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2027 North Rhine-Westphalia state election

{{Short description|State election in Germany}}

{{Expand German|date=June 2022|topic=gov}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2027 North Rhine-Westphalia state election

| country = North Rhine-Westphalia

| type = parliamentary

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2022 North Rhine-Westphalia state election

| previous_year = 2022

| next_election =

| next_year = Next

| seats_for_election = All 181 seats in the Landtag of North Rhine-Westphalia

| majority_seats = 91

| election_date = 2027

| turnout =

| image1 =

| candidate1 =

| party1 = Christian Democratic Union of Germany

| last_election1 = 76 seats, 35.7%

| seats1 =

| seat_change1 =

| popular_vote1 =

| percentage1 =

| swing1 =

| image2 =

| candidate2 =

| party2 = Social Democratic Party of Germany

| last_election2 = 56 seats, 26.7%

| seats2 =

| seat_change2 =

| popular_vote2 =

| percentage2 =

| swing2 =

| image3 =

| candidate3 =

| party3 = Alliance 90/The Greens

| last_election3 = 39 seats, 18.2%

| seats3 =

| seat_change3 =

| popular_vote3 =

| percentage3 =

| swing3 =

| image4 =

| candidate4 =

| party4 = Free Democratic Party (Germany)

| last_election4 = 12 seats, 5.9%

| seats4 =

| seat_change4 =

| popular_vote4 =

| percentage4 =

| swing4 =

| image5 =

| candidate5 =

| party5 = Alternative for Germany

| last_election5 = 12 seats, 5.4%

| seats5 =

| seat_change5 =

| popular_vote5 =

| percentage5 =

| swing5 =

| map_image =

| map_size =

| map_caption =

| title = Government

| before_election = Second Wüst cabinet

| before_party = CDU-Green

| posttitle = Government after election

| after_election =

| after_party =

}}

The 2027 North Rhine-Westphalia state election will be held in 2027 to elect the 19th Landtag of North Rhine-Westphalia.{{Cite web |title=Termin für Landtagswahl in Nordrhein-Westfalen steht fest {{!}} Land.NRW |url=https://www.land.nrw/pressemitteilung/termin-fuer-landtagswahl-nordrhein-westfalen-steht-fest |access-date=2022-06-04 |website=www.land.nrw}}

Opinion polls

class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:14px;"

! rowspan="2" style="width:180px;" |Polling firm

! rowspan="2" style="width:125px;" |Fieldwork date

! rowspan="2" style="width:35px;" |Sample

size

! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;" |CDU

! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;" |SPD

! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;" |Grüne

! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;" |FDP

! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;" |AfD

! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;" |Linke

! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"| BSW

! rowspan="2" class="unsortable" style="width:40px;" |Others

! rowspan="2" style="width:30px;" |Lead

style="background:{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};" |

! style="background:{{party color|Social Democratic Party of Germany}};" |

! style="background:{{party color|Alliance 90/The Greens}};" |

! style="background:{{party color|Free Democratic Party (Germany)}};" |

! style="background:{{party color|Alternative for Germany}};" |

! style="background:{{party color|The Left (Germany)}};" |

! style="background:{{party color|Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht}};" |

style="background:#E5E5F5;font-style:italic;"

| Federal Parliament election

| {{opdrts

23|Feb|2025|year}}

| –

| {{Party shading/CDU}}| 30.1

| 20.0

| 12.4

| 4.4

| 16.8

| 8.3

| 4.1

| 3.8

| style="background:{{party color|CDU}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 10.1

[https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm Forsa]

|{{opdrts|26|4|Dec|2024|year}}

|1,508

| {{Party shading/CDU}} |41

|16

|14

|3

|13

|2

|3

|8

| style="background:{{party color|CDU/CSU}};color:#FFFFFF;" |25

[https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm Infratest dimap]

| {{opdrts|8|10|Oct|2024|year}}

| 1,167

| {{Party shading/CDU}} | 40

| 18

| 14

| 3

| 13

| –

| 4

| 8

| style="background:{{party color|CDU/CSU}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 22

[https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm Forsa]

| {{opdrts|23|1|Aug|2024|year}}

| 1,060

| {{Party shading/CDU}} | 40

| 16

| 14

| 5

| 12

| 1

| 4

| 8

| style="background:{{party color|CDU/CSU}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 24

style="background:#E5E5F5;font-style:italic;"

| European Parliament election

| {{opdrts

9|Jun|2024|year}}

| –

| {{Party shading/CDU}}| 31.2

| 17.2

| 13.5

| 6.3

| 12.6

| 2.1

| 4.4

| 12.7

| style="background:{{party color|CDU}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 14.0

[https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm Infratest dimap]

|22–25 Apr 2024

|1.181

| {{Party shading/CDU}} | 38

|19

|17

|5

|11

|–

|4

|8

| style="background:{{party color|CDU/CSU}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 19

[https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm Forsa]

|5–14 Mar 2024

|1,502

| {{Party shading/CDU}} | 37

|16

|16

|4

|13

|2

|4

|8

| style="background:{{party color|CDU/CSU}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 21

[https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm Infratest dimap]

|30 Oct–2 Nov 2023

|1,161

| {{Party shading/CDU}} | 35

|18

|18

|5

|14

|–

|–

|10

| style="background:{{party color|CDU/CSU}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 17

[https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2023/09/03/nrw-cdu-mit-14-punkte-vorsprung-spd-und-gruene-verlieren/ Wahlkreisprognose]

| data-sort-value="2023-09-02" |27 Aug–2 Sep 2023

|1,100

| {{Party shading/CDU}} | 33.5

|19.5

|16.5

|4.5

|18

|2

|–

|6

| style="background:{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 14

[https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm Infratest dimap]

| data-sort-value="2023-06-15" | 12–15 Jun 2023

|1,159

| {{Party shading/CDU}} |32

|22

|16

|6

|15

|3

|–

|6

| style="background:{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" |10

[https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm Forsa]

| data-sort-value="2023-06-07" |29 May–7 Jun 2023

|1,506

| {{Party shading/CDU}} |37

|21

|14

|5

|13

|3

|–

|7

| style="background:{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" |16

[https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm INSA]

| data-sort-value="2022-08-22" |24 Apr–2 May 2023

|1,000

| {{Party shading/CDU}} |36

|22

|17

|7

|9

|3

|–

|6

| style="background:{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" |14

[https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm Forsa]

| data-sort-value="2023-03-28" |27–28 Mar 2023

|1,005

| {{Party shading/CDU}} |38

|20

|17

|5

|8

|4

|–

|8

| style="background:{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" |18

[https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm Forsa]

| data-sort-value="2023-01-31" |23–31 Jan 2023

|1,006

| {{Party shading/CDU}} |36

|22

|18

|5

|8

|3

|–

|8

| style="background:{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" |14

[https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2022/11/12/nrw-cdu-und-spd-verlieren-gruene-und-afd-mit-zugewinnen/ Wahlkreisprognose]

| data-sort-value="2022-11-11" |7–11 Nov 2022

|1,400

| {{Party shading/CDU}} | 31

|24.5

|19

|5.5

|12.5

|1.5

|–

|6

| style="background:{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 7.5

[https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm Infratest dimap]

| data-sort-value="2022-10-20" | 17–20 Oct 2022

|1,185

| {{Party shading/CDU}} |32

|23

|22

|5

|9

|–

|–

|9

| style="background:{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" |9

[https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm Forsa]

| data-sort-value="2022-09-26" |21–26 Sep 2022

|1,511

| {{Party shading/CDU}} |36

|21

|20

|5

|9

|3

|–

|6

| style="background:{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" |15

[https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm INSA]

| data-sort-value="2022-08-22" |15–22 Aug 2022

|1,000

| {{Party shading/CDU}} |36

|22

|21

|7

|5

|3

|–

|6

| style="background:{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" |14

[https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2022/07/01/nrw-cdu-gestaerkt-schwarz-gruen-startet-mit-geringen-erwartungen/ Wahlkreisprognose]

| data-sort-value="2022-06-30" |27–30 Jun 2022

|1,040

| {{Party shading/CDU}} | 37

|27.5

|15.5

|6

|6

|2

|–

|6

| style="background:{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 9.5

[https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm Forsa]

| data-sort-value="2022-05-16" |16 May 2022

|1,008

| {{Party shading/CDU}} |36

|25

|21

|5

|5

|2

|–

|6

| style="background:{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" |11

style="background:#E9E9E9;"

|2022 state election

| data-sort-value="2021-03-14" |15 May 2022

|–

| {{Party shading/CDU}} |35.7

|26.7

|18.2

|5.9

|5.4

|2.1

|–

|5.7

| style="background:{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;" |9.0

=Minister-President polling=

class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:14px;"
style="height:40px;"

! style="width:155px;" rowspan="3"| Polling firm

! style="width:120px;" rowspan="3"| Fieldwork date

! style="width:35px;" rowspan="3"| Sample
size

! class="unsortable" style="width:70px;"| 100x100px

! class="unsortable" style="width:70px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="width:70px;"| 100x100px

! class="unsortable" style="width:70px;"| 100x100px

! class="unsortable" style="width:70px;"| 100x100px

! class="unsortable" style="width:70px;"|

! class="unsortable" style="width:70px;" rowspan="3"| None/
Unsure

! style="width:30px;" rowspan="3"| Lead

class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"| {{nowrap|Wüst}}
CDU

! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"| {{nowrap|Philipp}}

SPD

! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"| {{nowrap|Post}}

SPD

! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"| {{nowrap|Kutschaty}}

SPD

! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"| {{nowrap|Neubaur}}

Grüne

! class="unsortable" style="width:40px;"| {{nowrap|Vincentz}}

AfD
style="background:{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};"|

! style="background:{{party color|Social Democratic Party of Germany}};"|

! style="background:{{party color|Social Democratic Party of Germany}};"|

! style="background:{{party color|Social Democratic Party of Germany}};"|

! style="background:{{party color|Alliance 90/The Greens}};"|

! style="background:{{party color|Alternative for Germany}};"|

rowspan=4 | [https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2023/09/03/nrw-cdu-mit-14-punkte-vorsprung-spd-und-gruene-verlieren/ Wahlkreisprognose]

| rowspan=4 | 27 Aug – 2 Sep 2023

| rowspan=4 | 1,100

| {{Party shading/CDU}}| 40

| 21

| –

| –

| 10

| 10

| 19

| style="background:{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 19

{{Party shading/CDU}}| 40

| –

| 18

| –

| 13

| 13

| 16

| style="background:{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 22

{{Party shading/CDU}}| 43

| 29

| –

| –

| –

| –

| 28

| style="background:{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 14

{{Party shading/CDU}}| 46

| –

| 26

| –

| –

| –

| 28

| style="background:{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 20

[https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/2022/11/12/nrw-cdu-und-spd-verlieren-gruene-und-afd-mit-zugewinnen/ Wahlkreisprognose]

| {{opdrts|7|11|Nov|2022|year}}

| 1,400

| {{Party shading/CDU}}| 35

| –

| –

| 20

| 18

| –

| 27

| style="background:{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 15

[https://rp-online.de/nrw/landespolitik/sonntagsfrage-nrw-2022-schwarz-gruen-stabil-spd-stuerzt-weiter-ab_aid-77569173 Forsa]

| {{opdrts|21|26|Sep|2022|year}}

| 1,511

| {{Party shading/CDU}}| 31

| –

| –

| 14

| 10

| –

| style="background:#EEEEEE;"| 45

| style="background:{{party color|Christian Democratic Union of Germany}};color:#FFFFFF;"| 17

References

{{Reflist}}

See also

{{2027 elections in Germany}}{{North Rhine-Westphalia state elections}}

Category:Elections in North Rhine-Westphalia

Category:2027 elections in Germany