2018 United States Senate election in West Virginia
{{Short description|none}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=July 2022}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2018 United States Senate election in West Virginia
| country = West Virginia
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2012 United States Senate election in West Virginia
| previous_year = 2012
| next_election = 2024 United States Senate election in West Virginia
| next_year = 2024
| election_date = November 6, 2018
| turnout = 47.04% {{increase}}
| image_size = x150px
| image1 = Senator Manchin (cropped 2).jpg
| nominee1 = Joe Manchin
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 290,510
| percentage1 = 49.57%
| image2 = Patrick Morrisey by Gage Skidmore.jpg
| nominee2 = Patrick Morrisey
| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 271,113
| percentage2 = 46.26%
| map_image = {{switcher
|County results
|Congressional district results
|House of Delegates district results
|Precinct results
|default=1
}}
| map_size = 250px
| map_caption = Manchin: {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}}
Morrisey: {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}}
| title = U.S. Senator
| before_election = Joe Manchin
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| after_election = Joe Manchin
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)
}}
{{Elections in West Virginia}}
The 2018 United States Senate election in West Virginia took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of West Virginia, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Senator Joe Manchin won re-election to a second full term against Republican Patrick Morrisey, who at the time of the 2018 elections had been West Virginia’s State Attorney General since 2013. This was one of ten Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state won by Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election.
Manchin was considered to be among the most vulnerable Democratic senators facing re-election in 2018 due to the state's deepening partisan lean and his declining popularity. He ultimately won a second full term, though by a much narrower margin of 3.33% compared to his 2012 landslide. Manchin outperformed the margins of defeat from both Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Joe Biden in 2020 by more than 40 percentage points.
As of {{CURRENTYEAR}}, this is the last time that a Democrat won a congressional and/or statewide election in West Virginia, as well as the only general election defeat of Morrisey's career. Morrisey continued to serve as West Virginia’s State Attorney General until he took office as the state’s Governor on January 13, 2025.
Background
West Virginia was once a Democratic stronghold at the state and federal level, but is now deeply red at the federal and state levels. In 2008, John McCain defeated Barack Obama by a margin of 13.1%. From 1959 to 2015, West Virginia was exclusively represented in the U.S. Senate by Democrats.
In the 2012 presidential election, Mitt Romney defeated Obama by 26.7% and swept every single county in the state. Despite this, Manchin was re-elected in his own landslide over perennial candidate John Raese, receiving more than 60% of the vote and carrying all but three counties. Manchin's 2012 re-election against Raese was a rematch of the 2010 special election where he was first elected to the U.S. Senate.
In 2016, Donald Trump won the state by a greater than 40-point margin over Hillary Clinton (68–26%), with Clinton's performance being the worst for either party in the state's history. Trump also won every county in the state.
Concurrent with Trump's landslide victory in West Virginia, Democratic businessman Jim Justice won the gubernatorial election with 49% of the vote but changed his party affiliation back to Republican within a year (Justice had previously been a Republican prior to running as a Democrat for governor). Democrats lost almost every statewide office in the state in 2016, with State Treasurer John Perdue being the only statewide Democrat re-elected.
Because of the heavy Republican lean of his state, Manchin was ranked by many outlets as one of the most vulnerable incumbents up for reelection. President Trump headlined three rallies in the state on behalf of Manchin's opponent Patrick Morrisey. Manchin's vote to confirm Judge Brett Kavanaugh in his highly contentious confirmation hearing, making him the only Democrat to do so, garnered national attention and backlash from members of his own party just weeks before the midterm elections.{{Cite news|last=Edmondson|first=Catie|date=October 8, 2018|title=Joe Manchin's Yes on Kavanaugh Finds Sympathy in West Virginia (Published 2018)|language=en-US|work=The New York Times|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/08/us/politics/joe-manchin-brett-kavanaugh-west-virginia.html|access-date=2021-01-10|issn=0362-4331}} Despite the challenges to his re-election, Manchin leaned into his close personal ties to the state and emphasized his moderate to conservative views.
Although Manchin was seen as vulnerable during the lead-up to the election, polling considered him to be a slight favorite for most of the general election cycle.
Democratic primary
=Candidates=
==Nominee==
==Eliminated in primary==
- Paula Jean Swearengin, social and environmental activist{{cite news|url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2017/05/09/justice_democrat_coal_miners_daughter_paula_swearingen_annoucnes_primary_against_west_virginia_sen_joe_manchin.html|title='Justice Democrat' Coal Miner's Daughter Paula Swearingen Announces Primary Challenge Against West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin|work=RealClearPolitics|last=Hains|first=Tim|date=May 9, 2017|access-date=May 9, 2017}}
=Endorsements=
{{Endorsements box
| title = Paula Jean Swearengin
| list =
;State legislators
- Charlotte Pritt, former state senator from the 17th district (1988–1992) and 1996 Democratic nominee and 2016 Mountain Party nominee for governor (Mountain){{Cite web |url=https://apnews.com/article/91d5eda885a54224bf2af43f1501f6fe |title=U.S. Senate candidate: Paula Jean Swearengin (D) |date=2018-03-27 |access-date=2023-04-12 |website=AP News |language=en-US}}{{Cite web |url=https://www.vice.com/en/article/zmmdw4/can-an-unknown-progressive-candidate-win-in-trump-country |website=VICE News |title=Can You Win in Trump Country with a Bernie Sanders Platform? |last=Blest |first=Paul |date=2017-09-07 |access-date=2023-04-12 |language=en-US}}
;Individuals
- Tim Canova, founder of Progress For All{{cite web |url=https://twitter.com/Tim_Canova/status/863231761689567232 |title=Happy to endorse @paulajean2018 Swearengin vs @JoeManchinWV in US Senate primary. Hope @SenSanders will support her. |publisher=Twitter |last=Canova|first=Tim |date=May 12, 2017}}
- Carol Hechler, widow of former West Virginia Secretary of State Ken Hechler
- Cenk Uygur, host of The Young Turks{{cite web|title=Justice Democrat To Primary Joe Manchin|url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hm4IZrKr78U|website=The Young Turks| date=May 9, 2017 |access-date=October 22, 2017}}
;Organizations
- Brand New Congress{{cite news|url=https://trofire.com/2017/05/08/justice-democrats-targeting-barely-dem-manchin-progressive-primary-opponent/|title=Justice Democrats Targeting Barely-Dem Manchin With Progressive Primary Opponent|work=Ring of Fire (radio program)|date=May 8, 2017|access-date=May 9, 2017}}
- Justice Democrats{{cite news|url=https://twitter.com/KyleKulinski/status/861669043975180288|title=BREAKING: Justice Democrats Are Primarying Joe Manchin|work=Kyle Kulinski|date=May 8, 2017|access-date=May 9, 2017}}
- The People for Bernie Sanders{{cite web|title=We're proud to endorse @paulajean2018 . She's building a movement.|url=https://twitter.com/People4Bernie/status/967909800456712192|access-date=March 1, 2018}}
- Upshur County Indivisible{{cite web|title=Upshur County Indivisible--Votes proudly endorses @paulajean2018 for US Senate. @IndivisibleTeam @WCWVI #Democracy #Elections2018|url=https://twitter.com/Upshurindivis1/status/988179507315134465|website=Twitter|access-date=April 22, 2018}}
}}
= Polling =
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! style="width:100px;"| Joe ! style="width:100px;"| Paula Jean ! Undecided |
SurveyMonkey (D-Swearengin){{Cite web|url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zOpMTapd5lg/|title=Even Red State Republicans Want Medicare For All|date=September 23, 2017|via=YouTube}}
| align=center| September 2017 | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 46% | align=center| 8% | align=center| 38% |
=Results=
[[File:West Virginia U.S. Senate Democratic primary, 2018.svg|thumb|250px|Results by county: {{collapsible list
| title = Manchin|{{legend|#7996E2|50–60%}}|{{legend|#6674DE|60–70%}}|{{legend|#584CDE|70–80%}}}}]]
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic primary results{{Cite web|url=https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/WV/74487/Web02-state.195772/|title=Election Night Reporting|website=results.enr.clarityelections.com}}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Joe Manchin (incumbent)
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 112,658
| percentage = 69.86%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Paula Jean Swearengin
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 48,594
| percentage = 30.14%
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 161,252
| percentage = 100%
}}
{{Election box end}}
Republican primary
=Candidates=
==Nominee==
- Patrick Morrisey, Attorney General of West Virginia{{cite web |url= https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/breaking-west-virginia-ag-patrick-morrisey-will-run-senate-2018/|title=West Virginia AG Patrick Morrisey Will Run for Senate in 2018 |date= July 10, 2017|website=www.usnews.com|format=PDF}}{{cite web|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/306210-10-senate-seats-that-could-flip-in-2018/|title=10 Senate seats that could flip in 2018|work=The Hill|last=Kamisar|first=Ben|date=November 16, 2016|access-date=November 17, 2016}}{{cite news|url=http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/2018-house-republicans-democratic-senators-showdown-231570|title=2018 showdown looms: House Republicans vs. Democratic senators|work=Politico|last1=Schor|first1=Elana|last2=Everett|first2=Burgess|date=November 18, 2016|access-date=November 18, 2016}}{{cite magazine | last1=Geraghty | first1=Jim | title=In West Virginia, a Rising Republican Star Threatens the Nation's Most Vulnerable Democratic Senator | url=http://www.nationalreview.com/article/444901/2018-west-virginia-senate-race-patrick-morissey-threatens-joe-manchin-reelection | date=February 14, 2017 | magazine=National Review | access-date=February 22, 2017}}
==Eliminated in primary==
- Don Blankenship, former chairman and CEO of Massey Energy{{cite web|url=http://wchstv.com/news/local/former-massey-energy-ceo-don-blankenship-to-run-for-us-senate|title=Former Massey Energy CEO Don Blankenship to run for U.S. Senate|work=WCHS-TV|last1=Bass|first1=Kennie|last2=Morris|first2=Jeff|date=November 29, 2017|access-date=November 29, 2017}}
- Bo Copley, coal miner{{cite web|url=http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/coal-worker-confronted-hillary-clinton-takes-joe-manchin|title=Coal Worker Who Confronted Hillary Clinton Takes on Joe Manchin|work=Roll Call|last=Lesniewski|first=Niels|date=May 2, 2017|access-date=May 2, 2017}}
- Evan Jenkins, U.S. representative for West Virginia's 3rd congressional district (2015–2018){{cite news|url=http://www.wsaz.com/content/news/Jenkins-announces-he-will-challenge-Manchin-for-US-Senate-seat-421655304.html|title=Jenkins to challenge Manchin for U.S. Senate seat|work=WSAZ-TV|date=May 8, 2017|access-date=May 8, 2017}}
- Jack Newbrough, truck driver and navy veteran{{cite web|url=http://www.weirtondailytimes.com/news/local-news/2017/09/weirton-resident-seeking-senate-seat/|title=Weirton resident seeking Senate seat|work=The Weirton Daily Times|last=Howell|first=Craig|date=September 24, 2017|access-date=September 26, 2017}}
- Tom Willis, Army veteran{{cite web|url=http://wvmetronews.com/2018/01/03/willis-enters-us-senate-race/|title=WV MetroNews – Willis enters US Senate race|website=wvmetronews.com|date=January 4, 2018}}
==Declined==
- Ryan Ferns, Majority Leader of the West Virginia Senate (running for re-election){{cite tweet |user=RyanFernsWV | last=Ferns |first=Ryan |number=837375029293821952 |date=March 2, 2017 |title=@ReganWV wasn't trying to dodge. Let me be more clear. If a conservative who is more qualified runs, then I'm not going to. | access-date=April 3, 2017 }}{{cite tweet |user=RyanFernsWV | last=Ferns |first=Ryan |number=898532095529701376 |date=August 18, 2017 |title=@ASourAppleTree Running for reelection | access-date=August 18, 2017 }}
- David McKinley, U.S. representative for West Virginia's 1st congressional district (2011–2023) (running for re-election){{cite web|url=https://www.theet.com/statejournal/mckinley-says-it-s-too-early-to-announce-campaign-plans/article_aecc90e7-dd09-56f5-9bdd-8f6849c15064.html|title=McKinley says it's too early to announce campaign plans|work=State Journal|last=Marks|first=Rusty|date=May 12, 2017|access-date=May 18, 2017}}{{Dead link|date=September 2023 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}{{cite web|url=http://wvmetronews.com/2017/05/30/mckinley-to-run-for-re-election-in-2018/|title=McKinley to run for re-election in 2018|work=West Virginia MetroNews|last=Thomas|first=Alex|date=May 30, 2017|access-date=May 30, 2017}}
- Alex Mooney, U.S. representative for West Virginia's 2nd congressional district (2015–2025) (running for re-election)
=Endorsements=
{{Endorsements box
| title = Evan Jenkins
| list =
;State officials
- John McCuskey, Auditor of West Virginia{{cite news|url=https://wvrecord.com/stories/511188152-mccuskey-to-serve-as-chairman-for-jenkins-senate-campaign|title=McCuskey to serve as chairman for Jenkins' Senate campaign|work=wvrecord.com|date=August 18, 2017}}
;Organizations
- Huntington Regional Chamber of Commerce
- West Virginia Chamber of Commerce{{cite news|url=http://www.wvchamber.com/news-publications/news/post/WVa-Chamber-PAC-Announces-2018-Primary-Election-Endorsements.aspx#.Wt96zxvRDIU|title=W.Va. Chamber PAC Announces 2018 Primary Election Endorsements|work=West Virginia Chamber of Commerce|date=April 23, 2018}}
;Newspapers
- Charleston Daily Mail{{cite news|url=https://www.wvgazettemail.com/opinion/daily_mail_opinion/daily_mail_endorsements/daily-mail-endorsements-gop-senate-race-is-about-who-can/article_a6b24b8a-2b3b-536c-b591-c9190e9c32c7.html|title=Daily Mail endorsements: GOP Senate race is about who can beat Joe Manchin in November|work=Daily Mail|date=May 4, 2018}}
}}
= Debates =
class="wikitable"
|+ ! rowspan="2" | Host ! rowspan="2" | Date ! rowspan="2" | Link(s) ! colspan="6" | Participants |
Evan Jenkins !Patrick !Don !Bo !Jack !Tom |
---|
align=center| Fox News
| align=center| May 1, 2018 | align=center| Invited | align=center| Invited | align=center| Invited | align=center| – | align=center| – | align=center| – |
align=center| WVPB
| align=center| April 23, 2018 | align=center| Invited | align=center| Invited | align=center| Invited | align=center| Invited | align=center| Invited | align=center| Invited |
=Polling=
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:75px;"| Don ! style="width:75px;"| Evan ! style="width:75px;"| Patrick ! Other ! Undecided |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Morrisey){{Cite web|url=https://www.scribd.com/document/377478639/WV-Sen-Public-Opinion-Strategies-R-for-Patrick-Morrisey-April-2018|title=WV-Sen: Public Opinion Strategies (R) For Patrick Morrisey (April 2018) | PDF|website=Scribd}}
| align=center| April 22–23, 2018 | align=center| 500 | align=center| ± 4.4% | align=center| 15% | align=center| 26% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 28% | align=center| – | align=center| 18% |
Fox News{{Cite web|url=http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2018/04/24/fox-news-poll-results-424.html|title=Fox News Poll results 4/24 | Fox News|website=Fox News |date=April 24, 2018 }}
| align=center| April 18–22, 2018 | align=center| 985 | align=center| ± 3.0% | align=center| 16% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 25% | align=center| 21% | align=center| 8%Tom Willis with 4 percent, Bo Copley with 2 percent, and Jack Newbrough with 1 percent | align=center| 24% |
National Research Inc. (R-GOPAC){{Cite web|url=https://www.gopac.org/2018/04/wvsurvey/|archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20180424135858/https://www.gopac.org/2018/04/wvsurvey/|url-status=dead|title=National Research Inc. (R-GOPAC)|archivedate=April 24, 2018}}
| align=center| April 17–19, 2018 | align=center| 411 | align=center| ± 4.9% | align=center| 12% | align=center| 20% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 24% | align=center| 5%Tom Willis with 3 percent, Bo Copley and Jack Newbrough with 1 percent | {{party shading/Undecided}} align=center| 39% |
Osage Research (R-Morrisey){{Cite web|url=https://www.theintelligencer.net/news/top-headlines/2018/03/morriseys-poll-shows-him-leading-for-senate/|title=Morrisey's Poll Shows Him Leading for Senate}}
| align=center| March 13, 2018 | align=center| 500 | align=center| ± 4.4% | align=center| 23% | align=center| 17% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 24% | align=center| 4%Bo Copley with 2.5 percent, Tom Willis with 1.4 percent, and Jack Newbrough with "an unregistered amount" | align=center| – |
Harper Polling (R-Jenkins){{Cite web|url=https://www.weirtondailytimes.com/news/local-news/2018/03/morriseys-poll-shows-him-leading-for-senate/|title=Morrisey's poll shows him leading for Senate}}
| align=center| March 5–6, 2018 | align=center| 400 | align=center| – | align=center| 27% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 29% | align=center| 19% | align=center| 10%Tom Willis and Jack Newbrough with 4 percent; Bo Copley with 2 percent | align=center| 15% |
rowspan=2|Harper Polling (R-Jenkins){{Cite web|url=http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/evan-jenkins-led-morrisey-campaigns-poll-west-virginia-primary|title=Harper Polling (R-Jenkins)}}
| rowspan=2 align=center| February 5–6, 2018 | rowspan=2 align=center| 500 | rowspan=2 align=center| ± 4.4% | align=center| 18% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 33% | align=center| 25% | align=center| 12% | align=center| 12% |
align=center| –
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 42% | align=center| 36% | align=center| – | align=center| 22% |
Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R-35th PAC){{Cite web|url=http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/super-pac-staffs-morrisey-west-virginia-gop-primary|title=Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R-35th PAC)}}
| align=center| October 19–22, 2017 | align=center| 400 | align=center| ± 4.9% | align=center| – | align=center| 34% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 40% | align=center| – | align=center| 26% |
=Results=
[[File:2018 WV US Senate Republican primary.svg|thumb|250px|Results by county:
{{collapsible list
| title = Morrisey|{{legend|#D72F30|Morrisey—70–80%}}|{{legend|#D75D5D|Morrisey—60–70%}}|{{legend|#E27F7F|Morrisey—50–60%}}|{{legend|#FFB2B2|Morrisey—40–50%}}|{{legend|#FFC8CD|Morrisey—30–40%}}|{{legend|#FFE0EA|Morrisey—<30%}}
}}
{{collapsible list
| title = Jenkins|{{legend|#FFCCA9|Jenkins—30–40%}}|{{legend|#FFB580|Jenkins—40–50%}}|{{legend|#FF9A50|Jenkins—50–60%}}|{{legend|#EE8E50|Jenkins—60–70%}}
}}
{{collapsible list
| title = Blankenship|{{legend|#c0f0c0|Blankenship—<30%}}|{{legend|#aae5aa|Blankenship—30–40%}}|{{legend|#87de87|Blankenship—40–50%}}
}}
]]
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Patrick Morrisey
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 48,007
| percentage = 34.90%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Evan Jenkins
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 40,185
| percentage = 29.21%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Don Blankenship
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 27,478
| percentage = 19.97%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Tom Willis
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 13,540
| percentage = 9.84%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Bo Copley
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 4,248
| percentage = 3.09%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Jack Newbrough
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 4,115
| percentage = 2.99%
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 137,573
| percentage = 100%
}}
{{Election box end}}
Libertarian Party
= Candidates =
== Nominated ==
Constitution Party
=Candidates=
==Denied ballot access==
- Don Blankenship, former chairman and CEO of Massey Energy. Observers noted that he would be ineligible to run due to West Virginia's sore-loser law which states that the loser of a partisan primary election cannot appear on the ballot as an independent or with another political party in the general election.{{cite news|last=Isenstadt|first=Alex|title=Blankenship to wage third-party bid after losing primary|date=May 21, 2018|newspaper=Politico|access-date=May 21, 2018|url=https://www.politico.com/story/2018/05/21/don-blankenship-third-party-constitution-party-600779}} Blankenship was eligible to run as a write-in candidate.{{cite web|url=https://www.npr.org/2018/05/21/612984706/don-blankenship-to-mount-third-party-senate-bid-after-losing-w-va-gop-primary|title=Don Blankenship To Mount Third-Party Senate Bid After Losing W.Va. GOP Primary|website=NPR }}
{{cite web|url=http://pittsburgh.cbslocal.com/2018/06/06/don-blankenship-west-virginia-third-party-petition-drive/|title=Convicted Coal Executive Starts Third-Party Ballot Petition Drive In W.Va.|date=June 6, 2018}} Secretary of State Mac Warner denied ballot access to Blankenship's campaign on July 26, citing West Virginia's "sore loser" law. After a lawsuit, the Supreme Court of Appeals of West Virginia ordered Warner to deny Blankenship ballot access on August 29, 2018.{{cite news |last=Montellaro |first=Zach |publisher=POLITICO |date=August 29, 2018 |access-date=August 29, 2018 |title=West Virginia Supreme Court denies Blankenship a spot on Senate ballot |url=https://www.politico.com/story/2018/08/29/west-virginia-don-blankenship-senate-ballot-denied-802716}}
=Endorsements=
{{Endorsements box
| title = Don Blankenship
| list =
;Organizations
- Constitution Party of West Virginia{{cite web|url=http://cpwv.org/2018/05/24/w-va-constitution-party-nominates-don-blankenship-as-candidate-for-u-s-senate/|title=W.Va. Constitution Party Nominates Don Blankenship as Candidate for U.S. Senate : Constitution Party of West Virginia|website=cpwv.org}}
}}
General election
=Candidates=
- Mark Brazaitis (Independent, write-in), author and deputy mayor of Morgantown, West Virginia{{cite web|url=https://www.dominionpost.com/2018/09/03/mark-brazaitis-announces-write-in-u-s-senate-candidacy/|title=Mark Brazaitis announces write-in U.S. Senate candidacy - Dominion Post|website=www.dominionpost.com|date=September 3, 2018}}
=Predictions=
= Endorsements =
{{Endorsements box
| title = Joe Manchin (D)
| list =
;U.S. senators
- Al Franken, former U.S. senator (MN){{cite news|url=https://www.minnpost.com/politics-policy/2017/08/franken-klobuchar-step-early-2018-campaign-cash-endangered-senate-colleagues|title=Franken, Klobuchar step up early with 2018 campaign cash for endangered Senate colleagues|work=MinnPost|last=Brodey|first=Sam|date=August 4, 2017|access-date=August 5, 2017}}
- Amy Klobuchar, U.S. senator (MN)
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator (MA){{cite web |title=OH, PA & WV-Sen: Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D. MA) Helps These Dems Fight To Save Your Health Care |url=https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2018/6/12/1771534/-OH-PA-WV-Sen-Sen-Elizabeth-Warren-D-MA-Helps-These-Dems-Fight-To-Save-Your-Health-Care |website=Daily Kos |date=June 12, 2018}}
;Labor unions
- American Federation of Teachers, West Virginia affiliate{{cite web|last1=Campbell|first1=Christine|title=AFT-West Virginia Committee on Political Education 2018 General Endorsements|url=http://wv.aft.org/sites/default/files/article_pdf_files/2018-07/2018_aftwv_general_cope_endorsements_final_version.pdf|website=AFT-West Virginia|date=June 29, 2018}}
- Jackson County Education Association{{cite web|title=The WVEA-PAC and JCEA-PAC proudly endorse the following candidates in the 2018 West Virginia Primary. Each candidate is a true proponent of public education and has stood with West Virginia educators on the issues that affect our profession the most.|url=https://www.facebook.com/jacksoncountyea/photos/a.126721014639324.1073741828.126718807972878/183447168966708/?type=3&theater|website=www.facebook.com|publisher=Jackson County Education Association|language=en|date=April 25, 2018}}
- United Automobile Workers{{cite web |title=West Virginia – Official UAW Endorsements |url=http://uawendorsements.org/official-endorsement/west-virginia/ |website=uawendorsements.org |publisher=United Automobile Workers |access-date=2018-08-03 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180721103055/http://uawendorsements.org/official-endorsement/west-virginia/ |archive-date=2018-07-21 |url-status=dead }}
- United Mine Workers of America{{cite web|last1=Roberts|first1=Cecil|title=UMWA COMPAC Announces Endorsements for West Virginia Primary Election - UMWA|url=http://umwa.org/news-media/press/umwa-compac-announces-endorsements-for-west-virginia-primary-election/|website=UMWA|date=March 28, 2018}}
- West Virginia AFL–CIO{{cite web|last1=Sword|first1=Josh|last2=Walters|first2=Andy|last3=Breeden|first3=Sherry|last4=Ruckle|first4=Stacey|title=2018 General Endorsements|url=https://www.wvaflcio.org/legislative-and-political/2018-general-election-endorsements.html|website=West Virginia AFL-CIO|language=en-gb|date=June 12, 2018|access-date=July 6, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180621093236/https://www.wvaflcio.org/legislative-and-political/2018-general-election-endorsements.html|archive-date=June 21, 2018|url-status=dead}}
- West Virginia Education Association{{cite web |last1=Lee |first1=Dale |title=One week to go until Primary Election Day - Tuesday, May 8. Early voting is currently underway. Remember to take some form of ID to the polls. |url=https://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=616641132047227&id=134402096937802https://www.facebook.com/dedicatedteachers/photos/a.194611687236933.45477.138703196161116/1858201157544636/?type=3&theater |website=www.facebook.com |publisher=West Virginia Education Association |language=en |date=May 1, 2018}}
- West Virginia State Building and Construction Trades Council, AFL-CIO{{cite web |last1=Hutchinson |first1=Bill |last2=Efaw |first2=David |title=Building Trades Endorsements for 2018 General Election |url=http://www.actwv.org/library/2018_Endorsements.pdf |publisher=West Virginia State Building and Construction Trades Council, AFL-CIO}}
;Organizations
- Democrats for Life of America
- Huntington Regional Chamber of Commerce{{cite web|title=Campaign Trails: Chamber issues endorsements in primary|url=http://www.herald-dispatch.com/news/campaign-trails-chamber-issues-endorsements-in-primary/article_ab307867-76ad-5c3e-b30e-2750c0c8da9c.html|website=The Herald-Dispatch|language=en|date=April 17, 2018}}
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare{{cite web|url=https://www.ncpssm.org/pac/candidates-we-endorse-and-support/|title=Candidates We Endorse and Support - NCPSSM|website=www.ncpssm.org}}
;Individuals
- Bob Huggins, basketball coach for the West Virginia University
- Nick Saban, college football coach for the University of Alabama{{cite web|url=http://wvmetronews.com/2018/10/17/nick-saban-bob-huggins-and-jerry-west-star-in-latest-manchin-ad/|title=WV MetroNews – Saban, Huggins and West star in latest Manchin ad|website=wvmetronews.com|date=October 18, 2018}}
- Jerry West, former NBA player
;Newspapers
}}
{{Endorsements box
| title = Patrick Morrisey (R)
| list =
;U.S. executive branch officials
- Mike Pence, 48th vice president of the United States{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/mike_pence/status/994047183925202944|title=Congratulations to @MorriseyWV on his victory tonight. @RealDonaldTrump and I look forward to working with him. The great people of WV need a senator who supports the #MAGA agenda.|work=Twitter|author=Mike Pence}}
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States{{cite web |last1=Hagen |first1=Lisa |title=Trump to campaign for Morrisey in West Virginia |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/401263-trump-to-campaign-for-morrisey-in-west-virginia/ |website=TheHill |language=en |date=August 10, 2018}}{{cite web |title=Trump endorses Patrick Morrisey for U.S. Senate {{!}} News, Sports, Jobs - The Times Leader |url=http://www.timesleaderonline.com/news/local-news/2018/08/trump-endorses-patrick-morrisey-for-u-s-senate/ |website=The Times Leader}}
;U.S. senators
- Shelley Moore Capito, U.S. senator (WV){{cite news|url=https://twitter.com/CapitoforWV/status/994050678715813889|title=My full statement on tonight's election results|work=Twitter|author=Capito for WV}}
- Ted Cruz, U.S. senator (TX){{cite news|url=https://twitter.com/tedcruz/status/989925796059013120|title=In the race for U.S. Senate in West Virginia, I am proud to endorse Attorney General @morriseywv, and I urge the voters in West Virginia to join me by supporting him: #WVSen|work=Twitter|author=Ted Cruz}}
- Rand Paul, U.S. senator (KY){{cite web |title=Kentucky Senator Rand Paul to Rally for West Virginia Attorney General Patrick Morrisey |url=https://www.wowktv.com/news/politics/kentucky-senator-rand-paul-to-rally-for-west-virginia-attorney-general-patrick-morrisey/1157651854 |website=WOWK |date=May 3, 2018}}
- David Perdue, U.S. senator (GA){{cite web|url=https://politics.myajc.com/blog/politics/david-perdue-aims-shore-embattled-senate-candidates/jn3UZcQVitddON72HaUPpM/|title=David Perdue aims to shore up embattled Senate candidates|work=Politically Georgia|last=Bluestein|first=Greg|date=August 24, 2018}}
;U.S. representatives
- Evan Jenkins (WV-03){{cite web|url=http://www.wsaz.com/content/news/Evan-Jenkins-loses--482138881.html|title=Evan Jenkins loses Senate primary race|first=Andrew|last=Colegrove|date=May 9, 2018 }}
- David McKinley (WV-01){{cite news|url=https://twitter.com/RavenBrownTV/status/1056962127825641474|title=Senator Shelley Moore Capito, Congressman Alex Mooney, and Congressman David McKinley gather in support of Attorney General Patrick Morrisey for a Get-Out-The-Vote Kickoff event in Charleston. @wchs8fox11|work=Twitter|author=Raven Tiara Brown}}
- Alex Mooney (WV-02){{cite news|url=https://twitter.com/MooneyforWV/status/999304247408844801|title=Today, I am proud to endorse my friend and fellow conservative, @MorriseyWV for the United States Senate|work=Twitter|author=Alex Mooney}}
;U.S. governors
- Jim Justice, governor of West Virginia{{cite web|url=https://www.wvgazettemail.com/news/politics/in-charleston-trump-endorses-morrisey-takes-aim-at-media-in-testy-speech/article_3a8f658e-b721-58a6-91b0-a7e4b4ff7563.html|title=In Charleston, Trump endorses Morrisey, takes aim at media in testy speech|first1=Jake|last1=Zuckerman|date=August 21, 2018|via=www.wvgazettemail.com}}
- Scott Walker, governor of Wisconsin{{cite web|url=https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/scott-walker-patrick-morrisey-west-virginia-senate|title=Scott Walker Backs Patrick Morrisey in West Virginia Senate Primary|first1=Simone|last1=Pathé|date=February 20, 2018|via=www.rollcall.com}}
;State senators
- Mike Azinger, state senator
- Craig Blair, state senator
- Eric Householder, state senator
- Patricia Rucker, state senator{{cite news|url=https://wvrecord.com/stories/511150369-morrisey-pulling-in-endorsements-after-announcing-senate-run|title=Morrisey pulling in endorsements after announcing Senate run|work=wvrecord.com|date=July 20, 2017}}
- Randy Smith, state senator
- Charles S. Trump, state senator
;State delegates
- Karen Arvon, state delegate
- Jim Butler, state delegate
- Vernon Criss, state delegate
- Paul Espinosa, state delegate
- Michael Folk, state delegate
- Geoff Foster, state delegate
- Nancy Reagan Foster, state delegate
- Danny Hamrick, state delegate
- Joshua Higginbotham, state delegate
- Jordan Hill, state delegate
- Ray Hollen, state delegate
- Gary Howell, state delegate
- John R. Kelly, state delegate
- Tony J. Lewis, state delegate
- Patrick S. Martin, state delegate
- Pat McGeehan, state delegate
- John Overington, state delegate
- Tony Paynter, state delegate
- William Romine, state delegate
- Ruth Rowan, state delegate
- Jill Upson, state delegate
- Ron Walters, state delegate
- Guy Ward, state delegate
- S. Marshall Wilson, state delegate
;Organizations
- American Conservative Union{{cite news|url=https://www.senateconservatives.com/post/3662|title=ACU Endorses Patrick Morrisey|work=American Conservative Union|date=March 29, 2018}}
- Family Policy Council of West Virginia{{cite web|url=https://patrickmorrisey.com/2018/04/10/morrisey-receives-endorsement-from-conservative-family-policy-council-of-west-virginia/|title=Morrisey Receives Endorsement from Conservative Family Policy Council of West Virginia|work=Morrisey for Senate|access-date=July 15, 2018|archive-date=July 15, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180715235648/https://patrickmorrisey.com/2018/04/10/morrisey-receives-endorsement-from-conservative-family-policy-council-of-west-virginia/|url-status=dead}}
- FreedomWorks{{cite news|url=http://www.wvgazettemail.com/news/20170722/manchin-raises-big-money-for-senate-campaign-jenkins-lags-behind|title=Manchin raises big money for Senate campaign; Jenkins lags behind|work=Charleston Gazette-Mail|last=Zuckerman|first=Jake|date=July 22, 2017|access-date=August 5, 2017}}
- Great America Alliance{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/MorriseyWV/status/918201777970925568|title=Humbled that Trump group, Great American Alliance, has endorsed my candidacy. Honored to be one of first three Senate candidates announced.|work=Twitter|author=AG Patrick Morrisey}}
- Gun Owners of America{{cite web|url=https://patrickmorrisey.com/2017/07/20/morrisey-pulling-endorsements-announcing-senate-run/|title=Morrisey pulling in endorsements after announcing Senate run - Patrick Morrisey|date=July 20, 2017|access-date=January 16, 2018|archive-date=January 17, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180117012017/https://patrickmorrisey.com/2017/07/20/morrisey-pulling-endorsements-announcing-senate-run/|url-status=dead}}
- NRA Political Victory Fund{{cite web|title=NRA Endorses Patrick Morrisey for U.S. Senate|url=https://www.nraila.org/articles/20180910/nra-endorses-patrick-morrisey-for-us-senate|work=NRA-ILA|date=September 10, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180911191547/https://www.nraila.org/articles/20180910/nra-endorses-patrick-morrisey-for-us-senate|archive-date=September 11, 2018|url-status=live}}
- Republican Jewish Coalition{{cite web|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/card/republican-jewish-coalition-launches-first-wave-midterm-endorsements-n893626|title=Republican Jewish Coalition launches first wave of midterm endorsements|work=NBCNews.com|date=July 23, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180801195929/https://www.nbcnews.com/card/republican-jewish-coalition-launches-first-wave-midterm-endorsements-n893626|archive-date=August 1, 2018|url-status=live}}
- Senate Conservatives Fund{{cite news|url=https://www.senateconservatives.com/post/3662|title=Patrick Morrisey for Senate in West Virginia|work=Senate Conservatives Fund|date=January 24, 2018}}
- Students For Trump{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/TrumpStudents/status/1018569352700887041|title=Liberal Joe Manchin has been deceiving the people of West Virginia for years!He supported Obama and Crooked Hillary,yet now supports Trump's policies when it is convenient for him.West Virginia deserves a Senator that shares their values! Elect @morriseywv @DonaldJTrumpJr|work=Twitter|author=Students For Trump}}
- Tea Party Patriots{{cite news|url=https://www.teapartypatriots.org/news/citizens-fund-endorses-patrick-morrisey-for-senate-in-west-virginia/|title=Citizens Fund Endorses Patrick Morrisey for Senate in West Virginia|work=Tea Party Patriots Citizens Fund|date=April 16, 2018|access-date=April 16, 2018|archive-date=April 16, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180416212036/https://www.teapartypatriots.org/news/citizens-fund-endorses-patrick-morrisey-for-senate-in-west-virginia/|url-status=dead}}
- U.S. Chamber of Commerce{{cite web|url=http://wvmetronews.com/2018/08/30/us-chamber-of-commerce-backs-morrisey-in-senate-matchup/|title=US Chamber of Commerce backs Morrisey in Senate matchup|work=West Virginia MetroNews|last=Thomas|first=Alex|date=August 30, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180830193915/http://wvmetronews.com/2018/08/30/us-chamber-of-commerce-backs-morrisey-in-senate-matchup|archive-date=August 30, 2018|url-status=live}}
- West Virginia Citizens Defense League
- West Virginia Coal Association{{cite web|url=https://www.wvcoal.com/latest/coal-association-endorses-morrisey-for-us-senate|title=Coal Association Endorses Morrisey for US Senate|work=WV Coal Association|date=August 21, 2018|access-date=August 28, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180828134435/https://www.wvcoal.com/latest/coal-association-endorses-morrisey-for-us-senate|archive-date=August 28, 2018|url-status=dead}}
- West Virginians for Life
;Individuals
- Don Blankenship, former Massey Energy CEO{{cite web|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/412336-blankenship-endorses-gop-nominee-in-wv-race-while-calling-him-lying-new/|title=Blankenship endorses ex-W.Va. GOP Senate rival, calls him 'lying' drug lobbyist|work=The Hill|author=John Bowden|date=October 19, 2018}}
- Dinesh D'Souza, conservative political commentator, author and filmmaker{{Cite web|url=https://twitter.com/DineshDSouza/status/1048332717157433345|title=x.com}}
- Sebastian Gorka, former Deputy Assistant to the President{{cite news|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/385216-gorka-backs-wva-attorney-general-in-gop-senate-bid/|title=Gorka backs W.Va. attorney general in GOP Senate bid|work=The Hill|author=Ben Kamisar|date=April 27, 2018}}
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman and son of U.S. President Donald Trump{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/DonaldJTrumpJr/status/1004845808288755712|title=He voted with Obama 83% of the time, sponsored gun control legislation and voted for excessive regulation. He's about as far from #maga as it gets. Lying about it now won't help. Vote @MorriseyWV for someone who will support @realDonaldTrump #WV #wvpol|work=Twitter|author=Donald Trump Jr.}}
;Newspapers
- National Review{{cite web|url=https://www.nationalreview.com/2018/04/patrick-morrisey-for-senate-west-virginia-hard-worker/|title=Patrick Morrisey for Senate|work=National Review|date=April 30, 2018|access-date=April 30, 2018}}
}}
= Fundraising =
class="wikitable sortable" |
colspan=4 |Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2018 |
---|
style="text-align:center;"
!Candidate (party) !Total receipts !Total disbursements !Cash on hand |
{{party shading/Democratic}}|Joe Manchin (D)
|align="right" |$8,872,162 |align="right" |$6,459,930 |align="right" |$4,200,530 |
{{party shading/Republican}}|Patrick Morrisey (R)
|align="right" |$4,943,056 |align="right" |$3,315,300 |align="right" |$1,627,756 |
colspan="4" |Source: Federal Election Commission{{cite web|url=https://www.fec.gov/data/elections/senate/WV/2018/|title=Campaign finance data|access-date=September 2, 2018}} |
=Polling=
{{Graph:Chart
| width=700
| height=400
| xAxisTitle=
| yAxisTitle=%support
| xAxisAngle = -40
| legend=Candidate
| interpolate = bundle
| size = 77
| xType = date
| y1Title=Manchin
| y2Title=Morrisey
| y3Title=Other
| type=line
|xGrid=
| x= 2016/11/17, 2017/08/20, 2017/09/30, 2018/05/10, 2018/05/13, 2018/05/16, 2018/06/13, 2018/06/19, 2018/07/02, 2018/07/16, 2018/08/16, 2018/08/23, 2018/09/15, 2018/09/23, 2018/09/24, 2018/09/25, 2018/09/26, 2018/10/09, 2018/10/13, 2018/10/15, 2018/10/18, 2018/10/19, 2018/10/30, 2018/10/31,
| y1= 57, 51, 45, 44, 50, 52, 49, 49, 53, 50, 46, 47, 45, 48, 47, 45, 46, 41, 49, 53, 45, 52, 45, 47,
| y2= 35, 37, 38, 46, 42, 40, 42, 42, 40, 40, 38, 41, 33, 36, 43, 45, 38, 40, 45, 46, 47, 36, 40, 42,
| y3= 8, 12, 17, 11, 8, 8, 9, 9, 6, 10, 16, 12, 22, 4, 10, 10, 16, 8, 5, 1, 8, 12, 15, 11,
| colors = #3333FF, #E81B23, #DCDCDC
| showSymbols = 1
| yGrid = true
| linewidth = 2.0
}}
{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}
with Don Blankenship
class="wikitable" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Joe ! style="width:100px;"| Patrick ! style="width:100px;"| Don ! Other ! Undecided |
Research America Inc.
| align=center| August 16–26, 2018 | align=center| 404 | align=center| ± 4.9% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 45% | align=center| 34% | align=center| 8% | align=center| – | align=center| 13% |
Monmouth University
| align=center| June 14–19, 2018 | align=center| 653 | align=center| ± 3.8% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 48% | align=center| 39% | align=center| 4% | align=center| 2% | align=center| 6% |
Public Policy Polling
| align=center| June 12–13, 2018 | align=center| 633 | align=center| – | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 46% | align=center| 35% | align=center| 11% | align=center| – | align=center| 7% |
Gravis Marketing{{Cite web|url=http://orlando-politics.com/2018/05/27/gravis-marketing-poll-manchin-leads-morrisey-by-13-in-west-virginia-senate-race/|title=Gravis Marketing Poll: Manchin Leads Morrisey by 13 in West Virginia Senate Race | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180729173041/http://orlando-politics.com/2018/05/27/gravis-marketing-poll-manchin-leads-morrisey-by-13-in-west-virginia-senate-race/ | archive-date=2018-07-29}}
| align=center| May 22, 2018 | align=center| 543 | align=center| ± 4.2% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 51% | align=center| 39% | align=center| 5% | align=center| – | align=center| – |
with generic Republican
class="wikitable" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Joe ! style="width:100px;"| Generic ! Undecided |
National Research Inc. (R-GOPAC)
| align=center| April 17–19, 2018 | align=center| – | align=center| – | align=center| 37% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 41% | align=center| 20% |
SurveyMonkey/Axios{{Cite web|url=https://accounts.google.com/v3/signin/identifier?continue=https%3A%2F%2Fdrive.google.com%2Ffile%2Fd%2F1qH6AbyU5kapsnOLZGf3ydy7MYKjbUo-A%2Fview&followup=https%3A%2F%2Fdrive.google.com%2Ffile%2Fd%2F1qH6AbyU5kapsnOLZGf3ydy7MYKjbUo-A%2Fview&ifkv=ARpgrqfHAZHpQlTgz845u2VuKWTGI5WI7XUZq47CcJhkL9QmYhkakBMM6mKrtUbCwBsSSQ7_uZlghw&osid=1&passive=1209600&service=wise&flowName=GlifWebSignIn&flowEntry=ServiceLogin&dsh=S-381849982%3A1726652660544423&ddm=0|title=Google Drive: Sign-in|website=accounts.google.com}}
| align=center| February 12 – March 5, 2018 | align=center| 1,591 | align=center| ± 3.5% | align=center| 43% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 52% | align=center| 5% {{election box end}} with Evan Jenkins {| class="wikitable" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Joe ! style="width:100px;"| Evan ! Undecided |
Zogby Analytics
| align=center| September 27–30, 2017 | align=center| 320 | align=center| ± 5.5% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 49% | align=center| 36% | align=center| 15% |
Research America Inc.
| align=center| August 11–20, 2017 | align=center| 400 | align=center| ± 4.9% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 50% | align=center| 40% | align=center| 10% |
Harper Polling
| align=center| November 16–17, 2016 | align=center| 500 | align=center| ± 4.4% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 51% | align=center| 39% | align=center| 10% {{Election box end}} with Alex Mooney {| class="wikitable" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Joe ! style="width:100px;"| Alex ! Undecided |
Zogby Analytics
| align=center| September 27–30, 2017 | align=center| 320 | align=center| ± 5.5% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 49% | align=center| 35% | align=center| 17% |
Harper Polling
| align=center| November 16–17, 2016 | align=center| 500 | align=center| ± 4.4% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 58% | align=center| 28% | align=center| 14% {{Election box end}} with David McKinley {| class="wikitable" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Joe ! style="width:100px;"| David ! Undecided |
Harper Polling
| align=center| November 16–17, 2016 | align=center| 500 | align=center| ± 4.4% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 54% | align=center| 34% | align=center| 12% |
Public Policy Polling{{Cite web|url=http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_WV_50416.pdf|title=Public Policy Polling}}
| align=center| April 29 – May 1, 2016 | align=center| 1,201 | align=center| ± 2.8% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 46% | align=center| 36% | align=center| 18% |
class="wikitable" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Carte ! style="width:100px;"| David ! Undecided |
Harper Polling
| align=center| November 16–17, 2016 | align=center| 500 | align=center| ± 4.4% | align=center| 36% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 42% | align=center| 22% |
with generic Democratic and Republican
class="wikitable" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Generic ! style="width:100px;"| Generic ! Other ! Undecided |
National Research Inc. (R-GOPAC)
| align=center| April 17–19, 2018 | align=center| – | align=center| – | align=center| 37% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 49% | align=center| 4% | align=center| 11% |
Zogby Analytics
| align=center| September 27–30, 2017 | align=center| 320 | align=center| ± 5.5% | align=center| 35% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 40% | align=center| 6% | align=center| 19% |
with Carte Goodwin
class="wikitable" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Carte ! style="width:100px;"| Alex ! Undecided |
Harper Polling
| align=center| November 16–17, 2016 | align=center| 500 | align=center| ± 4.4% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 41% | align=center| 31% | align=center| 28% {{Election box end}} {| class="wikitable" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Carte ! style="width:100px;"| Evan ! Undecided |
Harper Polling
| align=center| November 16–17, 2016 | align=center| 500 | align=center| ± 4.4% | align=center| 31% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 43% | align=center| 25% {{Election box end}} {| class="wikitable" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Carte ! style="width:100px;"| Patrick ! Undecided |
Harper Polling
| align=center| November 16–17, 2016 | align=center| 500 | align=center| ± 4.4% | align=center| 39% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 43% | align=center| 18% |
{{hidden end}}
= Results =
[[File:2018 West Virginia Senate swing by county margins.svg|300px|thumb|Swing by county
{{collapsible list| title = Legend|{{legend|#77e3ff|Democratic—+10-15%}}|{{legend|#FFD5D5|Republican—+<5%}}|{{legend|#FFAAAA|Republican—+5-10%}}|{{legend|#FF8080|Republican—+10-15%}}|{{legend|#FF5555|Republican—+15-20%}}|{{legend|#FF2A2A|Republican—+20-25%}}|{{legend|#FF0000|Republican—+25-30%}}|
{{legend|#D40000|Republican—+30-35%}}|
|{{legend|#b80000|Republican—+35-40%}}
|{{legend|#990000|Republican—+>40%}}}}]]
{{Election box begin | title=United States Senate election in West Virginia, 2018{{Cite web|url=https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/WV/92360/Web02-state.221451/#/|title = Election Night Reporting}}}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| candidate = Joe Manchin (incumbent)
| votes = 290,510
| percentage = 49.57%
| change = -12.00%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Patrick Morrisey|votes=271,113|percentage=46.26%|change=+9.79%}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Libertarian Party (United States)|candidate=Rusty Hollen|votes=24,411|percentage=4.17%|change=N/A}}
{{Election box total
| votes = 586,034
| percentage = 100.00%
| change = N/A
}}
{{Election box hold with party link no swing
| winner = Democratic Party (United States)
}}
{{Election box end}}
==By congressional district==
Manchin won all three congressional districts, all of which elected Republicans.{{Cite web|url=https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::8011bcb2-469b-4546-a6b8-27259586d5a3|title=DRA 2020|website=Daves Redistricting}}
class=wikitable |
District
! Manchin ! Morrisey ! Representative |
---|
align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|West Virginia|1|1st}} | 49% | 46% | {{party shading/Republican}}|David McKinley |
align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|West Virginia|2|2nd}} | 50% | 46% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Alex Mooney |
align=center
! rowspan=2 {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|West Virginia|3|3rd}} | rowspan=2|49% | rowspan=2|47% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Evan Jenkins (115th Congress) |
align=center
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Carol Miller (116th Congress) |
==By county==
All results are from the office of the Secretary of State of West Virginia.{{cite web|url=https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/WV/92360/Web02-state.222648/#/cid/100|title=WV – Election Night Reporting|access-date=October 12, 2020}}
width="53%" class="wikitable sortable"
! colspan="1" rowspan="3" style="text-align:center" | County | colspan="6" style="text-align: center;" | Candidate | colspan="1" rowspan="3" style="text-align: center;" | Total votes |
colspan="2" style="text-align: center;" | Joe Manchin
! colspan="2" style="text-align: center;" | Patrick Morrisey ! colspan="2" style="text-align: center;" | Rusty Hollen | ||
---|---|---|
%
!Votes !% !Votes !% !Votes | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Barbour
|align="center"|42.98% |align="center"|2,121 |align="center"|51.91% |align="center"|2,562 |align="center"|5.11% |align="center"|252 |align="center"|4,935 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Berkeley
|align="center"|42.63% |align="center"|14,508 |align="center"|53.21% |align="center"|18,111 |align="center"|4.16% |align="center"|1,416 |align="center"|34,035 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Boone
|align="center"|57.12% |align="center"|3,894 |align="center"|39.75% |align="center"|2,710 |align="center"|3.12% |align="center"|213 |align="center"|6,817 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Braxton
|align="center"|51.24% |align="center"|2,148 |align="center"|45.01% |align="center"|1,887 |align="center"|3.75% |align="center"|157 |align="center"|4,192 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Brooke
|align="center"|50.93% |align="center"|3,987 |align="center"|44.88% |align="center"|3,513 |align="center"|4.19% |align="center"|328 |align="center"|7,828 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Cabell
|align="center"|58.18% |align="center"|16,909 |align="center"|38.77% |align="center"|11,267 |align="center"|3.05% |align="center"|885 |align="center"|29,061 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Calhoun
|align="center"|45.34% |align="center"|967 |align="center"|49.93% |align="center"|1,065 |align="center"|4.74% |align="center"|101 |align="center"|2,133 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Clay
|align="center"|46.92% |align="center"|1,141 |align="center"|49.22% |align="center"|1,197 |align="center"|3.87% |align="center"|94 |align="center"|2,432 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Doddridge
|align="center"|33.77% |align="center"|746 |align="center"|61.20% |align="center"|1,352 |align="center"|5.02% |align="center"|111 |align="center"|2,209 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Fayette
|align="center"|53.19% |align="center"|6,502 |align="center"|42.22% |align="center"|5,160 |align="center"|4.59% |align="center"|561 |align="center"|12,223 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Gilmer
|align="center"|47.22% |align="center"|944 |align="center"|46.47% |align="center"|929 |align="center"|6.30% |align="center"|126 |align="center"|1,999 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Grant
|align="center"|24.04% |align="center"|935 |align="center"|72.49% |align="center"|2,820 |align="center"|3.47% |align="center"|135 |align="center"|3,890 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Greenbrier
|align="center"|50.78% |align="center"|6,201 |align="center"|45.55% |align="center"|5,563 |align="center"|3.67% |align="center"|448 |align="center"|12,212 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Hampshire
|align="center"|33.80% |align="center"|2,325 |align="center"|62.71% |align="center"|4,313 |align="center"|3.49% |align="center"|240 |align="center"|6,878 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Hancock
|align="center"|46.53% |align="center"|4,707 |align="center"|49.06% |align="center"|4,963 |align="center"|4.42% |align="center"|447 |align="center"|10,117 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Hardy
|align="center"|41.41% |align="center"|1,880 |align="center"|54.34% |align="center"|2,467 |align="center"|4.25% |align="center"|193 |align="center"|4,540 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Harrison
|align="center"|51.05% |align="center"|11,491 |align="center"|42.25% |align="center"|9,512 |align="center"|6.70% |align="center"|1,508 |align="center"|22,511 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Jackson
|align="center"|47.89% |align="center"|4,890 |align="center"|48.61% |align="center"|4,964 |align="center"|3.50% |align="center"|357 |align="center"|10,211 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Jefferson
|align="center"|51.32% |align="center"|10,666 |align="center"|45.04% |align="center"|9,360 |align="center"|3.64% |align="center"|756 |align="center"|20,782 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Kanawha
|align="center"|61.58% |align="center"|39,333 |align="center"|35.27% |align="center"|22,527 |align="center"|3.16% |align="center"|2,018 |align="center"|63,878 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Lewis
|align="center"|41.64% |align="center"|2,326 |align="center"|51.54% |align="center"|2,879 |align="center"|6.82% |align="center"|381 |align="center"|5,586 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Lincoln
|align="center"|51.40% |align="center"|2,899 |align="center"|45.27% |align="center"|2,553 |align="center"|3.33% |align="center"|188 |align="center"|5,640 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Logan
|align="center"|47.74% |align="center"|4,574 |align="center"|49.13% |align="center"|4,708 |align="center"|3.13% |align="center"|300 |align="center"|9,582 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Marion
|align="center"|56.23% |align="center"|10,889 |align="center"|37.59% |align="center"|7,280 |align="center"|6.18% |align="center"|1,197 |align="center"|19,366 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Marshall
|align="center"|50.84% |align="center"|5,485 |align="center"|45.12% |align="center"|4,868 |align="center"|4.04% |align="center"|436 |align="center"|10,789 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Mason
|align="center"|51.06% |align="center"|4,270 |align="center"|45.50% |align="center"|3,805 |align="center"|3.44% |align="center"|288 |align="center"|8,363 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|McDowell
|align="center"|48.67% |align="center"|2,222 |align="center"|48.15% |align="center"|2,198 |align="center"|3.18% |align="center"|145 |align="center"|4,565 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Mercer
|align="center"|41.19% |align="center"|7,430 |align="center"|55.62% |align="center"|10,033 |align="center"|3.20% |align="center"|577 |align="center"|18,040 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Mineral
|align="center"|34.79% |align="center"|3,108 |align="center"|61.84% |align="center"|5,525 |align="center"|3.37% |align="center"|301 |align="center"|8,934 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Mingo
|align="center"|42.13% |align="center"|2,929 |align="center"|55.02% |align="center"|3,825 |align="center"|2.85% |align="center"|198 |align="center"|6,952 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Monongalia
|align="center"|58.20% |align="center"|18,010 |align="center"|35.28% |align="center"|10,918 |align="center"|6.52% |align="center"|2,019 |align="center"|30,947 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Monroe
|align="center"|43.09% |align="center"|2,125 |align="center"|53.61% |align="center"|2,644 |align="center"|3.30% |align="center"|163 |align="center"|4,932 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Morgan
|align="center"|34.54% |align="center"|2,143 |align="center"|60.98% |align="center"|3,783 |align="center"|4.48% |align="center"|278 |align="center"|6,204 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Nicholas
|align="center"|45.75% |align="center"|3,588 |align="center"|50.34% |align="center"|3,948 |align="center"|3.91% |align="center"|307 |align="center"|7,843 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Ohio
|align="center"|55.18% |align="center"|8,731 |align="center"|41.64% |align="center"|6,588 |align="center"|3.19% |align="center"|504 |align="center"|15,823 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Pendleton
|align="center"|37.65% |align="center"|948 |align="center"|58.70% |align="center"|1,478 |align="center"|3.65% |align="center"|92 |align="center"|2,518 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Pleasants
|align="center"|45.88% |align="center"|1,157 |align="center"|50.20% |align="center"|1,266 |align="center"|3.93% |align="center"|99 |align="center"|2,522 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Pocahontas
|align="center"|44.59% |align="center"|1,269 |align="center"|49.58% |align="center"|1,411 |align="center"|5.83% |align="center"|166 |align="center"|2,846 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Preston
|align="center"|35.56% |align="center"|3,686 |align="center"|57.34% |align="center"|5,943 |align="center"|7.10% |align="center"|736 |align="center"|10,365 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Putnam
|align="center"|49.31% |align="center"|10,513 |align="center"|47.33% |align="center"|10,090 |align="center"|3.36% |align="center"|716 |align="center"|21,319 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Raleigh
|align="center"|43.86% |align="center"|10,581 |align="center"|52.31% |align="center"|12,620 |align="center"|3.84% |align="center"|926 |align="center"|24,127 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Randolph
|align="center"|50.27% |align="center"|4,472 |align="center"|45.16% |align="center"|4,017 |align="center"|4.58% |align="center"|407 |align="center"|8,896 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Ritchie
|align="center"|33.85% |align="center"|1,082 |align="center"|61.36% |align="center"|1,961 |align="center"|4.79% |align="center"|153 |align="center"|3,196 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Roane
|align="center"|51.30% |align="center"|2,165 |align="center"|45.00% |align="center"|1,899 |align="center"|3.70% |align="center"|156 |align="center"|4,220 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Summers
|align="center"|50.62% |align="center"|2,069 |align="center"|45.71% |align="center"|1,868 |align="center"|3.67% |align="center"|150 |align="center"|4,087 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Taylor
|align="center"|44.91% |align="center"|2,376 |align="center"|49.94% |align="center"|2,642 |align="center"|5.14% |align="center"|272 |align="center"|5,290 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Tucker
|align="center"|46.90% |align="center"|1,469 |align="center"|47.96% |align="center"|1,502 |align="center"|5.14% |align="center"|161 |align="center"|3,132 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Tyler
|align="center"|38.00% |align="center"|1,065 |align="center"|57.19% |align="center"|1,603 |align="center"|4.82% |align="center"|135 |align="center"|2,803 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Upshur
|align="center"|41.17% |align="center"|3,102 |align="center"|53.23% |align="center"|4,010 |align="center"|5.60% |align="center"|422 |align="center"|7,534 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Wayne
|align="center"|50.34% |align="center"|6,395 |align="center"|46.87% |align="center"|5,954 |align="center"|2.79% |align="center"|355 |align="center"|12,704 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Webster
|align="center"|45.03% |align="center"|1,033 |align="center"|48.82% |align="center"|1,120 |align="center"|6.15% |align="center"|141 |align="center"|2,294 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Wetzel
|align="center"|50.91% |align="center"|2,518 |align="center"|43.17% |align="center"|2,135 |align="center"|5.92% |align="center"|293 |align="center"|4,946 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Wirt
|align="center"|42.22% |align="center"|790 |align="center"|53.71% |align="center"|1,005 |align="center"|4.06% |align="center"|76 |align="center"|1,871 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Wood
|align="center"|48.88% |align="center"|14,189 |align="center"|47.19% |align="center"|13,696 |align="center"|3.93% |align="center"|1,141 |align="center"|29,026 | ||
align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Wyoming
|align="center"|44.27% |align="center"|2,607 |align="center"|52.57% |align="center"|3,096 |align="center"|3.16% |align="center"|186 |align="center"|5,889 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
{{div col}}
- Barbour (largest municipality: Philippi)
- Berkeley (largest municipality: Martinsburg)
- Calhoun (largest municipality: Grantsville)
- Clay (largest municipality: Clay)
- Hampshire (largest municipality: Romney)
- Hancock (largest municipality: Weirton)
- Hardy (largest municipality: Moorefield)
- Jackson (largest municipality: Ravenswood)
- Lewis (largest municipality: Weston)
- Logan (largest municipality: Logan)
- Mercer (largest municipality: Bluefield)
- Mineral (largest municipality: Keyser)
- Mingo (largest municipality: Williamson)
- Monroe (largest municipality: Peterstown)
- Morgan (largest municipality: Berkeley Springs)
- Nicholas (largest municipality: Summersville)
- Pendleton (largest municipality: Franklin)
- Pleasants (largest municipality: St. Marys)
- Pocahontas (largest municipality: Marlinton)
- Raleigh (largest municipality: Beckley)
- Ritchie (largest municipality: Harrisville)
- Taylor (largest municipality: Grafton)
- Tucker (largest municipality: Parsons)
- Tyler (largest municipality: Paden City)
- Upshur (largest municipality: Buckhannon)
- Webster (largest municipality: Webster Springs)
- Wirt (largest municipality: Elizabeth)
- Wyoming (largest municipality: Mullens)
{{div col end}}
References
{{reflist}}
External links
- [https://votesmart.org/election/2018/C/WV/2018-congressional Candidates] at Vote Smart
- [https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_election_in_West_Virginia,_2018 Candidates] at Ballotpedia
- [https://www.fec.gov/data/elections/senate/WV/2018/ Campaign finance] at FEC
- [https://www.opensecrets.org/races/summary?cycle=2018&id=WVS1 Campaign finance] at OpenSecrets
Official campaign websites
- [https://www.donblankenship.com/ Don Blankenship (C) for Senate (write-in)]
- [http://www.markbrazaitis.com/senate-campaign// Mark Brazaitis (I) for Senate (write-in)]
- [https://hollrusl.wixsite.com/hollen4wv Rusty Hollen (L) for Senate]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20191031022419/https://joemanchinwv.com/ Joe Manchin (D) for Senate]
- [https://patrickmorrisey.com/ Patrick Morrisey (R) for Senate] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180512011447/https://patrickmorrisey.com/ |date=May 12, 2018 }}
{{2018 United States elections}}
{{DEFAULTSORT:United States Senate Election In West Virginia, 2018}}