2014 Idaho gubernatorial election

{{Short description|none}}

{{for|related races|2014 United States gubernatorial elections}}

{{Use American English|date=January 2025}}

{{Use mdy dates|date=January 2022}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2014 Idaho gubernatorial election

| country = Idaho

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2010 Idaho gubernatorial election

| previous_year = 2010

| election_date = November 4, 2014

| next_election = 2018 Idaho gubernatorial election

| next_year = 2018

| image1 = Butch and Lori Otter cropped.jpg

| nominee1 = Butch Otter

| party1 = Republican Party (United States)

| popular_vote1 = 235,405

| percentage1 = 53.52%

| map_image = 2014 Idaho gubernatorial election results map by county.svg

| map_size = 180px

| map_caption = County results
Otter: {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}}
Balukoff: {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}}

| title = Governor

| before_election = Butch Otter

| before_party = Republican Party (United States)

| after_election = Butch Otter

| after_party = Republican Party (United States)

| image2 = 3x4.svg

| nominee2 = A.J. Balukoff

| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)

| popular_vote2 = 169,556

| percentage2 = 38.55%

}}

{{ElectionsID}}

The 2014 Idaho gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Idaho, concurrently with the election to Idaho's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican governor Butch Otter ran for election to a third consecutive term in office.{{cite news|last=Dvorak|first=Todd|date=August 6, 2013|title=Otter taps industry lobbyist to run re-election campaign|url=http://www.kboi2.com/news/local/Otter-Idaho-218543681.html|url-status=live|access-date=2013-09-04|website=|work=KBOI-TV|agency=Associated Press|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140322014013/http://www.kboi2.com/news/local/Otter-Idaho-218543681.html|archive-date=March 22, 2014}} In primary elections held on May 20, 2014, Otter was renominated and the Democrats nominated businessman and president of the Boise School District Board of Trustees A.J. Balukoff. Otter defeated Balukoff and four Independent and Third Party challengers in the general election.

Republican primary

=Candidates=

==Declared==

  • Walt Bayes, perennial candidate{{cite news|last=Sewell|first=Cynthia|date=March 15, 2014|title=Nine vie to be next Idaho governor|work=Idaho Statesman|url=http://www.idahostatesman.com/2014/03/15/3081649/nine-vie-to-be-next-governorwhos.html|access-date=March 17, 2014|archive-url=https://archive.today/20140317152249/http://www.idahostatesman.com/2014/03/15/3081649/nine-vie-to-be-next-governorwhos.html|archive-date=March 17, 2014}}
  • Harley Brown, candidate for Idaho's 1st congressional district in 2000 and 2010 and candidate for Mayor of Boise in 2001
  • Russ Fulcher, state senator and future U.S. Representative from Idaho's 1st congressional district{{cite news|last=Popkey|first=Dan|date=November 20, 2013|title=Bank on it: Fulcher will announce challenge to Gov. Otter in Saturday fly-around|publisher=Idaho Statesman|url=http://blogs.idahostatesman.com/bank-on-it-fulcher-will-announce-challenge-to-gov-otter-saturday/|access-date=November 22, 2013|archive-url=https://archive.today/20131122165826/http://blogs.idahostatesman.com/bank-on-it-fulcher-will-announce-challenge-to-gov-otter-saturday/|archive-date=November 22, 2013}}
  • Butch Otter, incumbent governor

==Declined==

  • Raúl Labrador, U.S. representative{{cite news|date=14 August 2013|title=Idaho U.S. Rep. Raul Labrador Plans 2014 Re-Election Run For Congress|work=Boise State Public Radio|agency=Associated Press|url=http://boisestatepublicradio.org/post/idaho-us-rep-raul-labrador-plans-2014-re-election-run-congress|url-status=dead|access-date=15 August 2013|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131213182024/http://boisestatepublicradio.org/post/idaho-us-rep-raul-labrador-plans-2014-re-election-run-congress|archive-date=December 13, 2013}}
  • Brad Little, Lieutenant Governor of Idaho{{cite news|date=September 18, 2013|title=Lt. Gov. Brad Little to seek re-election in 2014|work=Times-News|agency=Associated Press|url=http://magicvalley.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/lt-gov-brad-little-to-seek-re-election-in/article_22e556ae-207a-11e3-a4d8-001a4bcf887a.html|url-access=subscription|access-date=October 20, 2013|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201127041510/https://magicvalley.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/lt-gov-brad-little-to-seek-re-election-in/article_22e556ae-207a-11e3-a4d8-001a4bcf887a.html|archive-date=November 27, 2020}}
  • Tom Luna, Idaho Superintendent of Public Instruction{{cite web |url=http://www.idahoreporter.com/2011/luna-wont-commit-on-2014-run-for-governor-denies-seeking-national-education-post-video/ |title=Luna won't commit on 2014 run for governor, denies seeking national education post |publisher=IdahoReporter.com |date=2011-12-15 |access-date=2013-09-04 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130928010946/http://www.idahoreporter.com/2011/luna-wont-commit-on-2014-run-for-governor-denies-seeking-national-education-post-video/ |archive-date=2013-09-28 |url-status=dead }}
  • Rex Rammell, activist, veterinarian and candidate for governor in 2010{{cite web|last=Prentice|first=George|date=2012-06-14|title=Rex Rammell 'Gives Up on Idaho,' Leaving State | citydesk|url=http://www.boiseweekly.com/CityDesk/archives/2012/06/14/political-gadfly-gives-up-on-idaho-leaving-state|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131004224228/http://www.boiseweekly.com/CityDesk/archives/2012/06/14/political-gadfly-gives-up-on-idaho-leaving-state|archive-date=October 4, 2013|access-date=2013-09-06|publisher=Boiseweekly.com}}
  • Lawrence Wasden, Attorney General of Idaho{{cite web|last=Popkey|first=Dan|date=September 16, 2013|title=Wasden says he'll seek record fourth term as Idaho attorney general|url=http://www.idahostatesman.com/2013/09/16/2763795/wasden-says-hell-seek-record-fourth.html|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://archive.today/20130926091448/http://www.idahostatesman.com/2013/09/16/2763795/wasden-says-hell-seek-record-fourth.html|archive-date=September 26, 2013|access-date=October 20, 2013|work=Idaho Statesman}}

=Endorsements=

{{Endorsements box

| title = Russ Fulcher

| list =

  • Raúl Labrador, U.S. representative{{cite news|url=http://www.spokesman.com/stories/2014/may/13/raul-labrador-backs-russ-fulcher-for-idaho/|title=Raul Labrador backs Russ Fulcher for Idaho governor|date=May 13, 2014|access-date=May 15, 2014|work=The Spokesman-Review|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140517155427/http://www.spokesman.com/stories/2014/may/13/raul-labrador-backs-russ-fulcher-for-idaho/|archive-date=May 17, 2014}}

}}

=Results=

[[File:Idaho gubernatorial Republican primary, 2014.svg|thumb|180px|Results by county:

{{collapsible list

| title = {{legend|#e27f7f|Otter}}

| {{legend|#ffb2b2|40–50%}}

| {{legend|#e27f7f|50–60%}}

|{{legend|#D75D5D|60–70%}}

|{{legend|#D72F30|70–80%}}

}}

{{collapsible list

| title = {{legend|#ff9a50|Fulcher}}

|{{legend|#ffb380|40–50%}}

|{{legend|#ff9a50|50–60%}}

|{{legend|#ee8e50|60–70%}}

|{{legend|#d69850|70–80%}}

}}

]]

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Republican primary results{{cite web|url=http://www.sos.idaho.gov/elect/results/ENR/statewide_total.html |title=*** UNOFFICIAL *** 2014 – Primary Election Statewide Totals |publisher=Idaho Secretary of State |access-date=May 26, 2014 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150220191630/http://www.sos.idaho.gov/ELECT/results/ENR/statewide_total.html |archive-date=February 20, 2015 }}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Butch Otter (incumbent)

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 79,786

| percentage = 51.36

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Russ Fulcher

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 67,702

| percentage = 43.59

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Harley Brown

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 5,084

| percentage = 3.27

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Walt Bayes

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 2,761

| percentage = 1.78

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 155,333

| percentage= 100

}}

{{Election box end}}

Democratic primary

=Candidates=

==Declared==

  • A.J. Balukoff, businessman and president of the Boise School District Board of TrusteesPopkey, Dan. [https://archive.today/20131203221442/http://www.idahostatesman.com/2013/12/03/2906179/democrat-balukoff-joins-race-for.html "Democrat Balukoff joins race for governor"] Idaho Statesman, December 3, 2013. Archived from [http://www.idahostatesman.com/2013/12/03/2906179/democrat-balukoff-joins-race-for.html the original] on December 3, 2013. (accessed December 3, 2013)
  • Terry Kerr, former Republican candidate for local office

==Declined==

  • Keith G. Allred, activist, mediator and nominee for governor in 2010{{cite web|url=http://www.allredforidaho.com/newsroom/NewsItem/13-07-17/Keith_is_not_planning_on_running_in_2014.aspx |title=Keith is not planning on running in 2014 |publisher=Allredforidaho.com |date=2013-07-17 |access-date=2013-09-04 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131005022347/http://www.allredforidaho.com/newsroom/NewsItem/13-07-17/Keith_is_not_planning_on_running_in_2014.aspx |archive-date=2013-10-05 }}
  • Cecil D. Andrus, former governor and former United States Secretary of the Interior{{cite web|date=2013-10-13|title=Cecil Andrus: Idaho not doing enough for children|url=http://www.idahopress.com/news/local/cecil-andrus-idaho-not-doing-enough-for-children/article_9cdcdae8-33c3-11e3-8c53-0019bb2963f4.html|url-status=live|archive-url=https://archive.today/20131111012430/http://www.idahopress.com/news/local/cecil-andrus-idaho-not-doing-enough-for-children/article_9cdcdae8-33c3-11e3-8c53-0019bb2963f4.html|archive-date=November 11, 2013|access-date=2013-11-11|publisher=Idahopress.com}}
  • David H. Bieter, Mayor of Boise{{cite web |url=http://blogs.idahostatesman.com/democrat-bieter-wanted-to-hear-gop-speaker-boehner-backed-simpson-in-2010/ |title=Democrat Bieter wanted to hear GOP Speaker Boehner, backed Simpson in 2010 |publisher=Idaho Statesman |date=August 29, 2013 |access-date=March 17, 2014 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20130920192826/http://blogs.idahostatesman.com/democrat-bieter-wanted-to-hear-gop-speaker-boehner-backed-simpson-in-2010/ |archive-date=September 20, 2013 |url-status=dead }}

=Endorsements=

{{Endorsements box

| title = A.J. Balukoff

| list =

  • Tommy Ahlquist, developer{{cite web|url=https://www.sos.idaho.gov/elect/finance/2014/October%2010th/3408_scanned.pdf|title=3408 scanned|date= 2014|access-date=July 31, 2017}}

}}

=Results=

[[File:Idaho gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2014.svg|thumb|180px|Results by county:

{{collapsible list

| title = {{legend|#7996e2ff|Balukoff}}

|{{legend|#7996e2ff|50–60%}}

|{{legend|#6674deff|60–70%}}

|{{legend|#584cdeff|70–80%}}

}}

{{collapsible list

| title = {{legend|#aade87|Kerr}}

|{{legend|#aade87|50–60%}}

|{{legend|#8dd35f|60–70%}}

}}

]]

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Democratic primary results

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = A.J. Balukoff

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 16,753

| percentage = 65.33

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Terry Kerr

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 8,890

| percentage = 34.67

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 25,643

| percentage= 100

}}

{{Election box end}}

Constitution nomination

=Candidates=

==Declared==

Libertarian nomination

=Candidates=

==Declared==

  • John Bujak, former Canyon County prosecutor{{cite web|url=http://www.krem.com/news/Former-prosecutor-Bujak-running-for-Idaho-governor-250324051.html |title=Former prosecutor Bujak running for Idaho governor |publisher=Krem.com |date=March 14, 2014 |access-date=March 17, 2014}}

Independents

=Candidates=

==Declared==

  • Jill Humble, retired nurse educator and candidate for Boise City Council in 2013
  • Pro-Life (formerly known as Marvin Richardson), organic strawberry farmer, anti-abortion activist and perennial candidate{{cite web |url=http://voices.idahostatesman.com/2012/12/17/idahopolitics/deputize_armed_volunteers_protect_schools_says_perennial_idaho_c |title=Deputize armed volunteers to protect schools, says perennial Idaho candidate Pro-Life |publisher=Idaho Statesman |date=December 17, 2012 |access-date=November 22, 2013 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://archive.today/20131122165827/http://voices.idahostatesman.com/2012/12/17/idahopolitics/deputize_armed_volunteers_protect_schools_says_perennial_idaho_c |archive-date=November 22, 2013 }}

General election

=Debates=

A debate was held between Balukoff & Bujak. Gov. Otter chose not to participate.

  • [https://www.c-span.org/video/?321766-1/idaho-governors-debate Complete video of debate], September 24, 2014 - C-SPAN

= Predictions =

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
Source

! Ranking

! As of

align=left | The Cook Political Report{{cite web | title=2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 | url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/governor-race-ratings/139257 | website=The Cook Political Report | access-date=September 3, 2018}}

| {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

| November 3, 2014

align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball{{cite web | title=The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks | url=http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/the-crystal-balls-final-2014-picks/ | website=Sabato's Crystal Ball | date=November 3, 2014 | access-date=September 3, 2018}}

| {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}}

| November 3, 2014

align=left | Rothenberg Political Report{{cite web | title=2014 Gubernatorial Ratings | url=http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2014-gubernatorial-ratings-november-3-2014 | work=Senate Ratings | publisher=The Rothenberg Political Report | access-date=September 3, 2018}}

| {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}}

| November 3, 2014

align=left | Real Clear Politics{{cite web | title=2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races | url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/governor/2014_elections_governor_map.html| publisher=Real Clear Politics | access-date=September 3, 2018}}

| {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}}

| November 3, 2014

=Polling=

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! style="width:190px;"| Poll source

! style="width:200px;"| Date(s)
administered

! class=small | Sample
size

! class=small | Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Butch
Otter (R)

! style="width:100px;"| A.J.
Balukoff (D)

! style="width:40px;"| Other

! style="width:40px;"| Undecided

rowspan=2|Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/IDResults.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center rowspan=2| October 30–November 2, 2014

| align=center rowspan=2| 1,001

| align=center rowspan=2| ± 3.1%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 49%

| align=center| 37%

| align=center| 10%John Bujak (L) 5%, Jill Humble (I) 1%, Pro Life (I) 2%, Steve Pankey (C) 2%

| align=center| 5%

{{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 55%

| align=center| 42%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 3%

CBS News/NYT/YouGov[https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]

| align=center| October 16–23, 2014

| align=center| 575

| align=center| ± 6%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 53%

| align=center| 35%

| align=center| 2%

| align=center| 10%

rowspan=2|Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_ID_1014925.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center rowspan=2| October 9–12, 2014

| align=center rowspan=2| 522

| align=center rowspan=2| ± 4.3%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 39%

| align=center| 35%

| align=center| 12%John Bujak (L) 4%, Jill Humble (I) 3%, Pro Life (I) 3%, Steve Pankey (C) 2%

| align=center| 14%

{{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 47%

| align=center| 38%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 15%

CBS News/NYT/YouGov[http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results CBS News/NYT/YouGov]

| align=center| September 20–October 1, 2014

| align=center| 594

| align=center| ± 5%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 57%

| align=center| 33%

| align=center| 1%

| align=center| 9%

CBS News/NYT/YouGov[https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/battleground-tracker-2014-idaho/#IDgovernor CBS News/NYT/YouGov]

| align=center| August 18–September 2, 2014

| align=center| 844

| align=center| ± 4%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 51%

| align=center| 33%

| align=center| 3%

| align=center| 13%

CBS News/NYT/YouGov[http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]

| align=center| July 5–24, 2014

| align=center| 691

| align=center| ± 4.2%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 56%

| align=center| 34%

| align=center| 4%

| align=center| 7%

Rasmussen Reports[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/idaho/election_2014_idaho_governor Rasmussen Reports]

| align=center| May 28–29, 2014

| align=center| 750

| align=center| ± 4%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 50%

| align=center| 36%

| align=center| 8%

| align=center| 7%

=Results=

{{Election box begin| title=Idaho gubernatorial election, 2014{{Cite web|url=https://sos.idaho.gov/elect/results/2014/General/statewide_totals.html|title = Statewide Totals}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Butch Otter (incumbent)

|votes = 235,405

|percentage = 53.52%

|change = -5.59%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Democratic Party (United States)

|candidate = A.J. Balukoff

|votes = 169,556

|percentage = 38.55%

|change = +5.70%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Libertarian Party (United States)

|candidate = John Bujak

|votes = 17,884

|percentage = 4.07%

|change = +2.77%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Independent (United States)

|candidate = Jill Humble

|votes = 8,801

|percentage = 2.00%

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Constitution Party (United States)

|candidate = Steve Pankey

|votes = 5,219

|percentage = 1.19%

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Independent (United States)

|candidate = Pro-Life

|votes = 2,870

|percentage = 0.65%

|change = -0.20%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = n/a

|candidate = Write-ins

|votes = 95

|percentage = 0.02%

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box total

| votes = 439,830

| percentage = 100.0%

| change = N/A

}}

{{Election box hold with party link no swing

|winner = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

==Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic==

References

{{reflist}}