Login
Login

2023 Asturian regional election

{{Short description|Election in the Spanish region of Asturias}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2023 Asturian regional election

| country = Asturias

| type = parliamentary

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2019 Asturian regional election

| previous_year = 2019

| next_election = Next Asturian regional election

| next_year = Next

| outgoing_members = 11th General Junta of the Principality of Asturias

| elected_members = 12th General Junta of the Principality of Asturias

| seats_for_election = All 45 seats in the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias

| majority_seats = 23

| opinion_polls = #Opinion polls

| registered = 958,658 File:Red Arrow Down.svg1.6%

| turnout = 545,002 (56.8%)
File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg1.7 pp

| election_date = 28 May 2023

| image1 = 170x170px

| leader1 = Adrián Barbón

| party1 = Asturian Socialist Federation

| leader_since1 = 17 September 2017

| leaders_seat1 = Central

| last_election1 = 20 seats, 35.3%

| seats1 = 19

| seat_change1 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg1

| popular_vote1 = 195,999

| percentage1 = 36.5%

| swing1 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg1.2 pp

| image2 = 170x170px

| leader2 = Diego Canga

| party2 = People's Party of Asturias

| leader_since2 = 28 November 2022

| leaders_seat2 = Central

| last_election2 = 10 seats, 17.5%

| seats2 = 17

| seat_change2 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg7

| popular_vote2 = 175,131

| percentage2 = 32.6%

| swing2 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg15.1 pp

| image3 = 170x170px

| leader3 = Carolina López

| party3 = Vox (political party)

| leader_since3 = 19 January 2023

| leaders_seat3 = Central

| last_election3 = 2 seats, 6.4%

| seats3 = 4

| seat_change3 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg2

| popular_vote3 = 54,273

| percentage3 = 10.1%

| swing3 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg3.7 pp

| image4 = 170x170px

| leader4 = Ovidio Zapico

| party4 = IU–MP–IAS

| colour4 = A70E25

| leader_since4 = 28 January 2023

| leaders_seat4 = Central

| last_election4 = 2 seats, 6.6%{{efn|name="IU+IAS"|Results for IU–IAS in the 2019 election.}}

| seats4 = 3

| seat_change4 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg1

| popular_vote4 = 40,774

| percentage4 = 7.6%

| swing4 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg1.0 pp

| image5 = 170x170px

| leader5 = Covadonga Tomé

| party5 = Podemos Asturies

| leader_since5 = 4 November 2022

| leaders_seat5 = Central

| last_election5 = 4 seats, 11.0%

| seats5 = 1

| seat_change5 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg3

| popular_vote5 = 21,052

| percentage5 = 3.9%

| swing5 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg7.1 pp

| image6 = 170x170px

| leader6 = Adrián Pumares

| party6 = Asturias Forum (2021)

| leader_since6 = 1 October 2022

| leaders_seat6 = Central

| last_election6 = 2 seats, 6.5%

| seats6 = 1

| seat_change6 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg1

| popular_vote6 = 19,652

| percentage6 = 3.7%

| swing6 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg2.8 pp

| map_image =

| map_size =

| map_caption =

| title = President

| before_election = Adrián Barbón

| before_party = Asturian Socialist Federation

| after_election = Adrián Barbón

| after_party = Asturian Socialist Federation

}}

The 2023 Asturian regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 12th General Junta of the Principality of Asturias. All 45 seats in the General Junta were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Overview

=Electoral system=

The General Junta of the Principality of Asturias was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Asturias, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Asturian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.{{cite act |title=Ley Orgánica 7/1981, de 30 de diciembre, de Estatuto de Autonomía del Principado de Asturias |type=Organic Law |number=7 |language=es |date=30 December 1981 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1982-634&tn=1&p=20100717 |access-date=14 March 2017}} Voting for the General Junta was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Asturias and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system ({{langx|es|Voto rogado}}), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote.{{cite web |last=Reig Pellicer |first=Naiara |date=16 December 2015 |url=http://www.cafebabel.co.uk/politics/article/spanish-elections-begging-for-the-right-to-vote.html |title=Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote |website=cafebabel.co.uk |access-date=17 July 2017}} The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force.{{cite news |last=Araque Conde |first=Pilar |date=8 June 2022 |title=El Congreso acaba con el voto rogado: diez años de trabas burocráticas para los residentes en el extranjero |url=https://www.publico.es/politica/congreso-acaba-voto-rogado-diez-anos-trabas-burocraticas-residentes-extranjero.html |language=es |newspaper=Público |location=Madrid |access-date=31 July 2022}}

The 45 members of the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, which were established as follows:

Each constituency was allocated an initial minimum of two seats, with the remaining 39 being distributed in proportion to their populations.{{cite act |title=Ley 14/1986, de 26 de diciembre, sobre régimen de elecciones a la Junta General del Principado de Asturias |type=Law |number=14 |language=es |date=26 December 1986 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1987-3910&tn=1&p=19910327 |access-date=14 March 2017}}

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each General Junta constituency was entitled the following seats:{{cite journal|journal=Boletín Oficial del Principado de Asturias|issue=65|date=4 April 2023|language=es|title=Decreto 11/2023, de 3 de abril, del Presidente del Principado, por el que se convocan elecciones a la Junta General del Principado de Asturias|url=https://sede.asturias.es/bopa/2023/04/04/2023-02827.pdf|issn=1579-7252|page=5}}

class="wikitable" style="text-align:left;"
width="50"| Seats

! width="200"| Constituencies

align="center"| 34

| Central District

align="center"| 6

| Western District

align="center"| 5

| Eastern District

In smaller constituencies, the use of the electoral method resulted in an effective threshold based on the district magnitude and the distribution of votes among candidacies.{{cite web |last=Gallagher |first=Michael |date=30 July 2012 |url=http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php |title=Effective threshold in electoral systems |publisher=Trinity College, Dublin |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170730092518/http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php |access-date=22 July 2017|archive-date=2017-07-30 }}

=Election date=

The term of the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the General Junta were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 26 May 2019, setting the election date for the General Junta on Sunday, 28 May 2023.{{cite act |title=Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General |type=Organic Law |number=5 |language=es |date=19 June 1985 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=20221003 |access-date=8 April 2023}}

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the General Junta and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the General Junta was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.

The election to the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias was officially triggered on 4 April 2023 after the publication of the election decree in the Official Gazette of the Principality of Asturias (BOPA).

Parliamentary composition

{{Further|11th General Junta of the Principality of Asturias}}

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the General Junta at the time of the election call.{{cite web |url=https://www.historiaelectoral.com/aasturias.html |title=Elecciones a la Junta General del Principado de Asturias (desde 1983) |language=es |website=Historia Electoral.com |access-date=25 December 2023}}

class="wikitable" style="text-align:left;"

|+ Parliamentary composition in April 2023{{cite news |url=https://www.jgpa.es/documents/11156/104641/Relaci%C3%B3n+general+de+Parlamentarios.pdf/eaa674bd-e5a7-437e-8cb9-e459925305c1 |title=Junta General del Principado de Asturias. Los diputados del Parlamento Asturiano desde 1982 |language=es |website=General Junta of the Principality of Asturias |access-date=25 December 2023}}

rowspan="2" colspan="2"| Groups

! rowspan="2" colspan="2"| Parties

! colspan="2"| Legislators

Seats

! Total

width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}"|

| Socialist Parliamentary Group

| width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}"|

| align="left"| PSOE

| 20

| 20

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}}"|

| People's Parliamentary Group

| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}}"|

| align="left"| PP

| 10

| 10

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}}"|

| Citizens Parliamentary Group

| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}}"|

| align="left"| CS

| 4

| 4

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos Asturias (2022)}}"|

| We Can Asturias Parliamentary Group

| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos Asturias (2022)}}"|

| align="left"| Podemos

| 4

| 4

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturias Forum (2021)}}"|

| Asturias Forum Parliamentary Group

| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturias Forum (2021)}}"|

| align="left"| Foro

| 2

| 2

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left of Asturias}}"|

| United Left Parliamentary Group

| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left of Asturias}}"|

| align="left"| IU/IX

| 2

| 2

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}"|

| Vox Parliamentary Group

| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}"|

| align="left"| Vox

| 2

| 2

bgcolor="gray"|

| Mixed Parliamentary Group

| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Independent politician}}"|

| INDEP

| 1{{efn|Luis Armando Fernández Bartolomé, former CS legislator.{{cite news |last=Palacio |first=Marcos |date=5 May 2022 |title=Ciudadanos expulsa al diputado Fernández Bartolomé, que se niega a entregar el acta |url=https://www.lne.es/asturias/canal-parlamento/2022/05/05/ciudadanos-expulsa-diputado-fernandez-bartolome-65772717.html |language=es |newspaper=La Nueva España |access-date=31 July 2022 |url-access=subscription}}}}

| 1

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

class="wikitable" style="line-height:1.35em; text-align:left;"
colspan="2" rowspan="2"| Candidacy

! rowspan="2"| Parties and
alliances

! colspan="2" rowspan="2"| Leading candidate

! rowspan="2"| Ideology

! colspan="2"| Previous result

! rowspan="2"| {{abbr|Gov.|Government}}

! rowspan="2"| {{abbr|Ref.|References}}

Vote %

! Seats

width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}"|

| align="center"| PSOE

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)

}}

| 50px

| Adrián Barbón

| Social democracy

| align="center"| 35.3%

| {{big|20}}

| {{ya}}

| {{cite news |date=8 September 2022 |url=https://www.cope.es/emisoras/asturias/noticias/barbon-confirma-que-presentara-reeleccion-20220908_2278338 |title=Barbón confirma que se presentará a la reelección |language=es |publisher=COPE |access-date=19 September 2022}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}}"|

| align="center"| PP

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| People's Party (PP)

}}

| 50px

| Diego Canga

| Conservatism
Christian democracy

| align="center"| 17.5%

| {{big|10}}

| {{na}}

| {{cite news |last=Montes |first=Vicente |date=28 November 2022 |url=https://www.lne.es/asturias/2022/11/28/diego-canga-fano-alto-funcionario-79245968.html |title=Diego Canga Fano, alto funcionario de la UE, será el candidato del PP a la presidencia de Asturias |language=es |newspaper=La Nueva España |access-date=28 November 2022}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}}"|

| align="center"| CS

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS)

}}

| 50px

| Manuel Iñarra

| Liberalism

| align="center"| 14.0%

| {{big|5}}

| {{na}}

| {{cite news |date=26 June 2019 |title=La periodista Laura Pérez Macho será la portavoz de Ciudadanos en la Junta General |url=https://www.europapress.es/asturias/noticia-periodista-laura-perez-macho-sera-portavoz-ciudadanos-junta-general-20190626141247.html |language=es |publisher=Europa Press |location=Oviedo |access-date=14 October 2020}}
{{cite news |date=1 September 2020 |title=Ciudadanos confirma a Susana Fernández como nueva portavoz en la Junta General, en sustitución de Laura Pérez Macho |url=https://www.europapress.es/asturias/noticia-ciudadanos-confirma-susana-fernandez-nueva-portavoz-junta-general-sustitucion-laura-perez-macho-20200901144923.html |language=es |publisher=Europa Press |location=Oviedo |access-date=14 October 2020}}
{{cite news |last=Ardura |first=Juan A. |date=6 February 2023 |title=Ciudadanos ya tiene candidato en Asturias: Manuel Iñarra liderará el partido |url=https://www.lne.es/asturias/canal-parlamento/2023/02/06/manuel-inarra-nuevo-lider-candidato-82568089.html |language=es |newspaper=La Nueva España |location=Oviedo |access-date=8 February 2023}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos Asturias (2022)}}"|

| align="center"| Podemos
Asturies

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| We Can Asturias (Podemos Asturies)

}}

| 50px

| Covadonga Tomé

| Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism

| align="center"| 11.0%

| {{big|4}}

| {{na}}

| {{cite news |last=Canga |first=Pablo |date=4 November 2022 |title=Los críticos de Podemos imponen a su candidata, Covadonga Tomé, como cabeza de lista al Principado |url=https://cadenaser.com/asturias/2022/11/04/los-criticos-de-podemos-imponen-a-su-candidata-covadonga-tome-como-cabeza-de-lista-al-principado-radio-asturias/ |language=es |publisher=Cadena SER |access-date=4 November 2022}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Assembly for Asturias}}"|

| align="center"| IU–MP–IAS

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| United Left of Asturias (IU/IX)
{{smaller|– Communist Party of Asturias (PCAsturias)
– The Dawn. Marxist Organization OM (La Aurora (om))
– Republican Left (IR)}}

| More Country (Más País)

| Asturian Left (IAS)

}}

| 50px

| Ovidio Zapico

| Socialism
Communism

| align="center"|
6.6%
{{efn|name="IU+IAS"}}

| {{big|2}}

| {{na}}

| {{cite news |date=28 January 2023 |title=Ovidio Zapico encabeza la única lista consensuada de IU de Asturias a las próximas elecciones |url=https://www.europapress.es/asturias/noticia-ovidio-zapico-encabeza-unica-lista-consensuada-iu-asturias-proximas-elecciones-20230128103346.html |language=es |agency=Europa Press |location=Asturias |access-date=24 February 2023}}
{{cite news |date=30 March 2023 |title=IU y Más País se presentarán juntos el 28M como Convocatoria por Asturies |url=https://www.cope.es/actualidad/espana/noticias/mas-pais-presentaran-juntos-28m-como-convocatoria-por-asturies-20230330_2634518 |language=es |newspaper=COPE |access-date=1 April 2023}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturias Forum (2021)}}"|

| align="center"| Foro

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| Asturias Forum (Foro)

}}

| 50px

| Adrián Pumares

| Regionalism
Conservatism

| align="center"| 6.5%

| {{big|2}}

| {{na}}

| {{cite news |last=Villa |first=Octavio |date=1 October 2022 |url=https://www.elcomercio.es/asturias/foro-asturias-adrian-pumares-candidato-presidente-principado-20221001134915-nt.html |title=Foro designa a Adrián Pumares candidato a la Presidencia del Principado |language=es |newspaper=El Comercio |access-date=3 October 2022}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}"|

| align="center"| Vox

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| Vox (Vox)

}}

| 50px

| Carolina López

| Right-wing populism
Ultranationalism
National conservatism

| align="center"| 6.4%

| {{big|2}}

| {{na}}

| {{Cite news |title=Ignacio Blanco no repetirá como candidato de Vox al Principado |url=https://www.elcomercio.es/asturias/ignacio-blanco-repetira-candidato-vox-asturias-elecciones-autonomicas-2023-20221217190609-nt.html |last=Fernández |first=Daniel |date=2022-12-17 |access-date=2022-12-17 |work=El Comercio |language=es}}
{{cite news |date=19 January 2023 |url=https://www.lavanguardia.com/autonomias/20230119/8695483/arquitecta-carolina-lopez-sera-candidata-vox-presidencia-asturias.html |title=La arquitecta Carolina López será candidata de Vox a la Presidencia de Asturias |language=es |newspaper=La Vanguardia |access-date=21 January 2023}}

Campaign

=Election debates=

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"

|+ 2023 Asturian regional election debates

rowspan="3"| Date

! rowspan="3"| Organisers

! rowspan="3"| Moderator(s)

! colspan="9"| {{smaller|  }} {{Colors|black|#90FF90| P }} {{smaller|Present{{efn|Denotes a main invitee attending the event.}}  }}

scope="col" style="width:5em;"| PSOE

! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| PP

! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| CS

! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| Podemos

! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| CxAst

! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| Foro

! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| Vox

! rowspan="2" scope="col" style="width:5em;"| Audience

! rowspan="2"| {{abbr|Ref.|References}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos Asturias (2022)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Assembly for Asturias}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturias Forum (2021)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}};"|

style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| 17 May

| style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| RTPA

| style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| Nacho Monserrat
Natalia Alonso

| {{Yes|P
{{smaller|Barbón}}}}

| {{Yes|P
{{smaller|Canga}}}}

| {{Yes|P
{{smaller|Iñarra}}}}

| {{Yes|P
{{smaller|Tomé}}}}

| {{Yes|P
{{smaller|Zapico}}}}

| {{Yes|P
{{smaller|Pumares}}}}

| {{Yes|P
{{smaller|López}}}}

| 6.8%
{{smaller|(19,000)}}

| {{Cite web |date=18 May 2023 |title=El debate de RTPA revitaliza la campaña |url=https://www.rtpa.es/noticias-asturias:El-debate-de-RTPA-revitaliza-la-campa%C3%83%C2%B1a_111684388576.html |language=es |website=RTPA |access-date=18 May 2023}}
{{Cite web |date=18 May 2023 |title=El debate electoral de TPA tuvo un share del 6,8% y una audiencia acumulada de 78.000 espectadores |url=https://www.europapress.es/asturias/noticia-debate-electoral-tpa-tuvo-share-68-audiencia-acumulada-78000-espectadores-20230518114602.html |language=es |website=Europa Press |access-date=18 May 2023 }}

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

=Graphical summary=

{{wide image|OpinionPollingAsturiasRegionalElection2023.svg|750px|Local regression trend line of poll results from 26 May 2019 to 28 May 2023, with each line corresponding to a political party.}}

=Voting intention estimates=

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 23 seats were required for an absolute majority in the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias.

class="wikitable collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:center; font-size:95%; line-height:16px;"
style="height:42px;"

! style="width:250px;" rowspan="2"| Polling firm/Commissioner

! style="width:125px;" rowspan="2"| Fieldwork date

! style="width:50px;" rowspan="2"| Sample size

! style="width:45px;" rowspan="2"| Turnout

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo FSA-PSOE.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo PP Asturias 2022.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo de Ciudadanos reducido (2023).svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Podemos-Asturies-Logo.png

! style="width:35px;"| File:IU500PNG.png

! style="width:35px;"| File:Foro Asturias icono 2021.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:VOX logo.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:UPsimbol.svg

! style="width:35px;"| SOS

! rowspan="2" style="width:30px;" | Lead

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos Asturias (2022)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Assembly for Asturias}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturias Forum (2021)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Unidas Podemos}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|SOS Asturias}};"|

colspan="14" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2023 regional election

| 28 May 2023

| {{N/A}}

| 56.8

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 36.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=19}}

| 32.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=17}}

| 0.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 3.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 7.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 3.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 10.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| 1.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 3.9

colspan="14" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
NC Report/La Razón{{cite web |title=Elecciones autonómicas: El PP arrebataría al PSOE la Comunidad Valenciana, Castilla-La Mancha y La Rioja |url=https://www.larazon.es/espana/elecciones-autonomicas-arrebataria-psoe-comunidad-valenciana-castillala-mancha-rioja_20230522646a68d0910a1b0001cf9f5f.html |language=es |work=La Razón |date=22 May 2023}}

| 22 May 2023

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 36.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=19/20}}

| 32.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=17/18}}

| –

| {{efn|name="UP"|Within Unidas Podemos.}}

| {{efn|name="UP"}}

| 4.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 9.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 10.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 4.5

KeyData/Público{{cite web |title=El PSOE de Barbón solo alcanzaría la mayoría absoluta en Asturias junto a Podemos e IU |url=https://www.publico.es/politica/psoe-barbon-alcanzaria-mayoria-absoluta-asturias-e-iu.html |language=es |work=Público |date=19 May 2023}}

| 17 May 2023

|?

| 60.1

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 35.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=19}}

| 29.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16}}

| 1.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 7.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 6.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 4.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 9.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 5.9

ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=¿Quién gobernará en Asturias el 28-M según el último sondeo? Los resultados no dejan lugar a dudas |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/quien-gobernara-asturias-28-m-segun-ultimo-sondeo-resultados-no-dejan-lugar-dudas_311075102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=20 May 2023}}{{cite web |title=EP Autonómico (20My – Final): nos espera un 28M de infarto |url=https://electomania.es/ep-autonomico-20my-final-nos-espera-un-28m-de-infarto/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=20 May 2023}}

| 11–17 May 2023

| 600

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 37.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=20}}

| 28.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16}}

| 2.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 6.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 6.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 4.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 10.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| 0.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 8.4

GESOP/La Nueva España{{cite web |title= La encuesta de LNE: La izquierda volvería a tener mayoría en Asturias pese al importante avance de la derecha |url=https://www.lne.es/asturias/canal-parlamento/2023/05/21/encuesta-lne-izquierda-volveria-mayoria-87650753.html |language=es |work=La Nueva España |date=21 May 2023}}{{cite web |title=[AUT] ASTURIAS Encuesta GESOP 21/05/2023: PODEMOS 5,3% (2), IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS 7,3% (3), PSOE 36,4% (18/20), SOS-EV 1,0%, FORO 4,1% (1), CS 2,0%, PP 29,5% (15/16), VOX 10,2% (4/5) |url=https://www.electografica.com/2023/05/asturias-encuesta-gesop-230521.html |language=es |work=Electográfica |date=21 May 2023}}

| 2–17 May 2023

| 2,806

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 36.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18/20}}

| 29.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=15/16}}

| 2.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 5.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 7.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 4.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 10.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4/5}}

| –

| 1.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;" | 6.9

ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=Clarísimo vencedor en Asturias el próximo 28M, según el último sondeo |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/clarisimo-vencedor-asturias-proximo-28m-segun-ultimo-sondeo_310741102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=13 May 2023}}{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Autonómico (13M) |url=https://electomania.es/ep-autonomico-13m-exclusivo-patrones/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=13 May 2023}}

| 4–10 May 2023

| 600

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 37.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=20}}

| 28.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16}}

| 2.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 6.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 6.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 4.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 10.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| 0.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 8.3

GAD3/Vocento{{cite web |title=Barbón volverá a ganar, pero necesita el apoyo de Podemos para gobernar |url=https://www.abc.es/espana/barbon-volvera-ganar-necesita-apoyo-podemos-gobernar-20230514230512-nt.html |language=es |work=ABC |date=13 May 2023}}{{cite web |title= Barbón gana y la izquierda tiene mayoría, aunque el PP es el partido que más sube |url=https://www.elcomercio.es/elecciones/autonomicas-asturias/barbon-gana-izquierda-mayoria-pp-partido-sube-encuesta-elecciones-asturias-20230514012135-nt.html#vtm_modulosEngag=recom-mimedio::noticia:2 |language=es |work=El Comercio |date=13 May 2023}}

| 28 Apr–3 May 2023

| 1,004

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 37.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=19/20}}

| 31.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=17}}

| 1.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 5.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 6.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 4.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 9.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3/4}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 5.9

ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=Asturias, con un claro vencedor el 28M según el último sondeo |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/asturias-claro-vencedor-28m-segun-ultimo-sondeo_310365102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=6 May 2023}}{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Autonómico (6M) |url=https://electomania.es/ep-autonomico-6m-23/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=6 May 2023}}

| 26 Apr–3 May 2023

| 600

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 37.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=20}}

| 29.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16}}

| 2.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 6.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 6.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 4.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 10.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| 0.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 7.9

Sondaxe/La Voz de Asturias{{cite web |title=Barbón volvería a ganar las elecciones en Asturias y la izquierda sumaría una holgada mayoría |url=https://www.lavozdeasturias.es/noticia/asturias/2023/05/03/barbonvolveria-ganar-elecciones-asturias-izquierda-sumaria-holgada-mayoria/00031683126508577519314.htm |language=es |work=La Voz de Asturias |date=4 May 2023}}

| 24 Apr–2 May 2023

| 800

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 34.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=19}}

| 28.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16}}

| 2.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 9.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 6.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 4.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 8.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 5.7

CIS{{cite web |title=Preelectoral elecciones municipales y autonómicas 2023. Principado de Asturias (Estudio nº 3402. Abril 2023) |url=https://www.cis.es/documents/d/cis/es3402mar_Asturiaspdf |language=es |work=CIS |date=11 May 2023}}{{cite web |title=Estimación de voto. Municipios, grandes ciudades y Comunidades Autónomas (Estudio nº 3402. Abril 2023) |url=https://www.cis.es/documents/d/cis/3402_EstimacionEAMpdf |language=es |work=CIS |date=11 May 2023}}

| 10–26 Apr 2023

| 494

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 36.7

| 27.3

| 3.7

| 8.0

| 6.8

| 4.5

| 9.1

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 9.4

ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=Asturias / La izquierda gobernaría |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/izquierda-gobernara-asturias-segun-ultimo-pronostico-electoral-cara-28m_310045102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=29 April 2023}}{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Autonómico (29A) |url=https://electomania.es/ep-autonomico-29a-exclusivo-patronest/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=29 April 2023}}

| 19–25 Apr 2023

| 600

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 37.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=20}}

| 28.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=15}}

| 2.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 6.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 6.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 5.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 10.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| 0.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 8.8

GAD3/PP{{cite web |title=El PP toma impulso con un sondeo propio que ve posible una victoria de la derecha |url=https://www.lne.es/asturias/canal-parlamento/2023/04/26/pp-toma-impulso-sondeo-propio-86498680.html |language=es |work=La Nueva España |date=26 April 2023}}{{cite web |title=[AUT] ASTURIAS. Encuesta GAD3 (interna PP) 26/04/2023: PODEMOS 7,0% (2/3), IU-MP 5,2% (2), PSOE 36,3% (18/19), FORO 2,3% (0/1), CS 1,3%, PP 33,9% (17), VOX 10,8% (4/5) |url=https://www.electografica.com/2023/04/asturias-encuesta-gad3-230426.html |language=es |work=Electográfica |date=26 April 2023}}

| 14–18 Apr 2023

| 1,014

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 36.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18/19}}

| 33.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=17}}

| 1.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 7.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}

| 5.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 2.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| 10.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4/5}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 2.4

ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=Asturias / Gana el PSOE y la izquierda mantiene la mayoría |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/asturias-gana-psoe-izquierda-mantiene-mayoria_309603102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=22 April 2023}}{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Autonómico (22A) |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-autonomico-22a-exclusivo-patrones/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=22 April 2023}}

| 12–18 Apr 2023

| 600

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 37.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=20}}

| 27.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=15}}

| 2.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 7.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 6.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 5.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 11.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| 0.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 9.8

Simple Lógica/elDiario.es{{cite web |title=El PSOE volverá a ganar las elecciones en Asturias pero necesitará el apoyo de otras formaciones para gobernar |url=https://www.eldiario.es/asturias/psoe-volvera-ganar-elecciones-asturias-necesitara-apoyo-formaciones-gobernar_1_10131185.html |language=es |work=elDiario.es |date=19 April 2023}}

| 4–13 Apr 2023

| 452

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 36.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=19/20}}

| 27.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=15/16}}

| 3.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 5.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}

| 12.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3/4}}

| 3.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| 8.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3/4}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 8.8

ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Asturias / Claro triunfo de la izquierda con un PSOE imbatible |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/electopanel-asturias-claro-triunfo-izquierda-psoe-imbatible_309237102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=15 April 2023}}{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Autonómico (15A) – varias CCAA en un puño |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-autonomico-15a-varias-ccaa-en-un-puno/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=15 April 2023}}

| 5–11 Apr 2023

| 600

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 38.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=20}}

| 26.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=13}}

| 1.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 7.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 6.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 5.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 11.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| 0.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 11.9

ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Asturias / El PSOE arrasa en Asturias y la izquierda gobernaría |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/electopanel-asturias-psoe-arrasa-izquierda-gobernaria_308872102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=8 April 2023}}{{cite web |title=EP Autonómico 8A – comienza el juego |url=https://electomania.es/ep-autonomico-8a23-comienza-el-juego/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=8 April 2023}}

| 27 Mar–4 Apr 2023

| 600

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 38.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=20}}

| 26.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=13}}

| 1.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 7.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 6.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 5.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 11.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| 0.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 12.8

NC Report/La Razón{{cite web |title=Asturias: El PSOE necesitará a Podemos para mantener el poder |url=https://www.larazon.es/espana/asturias-psoe-necesitara-podemos-mantener-poder_20230313640e799935808d0001ca0726.html |language=es |work=La Razón |date=13 March 2023}}

| 3–10 Mar 2023

|?

| 54.9

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 33.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18}}

| 31.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=17}}

| –

| {{efn|name="UP"}}

| {{efn|name="UP"}}

| 5.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 8.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 15.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 2.0

GAD3/IU{{efn|Extrapolation from results for the Central District.}}{{cite web |title=El PSOE volvería a gobernar en Asturias con el apoyo de Podemos e IU |url=https://www.nortes.me/2023/03/29/el-psoe-volveria-a-gobernar-en-asturias-con-el-apoyo-de-iu-y-podemos/ |language=es |work=Nortes |date=29 March 2023}}

| 1–7 Mar 2023

| 2,003

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 34.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18/19}}

| 32.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16}}

| 2.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 8.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 6.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 4.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1/2}}

| 10.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 2.4

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=El PSOE volvería a ganar las elecciones en Asturias, según Electomanía |url=https://www.cope.es/emisoras/asturias/noticias/psoe-volveria-ganar-las-elecciones-asturias-segun-electomania-20230301_2579354 |language=es |work=COPE |access-date=1 March 2023}}

| 15 Jan–26 Feb 2023

| 1,101

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=21}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=12}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"|?

Sigma Dos/El Mundo{{cite web |title=El PSOE volverá a ganar en Asturias con castigo para el gobierno de Barbón |url=https://www.elmundo.es/espana/encuestas/2022/12/18/639f481bfc6c83cf268b4574.html |language=es |work=El Mundo |date=18 December 2022}}{{cite web |title=ASTURIAS. Encuesta SigmaDos 19/12/2022: IU-IAS 6,4% (2), PODEMOS 8,8% (3/4), PSOE 33,9% (19), FORO 4,7% (0/1), Cs 4,5% (0/1), PP 26,9% (15), VOX 10,9% (4) |url=https://www.electografica.com/2022/12/asturias-encuesta-sigmados-221219.html |language=es |work=Electográfica |date=18 December 2022}}

| 9–15 Dec 2022

| 711

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 33.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=19}}

| 26.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=15}}

| 4.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| 8.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3/4}}

| 6.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 4.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| 10.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 7.0

CIS{{efn|Vote+Simpathy figures with undecided and/or abstentionists excluded.}}{{cite web |title=Macroencuesta sobre tendencias en voto autonómico (Estudio nº 3386. Noviembre-diciembre 2022) |url=https://www.cis.es/visor?migrado=true&fichero=cru3386ccaahtml |language=es |work=CIS |date=22 December 2022}}

| 17 Nov–2 Dec 2022

| 266

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 45.5

| 19.3

| 1.6

| {{efn|name="UP"|Within Unidas Podemos.}}

| {{efn|name="UP"}}

| 0.5

| 8.4

| 14.9

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 26.2

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=AsturPanel (15JL): Barbón baja y pierde la absoluta, pero sigue dominando. El PP de Mallada sube pero se queda sin opciones en el 19% |url=https://electomania.es/asturpanel15jl22/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=15 July 2022}}

| 1 Jun–13 Jul 2022

| 231

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 42.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=22}}

| 19.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=11}}

| 1.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 7.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 6.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 5.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 13.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| –

| 0.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 22.6

Metroscopia/PP{{cite web |title=ASTURIAS. Encuesta Metroscopia (interna PP) 17/07/2022: IU-IAS 5,1% (2), PODEMOS 8,7% (3), PSOE 33,7% (17), FORO 1,6%, Cs 1,0%, PP 35,4% (19), VOX 11,5% (4) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2022/07/asturias-encuesta-metroscopia-220717.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=17 July 2022}}

| 23–29 Jun 2022

| 800

|?

| 33.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=17}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 35.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=19}}

| 1.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 8.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 5.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 1.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 11.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}}; color:white;"| 1.7

La Nueva España{{cite web |title=¿Qué pasaría si hubiera elecciones en Asturias? Un partido sube, otro desaparece y la izquierda se mantendría, según una encuesta |url=https://www.lne.es/asturias/canal-parlamento/2022/04/20/pasaria-hubiera-elecciones-asturias-partido-65165064.html |language=es |work=La Nueva España |date=20 April 2022}}{{cite web |title=A un año vista |url=https://cadenaser.com/2022/04/21/a-un-ano-vista/ |language=es |work=Cadena SER |date=21 April 2022}}

| 23 Mar–7 Apr 2022

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=20/21}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4/5}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"|?

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel (30N): Barbón conseguiría la absoluta en Asturias y la izquierda alcanzaría los 28 diputados |url=https://electomania.es/astup30n21/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=30 November 2021}}

| 15 Oct–29 Nov 2021

| 1,093

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 41.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=23}}

| 20.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=11}}

| 2.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 8.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 6.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 6.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 11.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 20.8

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=Asturias (15A): sorpasso de Foro a IU y Cs. Barbón pierde la absoluta pero sigue liderando con gran ventaja |url=https://electomania.es/asturias15a21/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=15 April 2021}}

| 15 Apr 2021

| 800

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 42.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=22}}

| 21.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=11}}

| 4.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 7.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 5.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 5.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 10.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 20.9

SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación Diciembre 2020. Principado de Asturias. Autonómicas 2023 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1347139945991970817/photo/1 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=7 January 2021}}

| 27–31 Dec 2020

| 1,276

| 60.6

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 35.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18}}

| 16.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 9.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 13.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6/7}}

| 6.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 6.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 8.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3/4}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 18.9

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=EP (17My): Asturias – absoluta para Barbón |url=https://electomania.es/ep-17my-asturias-absoluta-para-barbon/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=17 May 2020}}{{cite web |title=MacroPanel Autonómico (17My): 8 gobiernos para PSOE+, 8 para PP+ y 3 para otros+ |url=https://electomania.es/macropanel-autonomico-17my-8-gobiernos-para-psoe-8-para-pp-y-3-para-otros/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=17 May 2020}}

| 1 Apr–15 May 2020

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 43.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=23}}

| 19.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 7.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 5.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 7.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 5.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 10.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 23.7

SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación Mayo 2020. Principado de Asturias. Autonómicas 2023 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1259908723021053954 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=11 May 2020}}{{cite web |title=ASTURIAS. Encuesta SyM Consulting 11/05/2020: IU-IAS 6,6% (2), PODEMOS 6,3% (2/3), PSOE 43,9% (23/24), Cs 6,4% (2), PP 19,8% (10), FORO 4,2% (1), VOX 11,1% (4) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2020/05/asturias-encuesta-sym-consulting-200511.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=11 May 2020}}

| 4–6 May 2020

| 1,194

| 62.2

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 43.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=23/24}}

| 19.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 6.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 6.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}

| 6.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 4.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 11.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 24.1

style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| November 2019 general election

| 10 Nov 2019

| {{N/A}}

| 58.1

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 33.3

| 23.2

| 6.7

| {{efn|name="UP"}}

| {{efn|name="UP"}}

| {{efn|name="PP"|Within PP.}}

| 15.9

| 16.0

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 10.1

colspan="14" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2019 regional election

| 26 May 2019

| {{N/A}}

| 55.1

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 35.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=20}}

| 17.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 14.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 11.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 6.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 6.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 6.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 17.8

colspan="14" style="background:#A0A0A0"|

=Voting preferences=

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

class="wikitable collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:center; font-size:90%; line-height:14px;"
style="height:42px;"

! style="width:250px;" rowspan="2"| Polling firm/Commissioner

! style="width:125px;" rowspan="2"| Fieldwork date

! style="width:50px;" rowspan="2"| Sample size

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo FSA-PSOE.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo PP Asturias 2022.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo de Ciudadanos reducido (2023).svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Podemos-Asturies-Logo.png

! style="width:35px;"| File:IU500PNG.png

! style="width:35px;"| File:Foro Asturias icono 2021.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:VOX logo.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:UPsimbol.svg

! style="width:35px;" rowspan="2"| {{Qmark}}

! style="width:35px;" rowspan="2"| {{cross}}

! style="width:30px;" rowspan="2"| Lead

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos Asturias (2022)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Assembly for Asturias}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturias Forum (2021)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Unidas Podemos}};"|

colspan="14" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2023 regional election

| 28 May 2023

| {{N/A}}

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 23.2

| 20.7

| 0.6

| 2.5

| 4.8

| 2.3

| 6.4

| –

| {{N/A}}

| 35.6

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 2.5

colspan="14" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
Sondaxe/La Voz de Asturias

| 24 Apr–2 May 2023

| 800

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 19.0

| 15.9

| –

| 4.3

| 2.9

| –

| 3.9

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 3.1

CIS

| 10–26 Apr 2023

| 494

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 28.9

| 19.7

| 1.7

| 4.5

| 5.6

| 2.8

| 6.2

| –

| 25.6

| 1.7

|style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 9.2

CIS

| 17 Nov–2 Dec 2022

| 266

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 25.9

| 12.7

| 0.6

| {{efn|name="UP"}}

| {{efn|name="UP"}}

| 0.4

| 6.5

| 9.5

| 34.6

| 4.4

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 13.2

style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| November 2019 general election

| 10 Nov 2019

| {{N/A}}

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 21.6

| 15.1

| 4.3

| {{efn|name="UP"}}

| {{efn|name="UP"}}

| {{efn|name="PP"}}

| 10.3

| 10.4

| {{N/A}}

| 34.5

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 6.5

colspan="14" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2019 regional election

| 26 May 2019

| {{N/A}}

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 21.8

| 10.8

| 8.6

| 6.8

| 4.1

| 4.0

| 4.0

| –

| {{N/A}}

| 37.6

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 11.0

colspan="14" style="background:#A0A0A0"|

Results

=Overall=

class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;"

|+ ← Summary of the 28 May 2023 General Junta of the Principality of Asturias election results

colspan="7"| File:AsturiasJuntaDiagram2023.svg
style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2" colspan="2" width="525"| Parties and alliances

! colspan="3"| Popular vote

! colspan="2"| Seats

width="75"| Votes

! width="45"| %

! width="45"| ±pp

! width="35"| Total

! width="35"| +/−

width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}"|

| align="left"| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)

| 195,999

36.50style="color:green;"| +1.24

| 19

style="color:red;"| –1
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}}"|

| align="left"| People's Party (PP)

| 175,131

32.61style="color:green;"| +15.09

| 17

style="color:green;"| +7
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}"|

| align="left"| Vox (Vox)

| 54,273

10.11style="color:green;"| +3.68

| 4

style="color:green;"| +2
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Assembly for Asturias}}"|

| align="left"| Assembly for Asturias United Left–More Country–Asturian Left (IU–MP–IAS)1

| 40,774

7.59style="color:green;"| +0.97

| 3

style="color:green;"| +1
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos Asturias (2022)}}"|

| align="left"| We Can Asturias (Podemos Asturies)

| 21,052

3.92style="color:red;"| –7.12

| 1

style="color:red;"| –3
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturias Forum (2021)}}"|

| align="left"| Asturias Forum (Foro)

| 19,652

3.66style="color:red;"| –2.86

| 1

style="color:red;"| –1
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|SOS Asturias}}"|

| align="left"| SOS Asturias–Empty Spain (SOS Asturias)

| 5,838

1.09New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}}"|

| align="left"| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS)

| 4,974

0.93style="color:red;"| –13.04

| 0

style="color:red;"| –5
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Animalist Party with the Environment}}"|

| align="left"| Animalist Party with the Environment (PACMA)2

| 3,271

0.61style="color:red;"| –0.03

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Greens Equo}}"|

| align="left"| Greens–Equo Asturias (V–Q)

| 1,717

0.32style="color:red;"| –0.08

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Communist Party of the Workers of Spain}}"|

| align="left"| Communist Party of the Workers of Spain (PCTE)

| 1,401

0.26style="color:green;"| +0.06

| 0

±0
bgcolor={{party color|Andecha Astur}}|

| align="left"| Andecha Astur (Andecha)

| 1,245

0.23style="color:red;"| –0.07

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Unite Principality}}"|

| align="left"| Unite Principality (SMP)

| 1,148

0.21New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|For a Fairer World}}"|

| align="left"| For a Fairer World (PUM+J)

| 789

0.15New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|State of Spain Unionist Party}}"|

| align="left"| State of Spain Unionist Party (PUEDE)

| 236

0.04New

| 0

±0
align="left" colspan="2"| Blank ballots

| 9,523

1.77style="color:green;"| +0.67

| bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"|

colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"|
style="font-weight:bold;"

| align="left" colspan="2"| Total

| 537,023

bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"|

| 45

±0
colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"|
align="left" colspan="2"| Valid votes

| 537,023

98.54style="color:red;"| –0.52

| bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2" rowspan="5"|

align="left" colspan="2"| Invalid votes

| 7,979

1.46style="color:green;"| +0.52
style="font-weight:bold;"

| align="left" colspan="2"| Votes cast / turnout

| 545,002

56.85style="color:green;"| +1.73
align="left" colspan="2"| Abstentions

| 413,656

43.15style="color:red;"| –1.73
style="font-weight:bold;"

| align="left" colspan="2"| Registered voters

| 958,658

bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"|
colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"|
align="left" colspan="7"| Sources{{cite journal |issue=119 |date=22 June 2023 |title=Actas de escrutinio y anexo al acta de escrutinio voto CERA. Distribución de votos recibidos por Consulados, correspondientes a las elecciones a la Junta General del Principado de Asturias, celebradas el 28 de mayo de 2023 |url=https://sede.asturias.es/bopa/2023/06/22/2023-05292.pdf |language=es |journal=Boletín Oficial del Principado de Asturias |issn=1579-7252 |pages=75–84}}
colspan="7" style="text-align:left; max-width:790px;"| {{hidden|ta1=left|title=Footnotes:|content={{ubl

| 1 Assembly for Asturias United Left–More Country–Asturian Left results are compared to United Left–Asturian Left: Asturias by the Left totals in the 2019 election.

| 2 Animalist Party with the Environment results are compared to Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals totals in the 2019 election.}}}}

{{bar box

|title=Popular vote

|titlebar=#ddd

|width=550px

|barwidth=500px

|bars=

{{bar percent|PSOE|{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}|36.50}}

{{bar percent|PP|{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}}|32.61}}

{{bar percent|Vox|{{party color|Vox (political party)}}|10.11}}

{{bar percent|IU–MP–IAS|{{party color|Assembly for Asturias}}|7.59}}

{{bar percent|Podemos Ast.|{{party color|Podemos Asturias (2022)}}|3.92}}

{{bar percent|Foro|{{party color|Asturias Forum (2021)}}|3.66}}

{{bar percent|SOS Asturias|{{party color|SOS Asturias}}|1.09}}

{{bar percent|Others|#777777|2.75}}

{{bar percent|Blank ballots|#DDDDDD|1.77}}

}}

{{bar box

|title=Seats

|titlebar=#ddd

|width=550px

|barwidth=500px

|bars=

{{bar percent|PSOE|{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}|42.22}}

{{bar percent|PP|{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}}|37.78}}

{{bar percent|Vox|{{party color|Vox (political party)}}|8.89}}

{{bar percent|IU–MP–IAS|{{party color|Assembly for Asturias}}|6.67}}

{{bar percent|Podemos Ast.|{{party color|Podemos Asturias (2022)}}|2.22}}

{{bar percent|Foro|{{party color|Asturias Forum (2021)}}|2.22}}

}}

=Distribution by constituency=

class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right; line-height:20px;"
rowspan="3"| Constituency

! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| PSOE

! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| PP

! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| Vox

! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| CxAst

! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| Podemos

! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| Foro

colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}"|

! colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}}"|

! colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}"|

! colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|Assembly for Asturias}}"|

! colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|Podemos Asturias (2022)}}"|

! colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|Asturias Forum (2021)}}"|

data-sort-type="number"| %

! data-sort-type="number"| S

! data-sort-type="number"| %

! data-sort-type="number"| S

! data-sort-type="number"| %

! data-sort-type="number"| S

! data-sort-type="number"| %

! data-sort-type="number"| S

! data-sort-type="number"| %

! data-sort-type="number"| S

! data-sort-type="number"| %

! data-sort-type="number"| S

align="left"| Central

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 36.2

| 13

| 32.0

| 12

| 10.7

| 4

| 8.2

| 3

| 4.3

| 1

| 3.2

| 1

align="left"| Eastern

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 38.3

| 3

| 36.4

| 2

| 9.5

| −

| 4.7

| −

| 2.6

| −

| 3.9

| −

align="left"| Western

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 37.0

| 3

| 35.0

| 3

| 6.5

| −

| 5.4

| −

| 1.7

| −

| 6.7

| −

style="background:#CDCDCD;"

| align="left"| Total

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 36.5

| 19

| 32.6

| 17

| 10.1

| 4

| 7.6

| 3

| 3.9

| 1

| 3.7

| 1

colspan="15"|
style="text-align:left; font-weight:normal; background:#F9F9F9" colspan="15"| Sources

Aftermath

{{Further|Second government of Adrián Barbón}}

Barbón was elected invested as President with majority in the first voting.{{cite news |last1=Palicio |first1=Marcos |last2=A. Ardura |first2=Juan |date=19 July 2023 |url=https://www.lne.es/asturias/canal-parlamento/2023/07/19/barbon-investido-presidente-principado-votos-90065526.html |title=Barbón, investido presidente del Principado con los votos de la izquierda mientras "acelera" la negociación para un gobierno con IU |language=es |newspaper=La Nueva España |access-date=25 December 2023}}

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"
bgcolor="#E9E9E9"

| colspan="4" align="center" bgcolor="#C0C0C0"| Investiture

colspan="2" width="275px"| Ballot →

! colspan="2"| 19 July 2023

colspan="2"| Required majority →

| colspan="2"| 23 out of 45

width="1px" style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}};"|

| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = Adrián Barbón (PSOE)

| • PSOE (19)

| • IU–MP–IAS (3)

| • Podemos (1)

}}

| {{Composition bar|23|45|{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}|width=125px}}

| {{tick|15}}

style="color:inherit;background:gray;"|

| align="left"| {{Collapsible list|title=Abstentions

| • PP (17)

| • Vox (4)

| • Foro (1)

}}

| colspan="2"| {{Composition bar|22|45|gray|width=125px}}

style="color:inherit;background:black;"|

| align="left"| Absentees

| colspan="2"| {{Composition bar|0|45|black|width=125px}}

align="left" colspan="6"| Sources

Notes

{{notelist}}

References

;Opinion poll sources

{{reflist|group="p"}}

;Other

{{reflist}}

{{Asturian elections}}

{{Regional elections in Spain in the 2020s}}

Asturias

2023

Category:2023 in Asturias