list of solar storms
{{Short description|none}}
Solar storms of different types are caused by disturbances on the Sun, most often from coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and solar flares from active regions, or, less often, from coronal holes. Minor to active solar storms (i.e. storming restricted to higher latitudes) may occur under elevated background solar wind conditions when the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) orientation is southward, toward the Earth (which also leads to much stronger storming conditions from CME-related sources).{{cite web | url = https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/help/the-interplanetary-magnetic-field-imf.html | title = The Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) | website = SpaceWeatherLive.com | publisher = Parsec vzw | access-date = 2021-03-20 }}{{cite journal | last = Adhikari | first = Binod | author2 = S. Dahal | author3 = N. P. Chapagain | title = Study of field-aligned current (FAC), interplanetary electric field component (Ey), interplanetary magnetic field component (Bz), and northward (x) and eastward (y) components of geomagnetic field during supersubstorm | journal = Earth and Space Science | volume = 4 | issue = 5 | pages = 257–274 | date = 2017 | doi = 10.1002/2017EA000258 | bibcode = 2017E&SS....4..257A | doi-access = free }}{{cite journal | last = Gonzalez | first = W. D. | author2 = E. Echer | title = A study on the peak Dst and peak negative Bz relationship during intense geomagnetic storms | journal = Geophysical Research Letters| volume = 32 | issue = 18 | pages = L18103 | date = 2005 | doi = 10.1029/2005GL023486 | bibcode = 2005GeoRL..3218103G | doi-access = free }}{{cite journal | last = Loewe | first = C. A. |author2 = G. W. Prölss | title = Classification and mean behavior of magnetic storms | journal = Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics | volume = 102 | issue = A7 | pages = 14209–14213 | date = 1997 | doi = 10.1029/96JA04020 | bibcode = 1997JGR...10214209L | doi-access = free }}{{cite book | editor1-last = T. Y. Lui | editor1-first = Anthony | editor2-last = Consolini | editor2-first = Giuseppe | editor3-last = Kamide | editor3-first = Yosuke | title = Multiscale Coupling of Sun-Earth Processes | publisher = Elsevier | edition = 1st | date = 2005 | chapter = What Determines the Intensity of Magnetospheric Substorms? | location = | pages = 175–194 | doi = 10.1016/B978-044451881-1/50014-9 | isbn = 978-0444518811 }}
Background
{{main|Solar storm}}
Active stars produce disturbances in space weather and, if strong enough, in their own space climate. Science studies such phenomena with the field of heliophysics, which is an interdisciplinary combination of solar physics and planetary science.
In the Solar System, the Sun can produce intense geomagnetic and energetic particle storms capable of causing severe damage to technology. It can result in large scale power outages, disruption or blackouts of radio communications (including GPS), damage or destruction of submarine communications cables,{{cite news | last = Spektor | first = Brandon | title = An 'Internet apocalypse' could ride to Earth with the next solar storm, new research warns | newspaper = LiveScience | date = 6 September 2021 | url = https://www.livescience.com/solar-storm-internet-apocalypse }} and temporary to permanent disabling of satellites and other electronics. Intense solar storms may also be hazardous to high-latitude, high-altitude aviation[https://www.radsonaplane.com/ RadsOnAPlane.com] and to human spaceflight.{{cite web |last = Phillips |first = Tony |title = Severe Space Weather--Social and Economic Impacts |work = NASA Science News |publisher = National Aeronautics and Space Administration |date = 21 Jan 2009 |url = https://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2009/21jan_severespaceweather/ |access-date = 2014-05-07 }} Geomagnetic storms are the cause of aurora.{{cite web |title = NOAA Space Weather Scales |publisher = NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center |date = 1 Mar 2005 |url = https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/sites/default/files/images/NOAAscales.pdf |access-date = 2017-09-13 }} The most significant known solar storm, across the most parameters, occurred in September 1859 and is known as the "Carrington event".{{cite web |last = Bell |first = Trudy E. |author2=T. Phillips |title = A Super Solar Flare |work = NASA Science News |publisher = National Aeronautics and Space Administration |date = 6 May 2008 |url = https://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2008/06may_carringtonflare/ |access-date = 2014-05-07 }} The damage from the most potent solar storms is capable of existentially threatening the stability of modern human civilization,{{cite book |last = Kappenman |first = John |title = Geomagnetic Storms and Their Impacts on the U.S. Power Grid |publisher = Metatech Corporation for Oak Ridge National Laboratory |series = META-R |volume = 319 |date = 2010 |location = Goleta, CA |url = http://www.ornl.gov/sci/ees/etsd/pes/pubs/ferc_Meta-R-319.pdf |archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20120819022440/http://www.ornl.gov/sci/ees/etsd/pes/pubs/ferc_Meta-R-319.pdf |archive-date = 2012-08-19 |oclc = 811858155 }} although proper preparedness and mitigation can substantially reduce the hazards.{{cite book |title = National Space Weather Action Plan |date = 28 Oct 2015 |location = Washington, DC |via = National Archives |publisher = Office of Science and Technology Policy |url = https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/microsites/ostp/final_nationalspaceweatheractionplan_20151028.pdf }}{{cite arXiv |last = Lingam |first = Manasvi |author2 = Abraham Loeb |title = Impact and mitigation strategy for future solar flares |eprint=1709.05348 |date = 2017 |class = astro-ph.EP }}
Proxy data from Earth, as well as analysis of stars similar to the Sun, suggest that the Sun may be also capable of producing so-called "superflares", which are as much as 1,000 times stronger than any flares in the historical record.{{cite conference |first = Kazunari |last = Shibata |title = Superflares on Solar Type Stars and Their Implications on the Possibility of Superflares on the Sun |book-title = 2015 Space Weather Workshop |publisher = Space Weather Prediction Center |date = 15 Apr 2015 |location = Boulder, CO |url = https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/sites/default/files/images/u33/final_shibata_SWW_2015.pdf }}{{cite journal |last = Karoff |first = Christoffer |display-authors=etal |title = Observational evidence for enhanced magnetic activity of superflare stars |journal = Nat. Commun. |volume = 7 |issue = 11058 |pages = 11058 |date = 2016 |doi = 10.1038/ncomms11058 |bibcode = 2016NatCo...711058K |pmid=27009381 |pmc=4820840}}{{cite journal |last = Lingam |first = Manasvi |author2 = A. Loeb |title = Risks for Life on Habitable Planets from Superflares of Their Host Stars |journal = Astrophysical Journal |volume = 848 |issue = 1 |pages = 41 |date = 2017 |doi = 10.3847/1538-4357/aa8e96 |bibcode = 2017ApJ...848...41L |arxiv = 1708.04241 |s2cid = 92990447 |doi-access = free }} Other research, like models of solar flares{{cite journal |last = Aulanier |first = G. |display-authors=et al. |title = The standard flare model in three dimensions. II. Upper limit on solar flare energy |journal = Astron. Astrophys. |volume = 549 |pages = A66 |date = 2013 |doi = 10.1051/0004-6361/201220406 |bibcode = 2013A&A...549A..66A |arxiv = 1212.2086 |s2cid = 73639325 }} and statistics of extreme solar events reconstructed using cosmogenic isotope data in terrestrial archives, indicate otherwise.{{cite journal |last = Usoskin |first = Ilya |title = A history of solar activity over millennia |journal = Living Rev. Sol. Phys. |volume = 14 |pages = 3 |date = 2017 |issue = 1 |doi = 10.1007/s41116-017-0006-9 |arxiv = 0810.3972 |bibcode = 2017LRSP...14....3U |s2cid = 195340740 }} The discrepancy is not yet resolved and may be related to a biased statistic of the stellar population of solar analogs.{{cite journal |last = Kitchatinov |first = Leonid |author2 = S. Olemskoy |title = Dynamo model for grand maxima of solar activity: can superflares occur on the Sun? |journal = Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. |volume = 459 |issue = 4 |pages = 4353 |date = 2016 |doi = 10.1093/mnras/stw875 |doi-access = free |bibcode = 2016MNRAS.459.4353K |arxiv = 1602.08840 }}
Coronal mass ejections and solar particle events
{{Further|Coronal mass ejection|Solar particle event}}
=Events affecting Earth=
==Proxy evidence==
This section contains a list of possible events that are indicated by indirect, or proxy data. The scientific value of such data remains unresolved.{{cite journal |last = Mekhaldi |first = F. |display-authors= etal |title = No Coincident Nitrate Enhancement Events in Polar Ice Cores Following the Largest Known Solar Storms |journal = Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres |volume = 122 |issue = 21 |pages = 11,900–11,913 |date = 2017 |doi = 10.1002/2017JD027325 |bibcode = 2017JGRD..12211900M |url = https://www.dora.lib4ri.ch/psi/islandora/object/psi%3A23705 |doi-access = free }}{{cite journal |last = Usoskin |first = Ilya G. |author2= Gennady A. Kovaltsov |title = Occurrence of Extreme Solar Particle Events: Assessment from Historical Proxy Data |journal = The Astrophysical Journal |volume = 757 |issue = 92 |pages = 92 |date = 2012 |doi = 10.1088/0004-637X/757/1/92|doi-access=free|arxiv = 1207.5932 |bibcode = 2012ApJ...757...92U }}
- 12351–{{BCE|12350}} Probable Miyake event, which would be the largest known and twice the 774–775 event.{{cite journal|title=A radiocarbon spike at 14 300 cal yr BP in subfossil trees provides the impulse response function of the global carbon cycle during the Late Glacial|journal=Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A|author1=Bard Edouard|author2=Miramont Cécile|author3=Capano Manuela|author4=Guibal Frédéric|author5=Marschal Christian|author6=Rostek Frauke|author7=Tuna Thibaut|author8=Fagault Yoann|author9=Heaton Timothy J.|year=2023|volume=381 |issue=2261 |doi=10.1098/rsta.2022.0206|pmid=37807686 |s2cid=263759832 |pmc=10586540|bibcode=2023RSPTA.38120206B }}
- 7176 BCE Found in beryllium-10 (and other isotopes) spike in ice cores and corroborated by tree rings.{{cite journal | last = Paleari | first = Chiara I. | author2 = F. Mekhaldi |author3 = F. Adolphi |author4 = M. Christl |author5 = C. Vockenhuber |author6 = P. Gautschi |author7 = J. Beer |author8 = N. Brehm |author9 = T. Erhardt |author10 = H.-A. Synal |author11 = L. Wacker |author12 = F. Wilhelms |author13 = R. Muscheler | title = Cosmogenic radionuclides reveal an extreme solar particle storm near a solar minimum 9125 years BP | journal = Nat. Commun. | volume = 13 | issue = 214 | date = 2022 | page = 214 | doi = 10.1038/s41467-021-27891-4 | pmid = 35017519 | pmc = 8752676 | bibcode = 2022NatCo..13..214P }} It unexpectedly appears to have occurred near a Solar minimum and was as strong as, or probably even slightly stronger than the famous 774–775 CE event.
- {{circa}} 5410 BCE{{cite journal |doi=10.1029/2021GL093419 |title=A Single-Year Cosmic Ray Event at 5410 BCE Registered in 14C of Tree Rings |journal=Geophysical Research Letters |volume=48 |issue=11 |date=16 June 2021 |author1=F. Miyake |author2=I. P. Panyushkina |author3=A. J. T. Jull |author4=F. Adolphi |author5=N. Brehm |author6=S. Helama |author7=K. Kanzawa |author8=T. Moriya |author9=R. Muscheler |author10=K. Nicolussi |author11=M. Oinonen |author12=M. Salzer |author13=M. Takeyama |author14=F. Tokanai |author15=L. Wacker|pages=e2021GL093419 |pmid=34433990 |pmc=8365682 |bibcode=2021GeoRL..4893419M |doi-access=free }}
- 5259 BCE Found in beryllium-10 spike in ice cores and corroborated by tree rings. At least as strong as the 774–775 event.{{cite journal|journal=Scientific American|url=https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/solar-superflares-rocked-earth-less-than-10-000-years-ago-and-could-strike-again/|first=Jonathan|last=O'Callaghan|title=Solar 'Superflares' Rocked Earth Less Than 10,000 Years Ago—and Could Strike Again|date=13 September 2021}}
- {{circa}} 660 BCE{{cite journal |last = O'Hare |first = Paschal |display-authors=etal |title = Multiradionuclide evidence for an extreme solar proton event around 2,610 B.P. (~660 BC) |journal = Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. |volume = 116 |issue =13 |pages = 5961–5966 |date = 2019 |doi = 10.1073/pnas.1815725116 |doi-access=free |bibcode = 2019PNAS..116.5961O |pmid = 30858311 |pmc = 6442557 }}{{Cite journal |last1=Hayakawa |first1=Hisashi |last2=Mitsuma |first2=Yasuyuki |last3=Ebihara |first3=Yusuke |last4=Miyake |first4=Fusa |author-link4=Fusa Miyake |date=2019 |title=The Earliest Candidates of Auroral Observations in Assyrian Astrological Reports: Insights on Solar Activity around 660 BCE |journal=The Astrophysical Journal Letters |volume=884 |issue=1 |pages=L18 |arxiv=1909.05498 |bibcode=2019ApJ...884L..18H |doi=10.3847/2041-8213/ab42e4 |s2cid=202565732 |doi-access=free }}
- 774–775 CE{{cite journal |last1= Miyake |display-authors= etal |title= A signature of cosmic-ray increase in ad 774–775 from tree rings in Japan |journal= Nature| date= 2012 |volume= 486 |issue= 7402 |pages= 240–2 |doi= 10.1038/nature11123 |pmid= 22699615 |bibcode = 2012Natur.486..240M |s2cid= 4368820 }}{{cite journal |last = Melott |first = Adrian L. |author2=B. C. Thomas |title = Causes of an AD 774–775 14C increase |journal = Nature |volume = 491 |issue = 7426 |pages = E1–E2 |date = 2012 |doi = 10.1038/nature11695 |arxiv = 1212.0490 |bibcode = 2012Natur.491E...1M |pmid=23192153|s2cid = 205231715 }}{{cite journal |last1 = Usoskin |display-authors = etal |title = The AD775 cosmic event revisited: the Sun is to blame |journal = Astron. Astrophys. |date = 2013 |volume = 552 |page = L3 |doi = 10.1051/0004-6361/201321080 |arxiv = 1302.6897 |bibcode = 2013A&A...552L...3U |s2cid = 55137950 }}{{cite journal |last = Mekhaldi |first = Florian |display-authors=etal |title = Multiradionuclide evidence for the solar origin of the cosmic-ray events of ᴀᴅ 774/5 and 993/4 |journal = Nature Communications |volume = 6 |pages = 8611 |date = 2015 |doi = 10.1038/ncomms9611 |pmid = 26497389 |pmc = 4639793 |bibcode = 2015NatCo...6.8611M }}{{cite journal |doi = 10.3847/1538-4357/abad93 |journal = The Astrophysical Journal |volume = 903 |number = 1 |date = 29 October 2020 |title = On the Size of the Flare Associated with the Solar Proton Event in 774 AD |author1 = Edward Cliver |author2 = Hisashi Hayakawa |author3 = Jeffrey J. Love |author4 = D. F. Neidig|page = 41 |bibcode = 2020ApJ...903...41C |s2cid = 228985775 |doi-access = free }} This extreme solar proton event is the first identified Miyake event. It caused the largest and most rapid rise in carbon-14 levels ever recorded.{{cite journal |journal=Radiocarbon|date=August 2020 |first = Paula |last = Reimer |display-authors = etal |title = The INTCAL20 Northern Hemisphere RADIOCARBON AGE CALIBRATION CURVE (0–55 CAL kBP)|volume=62|issue=4|pages=725–757|doi=10.1017/RDC.2020.41|bibcode=2020Radcb..62..725R |doi-access=free|hdl=11585/770531|hdl-access=free}}
- 993–994 CE{{cite journal |last = Fusa |first = Miyake |author2= Kimiaki Masuda |author3 = Toshio Nakamura |title = Another rapid event in the carbon-14 content of tree rings |journal = Nature Communications |volume = 4 |issue = 1748 |pages = 1748 |date = 2013 |doi = 10.1038/ncomms2783 |bibcode = 2013NatCo...4.1748M |pmid=23612289 |doi-access = free }}{{cite journal |title = Historical Auroras in the 990s: Evidence of Great Magnetic Storms |journal = Solar Physics |volume = 292 |issue = 1 |pages = 12 |date = 2017 |author= Hayakawa, H. |display-authors=etal |doi=10.1007/s11207-016-1039-2 |arxiv = 1612.01106 |bibcode = 2017SoPh..292...12H |s2cid = 119095730 }} It caused a carbon-14 spike visible in tree rings which was used to date Viking archaeological remains in L'Anse aux Meadows in Newfoundland to 1021.{{cite journal |last1= Kuitems|first1= Margo|last2=Wallace |first2=Birgitta L. |last3=Lindsay|first3=Charles |last4=Scifo |first4=Andrea |last5=Doeve |first5=Petra |last6=Jenkins |first6=Kevin |last7=Lindauer |first7=Susanne |last8=Erdil |first8=Pinar |last9=Ledger |first9=Paul M. |last10=Forbes |first10=Veronique |last11=Vermeeren |first11=Caroline |last12=Friedrich |first12=Ronny |last13=Dee |first13=Michael W. |display-authors=5 |date=20 October 2021 |title=Evidence for European presence in the Americas in AD 1021 |journal=Nature |volume= 601|issue= 7893|pages= 388–391|doi= 10.1038/s41586-021-03972-8|pmid= 34671168|pmc= 8770119|s2cid= 239051036}}
- 1052 CE found in carbon-14 spike{{cite journal |last = Brehm |first = N. |display-authors=etal |title = Eleven-year solar cycles over the last millennium revealed by radiocarbon in tree rings |journal = Nature Geoscience |volume = 14 |pages = 10–15 |date = 2021 |issue = 1 |doi = 10.1038/s41561-020-00674-0 |bibcode = 2021NatGe..14...10B |s2cid = 230508539 |url = https://www.dora.lib4ri.ch/eawag/islandora/object/eawag%3A21905 }}
- 1279 CE found in carbon-14 spike
==Direct measurements and/or visual observations==
=Events not affecting Earth=
The above events affected Earth (and its vicinity, known as the magnetosphere), whereas the following events were directed elsewhere in the Solar System and were detected by monitoring spacecraft or other means.
Soft X-ray solar flares
{{Further|Solar flare#Classification}}
Solar flares are intense localized eruptions of electromagnetic radiation in the Sun's atmosphere. They are often classified based on the peak flux of soft X-rays (SXR) measured by the GOES spacecraft in geosynchronous orbit (see {{slink|Solar flare|Soft X-ray classification}}).
The following table lists the largest flares in this respect since June 1996, the beginning of solar cycle 23.{{cite web |title=Top 50 solar flares |url=https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/solar-activity/top-50-solar-flares.html |website=SpaceWeatherLive.com |access-date=23 May 2022}}{{cite web |title=The Most Powerful Solar Flares ever Recorded |url=https://www.spaceweather.com/solarflares/topflares.html |website=www.spaceweather.com |access-date=23 May 2022}}
class="wikitable sortable plainrowheaders" |
scope="col" rowspan="2" width="20" | {{Abbr|No.|Number}}
! scope="col" rowspan="2" width="30" | SXR Class ! scope="col" rowspan="2" width="80" | Date ! scope="col" rowspan="2" width="30" | Solar cycle ! scope="col" rowspan="2" width="50"| Active region ! scope="col" colspan="3" | Time (UTC) ! scope="col" class="unsortable" rowspan="2" | Notes |
---|
scope="col" | Start
! scope="col" | Max ! scope="col" | End |
scope="row" align="center" | 1
| >X28+ | 2003-11-04 | 23 | 10486 | 19:29 | 19:53 | 20:06 | Associated with the 2003 Halloween solar storms |
scope="row" align="center" | 2
| X20 | 2001-04-02 | 23 | 9393 | 21:32 | 21:51 | 22:03 | |
scope="row" align="center" | 3
| X17.2 | 2003-10-28 | 23 | 10486 | 09:51 | 11:10 | 11:24 | Associated with the 2003 Halloween solar storms |
scope="row" align="center" | 4
| X17 | 2005-09-07 | 23 | 10808 | 17:17 | 17:40 | 18:03 | |
scope="row" align="center" | 5
| X14.4 | 2001-04-15 | 23 | 9415 | 13:19 | 13:50 | 13:55 | |
scope="row" align="center" | 6
| X10 | 2003-10-29 | 23 | 10486 | 20:37 | 20:49 | 21:01 | Associated with the 2003 Halloween solar storms |
scope="row" align="center" | 7
| X9.4 | 1997-11-06 | 23 | 8100 | 11:49 | 11:55 | 12:01 | |
scope="row" align="center" | 8
| X9.3 | 2017-09-06 | 24 | 12673 | 11:53 | 12:02 | 12:10 | |
scope="row" align="center" | 9
| X9.0 | 2006-12-05 | 23 | 10930 | 10:18 | 10:35 | 10:45 | |
scope="row" align="center" | 10
| X8.3 | 2003-11-02 | 23 | 10486 | 17:03 | 17:25 | 17:39 | Associated with the 2003 Halloween solar storms |
See also
References
{{reflist|2}}
Further reading
- {{cite journal |last = Cliver |first = E.W. |author2 = L. Svalgaard |title = The 1859 Solar–Terrestrial Disturbance and the Current Limits of Extreme Space Weather Activity |journal = Solar Physics |volume = 224 |issue = 1–2 |pages = 407–22 |date = 2004 |url = http://www.leif.org/research/1859%20Storm%20-%20Extreme%20Space%20Weather.pdf |doi = 10.1007/s11207-005-4980-z |bibcode = 2004SoPh..224..407C |s2cid = 120093108 |access-date = 2014-05-07 |archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20110811182410/http://www.leif.org/research/1859%20Storm%20-%20Extreme%20Space%20Weather.pdf |archive-date = 2011-08-11 |url-status = dead }}
External links
- [https://www.spaceweather.com/solarflares/topflares.html The Most Powerful Solar Flares Ever Recorded] (NASA's SpaceWeather.com)
- [https://umbra.nascom.nasa.gov/SEP/ Solar Proton Events Affecting the Earth Environment (1976 - present)] (SWPC)
- [http://www.solarstorms.org/SRefStorms.html Archive of the most severe solar storms] (Solarstorms.org)
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20011010173025/http://sxi.ngdc.noaa.gov/sxi_greatest.html GOES X-ray Solar Imager Greatest Hits]
- {{cite journal |last = Riley |first = Pete |author2 = J. J. Love |title = Extreme geomagnetic storms: Probabilistic forecasts and their uncertainties |journal = Space Weather |volume = 15 |issue = 1 |pages = 53–64 |date = 2017 |doi = 10.1002/2016SW001470 |bibcode = 2017SpWea..15...53R |s2cid = 125660629 }}
- {{cite journal |last = Riley |first = Pete |title = On the probability of occurrence of extreme space weather events |journal = Space Weather |volume = 10 |issue = 2 |pages = S02012 |date = 2012 |doi = 10.1029/2011SW000734 |bibcode = 2012SpWea..10.2012R |s2cid = 17729668 |doi-access = free }}
- {{cite journal | last = Love | first = Jeffrey J. | title = Extreme-event magnetic storm probabilities derived from rank statistics of historical Dst intensities for solar cycles 14-24 | journal = Space Weather | volume = 19| issue = 4| pages = | date = 2021 | doi = 10.1029/2020SW002579 | bibcode = 2021SpWea..1902579L | doi-access = free }}
{{Solar storms}}
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