Opinion polling for the next Dutch general election#Seats
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In the run-up to the next Dutch general election, various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in the Netherlands. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2023 Dutch general election, held on 22 November, to the present.
Four main pollsters have performed opinion polls on voting intentions in the Netherlands during this period, these being: I&O Research, Ipsos, Peil.nl and Verian. I&O Research and Ipsos merged in January 2024, polling separately until July when they decided to poll together under the name Ipsos I&O.{{Cite web |url=https://www.ipsos-publiek.nl/actueel/ipsos-nederland-en-io-gaan-samen-verder-als-ipsos-io/ |title=Ipsos Nederland en I&O gaan samen verder als Ipsos I&O |date=8 January 2024 |access-date=27 December 2024 |work=ipsos-publiek.nl |language=nl}} Peil.nl does not give percentages, only showing seats while the other pollsters do include percentages.
Projections
= Graphical summary =
The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the four major Dutch pollsters. The trendlines show local regressions representing seat totals (not vote percentages).
= Seats =
There are 150 seats in total, 76 seats are needed for a majority. Parties are denoted with a dash if no indication is given of their level in the polls.
class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:14px;" | |
rowspan="2" | Polling firm
! class="unsortable" rowspan="2"| Fieldwork date ! class="unsortable" rowspan="2"| Sample ! class="unsortable" |PVV{{efn|name=Schoof|Part of the Schoof cabinet}} ! class="unsortable" |{{Nowrap|GL–PvdA}} ! class="unsortable" |VVD{{efn|name=Schoof}} ! class="unsortable" |NSC{{efn|name=Schoof}} ! class="unsortable" |D66 ! class="unsortable" |BBB{{efn|name=Schoof}} ! class="unsortable" |CDA ! class="unsortable" |SP ! class="unsortable" |Denk ! class="unsortable" |PvdD ! class="unsortable" |FvD ! class="unsortable" |SGP ! class="unsortable" |CU ! class="unsortable" |Volt ! class="unsortable" |JA21 ! rowspan="2" class="unsortable" | Lead ! rowspan="2" class="unsortable" | Ref | |
---|---|
data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|GroenLinks–PvdA}};"| ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (2020)}};" | ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|New Social Contract}};" | ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Democrats 66}};" | ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Farmer–Citizen Movement}};" | ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Christian Democratic Appeal (2021)}};"| ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Socialist Party (Netherlands)}};"| ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Denk (political party)}};"| ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Party for the Animals}};" | ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Forum for Democracy (Netherlands)}};" | ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Reformed Political Party}};" | ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Christian Union (Netherlands)}};" | ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Volt Netherlands}};" | ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|JA21}};" | | |
Ipsos I&O
| {{opdrts|9|12|May|2025|year}} | 1,877 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 29 | 28 | 26 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 1 | |
Verian
| {{opdrts|25|28|Apr|2025|year}} | 1,574 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 29 | 27 | 28 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 1 | |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts|25|26|Apr|2025|year}} | – | 28 | style="background:#fbdbdc;" | 29 | 26 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | style="background:{{party color|GroenLinks–PvdA}};color:#FFFFFF" | 1 | |
style="background:#EFEFEF"
| style="border-right-style:hidden;" | | style="border-right-style:hidden;" {{opdrts | 18|Apr|2025|year}}
| colspan="18" | Nicolien van Vroonhoven succeeds Pieter Omtzigt as NSC leader |
Ipsos I&O
| {{opdrts|11|14|Apr|2025|year}} | 1,990 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 28 | 27 | 26 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 1 | |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts | 4|Apr|2025|year}}
| – | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 29 | style="background:#fbdbdc;" | 29 | 25 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | Tie |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts | 29|Mar|2025|year}}
| – | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 29 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 1 |
Verian
| {{opdrts|21|24|Mar|2025|year}} | 1,564 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 31 | 27 | 28 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 3 | |
Ipsos I&O
| {{opdrts|14|17|Mar|2025|year}} | 2,127 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 30 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 3 | |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts|7|8|Mar|2025|year}} | – | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 30 | 27 | 23 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 3 | |
Verian
| {{opdrts|21|24|Feb|2025|year}} | 1,578 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 34 | 27 | 24 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 7 | |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts|21|22|Feb|2025|year}} | – | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 32 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 8 | |
Ipsos I&O
| {{opdrts|14|17|Feb|2025|year}} | 2,382 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 34 | 24 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 10 | |
Verian
| {{opdrts|24|27|Jan|2025|year}} | 1,556 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 38 | 24 | 22 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 14 | |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts|24|25|Jan|2025|year}} | – | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 34 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 10 | |
Ipsos I&O
| {{opdrts|17|20|Jan|2025|year}} | 2,267 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 35 | 24 | 21 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 11 | |
Verian
| {{opdrts|24|28|Dec|2024|year}} | 1,583 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 38 | 26 | 23 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 12 | |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts|13|14|Dec|2024|year}} | – | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 35 | 25 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 10 | |
Ipsos I&O
| {{opdrts|6|9|Dec|2024|year}} | 1,925 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 37 | 23 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 14 | |
Verian
| {{opdrts|22|25|Nov|2024|year}} | 1,551 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 41 | 26 | 22 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 15 | |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts|22|23|Nov|2024|year}} | – | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 38 | 25 | 19 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 13 | |
Ipsos I&O
| {{opdrts|9|11|Nov|2024|year}} | 2,020 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 38 | 26 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 12 | |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts|8|9|Nov|2024|year}} | – | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 38 | 25 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 13 | |
Verian
| {{opdrts|25|28|Oct|2024|year}} | 1,604 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 39 | 24 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 15 | |
Ipsos I&O
| {{opdrts|18|21|Oct|2024|year}} | 2,143 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 38 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 13 | |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts|11|12|Oct|2024|year}} | – | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 37 | 26 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 11 | |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts|27|28|Sep|2024|year}} | – | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 40 | 26 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF" | 14 | |
Ipsos I&O
| {{opdrts|20|23|Sep|2024|year}} | 1,950 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 41 | 25 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 16 | |
Verian
| {{opdrts|20|23|Sep|2024|year}} | 1,607 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 41 |27 |23 |3 |9 |7 |10 |6 |3 |5 |4 |3 |4 |4 |1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 14 | |
Ipsos I&O
| {{opdrts|13|16|Sep|2024|year}} | 2,208 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 42 | 24 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 18 | |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts|13|14|Sep|2024|year}} | 5,000+ | style="background:#CDE2FE" | 38 | 26 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 12 | |
Verian
|23–26 Aug 2024 |1,594 |style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 39 |27 |23 |9 |11 |6 |8 |7 |4 |4 |3 |3 |3 |3 |style="background:#ffb2ca"|0 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 12 | |
Ipsos
|26–29 Jul 2024 |1,016 |style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 40 |27 |21 |11 |10 |8 |9 |3 |4 |5 |3 |3 |2 |3 |1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 13 | |
Peil.nl
|5–6 Jul 2024 |– |style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 38 |25 |19 |8 |11 |8 |11 |6 |4 |4 |3 |4 |4 |4 |1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 13 | |
style="background:#EFEFEF"
| style="border-right-style:hidden;" | | style="border-right-style:hidden;" {{opdrts | 2|Jul|2024|year}}
| colspan="18" | The Schoof cabinet is sworn in |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts|28|29|Jun|2024|year}} | – |style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 41 | 26 |17 |8 |10 |8 |11 |6 |4 |4 |3 |4 |3 |4 |1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 15 | |
Ipsos
| {{opdrts|21|24|Jun|2024|year}} | 1,017 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 44 | 27 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 17 | |
I&O Research
| {{opdrts|14|17|Jun|2024|year}} | 1,979 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 42 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | style="background:#ffb2ca"|0 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 15 | |
style="background:#EFEFEF"
| style="border-right-style:hidden;" | | style="border-right-style:hidden;" {{opdrts | 6|Jun|2024|year}}
| colspan="18" | 2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts|5|6|Jun|2024|year}} | – |style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 43 | 25 |19 |8 |10 |8 |10 |5 |3 |4 |4 |3 |3 |4 |1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 18 | |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts|31|1|Jun|2024|year}} | – |style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 42 | 25 |19 |7 |10 |8 |10 |6 |3 |4 |5 |3 |3 |4 |1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 17 | |
Ipsos
| {{opdrts|24|27|May|2024|year}} | 2,048 |style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 48 | 24 |19 |11 |10 |7 |6 |3 |3 |6 |3 |3 |3 |3 |1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 24 | |
I&O Research
| {{opdrts|17|21|May|2024|year}} | 2,141 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 46 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 20 | |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts|17|18|May|2024|year}} |– | style="background:#CDE2FE;" |45 |25 |18 |7 |10 |8 |10 |6 |3 |4 |4 |3 |3 |3 |1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 20 | |
I&O Research
| {{opdrts|9|12|May|2024|year}} | 1,839 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 47 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 21 | |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts|3|4|May|2024|year}} |– | style="background:#CDE2FE;" |46 |25 |17 |8 |10 |8 |9 |7 |3 |3 |4 |3 |3 |3 |1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 21 | |
Ipsos
| {{opdrts|26|29|Apr|2024|year}} |1,011 |style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 45 | 23 |20 |11 |11 |8 |5 |4 |4 |5 |4 |4 |3 |2 |1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 22 | |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts | 19|Apr|2024|year}}
|8,500 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" |50 |25 |15 |8 |10 |7 |9 |7 |3 |3 |3 |3 |3 |3 |1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 25 |
Ipsos
| {{opdrts|22|25|Mar|2024|year}} | 1,016 |style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 49 |24 |20 |11 |10 |6 |6 |4 |3 |4 |3 |3 |3 |2 |2 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 25 |date=26 March 2024|website=EenVandaag}} | |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts | 22|Mar|2024|year}}
|– | style="background:#CDE2FE;" |49 |25 |15 |9 |10 |7 |9 |7 |3 |3 |3 |3 |3 |3 |1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 24 |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts | 8|Mar|2024|year}}
|– | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 49 |25 |15 |10 |10 |7 |9 |7 |3 |3 |3 |3 |3 |2 |1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 24 |
Ipsos
| {{opdrts|23|26|Feb|2024|year}} | 1,022 |style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 49 | 25 |19 |11 |11 |8 |6 |3 |4 |4 |3 |3 |2 |1 |1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 24 | |
I&O Research
| {{opdrts|9|12|Feb|2024|year}} | 2,752 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 49 | 25 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 24 | |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts | 9|Feb|2024|year}}
| 6,000 | style="background:#CDE2FE;" |52 |25 |13 |11 |10 |8 |8 |6 |3 |3 |3 |3 |3 |2 | style="background:#ffb2ca"|0 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 27 |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts|2|3|Feb|2024|year}} | 4,500+ | style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 50 | 25 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | style="background:#ffb2ca"|0 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 25 | |
Ipsos
| {{opdrts|26|29|Jan|2024|year}} | 1,025 |style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 45 |25 |19 |18 |11 |6 |5 |3 |3 |4 |3 |3 |2 |2 |1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 20 | |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts|19|20|Jan|2024|year}} | 5,500+ |style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 49 |23 |12 |17 |10 |9 |6 |6 |3 |3 |3 |3 |3 |3 | style="background:#ffb2ca"|0 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 26 | |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts | 22|Dec|2023|year}}
| – |style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 48 |22 |13 |18 |11 |9 |6 |5 |3 |3 |3 |3 |3 |3 | style="background:#ffb2ca"|0 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 26 |
Ipsos
| {{opdrts|15|18|Dec|2023|year}} | 1,052 |style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 47 |22 |18 |19 |9 |8 |4 |3 |4 |5 |3 |3 |3 |2 | style="background:#ffb2ca"|0 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 25 | |
style="background:#EFEFEF"
| style="border-right-style:hidden;" | | style="border-right-style:hidden;" {{opdrts | 13|Dec|2023|year}}
| colspan="18" | Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader{{Cite news|date=2023-12-13|title=Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader|language=NL|work=NU.nl|url=https://www.nu.nl/politiek/6293839/jimmy-dijk-volgt-lilian-marijnissen-op-als-sp-leider.html|access-date=2023-12-14}} |
I&O Research
| {{opdrts|8|11|Dec|2023|year}} | 2,952 |style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 43 |23 |16 |20 |10 |8 |5 |5 |2 |5 |3 |3 |3 |4 | style="background:#ffb2ca"|0 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 20 | |
Peil.nl
| {{opdrts|1|2|Dec|2023|year}} | – |style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 42 |22 |16 |19 |11 |10 |6 |5 |3 |3 |3 |3 |3 |3 |1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 20 | |
style="background:#E9E9E9;"
| {{opdrts | 22|Nov|2023|year}}
|– |style="background:#CDE2FE;" | 37 |25 |24 |20 |9 |7 |5 |5 |3 |3 |3 |3 |3 |2 |1 | style="background:{{party color|Party for Freedom}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 12 | |
See also
Notes
{{Notelist}}