Electoral history of Justin Trudeau

{{Short description|none}}

{{About||the biography of Justin Trudeau|Justin Trudeau}}

{{Use Canadian English|date=April 2020}}

{{Use mdy dates|date=April 2020}}

File:Prime Minister Trudeau's message on Christmas 2023 (0m29s) (cropped).jpg

This article is the Electoral history of Justin Trudeau, the twenty-third Prime Minister of Canada. Trudeau served as prime minister from November 4, 2015 to March 14, 2025, having won three general elections.

A liberal, Trudeau was successful in his first general election as leader of the Liberal Party, which he defeated then-Prime Minister Stephen Harper and the Conservatives in the general election of 2015 and formed a majority government. He was re-elected with a minority government in 2019 and again in 2021. He resigned the party leadership in 2025 and was succeeded by Mark Carney.

Trudeau has stood for election to the House of Commons five times and was elected each time (2008, 2011, 2015, 2019, 2021), until he retired in 2025.

Trudeau was elected leader of the Liberal Party in 2013, succeeding Michael Ignatieff, who retired from politics after losing the general election of 2011.

Summary

File:Canada provinces 2001-2003.png

Trudeau currently ranks seventh out of twenty-three prime ministers for time in office, serving one term of nine years and one hundred thirty days.[https://lop.parl.ca/sites/ParlInfo/default/en_CA/People/primeMinisters PARLINFO: Prime Ministers of Canada.]

Trudeau is the eighth prime minister from Quebec, the others being Sir John Abbott, Sir Wilfrid Laurier, Louis St. Laurent, Pierre Trudeau, Brian Mulroney, Jean Chrétien and Paul Martin. He is also the fifth francophone prime minister, the others being Laurier, St. Laurent, Pierre Trudeau, and Chretien.

Trudeau was first elected to the House of Commons in 2008, at age 36. The Liberals were in opposition after the 2008 and 2011 general elections. Under Liberal leader Stéphane Dion, Trudeau was the Liberal critic for Citizenship and Immigration, Youth and Multiculturalism. The next leader, Michael Ignatieff, appointed him critic for Sports and Post-Secondary Education.[http://www.thecanadianencyclopedia.ca/en/article/justin-trudeau/ Canadian Encyclopedia: "Justin Trudeau".]

In the 2011 general election, the Liberals under the leadership of Ignatieff were reduced to third party status, their worst showing in history. Ignatieff lost his own seat and retired from politics. Trudeau announced he would seek the party leadership. In the 2013 vote, he won the leadership on the first ballot with 80% support.

Trudeau led the Liberals in the general election of 2015. At dissolution, the Liberals were in third place in the Commons, behind the Conservative Party, which held a majority government, and the New Democratic Party, which formed the Official Opposition. Trudeau led the Liberals to a majority government, defeating both the Conservatives led by Stephen Harper and the New Democrats led by Thomas Mulcair. Trudeau's government was sworn in on November 4, 2015.

Trudeau has stood for election to the House of Commons five times (in 2008, 2011, 2015, 2019 and 2021), each time from the riding of Papineau, in Montreal, Quebec. He has served in the House of Commons for {{ayd|October 14, 2008}}.[https://lop.parl.ca/sites/ParlInfo/default/en_CA/People/Profile?personId=17300 PARLINFO: The Right Hon. Justin Trudeau, P.C.]

Although Trudeau was successful in leading the party in three general elections, the political crisis leading to Trudeau's retirement early in 2025. He was succeeded by Carney as prime minister and Liberal leader.

Trudeau remained a Member of Parliament until the 2025 general election, when he retired from politics.

Federal general elections: 2015 to 2021

Trudeau led the Liberal Party in three general elections. He won three (2015, 2019 and 2021). He won a majority government in the 2015 election, and two minority governments in the 2019 and 2021 elections.

= Federal general election: 2015 =

{{About||more detailed tables of election results|2015 Canadian federal election}}

{{About||information about the 42nd Parliament, 2015 to 2019|42nd Canadian Parliament}}

{{About||information about Trudeau and political events during the 42nd Parliament|Justin Trudeau#Prime Minister of Canada (2015–2025)}}

Trudeau led the Liberals in the 2015 election from third place in the House of Commons at dissolution to win a majority government, defeating incumbent Prime Minister Stephen Harper and the Conservatives.

class="wikitable"

|+ Canadian Federal Election, 2015 - Parties, Leaders, Seats Won and Popular Vote

colspan="2"|Party

!Leaders

Seats WonPopular Vote
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|row-name}}

|Justin Trudeau1

align=center|184align=center|39.47%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|row-name}}

|Stephen Harper2

align=center|99align=center|31.9%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|row}}

|New Democratic Party

Thomas Mulcair3align=center|44align=center|19.7%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|BQ|row-name}}

|Gilles Duceppe

align=center|10align=center|4.7%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Green|row-name}}

|align=center|Elizabeth May

align=center|1align=center|3.5%
colspan=3 |Total

! 338

! 99.3%4

align="center" colspan=5|Sources: [https://lop.parl.ca/About/Parliament/FederalRidingsHistory/HFER.asp Library of Parliament – History of Federal Ridings since 1867]

1 Leader of a third party when election was called; Prime Minister after election.

2 Prime Minister when election was called; Member of Parliament after the election.

3 Leader of the Opposition when election was called; leader of a third party after the election.

4 Table does not include parties which received votes but did not elect any members.

= Federal general election: 2019 =

{{About||more detailed tables of election results|2019 Canadian federal election}}

{{About||information about the 43rd Parliament, 2019 to 2021|43rd Canadian Parliament}}

{{About||information about Trudeau and political events during the 43rd Parliament|Justin Trudeau#Prime Minister of Canada (2015–2025)}}

Trudeau led the Liberals in the 2019 election and was returned to office, but with a minority government. Andrew Scheer and the Conservatives won the popular vote.

class="wikitable"

|+ Canadian Federal Election, 2019 - Parties, Leaders, Seats Won and Popular Vote

colspan="2"|Party

!Leaders

Seats WonPopular Vote
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|row-name}}

|Justin Trudeau1

align=center|157align=center|33.1%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|row-name}}

|Andrew Scheer2

align=center|121align=center|34.4%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|BQ|row-name}}

|Yves-François Blanchet

align=center|32align=center|7.7%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|row}}

|New Democratic Party

Jagmeet Singhalign=center|24align=center|15.9%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Green|row-name}}

|Elizabeth May

align=center|3align=center|6.5%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Ind|row}}

| colspan = "2" | Independent

|align=center|1

align=center|0.4%
colspan=3 |Total

! 338

! 98.0%3

align="center" colspan=5|Sources: [https://enr.elections.ca/National.aspx?lang=e Elections Canada: October 21, 2019 Federal Election - Election Results]

1 Prime Minister when election was called; Prime Minister after election.

2 Leader of the Opposition when election was called; Leader of the Opposition after the election.

3 Table does not include parties which received votes but did not elect any members.

= Federal general election: 2021 =

{{About||more detailed tables of election results|2021 Canadian federal election}}

{{About||information about the 44th Parliament, 2021 to present|44th Canadian Parliament}}

{{About||information about Trudeau and political events during the 44th Parliament|Justin Trudeau#Prime Minister of Canada (2015–2025)}}

Trudeau led the Liberals in the 2021 election and was returned to office, but with another minority government. Erin O'Toole and the Conservatives won the popular vote.

class="wikitable"

|+ Canadian Federal Election, 2021 - Parties, Leaders, Seats Won and Popular Vote

colspan="2"|Party

!Leaders

Seats WonPopular Vote
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|row-name}}

|Justin Trudeau1

align=center|160align=center|32.6%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|row-name}}

|Erin O'Toole2

align=center|119align=center|33.7%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|BQ|row-name}}

|Yves-François Blanchet

align=center|32align=center|7.6%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|row}}

|New Democratic Party

Jagmeet Singhalign=center|25align=center|17.8%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Green|row-name}}

|Annamie Paul

align=center|2align=center|2.3%
colspan=3 |Total

! 338

! 94.15%3

align="center" colspan=5|Sources:

1 Prime Minister when election was called; Prime Minister after election.

2 Leader of the Opposition when election was called; Leader of the Opposition after the election.

3 Table does not include parties which received votes but did not elect any members.

Federal constituency elections: 2008 to 2021

Trudeau has stood for election to the House of Commons five times (in 2008, 2011, 2015, 2019 and 2021). He was elected all five times, each time from the riding of Papineau, in Montreal, Quebec.

= 2008 Federal Election: Papineau =

class="wikitable"

|+ Federal Election, 2008: Papineau, Quebec

colspan="2"|Party

!Candidate

Popular Vote%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|row-name}}

|File:Yes check.svg Justin Trudeau

align=center|17,724align=center|41.5%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|BQ|row-name}}

|X Vivian Barbot

align=center|16,535align=center|38.7%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|row}}

|New Democratic Party

Costa Zafiropoulosalign=center|3,734align=center|8.7%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|row-name}}

|Mustaque Sarker

align=center|3,262align=center|7.6%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Green|row-name}}

|Ingrid Hein

align=center|1,213align=center|2.8%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Independent|row}}

|Independent

Mahmoud Raza Baigalign=center|267align=center|0.6%
colspan=3 |Total|42,735|99.9%1
align="center" colspan=5|Source: [https://lop.parl.ca/About/Parliament/FederalRidingsHistory/hfer.asp?Language=E&Search=Det&Include=Y&rid=1370 Library of Parliament – History of Federal Ridings since 1867: Papineau]

File:Yes check.svg Elected.

X Incumbent.

1 Rounding error.

= 2011 Federal Election: Papineau =

class="wikitable"

|+ Federal Election, 2011: Papineau, Quebec

colspan="2"|Party

!Candidate

Popular Vote%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|row-name}}

|File:Yes check.svg X Justin Trudeau

align=center|16,429align=center|38.4%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|row}}

|New Democratic Party

Marcos Radomes Tejadaalign=center|12,102align=center|28.3%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|BQ|row-name}}

|Vivian Barbot

align=center|11,091align=center|25.9%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|row-name}}

|Shama Chopra

align=center|2,021align=center|4.7%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Green|row-name}}

|Danny Polifroni

align=center|806align=center|1.9%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Marxist-Leninist|row-name}}

|Peter Macrisopoulos

align=center|228align=center|0.5%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Independent|row}}

|Non-affiliated

Joseph Youngalign=center|95align=center|0.2%
colspan=3 |Total|42,772|99.9%1
align="center" colspan=5|Source: [https://lop.parl.ca/About/Parliament/FederalRidingsHistory/hfer.asp?Language=E&Search=Det&Include=Y&rid=1370 Library of Parliament – History of Federal Ridings since 1867: Papineau]

File:Yes check.svg Elected.

X Incumbent.

1 Rounding error.

= 2015 Federal Election: Papineau =

class="wikitable"

|+ Federal Election, 2015: Papineau, Quebec

colspan="2"|Party

!Candidate

Popular Vote%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|row-name}}

|File:Yes check.svg X Justin Trudeau

align=center|26,391align=center|52.0%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|row}}

|New Democratic Party

Anne Lagacé Dowsonalign=center|13,132align=center|25.9%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|BQ|row-name}}

|Maxime Claveau

align=center|6,182align=center|12.2%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|row-name}}

|Yvon Vadnais

align=center|2,390align=center|4.7%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Green|row-name}}

|Danny Polifroni

align=center|1,443align=center|2.8%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Independent|row}}

|Independent

Chris Lloydalign=center|505align=center|1.0%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Rhinoceros|row-name}}

|Tommy Gaudet

align=center|323align=center|0.6%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Independent|row}}

|Independent

Kim Waldronalign=center|159align=center|0.3%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Marxist-Leninist|row-name}}

|Peter Macrisopoulos

align=center|142align=center|0.3%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Independent|row}}

|Non-affiliated

Beverly Bernardoalign=center|103align=center|0.2%
colspan=3 |Total|50,770|100.0%
align="center" colspan=5|Source: [https://lop.parl.ca/About/Parliament/FederalRidingsHistory/hfer.asp?Language=E&Search=Det&Include=Y&rid=1370 Library of Parliament – History of Federal Ridings since 1867: Papineau]

File:Yes check.svg Elected.

X Incumbent.

= 2019 Federal Election: Papineau =

class="wikitable"

|+ Federal Election, 2019: Papineau, Quebec

colspan="2"|Party

!Candidate

Popular Vote%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|row-name}}

|File:Yes check.svg X Justin Trudeau

align=center|24,797align=center|51.2%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|row-name}}

|Christine Paré

align=center|9,135align=center|18.9%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|BQ|row-name}}

|Christian Gagnon

align=center|7,722align=center|15.9%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Green|row-name}}

|Juan Vazquez

align=center|3,673align=center|7.6%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|row-name}}

|Sophie Veilleux

align=center|2,095align=center|4.3%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Rhinoceros|row-name}}

|Jean-Patrick Cacereco Berthiaume

align=center|334align=center|0.7%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|PPC|row-name}}

|Mark Sibthorpe

align=center|311align=center|0.6%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Christian Heritage|row-name}}

|Susanne Lefebvre

align=center|184align=center|0.4%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Independent|row}}

|No affiliation

Luc Lupienalign=center|73align=center|0.2%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Independent|row}}

|Independent

Alain Magnanalign=center|73align=center|0.2%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Independent|row}}

|No affiliation

Steve Penneralign=center|54align=center|0.1%
colspan=3 |Total|48,451|100.1%1
align="center" colspan=5|Source: [https://lop.parl.ca/About/Parliament/FederalRidingsHistory/hfer.asp?Language=E&Search=Det&Include=Y&rid=1370 Library of Parliament – History of Federal Ridings since 1867: Papineau]

File:Yes check.svg Elected.

X Incumbent.

1 Rounding error.

= 2021 Federal Election: Papineau =

class="wikitable"

|+ Federal Election, 2021: Papineau, Quebec

colspan="2"|Party

!Candidate

Popular Vote%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|row-name}}

|File:Yes check.svg X Justin Trudeau

align=center|22,848align=center|50.3%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|row-name}}

|Christine Paré

align=center|10,303align=center|22.6%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|BQ|row-name}}

|Nabila Ben Youssef

align=center|6,830align=center|15.0%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|row-name}}

|Julio Rivera

align=center|2,198align=center|4.8%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Green|row-name}}

|Alain Lepine

align=center|1,458align=center|3.2%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|PPC|row-name}}

|Christian Boutin

align=center|1,064align=center|2.3%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Rhinoceros|row-name}}

|Above Znoneofthe

align=center|418align=center|0.9%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Marxist-Leninist|row-name}}

|Garnet Colly

align=center|115align=center|0.3%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Independent|row}}

|Independent

Raymond Martinalign=center|102align=center|0.2%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Independent|row}}

|Independent

Béatrice Zakoalign=center|97align=center|0.2%
colspan=3 |Total|45,423|99.8%1
align="center" colspan=5|Source: [https://enr.elections.ca/ElectoralDistricts.aspx?lang=e Elections Canada - September 21, 2021 Federal Election - Election Results - Papineau]

File:Yes check.svg Elected.

X Incumbent.

1 Rounding error.

2013 Liberal Party leadership election

{{About||more detailed information about the 2013 Liberal Party leadership election|2013 Liberal Party of Canada leadership election}}

Following the 2011 general election, the leader of the Liberals, Michael Ignatieff, announced his retirement. Trudeau entered the leadership contest, which was held in April, 2013. The vote was based on the 308 Liberal riding associations, which each had 100 points. All members of the party had the right to vote in the election through their riding associations. The points for each riding association were allocated in proportion to the local vote.

class="wikitable"

|+ Liberal Leadership Election, April 14, 2013
First and only ballot

colspan="2" | Candidate

!colspan = "2"| Votes cast

!colspan = "2"| Points won

style="background:#EA6D6A"

|50px

|Justin Trudeau

|align = "center"|81,389

|align = "center"|78.8%

|align = "center"|24,668

|align = "center"|80.1%

|Joyce Murray

|align = "center"|12,148

|align = "center"|11.8%

|align = "center"|3,130

|align = "center"|10.2%

50px

|Martha Hall Findlay

|align = "center"|6,585

|align = "center"|6.4%

|align = "center"|1,760

|align = "center"|5.7%

50px

|Martin Cauchon

|align = "center"|1,630

|align = "center"|1.6%

|align = "center"|815

|align = "center"|2.6%

|Deborah Coyne

|align = "center"|833

|align = "center"|0.8%

|align = "center"|214

|align = "center"|0.7%

50px

|Karen McCrimmon

|align = "center"|757

|align = "center"|0.7%

|align = "center"|210

|align = "center"|0.7%

colspan = "2"|Total

!align = "center"|103,342

!align = "center"|100.1%1

!align = "center"|30,797

!align = "center"|100.0%

align="center" colspan=6|Sources: [http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2013/04/14/justin-trudeau-liberal-leadership_n_3081393.html Huffington Post: Justin Trudeau Wins Liberal Leadership Race In Resounding Fashion];
[https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/justin-trudeau-elected-liberal-leader-in-a-landslide/article11189244/ Globe & Mail: Justin Trudeau elected Liberal leader in a landslide].

1 Rounding error.

See also

References

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