Dufferin—Caledon

{{short description|Federal electoral district in Ontario, Canada}}

{{for|the provincial electoral district|Dufferin—Caledon (provincial electoral district)}}

{{Use Canadian English|date=November 2024}}

{{Use mdy dates|date=November 2024}}

{{Infobox Canada electoral district

| province = Ontario

| image = {{switcher

|{{maplink|frame=yes|plain=yes|from=Canadian federal electoral districts/2019/Dufferin--Caledon.map|frame-height=300|frame-width=400|zoom=9|overlay-horizontal-alignment=right|overlay-vertical-alignment=bottom|overlay=x100px

}}

|From the 2015 federal election to 2025

|{{maplink|frame=yes|plain=yes|from=Canadian federal electoral districts/2025/Dufferin—Caledon.map|frame-height=300|frame-width=400|zoom=9|overlay-horizontal-alignment=right|overlay-vertical-alignment=bottom|overlay=x100px

}}

|From the 2025 federal election

|default=2

}}

| caption = Interactive map of riding boundaries

| fed-status = active

| fed-district-number = 35022

| fed-created = 2003

| fed-abolished =

| fed-election-first = 2004

| fed-election-last = 2021

| fed-rep = Kyle Seeback

| fed-rep-link =

| fed-rep-party = Conservative

| fed-rep-party-link = Conservative Party of Canada

| demo-pop-ref = Elections Canada

| demo-area-ref = Statistics Canada

| demo-electors-ref =

| demo-census-date = 2021

| demo-pop = 142838

| demo-electors = 108375

| demo-electors-date = 2021

| demo-area = 2293

| demo-cd = Dufferin County, Peel

| demo-csd = Caledon (part), Orangeville, Mono, Shelburne, Amaranth, Grand Valley, Mulmur, Melancthon, East Garafraxa

}}

Dufferin—Caledon is a federal electoral district in Ontario, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 2004.

It was created in 2003 from parts of Dufferin—Peel—Wellington—Grey riding.

This riding gained a fraction of territory from Vaughan during the 2012 electoral redistribution.

After David Tilson's resignation, in March 2019 the Dufferin—Caledon nomination for the Conservative Party in the 2019 election was won by Harzadan Singh Khattra,{{cite news |author=Mike Baker |url=http://citizen.on.ca/?p=14317 |title=Harzadan Singh Khattra local Tories' surprise pick to succeed David Tilson |newspaper=Orangeville Citizen |date=25 March 2019 |access-date=28 May 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190327134420/http://citizen.on.ca/?p=14317 |archive-date=27 March 2019 |url-status=live }} amid accusations within the party of vote tampering, membership reimbursement, and payments to foreign students to attend, despite their ineligibility within party rules.{{cite news |author=Matthew Strader |url=https://www.caledonenterprise.com/news-story/9250365--we-will-lose-dufferin-caledon-to-the-liberals-conservative-mp-nomination-appeal-denied-escalated-to-national-council-leader-andrew-scheer/?s=n1 |title='We will lose Dufferin-Caledon to the Liberals': Conservative MP nomination appeal denied, escalated to national council, leader Andrew Scheer |newspaper=Caledon Enterprise |date=1 April 2019 }}

Following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, the riding will lose all of Caledon south of King Street and west of The Gore Road to Brampton North—Caledon. These changes will come into effect following the call of the 2025 Canadian federal election.

Demographics

According to the 2021 Canadian census{{Cite web |last=Government of Canada |first=Statistics Canada |date=2022-02-09 |title=Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Dufferin--Caledon [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario |url=https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2021/dp-pd/prof/index.cfm?Lang=E |access-date=2023-04-03 |website=www12.statcan.gc.ca}}

Languages: 74.7% English, 6.7% Punjabi, 3.3% Italian, 1.3% Portuguese, 1.1% Spanish

Religions: 56.5% Christian (30.5% Catholic, 5.1% United Church, 4.3% Anglican, 1.7% Presbyterian, 1.4% Christian Orthodox, 1.4% Pentecostal, 1.0% Baptist, 11.1% Other), 8.6% Sikh, 3.2% Hindu, 1.8% Muslim, 28.9% None

Median income: $44,800 (2020)

Average income: $59,650 (2020)

class="wikitable collapsible sortable"

|+ Panethnic groups in Dufferin—Caledon (2011−2021)

! rowspan="2" |Panethnic group

! colspan="2" |2021{{Cite web |last=Government of Canada |first=Statistics Canada |date=2022-10-26 |title= Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population |url=https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2021/dp-pd/prof/details/page.cfm?Lang=E&SearchText=Dufferin&DGUIDlist=2013A000435022&GENDERlist=1,2,3&STATISTIClist=1,4&HEADERlist=0 |access-date=2024-01-21 |website=www12.statcan.gc.ca}}

! colspan="2" |2016{{Cite web |last=Government of Canada |first=Statistics Canada |date=2021-10-27 |title= Census Profile, 2016 Census |url=https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2016/dp-pd/prof/details/page.cfm?Lang=E&Geo1=FED&Code1=35022&Geo2=PR&Code2=35&SearchText=Dufferin&SearchType=Begins&SearchPR=01&B1=All&TABID=1&type=0 |access-date=2024-01-21 |website=www12.statcan.gc.ca}}

! colspan="2" |2011{{Cite web |last=Government of Canada |first=Statistics Canada |date=2015-11-27 |title= NHS Profile |url=https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/nhs-enm/2011/dp-pd/prof/details/page.cfm?Lang=E&Geo1=FED2013&Code1=35022&Data=Count&SearchText=Dufferin&SearchType=Begins&SearchPR=01&A1=All&B1=All&Custom=&TABID=1 |access-date=2024-01-21 |website=www12.statcan.gc.ca}}

Population

!{{Abbr|%|percentage}}

!{{abbr|Pop.|Population}}

!{{Abbr|%|percentage}}

!{{abbr|Pop.|Population}}

!{{Abbr|%|percentage}}

European{{efn|Statistic includes all persons that did not make up part of a visible minority or an indigenous identity.|name=euro}}

| 104,155

| {{Percentage | 104155 | 141575 | 2 }}

| 107,945

| {{Percentage | 107945 | 127065 | 2 }}

| 105,420

| {{Percentage | 105420 | 115055 | 2 }}

South Asian

| 19,440

| {{Percentage | 19440 | 141575 | 2 }}

| 7,880

| {{Percentage | 7880 | 127065 | 2 }}

| 2,465

| {{Percentage | 2465 | 115055 | 2 }}

African

| 6,355

| {{Percentage | 6355 | 141575 | 2 }}

| 3,475

| {{Percentage | 3475 | 127065 | 2 }}

| 1,950

| {{Percentage | 1950 | 115055 | 2 }}

Latin American

| 2,120

| {{Percentage | 2120 | 141575 | 2 }}

| 1,310

| {{Percentage | 1310 | 127065 | 2 }}

| 880

| {{Percentage | 880 | 115055 | 2 }}

Indigenous

| 2,010

| {{Percentage | 2010 | 141575 | 2 }}

| 1,785

| {{Percentage | 1785 | 127065 | 2 }}

| 1,140

| {{Percentage | 1140 | 115055 | 2 }}

Southeast Asian{{efn|Statistic includes total responses of "Filipino" and "Southeast Asian" under visible minority section on census.|name=SoutheastAsian}}

| 2,000

| {{Percentage | 2000 | 141575 | 2 }}

| 1,355

| {{Percentage | 1355 | 127065 | 2 }}

| 875

| {{Percentage | 875 | 115055 | 2 }}

East Asian{{efn|Statistic includes total responses of "Chinese", "Korean", and "Japanese" under visible minority section on census.|name=EastAsian}}

| 1,555

| {{Percentage | 1555 | 141575 | 2 }}

| 1,275

| {{Percentage | 1275 | 127065 | 2 }}

| 1,005

| {{Percentage | 1005 | 115055 | 2 }}

Middle Eastern{{efn|Statistic includes total responses of "West Asian" and "Arab" under visible minority section on census.|name=MiddleEastern}}

| 1,530

| {{Percentage | 1530 | 141575 | 2 }}

| 665

| {{Percentage | 665 | 127065 | 2 }}

| 350

| {{Percentage | 350 | 115055 | 2 }}

Other/multiracial{{efn|Statistic includes total responses of "Visible minority, {{abbr|n.i.e.|not included elsewhere}}" and "Multiple visible minorities" under visible minority section on census.|name=Other}}

| 2,425

| {{Percentage | 2425 | 141575 | 2 }}

| 1,375

| {{Percentage | 1375 | 127065 | 2 }}

| 965

| {{Percentage | 965 | 115055 | 2 }}

Total responses

! 141,575

! {{Percentage | 141575 | 142838 | 2 }}

! 127,065

! {{Percentage | 127065 | 128237 | 2 }}

! 115,055

! {{Percentage | 115055 | 116341 | 2 }}

class="sortbottom"

! Total population

! 142,838

! {{Percentage | 142838 | 142838 | 2 }}

! 128,237

! {{Percentage | 128237 | 128237 | 2 }}

! 116,341

! {{Percentage | 116341 | 116341 | 2 }}

class="sortbottom"

| colspan="15" |{{small|Notes: Totals greater than 100% due to multiple origin responses.
Demographics based on 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution riding boundaries.}}

Member of Parliament

{{CanMP}}

{{CanMP nodata|Dufferin—Caledon
Riding created from Dufferin—Peel—Wellington—Grey}}

{{CanMP row

| FromYr = 2004

| ToYr = 2006

| Assembly# = 38

| CanParty = Conservative

| RepName = David Tilson

| RepTerms# = 5

| PartyTerms# = 8

}}

{{CanMP row

| FromYr = 2006

| ToYr = 2008

| Assembly# = 39

}}

{{CanMP row

| FromYr = 2008

| ToYr = 2011

| Assembly# = 40

}}

{{CanMP row

| FromYr = 2011

| ToYr = 2015

| Assembly# = 41

}}

{{CanMP row

| FromYr = 2015

| ToYr = 2019

| Assembly# = 42

}}

{{CanMP row

| FromYr = 2019

| ToYr = 2021

| Assembly# = 43

| RepName = Kyle Seeback

| RepTerms# = 3

}}

{{CanMP row

| FromYr = 2021

| ToYr = 2025

| Assembly# = 44

}}

{{CanMP row

| FromYr = 2025

| ToYr =

| Assembly# = 45

}}

{{CanMP end}}

Election results

{{Image frame

| width=800

| content = {{Graph:Chart

| width=600

| height=300

| type=line

| xAxisTitle=Year

| yAxisTitle=Vote share

| xAxisMin=2004

| xAxisMax=2021

| yAxisMin=0

| yAxisMax=0.6

| yAxisFormat=%

| legend=Legend

| y1Title=Liberal

| y2Title=Conservative

| y3Title=NDP

| y4Title=Green

| y5Title=People's

| linewidth=2

| x=2004,2006,2008,2011,2015,2019,2021

| y1=0.39,0.2993,0.1935,0.131,0.3911,0.33,0.303

| y2=0.4281,0.4793,0.5321,0.59,0.4628,0.42,0.48

| y3=0.0844,0.1213,0.0999,0.132,0.0728,0.116,0.105

| y4=0.0877,0.1,0.168,0.1469,0.0733,0.106,0.042

| y5=,,,,,0.022,0.067

| colors=#DC241f,#1c1cff,#FAA61A,#6AB023,#440088

| showSymbols=true }}

| caption=Graph of election results in Dufferin—Caledon (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

| align=center

}}

{{2025 Canadian federal election/Dufferin—Caledon}}

class="wikitable"
colspan="4" | 2021 federal election redistributed results{{Cite web| title=Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders|url=https://www.elections.ca/content.aspx?section=res&dir=rep/tra/2023rep&document=index&lang=e|access-date=9 April 2024|website=Elections Canada}}
bgcolor="#DDDDFF" width="130px" colspan="2" | Party

! bgcolor="#DDDDFF" width="50px" | Vote

! bgcolor="#DDDDFF" width="30px" | %

{{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|background}} |  

| Conservative

align=right| 28,338align=right| 49.04
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|background}} |  

| Liberal

align=right| 16,541align=right| 28.63
{{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|background}} |  

| New Democratic

align=right| 5,995align=right| 10.38
{{Canadian party colour|CA|PPC|background}} |  

| People's

align=right| 4,112align=right| 7.12
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Green|background}} |  

| Green

align=right| 2,606align=right| 4.51
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Independent|background}} |  

| Others

align=right| 188align=right| 0.33

{{2021 Canadian federal election/Dufferin—Caledon}}

{{2019 Canadian federal election/Dufferin—Caledon}}

{{2015 Canadian federal election/Dufferin—Caledon}}

class="wikitable"
colspan="4" | 2011 federal election redistributed results{{Cite web |url=http://www.punditsguide.ca/riding.php?riding=1968 |title=Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections |access-date=2015-09-20 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150826222352/http://www.punditsguide.ca/riding.php?riding=1968 |archive-date=2015-08-26 |url-status=live }}
bgcolor="#DDDDFF" width="130px" colspan="2" | Party

! bgcolor="#DDDDFF" width="50px" | Vote

! bgcolor="#DDDDFF" width="30px" | %

{{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|background}} |  

| Conservative

align=right| 28,651align=right| 59.01
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Green|background}} |  

| Green

align=right| 7,132align=right| 14.69
{{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|background}} |  

| New Democratic

align=right| 6,409align=right| 13.20
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|background}} |  

| Liberal

align=right| 6,362align=right| 13.10

{{2011 Canadian federal election/Dufferin—Caledon}}

{{2008 Canadian federal election/Dufferin—Caledon}}

{{2006 Canadian federal election/Dufferin—Caledon}}

{{2004 Canadian federal election/Dufferin—Caledon}}

See also

References

  • {{SCref|unit=fed|accessdate=2012-03-02|name=2011fed|35018}}
  • [http://www2.parl.gc.ca/Sites/LOP/HFER/hfer.asp?Language=E&Search=Det&Include=Y&rid=1343 Electoral results from Parliament of Canada website]
  • [http://enr.elections.ca/ElectoralDistricts_e.aspx?type=3&criteria=Dufferin--Caledon 2011 Results from Elections Canada]
  • [http://www.elections.ca Campaign expense data from Elections Canada]

=Notes=

{{notelist}}

{{Reflist}}