2015 Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election

{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}}

{{Use Canadian English|date=January 2023}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2015 Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election

| country = Ontario

| ongoing = no

| previous_election =

| previous_year = 2009

| next_election = 2018 Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election

| next_year = 2018

| turnout = 49.3%

| election_date = May 9, 2015

| 2blank = Riding

| 3blank = Points

| image1 = x160px

| colour1 = 246AC9

| candidate1 = Patrick Brown

| 2data1 = N/A{{efn|Brown was the federal MP for Barrie at the time of the leadership election. He was later elected as provincial MPP for Simcoe North.}}

| 3data1 = 6,543
(61.83%)

| image2 = x160px

| colour2 = 367D22

| candidate2 = Christine Elliott

| 2data2 = Whitby—Oshawa

| 3data2 = 4,040
(38.17%)

| title = Leader

| posttitle =

| before_election = Jim Wilson (interim)

| after_election = Patrick Brown

| map_image = File:Ontario_Progressive_Conservative_Party_Leadership_Election_2015_-_Results_by_Riding.svg

| map_size =

| map_caption = Results by Ontario electoral district

}}

{{Infobox leadership election

|party = Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario

|colour = {{Canadian party colour|ON|PC}}

|year = 2015

|logo =

|date = May 9, 2015

|location = Toronto Congress Centre

|winner = Patrick Brown

|replaces = Tim Hudak

|numcands = 2

|ballots = 1

|entryfee = $75,000 fee + $25,000 deposit

|requirement =

|spendcap = $1.25 million

}}

The 2015 Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election was held on May 9, 2015, as a result of the resignation of Ontario Progressive Conservative leader Tim Hudak following the provincial election on June 12, 2014, his second loss in a row as party leader. Patrick Brown won the leadership with 61.8% of votes allocated, defeating Christine Elliott who had 38.2%.

Rules and procedure

The party's 76,587 members were eligible to cast votes by preferential ballot. The vote will be weighted so that each of the province's 107 ridings that has more than 100 votes cast are allocated 100 electoral votes; ridings in which fewer than 100 party members vote will not be weighted, but will instead have the votes counted as individual votes.{{cite news|title=Ontario PCs to choose new leader in May|url=https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/ontario-pcs-to-choose-new-leader-in-may/article20714014/|accessdate=September 21, 2014|work=Globe and Mail|date=September 22, 2014}} If at least 100 members votes in each riding the number of electoral college votes needed to win will be 5,351. The registration fee was $75,000 plus a refundable deposit of $25,000 and the spending limit was $1.25 million. 20% of money raised by candidates after the first $100,000 will be transferred to the PC Ontario Fund. The lowest ranked candidate will be dropped from the next round as ballots are counted, and the first candidate to get 50 per cent of the votes will be declared the new leader.

Timeline

  • June 12, 2014: General election results in the incumbent Liberals, led by Kathleen Wynne, being re-elected with a majority government and the Progressive Conservatives losing 9 seats. Party leader Tim Hudak announces his intention to resign as leader following the selection of his successor.
  • June 16, 2014: Progressive Conservative caucus meets with a majority of MPPs asking Hudak to resign immediately.{{cite news|title=Tim Hudak will step down as Ontario Progressive Conservative Leader July 2|url=https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/tim-hudak-will-step-down-as-ontario-progressive-conservative-leader-july-2/article19231032/|publisher=The Globe and Mail|date=June 18, 2014|accessdate=June 19, 2014}}{{cite news|title=Tim Hudak to quit July 2 amid Tory revolt|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2014/06/19/tim_hudak_to_quit_july_2_amid_tory_revolt.html|accessdate=June 18, 2014|work=Toronto Star|date=June 18, 2014}}
  • June 18, 2014: Hudak announces to the Progressive Conservative caucus that he will resign effective July 2, 2014.
  • June 25, 2014: Christine Elliott announces her bid for the leadership of the Ontario PC Party.
  • July 2, 2014: Ontario legislature convenes; Hudak's resignation will take effect; Progressive Conservative caucus chooses Jim Wilson as interim leader.
  • July 5, 2014: The Progressive Conservative executive met to discuss the leadership and appointed a committee to consult the party membership and then draft recommendations for leadership campaign rules and propose a date for the election.{{cite news|title=Ontario Tories not rushing into a leadership race|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2014/07/05/ontario_tories_not_rushing_into_a_leadership_race.html|accessdate=July 10, 2014|work=Toronto Star}}
  • Early August 2014: Party committee reports back to the executive with its proposals.{{cite news|title=Ontario Progressive Conservatives delay leadership race decision|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/ontario-progressive-conservatives-delay-leadership-race-decision-1.2697971|accessdate=July 6, 2014|work=CBC News|date=July 6, 2014}}
  • August 9, 2014: Party executive announces that the leadership election will occur no earlier than April 1, 2015 and no later than May 31, 2015. The planning committee is given an additional six weeks to consult with party members on the rules of the election.{{cite web|last1=Babbage|first1=Maria|title=New Ontario Conservative leader to be chosen in spring 2015, no specific date set|url=http://news.nationalpost.com/2014/08/09/new-ontario-conservative-leader-to-be-chosen-in-spring-2015-no-specific-date-set/|publisher=National Post|accessdate=August 9, 2014|date=August 9, 2014}}
  • September 17, 2014: Monte McNaughton declares his candidacy.
  • September 21, 2014: Planning committee reports back to executive.
  • September 24, 2014: Vic Fedeli declares his candidacy.
  • September 28, 2014: Patrick Brown declares his candidacy.
  • October 6, 2014: Lisa MacLeod declares her candidacy.
  • November 8, 2014: Official campaign period begins.
  • November 24, 2014: All-candidates debate in Sudbury.{{cite web|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2014/11/24/ontario_tory_leadership_candidates_urge_party_to_broaden_support_base.html|title=Ontario Tory leadership candidates urge party to broaden support base|date=24 November 2014|work=thestar.com}}
  • January 26, 2015: All-candidates debate in London.
  • January 30, 2015 at 12 pm: Deadline for candidates to file nomination papers and pay first installment of $75,000 registration fee and $25,000 deposit.{{cite news|title=Ontario Tories announce rules for leadership race|url=http://www.thespec.com/news-story/4872997-ontario-tories-announce-rules-for-leadership-race/|accessdate=September 21, 2014|work=Hamilton Spectator|date=September 22, 2014}}
  • February 4, 2015: Fedeli withdraws from contest.
  • February 6, 2015: MacLeod withdraws; final non-refundable $50,000 installment of candidate entry fee is due.{{cite news|title=Lisa MacLeod to withdraw from Progressive Conservative leadership race|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2015/02/05/lisa-macleod-to-withdraw-progressive-conservative-leadership-race.html|accessdate=February 5, 2015|work=Toronto Star|date=February 5, 2015}}
  • February 11, 2015: All-candidates debate in Ottawa.
  • February 28, 2015: Date by which one must become a member of the party and be eligible to vote in the leadership election.
  • April 9, 2015: McNaughton withdraws; endorses Brown.
  • May 1, 2015: Televised debate on TVO in Toronto
  • May 3 & 7, 2015: Members cast preferential ballot for leader.{{cite news|title=Ontario Progressive Conservative party to choose new leader next May|url=http://news.nationalpost.com/2014/09/21/ontario-progressive-conservative-party-to-choose-new-leader-next-may/|accessdate=September 22, 2014|work=National Post|date=September 21, 2014}}
  • May 8–9, 2015: Ballots counted.
  • May 9, 2015: Results announced, riding by riding, between 10 am and noon at the Toronto Congress Centre.{{cite news|title=Time to count the Tories|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2015/05/07/time-to-count-the-tories.html|accessdate=May 8, 2015|work=Toronto Star|date=May 8, 2015}}

Interim leadership

The following MPPs stood in the July 2, 2014, election by caucus to be interim leader of the party until the leadership election for a permanent leader is held:

  • Randy Hillier (Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington), MPP since 2007, variously Opposition Critic for Labour, Municipal Affairs and Housing, Rural Affairs, and Northern Development, Mines and Forestry.{{cite news|title=Eastern Ontario MPPs Hillier and Yakabuski seek interim Tory leadership|url=https://ottawacitizen.com/news/national/eastern-ontario-mpps-hillier-and-yakabuski-seek-interim-tory-leadership|accessdate=June 28, 2014|work=Ottawa Citizen|date=June 26, 2014}}
  • Jim Wilson (Simcoe—Grey), MPP since 1990, Opposition House Leader (2011–2014), previously Minister of Health (1995–1997), Minister of Energy, Science & Technology (1997–2002), Minister of Northern Development and Mines (2002–2003), Minister of Environment (2003).
  • John Yakabuski (Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke), MPP since 2003, has served as Chief Opposition Whip (2011–2014), Opposition House Leader (2010–2011) and variously Opposition Critic for Community Safety and Energy.

Jim Wilson was elected by caucus to be interim leader and also assumed the position of Leader of the Opposition. Vote totals were not released.{{cite news|title=Progressive Conservatives pick Jim Wilson as interim leader|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2014/07/02/progressive_conservatives_pick_jim_wilson_as_interim_leader.html|accessdate=July 2, 2014|work=Toronto Star|date=July 2, 2014}}

Declared candidates

=[[Patrick Brown (Canadian politician)|Patrick Brown]]=

;Background

Federal Conservative Party MP for Barrie (2006–2015), Barrie City Councillor (2000–2006), President of the Progressive Conservative Youth Federation (PCYF) (1998–2002). Former vice-president of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario. Lawyer by profession.

:Date candidacy declared: September 28, 2014{{cite news|title=Brown launches bid for Ontario PC leadership, promises 'fresh start'|url=https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/brown-launches-bid-for-ontario-pc-leadership-promises-fresh-start/article20820069/|accessdate=September 28, 2014|work=Globe and Mail|date=September 28, 2014}}

;Supporters

=[[Christine Elliott]]=

File:Christine Elliott.jpg

;Background

MPP since 2006 (Whitby—Ajax (2006–2007), Whitby—Oshawa (2007–2015). Deputy Leader of the Opposition and Critic for Health and Long-Term Care since 2009. Ran in the 2009 leadership election, placing third. Widow of former federal Minister of Finance Jim Flaherty. Prior to entering politics, Elliott was a lawyer who practiced corporate, estate and real estate law.

:Date candidacy declared: June 25, 2014{{cite news|title=Christine Elliott aims to rebuild PC party 'from ground up'|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2014/06/25/christine_elliott_aims_to_rebuild_pc_party_from_ground_up.html#|accessdate=June 25, 2014|work=Toronto Star|date=June 25, 2014}}

;Supporters

Withdrawn

=[[Vic Fedeli]]=

;Background

MPP for Nipissing (2011–present), Opposition Finance Critic (2013–present), Energy Critic (2011–2013), Finance Critic (2013–Present), Fedeli served as mayor of North Bay, Ontario (2003–2010) for two terms, during which he donated his entire salary to charity. Before entering politics, he ran Fedeli Advertising, which in 1989 was ranked by Profit - the magazine for Small Business as the firm 34th on its list of 50 Best Places to Work in Canada. Fedeli was also recognized as one of Canada's Most Successful Entrepreneurs in an episode of MoneyMakers, hosted by Everett Banning. Additionally, Fedeli served as the dollar-per-year chairman of a non-profit organization in North Bay. Fedeli's campaign is called "OntarioFirst".

:Date candidacy declared: September 24, 2014{{cite news|title=Vic Fedeli launches PC leadership bid with vow to 'restore trust'|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2014/09/24/vic_fedeli_launches_pc_leadership_bid_with_vow_to_restore_trust.html|accessdate=September 24, 2014|work=Toronto Star|date=September 24, 2014}}

:Date withdrawn: February 4, 2015, endorsed Elliott{{cite web|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2015/02/04/radical-change-in-pc-leadership-race-as-fedeli-drops-out.html|title=Radical change in PC leadership race as Fedeli drops out|date=4 February 2015|work=thestar.com}}

;Supporters

:Support from caucus members: Randy Pettapiece (Perth—Wellington)

:Support from federal caucus members: Jay Aspin (Nipissing—Timiskaming)

:Support from former provincial caucus members:

:Other prominent supporters: Paula Peroni, 2014 Sudbury candidate and Sudbury Catholic District School Board trustee;{{cite web|url=http://www.thesudburystar.com/2014/11/20/pc-leadership-hopefuls-to-debate-in-sudbury|title=PC leadership hopefuls to debate in Sudbury|work=Sudbury Star}}

:Policies

=[[Lisa MacLeod]]=

;Background

MPP for Nepean—Carleton (2006–present), Opposition Treasury Board Critic (2014–present), Energy and Francophone Affairs Critic (2013–2014), Education Critic (2011–2013), Revenue and Government Accountability Critic (2009–2011).

:Date candidacy declared: October 6, 2014{{cite news|title=Ottawa MPP Lisa MacLeod enters Ontario PC leadership race|url=http://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/ottawa-mpp-lisa-macleod-enters-ontario-pc-leadership-race-1.2040774|accessdate=October 6, 2014|work=CTV News|date=October 6, 2014}}

:Date withdrawn: February 6, 2015, endorsed Elliott

;Supporters

:Support from caucus members: Steve Clark (Leeds—Grenville), Garfield Dunlop (Simcoe North), Julia Munro (York—Simcoe), Jim McDonell (Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry)

:Support from federal caucus members: Senator Bob Runciman, former interim PC Leader and cabinet minister, former MPP for Leeds—Grenville{{cite web|url=http://www.ottawasun.com/2014/12/08/runciman-backs-lisa-macleod-for-pc-leader|title=Runciman backs Lisa MacLeod for PC leader|work=Ottawa Sun}}

:Support from former provincial caucus members: Norm Sterling (Carleton—Mississippi Mills, Lanark—Carleton, Carleton, 1979–2011){{cite web|url=http://www.cbc.ca/player/News/Canada/Ottawa/Raw+Ottawa/ID/2464499367/|title=Norm Sterling on Lisa MacLeod leadership|date=20 October 2014|work=CBC.ca Player}}

:Other prominent supporters:

:Policies:

=[[Monte McNaughton]]=

;Background

MPP for Lambton—Kent—Middlesex (2011–present), Opposition Critic for Citizenship, Immigration and International Trade (2014–present), Labour Critic (2013–2014), Economic Development and Innovation Critic (2011–2013). Prior to entering provincial politics, McNaughton sat on the city council of Newbury and was general manager and co-owner of McNaughton Family Shopping Centre in Newbury. He also served as chair of the Newbury Economic Development Committee and was president of the Strathroy and District Chamber of Commerce in 2009–10.

:Date candidacy declared: September 17, 2014{{cite news|title=Monte McNaughton launches bid for Ontario PC leadership|url=https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/monte-mcnaughton-launches-bid-for-ontario-pc-leadership/article20648271/|accessdate=September 17, 2014|work=The Globe and Mail|date=September 17, 2014}}

:Date withdrawn: April 9, 2015; endorsed Brown.{{cite news|title=Monte McNaughton drops out of Tory leadership race|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2015/04/09/monte-mcnaughton-drops-out-of-tory-leadership-race.html|accessdate=April 9, 2015|work=Toronto Star|date=April 9, 2015}}

;Supporters

:Support from caucus members: Bob Bailey (Sarnia—Lambton)

:Supports from federal caucus members:

:Supports from former provincial caucus members: Darcy McKeough (Kent West, 1963–1967; Chatham—Kent 1967–1981), Marcel Beaubien, (Lambton then Lambton—Kent—Middlesex, 1995–2003), Andrew Naismith Watson, (Chatham—Kent 1978–1985){{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/MonteMcNaughton/status/536874576777842688|title=Monte McNaughton on Twitter|work=Twitter}}

:Other prominent supporters: Rob Ford, Toronto city councillor and former mayor (2010–2014){{cite news|title=Rob Ford endorses Monte McNaughton as Progressive Conservative leader|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2015/01/16/rob-ford-endorses-monte-mcnaughton-as-progressive-conservative-leader.html|accessdate=January 16, 2015|work=Toronto Star|date=January 16, 2015}}

:Policies: Social conservative

Declined

  • John Baird, Minister of Foreign Affairs (2011–2015) and MP for Ottawa West—Nepean (2006–2015), former MPP (1995–2005) and provincial cabinet minister (1999–2003). Endorsed Elliott{{cite news|last1=Blizzard|first1=Christina|title=Who will replace Hudak?|url=http://www.torontosun.com/2014/06/13/who-will-replace-hudak|accessdate=June 14, 2014|newspaper=Toronto Sun|date=June 13, 2014}}{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/jchianello/status/542371840614989824|title=Joanne Chianello on Twitter|work=Twitter}}
  • Rick Byers, Bay Street executive (Borealis Infrastructure) and former federal and provincial candidate in Oakville. Endorsed Elliott
  • Michael Chong, MP for Wellington—Halton Hills (2004–present), federal Minister of Intergovernmental Affairs, President of the Queen's Privy Council for Canada, and Minister of Sport (2006). Endorsed Elliott{{cite web|url=http://www.wellingtonadvertiser.com/comments/index.cfm?articleID=23931|title=The Wellington Advertiser|work=www.wellingtonadvertiser.com|access-date=2014-11-27|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20141205123407/http://www.wellingtonadvertiser.com/comments/index.cfm?articleID=23931|archive-date=2014-12-05|url-status=dead}}
  • Richard Ciano, President of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario (2012–2015).{{cite news|title=Frustrated Tory MPPs say they were blindsided by Tim Hudak's controversial pledge to cut 100,000 jobs|url=http://news.nationalpost.com/2014/06/16/frustrated-tory-mpps-say-they-were-blindsided-by-tim-hudaks-controversial-pledge-to-cut-100000-jobs/|accessdate=June 17, 2014|work=National Post|date=June 16, 2014}}
  • Tony Clement, federal President of the Treasury Board (2011–2015) and MP for Parry Sound-Muskoka (2006–present), former MPP (1995–2003) and provincial cabinet minister (1997–2003).{{cite news|title=Ontario election 2014: Potential contenders to replace Tim Hudak as PC leader|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-votes-2014/ontario-election-2014-potential-contenders-to-replace-tim-hudak-as-pc-leader-1.2674283|accessdate=June 12, 2014|newspaper=CBC News|date=June 12, 2014}}{{cite web|url=http://cfbk.moosefm.com/news/clement-dispels-rumour-about-running-for-ontario-pc-leader/|title=Clement dispels rumour about running for Ontario PC leader|work=My Muskoka Now}}
  • Rick Dykstra, MP for St. Catharines (2006–2015). Endorsed Brown.{{cite web|url=http://www.610cktb.com/news/2014/09/12/exclusive-rick-dykstra-will-not-seek-ontario-pc-leadership-bid|title=News Talk 610 CKTB :: EXCLUSIVE: Rick Dykstra will not seek Ontario PC leadership bid :: News News - Article|work=610 CKTB}}
  • Doug Ford, Toronto City Councillor (2010–2014), and runner-up 2014 Toronto mayoral election. Endorsed Elliott
  • Randy Hillier, MPP for Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington (2007–present).
  • Kellie Leitch, federal Minister of Labour (2013–2015) and MP for Simcoe—Grey (2011–present). Endorsed Elliott{{cite news|title=Who will replace Tim Hudak?|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2014/06/13/who_will_replace_tim_hudak.html|accessdate=June 14, 2014|work=Toronto Star|date=June 14, 2014}}
  • Rod Phillips, former chair of the Ontario Lottery and Gaming Corporation, chair of Postmedia Network Inc. and the Greater Toronto CivicAction Alliance."Touted PC leadership candidate declines to run", National Post, page A5, August 8, 2014
  • Lisa Raitt, federal Minister of Transport (2013–2015) and MP for Halton (2008–present). Endorsed Elliott{{cite news|title=Returning to work after health scare just Lisa Raitt's latest comeback|url=http://news.nationalpost.com/2015/01/12/john-ivison-returning-to-work-after-health-scare-just-lisa-raitts-latest-comeback/|accessdate=January 15, 2015|work=National Post|date=January 12, 2015}}

Results

Results announced in Toronto on May 9, 2015

File:Ontario_Progressive_Conservative_Party_Leadership_Election_2015_-_Results_by_Riding.svg

class="wikitable"

|+Ballot Count

Candidate

!Weighted votes
(sum of percentages in each riding)

!Percentage

Patrick Brown6,54361.8
Christine Elliott4,04038.2
Total10,583100

Eligible voters: 76,587; turnout: 49.3%{{cite news|title=Patrick Brown elected leader of Ontario PC party|url=https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/ontario-pc-leader-to-be-announced-today/article24355944/|accessdate=May 9, 2015|work=Globe and Mail|date=May 9, 2015}}

=Riding results=

class="wikitable mw-collapsible mw-collapsed"
colspan = "5"|Toronto
width = "250"|Riding

! width = "250"|MPP/MP (supported)

! width = "40"|Brown

! width = "40"|Elliott

! width = "40"|Total

colspan = "5"|Toronto & York
style="text-align:right;"

|Beaches-East York

5446100
style="text-align:right;"

|Davenport

7328100
style="text-align:right;"

|Eglinton-Lawrence

MP: Joe Oliver2872100
style="text-align:right;"

|Parkdale-High Park

6535100
style="text-align:right;"

|St. Paul's

4159100
style="text-align:right;"

|Toronto Centre

3070100
style="text-align:right;"

|Toronto-Danforth

5347100
style="text-align:right;"

|Trinity-Spadina

3961100
colspan = "5"|Etobicoke
style="text-align:right;"

|Etobicoke Centre

MP: Ted Opitz (Elliott)4753100
style="text-align:right;"

|Etobicoke-Lakeshore

MP: Bernard Trottier (Elliott)5842100
style="text-align:right;"

|Etobicoke North

7723100
colspan = "5"|North York
style="text-align:right;"

|Don Valley East

MP: Joe Daniel (Brown)6139100
style="text-align:right;"

|Don Valley West

MP: John Carmichael (Elliott)3862100
style="text-align:right;"

|Willowdale

MP: Chungsen Leung5842100
style="text-align:right;"

|York Centre

MP: Mark Adler (Brown)5842100
style="text-align:right;"

|York South-Weston

MP: Mike Sullivan8218100
style="text-align:right;"

|York West

8614100
colspan = "5"|Scarborough
style="text-align:right;"

|Scarborough-Agincourt

8416100
style="text-align:right;"

|Scarborough Centre

MP: Roxanne James7624100
style="text-align:right;"

|Scarborough-Guildwood

8119100
style="text-align:right;"

|Scarborough-Rouge River

9010100
style="text-align:right;"

|Scarborough Southwest

7228100

class="wikitable mw-collapsible mw-collapsed"
colspan = "5"|905
width = "250"|Riding

! width = "250"|MPP/MP (supported)

! width = "40"|Brown

! width = "40"|Elliott

! width = "40"|Total

colspan = "5"|Hamilton & Niagara
style="text-align:right;"

|Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale

MP: David Sweet (Elliott)5545100
style="text-align:right;"

|Brant

MP: Phil McColeman (Brown)7030100
style="text-align:right;"

|Haldimand-Norfolk

MPP: Toby Barrett (Brown)
MP: Diane Finley
7129100
style="text-align:right;"

|Hamilton Centre

7030100
style="text-align:right;"

|Hamilton East-Stoney Creek

7228100
style="text-align:right;"

|Hamilton Mountain

8119100
style="text-align:right;"

|Niagara Falls

MP: Rob Nicholson (Elliott)4357100
style="text-align:right;"

|Niagara West-Glanbrook

MPP: Tim Hudak
MP: Dean Allison (Brown)
6436100
style="text-align:right;"

|St. Catharines

MP: Rick Dykstra (Brown)7030100
style="text-align:right;"

|Welland

6832100
colspan = "5"|Peel & Halton
style="text-align:right;"

|Bramalea-Gore-Malton

MP: Bal Gosal (Brown)7624100
style="text-align:right;"

|Brampton-Springdale

MP: Parm Gill (Brown)6733100
style="text-align:right;"

|Brampton West

MP: Kyle Seeback (Brown)7228100
style="text-align:right;"

|Mississauga-Brampton South

MP: Eve Adams8119100
style="text-align:right;"

|Mississauga East-Cooksville

MP: Wladyslaw Lizon (Brown)8812100
style="text-align:right;"

|Mississauga-Erindale

MP: Bob Dechert7525100
style="text-align:right;"

|Mississauga South

MP: Stella Ambler4852100
style="text-align:right;"

|Mississauga-Streetsville

MP: Brad Butt (Brown)7426100
style="text-align:right;"

|Burlington

MP: Mike Wallace (Elliott)4159100
style="text-align:right;"

|Halton

MP: Lisa Raitt (Elliott)6832100
style="text-align:right;"

|Oakville

MP: Terence Young (Elliott)4456100
colspan = "5"|York & Simcoe
style="text-align:right;"

|Markham-Unionville

8713100
style="text-align:right;"

|Newmarket-Aurora

MP: Lois Brown6436100
style="text-align:right;"

|Oak Ridges-Markham

MP: Paul Calandra (Brown)7426100
style="text-align:right;"

|Richmond Hill

MP: Costas Menegakis7228100
style="text-align:right;"

|Thornhill

MPP: Gila Martow (Elliott)
MP: Peter Kent (Elliott)
5248100
style="text-align:right;"

|Vaughan

5941100
style="text-align:right;"

|York-Simcoe

MPP: Julia Munro (Elliott)
MP: Peter Van Loan
7129100
style="text-align:right;"

|Barrie

MP: Patrick Brown (Brown)8911100
style="text-align:right;"

|Simcoe-Grey

MPP: Jim Wilson
MP: Kellie Leitch (Elliott)
6535100
style="text-align:right;"

|Simcoe North

MPP: Garfield Dunlop
MP: Bruce Stanton (Elliott)
4852100
colspan = "5"|Durham
style="text-align:right;"

|Ajax-Pickering

MP: Chris Alexander (Elliott)5446100
style="text-align:right;"

|Durham

MP: Erin O'Toole (Elliott)3664100
style="text-align:right;"

|Oshawa

MP: Colin Carrie4852100
style="text-align:right;"

|Pickering-Scarborough East

MP: Corneliu Chisu6634100
style="text-align:right;"

|Whitby-Oshawa

MPP: Christine Elliott (Elliott)
MP: Pat Perkins (Elliott)
2773100

class="wikitable mw-collapsible mw-collapsed"
colspan = "5"|Eastern Ontario
width = "250"|Riding

! width = "250"|MPP/MP (supported)

! width = "40"|Brown

! width = "40"|Elliott

! width = "40"|Total

colspan = "5"|Ottawa
style="text-align:right;"

|Carleton-Mississippi Mills

MPP: Jack MacLaren (Brown)
MP: Gordon O'Connor
6832100
style="text-align:right;"

|Nepean-Carleton

MPP: Lisa MacLeod (Elliott)
MP: Pierre Poilievre
6238100
style="text-align:right;"

|Ottawa Centre

5644100
style="text-align:right;"

|Ottawa-Orleans

MP: Royal Galipeau (Brown)6931100
style="text-align:right;"

|Ottawa South

6535100
style="text-align:right;"

|Ottawa-Vanier

6040100
style="text-align:right;"

|Ottawa West-Nepean

MP: John Baird (Elliott)5347100
colspan = "5"|Eastern Ontario
style="text-align:right;"

|Glengarry-Prescott-Russell

MP: Pierre Lemieux (Brown)5842100
style="text-align:right;"

|Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock

MPP: Laurie Scott (Elliott)
MP: Barry Devolin
2971100
style="text-align:right;"

|Kingston and the Islands

5446100
style="text-align:right;"

|Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and Addington

MPP: Randy Hillier
MP: Scott Reid
5644100
style="text-align:right;"

|Leeds-Grenville

MPP: Steve Clark (Elliott)
MP: Gord Brown (Brown)
4753100
style="text-align:right;"

|Northumberland-Quinte West

MP: Rick Norlock (Elliott)3961100
style="text-align:right;"

|Peterborough

MP: Dean Del Mastro6139100
style="text-align:right;"

|Prince Edward-Hastings

MPP: Todd Smith (Elliott)
MP: Daryl Kramp (Elliott)
3367100
style="text-align:right;"

|Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke

MPP: John Yakabuski
MP: Cheryl Gallant
6634100
style="text-align:right;"

|Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry

MPP: Jim McDonell (Elliott)
MP: Guy Lauzon
5545100

class="wikitable mw-collapsible mw-collapsed"
colspan = "5"|Southwestern Ontario
width = "250"|Riding

! width = "250"|MPP/MP (supported)

! width = "40"|Brown

! width = "40"|Elliott

! width = "40"|Total

colspan = "5"|Kitchener-Waterloo
style="text-align:right;"

|Cambridge

MP: Gary Goodyear6139100
style="text-align:right;"

|Guelph

5644100
style="text-align:right;"

|Kitchener Centre

MP: Stephen Woodworth5050100
style="text-align:right;"

|Kitchener-Conestoga

MPP: Michael Harris (Elliott)
MP: Harold Albrecht
5347100
style="text-align:right;"

|Kitchener-Waterloo

MP: Peter Braid (Elliott)5842100
style="text-align:right;"

|Wellington-Halton Hills

MPP: Ted Arnott (Elliott)
MP: Michael Chong (Elliott)
5347100
colspan = "5"|London
style="text-align:right;"

|Elgin-Middlesex-London

MPP: Jeff Yurek (Elliott)
MP: Joe Preston (Elliott)
4951100
style="text-align:right;"

|London-Fanshawe

7525100
style="text-align:right;"

|London North Centre

MP: Susan Truppe6634100
style="text-align:right;"

|London West

MP: Ed Holder (Elliott)6733100
style="text-align:right;"
colspan = "5"|Windsor-Essex
style="text-align:right;"

|Chatham-Kent-Essex

MPP: Rick Nicholls (Brown)
MP: Dave Van Kesteren (Elliott)
7327100
style="text-align:right;"

|Essex

MP: Jeff Watson7525100
style="text-align:right;"

|Windsor-Tecumseh

8020100
style="text-align:right;"

|Windsor West

8911100
colspan = "5"|Rural
style="text-align:right;"

|Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound

MPP: Bill Walker (Elliott)
MP: Larry Miller
4654100
style="text-align:right;"

|Dufferin-Caledon

MPP: Sylvia Jones (Elliott)
MP: David Tilson
5743100
style="text-align:right;"

|Huron-Bruce

MPP: Lisa Thompson (Elliott)
MP: Ben Lobb
5248100
style="text-align:right;"

|Lambton-Kent-Middlesex

MPP: Monte McNaughton (Brown)
MP: Bev Shipley
8515100
style="text-align:right;"

|Oxford

MPP: Ernie Hardeman (Elliott)
MP: Dave Mackenzie (Brown)
4654100
style="text-align:right;"

|Perth-Wellington

MPP: Randy Pettapiece (Elliott)
MP: Gary Schellenberger
5743100
style="text-align:right;"

|Sarnia-Lambton

MPP: Bob Bailey (Brown)
MP: Pat Davidson
7129100

class="wikitable mw-collapsible mw-collapsed"
colspan = "5"|Northern Ontario
width = "250"|Riding

! width = "250"|MPP/MP (supported)

! width = "40"|Brown

! width = "40"|Elliott

! width = "40"|Total

style="text-align:right;"

|Algoma-Manitoulin

492877
style="text-align:right;"

|Kenora-Rainy River

MP: Greg Rickford7921100
style="text-align:right;"

|Nickel Belt

583593
style="text-align:right;"

|Nipissing

MPP: Vic Fedeli (Elliott)
MP: Jay Aspin (Elliott)
4060100
style="text-align:right;"

|Parry Sound-Muskoka

MPP: Norm Miller (Elliott)
MP: Tony Clement
3763100
style="text-align:right;"

|Sault Ste. Marie

MP: Bryan Hayes8812100
style="text-align:right;"

|Sudbury

7327100
style="text-align:right;"

|Thunder Bay-Atikokan

7327100
style="text-align:right;"

|Thunder Bay-Superior North

553287
style="text-align:right;"

|Timiskaming-Cochrane

431861
style="text-align:right;"

|Timmins-James Bay

382765

Opinion polling

=All Ontarians=

class="wikitable"
style="width:180px;"| Poll source

! style="width:135px;"| Date

! style="width:100px;"| 1st

! style="width:100px;"| 2nd

! style="width:100px;"| 3rd

!|Other

[http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/ON%20Horserace%20News%20Release%20(2015%2003%2026)%20Forum%20Research.pdfl Forum Research]
Sample size: 881

| March 26, 2015

| Christine Elliott
24%

| Monte McNaughton 7%

| Patrick Brown
6%

| Someone else 29%, Don't know 34%

[https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2014/10/03/poll_suggests_christine_elliott_leads_ontario_pc_race.html Forum Research]
Sample size: 1,079

| September 30-October 1, 2014

| Christine Elliott
14%

| Lisa MacLeod
9%

| Patrick Brown
5%

| Vic Fedeli 4%, Monte McNaughton 4%, Someone else 14%, Don't know 43%

[http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/ON%20Political%20Issues%20News%20Release%20(2014.07.03)%20Forum%20Research.pdf Forum Research]
Sample size: 810

| July 3, 2014

| Christine Elliott
21%

| John Baird
9%

| Doug Ford
8%

| Tony Clement 7%, Lisa MacLeod 6%, Lisa Raitt 3%, Someone else 15%, Don't know 30%

=Progressive Conservative supporters only=

class="wikitable"
style="width:180px;"| Poll source

! style="width:135px;"| Date

! style="width:100px;"| 1st

! style="width:100px;"| 2nd

! style="width:100px;"| 3rd

!|Other

[http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/ON%20Horserace%20News%20Release%20(2015%2003%2026)%20Forum%20Research.pdfl Forum Research]
Sample size: 310

| March 26, 2015

| Christine Elliott
35%

| Monte McNaughton 15%

| Patrick Brown
11%

| None of these 9%, Don't know 30%

[https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2014/10/03/poll_suggests_christine_elliott_leads_ontario_pc_race.html Forum Research]
Sample size: 367

| September 30-October 1, 2014

| Christine Elliott
24%

| Lisa MacLeod
11%

| Patrick Brown
6%

| Vic Fedeli 5%, Monte McNaughton 3%, Someone else 20%, Don't know 30%

[http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/ON%20Political%20Issues%20News%20Release%20(2014.07.03)%20Forum%20Research.pdf Forum Research]
Sample size: 287

| July 3, 2014

| Christine Elliott
25%

| John Baird
14%

| Lisa MacLeod
11%

| Tony Clement 7%, Doug Ford 6%, Lisa Raitt 3%, Someone else 15%, Don't know 19%

=Progressive Conservative Members Only=

class="wikitable"
style="width:180px;"| Poll source

! style="width:135px;"| Date

! style="width:100px;"| 1st

! style="width:100px;"| 2nd

! style="width:100px;"| 3rd

!|Other

[https://web.archive.org/web/20150518083211/http://www.mainstreettechnologies.ca/ontarians-pan-hydro-one-sale/ Mainstreet Research]
Sample size: 442

| April 30, 2015

| Patrick Brown
62%

| Christine Elliott 33%

| -

| Undecided 5%

Mainstreet Research
Sample size: 348

| April 14, 2015

| Patrick Brown
47%

| Christine Elliott 41%

| -

| Undecided 12%

[http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/ON%20Horserace%20News%20Release%20(2015%2003%2026)%20Forum%20Research.pdfl Forum Research]
Sample size: 65

| March 26, 2015

| Christine Elliott
51%

| Monte McNaughton 13%

| Patrick Brown
10%

| Someone else 14%, Don't know 11%

See also

References

{{reflist|2}}

Notes