(35396) 1997 XF11

{{Short description|Asteroid of the Apollo group}}

{{DISPLAYTITLE:{{mp|(35396) 1997 XF|11}}}}

{{Use dmy dates|date=March 2020}}

{{Infobox planet

| minorplanet = yes

| name = {{mp|(35396) 1997 XF|11}}

| background = #FFC2E0

| image =

| caption =

| discovery_ref =

| discoverer = Spacewatch

| discovery_site = Kitt Peak National Obs.

| discovered = 6 December 1997

| mpc_name = {{mp|(35396) 1997 XF|11}}

| alt_names = {{mp|1997 XF|11}}

| pronounced =

| named_after =

| mp_category = {{Hlist

| Apollo

| NEO

| PHA

}}

| orbit_ref =

| epoch = 13 September 2023
(JD 2453300.5)

| uncertainty = 0

| observation_arc = 33.19 yr (12,121 days)

| aphelion = {{Convert|2.139|AU|e6km|abbr=unit|lk=on}}

| perihelion = {{Convert|0.7446|AU|e6km|abbr=unit}}

| time_periastron = 26 June 2023

| semimajor = {{Convert|1.442|AU|e6km|abbr=unit}}

| eccentricity = 0.48369

| period = 1.73 yr (633 days)

| inclination = 4.0995°

| asc_node = 213.65°

| arg_peri = 103.06°

| mean_anomaly = 44.44°

| mean_motion = {{Deg2DMS|0.5688|sup=ms}} / day

| moid = {{Convert|0.0003|AU|e3km|abbr=unit}}

| mean_diameter = {{Ubl

| {{val|0.704|0.103|u=km}}

| {{val|0.940|0.480|u=km}}

| 1.39 km {{small|(derived)}}

}}

| rotation = {{Ubl

| {{val|3.252|0.002|u=h}}

| {{val|3.253|0.002|u=h}}

| {{val|3.2566|0.0002|ul=h}}

| {{val|3.25765|0.00005|u=h}}

| 3.259 h

| {{val|3.2591|0.0025|u=h}}

}}

| albedo = {{Ubl

| 0.18 {{small|(assumed)}}

| {{val|0.29|0.21}}

| {{val|0.7727|0.2436}}

}}

| spectral_type = {{Hlist

| SMASS {{=}} Xk

| X

}}

| abs_magnitude = {{Ubl

| 16.66

| {{val|16.66|0.40}}

| 16.77

| {{val|16.77|0.08}}

| 16.9

| {{val|17.11|0.22}}

}}

}}

{{mp|(35396) 1997 XF|11}} (provisional designation {{mp|1997 XF|11}}) is a kilometer-sized asteroid, classified as a near-Earth object, Mars-crosser and potentially hazardous asteroid of the Apollo group.

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center; font-size: 0.9em;"

|+2028 Earth/Moon approach

! Date & Time

! Approach
to

! Nominal distance

! uncertainty
region
(3-sigma)

2028-Oct-26 06:44Earth{{val|929253|u=km}}± 106 km
2028-Oct-26 07:39Moon{{val|1326430|u=km}}± 106 km

Description

Three months after its discovery on 6 December 1997 by James V. Scotti of the University of Arizona's Spacewatch Project, the asteroid was predicted to make an exceptionally close approach to Earth on 28 October 2028. Additional precovery observations of the asteroid from 1990 were quickly found that refined the orbit and it is now known the asteroid will pass Earth on 26 October 2028, at a distance of {{convert|929000|km|LD|abbr=on|lk=on}}. During the close approach, the asteroid should peak at about apparent magnitude 8.2, and will be visible in binoculars.

{{mp|1997 XF|11}} measures between 0.7 and 1.4 kilometers in diameter.

This asteroid also regularly comes near the large asteroid Pallas.

= IAU Circular =

On 11 March 1998, using a three-month observation arc, a faulty International Astronomical Union circular and press information sheet were put out that incorrectly concluded "that the asteroid was 'virtually certain' to pass within 80% of the distance to the Moon and stood a 'small...not entirely out of the question' possibility of hitting the Earth in 2028." But by 23 December 1997, it was clear that XF11 had no reasonable possibility of an Earth impact. Many news outlets mistakenly emphasized the possibility of disaster.{{Cite web |author= |title=Twenty Years of Tracking Near-Earth Objects |url=https://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/twenty-years-of-tracking-near-earth-objects |access-date=2024-07-23 |website=NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) |language=en-US}}

Within hours of the announcement, independent calculations by Paul Chodas, Don Yeomans, and Karri Muinonen had calculated that the probability of Earth impact was essentially zero, and vastly less than the probability of impact from as-yet-undiscovered asteroids. Chodas (1999) concurs with Marsden (1999) that based on the 1997 data alone there was about 1 chance in a hundred thousand that XF11 could have been on an Earth-impact trajectory—that is, until the 1990 precovery observations eliminated such possibilities. During the October 2002 close approach, the asteroid was observed by the 70-meter Goldstone radar dish, further refining the orbit.

{{Large near earth asteroid flybys 5LD}}

References

{{reflist|refs=

{{Cite web

|title=MPEC 1997-Y11 : 1997 XF11

|publisher=IAU Minor Planet Center

|date=1997-12-23

|url=https://www.minorplanetcenter.net/iau/mpec/J97/J97Y11.html

|accessdate=2012-02-08

|archive-date=18 August 2017

|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170818045155/http://www.minorplanetcenter.net/iau/mpec/J97/J97Y11.html

|url-status=live

}} (J97X11F)

{{cite web

|type = 2023-05-29 last obs.

|title = JPL Small-Body Database Browser: 35396 (1997 XF11)

|url = https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/tools/sbdb_lookup.html#/?sstr=2035396&view=OPC

|publisher = Jet Propulsion Laboratory

|accessdate = 2023-09-21

|archive-date = 2 May 2021

|archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20210502171013/https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/sbdb.cgi?sstr=2000130#/?sstr=2035396&view=OPC

|url-status = live

}}

{{cite web

|title=Horizons Batch for 2028-10-26 Close Approach

|publisher=JPL Horizons

|url=https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/horizons_batch.cgi?batch=1&COMMAND=%271997+XF11%27&START_TIME=%272028-10-26%2006:44%27&STOP_TIME=%272028-10-27%27&STEP_SIZE=%271%20day%27&QUANTITIES=%2720,39%27

|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230112080448/https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/horizons_batch.cgi?batch=1&COMMAND=%271997+XF11%27&START_TIME=%272028-10-26%2006:44%27&STOP_TIME=%272028-10-27%27&STEP_SIZE=%271%20day%27&QUANTITIES=%2720,39%27

|archive-date=2023-01-12

|url-status=live

|accessdate=2023-01-12}} RNG_3sigma = uncertainty range in km.

{{cite web

|title = 35396 (1997 XF11)

|work = Minor Planet Center

|url = https://www.minorplanetcenter.net/db_search/show_object?object_id=35396

|accessdate = 18 January 2018

|archive-date = 18 January 2018

|archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20180118064711/https://www.minorplanetcenter.net/db_search/show_object?object_id=35396

|url-status = live

}}

{{cite web

|title=Sormano Astronomical Observatory: Table of Next Closest Approaches to the Earth by Asteroids

|publisher=Astronomical Observatory of Brera

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|author2=Francesco Manca

|url=http://www.brera.mi.astro.it/sormano/teca.html

|accessdate=2008-02-04

|archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20071201202009/http://www.brera.mi.astro.it/sormano/teca.html

|archivedate=1 December 2007

|url-status=live

}}

{{cite web

|title = NEODyS (35396) 1997XF11 Close Approaches

|publisher = Department of Mathematics, University of Pisa, ITALY

|url = https://newton.spacedys.com/neodys/index.php?pc=1.1.8&n=1997XF11

|accessdate = 2008-02-04

|archiveurl = https://web.archive.org/web/20160303182605/http://newton.dm.unipi.it/neodys/index.php?pc=1.1.8&n=1997xf11

|archivedate = 2016-03-03

|url-status = live}}

{{cite web

|title=1997XF11 Ephemerides for 26 Oct 2028

|publisher=NEODyS (Near Earth Objects{{Snd}} Dynamic Site)

|url=https://newton.spacedys.com/neodys/index.php?pc=1.1.3.1&n=35396&oc=500&y0=2028&m0=10&d0=25&h0=0&mi0=0&y1=2028&m1=10&d1=28&h1=0&mi1=0&ti=1.0&tiu=hours

|accessdate=2011-10-16

|archive-date=21 April 2024

|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240421003609/https://newton.spacedys.com/neodys/index.php?pc=1.1.3.1&n=35396&oc=500&y0=2028&m0=10&d0=25&h0=0&mi0=0&y1=2028&m1=10&d1=28&h1=0&mi1=0&ti=1.0&tiu=hours

|url-status=live

}}

{{cite web

|date=5 April 1998

|type=last update: 3 September 1998

|title=The Asteroid Impact Scare of Mid-March 1998

|publisher=Southwest Research Institute (SwRI)

|author=Clark R. Chapman

|url=http://www.boulder.swri.edu/clark/fx11.html

|accessdate=2012-02-08

|archive-date=24 November 2020

|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201124042947/https://www.boulder.swri.edu/clark/fx11.html

|url-status=live

}}

{{cite web

|date=19 August 1999

|title=The AsteroidsComet Impact Hazard

|publisher=Southwest Research Institute (SwRI)

|author=Clark R. Chapman

|url=http://www.boulder.swri.edu/clark/ncar799.html

|accessdate=2012-02-09

|archive-date=25 November 2020

|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201125202042/https://www.boulder.swri.edu/clark/ncar799.html

|url-status=live

}}

{{cite web

|date=October 31, 2002

|title=Halloween Asteroid

|url=https://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2002/31oct_1997xf11/

|accessdate=2012-02-09

|archive-date=29 November 2011

|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111129043456/http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2002/31oct_1997xf11/

|url-status=dead

}}

{{cite web

|title = Asteroids and comets rotation curves{{Snd}} (35396)

|last = Behrend

|first = Raoul

|publisher = Geneva Observatory

|url = http://obswww.unige.ch/~behrend/page5cou.html#035396

|accessdate = 18 January 2018

|archive-date = 19 June 2015

|archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20150619010828/http://obswww.unige.ch/%7Ebehrend/page5cou.html#035396

|url-status = live

}}

{{cite web

|title = LCDB Data for (35396)

|publisher = Asteroid Lightcurve Database (LCDB)

|url = http://www.minorplanet.info/PHP/generateOneAsteroidInfo.php?AstInfo=35396%7C

|accessdate = 18 January 2018

|archive-date = 31 August 2020

|archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20200831233109/http://www.minorplanet.info/PHP/generateOneAsteroidInfo.php?AstInfo=35396%7C

|url-status = live

}}

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