2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas#District 3

{{Short description|none}}

{{Use mdy dates|date=December 2014}}

{{Use American English|date=June 2018}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas

| country = Kansas

| type = legislative

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas

| previous_year = 2016

| next_election = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas

| next_year = 2020

| seats_for_election = All 4 Kansas seats to the United States House of Representatives

| election_date = November 6, 2018

| party1 = Republican Party (United States)

| last_election1 = 4

| seats1 = 3

| seat_change1 = {{decrease}} 1

| popular_vote1 = 549,563

| percentage1 = 53.95%

| swing1 = {{decrease}} 5.20%

| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)

| last_election2 = 0

| seats2 = 1

| seat_change2 = {{increase}} 1

| popular_vote2 = 447,134

| percentage2 = 43.89%

| swing2 = {{increase}} 16.83%

| map_image = {{switcher |300px |District results |300px |County results}}

| map_caption = {{col-begin}}

{{col-2}}

Republican

{{legend|#F2B3BE|40–50%}}

{{legend|#e27f90|50–60%}}

{{legend|#cc2f4a|60–70%}}

{{legend|#D40000|70–80%}}

{{legend|#aa0000|80–90%}}

{{legend|#800000|>90%}}

{{col-2}}

Democratic

{{legend|#86b6f2|50–60%}}

{{legend|#4389e3|60–70%}}

{{legend|#1666CB|70–80%}}

{{col-end}}

}}

{{Elections in Kansas}}

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Kansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts.

The state congressional delegation changed from a 4–0 Republican majority to a 3–1 Republican majority, the first time the Democrats had won a house seat in the state since 2008.

{{Toclimit|limit=2}}

Overview

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas by district:{{cite web|last=Johnson|first=Cheryl L.|title=Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018|url=http://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/Election-Statistics/|publisher=Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives|access-date=2019-04-27|date=2019-02-28|df=mdy-all}}

class="wikitable plainrowheaders sortable" style="font-size:100%; text-align:right;"

! scope=col rowspan=3|District

! scope=col colspan=2|Republican

! scope=col colspan=2|Democratic

! scope=col colspan=2|Others

! scope=col colspan=2|Total

! scope=col rowspan=3|Result

scope=col colspan=2 style="background:{{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}"|scope=col colspan=2 style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}"|scope=col colspan=2|scope=col colspan=2|
scope=col data-sort-type="number"|Votesscope=col data-sort-type="number"|%scope=col data-sort-type="number"|Votesscope=col data-sort-type="number"|%scope=col data-sort-type="number"|Votesscope=col data-sort-type="number"|%scope=col data-sort-type="number"|Votesscope=col data-sort-type="number"|%
{{Party shading/Republican}}

| align=left|District 1

153,08268.15%71,55831.85%00.00%224,640100%align=left|Republican hold
{{Party shading/Republican}}

| align=left|District 2

126,09847.64%123,85946.79%14,7315.57%264,688100%align=left|Republican hold
{{Party shading/Democratic}}

| align=left|District 3

139,76243.91%170,51853.57%8,0212.52%318,301100%align=left|Democratic gain
{{Party shading/Republican}}

| align=left|District 4

144,24859.44%98,44540.56%00.00%242,693100%align=left|Republican hold
class="sortbottom" style="font-weight:bold"

| align=left|Total

563,19053.62%464,38044.21%22,7522.17%1,050,322100%

{{bar box

| title=Popular vote

| titlebar=#ddd

| width=600px

| barwidth=410px

| bars=

{{bar percent|Republican|{{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}| 53.62}}

{{bar percent|Democratic|{{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}|44.21}}

{{bar percent|Other|#777777|2.17}}

}}

{{bar box

| title=House seats

| titlebar=#ddd

| width=600px

| barwidth=410px

| bars=

{{bar percent|Republican|{{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}|75}}

{{bar percent|Democratic|{{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}|25}}

}}

District 1

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2018 Kansas's 1st congressional district election

| country = Kansas

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas#District 1

| previous_year = 2016

| next_election = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas#District 1

| next_year = 2020

| image_size = x150px

| image1 = File:Roger Marshall official portrait (cropped 2).jpg

| nominee1 = Roger Marshall

| party1 = Republican Party (United States)

| popular_vote1 = 153,082

| percentage1 = 68.1%

| image2 = File:3x4.svg

| nominee2 = Alan LaPolice

| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)

| popular_vote2 = 71,558

| percentage2 = 31.9%

| map_image = KS 1st District 2018 Results.svg

| map_size = 275px

| map_caption = County results
Marshall: {{legend0|#ed8783|50–60%}} {{legend0|#e55651|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d02923|70–80%}} {{legend0|#b00600|80–90%}} {{legend0|#850400|>90%}}
LaPolice: {{legend0|#8da9e2|50–60%}}

| title = U.S. Representative

| before_election = Roger Marshall

| before_party = Republican Party (United States)

| after_election = Roger Marshall

| after_party = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{see also|Kansas's 1st congressional district}}

The first district is one of the largest geographically in the nation, encompassing more than half of the area of the state. It is located in western and northern Kansas, and includes the cities of Manhattan and Salina. Republican Roger Marshall won this district in 2016 by defeating the incumbent congressman, Tim Huelskamp, in the Republican primary 57% to 43% and winning the general election.

=Republican primary=

Tim Huelskamp filed a statement of candidacy with the FEC on October 17, 2016, to run for this seat in 2018.{{cite news |url=http://www.hutchnews.com/news/elections/huelskamp-files-house-candidacy-paper/article_65757f63-a27d-5bcb-876b-036f9701773d.html|title=Huelskamp files 2018 House candidacy paper |work=The Hutchinson News|last=Clarkin|first=Mary|date=October 27, 2016|access-date=November 18, 2016}} Huelskamp made no announcement about whether he was considering a potential rematch with Marshall, but sent a fundraising email attacking Marshall and soliciting donations. On June 29, 2017, it was announced that Huelskamp had accepted a position with The Heartland Institute, a conservative think tank in Arlington Heights, Illinois.{{cite news|newspaper=The Topeka Capital-Journal|title=Huelskamp takes job at conservative institute in Illinois|date=June 29, 2017|last=Carpenter|first=Tim|url=http://www.hutchnews.com/news/20170629/huelskamp-takes-job-at-conservative-institute-in-illinois|access-date=September 30, 2017}}

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

===Eliminated in primary===

  • Nick Reinecker

===Declined===

==Primary results==

{{Election box begin no change | title=Republican primary results}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Roger Marshall (incumbent)

|votes = 64,843

|percentage = 78.7

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Nick Reinecker

|votes = 17,593

|percentage = 21.3

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 82,436

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Democratic primary=

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

  • Alan LaPolice, former school administrator, Republican candidate for this seat in 2014 and an independent candidate in 2016{{cite news |last1=Beets |first1=Jason |title=LaPolice files to run for U.S. House |url=http://www.hdnews.net/news/20180530/lapolice-files-to-run-for-us-house |access-date=1 June 2018 |work=Hays Daily News |date=30 May 2018 |archive-date=July 10, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180710012106/http://www.hdnews.net/news/20180530/lapolice-files-to-run-for-us-house |url-status=dead }}

==Primary results==

{{Election box begin no change | title=Democratic primary results}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

|party = Democratic Party (United States)

|candidate = Alan LaPolice

|votes = 17,195

|percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 17,195

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=General election=

==Predictions==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

align=left | The Cook Political Report{{Cite web | url=https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings/187562 | title=2018 House Race Ratings | website=Cook Political Report | access-date=October 30, 2018}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 5, 2018

align=left | Inside Elections{{Cite web | title=2018 House Ratings | url=http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house/2018-house-ratings-november-1-2018 | publisher=The Rothenberg Political Report | access-date=November 5, 2018}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 5, 2018

align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball{{Cite web | title=2018 House | url=http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2018-house | publisher=Sabato's Crystal Ball | access-date=November 5, 2018}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 5, 2018

align="left" |RCP{{cite news | title=Battle for the House 2018 | url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/house/2018_elections_house_map.html | publisher=RCP | accessdate=November 5, 2018}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 5, 2018

align="left" |Daily Kos{{cite web | url=https://elections.dailykos.com/app/elections/2018/office/house | title=Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings | website=Daily Kos | accessdate=November 5, 2018 }}{{Dead link|date=September 2019 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 5, 2018

align="left" |538{{cite web | last1=Silver | first1=Nate | title=2018 House Forecast | url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house | archive-url=https://archive.today/20180909024303/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house | url-status=dead | archive-date=September 9, 2018 | website=FiveThirtyEight | accessdate=November 6, 2018 | date=August 16, 2018}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 7, 2018

align="left" |CNN{{cite web |title=CNN's 2018 Race Ratings |url=https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/key-races |publisher=CNN |access-date=30 July 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181031235918/https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/key-races |archive-date=31 October 2018}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|October 31, 2018

align="left" |Politico{{Cite news|url=https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/house-senate-race-ratings-and-predictions/|title=Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election|work=Politico|access-date=2018-09-07 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181104115002/https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/house-senate-race-ratings-and-predictions/ |archive-date=4 November 2018}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 4, 2018

==Endorsements==

{{Endorsements box

|title = Alan LaPolice (D)

|list =

Labor unions

  • AFL-CIO{{cite web |title=2018 KS AFL-CIO ENDORSEMENTS |url=https://ks.aflcio.org/2018-ks-afl-cio-endorsements |website=Kansas State AFL-CIO |language=en |access-date=16 February 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180809122659/https://ks.aflcio.org/2018-ks-afl-cio-endorsements|archive-date=9 August 2018 |date=19 July 2018}}

}}

==Polling==

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size

! Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Roger
Marshall (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Alan
LaPolice (D)

! Undecided

Emerson College[https://www.emerson.edu/news-events/emerson-college-today/emerson-poll-close-governor-races-ohio-oregon-kansas-democrats-look-pick-congressional-seat-kansas#.W9h4O9f7TIX Emerson College]

| align=center| October 26–28, 2018

| align=center| 221

| align=center| ± 6.6%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 51%

| align=center| 36%

| align=center| 13%

Jayhawk Consulting (D-LaPolice)[http://www.hutchnews.com/news/20181030/polling-done-for-becker-in-marshall-lapolice-race Jayhawk Consulting (D-LaPolice)]

| align=center| October 22–23, 2018

| align=center| 600

| align=center| ± 4.2%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 42%

| align=center| 38%

| align=center| 20%

Remington (R-Marshall)[http://www.hutchnews.com/news/20181030/polling-done-for-becker-in-marshall-lapolice-race Remington (R-Marshall)]

| align=center| October 8–9, 2018

| align=center| 1,432

| align=center| ± 2.6%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 60%

| align=center| 26%

| align=center| 14%

Emerson College[https://www.emerson.edu/news-events/emerson-college-today/despite-presidents-popularity-kansas-governor-race-dead-heat-prospects-favor-democrats-adding-two-congressional-seats#.W7JjoBNKi8U Emerson College]

| align=center| September 26–28, 2018

| align=center| 193

| align=center| ± 6.8%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| 17%

| align=center| 35%

Jayhawk Consulting (D-LaPolice)[http://www.hutchnews.com/news/20181002/lapolice-marshall-campaigns-read-poll-differently Jayhawk Consulting (D-LaPolice)]

| align=center| September 21–22, 2018

| align=center| 400

| align=center| ± 4.9%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| 33%

| align=center| 23%

==Results==

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Kansas's 1st congressional district, 2018

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Roger Marshall (incumbent)

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 153,082

| percentage = 68.1

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Alan LaPolice

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 71,558

| percentage = 31.9

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 224,640

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box hold with party link no change

| winner = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

District 2

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2018 Kansas's 2nd congressional district election

| country = Kansas

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas#District 2

| previous_year = 2016

| next_election = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas#District 2

| next_year = 2020

| image_size = x150px

| image1 = File:Steve Watkins, official portrait, 116th congress (cropped).jpg

| nominee1 = Steve Watkins

| party1 = Republican Party (United States)

| popular_vote1 = 126,098

| percentage1 = 47.6%

| image2 =

| nominee2 = Paul Davis

| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)

| popular_vote2 = 123,859

| percentage2 = 46.8%

| image3 = File:3x4.svg

| nominee3 = Kelly Standley

| party3 = Libertarian Party (United States)

| popular_vote3 = 14,731

| percentage3 = 5.6%

| map_image = KS 2nd District 2018 Results.svg

| map_size = 135px

| map_caption = County results
Watkins: {{legend0|#f1b4b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#ed8783|50–60%}} {{legend0|#e55651|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d02923|70–80%}}
Davis: {{legend0|#8da9e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#4170cd|70–80%}}

| title = U.S. Representative

| before_election = Lynn Jenkins

| before_party = Republican Party (United States)

| after_election = Steve Watkins

| after_party = Republican Party (United States)

| image2_size = 150x150px

}}

{{see also|Kansas's 2nd congressional district}}

This district is located in eastern Kansas and is anchored by the state capital, Topeka. It also includes the city of Lawrence. Incumbent Republican Lynn Jenkins had represented the district since 2009. She had beaten former six-term District congressman Jim Ryun in the primary, and incumbent Democrat, Nancy Boyda, in the general election.{{cite news |author=Ranney, Dave |date=November 8, 2006 |url=http://www2.ljworld.com/news/2006/nov/08/democrats_dominate/?print |title=Democrats dominate|access-date=September 3, 2018 |newspaper=Lawrence Journal-World}} Jenkins was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2016.

=Republican primary=

==Campaign==

Jenkins had considered running for governor instead of re-election, but decided to retire and not run for any office in 2018.{{cite news|url=http://www2.ljworld.com/news/2016/nov/16/rep-jenkins-exits-us-house-leadership-may-mull-kan/|title=Rep. Jenkins exits U.S. House leadership, may mull Kansas governor's race|work=Lawrence Journal-World|last=Hanna|first=John|date=November 18, 2016|access-date=November 18, 2016}}{{cite web|url=http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/lynn-jenkins-wont-seek-political-office-2018|title=Lynn Jenkins Won't Seek Any Political Office in 2018|work=Roll Call|date=January 25, 2017|access-date=February 9, 2017}}

Army veteran Steve Watkins led the Republican primary campaign, securing the endorsement of President Donald Trump. However, his background and residency were challenged by fellow Republicans, citing inaccuracies in claims on his website and in his campaign, as well as his absence from the district.[https://www.adn.com/nation-world/2018/10/02/kansas-congressional-candidate-who-ran-the-iditarod-is-having-his-honesty-challenged/ Kansas congressional candidate who ran the Iditarod is having his honesty challenged], Anchorage Daily News, Roxana Hegeman and John Hanna (AP), October 2, 2018. Retrieved October 3, 2018.

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

===Eliminated in primary===

===Withdrawn===

  • Matt Bevens
  • Tyler Tannahill

==Endorsements==

{{Endorsements box

| title = Steve Fitzgerald

| list =

Organizations

  • Kansans for Life{{cite web|url=http://www.voteprolife.net/kansans-for-life-pac-2018-primary-endorsements/|title=Kansans for Life PAC – 2018 Statewide Primary Endorsements|work=Kansans for Life|date=July 6, 2018|access-date=August 10, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180811031822/http://www.voteprolife.net/kansans-for-life-pac-2018-primary-endorsements/|archive-date=August 11, 2018|url-status=dead}}

}}

{{Endorsements box

| title = Dennis Pyle

| list =

Organizations

  • Kansans for Life

}}

{{Endorsements box

| title = Caryn Tyson

| list =

Organizations

  • Kansans for Life{{cite web|title=Caryn Tyson on Twitter|url=https://twitter.com/RealCarynTyson/status/1017176406265094144|website=Twitter|access-date=16 July 2018|language=en}}
  • Kansas Farm Bureau{{cite web|title=Kansas Farm Bureau's VOTE FBF announces endorsements for state and federal races|url=https://www.kfb.org/Article/Kansas-Farm-Bureaus-VOTE-FBF-announces-endorsements-for-state-and-federal-races|website=KFB.org|access-date=16 July 2018|language=en}}
  • The Madison Project{{cite web|title=The Madison Project Endorses Caryn Tyson in KS-2|url=http://madisonproject.com/2018/07/the-madison-project-endorses-caryn-tyson-in-ks-2/|website=Madison Project|access-date=16 July 2018|language=en|archive-date=July 17, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180717041749/http://madisonproject.com/2018/07/the-madison-project-endorses-caryn-tyson-in-ks-2/|url-status=dead}}
  • Maggie's List{{cite web|title=Maggie's List Announces 2018 National Endorsements Supporting 49 Women Candidates Running for US Congress and Statewide Executive Office|url=http://www.maggieslist.org/press/maggies-list-announces-2018-national-endorsements-supporting-48-women-candidates-running-for-us-congress-and-statewide-executive-office|website=Maggie's List|access-date=16 July 2018|language=en}}
  • Susan B. Anthony List{{cite web|title=Nat'l Pro-life Group Endorses Caryn Tyson for KS-02 Open Seat|url=https://www.sba-list.org/newsroom/press-releases/natl-pro-life-group-endorses-caryn-tyson-for-ks-02-open-seat|website=Susan B. Anthony List|access-date=16 July 2018|language=en}}

}}

{{Endorsements box

| title = Steve Watkins

| list =

U.S. presidents

U.S. representatives

  • Roger Marshall, US representative (KS-01){{cite web|title=Freshman Rep. Roger Marshall endorses Steve Watkins in Kansas 2nd District race for Congress|url=http://www.cjonline.com/news/20180801/freshman-rep-roger-marshall-endorses-steve-watkins-in-kansas-2nd-district-race-for-congress|work=The Topeka Capital-Journal|date=August 1, 2018|author=The Associated Press}}

Organizations

  • With Honor{{cite web|url=https://www.facebook.com/WithHonorFund/posts/2105269969728024|title=Congratulations to Steve Watkins for Congress #KS02. We are proud to have endorsed such a principled veteran.|work=Facebook|author=With Honor}}

}}

==Primary results==

[[File:2018 Kansas's 2nd congressional district Republican primary election results by county map.svg|thumb|150px|Results by county:

{{collapsible list

| title = {{legend|#E27F7F|Watkins}}

|{{legend|#FFE0EA|20–30%}}

|{{legend|#FFC8CD|30–40%}}

}}

{{collapsible list

| title = {{legend|#FF9A50|Tyson}}

|{{legend|#FFDAC1|20–30%}}

|{{legend|#FFCCA9|30–40%}}

|{{legend|#FFB580|40–50%}}

|{{legend|#FF9A50|50–60%}}

}}

{{collapsible list

| title = {{legend|#47CC9D|Fitzgerald}}

|{{legend|#7EE5C1|40–50%}}

}}

{{collapsible list

| title = {{legend|#F1C92A|Pyle}}

|{{legend|#FFEEAA|30–40%}}

|{{legend|#FFDD55|40–50%}}

}}

]]

{{Election box begin no change | title=Republican primary results}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Steve Watkins

|votes = 20,052

|percentage = 26.5

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Caryn Tyson

|votes = 17,749

|percentage = 23.5

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Kevin Jones

|votes = 11,201

|percentage = 14.8

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Steve Fitzgerald

|votes = 9,227

|percentage = 12.2

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Dennis Pyle

|votes = 9,126

|percentage = 12.1

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Doug Mays

|votes = 6,221

|percentage = 8.2

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Vernon J. Fields

|votes = 1,987

|percentage = 2.6

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 75,563

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Democratic primary=

Former Kansas State House Minority Leader and 2014 gubernatorial nominee Paul Davis ran unopposed. When Davis ran against incumbent governor Sam Brownback in 2014, he had carried the 2nd district.{{cite news|url=http://cjonline.com/news/local/state-government/2017-04-12/democrat-paul-davis-initiates-campaign-rep-lynn-jenkins-2nd|title=Democrat Paul Davis initiates campaign for Rep. Lynn Jenkins' 2nd District congressional seat|work=The Topeka Capital-Journal|last=Carpenter|first=Tim|date=April 13, 2017|access-date=April 19, 2017}}

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

===Withdrawn===

  • Nathan Schmidt

==Primary results==

{{Election box begin no change | title=Democratic primary results}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

|party = Democratic Party (United States)

|candidate = Paul Davis

|votes = 38,846

|percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 38,846

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Libertarian primary=

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

  • Kelly Standley, business developer{{Cite web|url=http://www.chanute.com/news/article_7ebacbc6-8796-11e7-aaa8-a3bfe2b0170c.html|title=Candidate for US House seat says he's a 'different Democrat'|website=The Chanute Tribune}}

=General election=

==Endorsements==

{{Endorsements box

| title = Steve Watkins (R)

| list =

U.S. presidents

U.S. representatives

Organizations

}}

{{Endorsements box

|title = Paul Davis (D)

|list =

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers

  • The Kansas City Star{{cite web |author1=The Kansas City Star Editorial Board |title=A clear choice in Kansas 2nd District: The Star endorses Paul Davis for Congress |url=https://www.kansascity.com/opinion/editorials/article220895775.html |website=kansascity.com/ |publisher=The Kansas City Star |access-date=16 February 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181104180242/https://www.kansascity.com/opinion/editorials/article220895775.html#wgt=more_stories |archive-date=4 November 2018 |date=4 November 2018}}

}}

==Debates==

  • [https://www.c-span.org/video/?453511-1/kansas-2nd-congressional-district-debate Complete video of debate], October 18, 2018

==Polling==

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size

! Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Steve
Watkins (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Paul
Davis (D)

! style="width:100px;"| Kelly
Standley (L)

! Other

! Undecided

NYT Upshot/Siena College[https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-ks02-3.html NYT Upshot/Siena College]

| align=center| October 27–30, 2018

| align=center| 501

| align=center| ± 4.8%

| align=center| 37%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 41%

| align=center| 7%

| align=center| –

| align=center| 15%

Change Research (D)[https://twitter.com/ChangePolls/status/1057119705608015872 Change Research (D)]

| align=center| October 27–29, 2018

| align=center| 902

| align=center| –

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 45%

| align=center| 44%

| align=center| –

| align=center| –

| align=center| –

Emerson College

| align=center| October 26–28, 2018

| align=center| 231

| align=center| ± 6.5%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 48%

| align=center| 41%

| align=center| –

| align=center| –

| align=center| 8%

Emerson College

| align=center| September 26–28, 2018

| align=center| 243

| align=center| ± 6.4%

| align=center| 31%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 35%

| align=center| 4%

| align=center| 3%"Someone else" with 3%

| align=center| 28%

NYT Upshot/Siena College[http://files.constantcontact.com/9c83fb30501/f0540e11-8748-47de-aeb4-bc1ec61089b9.pdf NYT Upshot/Siena College]

| align=center| September 13–15, 2018

| align=center| 500

| align=center| ± 4.8%

| align=center| 44%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 45%

| align=center| –

| align=center| –

| align=center| 12%

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size

! Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Paul
Davis (D)

! style="width:100px;"| Steve
Fitzgerald (R)

! Other

! Undecided

The Mellman Group (D)[https://www.scribd.com/document/382867623/KS-02-The-Mellman-Group-D-for-Paul-Davis-June-2018 The Mellman Group (D)]

| align=center| June 13–18, 2018

| align=center| 600

| align=center| ± 4.0%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 39%

| align=center| 34%

| align=center| –

| align=center| 27%

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size

! Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Generic
Republican

! style="width:100px;"| Paul
Davis (D)

! Other

! Undecided

Public Policy Polling (D)[https://www.scribd.com/document/372045886/House-PPP-for-Patriot-Majority-D-Feb-2018 Public Policy Polling (D)]

| align=center| February 12–13, 2018

| align=center| 711

| align=center| ± 3.7%

| align=center| 42%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| –

| align=center| 14%

{{hidden end}}

==Predictions==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

align=left | The Cook Political Report

|{{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

|November 5, 2018

align=left | Inside Elections

|{{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

|November 5, 2018

align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}}

|November 5, 2018

align="left" |RCP

|{{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

|November 5, 2018

align="left" |Daily Kos

|{{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

|November 5, 2018

align="left" |538

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}}

|November 7, 2018

==Results==

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Kansas's 2nd congressional district, 2018

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Steve Watkins

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 126,098

| percentage = 47.6

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Paul Davis

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 123,859

| percentage = 46.8

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Kelly Standley

| party = Libertarian Party (United States)

| votes = 14,731

| percentage = 5.6

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 264,688

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box hold with party link no change

| winner = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

District 3

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2018 Kansas's 3rd congressional district election

| country = Kansas

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas#District 3

| previous_year = 2016

| next_election = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas#District 3

| next_year = 2020

| image_size = x150px

| image1 = File:Sharice Davids (cropped).jpg

| nominee1 = Sharice Davids

| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)

| popular_vote1 = 170,518

| percentage1 = 53.6%

| image2 = File:Kevin Yoder, 115th official photo (cropped 2).jpg

| nominee2 = Kevin Yoder

| party2 = Republican Party (United States)

| popular_vote2 = 139,762

| percentage2 = 43.9%

| map_image = KS 3rd District 2018 Results.svg

| map_size = 100px

| map_caption = County results
Davids: {{legend0|#8da9e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#678cd7|60–70%}}
Yoder: {{legend0|#e55651|60–70%}}

| title = U.S. Representative

| before_election = Kevin Yoder

| before_party = Republican Party (United States)

| after_election = Sharice Davids

| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)

}}

{{see also|Kansas's 3rd congressional district}}

The district is based in the Kansas City metropolitan area and surrounding suburbs in eastern Kansas. Cities include Kansas City and Overland Park. Incumbent Republican Kevin Yoder had represented the district since 2011. Yoder was re-elected with 51% of the vote in 2016. Yoder lost to his Democratic challenger, attorney Sharice Davids, who became one of the first Native American women ever elected to Congress.{{Cite web|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/08/us/politics/sharice-davids-native-american-kansas.html|title=Sharice Davids Could Become First Lesbian Native American Congresswoman|first=Daniel|last=Victor|date=August 8, 2018|via=NYTimes.com}}

=Republican primary=

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

  • Kevin Yoder, incumbent representative{{cite web|url=https://ballotpedia.org/Kansas%27_3rd_Congressional_District_election,_2018|title=Kansas's 3rd Congressional District election, 2018|publisher=Ballotpedia|access-date=February 22, 2018}}

===Eliminated in primary===

  • Trevor Keegan
  • Joe Myers

==Primary results==

{{Election box begin no change | title=Republican primary results}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Kevin Yoder (incumbent)

|votes = 53,130

|percentage = 68.1

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Trevor Keegan

|votes = 14,574

|percentage = 18.7

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Joe Myers

|votes = 10,268

|percentage = 13.2

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 77,972

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Democratic primary=

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

  • Sharice Davids, attorney, mixed martial artist, and former White House Fellow{{cite news|url=http://www.kansascity.com/news/politics-government/article200265694.html|title=JoCo lawyer hopes to be first Native American woman in Congress, first gay Kansas rep|first=Bryan|last=Lowry|work=The Kansas City Star|date=February 15, 2018}}

===Eliminated in primary===

  • Mike McCamon, businessman
  • Tom Niermann, teacher{{Cite news|url=http://www.kansascity.com/news/politics-government/article159878029.html|title=Prairie Village teacher announces bid for Kevin Yoder's congressional seat|work=The Kansas City Star|last=Woodall|first=Hunter|date=July 6, 2017|access-date=July 6, 2017}}
  • Jay Sidie, financial counselor and nominee for this seat in 2016{{cite news|url=http://www.kansascity.com/news/politics-government/article144290479.html|title=Wichita race should be a warning for Kevin Yoder, other Republicans, strategists say|work=The Kansas City Star|last1=Lowry|first1=Bryan|last2=Wise|first2=Lindsay|date=April 12, 2017|access-date=April 19, 2017}}
  • Brent Welder, attorney{{Cite news|url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/jul/24/sanders-brent-welder-clinton-democrats-kansas-congress|title=Sanders loyalist who 'struggled' to vote for Clinton to run for Congress in Kansas|work=The Guardian|last=Jacobs|first=Ben|date=July 24, 2017|access-date=July 24, 2017}}
  • Sylvia Williams, former financial services manager

===Withdrawn===

  • Chris Haulmark (dropped out to run for the Kansas House of Representatives){{Cite news|url=http://www.kansascity.com/news/politics-government/article155800494.html|title=Iraq War veteran ends campaign for Congress after Leawood attorney jumps into race|work=The Kansas City Star|last=Lowry|first=Bryan|date=June 13, 2017|access-date=June 15, 2017}}{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/ChrisHaulmark/status/971421734376222721|title=Chris Haulmark on Twitter}}
  • Reggie Marselus, retired union official and candidate for this seat in 2014 & 2016
  • Joe McConnell, businessman and Iraq War veteran{{Cite news|url=http://www.kansascity.com/news/politics-government/article152006097.html|title=Iraq War veteran pursues run for Yoder's seat, sets up likely Democratic primary fight|work=The Kansas City Star|last=Lowry|first=Bryan|date=May 22, 2017|access-date=May 24, 2017}}
  • Andrea Ramsey, attorney and former healthcare executive{{cite news |url=http://www.kansascity.com/news/politics-government/article189931704.html |title=Kansas Dem Andrea Ramsey, accused of sexual harassment, will drop out of US House race |date=December 15, 2017 |work=The Kansas City Star}}

==Endorsements==

{{Endorsements box

| title = Sharice Davids

| list =

U.S. representatives

Labor unions

Organizations

  • Congressional Hispanic Caucus{{cite web |last1=Orellana |first1=Andres |title=CHC BOLD PAC Announces New Endorsements |url=https://www.thebeatdc.com/blog/2018/6/28/chc-bold-pac-announces-new-endorsements |website=The Beat DC |date=June 28, 2018 |access-date=July 12, 2018 |archive-date=July 12, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180712154322/https://www.thebeatdc.com/blog/2018/6/28/chc-bold-pac-announces-new-endorsements |url-status=dead }}
  • EMILY's List{{cite web|last1=Woodall|first1=Hunter|title=Emily's List endorses another Dem in Kansas' 3rd District after first candidate drops out|url=http://www.kansascity.com/latest-news/article211746094.html|website=kansascity.com|language=en|date=May 24, 2018}}
  • Equality Kansas
  • Gay & Lesbian Victory Fund{{cite web |last1=Byrne |first1=Robert |title=Victory Fund Endorses 37 More LGBTQ Candidates for 2018 |url=https://victoryfund.org/news/2018-endorsements-round8/ |website=LGBTQ Victory Fund |date=June 26, 2018}}
  • LPAC{{cite web |last1=Sandberg |first1=Stephanie |title=LPAC Endorses New Slate of Candidates - LPAC |url=https://teamlpac.com/2018/07/09/lpac-endorses-new-slate-of-candidates-facing-august-primaries-as-midterm-election-cycle-nears/ |website=LPAC |date=July 9, 2018 |access-date=July 12, 2018 |archive-date=July 12, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180712152454/https://teamlpac.com/2018/07/09/lpac-endorses-new-slate-of-candidates-facing-august-primaries-as-midterm-election-cycle-nears/ |url-status=dead }}
  • Run with Pride{{cite web|last1=Lack Sinclair|first1=Alex|title=A Native-American Lawyer {{!}} An Ebola-Battling Physician {{!}} A Pioneering Economist {{!}} A Life-Saving EMT {{!}} Meet Our Newly Endorsed LGBTQ+ Congressional Candidates|url=https://www.runwithpride.org/news/run-with-prides-2018-february-endorsements|website=Run with Pride {{!}} Electing LGBTQ+ Candidates to Congress|date=March 7, 2018|access-date=May 29, 2018|archive-date=May 29, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180529204432/https://www.runwithpride.org/news/run-with-prides-2018-february-endorsements|url-status=dead}}

Newspapers

  • The Kansas City Star{{cite news |title=Sharice Davids is Kansas Democrats' best choice for Congress in the 3rd District |url=https://www.kansascity.com/opinion/editorials/article215975225.html |work=kansascity |agency=the Kansas City Star |publisher=The Kansas City Star Editorial Board |date=August 3, 2018 |language=en}}

Local officials

  • Sollie Flora, Mission city councilmember{{cite web |last1=Davids |first1=Sharice |title=THREE PRAIRIE VILLAGE CITY COUNCIL MEMBERS ENDORSE SHARICE DAVIDS IN KANSAS THIRD |url=https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/sharicedavids/pages/10/attachments/original/1536866989/Sharice_Davids_PV_City_Council_endorsement.pdf |date=July 27, 2018}}
  • Chad Herring, Prairie Village city councilmember
  • Mike Kelly, mayor of Roeland Park
  • Jori Nelson, Prairie Village city councilmember
  • Heather Ousley, Shawnee Mission School District School Board at-large member
  • Tucker Poling, Prairie Village city councilmember

}}

{{Endorsements box

| title = Tom Niermann

| list =

U.S. representatives

State legislators

  • Barbara Bollier, state senator (R-7)
  • Cindy Neighbor, state representative (D-18)
  • Brett Parker, state representative (D-29)

Labor unions

Organizations

  • Mainstream Coalition

Local officials

  • Kay Barnes, former mayor of Kansas City, MO
  • Al Frisby, city councilman - Merriam
  • Logan Heley, city councilman - Overland Park
  • Jen Hill, city councilwoman - Roeland Park
  • Carol Marinovich, former mayor of Kansas City, KS{{cite web|url=https://shawneemissionpost.com/2018/02/08/carol-marinovich-endorses-tom-niermann-69641|title=Carol Marinovich endorses Tom Niermann in congressional race|date=February 8, 2018|access-date=July 3, 2018}}
  • Andrew Osman, city councilman - Leawood
  • Hillary Parker Thomas, city councilwoman - Mission

}}

{{Endorsements box

| title = Brent Welder

| list =

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

  • Bruce Braley, former congressmen (D-IA-1){{Cite web |url=http://www.brentwelder.com/endorsements/ |title=Endorsements – Brent Welder for Congress |website=www.brentwelder.com |access-date=April 24, 2018 |archive-date=April 25, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180425133706/http://www.brentwelder.com/endorsements/ |url-status=dead }}
  • Ro Khanna, US representative (D-CA-17)
  • Patrick Murphy, former congressman (D-FL-18)
  • Mark Pocan, US representative (D-WI-2)
  • Jamie Raskin, US representative (D-MD-8)

Statewide officials

Labor unions

Organizations

  • Brand New Congress
  • Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC{{cite web|url=https://weareprogressives.org/congressional-progressive-caucus-pac-announces-slate-house-endorsements-2/|title=Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC Announces Slate of House Endorsements - Progressive Caucus|date=March 22, 2018}}
  • Demand Universal Healthcareduh4all.org/2018-candidates/ushouseandsenatecandidates.html
  • End Citizens Unitedendcitizensunited.org/candidate/brent-welder/
  • Justice Democrats
  • Our Revolution{{cite web|url=https://ourrevolution.com/press/our-revolution-and-pccc-endorse-brent-welder-congress/|title=Our Revolution and PCCC endorse Brent Welder for Congress|website=Our Revolution|access-date=April 24, 2018|archive-date=April 25, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180425120752/https://ourrevolution.com/press/our-revolution-and-pccc-endorse-brent-welder-congress/|url-status=dead}}
  • The People for Bernie Sanders
  • Political Revolution
  • Progressive Change Campaign Committee

Individuals

}}

==Polling==

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size

! Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Sharice
Davids

! style="width:100px;"| Tom
Niermann

! style="width:100px;"| Brent
Welder

! Other

! Undecided

Public Policy Polling (D)[https://pccc.me/KS03Poll Public Policy Polling (D)]

| align=center| August 2–3, 2018

| align=center| 543

| align=center| ± 4.2%

| align=center| 21%

| align=center| 15%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 35%

| align=center| 12%All other candidates poll under 5% individually.

| align=center| 17%

==Primary results==

{{Election box begin no change | title=Democratic primary results}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

|party = Democratic Party (United States)

|candidate = Sharice Davids

|votes = 23,379

|percentage = 37.3

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Democratic Party (United States)

|candidate = Brent Welder

|votes = 21,190

|percentage = 33.9

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Democratic Party (United States)

|candidate = Tom Niermann

|votes = 8,939

|percentage = 14.3

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Democratic Party (United States)

|candidate = Mike McCamon

|votes = 4,354

|percentage = 6.9

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Democratic Party (United States)

|candidate = Sylvia Williams

|votes = 2,955

|percentage = 4.7

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Democratic Party (United States)

|candidate = Jay Sidie

|votes = 1,790

|percentage = 2.9

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 62,607

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=General election=

==Endorsements==

{{Endorsements box

| title = Kevin Yoder (R)

| list =

Federal officials

  • Mike Pence, vice president of the United States{{cite web|title=Vice President Mike Pence headed to KC area to raise money for U.S. Rep. Kevin Yoder|url=https://www.kansascity.com/news/politics-government/article214285749.html|work=The Kansas City Star|last2=Wise|first2=Lindsay|last1=Lowry|first1=Bryan|date=July 3, 2018}}
  • Donald Trump, president of the United States{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/1019695583853010944|title=Thank you to Congressman Kevin Yoder! He secured $5 BILLION for Border Security. Now we need Congress to support. Kevin has been strong on Crime, the Border, the 2nd Amendment, and he loves our Military and Vets. @RepKevinYoder has my full and total endorsement!|work=Twitter|author=Donald J. Trump}}

Organizations

}}

{{Endorsements box

| title = Sharice Davids (D)

| list =

Federal officials

  • Joe Biden, former vice president of the United States{{cite web |author1=Tim Carpenter |title=Joe Biden endorses Sharice Davids in Kansas' 3rd District congressional race |url=https://www.cjonline.com/news/20181008/joe-biden-endorses-sharice-davids-in-kansas-3rd-district-congressional-race |website=cjonline.com |publisher=The Topeka Capital-Journal |access-date=16 February 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181008210833/https://www.cjonline.com/news/20181008/joe-biden-endorses-sharice-davids-in-kansas-3rd-district-congressional-race |archive-date=8 October 2018 |date=8 October 2018}}
  • Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States{{cite web |author1=41 Action News Staff |title=Wave of Obama endorsements includes Sharice Davids |url=https://www.kshb.com/news/political/wave-of-obama-endorsements-include-sharice-davids |website=kshb.com/ |access-date=16 February 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181108034628/https://www.kshb.com/news/political/wave-of-obama-endorsements-include-sharice-davids |archive-date=8 November 2018 |date=1 October 2018}}
  • Kathleen Sebelius, former governor of Kansas and former United States Secretary of Health and Human Services{{cite tweet |author=Kathleen Sebelius |user=Sebelius|number=1027276182549655568 |date=August 8, 2018 | title= Please join me in supporting @sharicedavids.She’s smart, policy oriented, and pragmatic.She gets what working people are going through bc she’s lived it.DC desperately needs representatives who will get things done for KS families.Rep.@kevinyoder is more about his donors than us.}}

U.S. representatives

State legislators

  • Cindy Holscher, state representative
  • Laura Kelly, state senator and 2018 nominee for governor{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/SenatorKelly/status/1027627767968485376|title=.@sharicedavids is smart, tough and dedicated to representing all Kansans. I'm looking forward to working together to bring change to KS!|work=Twitter|author=Laura Kelly}}

Labor unions

Organizations

  • Congressional Hispanic Caucus
  • Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program{{cite web |last1=Lujan |first1=Ben Ray |title=DCCC CHAIR LUJÁN RECOGNIZES SHARICE DAVIDS AS PART OF 'RED TO BLUE' PROGRAM - DCCC |url=https://dccc.org/dccc-chair-lujan-recognizes-sharice-davids-part-red-blue-program/ |website=DCCC |publisher=Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee |date=August 10, 2018}}
  • EMILY's List
  • End Citizens United{{cite web |last1=Rickert |first1=Levi |title=END CITIZENS UNITED BACKS SHARICE DAVIDS FOR CONGRESS |url=https://nativenewsonline.net/currents/end-citizens-united-backs-sharice-davids-for-congress/ |website=nativenewsonline.net/ |publisher=Native News Online |date=August 22, 2018 |access-date=August 24, 2018 |archive-date=August 24, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180824102029/https://nativenewsonline.net/currents/end-citizens-united-backs-sharice-davids-for-congress/ |url-status=dead }}
  • Equality Kansas
  • Gay & Lesbian Victory Fund
  • League of Conservation Voters Action Fund{{cite web |last1=Sittenfeld |first1=Tiernan |title=LCV Action Fund Endorses Sharice Davids for Congress - League of Conservation Voters |url=https://www.lcv.org/article/lcv-action-fund-endorses-sharice-davids-congress/ |website=League of Conservation Voters |date=September 4, 2018}}
  • LPAC
  • Run with Pride

Newspapers

  • The Kansas City Star{{cite web |author1=The Kansas City Star Editorial Board |title=In Kansas 3rd District, Sharice Davids is the right choice for Congress |url=https://www.kansascity.com/opinion/editorials/article220961865.html |website=kansascity.com/ |publisher=The Kansas City Star |access-date=16 February 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181104201646/https://www.kansascity.com/opinion/editorials/article220961865.html |archive-date=4 November 2018 |date=4 November 2018}}

Local officials

}}

==Polling==

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size

! Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Kevin
Yoder (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Sharice
Davids (D)

! style="width:100px;"| Chris
Clemmons (L)

! Undecided

Emerson College

| align=center| October 26–28, 2018

| align=center| 262

| align=center| ± 6.3%

| align=center| 43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 55%

| align=center| –

| align=center| 1%

NYT Upshot/Siena College[https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-ks03-3.html NYT Upshot/Siena College]

| align=center| October 14–17, 2018

| align=center| 503

| align=center| ± 4.7%

| align=center| 39%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 48%

| align=center| 3%

| align=center| 11%

Emerson College

| align=center| September 26–28, 2018

| align=center| 246

| align=center| ± 6.4%

| align=center| 41%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 47%

| align=center| 2%

| align=center| 10%

NYT Upshot/Siena College[https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/KS03P1_final3078.pdf NYT Upshot/Siena College]

| align=center| September 20–23, 2018

| align=center| 494

| align=center| ± 4.7%

| align=center| 43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 51%

| align=center| –

| align=center| 6%

Remington Research (R-Yoder)[https://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/article219362830.html Remington Research (R-Yoder)]

| align=center| September 18–20, 2018

| align=center| 610

| align=center| ± 4.0%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 43%

| align=center| 40%

| align=center| –

| align=center| –

Global Strategy Group (D-Davids)[http://www.rollcall.com/news/democratic-poll-tight-race-in-kansas-3rd-district Global Strategy Group (D-Davids)]

| align=center| August 13–15, 2018

| align=center| 400

| align=center| ± 4.9%

| align=center| 43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 46%

| align=center| 4%

| align=center| 7%

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size

! Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Kevin
Yoder (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Brent
Welder (D)

! Other

! Undecided

Public Policy Polling (D)[http://act.boldprogressives.org/survey/2018polling_ks03/ Public Policy Polling (D)]

| align=center| February 14–15, 2018

| align=center| 315

| align=center| ± 5.5%

| align=center| 42%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 49%

| align=center| –

| align=center| 9%

{{hidden end}}

==Predictions==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

align=left | The Cook Political Report

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}}

|November 5, 2018

align=left | Inside Elections

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}}

|November 5, 2018

align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}}

|November 5, 2018

align="left" |RCP

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}}

|November 5, 2018

align="left" |Daily Kos

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}}

|November 5, 2018

align="left" |538

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|D|Flip}}

|November 7, 2018

==Results==

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Kansas's 3rd congressional district, 2018

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Sharice Davids

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 170,518

| percentage = 53.6

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Kevin Yoder (incumbent)

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 139,762

| percentage = 43.9

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Chris Clemmons

| party = Libertarian Party (United States)

| votes = 8,021

| percentage = 2.5

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 318,301

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box gain with party link no change

| winner = Democratic Party (United States)

| loser = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

District 4

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2018 Kansas's 4th congressional district election

| country = Kansas

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2017 Kansas's 4th congressional district special election

| previous_year = 2017 (special)

| next_election = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas#District 4

| next_year = 2020

| image_size = x150px

| image1 = File:Ron Estes, 115th official photo (cropped).jpg

| nominee1 = Ron Estes

| party1 = Republican Party (United States)

| popular_vote1 = 144,248

| percentage1 = 59.4%

| image2 = File:3x4.svg

| nominee2 = James Thompson

| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)

| popular_vote2 = 98,445

| percentage2 = 40.6%

| map_image = KS 4th District 2018 Results.svg

| map_size = 250px

| map_caption = County results
Estes: {{legend0|#ed8783|50–60%}} {{legend0|#e55651|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d02923|70–80%}} {{legend0|#b00600|80–90%}}

| title = U.S. Representative

| before_election = Ron Estes

| before_party = Republican Party (United States)

| after_election = Ron Estes

| after_party = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{see also|Kansas's 4th congressional district}}

The fourth district is based in southern Kansas, including Wichita and the surrounding suburbs. Incumbent Republican Ron Estes had represented the district since 2017. Estes was elected with 52.5% of the vote in 2017.

Prior to Estes, Mike Pompeo represented the district. Pompeo had been nominated as Director of the Central Intelligence Agency in the Donald Trump administration.{{cite news|url=http://www.kansas.com/news/politics-government/article115639338.html|title=Who could replace Pompeo in Congress?|work=The Wichita Eagle|last1=Lefler|first1=Dion|last2=Dunn|first2=Gabriella|date=November 18, 2016|access-date=November 18, 2016}} After Pompeo was confirmed, a special election was held for the remainder of Pompeo's term. Ron Estes won the special election on April 11, 2017.{{Cite web|url=http://www.sos.ks.gov/ent/kssos_ent.html|title=2017 Unofficial Kansas Election Results|website=www.sos.ks.gov|language=en|access-date=2017-04-12|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130202012501/http://www.sos.ks.gov/ent/kssos_ent.html|archive-date=February 2, 2013|url-status=dead|df=mdy-all}}

=Republican primary=

The Republican Party selected a nominee during a Republican Party primary election which took place on August 7, 2018. The Republican primary was open to registered voters who were either unaffiliated or registered as Republicans.{{Cite web|url=http://www.ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/primary-types.aspx|title=State Primary Election Types|last=Legislatures|first=National Conference of State|website=www.ncsl.org|language=en-US|access-date=July 27, 2018}}{{Cite web|url=http://www.fairvote.org/primaries#congressional_primary_type_by_state|title=Primaries – FairVote|last=FairVote.org|website=www.fairvote.org|access-date=July 27, 2018|archive-date=March 12, 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160312212732/http://www.fairvote.org/primaries#congressional_primary_type_by_state|url-status=dead}}

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

===Eliminated in primary===

  • Ron M. Estes (different candidate with similar name), high level manager at Boeing for 40 years including working on the International Space Station project{{Cite news|url=http://www.kmuw.org/post/it-s-estes-vs-estes-4th-congressional-district-gop-primary|title=It's Estes Vs. Estes In 4th Congressional District GOP Primary|last=Shaar|first=Deborah|access-date=July 27, 2018|language=en}}{{Cite news|url=http://theweek.com/speedreads/785968/ron-m-estes-brilliant-plan-defeat-ron-g-estes-kansas-congressional-race|title=Ron M. Estes has a brilliant plan to defeat Ron G. Estes in a Kansas congressional race|date=July 20, 2018|access-date=July 27, 2018}}{{Cite news|url=http://www.newser.com/story/262236/longshots-campaign-has-one-unusual-advantage.html|title=Longshot's Campaign Has One Unusual Advantage|last=Gardner|first=Josh|date=July 20, 2018|work=Newser|access-date=July 27, 2018|language=en-US}}

===Declined===

  • Susan Wagle, Kansas Senate President{{Cite news|url=https://www.kansas.com/news/politics-government/election/article144292029.html|title=Wagle run for Congress would mean primary challenge for Estes|work=kansas|access-date=July 27, 2018|language=en}}{{Cite news|url=https://www.kansas.com/news/politics-government/article168725567.html|title=Susan Wagle, Senate president, rules out bid for Congress or governor|work=kansas|access-date=July 27, 2018|language=en}}

==Campaign==

Because there were two Republican candidates named Ron Estes, the names appeared on the ballot as "Rep. Ron Estes" and "Ron M. Estes", which some criticized as breaking a state law that prohibits identifying an incumbent on the ballot.{{Cite news|url=https://wtop.com/congress/2018/06/kansas-to-use-rep-to-distinguish-candidate-with-same-name/|title=Kansas to use 'Rep' to distinguish candidate with same name {{!}} WTOP|date=June 11, 2018|work=WTOP|access-date=July 27, 2018|language=en-US|archive-date=July 27, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180727085212/https://wtop.com/congress/2018/06/kansas-to-use-rep-to-distinguish-candidate-with-same-name/|url-status=dead}}{{Cite news|url=http://www.kwch.com/content/news/Second-Ron-Estes-running-against-congressman-in-August-primary-484241451.html|title=Second 'Ron Estes' releases statement in 4th congressional district race|last=KWCH|access-date=July 27, 2018|language=en}}{{Cite news|url=https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/estes-gets-to-be-rep-estes-on-ballot|title=Rep. Estes Gets to Be 'Rep. Estes' on Kansas Primary Ballot|last1=Garcia|first1=Eric|date=June 12, 2018|work=Roll Call|access-date=July 27, 2018|last2=Garcia|first2=Eric|language=en}}{{Cite news|url=http://www.cjonline.com/news/20180604/in-ron-estes-vs-ron-estes-democrat-wants-rep-left-off-ballot|title=In Ron Estes vs Ron Estes, Democrat wants 'Rep' left off ballot|last=Smith|first=Sherman|work=The Topeka Capital|access-date=July 27, 2018|language=en}}

==Primary results==

{{Election box begin no change | title=Republican primary results}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Ron Estes (incumbent)

|votes = 57,522

|percentage = 81.4

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Ron M. Estes

|votes = 13,159

|percentage = 18.6

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 70,681

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Democratic primary=

The Democratic Party selected a nominee during a Democratic Party primary election that took place on August 7, 2018. The primary was open to registered voters who were either unaffiliated or registered as Democrats.

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

  • James Thompson, civil rights attorney, military veteran and nominee for this seat in 2017{{Cite news|url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/jul/26/alexandria-ocasio-cortez-bernie-sanders-kansas-james-thompson|title=They thought this was Trump country. Hell no|last=Smarsh|first=Sarah|date=July 26, 2018|work=The Guardian|access-date=July 27, 2018|language=en-GB|issn=0261-3077}}

===Eliminated in primary===

  • Laura Lombard, businesswoman and CEO of ImEpik (online workforce training services){{Cite news|url=https://www.kansas.com/news/politics-government/article180086556.html|title=Democrat Laura Lombard launches campaign for Congress|work=kansas|access-date=July 27, 2018|language=en}}

==Campaign==

Senator Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez campaigned for Democrat James Thompson on July 20, 2018, after the national Democratic party would not support him.{{Cite web|url=https://thesunflower.com/27901/news/kansas-primaries-attract-national-political-attention/|title=Kansas primaries attract national political attention – The Sunflower|last=Kelly|first=Matthew|website=thesunflower.com|language=en-US|access-date=July 27, 2018}}{{Cite news|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2018/07/13/bernie-sanders-and-alexandria-ocasio-cortez-will-campaign-together-in-kansas/|title=Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will campaign together in Kansas|last=Weigel|first=David|newspaper=Washington Post|language=en|access-date=July 27, 2018}}{{Cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/20/us/politics/ocasio-cortez-bernie-sanders.html|title=From New York to the Heartland: Ocasio-Cortez Debuts on National Campaign Stage|work=The New York Times|access-date=July 27, 2018|language=en}}{{Cite news|url=https://www.kansas.com/latest-news/article215250395.html|title=Bernie Sanders fires up 4,000 in Wichita with rally for James Thompson, against Trump|work=kansas|access-date=July 27, 2018|language=en}} Laura Lombard criticized the state's decision to list incumbent Ron Estes as "Rep. Ron Estes" on the ballot, because she believed this broke state laws which prohibit a candidate from being identified as an incumbent on the ballot.

==Endorsements==

{{Endorsements box

|title = James Thompson

|list =

U.S. senators

Labor unions

Individuals

}}

==Primary results==

{{Election box begin no change | title=Democratic primary results}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

|party = Democratic Party (United States)

|candidate = James Thompson

|votes = 20,261

|percentage = 65.2

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Democratic Party (United States)

|candidate = Laura Lombard

|votes = 10,797

|percentage = 34.8

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 31,058

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=General election=

==Predictions==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

align=left | The Cook Political Report

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 5, 2018

align=left | Inside Elections

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 5, 2018

align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 5, 2018

align="left" |RCP

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 5, 2018

align="left" |Daily Kos

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 5, 2018

align="left" |538

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 7, 2018

align="left" |CNN

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|October 31, 2018

align="left" |Politico

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 4, 2018

==Endorsements==

{{Endorsements box

|title = James Thompson (D)

|list =

U.S. senators

Labor unions

Individuals

}}

==Polling==

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size

! Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Ron
Estes (R)

! style="width:100px;"| James
Thompson (D)

! Undecided

Emerson College

| align=center| October 26–28, 2018

| align=center| 262

| align=center| ± 6.3%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 63%

| align=center| 33%

| align=center| 4%

Emerson College

| align=center| September 26–28, 2018

| align=center| 256

| align=center| ± 6.4%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 50%

| align=center| 26%

| align=center| 20%

Change Research (D-Thompson)[https://twitter.com/JamesThompsonKS/status/1025568460456243200 Change Research (D-Thompson)]

| align=center| July 17–19, 2018

| align=center| 1,896

| align=center| ± 2.25%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 42%

| align=center| 38%

| align=center| 20%

==Results==

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Kansas's 4th congressional district, 2018

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Ron Estes (incumbent)

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 144,248

| percentage = 59.4

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = James Thompson

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 98,445

| percentage = 40.6

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 242,693

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box hold with party link no change

| winner = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

References

{{reflist|30em}}