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Opinion polling for the 2017 New Zealand general election

{{Short description|none}}

{{Use New Zealand English|date=June 2013}}

{{Use dmy dates|date=April 2017}}

Various organisations commissioned opinion polls for the 2017 New Zealand general election during the term of the 51st New Zealand Parliament (2014–2017). Roy Morgan Research polled monthly, with MediaWorks New Zealand (3 News/Newshub Reid Research) and Television New Zealand (One News Colmar Brunton) polling less frequently. The last The New Zealand Herald (Herald Digipoll) was in December 2015, and Fairfax Media (Fairfax Media Ipsos) discontinued their poll after the 2014 election. The sample size, margin of error and confidence interval of each poll varied by organisation and date, but were typically 800–1000 participants with a margin of error of just over 3%.

The previous Parliament was elected on Saturday 20 September 2014. The 2017 general election was held on Saturday 23 September 2017.

{{cite news

|last1= Wong|first1= Simon

|title= Prime Minister sets 2017 election date

|url= http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2017/02/prime-minister-sets-2017-election-date.html

|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20170201032626/https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2017/02/prime-minister-sets-2017-election-date.html

|url-status= dead

|archive-date= 1 February 2017

|access-date= 1 February 2017

|agency=Newshub |date= 1 February 2017

}}

Party vote and key events

Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between survey organisations.

=Graphical summary=

The first graph below shows trend lines averaged across all polls for parties that received 5.0% or more of the party vote at the 2014 election. The second graph shows parties that received between 1.0% and 4.9% of the party vote or won an electorate seat at the 2014 election.

File:NZ opinion polls 2014-2017-majorparties.png (smoothing set to span = 0.35), with shaded grey areas showing the corresponding 95% confidence interval for the estimate. Figures to the right show the estimate from the smoothing line at the date of the most recent poll, with 95% confidence interval. ]]

File:NZ opinion polls 2014-2017-minorparties.png (smoothing set to span = 0.35), with shaded grey areas showing the corresponding 95% confidence interval for the estimate. Figures to the right show the estimate from the smoothing line at the date of the most recent poll, with 95% confidence interval. ]]

{{clear}}

=Individual polls=

class="sortable" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="1" "toccolours" style="text-align:center; margin-right:0.5em; margin-top:0.4em; font-size:90%; border:1px solid darkgray"
style="height:40px"

! style="background:#ddd;width:180px;" | DateThese are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

! style="background:#ddd;width:270px;" | Poll

! style="background-color:#B0CEFF;width:40px" | NAT

! style="background-color:#FFB6B6;width:40px" | LAB

! style="background-color:#90EE90;width:40px" | GRN

! style="background-color:#D3D3D3;width:40px" | NZF

! style="background-color:#D4958F;width:40px" | MRI

! style="background-color:#FAFA73;width:40px" | ACT

! style="background-color:#E395EC;width:40px" | UNF

! style="background-color:#91D3FF;width:40px" | CON

! style="background-color:#F3828A;width:40px" | MNA

! style="background-color:#9299F5;width:40px" | TOP

style="background:#ccc;"

! colspan=12 |

style="background:#ddd;"

| data-sort-value="2014-09-20" | 20 Sep 2014

| 2014 election result{{cite web |url= http://www.electionresults.govt.nz/electionresults_2014/partystatus.html |title= Official Count Results – Overall Status |publisher=Electoral Commission |location=Wellington |date= 10 October 2014 |access-date= 29 November 2014}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |47.04

25.1310.708.661.320.690.223.971.42For the Internet MANA party vote alliance.{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2014-10-12" | 29 Sep – 12 Oct 2014

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url= http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/5868-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-october-16-2014-201410160358 |title= National fail to get post-election bounce but leaderless Labour Party crash to lowest ever support |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date= 16 October 2014 |access-date= 29 November 2014}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |43.5

22.517.5720.50.551{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2014-11-09" | 27 Oct – 9 Nov 2014

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url= http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/5929-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-november-9-2014-201411140037 |title= National enjoy delayed honeymoon with big lead over leaderless Labour before new leader is selected next week |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date= 14 November 2014 |access-date= 29 November 2014}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |49.5

2414.56.510.5020.5{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2014-12-07" | 24 Nov – 7 Dec 2014

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url= http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/5978-roy-morgan-new-zealand-poll-december-7-2014-201412120452 |title= National lead is down after Andrew Little claims the Labour Leadership with a landslide of Union support over Cabinet's preferred option Grant Robertson |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date= 12 December 2014 |access-date= 26 December 2014}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |46

2712721.502.51{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2014-12-21" | 8–21 Dec 2014

| Herald–DigiPoll{{cite web |first= Audrey |last= Young |date= 26 December 2014 |url= http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11379112 |title= National, Labour both on the rise |publisher=The New Zealand Herald |access-date= 2 February 2015}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |50.4

28.99.55.61.50.402.90.2{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-01-18" | 5–18 Jan 2015

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url= http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6028-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-january-2015-201501230555 |title= National surges in 2015 – Biggest lead since September 2014 NZ Election |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date= 23 January 2015 |access-date= 23 January 2015 |archive-date= 23 January 2015 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20150123130047/http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6028-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-january-2015-201501230555 |url-status= dead }}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |52

261161.51020{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-01-28" | 20–28 Jan 2015

| 3 News–Reid Research{{cite web |first= Patrick |last= Gower |author-link= Patrick Gower |date= 1 February 2015 |url= http://www.3news.co.nz/nznews/little-rivals-clark-in-favourable-poll-results-2015020116 |title= Little rivals Clark in favourable poll results |publisher=3 News |access-date= 1 February 2015 |archive-date= 1 February 2015 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20150201191119/http://www.3news.co.nz/nznews/little-rivals-clark-in-favourable-poll-results-2015020116 |url-status= dead }}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |49.8

29.19.36.91.30.402.70.6{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-02-15" | 2–15 Feb 2015

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url= http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6078-roy-morgan-new-zealand-february-voting-intention-201502200720 |title= National support slips but Labour still well behind as New Zealand co-host the 2015 Cricket World Cup |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date= 20 February 2015 |access-date= 20 February 2015}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |49

301261001.50{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-02-18" | 14–18 Feb 2015

| One News–Colmar Brunton{{citation|url=http://colmarbrunton.co.nz/images/150302_ONE_News_Colmar_Brunton_Poll_report_14-18_Feb_2015.pdf|title=ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll 14–18 February 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160401062736/http://colmarbrunton.co.nz/images/150302_ONE_News_Colmar_Brunton_Poll_report_14-18_Feb_2015.pdf|publisher=Colmar Brunton|date=22 February 2015|archive-date=1 April 2016|access-date=11 September 2017}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |49

311061.50.301.40.4{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-03-15" | 2–15 Mar 2015

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url= http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6128-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-march-2015-201503200448 |title= National support slips but would win a close election as New Zealand get set to host Cricket World Cup Quarter-Final |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date= 20 March 2015 |access-date= 20 March 2015}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |46.5

3111621–1.5–{{small|N/A}}
style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2015-03-28" | 28 Mar 2015

| colspan="11" | The Northland by-election is won by New Zealand First leader Winston Peters.

data-sort-value="2015-04-05" | 11–15 Apr 2015

| data-sort-value="2015-04-21" | One News–Colmar Brunton{{cite news |url= http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/images/150419_2_ONE_News_Colmar_Brunton_Poll_report_11-15_April_2015.pdf|title= Current ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll |publisher=Colmar Brunton |date= 19 April 2015 |access-date= 21 Apr 2015}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |49

31970.80.5–1.51.1{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-04-19" | 6–19 Apr 2015

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url= http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6187-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-april-2015-201504230106 |title= National retains strong support despite NZ First victory at the Northland by-election |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date= 23 April 2015 |access-date= 23 April 2015}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |45.5

27.513.581.51–1–{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-04-26" | 17–26 Apr 2015

| Herald-DigiPoll{{cite web |first= Audrey |last= Young |date= 29 April 2014 |url= http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11440058 |title= Ponytail-gate fails to shake Prime Minister's ratings |publisher=The New Zealand Herald |access-date= 29 April 2015}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |51

28.710.86.10.80.8–1.1–{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-05-17" | 4–17 May 2015

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url= http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6248-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-may-2015-201505250727 |title= Positive news in lead up to New Zealand Budget helps National Government support jump to 54% – highest since October 2011 Share |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date= 25 May 2015 |access-date= 25 May 2015}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |54

25.510.561101–{{small|N/A}}
style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2015-05-21" | 21 May 2015

| colspan="11" | The 2015 Budget is delivered.

data-sort-value="2015-05-27" | 23–27 May 2015

| One News–Colmar Brunton{{cite news |url= http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/images/150531_2_ONE_News_Colmar_Brunton_Poll_report_23-27_May_2015_prelim.pdf |title= Current ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll |publisher=Colmar Brunton |date= 31 May 2015 |access-date= 1 June 2015 }}{{Dead link|date=February 2022 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |48

311071.40.1–2.3–{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-05-27" | 21–27 May 2015

| 3 News–Reid Research{{cite web |first= Patrick |last= Gower |author-link= Patrick Gower |date= 2 June 2015 |url= http://www.3news.co.nz/nznews/john-keys-popularity-drops-in-latest-poll-2015060218#axzz3brg4lwEb |title= John Key's popularity drops in latest poll |publisher=3 News |access-date= 2 June 2015 |archive-date= 3 June 2015 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20150603070250/http://www.3news.co.nz/nznews/john-keys-popularity-drops-in-latest-poll-2015060218#axzz3brg4lwEb |url-status= dead }}{{cite web|url=http://www.reidresearch.co.nz/TV3+POLL+RESULTS.html |title=TV3 Poll Results |website=Reidresearch.co.nz |access-date=26 February 2017}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |46.4

30.411.18.11.10.5–1.90.1{{small|N/A}}
style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2015-05-30" | 30 May 2015

| colspan="11" | James Shaw replaces Russel Norman as the Green Party co-leader.{{cite web|title=James Shaw named Greens new co-leader|url= http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11457327|access-date=30 May 2015|website=The New Zealand Herald|date=30 May 2015}}

data-sort-value="2015-06-21" | 8–21 Jun 2015

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url= http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6300-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-june-2015-201506240227 |title= National Government support down to 49.5% as New Zealand growth slows to 0.2% in March Quarter – slowest in two years |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date= 24 June 2015 |access-date= 24 June 2015}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |49.5

26136.511–1–{{small|N/A}}
style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2015-06-27" | 22–27 Jun 2015

| colspan="11" | The Conservative Party disintegrates as leader Colin Craig and all board members resign. Acting leadership of the party is left unclear.{{cite news|url=http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11469194|title=Calls for Colin Craig's party membership to be cancelled|date=22 June 2015|work=The New Zealand Herald|last1=Davison|first1=Isaac|access-date=22 June 2015}}

data-sort-value="2015-07-12" | 29 Jun – 12 Jul 2015

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url= http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6349-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-july-2015-201507170250 |title= Support for Labour/Greens coalition overtakes National for first time since New Zealand Election |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date= 17 July 2015 |access-date= 17 July 2015}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |43

321371.50.5–1.5–{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-07-05" | 11–15 Jul 2015

| One News–Colmar Brunton{{cite news |url= http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/index.php/polls-and-surveys/political-polls/one-news-colmar-brunton-poll |title= Current ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll |publisher=Colmar Brunton |date= 19 July 2015 |access-date= 19 July 2015 |archive-date= 21 July 2015 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20150721160354/http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/index.php/polls-and-surveys/political-polls/one-news-colmar-brunton-poll |url-status= dead }}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |47

321370.40.4––0.5{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-07-22" | 15–22 Jul 2015

| 3 News–Reid Research{{cite web |first= Patrick |last= Gower |author-link= Patrick Gower |date= 26 July 2015 |url= http://www.3news.co.nz/nznews/poll-61pct-want-to-ban-foreign-buyers-2015072617#axzz3gqh0yHS9 |title= Poll: 61pct want to ban foreign buyers |publisher=3 News |access-date= 26 July 2015 |archive-date= 15 August 2015 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20150815163102/http://www.3news.co.nz/nznews/poll-61pct-want-to-ban-foreign-buyers-2015072617#axzz3gqh0yHS9 |url-status= dead }}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |47

31.111.48.40.50.50.10.70.2{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-08-16" |3–16 Aug 2015

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url= http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6406-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-august-2015-201508200049 |title= National support jumps ahead of a potential Labour/Greens alliance |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date= 20 August 2015 |access-date= 20 August 2015}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |50.5

271181.50.5––0.5{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-08-24" |14–24 Aug 2015

| Herald-DigiPoll{{cite web |first= Audrey |last= Young |date= 26 August 2015 |url= http://www.nzherald.co.nz/politics/news/article.cfm?c_id=280&objectid=11502827 |title= Labour's support recovers to 30s |publisher=The New Zealand Herald |access-date= 26 August 2015}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |50.8

319.26.910.2–0.60.2{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-09-02" | 29 Aug – 2 Sep 2015

| One News–Colmar Brunton{{cite news |url= http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/images/150907_1_ONE_News_Colmar_Brunton_Poll_report_29_Aug-2_Sep_2015.pdf |title= Current ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll |publisher=Colmar Brunton |date= 6 September 2015 |access-date= 11 September 2015 }}{{Dead link|date=February 2022 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |47

321271.20.1–0.10.2{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-09-13" | 31 Aug – 13 Sep 2015

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url= http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6456-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-september-2015-2015091807219 |title= Potential Labour/Greens alliance support jumps ahead of National as RBNZ cuts interest rates to boost flagging NZ economy |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date= 13 September 2015 |access-date= 18 September 2015 }}{{Dead link|date=February 2022 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |44.5

31155.51.50.50.510.5{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2016-09-16" | 8–16 Sep 2015

| 3 News–Reid Research{{cite web |first= Patrick |last= Gower |author-link= Patrick Gower |date= 26 July 2015 |url= http://www.3news.co.nz/nznews/political-poll-support-low-for-flag-change-2015092016#axzz3mJPcupOV |title= Political poll: Support low for flag change |publisher=3 News |access-date= 21 September 2015 |archive-date= 9 October 2015 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20151009073622/http://www.3news.co.nz/nznews/political-poll-support-low-for-flag-change-2015092016#axzz3mJPcupOV |url-status= dead }}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |47.3

33107.90.50.6–0.5–{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-10-11" | 31 Sep – 11 Oct 2015

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6506-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-october-2015-201510150600 |title=National support jumps in October with signing of Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and leads potential Labour/Greens alliance |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |access-date= 15 October 2015}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |50

2911.56.50.50.5–0.50.5{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-12-04" | 10–14 Oct 2015

| One News–Colmar Brunton{{cite news |url= http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/images/151018_ONE_News_Colmar_Brunton_Poll_report_10-14_Oct_2015_prelim.pdf |title= Current ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll |publisher=Colmar Brunton |date= 18 October 2015 |access-date= 20 October 2015 }}{{Dead link|date=February 2022 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |47

311290.80.2–0.4–{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-11-08" | 26 Oct – 8 Nov 2015

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6557-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-november-2015-201511130233 |title=NZ voting intention virtually unchanged in November before controversy this week after PM John Key accuses Opposition Leader Andrew Little of backing rapists |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |access-date= 13 November 2015}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |49

29.512620.5–0.50.5{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-11-17" | 9–17 Nov 2015

| 3 News–Reid Research{{cite web |first= Patrick |last= Gower |author-link= Patrick Gower |date= 22 November 2015 |url= http://www.3news.co.nz/nznews/national-still-ahead-in-polls-despite-rapist-remarks-2015112217#axzz3sM83EsVZ |title= National still ahead in polls despite 'rapist' remarks |publisher=3 News |access-date= 24 November 2015 |archive-date= 23 November 2015 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20151123155701/http://www.3news.co.nz/nznews/national-still-ahead-in-polls-despite-rapist-remarks-2015112217#axzz3sM83EsVZ |url-status= dead }}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |46.7

32.310.27.51.30.8–0.70.2{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-12-06" | 23 Nov – 6 Dec 2015

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6599-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-december-2015-201512092333 |title=National set for Merry Christmas as Key Government retains strong lead over Labour/Greens opposition |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |access-date= 25 December 2015}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |49

28.51361.50.50.50.5–{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-12-14" | 4–14 Dec 2015

| Herald-DigiPoll{{cite web |first= Audrey |last= Young |date= 15 December 2015 |url= http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11561025 |title= National steady at year-end |publisher=The New Zealand Herald |access-date= 16 December 2015}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |51.3

31.18.25.72.10.80.3––{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2016-01-17" | 4–17 Jan 2016

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6639-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-january-2016-201601220219 |title=National lead down slightly over Labour/Greens opposition in New Year. TPP signing ceremony set for Auckland in two weeks a coup for PM John Key. |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |access-date= 22 January 2016}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |47

27.5146.530.5–1–{{small|N/A}}
style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2016-02-04" | 4 Feb 2016

| colspan="11" | The Trans-Pacific Partnership agreement is signed by the New Zealand government and 12 other partner countries.

data-sort-value="2016-02-14" | 1–14 Feb 2016

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6678-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-february-2016-201602190455 |title=National builds winning lead over Labour/Greens opposition in New Zealand following TPP signing ceremony in Auckland early in February |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |access-date= 22 February 2016}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |48

2714.5610.5–10.5{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2016-02-07" | 13–17 Feb 2016

| One News–Colmar Brunton{{cite news |url= http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/images/160222_ONE_News_Colmar_Brunton_Poll_report_13-17_Feb_2016.pdf |title= Current ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll |publisher=Colmar Brunton |date= 21 February 2016 |access-date= 23 February 2016 }}{{Dead link|date=February 2022 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |47

328101.10.3–0.60.3{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2016-03-13" | 29 Feb – 13 Mar 2016

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6715-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-march-2016-201603180507 |title=National lead cut to smallest since September as NZ First vote surges to 9% as Winston Peters takes strong stand on New Zealand Flag Referendum |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |access-date= 18 March 2016}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |46

2814911–0.50.5{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2016-04-06" | 2–6 Apr 2016

| One News–Colmar Brunton{{cite news |url= http://colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/160410-ONE-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-2-6-Apr-2016-prelim.pdf |title= Current ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll |publisher=Colmar Brunton |date= 10 April 2016 |access-date= 10 April 2016 |archive-date= 18 April 2016 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20160418045526/http://colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/160410-ONE-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-2-6-Apr-2016-prelim.pdf |url-status= dead }}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |50

281091.10.7–0.3–{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2016-04-17" | 4–17 Apr 2016

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6772-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-april-2016-201604260544 |title=National vote lowest since 2014 Election as NZ First vote surges to 20 year high of 12.5% |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |access-date= 26 April 2016}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |42.5

2614.512.51.51.5–1–{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2016-05-15" | 2–15 May 2016

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6816-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-may-2016-201605230014 |title=National and Labour vote up in May but NZ First still holds the balance of power position despite vote falling |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |access-date= 23 May 2016}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |45.5

29.5129.51100.5–{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2016-05-22" | 12–22 May 2016

| Newshub Reid Research{{cite news |first= Patrick |last= Gower |author-link= Patrick Gower |date= 24 May 2016 |url= http://www.newshub.co.nz/politics/newshub-poll-keys-popularity-plummets-to-lowest-level-2016052414#axzz49XtSVKcW |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20160525115307/http://www.newshub.co.nz/politics/newshub-poll-keys-popularity-plummets-to-lowest-level-2016052414#axzz49XtSVKcW |url-status= dead |archive-date= 25 May 2016 |title= Newshub poll: Key's popularity plummets to lowest level|work=Newshub |access-date= 24 May 2016}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |47

31.311.17.810.4–0.60.1{{small|N/A}}
style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2016-05-31" | 26 May 2016

| colspan="11" | The 2016 Budget is delivered.

data-sort-value="2016-05-31" | 31 May 2016

| colspan="11" | The Labour and Green parties undertake a memorandum of understanding.{{cite news|last1=Davison|first1=Isaac|title=Labour, Greens to work together to stop National at next election|url=http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11648166|access-date=31 May 2016|work=The New Zealand Herald|date=31 May 2016}}

data-sort-value="2016-06-02" | 28 May – 2 Jun 2016

| One News–Colmar Brunton{{cite news |url= http://colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/160607-ONE-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-28-May-2-June-2016-prelim.pdf |title= Current ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll |publisher=Colmar Brunton |date= 7 June 2016 |access-date= 7 June 2016 |archive-date= 15 June 2016 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20160615024324/http://colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/160607-ONE-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-28-May-2-June-2016-prelim.pdf |url-status= dead }}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |48

291290.70.3–0.70.1{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2016-06-12"| 12 Jun 2016

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6851-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-june-2016-201606201622 |title=National and Labour down in June but New Zealand First still holds the balance of power if Election was held now |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |access-date= 20 June 2016}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |43.5

2814.5920.5–11{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2016-07-17"| 17 Jul 2016

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6902-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-july-2016-201607211639 |title=National extends lead over Labour to highest in over a year as Government unveils $1 billion housing infrastructure fund |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |access-date= 22 July 2016}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |53

25.511.570.51–0.50.5{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2016-08-03" | 22 Jul – 3 Aug 2016

| Newshub Reid Research{{cite news |first= Patrick |last= Gower |author-link= Patrick Gower |date= 8 August 2016 |url= http://www.newshub.co.nz/politics/poll-john-key-could-lose-grip-on-power-2016080815#axzz4GlDcur1X |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20160809132051/http://www.newshub.co.nz/politics/poll-john-key-could-lose-grip-on-power-2016080815#axzz4GlDcur1X |url-status= dead |archive-date= 9 August 2016 |title= Poll: John Key could lose grip on power |work=Newshub |access-date= 8 August 2016}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |45.1

32.711.58.11.30.20.10.50.4{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2016-08-21" |8–21 Aug 2016

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6946-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-august-2016-201608291538 |title=National support down but still has election winning lead after boost from $1 billion housing infrastructure fund announcement wears off |access-date= 8 September 2016}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |46

25.514.59.51.51–10.5{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2016-09-07"| 3–7 Sep 2016

| One News–Colmar Brunton{{cite web |url=http://colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/Poll-infographic-with-econ-outlook-910x1024.png |title=Poll-infographic-with-econ-outlook |publisher=Colmar Brunton |date=13 September 2016 |access-date=13 September 2016 |archive-date=23 September 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160923131937/http://colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/Poll-infographic-with-econ-outlook-910x1024.png |url-status=dead }}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |48

2613112––0.3–{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2016-09-18"| 5–18 Sep 2016

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6971-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-september-2016-201609271642 |title=National Party support is at lowest level since before election; now behind potential Labour/ Greens Alliance |access-date= 27 September 2016}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |41.5

33.5128.521–0.5–{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2016-10-23"| 10–23 Oct 2016

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/7039-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-october-2016-201611041621 |title=National Party support up in October; now well ahead of potential Labour/ Greens alliance after successful overseas trips for PM Key |access-date= 4 November 2016}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |48

26.511.5101.50.5–––{{small|N/A}}
style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2016-11-14" | 14 Nov 2016

| colspan="11" | A 7.8 magnitude earthquake hits the coastal town of Kaikōura.

style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2016-11" | Nov 2016

| colspan="11" | The Opportunities Party is inaugurated by Gareth Morgan.

data-sort-value="2016-11-23"| 12–23 Nov 2016

| One News–Colmar Brunton{{cite web |url=http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Preliminary_ONE-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-Nov-12-13-21-23.pdf |title=Poll-infographic-with-econ-outlook |publisher=Colmar Brunton |date=27 November 2016 |access-date=28 November 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190214165526/http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Preliminary_ONE-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-Nov-12-13-21-23.pdf |archive-date=14 February 2019 |url-status=dead }}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |50

2811101––0.2––
data-sort-value="2016-11-20" | 24 Oct – 20 Nov 2016

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/7061-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-november-2016-201611301845 |title=National Party support up again in November as Roy Morgan Government Confidence surges despite series of earthquakes |access-date= 30 November 2016}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |49.5

23.014.58.01.51.00.50.50.0–
style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2016-12-03" | 3 Dec 2016

| colspan="11" | Labour's Michael Wood wins the Mount Roskill by-election.

style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2016-12-05" | 5 Dec 2016

| colspan="11" | John Key announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of New Zealand, effective 12 December.

data-sort-value="2016-12-11" | 28 Nov – 11 Dec 2016

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/7107-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-december-2016-201612211126 |title=National Party support down in December as PM Key resigns and Labour score easy by-election victory in Mt. Roskill |access-date= 21 December 2016}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |45.0

28.514.57.51.00.50.50.50.5–
style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2016-12-12" | 12 Dec 2016

| colspan="11" | Bill English replaces John Key as Prime Minister of New Zealand and Leader of the National Party.
Paula Bennett becomes both Deputy Prime Minister and Deputy Leader.

data-sort-value="2017-01-16" | 3–16 Jan 2017

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/7127-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-january-2017-201701201143 |title=National Party support up slightly in January as new Prime Minister Bill English returns from 'introductory tour' to Europe |access-date= 22 January 2017}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |46.0

27.012.59.02.00.50.50.50.0–
style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2017-02-01" | 1 Feb 2017

| colspan="11" | Prime Minister Bill English announces that the election will take place on 23 September 2017.

data-sort-value="2017-02-12" |30 Jan – 12 Feb 2017

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/7149-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-february-2017-201702271519 |title=National Party support up slightly in February as new PM Bill English welcomes visit of Australian PM Malcolm Turnbull}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |48.0

26.013.08.02.01.00.00.00.0–
data-sort-value="2017-02-15" | 11–15 Feb 2017

| One News–Colmar Brunton{{cite news |url= https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/1-news-poll-labour-and-greens-close-gap-national-following-john-keys-departure |title= 1 NEWS poll: Labour and Greens close gap on National following John Key's departure |work= TVNZ |publisher=One News |date= 19 February 2017 |access-date= 19 February 2017 |archive-date= 19 February 2017 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20170219171139/https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/1-news-poll-labour-and-greens-close-gap-national-following-john-keys-departure |url-status= dead }}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |46

3011110.70.80.3{{cite web |url=http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/ONE-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-11-15-Feb.pdf |title=ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll : 11–15 February 2017 |website=Colmarbrunton.co.nz |access-date=23 March 2017 }}{{Dead link|date=February 2022 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}0.20.80.0
style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2017-02-25" | 25 Feb 2017

| colspan="11" | Labour's Jacinda Ardern wins the Mount Albert by-election.

style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2017-03-01" | 1 Mar 2017

| colspan="11" | Annette King steps down as Labour Party Deputy Leader and announces her retirement from Parliament, effective September. Mount Albert MP Jacinda Ardern is nominated as her successor and is confirmed six days later with the unanimous support of Labour's caucus.

style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2017-03-06" | 6 Mar 2017

| colspan="11" | The Opportunities Party is registered by the Electoral Commission.{{cite web|title=Registration of The Opportunities Party (TOP)|url=http://www.elections.org.nz/news-media/registration-opportunities-party-top|publisher=Electoral Commission (New Zealand)|access-date=9 September 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180831174801/https://www.elections.org.nz/news-media/registration-opportunities-party-top|archive-date=31 August 2018|url-status=dead}}

data-sort-value="2017-03-12" |27 Feb – 12 Mar 2017

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web|url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/7189-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-march-2017-201703201044 |title=National Party well down in March as Prime Minister Bill English talks of lifting retirement age to 67 – lowest party vote since September 2016 |website=Roymorgan.com |access-date=22 March 2017}}e

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |43.5

29.514.57.52.00.50.50.50.5–
data-sort-value="2017-03-19" | 10–19 Mar 2017

| Newshub Reid Research{{cite news|last=Gower |first=Patrick |author-link= Patrick Gower |url=http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2017/03/newshub-poll-jacinda-ardern-preferred-as-pm-over-andrew-little.html |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170321094908/http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2017/03/newshub-poll-jacinda-ardern-preferred-as-pm-over-andrew-little.html |url-status=dead |archive-date=21 March 2017 |title=poll: Jacinda Ardern preferred as PM over Andrew Little |work=Newshub |date=21 March 2017 |access-date=23 March 2017}}{{cite news | url=http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2017/07/new-zealand-election-2017-newshub-reid-research-poll-data-bank.html| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170723014649/http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2017/07/new-zealand-election-2017-newshub-reid-research-poll-data-bank.html| url-status=dead| archive-date=23 July 2017| title=New Zealand election 2017: Newshub-Reid Research poll data bank|work=Newshub |access-date=27 August 2017}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |47.1

30.811.27.60.70.40.40.40.00.8
data-sort-value="2017-03-22" | 18–22 Mar 2017

| One News–Colmar Brunton{{cite web|url=https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/maori-party-surges-into-potential-kingmaker-position-in-latest-poll-v1|title=Maori Party surges into potential Kingmaker position in latest poll|website=TVNZ|access-date=16 April 2017|archive-date=9 April 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170409182847/https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/maori-party-surges-into-potential-kingmaker-position-in-latest-poll-v1|url-status=dead}}{{cite web |url=http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/For_website_ONE-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-18-22-March.pdf |title=ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll : 18–22 March 2017 |website=Colmarbrunton.co.nz |access-date=28 April 2017 }}{{Dead link|date=February 2022 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |46

3011840.4–0.30.20.4
data-sort-value="2017-04-16" | 3–16 Apr 2017

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/7219-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-april-2017-201704271533|title=New Zealand First in the box seat to decide next NZ Government as National Party neck-and-neck with Labour/ Greens |website=Roymorgan.com |access-date=29 April 2017}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |43.0

29.513.010.51.01.50.00.50.0–
data-sort-value="2017-05-14" | 1–14 May 2017

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/7239-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-may-2017-201705261624|title= National Party remains 'dead-locked' with Labour/Greens alliance in May pre-Budget |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date= 26 May 2017 |access-date=27 May 2017}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |43.0

28.514.010.01.50.50.00.00.5–
style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2017-05-25" | 25 May 2017

| colspan="11" | The 2017 budget is delivered.

data-sort-value="2017-05-24" | 19–24 May 2017

| Listener: Bauer Media Insights{{cite web|url=http://www.noted.co.nz/currently/politics/new-zealand-election-2017-undercurrents-of-change-in-new-poll/|title=New Zealand Election 2017: Undercurrents of change in new poll|date=8 June 2017|access-date=9 September 2017|website=noted.co.nz|archive-date=9 September 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170909053112/http://www.noted.co.nz/currently/politics/new-zealand-election-2017-undercurrents-of-change-in-new-poll/|url-status=dead}}

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 43.75

23.7516.2510.001.251.250.001.25–2.50
data-sort-value="2017-05-31" | 21–31 May 2017

| One News–Colmar Brunton{{cite news|url=https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/national-hits-six-month-high-in-latest-poll-labour-fails-make-gains-green-party-slips|title=National hits six-month high in latest poll as Labour fails to make gains, Green Party slips|website=TVNZ|access-date=7 June 2017|archive-date=13 July 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170713100923/https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/national-hits-six-month-high-in-latest-poll-labour-fails-make-gains-green-party-slips|url-status=dead}}{{cite web |url=http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/Prelim_ONE-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-27-31-May.pdf |title=ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll |date=27 May 2017 |website=Colmarbrunton.co.nz |access-date=2017-07-11 }}{{Dead link|date=February 2022 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |49

30990.60.5–0.1–1.4
data-sort-value="2017-06-11" | 29 May – 11 Jun 2017

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/7259-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-june-2017-201706230945|title=National Party consolidates lead after NZ Budget projects years of surpluses |publisher=Roy Morgan Research |date= 23 June 2017}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |46.5

25.514.09.01.51.00.00.00.5–
data-sort-value="2017-06-12"| 12 Jun 2017

| Newshub Reid Research{{cite news |last=Gower |first=Patrick |author-link= Patrick Gower |url=http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2017/06/poll-labour-crumbles-falling-towards-defeat.html |archive-url=https://archive.today/20240504064419/http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2017/06/poll-labour-crumbles-falling-towards-defeat.html |url-status=dead |archive-date=4 May 2024 |title=Poll: Labour crumbles, falling towards defeat |work=Newshub |date=15 June 2017 |access-date=16 June 2017}}{{cite news | url=http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2017/07/new-zealand-election-2017-newshub-reid-research-poll-data-bank.html| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170723014649/http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2017/07/new-zealand-election-2017-newshub-reid-research-poll-data-bank.html| url-status=dead| archive-date=23 July 2017| title=New Zealand election 2017: Newshub-Reid Research poll data bank|work=Newshub |access-date=27 August 2017}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |47.4

26.412.59.40.70.90.30.80.30.8
style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2017-06-21" | 21 Jun 2017

| colspan="11" | National MP Todd Barclay announces he will not seek re-election after it was revealed that he secretly recorded a staff member's conversations without her consent.{{cite news |url=https://www.newsroom.co.nz/2017/06/19/34825/the-politician-the-police-the-payout |title=Politicians, police, and the payout |publisher=Newsroom |date=19 June 2017 |access-date=4 July 2017}} Police re-open their investigation five days later, after Bill English stated that Barclay had admitted to him that he made the recording.{{cite news |url=https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/94125100/police-reopen-investigation-into-todd-barclay |title=Police reopen investigation into Todd Barclay |publisher=Stuff |date=26 June 2017 |access-date=4 July 2017}}

data-sort-value="2017-07-05"| 1–5 Jul 2017

| One News–Colmar Brunton{{cite web|url=http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2017/07/Prelim_ONE-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-1-5-Jul.pdf|title=ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll 1–5 July 2017}}{{Dead link|date=February 2022 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |47

2711111.80.30.20.10.31.1
data-sort-value="2017-07-09" | 26 Jun – 9 Jul 2017

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web|url=https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/7289-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-july-2017-201707141612|title=In July Labour/Greens now just ahead of National but New Zealand First again in the 'box seat'|publisher=Roy Morgan Research|date=9 July 2017|access-date=31 August 2017}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |43

30.513.58.01.51.00.00.00.0–
style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2017-07-16" | 16 Jul 2017

| colspan="11" | Green Party co-leader Metiria Turei admits to not disclosing to Work and Income New Zealand that she was accepting rent from flatmates while on the Domestic Purposes Benefit in the early 1990s.{{cite news |url=https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/94777073/benefit-raise-tax-cuts-for-poorest-and-hikes-for-wealthy-in-news-greens-policy |title=Benefit raise, tax cuts for poorest and hikes for wealthy in new Greens policy |publisher=Stuff |date=16 June 2017 |access-date=30 July 2017}}

data-sort-value="2017-07-27"| 22–27 Jul 2017

| One News–Colmar Brunton{{cite news |url=https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/labour-slumps-its-lowest-level-in-more-than-20-years-latest-1-news-colmar-brunton-poll| title=ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll 22–27 July 2017| work=TVNZ}}{{cite web|url=http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/Prelim_ONE-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-22-27-Jul.pdf|title=ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll 22–27 Aug 2017|publisher=Colmar Brunton|access-date=4 Sep 2016}}{{Dead link|date=February 2022 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |47

2415110.60.30.1––1.5
data-sort-value="2017-07-28"| 20–28 Jul 2017

| Newshub Reid Research{{cite news |last=Gower |first=Patrick |author-link= Patrick Gower |url=http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/07/newshub-poll-winston-peters-cements-position-as-kingmaker.html |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170731092011/http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/07/newshub-poll-winston-peters-cements-position-as-kingmaker.html |url-status=dead |archive-date=31 July 2017 |title=Poll: Newshub poll: Winston Peters cements position as kingmaker |work=Newshub |date=20–28 July 2017 |access-date=31 July 2017}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |45.2

24.113131.20.50.20.20.2{{Cite news|url=http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2017/07/new-zealand-election-2017-newshub-reid-research-poll-data-bank.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170723014649/http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2017/07/new-zealand-election-2017-newshub-reid-research-poll-data-bank.html|url-status=dead|archive-date=23 July 2017|title=New Zealand politics: Newshub-Reid Research poll data bank|work=Newshub}}2
style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2017-08-01" | 1 Aug 2017

| colspan="11" | Labour Party leader Andrew Little resigns as Leader of the Labour Party following consecutive poll results that show Labour with low support. Jacinda Ardern is confirmed as Leader shortly after while Kelvin Davis assumes the role of Deputy Leader.

data-sort-value="2017-08-02" |1–2 Aug 2017

| Listener: Bauer Media Insights{{cite web|url=http://www.noted.co.nz/currently/politics/why-labour-s-last-minute-leadership-change-may-be-its-salvation/|title=Why Labour's last-minute leadership change may be its salvation|date=4 August 2017|access-date=9 September 2017|website=noted.co.nz|archive-date=9 September 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170909095556/http://www.noted.co.nz/currently/politics/why-labour-s-last-minute-leadership-change-may-be-its-salvation/|url-status=dead}}

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 45.42

26.7913.989.320.001.170.000.000.002.33
style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2017-08-03" | 3 Aug 2017

| colspan="11" | Green Party co-leader Metiria Turei admits to registering a false residential address to vote for a friend who was running in the Mount Albert electorate in 1993.{{cite web |last=Kirk |first=Stacey |author-link= Stacey Kirk |url=https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/95393791/metiria-turei-faces-investigators-looking-into-her-admission-of-historical-benefit-fraud |title=Metiria Turei admits she registered a false address to vote |website=Stuff |date=4 Aug 2017 |access-date=8 August 2017}} The controversy leads Green Party MPs David Clendon and Kennedy Graham to withdraw from the party list four days later.{{cite web |url=https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/95542553/two-green-mps-threaten-to-quit-over-metiria-turei |title=Two Green MPs quit over Metiria Turei admissions |website=Stuff |date=7 Aug 2017 |access-date=8 August 2017}}

data-sort-value="2017-08-08" |2–8 Aug 2017

| Newshub Reid Research{{cite news|last=Gower|first=Patrick|author-link=Patrick Gower|url=http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/08/newshub-reid-research-poll-jacinda-ardern-brings-labour-back.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170809131418/http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/08/newshub-reid-research-poll-jacinda-ardern-brings-labour-back.html|url-status=dead|archive-date=9 August 2017|title=Newshub poll: Jacinda Ardern Brings Labour Back|website=Newshub|date=9 August 2017|access-date=9 August 2017}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 44.4

33.18.39.21.50.60.10.30.32
style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2017-09-09" | 9 Aug 2017

| colspan="11" | Green Party co-leader Metiria Turei resigns as co-leader and from the party list following her admission of benefit fraud.{{Cite news|url=http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/08/livestream-metiria-turei-resigns-as-green-party-co-leader.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170809132003/http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/08/livestream-metiria-turei-resigns-as-green-party-co-leader.html|url-status=dead|archive-date=9 August 2017|title=Livestream: Metiria Turei resigns as Green Party co-leader|work=Newshub|access-date=2017-08-09}}

data-sort-value="2017-08-13" | 31 Jul – 13 Aug 2017

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url=https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/7309-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-august-2017-201708181513| title=Jacinda Ardern's ascension to leadership revitalises Labour, up 2% to 32.5%; Turei scandal costs Greens support, down 4.5% to 9%}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |42.5

32.59.011.51.50.50.00.00.02.0
data-sort-value="2017-08-16" |12–16 Aug 2017

| One News–Colmar Brunton{{cite news| url=https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/1-news-colmar-brunton-poll-greens-plummet-below-five-per-cent-jacinda-effect-keeps-labour-climbing| title=1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll: Greens plummet below five per cent, 'Jacinda effect' keeps Labour climbing| work=TVNZ| access-date=17 August 2017| archive-date=17 August 2017| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170817161606/https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/1-news-colmar-brunton-poll-greens-plummet-below-five-per-cent-jacinda-effect-keeps-labour-climbing| url-status=dead}}{{cite web|url=http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/Website_1-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-12-16-Aug.pdf|title=1 News Colmar Brunton Poll 12–16 Aug 2017|publisher=Colmar Brunton|access-date=4 Sep 2016|archive-date=18 September 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170918055651/http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/Website_1-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-12-16-Aug.pdf|url-status=dead}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |44

374.3101.70.40.0––2.1
style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2017-08-21" | 21 Aug 2017

| colspan="11" | United Future leader and Minister of Internal Affairs Peter Dunne announces his retirement from politics.{{cite web|url=https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/95988656/peter-dunne-resigns-from-politics-only-weeks-out-from-the-election|title=Peter Dunne resigns from politics only weeks out from the election|website=Stuff|date=21 August 2017|access-date=21 August 2017}} Damian Light (candidate for Botany) is appointed leader 2 days later.{{cite web|url=http://unitedfuture.org.nz/unitedfuture-appoints-damian-light-as-new-leader/|title=UnitedFuture appoints Damian Light as new leader|website=unitedfuture.org.nz|date=23 Aug 2017|access-date=2 September 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171021034200/http://unitedfuture.org.nz/unitedfuture-appoints-damian-light-as-new-leader/|archive-date=21 October 2017|url-status=dead}}

style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2017-08-27" | 27 Aug 2017

| colspan="11" | Controversy arises after a leak reveals that NZ First leader Winston Peters was overpaid in his superannuation payments for years.{{cite news|url=http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/08/winston-peters-shifting-story-over-pension-overpayment.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170828015535/http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/08/winston-peters-shifting-story-over-pension-overpayment.html|url-status=dead|archive-date=28 August 2017|title=Winston Peters' shifting story over pension overpayment|work=Newshub|date=27 August 2017|access-date=31 August 2017}}{{cite web|url=http://www.radionz.co.nz/news/election-2017/338250/timeline-winston-peters-superannuation-overpayments-saga|title=Timeline: Winston Peters' superannuation overpayments saga|website=Radio New Zealand |date=29 August 2017|access-date=31 August 2017}}

data-sort-value="2017-08-30" |22–30 Aug 2017

| Newshub Reid Research{{cite news|last=Gower|first=Patrick|author-link=Patrick Gower|url=http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/09/newshub-poll-national-and-labour-in-one-on-one-fight-for-power.html |archive-url=https://archive.today/20240504070318/http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/09/newshub-poll-national-and-labour-in-one-on-one-fight-for-power.html |url-status=dead |archive-date=4 May 2024 |title=Newshub poll: National and Labour in one-on-one fight for power|work=Newshub|date=3 September 2017|access-date=3 September 2017}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 43.3

39.46.16.61.00.60.10.30.01.9
data-sort-value="2017-08-30" |26–30 Aug 2017

| One News–Colmar Brunton{{cite news| url=https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/watch-labour-rockets-ahead-national-in-stunning-colmar-brunton-poll-result| title=ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll 26–30 August 2017| work=TVNZ| access-date=31 August 2017| archive-date=31 August 2017| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170831134714/https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/watch-labour-rockets-ahead-national-in-stunning-colmar-brunton-poll-result| url-status=dead}}{{cite web|url=http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/Prelim_1-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-26-30-Aug.pdf|title=1 News Colmar Brunton Poll 26–30 Aug 2017|publisher=Colmar Brunton|access-date=4 Sep 2016|archive-date=18 September 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170918105415/http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/Prelim_1-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-26-30-Aug.pdf|url-status=dead}}

| 41

style="background:#F8C1BE" | 43580.50.3–––0.9
data-sort-value="2017-09-05"| 1–5 Sep 2017

| Listener: Bauer Media Insights{{cite web|url=http://www.noted.co.nz/currently/politics/poll-labour-national-and-the-crucial-8/|title=Poll: Labour, National and the crucial 8%|website=noted.co.nz|date=8 September 2017|access-date=8 September 2017|archive-date=8 September 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170908064621/http://www.noted.co.nz/currently/politics/poll-labour-national-and-the-crucial-8/|url-status=dead}}

38.9style="background:#F8C1BE" | 41.16.78.91.11.1–––2.2
data-sort-value="2017-09-06"| 2–6 Sep 2017

| One News–Colmar Brunton{{cite news|url=https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/new-poll-labour-widens-lead-over-national-4-points-in-latest-1-news-colmar-brunton|title=ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll 2–6 September 2017|publisher=Colmar Brunton|date=7 September 2017|access-date=7 September 2017|archive-date=7 September 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170907084453/https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/new-poll-labour-widens-lead-over-national-4-points-in-latest-1-news-colmar-brunton|url-status=dead}}{{cite web|url=http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/Prelim_1-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-2-6-Sep.pdf|title=1 News Colmar Brunton Poll 2–6 September 2017|publisher=Colmar Brunton|access-date=9 Sep 2016|archive-date=18 September 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170918061653/http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/Prelim_1-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-2-6-Sep.pdf|url-status=dead}}

| 39

style="background:#F8C1BE" | 43592.00.1–––1.9
data-sort-value="2017-09-06"|4–6 Sep 2017

| Newsroom-SSI{{Cite web|url=https://www.newsroom.co.nz/2017/09/08/46799/labour-gap-women|title=Labour opens gap with women, young|date=8 September 2017}}

| 30

style="background:#F8C1BE" | 4561121–––2
data-sort-value="2017-09-10" |28 Aug – 10 Sep 2017

| Roy Morgan Research{{cite web |url=http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/7339-roy-morgan-new-zealand-voting-intention-september-10-2017-201709151750| title=New Zealand Election on a knife edge but Labour favoured with the support of the Greens & Maori Party as 'Jacindamania' pulls support from National & New Zealand First}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |40

39.59620.500.5–2
data-sort-value="2017-09-11" | 6–11 Sep 2017

| Newshub Reid Research{{cite news|url=http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/09/greens-out-of-parliament-on-latest-newshub-s-poll.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170912112241/http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/09/greens-out-of-parliament-on-latest-newshub-s-poll.html|url-status=dead|archive-date=12 September 2017|title=Greens out of Parliament on latest Newshub's poll|work=Newshub|date=12 September 2017}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 47.3

37.84.96.01.10.60.10.30.11.6
style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2017-09-11" | 11 Sep 2017

| colspan="11" | Advance voting for the election begins. The Electoral Commission predicts up to 50% of voters will cast their vote before election day (up from 30% in 2014).{{cite news |url= http://www.radionz.co.nz/news/political/339144/advance-voting-starts-today |title= Advance voting starts today |publisher=Radio New Zealand |date= 11 September 2017}}

data-sort-value="2017-09-13"| 9–13 Sep 2017

| One News–Colmar Brunton{{cite news|url=https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/new-1-news-colmar-brunton-poll-labour-maintains-four-point-lead-over-national-could-govern-greens|title=New 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll: Labour maintains four point lead over National, could govern with Greens|date=14 September 2017}}{{Dead link|date=July 2022 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}{{cite web|url=http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/Prelim_1-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-9-13-Sep.pdf|title=1 News Colmar Brunton Poll 9–13 September 2017|publisher=Colmar Brunton|access-date=16 Sep 2016|archive-date=13 October 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171013012624/http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/Prelim_1-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-9-13-Sep.pdf|url-status=dead}}

| 40

style="background:#F8C1BE" | 44760.90.6–––1.6
data-sort-value="2017-09-20"| 13–20 Sep 2017

| Newshub Reid Research{{cite news|url=http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/09/newshub-election-poll-either-national-labour-could-take-power.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170921104549/http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/09/newshub-election-poll-either-national-labour-could-take-power.html|url-status=dead|archive-date=21 September 2017|title=Newshub election poll: Either National, Labour could take power|work=Newshub|date=21 September 2017}}{{Cite news|url=http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2017/07/new-zealand-election-2017-newshub-reid-research-poll-data-bank.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170723014649/http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2017/07/new-zealand-election-2017-newshub-reid-research-poll-data-bank.html|url-status=dead|archive-date=23 July 2017|title=New Zealand politics: Newshub-Reid Research poll data bank|work=Newshub}}

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 45.8

37.37.17.10.40.6–0.60.10.9
data-sort-value="2017-09-19"| 15–19 Sep 2017

| One News–Colmar Brunton{{cite news|url=https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/new-poll-national-takes-huge-lead-in-bombshell-1-news-colmar-brunton|title=New poll: National takes huge lead in bombshell 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll|date=20 September 2017}}{{Dead link|date=July 2022 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}{{cite web|url=http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/Prelim_1-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-16-19-Sep.pdf|title=1 News Colmar Brunton Poll 16–19 September 2017|publisher=Colmar Brunton|access-date=25 Sep 2016}}{{Dead link|date=February 2022 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 46

3784.90.50.3–––2.3
style="background:#e4e4e4;"

| data-sort-value="2017-09-23" | 23 Sep 2017

| colspan="11" | Election day

style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| data-sort-value="2017-09-23" | 23 Sep 2017

| 2017 election result{{cite web |url= http://www.electionresults.govt.nz/electionresults_2017/|title= 2017 General Election – Official Result |publisher=Electoral Commission |location=Wellington |date= 7 October 2017 |access-date= 7 October 2017}}

|style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" |44.4

36.96.37.21.20.50.10.20.12.4
style="background:#ccc;"

! colspan=12 |

style="height:40px"

! style="background:#ddd;width:180px;" | Date

! style="background:#ddd;width:270px;" | Poll

! style="background-color:#B0CEFF;width:40px" | NAT

! style="background-color:#FFB6B6;width:40px" | LAB

! style="background-color:#90EE90;width:40px" | GRN

! style="background-color:#D3D3D3;width:40px" | NZF

! style="background-color:#D4958F;width:40px" | MRI

! style="background-color:#FAFA73;width:40px" | ACT

! style="background-color:#E395EC;width:40px" | UNF

! style="background-color:#91D3FF;width:40px" | CON

! style="background-color:#F3828A;width:40px" | MNA

! style="background-color:#9299F5;width:40px" | TOP

=Internal polls=

These polls are typically unpublished and are used internally for Labour (UMR) and National (Curia). Although these polls are sometimes leaked or partially leaked, their details are not publicly available for viewing and scrutinising. Because not all of their polls are made public, it is likely that those which are released are cherry-picked and therefore may not truly indicate ongoing trends.

class="sortable" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="1" "toccolours" style="text-align:center; margin-right:0.5em; margin-top:0.4em; font-size:90%; border:1px solid darkgray"
style="height:40px"

! style="background:#ddd;width:180px;" | DateThese are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

! style="background:#ddd;width:270px;" | Poll

! style="background-color:#B0CEFF;width:40px" | NAT

! style="background-color:#FFB6B6;width:40px" | LAB

! style="background-color:#90EE90;width:40px" | GRN

! style="background-color:#D3D3D3;width:40px" | NZF

! style="background-color:#D4958F;width:40px" | MRI

! style="background-color:#FAFA73;width:40px" | ACT

! style="background-color:#91D3FF;width:40px" | CON

! style="background-color:#F3828A;width:40px" | MNA

! style="background-color:#9299F5;width:40px" | TOP

data-sort-value="2014-09-20" | 20 Sep 2014

| 2014 election result

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 47.04

25.1310.708.661.320.693.971.40{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2014-10" | Oct 2014

| UMR Research{{cite web|url=http://umr.co.nz/sites/umr/files/mood_of_the_nation_2014_released_2015_final.pdf|title=Annual Review: Mood of the Nation 2014|publisher=UMR Research|date=February 2015|access-date=30 August 2017|archive-date=12 April 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170412012748/http://umr.co.nz/sites/umr/files/mood_of_the_nation_2014_released_2015_final.pdf|url-status=dead}}

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 50

24137.81.50.63.00.8{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2014-11" | Nov 2014

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 47

25137.62.70.43.00.8{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2014-12" | Dec 2014

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 45

30146.10.60.23.30.5{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-01" | Jan 2015

| UMR Research{{cite web|url=http://umr.co.nz/sites/umr/files/final_mood_of_the_nation_2015_released_2016_1.pdf|title=Annual Review: Mood of the Nation 2015|publisher=UMR Research|date=February 2016|access-date=30 August 2017|archive-date=12 April 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170412012719/http://umr.co.nz/sites/umr/files/final_mood_of_the_nation_2015_released_2016_1.pdf|url-status=dead}}

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 48

31125.81.00.01.60.0{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-02" | Feb 2015

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 46

32125.01.50.72.70.3{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-03" | Mar 2015

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 46

31116.91.60.43.10.4{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-04" | Apr 2015

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 43

32137.61.81.11.20.3{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-05" | May 2015

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 46

31106.81.31.13.00.4{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-06" | Jun 2015

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 45

32137.51.20.50.90.2{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-07" | Jul 2015

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 41

35146.71.20.33.00.5{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-08" | Aug 2015

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 42

31148.51.50.50.40.4{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-09" | Sep 2015

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 45

31138.70.10.81.00.4{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-10" | Oct 2015

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 48

31107.91.11.00.50.2{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-11" | Nov 2015

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 44

31138.01.50.51.20.1{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2015-12" | Dec 2015

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 45

35108.31.01.00.20.2{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2016-09-05" | 31 Aug – 5 Sep 2016

| UMR Research{{cite web|url=http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/84200572/Labour-and-the-Greens-ahead-based-on-the-Oppositions-own-polling|title=Labour and the Greens ahead based on the Opposition's own polling|publisher=UMR Research|date=5 September 2016|access-date=30 August 2017}}

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 40

311411––––{{small|N/A}}
data-sort-value="2017-01" | Early Jan 2017

| UMR Research{{cite news|url=http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2017/07/labour-s-confidential-polling-leaked.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170714095534/http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2017/07/labour-s-confidential-polling-leaked.html|url-status=dead|archive-date=14 July 2017|title=Labour's confidential polling leaked|work=Newshub|publisher=UMR Research|date=14 July 2017|access-date=29 August 2017}}

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 46

30119–––––
data-sort-value="2017-02 A" | Early Feb 2017

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 44

301211–––––
data-sort-value="2017-02 B" | Late Feb 2017

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 48

28128–––––
data-sort-value="2017-03 A" | Early Mar 2017

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 42

301410–––––
data-sort-value="2017-03 B" | Late Mar 2017

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 44

301210–––––
data-sort-value="2017-04 A" | Early Apr 2017

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 43

281312–––––
data-sort-value="2017-04 B" | Late Apr 2017

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 43

281212–––––
data-sort-value="2017-05 A" | Early May 2017

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 42

34139–––––
data-sort-value="2017-05 B" | Late May 2017

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 44

30139–––––
data-sort-value="2017-06 A" | Early Jun 2017

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 42

32139–––––
data-sort-value="2017-06 B" | Late Jun 2017

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 43

291211–––––
data-sort-value="2017-07-10" | 5–10 Jul 2017

| UMR Research

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 42

261314–––––
data-sort-value="2017-07 B" | Late Jul 2017

| UMR Research{{cite web|url=http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11897254|title=Leaked poll puts Labour at just 23 percent|publisher=UMR Research|date=July 2017|access-date=29 August 2017}}{{cite web|url=http://www.radionz.co.nz/national/programmes/checkpoint/audio/201853035/polling-sees-nz-first-soar-to-16-percent|title=NZ First up to 16% in election poll|publisher=UMR Research|date=July 2017|access-date=29 August 2017}}

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 42

231516–––––
data-sort-value="2017-08-08" | 1–8 Aug 2017

| UMR Research{{cite web|url=http://www.nbr.co.nz/article/labour-rebounds-greens-and-nz-first-suffer-new-poll-ck-206291|title=Labour surges, Greens and NZ First suffer in new polls|publisher=UMR Research|date=8 August 2017|access-date=29 August 2017}}{{cite web|url=http://www.radionz.co.nz/news/on-the-inside/336933/by-the-numbers-winston-in-the-driver-s-seat|title=By the numbers: Winston in the driver's seat|publisher=UMR Research|date=10 August 2017|access-date=30 August 2017}}

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 43

3688––––3
data-sort-value="2017-08-16" | 11–16 Aug 2017

| UMR Research{{cite web|url=https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/95951483/more-good-news-for-labour-as-jacinda-ardern-prepares-for-campaign-launch|title=More good news for Labour as Jacinda Ardern prepares for campaign launch|publisher=UMR Research|date=20 August 2017|access-date=30 August 2017}}{{Cite web|url=https://stuff.liveblog.pro/stuff/blogs/599b2fc406c6fe73fb33f4c1/index.html?liveblog._id=urn:newsml:localhost:2017-08-22T02:57:14.951362:36866bfc-feef-430a-9a41-a36dc55b2abd-%3Enewest_first|title=Live: On the campaign trail|website=Stuff |access-date=2017-08-30}}

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 40

3789––––3.5
data-sort-value="2017-09-20" | 20 Sep 2017

| Curia{{cite web|url=https://www.newsroom.co.nz/2017/09/20/48879/election-2017-live-an-awkward-jet-fuel-crisis|title=Election 2017 Live: National surges into big poll lead|last1=Hickey|first1=Bernard|last2=Murphy|first2=Tim|last3=Jennings|first3=Mark|date=20 September 2017|access-date=25 September 2017}}

| style="background-color:#B0CEFF;" | 43

3966–––––

Preferred prime minister

=Graphical summary=

Image:NZ opinion polls 2015-2017 -PPM.png. Figures to the right show the estimate from the smoothing line at the date of the most recent poll, with 95% confidence interval.]]

{{clear}}

=Individual polls=

class=wikitable style="font-size:90%;line-height:14px;text-align:center;"

! style="width:260px;" rowspan="2"|Poll

! style="width:160px;" rowspan="2"|Date

! Bill English

! Jacinda Ardern

! Winston Peters

! James Shaw

! Hone Harawira

! Gareth Morgan

! Peter Dunne

! Metiria Turei

! Andrew Little

! John Key

class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand National Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand First}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Mana Movement}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|The Opportunities Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Future}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand National Party}}; width:60px;"|

Herald-DigiPoll

| 8–21 Dec 2014

| –

1.7––––––13.6{{party shading/Democratic}} |65
3 News-Reid Research{{cite web|url=http://www.reidresearch.co.nz/TV3+POLL+RESULTS.html|title=TV3 Poll Results|access-date=11 September 2017|website=www.reidresearch.co.nz}}

| 20–28 Jan 2015

| 0.3

–7.6–––––9.8{{party shading/Democratic}} |44.0
One News-Colmar Brunton

| 14–18 Feb 2015

| 0.6

0.77.0–0.4––1.112.0{{party shading/Democratic}} |41.0
Herald-DigiPoll

| 17–26 Apr 2015

| –

–12–––––13.9{{party shading/Democratic}} |64.6
3 News Reid Research

| 21–27 May 2015

| 0.6

–11.2–––––11.6{{party shading/Democratic}} |39.4
3 News Reid Research

| 15–22 Jul 2015

| 0.2

–11.30.2––––10.2{{party shading/Democratic}} |38.3
Herald-DigiPoll

| 14–24 Aug 2015

| –

3.911.60.6–––0.913.3{{party shading/Democratic}} |63.7
3 News Reid Research

| 8–16 Sep 2015

| 0.3

3.58.60.2––0.1–10.8{{party shading/Democratic}} |39.5
3 News Reid Research

| 9–17 Nov 2015

| 0.7

4.29.3–––0.1–10.4{{party shading/Democratic}} |38.3
Herald-DigiPoll

| 4–14 Dec 2015

| –

2.87.9–––––16.2{{party shading/Democratic}} |65.2
One News Colmar Brunton

| 2–6 Apr 2016

| 0.9

2100.4––––7{{party shading/Democratic}} |39
Newshub Reid Research

| 12–22 May 2016

| 0.2

2.612.10.5––––8.9{{party shading/Democratic}} |36.7
One News Colmar Brunton

| 28 May – 2 Jun 2016

| 0.4

1120.4––––7{{party shading/Democratic}} |39
Newshub Reid Research

| 22 Jul – 3 Aug 2016

| 0.3

2.910.90.9–0.3–110.5{{party shading/Democratic}} |36.7
One News Colmar Brunton

| 3–7 Sep 2016

|–

1110.1––––10{{party shading/Democratic}} |38
One News Colmar Brunton{{Cite web |url=http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/ONE-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-22-27-Jul.pdf |title=ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll report 22-27 July 2017 |access-date=17 August 2017 |archive-date=28 August 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170828195928/http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/ONE-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-22-27-Jul.pdf |url-status=dead }}

| 12–23 Nov 2016

| –

180.3–0.10.318{{party shading/Democratic}} |36
style="background:#fc9;text-align:left;" colspan="14"| 12 Dec 2016 – Bill English replaces John Key as Prime Minister of New Zealand and Leader of the National Party.
One News Colmar Brunton

| 11–15 Feb 2017

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |31

480.3–0.1–272
Newshub Reid Research

| 10–19 Mar 2017

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |25

10.58.9––0.1–18.35.9
One News Colmar Brunton

| 18–22 Mar 2017

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |26

990.50.3–0.20.472
Listener: Bauer Media Insights

| 19–24 May 2017

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 39

1692–2–313–
One News Colmar Brunton

| 21–31 May 2017

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |29

670.4–0.20.10.782
Newshub Reid Research

| 2–12 Jun 2017

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |26.2

6.69.70.70.30.50.31.475.9
One News Colmar Brunton

| 1–5 Jul 2017

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |26

6110.50.50.7–0.251
One News Colmar Brunton

| 22–27 Jul 2017

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |28

6100.2–0.30.2161
Newshub Reid Research

| 20–28 Jul 2017

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |25.8

8.711.90.70.20.80.41.67.16
style="background:#fc9;text-align:left;" colspan="14"| 1 Aug 2017 – Jacinda Ardern replaces Andrew Little as Leader of the Opposition and Leader of the Labour Party.
Newshub Reid Research

| 2–8 Aug 2017

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |27.7

26.3100.20.50.6–0.80.94.9
style="background:#fc9;text-align:left;" colspan="14"| 9 Aug 2017 – Metiria Turei resigns as co-leader of the Green Party.
One News Colmar Brunton{{cite web |url=http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/Prelim_1-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-12-16-Aug.pdf |title=Archived copy |website=www.colmarbrunton.co.nz |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170828203031/http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/Prelim_1-News-Colmar-Brunton-Poll-report-12-16-Aug.pdf |archive-date=28 August 2017 |url-status=}}12–16 Aug 2017

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |30

style="background:#F8C1BE" | 3070.30.40.7–––0.5
colspan="14" style="background:#fc9;text-align:left;" | 21–23 Aug 2017 – Peter Dunne retires as leader of United Future and is replaced by Damian Light.{{cite web|url=http://unitedfuture.org.nz/unitedfuture-appoints-damian-light-as-new-leader/|title=UnitedFuture appoints Damian Light as new leader|date=23 August 2017|access-date=9 September 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171021034200/http://unitedfuture.org.nz/unitedfuture-appoints-damian-light-as-new-leader/|archive-date=21 October 2017|url-status=dead}}
Newshub Reid Research22–30 Aug 2017

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |30.1

29.96.90.50.10.600.80.34.6
One News Colmar Brunton26–30 Aug 2017

| 33

style="background:#F8C1BE" | 3440.4–0.4–0.8––
Listener: Bauer Media Insights

|1–5 Sep 2017

| 36

style="background:#F8C1BE" | 4661–1––––
One News Colmar Brunton2–6 Sep 2017

| 31

style="background:#F8C1BE" | 35510.10.5––0.10.7
Newsroom: SSI4–6 Sep 2017

| 31

style="background:#F8C1BE" | 4511–––––––
Newshub Reid Research{{cite news |url=http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/09/bill-english-nz-s-preferred-pm-on-latest-newshub-poll.html |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170912075307/http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/09/bill-english-nz-s-preferred-pm-on-latest-newshub-poll.html |url-status=dead |archive-date=12 September 2017 |title=Bill English NZ's preferred PM on latest Newshub poll |date=12 September 2017}}6–11 Sep 2017

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |33.1

31.76.90.60.30.80.20.80.14.1
One News Colmar Brunton9–13 Sep 2017

| 32

style="background:#F8C1BE" | 3450.3–0.3–0.2–0.6
Newshub Reid Research13–20 Sep 2017

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |34.7

29.67.10.6–0.50.10.50.43.6
One News Colmar Brunton15–19 Sep 2017

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 37

3160.30.30.2–0.1–0.7
rowspan="2"|Poll

! rowspan="2"|Date

! Bill English

! Jacinda Ardern

! Winston Peters

! James Shaw

! Hone Harawira

! Gareth Morgan

! Peter Dunne

! Metiria Turei

! Andrew Little

! John Key

class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand National Party}};"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}};"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand First}};"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}};"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Mana Movement}};"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|The Opportunities Party}};"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Future}};"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}};"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}};"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand National Party}};"|

Electorate polling

=[[Ōhāriu (New Zealand electorate)|Ōhāriu]]=

==Party vote==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:14px; text-align:center"
style="width:240px;" rowspan="2"|Poll

! style="width:160px;" rowspan="2"|Date These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand National Party}}|National

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}|Labour

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}|Green

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand First}}|NZ First

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|The Opportunities Party}}|TOP

! style="width:75px;" r bgcolor={{party color|United Future}}|United Future

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Māori Party}}|Māori

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|ACT New Zealand}}|ACT

class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand National Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand First}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|The Opportunities Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Future New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Māori Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|ACT New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

style="background:#EFEFEF; font-weight:italic;"

| 2014 election result

| 20 September 2014

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 50.23

23.4215.014.76{{n/a}}*0.730.570.67
Q+A Colmar Brunton{{cite web |url=http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/QA-Colmar-Brunton-Ohariu-Electorate-Poll-5-9-Aug-2017.pdf |title=Q+A Colmar Brunton Ōhāriu poll |access-date=17 August 2017 |archive-date=28 August 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170828214705/http://www.colmarbrunton.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/QA-Colmar-Brunton-Ohariu-Electorate-Poll-5-9-Aug-2017.pdf |url-status=dead }}

| 5 – 9 Aug 2017

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 46

351241.80.50.40.3

* The Opportunities Party did not exist until 2016.

==Candidate vote==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:14px; text-align:center"
style="width:240px;" rowspan="2"|Poll

! style="width:160px;" rowspan="2"|Date These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

! style="width:75px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}|Labour

Greg O'Connor

! style="width:75px;" r bgcolor={{party color|United Future}}|United Future

Peter Dunne

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand National Party}}|National

Brett Hudson

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}|Green

Tane Woodley

! style="width:100px;" r bgcolor={{party color|The Opportunities Party}}|TOP

Jessica Hammond Doube

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|ACT New Zealand}}|ACT

Andie Moore

! style="width:75px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}|Labour

Ginny Andersen

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|ACT New Zealand}}|ACT

Sean Fitzpatrick

class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Future New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand National Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|The Opportunities Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|ACT New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|ACT New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

style="background:#EFEFEF; font-weight:italic;"

| 2014 election result

| 20 September 2014

| {{n/a}}

style="background:#DD99DD" | 36.2316.347.38{{n/a}}*{{n/a}}34.340.55
colspan="12" style="background:#fc9;text-align:left;" | 14 Feb 2017 – Green Party choose not to stand a candidate to help Labour candidate Greg O'Connor defeat Peter Dunne.{{cite web |url=http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/89355662/greens-step-aside-in-ohariu-to-help-labours-oconnor--despite-misgivings |title=Greens step aside in Ōhāriu to help Labour's O'Connor. |website=Stuff |date=14 February 2017 |access-date=23 August 2017}}
Q+A Colmar Brunton

| 5 – 9 August 2017

| style="background:#F8C1BE" | 48

3414—21{{n/a}}{{n/a}}
colspan="12" style="background:#fc9;text-align:left;" | 21 Aug 2017 – Ōhāriu Incumbent Peter Dunne (leader of United Future) announces that he will now be retiring from politics.
23 Aug 2017 – United Future stand Bale Nadakuitavuki as a candidate{{cite web |url=http://unitedfuture.org.nz/unitedfuture-announces-bale-nadakuitavuki-as-candidate-for-ohariu/ |title=UnitedFuture announces Bale Nadakuitavuki as candidate for Ohariu}} and Green Party reinstate Tane Woodley as a candidate.{{cite web |url=https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/96080647/All-bets-off-in-Ohariu-as-Green-Party-stand-11th-hour-candidate-in-political-hotseat |title=Tane Woodley reintroduced as Green Party candidate for Ōhāriu. |website=Stuff |date=23 August 2017 |access-date=23 August 2017}}

* The Opportunities Party did not exist until 2016.

=[[Waiariki (New Zealand electorate)|Waiariki]]=

==Party vote==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:14px; text-align:center"
style="width:240px;" rowspan="2"|Poll

! style="width:160px;" rowspan="2"|Date These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}|Labour

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Māori Party}}|Māori

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand First}}|NZ First

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand National Party}}|National

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}|Green

class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Māori Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand First}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand National Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

style="background:#EFEFEF; font-weight:italic;"

| 2014 election result

| 20 September 2014

| style="background:#F8C1BE" | 38.37

21.7912.545.007.98
Community Engagement Ltd{{cite news|url=http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/shows/2017/07/labour-poll-suggests-it-s-game-on-in-waiariki.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170730110237/http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/shows/2017/07/labour-poll-suggests-it-s-game-on-in-waiariki.html|url-status=dead|archive-date=30 July 2017|title=Labour poll suggests it's game-on in Waiariki|work=Newshub|date=30 July 2017|access-date=5 September 2017}}

| 19 – 22 July 2017

| 19.4

18.9style="background:#C0C0C0" | 25.713.412.1
Maori TV-Reid Research{{cite news|url=http://www.maoritelevision.com/news/regional/flavell-runs-polls|title=Flavell runs the polls|website=maoritelevision.com|date=10 September 2017|access-date=10 September 2017}}

| July – 3 September 2017

| style="background:#F8C1BE" | 49.6

26.510.25.64.8

==Candidate vote==

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Māori Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Mana Party (New Zealand)}}; width:60px;"|

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:14px; text-align:center"
style="width:240px;" rowspan="2"|Poll

! style="width:160px;" rowspan="2"|Date These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

! style="width:75px;" bgcolor={{party color|Māori Party}}|Māori

Te Ururoa Flavell

! style="width:75px;" bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}|Labour

Tāmati Coffey

! style="width:75px;" bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}|Labour

Rawiri Waititi

! style="width:75px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Mana Party (New Zealand)}}|Mana

Annette Sykes

style="background:#EFEFEF; font-weight:italic;"

| 2014 election result

| 20 September 2014

| style="background:#FFCC80" | 43.42

{{N/A}}| 26.0624.48
colspan="12" style="background:#fc9;text-align:left;" | 26 Aug 2016 – Rawiri Waititi cuts allegiances with Labour after being inspired by the Māori King to encourage Mana and Māori parties to win all Māori electorates by working together.{{cite web |url=https://www.opotikinews.co.nz/blog/694002 |title=Waititi inspired by Maori King to ditch Labour |website=opotikinews.co.nz |date=30 August 2016 |access-date=26 August 2017 |archive-date=26 August 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170826114335/https://www.opotikinews.co.nz/blog/694002 |url-status=dead }}

07 Oct 2016 – Tāmati Coffey is announced as Labour candidate for Waiariki electorate. Coffey ran for Rotorua electorate in 2014 gaining 33.18% of the vote against Todd McClay who won with 54.97% of the vote.{{cite web |url=http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/85021744/Tāmati-Coffey-to-take-on-Flavell-for-Waiariki-seat |title=Tāmati Coffey to take on Flavell for Waiariki seat |website=Stuff |date=7 October 2016|access-date=26 August 2017}}

20 Feb 2017 – Mana begin a memorandum of understanding with the Māori Party to not contest in any electorates where Māori Party have candidates, in an attempt to win back the Māori electorates from Labour.{{cite web |url=http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/89581527/hone-harawira-gets-clear-te-tai-tokerau-run-for-mana-not-running-against-maori-party-in-other-seats| title=Hone Harawira gets clear Te Tai Tokerau run for Mana not running against Māori Party in other seats| date=20 February 2017}}

Community Engagement Ltd

| 19 – 22 July 2017

| style="background:#FFCC80" | 31.6

30.1{{N/A}}{{N/A}}
Maori TV-Reid Research

| July – 3 September 2017

| style="background:#FFCC80" | 60.1

39.9{{N/A}}{{N/A}}

=[[Māori electorates|The Māori roll (all 7 electorates)]]=

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:14px; text-align:center"
style="width:240px;" rowspan="2"|Poll

! style="width:160px;" rowspan="2"|Date These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}|Labour

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Māori Party}}|Māori

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand First}}|NZ First

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand National Party}}|National

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}|Green

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Mana Party (New Zealand)}}|Mana

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|The Opportunities Party}}|TOP

class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Māori Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand First}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand National Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Mana Party (New Zealand)}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|The Opportunities Party}}; width:60px;"|

style="background:#EFEFEF; font-weight:italic;"

| 2014 election result

| 20 September 2014

| style="background:#F8C1BE" | 41.22

14.0512.987.9311.1710.22N/A*
Māori TV, Reid Research Poll{{cite web |url=https://www.maoritelevision.com/news/politics/first-maori-election-poll-reveals-red-wash| title=Māori TV, Reid Research Poll, 17 Aug 2017}}

| 11 Jul – 17 Aug 2017

| style="background:#F8C1BE" | 46.5

17.513.89.59.01.81.5

* The Opportunities Party did not exist until 2016.

=[[Whangarei (New Zealand electorate)|Whangarei]]=

==Party vote==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:14px; text-align:center"
style="width:240px;" rowspan="2"|Poll

! style="width:160px;" rowspan="2"|Date These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand National Party}}|National

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}|Labour

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand First}}|NZ First

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}|Green

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Māori Party}}|Māori

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|ACT New Zealand}}|ACT

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|The Opportunities Party}}|TOP

class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand National Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand First}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Māori Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|ACT New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|The Opportunities Party}}; width:60px;"|

2014 election result

| 20 September 2014

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 50.08

17.8013.369.770.530.55N/A*
colspan="12" style="background:#fc9;text-align:left;" | 30 Jun 2017 – Shane Jones is confirmed as the New Zealand First candidate in Whangarei (National have held the Whangarei seat since 1975).{{cite web|url=http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/94261885/shane-jones-confirmed-as-nz-first-candidate-for-whangarei|title=Shane Jones confirmed as NZ First candidate for Whangarei|website=Stuff|date=30 June 2017|access-date=27 August 2017}}
Q+A Colmar Brunton{{cite web|url=http://img.scoop.co.nz/media/pdfs/1708/QA_Colmar_Brunton_Whangarei_Snap_Poll_1922_Aug_2017.pdf|title=Q+A Colmar Brunton, Whangarei poll, 19 – 22 Aug 2017|date=22 August 2017|access-date=1 September 2017}}

| 19 – 22 Aug 2017

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 41

37163.61.31.00.4

* The Opportunities Party did not exist until 2016.

==Candidate vote==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:14px; text-align:center"
style="width:240px;" rowspan="2"|Poll

! style="width:160px;" rowspan="2"|Date These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand National Party}}|National

Shane Reti

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand First}}|NZ First

Shane Jones

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}|Labour

Tony Savage

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}|Green

Ash Holwell

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Democratic Party for Social Credit}} |DFSC

Chris Leitch

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|ACT New Zealand}}|ACT

Robin Grieve

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}|Labour

Kelly Ellis

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand First}}|NZ First

Pita Paraone

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}|Green

Paul Doherty

class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand National Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand First}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Democratic Party for Social Credit}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|ACT New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand First}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

2014 election result

| 20 September 2014

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 55.07

N/AN/AN/A2.680.7819.018.068.66
colspan="12" style="background:#fc9;text-align:left;" | 30 Jun 2017 – Shane Jones is confirmed as the New Zealand First candidate in Whangarei (National have held the Whangarei seat since 1975).
Q+A Colmar Brunton

| 19 – 22 Aug 2017

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 42

2422101.70.1N/AN/AN/A

=[[Ikaroa-Rāwhiti]]=

==Party vote==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:14px; text-align:center"
style="width:240px;" rowspan="2"|Poll

! style="width:160px;" rowspan="2"|Date These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}|Labour

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Māori Party}}|Māori

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Mana Movement}}|Mana

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand National Party}}|National

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand First}}|NZ First

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}|Green

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|ACT New Zealand}}|ACT

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|The Opportunities Party}}|TOP

class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Māori Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Mana Movement}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand National Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand First}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|ACT New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|The Opportunities Party}}; width:60px;"|

style="background:#EFEFEF; font-weight:italic;"

| 2014 election result

| 20 September 2014

|style="background:#F8C1BE" |47.38

12.19{{n/a}}5.3711.2510.280.11{{n/a}}
Māori TV Reid Research{{cite news |url=http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/08/it-s-all-on-polling-for-three-maori-electorates-released.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170829115443/http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/08/it-s-all-on-polling-for-three-maori-electorates-released.html|url-status=dead|archive-date=29 August 2017| title=It's all on – polling for three Māori electorates released|work=Newshub}}

| 11 Jul – 17 Aug 2017

|style="background:#F8C1BE" |50.4

21.11.35.9127.50.31.6

==Candidate vote==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:14px; text-align:center"
style="width:240px;" rowspan="2"|Poll

! style="width:160px;" rowspan="2"|Date These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}|Labour

Meka Whaitiri

! style="width:75px;" bgcolor={{party color|Māori Party}}|Māori

Marama Fox

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}|Green

Elizabeth Kerekere

class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Māori Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

Māori TV Reid Research

| 11 Jul – 17 Aug 2017

| style="background:#F8C1BE" | 55

396

=[[Te Tai Hauāuru]]=

==Party vote==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:14px; text-align:center"
style="width:240px;" rowspan="2"|Poll

! style="width:160px;" rowspan="2"|Date These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}|Labour

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Māori Party}}|Māori

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand National Party}}|National

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}|Green

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand First}}|NZ First

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Mana Movement}}|Mana

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|The Opportunities Party}}|TOP

class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Māori Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand National Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand First}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Mana Movement}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|The Opportunities Party}}; width:60px;"|

style="background:#EFEFEF; font-weight:italic;"

| 2014 election result

| 20 September 2014

|style="background:#F8C1BE" |42.23

17.647.1111.9311.796.82{{n/a}}
Māori TV Reid Research

| 11 Jul – 17 Aug 2017

|style="background:#F8C1BE" | 41.8

2411.29.1111.31.3

==Candidate vote==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:14px; text-align:center"
style="width:240px;" rowspan="2"|Poll

! style="width:160px;" rowspan="2"|Date These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}|Labour

Adrian Rurawhe

! style="width:75px;" bgcolor={{party color|Māori Party}}|Māori

Howie Tamati

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}|Green

Jack McDonald

class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Māori Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

Māori TV Reid Research

| 11 Jul – 17 Aug 2017

| 39

bgcolor=#FFCC80| 529.1

=[[Te Tai Tonga]]=

==Party vote==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:14px; text-align:center"
style="width:240px;" rowspan="2"|Poll

! style="width:160px;" rowspan="2"|Date These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}|Labour

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand National Party}}|National

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Māori Party}}|Māori

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}|Green

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand First}}|NZ First

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|ACT New Zealand}}|ACT

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|The Opportunities Party}}|TOP

class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand National Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Māori Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand First}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|ACT New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|The Opportunities Party}}; width:60px;"|

style="background:#EFEFEF; font-weight:italic;"

| 2014 election result

| 20 September 2014

|style="background:#F8C1BE" |36.7

14.9211.1916.4112.820.17{{n/a}}
Māori TV Reid Research

| 11 Jul – 17 Aug 2017

| style="background:#F8C1BE" | 47.6

14.111.79.314.40.32.4

==Candidate vote==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:14px; text-align:center"
style="width:240px;" rowspan="2"|Poll

! style="width:160px;" rowspan="2"|Date These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}|Labour

Rino Tirikatene

! style="width:75px;" bgcolor={{party color|Māori Party}}|Māori

Mei Reedy-Taare

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}|Green

Metiria Turei

class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Māori Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

Māori TV Reid Research

| 11 Jul – 17 Aug 2017

| style="background:#F8C1BE" | 57.1

22.120.7

=[[Hauraki-Waikato]]=

==Party vote==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:14px; text-align:center"
style="width:240px;" rowspan="2"|Poll

! style="width:160px;" rowspan="2"|Date These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}|Labour

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand First}}|NZ First

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Māori Party}}|Māori

class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand First}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Māori Party}}; width:60px;"|

style="background:#EFEFEF; font-weight:italic;"

| 2014 election result

| 20 September 2014

| style="background:#F8C1BE" | 46.50

13.3711.97
Māori TV-Reid Research{{cite news|url=http://www.maoritelevision.com/news/regional/house-mahuta-rules-polls|title=House of Mahuta rules in polls|website=maoritelevision.com|date=10 September 2017|access-date=10 September 2017}}

| 11 Jul – 3 Sept 2017

| style="background:#F8C1BE" | 52.6

15.114.5

==Candidate vote==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:14px; text-align:center"
style="width:240px;" rowspan="2"|Poll

! style="width:160px;" rowspan="2"|Date These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

! style="width:75px;" bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}|Labour

Nanaia Mahuta

! style="width:75px;" bgcolor={{party color|Māori Party}}|Māori

Rahui Papa

! style="width:75px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Mana Party (New Zealand)}}|Mana

Susan Cullen

class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Māori Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Mana Party (New Zealand)}}; width:60px;"|

style="background:#EFEFEF; font-weight:italic;"

| 2014 election result

| 20 September 2014

| style="background:#F8C1BE" | 59.54

21.9615.22
Māori TV-Reid Research

| 11 Jul – 3 Sept 2017

| style="background:#F8C1BE" | 78

22{{n/a}}

=[[Tāmaki Makaurau]]=

==Party vote==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:14px; text-align:center"
style="width:240px;" rowspan="2"|Poll

! style="width:160px;" rowspan="2"|Date These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}|Labour

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand First}}|NZ First

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Māori Party}}|Māori

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}|Green

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand National Party}}|National

class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand First}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Māori Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand National Party}}; width:60px;"|

style="background:#EFEFEF; font-weight:italic;"

| 2014 election result

| 20 September 2014

| style="background:#F8C1BE" | 40.45

13.9812.7211.697.55
Māori TV-Reid Research{{cite news|url=http://www.maoritelevision.com/news/regional/undecided-could-decide-auckland-maori-seat|title=Undecided could decide Auckland Māori seat|date=18 September 2017}}

| 12 Jul – 5 Sept 2017

| style="background:#F8C1BE" | 47.0

12.614.511.312.6

==Candidate vote==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:14px; text-align:center"
style="width:240px;" rowspan="2"|Poll

! style="width:160px;" rowspan="2"|Date These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

! style="width:75px;" bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}|Labour

Peeni Henare

! style="width:75px;" bgcolor={{party color|Māori Party}}|Māori

Shane Taurima

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}|Green

Marama Davidson

! style="width:75px;" bgcolor={{party color|Māori Party}}|Māori

Rangi McLean

class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Māori Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Māori Party}}; width:60px;"|

style="background:#EFEFEF; font-weight:italic;"

| 2014 election result

| 20 September 2014

| style="background:#F8C1BE" | 37.48

{{n/a}}15.6030.21
Māori TV-Reid Research

| 12 Jul – 5 Sept 2017

| style="background:#F8C1BE" | 46.0

32.621.4{{n/a}}

=[[Te Tai Tokerau]]=

==Party vote==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:14px; text-align:center"
style="width:240px;" rowspan="2"|Poll

! style="width:160px;" rowspan="2"|Date These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}|Labour

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand First}}|NZ First

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Māori Party}}|Māori

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}|Green

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand National Party}}|National

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Mana Party}}|Mana

class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand First}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Māori Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand National Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Mana Party}}; width:60px;"|

style="background:#EFEFEF; font-weight:italic;"

| 2014 election result

| 20 September 2014

| style="background:#F8C1BE" | 38.8

8.19.18.710.216.3
Māori TV-Reid Research{{cite news|url=http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/09/poll-clear-majority-for-kelvin-davis-in-te-tai-tokerau.html|archive-url=https://archive.today/20240504072605/http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/election/2017/09/poll-clear-majority-for-kelvin-davis-in-te-tai-tokerau.html|url-status=dead|archive-date=4 May 2024|title=Poll: Clear majority for Kelvin Davis in Te Tai Tokerau|date=20 September 2017}}

| 12 Jul – 5 Sept 2017

| style="background:#F8C1BE" | 49.7

14.79.710.37.96.1

==Candidate vote==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:14px; text-align:center"
style="width:240px;" rowspan="2"|Poll

! style="width:160px;" rowspan="2"|Date These are the survey dates of the poll, or if the survey dates are not stated, the date the poll was released.

! style="width:75px;" bgcolor={{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}|Labour

Kelvin Davis

! style="width:75px;" bgcolor={{party color|Mana Party}}|Mana

Hone Harawira

! style="width:70px;" r bgcolor={{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}|Green

Godfrey Rudoplh

class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|New Zealand Labour Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Mana Party}}; width:60px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand}}; width:60px;"|

style="background:#EFEFEF; font-weight:italic;"

| 2014 election result

| 20 September 2014

| style="background:#F8C1BE" | 43.90

40.53{{n/a}}
Māori TV-Reid Research

| 12 Jul – 5 Sept 2017

| style="background:#F8C1BE" | 67.4

30.32.3

Forecasts

{{2017 NZ election forecasts}}

New Zealand does not have a strong tradition of third-party forecast models. Some private individuals have created their own projection models.[https://ellisp.github.io/elections/elections.html Peter's Stats Stuff][https://sites.google.com/site/nzelectionprediction/home NZ Election Prediction]

See also

Notes

{{Reflist|group=nb}}

References

{{Reflist}}

{{NZ general polling}}

Category:2017 New Zealand general election