2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi#District 4
{{Short description|none}}
{{for|related races|2022 United States House of Representatives elections}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=October 2021}}{{use American English|date=October 2021}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi
| country = Mississippi
| type = legislative
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi
| previous_year = 2020
| next_election = 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi
| next_year = 2024
| seats_for_election = All 4 Mississippi seats to the United States House of Representatives
| election_date = November 8, 2022
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| last_election1 = 3
| seats1 = 3
| seat_change1 = {{steady}}
| popular_vote1 = 453,584
| percentage1 = 64.18%
| swing1 = {{decrease}} 1.53%
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| last_election2 = 1
| seats2 = 1
| seat_change2 = {{steady}}
| popular_vote2 = 249,591
| percentage2 = 35.32%
| swing2 = {{increase}} 1.03%
| map_image = {{switcher |280px |Election results by district |280px |Election results by county |default=1}}
| map_caption = {{col-begin}}
{{col-2}}
Republican
{{legend|#e27f90|50–60%}}
{{legend|#cc2f4a|60–70%}}
{{legend|#D40000|70–80%}}
{{legend|#aa0000|80–90%}}
{{legend|#800000|>90%}}
{{col-2}}
Democratic
{{legend|#86b6f2|50–60%}}
{{legend|#4389e3|60–70%}}
{{legend|#1666cb|70–80%}}
{{legend|#0645b4|80–90%}}
{{col-end}}
}}
{{Elections in Mississippi}}
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Mississippi, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
The elections were the first under Mississippi's new congressional map after redistricting completed by the state government.{{Cite web |last=Rakich |first=Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe and Nathaniel |date=2021-08-09 |title=What Redistricting Looks Like In Every State - Mississippi |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-2022-maps/ |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210809100425/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-2022-maps/ |url-status=dead |archive-date=August 9, 2021 |access-date=2023-01-10 |website=FiveThirtyEight |language=en}} All four races were considered uncompetitive in the general election{{Cite web |last=Pender |first=Bobby Harrison, Geoff |date=2022-11-09 |title=Mississippi election results: Three Republicans, one Democrat again win U.S. House seats |url=https://mississippitoday.org/2022/11/09/mississippi-election-results-2022/ |access-date=2023-01-10 |website=Mississippi Today |language=en-US}}{{Cite web |title=2022 House Race ratings |url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings |access-date=2023-01-10 |website=Cook Political Report |language=en}} and turnout from Mississippians was the lowest out of the entire United States, measuring in at 31.5%.{{Cite web |date=2022-11-15 |title=Mississippi has lowest voter turnout in U.S. for midterm elections: data |url=https://www.wjtv.com/news/election/mississippi-has-lowest-voter-turnout-in-u-s-for-midterm-elections-data/ |access-date=2023-01-10 |website=WJTV |language=en-US}} Republican Representatives Michael Guest and Steven Palazzo faced competitive primaries, where both went to runoffs; Palazzo was ultimately ousted by Mike Ezell in the runoff, mainly in part to an investigation into Palazzo's supposed misuse of campaign funds.{{Cite web |last=Ward |first=Myah |title=GOP Rep. Steven Palazzo loses primary amid ethics cloud |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/06/28/gop-rep-steven-palazzo-loses-primary-amid-ethics-cloud-00043056 |access-date=2023-01-10 |website=POLITICO |language=en}}{{Cite web |last=Solender |first=Andrew |date=2022-06-08 |title=Two more incumbent House Republicans forced into primary runoffs |url=https://www.axios.com/2022/06/08/mississippi-gop-house-runoffs-guest-palazzo |access-date=2023-01-10 |website=Axios |language=en}} Republican representative Trent Kelly was the sole representative of the Mississippi delegation to receive a Trump endorsement and faced no serious challenge. The partisan composition of the delegation remained the same after the election.
{{Horizontal TOC|nonum=yes|limit=2}}
District 1
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2022 Mississippi's 1st congressional district election
| country = Mississippi
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi#District 1
| previous_year = 2020
| election_date =
| next_election = 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi#District 1
| next_year = 2024
| image_size = x150px
| image1 = File:Trent Kelly, Official Portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg
| nominee1 = Trent Kelly
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 122,151
| percentage1 = 73.0%
| image2 = 3x4.svg
| nominee2 = Dianne Black
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 45,238
| percentage2 = 27.0%
| map_image = {{switcher |150px |County results |150px |Precinct results}}
| map_size = 150px
| map_caption = Kelly: {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}
Black: {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}
Tie: {{legend0|#ae8bb1|50%}}
{{legend0|#808080|No votes}}
| title = U.S. Representative
| before_election = Trent Kelly
| before_party = Republican Party (United States)
| after_election = Trent Kelly
| after_party = Republican Party (United States)
}}
{{see also|Mississippi's 1st congressional district}}{{Multiple images
| image1 = 1st Congressional District DemPrimary.svg
| image2 = 1st Congressional District RepPrimary.svg
| caption1 = Democratic primary results by county
Black: {{legend0|#7996E2|50-60%}} {{legend0|#6674DE|60-70%}} {{legend0|#584CDE|70-80%}} {{legend0|#3933E5|80-90%}}
| caption2 = Republican primary results by county
Kelly: {{legend0|#D72F30|70-80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80-90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}
| width = 170
}}
The 1st district takes in the northeastern area of the state, including Columbus, Oxford, Southaven, and Tupelo. The incumbent was Republican Trent Kelly, who was re-elected with 68.7% of the vote in 2020.{{cite web|last=Johnson|first=Cheryl L.|title=Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 2020|url=http://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/Election-Statistics/|publisher=Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives|date=February 28, 2019}}
=Republican primary=
==Candidates==
===Nominee===
- Trent Kelly, incumbent U.S. Representative{{cite web |last1=Vance |first1=Taylor |title=U.S. Rep. Trent Kelly qualifies for reelection to U.S. House seat |url=https://www.djournal.com/news/state-news/u-s-rep-trent-kelly-qualifies-for-reelection-to-u-s-house-seat/article_83665ebb-0fc5-57ec-b767-e3963a782505.html |website=www.djournal.com |access-date=6 January 2022 |date=3 January 2022}}
===Eliminated in primary===
- Mark D. Strauss, Libertarian nominee for {{ushr|IA|2}} in 2018{{cite news |title=Here are the candidates running for Mississippi's congressional seats |first1=Kelly |last1=Bennett |first2=J.T. |last2=Mitchell |first3=Alyssa |last3=Arbuckle |date=March 3, 2022 |access-date=May 16, 2022 |work=Supertalk Mississippi |url=https://www.supertalk.fm/here-are-the-candidates-running-for-mississippis-congressional-seats/}}
==Endorsements==
{{Endorsements box
|title=Trent Kelly
|width=30em
|list=
Federal officials
- Donald Trump, former president of the United States (2017–2021){{cite web |title=Endorsement of Congressman Trent Kelly |url=https://www.donaldjtrump.com/news/news-rbat5kkdmf2104 |access-date=24 July 2022 |date=5 June 2022}}
}}
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change |title=Republican primary results{{cite web |title=2022 Candidate Qualifying List|url=https://www.sos.ms.gov/Content/documents/Elections/candidate%20qualifying/2022%20Candidate%20Qualifying%20List.pdf |publisher=Mississippi Secretary of State |access-date=March 1, 2022}}}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|candidate = Trent Kelly (incumbent)
|votes = 27,447
|percentage = 89.8
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|candidate = Mark D. Strauss
|votes = 3,109
|percentage = 10.2
}}{{Election box total no change
|votes = 30,556
|percentage = 100.0
}}{{Election box end}}
=Democratic primary=
==Candidates==
===Nominee===
===Eliminated in primary===
- Hunter Kyle Avery, manufacturing worker{{cite web |last1=Corder |first1=Frank |title=Mississippi Congressional Campaign Reporting Points to 2022 Mid-Term Challenges |url=https://yallpolitics.com/2021/07/15/mississippi-congressional-campaign-reporting-points-to-2022-mid-term-challenges/ |website=Y'all Politics |date=July 15, 2021 |access-date=July 28, 2021 |archive-date=December 18, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221218133837/https://yallpolitics.com/2021/07/15/mississippi-congressional-campaign-reporting-points-to-2022-mid-term-challenges/ |url-status=dead }}{{Cite web|url=https://politics1.com/ms.htm|title = Politics1 - Online Guide to Mississippi Elections, Candidates & Politics}}
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change |title=Democratic primary results}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|candidate = Dianne Black
|votes = 8,268
|percentage = 79.0
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|candidate = Hunter Kyle Avery
|votes = 2,203
|percentage = 21.0
}}{{Election box total no change
|votes = 10,471
|percentage = 100.0
}}{{Election box end}}
=Independents=
==Filed paperwork==
=General election=
==Predictions==
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change
| title = 2022 Mississippi's 1st congressional district election{{cite web |title=Certification of Votes For United States House of Representatives, District One |url=https://sos.ms.gov/elections/electionresults/2022General/Statewide%20Certified/US%20House%20D%201%20Signed.pdf |website=Secretary of State of Mississippi |access-date=13 December 2022}}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Trent Kelly (incumbent)
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 122,151
| percentage = 73.0
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Dianne Black
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 45,238
| percentage = 27.0
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 167,389
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box hold with party link no change
|winner = Republican Party (United States)
|swing =
}}
{{Election box end}}
District 2
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2022 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district election
| country = Mississippi
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi#District 2
| previous_year = 2020
| election_date =
| next_election = 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi#District 2
| next_year = 2024
| image_size = x150px
| image1 = File:Bennie Thompson 118th Congress (cropped).jpeg
| nominee1 = Bennie Thompson
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 108,285
| percentage1 = 60.1%
| image2 = 3x4.svg
| nominee2 = Brian Flowers
| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 71,884
| percentage2 = 39.9%
| map_image = {{switcher |170px |County results |170px |Precinct results}}
| map_size = 170px
| map_caption = Thompson: {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}
Flowers: {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}
Tie: {{legend0|#ae8bb1|50%}}
{{legend0|#808080|No votes}}
| title = U.S. Representative
| before_election = Bennie Thompson
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| after_election = Bennie Thompson
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)
}}
{{see also|Mississippi's 2nd congressional district}}
The 2nd district encompasses the Mississippi Delta, taking in most of Jackson, the riverfront cities of Greenville, Natchez and Vicksburg, and the interior market cities of Clarksdale, Greenwood and Clinton. The district was expanded during the 2020 census redistricting. The incumbent was Democrat Bennie Thompson, who was re-elected with 66.0% of the vote in 2020. Thompson cruised to re-election in 2022 as expected, though Brian Flowers did give him his toughest race since 2004, when Clinton LeSueur achieved 41% of the vote.{{cite web |url=https://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004//pages/results/states/MS/H/02/index.html |title=U.S. House Of Representatives / Mississippi 02 |website=CNN |access-date=3 December 2022}}
=Democratic primary=
==Candidates==
===Nominee===
- Bennie Thompson, incumbent U.S. Representative
===Eliminated in primary===
- Jerry Kerner, gun dealer{{cite web |title=Gerald Kerner FEC Statement of Candidacy |url=https://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/206/202110150300388206/202110150300388206.pdf |access-date=11 November 2021}}{{cite web |last1=Corder |first1=Frank |title=MS02: Thompson draws Democratic opponent critical of own party |url=https://yallpolitics.com/2021/12/27/ms02-thompson-draws-democratic-opponent-critical-of-own-party/ |website=yallpolitics.com |date=December 27, 2021 |publisher=Y'all Politics |access-date=28 December 2021}}
==Endorsements==
{{Endorsements box
| title = Bennie Thompson
| width = 50em
| list =
Organizations
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund{{Cite web|title= Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates |url=https://www.plannedparenthoodaction.org/2022-endorsements|access-date=December 22, 2021|website=www.plannedparenthoodaction.org|language=en-US}}
}}
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change |title=Democratic primary results}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|candidate = Bennie Thompson (incumbent)
|votes = 49,907
|percentage = 96.3
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|candidate = Jerry Kerner
|votes = 1,927
|percentage = 3.7
}}{{Election box total no change
|votes = 51,834
|percentage = 100.0
}}{{Election box end}}{{Multiple images
| image1 = 2nd Congressional District 2022 RepPrimary.svg
| caption1 = Republican primary results by county
Flowers: {{legend0|#FFCCA9|30-40%}} {{legend0|#FFB580|40-50%}} {{legend0|#FF9A50|50-60%}} {{legend0|#EE8E50|60-70%}}
Eller: {{legend0|#FFC8CD|30-40%}} {{legend0|#E27F7F|50-60%}}
| image2 = 2nd Congressional District 2022 RepRunoff.svg
| caption2 = Republican primary runoff results by county
Flowers: {{legend0|#E27F7F|50-60%}} {{legend0|#D75D5D|60-70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70-80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80-90%}}
Eller: {{legend0|#FF9A50|50-60%}} {{legend0|#EE8E50|60-70%}}
| width = 170px
}}
=Republican primary=
==Candidates==
===Nominee===
- Brian Flowers, nuclear plant technician, U.S. Navy veteran, and nominee for this district in 2020{{cite web |title=Brian Flowers FEC Statement of Candidacy |url=https://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/923/202105049446279923/202105049446279923.pdf |access-date=11 November 2021}}
===Eliminated in runoff===
- Ron Eller, physician assistant and U.S. Army veteran
===Eliminated in primary===
==Endorsements==
{{Endorsements box
| title = Ron Eller
| list =
Executive Branch officials
- Michael Flynn, former United States National Security Advisor (2017) and former Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency (2012–2014) (Democratic){{Cite web|last=Corder|first=Frank|date=April 4, 2022|title=Trump's former advisor Lt. Gen. Flynn endorses Mississippi Republican 2nd Congressional District candidate Eller|url=https://yallpolitics.com/2022/04/04/trumps-former-advisor-lt-gen-flynn-endorses-mississippi-republican-2nd-congressional-district-candidate-eller/|access-date=April 6, 2022|website=Y'all Politics}}
Organizations
}}
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change |title=Republican primary results}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|candidate = Brian Flowers
|votes = 6,087
|percentage = 43.2
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|candidate = Ronald Eller
|votes = 4,564
|percentage = 32.4
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|candidate = Michael Carson
|votes = 2,966
|percentage = 21.0
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|candidate = Stanford Johnson
|votes = 487
|percentage = 3.5
}}{{Election box total no change
|votes = 14,104
|percentage = 100.0
}}{{Election box end}}
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary runoff results}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Brian Flowers
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 6,224
| percentage = 58.5
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Ronald Eller
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 4,418
| percentage = 41.5
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 10,642
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box end}}
= General election =
== Predictions ==
| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
!Source !Ranking !As of |
| align=left | The Cook Political Report
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | January 24, 2022 |
| align=left | Inside Elections
| {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | March 21, 2022 |
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | January 26, 2022 |
| align="left" |Politico
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} |April 5, 2022 |
| align="left" |RCP
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} |June 9, 2022 |
| align=left |Fox News
| {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} |July 11, 2022 |
| align="left" |DDHQ
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} |July 20, 2022 |
| align="left" |538
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} |June 30, 2022 |
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change
| title = 2022 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district election{{cite web |title=Certification of Votes For United States House of Representatives, District Two |url=https://sos.ms.gov/elections/electionresults/2022General/Statewide%20Certified/US%20House%20D%202%20Signed.pdf |website=Secretary of State of Mississippi |access-date=13 December 2022}}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Bennie Thompson (incumbent)
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 108,285
| percentage = 60.1
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Brian Flowers
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 71,884
| percentage = 39.9
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 180,169
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box hold with party link no change
|winner = Democratic Party (United States)
|swing =
}}
{{Election box end}}
District 3
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2022 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district election
| country = Mississippi
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi#District 3
| previous_year = 2020
| election_date =
| next_election = 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi#District 3
| next_year = 2024
| image_size = x150px
| image1 = Michael Guest, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped 2).jpg
| nominee1 = Michael Guest
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 132,481
| percentage1 = 70.7%
| image2 = 3x4.svg
| nominee2 = Shuwaski Young
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 54,803
| percentage2 = 29.3%
| map_image = {{switcher |200px |County results |200px |Precinct results}}
| map_size = 200px
| map_caption = Guest: {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}
Young: {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}
{{legend0|#808080|No votes}}
| title = U.S. Representative
| before_election = Michael Guest
| before_party = Republican Party (United States)
| after_election = Michael Guest
| after_party = Republican Party (United States)
}}
{{see also|Mississippi's 3rd congressional district}}
The 3rd district is located in eastern and southwestern Mississippi, taking in Meridian, Starkville, Pearl and most of the wealthier portions of Jackson, including the portion of the city located in Rankin County. The district was reduced to include only three of the cities, plus a wealthy area of Jackson due to 2020 census redistricting. The incumbent was Republican Michael Guest, who was elected with 64.7% of the vote in 2020. Guest managed to flip Kemper County, which gave Joe Biden 61.02% of the vote in the 2020 presidential election.
=Republican primary=
==Candidates==
===Nominee===
- Michael Guest, incumbent U.S. Representative
===Eliminated in runoff===
- Michael Cassidy, U.S. Navy veteran
===Eliminated in primary===
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change |title=Republican primary results}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|candidate = Michael Guest (incumbent)
|votes = 23,675
|percentage = 47.5
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|candidate = Michael Cassidy
|votes = 23,407
|percentage = 46.9
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|candidate = Thomas Griffin
|votes = 2,785
|percentage = 5.6
}}{{Election box total no change
|votes = 49,867
|percentage = 100.0
}}{{Election box end}}
File:3rd Congressional District 2022 PrimaryRunoff.svg
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary runoff results}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Michael Guest (incumbent)
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 47,007
| percentage = 67.4
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Michael Cassidy
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 22,713
| percentage = 32.6
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 69,720
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box end}}
=Democratic primary=
==Candidates==
===Nominee===
===Withdrawn===
- Rahim Talley, businessman, Iraq war veteran and progressive activist{{Cite web|last=Corder|first=Frank|date=September 15, 2021|title=Mississippi Democrats field candidates in all 4 Congressional Districts ahead of 2022 midterms|url=https://yallpolitics.com/2021/09/15/mississippi-democrats-field-candidates-in-all-4-congressional-districts-ahead-of-2022-midterms/|access-date=September 18, 2021|website=Y'all Politics|language=en-US}}
= General election =
== Predictions ==
| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
!Source !Ranking !As of |
| align=left | The Cook Political Report
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | January 24, 2022 |
| align=left | Inside Elections
| {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | March 21, 2022 |
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | January 26, 2022 |
| align="left" |Politico
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} |April 5, 2022 |
| align="left" |RCP
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} |June 9, 2022 |
| align=left |Fox News
| {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} |July 11, 2022 |
| align="left" |DDHQ
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} |July 20, 2022 |
| align="left" |538
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} |June 30, 2022 |
== Results ==
{{Election box begin no change
| title = 2022 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district election{{cite web |title=Certification of Votes For United States House of Representatives, District Three |url=https://sos.ms.gov/elections/electionresults/2022General/Statewide%20Certified/US%20House%20D%203%20Signed.pdf |website=Secretary of State of Mississippi |access-date=13 December 2022}}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Michael Guest (incumbent)
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 132,481
| percentage = 70.7
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Shuwaski Young
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 54,803
| percentage = 29.3
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 187,284
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box hold with party link no change
|winner = Republican Party (United States)
|swing =
}}
{{Election box end}}
District 4
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2022 Mississippi's 4th congressional district election
| country = Mississippi
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi#District 4
| previous_year = 2020
| election_date =
| next_election = 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi#District 4
| next_year = 2024
| image_size = x150px
| image1 = File:Rep. Mike Ezell official photo (cropped).jpg
| nominee1 = Mike Ezell
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 127,813
| percentage1 = 73.3%
| image2 = Johnny DuPree 2011 (cropped).jpg
| nominee2 = Johnny DuPree
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 42,876
| percentage2 = 24.6%
| map_image = {{switcher |150px |County results |150px |Precinct results}}
| map_size = 150px
| map_caption = Ezell: {{legend0|#FFB2B2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}
DuPree: {{legend0|#A5B0FF|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}
{{legend0|#808080|No votes}}
| title = U.S. Representative
| before_election = Steven Palazzo
| before_party = Republican Party (United States)
| after_election = Mike Ezell
| after_party = Republican Party (United States)
| map =
}}
{{see also|Mississippi's 4th congressional district}}
The 4th district encompasses the Mississippi Gulf Coast, including Gulfport, Biloxi, Hattiesburg, Bay St. Louis, Laurel, and Pascagoula. The incumbent was Republican Steven Palazzo, who was re-elected unopposed in 2020.
=Republican primary=
==Candidates==
===Nominee===
- Mike Ezell, Jackson County sheriff and former Ocean Springs police chief{{cite web|date=April 6, 2021|title='I've got a serving heart': Mike Ezell announces bid for Congress|url=https://www.gulflive.com/news/2021/04/ive-got-a-serving-heart-mike-ezell-announces-bid-for-congress.html|access-date=April 7, 2021|website=gulflive}}
===Eliminated in runoff===
- Steven Palazzo, incumbent U.S. Representative{{cite news |title=Candidate who triggered ethics investigation says Palazzo should resign from Congress |url=https://www.wlbt.com/2021/03/05/candidate-who-triggered-ethics-investigation-says-palazzo-should-resign-congress/ |date=March 5, 2021 |access-date=April 7, 2021}}
===Eliminated in primary===
- Carl Boyanton, produce store owner and candidate for this district in 2020
- Raymond Brooks, police officer{{cite web |last1=Coder |first1=Frank |title=Palazzo draws third Republican mid-term opponent |url=https://yallpolitics.com/2021/06/17/ms04-palazzo-draws-third-republican-mid-term-opponent/ |website=www.yallpolitics.com |date=June 17, 2021 |publisher=Y'all Politics |access-date=22 August 2021}}
- Kidron Peterson
- Clay Wagner, banker{{Cite web|last=Corder|first=Frank|date=September 10, 2021|title=MS04: Wagner files to run for Congress, increasing the field to 4 Republicans challenging Palazzo|url=https://yallpolitics.com/2021/09/10/ms04-wagner-files-to-run-for-congress-increasing-the-field-to-4-republicans-challenging-palazzo/|access-date=September 12, 2021|website=Y'all Politics|language=en-US}}
- Brice Wiggins, state senator{{Cite web|url=https://www.gulflive.com/news/2021/10/after-10-years-in-state-senate-brice-wiggins-ready-to-take-on-palazzo-others-for-congressional-seat.html|title = After 10 years in state senate, Brice Wiggins ready to take on Palazzo, others for congressional seat|date = October 26, 2021}}
==Endorsements==
{{Endorsements box
|title=Mike Ezell
|list=
State legislators
- Brice Wiggins, state senator from the 52nd district{{cite web |last1=Pender |first1=Geoff |title=Every Republican challenger of Rep. Steven Palazzo endorses his runoff opponent Mike Ezell |url=https://mississippitoday.org/2022/06/09/steven-palazzo-mike-ezell-runoff-congress/ |website=Mississippi Today |date=June 9, 2022 |publisher=Nonprofit Mississippi News |access-date=26 June 2022}}
Individuals
- Carl Boyanton, Republican primary candidate and produce store owner
- Raymond Brooks, Republican primary candidate and police officer
- Kidron Peterson, Republican primary candidate
- Clay Wagner, Republican primary candidate and banker{{cite web |last1=Wagner |first1=Clay |title="I want to thank every single one of the over 11,000 of you who supported my campaign. I ask that all of you join me in supporting Sheriff Mike Ezell to be our next Congressman. Your support means the world to me and I pray that we all help move south MS forward." - Clay Wagner |url=https://twitter.com/CongressClay/status/1534532351543455744 |website=Twitter |access-date=25 June 2022}}
}}
==Polling==
| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
| valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:60px;"| Carl ! style="width:60px;"| Raymond ! style="width:60px;"| Mike ! style="width:60px;"| Steven ! style="width:60px;"| Clay ! style="width:60px;"| Brice ! Undecided |
| style="text-align:left;"|Public Opinion Strategies (R)[https://www.scribd.com/document/557635836/MS04-Memo-Palazzo Public Opinion Strategies (R)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by Palazzo's campaign|name=SP}}
|December 11–14, 2021 |400 (LV) |± 4.9% |1% |1% |8% |{{party shading/Republican}}|65% |2% |4% |19% |
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change |title=Republican primary results}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|candidate = Steven Palazzo (incumbent)
|votes = 16,387
|percentage = 31.5
}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|candidate = Mike Ezell
|votes = 13,020
|percentage = 25.0
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|candidate = Clay Wagner
|votes = 11,698
|percentage = 22.5
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|candidate = Brice Wiggins
|votes = 4,859
|percentage = 9.3
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|candidate = Carl Boyanton
|votes = 3,224
|percentage = 6.2
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|candidate = Raymond Brooks
|votes = 2,405
|percentage = 4.6
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|candidate = Kidron Peterson
|votes = 449
|percentage = 0.9
}}{{Election box total no change
|votes = 52,042
|percentage = 100.0
}}{{Election box end}}
File:4th Congressional District RepPrimary2022.svg
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary runoff results}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Mike Ezell
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 31,225
| percentage = 53.8
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Steven Palazzo (incumbent)
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 26,849
| percentage = 46.2
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 58,074
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box end}}
=Democratic primary=
==Candidates==
===Nominee===
- Johnny DuPree, former mayor of Hattiesburg; nominee for Governor of Mississippi in 2011 and Secretary of State of Mississippi in 2019{{cite web |last1=Burns |first1=Haskel |title=Former Mayor Dupree qualifies to run for Palazzo's 4th Congressional District seat |url=https://www.hubcityspokes.com/local-news-politics/former-mayor-dupree-qualifies-run-palazzos-4th-congressional-district-seat |website=www.hubcityspokes.com |access-date=11 November 2021 |date=29 September 2021}}
===Eliminated in primary===
==Endorsements==
{{Endorsements box
|title=David Sellers
|list=
Organizations
- Mississippi State University College Democrats{{cite web |last1=Corder |first1=Frank |title=MS04: Democrat candidate Sellers picks up college chapter, union endorsements ahead of Primary |url=https://yallpolitics.com/2022/05/16/ms04-democrat-candidate-sellers-picks-up-college-chapter-union-endorsements-ahead-of-primary/ |website=yallpolitics.com |publisher=Y'all Politics |access-date=16 June 2022 |date=16 May 2022}}
Labor unions
}}
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change |title=Democratic primary results}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|candidate = Johnny DuPree
|votes = 9,952
|percentage = 84.9
}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|candidate = David Sellers
|votes = 1,766
|percentage = 15.1
}}{{Election box total no change
|votes = 11,718
|percentage = 100.0
}}{{Election box end}}
=Libertarian primary=
==Candidates==
===Declared===
=Independents=
==Candidates==
===Withdrawn or disqualified===
= General election =
== Predictions ==
| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
!Source !Ranking !As of |
| align=left | The Cook Political Report
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | January 24, 2022 |
| align=left | Inside Elections
| {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | March 21, 2022 |
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | January 26, 2022 |
| align="left" |Politico
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} |April 5, 2022 |
| align="left" |RCP
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} |June 9, 2022 |
| align=left |Fox News
| {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} |July 11, 2022 |
| align="left" |DDHQ
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} |July 20, 2022 |
| align="left" |538
|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} |June 30, 2022 |
==Endorsements==
{{Endorsements box
| title = Mike Ezell
| list =
Federal officials
- Donald Trump, former president of the United States (2017–2021){{cite web |last1=Corder |first1=Frank |title=Trump endorses Ezell ahead of MS04 Congressional Midterm Election |url=https://magnoliatribune.com/2022/11/03/trump-endorses-ezell-ahead-of-ms04-congressional-midterm-election/ |website=magnoliatribune.com |access-date=10 February 2023 |date=3 November 2022}}
}}
== Results ==
{{Election box begin no change
| title = 2022 Mississippi's 4th congressional district election{{cite web |title=Certification of Votes For United States House of Representatives, District Four |url=https://sos.ms.gov/elections/electionresults/2022General/Statewide%20Certified/US%20House%20D%204%20Signed.pdf |website=Secretary of State of Mississippi |access-date=13 December 2022}}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Mike Ezell
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 127,813
| percentage = 73.3
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Johnny DuPree
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 42,876
| percentage = 24.6
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Alden Patrick Johnson
| party = Libertarian Party (United States)
| votes = 3,569
| percentage = 2.1
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 174,258
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box hold with party link no change
|winner = Republican Party (United States)
|swing =
}}
{{Election box end}}
Notes
{{notelist}}
Partisan clients
{{notelist-ua}}
References
{{reflist}}
External links
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- [https://www.straussforhouse.com/ Mark Strauss (R) for Congress]
- [https://kellyformississippi.com/ Trent Kelly (R) for Congress]
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
- [https://voteroneller.com/ Ron Eller (R) for Congress]
- [https://flowersforcongress.com/ Brian Flowers (R) for Congress]
- [https://kerner4congress.com Jerry Kerner (D) for Congress]
- [https://benniethompson.com/ Bennie Thompson (D) for Congress]
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
- [https://www.votecassidy.com/ Michael Cassidy (R) for Congress]
- [https://michaelguest.ms/ Michael Guest (R) for Congress]
- [https://electrahim.com Rahim Talley (D) for Congress]
- [https://www.shuwaskiyoung.com Shuwaski Young (D) for Congress]
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
- [https://www.carl4congress.com Carl Boyanton (R) for Congress]
- [https://raymondbrooks4congress.com Raymond Brooks (R) for Congress]
- [https://www.johnnydupree.com/ Johnny DuPree (D) for Congress]
- [https://www.mikeezell.ms Mike Ezell (R) for Congress]
- [https://aldenforcongress.com Alden Patrick Johnson (L) for Congress]
- [https://palazzoforcongress.com/ Steven Palazzo (R) for Congress] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210624203659/https://palazzoforcongress.com/ |date=June 24, 2021 }}
- [https://www.davidsellersms.com David Sellers (D) for Congress]
- [https://claywagner.ms Clay Wagner (R) for Congress]
- [https://bricewiggins.ms/ Brice Wiggins (R) for Congress]
{{2022 United States elections}}