2010 Florida gubernatorial election

{{Short description|none}}

{{for|related races|2010 United States gubernatorial elections}}

{{Use American English|date=January 2025}}

{{Use mdy dates|date=April 2012}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2010 Florida gubernatorial election

| country = Florida

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2006 Florida gubernatorial election

| previous_year = 2006

| next_election = 2014 Florida gubernatorial election

| next_year = 2014

| election_date = November 2, 2010

| image_size = x150px

| image1 = File:Rick Scott official portrait (cropped).jpg

| nominee1 = Rick Scott

| running_mate1 = Jennifer Carroll

| party1 = Republican Party of Florida

| popular_vote1 = 2,619,335

| percentage1 = 48.87%

| image2 = File:Alex Sink (cropped).png

| nominee2 = Alex Sink

| running_mate2 = Rod Smith

| party2 = Florida Democratic Party

| popular_vote2 = 2,557,785

| percentage2 = 47.72%

| map_image = {{switcher |300px|County results |300px|Congressional district results |300px |Precinct results |default=1}}

| map_size =

| map_caption = Scott: {{legend0|#FFB2B2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#D75D5D|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}

Sink: {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0d0596|>90%}}
Tie: {{legend0|#d2b1d9|40–50%}} {{legend0|#ae8bb1|50%}} {{legend0|#808080|No votes}}

| title = Governor

| before_election = Charlie Crist

| before_party = Independent

| after_election = Rick Scott

| after_party = Republican Party (United States)

| turnout = 48.7%{{increase}}1.9{{cite web |url=https://results.elections.myflorida.com/Index.asp?ElectionDate=11/2/2010&DATAMODE=|title=November 2, 2010 General Election|website=Florida Department of State|access-date=2022-05-15}}

}}

{{ElectionsFL}}The 2010 Florida gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. Republican-turned-independent incumbent Governor Charlie Crist chose not to run for a second term and he ran unsuccessfully for the Senate seat vacated by Mel Martínez.Martinez resigned his seat in December 2008, and Crist appointed Republican George LeMieux to serve the remainder of Martinez's term. LeMieux declined to run for election, and Crist was one of three major candidates in the election for U.S. Senate. This resulted in an open race for Governor of Florida in which Republican Rick Scott narrowly defeated Democrat Alex Sink.

Despite mixed to unfavorable ratings, Rick Scott benefited greatly from the midterm GOP wave in which Republicans made significant gains across the country.{{cite news |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/11/03/AR2010110300781.html|title=Money, message, mad electorate make Scott Fla. gov|newspaper=The Washington Post|date=November 3, 2010|access-date=October 21, 2014}} Scott was one of six Republican gubernatorial pick-ups nationwide (counting Crist as an independent).

The tight and highly contentious election was one of the standout races in 2010. Despite not professing direct allegiance to the movement,{{cite news|url=http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/story/tea-party-backs-rick-scott-governor-november|title=TEA Party Backs Rick Scott for Governor in November|publisher=Sunshine State News|first=Kevin|last=Derby|date=September 2, 2010|access-date=October 17, 2014}} Scott benefited from support and endorsement by Tea Party activists,{{cite news|url=http://www.floridatoday.com/story/opinion/columnists/syndicated/2014/06/05/paula-dockery-tea-party-stands-rick-scott/10025351/|title=Paula Dockery: Tea party stands by Rick Scott|publisher=Florida Today|first=Paula|last=Dockery|date=June 5, 2014|access-date=October 17, 2014}} an influential conservative voting bloc of the 2010 midterms. Furthermore, Scott ran aggressively against the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare), and exit polls indicated considerable support for that position.{{cite news|url=http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2010/results/polls/#val=FLG00p2|title=Exit Polls – Florida 2010 Governor|publisher=CNN|access-date=October 17, 2014}}

This election was the first Florida gubernatorial election since 1982 where the winner of the gubernatorial election was of the same party as the winner of the concurrent United States Senate election.

Primary Elections

=Democratic=

==Candidates==

Alex Sink, the CFO of Florida, was mentioned as a possible candidate to run for Senate or Governor in 2010,{{cite news |url=http://www.tampabay.com/news/politics/state/article784644.ece |title=Florida Democrats revel in gained ground |work=Tampa Bay Times |date=August 25, 2008 |access-date=2010-08-29 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121013103140/http://www.tampabay.com/news/politics/state/article784644.ece |archive-date=October 13, 2012 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all }}{{cite news|last=Cotterell|first=Bill|title=Alex Sink won't run for U.S. Senate in 2010|url=http://www.tallahassee.com/article/20090116/CAPITOLNEWS/90116013?nclick_check=1|newspaper=Tallahassee Democrat|date=January 16, 2009}} but initially declined. When Charlie Crist announced he would not run for re-election, Sink immediately announced her campaign for governor. Sink was the wife of Bill McBride, who ran unsuccessfully for governor in 2002.

Sink faced only token opposition in the primary. Her lone opponent was former Socialist Party presidential nominee Brian Moore.{{cite news|url=http://www.palmbeachpost.com/news/news/state-regional/low-profile-alex-sink-faces-even-more-obscure-oppo/nL8jq/|title=Low-profile Alex Sink faces even more obscure opponent in Democratic race for Florida governor|work=Palm Beach Post|first=Dara|last=Kam|date=July 24, 2010|access-date=October 17, 2014}} On primary day, Sink won the Democratic nomination with nearly 77% of the vote.

File:Florida Governor D Primary 2010.svg

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Democratic primary results{{cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Governor/2010/FL|title=Florida Gubernatorial Primary Results|work=Politico|date=August 24, 2010 |access-date=August 24, 2010}}

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Alex Sink

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 663,802

| percentage = 76.9%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Brian Moore

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 199,896

| percentage = 23.1%

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 863,698

| percentage= 100.0%

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Republican=

In May 2009, Republican incumbent governor Charlie Crist announced he would not run for re-election, and instead would run for U.S. Senate.{{cite news|url=http://www.cnn.com/2009/POLITICS/05/12/crist.senate/index.html?iref=hpmostpop|title=Florida governor announces run for Senate|publisher=CNN|date=May 12, 2009|access-date=October 17, 2014}} The move immediately turned the race competitive, as GOP-hopefuls lined up to run for the open seat. Former congressman and Florida Attorney General Bill McCollum emerged as the early favorite. McCollum had previously lost the election for Senate in 2000, and lost the Republican nomination for Senate in 2004. This would be his third attempt at a major statewide campaign.

Just before the deadline, Rick Scott jumped into the primary fight. Scott started dumping millions of his own personal fortune into the race.{{cite news|url=https://www.orlandosentinel.com/2010/07/30/ruling-lets-rick-scott-spend-all-he-wants-in-governors-race-vs-bill-mccollum/|title=Ruling lets Rick Scott spend all he wants in governor's race vs. Bill McCollum|publisher=The Orlando Sentinel|first=Aaron|last=Deslatte|date=July 30, 2010|access-date=October 17, 2014}} The race quickly became one of the most expensive and "nasty" primary campaigns in recent Florida history.{{cite news|url=https://www.orlandosentinel.com/2010/08/25/rick-scott-beats-bill-mccollum-to-end-nasty-gop-governors-primary-fight/

|title=Rick Scott beats Bill McCollum to end nasty GOP governor's primary fight|publisher=The Orlando Sentinel|first=Aaron|last=Deslatte|date=August 25, 2010|access-date=October 17, 2014}} Scott and McCollum lashed out with very negative attacks against each other. Scott ran as a political "outsider", and led some early polls, but McCollum re-took the lead in polls just before primary day. Scott benefited in the absentee voting, while McCollum expected to make up the difference based on turnout. On primary day, Scott won the nomination with just over 46% of the vote. The dejected McCollum team reluctantly conceded after midnight.

File:Florida Governor R Primary 2010.svg

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Republican primary results

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Rick Scott

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 595,474

| percentage = 46.4%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Bill McCollum

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 557,427

| percentage = 43.4%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Mike McCalister

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 130,056

| percentage = 10.1%

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 1,282,957

| percentage= 100.0%

}}

{{Election box end}}

General Election

=Candidates=

==Republican==

==Democratic==

  • Alex Sink, Chief Financial Officer of Florida

==Independence Party of Florida==

  • Peter L. Allen, electrical inspector

==No party affiliation==

  • {{interlanguage link|Michael E. Arth|de|Michael Edward Arth|es||fr||ja|マイケル・アース|zh|米高·亞瑟}}, policy analyst and urban designer who entered the race as a Democrat in June 2009 and later switched to no party affiliation in June 2010
  • Farid Khavari, economist, author, and small business owner
  • Daniel Imperato{{Cite web |url=http://election.dos.state.fl.us/candidate/CanDetail.asp?account=52671 |title=Florida Election Candidate Tracking System entry for Imperato |access-date=June 23, 2010 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100729223629/http://election.dos.state.fl.us/candidate/CanDetail.asp?account=52671 |archive-date=July 29, 2010 |url-status=dead }}
  • Calvin Clarence "C.C." Reed

The race was dominated by the two major party candidates and spending on their behalf. By the October 25, 2010, Tampa debate between Scott and Sink, Scott had spent $60 million of his own money on the campaign compared to Sink's $28 million.[https://www.orlandosentinel.com/2010/10/26/governors-race-rick-scott-alex-sink-save-harshest-words-for-last-debate/ "Governor's Race: Rick, Scott, Alex Sink save harshest word for last debate"]. Orlando Sentinel, Total campaign expenditure for the race exceeded $100 million, far exceeding any previous spending for a governor's race in Florida.{{cite news|last=Baribeau|first=Simone|title=Florida Republican Scott Elected Governor After Record Spending|url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-11-03/florida-republican-scott-elected-governor-after-record-spending.html|publisher=Bloomberg|access-date=December 9, 2011}} Scott spent $78 million of his personal wealth in the race.{{cite news|url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/rick-scott-wins-tight-florida-governor-race/|title=Rick Scott Wins Tight Florida Governor Race|work=CBS News|first=Lucy|last=Madison|date=April 14, 2011|access-date=October 17, 2014}} Sink made an issue of Scott's connections to Columbia/HCA, a Medicare billing fraud scandal.

One of the turning points in the campaign came during the debate. During a commercial break, Sink's make-up artist delivered a text message on her cell phone to Sink, in direct violation of the debate rules. The rules infraction was immediately pointed out by Scott and the debate moderators.{{cite news|url=http://www.cnn.com/2010/POLITICS/10/26/florida.debate.foul/|title=Aide fired over Florida debate foul|publisher=CNN|date=October 26, 2010|access-date=October 17, 2014}} Sink's team was accused of cheating during the debate, and the aide who delivered the message was fired from the campaign the next morning. Afterwards, media and observers were very critical of the gaffe.

=Predictions=

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
Source

! Ranking

! As of

Cook Political Report{{cite web|url=http://cookpolitical.com/charts/governors/raceratings_2010-10-14_12-35-09.php |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20101028141343/http://cookpolitical.com/charts/governors/raceratings_2010-10-14_12-35-09.php |url-status=dead |archive-date=October 28, 2010 |title=2010 Governors Race Ratings |publisher=Cook Political Report |access-date=October 28, 2010}}

| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

| October 14, 2010

Rothenberg{{cite web|url=http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2010-gubernatorial-ratings-october-28-2010 |title=Governor Ratings |publisher=Rothenberg Political Report |access-date=October 28, 2010}}

| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

| October 28, 2010

RealClearPolitics{{cite web|url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/governor/2010_elections_governor_map.html |title=2010 Governor Races |publisher=RealClearPolitics |access-date=October 28, 2010}}

| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

| November 1, 2010

Sabato's Crystal Ball{{cite web|url=http://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/ljs2010102801/ |title=THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS |date=October 28, 2010 |publisher=Sabato's Crystal Ball |access-date=October 28, 2010}}

| {{USRaceRating|Lean|R|Flip}}

| October 28, 2010

CQ Politics{{cite web|url=http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-governor |title=Race Ratings Chart: Governor |publisher=CQ Politics |access-date=October 28, 2010 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20101005231611/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-governor |archive-date=October 5, 2010 }}

| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

| October 28, 2010

=Polling=

==Democratic primary==

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=List of Democratic primary polling numbers|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

class="wikitable"
valign=bottom

! style="width:130px;"| Poll source

! style="width:135px;"| Dates administered

! style="width:130px;"| Alex Sink

! style="width:130px;"| Michael E. Arth

Mason Dixon[https://web.archive.org/web/20110715201744/http://www.ronsachs.com/docs/flcabinetpoll06_30_09.pdf Mason Dixon]

| align=center| June 24–26, 2009

|{{party shading/Democratic}} align=center|49%

| align=center| 4%

{{hidden end}}

==Republican primary==

{{Graph:Chart

| width=700

| height=400

| xAxisTitle=

| yAxisTitle=%support

| xAxisAngle = -40

| legend=Party

| interpolate = basis

| showSymbols = yes

| xType = date

| y1Title=Scott

| y2Title=McCollum

| y3Title=Dockery

| y4Title=SDLP

| y5Title=Alliance

| y6Title=TUV

| y7Title=Green

| y8Title=PBP

| y9Title=Others

| type=line

| xGrid = 5| yGrid = 5

| x= 2009/05/31, 2009/11/18, 2010/05/05, 2010/06/08, 2010/06/13, 2010/07/18, 2010/07/27, 2010/07/28, 2010/08/04, 2010/08/10, 2010/08/11, 2010/08/15, 2010/08/16, 2010/08/19, 2010/08/22, 2010/08/22

| y1= 0, 0, 28, 44, 35, 43, 43, 41, 37, 42, 30, 44, 35, 36, 47, 35

| y2= 44, 45, 34, 31, 30, 29, 32, 25, 31, 32, 34, 42, 44, 45, 40, 39

| y3= 28, 9, 7

| y4=

| y5=

| y6=

| y7=

| y8=

| y9=

| colors = #FF0000, #00FF00, #FFA500, #2AA82C, #F6CB2F, #0C3A6A, #8DC63F, #660000, #DCDCDC

}}

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=List of Republican primary polling numbers|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

class="wikitable"
valign=bottom

! style="width:190px;"| Poll source

! style="width:135px;"| Dates administered

! style="width:130px;"| Bill McCollum

! style="width:130px;"| Rick Scott

! style="width:130px;"| Paula Dockery

Quinnipiac[https://web.archive.org/web/20100901032624/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1491&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0 Quinnipiac]

| align=center| August 21–22, 2010

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 39%

| align=center| 35%

| align=center| –

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_FL_8221025.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| August 21–22, 2010

| align=center| 40%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 47%

| align=center| –

Mason-Dixon[https://archive.today/20130204123811/http://www2.tbo.com/content/2010/aug/21/211824/poll-mccollum-meek-hold-leads-last-minute-spending/news-breaking/ Mason-Dixon]

| align=center| August 17–19, 2010

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 45%

| align=center| 36%

| align=center| –

Quinnipiac[https://web.archive.org/web/20100819164846/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1297.xml?ReleaseID=1487 Quinnipiac]

| align=center| August 11–16, 2010

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| 35%

| align=center| –

Sunshine State News[https://web.archive.org/web/20100819133903/http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/story/gop-governor-race-back-tossup Sunshine State News]

| align=center| August 12–15, 2010

| align=center| 42%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| –

Mason Dixon[https://archive.today/20130130210120/http://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/politics/os-mason-dixon-governors-race-20100812,0,240451.story Mason Dixon]

| align=center| August 9–11, 2010

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 34%

| align=center| 30%

| align=center| –

Ipsos/Florida Newspapers[http://www.pollster.com/blogs/Ipsos%20Florida%20Pollin%233AB6F4.pdf Ipsos/Florida Newspapers] {{dead link|date=September 2024|bot=medic}}{{cbignore|bot=medic}}

| align=center| August 6–10, 2010

| align=center| 32%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 42%

| align=center| –

Mason Dixon[https://web.archive.org/web/20100817043256/http://www2.tbo.com/content/2010/aug/05/051736/polls-show-scott-has-single-digit-lead-over-mccoll/ Mason Dixon]

| align=center| August 2–4, 2010

| align=center| 31%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 37%

| align=center| –

The Florida Poll[http://www.theledger.com/article/20100731/NEWS/7315026/1410?Title=Rick-Scott-Pulls-Well-Out-Front The Florida Poll] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100822111959/http://www.theledger.com/article/20100731/NEWS/7315026/1410?Title=Rick-Scott-Pulls-Well-Out-Front |date=August 22, 2010 }}

| align=center| July 24–28, 2010

| align=center| 25%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 41%

| align=center| –

Quinnipiac[https://web.archive.org/web/20100731064442/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1297.xml?ReleaseID=1481 Quinnipiac]

| align=center| July 22–27, 2010

| align=center| 32%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 43%

| align=center| –

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_FL_722.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| July 16–18, 2010

| align=center| 29%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 43%

| align=center| –

Florida Chamber of Commerce[https://web.archive.org/web/20100622063704/http://www.tampabay.com/news/crists-edge-over-rubio-appears-to-be-growing/1103719 Florida Chamber of Commerce]

| align=center| June 9–13, 2010

| align=center| 30%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 35%

| align=center| –

Quinnipiac[https://web.archive.org/web/20100612194805/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1297.xml?ReleaseID=1462 Quinnipiac]

| align=center| June 2–8, 2010

| align=center| 31%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| –

Mason-Dixon[http://www.abc-7.com/Global/story.asp?S=12447381 Mason-Dixon]

| align=center| May 3–5, 2010

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 38%

| align=center| 24%

| align=center| 7%

Research 2000[http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/11/18/FL/417/ Research 2000]

| align=center| November 16–18, 2009

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 45%

| align=center| –

| align=center| 9%

|Strategic Vision[https://web.archive.org/web/20100212001621/http://blogs.orlandosentinel.com/news_politics/2009/06/new-poll-crist-is-cruising-mccollum-not-so-much.html Strategic Vision]

| align=center| May 29–31, 2009

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| –

| align=center| 28%

{{hidden end}}

==General election==

File:2010 Florida Polling.png

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

!

valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Dates administered

! Bud Chiles (I)

! Rick Scott (R)

! Alex Sink (D)

Mason-Dixon

| May 3–5, 2010

| —

| 36%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 38%

Rasmussen Reports[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/florida/election_2010_florida_governor Rasmussen Reports]

| May 16, 2010

| —

| {{Party shading/Republican}} | 41%

| 40%

Rasmussen Reports[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/florida/toplines/toplines_florida_governor_june_7_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]

| June 7, 2010

| —

| {{Party shading/Republican}} | 45%

| 40%

Quinnipiac[https://web.archive.org/web/20100612193930/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1297.xml?ReleaseID=1461 Quinnipiac]

| June 7, 2010

| 13%

| {{Party shading/Republican}} | 35%

| 26%

Florida Chamber of Commerce

| June 9–13, 2010

| 15%

| {{Party shading/Republican}} | 31%

| 26%

Ipsos/Reuters[https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66C4I320100713 Ipsos/Reuters]

| align=center | July 9–11, 2010

| 12%

| {{party shading/Republican}} | 34%

| 31%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_FL_721.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| July 16–18, 2010

| 13%

| 30%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 36%

Quinnipiac[https://web.archive.org/web/20100802024503/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1297.xml?ReleaseID=1483 Quinnipiac]

| July 22–27, 2010

| 14%

| {{party shading/Republican}} | 29%

| 27%

The Florida Poll

| July 24–28, 2010

| 11%

| {{party shading/Republican}} | 30%

| 28%

Rasmussen Reports[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/florida/toplines/toplines_florida_governor_august_2_2010/ Rasmussen Reports]

| August 2, 2010

| 16%

| {{party shading/Republican}} | 35%

| 31%

Ipsos/Florida Newspapers{{cbignore|bot=medic}}

| August 6–10, 2010

| 14%

| {{party shading/Republican}} | 30%

| 29%

Mason-Dixon[http://www.miamiherald.com/2010/08/12/1773076/negative-ads-help-push-bill-mccollum.html Mason-Dixon]

| August 9–11, 2010

| 17%

| 24%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 40%

Quinnipiac[https://web.archive.org/web/20100820063610/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1297.xml?ReleaseID=1488 Quinnipiac]

| August 11–16, 2010

| 12%

| 29%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 33%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_FL_8251118.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| August 21–22, 2010

| 8%

| 34%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 41%

Rasmussen Reports[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/florida/toplines/toplines_florida_governor_august_25_2010 Rasmussen Reports]

| August 25, 2010

| 4%

| {{party shading/Republican}} | 45%

| 42%

Rasmussen Reports[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/florida/toplines/toplines_florida_governor_september_1_2010 Rasmussen Reports]

| September 1, 2010

| rowspan=99 | —

| {{party shading/Republican}} | 45%

| 44%

Sunshine State News[https://web.archive.org/web/20100913054130/http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/story/alex-sink-rick-scott-statistical-tie Sunshine State News]

| September 1–7, 2010

| 42%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 44%

CNN[http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/09/08/cnntime-poll-heated-battle-for-florida-senate/ CNN] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100909145429/http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/09/08/cnntime-poll-heated-battle-for-florida-senate/ |date=September 9, 2010 }}

| September 2–7, 2010

| 42%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 49%

FOX News[http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/091410_FLpoll1.pdf FOX News]

| September 11, 2010

| 41%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 49%

Reuters/Ipsos[https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE68E55P20100915 Reuters/Ipsos]

| September 12, 2010

| 45%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 47%

Mason-Dixon[https://archive.today/20100927042605/http://www2.tbo.com/content/2010/sep/23/231234/sink-leads-scott-47-40-in-new-mason-dixon-poll/news-breaking/ Mason-Dixon]

| September 20–22, 2010

| 40%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 47%

Rasmussen Reports[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/florida/toplines_florida_governor_september_22_2010 Rasmussen Reports]

| September 22, 2010

| {{party shading/Republican}} | 50%

| 44%

Quinnipiac[https://web.archive.org/web/20111105172359/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1510&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0 Quinnipiac]

| September 23–28, 2010

| {{Party shading/Republican}} | 49%

| 43%

CNN[http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/09/29/cnntime-poll-rubio-opens-senate-lead-while-governors-race-stays-a-dead-heat/ CNN] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100930231846/http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/09/29/cnntime-poll-rubio-opens-senate-lead-while-governors-race-stays-a-dead-heat/ |date=September 30, 2010 }}

| September 24–28, 2010

| {{party shading/Republican}} | 47%

| 45%

Sunshine State News[http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/story/poll-rick-scott-takes-lead-favored-win Sunshine State News]

| September 26 – October 3, 2010

| {{Party shading/Republican}} | 44%

| 42%

TCPalm.com /Zogby[http://www.tcpalm.com/news/2010/oct/06/Sink-Scott-neck-and-neck-to-be-next-governor/ TCPalm.com / Zogby]

| September 27–29, 2010

| 39%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 41%

Florida Chamber of Commerce[https://web.archive.org/web/20101007170536/http://blogs.tampabay.com/buzz/2010/10/chamber-poll-repubs-beating-dems-in-all-statewide-races.html#tp Florida Chamber of Commerce]

| September 27–30, 2010

| {{party shading/Republican}} | 46%

| 42%

Rasmussen Reports[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/florida/election_2010_florida_governor Rasmussen Reports]

| September 30, 2010

| {{party shading/Republican}} | 46%

| 41%

Mason-Dixon[https://web.archive.org/web/20101015084754/http://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/politics/os-mason-dixon-governor-20101008,0,1673033.story Mason-Dixon]

| October 4–6, 2010

| 40%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 44%

Miami-Dade College[http://www.ufmdcc.org/documents/UFMDC-Newser-100510.pdf Miami-Dade College] {{Dead link|date=April 2019 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}

| October 5, 2010

| {{Party shading/Republican}} | 52%

| 46%

Quinnipiac[https://web.archive.org/web/20101016052627/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1297.xml?ReleaseID=1515 Quinnipiac]

| October 6–8, 2010

| {{party shading/Republican}} | 45%

| 44%

Rasmussen Reports

| October 7, 2010

| {{party shading/Republican}} | 50%

| 47%

PPP[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_FL_1013925.pdf PPP]

| October 9–10, 2010

| 41%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 46%

Susquehanna[https://web.archive.org/web/20110724222604/http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/sites/default/files/Crosstabs-Florida_Gov_Oct10_SSN.pdf Susquehanna]

| October 12–13, 2010

| 45%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 48%

Suffolk[http://www.suffolk.edu/44188.html Suffolk] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20101022152714/http://www.suffolk.edu/44188.html |date=October 22, 2010 }}

| October 14–17, 2010

| 38%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 45%

CNN Opinion Research[http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/10/20/topstate7.pdf CNN Opinion Research]

| October 15–19, 2010

| {{party shading/Republican}} | 49%

| 46%

Ipsos/St. Pete Times[https://web.archive.org/web/20101026014311/http://www.tampabay.com/news/politics/elections/article1129698.ece Ipsos/ St. Pete Times]

| October 15–19, 2010

| {{party shading/Republican}} | 44%

| 41%

Rasmussen Reports

| October 18, 2010

| {{party shading/Republican}} | 50%

| 44%

Naples Daily News /Zogby[https://web.archive.org/web/20101030094142/http://www.naplesnews.com/news/2010/oct/25/daily-news-zogby-poll-senate-rubio-crist-meek-lead/ Naples Daily News / Zogby]

| October 18–21, 2010

| 39%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 43%

Quinnipiac[https://web.archive.org/web/20101029084549/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1297.xml?ReleaseID=1527 Quinnipiac]

| October 18–24, 2010

| 41%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 45%

Susquehanna[https://web.archive.org/web/20101027121014/http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/story/poll-rick-scott-alex-sink-locked-dead-heat-governor-race Susquehanna]

| October 20, 2010

| 45%

| 45%

Susquehanna/Sunshine State News[https://web.archive.org/web/20110724223022/http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/sites/default/files/Crosstabs-Florida_Gov2_Oct10_SSN.pdf Susquehanna/ Sunshine State News]

| October 24–25, 2010

| {{party shading/Republican}} | 47%

| 45%

Univ. of South Fla. Polytechnic[http://www.theledger.com/article/20101030/NEWS/10305068/1410?p=1&tc=pg Univ. of South Fla. Polytechnic] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20101103141730/http://www.theledger.com/article/20101030/NEWS/10305068/1410?p=1&tc=pg |date=November 3, 2010 }}

| October 23–27, 2010

| {{party shading/Republican}} | 44%

| 39%

Quinnipiac[https://web.archive.org/web/20101103031154/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1297.xml?ReleaseID=1531 Quinnipiac]

| October 25–31, 2010

| 43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 44%

Mason-Dixon[http://www.wtsp.com/news/local/story.aspx?storyid=153344&catid=250 Mason-Dixon]

| October 26–27, 2010

| 43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 46%

Rasmussen Reports

| October 27, 2010

| {{party shading/Republican}} | 48%

| 45%

Susquehanna/Sunshine State[https://web.archive.org/web/20101104051656/http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/story/will-early-votes-put-rick-scott-over-top Susquehanna/ Sunshine State]

| October 29–31, 2010

| 46%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 49%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_FL_1101925.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| October 30–31, 2010

| 47%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 48%

==Hypothetical Polls==

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Bill McCollum (R) vs. Alex Sink (D) vs. Bud Chiles (I)|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

{{Graph:Chart

| width=700

| height=400

| xAxisTitle=

| yAxisTitle=%support

| xAxisAngle = -40

| legend=Party

| interpolate = basis

| showSymbols = yes

| xType = date

| y1Title=McCollum

| y2Title=Sink

| y3Title=Chiles

| y4Title=SDLP

| y5Title=Alliance

| y6Title=TUV

| y7Title=Green

| y8Title=PBP

| y9Title=Others

| type=line

| xGrid = 5| yGrid = 5

| x= 2009/04/01, 2009/05/18, 2009/06/07, 2009/06/22, 2009/08/05, 2009/08/19, 2009/10/20, 2009/10/28, 2009/11/18, 2009/12/14, 2010/01/27, 2010/01/27, 2010/01/31, 2010/02/18, 2010/03/08, 2010/03/18, 2010/05/07, 2010/05/16, 2010/06/07, 2010/06/07, 2010/06/13, 2010/07/11, 2010/07/18, 2010/07/27, 2010/07/28, 2010/08/02, 2010/08/10, 2010/08/11, 2010/08/16

| y1= 36, 40, 34, 42, 48, 38, 46, 37, 35, 44, 41, 46, 41, 48, 44, 47, 45, 43, 40, 33, 30, 30, 23, 27, 27, 26, 35, 29

| y2= 35, 34, 38, 34, 37, 34, 35, 38, 33, 39, 31, 35, 32, 35, 31, 36, 36, 35, 38, 25, 26, 31, 37, 26, 31, 30, 37, 31

| y3= 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 19, 15, 12, 14, 14, 20, 12, 13, 12

| y4=

| y5=

| y6=

| y7=

| y8=

| y9=

| colors = #FF0000, #0000FF, #00FF00, #2AA82C, #F6CB2F, #0C3A6A, #8DC63F, #660000, #DCDCDC

}}

class="wikitable"
valign=bottom

! style="width:130px;"| Poll source

! style="width:135px;"| Dates administered

! style="width:130px;"| Bill McCollum

! style="width:130px;"| Alex Sink

! style="width:130px;"| Bud Chiles

Quinnipiac

|align=center| August 11–16, 2010

|align=center| 29%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 31%

|align=center| 12%

Mason-Dixon

|align=center| August 9–11, 2010

|align=center| 35%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 37%

|align=center| 13%

Ipsos/Florida Newspapers{{cbignore|bot=medic}}

|align=center| August 6–10, 2010

|align=center| 26%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 30%

|align=center| 12%

Rasmussen Reports

|align=center| August 2, 2010

|align=center| 27%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 31%

|align=center| 20%

The Florida Poll

|align=center| July 24–28, 2010

|align=center| 26%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 27%

|align=center| 12%

Quinnipiac

|align=center| July 22–27, 2010

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 27%

|align=center| 26%

|align=center| 14%

Public Policy Polling

|align=center| July 16–18, 2010

|align=center| 23%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 37%

|align=center| 14%

Ipsos/Reuters

|align=center| July 9–11, 2010

|align=center| 30%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 31%

|align=center| 12%

Florida Chamber of Commerce

| align=center| June 9–13, 2010

| {{Party shading/Republican}} align=center| 30%

| align=center| 26%

| align=center| 15%

Quinnipiac

| align=center| June 7, 2010

| {{Party shading/Republican}} align=center| 33%

| align=center| 25%

| align=center| 19%

Rasmussen Reports

| align=center| June 7, 2010

| {{Party shading/Republican}} align=center| 40%

| align=center| 38%

| align=center| —

Rasmussen Reports

| align=center| May 16, 2010

| {{Party shading/Republican}} align=center| 43%

| align=center| 35%

| align=center| —

Mason-Dixon

| align=center| May 7, 2010

| {{Party shading/Republican}} align=center| 45%

| align=center| 36%

| align=center| —

Rasmussen Reports

| align=center| March 18, 2010

| {{Party shading/Republican}} align=center| 47%

| align=center| 36%

| align=center| —

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_FL_312.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| March 5–8, 2010

| {{Party shading/Republican}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| 31%

| align=center| —

Rasmussen Reports

| align=center| February 18, 2010

| {{Party shading/Republican}} align=center| 48%

| align=center| 35%

| align=center| —

Fabrizo/McLaughlin & Associates[http://miamiherald.typepad.com/files/2-10-fl-sw---crists-quandary.pdf Fabrizo/McLaughlin]

| align=center| January 31, 2010

| {{Party shading/Republican}} align=center| 41%

| align=center| 32%

| align=center| —

Rasmussen Reports

| align=center| January 27, 2010

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 46%

| align=center| 35%

| align=center| —

Quinnipiac[https://web.archive.org/web/20100129020312/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1297.xml?ReleaseID=1418 Quinnipiac]

| align=center| January 27, 2010

| align=center {{Party shading/Republican}}| 41%

| align=center| 31%

| align=center| <1%

Rasmussen Reports[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/florida/toplines/toplines_2010_florida_governor_race_december_14_2009/ Rasmussen Reports]

| align=center| December 14, 2009

| align=center {{Party shading/Republican}}| 44%

| align=center| 39%

| align=center| —

Research 2000

| align=center| November 16–18, 2009

| align=center {{Party shading/Republican}}| 35%

| align=center| 33%

| align=center| —

St. Pete Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9[https://web.archive.org/web/20091104021126/http://www.tampabay.com/news/politics/stateroundup/gov-charlie-crists-popularity-slides/1048529 St. Pete Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9]

| align=center| October 25–28, 2009

| align=center| 37%

| align=center {{Party shading/Democratic}} | 38%

| align=center| —

Rasmussen Reports[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/florida/toplines/toplines_2010_florida_governor_race_october_19_2009/ Rasmussen Reports]

| align=center|October 20, 2009

| align=center {{Party shading/Republican}}| 46%

| align=center| 35%

| align=center| —

Quinnipiac[https://web.archive.org/web/20090821150526/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1297.xml?ReleaseID=1366 Quinnipiac]

| align=center|August 19, 2009

| align=center {{Party shading/Republican}}| 38%

| align=center| 34%

| align=center| 1%

Public Opinion Strategies[https://archive.today/20130630094207/http://blogs.tampabay.com/buzz/2009/08/gop-poll-bill-mccollum-47-alex-sink-38.html/ Public Opinion Strategies]

| align=center|August 4–5, 2009

| align=center {{Party shading/Republican}}| 48%

| align=center| 37%

| align=center| —

Rasmussen Reports[https://web.archive.org/web/20090627135942/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/florida/election_2010_florida_governor Rasmussen Reports]

| align=center| June 22, 2009

| align=center {{Party shading/Republican}}| 42%

| align=center| 34%

| align=center| —

Quinnipiac[https://web.archive.org/web/20100528033602/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1297.xml?ReleaseID=1310 Quinnipiac]

| align=center| June 2–7, 2009

| align=center| 34%

| align=center {{Party shading/Democratic}}| 38%

| align=center| 1%

Mason Dixon[https://web.archive.org/web/20111009132336/http://www.ronsachs.com/docs/may2009poll.pdf Mason Dixon]

| align=center| May 14–18, 2009

| align=center {{Party shading/Republican}}| 40%

| align=center| 34%

| align=center| —

Mason Dixon[http://www.sayfiereview.com/sayfiereviewcompowerplay-poll-1.php Mason Dixon]

| align=center| March 30 – April 1, 2009

| align=center {{Party shading/Republican}}| 36%

| align=center| 35%

| align=center| —

{{hidden end}}

=Results=

File:Fl 2010 gov ss.svg Results]]

The 2010 governor's race was one of Florida's closest, decided by just over 60,000 votes. Unlike the concurrent Senate race, the governor's race remained in doubt late into the night. When polls closed, Scott had a lead, but as the night progressed, the margin narrowed. The next day, with over 99% of precincts reporting, Scott maintained about a 1% lead in the raw vote. Despite a small number of still-uncounted ballots from Palm Beach County, Sink's chances of winning were negligible, as Scott was still ahead by over 50,000 – much more than the 3,000 uncounted ballots, and more importantly, still above the threshold of 0.5% to trigger a mandatory recount. Sink conceded the day after the election.

Exit polls showed that Scott won among independents and the two candidates split the Hispanic vote.

{{Election box begin | title=2010 Florida gubernatorial election{{cite web |url=https://doe.dos.state.fl.us/elections/resultsarchive/Index.asp?ElectionDate=11/2/2010&DATAMODE= |title= Florida Department of State - Election Results|website=doe.dos.state.fl.us |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111003141022/https://doe.dos.state.fl.us/elections/resultsarchive/Index.asp?ElectionDate=11%2F2%2F2010&DATAMODE= |archive-date=October 3, 2011}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link|

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Rick Scott

|votes = 2,619,335

|percentage = 48.87%

|change = -3.31%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Democratic Party (United States)

|candidate = Alex Sink

|votes = 2,557,785

|percentage = 47.72%

|change = +2.62%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Independence Party of Florida

|candidate = Peter Allen

|votes = 123,831

|percentage = 2.31%

|change =

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Independent politician

|candidate = C. C. Reed

|votes = 18,842

|percentage = 0.35%

|change =

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Independent politician

|candidate = Michael E. Arth

|votes = 18,644

|percentage = 0.35%

|change =

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Independent politician

|candidate = Daniel Imperato

|votes = 13,690

|percentage = 0.26%

|change =

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Independent politician

|candidate = Farid Khavari

|votes = 7,487

|percentage = 0.14%

|change =

}}

{{Election box candidate|

|party = Write-ins

|candidate =

|votes = 121

|percentage = 0.00%

|change =

}}

{{Election box plurality|

|votes = 61,550

|percentage = 1.15%

|change = -5.92%

}}

{{Election box turnout|

|votes = 5,359,735

|percentage =

|change =

}}

{{Election box gain with party link|

|winner = Republican Party (United States)

|loser = Independent politician

|swing =

}}

{{Election box end}}

== Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic ==

See also

Notes

{{notelist}}

References

{{reflist}}