Cardiff South and Penarth (UK Parliament constituency)

{{Short description|Parliamentary constituency in the United Kingdom, 1983 onwards}}

{{Distinguish|Cardiff South and Penarth (Senedd constituency)}}

{{For|the geographical area|Cardiff South (disambiguation)}}

{{Use British English|date=November 2022}}

{{Use dmy dates|date=May 2022}}

{{Infobox UK constituency main

|name = Cardiff South and Penarth

|parliament = uk

|image = {{maplink|frame=yes|frame-align=center|plain=yes|raw={{Wikipedia:Map data/Cardiff South and Penarth (UK Parliament constituency)}}|frame-height=200|frame-width=250}}

|caption = Interactive map of boundaries from 2024

|image2 = 150px

|caption2 = Boundary of Cardiff South and Penarth in Wales

|year = 1983

|abolished =

|type = Borough

|previous = Cardiff South East & parts of Barry and Monmouth{{cite web|title='Cardiff South and Penarth', June 1983 up to May 1997 |url=http://electionweb.co.uk/Bp/P83120.htm |website=ElectionWeb Project |publisher=Cognitive Computing Limited |access-date=10 March 2016 |url-status=dead

|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160311070732/http://electionweb.co.uk/Bp/P83120.htm |archive-date=11 March 2016 }}

|next =

|population = 107,455 (2011 census){{cite web |url=http://neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk/dissemination/LeadTableView.do?a=7&b=6507799&c=&d=27&e=62&g=6430187&i=1001x1003x1032x1004&o=362&m=0&r=1&s=1422104706393&enc=1&dsFamilyId=2473 |title=Cardiff South and Penarth: Usual Resident Population, 2011 |website=Neighbourhood Statistics |publisher=Office for National Statistics |access-date=20 February 2015 |archive-date=21 February 2015 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150221014553/http://neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk/dissemination/LeadTableView.do?a=7&b=6507799&c=&d=27&e=62&g=6430187&i=1001x1003x1032x1004&o=362&m=0&r=1&s=1422104706393&enc=1&dsFamilyId=2473 |url-status=dead }}

|mp = Stephen Doughty

|party = Labour and Co-operative

|region = Wales

|county = South Glamorgan

|european = Wales

|national = Cardiff South and Penarth, South Wales Central

|elects_howmany = One

|electorate = 72,269 (March 2020){{cite book |author1=Mrs Justice Jefford |author-link1=Nerys Jefford |last2=Thomas |first2=Huw Vaughan |last3=Hartley |first3=Sam A |date=June 2023 |chapter=Appendix 1: Recommended Constituencies |chapter-url=https://bcomm-wales.gov.uk/sites/bcomm/files/review/E02859434_Boundary%20Commission%20Wales%202023_English_Web%20Accessible_V03.pdf#page=250 |title=The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituencies in Wales |location=Cardiff |publisher=Boundary Commission for Wales |page=250 |isbn=978-1-5286-3901-9 |access-date=13 July 2024 }}

}}

Cardiff South and Penarth ({{langx|cy|De Caerdydd a Phenarth}}) is a constituency{{refn|group=n|A borough constituency in terms of election expenses and type of returning officer}} created in 1983 represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since 2012 by Stephen Doughty, a Labour Co-op MP, who has served as Minister of State for Europe, North America and Overseas Territories since July 2024.{{Cite web |title=Ministerial Appointments: July 2024 |url=https://www.gov.uk/government/news/ministerial-appointments-july-2024 |access-date=2024-07-08 |website=GOV.UK |language=en}}{{Cite web |title=Minister of State (Europe, North America and Overseas Territories) - GOV.UK |url=https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers/minister-of-state--178 |access-date=2024-07-25 |website=www.gov.uk |language=en}}

The constituency retained its name, but with altered boundaries, as part of the 2023 review of Westminster constituencies and under the June 2023 final recommendations of the Boundary Commission for Wales for the 2024 general election.{{Cite book |url=https://bcomm-wales.gov.uk/sites/bcomm/files/review/E02859434_Boundary%20Commission%20Wales%202023_English_Web%20Accessible_V03.pdf |title=2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituencies – The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituencies in Wales |date=28 June 2023 |publisher=Boundary Commission for Wales}}

Boundaries

{{maplink|raw={{Wikipedia:Map data/Cardiff South and Penarth (UK Parliament constituency) 2010}}|frame=yes|frame-width=180|frame-height=180|text=Map of boundaries 2010–2024|frame-align=left}}

1983–2010: The City of Cardiff wards of Butetown, Grangetown, Llanrumney, Rumney, Splott, and Trowbridge; and the Borough of Vale of Glamorgan wards of Alexandra (became Plymouth and St Augustine's from 2004), Cornerswell, Llandough, and Stanwell.

2010–2024: As above with the addition of Sully from the Vale of Glamorgan seat.

2024–present: The City and County of Cardiff wards of Butetown, Cathays, Grangetown, and Splott; and the County Borough of the Vale of Glamorgan wards Cornerswell, Dinas Powys, Llandough, Plymouth, St Augustine's, Stanwell, and Sully.{{Cite web |title=The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023 |url=https://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2023/1230/made |at=Schedule 4 (Wales)}}

The seat gained Cathays from the abolished Cardiff Central constituency, and Dinas Powys from the Vale of Glamorgan constituency,{{cite news |date=28 June 2023 |title=Map of Welsh MPs seats redrawn as number to be cut to 32 |url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-65989015 |access-date=26 May 2024 |work=BBC News}} offset by the loss of Llanrumney, Rumney, and Trowbridge to the new Cardiff East constituency.{{cite news |date=29 June 2023 |title=Cardiff South and Penarth Parliamentary constituency reorganised |url=https://www.penarthtimes.co.uk/news/23622565.cardiff-south-penarth-parliamentary-constituency-reorganised/ |access-date=26 May 2024 |work=Penarth Times}}

History

=Creation=

Prior to 1983 Penarth had been part of the abolished Barry constituency, represented by the Conservative backbencher Sir Raymond Gower. Most of the electorate of the new constituency had previously fallen into the abolished seat of Cardiff South East, represented by former Prime Minister, James Callaghan.

=Political history=

Cardiff South and Penarth has had three MPs since its creation, containing some very safe Labour wards from Cardiff such as Butetown, Grangetown and Splott, and several wards from the neighbouring borough of the Vale of Glamorgan, with Penarth mostly favourable to Labour, but with some areas such as Plymouth and Sully in the southern end of the seat where the Conservatives attracted more support. The first, elected at the 1983 general election, was the former Labour Prime Minister James Callaghan, who secured the seat with a 5.4% majority over Conservative David Tredinnick. Callaghan had immediately prior to the dissolution of Parliament, represented Cardiff South East. Callaghan first became an MP at the 1945 general election, for Cardiff South.

The second MP was Alun Michael (Labour and Co-operative Party) who served 25 years from 1987 before choosing to stand down in 2012. Michael's affiliation with the Co-operative Party did not appear on ballot papers at the 2010 general election because the Electoral Commission ruled that any joint candidates who wanted the names of both their parties included on the ballot paper could not also display the Labour red rose logo.{{cite news |author=David Ottewell |url=https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/uk-news/labour-candidates-barred-from-using-red-887794 |work=Manchester Evening News |title=Labour candidates barred from using red rose emblem |date=21 April 2010 |access-date=9 June 2021 }} Michael opted to drop the reference to the Co-operative Party but after the election denounced the ruling as "an outrageous piece of incompetence by the Electoral Commission".{{cite news |author=Alun Michael |url=https://www.penarthtimes.co.uk/news/letters/8186845.party-facts/ |work=Penarth Times |title=Party facts |date=27 May 2010 |access-date=9 June 2021 }} Michael briefly became Secretary of State for Wales in 1998. Michael held the seat at the 2010 general election with a majority of 10.6% following a 6% swing to the Conservative candidate.A notional calculation using estimated 2005 results for the boundary-changed constituency. {{cite news |url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/election2010/results/constituency/w40.stm |title=Cardiff South and Penarth |work=BBC News Online |access-date=22 July 2012 }}

In 2012, Michael was selected by the Labour and Co-operative Parties as their candidate for the election of a Police and Crime Commissioner for the South Wales Police force area and announced he would be standing down from Parliament.{{Cite web |url=http://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-news/alun-michael-stands-down-cardiff-2022117 |title=Alun Michael stands down as Cardiff South and Penarth MP today|date=21 October 2012 |work=Wales Online }}{{cite news |url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-20041204 |work=BBC News Online |title=Date set for three parliamentary by-elections |date=23 October 2012}}

At a by-election held on 15 November 2012, Labour's decline was reversed coupled with very low turnout (down 38.2% on the previous election). Labour's Stephen Doughty succeeded Alun Michael winning 47.3% of the overall vote. This was an increase (in share-of-the-vote terms) on Michael's 2010 performance. However, in terms of actual votes cast (9,193 compared with 17,262 in 2010), it was Labour's lowest in this constituency. The 2015 result gave the seat the 83rd-smallest majority of Labour's 232 seats by percentage of majority.{{cite web |url=http://www.ukpolitical.info/labour-mps-elected-2015.htm |title=Labour Members of Parliament 2015 |website=UK Political.info |archive-date=2018-09-29 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180929214847/http://www.ukpolitical.info/labour-mps-elected-2015.htm |url-status=live }} Labour's result in 2017 saw them secure their largest ever margin in the constituency in terms of raw votes.

=Other parties=

Five parties' candidates achieved more than the deposit-retaining threshold of 5% of the vote in 2015. The second-placed candidate has been a Conservative candidate since the seat was formed. The closest result was in 1983, when Callaghan won by 5.5% of the vote.

=Turnout=

Turnout at general elections has ranged between 77.2% in 1992 and 56.2% in 2005.

Members of Parliament

class="wikitable"
colspan="2"|ElectionMember{{cite web|title=Cardiff South and Penarth 1983–|url=https://api.parliament.uk/historic-hansard/constituencies/cardiff-south-and-penarth|website=Parliamentary Debates (Hansard)|access-date=2 February 2015}}{{Rayment-hc|c|2|date=March 2012}}Party
style="color:inherit;background-color: {{party color|Welsh Labour}}" |

|1983

|James Callaghan

|Labour

style="color:inherit;background-color: {{party color|Labour and Co-operative}}" |

|1987

|Alun Michael

|Labour and Co-operative

style="color:inherit;background-color: {{party color|Labour and Co-operative}}" |

|2012 by-election

|Stephen Doughty

|Labour and Co-operative

Elections

=Elections in the 1980s=

{{Election box begin|title=General election 1983: Cardiff South and Penarth{{cite web|title=Election Data 1983|url=http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_1983.txt|publisher=Electoral Calculus|access-date=18 October 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111015054231/http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_1983.txt|archive-date=15 October 2011}}{{cite web|url=http://www.politicsresources.net/area/uk/ge83/i04.htm|title=Politics Resources|date=9 June 1983|work=Election 1983|publisher=Politics Resources|access-date=18 June 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120319060309/http://www.politicsresources.net/area/uk/ge83/i04.htm|archive-date=19 March 2012|url-status=dead}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Welsh Labour

|candidate = James Callaghan

|votes = 17,448

|percentage = 41.3

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Welsh Conservatives

|candidate = David Tredinnick

|votes = 15,172

|percentage = 35.9

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Liberal Party (UK)

|candidate = Winston Roddick

|votes = 8,816

|percentage = 20.8

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Plaid Cymru

|candidate = Sian Edwards

|votes = 673

|percentage = 1.6

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box candidate

|party = Freedom from World Domination

|candidate = Benjamin Lewis

|votes = 165

|percentage = 0.4

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 2,276

|percentage = 5.4

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 42,274

|percentage = 71.0

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 59,520

}}

{{Election box new seat win

|winner = Welsh Labour

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin|title=General election 1987: Cardiff South and Penarth{{cite web|title=Election Data 1987|url=http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_1987.txt|publisher=Electoral Calculus|access-date=18 October 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111015054243/http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_1987.txt|archive-date=15 October 2011}}{{cite web|url=http://www.politicsresources.net/area/uk/ge87/i04.htm|title=Politics Resources|date=11 June 1987|work=Election 1987|publisher=Politics Resources|access-date=18 June 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120319060239/http://www.politicsresources.net/area/uk/ge87/i04.htm|archive-date=19 March 2012|url-status=dead}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Labour Co-operative

|candidate = Alun Michael

|votes = 20,956

|percentage = 46.7

|change = +5.4

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Welsh Conservatives

|candidate = Gareth Neale

|votes = 16,382

|percentage = 36.5

|change = +0.6

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Liberal Party (UK)

|candidate = Jenny Randerson

|votes = 6,900

|percentage = 15.4

|change = −5.4

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Plaid Cymru

|candidate = Sian Edwards

|votes = 599

|percentage = 1.3

|change = −0.3

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 4,574

|percentage = 10.2

|change = +4.8

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 44,837

|percentage = 76.4

|change = +5.4

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 58,714

}}

{{Election box hold with party link

|winner = Labour Co-operative

|swing = +1.5

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Elections in the 1990s=

{{Election box begin|title=General election 1992: Cardiff South and Penarth{{cite web|title=Election Data 1992|url=http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_1992ob.txt|publisher=Electoral Calculus|access-date=18 October 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111015054418/http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_1992ob.txt|archive-date=15 October 2011}}{{cite web|url=http://www.politicsresources.net/area/uk/ge92/ge92index.htm|title=Politics Resources|date=9 April 1992|work=Election 1992|publisher=Politics Resources|access-date=6 December 2010|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110724020412/http://www.politicsresources.net/area/uk/ge92/ge92index.htm|archive-date=24 July 2011|url-status=dead}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Labour Co-operative

|candidate = Alun Michael

|votes = 26,383

|percentage = 55.5

|change = +8.8

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Welsh Conservatives

|candidate = Thomas Jarvie

|votes = 15,958

|percentage = 33.6

|change = −2.9

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Liberal Party (UK)

|candidate = Prabhat Verma

|votes = 3,707

|percentage = 7.8

|change = −7.6

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Plaid Cymru

|candidate = Barbara Anglezarke

|votes = 776

|percentage = 1.6

|change = +0.3

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Green Party of England and Wales

|candidate = Lester Davey

|votes = 676

|percentage = 1.4

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 10,425

|percentage = 21.9

|change = +11.7

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 47,500

|percentage = 77.2

|change = +0.8

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 61,484

}}

{{Election box hold with party link

|winner = Labour Co-operative

|swing = +5.9

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin|title=General election 1997: Cardiff South and Penarth{{cite web|title=Election Data 1997|url=http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_1997.txt|publisher=Electoral Calculus|access-date=18 October 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111015054424/http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_1997.txt|archive-date=15 October 2011}}{{cite web|url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/static/vote2001/results_constituencies/constituencies/125.stm|title=BBC NEWS>VOTE 2001>Results and Constituencies>Cardiff South and Penarth|date=1 May 1997|work=Vote 2001|publisher=BBC News|access-date=2011-01-12}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Labour Co-operative

|candidate = Alun Michael|

|votes = 22,647

|percentage = 53.4

|change = −2.1

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Welsh Conservatives

|candidate = Caroline E. Roberts

|votes = 8,786

|percentage = 20.7

|change = −12.9

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Welsh Liberal Democrats

|candidate = Simon J. Wakefield

|votes = 3,964

|percentage = 9.3

|change = +1.5

}}

{{Election box candidate

|party = New Labour

|candidate = John Foreman

|votes = 3,942

|percentage = 9.3

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Plaid Cymru

|candidate = David B. L. Haswell

|votes = 1,356

|percentage = 3.2

|change = +1.6

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Referendum Party

|candidate = Phillip S. E. Morgan

|votes = 1,211

|percentage = 2.9

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Socialist Party (England and Wales)

|candidate = Mike K. Shepherd

|votes = 344

|percentage = 0.8

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Natural Law Party

|candidate = Barbara Caves

|votes = 170

|percentage = 0.4

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 13,861

|percentage = 32.7

|change = +10.8

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 42,420

|percentage = 68.3

|change = −8.9

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 62,138

}}

{{Election box hold with party link

|winner = Labour Co-operative

|swing = +5.3

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Elections in the 2000s=

{{Election box begin|title=General election 2001: Cardiff South and Penarth{{cite web|title=Election Data 2001|url=http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_2001ob.txt|publisher=Electoral Calculus|access-date=18 October 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111015054450/http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_2001ob.txt|archive-date=15 October 2011}}{{cite web|url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/static/vote2001/results_constituencies/constituencies/125.stm|title=BBC NEWS > Cardiff South and Penarth|publisher=BBC News |work=Vote 2001 |date=7 June 2001|access-date=2011-01-22}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Labour Co-operative

|candidate = Alun Michael

|votes = 20,094

|percentage = 56.2

|change = +2.8

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Welsh Conservatives

|candidate = Maureen Owen

|votes = 7,807

|percentage = 21.8

|change = +1.1

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Welsh Liberal Democrats

|candidate = Rodney Berman

|votes = 4,572

|percentage = 12.8

|change = +3.5

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Plaid Cymru

|candidate = Lila Haines

|votes = 1,983

|percentage = 5.5

|change = +2.3

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = UK Independence Party

|candidate = Justin Callan

|votes = 501

|percentage = 1.4

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Welsh Socialist Alliance

|candidate = David Bartlett

|votes = 427

|percentage = 1.2

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = ProLife Alliance

|candidate = Anne Savoury

|votes = 367

|percentage = 1.0

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 12,287

|percentage = 34.4

|change = +1.7

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 35,751

|percentage = 57.1

|change = −11.2

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 62,627

}}

{{Election box hold with party link

|winner = Labour Co-operative

|swing = +0.8

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin|title=General election 2005: Cardiff South and Penarth{{cite web|title=Election Data 2005|url=http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_2005ob.txt|publisher=Electoral Calculus|access-date=18 October 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111015054249/http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_2005ob.txt|archive-date=15 October 2011}}{{Cite web|url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/vote2005/html/125.stm|title=Cardiff South and Penarth parliamentary constituency – Election 2005|publisher=BBC}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Labour Co-operative

|candidate = Alun Michael

|votes = 17,447

|percentage = 47.3

|change = −8.9

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Welsh Conservatives

|candidate = Victoria Green

|votes = 8,210

|percentage = 22.2

|change = +0.4

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Welsh Liberal Democrats

|candidate = Gavin Cox

|votes = 7,529

|percentage = 20.4

|change = +7.6

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Plaid Cymru

|candidate = Jason Toby

|votes = 2,023

|percentage = 5.5

|change = 0.0

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Green Party of England and Wales

|candidate = John Matthews

|votes = 729

|percentage = 2.0

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = UK Independence Party

|candidate = Jennie Tuttle

|votes = 522

|percentage = 1.4

|change = 0.0

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Socialist Party (England and Wales)

|candidate = David Bartlett

|votes = 269

|percentage = 0.7

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Independent politician

|candidate = Andrew Taylor

|votes = 104

|percentage = 0.3

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Vote For Yourself Rainbow Dream Ticket

|candidate = Catherine Taylor-Dawson

|votes = 79

|percentage = 0.2

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 9,237

|percentage = 25.1

|change = −9.3

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 36,912

|percentage = 56.2

|change = −0.9

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 65,786

}}

{{Election box hold with party link

|winner = Labour Co-operative

|swing = −4.7

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Elections in the 2010s=

{{Election box begin|title=General election 2010: Cardiff South and Penarth{{cite web|title=Election Data 2010|url=http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_2010.txt|publisher=Electoral Calculus|access-date=17 October 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130726162034/http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_2010.txt|archive-date=26 July 2013}}[http://www.cardiff.gov.uk/content.asp?nav=2867,3597,5426&parent_directory_id=2865&id=7965&pagetype=&keyword= Cardiff South and Penarth] {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110609151404/http://www.cardiff.gov.uk/content.asp?nav=2867%2C3597%2C5426&parent_directory_id=2865&id=7965&pagetype=&keyword= |date=9 June 2011 }} Cardiff County Council – candidates Cardiff South and Penarth[http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/election2010/results/constituency/w40.stm BBC Election Results] BBC News – Election Results – Cardiff South and Penarth}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Labour and Co-operative

|candidate = Alun Michael

|votes = 17,262

|percentage = 38.9

|change = −7.7

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Welsh Conservatives

|candidate = Simon Hoare

|votes = 12,553

|percentage = 28.3

|change = +4.4

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Welsh Liberal Democrats

|candidate = Dominic Hannigan

|votes = 9,875

|percentage = 22.3

|change = +2.4

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Plaid Cymru

|candidate = Farida Aslam

|votes = 1,851

|percentage = 4.2

|change = −1.1

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = UK Independence Party

|candidate = Simon Zeigler

|votes = 1,145

|percentage = 2.6

|change = +1.2

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Independent politician

|candidate = George Burke

|votes = 648

|percentage = 1.5

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Green Party of England and Wales

|candidate = Matthew Townsend

|votes = 554

|percentage = 1.2

|change = −0.6

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Christian Party (UK)

|candidate = Clive Bate

|votes = 285

|percentage = 0.6

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Communist Party of Britain

|candidate = Robert Griffiths

|votes = 196

|percentage = 0.4

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 4,709

|percentage = 10.6

|change = −14.4

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 44,369

|percentage = 60.2

|change = +2.0

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 73,707

}}

{{Election box hold with party link

|winner = Labour and Co-operative

|swing = −6.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin|title=2012 Cardiff South and Penarth by-election{{cite web|title=Cardiff South and Penarth result|url=https://cardiff.moderngov.co.uk/mgElectionAreaResults.aspx?ID=1&RPID=1020036&LLL=0|website=Election results for Cardiff South and Penarth| date=2 October 2014 |publisher=City of Cardiff Council|access-date=18 January 2020}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Labour and Co-operative

|candidate = Stephen Doughty

|votes = 9,193

|percentage = 47.3

|change = +8.4

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Welsh Conservatives

|candidate = Craig Williams

|votes = 3,859

|percentage = 19.9

|change = −8.4

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Welsh Liberal Democrats

|candidate = Bablin Molik

|votes = 2,103

|percentage = 10.8

|change = −11.5

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Plaid Cymru

|candidate = Luke Nicholas

|votes = 1,854

|percentage = 9.5

|change = +5.3

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = UK Independence Party

|candidate = Simon Zeigler

|votes = 1,179

|percentage = 6.1

|change = +3.5

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Green Party of England and Wales

|candidate = Anthony Slaughter

|votes = 800

|percentage = 4.1

|change = +2.9

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Socialist Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = Andrew Jordan

|votes = 235

|percentage = 1.2

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Communist Party of Britain

|candidate = Robert Griffiths

|votes = 213

|percentage = 1.1

|change = +0.7

}}

{{Election box rejected

|votes = 135

|percentage =

|change =

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 5,334

|percentage = 27.4

|change = +16.8

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 19,436

|percentage = 25.7

|change = −34.5

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 76,764

}}

{{Election box hold with party link

|winner = Labour and Co-operative

|swing = +8.4

}}

{{Election box end}}

Of the 135 rejected ballots:

  • 63 were either unmarked or it was uncertain who the vote was for.
  • 69 voted for more than one candidate.
  • 3 had writing or a mark by which the voter could be identified.

{{Election box begin|title=General election 2015: Cardiff South and Penarth{{cite web|title=Election Data 2015|url=http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_2015.txt|publisher=Electoral Calculus|access-date=17 October 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151017112223/http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_2015.txt|archive-date=17 October 2015}}{{cite web|title=Cardiff South and Penarth result|url=http://cardiff.moderngov.co.uk/mgElectionAreaResults.aspx?XXR=0&ID=37&RPID=1000163518|website=Election results for Cardiff South and Penarth| date=7 May 2015 |publisher=City of Cardiff Council|access-date=21 September 2015}}{{cite news |url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/W07000080#election2015-logo |department=Election 2015 |title=Cardiff South and Penarth Parliamentary constituency |work=BBC News |access-date=18 January 2020}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Labour and Co-operative

|candidate = Stephen Doughty[http://penarthnews.wordpress.com/2013/07/15/labour-mp-stephen-doughty-is-nominated-to-stand-again-in-2015-general-election/ "Labour MP Stephen Doughty Is Nominated To Stand Again In 2015 general election"]{{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130821051304/http://penarthnews.wordpress.com/2013/07/15/labour-mp-stephen-doughty-is-nominated-to-stand-again-in-2015-general-election/ |date=21 August 2013 }}, Penarth Daily News (blog), 15 July 2013.

|votes = 19,966

|percentage = 42.8

|change = +3.9

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Welsh Conservatives

|candidate = Emma Warman

|votes = 12,513

|percentage = 26.8

|change = −1.5

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = UK Independence Party

|candidate = John Rees-Evans[http://penarthnews.wordpress.com/2014/11/25/wholl-blink-first-the-2015-election-battle-for-cardiff-south-and-penarth/ "UKIP Takes Its 2015 Parliamentary Election Challenge Onto The Streets Of Penarth"]{{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20141204155136/http://penarthnews.wordpress.com/2014/11/25/wholl-blink-first-the-2015-election-battle-for-cardiff-south-and-penarth/ |date=4 December 2014 }}, Penarth Daily News (blog), 25 November 2014.

|votes = 6,423

|percentage = 13.8

|change = +11.2

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Plaid Cymru

|candidate = Ben Foday{{cite web|url=http://electionresults.blogspot.com/2013/04/cardiff-south-penarth-2015.html|title=UK ELECTION RESULTS: CARDIFF SOUTH & PENARTH 2015|website=UK Election Results|publisher=Election Blog|access-date=9 June 2021}}

|votes = 3,443

|percentage = 7.4

|change = +3.2

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Welsh Liberal Democrats

|candidate = Nigel Howells

|votes = 2,318

|percentage = 5.0

|change = −17.3

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Green Party of England and Wales

|candidate = Anthony Slaughter

|votes = 1,746

|percentage = 3.7

|change = +2.5

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition

|candidate = Ross Saunders

|votes = 258

|percentage = 0.6

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box rejected

|votes = 121

|percentage =

|change =

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 7,453

|percentage = 16.0

|change = +5.4

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 46,667

|percentage = 61.4

|change = +1.2

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 76,006

}}

{{Election box hold with party link

|winner = Labour and Co-operative

|swing = +2.7

}}

{{Election box end}}

Of the 121 rejected ballots:

  • 82 were either unmarked or it was uncertain who the vote was for.
  • 35 voted for more than one candidate.
  • 4 had writing or a mark by which the voter could be identified.

{{Election box begin|title=General election 2017: Cardiff South and Penarth{{cite web|title=Statement of Persons Nominated & Notice of Poll|url=http://www.caerphilly.gov.uk/CaerphillyDocs/Elections/8_June_Election/CaerphillyNoticePollPollingStationLocations.aspx|publisher=Caerphilly County Borough Council|access-date=25 May 2017}}{{cite news|title=Cardiff South and Penarth Parliamentary constituency|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/politics/constituencies/W07000080#election2017-logo|website=Election 2017 Results|publisher=BBC|access-date=18 January 2020}}{{cite web |title=Election Results |url=https://cardiff.moderngov.co.uk/mgElectionAreaResults.aspx?XXR=0&ID=113&RPID=1049214&LLL=0|website=Cardiff Council | date=8 June 2017 |access-date=18 January 2020}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Labour and Co-operative

|candidate = Stephen Doughty

|votes = 30,182

|percentage = 59.5

|change = +16.7

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Welsh Conservatives

|candidate = Bill Rees{{Cite web|url=https://www.conservativehome.com/parliament/2017/05/exclusive-farris-completes-saffron-walden-shortlist-trouble-in-wales-latest-selections-news.html|title=Norfolk North and Penistone & Stocksbridge choose their candidates. Latest selection news.|website=Conservative Home|date=2 May 2017 }}

|votes = 15,318

|percentage = 30.2

|change = +3.4

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Plaid Cymru

|candidate = Ian Titherington{{Cite web|url=https://www.penarthtimes.co.uk/news/15266153.general-election-first-candidates-for-penarth-seat-are-announced/|title=GENERAL ELECTION: First candidates for Penarth seat are announced|website=Penarth Times|date=4 May 2017 }}

|votes = 2,162

|percentage = 4.3

|change = −3.1

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Welsh Liberal Democrats

|candidate = Emma Sands

|votes = 1,430

|percentage = 2.8

|change = −2.2

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = UK Independence Party

|candidate = Andrew Bevan

|votes = 942

|percentage = 1.9

|change = −11.9

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Green Party of England and Wales

|candidate = Anthony Slaughter{{cite web|title=Back on the campaign trail as @WalesGreenParty candidate for #GE2017 in Cardiff South and Penarth|url=https://twitter.com/as_penarth/status/860853187896541184|website=Twitter|access-date=21 September 2015}}{{cite web|title=GENERAL ELECTION: First candidates for Penarth seat are announced|url=http://www.penarthtimes.co.uk/news/15266153.GENERAL_ELECTION__First_candidates_for_Penarth_seat_are_announced/ |work=Penarth Times|access-date=21 September 2015}}

|votes = 532

|percentage = 1.0

|change = −2.7

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Pirate Party UK

|candidate = Jebediah Hedges

|votes = 170

|percentage = 0.3

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box rejected

|votes = 107

|percentage =

|change =

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 14,864

|percentage = 29.3

|change = +13.3

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 50,736

|percentage = 66.3

|change = +4.9

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 76,499

}}

{{Election box hold with party link

|winner = Labour and Co-operative

|swing = +6.7

}}

{{Election box end}}

Of the 107 rejected ballots:

  • 76 were either unmarked or it was uncertain who the vote was for.
  • 29 voted for more than one candidate.
  • 2 had writing or a mark by which the voter could be identified.

{{Election box begin|title=General election 2019: Cardiff South and Penarth{{cite web|title=Scheduled elections and polls|url=https://www.cardiff.gov.uk/ENG/Your-Council/Voting-and-elections/Scheduled-elections-and-polls/Documents/Statement%20of%20Persons%20Nominated%20-%20Cardiff%20South%20and%20Penarth%20%28Updated%29.pdf|website=Cardiff Council|access-date=16 November 2019}}{{Dead link|date=November 2023 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}{{cite news|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/politics/constituencies/W07000080|title=Cardiff South and Penarth parliamentary constituency – Election 2019|work=BBC News|access-date=18 January 2020}}{{cite web |title=Election-Results/General-Election-2019|url=https://cardiff.moderngov.co.uk/mgElectionAreaResults.aspx?XXR=0&ID=125&RPID=1049220&LLL=0 |website=Cardiff Council | date=12 December 2019 |access-date=18 January 2020}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link|

|party = Labour and Co-operative

|candidate = Stephen Doughty

|votes = 27,382

|percentage = 54.1

|change = −5.4

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Welsh Conservatives

|candidate = Phillippa Broom

|votes = 14,645

|percentage = 29.0

|change = −1.2

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Welsh Liberal Democrats

|candidate = Dan Schmeising

|votes = 2,985

|percentage = 5.9

|change = +3.1

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Plaid Cymru

|candidate = Nasir Adam

|votes = 2,386

|percentage = 4.7

|change = +0.4

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Brexit Party

|candidate = Tim Price

|votes = 1,999

|percentage = 4.0

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Green Party of England and Wales

|candidate = Ken Barker

|votes = 1,182

|percentage = 2.3

|change = +1.3

}}

{{Election box rejected

|votes = 160

|percentage =

|change =

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 12,737

|percentage = 25.1

|change = −3.8

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 50,579

|percentage = 64.2

|change = −2.1

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 78,837

}}

{{Election box hold with party link

|winner = Labour and Co-operative

|swing = −2.1

}}

{{Election box end}}

Of the 160 rejected ballots:

  • 132 were either unmarked or it was uncertain who the vote was for.
  • 27 voted for more than one candidate.
  • 1 had writing or mark by which the voter could be identified.

class="wikitable"
colspan="4" | 2019 notional result {{#tag:ref|Estimate of the 2019 general election result as if the revised boundaries recommended under the 2023 boundary review were in place|group= n}} {{Cite web |date= |title=Cardiff South and Penarth notional election - December 2019 |url=https://electionresults.parliament.uk/elections/2079 |access-date=11 July 2024 |work=Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News |publisher=UK Parliament}}
colspan="2" bgcolor="#DDDDFF" width="130px" | Party

! bgcolor="#DDDDFF" width="50px" | Vote

! bgcolor="#DDDDFF" width="30px" | %

{{party color cell|Labour Party (UK)}}

| Labour

align="right" | 27,030align="right" |53.7
{{party color cell|Conservative Party (UK)}}

| Conservative

align="right" | 15,179align="right" |30.1
{{party color cell|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}

| Liberal Democrats

align="right" | 3,528align="right" |7.0
{{party color cell|Plaid Cymru}}

| Plaid Cymru

align="right" | 2,091align="right" |4.2
{{party color cell|Brexit Party}}

| Brexit Party

align="right" | 1,389align="right" |2.8
{{party color cell|Green Party of England and Wales}}

| Green Party

align="right" | 1,153align="right" |2.3
colspan="4" bgcolor="#EAECF0" |
colspan="2" |Majority

| align="right" |11,851

| align="right" |23.5

colspan="2" |Turnout

| align="right" |50,370

| align="right" |69.7

colspan="2" |Electorate

| align="right" |72,269

=Elections in the 2020s=

{{Election box begin |title=General election 2024: Cardiff South and Penarth{{cite web |title=Cardiff South and Penarth results |url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2024/uk/constituencies/W07000091 |website=BBC News Online |date=2024-07-05 |access-date=2024-07-05 |language=en }}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Labour and Co-operative

|candidate = Stephen Doughty

|votes = 17,428

|percentage = 44.5

|change = −9.2

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Wales Green Party|candidate=Anthony Slaughter|votes=5,661|percentage=14.5|change=+12.2}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Welsh Conservatives|candidate=Ellis Smith|votes=5,459|percentage=13.9|change=−16.2}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Reform UK|candidate=Simon Llewellyn|votes=4,493|percentage=11.5|change=+8.7}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Plaid Cymru|candidate=Sharifah Rahman{{#tag:ref|Plaid Cymru withdrew their support for Rahman on 7 June 2024, after nominations closed the same day, so she still appeared as the Plaid Cymru candidate on the ballot paper.{{cite web |last1=Lewis |first1=Rhodri |last2=Grey |first2=Jack |title=Plaid Cymru withdraws candidate support over social media posts |url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cz99rzp353vo |website=BBC News Online |access-date=7 June 2024 |date=7 June 2024}}|group= n}}|votes=3,227|percentage=8.2|change=+4.0}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Welsh Liberal Democrats|candidate=Alex Wilson|votes=2,908|percentage=7.4|change=+0.4}}

{{Election box majority|votes=11,767|percentage=30.0|change=+4.9}}

{{Election box turnout|votes=39,176|percentage=54.0|change=−15.7}}

{{Election box registered electors |reg. electors=72,613 }}

{{Election box hold with party link

|winner = Labour and Co-operative

|swing = −10.7

}}

{{Election box end}}

See also

Notes

{{Reflist|group=n}}

References

{{Reflist}}