financial risk management#Banking

{{Short description|Practice of protecting economic value in a firm by managing exposure to financial risk}}

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{{Financial risk types}}

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Institutions

Certifications

Financial risk management is the practice of protecting economic value in a firm by managing exposure to financial risk - principally credit risk and market risk, with more specific variants as listed aside - as well as some aspects of operational risk. As for risk management more generally, financial risk management requires identifying the sources of risk, measuring these, and crafting plans to mitigate them.{{Cite book |last=Peter F. Christoffersen |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=YkcMBGYbRasC |title=Elements of Financial Risk Management |date=22 November 2011 |publisher=Academic Press |isbn=978-0-12-374448-7}}[https://www.gartner.com/en/finance/glossary/financial-risk-management Financial Risk Management], Finance Glossary. Gartnergartner.com See {{slink|Finance|Risk management}} for an overview.

Financial risk management as a "science" can be said to have been bornW. Kenton (2021). [https://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/harrymarkowitz.asp "Harry Markowitz"], investopedia.com with modern portfolio theory, particularly as initiated by Professor Harry Markowitz in 1952 with his article, "Portfolio Selection";{{cite journal|last=Markowitz|first=H.M.|date=March 1952|title=Portfolio Selection|journal=The Journal of Finance|volume=7|issue=1|pages=77–91|doi=10.2307/2975974|jstor=2975974}} see {{slink|Mathematical finance|Risk and portfolio management: the P world}}.

The discipline can be qualitative and quantitative; as a specialization of risk management, however, financial risk management focuses more on when and how to hedge, often using financial instruments to manage costly exposures to risk.{{Cite book |last=Allan M. Malz |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=rFX2f6AxH1QC |title=Financial Risk Management: Models, History, and Institutions |date=13 September 2011 |publisher=John Wiley & Sons |isbn=978-1-118-02291-7}}

  • In the banking sector worldwide, the Basel Accords are generally adopted by internationally active banks for tracking, reporting and exposing operational, credit and market risks.Van Deventer, Nicole L, Donald R., and Kenji Imai. Credit risk models and the Basel Accords. Singapore: John Wiley & Sons (Asia), 2003.Drumond, Ines. "Bank capital requirements, business cycle fluctuations and the Basel Accords: a synthesis." Journal of Economic Surveys 23.5 (2009): 798-830.
  • Within non-financial corporates,John Hampton (2011). The AMA Handbook of Financial Risk Management. American Management Association. {{ISBN|978-0814417447}} the scope is broadened to overlap enterprise risk management, and financial risk management then addresses risks to the firm's overall strategic objectives.
  • Insurers manage their own risks with a focus on solvency and the ability to pay claims. For expected claims, reserves are set aside periodically, while to absorb unexpected losses, a minimum level of capital is maintained.
  • In investment management risk is managed through diversification and related optimization; while further specific techniques are then applied to the portfolio or to individual stocks as appropriate.

In all cases, the last "line of defence" against risk is capital, "as it ensures that a firm can continue as a going concern even if substantial and unexpected losses are incurred".

Economic perspective

Neoclassical finance theory prescribes that (1) a firm should take on a project only if it increases shareholder value.See for example, [http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/AppldCF/other/Image2.gif "Corporate Finance: First Principles"], in Aswath Damodaran (2014). Applied Corporate Finance. Wiley. {{ISBN|978-1118808931}} Further, the theory suggests that (2) firm managers cannot create value for shareholders or investors by taking on projects that shareholders could do for themselves at the same cost; see Theory of the firm and Fisher separation theorem.

Given these, there is therefore a fundamental debate relating to "Risk Management" and shareholder value.See § "Does Corporate Risk Management Create Value?" in [https://corpfin.ivo-welch.info/read/source5.mba/13-npvadvice.pdf Capital Budgeting Applications and Pitfalls]. Ch 13 of Ivo Welch (2022). Corporate Finance, 5 Ed. IAW Publishers. {{ISBN|978-0984004904}}Jonathan Lewellen (2003). [http://ocw.mit.edu/courses/sloan-school-of-management/15-414-financial-management-summer-2003/lecture-notes/lec19_options.pdf Financial Management - Risk Management]. MIT OCW[https://saylordotorg.github.io/text_risk-management-for-enterprises-and-individuals/s07-07-why-corporations-hedge.html Why Corporations Hedge]; Ch 3.7 in Baranoff et. al. The discussion essentially weighs the value of risk management in a market versus the cost of bankruptcy in that market: per the Modigliani and Miller framework, hedging is irrelevant since diversified shareholders are assumed to not care about firm-specific risks, whereas, on the other hand hedging is seen to create value in that it reduces the probability of financial distress.

When applied to financial risk management, this implies that firm managers should not hedge risks that investors can hedge for themselves at the same cost. This notion is captured in the so-called "hedging irrelevance proposition":{{Cite book |last1=KRISHNAMURTI CHANDRASEKHAR |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=BNFX-gh6LlAC&pg=PA178 |title=Advanced Corporate Finance |last2=Krishnamurti & Viswanath (eds.) " |last3=Vishwanath S. R. |date=2010-01-30 |publisher=PHI Learning Pvt. Ltd. |isbn=978-81-203-3611-7 |pages=178–}} "In a perfect market, the firm cannot create value by hedging a risk when the price of bearing that risk within the firm is the same as the price of bearing it outside of the firm."

In practice, however, financial markets are not likely to be perfect markets.{{Cite book |last=John J. Hampton |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=3NsJAQAAMAAJ |title=Modern Financial Theory: Perfect and Imperfect Markets |publisher=Reston Publishing Company |year=1982 |isbn=978-0-8359-4553-0}}{{Cite book |last=Zahirul Hoque |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=-Wh0PQv0iYUC&pg=PA201 |title=Handbook of Cost and Management Accounting |publisher=Spiramus Press Ltd |year=2005 |isbn=978-1-904905-01-1 |pages=201–}}{{Cite book |last=Kirt C. Butler |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=ymRYTqoOkrYC&pg=PT37 |title=Multinational Finance: Evaluating Opportunities, Costs, and Risks of Operations |date=28 August 2012 |publisher=John Wiley & Sons |isbn=978-1-118-28276-2 |pages=37–}}{{Cite book |last=Dietmar Franzen |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=xHwQBwAAQBAJ&pg=PA7 |title=Design of Master Agreements for OTC Derivatives |date=6 December 2012 |publisher=Springer Science & Business Media |isbn=978-3-642-56932-6 |pages=7–}} This suggests that firm managers likely have many opportunities to create value for shareholders using financial risk management, wherein they are able to determine which risks are cheaper for the firm to manage than for shareholders. Here, market risks that result in unique risks for the firm are commonly the best candidates for financial risk management.{{Cite book |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=8Q6kvC8YenwC&pg=PA32 |title=Corporate Finance: Part I |publisher=Bookboon |isbn=978-87-7681-568-4 |pages=32–}}

Application

As outlined, businesses are exposed, in the main, to market, credit and operational risk. A broad distinction exists though, between financial institutions and non-financial firms - and correspondingly, the application of risk management will differ. Respectively:

For Banks and Fund Managers, "credit and market risks are taken intentionally with the objective of earning returns, while operational risks are a byproduct to be controlled".

For non-financial firms, the priorities are reversed, as "the focus is on the risks associated with the business" - ie the production and marketing of the services and products in which expertise is held - and their impact on revenue, costs and cash flow, "while market and credit risks are usually of secondary importance as they are a byproduct of the main business agenda".

(See related discussion re valuing financial services firms as compared to other firms.)

In all cases, as above, risk capital is the last "line of defence".

=Banking=

{{further|Bank#Capital and risk|Shadow banking system#Risks or vulnerability}}

Banks and other wholesale institutions face various financial risks in conducting their business, and how well these risks are managed and understood is a key driverOffice of the Comptroller of the Currency (2019). Comptroller's Handbook: [https://www.occ.gov/publications-and-resources/publications/comptrollers-handbook/files/corporate-risk-governance/pub-ch-corporate-risk.pdf "Corporate and Risk Governance"]

behind profitability, as well as of the quantum of capital they are required to hold.Fadi Zaher (2022). [https://www.investopedia.com/articles/economics/08/economic-capital.asp Using Economic Capital to Determine Risk], investopedia.

Financial risk management in banking has thus grown markedly in importance since the Financial crisis of 2007–2008.[https://www.institutionalinvestor.com/article/b1505qj433jnpj/the-rise-of-the-chief-risk-officer The Rise of the Chief Risk Officer], Institutional Investor (March 2017).

(This has given rise to dedicated degrees and professional certifications.)

The broad distinction between Investment Banks, on the one hand, and Commercial and Retail Banks on the other, carries through to the management of risk at these institutions.

Investment Banks profit from (proprietary) trading, and earn fees from structuring and deal making; the latter includes listing securities so as to raise funding in the capital markets (and supporting these thereafter), as well as directly providing debt-funding for major corporate "projects".

The major focus for risk managers here is therefore on market and credit risk.

Commercial and Retail Banks, as deposit taking institutions, profit from the spread between deposit and loan rates.

The focus of risk management is then on loan defaults from individuals or businesses, and on having enough liquid assets to meet withdrawal demands; market risk concerns, mainly, the impact of interest rate changes on net interest margins.

All banks will focus also on operational risk, impacting here (at least) through regulatory capital;

(large) banks are also exposed to Macroeconomic systematic risk - risks related to the aggregate economy the bank is operating in{{cite journal |last1=Bolt |first1=Wilko |first2=Leo de |last2=Haan |first3=Marco |last3=Hoeberichts |first4=Maarten van |last4=Oordt |first5=Job |last5=Swank |title=Bank Profitability during Recessions |journal=Journal of Banking & Finance |date=September 2012 |volume=36 |issue=9 |pages=2552–64 |doi=10.1016/j.jbankfin.2012.05.011 |url=https://www.dnb.nl/binaries/Working%20paper%20251_tcm46-236504.pdf |access-date=2022-03-22 |archive-date=2020-10-03 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201003081538/https://www.dnb.nl/binaries/Working%20paper%20251_tcm46-236504.pdf |url-status=dead }}

(see Too big to fail).

==Investment banking==

File:VaR diagram.JPG]]

{{Specific Banking Frameworks Sidebar}}

{{further|Investment banking#Risk management}}

{{see also|Derivative (finance)#Risks|Interest rate swap#Risks|Option (finance)#Risks|Value at risk#VaR risk management|Corporate bond#Risk analysis}}

For investment banks - as outlined - the major focus is on credit and market risk.

Credit risk is inherent in the business of banking, but additionally, these institutions are exposed to counterparty credit risk. Both are to some extent offset by margining and collateral; and the management is of the net-position.

The disciplineMartin Haugh (2016). [http://www.columbia.edu/~mh2078/QRM/BasicConceptsTechniques.pdf "Basic Concepts and Techniques of Risk Management"]. Columbia UniversityRoy E. DeMeo (N.D.) [https://mathfinance.charlotte.edu/sites/mathfinance.charlotte.edu/files/media/An%20Introduction%20to%20Value%20At%20Risk%20New.pdf "Quantitative Risk Management: VaR and Others"]. UNC Charlotte

is, as discussed, simultaneously concerned with

(i) managing, and as necessary hedging, the various positions held by the institution - both trading positions and long term exposures;

and

(ii) calculating and monitoring the resultant economic capital, as well as the regulatory capital under Basel III — which, importantly, covers also leverage and liquidity — with regulatory capital as a floor.

Correspondingly, and broadly, the analytics are based as follows:

For (i) on the "Greeks", the sensitivity of the price of a derivative to a change in its underlying factors; as well as on the various other measures of sensitivity, such as DV01 for the sensitivity of a bond or swap to interest rates, and CS01 or JTD for exposure to credit spread.

For (ii) on value at risk, or "VaR", an estimate of how much the investment or area in question might lose with a given probability in a set time period, with the bank holding "economic"- or "risk capital" correspondingly; common parameters are 99% and 95% worst-case losses - i.e. 1% and 5% - and one day and two week (10 day) horizons.{{cite book|first=Neil|last=Pearson|title=Risk Budgeting: Portfolio Problem Solving with Value-at-Risk|publisher=John Wiley & Sons|year=2002|isbn=978-0-471-40556-6}}

These calculations are mathematically sophisticated, and within the domain of quantitative finance.

The regulatory capital quantum is calculated via specified formulae: risk weighting the exposures per highly standardized asset-categorizations, applying the aside frameworks, and the resultant capital — at least 12.9%Steven Nickolas (2023). [https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/043015/what-difference-between-tier-1-capital-and-tier-2-capital.asp "Tier 1 Capital vs. Tier 2 Capital"], Investopedia of these Risk-weighted assets (RWA) — must then be held in specific "tiers" and is measured correspondingly via the various capital ratios.

In certain cases, banks are allowed to use their own estimated risk parameters here; these "internal ratings-based models" typically result in less required capital, but at the same time are subject to strict minimum conditions and disclosure requirements.

As mentioned, additional to the capital covering RWA, the aggregate balance sheet will require capital for leverage and liquidity; this is monitored via the LR, LCR, and NSFR ratios.

The financial crisis exposed holes in the mechanisms used for hedging

(see {{slink|Fundamental Review of the Trading Book#Background}}, {{slink|Tail risk|Role of the 2007–2008 financial crisis}}, {{slink|Value at risk|Criticism}}, and {{slink|Basel III#Criticism}}).

As such, the methodologies employed have had to evolve, both from a modelling point of view, and in parallel, from a regulatory point of view.

Regarding the modelling, changes corresponding to the above are:

(i) For the daily direct analysis of the positions at the desk level, as a standard, measurement of the Greeks now inheres the volatility surface — through local- or stochastic volatility models — while re interest rates, discounting and analytics are under a "multi-curve framework". Derivative pricing now embeds considerations re counterparty risk and funding risk, amongst others, through the CVA and XVA "valuation adjustments"; these also carry regulatory capital.

(ii) For Value at Risk, the traditional parametric and "Historical" approaches, are now supplemented{{Cite book|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=Rr_6y9evvowC&q=financial+crisis+2008+credit+risk+management|title=Credit Risk Management In and Out of the Financial Crisis: New Approaches to Value at Risk and Other Paradigms|last1=Saunders|first1=Anthony|last2=Allen|first2=Linda|publisher=John Wiley & Sons|year=2010|isbn=978-0-470-62236-0|location=Hoboken, NJ|language=en}} with the more sophisticated Conditional value at risk / expected shortfall, Tail value at risk, and Extreme value theory. For the underlying mathematics, these may utilize mixture models, PCA, volatility clustering, copulas, and other techniques.See for example III.A.3, in Carol Alexander, ed. (January 2005). The Professional Risk Managers' Handbook. PRMIA Publications. {{ISBN|978-0976609704}}

Extensions to VaR include Margin-, Liquidity-, Earnings- and Cash flow at risk, as well as Liquidity-adjusted VaR.

For both (i) and (ii), model risk is addressedRiccardo Rebonato (N.D.). [http://www.quarchome.org/ModelRisk.pdf Theory and Practice of Model Risk Management]. through regular validation of the models used by the bank's various divisions; for VaR models, backtesting is especially employed.

Regulatory changes, are also twofold.

The first change, entails an increased emphasisTroy Segal (2021). [https://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/bank-stress-test.asp "What Is a Bank Stress Test? How It Works, Benefits, and Criticism"], Investopedia on bank stress tests.Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (2009). [https://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs155.pdf "Principles for sound stress testing practices and supervision"]

These tests, essentially a simulation of the balance sheet for a given scenario, are typically linked to the macroeconomics, and provide an indicator of how sensitive the bank is to changes in economic conditions, whether it is sufficiently capitalized, and of its ability to respond to market events.

The second set of changes, sometimes called "Basel IV", entails the modification of several regulatory capital standards (CRR III is the EU implementation). In particular FRTB addresses market risk, and SA-CCR addresses counterparty risk;

other modifications are being phased in from 2023.

To operationalize the above, Investment banks, particularly, employ dedicated "Risk Groups", i.e. Middle Office teams monitoring the firm's risk-exposure to, and the profitability and structure of, its various business units, products, asset classes, desks, and / or geographies.

By increasing order of aggregation:

  1. Financial institutions will setBank for International Settlements (2019). [https://www.bis.org/basel_framework/chapter/MAR/12.htm MAR12 - Definition of trading desk]Open Risk Manual (2021). [https://www.openriskmanual.org/wiki/Risk_Limit "Risk Limit"] limit values for each of the Greeks, or other sensitivities, that their traders must not exceed, and traders will then hedge, offset, or reduce periodically if not daily; see the techniques listed below. These limits are set given a rangeBank for International Settlements (2001). [https://www.bis.org/publ/bcbsca09.pdf Principles for the Management and Supervision of Interest Rate Risk] of plausible changes in prices and rates, coupled with the board-specified risk appetiteOpen Risk Manual (2021). [https://www.openriskmanual.org/wiki/Limit_framework "Limit framework"] re overnight-losses.Staff (2023). [https://fastercapital.com/content/Risk-Management--Mitigating-Overnight-Position-Volatility.html#Understanding-Overnight-Position-Volatility "Mitigating Overnight Position Volatility"]. fastercapital.com
  2. Desks, or areas, will similarly be limited as to their VaR quantum (total or incremental, and under various calculation regimes), corresponding to their allocated economic capital; a loss which exceeds the VaR threshold is termed a "VaR breach". RWA - with other regulatory results - is correspondingly monitored from desk level and upward.
  3. Each area's (or desk's) concentration risk will be checkedBasel Committee on Banking Supervision (1999). [https://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs63.pdf "Risk Concentrations Principles"]International Association of Credit Portfolio Managers (2022). [http://iacpm.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/IACPM-Risk-Mitigation-Techniques-White-Paper.pdf "Risk mitigation techniques in credit portfolio management"]{{cite web|url=https://www.mfsa.com.mt%2Fpages%2Freadfile.aspx%3Ff%3D%2Ffiles%2FLegislationRegulation%2Fregulation%2Fbanking%2FcreditInstitutions%2Frules%2FBR_12_14%2FAnnex%25202G%2520-%2520Principles%2520for%2520the%2520Management%2520of%2520Concentration%2520Risk.pdf|title=Principles for the Management of Concentration Risk|publisher=Malta Financial Services Authority|year=2010}} against thresholds set for various types of risk, and / or re a single counterparty, sector or geography.
  4. Leverage will be monitored, at very least re regulatory requirements via LR, the Leverage Ratio, as leveraged positions could lose large amounts for a relatively small move in the price of the underlying.
  5. Relatedly,PwC (2016). [https://www.icmagroup.org/assets/documents/Events/test/20%20-%20ICMA%20Presentation%20-%20Liquidity%20&%20Leverage_v1.pdf An overview of the LCR, NSFR and LR] liquidity risk is monitored: LCR, the Liquidity Coverage Ratio, measures the ability of the bank to survive a short-term stress, covering its total net cash outflows over the next 30 days with "high quality liquid assets"; NSFR, the Net Stable Funding Ratio, assesses its ability to finance assets and commitments within a year (addressing also, maturity transformation risk). Any "gaps", also, must be managed.Bank for International Settlements (2016). [https://www.bis.org/bcbs/publ/d368.pdf Interest rate risk in the banking book]
  6. Systemically Important Banks hold additional capital such that their total loss absorbency capacity, TLAC, is sufficientBank for International Settlements (2017). [https://www.bis.org/fsi/fsisummaries/tlac.pdf TLAC – Executive Summary] given both RWA and leverage. (See also "MREL""Minimum Requirement for own funds and Eligible Liabilities"; see [https://wiki.treasurers.org/wiki/MREL MREL], treasurers.org for EU institutions.)

Periodically,Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (2009). [https://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs152.pdf "Range of practices and issues in economic capital frameworks"]

these all are estimated under a given stress scenario — regulatory and,KPMG (2016).[https://assets.kpmg.com/content/dam/kpmg/xx/pdf/2016/11/stress-testing-a-benchmarking-analysis-of-systemically-important-financial-institutions.pdf "Stress testing - A benchmark analysis of systemically important financial institutions"]

often, internal

and risk capital, together with these limits if indicated,Financial Stability Board (2013). [https://www.fsb.org/wp-content/uploads/r_131118.pdf "Principles for An Effective Risk Appetite Framework"] is correspondingly revisited (or optimizedKPMG (2017). [https://assets.kpmg.com/content/dam/kpmg/uk/pdf/2017/07/balance_sheet_optimisation.pdf "Balance sheet optimisation:the returns dilemma for banks"]).

The approaches taken center either on a hypothetical or historical scenario,

and may apply increasingly sophisticated mathematicsLi Ong (2014). [https://www.elibrary.imf.org/display/book/9781484368589/9781484368589.xml "A Guide to IMF Stress Testing Methods and Models"], International Monetary Fund to the analysis.

More generally, these tests provide estimates for scenarios beyond the VaR thresholds, thus “preparing for anything that might happen, rather than worrying about precise likelihoods".David Aldous (2016). [https://www.stat.berkeley.edu/~aldous/Blog/Aldous-2016-Wilmott.pdf Review of Financial Risk Management... for Dummies]

A reverse stress test, in fact, starts from the point at which "the institution can be considered as failing or likely to fail... and then explores scenarios and circumstances that might cause this to occur".[https://wiki.treasurers.org/wiki/Reverse_stress_test Reverse stress test], Association of Corporate Treasurers

A key practice,Michel Crouhy (2006). [https://web.archive.org/web/20100331084924/https://www.nccr-finrisk.uzh.ch/media/pdf/conferences/presentation_Crouhy.pdf "Risk Management, Capital Attribution and Performance Measurement"] incorporating and assimilating the above, is to assess the Risk-adjusted return on capital, RAROC, of each area (or product). Here,J Skoglund (2010). [https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2070688 "Funds Transfer Pricing and Risk Adjusted Performance Measurement"]. SAS Institute. "economic profit" is divided by allocated-capital; and this result is then compared to the target-return for the area — usually, at least the equity holders' expected returns on the bank stock — and identified under-performance can then be addressed. (See similar below re. DuPont analysis.)

The numerator, risk-adjusted return, is realized trading-return less a term and risk appropriate funding cost as charged by Treasury to the business-unit under the bank's funds transfer pricing (FTP) framework;Wolters Kluwer (2021).

[https://www.wolterskluwer.com/en/expert-insights/enhancing-fund-transfer-pricing-systems-at-a-time-when-they-are-needed-most "Enhancing fund transfer pricing systems"]

direct costs are (sometimes) also subtracted.

The denominator is the area's allocated capital, as above, increasing as a function of position risk;Karen Moss (2018). [https://www.moodysanalytics.com/articles/2018/funds-transfer-pricing-in-banks "Funds-transfer-pricing in Banks: what are the main drivers?"]. Moodys AnalyticsJames Chen (2021). [https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/raroc.asp "Risk-Adjusted Return on Capital (RAROC) Explained & Formula"], Investopedia several allocation techniques exist.Guo, Qiheng, Daniel Bauer, and George H. Zanjani. 2021. [https://variancejournal.org/article/29684-capital-allocation-techniques-review-and-comparison "Capital Allocation Techniques: Review and Comparison."] Variance 14 (2).

RAROC is calculated both ex post as discussed, used for performance evaluation (and related bonus calculations),

and ex ante - i.e. expected return less expected loss - to decide whether a particular business unit should be expanded or contracted.See "Economic Capital and RAROC", Chapter 28 in Hull, John (2023).

Other teams, overlapping the above Groups, are then also involved in risk management.

Corporate Treasury is responsible for monitoring overall funding and capital structure; it shares responsibility for monitoring liquidity risk, and for maintaining the FTP framework.

Middle Office maintains the following functions also:

Product Control is primarily responsible for insuring traders mark their books to fair value — a key protection against rogue traders — and for "explaining" the daily P&L; with the "unexplained" component, of particular interest to risk managers.

Credit Risk monitors the bank's debt-clients on an ongoing basis, re both exposure and performance.

In the Front Office - since counterparty and funding-risks span assets, products, and desks - specialized XVA-desks are tasked with centrally monitoring and managing overall CVA and XVA exposure and capital, typically with oversight from the appropriate Group.International Association of Credit Portfolio Managers (2018). [http://iacpm.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/IACPM-Fintegral-Making-the-Most-of-XVA-2018-White-Paper.pdf "The Evolution of XVA Desk Management"]

"Stress Testing" may similarly be centralized.

Performing the above tasks — while simultaneously ensuring that computations are consistentMichael Gibson (1997). [https://www.bis.org/publ/ecsc07f.pdf "Information systems for risk management"]. Federal Reserve Board over the various areas, products, teams, and measures — requires that banks maintain a significant investmentSee e.g. [https://www.value-at-risk.net/build-vs-buy/ "Build vs Buy"] in Holton, G. (2013). Value-at-Risk: Theory and Practice, Second Edition in sophisticated infrastructure, finance / risk software, and dedicated staff. Risk software often deployed is from FIS, Kamakura, Murex, Numerix (FINCAD) and Refinitiv.

Large institutions may prefer systems developed entirely "in house"

- notablySarah Butcher (2017). [https://www.efinancialcareers.com/news/2017/03/secdb-quartz-athena-analytics "The $bn struggle to replicate Goldman Sachs' special powers"], efinancialcareers.com Goldman Sachs ("SecDB"), JP Morgan ("Athena"), Jane Street, Barclays ("BARX"), BofA ("Quartz") -

while, more commonly, the pricing library will be developed internally, especially as this allows for currency re new products or market features.

==Commercial and retail banking==

File:Risk in Banking.jpg for retail and commercial banks]]

{{also|Bank failure}}

{{more|Financial institution#Regulation|Volcker Rule}}

Commercial and retail banksDr Andros Gregoriou (N.D.) [https://www.economicsnetwork.ac.uk/sites/default/files/Kent%20Matthews/lecture%2011%20Commercial%20Bank%20Risk%20Management.pdf Commercial Bank Risk Management]Amalendu Ghosh (2012). "Managing Risks in Commercial and Retail Banking". Wiley. {{ISBN|9781118103531}}Faster Capital (2024). [https://fastercapital.com/content/Risk-Management--Risk-Management-Rundown--Retail-vs--Commercial-Banking-Risk-Profiles.html Retail vs: Commercial Banking Risk Profiles]Hong Kong Institute of Bankers (2023).

[https://bankinggps.hkib.org/major-roles-in-banking/risk-management/ Risk Management]

are, by nature, more conservative than Investment banks, earning steady income from lending and deposits; their focus is more on the "banking book" than the "trading book".

The biggest concern here - as mentioned - is the credit risk due to loan defaults from individuals or businesses. Liquidity risk, in this context not having enough liquid assets to meet withdrawal demands, is also a major focus; while interest rate risk concerns the impact of interest rate changes on net interest margins (the spread between deposit and loan rates).

For these banks, regulatory oversight is often tighter due to their direct impact on the financial system. Thus they are also highly regulated under Basel III and national banking laws, and will also be subject to regular stress testing by central banks; and all regulations above then apply (with local exceptions; e.g. an LCR "threshold" in the US{{Cite web|title=Changes to Applicability Thresholds for Regulatory Capital and Liquidity Requirements|url=https://www.occ.treas.gov/news-issuances/federal-register/2019/84fr59230.pdf|access-date=2025-03-13|website=occ.treas.gov}}). Additional to these, however, they must maintain high capital and liquidity ratios to protect depositors; see CAMELS rating system.

Given their business model and risk appetite, as outlined, various differences result vs risk management at investment banks.

  • Banks here maintain specific (and often additional) capital buffers to cover potential loan losses; reflected also in the fact that retail and commercial loans usually attract higher RWA resultsAlicia Tuovila (2023). [https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/riskweightedassets.asp Understanding Risk-Weighted Assets], Investopedia than for assets typical in investment banking. See, e.g., the ALLL and NPL ratios.
  • At the same time, credit exposure for these banks is to significantly more clients than at investment banks. For retail banks, "consumer credit risk" is often diversified across a vast number of borrowers, and these employ statistical models for (ongoing "behavioral") credit scoring and probability of default. Commercial banks deal with mid-sized corporate loans and bonds, and apply accounting- and financial analysis to determine creditworthiness; the approach differs re investment banking in that the broad client base allows for (necessitates) automation, with close monitoring on an exception basis.
  • Concentration risk, relatedly, differs in its management: the concern is sector concentration as opposed to "name concentration". Here, in calculating VaR for a credit portfolio,World Finance (N.D.). [https://www.worldfinance.com/home/risk-encyclopaedia/credit-value-at-risk Credit value at risk] banks will incorporate a joint default probability for the various sectors and / or industries.
  • Both retail and commercial banks employ strict liquidity management to ensure enough cash for customer withdrawals: at a minimum meeting the above NSFR and LCR requirements; but also complying with their regulator's reserve requirement. See also liquidity at risk.
  • Both use interest rate hedging (e.g., swaps) but here, in the main, to protect their profit margin against rate fluctuations, and the resultant "margin compression"; i.e., as opposed to addressing market risk per se. Re the latter, they will often employ the abovementioned cash flow at risk and earnings at risk models. They will also hold specific capital for interest rate risk in the banking book,[https://wiki.treasurers.org/wiki/Interest_Rate_Risk_in_the_Banking_Book Interest Rate Risk in the Banking Book], treasurers.org "IRRBB", which deals with the risks associated with a change in interest rates, including interest rate gaps, basis risk, yield curve risk, and option risk.

The Risk Management function typically exists independent of operations - although may sit in Treasury - and reports directly to the board. Its scope often extends to non-financial operational and reputational risk (monitoring for any consequent run on the bank).

Specialised software is employed here, both operationally and for risk management and modelling.

=Corporate finance=

File:CVP-FC-Contrib-PL.svg: Profit and Loss for units sold at current fixed costs.]]

File:breakeven small.png (scenario-based) Revenue levels, at current Fixed and Total costs.]]

{{further|Asset and liability management|Treasury management|Strategic financial management|Managerial risk accounting}}

{{see also|Corporate finance#Financial risk management}}

In corporate finance, and financial management more generally,[https://openstax.org/books/principles-finance/pages/20-why-it-matters Risk Management and the Financial Manager]. Ch. 20 in {{cite book | title=Principles of Finance| year=2022| isbn=9781951693541 | author = Julie Dahlquist, Rainford Knight, Alan S. Adams | publisher=OpenStax, Rice University|url = https://open.umn.edu/opentextbooks/textbooks/principles-of-finance}}

financial risk management, as above, is concerned with business risk - risks to the business’ value, within the context of its business strategy and capital structure.Will Kenton (2022). [https://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/businessrisk.asp "Business Risk"], Investopedia

The scope here - ie in non-financial firms - is thus broadenedStanley Myint (2022). [https://prmia.org/Shared_Content/Events/PRMIA_Event_Display.aspx?EventKey=8702&WebsiteKey=e0a57874-c04b-476a-827d-2bbc348e6b08 Introduction to Corporate Financial Risk Management]. PRMIA Thought Leadership Webinar[https://biz.libretexts.org/Bookshelves/Finance/Book%3A_Risk_Management_for_Enterprises_and_Individuals/05%3A_The_Evolution_of_Risk_Management_-_Enterprise_Risk_Management/5.03%3A_Risk_Management_and_the_Firm%E2%80%99s_Financial_Statement%E2%80%94Opportunities_within_the_ERM "Risk Management and the Firm’s Financial Statement — Opportunities within the ERM"] in Esther Baranoff, Patrick Brockett, Yehuda Kahane (2012). Risk Management for Enterprises and Individuals. Saylor Academy

(re banking) to overlap enterprise risk management, and financial risk management then addresses risks to the firm's overall strategic objectives, incorporating various (all) financial aspectsMargaret Woods and Kevin Dowd (2008). [https://www.cimaglobal.com/Documents/ImportedDocuments/cid_mag_financial_risk_jan09.pdf Financial Risk Management for Management Accountants], Chartered Institute of Management Accountants of the exposures and opportunities arising from business decisions, and their link to the firm’s appetite for risk, as well as their impact on share price.

In many organizations, risk executives are therefore involved in strategy formulation: "the choice of which risks to undertake through the allocation of its scarce resources is the key tool available to management."Don Chance and Michael Edleson (2021). Introduction to Risk Management. Ch 10 in "Derivatives". CFA Institute Investment Series. {{ISBN|978-1119850571}}

Re the standard framework, then, the discipline largely focuses on operations, i.e. business risk, as outlined.

Here, the management is ongoingJayne Thompson (2019). [https://smallbusiness.chron.com/financial-risk-management-43326.html What Is Financial Risk Management?], chron.com — see following description — and is coupled with the use of insurance,[http://www.vernimmen.com/Vernimmen/Summaries_of_chapters/Part_5_FINANCIAL_MANAGEMENT/Chapter_51_Managing_financial_risks.html?iframe Managing financial risks]; summary of Ch. 51 in: Pascal Quiry; Yann Le Fur; Antonio Salvi; Maurizio Dallochio; Pierre Vernimmen (2011). Corporate Finance: Theory and Practice (3rd ed.). Wiley. {{ISBN|978-1119975588}}

managing the net-exposure as above:

credit risk is usually addressed via provisioning and credit insurance;

likewise, where this treatment is deemed appropriate, specifically identified operational risks are also insured.

Market risk, in this context,See "Market Risk Management in Non-financial Firms", in Carol Alexander, Elizabeth Sheedy eds. (2015). The Professional Risk Managers’ Handbook 2015 Edition. PRMIA. {{ISBN|978-0976609704}} is concerned mainly with changes in commodity prices, interest rates, and foreign exchange rates, and any adverse impact due to these on cash flow and profitability, and hence share price.

Correspondingly, the practice here covers two perspectives; these are shared with corporate finance more generally:

  1. Both risk management and corporate finance share the goal of enhancing, or at least preserving, firm value. Here, businesses devote much time and effort to (short term) liquidity-, cash flow- and performance monitoring, and Risk Management then also overlaps cash- and treasury management, especially as impacted by capital and funding as above. More specifically re business-operations, management emphasizes their break even dynamics, contribution margin and operating leverage, and the corresponding monitoring and management of revenue, of costs, and of other budget elements. The DuPont analysis entails a "decomposition" of the firm's return on equity, ROE, allowing management to identify and address specific areas of concern,Marshall Hargrave (2022). [https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/dupontanalysis.asp Dupont Analysis], Investopedia. preempting any underperformance vs shareholders' required return.See discussion under § [https://www.oreilly.com/library/view/financial-accounting-in/9780470635292/ch05sec12.html Shareholder Value, ROE, and Cash Flow Analyses] in: Jamie Pratt and Michael Peters (2016). Financial Accounting in an Economic Context (10th Edition). Wiley Finance. {{ISBN|978-1-119-30616-0 }} In larger firms, specialist Risk Analysts complement this work with model-based analytics more broadly;See §39 "Corporate Planning Models", and §294 "Simulation Model" in {{cite book|author1=Joel G. Siegel|author2=Jae K. Shim|author3=Stephen Hartman|title=Schaum's quick guide to business formulas: 201 decision-making tools for business, finance, and accounting students|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=4JpojQPk8YsC|access-date=12 November 2011|date=1 November 1997|publisher=McGraw-Hill Professional|isbn=978-0-07-058031-2}}David Shimko (2009). [https://web.archive.org/web/20100717072252/http://www.qfinance.com/financial-risk-management-best-practice/quantifying-corporate-financial-risk?full Quantifying Corporate Financial Risk]. archived 2010-07-17. in some cases, employing sophisticated stochastic models,See for example [https://brainly.in/question/7072253 this problem] (from John Hull's Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives), discussing cash position modeled stochastically. in, for example, financing activity prediction problems, and for risk analysis ahead of a major investment.
  2. Firm exposure to long term market (and business) risk is a direct result of previous capital investment decisions. Where applicable here — usually in large corporates and under guidance fromDavid Shimko (2009). [https://web.archive.org/web/20101224200933/https://www.qfinance.com/contentFiles/QF02/g1xtn5q6/12/0/dangers-of-corporate-derivative-transactions.pdf Dangers of Corporate Derivative Transactions] their investment bankers — risk analysts will manage and hedge their exposures using traded financial instruments to create commodity-,Deloitte / MCX (2018). [https://www2.deloitte.com/in/en/pages/risk/articles/commodity-price-risk-management.html Commodity price risk management]CPA Australia (2012). [https://www.cpaaustralia.com.au/-/media/project/cpa/corporate/documents/tools-and-resources/business-management/managing-commodity-risk.pdf?rev=749d5fc8486241f48b1c652abe154d73 A guide to managing commodity risk] interest rate-Association of Chartered Certified Accountants (N.D.). [https://www.accaglobal.com/gb/en/student/exam-support-resources/professional-exams-study-resources/p4/technical-articles/interestrate-riskmanagement.html Interest rate risk management]CPA Australia (2008). [https://www.cpaaustralia.com.au/-/media/project/cpa/corporate/documents/tools-and-resources/business-management/understanding-and-managing-interest-rate-risk-guide.pdf?rev=efd9cfc245884551bcd1c107e3252ae6 Understanding and Managing Interest Rate Risk] and foreign exchange hedgesAssociation of Chartered Certified Accountants (N.D.). [https://www.accaglobal.com/gb/en/student/exam-support-resources/fundamentals-exams-study-resources/f9/technical-articles/forex.html Foreign currency risk and its management]CPA Australia (2009). [https://www.cpaaustralia.com.au/-/media/project/cpa/corporate/documents/tools-and-resources/business-management/managing-foreign-exchange-risk.pdf?rev=9a26cc216d6040709c1a2b2432537be5 A guide to managing foreign exchange risk] (see further below). Because company specific, "over-the-counter" (OTC) contracts tend to be costly to create and monitor — i.e. using financial engineering and / or structured products — "standard" derivatives that trade on well-established exchanges are often preferred. These comprise options, futures, forwards, and swaps; the "second generation" exotic derivatives usually trade OTC. Complementary to this hedging, periodically, Treasury may also adjust the capital structure, reducing financial leverage - i.e. repaying debt-funding - so as to accommodate increased business risk; they may also suspend dividends.Claire Boyte-White (2023). [https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/101215/4-reasons-company-might-suspend-its-dividend.asp 4 Reasons a Company Might Suspend Its Dividend], Investopedia

Multinational corporations are faced with additional challenges, particularly as relates to foreign exchange risk, and the scope of financial risk management modifies significantly in the international realm.

Here, dependent on time horizon and risk sub-type —

transactions exposure"Contrary to conventional wisdom it may be rational to hedge translation exposure.": Raj Aggarwal (1991). [https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/eb013676/full/html "Management of Accounting Exposure to Currency Changes: Role and Evidence of Agency Costs"]. Managerial Finance, Vol. 17 No. 4, pp. 10-22. (essentially that discussed above),

accounting exposure,Aggarwal, Raj, "The Translation Problem in International Accounting: Insights for Financial Management." Management International Review 15 (Nos. 2-3, 1975): 67-79. (Proposed accounting framework for evaluating and developing translation procedures for multinational corporations).

and economic exposure{{Cite journal|url=http://www.iijournals.com/doi/abs/10.3905/jpm.1997.409611|title=Cross-Hedging Currency Risks in Asian Emerging Markets Using Derivatives in Major Currencies|first1=Raj|last1=Aggarwal|first2=Andrea L.|last2=DeMaskey|date=April 30, 1997|journal=The Journal of Portfolio Management|volume=23|issue=3|pages=88–95|doi=10.3905/jpm.1997.409611|s2cid=153476555 }}

— so the corporate will manage its risk differently.

The forex risk-management discussed here and above, is additional to the per transaction "forward cover" that importers and exporters purchase from their bank (alongside other trade finance mechanisms).

Hedging-related transactions will attract their own accounting treatment, and corporates (and banks) may then require changes to systems, processes and documentation;Price Waterhouse Coopers (2017). [https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/audit-services/ifrs/publications/ifrs-9/achieving-hedge-accounting-in-practice-under-ifrs-9.pdf Achieving hedge accounting in practice under IFRS 9]Conti, Cesare & Mauri, Arnaldo (2008). "Corporate Financial Risk Management: Governance and Disclosure post IFRS 7", Icfai Journal of Financial Risk Management, {{ISSN|0972-916X}}, Vol. V, n. 2, pp. 20–27.

see Hedge accounting, Mark-to-market accounting, Hedge relationship, Cash flow hedge, IFRS 7, IFRS 9, IFRS 13, FASB 133, IAS 39, FAS 130.

It is common for large corporations to have dedicated risk management teams — typically within FP&A or corporate treasury — reporting to the CRO; often these overlap the internal audit function (see Three lines of defence).

For small firms, it is impractical to have a formal risk management function, but these typically apply the above practices, at least the first set, informally, as part of the financial management function; see discussion under Financial analyst.

The discipline relies on a range of software,See: {{Cite web|title=Financial Management System (FMS) - Gartner Finance Glossary|url=https://www.gartner.com/en/finance/glossary/financial-management-system-fms-|access-date=2022-01-06|website=Gartner|language=en}} correspondingly, from spreadsheets (invariably as a starting point, and frequently in totalJeremy Fabbri (2020). [https://web.archive.org/web/20201126214125/https://riskwatch.com/2020/11/05/should-you-use-spreadsheets-for-risk-management/ Should You Use Spreadsheets for Risk Management?]) through commercial EPM and BI tools, often BusinessObjects (SAP), OBI EE (Oracle), Cognos (IBM), and Power BI (Microsoft).N. Shmeleva (2024). [https://cfoclub.co.za/using-predictive-analytics-in-risk-management/ "Using Predictive Analytics in Risk Management"]

=Insurance=

{{more|Insurance#Insurers' business model}}

{{also|IFRS 17}}

File:Kaskaskia Island 1993 flooding.jpg to model rare events such as "100-year floods". Pictured is Kaskaskia, Illinois, entirely submerged during the Great Flood of 1993.]]

Insurance companies make profitDoron Nissim (2010). [http://www.columbia.edu/~dn75/Analysis%20and%20Valuation%20of%20Insurance%20Companies%20-%20Final.pdf Analysis and Valuation of Insurance Companies] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191020201443/http://www.columbia.edu/~dn75/Analysis%20and%20Valuation%20of%20Insurance%20Companies%20-%20Final.pdf |date=2019-10-20 }}, Columbia Business School through underwriting — selecting which risks to insure, charging a risk-appropriate premium, and then paying claims as they occur — and by investing the premiums they collect from insured parties.

They will, in turn, manage their own risksThomas M. Grondin (2001). [https://www.soa.org/globalassets/assets/library/proceedings/record-of-the-society-of-actuaries/2000-09/2001/january/RSA01V27N218PD.PDF "Risk Management Practices in the Insurance Industry"]. Society of ActuariesMichel-Kerjan and Lorenzo Serino (2024). [https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/risk-and-resilience/our-insights/navigating-shifting-risks-in-the-insurance-industry "Navigating shifting risks in the insurance industry"]. mckinsey.comDavid Ingram (2005). [https://www.soa.org/library/newsletters/the-actuary-magazine/2005/april/adv2005april/ "Advancing Risk Management"]. Society of Actuaries

with a focus on solvency and the ability to pay claims:

Life InsurersIan Farr, Adam Koursaris and Mark Mennemeyer (2016). [https://www.soa.org/globalassets/assets/Files/Research/Projects/research-2016-economic-capital-life-insurance-report.pdf "Economic Capital for Life Insurance Companies"]. Society of Actuaries

are concerned more with longevity risk and interest rate risk;

Short-Term Insurers (Property, Health, Casualty)Richard Goldfarb (2010). [https://www.casact.org/sites/default/files/old/studynotes_goldfarb2010.pdf "P&C Insurance Company Valuation"]. Casualty Actuarial Society

emphasize catastrophe- and claims volatility risks.

Fundamental here, therefore, is risk selection and pricing discipline, which as outlined, prevent insurers from taking on unprofitable business.

For expected claims — i.e. those theoretically inhering in the pricing model’s assumptions re frequency and severity — reserves are set aside (actuarial, with statutory reserves as a floor). These will cover both known claims, reported but unpaid, as well as those which are incurred but not reported (IBNR).

To absorb unexpected losses, insurance companies maintain a minimum level of capital plus an additional solvency margin. Capital requirements are based on the risks an insurer faces, such as underwriting risk, market risk, credit risk, and operational risk, and are governed by frameworks such as Solvency II (Europe) and Risk-Based Capital[https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/MDL-312.pdf Risk-Based Capital (RBC) For Insurers Model Act] 2012. National Association of Insurance Commissioners (U.S.).

To further mitigate large-scale risks — i.e. to reduce exposure to catastrophic losses — insurers transfer portions of their risk to Reinsurers. Here, analogous to VaR for banks, to estimate potential losses at various thresholds insurers use simulations, while stress tests assess how extreme events might impact capital and reserves under various scenarios.

In parallel with all these, as above, premiums collected are invested to generate returns which will supplement underwriting profits, and the fund is then risk-managed as follows: ALM must ensure that investments align with the timing and amount of expected claim payouts; while returns ("float") are defended using the techniques outlined in the next section.

Specific treatments will, as outlined, differ by insurer-profile:

  • Life Insurers deal with long-term risks tied to mortality, longevity, and interest rates. Policies (e.g., whole life, annuities) can span decades, making them sensitive to long-term economic and demographic shifts. Reserves are large and complex due to the long duration of liabilities, with capital models emphasizing longevity risk, interest rate risk, and lapse risk. Stress tests, correspondingly, focus on long-term scenarios (e.g. sustained low interest rates, or a pandemic related spike in mortality). ALM here is critical, and investments will be in long-term, stable assets (bonds as well as equities) to match these long-duration liabilities. Reinsurance is often used for excess death claims.
  • Short-Term Insurers face more volatility relative to Life companies, while claims are typically resolved within a year or two (although tail events - e.g. asbestos litigation - can linger). Thus, reserves are shorter-term but must account for high uncertainty in claim frequency and severity; IBNR may be significant, especially after large events. Capital requirements focus on underwriting risk (e.g., mispricing policies) and catastrophe risk (e.g., hurricanes, earthquakes). Stress tests therefore emphasize short-term catastrophic scenarios, and specialized catastrophe models are widely used. Rapid claims settlement reduces reserving duration compared to life insurance, and portfolios lean toward liquid, shorter-term assets (e.g., cash, short-term bonds). Reinsurance is widely utilized to cap exposure to catastrophes; as are quota-share or excess-of-loss treaties re single events.

In a typical insurance company, Risk Management and the Actuarial Function are separate but closely related departments, each with distinct responsibilities. In smaller companies, the lines might blur, with actuaries taking on some risk management tasks, or vice versa. Regardless, the Head Actuary (or Chief Actuary or Appointed Actuary) has specific responsibilities, typically requiring formal "sign-off": Reserve Adequacy and Solvency and Capital Assessment, as well as Reinsurance Arrangements. The relevant calculations are usually performed with specialized software — provided e.g. by WTW and Milliman — and often using R or SAS.

=Investment management=

{{further|Portfolio optimization|Active management|Passive management}}

{{see also|Post-modern portfolio theory|Financial economics#Portfolio theory}}

File:Asset Allocation.pdf suggests a diversified portfolio of shares and other asset classes (such as debt in corporate bonds, treasury bonds, or money market funds) will realise more predictable returns if there is prudent market regulation.]]

File:markowitz frontier.jpg is sometimes referred to as the "Markowitz bullet", and its upward sloped portion is the efficient frontier if no risk-free asset is available. With a risk-free asset, the straight capital allocation line is the efficient frontier.]]

Image:Pareto Efficient Frontier for the Markowitz Portfolio selection problem..png (Pareto-optimal points in red).]]

Fund managers, classically, define the risk of a portfolio as its varianceWill Kenton (2023). [https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/riskmanagement.asp What Is Risk Management in Finance, and Why Is It Important?], investopedia.com (or standard deviation), and through diversification the portfolio is optimized so as to achieve the lowest risk for a given targeted return, or equivalently the highest return for a given level of risk;

these risk-efficient portfolios form the "efficient frontier" (see Markowitz model).

The logic here is that returns from different assets are highly unlikely to be perfectly correlated, and in fact the correlation may sometimes be negative.

In this way, market risk particularly, and other financial risks such as inflation risk (see below) can at least partially be moderated by forms of diversification.

A key issue, however, is that the (assumed) relationships are (implicitly) forward looking.

As observed in the late-2000s recession, historic relationships can break down, resulting in losses to market participants believing that diversification would provide sufficient protection (in that market, including funds that had been explicitly set up to avoid being affected in this way{{cite journal | url=http://web.mit.edu/Alo/www/Papers/august07.pdf | title=What Happened To The Quants In August 2007? | first1=Amir E.| last1=Khandani|first2=Andrew W. |last2=Lo | year=2007|journal = Journal of Financial Markets|

volume =14| issue = 1|pages = 1–46| doi=10.1016/j.finmar.2010.07.005 | hdl=1721.1/108275 }}).

A related issue is that diversification has costs: as correlations are not constant it may be necessary to regularly rebalance the portfolio, incurring transaction costs, negatively impacting investment performance;William F. Sharpe (1991). [http://www.stanford.edu/~wfsharpe/art/active/active.htm "The Arithmetic of Active Management"] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131113071513/http://www.stanford.edu/~wfsharpe/art/active/active.htm |date=2013-11-13 }}. Financial Analysts Journal Vol. 47, No. 1, January/February

and as the fund manager diversifies, so this problem compounds (and a large fund may also exert market impact).

See {{slink|Modern portfolio theory|Criticisms}}.

Addressing these issues, more sophisticated approaches have been developed, both to defining risk, and to the optimization itself. (Respective examples: (tail) risk parity, focuses on allocation of risk, rather than allocation of capital; the Black–Litterman model modifies the "Markowitz optimization", to incorporate the views of the portfolio manager.Guangliang He and Robert Litterman (1999). [https://people.duke.edu/~charvey/Teaching/BA453_2004/GS_The_intuition_behind.pdf "The Intuition Behind Black-Litterman Model Portfolios"]. Goldman Sachs Quantitative Resources Group)

Relatedly, modern financial risk modeling employs a variety of techniques — including value at risk,Ballotta, L., & Fusai, G. (2018). [https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2816355 "A gentle introduction to value at risk"]. {{ssrn|2942138}} . historical simulation, stress tests, and extreme value theory — to analyze the portfolio and to forecast the likely losses incurred for a variety of risks and scenarios.

Here, guided by the analytics, fund managers (and traders) will apply specific risk hedging techniques.Pamela Drake and Frank Fabozzi (2009). [https://media.wiley.com/product_data/excerpt/52/04704073/0470407352.pdf What Is Finance?]

As appropriate, these may relate to the portfolio as a whole or to individual holdings:

  • To protect the overall portfolio, fund managers may sell the stock market index future or buy puts on the stock market index option;Staff (2020). [https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/040815/what-index-option-trading-and-how-does-it-work.asp What is index option trading and how does it work?], InvestopediaDaniel Laboe (2021). [https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/how-to-properly-hedge-your-portfolio-using-put-options-2021-08-19 How To Properly Hedge Your Portfolio Using Put Options], nasdaq.com the respective sensitivities, portfolio beta and option delta, determine the number of hedge-contracts required. For both, the logic is that the (diversified) portfolio is likely highly correlated with the stock index it is part of: thus if the portfolio-value declines, the index will have declined likewise with the derivative holder profiting correspondingly.For discussion and examples re calculating the appropriate "optimal hedge ratio" - based on beta, delta, or duration - and then executing, see: Roger G . Clarke (1992). [https://www.cfainstitute.org/-/media/documents/book/rf-publication/1992/rf-v1992-n5-4438-pdf.pdf "Options and Futures: A Tutorial"]. CFA Institute Research Foundation Fund managers may (instead) engage in "portfolio insurance", a dynamic hedging process that involves selling index futures during periods of decline and using the proceeds to offset portfolio losses.
  • Bond portfolios, when e.g. a component of an asset-allocation fund or other diversified portfolio, are typically managed similar to equity above: the fund manager will hedge her bond allocation with bond index futures or options; with the number of contracts, a function of duration.Staff (2020). [https://www.bloomberg.com/professional/blog/how-to-hedge-your-bond-portfolio-against-falling-rates/ How to hedge your bond portfolio against falling rates], bloomberg.comJeffrey L. Stouffer (2011). [https://www.fa-mag.com/news/protecting-a-bond-portfolio-with-futures-contracts-7127.html Protecting A Bond Portfolio With Futures Contracts], Financial Advisor Magazine In other contexts, the concern may be the net-obligation or net-cashflow. Here the fund manager employs interest rate immunization or cashflow matching. Immunization is a strategy that ensures that a change in interest rates will not affect the value of a fixed-income portfolio (an increase in rates results in a decreased instrument value). It is often used to ensure that the value of a pension fund's assets (or an asset manager's fund) increase or decrease in an exactly opposite fashion to their liabilities, thus leaving the value of the pension fund's surplus (or firm's equity) unchanged, regardless of changes in the interest rate. Cashflow matching is similarly a process of hedging in which a company or other entity matches its cash outflows - i.e., financial obligations - with its cash inflows over a given time horizon. See also laddering,C. Kopp (2022). [https://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/bondladdering.asp "Bond Laddering: How it Works, Benefits, Variations"], investopedia.com dedicated portfolio.
  • For individual bonds and other fixed income securities, specific credit and interest rate risks can be hedged using interest rate- and credit derivatives (although with care, under multi-curves[https://www.cqfinstitute.org/sites/default/files/2021-02-fitch-multicurve-V-1-1_0.pdf "Multi-curve and collateral framework"], CQF Institute. ). Sensitivities re interest rates are measured using duration and convexity for bonds, and DV01 and key rate durations generally, and an offsetting derivative-position is purchased. For credit risk,See e.g. OpenGamma Quantitative Research (2013). [https://quant.opengamma.io/Pricing-and-Risk-Management-of-Credit-Default-Swaps-OpenGamma.pdf The Pricing and Risk Management of Credit Default Swaps] sensitivities are measured via CS01, while analysts use models such as Jarrow–Turnbull and KMV to estimate the (risk neutralJorge A. Chan-Lau (2006). [https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2006/wp06104.pdf Market-Based Estimation of Default Probabilities and Its Application to Financial Market Surveillance] International Monetary Fund) probability of default, hedging where appropriate, usually via credit default swaps. Probabilities (actuarial) may also be obtained from Bond credit ratings; then, often at a portfolio level — e.g. for credit-VaR — analysts will use a transition matrix of thesePaul Glasserman (2000). [https://www0.gsb.columbia.edu/faculty/pglasserman/B6014/Prob_Credit.pdf Probability Models of Credit Risk] to estimate the probability and impact of a "credit migration",Mukul Pareek (2021). [https://riskprep.com/tutorials/credit-migration-framework/ "Credit Migration Framework"]Staff (2021). [https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/121515/how-credit-rating-risk-affects-corporate-bonds.asp How Credit Rating Risk Affects Corporate Bonds], Investopedia aggregating the bond-by-bond result. Interest rate- and credit risk together, may be hedged via a Total return swap. See Fixed income analysis

Further, and more generally, various safety-criteria may guide overall portfolio construction.

The Kelly criterionJustin Kuepper (2023). [https://www.investopedia.com/articles/trading/04/091504.asp Using the Kelly Criterion for Asset Allocation and Money Management], Investopedia will suggest - i.e. limit - the size of a position that an investor should hold in her portfolio.

Roy's safety-first criterionWill Kenton (2020). [https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/roys-safety-first-criterion.asp Roy's Safety-First Criterion (SFRatio) Definition and Calculation], Investopedia minimizes the probability of the portfolio's return falling below a minimum desired threshold.

Chance-constrained portfolio selection similarly seeks to ensure that the probability of final wealth falling below a given "safety level" is acceptable.

Managers may also employ factor models[https://www.cfainstitute.org/-/media/documents/book/rf-publication/1994/rf-v1994-n4-4445-pdf.ashx "A Practitioner's Guide to Factor Models"]. CFA Institute Research Foundation (generically APT) to measure exposure to macroeconomic and market risk factorsWilliam F. Sharpe (1999). [https://web.stanford.edu/~wfsharpe/mia/fac/mia_fac3.htm#Factor-based%20Portfolio%20Expected%20Returns%20and%20Risks "Factor-based Expected Returns, Risks and Correlations"] using time series regression. Ahead of an anticipated movement in any of these factors, the Manager may then, as indicated, reduce holdings, hedge, or purchase offsetting exposure.

Inflation for example, although impacting all securities,Troy Segal (2022). [https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/what-is-inflation-and-how-should-it-affect-investing/ "What is inflation and how does inflation affect investments?"]. Investopedia can be managedJames Chen (2022). [https://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/inflation-hedge.asp "Inflation Hedge"], Investopedia{{Cite web |last=Staff |date=2022-01-31 |title=Managing Portfolio Risk in A High-Inflation Market |url=https://klofinancialservices.com/news/managing-portfolio-risk/ |access-date=2023-05-12 |website=KLO Financial Services |language=en-GB}} at the portfolio level by appropriatelySee. e.g., Morgan Stanley (2022). [https://www.morganstanley.com/im/en-gb/intermediary-investor/insights/articles/managing-inflation-risk-through-improved-portfolio-optimization.html "Managing Inflation Risk through Improved Portfolio Optimization"] increasing exposure to inflation-sensitive stocks (e.g. consumer staples), and / or by investing in tangible assets, commodities and inflation-linked bonds; the latter may also provide a direct hedge.Dmitry Pugachevsky (2023). [https://www.risk.net/risk-management/7956666/managing-inflation-risk-with-hedging-strategies Managing inflation risk with hedging strategies], risk.net

In parallel with all above,Carl Bacon (2019). [https://www.cfainstitute.org/-/media/documents/book/rf-lit-review/2019/rflr-performance-attribution.ashx "Performance Attribution History and Progress"], CFA Institute Research Foundation managers — active and passive — periodically monitor and manage tracking error, i.e. underperformance vs a "benchmark".

Here, they will use attribution analysis preemptively so as to diagnose the source early, and to take corrective action: realigning, often factor-wise, on the basis of this "feedback".Michael McMillan (2012). [https://blogs.cfainstitute.org/investor/2012/06/01/performance-measurement-and-attribution-the-what-why-and-how-of-the-investment-management-process/ "Performance Measurement: The What, Why, and How of the Investment Management Process"], CFA InstituteTrue Tamplin (2023). [https://www.financestrategists.com/wealth-management/investment-management/benchmarking-and-performance-attribution/ "Benchmarking and Performance Attribution"], Finance Strategists

As relevant, they will similarly use style analysis to address style drift.

See also Fixed-income attribution.

Given the complexity of these analyses and techniques, Fund Managers typically rely on sophisticated software (as do banks, above).

Widely used platforms are provided by BlackRock (Aladdin), Refinitiv (Eikon), Finastra, Murex, Numerix, MPI and Morningstar.

See also

Bibliography

{{refbegin|30em}}

Financial institutions

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{{refend}}

References

{{Reflist|refs=http://www.iplaneducation.com/product/frm-online-classes/}}