2024 Michigan Republican presidential nominating contests

{{Short description|none}}

{{Use mdy dates|date=March 2024}}

{{row hover highlight}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2024 Michigan Republican presidential primary and caucus

| country = Michigan

| module = {{Infobox election

| embed = yes

| type = primary

| election_name = 2024 Michigan Republican presidential primary

| ongoing = Yes

| previous_election = 2020 Michigan Republican presidential primary

| previous_year = 2020

| next_election = 2028 Michigan Republican presidential primary

| next_year = 2028

| election_date = February 27, 2024

| votes_for_election = 16 Republican National Convention delegates

| outgoing_members = SC

| elected_members = ID

| map_image = {{switcher|301px|County results|301px|Congressional district results|default=1}}

| map_size = 250px

| map_caption = {{col-begin}}

{{col-2}}

Trump

{{legend|#8d9ae2|50 – 60%}}

{{legend|#6778d7|60 – 70%}}

{{legend|#4156cd|70 – 80%}}

{{legend|#1e39d0|80 – 90%}}

{{col-end}}

| image1 = TrumpPortrait (3x4a).jpg

| candidate1 = Donald Trump

| color1 = 283681

| home_state1 = Florida

| popular_vote1 = 761,163

| percentage1 = 68.12%

| delegate_count1 = 12

| image2 = Nikki Haley (53299447738) (cropped).jpg

| candidate2 = Nikki Haley

| color2 = fe6100

| home_state2 = South Carolina

| popular_vote2 = 297,124

| percentage2 = 26.59%

| delegate_count2 = 4

| image4 =

| module = {{Infobox election

| embed = yes

| election_name = 2024 Michigan Republican presidential caucuses

| type = primary

| ongoing = Yes

| previous_election = 2016 Michigan Republican presidential caucuses

| previous_year = 2016

| next_election = 2028 Michigan Republican presidential caucuses

| next_year = 2028

| votes_for_election = 39 Republican National Convention delegates

| election_date = March 2, 2024

| outgoing_members = ID

| elected_members = MO

| map_image =

| map_size = 250px

| map_caption =

| image1 = Donald Trump official portrait, 2025 (cropped headshot).jpg

| candidate1 = Donald Trump

| color1 = 283681

| home_state1 = Florida

| popular_vote1 = 1,575

| percentage1 = 97.77%

| delegate_count1 = 39

| image2 = Nikki Haley (53299447738) (cropped).jpg

| candidate2 = Nikki Haley

| color2 = fe6100

| home_state2 = South Carolina

| popular_vote2 = 36

| percentage2 = 2.23%

| delegate_count2 = 0

}}

}}

}}

{{Elections in Michigan sidebar}}

The 2024 Michigan Republican presidential primary and caucuses were held on February 27 and on March 2, 2024, respectively, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 55 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a proportional and winner-take-most basis.{{Cite web |date=March 5, 2023 |title=Michigan Republican Presidential Nominating Process|url=https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P24/MI-R#0319|access-date=February 6, 2023 |website=The Green Papers}} The primary took place concurrently with its Democratic counterpart, and saw Donald Trump defeat Nikki Haley in a 42-point landslide.{{Cite news |date=February 29, 2024 |title=Michigan Primary Election Results 2024 |language=en-US |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/02/27/us/elections/results-michigan-republican-presidential-primary.html|access-date=February 29, 2024 |issn=0362-4331}}

Background

In the 2016 Michigan Republican presidential primary, Donald Trump won with 36.5% of the vote, carrying 25 out of 59 delegates total. His closest opponents, Governor of Ohio John Kasich and Senator from Texas Ted Cruz, received 24.9% and 24.3% of the vote, respectively, with both candidates receiving 17 delegates.{{Cite news |date=September 29, 2016 |title=Michigan Primary Election Results 2016 |language=en-US |work=The New York Times |url=http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/results/primaries/michigan|access-date=March 3, 2023 |issn=0362-4331}}

= Michigan GOP 2024 schism =

{{see also|Michigan Republican Party}}

A court case was heard in Grand Rapids by Kent County Judge J. Joseph Rossi in late February determined who controls the state party. Judge Rossi dismissed a lawsuit by Karamo on February 20 to dismiss the case allowing for full hearings on the lawsuit filed by Karamo's critics later in the week regarding whether the RNC recognized chair Hoekstra or Karamo controls the MIGOP.{{cite web | url=https://www.bridgemi.com/michigan-government/michigan-gop-court-fight-karamo-loses-first-round | title=In Michigan GOP court fight, Kristina Karamo loses first round | Bridge Michigan | date=February 23, 2024 }} Judge Rossi on February 27 issued a preliminary injunction against Karamo, stating was properly removed as MIGOP chair and barring access by her to MIGOP bank accounts or post office boxes. Karamo declined to say whether she would appeal the ruling and had no comment as to whether the Detroit caucuses will take place.{{cite web | url=https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2024/02/27/judge-finds-kristina-karamo-was-removed-as-michigan-gop-chairwoman/72759939007/ | title=Judge finds Kristina Karamo was removed as Michigan GOP chairwoman }}{{Cite web |title=Judge bars Kristina Karamo from calling herself Michigan Republican Party chair |url=https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/02/27/judge-rules-against-karamo-michigan-republican-party-chair/72748487007/ |access-date=2024-03-06 |website=Detroit Free Press |language=en-US}} A full trial regarding control of the MIGOP is scheduled to take place on June 10.{{Cite web |last= |first= |date=2024-02-27 |title=Judge rules Kristina Karamo was properly ousted as Michigan GOP chair |url=https://www.mlive.com/public-interest/2024/02/judge-rules-kristina-karamo-was-properly-ousted-as-michigan-gop-chair.html |access-date=2024-03-06 |website=mlive |language=en}} The Michigan Court of Appeals denied a request on February 29 by Karamo to issue a stay on the court order putting her Detroit caucus in doubt.{{Cite web |title=Appeals Court denies Karamo request to suspend order removing her as Michigan GOP chair |url=https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/2024/02/29/kristina-karamo-appeal-michigan-republican-party-chair/72789172007/ |access-date=2024-03-06 |website=Detroit Free Press |language=en-US}} The chaos affected northern Michigan GOP participants from Michigan's 1st congressional district who had planned to go to Detroit but were barred by missing the deadline to take part in the Grand Rapids caucus. So a third gathering is planned the same day in Houghton Lake.{{Cite web |last= |first= |date=2024-03-01 |title=District 1 Republicans to hold separate GOP Convention after credentials were denied for Grand Rapids |url=https://www.uppermichiganssource.com/2024/03/01/district-1-republicans-hold-separate-gop-convention-after-credentials-were-denied-grand-rapids/ |access-date=2024-03-06 |website= |language=en}} A contingent from Michigan's 4th congressional district was also denied credentials for the Grand Rapids caucuses, so a fourth gathering was announced for the same day in Battle Creek.{{Cite web|url=https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2024/03/01/michigan-republican-party-feud-gop-kristina-karamo-pete-hoekstra-daire-rendon-grand-rapids-detroit/72802619007/|title=Another competing Michigan GOP convention planned for Saturday|website=The Detroit News|last=LeBlanc|first=Beth|date=March 1, 2024|accessdate=March 1, 2024}} The Detroit gathering was cancelled.{{Cite web |title=Trump wins big at Michigan GOP district caucuses held at Grand Rapids convention |url=https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/03/02/michigan-republican-party-district-caucuses-convention/72808095007/ |access-date=2024-03-06 |website=Detroit Free Press |language=en-US}} Judge Rossi ruled that Karamo was properly removed as MIGOP chair.https://www.bridgemi.com/michigan-government/2024-michigan-elections-kristina-karamo-loses-fight-state-gop-again

Procedure

16 at-large delegates are allocated based on the results of the February 27 primary to candidates who receive at least 12.5% of the statewide vote.

39 district delegates are allocated based on the results of caucuses in each of the state's 13 congressional districts on March 2. Each of the state's thirteen congressional districts are awarded three delegates. The candidate who wins the majority of the vote in a caucus is awarded all that district's delegates; otherwise, the candidate with the highest vote total is awarded two delegates and the candidate with the second-highest vote total is awarded one delegate.

Schedule

In February 2023, Governor Gretchen Whitmer signed legislation to move up the date of both the Democratic and Republican presidential primaries in Michigan to February 27, 2024, in line with the Democratic National Committee's (DNC) state reorganization plan.{{Cite web |last=Robinson |first=Samuel |date=February 3, 2023 |title=Michigan Democrats move up presidential primary without GOP support|url=https://www.axios.com/local/detroit/2023/02/03/democrats-advance-presidential-primary-without-gop |access-date=March 3, 2023 |website=Axios |language=en}}

The date violated Republican Party Rule 16(c)(1), which prohibits any state/territory except Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina, from holding their primary/caucus until March 1, 2024, violating any other state/territory by stripping 80% of its delegates at the Republican National Convention.

In response, in June 2023, the Michigan Republican Party (MIGOP) passed a resolution of intent that would allocate 16 delegates based on the results of the February 27 primary and 39 delegates based on the results of caucuses in each of the state's 13 congressional districts on March 2.{{cite web|url=https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2023/06/12/michigan-gop-delegates-republican-presidential-convention/70312166007/|title=New presidential delegate system sparks dispute among Michigan Republicans|last=Egan|first=Paul|work=Detroit Free Press|date=June 12, 2023|accessdate=December 27, 2023}}

The convention held by the faction of the Michigan Republican Party recognized by the Republican National Committee led by Pete Hoekstra will be in Grand Rapids at the Amway Grand Plaza Hotel on March 2,{{Cite web|url=https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/02/20/migop-conventions-hoekstra-grand-rapids-karamo-detroit/72676419007/|title=Sparring GOP factions now plan 2 conventions at opposite ends of state|website=Detroit Free Press|last=Egan|first=Paul|date=February 21, 2024|accessdate=February 23, 2024}} while the faction of the Michigan Republican Party led by Kristina Karamo will hold their convention in Detroit at Huntington Place on the same day.{{Cite web|url=https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/01/17/michigan-gop-nominating-convention-huntington-place-detroit/72258489007/|title=Michigan Republicans to hold presidential nominating convention at Huntington Place|website=Detroit Free Press|last1=Spangler|first1=Todd|last2=Egan|first2=Paul|date=February 19, 2024|accessdate=February 23, 2024}} While media is invited to the Karamo caucus, it will be closed to the public.{{Cite web|url=https://www.mlive.com/politics/2024/01/michigan-republicans-plan-march-2-presidential-caucus-in-detroit.html|title=Michigan Republicans plan March 2 presidential caucus in Detroit|first=Simon|last=Schuster|date=January 18, 2024|website=mlive}} The RNC has indicated that only the delegates from the Hoekstra-led convention will be seated for the 2024 Republican National Convention.{{Cite web|url=https://michiganadvance.com/2024/02/23/court-ruling-on-migop-chair-dispute-expected-next-week/|title=Court ruling on MIGOP chair dispute expected next week|work=Michigan Advance|first=Jon|last=King|date=February 23, 2024}} A court ruling by Judge Joseph Rossi on February 27 indicated that Karamo was properly removed as MIGOP chair{{cite web|url=https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2024/02/27/judge-finds-kristina-karamo-was-removed-as-michigan-gop-chairwoman/72759939007/|title=Judge finds Kristina Karamo was removed as Michigan GOP chairwoman|last=Mauger|first=Craig|date=February 27, 2024|accessdate=February 28, 2024|work=The Detroit News}} and barred Karamo from conducting business on behalf of the "Michigan Republican State Committee or the Michigan Republican Party".{{cite web|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/4492765-judge-affirms-removal-karamo-michigan-gop-chair/|title=Judge affirms removal of Karamo as Michigan GOP chair |last=Mueller|first=Julia|work=The Hill|date=February 27, 2024|accessdate=February 28, 2024}} Rossi made his ruling retroactive to January 6.{{cite web|url=https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/02/27/judge-rules-against-karamo-michigan-republican-party-chair/72748487007/|title=Judge bars Kristina Karamo from calling herself Michigan Republican Party chair|last=Egan|first=Paul|work=Detroit Free Press|date=February 28, 2024|accessdate=February 28, 2024}} A full trial regarding control of the MIGOP is scheduled to take place on June 10.{{cite web|url=https://www.mlive.com/public-interest/2024/02/judge-rules-kristina-karamo-was-properly-ousted-as-michigan-gop-chair.html|title=Judge rules Kristina Karamo was properly ousted as Michigan GOP chair|date=February 27, 2024|last1=Hicks|first1=Justin|last2=Schuster|first2=Simon|accessdate=February 28, 2024|work=MLive Media Group}} The Michigan Court of Appeals denied a request on February 29 by Karamo to issue a stay on the court order while her appeal is under consideration, putting her Detroit caucus in doubt.{{Cite web|url=https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/2024/02/29/kristina-karamo-appeal-michigan-republican-party-chair/72789172007/|title=Appeals Court denies Karamo request to suspend order removing her as Michigan GOP chair|website=Detroit Free Press|last1=Egan|first1=Paul|date=February 29, 2024|accessdate=February 29, 2024}} The chaos affected delegates from Michigan's 1st congressional district who had planned to go to Detroit but were barred credentials to take part in the Grand Rapids convention; a third gathering is planned the same day in Houghton Lake.{{cite web|url=https://www.uppermichiganssource.com/2024/03/01/district-1-republicans-hold-separate-gop-convention-after-credentials-were-denied-grand-rapids/|title=District 1 Republicans to hold separate GOP Convention after credentials were denied for Grand Rapids|work=WLUC-TV|date=March 1, 2024|accessdate=March 1, 2024}} A contingent from Michigan's 4th congressional district was also denied credentials for the Grand Rapids caucuses, so a fourth gathering was announced for the same day in Battle Creek.{{Cite web|url=https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2024/03/01/michigan-republican-party-feud-gop-kristina-karamo-pete-hoekstra-daire-rendon-grand-rapids-detroit/72802619007/|title=Detroit convention canceled as Michigan GOP beset with 'chaos and confusion'|website=The Detroit News|last1=LeBlanc|first1=Beth|last2=Mauger|first2=Craig|date=March 1, 2024|accessdate=March 1, 2024}} The Detroit gathering was cancelled.{{cite web|url=https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/03/02/michigan-republican-party-district-caucuses-convention/72808095007/|title=Trump wins big at Michigan GOP district caucuses held at Grand Rapids convention|work=Detroit Free Press|last1=Egan|first1=Paul|last2=Hendrickson|first2=Clara|date=March 2, 2024|accessdate=March 2, 2024}}

Primary candidates

The Michigan Secretary of State has identified the following candidates, listed alphabetically, as potential Republican Party presidential candidates in 2024:{{Cite web|url=https://mielections.us/election/candlist/2024PPR_CANDLIST.html|title=2024 Michigan Official Presidential Primary Candidate Listing - 02/27/2024|website=mielections.us}}

Endorsements

{{main|Endorsements in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries}}

{{Endorsements box|title=Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)|list=

State senators

  • Aric Nesbitt, District 20 (2023–present) and District 26 (2019–2022); Minority Leader (2023–present){{cite news |title=Which 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate Has The Most Endorsements? |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-endorsements/ |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230419062253/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-endorsements/ |url-status=dead |archive-date=April 19, 2023 |access-date=April 25, 2023 |work=FiveThirtyEight |date=April 24, 2023}}
  • Michael Webber, District 9 (2023–present){{cite tweet|user=jonathanoosting|number=1644025568524902418|title=Ron DeSantis secures some Michigan endorsements for president, according to supporting super PAC: State Senate Minority Leader Aric Nesbitt, Sens. Lana Theis, Michael Webber, Kevin Daley, Dan Lauwers and Joe Bellino, state Rep. Bryan Posthumus, former House Speaker Tom Leonard.|date=April 6, 2023|first=Jonathan|last=Oosting|access-date=April 10, 2023}}{{Better source needed|reason=The current source is insufficiently reliable (WP:NOTRS).|date=June 2023}}
  • Joe Bellino, District 16 (2023–present){{Better source needed|reason=The current source is insufficiently reliable (WP:NOTRS).|date=June 2023}}
  • Lana Theis, District 22 (2019–present){{Better source needed|reason=The current source is insufficiently reliable (WP:NOTRS).|date=June 2023}}
  • Dan Lauwers, District 25 (2019–present){{Better source needed|reason=The current source is insufficiently reliable (WP:NOTRS).|date=June 2023}}
  • Kevin Daley, District 26 (2023–present) and District 31 (2019–2022){{Better source needed|reason=The current source is insufficiently reliable (WP:NOTRS).|date=June 2023}}

State representatives

}}

{{Endorsements box|title=Nikki Haley|list=

State senator

  • Jim Stamas, Member of the Michigan Senate from the 36th district (2015–2022){{Cite web|url=https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/haley-campaign-press-release-nikki-haley-unveils-michigan-state-leadership-team|title=Haley Campaign Press Release - Nikki Haley Unveils Michigan State Leadership Team | The American Presidency Project|website=www.presidency.ucsb.edu}}
  • Wayne Schmidt, Member of the Michigan Senate from the 37th district (2023–present)

State representatives

Newspapers

  • The Detroit News (co-endorsement with Dean Phillips){{cite web|title=Our endorsement for the Michigan Democratic primary|url=https://www.detroitnews.com/story/opinion/editorials/2024/02/07/editorial-our-endorsement-for-the-michigan-democratic-primary/72481952007/ |access-date=February 10, 2024|work=The Detroit News}}

}}

{{Endorsements box|title=Perry Johnson (withdrawn)|list=

Former federal official

  • Pete Hoekstra, U.S. Ambassador to the Netherlands (2018–2021); U.S. Representative from MI-02 (1993–2011); Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in 2012{{cite web|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/meetthepressblog/michigan-businessman-uses-cpac-launch-presidential-bid-rcna73288|title=Michigan Businessman uses CPAC to launch Presidential Bid'|date=March 2, 2023|first=Henry J.|last=Gomez|work=NBC News|accessdate=March 2, 2023}}

}}

{{Endorsements box|title=Donald Trump|list=

U.S. Representatives

  • Kerry Bentivolio, MI-11 (2013–2015)https://facebook.com/profile/100004403986580/search/?q=Trump%20has%20my%20vote!%20Publicity%20worth%20millions{{dead link|date=February 2024}}
  • Jack Bergman, MI-01 (2017–present){{Cite news |last=Singman |first=Brooke |date=July 11, 2023 |title=Trump wins 'clean sweep' of endorsements from Michigan's GOP congressional delegation |work=Fox News |url=https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-wins-clean-sweep-endorsements-michigans-gop-congressional-delegation |access-date=July 11, 2023}}
  • Bill Huizenga, MI-04 (2023–present) and MI-02 (2011–2023)
  • John James, MI-10 (2023–present)
  • Lisa McClain, MI-09 (2023–present) and MI-10 (2021–2023); Secretary of the House Republican Conference (2023–present){{Cite news |last=Mauger |first=Craig |date=June 25, 2023 |title=Trump says push for electric vehicles will mean 'decimation' for Michigan's industry |work=The Detroit News |url=https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/michigan/2023/06/25/donald-trump-michigan-speech-livestream-president-campaign-stop-lincoln-day-dinner/70329531007/ |access-date=June 25, 2023}}
  • John Moolenaar, MI-02 (2023–present) and MI-04 (2015–2023)
  • Mike Rogers, MI-08 (2001–2015) and Republican candidate for U.S. Senator from Michigan in 2024{{Cite news |last=Finley |first=Nolan |date=January 8, 2024 |title=Finley: Mike Rogers to endorse Trump |url=https://www.detroitnews.com/story/opinion/columnists/nolan-finley/2024/01/08/finley-mike-rogers-to-endorse-trump/72154971007/ |access-date=January 8, 2024 |work=The Detroit News}}
  • Tim Walberg, MI-05 (2023–present) and MI-07 (2011–2023, 2007–2009)

State senator

  • Jim Runestad, Member of the Michigan Senate from the 23rd district (2023–present) and the 15th district (2019–2022){{Cite news |last=Oosting |first=Jonathan |date=September 23, 2023 |title=On Mackinac, Vivek Ramswamy steals Michigan GOP spotlight |work=Bridge Michigan |url=https://www.bridgemi.com/michigan-government/mackinac-vivek-ramswamy-steals-michigan-gop-spotlight |access-date=September 23, 2023}}

State representatives

  • Bob Bezotte, District 50 (2023–present) and District 47 (2021–2023){{Cite news |last1=Mauger |first1=Craig|last2=Leblanc |first2=Beth|date=June 23, 2023 |title=As Donald Trump prepares for return to Michigan, cracks appear in his GOP support |work=The Detroit News|url=https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/michigan/2023/06/23/donald-trump-michigan-oakland-county-republican-party-novi-gop-legislator-endorsements-ron-desantis/70343276007/ |access-date=June 23, 2023}}
  • Steve Carra, District 36 (2023–present) and District 59 (2021–2023)
  • Matt Maddock, District 59 (2023–present) and District 44 (2019–2023)

Former party official

  • Meshawn Maddock, co-chair of the Michigan Republican Party (2019–2023){{cite news|last2=Nann Burke|first2=Melissa|last1=Mauger|first1=Craig|date=November 16, 2022|title=Muted Michigan GOP reaction to Trump's 3rd White House bid|url=https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/michigan/2022/11/16/muted-michigan-republican-reaction-donald-trump-third-white-house-bid-after-midterm-election-losses/69653452007/|access-date=March 18, 2023|website=The Detroit News}} {{subscription required}}

Former local official

  • James Craig, Chief of the Detroit Police Department (2013–2021){{Cite news |last=Lengel |first=Allan |date=September 1, 2023 |title=Ex-Detroit Police Chief James Craig Wants Trump For President In 2024 |work=Deadline Detroit |url=https://www.deadlinedetroit.com/articles/31404/ex-detroit_police_chief_james_craig_wants_trump_for_president_in_2024 |access-date=September 2, 2023}}

Individuals

  • Perry Johnson, disqualified candidate for governor in 2022 and withdrawn candidate for president in 2024{{Cite web |last=Timotija |first=Filip |date=October 23, 2023 |title=Former GOP presidential candidate Perry Johnson endorses Trump |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4271100-ex-gop-presidential-candidate-perry-johnson-endorses-trump/ |access-date=January 24, 2024 |website=The Hill |language=en-US}}

}}

Maps

File:2024 United States presidential election Republican primary Michigan House endorsements.svg.
{{Legend|#283681|Endorsed Donald Trump (40)}}{{Legend|#fe6100|Endorsed Nikki Haley (1)}}{{Legend|#f48882|No endorsement (13)}}]]

{{clear}}

Polling

class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign="bottom" style="font-size:90%;"

!Source of poll
aggregation

!Dates
administered

!Dates
updated

! Nikki
Haley

! Donald
Trump

! Other/
Undecided{{Efn|Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.|name=|group=}}

! Margin

FiveThirtyEight[https://web.archive.org/web/20230223065731/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/michigan/ FiveThirtyEight]

| through February 24, 2024

| February 27, 2024

| 21.8%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |78.7%

| -

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Trump +56.9

class="wikitable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"

!Poll source

!Date(s)
administered

!Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
of error

!Doug
Burgum

!Chris
Christie

!Ron
DeSantis

!Nikki
Haley

!Will
Hurd

!Asa
Hutchinson

!Perry
Johnson

!Mike
Pence

!Vivek
Ramaswamy

!Tim
Scott

!Donald
Trump

!Other

!Undecided

Emerson College/The Hill[https://emersoncollegepolling.com/michigan-2024-poll-trump-46-biden-44/ Emerson College/The Hill]

|Feb 20–24, 2024

|486 (LV)

|±3%

|–

|–

|–

|20.3%

|–

|–

|–

|–

|–

|–

|{{party shading/Republican}}|69.2%

|–

|10.5%

Michigan Information and Research Service (MIRS)[https://twitter.com/MIRSnews/status/1745788934448447682?s=20 Michigan Information and Research Service (MIRS)]

|Jan 4–10, 2024

|600 (LV)

|±4%

|3%

|8%

|9%

|19%

|–

|–

|–

|–

|2%

|–

|{{party shading/Republican}}|53%

|–

|6%

CNN/SSRS[https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/24211924/cnn-polls-trump-leads-biden-in-michigan-and-georgia-as-broad-majorities-hold-negative-views-of-the-current-president.pdf CNN/SSRS]

|Nov 30 – December 7, 2023

|618 (LV)

|± 3.4%

|1%

|6%

|15%

|13%

|–

|1%

|–

|–

|4%

|–

|{{party shading/Republican}}|58%

|1%

|3%

Morning Consult[https://pro.morningconsult.com/analyst-reports/2024-state-level-republican-primary-polling Morning Consult]

|Nov 1–30, 2023

|1,348 (LV)

|–

|0%

|3%

|13%

|10%

|–

|0%

|–

|–

|8%

|1%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|65%

|–

|–

Morning Consult

|Oct 1–31, 2023

|1,342 (LV)

|–

|1%

|3%

|10%

|6%

|0%

|0%

|–

|7%

|9%

|1%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|63%

|–

|–

Public Policy Polling (D)[https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/polls/craig-trump-lead-with-michigan-gop/ Public Policy Polling (D)]

|Oct 9–10, 2023

|430 (LV)

|± 4.7%

|2%

|3%

|13%

|6%

|–

|0%

|–

|2%

|3%

|0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|63%

|–

|8%

Morning Consult

|Sep 1–30, 2023

|1,238 (LV)

|–

|0%

|4%

|12%

|6%

|0%

|0%

|–

|7%

|10%

|1%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|58%

|–

|2%

Susquehanna University[https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4207209-biden-leads-trump-desantis-in-michigan-poll/ Susquehanna University]

|Sep 7–12, 2023

|219 (LV)

|–

|0%

|0%

|18%

|3%

|–

|0%

|–

|5%

|5%

|0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|65%

|–

|–

Morning Consult

|Aug 1–31, 2023

|1,299 (LV)

|–

|0%

|4%

|15%

|3%

|0%

|1%

|–

|8%

|8%

|2%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|59%

|0%{{efn|Francis Suarez with 0%}}

|–

Emerson College[https://emersoncollegepolling.com/michigan-2024-trump-and-biden-on-course-for-tight-rematch/ Emerson College]

|Aug 1–2, 2023

|498 (RV)

|± 4.3%

|1%

|2%

|13%

|3%

|0%

|1%

|0%

|7%

|4%

|2%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|61%

|1%

|6%

Morning Consult

|July 1–31, 2023

|1,350 (LV)

|–

|–

|3%

|18%

|3%

|0%

|1%

|–

|10%

|7%

|2%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|55%

|–

|1%

Mitchell Research[https://mirs-uploads.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/4883-Mitchell-MIRS%20Michigan%20Poll%20Press%20Release%20600AM%207-21-23.pdf Mitchell Research]{{Efn-ua|Poll commissioned by MIRS|name=MIRS}}

|Jul 11–13, 2023

|639 (LV)

|± 4.0%

|–

|–

|13%

|1%

|–

|–

|0%

|3%

|–

|2%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|69%

|–

|11%

Morning Consult

|June 1–30, 2023

|1,242 (LV)

|–

|1%

|2%

|25%

|3%

|0%

|2%

|–

|9%

|3%

|3%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|52%

|1%{{efn|Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott and Kristi Noem with 0%}}

|–

Morning Consult

|May 1–31, 2023

|1,354 (LV)

|–

|–

|–

|25%

|2%

|–

|1%

|–

|9%

|5%

|1%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|53%

|5%{{efn|Liz Cheney with 3%; Glenn Youngkin, Greg Abbott, and Kristi Noem with 0%}}

|1%

Morning Consult

|Apr 1–30, 2023

|1,356 (LV)

|–

|–

|–

|26%

|3%

|–

|0%

|–

|10%

|2%

|1%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|53%

|5%{{efn|Liz Cheney with 3%; Mike Pompeo and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott and Kristi Noem with 0%}}

|–

Morning Consult

|Mar 1–31, 2023

|1,378 (LV)

|–

|–

|–

|30%

|3%

|–

|–

|–

|10%

|0%

|1%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|51%

|5%{{efn|Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%}}

|–

Morning Consult

|Feb 1–28, 2023

|1,232 (LV)

|–

|–

|–

|32%

|4%

|–

|–

|–

|10%

|0%

|1%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|46%

|6%{{efn|Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Ted Cruz and Glenn Youngkin with 0%}}

|1%

Echelon Insights[http://echeloninsights.com/wp-content/uploads/MI-Poll-Memo-02-21-23.pdf Echelon Insights]

|Feb 13–16, 2023

|400 (V)

|± 6.0%

|–

|–

|{{party shading/Republican}}|47%

|–

|–

|–

|–

|–

|–

|–

|42%

|11%

|–

Morning Consult

|Jan 1–31, 2023

|1,709 (LV)

|–

|–

|–

|33%

|1%

|–

|–

|–

|10%

|–

|0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|48%

|5%{{efn|Liz Cheney with 3%; Mike Pompeo and Ted Cruz with 1%; Kristi Noem, Greg Abbott, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%}}

|3%

Morning Consult

|Dec 1–31, 2022

|909 (LV)

|–

|–

|–

|32%

|1%

|–

|–

|–

|10%

|–

|0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|50%

|7%{{efn|Ted Cruz with 3%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott and Glenn Youngkin with 0%}}

|–

Glengariff Group[https://www.clickondetroit.com/decision-2022/2022/07/19/poll-where-michigan-republicans-stand-on-trump-running-again-desantis-2020-election-claims/ Glengariff Group]

|Jul 13–15, 2022

|500 (LV)

|± 4.4%

|–

|–

|42%

|–

|–

|–

|–

|–

|–

|–

|{{party shading/Republican}}|45%

|13%

|–

Results

= Primary =

{{2024MIPrimary}}

= Caucus =

CBS called the results for Donald Trump at 6:02PM (EST) with Trump winning all 39 delegates available from the caucus.{{cite web |title=Donald Trump wins Missouri and Michigan caucuses. Republicans in Idaho will also weigh in on 2024 race |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/donald-trump-wins-missouri-michigan-caucuses-republicans-in-idaho-to-weigh-in-2024-race/ |website=CBS |date=March 2, 2024 |access-date=March 2, 2024}}

{{2024MICaucus}}

See also

Notes

{{notelist|refs=Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
}}

Partisan clients

{{notelist-ua}}

References