2023 Hessian state election
{{Short description|none}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2023 Hessian state election
| country = Hesse
| type = parliamentary
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2018 Hessian state election
| previous_year = 2018
| next_election = Next Hessian state election
| next_year = Next
| election_date = 8 October 2023
| seats_for_election = All 133 seats of the Landtag of Hesse, including 23 overhang and leveling seats
| majority_seats = 67
| registered =
| turnout = 2,812,560 (64.9%)
{{Decrease}} 2.4%
| image1 = {{CSS image crop|Image =Boris Rhein (Martin Rulsch) 2013-02-26 2.jpg|bSize = 120|cWidth = 120|cHeight = 160|oTop = 0|oLeft = 0}}
| leader1 = Boris Rhein
| party1 = Christian Democratic Union of Germany
| last_election1 = 40 seats, 27.0%
| seats1 = 52
| seats_needed1 = {{Increase}}16
| seat_change1 = {{Increase}} 12
| popular_vote1 = 972,876
| percentage1 = 34.6%
| swing1 = {{Increase}} 7.6%
| image2 = {{CSS image crop|Image =MJK 43662 Robert Lambrou (Hessischer Landtag 2019).jpg|bSize = 120|cWidth = 120|cHeight = 160|oTop = 0|oLeft = 0}}
| leader2 = Robert Lambrou
| party2 = Alternative for Germany
| last_election2 = 19 seats, 13.1%
| seats2 = 28
| seats_needed2 = {{Increase}}37
| seat_change2 = {{Increase}} 9
| popular_vote2 = 518,763
| percentage2 = 18.4%
| swing2 = {{Increase}} 5.3%
| image3 = {{CSS image crop|Image =2023-02-12 BMW IBU World Championships Biathlon Oberhof 2023 – Men 12.5 km Pursuit by Sandro Halank–004.jpg|bSize = 140|cWidth = 120|cHeight = 160|oTop = 0|oLeft = 10}}
| leader3 = Nancy Faeser
| party3 = Social Democratic Party of Germany
| last_election3 = 29 seats, 19.8%
| seats3 = 23
| seats_needed3 = {{Increase}}27
| seat_change3 = {{Decrease}} 6
| popular_vote3 = 424,587
| percentage3 = 15.1%
| swing3 = {{Decrease}} 4.7%
| image4 = {{CSS image crop|Image =2016-02-04 Tarek Al-Wazir - MdL Hessen - 3647-2.jpg|bSize = 120|cWidth = 120|cHeight = 160|oTop = 0|oLeft = 0}}
| leader4 = Tarek Al-Wazir
| party4 = Alliance 90/The Greens
| last_election4 = 29 seats, 19.8%
| seats4 = 22
| seats_needed4 = {{Increase}}27
| seat_change4 = {{Decrease}} 7
| popular_vote4 = 416,035
| percentage4 = 14.8%
| swing4 = {{Decrease}} 5.0%
| image5 = {{CSS image crop|Image =MJK 43467 Stefan Naas (Hessischer Landtag 2019).jpg|bSize = 120|cWidth = 120|cHeight = 160|oTop = 0|oLeft = 0}}
| leader5 = Stefan Naas
| party5 = Free Democratic Party (Germany)
| last_election5 = 11 seats, 7.5%
| seats5 = 8
| seats_needed5 = {{Increase}}45
| seat_change5 = {{Decrease}} 3
| popular_vote5 = 141,644
| percentage5 = 5.0%
| swing5 = {{Decrease}} 2.5%
| image6 = {{Multiple candidates images|{{CSS image crop|Image =MJK 43539 Elisabeth Kula (Hessischer Landtag 2019).jpg|bSize = 135|cWidth = 60|cHeight = 160|oTop = 0|oLeft = 32}}|{{CSS image crop|Image =MJK 44068 Jan Schalauske (Hessischer Landtag 2019).jpg|bSize = 134|cWidth = 60|cHeight = 160|oTop = 0|oLeft = 32}}}}
| leader6 = Elisabeth Kula
Jan Schalauske
| party6 = The Left (Germany)
| last_election6 = 9 seats, 6.3%
| seats6 = 0
| seats_needed6 = {{Increase}}47
| seat_change6 = {{Decrease}} 9
| popular_vote6 = 86,842
| percentage6 = 3.1%
| swing6 = {{Decrease}} 3.2%
| map_image = File:Hesse State Election 2023.svg
| map_caption = Map of the election, showing the winner of each single-member district and the distribution of list seats
| title = Government
| before_election = First Rhein cabinet
| before_party = CDU–Green
| posttitle = Government after election
| after_election = Second Rhein cabinet
| after_party = CDU–SPD
}}
The 2023 Hessian state elections was held on Sunday October 8, to elect the 21st Landtag of Hesse.{{Cite web |title=Landtagswahl findet am 8. Oktober 2023 statt |url=https://hessen.de/presse/landtagswahl-findet-am-8-oktober-2023-statt |access-date=2023-01-31 |website=hessen.de |date=17 January 2023 |language=de}} The outgoing government was a coalition of the Christian Democratic Union and The Greens, led by Minister-President Boris Rhein of the CDU. The 2023 Bavarian state election was held the same day.
The result was a clear victory for the CDU, which took almost 35% of the vote on a swing of 7.6 percentage points. At 18%, the Alternative for Germany lifted its vote by over five points and became the second-largest party in a Western state for the first time. The Greens conversely lost five points, falling to fourth place on 15%, just behind the opposition Social Democratic Party (SPD) which suffered similar losses. The Free Democratic Party (FDP) narrowly passed the 5% electoral threshold with a 5.035% vote share; meanwhile, The Left fell to 3.1% and lost all their seats.{{cite web|url=https://www.dw.com/en/germany-scholz-coalition-battered-in-bavaria-hesse-elections/a-67037370|title=Germany: Scholz coalition battered in Bavaria, Hesse polls|date=9 October 2023|website=Deutsche Welle}}
Overall, the incumbent coalition increased its majority, with a strengthened position for the leading CDU. The result, amidst a campaign dominated by federal issues such as immigration, was perceived as a blow for the federal government, with its three member parties – the SPD, Greens, and FDP – all suffering losses. The results also indicated the increasing popularity of the far-right AfD, which in previous months had moved into second place in federal opinion polling.{{cite web|url=https://apnews.com/article/germany-state-elections-bavaria-hesse-136bad47e99f1e41ec1d36ef6a138c66|title=German conservative opposition wins 2 state elections, with far-right making gains|date=8 October 2023|website=Associated Press}}{{cite web|url=https://www.dw.com/en/german-voters-move-further-to-the-right/a-67044416|title=German voters move further to the right|date=9 October 2023|website=Deutsche Welle}}
Election organization
=Election date=
Article 79 of the Constitution of Hesse stipulates that the state parliament is elected for five years. The new election must take place before the end of the electoral period. According to Section 1 of the Hessian state election law, the election must take place on a Sunday or public holiday. The day of the election is determined by the state government by ordinance.
Since the 20th state parliament was constituted on January 18, 2019, Sunday, January 14, 2024, is the latest possible date for the election to the 21st Hessian state parliament.
On January 17, 2023, the Rhein cabinet decided to set October 8, 2023 as the election day. It follows the tradition that voting takes place in Hesse in the three months before the end of the electoral period. The Bavarian state election took place the same day.
=Electoral system=
Parties and voter groups that have not been represented in the state parliament without interruption since the last state election need 1,000 signatures for their state list and 50 for their district election proposals.
The Landtag is elected using mixed-member proportional representation. Every voter has two votes, one for a candidate on the state list and one for a candidate in their constituency. The state list of a party is elected with the state vote that is decisive for the allocation of seats in the state parliament.
Parliament seats are calculated using the Hare-Niemeyer method.
Parties
The following parties were represented in the previous Landtag of Hesse:
| class="wikitable"
! colspan="3" rowspan="2" |Name ! rowspan="2" |Ideology ! rowspan="2" |Leader(s) ! colspan="2" |2018 result |
| Votes (%)
!Seats |
|---|
| bgcolor="{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}" |
| align="center" |CDU |Christian Democratic Union of Germany | align="center" |27.0% |{{Composition bar|40|137|{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}}} |
| bgcolor="{{party color|Alliance 90/The Greens}}" |
| align="center" |Grüne |Alliance 90/The Greens | align="center" |19.8% |{{Composition bar|29|137|{{party color|Alliance 90/The Greens}}}} |
| bgcolor="{{party color|Social Democratic Party of Germany}}" |
| align="center" |SPD |Social Democratic Party of Germany | align="center" |19.8% |{{Composition bar|29|137|{{party color|Social Democratic Party of Germany}}}} |
| bgcolor={{party color|Alternative for Germany}} |
| align=center| AfD | Alternative for Germany | German nationalism | align=center| 13.1% | {{Composition bar|19|137|{{party color|Alternative for Germany}}}} |
| bgcolor="{{party color|Free Democratic Party (Germany)}}" |
| align="center" |FDP |Free Democratic Party | align="center" |7.5% |{{Composition bar|11|137|{{party color|Free Democratic Party (Germany)}}}} |
| bgcolor="{{party color|The Left (Germany)}}" |
| align="center" |Linke |The Left | align="center" |6.3% |{{Composition bar|9|137|{{party color|The Left (Germany)}}}} |
Opinion polling
=Graphical summary=
{{Wide image|File:Opinion polls Hesse 2023.svg|1000px|Local regression of polls conducted}}
=Party polling=
| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:14px;" | |
| style="height:40px;"
! style="width:150px;" rowspan="2"| Polling firm ! style="width:125px;" rowspan="2"| Fieldwork date ! style="width:35px;" rowspan="2"| Sample ! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"| CDU ! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"| Grüne ! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"| SPD ! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"| AfD ! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"| FDP ! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"| Linke ! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"| FW ! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;" rowspan="2"| Others ! style="width:30px;" rowspan="2"| Lead | |
| style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};"|
! style="background: {{party color|Alliance 90/The Greens}};"| ! style="background: {{party color|Social Democratic Party of Germany}};"| ! style="background: {{party color|Alternative for Germany}};"| ! style="background: {{party color|Free Democratic Party (Germany)}};"| ! style="background: {{party color|The Left (Germany)}};"| ! style="background: {{party color|Free Voters}};"| | |
|---|---|
| style="background:#E9E9E9;"
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm 2023 state election] | {{opdrts | 8|Oct|2023|year}}
| – | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 34.6 | 14.8 | 15.1 | 18.4 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 5.5 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 16.1 |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2023/10/06/trendupdate-zur-hessen-wahl-54-prozent-entschieden-platz-zwei-offen/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|3|6|Oct|2023|year}} | 949 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 34.5 | 16.5 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 6.1 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 18.0 | |
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm Forschungsgruppe Wahlen]
| {{opdrts|4|5|Oct|2023|year}} | 1,000 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 32 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 6 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 15 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2023/10/03/trendupdate-zur-hessen-wahl-cdu-steigt-weiter-dreikampf-um-platz-zwei/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|30|3|Oct|2023|year}} | 1,002 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 33 | 16.5 | 16 | 16 | 5.5 | 3 | 4.5 | 5.5 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 16.5 | |
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm INSA]
| {{opdrts|25|2|Oct|2023|year}} | 1,000 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 31 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 7 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 15 | |
| [https://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/landtagswahl-in-hessen-cdu-in-umfrage-stabil-vorn-spd-sackt-ab-a-2eb23271-0eb6-4db3-b655-b60f687ed168 Civey]
| {{opdrts|24|1|Oct|2023|year}} | 2,900 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 31 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 4 | – | 10 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 13 | |
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm Forschungsgruppe Wahlen]
| {{opdrts|25|28|Sep|2023|year}} | 1,041 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 32 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 6 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 15 | |
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm Infratest dimap]
| {{opdrts|25|27|Sep|2023|year}} | 1,515 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 31 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 7 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 14 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2023/09/26/hessen-cdu-haelt-deutlichen-vorsprung-gruene-mit-plus-spd-droht-platz-vier/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|22|26|Sep|2023|year}} | 1,000 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 30.5 | 18 | 16 | 17.5 | 5 | 2.5 | 4 | 6.5 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 12.5 | |
| [https://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/spiegel-umfrage-zur-landtagswahl-in-hessen-hinter-der-cdu-deutet-sich-ein-dreikampf-von-spd-gruenen-und-afd-an-a-38df5449-f21d-4392-9a0d-b5dd6cc2194d Civey]
| {{opdrts|7|14|Sep|2023|year}} | 3,001 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 31 | 19 | 19 | 14 | 6 | 3 | – | 8 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 12 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/hessen-cdu-vorn-spd-stagniert-afd-und-gruene-kopf-an-kopf/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|9|13|Sep|2023|year}} | 1,200 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 30 | 17 | 20 | 17.5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4.5 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 10 | |
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm INSA]
| {{opdrts|4|11|Sep|2023|year}} | 1,000 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 29 | 19 | 20 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 9 | |
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm Infratest dimap]
| {{opdrts|5|9|Sep|2023|year}} | 1,170 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 31 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 13 | |
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm Forschungsgruppe Wahlen]
| {{opdrts|4|7|Sep|2023|year}} | 1,107 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 30 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 6 | 3 | – | 7 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 11 | |
| [https://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/cdu-fuehrt-deutlich-in-hessen-spiegel-umfrage-a-d115aec8-7ae6-4c78-ad6f-c551a1bea1ad Civey]
| {{opdrts|24|31|Aug|2023|year}} | 3,002 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 29 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 6 | 3 | – | 8 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 9 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2023/08/30/hessen-cdu-baut-vorsprung-aus-spd-und-gruene-unveraendert-afd-verliert/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|25|29|Aug|2023|year}} | 1,000 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 29 | 16 | 20 | 18 | 5.5 | 2 | 4.5 | 5 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 9 | |
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm Forschungsgruppe Wahlen]
| {{opdrts|21|23|Aug|2023|year}} | 1,005 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 31 | 18 | 20 | 15 | 6 | 3 | – | 7 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 11 | |
| [https://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/umfrage-zur-hessen-wahl-cdu-vorne-spd-und-gruene-kaempfen-um-platz-zwei-a-d62b22a4-f43d-42b0-86e2-3da8c6c1205f Civey]
| {{opdrts|9|16|Aug|2023|year}} | 2,810 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 29 | 19 | 20 | 15 | 6 | 3 | – | 8 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 9 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/hessen-cdu-voraus-afd-und-freie-waehler-holen-auf/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| 18–23 Jul 2023 | 1,015 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 25.5 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 5.5 | 6 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 5.5 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2023/07/01/hessen-cdu-vorn-spd-knapp-vor-afd-und-gruenen/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|23|1|Jul|2023|year}} | 1,400 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 26 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 6 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 6 | |
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm INSA]
| {{opdrts|5|12|Jun|2023|year}} | 1,000 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 29 | 18 | 22 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 7 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2023/05/22/hessen-cdu-legt-zu-spd-stagniert-gruene-rutschen-weiter-ab/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|17|22|May|2023|year}} | 1,002 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 29 | 16 | 23.5 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 6.5 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 5.5 | |
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm INSA]
| {{opdrts|17|24|Apr|2023|year}} | 1,000 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 30 | 20 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color: #FFFFFF;"|9 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2023/04/16/hessen-cdu-vorn-spd-unveraendert-gruene-lassen-federn/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|5|14|Apr|2023|year}} | 1,398 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 28 | 18 | 24 | 12.5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5.5 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 4 | |
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm Infratest dimap]
| data-sort-value="2023-03-11"| 7–11 Mar 2023 | 1,177 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 32 | 22 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 3 | – | 7 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 10 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2023/03/08/hessen-cdu-vergroessert-abstand-auf-spd-und-gruene/ Wahlkreisprognose]
|3–7 Mar 2023 |1,003 |{{Party shading/CDU}} | 29 |21 |24 |11 |6 |1.5 |3 |4.5 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color: #FFFFFF;"|5 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2023/02/06/hessen-cdu-knapp-vor-spd-gruene-waeren-koenigsmacher/ Wahlkreisprognose]
|3–6 Feb 2023 |1,521 |{{Party shading/CDU}} | 26 |20 |25 |12 |7.5 |1.5 |2.5 |5.5 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color: #FFFFFF;"|1 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2022/12/28/hessen-cdu-weiter-vorn-spd-holt-auf/ Wahlkreisprognose]
|23–27 Dec 2022 |1,150 |{{Party shading/CDU}} | 28 |19 |25 |12 |7 |1.5 |2.5 |5 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color: #FFFFFF;"|3 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2022/11/27/hessen-cdu-legt-zu-spd-und-gruene-tauschen-plaetze/ Wahlkreisprognose]
|25–27 Nov 2022 |1,100 |{{Party shading/CDU}} | 30 |19.5 |22 |12 |6.5 |2 |3 |5 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color: #FFFFFF;"|8 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2022/10/28/hessen-cdu-weit-vor-gruene-spd-erholt/ Wahlkreisprognose]
|24–28 Oct 2022 |1,082 |{{Party shading/CDU}} | 28.5 |21 |18 |13.5 |7 |3 |3 |6 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color: #FFFFFF;"|7.5 | |
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm Infratest dimap]
| data-sort-value="2022-10-15"| 12–15 Oct 2022 | 1,161 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 27 | 22 | 22 | 12 | 6 | 3 | – | 8 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 5 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2022/09/30/hessen-cdu-vergroessert-abstand-zu-den-gruenen/ Wahlkreisprognose]
|25–29 Sep 2022 |1,000 |{{Party shading/CDU}} | 30.5 |21 |15 |14.5 |7 |4 |3 |5 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color: #FFFFFF;"|9.5 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2022/08/31/hessen-cdu-bleibt-vor-starken-gruenen-spd-mit-deutlichen-einbussen/ Wahlkreisprognose]
|25–30 Aug 2022 |1,010 |{{Party shading/CDU}} | 29.5 |26 |15.5 |9 |7 |3.5 |3.5 |6 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color: #FFFFFF;"|3.5 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2022/07/12/hessen-cdu-vor-gruenen-spd-leicht-erholt/ Wahlkreisprognose]
|7–12 Jul 2022 |1,043 |{{Party shading/CDU}} | 29.5 |26.5 |20 |7 |6.5 |2.5 |3.5 |4.5 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color: #FFFFFF;"|3 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2022/06/18/hessen-cdu-und-gruene-im-aufwind-spd-faellt-zurueck/ Wahlkreisprognose]
|12–18 Jun 2022 |1,200 |{{Party shading/CDU}} | 32 |27 |18 |7 |6 |3 |2 |5 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color: #FFFFFF;"|5 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2022/05/04/hessen-cdu-wieder-deutlich-vorn-spd-faellt-hinter-gruene-zurueck/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| data-sort-value="2022-05-04"| 29 Apr–4 May 2022 | 1,023 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 28 | 24.5 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 3.5 | 2 | 6 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 3.5 | |
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm INSA]
| data-sort-value="2022-04-11"| 4–11 Apr 2022 | 1,000 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 24 | 19 | {{Party shading/SPD}} | 24 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 7 | Tie | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2022/03/10/hessen-al-wazir-bei-direktwahl-vor-rhein-und-faeser-cdu-spd-und-gruene-im-dreikampf-um-platz-1/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| data-sort-value="2022-03-10"| 3–10 Mar 2022 | 1,400 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 25 | 24 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2.5 | 5.5 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 1 | |
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm Infratest dimap]
| data-sort-value="2022-03-02"| 28 Feb–2 Mar 2022 | 1,169 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 27 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 9 | 5 | – | 8 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 3 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2022/01/28/hessen-spd-und-cdu-liegen-kopf-an-kopf-gruene-stabil-fdp-geht-zurueck/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| data-sort-value="2022-01-28"| 21–28 Jan 2022 | 1,102 | 25 | 19 | {{Party shading/SPD}} | 26 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 4 | style="background: {{party color|Social Democratic Party of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 1 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2021/12/04/hessen-spd-dreht-wahlkreise-und-fuehrt-im-landestrend-knapp-cdu-stagniert-auf-niedrigem-niveau-gruene-verlieren-deutlich/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| data-sort-value="2021-12-02"| 26 Nov–2 Dec 2021 | 1,000 | 21.5 | 18.5 | {{Party shading/SPD}} | 24.5 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5.5 | style="background: {{party color|Social Democratic Party of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 3 | |
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm INSA]
| data-sort-value="2021-10-19"| 11–19 Oct 2021 | 1,253 | 20 | 20 | {{Party shading/SPD}} | 26 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 4 | style="background: {{party color|Social Democratic Party of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 6 | |
| style="background:#E5E5F5;font-style:italic;"
| data-sort-value="2021-09-26"| 26 Sep 2021 | – | 22.8 | 15.8 | {{Party shading/SPD}} | 27.6 | 8.8 | 12.8 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 6.0 | style="background: {{party color|Social Democratic Party of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 4.8 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2021/05/12/hessen-gruene-deutlich-vor-cdu-freie-waehler-waeren-knapp-im-landtag/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| data-sort-value="2021-05-11"| 5–11 May 2021 | – | 21.5 | {{Party shading/Grüne}} | 27 | 16 | 9.5 | 12 | 5 | 5 | – | style="background: {{party color|Alliance 90/The Greens}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 5.5 | |
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm Infratest dimap]
| data-sort-value="2021-02-23"| 18–23 Feb 2021 | 1,001 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 32 | 21 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 6 | – | 7 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 11 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2020/12/14/hessen-cdu-deutlich-vor-gruenen-und-spd-volker-bouffier-und-helge-braun-populaerste-politiker/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| data-sort-value="2020-12-14"| 7–14 Dec 2020 | – | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 32 | 21.5 | 18.5 | 12 | 6 | 6 | – | 4 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 10.5 | |
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm Infratest dimap]
| data-sort-value="2020-12-07"| 1–7 Dec 2020 | 1,004 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 34 | 22 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 5 | – | 5 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 12 | |
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm INSA]
| data-sort-value="2020-10-29"| 22–29 Oct 2020 | 1,018 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 30 | 19 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 9 | – | 7 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 11 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2020/09/12/hessen-zugewinne-fuer-cdu-und-linke-spd-buesst-deutlich-ein/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| data-sort-value="2020-09-12"| 5–12 Sep 2020 | – | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 31.5 | 22 | 16.5 | 13 | 5 | 8 | – | – | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 9.5 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2020/07/16/hessen-cdu-buesst-deutlich-ein-gruene-afd-und-linke-legen-zu/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| data-sort-value="2020-07-16"| 10–16 July 2020 | – | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 30 | 21.5 | 20.5 | 12 | 5 | 7 | – | – | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 8.5 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2020/05/25/hessen-cdu-im-hoehenflug-spd-knapp-vor-gruenen-linke-und-fdp-auf-der-kippe/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| data-sort-value="2020-05-25"| 20–25 May 2020 | – | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 36 | 20 | 20.5 | 9 | 5 | 5 | – | – | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 15.5 | |
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm Infratest dimap]
| {{opdrts|12|13|May|2020|year}} | 1,005 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 36 | 20 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 4 | – | 5 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 16 | |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2020/04/14/hessen-solide-mehrheit-fuer-schwarz-gruen-afd-verliert-deutlich/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|6|14|Apr|2020|year}} | – | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 32 | 22 | 21 | 8 | 6.5 | 5 | – | – | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 10 | |
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm Infratest dimap]
| {{opdrts|7|13|Feb|2020|year}} | 1,000 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 26 | 25 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 8 | – | 6 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 1 | |
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm INSA]
| {{opdrts|4|16|Dec|2019|year}} | 2,000 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 26 | 23 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 2 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 3 | |
| style="background:#E5E5F5;font-style:italic;"
| {{opdrts | 26|May|2019|year}}
| – | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 25.8 | 23.4 | 18.4 | 9.9 | 6.4 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 10.0 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 2.4 |
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm Infratest dimap]
| {{opdrts|16|24|Apr|2019|year}} | 1,001 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 27 | 21 | 19 | 13 | 9 | 6 | – | 5 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 6 | |
| style="background:#E9E9E9;"
| [https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/hessen.htm 2018 state election] | {{opdrts | 28|Oct|2018|year}}
| – | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 27.0 | 19.8 | 19.8 | 13.1 | 7.5 | 6.3 | 3.0 | 3.6 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 7.2 |
=Minister-president polling=
| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:14px;" |
| style="height:40px;"
! style="width:155px;" rowspan="3"| Polling firm ! style="width:120px;" rowspan="3"| Fieldwork date ! style="width:35px;" rowspan="3"| Sample ! class="unsortable" style="width:70px;"| 100x100px ! class="unsortable" style="width:70px;"| 100x100px ! class="unsortable" style="width:70px;"| 100x100px ! class="unsortable" style="width:70px;"| 100x100px ! class="unsortable" style="width:70px;" rowspan="3"| None/ ! style="width:30px;" rowspan="3"| Lead |
| class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"| {{nowrap|Rhein}} CDU ! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"| {{nowrap|Al-Wazir}} Grüne ! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"| {{nowrap|Faeser}} SPD ! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"| {{nowrap|Lambrou}} AfD |
|---|
| style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};"|
! style="background: {{party color|Alliance 90/The Greens}};"| ! style="background: {{party color|Social Democratic Party of Germany}};"| ! style="background: {{party color|Alternative for Germany}};"| |
| style="background:#E9E9E9;"
| [https://www.tagesschau.de/wahl/archiv/2023-10-08-LT-DE-HE/umfrage-kandidaten.shtml Infratest dimap] | rowspan=3 | 8 Oct 2023 | rowspan=3 | – | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 38 | 23 | 15 | – | 24 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 15 |
| style="background:#E9E9E9;"
| [https://www.zdf.de/nachrichten/thema/landtagswahl-hessen-104.html?slide=UA59 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen] | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 50 | 30 | – | – | 20 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 19 |
| style="background:#E9E9E9;"
| [https://www.zdf.de/nachrichten/thema/landtagswahl-hessen-104.html?slide=UA57 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen] | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 61 | – | 21 | – | 18 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 40 |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2023/10/06/trendupdate-zur-hessen-wahl-54-prozent-entschieden-platz-zwei-offen/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|3|6|Oct|2023|year}} | 949 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 38 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 17 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 21 |
| rowspan=2 | [https://www.zdf.de/nachrichten/politik/politbarometer-extra-bayern-hessen-wahl-100.html?slide=1694101472448 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen]
| rowspan=2 | 4–5 Oct 2023 | rowspan=2 | 1,000 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 44 | 33 | – | – | 23 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 11 |
| {{Party shading/CDU}} | 55
| – | 24 | – | 21 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 31 |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2023/10/03/trendupdate-zur-hessen-wahl-cdu-steigt-weiter-dreikampf-um-platz-zwei/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|30|3|Oct|2023|year}} | 1,002 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 35 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 25 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 18 |
| rowspan=2 | [https://www.zdf.de/nachrichten/politik/politbarometer-extra-bayern-hessen-100.html?slide=1689253932035 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen]
| rowspan=2 | 25–28 Sep 2023 | rowspan=2 | 1,041 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 44 | 31 | – | – | 25 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 13 |
| {{Party shading/CDU}} | 55
| – | 21 | – | 24 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 34 |
| [https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/deutschlandtrend/hessen-vorwahlumfrage-104.html Infratest dimap]
| {{opdrts|25|27|Sep|2023|year}} | 1,515 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 35 | 19 | 14 | – | 32 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 16 |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2023/09/26/hessen-cdu-haelt-deutlichen-vorsprung-gruene-mit-plus-spd-droht-platz-vier/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|22|26|Sep|2023|year}} | 1,000 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 33 | 18 | 13 | 11 | 25 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 15 |
| rowspan=2 | [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/hessen-cdu-vorn-spd-stagniert-afd-und-gruene-kopf-an-kopf/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| rowspan=2 | 9–13 Sep 2023 | rowspan=2 | 1,200 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 31 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 27 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 15 |
| {{Party shading/CDU}} | 40
| – | 24 | – | 36 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 16 |
| [https://www.hessenschau.de/politik/landtagswahl/hr-umfrage-zur-hessen-wahl-faeser-kommt-an-rhein-nicht-heran-afd-mit-gruenen-gleichauf-v2,ltw23-hessentrend-100.html Infratest dimap]
| {{opdrts|5|9|Sep|2023|year}} | 1,170 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 33 | 21 | 17 | – | 29 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 12 |
| rowspan=2 | [https://www.zdf.de/nachrichten/politik/politbarometer-extra-landtagswahlen-bayern-hessen-102.html Forschungsgruppe Wahlen]
| rowspan=2 | 4–7 Sep 2023 | rowspan=2 | 1,107 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 42 | 31 | – | – | 27 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 11 |
| {{Party shading/CDU}} | 50
| – | 26 | – | 24 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 24 |
| rowspan=2 | [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2023/08/30/hessen-cdu-baut-vorsprung-aus-spd-und-gruene-unveraendert-afd-verliert/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| rowspan=2 | 25–29 Aug 2023 | rowspan=2 | 1,000 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 30 | 15 | 21 | 12 | 22 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 9 |
| {{Party shading/CDU}} | 32
| – | 27 | – | style="background:#EEEEEE;" | 41 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 5 |
| rowspan=2 | [https://www.ffh.de/nachrichten/top-meldungen/374710-umfrage-zur-landtagswahl-in-hessen-schwache-werte-fuer-nancy-faeser.html Forschungsgruppe Wahlen]
| rowspan=2 | 21–23 Aug 2023 | rowspan=2 | 1,005 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 44 | 31 | – | – | 25 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 13 |
| {{Party shading/CDU}} | 50
| – | 28 | – | 22 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 22 |
| rowspan=2 | [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/hessen-cdu-voraus-afd-und-freie-waehler-holen-auf/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| rowspan=2 | 18–23 Jul 2023 | rowspan=2 | 1,015 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 28 | 15 | 20 | 7 | style="background:#EEEEEE;" | 30 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 8 |
| {{Party shading/CDU}} | 31
| – | 28 | – | style="background:#EEEEEE;" | 41 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 3 |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2023/07/01/hessen-cdu-vorn-spd-knapp-vor-afd-und-gruenen/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|23|1|Jul|2023|year}} | 1,400 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 30 | 17 | 20 | – | style="background:#EEEEEE;" | 33 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 10 |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2023/05/22/hessen-cdu-legt-zu-spd-stagniert-gruene-rutschen-weiter-ab/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|17|22|May|2023|year}} | 1,002 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 37 | 19 | 23 | – | 21 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 14 |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2023/04/16/hessen-cdu-vorn-spd-unveraendert-gruene-lassen-federn/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|5|14|Apr|2023|year}} | 1,398 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 34 | 23 | 24 | – | 19 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 10 |
| [https://www.infratest-dimap.de/umfragen-analysen/bundeslaender/hessen/laendertrend/2023/maerz/ Infratest dimap]
| {{opdrts|7|11|Mar|2023|year}} | 1,177 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 32 | 23 | 17 | – | 28 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 9 |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2023/03/08/hessen-cdu-vergroessert-abstand-auf-spd-und-gruene/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|3|7|Mar|2023|year}} | 1,003 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 34 | 23 | 25 | – | 18 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 9 |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2023/02/06/hessen-cdu-knapp-vor-spd-gruene-waeren-koenigsmacher/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|3|6|Feb|2023|year}} | 1,521 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 32 | 20 | 27 | – | 21 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 5 |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2022/12/28/hessen-cdu-weiter-vorn-spd-holt-auf/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|23|27|Dec|2022|year}} | 1,150 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 32 | 20 | 25 | – | 23 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 7 |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2022/11/27/hessen-cdu-legt-zu-spd-und-gruene-tauschen-plaetze/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|25|27|Nov|2022|year}} | 1,100 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 36 | 15 | 26 | – | 23 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 10 |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2022/10/28/hessen-cdu-weit-vor-gruene-spd-erholt/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|24|28|Oct|2022|year}} | 1,082 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 37 | 19 | 24 | – | 20 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 13 |
| [https://www.infratest-dimap.de/umfragen-analysen/bundeslaender/hessen/laendertrend/2022/oktober/ Infratest dimap]
| {{opdrts|12|15|Oct|2022|year}} | 1,161 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 30 | 21 | 17 | – | style="background: #EEEEEE;" | 32 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 9 |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2022/09/30/hessen-cdu-vergroessert-abstand-zu-den-gruenen/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|25|29|Sep|2022|year}} | 1,400 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 39 | 19 | 19 | – | 23 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color:#FFFFFF;" | 20 |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2022/08/31/hessen-cdu-bleibt-vor-starken-gruenen-spd-mit-deutlichen-einbussen/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|25|30|Aug|2022|year}} | 1,010 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 36 | 24 | 20 | – | 20 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color:#FFFFFF;" | 12 |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2022/07/12/hessen-cdu-vor-gruenen-spd-leicht-erholt/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|7|12|Jul|2022|year}} | 1,043 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 35 | 25 | 23 | – | 17 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color:#FFFFFF;" | 10 |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2022/06/18/hessen-cdu-und-gruene-im-aufwind-spd-faellt-zurueck/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|10|17|Jun|2022|year}} | 1,123 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 41 | 30 | 17 | – | 12 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 11 |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2022/05/04/hessen-cdu-wieder-deutlich-vorn-spd-faellt-hinter-gruene-zurueck/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|29|4|May|2022|year}} | 1,023 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 30 | 28 | 23 | – | 19 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 2 |
| [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2022/03/10/hessen-al-wazir-bei-direktwahl-vor-rhein-und-faeser-cdu-spd-und-gruene-im-dreikampf-um-platz-1/ Wahlkreisprognose]
| {{opdrts|3|10|Mar|2022|year}} | 1,400 | 26 | {{Party shading/Grüne}} | 28 | 22 | – | 24 | style="background: {{party color|Alliance 90/The Greens}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 2 |
| [https://www.infratest-dimap.de/umfragen-analysen/bundeslaender/hessen/laendertrend/2022/maerz/ Infratest dimap]
| {{opdrts|28|2|Mar|2022|year}} | 1,169 | {{Party shading/CDU}} | 26 | 23 | 20 | – | style="background: #EEEEEE;" | 31 | style="background: {{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}; color: #FFFFFF;" | 3 |
Election result
File:Hesse Parlamento 2023.svg
{{Election table
| title=Summary of the 8 October 2023 election results for the Landtag of Hesse{{
Cite web
| access-date=2023-11-06
| language=de
| title=Hessen Wahlergebnis
| url=https://wahlen.hessen-ltw23.23degrees.eu/wk/00000000000/overview
| website=Hessen Wahlergebnis
}}|sortable=yes
}}
|-
! rowspan="2" colspan="2" | Party
! colspan="3" | Constituency{{
Efn
| 1={{Lang|de|Erststimmen}}
| group=Election result
}}
! colspan="4" | Party list{{
Efn
| 1={{Lang|de|Zweitstimmen}}
| group=Election result
}}
! rowspan="2" | Total
seats
! rowspan="2" | +/-
|-
! Votes
! %
! Seats
! Votes
! %
! +/-
! Seats
|-
| bgcolor="{{Party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}}" |
| align="left" | Christian Democratic Union
| 997,870
| 35.6
| 52
| 972,876
| 34.6
| +7.6
| 0
| 52
| {{increase}} 12
|-
| bgcolor="{{Party color|Alternative for Germany}}" |
| align="left" | Alternative for Germany
| 490,894
| 17.5
| 0
| 518,763
| 18.4
| +5.3
| 28
| 28
| {{increase}} 9
|-
| bgcolor="{{Party color|Social Democratic Party of Germany}}" |
| align="left" | Social Democratic Party
| 512,349
| 18.3
| 0
| 424,587
| 15.1
| -4.7
| 23
| 23
| {{decrease}} 6
|-
| bgcolor="{{Party color|Alliance 90/The Greens}}" |
| align="left" | Alliance 90/The Greens
| 397,680
| 14.2
| 3
| 416,035
| 14.8
| -5.0
| 19
| 22
| {{decrease}} 7
|-
| bgcolor="{{Party color|Free Democratic Party (Germany)}}" |
| align="left" | Free Democratic Party
| 137,318
| 4.9
| 0
| 141,644
| 5.0
| -2.5
| 8
| 8
| {{decrease}} 3
|-
| bgcolor="{{Party color|Free Voters}}" |
| align="left" | Free Voters
| 131,108
| 4.7
| 0
| 98,283
| 3.5
| +0.5
| 0
| 0
| {{nochange}} 0
|-
| bgcolor="{{Party color|The Left (Germany)}}" |
| align="left" | The Left
| 90,520
| 3.2
| 0
| 86,842
| 3.1
| -3.2
| 0
| 0
| {{decrease}} 9
|-
| bgcolor="{{Party color|Human Environment Animal Protection Party}}" |
| align="left" | Human Environment Animal Protection Party
| 5,181
| 0.2
| 0
| 43,341
| 1.5
| +0.5
| 0
| 0
| {{nochange}} 0
|-
| bgcolor="{{Party color|Volt Germany}}" |
| align="left" | Volt Germany
| 13,729
| 0.5
| 0
| 27,612
| 1.0
| New
| 0
| 0
| New
|-
| bgcolor="{{Party color|Die PARTEI}}" |
| align="left" | Die PARTEI
| 18,595
| 0.7
| 0
| 23,678
| 0.8
| +0.2
| 0
| 0
| {{nochange}} 0
|-
| bgcolor="{{Party color|Grassroots Democratic Party of Germany}}" |
| align="left" | Grassroots Democratic Party
| 4,285
| 0.2
| 0
| 13,707
| 0.5
| New
| 0
| 0
| New
|-
| bgcolor="{{Party color|V-Partei3}}" |
| align="left" | V-Partei3
| 155
| 0.0
| 0
| 9,472
| 0.3
| +0.2
| 0
| 0
| {{nochange}} 0
|-
| bgcolor="{{Party color|Pirate Party Germany}}" |
| align="left" | Pirate Party Germany
| 1,348
| 0.0
| 0
| 8,618
| 0.3
| -0.1
| 0
| 0
| {{nochange}} 0
|-
| bgcolor="{{Party color|Klimaliste}}" |
| align="left" | Climate List Germany
| 951
| 0.0
| 0
| 6,212
| 0.2
| New
| 0
| 0
| New
|-
| bgcolor="{{Party color|Ecological Democratic Party}}" |
| align="left" | Ecological Democratic Party
| colspan="3" | –
| 5,906
| 0.2
| -0.1
| 0
| 0
| {{nochange}} 0
|-
|
| align="left" | Action Citizens for Justice
| 324
| 0.0
| 0
| 4,442
| 0.2
| New
| 0
| 0
| New
|-
| bgcolor="{{Party color|Party of Humanists}}" |
| align="left" | Party of Humanists
| 878
| 0.0
| 0
| 4,262
| 0.2
| +0.1
| 0
| 0
| {{nochange}} 0
|-
| bgcolor="{{Party color|German Communist Party}}" |
| align="left" | German Communist Party
| 776
| 0.0
| 0
| 2,229
| 0.1
| New
| 0
| 0
| New
|-
| bgcolor="{{Party color|Anarchist Pogo Party of Germany}}" |
| align="left" | Anarchist Pogo Party
| 91
| 0.0
| 0
| 1,929
| 0.1
| New
| 0
| 0
| New
|-
| bgcolor="{{Party color|Party for Biomedical Rejuvenation Research}}" |
| align="left" | Party for Rejuvenation Research
| colspan="3" | –
| 1,506
| 0.1
| 0.0
| 0
| 0
| {{nochange}} 0
|-
|
| align="left" | The New Centre
| colspan="3" | –
| 1,369
| 0.0
| New
| 0
| 0
| New
|-
|
| align="left" | Resident Representatives
| 880
| 0.0
| 0
| colspan="3" | –
| 0
| 0
| {{nochange}} 0
|-
| bgcolor="{{Party color|Alliance C – Christians for Germany}}" |
| align="left" | Alliance C
| 756
| 0.0
| 0
| colspan="3" | –
| 0
| 0
| New
|-
|
| align="left" | Practitioner Party
| 421
| 0.0
| 0
| colspan="3" | –
| 0
| 0
| New
|-
|
| align="left" | Bürgerliste Weiterdenken
| 187
| 0.0
| 0
| colspan="3" | –
| 0
| 0
| New
|-
|
| align="left" | Solidarity, Justice, Change
| 162
| 0.0
| 0
| colspan="3" | –
| 0
| 0
| New
|-
|
| align="left" | Solibew
| 124
| 0.0
| 0
| colspan="3" | –
| 0
| 0
| New
|-
| bgcolor="{{Party color|MeRA25}}" |
| align="left" | MERA25
| 99
| 0.0
| 0
| colspan="3" | –
| 0
| 0
| New
|- class="sortbottom"
! colspan="2" | Total
! 2,806,681
! 100.00
! 55
! 2,813,313
! 100.00
!
! 78
! 133
! {{decrease}} 4
|-
| colspan="2" align="center" | Invalid
| 51,632
| 1.8
|
| 45,000
| 1.6
| colspan="4" |
|-
! colspan="2" | Turnout
! 2,858,313
! 66.0
!
! 2,858,313
! 66.0
! -1.3
! colspan="4" |
|-
| colspan="2" align="center" | Registered voters
| 4,332,235
| colspan="2" |
| 4,332,235
| colspan="5" |
|}
File:Municipalities in Hesse 2023 Results.svg
{{Notelist|Election result}}
File:Hessen Landesstimmen CDU 2023.svg|CDU vote
File:Hessen Landesstimmen AfD 2023.svg|AfD vote
File:Hessen Landesstimmen SPD 2023.svg|SPD vote
File:Hessen Landesstimmen Grüne 2023.svg|Green vote
File:Hessen Landesstimmen FDP 2023.svg|FDP vote
File:Hessen Landesstimmen FW 2023.svg|FW vote
File:Hessen Landesstimmen Linke 2023.svg|Linke vote
State government formation
Immediately after the elections, Prime Minister Boris Rhein announced that he wanted to hold exploratory talks with his previous coalition partner, the Greens, as well as with the SPD and FDP.[https://www.hessenschau.de/tv-sendung/koalition-nach-hessen-wahl-rhein-will-mit-spd-gruenen-und-fdp-sondieren,video-188684.html Rhein will mit SPD, Grünen und FDP sondieren] According to Rhein, five rounds of talks took place between the CDU and the Greens as well as with the SPD in the following weeks.
On November 10, 2023, Rhein announced his intention to end the previous coalition between the CDU and the Greens and instead govern with the SPD. The CDU state executive committee and the parliamentary group in the state parliament had previously unanimously accepted the decision for negotiations. Rhein stated that the decision had "not been taken lightly" and had been "seriously considered".[https://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/hessen-boris-rhein-cdu-will-mit-spd-koalitionsgespraeche-fuehren-a-233d403b-06ea-4b95-a647-7197f5d5f678 Bruch mit Grünen – Rhein strebt in Hessen Koalition mit SPD an]. In: spiegel.de, 11 November 2023 (retrieved 11 November 2023).
The committees of the SPD Hesse also voted unanimously to start coalition negotiations with the CDU. Previously, Federal Minister of the Interior Nancy Faeser, the SPD's top candidate in the state elections in Hesse, had rejected a move to Wiesbaden.Nail Akkoyun, Jens Kiffmeier: [https://www.fr.de/politik/news-koalition-in-hessen-cdu-spd-statt-gruene-boris-rhein-plant-wechsel-verhandlung-wer-regiert-2023-zr-92665213.html Polit-Beben in Hessen: SPD einstimmig für Koalitionsverhandlungen mit der CDU]. In: fr.de, 11 November 2023 (retrieved 11 November 2023).
The new Hessian state parliament was constituted on 18 January 2024.
References
{{Reflist}}
{{2023 elections in Germany}}
{{Hesse state elections}}
{{DEFAULTSORT:Hessian state election, 2023}}
Category:2023 elections in Germany