2020 North Carolina gubernatorial election
{{Short description|none}}
{{for|related races|2020 United States gubernatorial elections}}
{{Use American English|date=January 2025}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2020 North Carolina gubernatorial election
| country = North Carolina
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2016 North Carolina gubernatorial election
| previous_year = 2016
| next_election = 2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election
| next_year = 2024
| election_date = November 3, 2020
| turnout = 75.35% {{increase}} 6.37pp
| image_size = x160px
| image1 = File:Roy Cooper in November 2023 (cropped).jpg
| nominee1 = Roy Cooper
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 2,834,790
| percentage1 = 51.52%
| image2 = File:Dan Forest - Flag (cropped).jpg
| nominee2 = Dan Forest
| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 2,586,605
| percentage2 = 47.01%
| map_image = {{switcher |325px |County results |325px |Congressional district results |325px |Precinct results |default=1}}
| map_size = 325px
| map_caption = Cooper: {{legend0|#A5B0FF|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996E2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674DE|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584CDE|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}
Forest: {{legend0|#FFB2B2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#D75D5D|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}
Tie: {{legend0|#d2b1d9|40–50%}}
| title = Governor
| before_election = Roy Cooper
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| after_election = Roy Cooper
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)
}}
{{Elections in North Carolina sidebar}}
The 2020 North Carolina gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the governor of North Carolina, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to one-third of the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Democratic incumbent Roy Cooper was re-elected to a second term, defeating Republican lieutenant governor Dan Forest. Cooper became the first North Carolina governor to win re-election since Mike Easley in 2004. He also outperformed other Democrats on the ballot and was the only Democrat to win a gubernatorial race in a state carried by Donald Trump in 2020. With a margin of 4.51%, this election was the second closest of the 2020 gubernatorial election cycle after Puerto Rico and the closest in a U.S. state.
Democratic primary
=Candidates=
==Nominee==
- Roy Cooper, incumbent governor{{Cite tweet|number= 1202647745414205446 |user=RoyCooperNC|title=I've officially filed for re-election! Together, we’ve made real progress, but there is more work to be done. If you're with me, sign up to join our team → http://act.roycooper.com/join-our-team|date=December 5, 2019}}
==Eliminated in primary==
- Ernest T. Reeves, retired U.S. Army captain and perennial candidate{{cite web |last1=Robertson |first1=Gary D. |title=N Carolina candidates rush for legislature, Meadows' seat |url=https://www.newsobserver.com/news/state/north-carolina/article238598733.html |website=Raleigh News & Observer |access-date=December 20, 2019 |date=December 20, 2019 |archive-date=December 25, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191225223120/https://www.newsobserver.com/news/state/north-carolina/article238598733.html |url-status=dead }}
=Polling=
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:60px;"| Roy ! style="width:60px;"| Ernest ! Undecided |
rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;"|High Point University[http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2020/03/70memoA.pdf High Point University] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200302155504/http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2020/03/70memoA.pdf |date=2020-03-02 }}
| rowspan=2 |February 21–28, 2020 | 269 (LV) | – | {{party shading/Democratic}}|74% | 13% | 13% |
468 (RV)
| – | {{party shading/Democratic}}|68% | 14% | 18% |
style="text-align:left;"|SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9dabc033-4e80-4d26-87db-2e2014623ac2 SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV]
| February 13–16, 2020 | 698 (LV) | ± 4.9% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|73% | 9% | 18% |
rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;"|High Point University[http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2020/02/69memoA.pdf High Point University] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200212175448/http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2020/02/69memoA.pdf |date=2020-02-12 }}
| rowspan=2 |January 31 – February 6, 2020 | 198 (LV) | – | {{party shading/Democratic}}|80% | 8% | 12% |
400 (RV)
| – | {{party shading/Democratic}}|69% | 10% | 21% |
=Results=
[[File:North Carolina Governor Democratic Primary, 2020.svg|thumb|300px|Results by county:
{{legend|#002b84|Cooper—>90%}}
{{legend|#0645b4|Cooper—80–90%}}
{{legend|#1666cb|Cooper—70–80%}}
]]
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic primary results {{cite web |work=North Carolina Board of Elections|url=https://er.ncsbe.gov/?election_dt=03/03/2020&county_id=0&office=COS&contest=0|access-date=June 3, 2020 |date=June 3, 2020 |title=North Carolina State Primary Election Results 2020}}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Roy Cooper (incumbent)
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 1,128,829
| percentage = 87.19%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Ernest T. Reeves
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 165,804
| percentage = 12.81%
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 1,294,633
| percentage = 100.00%
}}
{{Election box end}}
Republican primary
=Candidates=
==Nominee==
==Eliminated in primary==
- Holly Grange, state representative{{cite web |last1=Murphy |first1=Brian |last2=Specht |first2=Paul |title=State lawmaker, Army veteran Grange joins Republican race for governor |url=https://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/article231788048.html |website=www.newsobserver.com |publisher=The News & Observer |date=July 18, 2019}}
==Declined==
- Pat McCrory, former governor of North Carolina{{cite web |last1=Fain |first1=Travis |title=No gubernatorial run for McCrory, but he's eyeing US Senate in 2022 |url=https://www.wral.com/no-gubernatorial-run-for-mccrory-but-he-s-eyeing-us-senate-in-2022/18843007/ |website=WRAL |access-date=December 19, 2019 |date=December 19, 2019}}
- Mark Meadows, former U.S. Representative for North Carolina's 11th congressional district, White House Chief of Staff{{cite news|last=Murphy|first=Brian|title=Forest isn't officially running yet, but he's earned a big endorsement for governor|url=https://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/politics-columns-blogs/under-the-dome/article176916011.html|newspaper=The News & Observer|date=October 4, 2017|access-date=November 14, 2018}}
=Endorsements=
{{Endorsements box
| title = Dan Forest
| list =
Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021){{Cite web |last=Staff |first=WXII12 com Web |date=2020-07-03 |title=In tweet, President Trump blames Gov. Cooper for movement of RNC, endorses Lt. Gov. Forest |url=https://www.wxii12.com/article/president-trump-cooper-rnc-endorses-forrest-tweet/33101106 |access-date=2025-01-29 |website=WXII |language=en}}
U.S. Representatives
- Mark Meadows, former (NC-11) and former White House Chief of Staff{{cite news|url=http://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/politics-columns-blogs/under-the-dome/article176916011.html|title=Forest isn't officially running yet, but he's earned a big endorsement for governor|work=The News & Observer|last=Murphy|first=Brian|date=October 4, 2017}}
Organizations
=Polling=
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:60px;"| Dan ! style="width:60px;"| Holly ! style="width:60px;"| Pat ! Undecided |
rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;"|High Point University[http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2020/03/70memoA.pdf High Point University] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200302155504/http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2020/03/70memoA.pdf |date=2020-03-02 }}
| rowspan=2 |February 21–28, 2020 | 246 (LV) | – | {{party shading/Republican}}|74% | 13% | – | 13% |
443 (RV)
| – | {{party shading/Republican}}|64% | 12% | – | 24% |
style="text-align:left;"|SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV
| February 13–16, 2020 | 698 (LV) | ± 5.0% | {{party shading/Republican}}|60% | 8% | – | 32% |
rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;"|High Point University[http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2020/02/69memoA.pdf High Point University] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200212175448/http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2020/02/69memoA.pdf |date=2020-02-12 }}
| rowspan=2 |January 31 – February 6, 2020 | 198 (LV) | – | {{party shading/Republican}}|67% | 8% | – | 25% |
400 (RV)
| – | {{party shading/Republican}}|54% | 10% | – | 36% |
style="background:lightyellow;"
| style="border-right-style:hidden;"| | style="border-right-style:hidden;"| December 19, 2019 | colspan="15"| McCrory announces he will not run |
style="text-align:left;"|Harper Polling (R)[https://www.nccivitas.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/19.12-Civitas-NC-GOP-Primary-Toplines.pdf Harper Polling (R)]
| December 2–4, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 31% | 3% | {{party shading/Republican}}|42% | 25% |
=Results=
[[File:North Carolina Governor Republican Primary, 2020.svg|thumb|300px|Results by county:
{{legend|#800000|Forest—>90%}}
{{legend|#aa0000|Forest—80–90%}}
{{legend|#d40000|Forest—70–80%}}
]]
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Dan Forest
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 698,077
| percentage = 88.95%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Holly Grange
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 86,714
| percentage = 11.05%
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 784,791
| percentage = 100.00%
}}
{{Election box end}}
Other candidates
=Libertarian Party=
==Nominee==
- Steven J. DiFiore, candidate for Charlotte City Council in 2017, factory lighting representative
=Constitution Party=
==Nominee==
- Al Pisano, chairman of the Constitution Party of North Carolina{{cite web |last1=Batten |first1=Taylor |title=For bedrock conservatives, an alternative to the Republican Party |url=https://www.charlotteobserver.com/opinion/opn-columns-blogs/taylor-batten/article212838674.html |website=Charlotte Observer}}{{Cite web|url=https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/Elections/2020/Candidate%20Filing/2020%20state%20candidate%20list_by%20contest.pdf|title=State Board of Elections: Candidate list by contest}}
General election
=Predictions=
=Endorsements=
{{Endorsements box
| title = Roy Cooper (D)
| list =
U.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States{{Cite web|url=https://medium.com/@BarackObama/first-wave-of-2020-endorsements-43b2b0c667f6|title= First Wave of 2020 Endorsements|last=Obama|first=Barack|date=August 3, 2020|website=Medium}}
State and local officials
- Pete Buttigieg, former Mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020){{cite news|url=https://edition.cnn.com/2020/05/13/politics/buttigieg-endorsements-super-pac/index.html|access-date=May 14, 2020|title=Buttigieg highlights importance of local officials in first post-campaign endorsements|agency=CNN|last=Merica|first=Dan|date=May 13, 2020}}
Organizations
- Equality NC{{cite web |title=Equality North Carolina Releases Final Round Of 2020 Electoral Endorsements|url=https://equalitync.org/news/equality_north_carolina_releases_final_round_of_2020_electoral_endorsements/|website=Equality NC|language=en|date=April 23, 2020}}
Newspapers
- The Charlotte Observer{{cite news |title=Endorsement: Our choice for governor of North Carolina |url=https://www.charlotteobserver.com/opinion/article246203730.html |access-date=August 10, 2022 |work=The Charlotte Observer |date=October 21, 2020}}
- Indy Week{{cite news |last1=McDonald |first1=Thomasi |last2=Tauss |first2=Leigh |last3=Blest |first3=Paul |title=2020 Endorsements: Council of State |url=https://indyweek.com/news/elections/endorsements-2020-council-of-state/ |access-date=August 10, 2022 |work=INDY Week |date=October 14, 2020 |language=en-us}}
}}
{{Endorsements box
| title = Dan Forest (R)
| list =
U.S. presidents
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021){{Cite web |last=Staff |first=WXII12 com Web |date=2020-07-03 |title=In tweet, President Trump blames Gov. Cooper for movement of RNC, endorses Lt. Gov. Forest |url=https://www.wxii12.com/article/president-trump-cooper-rnc-endorses-forrest-tweet/33101106 |access-date=2025-01-29 |website=WXII |language=en}}
U.S. executive branch officials
- Mark Meadows, White House Chief of Staff for Donald Trump and former U.S. Representative from North Carolina's 11th congressional district
Organizations
}}
=Debates=
A debate between Cooper and Forest occurred 7:00 pm EDT, October 14, 2020.Associated Press, [https://spectrumlocalnews.com/nc/charlotte/news/2020/08/27/roy-cooper--dan-forest-agree-to-oct--14-debate Roy Cooper, Dan Forest Agree to Oct. 14 Debate], Spectrum News (August 27, 2020).
class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
!Dates !Location !Cooper !Forest !Link |
October 14, 2020
|Participant |Participant | align="left" |Full debate[https://www.c-span.org/video/?476743-1/north-carolina-gubernatorial-debate Full debate] - C-SPAN |
=Polling=
{{Graph:Chart
| width=700
| height=400
| xAxisTitle=
| yAxisTitle=%support
| xAxisAngle = -40
| legend=Candidate
| interpolate = basis
| size = 77
| xType = date
| y1Title=Roy Cooper
| y2Title=Dan Forest
| y3Title=Other/Undecided
| type=line
|xGrid=
| x= 2019/06/03, 2019/06/08, 2019/06/17, 2019/08/01, 2019/09/29, 2019/10/15, 2020/02/27, 2020/04/05, 2020/04/14, 2020/04/18, 2020/04/20, 2020/04/23, 2020/04/27, 2020/05/02, 2020/05/07, 2020/05/09, 2020/05/12, 2020/05/26, 2020/06/02, 2020/06/14, 2020/06/18, 2020/06/22, 2020/06/25, 2020/07/13, 2020/07/14, 2020/07/19, 2020/07/22, 2020/07/23, 2020/08/06, 2020/08/10, 2020/08/12, 2020/08/16, 2020/08/29, 2020/09/01, 2020/09/03, 2020/09/13, 2020/09/14, 2020/09/15, 2020/09/16, 2020/09/17, 2020/09/22, 2020/09/25, 2020/09/28, 2020/10/02, 2020/10/04, 2020/10/08, 2020/10/11, 2020/10/13, 2020/10/14, 2020/10/14, 2020/10/18, 2020/10/19, 2020/10/25, 2020/10/26, 2020/10/27, 2020/10/28, 2020/10/30, 2020/10/31
| y1= 52, 47, 45, 48, 46, 46, 49, 50, 50, 55, 53, 57, 52, 53, 51, 55, 47, 49, 50, 52, 50, 50, 49, 49, 58, 51, 46, 53, 49, 50, 52, 51, 50, 51, 54, 48, 58, 55, 47, 46, 50, 54, 53, 53, 52, 51, 52, 51, 53, 50, 53, 52, 52, 53, 51, 47, 52, 55
| y2= 38, 37, 41, 36, 33, 36, 41, 33, 36, 36, 40, 30, 32, 44, 36, 37, 35, 37, 39, 31, 39, 41, 38, 46, 38, 37, 46, 42, 39, 44, 38, 38, 40, 42, 35, 38, 38, 36, 42, 39, 39, 41, 43, 40, 40, 44, 44, 37, 46, 46, 44, 34, 42, 42, 43, 45, 42, 45
| y3= 10, 16, 14, 16, 21, 18, 10, 17, 13, 9, 7, 13, 16, 3, 13, 8, 18, 14, 11, 17, 11, 10, 13, 5, 4, 12, 8, 5, 13, 7, 11, 11, 10, 7, 11, 14, 12, 9, 10, 14, 11, 4, , 7, 8, 3, 3, 12, 1, 4, 2, 16, 5, 6, 6, 8, 5, 1
| colors = #3333FF, #E81B23, #DCDCDC
| showSymbols = 1
| yGrid = true
| linewidth = 2.0
}}
{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}
with Holly Grange
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Roy ! style="width:100px;"| Holly ! Other / |
style="text-align:left;"|East Carolina University
| February 27–28, 2020 | 1,288 (RV) | ± 3.2% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|49% | 33% | 18% |
style="text-align:left;"|Harper Polling/Civitas (R)[https://1ttd918ylvt17775r1u6ng1adc-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/19.10-Civitas-NC-Statewide-Toplines.pdf Harper Polling/Civitas (R)] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191024221356/https://1ttd918ylvt17775r1u6ng1adc-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/19.10-Civitas-NC-Statewide-Toplines.pdf |date=October 24, 2019 }}
| October 15–17, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 46% | 27% | 27% |
style="text-align:left;"|Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
| August 1–4, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 48% | 30% | 22% |
with Phil Berger
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Roy ! style="width:100px;"| Phil ! Other / |
style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling
| June 17–18, 2019 | 610 (RV) | ± 4.0% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 46% | 39% | 16% |
style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling
| January 4–7, 2019 | 750 (RV) | ± 3.6% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 48% | 34% | 18% |
with Pat McCrory
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Roy ! style="width:100px;"| Pat ! Other / |
style="text-align:left;"|Harper Polling/Civitas (R)[https://1ttd918ylvt17775r1u6ng1adc-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/19.10-Civitas-NC-Statewide-Toplines.pdf Harper Polling/Civitas (R)] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191024221356/https://1ttd918ylvt17775r1u6ng1adc-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/19.10-Civitas-NC-Statewide-Toplines.pdf |date=October 24, 2019 }}
| October 15–17, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 44% | 38% | 18% |
style="text-align:left;"|Harper Polling/Civitas (R)
| August 1–4, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 47% | 38% | 14% |
style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling
| January 4–7, 2019 | 750 (RV) | ± 3.6% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 45% | 41% | 14% |
with Tim Moore
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Roy ! style="width:100px;"| Tim ! Other / |
style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling
| June 17–18, 2019 | 610 (RV) | ± 4.0% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 46% | 38% | 16% |
style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling
| January 4–7, 2019 | 750 (RV) | ± 3.6% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 46% | 32% | 22% |
with Thom Tillis
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Roy ! style="width:100px;"| Thom ! Other / |
style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling
| January 4–7, 2019 | 750 (RV) | ± 3.6% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 46% | 37% | 17% |
{{hidden end}}
=Results=
{{Election box begin
| title = 2020 North Carolina gubernatorial election{{cite web |title=State Composite Abstract Report - Contest.pdf |url=https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/State_Board_Meeting_Docs/2020-11-24/Canvass/State%20Composite%20Abstract%20Report%20-%20Contest.pdf |website=North Carolina State Board of Elections |access-date=November 24, 2020}}{{cite web|title=NC SBE Contest Results|url=https://er.ncsbe.gov/?election_dt=11/03/2020&county_id=0&office=COS&contest=0|website=er.ncsbe.gov|access-date=December 18, 2020}}.
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
| candidate = Roy Cooper (incumbent)
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 2,834,790
| percentage = 51.52%
| change = +2.50%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
| candidate = Dan Forest
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 2,586,605
| percentage = 47.01%
| change = −1.79%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
| candidate = Steven J. DiFiore
| party = Libertarian Party (United States)
| votes = 60,449
| percentage = 1.10%
| change = −1.09%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
| candidate = Al Pisano
| party = Constitution Party (United States)
| votes = 20,934
| percentage = 0.38%
| change = N/A
}}
{{Election box total
| votes = 5,502,778
| percentage = 100.00%
| change = N/A
}}
{{Election box turnout
| votes = 5,545,847
| percentage = 75.35%
| change =
}}
{{Election box registered electors
| reg. electors = 7,359,798
}}
{{Election box hold with party link no swing
| winner = Democratic Party (United States)
}}
{{Election box end}}
{{align|right|{{Switcher
|300px|Shift by county
|300px|Trend by county
{{collapsible list | title = Legend
|{{legend|#d40000|Republican — >15%}}
|{{legend|#ff0000|Republican — +12.5−15%}}
|{{legend|#ff2a2a|Republican — +10−12.5%}}
|{{legend|#ff5555|Republican — +7.5−10%}}
|{{legend|#ff8080|Republican — +5−7.5%}}
|{{legend|#ffaaaa|Republican — +2.5−5%}}
|{{legend|#ffd5d5|Republican — +0−2.5%}}
|{{legend|#d5f6ff|Democratic — +0−2.5%}}
|{{legend|#aaeeff|Democratic — +2.5−5%}}
|{{legend|#77e3ff|Democratic — +5−7.5%}}
|{{legend|#4bdbff|Democratic — +7.5-10%}}
|{{legend|#09ceff|Democratic — +10−12.5%}}}}}}}}
== Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican ==
== Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic ==
- Lenoir (largest city: Kinston)
- Martin (largest city: Williamston)
==By congressional district==
Despite winning a majority of the popular vote, Cooper only won 5 of 13 congressional districts.{{cite web |url=https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::87c865df-abda-40b4-aabb-59f9c388c3a0|title=NC 2020 Congressional (Court Approved - HB 1029 - Converted)|website=www.davesredistricting.org}}
class=wikitable
! District ! Forest ! Cooper ! Representative |
align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|1|1st}} | 42.6% | 56.4% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|G. K. Butterfield |
align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|2|2nd}} | 31.4% | 67.0% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Deborah K. Ross |
align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|3|3rd}} | 58.5% | 40.0% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Greg Murphy |
align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|4|4th}} | 29.9% | 68.8% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|David Price |
align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|5|5th}} | 63.5% | 35.2% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Virginia Foxx |
align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|6|6th}} | 34.2% | 64.2% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Kathy Manning |
align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|7|7th}} | 54.5% | 44.0% | {{party shading/Republican}}|David Rouzer |
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! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|8|8th}} | 49.2% | 49.0% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Richard Hudson |
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! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|9|9th}} | 50.3% | 48.4% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Dan Bishop |
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! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|10|10th}} | 63.7% | 35.0% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Patrick McHenry |
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! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|11|11th}} | 52.2% | 46.3% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Madison Cawthorn |
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! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|12|12th}} | 27.0% | 71.0% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Alma Adams |
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! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|13|13th}} | 62.9% | 35.9% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Ted Budd |
Analysis
= Voter demographics =
Voter demographic data was collected by CNN. The voter survey is based on exit polls. There were 4,557 total respondents.{{Cite web |title=2020 North Carolina Exit Polls |url=https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/governor/north-carolina |access-date=September 27, 2024 |website=CNN Politics |language=en}}
class="wikitable sortable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:1.2"
|+ 2020 North Carolina gubernatorial election (CNN) |
Demographic subgroup
! {{party shading/Democratic}} |Cooper ! {{party shading/Republican}} |Forest ! % of |
---|
colspan="4" |Ideology |
Liberals
| style="text-align:right; background:#B0CEFF;" | 94 | style="text-align:right; background:#FFF3F3;" | 5 | style="text-align:right;" | 20 |
Moderates
| style="text-align:right; background:#B0CEFF;" | 69 | style="text-align:right; background:#FFF3F3;" | 29 | style="text-align:right;" | 39 |
Conservatives
| style="text-align:right; background:#F0F0FF;" | 13 | style="text-align:right; background:#FFB6B6;" | 86 | style="text-align:right;" | 40 |
colspan="4" |Party |
Democrats
| style="text-align:right; background:#B0CEFF;" | 97 | style="text-align:right; background:#FFF3F3;" | 2 | style="text-align:right;" | 34 |
Republicans
| style="text-align:right; background:#F0F0FF;" | 8 | style="text-align:right; background:#FFB6B6;" | 92 | style="text-align:right;" | 37 |
Independents
| style="text-align:right; background:#B0CEFF;" | 54 | style="text-align:right; background:#FFF3F3;" | 42 | style="text-align:right;" | 30 |
colspan="4" |Age |
18–24 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 57 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 41 | style="text-align:right;" | 8 |
25–29 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 54 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 39 | style="text-align:right;" | 6 |
30–39 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 59 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 41 | style="text-align:right;" | 14 |
40–49 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 55 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 43 | style="text-align:right;" | 16 |
50–64 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 48 | style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 50 | style="text-align:right;" | 31 |
65 and older
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 46 | style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 53 | style="text-align:right;" | 24 |
colspan="4" |Gender |
Men
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 47 | style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 51 | style="text-align:right;" | 44 |
Women
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 55 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 43 | style="text-align:right;" | 56 |
colspan="4" |Race/ethnicity |
White
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 36 | style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 63 | style="text-align:right;" | 65 |
Black
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 92 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 7 | style="text-align:right;" | 23 |
Latino
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 59 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 38 | style="text-align:right;" | 5 |
Asian
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | N/A | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | N/A | style="text-align:right;" | 2 |
Other
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 56 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 39 | style="text-align:right;" | 5 |
colspan="4"| Gender by race |
White men
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 33 | style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 66 | style="text-align:right;" | 29 |
White women
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 39 | style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 60 | style="text-align:right;" | 36 |
Black men
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 92 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 8 | style="text-align:right;" | 9 |
Black women
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 93 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 6 | style="text-align:right;" | 14 |
Latino men
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 45 | style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 53 | style="text-align:right;" | 3 |
Latino women
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 75 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 22 | style="text-align:right;" | 3 |
Other racial/ethnic groups
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 54 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 42 | style="text-align:right;" | 7 |
colspan="4" |Education |
Never attended college
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 41 | style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 58 | style="text-align:right;" | 18 |
Some college education
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 45 | style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 53 | style="text-align:right;" | 27 |
Associate degree
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff" | 50 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;"| 46 | style="text-align:right;" | 18 |
Bachelor's degree degree
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 58 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 41 | style="text-align:right;" | 22 |
Postgraduate
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 68 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 31 | style="text-align:right;" | 14 |
colspan="4" |Education by race |
White college graduated
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 54 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 45 | style="text-align:right;" | 26 |
White no college degree
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 24 | style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 74 | style="text-align:right;" | 39 |
Non-white college graduates
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 82 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 17 | style="text-align:right;" | 11 |
Non-white no college degree
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 79 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 19 | style="text-align:right;" | 25 |
colspan="4" |Education by gender/race |
White women with college degrees
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 59 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 41 | style="text-align:right;" | 15 |
White women without college degrees
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 24 | style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 74 | style="text-align:right;" | 21 |
White men with college degrees
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 48 | style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52 | style="text-align:right;" | 11 |
White men without college degrees
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 24 | style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 75 | style="text-align:right;" | 18 |
Non-white
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 80 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 18 | style="text-align:right;" | 35 |
colspan="4" |Income |
Under $30K
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 53 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 45 | style="text-align:right;" | 15 |
$30K-$50k
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 55 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 43 | style="text-align:right;" | 22 |
$50k-$100k
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 50 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 47 | style="text-align:right;" | 36 |
$100k-$200k
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 48 | style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 51 | style="text-align:right;" | 22 |
$200k or more
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 48 | style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52 | style="text-align:right;" | 5 |
colspan="4" |Issue regarded as most important |
Racial inequality
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 94 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 4 | style="text-align:right;" | 21 |
Health care policy
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 65 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 32 | style="text-align:right;" | 12 |
Economy
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 20 | style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 78 | style="text-align:right;" | 35 |
COVID-19 pandemic
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 84 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 15 | style="text-align:right;" | 14 |
Crime and safety
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 14 | style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 83 | style="text-align:right;" | 12 |
colspan="4" | Region |
East
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 48 | style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 51 | style="text-align:right;" | 23 |
Raleigh-Durham Triangle
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 65 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 34 | style="text-align:right;" | 22 |
Charlotte Area
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 57 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 42 | style="text-align:right;" | 18 |
Piedmont/Central
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 48 | style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 50 | style="text-align:right;" | 20 |
West
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 38 | style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 60 | style="text-align:right;" | 17 |
colspan="4" | Area type |
Urban
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 71 | style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 28 | style="text-align:right;" | 33 |
Suburban
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 43 | style="text-align:right; background:#FFB6B6;" | 56 | style="text-align:right;" | 40 |
Rural
| style="text-align:right; background:#F0F0FF;" | 42 | style="text-align:right; background:#FFB6B6;" | 55 | style="text-align:right;" | 27 |
See also
Notes
Partisan clients
{{notelist-ua}}
General
{{notelist}}
References
{{reflist}}
External links
- {{cite web|title=League of Women Voters of North Carolina|date=July 29, 2019 |url=https://my.lwv.org/north-carolina-state}} (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- {{citation |url=https://www.followthemoney.org/at-a-glance?y=2020&s=NC |title= North Carolina 2019 & 2020 Elections |work=OpenSecrets |author1= National Institute on Money in Politics |author2=Campaign Finance Institute }}
- {{citation |author= Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association |work=Voting & Elections Toolkits |url= https://godort.libguides.com/votingtoolkit/northcarolina |title= North Carolina }}
- {{citation |work=Vote.org |location=Oakland, CA |url= https://www.vote.org/state/north-carolina/ |title= North Carolina: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links }}
Official campaign websites
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20201028130530/https://roycooper.com/ Roy Cooper (D) for Governor]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20200816214414/https://stevenfornorthcarolina.com/ Steven J. DiFiore (L) for Governor]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20201101001536/https://danforest.com/ Dan Forest (R) for Governor]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20200813015040/https://alpisanoforncgovernor.com/ Al Pisano (C) for Governor]
{{2020 United States elections}}