2023 Rockingham state by-election

{{Short description|Election in Western Australia}}

{{Use dmy dates|date=June 2023}}

{{Use Australian English|date=May 2023}}

{{Infobox election

| country = Western Australia

| type = parliamentary

| ongoing = no

| election_date = 29 July 2023

| seats_for_election = Electoral district of Rockingham in the
Western Australian Legislative Assembly

| image1 = 150x150px

| candidate1 = Magenta Marshall

| party1 = Australian Labor Party (Western Australian Branch)

| popular_vote1 = 10,791

| percentage1 = 49.33%

| swing1 = {{decrease}} 33.42

| image2 = 150x150px

| candidate2 = Peter Hudson

| party2 = Liberal Party of Australia

| popular_vote2 = 3,868

| percentage2 = 17.73%

| swing2 = {{increase}} 7.91

| image3 = {{Election image filler|Independent politician|IND|150x150px}}

| candidate3 = {{nowrap|Hayley Edwards}}

| party3 = Independent

| popular_vote3 = 3,488

| percentage3 = 15.95%

| swing3 = {{increase}} 15.95

| 1blank = TCP

| 2blank = TCP swing

| 1data1 = 61.37

| 2data1 = {{decrease}} 26.35

| 1data3 = 38.63%

| 2data3 = {{increase}} 38.63

| map_image = WA Election 2021 - Rockingham.png

| map_caption = Map showing the location of the electoral district of Rockingham (dark green) in metropolitan Perth, Western Australia

| title = MP

| before_election = Mark McGowan

| before_party = Australian Labor Party (Western Australian Branch)

| after_election = Magenta Marshall

| after_party = Australian Labor Party (Western Australian Branch)

| previous_election = 2021 Western Australian state election

| previous_year = 2021

| next_election = 2025 Western Australian state election

| next_year = 2025

}}

A by-election for the electoral district of Rockingham in Western Australia was held on 29 July 2023, following the resignation of Premier and sitting Labor MP Mark McGowan, on 8 June 2023.{{cite web |title='I'm tired, extremely tired': Western Australia Premier Mark McGowan steps down |date=29 May 2023 |url=https://www.9news.com.au/national/mark-mcgowan-resigns-western-australia-premier-steps-down-after-six-years/59a41009-f557-468e-8ade-57a68b53c53f |publisher=Nine News}}{{Cite news |last=Bourke |first=Keane |date=8 June 2023 |title=WA Premier Roger Cook sworn in with new cabinet, forecasting 'remarkable things' |work=ABC News (Australia) |url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-06-08/wa-premier-roger-cook-and-new-cabinet-sworn-in-perth-ceremony/102454136 |url-status=live |access-date=9 June 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230609110627/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-06-08/wa-premier-roger-cook-and-new-cabinet-sworn-in-perth-ceremony/102454136 |archive-date=9 June 2023}} The writ was issued on the same day.https://www.elections.wa.gov.au/elections/state-elections/2023-rockingham-election

The two major party candidates for the election were Magenta Marshall for the Australian Labor Party and Peter Hudson for the Liberal Party. Additionally, Hayley Edwards the Deputy Mayor of the City of Rockingham also announced her candidacy.{{Cite web |date=2023-06-20 |title=High-profile independent joins race for Rockingham |url=https://thewest.com.au/politics/state-politics/rockingham-deputy-mayor-hayley-edwards-nominates-as-independent-candidate-to-replace-mark-mcgowan-c-11033151 |access-date=2023-06-22 |website=The West Australian |language=en}} The Greens preselected Madeleine De Jong. There were nine candidates for the seat.{{Cite news |last=Cross |first=Hannah |date=5 July 2023 |title=Independents hope to make a dent in margin as Rockingham by-election candidates ready for July 29 vote |work=The West Australian |url=https://thewest.com.au/news/sound-telegraph/independents-hope-to-make-a-dent-in-margin-as-rockingham-by-election-candidates-ready-for-july-29-vote-c-11126674}} Notably, both major parties preselected candidates under the age of 30.{{Cite web |date=2023-06-18 |title=Liberals set to unveil candidate to run for McGowan's seat |url=https://thewest.com.au/politics/state-politics/liberals-preselect-peter-hudson-setting-up-youth-battle-to-replace-mark-mcgowan-in-rockingham-by-election--c-11017122 |access-date=2023-10-12 |website=The West Australian |language=en}}

The election was called for Labor at 7:30pm AWST, with Marshall claiming victory for the Labor Party. However, Labor suffered one of the biggest swings against it at a by-election in the state's history: with a swing against them of 33.4% in the primary vote and a swing against of 22.5% in the two-party-preferred vote.{{Cite news |date=2023-07-29 |title=WA Labor retains former premier Mark McGowan's seat of Rockingham |language=en-AU |work=ABC News |url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-07-29/rockingham-byelection-won-by-labor-magenta-marshall/102640748 |access-date=2023-10-12}}

Background

=Resignation of Mark McGowan=

On 29 May 2023, McGowan announced that he was resigning as Premier of Western Australia and the MLA for Rockingham, a seat he had held since 1996. He stated that the job was "relentless" and that he no longer had the "energy or drive to continue". Reflecting on his political career, McGowan thanked voters of Western Australia who had "provided [him] with the opportunity of a lifetime." McGowan led Labor to government for the first time since 2008 in 2017.{{Cite news |last=Shepherd |first=Tory |date=2023-05-29 |title=Mark McGowan resigns as premier of Western Australia, saying he is 'exhausted' |language=en-GB |work=The Guardian |url=https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/may/29/mark-mcgowan-quits-resigns-step-down-wa-premier-western-australia |access-date=2023-06-17 |issn=0261-3077}}

= Seat details =

The electoral district of Rockingham was first contested at the 1974 Western Australian state election and has been held by the Australian Labor Party since its inception. Previous member Mike Barnett held the district from the beginning until his retirement at the 1996 election where he was succeeded by McGowan. Barring the elections in 1974 and 1977, Rockingham has been a consistently safe electorate for Labor with the smallest margin being 0.9 per cent of the two-party-preferred vote (TPP) in its first election. At the 2021 Western Australian state election, McGowan received a TPP of 87.7% - one of the highest margins in both federal and state elections in Australia.

Geographically, the district encompasses the City of Rockingham and its surrounding areas. Located 47 km south-southwest of the Perth CBD by the coast near the Cockburn Sound inlet. The district is adjacent to several maritime and resource-industry installations and offshore is home to Australia's largest naval fleet and submarine base at Garden Island. According to the 2021 Census, the median age of Rockingham is 45 with a weekly median household income of $1,273 per week. 20.5 per cent of residents are currently engaged in secondary education and 17.7 per cent in tertiary education.{{Cite web |title=2021 Rockingham (South Metropolitan), Census All persons QuickStats {{!}} Australian Bureau of Statistics |url=https://www.abs.gov.au/census/find-census-data/quickstats/2021/SED54605 |access-date=2023-06-17 |website=www.abs.gov.au}}

class="wikitable"

|+ Two-party-preferred vote in Rockingham, 1996–2021

align=right style="border-bottom: 2px solid darkgray;"

! colspan="2"| Election

1996200120052008201320172021
align=right

| width=1pt {{Australian party style|Labor}}| 

Labor{{Australian party shading/Labor}}|57.50%{{Australian party shading/Labor}}|65.6%{{Australian party shading/Labor}}|62.30%{{Australian party shading/Labor}}|60.60%{{Australian party shading/Labor}}|63.20%{{Australian party shading/Labor}}|73.40%{{Australian party shading/Labor}}|87.70%
align=right style="border-bottom: 2px solid darkgray;"

| width=1pt {{Australian party style|Liberal}}| 

Liberal42.50%34.4%37.70%39.40%36.80%26.60%12.30%
align=right

! colspan="2"| Government

{{Australian party shading/Liberal}}|LIB{{Australian party shading/Labor}}|ALP{{Australian party shading/Labor}}|ALP{{Australian party shading/Liberal}}|LIB{{Australian party shading/Liberal}}|LIB{{Australian party shading/Labor}}|ALP{{Australian party shading/Labor}}|ALP

Candidates

class="wikitable"
colspan="2" | Party

! Candidate

! Background

{{Australian party style|Labor WA}} |

| {{Australian politics/name|Labor WA}}

| Magenta Marshall

| Labor campaign strategist.{{Cite news |last=Zimmerman |first=Josh |date=14 June 2023 |title=Labor strategist Magenta Marshall confirmed as party's candidate to replace Mark McGowan in Rockingham |work=The West Australian |url=https://thewest.com.au/politics/state-politics/labor-strategist-magenta-marshall-confirmed-as-partys-candidate-to-replace-mark-mcgowan-in-rockingham-c-10973319 |access-date=28 June 2023}}

{{Australian party style|Legalise Cannabis WA}} |

| {{Australian politics/name|Legalise Cannabis WA}}

| Rae Cottam

| City of Rockingham councillor.{{Cite web |title=Rockingham councillor announced as Legalise Cannabis Party candidate for by-election |url=https://www.coastlive.com.au/news/local-news/rockingham-councillor-announced-as-legalise-cannabis-party-candidate-for-by-election/ |access-date=2023-10-12 |website=97.3 Coast FM |language=en}}

{{Australian party style|Liberal WA}} |

| {{Australian politics/name|Liberal WA}}

| Peter Hudson

| Resources sector recruitment consultant; candidate for Brand at the 2022 federal election.

{{Australian party style|Independent}} |

| {{Australian politics/name| }}

| Janetia Knapp

| Candidate for Fremantle at the 2022 federal election. Endorsed by the unregistered Western Australia Party.

{{Australian party style|Greens WA}} |

| {{Australian politics/name|Greens WA}}

| Madeleine De Jong

| Former staffer to Jordon Steele-John.

{{Australian party style|Independent}} |

| {{Australian politics/name|Independent}}

| Clive Galletly

| Massage therapist.

{{Australian party style|Independent}} |

| {{Australian politics/name|Independent}}

| Hayley Edwards

| Deputy Mayor of Rockingham.{{Cite web |date=2023-06-20 |title=High-profile independent joins race for Rockingham |url=https://thewest.com.au/politics/state-politics/rockingham-deputy-mayor-hayley-edwards-nominates-as-independent-candidate-to-replace-mark-mcgowan-c-11033151 |access-date=2023-10-12 |website=The West Australian |language=en}} She was formerly affiliated with the Labor Party.

{{Australian party style|Christians}} |

| Australian {{Australian politics/name|Australian Christians}}

| Mike Crichton{{Cite web |date=2023-06-23 |title=Rockingham by-election 2023 {{!}} Western Australia - Australian Christians |url=https://australianchristians.org.au/rockingham-by-election/ |access-date=2023-06-28 |website=australianchristians.org.au |language=en-US}}

| Candidate for the Senate at the 2022 federal election.

{{Australian party style|Independent}} |

| {{Australian politics/name|Independent}}

| Peter Dunne

| Candidate at the 2022 North West Central state by-election.

=Preselection=

==Labor==

On 14 June, it was confirmed that Labor strategist Magenta Marshall has been preselected for Labor to run as the party's candidate in Rockingham.

==Liberal==

On 13 June, the Liberal Party announced that the party would contest the by-election.{{Cite web |date=2023-06-13 |title=Liberals to contest McGowan's Rockingham seat in by-election |url=https://thewest.com.au/politics/state-politics/liberals-hope-for-swing-in-ultra-safe-labor-seat-of-rockingham-after-mark-mcgowan-resignation-c-10962226 |access-date=2023-10-12 |website=The West Australian |language=en}}

On 18 June, it was reported that 21-year-old Peter Hudson will be the party's candidate. He was the only person to nominate for preselection.

2021 election results

{{Excerpt|Results of the 2021 Western Australian state election (Legislative Assembly)|section=Rockingham}}

Results

{{Election box begin

| title = 2023 Rockingham state by-election[https://www.elections.wa.gov.au/elections/state/byelection#/2023-Rockingham-By-election State By-elections – 2023 Rockingham By-election], Western Australian Electoral Commission

}}

{{Election box candidate AU party

| candidate = Magenta Marshall

| party = Labor WA

| votes = 10,791

| percentage = 49.33

| change = −33.42

}}

{{Election box candidate AU party

| candidate = Peter Hudson

| party = Liberal WA

| votes = 3,868

| percentage = 17.73

| change = +7.91

}}

{{Election box candidate AU party

| candidate = Hayley Edwards

| party = Independent

| votes = 3,488

| percentage = 15.95

| change = +15.95

}}

{{Election box candidate AU party

| candidate = Rae Cottam

| party = Legalise Cannabis WA

| votes = 1,487

| percentage = 6.80

| change = +6.80

}}

{{Election box candidate AU party

| candidate = Madeleine De Jong

| party = Greens WA

| votes = 1,081

| percentage = 4.94

| change = +1.77

}}

{{Election box candidate AU party

| candidate = Mike Crichton

| party = Christians

| votes = 534

| percentage = 2.44

| change = +2.44

}}

{{Election box candidate AU party

| candidate = Janetia Knapp

| party = Western Australia Party

| votes = 262

| percentage = 1.20

| change = +1.20

}}

{{Election box candidate AU party

| candidate = Clive Gallety

| party = Independent

| votes = 193

| percentage = 0.88

| change = +0.88

}}

{{Election box candidate AU party

| candidate = Peter Dunne

| party = Independent

| votes = 170

| percentage = 0.78

| change = +0.78

}}

{{Election box formal

| votes = 21,874

| percentage = 97.20

| change = +0.46

}}

{{Election box informal

| votes = 630

| percentage = 2.80

| change = −0.46

}}

{{Election box turnout|votes=22,504|percentage=74.48|change=−9.46}}

{{Election box n2pp}}

{{Election box candidate AU party

| candidate = Magenta Marshall

| party = Labor WA

| votes = 13,978

| percentage = 65.20

| change = −22.52

}}

{{Election box candidate AU party

| candidate = Peter Hudson

| party = Liberal WA

| votes = 7,461

| percentage = 34.80

| change = +22.52

}}

{{Election box 2cp}}

{{Election box candidate AU party

|candidate = Magenta Marshall

|party = Labor WA

|votes = 13,412

|percentage = 61.37

|change = −26.35

}}

{{Election box candidate AU party

|candidate = Hayley Edwards

|party = Independent

|votes = 8,443

|percentage = 38.63

|change = +38.63

}}

{{Election box hold AU party

|winner = Labor WA

|swing = N/A

}}

{{Election box end}}

See also

References

{{Reflist}}