economy of Sri Lanka
{{Short description|none}}
{{Use dmy dates|date=October 2019}}
{{Use Sri Lankan English|date=July 2022}}
{{Infobox economy
| country = Sri Lanka
| image = File:The skyline of downtown Colombo from the Port City beach.jpg
| image_size = 310px
| caption = Colombo, the financial centre of Sri Lanka
| currency = Sri Lankan rupee (LKR, Rs)
| fixed exchange =
| year = Calendar year
| organs = WTO, WCO, SAFTA, IOR-ARC, BIMSTEC, AIIB
| group = {{plainlist|
- Developing/Emerging{{cite web |url=https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2019/01/weodata/weoselco.aspx?g=2200&sg=All+countries+%2f+Emerging+market+and+developing+economies |title=World Economic Outlook Database, April 2019 |publisher=International Monetary Fund |website=IMF.org |access-date=29 September 2019}}
- Lower-middle income economy{{cite web |url=https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519-world-bank-country-and-lending-groups |title=World Bank Country and Lending Groups |publisher=World Bank |website=datahelpdesk.worldbank.org |access-date=1 July 2020}}
}}
| population = {{increaseNeutral}} 21,763,170 (60th)
(2024 Census){{cite web
|title=2024 Census of Population and Housing - Preliminary Report
|url=http://www.statistics.gov.lk/Population/StaticalInformation/CPH2024/CPH2024_Preliminary_Report
|publisher=Department of Census and Statistics – Sri Lanka
|access-date=7 April 2025}}
| gdp = {{plainlist|
- {{increase}} $98.98 billion (nominal, 2024){{cite web |title=National Account Estimates 2024 |url=https://www.cbsl.gov.lk/sites/default/files/cbslweb_documents/statistics/national_account_estimates_2024_annual_e.pdf |publisher=Central Bank of Sri Lanka |website=www.cbsl.gov.lk |access-date=19 March 2025}}
- {{increase}} $342.6 billion (PPP, 2024){{cite web |title=Sri Lanka - IMF DataMapper |url=https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/profile/LKA |publisher=International Monetary Fund |access-date=23 April 2025}}
}}
| gdp rank = {{plainlist|
}}
| growth = {{plainlist|
}}
| per capita = {{plainlist|
}}
| per capita rank = {{plainlist|
}}
| sectors = {{plainlist|
- Agriculture: 7.5%
- Industry: 26.7%
- Services: 59.2%
| inflation = -2.6% (deflation) (March 2025){{Cite web |title=Consumer Price Inflation |url=https://www.cbsl.gov.lk/en/measures-of-consumer-price-inflation |access-date=2025-03-30|website=www.cbsl.gov.lk}}
| poverty = {{plainlist|
- {{decreasePositive}} 3.9% living on less than $2.15/day (International poverty rate, 2025e)
- {{decreasePositive}} 22.7% living on less than $3.65/day (Lower middle-income poverty rate, 2025e)
| gini = 37.7 {{color|darkorange|medium}} (2019, World Bank){{cite web |url=https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SI.POV.GINI?locations=LK |title=GINI index (World Bank estimate) |publisher=World Bank |website=data.worldbank.org |access-date=14 July 2024}}
| hdi = {{plainlist|
- {{increase}} 0.780 {{color| green|high}} (2022){{Cite web |date=13 March 2024 |title=Human Development Report 2023/2024 |url=https://hdr.undp.org/system/files/documents/global-report-document/hdr2023-24reporten.pdf|url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240313164319/https://hdr.undp.org/system/files/documents/global-report-document/hdr2023-24reporten.pdf |archive-date=13 March 2024 |access-date=29 May 2024 |publisher=United Nations Development Programme |language=en}} (78th)
- {{increase}} 0.630 {{color|darkorange|medium}} IHDI}}
| Ease of doing business = {{increase}} 99th (medium, 2020){{cite web |url=http://www.doingbusiness.org/data/exploreeconomies/sri-lanka |title=Ease of Doing Business in Sri Lanka |publisher=Doingbusiness.org |access-date=24 January 2017 }}
| labour = {{plainlist|
- 8.316 million (2024 est){{cite web
|url=https://www.cbsl.gov.lk/sites/default/files/cbslweb_documents/publications/aer/2024/en/03_KEI.pdf
|title=Key Economic Indicators – Annual Economic Review 2024
|publisher=Central Bank of Sri Lanka
|website=cbsl.gov.lk
|access-date=23 April 2025
}}
| occupations = {{plainlist|
- agriculture: 26.4%
- industry: 25.4%
- services: 48.3%
- (2024-3Q){{cite web |url=https://www.cbsl.gov.lk/sites/default/files/cbslweb_documents/statistics/mei/MEI_202502_e.pdf |title=Labour Force Participation |publisher=www.cbsl.gov.lk |access-date=1 April 2025 }}}}
| unemployment = {{plainlist|
- {{decreasePositive}} 4.7% (2022)
- {{steady}} 4.7% (2023)
- {{decreasePositive}} 4.4% (2024 est){{cite web |url=https://www.cbsl.gov.lk/en/economic-and-statistical-charts/unemployment-rate-chart |title=Unemployment of Sri Lanka |publisher=www.cbsl.gov.lk |access-date=17 April 2025 }}}}
| industries = textiles & clothing, tourism, telecommunications, information technology services, banking, shipping, petroleum refining, construction and processing of tea, rubber, coconuts, tobacco and other agricultural commodities
| exports = {{plainlist|
- {{increase}} $16.172 billion (2024)
- merchandise exports US$ 12.705 billion (2024)
- service exports US$ 3.467 billion (2024){{Cite web |title=SRI LANKA'S EXPORT PERFORMANCE IN DECEMBER 2024 |url=https://www.srilankabusiness.com/news/sri-lanka-s-export-performance-in-december-2024.html |access-date=2025-02-02 |website=www.srilankabusiness.com}}
}}
| export-goods = textiles and apparel, tea and spices, electronics, IT services, rubber manufactures, fish, Mineral
| export-partners = {{plainlist|
- {{flag|USA}} 25.29%
- {{flag|UK}} 9.18%
- {{flag|India}} 6.09%
- {{flag|Germany}} 5.75%
- {{flag|Italy}} 5.35%
- (2020){{cite news|url=https://www.srilankabusiness.com/ebooks/expo-news-april-2021.pdf|title=Expo News, Page No. 08, Major Export Partners of Sri Lanka |access-date=29 April 2021}}}}
| imports = {{Increase}} $18.9 billion (2024){{cite web |title=Merchandise Trade - External Sector Performance (December 2024) |url=https://www.cbsl.gov.lk/sites/default/files/cbslweb_documents/statistics/sheets/press_20250131_external_sector_performance_December_2024_e.pdf |access-date=2025-02-02 |website=Central Bank of Sri Lanka}}
| import-goods = Mineral fuels including petroleum product (12.3%)
Machinery including computers (9%)
Electrical machinery, equipment
Vehicles (7.1%)
Textile fabric (5%)
Plastics (3.7%)
Cotton (3.3%)
Heavy metals (3%)
Ships and boats (2.8%)
Iron, steel, aluminium (2.8%)
| import-partners = {{plainlist|
- {{flag|China}} 22.96%
- {{flag|India}} 19.30%
- {{flag|UAE}} 5.57%
- {{flag|Malaysia}} 4.08%
- {{flag|Singapore}} 3.96%
- (2020)}}
| current account = {{plainlist| *{{IncreasePositive}} $1.746 billion (2024){{cite web |title=IMF Data Mapper - Sri Lanka Balance of Current Account |url=https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/BCA@WEO/LKA?zoom=LKA&highlight=LKA |website=IMF |access-date=27 April 2025}}
- {{IncreasePositive}} +1.8% of GDP {{cite web |title=IMF Data Mapper - Sri Lanka Current Account Balance (% of GDP) |url=https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/BCA_NGDPD@WEO/LKA?zoom=LKA&highlight=LKA |website=IMF |access-date=27 April 2025}}}}
| FDI = {{plainlist|
- US$13.05 Billion (2019){{cite news |title=Sri Lanka FDI slows to US$528mn up to Sept 2020 |url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-fdi-slows-to-us528mn-up-to-sept-2020-79033/ |access-date=21 February 2021 |publisher=Economynext |date=20 February 2021}}
- {{steady}} Abroad: NA{{cite web|url=https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ce.html |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20070612194622/https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ce.html |url-status=dead |archive-date=12 June 2007 |title=The World Factbook |publisher=Central Intelligence Agency |website=CIA.gov |access-date=16 March 2019}}}}
| gross external debt = {{decreasepositive}} $57.2 billion (2024) (57.8% of GDP){{cite web
|title=Annual Economic Review 2024
|url=https://www.cbsl.gov.lk/sites/default/files/cbslweb_documents/publications/aer/2024/en/Full_Text.pdf
|publisher=Central Bank of Sri Lanka
|access-date=7 April 2025}}
| revenue = Rs 4,990 billion (2025){{cite web |url=https://www.treasury.gov.lk/web/budget-documents-2025 |title=Budget Documents 2025 |publisher=Ministry of Finance |website=www.treasury.gov.lk |access-date=17 February 2025}}
| expenses = Rs 7,190 billion (2025)
| balance = −6.7% (of GDP) (2025)
| credit = {{plainlist|
- Standard & Poor's:{{cite news |title=Sri Lanka downgraded to CC by S&P, on track for selective default |url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-downgradged-to-cc-by-sp-on-track-for-selective-default-92995/ |access-date=17 April 2022 |publisher=Economynext.com |date=13 April 2022}}
- CC (Fx)
- Outlook: Negative
----
- Moody's:{{cite web |title=Moody's raises Sri Lanka's rating: Outlook stable |url=https://www.newswire.lk/2024/12/23/moodys-raises-sri-lankas-rating-outlook-stable/ |publisher=Moody's |website=newswire.lk |date=23 December 2024 |access-date=23 December 2024}}
- Caa1
- Outlook: Stable
----
- Fitch:{{cite web |title=Fitch Upgrades Sri Lanka to 'CCC+' |url=https://www.fitchratings.com/research/sovereigns/fitch-upgrades-sri-lanka-to-ccc-20-12-2024 |website=Fitchratings.com |publisher=Fitch Ratings |access-date=23 December 2024}}
- CCC+ (Domestic/Foreign)
- B- (Country ceiling)
- Outlook: None at this level
}}
| | reserves = {{plainlist|
- {{increase}} $6.5 billion (March 2025){{cite web
|title=Sri Lanka reserves recover to US$6.5bn in March
|date=7 April 2025
|url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-reserves-recover-to-us6-5bn-in-november-214200/
|publisher=EconomyNext
|access-date=8 April 2025}}
}}
| cianame = sri-lanka
| spelling =
}}
The mixed economy of Sri Lanka was valued at LKR 29.89 trillion (around $99 billion) in 2024 by gross domestic product (GDP) and $342.6 billion by purchasing power parity (PPP)
Sri Lanka's economy expanded by 5.0% in 2024, marking a strong recovery from the 2022 economic crisis.{{cite web
|url=https://www.cbsl.gov.lk/sites/default/files/cbslweb_documents/publications/aer/2024/en/23_Infographic.pdf
|title=Annual Economic Review 2024 – Infographic
|publisher=Central Bank of Sri Lanka
|website=cbsl.gov.lk
|access-date=23 April 2025
}}
Sri Lanka has met the Millennium Development Goal (MDG) target of halving extreme poverty and is on track to meet most of the other MDGs, outperforming other South Asian countries. Sri Lanka's poverty headcount index was 4.1% by 2016. Since the end of the three-decade-long Sri Lankan Civil War, Sri Lanka has begun focusing on long-term strategic and structural development challenges and has financed several infrastructure projects.
High foreign debt, economic mismanagement under the governments of Gotabhaya and Mahinda Rajapaksa,{{Cite news |date=2023-11-15 |title=Sri Lanka: Rajapaksa brothers among 13 leaders responsible for crisis |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-67423516 |publisher=BBC News |access-date=2024-01-25 |language=en-GB}} and reduced tourism revenue led to the country defaulting on its sovereign debt in April 2022.{{Cite web |date=2023-10-16 |title=What Can We Learn from Sri Lanka's Debt Default? |url=https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/southasia/2023/10/16/what-can-we-learn-from-sri-lankas-debt-default/ |access-date=2024-01-25 |website=South Asia@LSE}} The economy contracted 7.8% in 2022, and the percentage of the population earning less than $3.65 a day doubled to around 25% of the population. On March 20, 2023, the IMF loaned US$3 billion to the country as part of a 48-month debt relief program.{{Cite web |title=IMF Executive Board Completes the First Review Under the Extended Fund Facility Arrangement with Sri Lanka |url=https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2023/12/12/pr23439-sri-lanka-imf-executive-board-completes-first-review-under-eff-arrangement |access-date=2024-01-25 |publisher=IMF |language=en}}
Overview
Services accounted for 58.2% of Sri Lanka's economy in 2019 up from 54.6% in 2010, industry 27.4% up from 26.4% a decade earlier and agriculture 7.4%.{{cite web |title=Sri Lanka annual GDP at current prices and GDP shares |url=http://www.statistics.gov.lk/NationalAccounts/StaticalInformation/Reports/ts_annual_current |website=www.census.gov.lk |publisher=Department of Census and Statistics |access-date=8 February 2021}} Though there is a competitive export agricultural sector, technological advances have been slow to enter the protected domestic sector.{{cite web |title=Box Story - Adoption of Modern Technologies in Agriculture - Box Story 04, Central Bank Annual Report 2019 |url=https://www.cbsl.gov.lk/sites/default/files/cbslweb_documents/publications/annual_report/2019/en/13_Box_04.pdf |website=www.cbsl.gov.lk |publisher=Central Bank of Sri Lanka |access-date=8 February 2021}} Sri Lanka is the largest solid and industrial tyres manufacturing centre in the world and has an apparel sector which is moving up the value chain.{{cite web |title=Solid Tyres from Sri Lanka |url=https://www.srilankabusiness.com/rubber/solid-tyres.html |website=www.srilankabusiness.com |publisher=Sri Lanka Export Development Board |access-date=8 February 2021}} But rising trade protection over the past decade has also caused concern over the resurgence of inward-looking policies.{{cite web |last1=Athukorale |first1=Prema-chandra |title=Sri Lanka's Trade Policy: Reverting to Dirigisme? |url=https://acde.crawford.anu.edu.au/sites/default/files/publication/acde_crawford_anu_edu_au/2016-10/wp_econ_2012_14_athukorala.pdf |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180424160354/https://acde.crawford.anu.edu.au/sites/default/files/publication/acde_crawford_anu_edu_au/2016-10/wp_econ_2012_14_athukorala.pdf |url-status=live |archive-date=24 April 2018 |website=acde.crawford.anu.edu.au |publisher=Crawford School of Public Policy ANU College of Asia and the Pacific |access-date=8 February 2021 }}
In services, ports and airports generate income for the country's newfound status as a shipping and aviation hub.{{cite web |title=The importance of Air Transport to Sri Lanka - IATA |url=https://www.iata.org/en/iata-repository/publications/economic-reports/sri-lanka--value-of-aviation/. |website=www.iata.org |publisher=International Air Transport Association |access-date=8 February 2021 |archive-date=14 February 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210214102037/https://www.iata.org/en/iata-repository/publications/economic-reports/sri-lanka--value-of-aviation/ |url-status=dead }} Port of Colombo is the largest transhipment hub in South Asia.{{cite news |title=Sri Lanka's Colombo port could expand to a full maritime hub with policy changes |url=https://economynext.com/sri-lankas-colombo-port-could-expand-to-full-maritime-hub-with-policy-changes-industry-expert-70166/ |access-date=8 February 2021 |newspaper =EconomyNext |date=20 May 2020}} There is a growing software and information technology sector, which is competitive and is open to global competition.{{cite web |title=ICT/BPM in Sri Lanka - Asian Development Bank |url=https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/project-documents/49273/49273-001-tacr-en_1.pdf |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201022145016/https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/project-documents/49273/49273-001-tacr-en_1.pdf |url-status=live |archive-date=22 October 2020 |website=www.adb.org |publisher=Asian Development Bank |access-date=8 February 2021 }} Tourism is a fast expanding area. Lonely Planet named Sri Lanka the best destination to visit in 2019 and Travel+Leisure the best island.{{cite news |title=Sri Lanka still Lonely Planet's top destination for 2019 |url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-still-lonely-planets-top-destination-for-2019-14619/ |access-date=8 February 2021 |publisher=EconomyNext |date=2 July 2019}}{{cite news |title=Travel and Leisure readers vote Sri Lanka best island in the world |url=https://economynext.com/travel-and-leisure-readers-vote-sri-lanka-best-island-in-the-world-14741/ |access-date=8 February 2021 |publisher=EconomyNext |date=12 July 2019}} Sri Lanka's top export destinations are the United States, United Kingdom and India. China, India and the UAE are the main import partners.{{cite web |title=Central Bank of Sri Lanka 2019 - Statistical Appendix |url=https://www.cbsl.gov.lk/sites/default/files/cbslweb_documents/publications/annual_report/2019/en/15_Appendix.pdf |website=cbsl.gov.lk |publisher=Central Bank of Sri Lanka |access-date=8 February 2021}}
With the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, lingering concerns over Sri Lanka's slowing growth, money printing and government debt has spilled over into a series of sovereign rating downgrades. Import controls and import substitution have intensified after heightened monetary instability coming from debt monetization.{{cite news |title=Sri Lanka import substitution should be temporary: economist |url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-import-substitution-should-be-temporary-economist-74919/ |access-date=8 February 2021 |publisher=8 February 2021 |date=20 October 2020}}{{cite news |title=Sri Lanka import controls extended, license regime in import substitution drive |url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-import-controls-extended-license-regime-in-import-substitution-drive-70281/ |access-date=8 February 2021 |publisher=EconomyNext |date=23 May 2020}}{{cite news |title=Money printing to repay debt: Worshipping MMT is likely to magnify economic instability |url=http://www.dailymirror.lk/features/Money-printing-to-repay-debt-Worshipping-MMT-is-likely-to-magnify-economic-instability/185-202687 |access-date=28 December 2020 |work=Daily Mirror Sri Lanka |date=28 December 2021}}{{cite news |title=A child's guide to modern monetary theory: Keynesianism in an old bottle |url=https://www.colombotelegraph.com/index.php/a-childs-guide-to-modern-monetary-theory-keynesianism-in-an-old-bottle/ |access-date=8 February 2021 |publisher=Colombo Telegraph |date=21 December 2021}}
Sri Lanka has been named among the top 10 countries in the world in its handling of the COVID-19 pandemic.{{cite news |title=Sri Lanka tenth best country in handling the Covid-19 pandemic |url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-tenth-best-country-in-handling-covid-pandemic-78313/ |access-date=8 February 2021 |publisher=EconomyNext.com |date=28 January 2021}} In 2021, the Sri Lankan Government officially declared the worst economic crisis in the country in 73 years.{{Cite web|date=2021-04-30|title=Sri Lanka declares worst economic downturn in 73 years|url=https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20210430-sri-lanka-declares-worst-economic-downturn-in-73-years|access-date=2021-06-27|website=France 24|language=en|archive-date=2021-10-15|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211015180503/https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20210430-sri-lanka-declares-worst-economic-downturn-in-73-years|url-status=live}} Sri Lanka said most foreign debt repayments had been suspended from April 12, after two years of money printing to support tax cuts, ending an unblemished record of debt service.{{cite news |title=Sri Lanka halts foreign debt repayments in 'pre-emptive negotiated default' |url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-halts-foreign-debt-repayments-in-pre-emptive-negotiated-default-92952/ |access-date=14 April 2022 |publisher=EconomyNext |date=12 April 2022}}
Economic history
=Early history=
Sri Lanka has a long history as a trading hub as a result of being located at the centre of east–west trade and irrigated agriculture in the hinterland, which is known from historical texts surviving within the island and from accounts of foreign travellers. The island has irrigation reservoirs called tanks built by ancient Kings starting after Indo-Aryan migration, many of which survive to this day.{{cite web |url= https://mahavamsa.org/mahavamsa/original-version/10-consecrating-pandukabhaya/|title= Chapter 10, Consecrating Pandukabhaya |publisher=Mahavamsa |website=Mahavamsa.org |date= 8 October 2011 |access-date=11 December 2020}} They form part of an irrigation system interlinked with more modern constructions.{{cite web |url= http://www.fao.org/3/T0028E/T0028E03.htm
|title= Reservoirs - Historical Aspects |publisher=FAO |website=fao.org |access-date=11 December 2020}}
Faxian (also Fa Hsien) a Chinese Monk who travelled to India and Sri Lanka around 400 AD, writes of existing legends at his time of merchants from other countries trading with native tribal peoples in the island before Indo-Aryan settlement. "The country which originally had no human inhabitants but was occupied by spirits and nagas (serpent worshipers) with which merchants of various countries carried on a trade," Faxian wrote in 'A Record of Buddhistic Kingdoms'.{{cite web |url= https://www.gutenberg.org/files/2124/2124-h/2124-h.htm#link2HCH0039 |title= 'A Record of Buddhistic Kingdoms - Chapter 38 |publisher=Project Gutenberg |website=Gutenberg.org |access-date=11 December 2020}} He writes of precious stones and pearl fisheries with a 30% tax by the king.
The monk had embarked "in a large merchant vessel" from India to arrive in the island. To go back to China he "took passage in a large merchantman on board which were more than 200 men", ran into a storm where the merchants were forced to throw part of the cargo overboard and arrived at Java-dvipa (Indonesia), showing Sri Lanka had active coastal and long-distance maritime trade links.{{cite web |url= https://www.gutenberg.org/files/2124/2124-h/2124-h.htm#link2HCH0039 |title= 'A Record of Buddhistic Kingdoms - Chapter 40 |publisher=Project Gutenberg |website=Gutenberg.org |access-date=11 December 2020}}
Cosmas Indicopleustes (Indian Voyager), a merchant/monk from Alexandria of Egypt, who visited the Indian sub-continent in the 6th century, wrote in detail about Sri Lanka as a centre of commerce, referring to the island as Taprobane and Sieladiba.
"The island being, as it is, in a central position, is much frequented by ships from all parts of India and from Persia and Ethiopia, and it likewise sends out many of its own," he wrote in Christian Topography. "And from the remotest countries, I mean Tzinista [China] and other trading places, it receives silk, aloes, cloves, sandalwood and other products, and these again are passed on to marts on this side, such as Male [Malabar or South West Indian coast] ... and to Calliana [Kalyana]... This same Sielediba then, placed as one may say, in the centre of the Indies and possessing the hyacinth [sapphire] receives ... and in turn exports to them, and is thus itself a great seat of commerce."{{cite web |url= https://archive.org/details/christiantopogr00cosmgoog |title= Christian Topography |publisher=Internet Archive |website=archive.org |year= 1897 |access-date=11 December 2020}}
=Independence to 1977=
Sri Lanka was ahead of many Asian nations and had economic and social indicators comparable to Japan when they gained independence from the British in 1948.
Sri Lanka's social indicators were considered "exceptionally high". Literacy was already 21.7% by the late 19th century. A Malaria eradication policy of 1946 had cut the death rate from 20 per thousand in 1946 to 14 by 1947. Life expectancy at birth of a Sri Lankan in 1948 at 54 years was just under Japan's 57.5 years. Sri Lanka's infant mortality rate in 1950 was 82 deaths per thousand live births, Malaysia 91 and Philippines 102.{{cite web |url= http://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/570211468777272881/pdf/multi-page.pdf |title= Growth and Equity in Developing Countries - Surjit S Bhalla, Paul Glewwe |publisher=World Bank |website=worldbank.org |access-date=18 December 2020}}
With its strategic location in the Indian Ocean, Sri Lanka was expected to have a better chance than most other Asian neighbours to register a rapid economic take-off and had "appeared to be one of the most promising new nations." But the optimism in 1948 had dimmed by 1960, due to wrong economic policies and mismanagement.
East Asia was gradually overtaking Sri Lanka. In 1950 Sri Lanka's un-adjusted school enrolment ratio as a share of the 5-19 year age group was 54%, India 19%, Korea 43% and the Philippines 59%. But by 1979 Sri Lanka's school enrollment rate was 74%, but the Philippines had improved to 85% and Korea was 94%.
Sri Lanka had inherited a stable macro-economy at independence.{{cite journal |last1=Kelegama |first1=Saman |year=2000 |title=Development in Independent Sri Lanka: What went wrong? |url=https://www.jstor.org/stable/4409207 |journal=Economic and Political Weekly |volume=35 |issue=17 |pages=1477–1490 |jstor=4409207 |access-date=18 December 2020}} A central bank was set up and Sri Lanka became a member of the IMF entering the Bretton Woods system of currency pegs on August 29, 1950.{{cite web |url=https://www.imf.org/en/Countries/LKA |title= Sri Lanka and the IMF |publisher=IMF |website=imf.org |access-date=18 December 2020}} By 1953 exchange controls were tightened with a new law.{{cite web |url=https://www.srilankalaw.lk/Volume-III/exchange-control-act.html |title=Exchange Control Act No 24 of 1953 |publisher=Blackhall Publishing |website=srilankalaw.lk |access-date=18 December 2020 |archive-date=21 July 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210721064151/https://www.srilankalaw.lk/Volume-III/exchange-control-act.html |url-status=dead }}
The economy was then progressively controlled and relaxed in response to foreign exchange crises as monetary and fiscal policies deteriorated. Controls and restrictions in 1961-64 were followed by partial liberalization in 1965–70. Controls were continued after a devaluation in the wake of 1967 Sterling Crisis. Controls were tightened from 1970 to 1977 alongside the collapse of the Bretton Woods system. "In sum it was a story of tightening partial relaxing, and again tightening the trade regime and associated areas to over a perceived foreign exchange crisis," writes economist Saman Kelegama in 'Development in Independent Sri Lanka what went wrong'. "In the early 1960s strategy for dealing with the foreign exchange crisis was the gradual isolation of the economy from external market forces. It was the beginning of a standard import-substitution industrial regime with all the controls and restrictions associated with such a regime. Expropriation and state intervention in economic activities was common."
In 1960 Sri Lanka's (then Ceylon) per capita GDP was 152 dollars, Korea 153, Malaysia 280, Thailand 95, Indonesia 62, Philippines 254, Taiwan 149. But by 1978 Sri Lanka's per capita GDP was 226, Malaysia's 588, Indonesia's 370 and Taiwan's 505.
The 1970s also saw an uprising in the south from the JVP insurrection, and the roots of a civil war in the North and the East.
=Post 1977 period=
In 1977, Colombo abandoned statist economic policies and its import substitution industrialisation policy for market-oriented policies and export-oriented trade. Sri Lanka would after that be known to handle dynamic industries such as food processing, textiles and apparel, food and beverages, telecommunications, and insurance and banking. In the 1970s, the share of the middle class increased.{{Cite web |agency=Associated Press |date=2022-06-22 |title=Sri Lanka's prime minister says economy has 'completely collapsed' |url=https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jun/23/sri-lanka-prime-minister-economy-completely-collapsed |access-date=2022-06-29 |website=The Guardian |language=en}}
Between 1977 and 1994 the country came under UNP rule in which under President J.R Jayawardana Sri Lanka began to shift away from a socialist orientation in 1977. Since then, the government has been deregulating, privatizing, and opening the economy to international competition. In 2001, Sri Lanka faced bankruptcy, with debt reaching 101% of GDP. The impending currency crisis was averted after the country reached a hasty ceasefire agreement with the LTTE and brokered substantial foreign loans. After 2004 the UPFA government has concentrated on the mass production of goods for domestic consumption such as rice, grain and other agricultural products.{{cite web|url=http://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/ADO/2008/SRI.pdf|title=Asian Development Outlook 2008|publisher=Asian Development Bank}} {{dead link|date=April 2018 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}
however twenty-five years of civil war slowed economic growth,{{citation needed|date=December 2015}} diversification and liberalisation, and the political group Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna (JVP) uprisings, especially the second in the early 1980s, also caused extensive upheavals.{{cite web|url=http://www.postcolonialweb.org/southasia/srilanka/economics/economics1.html|title=The Economy of Sri Lanka|publisher=The Postcolonial Web-National University of Singapore}}
Following the quelling of the JVP insurrection, increased privatization, economic reform and the stress on export-oriented growth helped improve economic performance, increasing GDP growth to 7% in 1993. By 1996 plantation crops made up only 20% of exports (compared with 93% in 1970), while textiles and garments accounted for 63%. GDP grew at an annual average rate of 5.5% throughout the 1990s until a drought and a deteriorating security situation lowered growth to 3.8% in 1996.
The economy rebounded in 1997–98 with a growth of 6.4% and 4.7% – but slowed to 3.7% in 1999. For the next round of reforms, the central bank of Sri Lanka recommends that Colombo expand market mechanisms in nonplantation agriculture, dismantle the government's monopoly on wheat imports, and promote more competition in the financial sector. Economic growth has been uneven in the ensuing years as the economy faced a multitude of global and domestic economic and political challenges. Overall, average annual GDP growth was 5.2% over 1991–2000.
In 2001, however, GDP growth was negative 1.4% – the first contraction since independence. The economy was hit by a series of global and domestic economic problems and was affected by terrorist attacks in Sri Lanka and the United States. The crises also exposed the fundamental policy failures and structural imbalances in the economy and the need for reforms. The year ended in parliamentary elections in December, which saw the election of United National Party to Parliament, while Sri Lanka Freedom Party retained the presidency.
During the short-lived peace process from 2002 to 2004, the economy benefited from lower interest rates, a recovery in domestic demand, increased tourist arrivals, a revival of the stock exchange, and increased foreign direct investment (FDI). In 2002, the economy experienced a gradual recovery. During this period Sri Lanka has been able to reduce defense expenditures and begin to focus on getting its large, public sector debt under control. In 2002, economic growth reached 4%, aided by strong service sector growth. The agricultural sector of the economy staged a partial recovery. Total FDI inflows during 2002 were about $246 million.{{Cite web|url=http://www.factrover.com/economy/Sri_Lanka_economy.html|title=Sri Lanka Economy – GDP, Budget, Industry and Agriculture|publisher=factrover|access-date=22 April 2016|archive-date=4 May 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190504180340/http://www.factrover.com/economy/Sri_Lanka_economy.html|url-status=dead}}
The Mahinda Rajapakse government halted the privatization process and launched several new companies as well as re-nationalising previous state-owned enterprises, one of which the courts declared that privatization is null and void.{{Cite news |url= http://www.sundaytimes.lk/090607/FinancialTimes/ft316.html|title=SLI privatization null and void, reverts back to the state }} Some state-owned corporations became overstaffed and less efficient, making huge losses with series of frauds being uncovered in them and nepotism rising.{{cite web|url= http://www.economynext.com/Sri_Lanka_aiming_to_reduce_burden_of_SOEs_on_the_people-3-3315-1.html|title= Sri Lanka aiming to reduce burden of SOEs on the_people|access-date= 17 November 2015|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20151118070627/http://www.economynext.com/Sri_Lanka_aiming_to_reduce_burden_of_SOEs_on_the_people-3-3315-1.html|archive-date= 18 November 2015|url-status= dead}} During this time, the EU revoked GSP plus preferential tariffs from Sri Lanka due to alleged human rights violations, which cost about US$500 million a year.{{Cite news|title = Sri Lanka Loses E.U. Trade Benefit|url = https://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/07/business/global/07trade.html|newspaper = The New York Times|date = 6 July 2010|access-date = 17 November 2015|issn = 0362-4331|first = Vikas|last = Bajaj}}{{Cite news |title = GSP Plus suspension will cost Lanka Rs. 570 billion a year|url = http://www.sundaytimes.lk/100704/News/nws_02.html|newspaper = Sunday Times |access-date = 17 November 2015}}
The resumption of the civil war in 2005 led to a steep increase in defence expenditures. The increased violence and lawlessness also prompted some donor countries to cut back on aid to the country.{{Cite news|last=Fernandez|first=Minelle|date=28 July 2007|title=Lawlessness Grows in Strife-Torn Sri Lanka|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/07/27/AR2007072702462.html|access-date=26 April 2021|newspaper=The Washington Post}}{{Cite web|last=Hogg|first=Charu Lata|title=Sri Lanka's leader takes a step backward on human rights|url=http://hrw.org/english/docs/2007/08/15/slanka16690_txt.htm|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20070929144522/http://hrw.org/english/docs/2007/08/15/slanka16690_txt.htm|archive-date=29 September 2007|access-date=26 April 2021|website=Human Rights Watch}}
A sharp rise in world petroleum prices combined with the economic fallout from the civil war led to inflation that peaked at 20%.{{Citation needed|date=April 2021}}
=Post-civil war period=
Pre-2009, there was a continuing cloud over the economy with the civil war and fighting between the Government of Sri Lanka and the LTTE; however, the war ended with a resounding victory for the Sri Lankan Government on 19 May 2009 with the total elimination of the LTTE.{{Citation needed|date=April 2021}}
As the civil war ended in May 2009 the economy started to grow at a higher rate of 8.0% in the year 2010 and reached 9.1% in 2012, mostly due to the boom in non-tradable sectors; however, the boom did not last and the GDP growth for 2013 fell to 3.4% in 2013, and only slightly recovered to 4.5% in 2014.{{cite web|url=https://2009-2017.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/5249.htm|title=Background Note: Sri Lanka->section "Economy"|publisher=US State Department}}{{Cite web|url=http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG/lk-8S?display=graph|title=GDP growth (annual %) {{!}} Data {{!}} Graph|publisher=The World Bank.|access-date=26 June 2016}} {{Dead link|date=August 2018 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}{{Cite news |url=http://www.ft.lk/article/77212/Sri-Lanka-s-post-war-economic-miracle-turns-sour|title=Sri Lanka's post-war economic miracle turns sour!|publisher=Da|access-date=26 June 2016}}{{Cite web|url=https://thecurionomist.wordpress.com/2014/05/04/construction-bias-in-sri-lankas-recent-growth/|title=Construction Bias in Sri Lanka's Recent Growth|last=thecurionomist|date=4 May 2014|publisher=The Curionomist|access-date=26 June 2016}}
According to government policies and economic reforms stated by Prime Minister and Minister of National Policy and Economic Affairs Ranil Wickremesinghe, Sri Lanka plans to create Western Region Megapolis a Megapolis in the western province to promote economic growth. The creation of several business and technology development areas island-wide specialised in various sectors, as well as tourism zones, are also being planned.{{Cite news|title = Economic Policy Statement made by Prime Minister, Ranil Wickremesinghe in Parliament|url = http://www.news.lk/fetures/item/10674-economic-policy-statement-made-by-prime-minister-ranil-wickremesinghe-in-parliament|publisher = news.lk|access-date = 17 November 2015|archive-date = 22 April 2019|archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20190422111151/https://www.news.lk/fetures/item/10674-economic-policy-statement-made-by-prime-minister-ranil-wickremesinghe-in-parliament|url-status = dead}}{{cite news |title=Govt pushing for GSP+, TPP membership – Dr. Harsha |newspaper=Daily News |url=http://www.dailynews.lk/?q=2015/11/16/business/govt-pushing-gsp-tpp-membership-dr-harsha |access-date=17 November 2015}}{{cite news |author=S. Rubatheesan |date=15 November 2015 |title = EU delegation to meet Ranil before taking decision on ban on Sri Lankan fish products |newspaper=The Sunday Times Sri Lanka |url = http://www.sundaytimes.lk/151115/news/eu-delegation-to-meet-ranil-before-taking-decision-on-ban-on-sri-lankan-fish-products-171822.html |access-date = 17 November 2015}}{{Cite web|url=https://archives.sundayobserver.lk/2016/02/28/new40.asp|title=Sri Lanka to join Trans-Pacific Partnership? |newspaper=Sunday Observer |access-date=22 April 2016|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160302164906/http://www.sundayobserver.lk/2016/02/28/new40.asp|archive-date=2 March 2016|df=dmy-all}} In the mid to late 2010s, Sri Lanka faced a danger of falling into economic malaise, with increasing debt levels and a political crisis which saw the country's debt rating being dropped.{{cite news|url=https://www.ft.com/content/5c9dade6-f767-11e8-af46-2022a0b02a6c |archive-url=https://ghostarchive.org/archive/20221210/https://www.ft.com/content/5c9dade6-f767-11e8-af46-2022a0b02a6c |archive-date=10 December 2022 |url-access=subscription |url-status=live|title=S&P, Fitch downgrade Sri Lanka's debt rating amid political crisis|website=Financial Times|date=4 December 2018 |language=en-GB|access-date=2018-12-22}}
In 2016 the government succeeded in lifting an EU ban on Sri Lankan fish products which resulted in fish exports to EU rising by 200% and in 2017 improving human rights conditions resulted in the European Commission proposing to restore GSP plus facility to Sri Lanka.{{cite news|url=http://www.dailymirror.lk/article/European-Commission-proposes-GSP-Plus-to-SL-122058.html|title=European Commission proposes GSP Plus to SL|access-date=12 January 2017}}{{cite news|url=http://www.dailymirror.lk/108463/EU-lifts-fish-ban-on-Sri-Lanka|title=EU lifts fish ban on Sri Lanka|access-date=12 January 2017}} Sri Lanka's tax revenues per GDP also increased from 10% in 2014, which was the lowest in nearly two decades to 12.3% in 2015.{{cite web|title=Tax revenue (% of GDP) Sri Lanka|url=https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/GC.TAX.TOTL.GD.ZS?locations=LK|publisher=The World Bank|access-date=8 November 2017}} Despite reforms, Sri Lanka was listed among countries with the highest risk for investors by Bloomberg.{{cite news|url=http://www.dailymirror.lk/article/Bloomberg-ranks-Sri-Lanka-among-highest-risk-countries-for-investors-122610.html|title=Bloomberg ranks Sri Lanka among highest risk countries for investors|access-date=24 September 2017}} Growth also further slowed to 3.3% in 2018 and 2.3% in 2019.{{cite web |url=http://www.statistics.gov.lk/NationalAccounts/StaticalInformation/Reports/ts_annual_constant |title= Annual Gross Value added at Constant Prices |publisher=Department of Census and Statistics Sri Lanka |website=statistics.gov.lk |access-date=4 December 2020}} The rupee fell from 131 to the US dollar to 182 from 2015 to 2019, inflating foreign debt and slowing domestic consumption ending a period of relative stability.{{cite news|url=https://www.reuters.com/article/sri-lanka-forex/sri-lankan-rupee-closes-near-record-low-idUSL4N1WB3AY |title= Sri Lankan rupee closes near record low |newspaper=Reuters|access-date=3 December 2020}} China became a top creditor to Sri Lanka over the last decade, overtaking Japan and the World Bank.{{cite news|url=https://economynext.com/china-overtakes-japan-world-bank-as-key-sri-lanka-creditor-71001/|title=China overtakes Japan, World Bank as key Sri Lanka creditor|newspaper=EconomyNext|access-date=4 December 2020}}
The main economic sectors of the country are tourism, tea export, apparel, textile, rice production and other agricultural products. In addition to these economic sectors, overseas employment contributes highly to foreign exchange.{{Cite web|title=What are the main contributing sectors of Sri Lankan economy?|url=https://lmd.lk/what-are-the-main-contributing-sectors-of-sri-lankas-economy/|access-date=2020-12-01|website=lmd.lk|date=8 September 2017 }}
File:Sri Lanka bonds.webp in the first half of 2022
{{legend-line|#FFBE29 solid 3px|15 year bonds}}
{{legend-line|#EB7400 solid 3px|10 year bonds}}
{{legend-line|#00534E solid 3px|5 year bonds}}
{{legend-line|#8D153A solid 3px|1 year bonds}}
{{legend-line|#000000 solid 3px|6 month bonds}}
]]
File:USD to Sri Lankan Rupee Exchange Rate.webp / Sri Lankan Rupee exchange rate.
In early March 2022, the Sri Lankan Rupee began losing value quickly.]]
As of the early 2020s, the debt-laden country is undergoing an economic crisis where locals are experiencing months of shortages of food, fuel and electricity. Inflation has peaked at 57% according to official data. In April 2022, Sri Lanka declared a sovereign default.{{cite web|website=EconomyNext|date=2022-04-12|title=Sri Lanka halts foreign debt repayments in 'pre-emptive negotiated default'|url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-halts-foreign-debt-repayments-in-pre-emptive-negotiated-default-92952/}} In June 2022, Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe declared in parliament the collapse of the Sri Lankan economy, leaving it unable to pay for essentials.{{Cite web |title=Sri Lanka's PM says its debt-laden economy has 'collapsed' |url=https://news.sky.com/story/sri-lankas-pm-says-its-debt-laden-economy-has-collapsed-12638329 |access-date=2022-06-22 |work=Sky News }}
Macroeconomic trends
The chart below summarizes the trend of Sri Lanka's gross domestic product at market prices{{cite web |url=http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2006/01/data/dbcselm.cfm?G=2001 |title=Edit/Review Countries |publisher=IMF |access-date=3 March 2015 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100611172746/http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2006/01/data/dbcselm.cfm?G=2001 |archive-date=11 June 2010 |df=dmy }} by the International Monetary Fund with figures in millions of Sri Lankan Rupees.
class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align: right;"
! Year | Gross Domestic Product | No. of Sri Lankan Rupees in $1 US |
1980 | 66,167 | 16.53 |
1985 | 162,375 | 27.20 |
1990 | 321,784 | 40.06 |
1995 | 667,772 | 51.25 |
2000 | 1,257,637 | 77.00 |
2005 | 2,363,669 | 100.52 |
2016 | 6,718,000 | 145.00 |
2020
|14,601,600 |189.00 |
For purchasing power parity comparisons, the US Dollar is exchanged at 113.4 Sri Lankan Rupees only.
The following table shows the main economic indicators from 1980 to 2020.{{Cite web|title=Sri Lanka {{!}} Data|url=https://data.worldbank.org/country/sri-lanka|access-date=2021-10-23|website=data.worldbank.org}}
class="wikitable sortable" " style="text-align: center;"
!rowspan=2|Year !colspan=2|GDP !colspan=2|GDP per capita !rowspan=2|GDP growth !rowspan=2|Inflation !rowspan=2|Government debt |
PPP
!Nominal !PPP !Nominal |
---|
1980
|16.58 |4.02||1,135 |267||5.8% ||26.1% ||78% |
1985
|27.43 |5.97||1,772 |369||5.0% ||1.5% || 95% |
1990
|37.74 |8.03||2,320 |463||6.2% ||21.5% ||82% |
1995
|56.28 |13.03||3,257 |714||6.1% ||7.7% ||80% |
2000
|83.03 |16.33||4,496 |869||8.4% ||6.2% ||82% |
2005
|112.59 |24.41||5,739 |1,248||6.2% ||11.0% ||79% |
2006
|124.94 |28.28||6,319 |1,435||7.7% ||10.0% ||77% |
2007
|136.99 |32.35||6,874 |1,630||6.8% ||15.8% ||74% |
2008
|147.99 |40.71||7,309 |2,037||6.0% ||9.6% ||71% |
2009
|154.39 |42.07||7,540 |2,090||3.5% ||3.4% ||75% |
2010
|168.80 |56.73||8,164 |2,799||8.0% ||6.3% ||72% |
2011
|186.76 |65.29||8,949 |3,200||8.4% ||6.7% ||71% |
2012
|207.60 |68.43||10,164 |3,350||9.1% ||7.5% ||70% |
2013
|218.11 |74.32||10,599 |3,610||3.4% ||6.9% ||72% |
2014
|233.01 |79.36||11,220 |3,819||5.0% ||2.8% ||72% |
2015
|247.37 |80.60||11,798 |3,843||5.0% ||2.2% ||78% |
2016
|261.72 |82.40||12,343 |3,886||4.5% ||4.0% ||80% |
2017
|274.72 |87.42||12,811 |4,076||3.1% ||6.5% ||79% |
2018
|285.37 |87.95 |13,169 |4,058 |3.8% |3.8% |84% |
2019
|297.01 |83.98 |13,622 |3,851 |4.1% |2.7% |87% |
2020
|289.88 |80.71 |13,225 |3,682 | -2.4% |3.4% |101% |
Trade statistics
= Largest trading partners with Sri Lanka =
class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right;"
!Rank !Country !Exports !Imports !Total Trade !Trade Balance |
1
| style="text-align:left;"|{{flagcountry|United States}} |2,560 |355 |2,915 |2,205 |
2
|{{flagcountry|United Kingdom}} |793 |167 |960 |626 |
3
|style="text-align:left;"|{{flagcountry|India}} |668 |3,220 |3,888 |−2,552 |
4
|style="text-align:left;"|{{flagcountry|Germany}} |651 |269 |978 |382 |
5
|style="text-align:left;"|{{flagcountry|Italy}} |432 |246 |678 |186 |
6
|style="text-align:left;"|{{flagcountry|Netherlands}} |305 |90.9 |395.9 |214.1 |
7
|style="text-align:left;"|{{flagcountry|Belgium}} |285 |37.7 |322.7 |247.3 |
8
|style="text-align:left;"|{{flagcountry|China}} |256 |3,820 |4,076 |−3,564 |
9
|style="text-align:left;"|{{flagcountry|Canada}} |225 |177 |402 |48 |
10
|style="text-align:left;"|{{flagcountry|Japan}} |200 |376 |576 |−176 |
=== Economy ===
= Sovereign Debt Crisis 2022 =
After two years of money printing and tax cuts made for fiscal and monetary stimulus, Sri Lanka declared a 'pre-emptive negotiated default' saying most foreign debt would not be repaid from April 12 {{cite news |title=Sri Lanka halts foreign debt repayments in 'pre-emptive negotiated default', with advance notice being given to creditors. |url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-halts-foreign-debt-repayments-in-pre-emptive-negotiated-default-92952/ |access-date=14 April 2022 |publisher=EconomyNext.com |date=12 April 2022}} Fitch Ratings downgraded Sri Lanka to 'C' from 'CC' and said the country would be further downgraded to restricted default (RD) once the first payment was missed.{{cite news |title=Fitch downgrades Sri Lanka to 'C', 'RD' after a payment missed |url=https://economynext.com/fitch-downgrades-sri-lanka-to-c-rd-after-a-payment-missed-93008/ |access-date=14 April 2022 |publisher=EconomyNext.com |date=14 April 2022}} Standard and Poor's downgraded the sovereign rating to 'CC' and said the country would be downgraded to selective default (SD) after a payment was missed.{{cite news |title=S&P downgrades Sri Lanka to CC, on track for selective default (SD) |url=https://economynext.com/sp-downgrades-sri-lanka-to-cc-on-track-for-selective-default-sd-92995/ |access-date=14 April 2022 |date=14 April 2022}}
= GDP growth 2021 and projections for 2022 =
2020: -4, 2021: 4, 2022(f) 3 IMF
Sri Lanka's economy could grow 3% in 2022, the International Monetary Fund has said while warning that risk were on the downside and the economy could implode with trade contractions and monetary instability money printing (central bank credit) continued.{{cite web |title=IMF Executive Board Concludes 2021 Article IV Consultation with Sri Lanka |url=https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2022/03/02/pr2254-sri-lanka-imf-executive-board-concludes-2021-article-iv-consultation-with-sri-lanka |website=imf.org |publisher=International Monetary Fund |access-date=17 April 2022}}{{cite news |title=Sri Lanka money printing, deficits could lead to economic implosion: IMF report |url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-money-printing-deficits-could-lead-to-economic-implosion-imf-report-91152/ |access-date=17 April 2022 |publisher=economynext.com |date=4 March 2022}} In 2021 Sri Lanka grew 4% amid though excessive central bank financing had led to balance of payments deficits and foreign exchange shortages.{{cite news |title=Sri Lanka GDP grows 3.7-pct in 2021, fourth quarter 1.8-pct |url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-gdp-grows-3-7-pct-in-2021-fourth-quarter-1-8-pct-92225/ |access-date=17 April 2022 |publisher=Economynext.om |date=29 March 2022}}{{cite news |title=Sri Lanka economy managed in 'alternative' way, critics on wrong track: CB Governor |url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-economy-managed-in-alternative-way-critics-on-wrong-track-cb-governor-78813/ |access-date=11 April 2021 |publisher=EconomyNext.com |date=12 February 2021}} Despite progress in managing Coronavirus, external debt remains a challenge amid concerns over money printing under Modern Monetary Theory independent economists had warned earlier.{{cite news |title=MMT, money printing and Keynes |url=http://www.ft.lk/columns/MMT--money-printing-and-Keynes/4-715798 |access-date=11 April 2021 |publisher=DailyFt |date=5 April 2021}} The central bank has said the economy is managed in an alternative way. The country's public and publicly guaranteed debt could rise to 115% in 2021 and poverty could worsen, the World Bank has warned.{{cite news |title=Sri Lanka GDP contracts 4-pct in 2020 amid Coronavirus, import substitution |url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-gdp-contracts-3-6-pct-in-2020-amid-coronavirus-import-substitution-79834/ |access-date=11 April 2021 |publisher=World Bank |date=2 April 2021}}
Sri Lanka's gross domestic product contracted 4% in 2020 due to the government response to the Coronavirus pandemic which was higher than the previous contraction reported in 2001, on top of several years of slow growth and depreciation of the currency. Sri Lanka was making a strong recovery after lockdowns ended in May 2020 but a new outbreak of Coronavirus slowed exports and industry.{{cite news|url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-2020-gdp-to-shrink-3-9-pct-monetary-policy-for-growth-in-2021-cb-governor-77505/|title= Sri Lanka 2020 GDP to shrink 4-pct, monetary policy for growth in 2021: CB Governor|newspaper=EconomyNext|access-date=5 January 2021}} The International Monetary Fund initially projected a 4.6-pct contraction for 2020.{{cite news|url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-gdp-growth-negative-4-6-pct-in-2020-bangladesh-among-fastest-to-grow-imf-74903/|title=Sri Lanka GDP growth negative 5-pct in 2020, Bangladesh among fastest to grow: IMF|newspaper=EconomyNext|access-date=21 November 2020}}
In the second quarter of 2020, Sri Lanka's GDP was estimated to have contracted by 16% the biggest quarterly fall on record and expanded by 2% in the third quarter. In the first nine months of the year, GDP was estimated to have contracted 5%.{{cite news|url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-2020-gdp-shrinks-16-3-pct-in-2q-in-covid-19-hit-grows-1-5-pct-in-3q-76931/|title=Sri Lanka 2020 GDP shrinks 16-pct in 2Q in Covid-19 hit, grows 2-pct in 3Q|newspaper=EconomyNext|access-date=16 December 2020}}
After growing 5.0% in 2015, growth fell to 4% in 2016, 4% in 2017, 3% in 2018 and 2% in 2019.{{cite web |url=https://www.cbsl.gov.lk/en/statistics/statistical-tables/real-sector/national-accounts |title= National Accounts - Gross Domestic Product |publisher=Central Bank of Sri Lanka |website=cbsl.gov.lk |access-date=3 December 2020}}
The economy suffered a series of shocks in the form of a currency crisis which brought an International Monetary Fund program in 2016, political instability in 2018 combined with a second currency crisis and suicide bombings by an Islamist extremist group on Easter Sunday 2019.{{cite news|url=https://www.reuters.com/article/us-imf-sri-lanka-idUSKCN0XQ063|title=IMF agrees $1.5 billion bailout for Sri Lanka to avert balance of payments crisis |newspaper=Reuters|access-date=3 December 2020}}{{cite news|url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-04-21/police-say-multiple-explosions-in-sri-lanka-s-capital-colombo|title=Sri Lanka Imposes Curfew After Easter Sunday Bombings Kill 207 |newspaper=Bloomberg|access-date=3 December 2020}}
=Fiscal Developments=
Budget deficit 2019: -6.8%/9.4%, 2020:11.1%/14%, 2021f: -9.4%
Sri Lanka is expecting a budget deficit of 9.4% of GDP in 2021 after the nominal output for the year was revised down following a Coronavirus pandemic in 2020.{{cite web |title=CBSL Annual Report Chapter 01 |url=https://www.cbsl.gov.lk/sites/default/files/cbslweb_documents/publications/annual_report/2020/en/5_Chapter_01.pdf |publisher=Central Bank of Sri Lanka |access-date=29 May 2021}} A budget submitted to parliament originally expected a deficit of 8.9% in 2021 with a Coronavirus pandemic slowing growth, compounded by tax cuts.{{cite news|url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-2021-budget-deficit-targeted-at-8-9-pct-of-gdp-76083/|title=Sri Lanka 2021 budget deficit targeted at 8.9-pct of GDP|newspaper=EconomyNext|access-date=9 January 2021}} Concerns were raised that the targets were too ambitious given Coronavirus pandemic uncertainties as well as global economic weakness with Fitch Ratings projecting a deficit of 11.5%.{{cite web |url=https://www.fitchratings.com/research/sovereigns/fitch-downgrades-sri-lanka-to-ccc-27-11-2020 |title= Fitch Downgrades Sri Lanka to 'CCC' |publisher=Fitch Ratings |website=fitchratings.com |access-date=9 January 2021}}
The Finance Ministry has countered saying a lower interest bill, a gradual recovery in 2021, and stronger foreign direct investments to the Port City will strengthen economic activity and state finances. The Treasury also hopes to borrow more domestically instead of from abroad.{{cite web |url=https://www.treasury.gov.lk/news/article/27112020 |title=Rating Action by Fitch Ratings based on Uncorroborated Facts sans due Consideration Given to Recent Economic and Policy Developments. |publisher=Ministry of Finance |website=treasury.gov.lk |access-date=9 December 2020 |archive-date=4 December 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201204065142/https://www.treasury.gov.lk/news/article/27112020 |url-status=dead }}
Sri Lanka's national debt has been gradually rising amid weak growth and policy gridlock. Following the steep rise in the deficit in 2020, central government debt rose to 101% of GDP. The debt to GDP ratio rose to 86.8% in 2019 from 77.9% in 2017.{{cite web |url=https://www.cbsl.gov.lk/sites/default/files/cbslweb_documents/publications/annual_report/2019/en/10_Chapter_06.pdf |title= CBSL 2019 Annual Report - Fiscal Policy and Government Finance |publisher=Central Bank of Sri Lanka |website=cbsl.gov.lk |access-date=30 December 2020}}
Budget deficit data controversy
Sri Lanka's Ministry of Finance in 2020 changed its cash-basis accounting convention and charged some payment arrears to the previous year, reporting an 11.1% of GDP deficit for 2020 and revising up the 6.8 deficit in 2019 to 9.6%. Sri Lanka's main opposition charged that it was accounting fraud since arrears are always charged to the year it was paid under the country's cash-basis accounting convention. The deficit that was financed in 2020 was 14.0% of GDP.{{cite news |title=Fiscal deficit 14% in 2020: Harsha |url=https://www.ft.lk/front-page/Fiscal-deficit-14-in-2020-Harsha/44-717280 |access-date=29 May 2021 |publisher=FT.lk |date=4 May 2021}} A Sri Lanka-based fact-checking portal, FactCheck.lk said the shift in numbers to 2019 "cannot be validated by an accounting standard."{{cite web |title=MP Harsha de Silva highlights national accounting fraud |url=http://factcheck.lk/claim/harsha-de-silva-6 |website=Factcheck.lk |publisher=Fact Check |access-date=29 May 2021 |archive-date=2 June 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210602212522/http://factcheck.lk/claim/harsha-de-silva-6 |url-status=dead }}
Credit rating and commercial borrowing
Sri Lanka applied for credit ratings from international agencies in its efforts to apply for loans from international markets in 2005 after the election of Mahinda Rajapakse as president. Standard and Poor's gave Sri Lanka a "B+" speculative rating, four levels below investment grade and Fitch "BB−", three grades below investment grade. Standard and Poor's maintained Sri Lanka was constrained by providing widespread subsidies, a bloated public sector, transfers to loss-making state enterprises, and high interest local and international burdens [https://web.archive.org/web/20070927004240/http://www.lankabusinessonline.com/fullstory.php?newsID=1370696445&no_view=1&SEARCH_TERM=1]. Standard and Poor's estimates public sector debt has reached 95% of GDP [https://web.archive.org/web/20070927004240/http://www.lankabusinessonline.com/fullstory.php?newsID=1370696445&no_view=1&SEARCH_TERM=1], in comparison to CIA estimates of 89% of GDP [https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/sri-lanka/]. Sri Lanka in mid-2007 sought to borrow $500 million from international markets to shore up the deteriorating exchange rate and reduce pressure on repayment of the domestic debt market [https://web.archive.org/web/20070927004240/http://www.lankabusinessonline.com/fullstory.php?newsID=1370696445&no_view=1&SEARCH_TERM=1]. The head of the opposition UNP, Ranil Wickremasinghe has warned that such intense borrowing is unsustainable and will not repay these loans if elected to power [http://www.sundaytimes.lk/070819/News/nws13.html].
Sri Lanka's credit rating was progressively downgraded following a series of currency crises and output shocks. In December 2018 Fitch downgraded Sri Lanka to 'B' {{cite web |url=https://www.fitchratings.com/research/sovereigns/fitch-downgrades-sri-lanka-to-b-outlook-stable-03-12-2018 |title= Fitch Ratings Commentary |publisher=Fitch Ratings |website=fitchratings.com |access-date=28 November 2020}} and in April 2020 to 'B−' amid a global Coronavirus pandemic.{{cite web |title=Fitch downgrades Sri Lanka to B- |url=https://www.fitchratings.com/research/sovereigns/fitch-downgrades-sri-lanka-to-b-outlook-negative-24-04-2020 |website=fitchratings.com |publisher=Fitch Ratings |access-date=17 April 2022}}
Moody's downgraded Sri Lanka to Caa1 in September 2020,{{cite news|url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-sovereign-rating-downgraded-two-notches-to-caa1-by-moodys-74239/|title=Sri Lanka sovereign rating downgraded two notches to Caa1 by Moody's|newspaper=EconomyNext|access-date=28 November 2020}} which was disputed by the Finance Ministry.{{cite news|url=https://island.lk/moodys-downgrade-unwarranted-erroneous-suggesting-reckless-reaction/|title=Moody's downgrade 'unwarranted, erroneous suggesting reckless reaction'|newspaper=The Island|access-date=28 November 2020}} In November 2020, Fitch Ratings also downgraded Sri Lanka to CCC citing fiscal and external concerns.{{cite web |url=https://www.fitchratings.com/research/sovereigns/fitch-downgrades-sri-lanka-to-ccc-27-11-2020|title= Fitch Ratings Commentary |publisher=Fitch Ratings |website=fitchratings.com |access-date=28 November 2020}} In December 2020, Standard and Poor's followed, downgrading to 'CCC+', citing high fiscal deficits and excessive domestic liquidity, which was also protested by the Finance Ministry.{{cite news|url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-says-sp-downgrade-to-ccc-ignores-policy-framework-76810/|title= Sri Lanka says S&P downgrade to 'CCC' ignores policy framework|newspaper=EconomyNext.com|access-date=13 December 2020}}
Investments
Sri Lanka's investment-to-GDP ratio is around 31%, made up of about 24% private and 5% public investment. The private savings rate is about 24% and the government is a net dis-saver leaving a domestic savings investment gap of around 7% of GDP. In 2019 investment fell to 27.4% of GDP from 30.4% a year earlier with the domestic savings rate also falling to 21.3% of GDP from 23%.{{cite web |url=https://www.cbsl.gov.lk/sites/default/files/cbslweb_documents/publications/annual_report/2019/en/6_Chapter_02.pdf |title= CBSL 2019 Annual Report - National Output Income and Expenditure |publisher=Central Bank of Sri Lanka |website=cbsl.gov.lk |access-date=9 January 2021}} Sri Lanka's savings rate is undermined by government dis-saving (the revenue deficit), which rose from 1.2 to 2.7% in 2019.
There are attempts to improve Sri Lanka's "Ease of Doing Business index' (Sri Lanka stood at 111 for 2018 down from 85th in 2014) and the overall tariff structure. In 1992, Sri Lanka's exports were on par with countries like Vietnam and Bangladesh (at US$2bn), which has only grown to US$12bn by the end of 2017 compared to Vietnam's US$214bn and Bangladesh's US$36bn for 2017.
= Inflation in 2021 =
Colombo Consumer price inflation 2020 : 4.2% April 2021 : 3.9%
Inflation in Sri Lanka measured by the Colombo Consumer Price Index grew 6.0% in the 12-months to August 2021 picking up from 5.7 percent in July.{{cite news |title=Sri Lanka inflation at 3.9-pct in April 2021 |url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-inflation-rises-to-6-0-pct-in-august-2021-85647/ |access-date=9 September 2021 |publisher=EconomyNext |date=1 September 2021}} Inflation was 4.2% in the year to December 2020. In 2019 inflation was 4.8 percent.{{cite news|url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-inflation-reaches-4-2-pct-in-2020-december-77434/|title=Sri Lanka inflation reaches 4.2-pct in 2020 December|newspaper=EconomyNext|access-date=2 January 2021}}
The Department of Census Statistics also compiles a National Consumer Price Index which is released with a delay. Inflation measured by the NCPI increased to 6.8% in July 2021 from 6.1% in June 2021, higher than the central bank's target rate{{cite news |title=Sri Lanka's national inflation rises to 6.8 percent in July 2021 |url=http://www.colombopage.com/archive_21B/Aug23_1629734971CH.php |access-date=10 September 2021 |publisher=ColomboPage.com |date=23 August 2021}}
Sri Lanka's central bank is targeting inflation at 4-6 per cent in 2021, though the policy will be loose to promote growth. "The Central Bank is of the view that continued support through monetary and fiscal interventions is essential to provide adequate impetus to the economy amidst the challenging domestic and global macroeconomic conditions," Governor W D Lakshman said in January 2021. "Therefore, the Central Bank will continue the prevailing accommodative monetary policy stance in 2021 to ensure the envisaged recovery of economic activity. The Central Bank will continue to remain vigilant but is confident that inflation will remain within the targeted range of 4-6 per cent over the medium-term.{{cite news |title=Sri Lanka 2020 GDP to shrink 3.9-pct, monetary policy for growth in 2021: CB Governor |url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-2020-gdp-to-shrink-3-9-pct-monetary-policy-for-growth-in-2021-cb-governor-77505/ |access-date=10 September 2021 |publisher=Economynext.com |date=4 January 2021}} But after worsening balance of payments trouble and inflation, rates were hiked in August and the statutory reserve ratio was also raised.{{cite news |title=Sri Lanka central bank raises overnight policy rate 50bp, SRR 200bp as forex reserves run low |url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-central-bank-raises-overnight-policy-rate-50bp-srr-200bp-as-forex-reserves-run-low-85171/ |access-date=10 September 2021 |date=9 August 2021}}
Sri Lanka used a 'flexible inflation targeting' framework for monetary policy at least until 2019. In 2020 growth took a priority, Governor Lakshman has said as efforts are made to boost output amid a COVID-19 pandemic.{{cite news|url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-policy-to-target-growth-with-inflation-well-behaved-cb-governor-76322/|title= Sri Lanka policy to target growth with inflation 'well-behaved': CB Governor|newspaper=EconomyNext.com|access-date=3 December 2020}} Sri Lanka suffered a US$3.2bn balance of payments deficit in 2020 amid monetary easing.{{cite web |title=External Sector Performance - December 2020 |url=https://www.cbsl.gov.lk/sites/default/files/cbslweb_documents/press/pr/press_20210212_external_sector_performance_2020_december_e.pdf |website=www.cbsl.gov.lk |publisher=Central Bank of Sri Lanka |access-date=9 March 2021}}
= Interest rates – 1 year T bill market rate by June 2019 =
==12 Month T bill to be at 10% by 30 June 2019==
The CBSL has reduced its T bill holding significantly from April 2017 to date reversing any monetary stimulated inflationary actions. Thus the resultant liquidity levels in the money market broadly reflect natural market conditions compared to the market that was there a year ago, which reflected more realistic banking sector interest rates as of June 2018. Private sector credit growth declined from high levels of 29% YoY in July 2016 to 15% YoY levels in 1Q2018.
Given the changes taking place in the private credit space (i.e. the retail tilt), and provided the CBSL's recent policy rate cut in April 2018, credit growth may still continue to move either horizontally (i.e. at a 15% level) or continue to reduce slightly given anticipated near term inflationary pressures, as the consumption-led borrowings may also tend to decline on account of the anticipated reduction in near term disposable income. This will however not add any excessive upward pressures on interest rates (including 12-month T bill yields), especially during 2H2018E. As a result, 12-month Treasury bill yields may slightly decline from its June 2018 --> 9.4% to 9% levels by the end of 2018E. However, given the International Sovereign Bond (ISB) bullet payments >US$3bn p.a. commencing from 2019E may likely add some upward pressure on interest rates, resulting in the 12-month T bill yields rising to at least 10% by 30 June 2019.
External sector
= Trade account issues =
In the recent past, the Sri Lankan Government has identified some key focal areas to address the external imbalances of the economy, especially with regard to reducing its high trade deficit (≈15% of GDP for 2012) in order to make the economy comply with the Marshall–Lerner condition. Sri Lanka's oil import bill accounts for an estimated 27% of total imports while its pro-growth policies have resulted in an investment goods import component of 24% of total imports. These inelastic import components have led to Sri Lanka's Export goods price elasticity + Import goods price elasticity totalling less than 1, resulting in the country not complying with the Marshall–Lerner condition.
Some of the suggested proposals include:
- Import substitution of investment goods and consumer goods
- Tax concessions towards value-added exports
- Negotiating longer credit periods for oil imports
- Allowing the external value of the currency to be determined by market forces (with minimal central bank intervention)
= Capital account =
- Within the capital account, borrowings still account for a significant proportion as opposed to Foreign direct investments
- FDIs were estimated at ~US$800mn for FY2012
= Overall balance (BOP) =
- The economy ended with an overall positive balance of US$151mn for 2012 (vs. a US$1,061mn deficit in FY2011){{Cite web |title=Central Bank of Sri Lanka: Roadmap 2013 |url=http://www.cbsl.gov.lk/roadmap/RM2013.pdf |url-status=live |access-date=2022-06-29 |website=Wayback Machine|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130123204139/http://www.cbsl.gov.lk/roadmap/RM2013.pdf |archive-date=23 January 2013 }}
Financial institutions
File:Central Bank of Sri Lanka Building.jpg{{See also|Central Bank of Sri Lanka|Colombo Stock Exchange}}The Central Bank of Sri Lanka is the monetary authority of Sri Lanka and was established in 1950. The Central Bank is responsible for the conduct of monetary policy in the country and also has supervisory powers over the financial system.{{cite web|url=http://www.cbsl.gov.lk/|title=Official Web site of Central Bank, Sri Lanka}}
The Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) is the main stock exchange in Sri Lanka. It is one of the most modern exchanges in South Asia, providing a fully automated trading platform. The vision of the CSE is to contribute to the wealth of the nation by creating value through securities. The headquarters of the CSE has been located at the World Trade Center Towers [http://www.wtc.lk] in Colombo since 1995 and it also has branches across the country in Kandy, Matara, Kurunegala, Negombo and Jaffna.{{cite web|url=http://www.cse.lk|title=Official Web site of Colombo Stock Exchange}} In 2009, after the 30 years-long civil war came to an end, the CSE was the best performing stock exchange in the world.
Economic infrastructure and resources
= Transportation and roads =
{{Main|Transport in Sri Lanka}}
[[File:Elevated section of the CKE.jpg|thumb|280x280px|
]]
Most Sri Lankan cities and towns are connected by the Sri Lanka Railways, the state-run railway operator. The Sri Lanka Transport Board is the state-run agency responsible for operating public bus services across the island.
The government has launched several highway projects to bolster the economy and national transport system, including the Colombo-Katunayake Expressway, the Colombo-Kandy (Kadugannawa) Expressway, the Colombo-Padeniya Expressway and the Outer Circular Highway to ease Colombo's traffic congestion. The government-sponsored Road Development Authority (RDA) has been involved in several large-scale projects all over the island in an attempt to improve the road network in Sri Lanka. Sri Lanka's commercial and economic centres, primarily the capitals of the nine provinces are connected by the "A-Grade" roads which are categorically organised and marked. Furthermore, "B-Grade" roads, also paved and marked, connect district capitals within provinces. The grand total of A, B and E grade roads are estimated at 12,379.49 km.{{Cite web|url=http://www.rda.gov.lk/source/rda_roads.htm |title=Class A, B & E Roads |publisher=Road Development Authority |access-date=27 April 2016 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160428015938/http://www.rda.gov.lk/source/rda_roads.htm |archive-date=28 April 2016 |df=dmy }}
= Energy =
{{main|Energy in Sri Lanka}}
The energy policy is governed by the Ministry of Power and Energy, while the production and retailing of electricity is carried out by the Ceylon Electricity Board. Policy recommendations and planning come under the oversight of the Public Utilities Commission of Sri Lanka. Energy in Sri Lanka is mostly generated by hydroelectric power stations in the Central Province.{{cite web|url=http://www.gefweb.org/COUNCIL/council7/wp/srilanka.htm|title=Sri Lanka: Renewable Energy and Capacity Building |publisher=Global Environment Facility|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080510152631/http://www.gefweb.org/COUNCIL/council7/wp/srilanka.htm|archive-date=10 May 2008|df=dmy-all}}{{cite book|url=http://www.adb.org/documents/evaluation-paper-power-sector-sri-lanka|title=Power Sector Assistance Evaluation|date=August 2007|publisher=Asian Development Bank}}
= Skilled Labour =
Sri Lanka has a well-established education system that has successfully created a vast supply of skilled labour. Sri Lanka's population has a literacy rate of 92%, higher than that expected for a developing country; it has the highest literacy rate in South Asia and overall, one of the highest literacy rates in Asia.{{cite web|url=http://www.mohe.gov.lk/index.php/about-ministry/overview|title=Overview of Education in Sri Lanka|publisher=Ministry of Higher Education}} Information technology literacy of the urban sector population is also satisfactory at 39.9 per cent and people around the country use web-based job boards to find skilled employment together with other sources such as newspapers and government gazette. In Sri Lanka, all persons above the age limit of 15 years and above of either gender are identified as the working-age population.{{cite web|url=http://www.statistics.gov.lk/samplesurvey/Explanatory%20notes-2013.pdf|title=Explanatory Notes: Sri Lanka Labor Force Survey|publisher=Department of Census and Statistics}} In the fourth quarter of 2017, Sri Lanka had an unemployment rate of 4.2 percent{{cite web|url=https://www.cbsl.gov.lk/en/sri-lanka-economy-snapshot|title=Sri Lanka Economy Snapshot|publisher=Central Bank of Sri Lanka}} and is shown to reduce gradually over the years.
Economic sectors
= Tourism =
File:Unawatuna.jpg Beach]]
{{main|Tourism in Sri Lanka}}
Tourism is one of the main industries in Sri Lanka. Major tourist attractions are focused around the island's famous beaches located in the southern and the eastern parts of the country and ancient heritage sites located in the interior of the country and resorts located in the mountainous regions of the country.[http://www.iht.com/articles/2005/07/06/bloomberg/sxlanka.php Sri Lanka tourism revives slowly], International Herald Tribune{{cite news|url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport2/hi/cricket/sri_v_eng_2003/travel_guide/default.stm|title=Sri Lanka tour guide|publisher=BBC Sport |access-date=3 June 2008 | date=21 November 2003}} Also, due to precious stones such as rubies and sapphires being frequently found and mined in Ratnapura and its surrounding areas, they are a major tourist attraction.{{cite news|url =http://science.nationalgeographic.com/science/enlarge/gem-mining.html|archive-url =https://web.archive.org/web/20071213023053/http://science.nationalgeographic.com/science/enlarge/gem-mining.html|url-status =dead|archive-date =13 December 2007| title =Gem Mining|publisher = National Geographic Society|date = 16 January 2008}}
The 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami{{cite news|url=http://edition.cnn.com/2005/TRAVEL/01/06/tsunami.travel/|title=Tsunami region seeks tourism boost|publisher=CNN|date=6 January 2005}} and the past civil war have reduced the tourist arrivals, as a civil war intensified.{{cite news|url=https://fr.reuters.com/article/idINIndia-30614920071121|title=Sri Lanka tourism earnings hit by war worries - official|newspaper=Reuters|access-date=10 December 2020}} {{dead link|date=July 2021|bot=medic}}{{cbignore|bot=medic}} Foreign visitors fell from 566,202 in 2004 during a ceasefire with Tamil Tiger separatists to 447,890 by the end of the war in 2009. From then arrivals grew rapidly to 2,333,796 in 2019. The 2019 Easter Sunday bombings reduced arrivals to 1,913,702 though authorities acted quickly to round up the group and travel advisories were relaxed by key generating markets such as the UK as early as June 2019.{{cite web|url=https://www.sltda.gov.lk/storage/common_media/Tourism%20Growth%20Trends%201971%20_%202019736772868.pdf|title=Tourism Growth Trends 1971 to 2019|publisher=Sri Lanka Tourism Development Authority|website=sltda.gov.lk|access-date=9 December 2020|archive-date=22 September 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200922112357/https://sltda.gov.lk/storage/common_media/Tourism%20Growth%20Trends%201971%20_%202019736772868.pdf|url-status=dead}}{{cite news|url=https://economynext.com/uk-relaxes-travel-advisory-to-sri-lanka-14327/|title= UK relaxes travel advisory to Sri Lanka |newspaper=EconomyNext|access-date=10 December 2020}} Lonely Planet named Sri Lanka the best destination to visit in 2019 and Travel+Leisure the best island.
The COVID-19 pandemic dealt a major blow to the industry after airports were closed in March 2020. Tourism revenues were estimated to have fallen to US$956mn in 2020 from US$3.6bn in 2019 hurting over 300,000 said to be connected to the industry.{{cite web |title=Earnings from Tourism (2009 January to Latest) |url=https://www.cbsl.gov.lk/sites/default/files/cbslweb_documents/statistics/sheets/table2.14.1_20201231_e.xlsx |website=cbsl.gov.lk |publisher=Central Bank of Sri Lanka |access-date=6 March 2021}} The government has announced a number relief measures including a debt moratorium, which were then extended.{{cite web |url=https://srilanka.travel/covid19/|title= Updated on Covid-19 |publisher=Sri Lanka Tourism Development Authority |website=sltda.gov.lk |access-date=9 December 2020}}{{cite news|url=https://www.dailynews.lk/2020/11/03/local/232835/relief-package-tourism-sector-continue |title= Relief package for the tourism sector to continue|newspaper=Daily News (Sri Lanka) |access-date=10 December 2020}} In 2020 arrivals fell 70 percent to 507,704 from 1,913,702 in 2019, with almost all arrivals coming before airports closed in March.{{cite web |title=Sri Lanka Tourism Arrivals Report December |url=https://www.sltda.gov.lk/storage/common_media/Arrivals%20Report%20December%20%20-%2020203418234776.pdf |website=www.sltda.gov.lk |publisher=Sri Lanka Tourism Development Authority |access-date=6 March 2021}} In December 2020, under what was called a 'pilot project' 393 package tourists came to Sri Lanka on a charter flights from Ukraine. On January 21 tourism resumed officially allowing independent travellers to also come subject to a series of health rules and Coronavirus tests.{{cite news |title=Sri Lanka expects tourists from Germany, Dubai as airports re-open |url=https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-expects-tourists-from-germany-dubai-as-airports-re-open-78081/ |access-date=6 March 2021 |publisher=EconomyNext |date=21 January 2021}}
= Tea industry =
File:Sri Lanka-Tea plantation-02.jpg
{{main|Tea industry of Sri Lanka}}
The tea industry, operating under the Ministry of Public Estate Management and Development, is one of the main industries in Sri Lanka. It became the world's leading exporter in 1995 with a 23% share of global tea export, higher than Kenya's 22% share. The central highlands of the country have a low-temperature climate throughout the year and annual rainfall and humidity levels that are suitable for growing tea. The industry was introduced to the country in 1867 by James Taylor, a British planter who arrived in 1852.{{cite web|url=http://www.american.edu/ted/ceylon-tea.htm|title=TED Case Studies – Ceylon Tea|publisher=American University |location=Washington, D.C.}}
Recently, Sri Lanka has become one of the countries exporting fair trade tea to the UK and other countries. It is believed that such projects could reduce rural poverty.{{cite web|url=http://www.steenbergs.co.uk/content.php?pageid=23|title=Steenbergs Organic Fairtrade Pepper and Spice|publisher=steenbergs.co.uk|access-date=23 March 2018|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080209162003/http://www.steenbergs.co.uk/content.php?pageid=23|archive-date=9 February 2008|df=dmy-all}}{{cite web |url=http://www.fairtrade.org.uk/fc-sum98.htm |title=Fairtrade | Publications | Fair Comment | Summer 1998 |access-date=31 May 2005 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20050428145632/http://www.fairtrade.org.uk/fc-sum98.htm |archive-date=28 April 2005 |df=dmy-all }}
= Apparel and textile industry =
{{main|Apparel industry of Sri Lanka}}
The apparel industry of Sri Lanka mainly exports to the United States and Europe.{{Cite journal|last=Ekanayake|first=Nishani|date=2016|title=Determinants of External Demand for Textiles and Garments of Sri Lanka|journal=Staff Studies|volume=43|issue=1–2|pages=85–104|doi=10.4038/ss.v43i1-2.4691|doi-access=free}} There are about 900 factories throughout country serving companies such as Victoria's Secret, Liz Claiborne and Tommy Hilfiger.{{cite news|url=http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/1916847.stm|title=Sri Lanka seeks US free trade|work=BBC News|date=8 April 2002 | access-date=3 January 2010}} Textiles & Apparels, as categorized and reported by the Sri Lanka Export Development Board, made up to around 44% of Sri Lankan merchandise exports, in the year 2017.{{Cite web|url=https://www.i-advertise.net/blog/what-products-is-sri-lanka-famous-for/|title=What products is Sri Lanka famous for?|date=18 December 2018|website=i-Advertise.net|language=en-GB|access-date=2018-12-26|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181226133649/https://www.i-advertise.net/blog/what-products-is-sri-lanka-famous-for/|archive-date=26 December 2018|url-status=dead}}
= Agriculture =
{{Main|Agriculture in Sri Lanka|Livestock in Sri Lanka}}
The agricultural sector of the country produces mainly rice, coconut and grain, largely for domestic consumption and occasionally for export. The tea industry which has existed since 1867 is not usually regarded as part of the agricultural sector, which is mainly focused on export rather than domestic use in the country.{{cite web|url=http://www.country-studies.com/sri-lanka/agriculture.html|title=Sri Lanka – Agriculture|publisher=CountryStudies.com}}
Sri Lanka's agricultural and agri-allied manufacturing is likely affected by climate variations. There was a flood in May 2018 followed by floods in May 2016 and May 2017.
== Transition to biological agriculture ==
In June 2021, Sri Lanka started the first 100% organic farming or biological agriculture program and imposed a countrywide ban on inorganic fertilizers and pesticides. The program was welcomed by its advisor Vandana Shiva,{{Cite web|date=2021-06-16|title=Sri Lanka's shift towards organic farming|url=https://navdanyainternational.org/sri-lankas-shift-towards-organic-farming/|access-date=2021-09-05|website=Navdanya international|language=en-US}} but ignored critical voices from scientific and farming community who warned about possible collapse of farming,{{Cite web |last=Wijesekara |first=Asanka |date=25 May 2021 |title=Opinion {{!}} The ban on chemical fertilizer and the way forward of Sri Lankan Tea Industry |url=https://agrigateglobal.com/reads/opinion/opinion-the-ban-on-chemical-fertilizer-and-the-way-forward-of-sri-lankan-tea-industry/ |access-date=2021-09-05 |website=Agrigate Global |language=en-US |quote=By diverting the attention of policymakers towards pointless nonscientific arguments instead of promoting such integrated management systems and high technological fertilizer production, will be only a time-wasting effort and meanwhile, the global demand for Ceylon Tea will generate diminishing returns. At present, there are about 500,000 direct beneficiaries from the tea industry and about 600 factories are operating around the country. In general, the livelihood of around 3 million people is directly and indirectly woven around the domestic tea industry. The researchers and the experienced growers have predicted that a 50 per cent reduction in the yield has to be anticipated with the ban on chemical fertilizer. The negative implication of this yield reduction is such that there is a risk of collapsing the banking sector which is centralized around the tea industry in the major tea growing areas including Ratnapura, Galle, Matara, Kaluthara, and Kegalle.}}{{Cite web |last=Wickramatunga |first=Wicky |date=11 May 2021 |title=Opinion {{!}} Inorganic Fertilizer and Agrochemicals Ban in Sri Lanka and Fallacies of Organic Agriculture |url=https://agrigateglobal.com/reads/opinion/inorganic-fertilizer-and-agrochemicals-ban-in-sri-lanka-and-fallacies-of-organic-agriculture/ |access-date=2021-09-05 |website=Agrigate Global |language=en-US}}{{Cite web|date=2021-06-08|title=Sri Lanka Going Organic: Rethink the strategy; Agriculturists Write to President {{!}} The Sri Lankan Scientist|url=https://scientist.lk/2021/06/08/sri-lanka-going-organic-rethink-the-strategy-agriculturists-write-to-president/|access-date=2021-09-05|language=en-US}}{{Cite web |last=Jayasundara |first=Hiran B. |date=2021-06-30 |title=Organic Farming In Sri Lanka – Ideology Of Hitler & Sri Lankan Agri "Cults" |url=https://www.colombotelegraph.com/index.php/organic-farming-in-sri-lanka-ideology-of-hitler-sri-lankan-agri-cults/ |access-date=2021-09-05 |website=Colombo Telegraph |language=en-US}}{{Cite web |last=Durham |first=Tim |date=2021-06-25 |title=Sri Lanka's organic push threatens to backpedal ag progress |url=https://www.agdaily.com/insights/perspective-sri-lankas-organic-push-threatens-to-backpedal-ag/ |access-date=2021-09-05 |website=Agdaily |language=en-US}} including financial crisis due to devaluation of national currency pivoted around tea industry. In the autumn of 2021 Sri Lanka experienced a massive drop in farming output by up to 50% and food shortages. The situation in the tea industry was described as critical, with farming under the organic program being described as 10x more expensive and producing half of the yield by the farmers.{{Cite web|title=Organic food revolution in Sri Lanka threatens its tea industry|url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/9/1/organic-food-revolution-sri-lanka-tea-industry|access-date=2021-09-05|website=www.aljazeera.com|language=en}} In September 2021 the government announced "economic emergency", as the situation was further aggravated by falling national currency exchange rate, inflation rising as result of high food prices, and pandemic restrictions in tourism which further decreased country's income.{{Cite news|date=2021-09-01|title=Covid: Sri Lanka in economic emergency as food prices soar|language=en-GB|work=BBC News|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/business-58390292|access-date=2021-09-05}}{{cite web | first=Samyak | last=Pandey | title=How Sri Lanka's overnight flip to total organic farming has led to an economic disaster | website=ThePrint | date=5 September 2021 | url=https://theprint.in/world/how-sri-lankas-overnight-flip-to-total-organic-farming-has-led-to-an-economic-disaster/728414/ | access-date=6 September 2021}}{{cite web | last=Perumal | first=Prashanth | title=Explained - What caused the Sri Lankan economic crisis? | website=The Hindu | date=6 September 2021 | url=https://www.thehindu.com/business/explained-what-caused-the-sri-lankan-economic-crisis/article36314148.ece | access-date=6 September 2021}}{{cite web | last=Jayasinghe | first=Amal | title=Sri Lanka organic revolution threatens tea disaster | website=Phys.org | date=1 September 2021 | url=https://phys.org/news/2021-09-sri-lanka-revolution-threatens-tea.html | access-date=6 September 2021}} The government cancelled some of these measures, but importing urea remains banned.{{cite web | title=Sri Lanka walks back fertiliser ban over political fallout fears | website=France 24 | date=5 August 2021 | url=https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20210805-sri-lanka-walks-back-fertiliser-ban-over-political-fallout-fears | access-date=6 September 2021}} Sri Lanka is seeking to introduce peacetime rationing of essential goods.
In mid-October 2021 the ban was largely lifted "until the island was able to produce enough organic fertiliser".{{Cite web|date=2021-10-19|title=Sri Lanka reverses organic farming drive as tea suffers|url=https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20211019-sri-lanka-reverses-organic-farming-drive-as-tea-suffers|access-date=2021-10-19|website=France 24|language=en}} In November 2021, Sri Lanka abandoned its plan to become the world's first organic farming nation following rising food prices and weeks of protests against the plan.{{Cite news|last=Watt|first=Louise|date=2021-11-21|title=Sri Lanka abandons drive to become world's first organic country amid spiralling food prices|language=en-GB|work=The Daily Telegraph|url=https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2021/11/21/sri-lanka-abandons-drive-become-worlds-first-organic-country/|access-date=2022-01-18|issn=0307-1235}} As of December 2021, the damage to the agricultural production was already done, with prices having risen substantially for vegetables in Sri Lanka, and time needed to recover from the crisis. The ban on fertilizer has been lifted for certain crops, but the price of urea has risen internationally due to the price for oil and gas.{{cite web|last1=Wipulasena|first1=Aanya|last2=Mashal|first2=Mujib|date=7 December 2021|title=Sri Lanka's Plunge Into Organic Farming Brings Disaster|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/07/world/asia/sri-lanka-organic-farming-fertilizer.html|access-date=19 January 2022|website=The New York Times}} Jeevika Weerahewa, a senior lecturer at the University of Peradeniya, predicted that the ban would reduce the paddy harvest in 2022 by an unprecedented 50%.{{Cite news|last1=Wallen|first1=Joe|last2=Hewage|first2=Nishantha|date=2022-01-31|title=Sri Lankan families go hungry as cost of food skyrockets|language=en-GB|work=The Daily Telegraph|url=https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/climate-and-people/sri-lankan-families-go-hungry-cost-food-skyrockets/|url-status=live|access-date=2022-02-01|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220201045654/https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/climate-and-people/sri-lankan-families-go-hungry-cost-food-skyrockets/|archive-date=1 February 2022|issn=0307-1235}}
= IT industry =
{{Main|Information Technology in Sri Lanka}}
The export revenue from the Sri Lankan IT sector was US$1,089 million in 2019.{{cite web|title=SRI LANKA'S EXPORT PERFORMANCE 2019|url=https://www.srilankabusiness.com/ebooks/export-performance-2019.pdf}}
= Mining =
{{Main|Gems of Sri Lanka}}
Sri Lanka is known for producing a variety of gemstones, including chrysoberyl, corundum, garnet, ruby, spinel, and tourmaline, and is the leading producer of the Ceylon Blue sapphire. Ceylon sapphires are among the most desirable in the gemstone market and can regularly fetch thousands per carat. Contrary to popular belief Ceylon produces sapphires of all colours,{{Cite web |title=Sapphires and its Variety of Colours {{!}} Ceylons Munich |url=https://www.ceylons.de/sapphires-in-all-colours-of-a-rainbow |access-date=2024-01-01 |website=www.ceylons.de |language=en}} including padparascha types, though blue is the most desirable and yields the highest prices. Some of the world's largest sapphires, such as the Logan Sapphire and Blue Belle of Asia, have come from Sri Lanka.
The best-known areas for gemstone mining in Sri Lanka were Balangoda, Elahera, Kamburupitiya, Moneragala, Okkampitiya, and Ratnapura. In addition, Sri Lanka has a variety of industrial minerals, which include ball clay, kaolin, and other clays, calcite, dolomite, feldspar, graphite, limestone, Ilmenite, mica, rutile mineral sands, phosphate rock, quartz, zircon, dolomite and silica sand. Pulmoddai beach sand deposit is the most important non-ferrous mineral reserve in Sri Lanka as well as one of the world's most richest mineral sand deposits with heavy mineral concentrates of 50% to 60% and contains many minerals including titanium.{{Cite web|url=https://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/country/2014/myb3-2014-ce.pdf|title=2014 Minerals Yearbook- Sri Lanka |publisher=United States Geological Survey Mineral Resources Program}}{{Cite web|url=https://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/country/2011/myb3-2011-ce.pdf|title=2011 Minerals Yearbook- Sri Lanka|publisher=USGS }}{{Cite news |url=http://www.srilankabusiness.com/ceramic-and-porcelain/industrial-minerals-in-sri-lanka.html|title=Industrial Mineral Resources in Sri Lanka{{!}}Manufacturing of Industrial Minerals|publisher=Sri Lanka Business |access-date=6 May 2018}}
Sri Lanka is famous, especially for its highly valued and high-purity vein graphite. As of 2014, graphite was produced at the two largest graphite mines in Sri Lanka, the Bogala and the Kahatagaha Mines. Major investors in graphite mining are Graphite Lanka Ltd., Bogala Graphite Lanka Plc, Bora Bora Resources Ltd. (BBR) of Australia, MRL Corp. Ltd. of Australia, and Saint Jean Carbon Inc. of Canada.{{Cite web|url=https://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/country/2013/myb3-2013-ce.pdf|title=2013 Minerals Yearbook- Sri Lanka|publisher=USGS }}
Major companies
Sri Lanka has developed several multi-national companies and international brands. The most notable conglomerate include Cargills, John Keells Holdings, Hayleys, LOLC Holdings, and Carson Cumberbatch. The largest apparel companies are MAS Holdings and Brandix. While LAUGFS Holdings is a notable company in the energy sector. A well-known hospitality conglomerate is Aitken Spence. Dilmah is a well-known tea brand. While consumer goods brands include Ceylon Tobacco Company, Elephant House, DCSL, CBL, and Maliban.
Global economic relations
Exports to the United States, Sri Lanka's most important market, were valued at $1.8 billion in 2002, or 38% of total exports. For many years, the United States has been Sri Lanka's largest market for garments, receiving more than 63% of the country's total garment exports. India is Sri Lanka's largest supplier, with imports worth $835 million in 2002. Japan, traditionally Sri Lanka's largest supplier, was its fourth-largest in 2002 with exports of $355 million. Other important suppliers include Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan, and South Korea. The United States is the 10th-largest supplier to Sri Lanka; US imports amounted to $218 million in 2002, according to Central Bank trade data.
A new port is being built in Hambantota in Southern Sri Lanka, funded by the Chinese government as a part of the Chinese aid to Sri Lanka. This will ease the congestion in Sri Lankan ports, particularly in Colombo. In 2009, 4456 ships visited Sri Lankan ports.
=Trade agreements=
class="wikitable" style="margin:auto;"
|+FTA (Free Trade Agreements) !Under negotiation |
* FTA with India
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= Foreign assistance =
Sri Lanka is highly dependent on foreign assistance, and several high-profile assistance projects were launched in 2003. The most significant of these resulted from an aid conference in Tokyo in June 2003; pledges at the summit, which included representatives from the International Monetary Fund, World Bank, Asian Development Bank, Japan, the European Union and the United States, totalled $4.5 billion.
= Debt and IMF assistance =
During the years before 2016, the country's debt soared as it was developing its infrastructure to the point of near bankruptcy which required a bailout from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). "Without an IMF loan, Sri Lanka would have been in a precarious position" in May 2016, according to Krystal Tan, an Asia economist at Capital Economics, who added, "foreign exchange reserves only covered around 80 per cent of short-term external debt."{{Cite news |url=https://www.cnbc.com/2016/05/02/why-sri-lankas-economic-outlook-is-looking-less-rosy.html |title=Why Sri Lanka's economic outlook is looking less rosy |last=Shaffer |first=Leslie|date=2 May 2016 |publisher=CNBC |access-date=14 January 2017 |quote=While the government is aiming to raise its low revenue collection, partly through an increase in the value-added tax rate ... the country has a spotty record on tax collection.}} The IMF had agreed to provide a $1.5 billion bailout loan in April 2016 after Sri Lanka provided a set of criteria intended to improve its economy.
By the fourth quarter of 2016, the debt was estimated to be $64.9 billion. Additional debt had been incurred in the past by state-owned organizations and this was said to be at least $9.5 billion. Since early 2015, domestic debt has increased by 12 per cent and external debt by 25 per cent.{{cite magazine |url=https://www.forbes.com/sites/wadeshepard/2016/09/30/sri-lankas-debt-crisis-is-so-bad-the-government-doesnt-even-know-how-much-money-it-owes/ |title=Sri Lanka's Debt Crisis Is So Bad The Government Doesn't Even Know How Much Money It Owes |last=Shepard |first=Wade |date=30 September 2016 |magazine=Forbes |access-date=14 January 2017 |quote='We still don't know the exact total debt number,' Sri Lanka's prime minister admitted to parliament earlier this month.}}
In late 2016 the World Bank provided US$100 million in financing and the Japan International Cooperation Agency provided a US$100M loan, both intended to "provide budget financing and to support reforms in competitiveness, transparency, public sector and fiscal management", according to the World Bank. The bank also reported that the country's government had agreed that there was a need for reforms "in the areas of fiscal operations, competitiveness and governance" and if fully implemented, "these could help the country reach Upper Middle-Income status in the medium term" according to the bank.{{cite web |url=http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/feature/2016/10/27/sri-lanka-development-update |title=Sri Lanka Development Update |author= |date=27 October 2016 |publisher=The World Bank |access-date=14 January 2017 |quote=The report emphasizes the importance of adhering to the revenue-led fiscal consolidation path to create fiscal space for increased investment in human and physical capital and the provision of other public goods to sustain growth in the medium term. It also highlights the need for structural reforms to improve competitiveness and governance.}}
In November 2016, the International Monetary Fund reported that it would disburse a higher amount than the US$150 million originally planned, a full US$162.6 million (SDR 119.894 million), to Sri Lanka. The agency's evaluation was cautiously optimistic about the future: "While inflation has abated, credit growth remains strong. The central bank indicates its readiness to tighten the monetary policy stance further if inflationary pressures resurge or credit growth persists. The authorities intend to continue building up reserves through outright purchases while allowing for greater exchange rate flexibility. The banking sector is currently well-capitalized. Steps are being taken to find a resolution mechanism for distressed financial institutions. Going forward, there is a need to strengthen the supervisory and regulatory framework, and identify and mitigate vulnerabilities in the financial sector, particularly with regard to non-banks and state-owned banks."{{cite web |url=https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2016/11/18/PR16515-Sri-Lanka-IMF-Completes-First-Review-of-the-Extended-Arrangement-Under-the-EFF |title=IMF Completes First Review of the Extended Arrangement Under the EFF with Sri Lanka and Approves US$162.6 Million Disbursement |author= |date=18 November 2016 |publisher=IMF |access-date=14 January 2017 |quote=[IMF] completed the first review of Sri Lanka's economic performance under the program supported by a three-year extended arrangement under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) arrangement.}}
As part of the debt management program, the Sri Lankan government carried out several reforms which included the implementation of a new Inland Revenue Act as well as an automatic fuel pricing formula. Tax reforms also increased VAT rates and narrowed exemptions and the third review by the IMF noted that performance was on track regarding fiscal consolidation, revenue mobilization, monetary policy management, and reserves accumulation. In the fourth review in June 2018, the IMF claimed that "Sri Lanka has made important progress under its Fund-supported program", but stressed the need for further progress with revenue-based fiscal consolidation and a prudent monetary policy with sustained efforts to build up international reserves. In 2018 China extended a loan of $1.25 billion consisting of a below-market-rate syndicated loan and smaller Panda bond to bail out Sri Lanka.{{Cite web|url=https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/CR/Issues/2018/01/12/Sri-Lanka-Third-Review-under-the-Extended-Arrangement-under-the-Extended-Fund-Facility-and-45541|title=Sri Lanka : Third Review under the Extended Arrangement under the Extended Fund Facility and Request for Modification of Performance Criterion-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Sri Lanka|website=IMF|language=en|access-date=2018-08-05}}{{Cite news|url=https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2018/06/01/pr18212-sri-lanka-imf-executive-board-concludes-2018-article-iv-consultation|title=IMF Executive Board Concludes 2018 Article IV Consultation and Completes Fourth Review under the Extended Arrangement Under the Extended Fund Facility with Sri Lanka, Approving US$ 252 Million Disbursement|work=IMF|access-date=2018-08-05|language=en}}{{Cite web|url=https://economynext.com/China_on_track_to_bail_out_Sri_Lanka_with_US$1.25bn_in_2018-3-11431.html|title=China on track to bail out Sri Lanka with US$1.25bn in 2018|website=economynext.com|language=en|access-date=2018-08-05|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180805112826/https://economynext.com/China_on_track_to_bail_out_Sri_Lanka_with_US$1.25bn_in_2018-3-11431.html|archive-date=5 August 2018|url-status=dead}}
In 2021, Bangladesh agreed to give Sri Lanka loans of at least $200 million from the foreign exchange reserves under a currency swap deal. The currency swap initiative was taken after Sri Lankan Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa’s visit to Bangladesh to attend the joint celebrations of the golden jubilee of Bangladesh's independence and the birth centenary of Bangabandhu.{{Citation needed|date=January 2022}} In December 2021, Sri Lanka announced that it would pay off a $251 million oil debt to Iran by sending $5 million worth of Ceylon tea every month.{{Cite news|date=2021-12-22|title=Sri Lanka plans to pay off Iran oil debt with tea|language=en-GB|work=BBC News|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/business-59753873|access-date=2022-01-22}}{{Cite news|last=Ashworth|first=Louis|date=2021-12-22|title=Sri Lanka sends Ceylon tea to pay $250m Iranian oil bill|language=en-GB|work=The Daily Telegraph|url=https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2021/12/22/sri-lanka-sends-ceylon-tea-pay-250m-iranian-oil-bill/|access-date=2022-01-22|issn=0307-1235}} A strong and credible structural reform program is critical to avoid a prolonged crisis and address the (above) root causes of the current economic difficulties.{{Cite web |title=Economic reforms critical for Sri Lanka's recovery and sustainability-World Bank Country Director |url=https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/statement/2023/05/10/economic-reforms-critical-for-sri-lanka-s-recovery-and-sustainability-world-bank-country-director |access-date=2023-06-09 |website=World Bank |language=en}} As the country struggled, locked in the throes of the crisis, India extended multi-pronged assistance of about USD 4 billion in 2022 through multiple credit lines and currency support, in line with India's 'Neighborhood First' policy.[https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/india/you-saved-us-and-prevented-bloodbath-says-sri-lankas-speaker-abeywardena-thanks-india-for-help-during-financial-crisis/articleshow/101593953.cms?from=mdr]
See also
{{portal-inline|Sri Lanka}}
References
{{Reflist|30em}}
External links
- [https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/sri-lanka/ CIA Factbook]
{{Economy of Sri Lanka}}
{{SAFTA}}
{{Asia in topic|Economy of}}
{{DEFAULTSORT:Economy of Sri Lanka}}