Poplar and Limehouse (UK Parliament constituency)#Election results

{{Short description|Parliamentary constituency in the United Kingdom, 2010 onwards}}

{{Use dmy dates|date=April 2022}}

{{Infobox UK constituency main

|name = Poplar and Limehouse

|parliament = uk

|image=258px

|caption=Boundary of Poplar and Limehouse in Greater London

|map_entity=Greater London

|map_year=

|year=2010

|map1 =

|map2 =

|map_size = 200px

|abolished =

|type = Borough

|previous = Poplar & Canning Town, Bethnal Green & Bow

|next =

|electorate = 75,814 (2023){{cite web |url= https://boundarycommissionforengland.independent.gov.uk/2023-review/the-2023-review-of-parliamentary-constituency-boundaries-in-england-volume-two-constituency-names-designations-and-composition/2023-volume-two-constituency-names-designations-and-composition-london/#lg_poplar-and-limehouse-bc-75814

|title= The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituency Boundaries in England – Volume two: Constituency names, designations and composition – London

|publisher=Boundary Commission for England

|access-date=22 June 2024

|df=dmy

}}

|mp = Apsana Begum

|party = Independent

|region = England

|county = Greater London

|towns = Canary Wharf, Limehouse, Poplar, Wapping

|european = London

|elects_howmany = One

}}

Poplar and Limehouse is a constituency{{#tag:ref|A borough constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)|group= n}} which was first created in 2010. It has been represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since 2019 by Apsana Begum, who was elected as a Labour Party MP.{{#tag:ref|As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.|group= n}} The whip was withdrawn on 23 July 2024, as a result of her voting to scrap the two child benefit cap, and she was suspended from the Parliamentary Labour Party. Begum now sits as an Independent MP until the whip is re-established.

History

;Political history

The predecessors to this constituency (area electing MPs to the House of Commons) (see history of boundaries) since 1992 have elected Labour Party representatives. In 2010, Jim Fitzpatrick had a majority of 12.9% over the runner-up Conservative Party candidate.

The 2015 re-election of Fitzpatrick made the seat the 66th safest of Labour's 232 seats by percentage of majority.{{cite web |url=http://www.ukpolitical.info/labour-mps-elected-2015.htm |title=Labour Members of Parliament 2015 |website=UK Political.info |archive-date=2018-09-29 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180929214847/http://www.ukpolitical.info/labour-mps-elected-2015.htm |url-status=live}}

In 2019, Apsana Begum, selected to succeed the retiring Fitzpatrick as Labour's candidate, beat the runner-up Conservative Party candidate by 28,904 votes.{{Cite news|title=Poplar & Limehouse parliamentary constituency - Election 2019|language=en-GB|work=BBC News|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/politics/constituencies/E14000882|access-date=2020-06-13|archive-date=2020-10-12|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201012004452/https://www.bbc.com/news/politics/constituencies/E14000882|url-status=live}} This was more than Jim Fitzpatrick’s 27,712 vote majority{{Cite web|title=Poplar and Limehouse - 2017 Election Results - General Elections Online|url=https://electionresults.parliament.uk/election/2017-06-08/results/Location/Constituency/Poplar%20and%20Limehouse|access-date=2020-06-13|website=electionresults.parliament.uk|archive-date=2020-06-13|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200613171057/https://electionresults.parliament.uk/election/2017-06-08/results/Location/Constituency/Poplar%20and%20Limehouse|url-status=live}} at the 2017 general election, though the majority size in terms of vote share remained stable at 47.2%, and Labour's vote share declined.

Boundaries

= 2010-2024 =

{{maplink|raw={{Wikipedia:Map data/Poplar and Limehouse (UK Parliament constituency)}}|frame=yes|text=Map of boundaries 2010-2024}}

Parliament accepted the Boundary Commission's Fifth Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies which proposed the seat's creation for the 2010 general election, since when it has consisted of the following electoral wards:

=History of boundaries=

  • Before 2010, this constituency would map into all but the north-east of the old Poplar and Canning Town constituency, plus the western end of Shadwell Ward and in the west the whole of St Katharine's & Wapping Ward, formerly parts of Bethnal Green and Bow.
  • The areas of the old constituency that were in the London Borough of Newham were removed and transferred to East Ham (5.1% of Poplar and Canning Town) and West Ham (24.9%).{{cite web |url=http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/index.html?bdy_nolon_summary.html |title=Electoral Calculus |website=www.electoralcalculus.co.uk |access-date=2006-08-29 |archive-date=2006-10-04 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20061004070258/http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/index.html?bdy_nolon_summary.html |url-status=live }}

;Nomenclature

Alternative names, including "Tower Hamlets South" and "Poplar and Millwall" were rejected following public consultation.{{cn|date=December 2024}}

Local authority boundary review

Following a review of ward boundaries in Tower Hamlets which became effective in May 2014,{{Cite web |last=LGBCE |title=Tower Hamlets {{!}} LGBCE |url=https://www.lgbce.org.uk/all-reviews/tower-hamlets |access-date=2023-12-22 |website=www.lgbce.org.uk |language=en}} the contents (but not the boundaries) of the constituency were changed to:

= Current =

File:Poplar and Limehouse 2023 Constituency.svg

Further to the 2023 periodic review of Westminster constituencies, which came into effect for the 2024 general election, the composition of the constituency was reduced to bring the electorate within the permitted range. Shadwell and part of the Whitechapel wards were transferred to the re-established seat of Bethnal Green and Stepney, and the Bromley North ward was moved to the newly created constituency of Stratford and Bow.{{Cite web |title=The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023 |url=https://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2023/1230/schedules/made |at=Schedule 1 Part 3 London region}}

Constituency profile

The constituency and its predecessor seats covering the Isle of Dogs have consistently been won by the Labour Party since the 1920s. The district has changed vastly over this time, and great wealth and considerable poverty now co-exist side by side as an example of income inequality.

Once home to shipping and heavy industry, the Docklands area was derelict for many years, before redevelopment began in the late-1980s. Now the area around Canary Wharf is one of the country's largest financial districts and has several landmark skyscrapers, such as One Canada Square.

The redevelopment of the Docklands has led to the construction of luxury housing in the constituency, which has somewhat altered the demographics. However, in parts of the Isle of Dogs and in the areas north, east and west of Poplar, there are still areas of high deprivation.

At the end of 2012, 6% of the population of the constituency were unemployment benefit claimants, ranking sixth among London seats (the highest percentage was Tottenham at 7.9%), and above the London-wide average of 3.9%.[https://www.theguardian.com/news/datablog/2010/nov/17/unemployment-and-employment-statistics-economics Unemployment claimants by constituency] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170802131558/https://www.theguardian.com/news/datablog/2010/nov/17/unemployment-and-employment-statistics-economics |date=2017-08-02 }} The Guardian

In the 2016 EU referendum, like the majority of London; the constituency voted 65.79% for Remain.{{cite web|title=Poplar and Limehouse, UK Parliament Constituency|url=http://democraticdashboard.com/widget/constituency/poplar-and-limehouse/general-election|date=11 January 2019|access-date=11 January 2019|archive-date=11 January 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190111232805/http://democraticdashboard.com/widget/constituency/poplar-and-limehouse/general-election|url-status=usurped}}

The constituency is religiously diverse: 38.8% of residents are Muslim, 24.2% Christian, 2.8% Hindu, and 1.0% Buddhist. 24.8% claimed no religious affiliation.{{Cite web |title=Poplar and Limehouse |url=https://www.ons.gov.uk/visualisations/customprofiles/build/#E14000882 |access-date=2024-05-04 |website=www.ons.gov.uk |language=en}}

Members of Parliament

class="wikitable"
colspan="2"|ElectionMember{{Rayment-hc|p|2|date=March 2012}}

!Party

style="color:inherit;background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |

| 2010

| Jim Fitzpatrick

| Labour

style="color:inherit;background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |

| 2019

|rowspan="2"| Apsana Begum

| Labour

style="color:inherit;background-color: {{party color|Independent politician}}" |

|2024

|Independent

Elections

= Elections in the 2020s =

{{Election box begin|title=General election 2024: Poplar and Limehouse{{cite web|url=https://www.towerhamlets.gov.uk/Documents/Democracy/Elections/2024/SOPN-Poplar-Limehouse.docx |title=Statement of Person Nominated and Notice of Poll: Poplar and Limehouse Constituency |publisher=Tower Hamlets Council|date=7 June 2024}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link|party=Labour Party (UK)|candidate=Apsana Begum|votes=18,535|percentage=43.1|change=–17.2|}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Green Party of England and Wales|candidate=Nathalie Bienfait|votes=5,975|percentage=13.9|change=+10.5|}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Conservative Party (UK)|candidate=Freddie Downing|votes=4,738|percentage=11.0|change=–6.7|}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Independent (politician)|candidate=Ehtashamul Haque|votes=4,554|percentage=10.6|change=N/A|}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Liberal Democrats (UK)|candidate=Richard Flowers|votes=4,189|percentage=9.7|change=–5.8|}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Reform UK|candidate=Tony Glover|votes=3,403|percentage=7.9|change=+5.5|}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Workers Party of Britain|candidate=Kamran Khan|votes=1,463|percentage=3.4|change=N/A|}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Social Democratic Party (UK, 1990–present)|candidate=Manny Lawal|votes=194|percentage=0.5|change=N/A|}}

{{Election box majority|votes=12,560|percentage=29.2|change=–13.5}}

{{Election box turnout|votes=43,051|percentage=51.2|change=–17.1}}

{{Election box registered electors

|reg. electors = 84,116

}}

{{Election box hold with party link

|winner = Labour Party (UK)

|swing = –13.9

}}

{{Election box end}}

= Elections in the 2010s =

class="wikitable"
colspan="4" | 2019 notional result{{Cite web|url=https://electionresults.parliament.uk/general-elections/5 |title=Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019 |date= |access-date=11 July 2024 |work=Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News |publisher=UK Parliament}}
bgcolor="#DDDDFF" width="130px" colspan="2" | Party

! bgcolor="#DDDDFF" width="50px" | Vote

! bgcolor="#DDDDFF" width="30px" | %

{{party color cell|Labour Party (UK)}}

| Labour

align=right| 31,176align=right| 60.3
{{party color cell|Conservative Party (UK)}}

| Conservative

align=right| 9,129align=right| 17.7
{{party color cell|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}

| Liberal Democrats

align=right| 8,009align=right| 15.5
{{party color cell|Green Party of England and Wales}}

| Green

align=right| 1,756align=right| 3.4
{{party color cell|Brexit Party}}

| Brexit Party

align=right| 1,219align=right| 2.4
{{party color cell|Independent politician}}

| Others

align=right| 376align=right| 0.7
colspan="4" bgcolor="#EAECF0"|
colspan="2"|Turnout

|align=right|51,665

|align=right|68.1

colspan="2"|Electorate

|align=right|75,814

{{Election box begin|title=General election 2019: Poplar and Limehouse{{cite web|url=https://www.towerhamlets.gov.uk/Documents/Democracy/Representation/Elections/SoPNNOPPoplarLimehouse.pdf|title=Statement of Persons Nominated|publisher=Tower Hamlets council|access-date=16 November 2019|archive-date=16 November 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191116081901/https://www.towerhamlets.gov.uk/Documents/Democracy/Representation/Elections/SoPNNOPPoplarLimehouse.pdf|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=https://www.towerhamlets.gov.uk/Documents/Democracy/Declaration_of_Result_Poplar_and_Limehouse.pdf|title=Declaration of Result of Poll|publisher=Tower Hamlets council|access-date=13 December 2019|archive-date=13 December 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191213140752/https://www.towerhamlets.gov.uk/Documents/Democracy/Declaration_of_Result_Poplar_and_Limehouse.pdf|url-status=live}}{{cite web |url=https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-8749/CBP-8749.pdf |date=28 January 2020 |title=Commons Briefing Paper 8749. General Election 2019: results and analysis |publisher=House of Commons Library |location=London |access-date=19 January 2022 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211118043715/https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-8749/CBP-8749.pdf |archive-date=18 November 2021}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = Apsana Begum

|votes = 38,660

|percentage = 63.1

|change = -4.2

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Sheun Oke

|votes = 9,756

|percentage = 15.9

|change = -4.2

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Liberal Democrats (UK)

|candidate = Andrew Cregan

|votes = 8,832

|percentage = 14.4

|change = +7.7

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Green Party of England and Wales

|candidate = Neil Jameson

|votes = 2,159

|percentage = 3.5

|change = +1.8

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Brexit Party

|candidate = Catherine Cui

|votes = 1,493

|percentage = 2.4

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Independent politician

|candidate = Andy Erlam

|votes = 376

|percentage = 0.6

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 28,904

|percentage = 47.2

|change = {{steady}}

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 61,276

|percentage = 66.7

|change = -0.6

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 91,836

}}

{{Election box hold with party link

|winner = Labour Party (UK)

|swing = 0.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin|title= General election 2017: Poplar and Limehouse{{cite news |url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000882 |title=Poplar & Limehouse parliamentary constituency |work=BBC News |access-date=2018-06-22 |archive-date=2018-11-05 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181105055042/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000882 |url-status=live }}{{cite web |url=https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-7979/CBP-7979.pdf |title=Commons Briefing Paper 7979. General Election 2017: results and analysis |edition=Second |date=29 January 2019 |orig-date=7 April 2018 |publisher=House of Commons Library |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191112183438/https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-7979/CBP-7979.pdf |archive-date=12 November 2019}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = Jim Fitzpatrick

|votes = 39,558

|percentage = 67.3

|change = +8.7

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|candidate = Chris Wilford

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|votes = 11,846

|percentage = 20.1

|change = -5.3

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Liberal Democrats (UK)

|candidate = Elaine Bagshaw

|votes = 3,959

|percentage = 6.7

|change = +2.5

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Independent politician

|candidate = Oliur Rahman

|votes = 1,477

|percentage = 2.5

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Green Party of England and Wales

|candidate = Bethan Lant

|votes = 989

|percentage = 1.7

|change = -3.1

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|candidate = Nicholas McQueen

|party = UKIP

|votes = 849

|percentage = 1.4

|change = -4.7

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Independent politician

|candidate = David Barker

|votes = 136

|percentage = 0.2

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 27,712

|percentage = 47.2

|change = +14.0

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 58,814

|percentage = 67.3

|change = +5.2

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 87,331

}}

{{Election box hold with party link

|winner = Labour Party (UK)

|swing = +7.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin|title= General election 2015: Poplar and Limehouse{{cite web|title=Election Data 2015|url=http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_2015.txt|publisher=Electoral Calculus|access-date=17 October 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151017112223/http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_2015.txt|archive-date=17 October 2015}}{{cite web|url=http://moderngov.towerhamlets.gov.uk/mgElectionAreaResults.aspx?XXR=0&ID=114&RPID=5713241|title=Election results for Poplar & Limehouse, 7 May 2015|date=7 May 2015|access-date=22 August 2015|archive-date=4 March 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160304190112/http://moderngov.towerhamlets.gov.uk/mgElectionAreaResults.aspx?XXR=0&ID=114&RPID=5713241|url-status=live}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = Jim Fitzpatrick

|votes = 29,886

|percentage = 58.5

|change = +18.6

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Chris Wilford

|votes = 12,962

|percentage = 25.4

|change = -1.7

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = UK Independence Party

|candidate = Nicholas McQueen

|votes = 3,128

|percentage = 6.1

|change = +4.9

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Green Party of England and Wales

|candidate = Maureen Childs

|votes = 2,463

|percentage = 4.8

|change = +3.9

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Liberal Democrats (UK)

|candidate = Elaine Bagshaw

|votes = 2,149

|percentage = 4.2

|change = -6.9

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition

|candidate = Hugo Pierre

|votes = 367

|percentage = 0.7

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box candidate

|party = Red Flag Anti-Corruption

|candidate = Rene Claudel Mugenzi

|votes = 89

|percentage = 0.2

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 16,924

|percentage = 33.2

|change = +20.2

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 51,044

|percentage = 62.2

|change = -0.1

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 82,081

}}

{{Election box hold with party link

|winner = Labour Party (UK)

|swing = +10.1

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin|title=General election 2010: Poplar and Limehouse[http://www.towerhamlets.gov.uk/idoc.ashx?docid=2d559ae6-bb7c-472f-b100-e2eb063d0b27&version=-1 Statement of Persons Nominated] {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100502053259/http://www.towerhamlets.gov.uk/idoc.ashx?docid=2d559ae6-bb7c-472f-b100-e2eb063d0b27&version=-1 |date=2010-05-02 }}, Tower Hamlets Council[http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/guide/seat-profiles/poplarandlimehouse Poplar and Limehouse] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080209012721/http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/guide/seat-profiles/poplarandlimehouse |date=2008-02-09 }}, UKPollingReport{{cite web|url=http://www.englishdemocrats.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=409&Itemid=143|title=ED Candidate list|access-date=2010-01-27|archive-date=2017-11-10|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171110171436/http://www.englishdemocrats.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=409&Itemid=143|url-status=live}}BBC News (2010-05-07). [http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/election2010/results/constituency/d56.stm Election 2010 | Constituency | Poplar & Limehouse] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190116025841/http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/election2010/results/constituency/d56.stm |date=2019-01-16 }}. Retrieved 2010-05-07.}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = Jim Fitzpatrick*

|votes = 18,679

|percentage = 40.0

|change =

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Tim Archer

|votes = 12,649

|percentage = 27.1

|change =

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Respect - The Unity Coalition

|candidate = George Galloway*

|votes = 8,160

|percentage = 17.5

|change =

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Liberal Democrats (UK)

|candidate = Jonathan Fryer

|votes = 5,209

|percentage = 11.2

|change =

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = UK Independence Party

|candidate = Wayne Lochner

|votes = 565

|percentage = 1.2

|change =

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = English Democrats Party

|candidate = Andrew Osborne

|votes = 470

|percentage = 1.0

|change =

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Green Party of England and Wales

|candidate = Chris Smith

|votes = 449

|percentage = 1.0

|change =

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Independent politician

|candidate = Kabir Mahmud

|votes = 293

|percentage = 0.6

|change =

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Independent politician

|candidate = Mohammed Hoque

|votes = 167

|percentage = 0.4

|change =

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Independent politician

|candidate = Jim Thornton

|votes = 59

|percentage = 0.1

|change =

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 6,030

|percentage = 12.9

|change =

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 46,700

|percentage = 62.3

|change =

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 74,955

}}

{{Election box new seat win

|winner = Labour Party (UK)

}}

{{Election box end}}

:* Served as an MP in the 2005–2010 Parliament

See also

Notes

{{Reflist|group=n}}

References

{{Reflist}}