THORPEX

THORPEX was started in 2003 with the intention of being a ten-year programme,{{cite web|url=http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/wwrp/new/documents/CD_ROM_implementation_plan_v1.pdf |title=THORPEX International Research Implementation Programme|date= February 14, 2005|access-date= April 18, 2014|publisher= World Meteorological Organization}} but it continues to be active as of 2014. The 12th annual session was held at the WMO headquarters in Geneva, Switzerland in March 2014.{{cite web|url=http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/wwrp/new/Presentations_12th_GIS-TIGGE_2014.html |title=12th Session THORPEX GIFS-TIGGE Working Group (Geneva, WMO Headquarters, 18 March 2014 afternoon)|date= March 18, 2014|access-date= April 18, 2014|publisher= World Meteorological Organization}}

THORPEX was created in 2003 at the Fourteenth World Meteorological Congress under the auspices of the WMO Commission for Atmospheric Sciences (CAS) as a ten-year international research and development programme to accelerate improvements in the accuracy and the social, economic & environmental benefits of 1-day to 2-week high-impact weather forecasts.{{cite web|url=https://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/wwrp/new/documents/CD_ROM_international_science_plan_v3.pdf |title=THORPEX International Science Plan (Version 3)|last1= Shapiro|first1= Melvyn|last2= Thorpe|first2= Alan|date= November 2, 2004|access-date= April 18, 2014}}

At the time of its creation, the following sub-programmes were listed in the THORPEX International Science Plan:

1. Global-to-regional influences on the evolution and predictability of weather systems
2. Global observing-system design and demonstration
3. Targeting and assimilation of observations
4. Societal, economic & environmental benefits of improved forecasts

In February 2005, the THORPEX International Research Implementation Plan (TIP) was published. This plan proposed the creation of the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE), an implementation of ensemble forecasting, and the Global Interactive Forecasting System (GIFS).

In early March 2005, the first workshop devoted to TIGGE was held.{{cite web|url=http://www.ecmwf.int/newsevents/meetings/workshops/2005/TIGGE/ |title=1st Workshop of TIGGE (Thorpex Interactive Grand Global Ensemble)|date= March 1–3, 2005|access-date= April 18, 2014|publisher= European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts|url-status= dead|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20140419011750/http://www.ecmwf.int/newsevents/meetings/workshops/2005/TIGGE/ |archive-date= April 19, 2014}} The final report of the workshop laid out a plan for setting up the THORPEX TIGGE-GIFS working group as soon as possible & for setting up the infrastructure for TIGGE over the next few years, in time to contribute to proposed real-time THORPEX support for the International Polar Year field campaigns in 2007-08 & the 2008 Beijing Olympics WWRP Research and Development Project.{{cite web|url=http://www.ecmwf.int/newsevents/meetings/workshops/2005/TIGGE/report_WS1_WMO_TD1273_2005-1.pdf |title=First Workshop on the THORPIX International Grand Global Ensemble (final report), WMO/TD-No.1273 and WWRP/THORPEX No. 5|publisher= World Meteorological Organization & European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts|date= March 1–3, 2005|access-date= April 18, 2014|url-status= dead|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20111122015224/http://ecmwf.int/newsevents/meetings/workshops/2005/TIGGE/report_WS1_WMO_TD1273_2005-1.pdf |archive-date= November 22, 2011}}

TIGGE was developed and made operational over the coming years,{{cite web|url=http://tigge.ecmwf.int/ |title=TIGGE - the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble|access-date= April 18, 2014|publisher= European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts}} and data from TIGGE was used in many meteorological research papers.{{cite web|url=http://tigge.ecmwf.int/references.html |title=Research article (TIGGE references)|publisher= European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts|access-date= April 18, 2014}}

A 2010 review by Bougeault et al. surveyed the past work and future plans of TIGGE and concluded: "We are convinced that the TIGGE databases will constitute a key resource for reaching the objective of THORPEX: the acceleration of the progress of the forecast skill for severe weather events from 1 day to 2 weeks ahead. This will be reached by a robust combination of research on the scientific basis of ensemble prediction, experimentation with new products, and development of new protocols and policies for data exchange across WMO Member States and across the science and application communities."{{cite journal|doi= 10.1175/2010BAMS2853.1|title=The THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble|author= Philippe Bougeault|journal= Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society|volume= 91|issue= 8|date= August 2010|pages= 1059–1072|bibcode=2010BAMS...91.1059B |display-authors=etal|doi-access= free}}

Another 2010 paper provided a timeline with 2008-2012 as the development phase for the Global Interactive Forecasting System (GIFS) and 2012 onward as the implementation period.

In March 2014, the TIGGE-LAM (limited area model) was launched to improve on regional ensemble forecasts.{{cite web|url=https://www.wmo.int/pages/mediacentre/news/TIGGE-LAMimprovesregionalensembleforecasts.html |title=TIGGE-LAM improves regional ensemble forecast|date= March 28, 2014|publisher= World Meteorological Organization|access-date= April 18, 2014}}

{{further|THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble}}

The THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble, also known as TIGGE, was envisaged in the February 2005 THORPEX International Research Implementation Plan, and the groundwork for it was laid in a 2005 workshop. Its goal is to improve ensemble forecasting for the weather worldwide.

Currently, the TIGGE data is available from these sources:

• The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)
• The National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in the United States{{cite web|url=http://tigge.ucar.edu/ |title=THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble: TIGGE Data Archive Portal|publisher= National Center for Atmospheric Research|access-date= April 18, 2014}}
• The China Meteorological Administration (CMA) is also supposed to host a copy of TIGGE

A review of TIGGE was published in 2010. In March 2014, the TIGGE-LAM (limited area model) was launched to improve on regional ensemble forecasts.

The Global Interactive Forecasting System (GIFS) was first described in the THORPEX International Research Implementation Plan (TIP) published in February 2005, and it has since been mentioned in discussions of TIGGE as part of the next step in the evolution of ensemble forecasting after TIGGE. However, GIFS does not have a public-facing implementation as of April 2014.{{citation needed|date=April 2014}}

{{reflist}}

• {{official website|http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/wwrp/new/thorpex_new.html}}

Category:Weather forecasting

Category:Meteorology research and field projects