curtis Pitt (Mulgrave) – announced retirement on 22 August 2024.{{cite news |last=Lynch|first=Lydia|date=22 August 2024|title=Speaker and veteran Mulgrave MP Curtis Pitt to retire at Queensland election }}
=Liberal National=
- Michael Hart (Burleigh) – announced retirement on 6 September 2023.{{cite news |last=McCormack |first=Madura |date=6 September 2023 |title= LNP MP for Burleigh Michael Hart won't recontest 2024 state election |url= https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/qld-politics/lnp-mp-for-burleigh-michael-hart-wont-recontest-2024-state-election/news-story/a3fcfa1a010439daa0dd7d31863e75be?amp&nk=950f0a4da2e1d4b2bb1a612791077957-1694505042 |work=Courier Mail |access-date=12 September 2023 }}
- Lachlan Millar (Gregory) – announced retirement on 18 October 2023.{{cite news |last=Gall|first=Sally|date=18 October 2023|title=Gregory MP calls time on representing largest electorate in Queensland |url=https://www.queenslandcountrylife.com.au/story/8390918/gregory-mp-announces-retirement/|work=Queensland Country Life|location= |access-date=21 October 2023}}
- Mark Robinson (Oodgeroo) – announced retirement on 16 June 2023.{{cite news |last=McCormack |first=Madura |date=16 June 2023 |title= Oodgeroo MP Mark Robinson confirms retirement at next election, paving way for Amanda Stoker's political comeback |url= https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/qld-politics/oodgeroo-mp-mark-robinson-confirms-retirement-at-next-election-paving-way-for-amanda-stokers-political-comeback/news-story/58e0ee134d5559776033f437ee72f9a9?amp&nk=950f0a4da2e1d4b2bb1a612791077957-1694504596 |work=Courier Mail |access-date=12 September 2023 }}
- Darren Zanow (Ipswich West) – announced retirement on 12 July 2024, due to his diagnosis of Microvascular ischemic disease.Theocharous, Mikala (12 July 2024). [https://www.9news.com.au/national/queensland-mp-darren-zanow-diagnosed-microvascular-ischemic-disease-resignation/43187a70-37da-4c7f-b074-6795b8e1f60f "Queensland MP Darren Zanow diagnosed with 'devastating' incurable brain disease"]. Nine News. Retrieved 23rd July 2024.
Electoral pendulum
= Pre-election pendulum =
{{ctop}}
This is a pre-election pendulum for the 2024 Queensland state election. Members in italics are not contesting the election. By-elections were held in four seats during this term of Parliament that changed their margins. See the footnotes for details.
| class="toccolours" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" style="float:left; margin-right:.5em; margin-top:.4em; font-size:90 ppt;" |
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:red;"| Government seats |
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:red;"|Marginal |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Bundaberg
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Tom Smith | style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|0.01 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Nicklin
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Robert Skelton | style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|0.1 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Hervey Bay
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Adrian Tantari | style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|2.0 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Caloundra
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Jason Hunt | style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|2.5 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Barron River
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Craig Crawford | style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|3.1 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Townsville
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Scott Stewart | style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|3.1 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Thuringowa
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Aaron Harper | style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|3.2 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Redlands
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Kim Richards | style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|3.9 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Mundingburra
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Les Walker | style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|3.9 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Aspley
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Bart Mellish | style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|5.2 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Pumicestone
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Ali King | style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|5.3 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Cairns
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Michael Healy | style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|5.6 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Keppel
| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Brittany Lauga | style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|5.6 |
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:red;"|Fairly safe |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Redcliffe
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Yvette D'Ath | style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff8d8d;"|6.1 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Cook
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Cynthia Lui | style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff8d8d;"|6.3 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Inala
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Margie Nightingale | style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff8d8d;"|6.7{{hsp}}{{efn-lr|name=c}} |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Mackay
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Julieanne Gilbert | style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff8d8d;"|6.7 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Pine Rivers
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Nikki Boyd | style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff8d8d;"|6.7 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Mansfield
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Corrine McMillan | style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff8d8d;"|6.8 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Gaven
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Meaghan Scanlon | style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff8d8d;"|7.8 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Springwood
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Mick de Brenni | style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff8d8d;"|8.3 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Rockhampton
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Barry O'Rourke | style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff8d8d;"|8.6 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Macalister
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Melissa McMahon | style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff8d8d;"|9.5 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Capalaba
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Don Brown | style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff8d8d;"|9.8 |
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:red;"|Safe |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Cooper
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Jonty Bush | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|10.5 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Ferny Grove
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Mark Furner | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|11.0 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|McConnel
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Grace Grace | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|11.1 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Murrumba
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Steven Miles | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|11.3 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Bulimba
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Di Farmer | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|11.4 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Maryborough
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Bruce Saunders | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|11.9 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Stafford
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Jimmy Sullivan | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|11.9 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Mulgrave
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Curtis Pitt | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|12.2 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Mount Ommaney
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Jess Pugh | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|12.6 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Bancroft
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Chris Whiting | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|12.8 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Kurwongbah
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Shane King | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|13.1 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Greenslopes
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Joe Kelly | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|13.2 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Logan
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Linus Power | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|13.4 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Lytton
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Joan Pease | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|13.4 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Miller
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Mark Bailey | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|13.8 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Stretton
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|James Martin | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|13.9{{hsp}}{{efn-lr|name=a}} |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Toohey
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Peter Russo | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|14.4 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Nudgee
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Leanne Linard | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|15.1 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Waterford
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Shannon Fentiman | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|16.0 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Ipswich
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Jennifer Howard | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|16.5 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Morayfield
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Mark Ryan | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|16.7 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Jordan
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Charis Mullen | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|17.1 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Sandgate
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Stirling Hinchliffe | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|17.3 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Algester
| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Leeanne Enoch | style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|17.8 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#df716d;"|Bundamba
| style="text-align:left; background:#df716d;"|Lance McCallum | style="text-align:left; background:#df716d;"|ALP v ONP | style="text-align:center; background:#df716d;"|20.7 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#df716d;"|Gladstone
| style="text-align:left; background:#df716d;"|Glenn Butcher | style="text-align:left; background:#df716d;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#df716d;"|23.5 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#df716d;"|Woodridge
| style="text-align:left; background:#df716d;"|Cameron Dick | style="text-align:left; background:#df716d;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#df716d;"|26.2 |
| class="toccolours" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" style="float:left; margin-right:.5em; margin-top:.4em; font-size:90 ppt;" |
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:blue;"|Non-government seats |
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:blue;"| Marginal |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Currumbin
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Laura Gerber | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|0.5 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Coomera
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Michael Crandon | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|1.1 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Burleigh
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Michael Hart | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|1.2 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Chatsworth
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Steve Minnikin | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|1.3 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Glass House
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Andrew Powell | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|1.6 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Clayfield
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Tim Nicholls | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|1.6 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Everton
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Tim Mander | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|2.2 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Whitsunday
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Amanda Camm | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|3.3 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Theodore
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Mark Boothman | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|3.3 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Ipswich West
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Darren Zanow | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|3.5{{hsp}}{{efn-lr|name=d}} |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Moggill
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Christian Rowan | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|3.6 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Ninderry
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Dan Purdie | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|4.1 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Mermaid Beach
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Ray Stevens | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|4.4 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Oodgeroo
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Mark Robinson | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|4.5 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Buderim
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Brent Mickelberg | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|5.3 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Southport
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Rob Molhoek | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|5.4 |
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:blue;"|Fairly safe |
| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Burdekin
| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Dale Last | style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#80d8f9;"|7.0 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Toowoomba North
| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Trevor Watts | style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#80d8f9;"|7.3 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Gympie
| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Tony Perrett | style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#80d8f9;"|8.5 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Maroochydore
| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Fiona Simpson | style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#80d8f9;"|9.1 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Kawana
| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Jarrod Bleijie | style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#80d8f9;"|9.3 |
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:blue;"|Safe |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Bonney
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Sam O'Connor | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|10.1 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Mudgeeraba
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Ros Bates | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|10.1 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Toowoomba South
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|David Janetzki | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|10.2 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Burnett
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Stephen Bennett | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|10.8 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Scenic Rim
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Jon Krause | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|11.4 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Lockyer
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Jim McDonald | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|11.5 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Nanango
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Deb Frecklington | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|12.2 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Southern Downs
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|James Lister | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|14.1 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Surfers Paradise
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|John-Paul Langbroek | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|16.2 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Broadwater
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|David Crisafulli | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|16.6 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Gregory
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Lachlan Millar | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|17.2 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Condamine
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Pat Weir | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|19.2 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|Callide
| style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|Bryson Head | style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#6495ed;"|21.7{{hsp}}{{efn-lr|name=b}} |
| style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|Warrego
| style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|Ann Leahy | style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#6495ed;"|23.1 |
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:gray;"|Crossbench seats |
| style="text-align:left; background:#94FA75;"|South Brisbane
| style="text-align:left; background:#94FA75;"|Amy MacMahon | style="text-align:left; background:#94FA75;"|GRN v ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#94FA75;"|5.3 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#94FA75;"|Maiwar
| style="text-align:left; background:#94FA75;"|Michael Berkman | style="text-align:left; background:#94FA75;"|GRN v LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#94FA75"|6.3 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e"|Mirani
| style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e"|Stephen Andrew | style="text-align:left; background:#ffd700"|ONP v ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#ffd700;"|9.0 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;"|Hinchinbrook
| style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;"|Nick Dametto | style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;"|KAP v LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#fe6f5e;"|14.8 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#CCCECB;"|Noosa
| style="text-align:left; background:#CCCECB;"|Sandy Bolton | style="text-align:left; background:#CCCECB;"|IND v LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#CCCECB;"|15.8 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;"|Hill
| style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;"|Shane Knuth | style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;"|KAP v ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#fe6f5e;"|22.5 |
| style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;"|Traeger
| style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;"|Robbie Katter | style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;"|KAP v ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#fe6f5e;"|24.7 |
{{Clear}}
; Notes
{{notelist-lr|refs=
{{efn-lr|name=a|In 2021 there was a by-election after the death of Duncan Pegg. This 2CP vote is based on that by-election result.}}
{{efn-lr|name=b|In 2022 there was a by-election after Colin Boyce was elected to the seat of Flynn in the 2022 Australian Federal Election. This 2CP vote is based on that by-election result.}}
{{hsp}}{{efn-lr|name=c|In 2024 there was a by-election after Annastacia Palaszczuk resigned from her seat. This 2CP vote is based on that by-election result.}}
{{hsp}}{{efn-lr|name=d|In 2024 there was a by-election after Labor MP Jim Madden resigned from his seat. This 2CP vote is based on that by-election result.}}
}}
{{cob}}
{{Clear}}
=Post-election pendulum=
{{ctop}}
| class="toccolours" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" style="float:left; margin-right:.5em; margin-top:.4em; font-size:90 ppt;" |
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:blue;"|Government seats (52) |
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:blue;"| Marginal |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Pumicestone
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Ariana Doolan | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|0.4% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Mirani
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Glen Kelly | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|1.0% v KAP |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Caloundra
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Kendall Morton | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|1.8% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Rockhampton
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Donna Kirkland | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|1.8% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Redlands
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Rebecca Young | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|1.9% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Capalaba
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Russell Field | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|1.9% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Mulgrave
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Terry James | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|2.7% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Nicklin
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Marty Hunt | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|2.7% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Maryborough
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|John Barounis | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|2.8% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Redcliffe
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Kerri-Anne Dooley | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|2.9% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Clayfield
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Tim Nicholls | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|3.5% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Barron River
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Bree James | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|3.7% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;" |Cook
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;" |David Kempton | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;" |LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;" |5.0% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Everton
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Tim Mander | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|5.3% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Townsville
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Adam Baillie | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|5.6% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;" |Moggill
| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;" |Christian Rowan | style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;" |LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;" |5.6% |
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:blue;"| Fairly safe |
| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;" |Hervey Bay
| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;" |David Lee | style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;" |LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#80d8f9;" |8.4% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;" |Chatsworth
| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;" |Steve Minnikin | style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;" |LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#80d8f9;" |8.5% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Mundingburra
| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Janelle Poole | style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#80d8f9;"|9.2% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Buderim
| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Brent Mickelberg | style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#80d8f9;"|9.3% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;" |Thuringowa
| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;" |Natalie Marr | style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;" |LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#80d8f9;" |9.9% |
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:blue;"| Safe |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Coomera
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Michael Crandon | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|10.0% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Glass House
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Andrew Powell | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|10.2% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Mackay
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Nigel Dalton | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|10.2% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Ninderry
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Dan Purdie | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|10.5% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Keppel
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Nigel Hutton | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|10.5% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Maroochydore
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Fiona Simpson | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|10.9% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Southport
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Rob Molhoek | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|11.2% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Oodgeroo
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Amanda Stoker | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|11.8% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Currumbin
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Laura Gerber | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|12.3% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Kawana
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Jarrod Bleijie | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|12.7% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Burleigh
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Hermann Vorster | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|12.8% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Theodore
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Mark Boothman | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|13.0% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Toowoomba South
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|David Janetzki | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|13.0% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Mermaid Beach
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Ray Stevens | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|13.1% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Bonney
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Sam O'Connor | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|13.7% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Mudgeeraba
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Ros Bates | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|13.9% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Gympie
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Tony Perrett | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|14.8% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Burnett
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Stephen Bennett | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|15.4% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Burderkin
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Dale Last | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|15.8% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Scenic Rim
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Jon Krause | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|16.1% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Toowoomba North
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Trevor Watts | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|16.5% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Whitsunday
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Amanda Camm | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|18.5% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Southern Downs
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|James Lister | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|18.6% v ONP |
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Lockyer
| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Jim McDonald | style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|19.2% |
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:blue;"| Very safe |
| style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|Gregory
| style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|Sean Dillon | style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#6495ed;"|21.0% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|Broadwater
| style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|David Crisafulli | style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#6495ed;"|21.3% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|Nanango
| style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|Deb Frecklington | style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#6495ed;"|22.9% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|Surfers Paradise
| style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|John-Paul Langbroek | style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#6495ed;"|23.1% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|Callide
| style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|Bryson Head | style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#6495ed;"|23.2% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|Condamine
| style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|Pat Weir | style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#6495ed;"|23.6% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|Warrego
| style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|Ann Leahy | style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|LNP | style="text-align:center; background:#6495ed;"|27.9% |
| class="toccolours" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" style="float:left; margin-right:.5em; margin-top:.4em; font-size:90 ppt;" |
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:red;"| Non-government seats (36) |
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:red;"|Marginal |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|Aspley
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|Bart Mellish | style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FFCACA;"|0.04% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|Gaven
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;" |Meaghan Scanlon | style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FFCACA;"|0.7% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|Pine Rivers
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;" |Nikki Boyd | style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FFCACA;"|0.7% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|Bundaberg
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;" |Tom Smith | style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FFCACA;"|1.5% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|Macalister
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;" |Melissa McMahon | style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FFCACA;"|1.9% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|Springwood
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;" |Mick de Brenni | style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FFCACA;"|2.1% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|Cairns
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;" |Michael Healy | style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FFCACA;"|2.5% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|Lytton
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;" |Joan Pease | style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FFCACA;"|3.0% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|Ipswich West
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;" |Wendy Bourne | style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FFCACA;"|3.9% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|Logan
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;" |Linus Power | style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FFCACA;"|4.3% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|Mansfield
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;" |Corrine McMillan | style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FFCACA;"|4.9% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|Stafford
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;" |Jimmy Sullivan | style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FFCACA;"|5.3% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|Kurwongbah
| style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;" |Shane King | style="text-align:left; background:#FFCACA;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FFCACA;"|5.9% |
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:red;" |Fairly safe |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Bancroft
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Chris Whiting | style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF8D8D;" |6.0% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |South Brisbane
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Barbara O'Shea | style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF8D8D;" |6.1% v GRN |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;"|Morayfield
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Mark Ryan | style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF8D8D;"|7.1% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;"|Mount Ommaney
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Jess Pugh | style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;"|ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF8D8D;"|7.3% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Algester
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Leeanne Enoch | style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF8D8D;" |7.5% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Ferny Grove
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Mark Furner | style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF8D8D;" |7.9% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Bulimba
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Di Farmer | style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF8D8D;" |8.2% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |McConnel
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Grace Grace | style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF8D8D;" |8.8% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Ipswich
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Jennifer Howard | style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF8D8D;" |8.9% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Toohey
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Peter Russo | style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF8D8D;" |9.0% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Gladstone
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Glenn Butcher | style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF8D8D;" |9.2% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Stretton
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |James Martin | style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF8D8D;" |9.5% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Sandgate
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Bisma Asif | style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF8D8D;" |9.6% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Murrumba
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Steven Miles | style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF8D8D;" |9.8% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Greenslopes
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |Joe Kelly | style="text-align:left; background:#FF8D8D;" |ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF8D8D;" |9.8% |
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:red;" |Safe |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |Jordan
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |Charis Mullen | style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF6B6B;" |10.0% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |Miller
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |Mark Bailey | style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF6B6B;" |10.6% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |Cooper
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |Jonty Bush | style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF6B6B;" |11.2% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |Waterford
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |Shannon Fentiman | style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF6B6B;" |11.3% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |Nudgee
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |Leanne Linard | style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF6B6B;" |12.0% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |Inala
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |Margie Nightingale | style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF6B6B;" |12.6% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |Bundamba
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |Lance McCallum | style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF6B6B;" |13.8% |
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |Woodridge
| style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |Cameron Dick | style="text-align:left; background:#FF6B6B;" |ALP | style="text-align:center; background:#FF6B6B;" |18.3% |
| colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:gray;"|Crossbench seats (5) |
| style="text-align:left; background:#94FA75;"|Maiwar
| style="text-align:left; background:#94FA75;"|Michael Berkman | style="text-align:left; background:#94FA75;"|GRN | style="text-align:center; background:#94FA75;"|3.4% v LNP |
| style="text-align:left; background:#CCCECB;"|Noosa
| style="text-align:left; background:#CCCECB;"|Sandy Bolton | style="text-align:left; background:#CCCECB;"|IND | style="text-align:center; background:#CCCECB;"|8.5% v LNP |
| style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;"|Hinchinbrook
| style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;"|Nick Dametto | style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;"|KAP | style="text-align:center; background:#fe6f5e;"|13.2% v LNP |
| style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;"|Hill
| style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;"|Shane Knuth | style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;"|KAP | style="text-align:center; background:#fe6f5e;"|13.7% v LNP |
| style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;"|Traeger
| style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;"|Robbie Katter | style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;"|KAP | style="text-align:center; background:#fe6f5e;"|13.7% v LNP |
{{clear}}
{{cob}}
Opinion polling
{{Synthesis|section|talksection=Synthesis of polls|date=October 2024}}
In the lead-up to the state election, polling companies conduct regular opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, and contain an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote. They also ask questions about the electorates' views on major party leaders.
Some polls do not publish a two-party-preferred result. In these cases, the result has been manually calculated from preference flows at the 2020 election.
=Voting intention=
{{clear}}
= Preferred Premier and satisfaction =
== Preferred Premier ==
| class="nowrap wikitable tpl-blanktable" style=text-align:center;font-size:90%
! rowspan=2 |Date ! rowspan=2 |Polling firm ! rowspan=2 style=max-width:5em |Sample ! colspan=3 |Preferred Premier |
| width=70px| Miles
! width=70px| Crisafulli ! width=70px| Don't know |
|---|
| 18–24 October 2024
|1,151 | style=background:#f66 |45% |42% |13% |
| 14–19 October 2024
|1,003 |37% | {{Australian party shading/LNP}} |39% |24% |
| 10–16 October 2024
|1,503 |36% | {{Australian party shading/LNP}} |37% |27% |
| 26–29 September 2024
|1,062 |38% | {{Australian party shading/LNP}} |46% |16% |
| 12–18 September 2024
|1,047 |39% | {{Australian party shading/LNP}} |46% |15% |
| June – September 2024
|939 |27% | {{Australian party shading/LNP}} |40% |33% |
| 8–15 July 2024
|YouGov{{cite news |last=McCormack |first=Madura |date=18 July 2024 |title=Steven Miles gains on David Crisafulli as preferred premier 100 days out from Qld election |url=https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/qld-politics/steven-miles-gains-on-david-crisafulli-as-preferred-premier-100-days-out-from-qld-election/news-story/266d17b3cd465171b84de401c4f38d2d |work=Courier Mail }} |1,019 |29% | {{Australian party shading/LNP}} |40% |31% |
| February – May 2024
|947 |28% | {{Australian party shading/LNP}} |39% |33% |
| 9–17 April 2024
|YouGov{{cite news |last=McCormack |first=Madura |date=26 April 2024 |title=YouGov poll: Steven Miles more unpopular than Campbell Newman before 2014 election defeat |url=https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/qld-politics/yougov-poll-steven-miles-more-unpopular-than-campbell-newman-before-2014-election-defeat/news-story/501b518ab9e7194dbe636b4f4afec6d0 |work=Courier Mail }} |1,092 |27% | {{Australian party shading/LNP}} |40% |33% |
| 7–13 March 2024
|1,037 |37% | {{Australian party shading/LNP}} |43% |20% |
| 13 February 2024
|1,743 |49% | {{Australian party shading/LNP}} |51% |{{n/a}} |
| 26 December 2023
|1,911 |47.8% | {{Australian party shading/LNP}} |52.2% |{{n/a}} |
| rowspan=2 |Date
! rowspan=2 |Polling firm ! rowspan=2 style=max-width:5em |Sample ! colspan=3 |Preferred Premier |
| width=70px| Palaszczuk
! width=70px| Crisafulli ! width=70px| Don't know |
| September – December 2023
|940 |34% | {{Australian party shading/LNP}} |39% |27% |
| 10 November 2023
|SEC Newgate{{cite news |last1=Pierce |first1=Jeremy |last2=Mulvaney |first2=Mikaela |date=10 November 2023 |title=Shock poll result for Queensland government |url=https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/qld-politics/shock-poll-result-for-queensland-government/news-story/b9e9b35aa112fee8fc5d3c4b89ee712b |work=Courier Mail }} |600 |30% | {{Australian party shading/LNP}} |34% |36% |
| 4–10 October 2023
|1,013 |35% | {{Australian party shading/LNP}} |37% |28% |
| December 2023
|940 |34% | {{Australian party shading/LNP}} |39% |27% |
| May – August 2023
|943 |36% | {{Australian party shading/LNP}}|37% |27% |
| 29 June – 2 July 2023
|style="text-align:center"|AFR/Freshwater Strategy |1,065 |44% | {{Australian party shading/LNP}}| 45% |11% |
| style="text-align:center"| 17 January – 17 April 2023
|style="text-align:center"| Resolve Strategic |style="text-align:center"| 943 | style=background:#f66 |39% |31% |31% |
| style=text-align:center|30 March – 5 April 2023
|style="text-align:center|YouGov |1,015 | style=background:#f66 |31% |29% |40% |
| style=text-align:center|1–8 December 2022
|style="text-align:center|YouGov |~1,000 | style=background:#f66 |39% |28% |33% |
| style=text-align:center|21 August – 4 December 2022
|style="text-align:center|Resolve Strategic |924 | style=background:#f66 |42% |30% |28% |
| style=text-align:center|23–30 June 2022
|style="text-align:center|YouGov |~1,000 | style=background:#f66 |41% |28% |31% |
==Satisfaction ratings==
| class="nowrap wikitable tpl-blanktable" style=text-align:center;font-size:90%
! rowspan=2 |Date ! rowspan=2 |Polling firm ! rowspan=2 style=max-width:5em |Sample ! colspan=4 |Miles ! colspan=4 |Crisafulli |
| Satisfied
! Dissatisfied ! Don't Know ! Net ! Satisfied ! Dissatisfied ! Don't Know ! Net |
|---|
| 18–24 October 2024
|1,151 |45% ! style="background:LightPink" |48% |7% ! style="background:LightPink" |–3% |43% ! style="background:LightPink" |46% |11% ! style="background:LightPink" |–3% |
| 14–19 October 2024
|1,003 |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} | style="background:LightGreen" |+8% |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} | style="background:LightGreen" |+7% |
| 10–16 October 2024
|1,503 |34% | style=background:LightPink |44% |22% ! style="background:FireBrick" |–10% | style="background:LightGreen" |38% |32% |30% | style="background:LightGreen" |+6% |
| 4–16 October 2024
|2,315 |35% ! style="background:LightPink" |44% |21% ! style="background:LightPink" |–9% | style="background:LightGreen" |40% |31% |29% | style="background:LightGreen" |+9% |
| 12–18 September 2024
|1,047 |41% ! style="background:FireBrick" |51% |8% ! style="background:FireBrick" |–10% | style="background:LightGreen" |49% |37% |14% ! style="background:DarkGreen" |+12% |
| June – September 2024
|939 |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} ! style="background:FireBrick" |–13% |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} | style="background:DarkGreen" |+18% |
| May – August 2024
|829 |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} ! style="background:FireBrick" |–12% |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} | style="background:DarkGreen" |+14% |
| 8–15 July 2024
|1,019 |31% | style=background:LightPink |44% |25% ! style="background:FireBrick" |–13% | style="background:LightGreen" |40% |23% |37% | style="background:DarkGreen" |+17% |
| February – May 2024
|880 |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} ! style="background:FireBrick" |–11% |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} | style="background:DarkGreen" |+14% |
| February – May 2024
|947 |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} ! style="background:FireBrick" |–15% |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} | style="background:DarkGreen" |+14% |
| 9–17 April 2024
|1,092 |25% | style=background:LightPink |47% |28% ! style="background:FireBrick" |–22% | style="background:LightGreen" |40% |26% |34% | style="background:DarkGreen" |+14% |
| 7–13 March 2024
|1,037 |38% ! style="background:LightPink" |49% |13% ! style="background:FireBrick" |–11% | style="background:LightGreen" |47% |33% |20% ! style="background:DarkGreen" |+14% |
| 13 February 2024
|1,743 ! style="background:LightGreen" |44.2% |25.2% |25.2% ! style="background:DarkGreen" |+19% | style="background:LightGreen" |41.7% |18.7% |31.2% ! style="background:DarkGreen" |+23% |
| 13 December 2023
|1,143 ! style="background:LightGreen" |38.4% |25.9% |35.6% ! style="background:DarkGreen" |+12.5% |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |
| rowspan=2 |Date
! rowspan=2 |Polling firm ! rowspan=2 style=max-width:5em |Sample ! colspan=4 |Palaszczuk ! colspan=4 |Crisafulli |
| Satisfied
! Dissatisfied ! Don't Know ! Net ! Satisfied ! Dissatisfied ! Don't Know ! Net |
| September – December 2023
|940 |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} ! style="background:FireBrick" |–17% |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} | style="background:LightGreen" |+9% |
| 4–10 October 2023
|1,013 |32% | style=background:FireBrick |52% |16% ! style="background:FireBrick" |–20% ! style="background:grey;color:white;" |37% |26% ! style="background:grey;color:white;" |37% | style="background:DarkGreen" |+11% |
| September – December 2023
|940 |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} ! style="background:FireBrick" |–17% |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} | style="background:LightGreen" |+9% |
| May – August 2023
|943 |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} ! style="background:FireBrick" |–15% |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} | style="background:LightGreen" |+7% |
| 29 June – 2 July 2023
|AFR/Freshwater Strategy |1,065 |39% | style=background:LightPink |47% |14% ! style="background:LightPink" |–8% |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |
| style=text-align:center|1–8 December 2022
|style="text-align:center|YouGov |~1,000 |40% | style=background:LightPink |41% |19% ! style="background:LightPink" |–1% |31% |27% ! style="background:grey;color:white;" | 42% | style="background:LightGreen" |+4% |
| style=text-align:center|23–30 June 2022
|style="text-align:center|YouGov |~1,000 | style=background:LightGreen|45% |30% |16% ! style="background:DarkGreen" |+15% |31% |23% ! style="background:grey;color:white;" |46% | style="background:LightGreen" |+8% |
| style=text-align:center|18–23 February 2022
|style="text-align:center|YouGov |~1,000 | style=background:DarkGreen |50% |36% |14% ! style="background:DarkGreen" |+14% |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |{{n/a}} |
See also
Notes
{{Notelist}}
References
{{Reflist|30em}}
External links
- [https://www.ecq.qld.gov.au/elections/election-events/2024-state-general-election 2024 State General Election (Electoral Commission Queensland)]
{{Queensland elections}}