Idlib demilitarization (2018–2019)
{{Short description|Multinational military agreement}}
{{Use dmy dates|date=July 2024}}
{{Infobox military conflict
| conflict = Idlib demilitarization
(2018–2019)
| width = 400px
| partof = the Turkish military operation in Idlib Governorate and the Russian intervention in the Syrian civil war
| image = 320px
| image_size = 250px
| caption = The situation in the province of Idlib as of 17 September 2018. Locations of Turkish outposts are pictured.
{{leftlegend|#EDC4BE|Syrian Army control}}
{{leftlegend|#99A3A4|Tahrir al-Sham and allies control}}
{{leftlegend|#CDEBC9|National Front for Liberation and allies control}}
{{leftlegend|#A3E4D7|Turkish-backed Free Syrian Army control}}
| date = 17 September 2018 – 30 April 2019
({{Age in months, weeks and days|year1=2018|month1=09|day1=17|year2=2019|month2=04|day2=30}})
31 August – 19 December 2019
({{Age in months, weeks and days|year1=2019|month1=08|day1=31|year2=2019|month2=12|day2=19}})
| place = Northwestern Syria
- Northeastern Latakia Governorate
- Northwestern Hama Governorate
- Southern Idlib Governorate
- Western Aleppo Governorate
| territory =
| combatant1 = {{flagicon|Syria|1980}} Syrian Arab Republic
- {{flagicon image|Flag of the Syrian Arab Armed Forces (1980–2024).svg}} Syrian Armed Forces
{{flagicon image|Flag of Russia.svg}} Russia
{{flag|Iran}}
18px Liwa al-Quds
{{flagicon image|InfoboxHez.PNG}} Hezbollah
{{flagicon image|Flag of the Arab National Guard.svg}} Arab Nationalist Guard
{{flagicon image|Flag of the Syrian Social Nationalist Party.svg}} SSNP
{{flagicon image|Flag of the Ba'ath Party.svg}} Ba'ath Brigades
| combatant2 = File:WataniaTahrirFlag.svg National Front for Liberation
{{flag|Turkey}}{{cite news|url=https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-turkey-idUSKCN1LG1XM|title=Turkey designates Syria's Tahrir al-Sham as terrorist group|newspaper=Reuters|date=31 August 2018|via=www.reuters.com|access-date=29 January 2020|archive-date=30 May 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190530012016/https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-turkey-idUSKCN1LG1XM|url-status=live}}{{cite news|url=https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2018-09-20/putin-is-playing-nice-with-israel-and-turkey-on-syria|title=Turkey Offers Joint Action Against 'Terrorists' in Syria's Idlib|website=Bloomberg News|date=20 September 2018 |access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=21 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180921113134/https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2018-09-20/putin-is-playing-nice-with-israel-and-turkey-on-syria|url-status=live}}{{cite news|url=https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-rebels-idUSKCN1LY0T9|title=Syria's Idlib spared attack, Turkey to send in more troops|newspaper=Reuters|date=19 September 2018|via=www.reuters.com|access-date=29 January 2020|archive-date=25 August 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190825182438/https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-rebels-idUSKCN1LY0T9|url-status=live}}
{{flagicon|Syrian opposition}} Syrian Interim Government
- {{flagicon|Syrian opposition}} Syrian National Army
----
{{flagicon image|Logo of the Army of Glory.png}} Jaysh al-Izza{{cite web|url=https://www.yahoo.com/news/syria-rebel-faction-rejects-idlib-deal-170221008.html|title=Syria rebel faction rejects Idlib deal|publisher=AFP|access-date=29 September 2018|archive-date=29 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180929202801/https://www.yahoo.com/news/syria-rebel-faction-rejects-idlib-deal-170221008.html|url-status=live}}
----
{{flagicon image|Flag of the Syrian Salvation Government.svg}} Syrian Salvation Government
- {{flagicon image|InfoboxHTS.svg}} Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS)
{{flagicon image|Flag of the Turkistan Islamic Party in Syria.svg}} Turkistan Islamic Party
{{flagicon image|Infobox Ajnad al-Kavkaz flag.png}} Ajnad al-Kavkaz
{{flagicon image|WaHaridFlag.svg}} Rouse the Believers Operations Room{{cite web|url=https://www.enabbaladi.net/archives/257673|title=أربعة تشكيلات “جهادية” ترفض اتفاق إدلب وتحاول عرقلته.. تعرف إليها|trans-title=Four "jihadist" groups reject the Idlib agreement and try to block it|work=Enab Baladi|date=15 October 2018|access-date=19 February 2025|archive-date=24 October 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181024035230/https://www.enabbaladi.net/archives/257673|url-status=live|lang=ar}}
{{flagicon image|Al-Liwaa.svg}} Abu Amara Special Task Company{{Citation needed|reason=For one there is no source, and two isn't this group normally FSA aligned?|date=September 2018}}
{{flagicon image|Flag of Katibat al-Ghuraba al-Turkestan.svg}} Katibat al-Ghuraba al-Turkistan
{{flagicon image|Flag of Jihad.svg}} Junud al-Sham
{{flagicon image|Flag of Jihad.svg}} Katiba Abd ar-Rahman
{{Flagicon image|Flag of Caucasian Emirate.svg}} Caucasus Emirate
{{flagicon image|Al-Liwaa.svg}} Jama'at Ansar al-Furqan in Bilad al Sham
{{flagicon image|Al-Liwaa.svg}} Malhama Tactical{{citation needed|date=March 2022}}
{{flagicon image|Flag of the Mountain of Islam Battalion.svg}} Katibat Jabal al-Islam
| commander1 = {{flagdeco|Russia}} Vladimir Putin (President of Russia)
{{flagdeco|Syria|1980}} Gen. Mohammad Khaddour
{{flagdeco|Syria|1980}} Maj. Gen. Suheil al-Hassan
| commander2 = {{flagdeco|Turkey}} Recep Erdogan (President of Turkey)
{{flagicon|Syrian opposition}} Mohammad Safwan al Saleh {{KIA}}{{cite web|url=https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/6-september-one-of-fsa-jaysh-al-izza-field-commanders-mohammad|title=One of FSA Jaysh al Izza field commanders Mohammad Safwan al Saleh was killed in Northern Hama – Map of Syrian Civil War – Syria news and incidents today – syria.liveuamap.com|website=Map of Syrian Civil War – Syria news and incidents today – syria.liveuamap.com|access-date=12 September 2018|archive-date=12 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180912131010/https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2018/6-september-one-of-fsa-jaysh-al-izza-field-commanders-mohammad|url-status=live}}
----
{{flagicon|Syrian opposition}}{{Flagicon image|Logo of the Army of Glory.png}} Col. Mustafa Bakr
{{Citation needed|date=October 2018}}
----
{{flagicon image|}} Abu Mohammad al-Julani (Emir of Tahrir al-Sham)
{{flagicon image|}} Abu Maria al-Qahtani
{{flagicon image|}} Abu al-Fath al-Ferghali
{{flagicon image|}} Abu Yaqdhan al-Masri
{{flagicon image|}} Zaid al-Attar
| units1 = {{flagicon image|Syrian Arab Army Flag.svg}} Syrian Army
- 3rd Armoured Division
- 16px Qalamoun Shield Forces
- {{flagicon image|Syrian Republican Guard SSI.svg}} Republican Guard
- 124th Brigade
- 20px 4th Armoured Division
- 18th Armoured Division
- 131st Armored Brigade
- 18px Tiger Forces
16px Air Force Intelligence Directorate
{{flagicon image|InfoboxNDF.png}} National Defence Forces
{{air force|Syria}}
{{flagicon image|Flag of the Syrian Social Nationalist Party.svg}} SSNP
{{flagicon image|Banner of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation (obverse).svg}} Russian Armed Forces and affiliated paramilitaries
- {{flagicon image|Flag of the Russian Air Force.svg}} Aerospace Forces
- Wagner Group
{{flagicon|Iran}} IRGC
| units2 = {{flagicon|Syrian opposition}} National Front for Liberation
- Syrian Liberation Front
- {{flagicon image|Flag of Ahrar ash-Sham.svg}} Ahrar al-Sham
- Nour al-Din al-Zenki Movement
- Sheikh Fadel al-Akel
- Katibat al-Bayia Lillah
- Katibat Usud al-Tawheed
- Liwa al-Adiyat
- Martyr Abu Omar Battalion
- Jaysh al-Ahrar
- Suqour al-Sham Brigades
- {{flagicon image|Flag of the Sham Legion.svg}} Sham Legion
- {{flagicon image||border=no}} Free Idlib Army
- {{flagicon image|Flag of the Jaysh al-Nasr.svg}} Army of Victory
- Elite Army
- {{flagicon image|}} 1st Coastal Division
- 23rd Division
- {{flagicon image|Al-Liwaa.svg}} Islamic Freedom Brigade
- {{flagicon image|Flag of Syrian Turkmens (variant 2).svg}} 2nd Coastal Division
- 1st Infantry Division
----
{{flagicon image|}} Tahrir al-Sham
- {{flagicon image|Flag of Jaysh al-Muhajireen wal-Ansar.png}} Jaish al-Muhajireen wal-Ansar
- {{flagicon|Afghanistan|Taliban}} Imam Bukhari Jamaat
- Jaysh al-Usra
- Movement of Mujahideen of the Sunnis of Iran
- Army of Umar Ibn Khattab
- Army of Abu Bakr as-Sadiq
- Army of Uthman ibn Affan{{cite web|url=http://www.syriahr.com/en/?p=103619|title=After forming 3 armies and in conjunction with selling its real estate, Hayyaat Tahrir al-Sham declares its position on the disarmament agreement in the coming time • The Syrian Observatory For Human Rights|date=30 September 2018|access-date=30 September 2018|archive-date=30 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180930232344/http://www.syriahr.com/en/?p=103619|url-status=live}}
{{flagicon image|WaHaridFlag.svg}} Rouse the Believers Operations Room
- Alliance to Support Islam
- Guardians of Religion Organization
- {{flagicon image|Flag of Jihad.svg}} Ansar al-Tawhid
- {{flagicon image|Emblem of the Ansar al-Deen Front.svg}} Ansar al-Din Front - Harakat Fajr ash-Sham al-Islamiya
- {{flagicon image|Flag of Ansar al-Islam.svg}} Ansar al-Islam
| campaignbox = {{Campaignbox Syrian Civil War}}
| casualties1 = {{flagicon|Syria|1980}} 238 killed (as of 29 April 2019){{cite web|url=http://www.syriahr.com/en/?p=126096|title=Regime's warplanes participate with the Russian warplanes in the escalation of shelling within the dilapidated truce areas as the ground targeting continues within the demilitarized area|date=29 April 2019|access-date=26 August 2019|archive-date=11 January 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230111170328/https://www.syriahr.com/en/126096/|url-status=live}}
{{flagdeco|Russia}} 2 killed{{cite web|url=https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/russian-soldier-killed-in-attack-by-turkish-backed-rebels/|title=Russian soldier killed in attack by Turkish-backed rebels|author=|date=8 February 2019|access-date=8 February 2019|archive-date=6 August 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200806231627/https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/russian-soldier-killed-in-attack-by-turkish-backed-rebels/|url-status=dead}}
| casualties2 = 155 rebels killed (gov.-rebel conflict; as of 29 April 2019)
130 rebels killed (HTS-NLF conflict)[http://www.syriahr.com/en/?p=104054 Clashes of Hayyaat Tahrir al-Sham and the National Liberation Front enters its second day after claiming the lives of 9 civilians and fighters including a military commander and Hayyaat Tahrir al-Sham attack again with an alert in the area] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230111170256/https://www.syriahr.com/en/104054/ |date=11 January 2023 }}
[http://www.syriahr.com/en/?p=108345 Fighting between Ahrar Al-Sham and Tahrir Al-Sham ends after bloody rounds and fears and tension prevail the atmosphere of the pacification reached by mediators] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230111170256/https://www.syriahr.com/en/108345/ |date=11 January 2023 }}
[http://www.syriahr.com/en/?p=111597 The first round of negotiations between Tahrir Al-Sham and the factions of Al-Atarib fails and the attack continues on the largest city in the west of Aleppo with the purpose of taking the control of it] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230111170257/https://www.syriahr.com/en/111597/ |date=11 January 2023 }}
{{flagdeco|Turkey}} 1 killed{{cite web|url=https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/turkish-soldier-killed-in-northern-latakia-after-unknown-group-opens-fire-near-border-crossing/|title=Turkish soldier killed in northern Latakia after unknown group opens fire near border crossing|author=|date=7 April 2019|access-date=8 April 2019|archive-date=23 April 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190423143841/https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/turkish-soldier-killed-in-northern-latakia-after-unknown-group-opens-fire-near-border-crossing/|url-status=dead}}
| casualties3 = 372 civilians killed (as of 29 April 2019)
80,000 people displaced
| notes = {{Note label|result|a}} Buffer zone never fully implemented, interrupted by intermittent shelling and ground offensives.{{Cite web |url=https://www.rudaw.net/english/middleeast/syria/271220192 |title='Doors open' for Syrians fleeing regime-rebel conflict in northwest: SDF commander |access-date=3 February 2020 |archive-date=31 December 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191231024859/https://www.rudaw.net/english/middleeast/syria/271220192 |url-status=live }}{{cite web|url=https://apnews.com/359b711434034ac29bf8cbe18698b5cb|title=Russia, Iran, Turkey say Syrian constitution committee ready|date=16 September 2019|website=AP NEWS|access-date=29 January 2020|archive-date=29 January 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200129221821/https://apnews.com/359b711434034ac29bf8cbe18698b5cb|url-status=live}} Zone considered to be inactive by Turkey, which Russia says did not abide by the agreement,{{cite news|url=https://www.reuters.com/article/us-syria-security-erdogan-idUSKBN1ZS17B|title=Turkey's Erdogan says Russia not abiding by Syria agreements: NTV|newspaper=Reuters|date=29 January 2020|via=www.reuters.com|access-date=10 June 2020|archive-date=11 September 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200911011606/https://www.reuters.com/article/us-syria-security-erdogan-idUSKBN1ZS17B|url-status=live}} while Russia considers Turkey to have failed to separate moderate rebels from hardline jihadists.{{Cite web |url=https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/01/russia-turkey-idlib-syria.html |title=Intel: Will Russia, Turkey de-escalate tensions over Syria's Idlib? |date=31 January 2020 |access-date=3 February 2020 |archive-date=3 February 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200203001301/https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/01/russia-turkey-idlib-syria.html |url-status=live }}
}}
{{Syrian peace process}}
The Idlib demilitarization was an agreement between Turkey and Russia to create a demilitarized zone (DMZ) in Syria's rebel-held Idlib Governorate, to be patrolled by military forces from Russia and Turkey. On 17 September 2018, the Russian president Vladimir Putin and Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, reached an agreement to create a buffer zone in Idlib.{{cite web|url=https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-rebels/syrias-idlib-spared-attack-turkey-to-send-in-more-troops-idUSKCN1LY0T9|title=Syria's Idlib spared attack, Turkey to send in more troops|first1=Tulay|last1=Karadeniz|publisher=Reuters|date=18 September 2018|first2=Suleiman|last2=Al-Khaleidi|access-date=26 December 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181203052807/https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-rebels/syrias-idlib-spared-attack-turkey-to-send-in-more-troops-idUSKCN1LY0T9|archive-date=3 December 2018}}
Background
In the start of 2018, after ISIL defeat in eastern Syria, the Syrian government and its allies intensified their assault on rebels in the southwest. After the Beit Jinn offensive in January, the Eastern Qalamoun offensive (April 2018), rebel fighters who refused to "reconcile" with the government were evacuated to Idlib – reportedly about 1,500 from Qalamoun{{cite web |url=https://ar.syriadirect.org/news/evacuations-around-damascus-continue-as-thousands-depart-encircled-city-of-dumayr/ |title=Evacuations around Damascus continue as thousands depart encircled city of Dumayr - Syria Direct |access-date=18 September 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180919025017/https://ar.syriadirect.org/news/evacuations-around-damascus-continue-as-thousands-depart-encircled-city-of-dumayr/ |archive-date=19 September 2018 |url-status=dead }} and 300 from Beit Jinn to Idlib and Daraa in December{{cite news|url=https://www.timesofisrael.com/assad-regains-control-as-syrian-rebels-abandon-area-bordering-golan-heights/|title=Assad regains control as Syrian rebels abandon area bordering Golan Heights|date=30 December 2017|publisher=Times of Israel|access-date=21 September 2018|archive-date=21 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180921192744/https://www.timesofisrael.com/assad-regains-control-as-syrian-rebels-abandon-area-bordering-golan-heights/|url-status=live}} and more in March.{{cite web|url=https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/syrian-army-in-full-control-of-beit-jinn-area-after-last-militants-leave/|title=Syrian Army in full control of Beit Jinn area after last militants leave|date=20 March 2018|publisher=Al-Masdar|access-date=18 September 2018|archive-date=20 June 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180620233452/https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/syrian-army-in-full-control-of-beit-jinn-area-after-last-militants-leave/|url-status=dead}} At the same time, rebel and HTS fighters surrendered in the long Rif Dimashq Governorate campaign, and the rebels, numbering about 20,000, were transported to Idlib, Afrin and Al-Bab area.{{cite web|url=http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2018-04/26/c_137137014.htm|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180426010443/http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2018-04/26/c_137137014.htm|url-status=dead|archive-date=26 April 2018|title=Syrian army enters eastern Qalamoun after full evacuation of rebels – Xinhua – English.news.cn|website=xinhuanet.com}}{{cite web|url=http://www.syriahr.com/en/?p=93740|title=In 2 months of its control, the regime turns the Eastern Ghouta into a human reservoir for its forces by joining more than 9000 civilians and fighters to its ranks • The Syrian Observatory For Human Rights|date=30 May 2018|access-date=18 September 2018|archive-date=11 January 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230111170304/https://www.syriahr.com/en/93740/|url-status=live}}{{cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2018/02/28/world/middleeast/ap-ml-syria-ghoutas-fighters.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180228162402/https://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2018/02/28/world/middleeast/ap-ml-syria-ghoutas-fighters.html|url-status=dead|archive-date=28 February 2018|title=Thousands of Well-Armed Rebel Fighters Are in Syria's Ghouta – The New York Times|date=28 February 2018|work=The New York Times}} In late July 2018, Syrian government forces and their allies captured the Southern Front, during the 2018 Southern Syria offensive. Rebel fighters who refused to reconcile were again transported to Idlib.{{cite web|url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/07/syrian-army-continues-push-quneitra-ongoing-evacuations-180722075742079.html|title=Syrian army continues push into Quneitra amid ongoing evacuations|date=22 July 2018|website=Al Jazeera|access-date=24 July 2018|archive-date=2 May 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190502095926/https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/07/syrian-army-continues-push-quneitra-ongoing-evacuations-180722075742079.html|url-status=live}}{{Cite news|url=https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/3rd-convoy-of-evacuees-from-quneitra-arrive-in-idlib/1211265|title=3rd convoy of evacuees from Quneitra arrive in Idlib|last1=Musa|first1=Esref|date=23 July 2018|work=Anadolu Agency|access-date=24 July 2018|last2=Karacaoglu|first2=Burak|archive-date=2 May 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190502095931/https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/3rd-convoy-of-evacuees-from-quneitra-arrive-in-idlib/1211265|url-status=live}}
After that, the Syrian government started gathering troops outside of Idlib, and began shelling rebel-held territories at the start of August. Rebels started building defenses and trenches for an upcoming offensive.{{cite web|url=https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2018/08/syria-idlib-battle-regime-rebels-russia.html|title=The coming battle for Idlib|first=Mona|last=Alami|date=2 August 2018|publisher=Al-Monitor|access-date=18 September 2018|archive-date=19 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180919025223/https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2018/08/syria-idlib-battle-regime-rebels-russia.html|url-status=live}}{{cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/02/world/middleeast/syria-idlib-assad.html |title=In Idlib, Final Offensive in Syrian War May Come at Horrific Cost |work=The New York Times |date=2 September 2018 |last1=Coker |first1=Margaret |last2=Saad |first2=Hwaida |author2-link=Hwaida Saad |last3=Gall |first3=Carlotta |author3-link=Carlotta Gall |access-date=18 September 2018 |archive-date=22 May 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190522150812/https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/02/world/middleeast/syria-idlib-assad.html |url-status=live }}{{cite web|url=https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2018/08/idlib-rebels-assad-syria/565160/|title=Surviving in Syria's 'Forgotten Province'|author1=Titwane|author2=International Crisis Group|date=2 August 2018|publisher=The Atlantic|access-date=18 September 2018|archive-date=17 October 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181017213834/https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2018/08/idlib-rebels-assad-syria/565160/|url-status=live}}{{cite news|url=https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/08/28/russia-masses-warships-syria-ahead-regimes-final-assault-idlib/|title=Russia amasses warships off Syria ahead of regime's final assault on Idlib|first=Raf|last=Sanchez|newspaper=The Telegraph|date=28 August 2018|publisher=The Daily Telegraph|access-date=18 September 2018|archive-date=27 October 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181027201737/https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/08/28/russia-masses-warships-syria-ahead-regimes-final-assault-idlib/|url-status=live}}
The bombardments
On 4 September 2018, at least ten Russian Sukhoi aircraft launched dozens of air strikes over the southern and western part of the Idlib Governorate, which led to the largest bombing campaign in the province. Russian air strikes specifically targeted the Jisr al-Shughur District, including Al-Shughour, Mahambel, Basnkoul, Zaizooun, Ziyarah, Jadariiah, Kafrdeen, Al-Sahn, Saraseef and a dozen others. The Russian air force on the first day recorded more than 50-70 attacks. According to pro-government sources, at least 11 civilians were killed, and 24 wounded during the strikes.{{cite web|url=https://syrianwardaily.com/2018/09/04/syrian-war-daily-4th-of-september-2018/|title=Syrian War Daily – 4th of September 2018|date=4 September 2018|publisher=Syrian War Daily Blog|access-date=12 September 2018|archive-date=12 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180912131007/https://syrianwardaily.com/2018/09/04/syrian-war-daily-4th-of-september-2018/|url-status=dead}}{{cite web|url=https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/breaking-russian-air-force-begins-largest-bombing-campaign-of-the-year-in-idlib/|title=Breaking: Russian Air Force begins largest bombing campaign of the year in Idlib|date=4 September 2018|publisher=Al-Masdar|access-date=24 September 2018|archive-date=27 April 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190427140742/https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/breaking-russian-air-force-begins-largest-bombing-campaign-of-the-year-in-idlib/|url-status=dead}}{{cite web|url=https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/russian-air-force-steps-up-attack-despite-large-turkish-army-presence-in-idlib/|title=Russian Air Force steps up attack despite large Turkish Army presence in Idlib|date=4 September 2018|publisher=Al-Masdar|access-date=12 September 2018|archive-date=12 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180912054712/https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/russian-air-force-steps-up-attack-despite-large-turkish-army-presence-in-idlib/|url-status=dead}} The following day, one of the top Syrian Arab Army (SAA) commanders arrived in northern Syria in the upcoming offensive in Idlib, Hama and Latakia: according to the official media wing of the Tigers, their commander, Major-General Suheil al-Hassan, went to Aleppo area to visit the areas retaken by the government.{{cite web|url=https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/tiger-forces-commander-arrives-in-northern-syria-signaling-idlib-offensive-is-near/|title=Tiger Forces commander arrives in northern Syria signaling Idlib offensive is near|date=5 September 2018|publisher=Al-Masdar|access-date=12 September 2018|archive-date=12 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180912054702/https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/tiger-forces-commander-arrives-in-northern-syria-signaling-idlib-offensive-is-near/|url-status=dead}} The Syrian and Russian air forces resumed their airstrikes over the southwestern countryside of the Idlib Governorate today. Using their Sukhoi jets, the Syrian and Russian air forces heavily bombarded the Jisr Al-Shughour District for the second straight day.{{cite web|url=https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/breaking-syrian-russian-jets-swarm-southwest-idlib/|title=Breaking: Syrian, Russian jets swarm southwest Idlib|date=5 September 2018|publisher=Al-Masdar|access-date=12 September 2018|archive-date=12 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180912091935/https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/breaking-syrian-russian-jets-swarm-southwest-idlib/|url-status=dead}} As the bombardments continued, and the fears for an upcoming offensive appeared to become a reality, the United Nations issued a warning that the offensive will result in a bloodbath and a massacre, as about 100,000 rebels and 3,000,000 civilians were holed up in the area. Turkey started sending more troops and boosting defenses in the frontlines, and warned the government and Russia of a humanitarian disaster if their forces started the offensive, saying it would create a new wave of refugees. On 13 September, it was announced Russian President Vladimir Putin would meet Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Iran, to discuss ways forward.{{cite news|url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/09/erdogan-warn-human-catastrophe-idlib-180911065036878.html|title=Erdogan and UN warn of human catastrophe in Idlib|publisher=al-Jazeera|access-date=18 September 2018|archive-date=18 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180918235337/https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/09/erdogan-warn-human-catastrophe-idlib-180911065036878.html|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/sep/11/syria-idlib-humanitarian-catastrophe-turkey-warns|title=UN head calls for Idlib to be spared 'humanitarian nightmare'|author=|date=11 September 2018|website=The Guardian|access-date=27 January 2019|archive-date=28 January 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190128070802/https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/sep/11/syria-idlib-humanitarian-catastrophe-turkey-warns|url-status=live}}{{cite news|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/the-latest-kremlin-says-putin-could-meet-erdogan-next-week/2018/09/14/0dafc050-b808-11e8-ae4f-2c1439c96d79_story.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180914120300/https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/the-latest-kremlin-says-putin-could-meet-erdogan-next-week/2018/09/14/0dafc050-b808-11e8-ae4f-2c1439c96d79_story.html|url-status=dead|archive-date=14 September 2018|title=The Latest: Turkey reinforces security posts in north Syria|newspaper=Washington Post}}
Terms
The demilitarization deal was struck on 16 September and was announced as binding on both parties. The terms were as follows:{{cite web|url=https://www.jpost.com/Middle-East/What-the-Russia-Turkey-Idlib-agreement-reveals-about-the-Syrian-conflict-567558|title=What the Russia-Turkey Idlib agreement reveals about the Syrian conflict|access-date=21 September 2018|archive-date=20 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180920205725/https://www.jpost.com//Middle-East/What-the-Russia-Turkey-Idlib-agreement-reveals-about-the-Syrian-conflict-567558|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/09/turkey-civilians-stay-idlib-terrorists-removed-180918112856499.html|title=Turkey: Civilians to stay in Idlib, 'terrorists' to be removed|website=aljazeera.com|access-date=18 September 2018|archive-date=23 May 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190523141302/https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/09/turkey-civilians-stay-idlib-terrorists-removed-180918112856499.html|url-status=live}}{{cite news|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/russia-turkey-deal-may-delay-but-not-prevent-a-battle-for-syrias-idlib-province/2018/09/18/9e9050d0-bb4b-11e8-adb8-01125416c102_story.html|title=Russia-Turkey deal may delay, but not prevent, a battle for Syria's Idlib province|newspaper=Washington Post|access-date=18 September 2018|archive-date=18 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180918213512/https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/russia-turkey-deal-may-delay-but-not-prevent-a-battle-for-syrias-idlib-province/2018/09/18/9e9050d0-bb4b-11e8-adb8-01125416c102_story.html|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/sep/18/surprise-truce-brokered-by-turkey-and-russia-spares-idlib-for-now|title=Idlib truce: 'We do not trust Russia – but it is better than bombing'|first=Martin|last=Chulov|date=18 September 2018|website=The Guardian|access-date=27 January 2019|archive-date=1 February 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190201173149/https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/sep/18/surprise-truce-brokered-by-turkey-and-russia-spares-idlib-for-now|url-status=live}}{{cite news|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-45554188|title=Russia and Turkey to create Syria buffer|work=BBC News|date=17 September 2018|access-date=18 September 2018|archive-date=9 November 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201109040103/https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-45554188|url-status=live}}{{cite news|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-45554188|title=Russia and Turkey to create Syria buffer|date=17 September 2018|publisher=BBC|access-date=18 September 2018|archive-date=9 November 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201109040103/https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-45554188|url-status=live}}{{cite news|url=https://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/offensive-idlib-180919084340375.html|title=What does Russia want in northwest Syria?|first=Leonid|last=Issaev|publisher=al-jazeera|access-date=19 September 2018|archive-date=19 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180919144545/https://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/offensive-idlib-180919084340375.html|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=https://www.thenational.ae/world/mena/full-text-of-turkey-russia-memorandum-on-idlib-revealed-1.771953|title=Full text of Turkey-Russia memorandum on Idlib revealed|website=The National|date=19 September 2018|language=en|access-date=1 August 2019|archive-date=9 August 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190809185131/https://www.thenational.ae/world/mena/full-text-of-turkey-russia-memorandum-on-idlib-revealed-1.771953|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkey-russia-agree-on-borders-of-idlib-disarmament-zone-ministry-137087|title=Turkey, Russia agree on borders of Idlib disarmament zone - Turkey News|website=Hürriyet Daily News|date=21 September 2018 |language=en|access-date=1 August 2019|archive-date=1 August 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190801182632/http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkey-russia-agree-on-borders-of-idlib-disarmament-zone-ministry-137087|url-status=live}}
- A demilitarized zone (DMZ) would be set up entirely within rebel-held territory. It would be 15 to 25 km deep (9–15 miles) and come into effect by 15 October. All acts of aggression would be prohibited within the zone.
- The Syrian Government would refrain from attacks on the rebel-held Idlib Governorate.
- Groups deemed "radical", such as the Al-Qaeda-linked Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), would have to leave the demilitarized zone entirely.
- Groups deemed "moderate", such as the Turkish-backed National Front for Liberation, would be allowed to remain within the demilitarized zone, but would have to withdraw all heavy and medium weapons from it, including all tanks, MLRS, artillery and mortars.
- The HTS-run Syrian Salvation Government would be dissolved.
- The rebel groups would open and ensure unrestricted civilian access through the M4 and M5 highways.
- Turkey would use its network of observation posts in Idlib to secure the rebel-held DMZ, while Russia and Iran would likewise set up and use their own military observation posts to secure the government-controlled territories, which border the zone.
- Turkey and Russia would coordinate joint patrols along the DMZ, in order to ensure compliance.
- Russia and Turkey would reiterate their "determination to combat terrorism in Syria in all forms and manifestations".
The pro-government Al-Watan newspaper further reported that the agreement would reportedly end in the return of government institutions to Idlib, after rebel groups withdraw from residential areas.{{cite web|url=https://www.militarytimes.com/flashpoints/2018/09/18/syrias-government-and-opposition-welcome-idlib-demilitarized-zone-deal-struck-by-turkey-and-russia/|title=Syria's government and opposition welcome Idlib demilitarized zone deal struck by Turkey and Russia|author=Bassem Mroue|agency=Associated Press|date=18 September 2018|website=Military Times|language=en-US|access-date=1 August 2019|archive-date=1 August 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190801182632/https://www.militarytimes.com/flashpoints/2018/09/18/syrias-government-and-opposition-welcome-idlib-demilitarized-zone-deal-struck-by-turkey-and-russia/|url-status=live}}
The Turkistan Islamic Party, Guardians of Religion Organization, Ansar al-Tawhid, Ansar al-Din Front, and Ansar al-Islam rejected the deal, putting the agreement in jeopardy,{{cite web|url=https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/jihadist-groups-allegedly-reject-idlib-agreement/|title=Jihadist groups allegedly reject Idlib agreement|date=19 September 2018|publisher=Al-Masdar|access-date=18 September 2018|archive-date=23 December 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181223214751/https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/jihadist-groups-allegedly-reject-idlib-agreement/|url-status=dead}} while Tahrir al-Sham issued an ambiguous statement on the deal.{{cite web|url=https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2018/10/analysis-jihadists-in-syria-react-to-sochi-agreement.php|title=Analysis: Jihadists in Syria react to Sochi agreement|date=16 October 2018|access-date=23 October 2018|author=Thomas Joscelyn|work=Long War Journal|archive-date=17 October 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181017123629/https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2018/10/analysis-jihadists-in-syria-react-to-sochi-agreement.php|url-status=live}}
Incidents after the deal
On 19 September, the Syrian military attacked positions held by HTS and its allies, in the Hama-Latakia-Idlib axis, stating that it has still not withdrawn its troops from the area.{{cite web|url=https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/syrian-army-launches-powerful-attack-across-southern-idlib/|title=Syrian Army launches powerful attack across southern Idlib|date=20 September 2018|publisher=Al-Masdar|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=20 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180920142903/https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/syrian-army-launches-powerful-attack-across-southern-idlib/|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/syrian-army-strikes-northern-latakia-and-west-idlib-hard-despite-sochi-agreement-video/|title=Syrian Army strikes northern Latakia and west Idlib hard despite Sochi agreement (video)|date=19 September 2018|publisher=Al-Masdar|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=20 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180920161300/https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/syrian-army-strikes-northern-latakia-and-west-idlib-hard-despite-sochi-agreement-video/|url-status=live}}
On 20 September, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham reportedly executed an individual who was reportedly supportive of reconciliation with the Syrian Government.{{cite web|url=https://syrianwardaily.com/2018/09/20/syrian-war-daily-20th-of-september-2018/|title=Syrian War Daily – 20th of September 2018|date=20 September 2018|access-date=21 September 2018|archive-date=16 November 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181116031036/https://syrianwardaily.com/2018/09/20/syrian-war-daily-20th-of-september-2018/|url-status=dead}}{{better source needed|SPS|date=September 2018}}
Turkish officials and officials from Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) since the inception of the deal have been discussing a course of action to be taken in Idlib in line with the deal's guidelines. Reportedly the most urgent topic of the discussions is the uncertain fate of foreign fighters within HTS, with HTS proposing that the group dissolves and become part of an umbrella of other groups, while foreign fighters along with the group's leader Abu Mohammad al-Julani be allowed safety, discussions have been inconclusive in this regard but satisfactory in other aspects with many elements of HTS welcoming much of the Sochi agreement.{{cite web|url=https://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/features/turkey-idlib-180924191442969.html|title=After the Sochi agreement, HTS is facing internal divisions|date=27 September 2018|publisher=Al Jazeera|access-date=1 October 2018|author=Mariya Petkova|archive-date=17 December 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181217235116/https://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/features/turkey-idlib-180924191442969.html|url-status=live}}
While pro-government forces reportedly attacked opposition forces positioned in Turkmen Mountain in the Latakia Governorate which is reportedly a part of the agreed demilitarized zone, which caused several fires in the area, the government also targeted other areas of the Latakia Mountains including Jabal Al-Akrad and Kabani. Government targeting also hit areas in the Idlib Governorate including the Qoqfeen area in the western countryside of the province. The areas in the Hama Governorate were also reportedly hit including the town of al-Sermaniyyeh in the al-Ghab plain, opposition factions responded by shelling government-held areas in the northern countryside of the Hama governorate in the towns of Joureen and Foro.{{cite web|url=http://www.syriahr.com/en/?p=103653|title=After exchange of targeting within the truce areas and their vicinity between the factions against the regime forces...the latter renew their breaches through shelling on Lattakia Mountains and the north of Hama • The Syrian Observatory For Human Rights|date=30 September 2018|access-date=1 October 2018|archive-date=1 October 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181001154310/http://www.syriahr.com/en/?p=103653|url-status=live}} Later at night on the same day multiple rebels including the Nour al-Din al-Zenki Movement reportedly shelled Pro-Government positions in the western parts of Aleppo targeting the Mokambo and Al-Andalus districts of the city. In response to the attack the Syrian military fired missiles into the Rashideen 4 area held by the Syrian opposition.{{cite web|url=https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/jihadist-rebels-launch-overnight-attack-on-aleppo-city/|title=Jihadist rebels launch overnight attack on Aleppo city|date=30 September 2018|publisher=Al Masdar News|access-date=1 October 2018|archive-date=1 October 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181001104039/https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/jihadist-rebels-launch-overnight-attack-on-aleppo-city/|url-status=live}}
On 1 October, machine gun fire was reportedly emanating from pro-government forces in the rebel-held Lirmoun area of the northwestern outskirts of Aleppo, along with continued shelling on behalf of pro-government forces after shelling from the previous night.{{cite web|url=http://www.syriahr.com/en/?p=103673|title=Artillery shelling targets the northern countryside of Aleppo province in conjunction with targeting to the western outskirts of Aleppo city • The Syrian Observatory For Human Rights|date=October 2018|access-date=1 October 2018|archive-date=1 October 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181001154311/http://www.syriahr.com/en/?p=103673|url-status=live}}
On 2 October, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and Turkish officials reportedly reached an agreement where agrees to withdraw fighters and heavy weapons from the established demilitarized zone, as well as a dissolution of the Syrian Salvation Government and its administration became integrated with the Syrian Interim Government and that HTS restructures so it will no longer be designated a terrorist organization by Turkey, and Turkey in turn agrees not to take action against the group and its members and leadership will be given safety.[https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/hts-to-allegedly-withdraw-from-idlib-buffer-zone-after-turkish-intel-pressure-al-watan/ HTS to allegedly withdraw] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181003100926/https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/hts-to-allegedly-withdraw-from-idlib-buffer-zone-after-turkish-intel-pressure-al-watan/ |date=3 October 2018 }}, Al-Masdar{{better source needed|poor source for rebel issues|date=September 2018}}
On 26 October, pro-government shelling in the Idlib Governorate killed seven, reportedly being the largest loss of life since August 2018.{{cite news|url=https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-idlib-idUSKCN1N02DZ|title=Shelling in Syria's Idlib kills seven, largest death toll since...|newspaper=Reuters|date=26 October 2018|access-date=31 December 2018|via=www.reuters.com|archive-date=1 January 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190101002835/https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-idlib-idUSKCN1N02DZ|url-status=live}}
On 16 February, SOHR reported that at least 18 people were killed and many more injured after sporadic Syrian government shelling on Maarrat al-Nu'man, Khan Shaykhun, Hama and surrounding settlements in the rebel-held Idlib region within the past two days. Rebels responded with machine gun and rocket fire towards SAA positions.{{cite web|url=https://www.thenational.ae/world/mena/war-monitor-regime-shelling-kills-18-civilians-in-northwest-syria-1.826577|title=War monitor: Regime shelling kills 18 civilians in northwest Syria|website=The National|date=17 February 2019|access-date=7 May 2019|archive-date=17 February 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190217142522/https://www.thenational.ae/world/mena/war-monitor-regime-shelling-kills-18-civilians-in-northwest-syria-1.826577|url-status=live}}
= Failure of the deal =
The deal's terms were never implemented fully. Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) never left the demilitarized zone and, to the contrary, launched a full-scale offensive against the other rebel groups remaining within the rebel-held Idlib Governorate. After 10 days of fighting, the National Front for Liberation (at that point the second largest and most powerful rebel group in Idlib, after HTS) signed a peace deal with the group, which allowed HTS to take over almost the entirety of the Idlib governorate, leaving only small and minor pockets under the control of the other rebel groups. The HTS-run Syrian Salvation Government was not dissolved but instead expanded its control to all of the areas recently captured by HTS, including those within the demilitarized zone. The presence of HTS forces along the demarcation line led to frequent exchanges of artillery shelling with government forces, which significantly undermined any chances for a true cesassion of violence. The M4 and M5 highways were never reopened by rebel forces and even the groups deemed 'moderate' by the deal never withdrew all heavy and medium weapons from the demilitarized zone. The provision for joint Turkish-Russian patrols within the DMZ was also not enforced, as the rebel groups categorically refused the entry of any Russian soldiers or military police to their controlled areas, allowing only Turkish forces to do so. The rebel's refusal reportedly came after Turkey reportedly 'promised' them that it would not allow any Russian presence within the DMZ.{{cite web|url=http://www.syriahr.com/en/?p=111933|title=Syrian Civil War: What next for Syria's last major rebel bastion?|date=9 January 2019|website=Syrian Observatory for Human Rights|access-date=5 August 2019|archive-date=11 December 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191211153546/http://www.syriahr.com/en/?p=111933|url-status=live}}{{Cite news|url=https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-idlib-idUSKCN1MC2D9|title=Syrian rebels say Turkey promises no Russian patrols in Idlib zone|date=2 October 2018|work=Reuters|access-date=5 August 2019|language=en|archive-date=9 September 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190909083943/https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-idlib-idUSKCN1MC2D9|url-status=live}}{{Cite book|url=https://fas.org/sgp/crs/mideast/RL33487.pdf|title=Armed Conflict in Syria: Overview and U.S. Response|last=Humund|first=Carla|year=2019|page=15|access-date=5 August 2019|archive-date=22 May 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190522133314/https://fas.org/sgp/crs/mideast/RL33487.pdf|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=https://www.dw.com/en/pro-turkey-rebels-start-pullout-from-syrias-idlib-under-deal/a-45693917|title=Pro-Turkey rebels start pullout from Syria's Idlib under deal|date=30 September 2018|website=Deutsche Welle|language=en-GB|access-date=5 August 2019|archive-date=30 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180930134152/https://www.dw.com/en/pro-turkey-rebels-start-pullout-from-syrias-idlib-under-deal/a-45693917|url-status=live}} The deadline for the fulfilment of the deal's conditions was extended multiple times to allow Turkey more time to convince the rebel groups to adhere to the terms, but all such attempts were unsuccessful.{{cite web|url=https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2018/10/18/Russia-Turkey-extend-deadline-to-clear-Syrias-demilitarized-zone/3591539890241/|title=Russia, Turkey extend deadline to clear Syria's demilitarized zone|website=UPI|language=en|access-date=5 August 2019|archive-date=18 July 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190718195758/https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2018/10/18/Russia-Turkey-extend-deadline-to-clear-Syrias-demilitarized-zone/3591539890241/|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=http://www.developmentchannel.org/2018/10/19/peacetime-extended-in-idlib-following-russia-turkey-agreeement/|title=Peacetime extended in Idlib following Russia-Turkey agreeement [sic]|author=|date=19 October 2018|website=Development Channel|language=en-US|access-date=5 August 2019|archive-date=5 August 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190805131850/http://www.developmentchannel.org/2018/10/19/peacetime-extended-in-idlib-following-russia-turkey-agreeement/|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=https://thenewmail.co.uk/russia-turkey-extend-deadline-clear-syrias-demilitarized-zone/|title=Russia, Turkey extend deadline to clear Syria's demilitarized zone|last=Mail|first=The New|date=18 October 2018|website=The New Mail|language=en-GB|access-date=5 August 2019|archive-date=5 August 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190805131848/https://thenewmail.co.uk/russia-turkey-extend-deadline-clear-syrias-demilitarized-zone/|url-status=live}}
=Renewed fighting=
{{Main|Northwestern Syria offensive (April–August 2019)}}
On 6 May, after six continuous days of intensive airstrikes on the region by the SyAAF and RuAF, the Syrian Arab Army launched a ground offensive against HTS and NFL-held areas in northern Hama and southern Idlib. The Syrian Government stated that the assault was provoked by increased rebel attacks on government-held areas originating from within the demilitarized zone. The Russian government stated that the deal was not implemented by the rebel groups, hence justifying military action against them.{{Cite news|url=https://www.reuters.com/article/us-syria-security-northwest-idUSKCN1SA0EG|title=Damascus presses Idlib attack, artillery hits Turkish position|date=5 May 2019|work=Reuters|access-date=5 August 2019|language=en|archive-date=5 August 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190805184712/https://www.reuters.com/article/us-syria-security-northwest-idUSKCN1SA0EG|url-status=live}} The Idlib-based rebel groups stated that the goal of the offensive would be to capture the M4 and M5 highways in the Idlib Governorate.{{cite web|url=http://en.farsnews.com/newstext.aspx?nn=13980216000648|title=Syrian Army Makes Key Advances in Hama, Commences Military Operations in Idlib|website=en.farsnews.com|access-date=6 May 2019|archive-date=8 May 2019|archive-url=https://archive.today/20190508130502/http://en.farsnews.com/newstext.aspx?nn=13980216000648|url-status=dead}}{{Cite news|url=https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-syria-security-idlib-idUKKCN1SC00Z|title=Syrian rebels say goal of Russia's Idlib assault is to take highways|date=6 May 2019|work=Reuters|access-date=6 May 2019|language=en|archive-date=7 June 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190607055746/https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-syria-security-idlib-idUKKCN1SC00Z|url-status=dead}}{{cite web|url=https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/syrian-troops-advance-insurgents-northwest-62848037|title=Syrian troops advance against insurgents in northwest|website=ABC News|language=en|access-date=6 May 2019|archive-date=15 May 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190515151559/https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/syrian-troops-advance-insurgents-northwest-62848037|url-status=live}}
= Attempted revival of the deal =
On 1 August 2019, following several months of intense fighting between government and rebel forces, the Syrian Government announced a unilateral truce, conditional on rebels' fulfilment of the original 2018 demilitarisation terms.{{cite web|url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/08/syria-agrees-conditional-ceasefire-rebel-held-idlib-190801180202440.html|title=Syrian gov't agrees to conditional ceasefire in rebel-held Idlib|website=www.aljazeera.com|access-date=5 August 2019|archive-date=9 September 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190909164855/https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/08/syria-agrees-conditional-ceasefire-rebel-held-idlib-190801180202440.html|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=https://www.france24.com/en/20190801-syria-agrees-conditional-ceasefire-idlib-rebels|title=Syria agrees to conditional ceasefire in last rebel stronghold|date=1 August 2019|website=France 24|language=en|access-date=5 August 2019|archive-date=5 August 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190805034224/https://www.france24.com/en/20190801-syria-agrees-conditional-ceasefire-idlib-rebels|url-status=live}} Most rebel groups reportedly accepted the offer.{{cite news|url=https://www.ft.com/content/51946ec2-b4f8-11e9-bec9-fdcab53d6959|title=Syrian armed opposition agrees to Idlib truce, diplomat says|website=Financial Times|date=2 August 2019|language=en-GB|access-date=5 August 2019|archive-date=5 August 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190805131844/https://www.ft.com/content/51946ec2-b4f8-11e9-bec9-fdcab53d6959|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/8/2/syrian-govt-opposition-agree-to-a-ceasefire-in-idlib|title=Syrian gov't, opposition agree to a ceasefire in Idlib|date=2 August 2019|author=Ali Younes|publisher=Al Jazeera}} Shortly after the truce went into effect, however, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham declared that they would categorically refuse to leave any region under their control at that time, which was a core demand of both the original agreement and the conditional ceasefire.{{cite web|url=https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/breaking-jihadists-refuse-to-withdraw-from-demilitarized-zone/|title=Breaking: Jihadists refuse to withdraw from demilitarized zone|author=|date=3 August 2019|website=AMN - Al-Masdar News {{!}} المصدر نيوز|language=en-US|access-date=5 August 2019|archive-date=3 August 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190803224319/https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/breaking-jihadists-refuse-to-withdraw-from-demilitarized-zone/|url-status=dead}}{{cite web|url=https://www.thenational.ae/world/mena/syria-s-tahrir-al-sham-rebels-refuse-withdrawal-from-idlib-buffer-area-1.894102|title=Syria's Tahrir Al-Sham rebels refuse withdrawal from Idlib buffer area|website=The National|date=4 August 2019|language=en|access-date=5 August 2019|archive-date=4 August 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190804084857/https://www.thenational.ae/world/mena/syria-s-tahrir-al-sham-rebels-refuse-withdrawal-from-idlib-buffer-area-1.894102|url-status=live}} A day later, the government announced the end of the ceasefire and a resumption of military operations, citing the refusal of rebel groups to withdraw from the zone as the reason for the truce's failure.{{cite web|url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/08/syrian-army-resume-operations-rebel-held-idlib-190805125652653.html|title=Syrian army to resume operations in rebel-held Idlib|website=www.aljazeera.com|access-date=5 August 2019|archive-date=5 August 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190805134603/https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/08/syrian-army-resume-operations-rebel-held-idlib-190805125652653.html|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/syrian-military-cancels-truce-in-northern-syria-will-resume-operations/|title=Syrian military cancels truce in northern Syria, will resume operations|author=|date=5 August 2019|website=AMN - Al-Masdar News {{!}} المصدر نيوز|language=en-US|access-date=5 August 2019|archive-date=5 August 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190805134601/https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/syrian-military-cancels-truce-in-northern-syria-will-resume-operations/|url-status=live}} A considerable portion of the DMZ's territory was subsequently captured by the Syrian Army and its allies during the final stages of the offensive. Another ceasefire was announced in late August, which confirmed the government gains. Some rebel groups on the other hand, expressed their refusal to adhere to the deal and withdraw from the remaining 'demilitarized' areas, hence signaling that the agreement would not be revived.{{cite web|url=http://www.syriahr.com/en/?p=141549|title=Jihadi groups and organizations still refuse to withdraw from the "demilitarized" area agreed upon between "Putin – Rouhani – Erdogan" • The Syrian Observatory For Human Rights|date=22 September 2019|website=The Syrian Observatory For Human Rights|language=en-US|access-date=24 September 2019|archive-date=11 January 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230111170258/https://www.syriahr.com/en/141549/|url-status=live}}
The subsequent 2019-2020 Northwestern Syria offensive saw large parts of the originally designated zone being captured by the Syrian Army. In mid February 2020 the Syrian Army regained control of the M5 Motorway.{{cite news |url=https://apnews.com/9f6d1f6ea8866e2d82e41b9bf08e67a5 |title=AP Explains: Why Syria's M5 is Assad's highway to victory |last=Karam |first=Zeina |author-link=Zeina Karam |work=Associated Press |date=14 February 2020 |access-date=6 March 2020 |archive-date=28 February 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200228133202/https://apnews.com/9f6d1f6ea8866e2d82e41b9bf08e67a5 |url-status=live }}
On 5 March 2020, Russia and Turkey came to a new cease-fire agreement, which included joint Russian and Turkish patrols of a {{convert|12|km}} wide corridor alongside the M4 Motorway that runs through Idlib to Latakia.{{cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/05/world/europe/putin-erdogan-syria.html |title=Putin and Erdogan Reach Accord to Halt Fighting in Syria |last=Higgins |first=Andrew |newspaper=The New York Times |date=5 March 2020 |access-date=6 March 2020 |archive-date=6 March 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200306033305/https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/05/world/europe/putin-erdogan-syria.html |url-status=live }}{{cite news |url=https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/turkey-russia-agree-syria-ceasefire-midnight-erdogan |title=Ceasefire brokered by Turkey and Russia takes effect in Syria's Idlib |website=Middle East Eye |date=5 March 2020 |access-date=6 March 2020 |archive-date=6 March 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200306211936/https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/turkey-russia-agree-syria-ceasefire-midnight-erdogan |url-status=live }}
Conflict parties
File:Pro-rebel demonstrations in northwestern Syria 2018-9-22.ogg
A number of different, rivalrous rebel and jihadist factions control territory in Idlib Governorate, with fighters numbering up to 70,000. They are loosely organised into two rival coalitions, who had fought against each other in the January–March and July 2017.
= HTS and allies =
- Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS): one of the most powerful militant groups in Syria. It controls up to two-thirds of Idlib Governorate,{{cite news|title=Idlib's ruling militant group finds itself alone as regime forces advance|url=https://www.thenational.ae/world/mena/idlib-s-ruling-militant-group-finds-itself-alone-as-regime-forces-advance-1.766200|publisher=The National|date=2 September 2018|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=21 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180921034634/https://www.thenational.ae/world/mena/idlib-s-ruling-militant-group-finds-itself-alone-as-regime-forces-advance-1.766200|url-status=live}}Sarah El Deeb [https://apnews.com/029b2c06636744d098c10180b5f4b3c4 Last stand: Syria’s rebel Idlib prepares for a losing battle] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180920221000/https://apnews.com/029b2c06636744d098c10180b5f4b3c4 |date=20 September 2018 }}, Associated Press, 17 September 2018 including Idlib City and the Bab al-Hawa border crossing with Turkey.{{Cite news|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-45403334|title=Why does the battle for Idlib matter?|work=BBC News|date=4 June 2019|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=6 June 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190606061005/https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-45403334|url-status=live}} It was previously affiliated with Al-Qaeda, and is often said (including by the US State Department{{cite web|url=https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2017/05/state-offers-10-million-for-leader-of-the-syria-branch-of-al-qaeda.php|title=State offers $10 million for leader of 'the Syria branch of al Qaeda' | FDD's Long War Journal|date=10 May 2017|website=www.longwarjournal.org|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=21 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180921035827/https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2017/05/state-offers-10-million-for-leader-of-the-syria-branch-of-al-qaeda.php|url-status=live}}) to remain an al-Qaeda affiliate, despite the group's statement that since 2016 it does not belong to any "external entity".{{Citation needed|date=October 2018}} The group's leader, Abu Mohammad al-Julani, stated after the rebel defeats in the south that the same thing will not happen in Idlib, implying that his coalition will fight if the regime raided Idlib. The UN estimates it and its allies to have 10,000 fighters, with a high number of foreigners. Other estimates put it at 8,000,{{cite web | author=Salzburger Nachrichten | title=Offenbar mehr als 10.000 Terroristen im syrischen Idlib | website=SN.at | date=1 October 2018 | url=https://www.sn.at/politik/weltpolitik/offenbar-mehr-als-10-000-terroristen-im-syrischen-idlib-40960915 | language=de | access-date=16 February 2019 | archive-date=17 February 2019 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190217142228/https://www.sn.at/politik/weltpolitik/offenbar-mehr-als-10-000-terroristen-im-syrischen-idlib-40960915 | url-status=live }} about 10,000, to 12–14,000 fighters{{Cite web|url=https://twitter.com/jorgechav49/status/1041823439546462208|title=x.com}} or even 30,000.
- Turkistan Islamic Party in Syria: an ethnic Uyghur jihadist group that came to Idlib from China during the revolution, and is close to HTS. They reportedly rejected the agreement. According to the Syrian government, the group has as many as 10,000 armed fighters, although Western analysts say the number is considerably lower,{{cite news|author=BBC Reality Check team|title=Syria: Who's in control of Idlib?|work=BBC News|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-45401474|date=7 September 2018|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=27 July 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190727020858/https://www.bbc.com/news/world-45401474|url-status=live}} and the German government estimates 1,500. According to some commentators, many of its leaders are "double-agents", meaning that although the group as a whole is not a part of Al-Qaeda, its leaders are high ranking al-Qaeda members.{{cite web|url=https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2017/02/uighur-jihadist-fought-in-afghanistan-killed-in-syria.php|title=Uighur jihadist fought in Afghanistan, killed in Syria | FDD's Long War Journal|date=14 February 2017|website=www.longwarjournal.org|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=28 April 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190428073913/https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2017/02/uighur-jihadist-fought-in-afghanistan-killed-in-syria.php|url-status=live}}
- Alliance to Support Islam: the group is another branch of Al-Qaeda in Syria, formed by Huras al-Din (whose fighting force is estimated by the German government at 1,000), and Ansar al-Tawhid, strong loyalists to Ayman al-Zawahiri, who rejected Joulani as their leader and the HTS project. It is led by Abu Humam al-Shami.{{cite web|title=The True Story of al-Qaeda's Demise and Resurgence in Syria|url=https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/true-story-al-qaedas-demise-and-resurgence-syria|author=Tore Refslund Hamming, Pieter Van Ostaeyen|date=April 2018|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=29 September 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230929234240/https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/true-story-al-qaedas-demise-and-resurgence-syria|url-status=live}} {{failed verification span|text=It is thought that the group has about 2,000-3,000 active fighters.|date=February 2019}}{{cite web|url=https://syrianwardaily.com/2018/02/28/syrian-war-daily-28th-of-february-2018/|title=Syrian War Daily – 28th of February 2018|first=Joško|last=Barić|date=28 February 2018|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=1 March 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180301164331/https://syrianwardaily.wordpress.com/2018/02/28/syrian-war-daily-28th-of-february-2018/|url-status=dead}}{{better source needed|SPS|date=September 2018}}
- Katibat Jabal al-Islam: a Turkmen group, allied to HTS.{{cite web|url=http://www.aymennjawad.org/18251/the-factions-of-north-latakia|title=The Factions of North Latakia|first=Aymenn Jawad|last=Al-Tamimi|website=Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=21 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180921034355/http://www.aymennjawad.org/18251/the-factions-of-north-latakia|url-status=live}}
- Ajnad al-Kavkaz: a group made up from people from the Caucasus countries, that it came to Syria to fight the Russian government and the Assad regime, closely allied with HTS and other rebel groups. It has about 200 fighters.{{cite web|url=https://theintercept.com/2016/09/03/in-turkey-a-chechen-commander-makes-plans-for-war-in-syria/|title=In Turkey, a Chechen Commander Makes Plans for War in Syria|first=Marcin|last=Mamon|date=3 September 2016|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=3 September 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160903160750/https://theintercept.com/2016/09/03/in-turkey-a-chechen-commander-makes-plans-for-war-in-syria/|url-status=live}}
- Jama'at Ansar al-Furqan in Bilad al Sham: another Al-Qaeda branch is Syria, thought to be led by Abu Julaib, a veteran Qaeda commander. VOA news states that the group may even be led by Hamza bin Laden. Not many things are heard about the group, and it may have merged with Hurras al-Din.{{cite web|url=https://www.voanews.com/middle-east/turkey-deploys-more-forces-northern-syria|title=Turkey Deploys More Forces in Northern Syria|website=Voice of America|access-date=29 January 2020|archive-date=29 January 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200129224714/https://www.voanews.com/middle-east/turkey-deploys-more-forces-northern-syria|url-status=dead}}
- Junud al-Sham: a very small group, made primarily of Chechens.
= NFL coalition =
The National Front for Liberation (NFL): not a single group, but a coalition, formed in 2018, mainly from two big groups. The first identifies as part of the more moderate Free Syrian Army; the second, which joined in August, is another, more radical, coalition, the Syrian Liberation Front (made up primarily of Ahrar al-Sham and the Nour al-Din al-Zenki Movement). The coalition controls territory in rural southern Idlib, rural western Aleppo and some settlements around Idlib City, according to the Turkish government linked Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies, and is thought to boast 30,000 to 55–60,000 rebels, or even up to 70,000.{{citation needed|date=September 2018}} The coalition is heavily supported by Turkey.{{cite web|url=https://www.enabbaladi.net/archives/231479|title=11 فصيلًا يشكلون "الجبهة الوطنية للتحرير" في إدلب - عنب بلدي|date=29 May 2018|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=24 April 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190424021505/https://www.enabbaladi.net/archives/231479|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=https://www.enabbaladi.net/archives/244317|title=تعرف على أبرز قيادات "الجبهة الوطنية للتحرير" - عنب بلدي|date=1 August 2018|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=11 January 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230111170320/https://www.enabbaladi.net/archives/244317|url-status=live}} The groups that made the coalition are:
- Free Idlib Army: an FSA group, it commands about 6,000 fighters.{{cite web|url=https://rfsmediaoffice.com/en/2016/09/20/fsa-idlib-new-launch-towards-unified-military-action/#.V-IiK_B97IU|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160923180230/https://rfsmediaoffice.com/en/2016/09/20/fsa-idlib-new-launch-towards-unified-military-action/#.V-IiK_B97IU|url-status=dead|archive-date=23 September 2016|title=FSA in Idlib... A new launch towards unified military action – Revolutionary Forces of Syria media office|date=20 September 2016|publisher=RFS Media Office}}
- 1st Coastal Division: an FSA group. Close allies of the group, who are also part of FSA, 2nd Army, 2nd Coastal Division, 1st Infantry Division, and Islamic Freedom Brigade, also joined the coalition.{{cite web|url=https://notgeorgesabra.wordpress.com/2014/10/21/the-moderate-rebels-a-complete-and-growing-list-of-vetted-groups/|title=Protected Blog › Log in|website=notgeorgesabra.wordpress.com|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=9 June 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190609014835/https://notgeorgesabra.wordpress.com/2014/10/21/the-moderate-rebels-a-complete-and-growing-list-of-vetted-groups/|url-status=live}}
- 23rd Division: another smaller FSA group, who joined the coalition.
- Elite Army: another FSA group, whom a part of it, is also part of Turkish-backed Free Syrian Army.
- Jaysh al-Nasr: another FSA group. It has about 5,000 fighters in its ranks.{{cite web|url=https://hasanmustafas.wordpress.com/2015/05/08/the-moderate-rebels-a-complete-and-growing-list-of-vetted-groups-fielding-tow-missiles/|title=The Moderate Rebels: A Growing List of Vetted Groups Fielding BGM-71 TOW Anti-Tank Guided Missiles|date=8 May 2015|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=2 June 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160602182613/https://hasanmustafas.wordpress.com/2015/05/08/the-moderate-rebels-a-complete-and-growing-list-of-vetted-groups-fielding-tow-missiles/|url-status=live}}
- Syrian Liberation Front: one of the biggest forces in Idlib, it has about 25,000-27,000 fighters. It is essentially an alliance of Ahrar al-Sham and the Nour al-Din al-Zenki Movement, two hardline Sunni Islamist groups and the two largest rebel groups in northwestern Syria behind their main rival, Tahrir al-Sham.{{cite web|url=https://www.baladi-news.com/ar/news/details/27797/%D8%A3%D8%AD%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%B1_%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%B4%D8%A7%D9%85_%D9%88%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%B2%D9%86%D9%83%D9%8A_%D9%8A%D8%B4%D9%83%D9%84%D9%88%D9%86_%D8%AC%D8%A8%D9%87%D8%A9_%D8%AA%D8%AD%D8%B1%D9%8A%D8%B1_%D8%B3%D9%88%D8%B1%D9%8A%D8%A7|title=أحرار الشام والزنكي يشكلون "جبهة تحرير سوريا" - شبكة بلدي الإعلامية|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190609151813/https://www.baladi-news.com/ar/news/details/27797/%D8%A3%D8%AD%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%B1_%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%B4%D8%A7%D9%85_%D9%88%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%B2%D9%86%D9%83%D9%8A_%D9%8A%D8%B4%D9%83%D9%84%D9%88%D9%86_%D8%AC%D8%A8%D9%87%D8%A9_%D8%AA%D8%AD%D8%B1%D9%8A%D8%B1_%D8%B3%D9%88%D8%B1%D9%8A%D8%A7|archive-date=9 June 2019|url-status=dead}}{{cite web|url=https://www.brecorder.com/2018/02/19/399757/hardline-syria-rebels-announce-merger/|title=Hardline Syria rebels announce merger|date=19 February 2018|access-date=31 December 2018|archive-date=2 May 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190502051421/https://www.brecorder.com/2018/02/19/399757/hardline-syria-rebels-announce-merger/|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=https://syriadirect.org/news/nour-e-din-a-zinki-defects-from-hts-citing-unwillingness-to-end-rebel-infighting/|title=Nour e-Din a-Zinki defects from HTS, citing unwillingness to end rebel infighting|website=Syria Direct|date=20 July 2017|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=25 December 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181225001655/https://syriadirect.org/news/nour-e-din-a-zinki-defects-from-hts-citing-unwillingness-to-end-rebel-infighting/|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=https://foreignpolicy.com/2017/03/15/al-qaeda-is-swallowing-the-syrian-opposition/|title=Al Qaeda Is Starting to Swallow the Syrian Opposition|first=Charles|last=Lister|date=15 March 2017 |access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=4 October 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181004004502/https://foreignpolicy.com/2017/03/15/al-qaeda-is-swallowing-the-syrian-opposition/|url-status=live}}
- Sham Legion: an alliance of rebel Islamist groups, it is also an ally of HTS. The group has about 8,500-10,000 fighters.{{cite web|url=https://www.dw.com/en/pro-turkey-rebels-start-pullout-from-syrias-idlib-under-deal/a-45693917|title=Pro-Turkey rebels start pullout from Syria's Idlib under deal - DW - 30.09.2018|website=Deutsche Welle|access-date=30 September 2018|archive-date=30 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180930134152/https://www.dw.com/en/pro-turkey-rebels-start-pullout-from-syrias-idlib-under-deal/a-45693917|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=https://syriadirect.org/news/victory-army-commander-on-restructuring-infighting-led-to-%E2%80%98breakdown-of-our-operational-effectiveness%E2%80%99/|title=Inside the Victory Army restructuring: Infighting led to 'breakdown of our operational effectiveness'|website=Syria Direct|access-date=21 September 2018|archive-date=22 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180922024420/https://syriadirect.org/news/victory-army-commander-on-restructuring-infighting-led-to-%E2%80%98breakdown-of-our-operational-effectiveness%E2%80%99/|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=https://www.bellingcat.com/news/mena/2016/08/13/syrian-opposition-factions-in-the-syrian-civil-war/|title=Syrian Opposition Factions in the Syrian Civil War – bellingcat|date=13 August 2016|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=9 April 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220409073932/https://www.bellingcat.com/news/mena/2016/08/13/syrian-opposition-factions-in-the-syrian-civil-war/|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=http://eng.mil.ru/en/news_page/country/more.htm?id=12107227|title=More in detail : Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation|website=eng.mil.ru|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=20 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180920121048/http://eng.mil.ru/en/news_page/country/more.htm?id=12107227|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=https://nedaa-sy.com/en/news/6391|title=11 FSA Factions in New Command in of "National Front Liberation"|date=28 May 2018|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=18 November 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181118162023/https://nedaa-sy.com/en/news/6391|url-status=dead}} It has rejected the deal.
Reactions
=Supranational=
- {{flag|United Nations}} − the United Nations praised the deal, hoping that it will be the start of a political solution in Syria.{{cite web|url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/09/russia-turkey-deal-idlib-wary-residents-glimpse-hope-180919173822189.html|title=Russia-Turkey deal gives Idlib's wary residents 'glimpse of hope'|website=aljazeera.com|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=24 May 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190524150506/https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/09/russia-turkey-deal-idlib-wary-residents-glimpse-hope-180919173822189.html|url-status=live}}
=National=
- {{flag|Iran}} − Iran's foreign minister Mohammad Javad Zarif in response to the deal tweeted, "Diplomacy Works", while adding that visits to Turkey and Russia in recent weeks pursued the deal to avert an offensive or campaign in Idlib "with a firm commitment to fight extremist terror." Bahram Ghasemi Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesmen said in regards to the agreement, "it is an important and essential step for removing the remaining terrorists in Syria."{{cite news|url=https://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-5353628,00.html|title=Iran welcomes Russia-Turkey agreement on Idlib|newspaper=Ynetnews|date=18 September 2018|access-date=21 September 2018|archive-date=21 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180921113803/https://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-5353628,00.html|url-status=live}}
- {{flag|Turkey}} − Turkish foreign minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu in response to strong opposition to aspects of the agreement by groups such as Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, that Turkish and Russian drones would patrol the demilitarized zone, while also saying, "The moderate opposition will stay in its place, a thing of much importance. A ceasefire will be conducted, the area will not be attacked, and accordingly there would not be provocations against other areas."
- {{flag|United States}} − President Donald Trump wrote on Twitter warning that a large humanitarian crisis could happen in a post saying, "President Bashar al-Assad of Syria must not recklessly attack Idlib Province. The Russians and Iranians would be making a grave humanitarian mistake to take part in this potential human tragedy. Hundreds of thousands of people could be killed. Don’t let that happen!" He also said in another occasion it would make the United States "Very, very, Angry".{{cite news|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-45444088|title=What will Trump do next on Syria?|first=Barbara Plett|last=Usher|work=BBC News|date=7 September 2018|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=20 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180920204047/https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-45444088|url-status=live}} On 26 September, President Donald Trump said to the United Nations Security Council "the Syrian regime's butchery is enabled by Russia and Iran" and he added "I want to thank Iran, Russia and Syria for --at my very strong urgent and request-- substantially slowing down their attack on Idlib province and three million people who live there in order to get 35,000 targeted terrorists. Get the terrorists but I hope the restraint continues. The world is watching," while also thanking Turkey by saying, "Thank you also to Turkey for helping to negotiate restraint. Anything the U.S.A. can do to help resolve this problem in order to save perhaps even hundreds of thousands of lives, maybe more, we are willing and able. We are available to help."{{cite web|url=http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/trump-thanks-turkey-for-helping-avoid-offensive-on-syrias-idlib-137261|title=Trump thanks Turkey for helping avoid offensive on Syria's Idlib - Turkey News|website=Hürriyet Daily News|date=26 September 2018 |access-date=26 September 2018|archive-date=26 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180926193534/http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/trump-thanks-turkey-for-helping-avoid-offensive-on-syrias-idlib-137261|url-status=live}}
=Domestic=
- {{flagicon|Rojava}} Democratic Federation of Northern Syria − Former president of DFNS Salih Muslim said that Turkey and Russia are plotting to send a Jihadist army from Idlib to Afrin for future attacks against Kurds in Syria.{{cite web|url=http://www.hawarnews.com/ar/haber/d8b5d8a7d984d8ad-d985d8b3d984d9853a-d987d986d8a7d983-d8b5d981d982d8a7d8aa-d8acd8afd98ad8afd8a9-d8a8d98ad986-d8b1d988d8b3d8a7-d988d8aad8b1d983d98ad8a7-d988d982d8af-d98ad8b1d8b3d984d988d986-d8a7d984d8a5d8b1d987d8a7d8a8d98ad98ad986-d985d986-d8a5d8afd984d8a8-d8a5d984d989-d8b9d981d8b1d98ad986-h7951.html|title=صالح مسلم: هناك صفقات جديدة بين روسا وتركيا وقد يرسلون الإرهابيين من إدلب إلى عفرين - ANHA - وكالة أنباء هاوار|access-date=20 September 2018|archive-date=20 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180920230526/http://www.hawarnews.com/ar/haber/d8b5d8a7d984d8ad-d985d8b3d984d9853a-d987d986d8a7d983-d8b5d981d982d8a7d8aa-d8acd8afd98ad8afd8a9-d8a8d98ad986-d8b1d988d8b3d8a7-d988d8aad8b1d983d98ad8a7-d988d982d8af-d98ad8b1d8b3d984d988d986-d8a7d984d8a5d8b1d987d8a7d8a8d98ad98ad986-d985d986-d8a5d8afd984d8a8-d8a5d984d989-d8b9d981d8b1d98ad986-h7951.html|url-status=live}}
- {{flag|Syrian Arab Republic}} − The Syrian government welcomed the agreement; however, officials still vowed to the press to retake "every inch of Syria". The Syrian ambassador to Lebanon also said this would be a test of Turkey's ability to keep its promises.
- {{flag|Syrian Opposition}} − Mustafa Sejari, a Free Syrian Army official told journalists, "The Idlib deal preserves lives of civilians and their direct targeting by the regime. It buries Assad’s dreams of imposing his full control over Syria." He added, "This area will remain in the hands of the Free Syrian Army and will force the regime and its supporters to start a serious political process that leads to a real transition that ends Assad’s rule."{{cite web|url=http://www.arabnews.com/node/1373836/middle-east|title=Syrian rebels see Idlib deal as victory, Damascus as test for Turkey|date=18 September 2018|access-date=21 September 2018|archive-date=20 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180920083747/http://www.arabnews.com/node/1373836/middle-east|url-status=live}} Mahmoud Abbi the spokesman for the Turkish funded Free Idlib Police told the Guardian "Civilians in Idlib think this is a good deal, they feel hopeful and happy concerning it, We are grateful for Turkey’s efforts to prevent the Russian and Assad attack on Idlib. However ... we do not trust Russia about the deal. But for now it is better than displacement or bombing. The deal is for Turkey’s security but it is also face-saving for Putin and by association Assad, Iran refused to participate in this attack because of its own bad military and economic situation. The Assad regime is weak and has no ability to attack without the help of Iranian militias."{{cite news|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/syria-rebel-group-refuses-to-withdraw-from-idlib-front-lines/2018/09/30/d4820c6e-c4a7-11e8-9c0f-2ffaf6d422aa_story.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180930154404/https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/syria-rebel-group-refuses-to-withdraw-from-idlib-front-lines/2018/09/30/d4820c6e-c4a7-11e8-9c0f-2ffaf6d422aa_story.html|url-status=dead|archive-date=30 September 2018|title=Syrian rebel group won't abandon front lines in province|date=30 September 2018|agency=Associated Press|author=Bassem Mroue|access-date=1 October 2018}}
- {{flagicon image|}} Hayat Tahrir al-Sham − rejected the conditions of the deal on 19 September. Several high ranking leaders, including scholars in Tahrir al-Sham, expressed their dissatisfaction with the terms through outlets such as Telegram channels. Abu al-Fath al-Ferghali, a scholar in Tahrir al-Sham on Telegram, wrote on 19 September, "that who demands surrendering his weapon, whom ever he is, is undoubtedly an enemy, for giving up on this weapon is treason to religion, upholding the word of Allah and the blood of martyrs which has been scarified to get it." While adding, "There is no worry about surrendering what is more important than arms, which is the areas liberated by the blood of the honest people. [. . .] The matter of concern is that the human and jinn would act as to disperse the lines of Mujahideen, inspiring doubt among them and justifying submission." Zaid al-Attar another HTS official posted on Telegram, "Our weaponry is our pride and honor, as well as the safety valve to this blessed jihad; it is rather the only guarantee to the realization of the revolution’s aims of attaining dignity and freedom, for our enemy knows no other language but force."[https://english.enabbaladi.net/archives/2018/09/commanders-of-tahrir-al-sham-disapprove-the-idlib-deal-terms/ Commanders of “Tahrir al-Sham” Disapprove the Idlib Deal Terms] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180921034331/https://english.enabbaladi.net/archives/2018/09/commanders-of-tahrir-al-sham-disapprove-the-idlib-deal-terms/ |date=21 September 2018 }}, Enab Baladi 19 September 2018 No official stance was held by HTS until 14 October when Hayat Tahrir al-Sham published an official statement on the agreement entitled "The Revolution will not die", the statement detailed the group's stance as after a period of consultation it accepts the deal but the group will not abandon Jihad nor will they hand over weapons and it thanked individuals who had supported the group financially.{{cite web|url=https://jihadology.net/2018/10/14/new-statement-from-hayat-ta%e1%b8%a5rir-al-sham-the-revolution-of-al-sham-will-not-die/|title=New statement from Hay'at Taḥrīr al-Shām: "The Revolution of al-Shām Will Not Die"|first=Aaron Y.|last=Zelin|date=14 October 2018|access-date=31 December 2018|archive-date=16 November 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181116213001/https://jihadology.net/2018/10/14/new-statement-from-hayat-ta%e1%b8%a5rir-al-sham-the-revolution-of-al-sham-will-not-die/|url-status=live}}
- {{flagicon image|Logo of the Army of Glory.png}} Jaysh al-Izza − on 20 September, Jamil al-Salih, the leader of the group, posted on Twitter though initially opposing the agreement, "All the thanks to our Turkish brothers who prevented warplanes and bombers from targeting our civilian people and all the shame and disgrace to those who left the Syrian people in the middle of the road and disappointed women and children," The group is also considered a key ally to Hayat Tahrir al-Sham as well as a major Free Syrian Army faction.{{cite web|url=http://www.nedaa-sy.com/en/news/8515|title=Jaish al-Izzah: Thanks to Turkey and shame and disgrace to those who gave up the Syrian people|date=20 September 2018|access-date=24 April 2020|archive-date=24 January 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200124184202/http://www.nedaa-sy.com/en/news/8515|url-status=live}} Later, on 29 October, the group went back to rejecting the deal, after it was announced that the zone will only include the areas of opposition control, and published a statement demanding an equally divided zone. The group also rejected the presence of Russian forces in rebel-held areas, and opposed the opening of highways until the Syrian government releases detainees.{{Cite web|url=https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DoQ8HbRXkAAyuUn.jpg|archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20180930062816/https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DoQ8HbRXkAAyuUn.jpg|url-status=dead|title=Image|archivedate=30 September 2018}}{{Cite web|url=https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DoQ8HbaXoAAvbsW.jpg|archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20180930062816/https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DoQ8HbaXoAAvbsW.jpg|url-status=dead|title=Image|archivedate=30 September 2018}}
- {{flagicon image|Emblem of the Ansar al-Deen Front.svg}} Ansar al-Din Front – On 23 September, the group published a statement condemning the Sochi Agreement, stating it was an extension of the "disastrous" Astana Agreement, as well as saying the agreement was a destruction of the Revolution.{{cite web|url=https://jihadology.net/2018/09/23/new-statement-from-jabhat-an%E1%B9%A3ar-al-din-the-sochi-agreement-and-complete-destruction-of-the-shami-revolution/|title=New statement from Jabhat Anṣār al-Dīn: "The Sochi Agreement and Complete Destruction of the Shāmī Revolution"|date=23 September 2018|publisher=Jihadology|access-date=1 October 2018|archive-date=1 October 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181001104229/https://jihadology.net/2018/09/23/new-statement-from-jabhat-an%E1%B9%A3ar-al-din-the-sochi-agreement-and-complete-destruction-of-the-shami-revolution/|url-status=live}}
- Guardians of Religion Organization – On 22 September, a statement was published by the group titled "About the Recent Sochi Agreement (Dayton #2): We Did Not Strive To Remove The Tyrant To Replace With Another Tyrant". The statement said the most evil of forces have gathered together to destroy the Jihad in Syria, which is in a fragile state as it is and the agreement is part of the plot to destroy the goals of Jihad in Syria. The statement also said that these forces won their roles and share their influence and control.{{cite web|url=https://jihadology.net/2018/09/22/new-statement-from-%E1%B8%A5uras-al-din-about-the-recent-sochi-agreement-dayton-2-we-did-not-strive-to-temove-the-tyrant-to-replace-with-another-tyrant/|title=New statement from Ḥurās al-Dīn: "About the Recent Sochi Agreement (Dayton #2): We Did Not Strive To Temove The Tyrant To Replace With Another Tyrant"|date=22 September 2018|publisher=Jihadology|access-date=1 October 2018|archive-date=1 October 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181001104228/https://jihadology.net/2018/09/22/new-statement-from-%E1%B8%A5uras-al-din-about-the-recent-sochi-agreement-dayton-2-we-did-not-strive-to-temove-the-tyrant-to-replace-with-another-tyrant/|url-status=live}}
- Turkistan Islamic Party in Syria, Jama'at Ansar al-Furqan in Bilad al Sham, and Ajnad al-Kavkaz have also all rejected the deal.{{cite web|url=https://en.muraselon.com/2018/09/idlib-reject-russia-turkish-deal/|title=Largest extremist groups in Idlib reject Russia-Turkish deal|date=19 September 2018|publisher=Mura Selon blog|access-date=19 September 2018|archive-date=19 September 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180919211319/https://en.muraselon.com/2018/09/idlib-reject-russia-turkish-deal/|url-status=live}}{{better source needed|SPS|date=September 2018}}
=Other=
- {{flagicon image|InfoboxHez.PNG}} Hezbollah − Hassan Nasrallah, the general-secretary of Hezbollah, said in a televised speech on the occasion of Ashura, "We can assume, following this deal, that Syria is going to a calm phase but we will be staying in the country based on an agreement with the Syrian government."{{cite web|url=http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2018-09/20/c_137480034.htm|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180921074505/http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2018-09/20/c_137480034.htm|url-status=dead|archive-date=21 September 2018|title=Hezbollah vows to stay in Syria amidst Russia-Turkey deal on Idlib – Xinhua – English.news.cn|website=xinhuanet.com}}
See also
{{Portal|Asia}}
- Operation Euphrates Shield
- Turkish military operation in Idlib Governorate
- Operation Olive Branch
- Second Northern Syria Buffer Zone, another Syrian buffer zone arranged by Turkey and Russia
References
{{Reflist|30em}}
Further reading
- {{cite magazine | title=Syria's Last Bastion of Freedom | magazine=The New Yorker | date=10 December 2018 | url=https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2018/12/10/syrias-last-bastion-of-freedom | ref={{sfnref | The New Yorker | 2018}} | access-date=16 February 2019}}
{{Tahrir al-Sham}}
{{Syrian Civil War}}
{{coord|34.5600|N|38.2672|E|source:wikidata|display=title}}
{{DEFAULTSORT:Northwestern Syria campaign}}
Category:Military operations of the Syrian civil war involving Tahrir al-Sham
Category:Military operations of the Syrian civil war involving the Syrian government
Category:Military operations of the Syrian civil war involving Russia
Category:Military operations of the Syrian civil war in 2018
Category:Military operations of the Syrian civil war in 2019
Category:Aleppo Governorate in the Syrian civil war
Category:Hama Governorate in the Syrian civil war
Category:Latakia Governorate in the Syrian civil war
Category:Idlib Governorate in the Syrian civil war