minimum orbit intersection distance

{{short description|Measure of close approach or collision risk in astronomy}}

{{Use dmy dates|date=March 2015}}

File:4953 DYK.svg, which, with a MOID of 0.0263 AU, is classified as a potentially hazardous object]]

Minimum orbit intersection distance (MOID) is a measure used in astronomy to assess potential close approaches and collision risks between astronomical objects.[https://solarsystem.nasa.gov/basics/chapter1-3 Basics of Space Flight: The Solar System, p. 3], NASA Science, retrieved 14 May 2009 (from JPL site), [https://web.archive.org/web/20210917185720/https://solarsystem.nasa.gov/basics/chapter1-3/ archived] 17 September 2021. It is defined as the distance between the closest points of the osculating orbits of two bodies. Of greatest interest is the risk of a collision with Earth. Earth MOID is often listed on comet and asteroid databases such as the JPL Small-Body Database. MOID values are also defined with respect to other bodies as well: Jupiter MOID, Venus MOID and so on.

An object is classified as a potentially hazardous object (PHO) – that is, posing a possible risk to Earth – if, among other conditions, its Earth MOID is less than 0.05 AU. For more massive bodies than Earth, there is a potentially notable close approach with a larger MOID; for instance, Jupiter MOIDs less than 1 AU are considered noteworthy since Jupiter is the most massive planet.Bruce Koehn, "[http://www.lowell.edu/users/elgb/moid.html Minimum Orbital Intersection Distance]", Lowell Observatory, retrieved online 14 May 2009, [https://web.archive.org/web/20150715151635/https://lowell.edu/users/elgb/moid.html archived] 15 July 2015.

A low MOID does not mean that a collision is inevitable as the planets frequently perturb the orbit of small bodies. It is also necessary that the two bodies reach that point in their orbits at the same time before the smaller body is perturbed into a different orbit with a different MOID value. Two objects gravitationally locked in orbital resonance may never approach one another. Numerical integrations become increasingly divergent as trajectories are projected further forward in time, especially beyond times where the smaller body is repeatedly perturbed by other planets. MOID has the convenience that it is obtained directly from the orbital elements of the body and no numerical integration into the future is used.Brian G. Marsden, [http://www.cfa.harvard.edu/iau/pressinfo/100PHAs.html "Press Information Sheet:Potentially Hazardous Asteroids"], Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, retrieved online 3 May 2009, [https://web.archive.org/web/20091122010157/http://www.cfa.harvard.edu/iau/pressinfo/100PHAs.html archived] 22 November 2009.

The only object that has ever been rated at 4 on the Torino Scale (since downgraded), the Aten asteroid (99942) Apophis, has an Earth MOID of {{convert|0.00026|AU|km mi|abbr=on|lk=on}}. This is not the smallest Earth MOID in the catalogues; many bodies with a small Earth MOID are not classed as PHO's because the objects are less than roughly 140 meters in diameter (or absolute magnitude, H > 22). Earth MOID values are generally more practical for asteroids less than 140 meters in diameter as those asteroids are very dim and often have a short observation arc with a poorly determined orbit. As of September 2023, there have been seven objects detected and their Earth-MOID calculated before the Earth impact.[https://newton.spacedys.com/neodys/index.php?pc=4.5 List of Prior Impacts], NEODyS, retrieved 23 September 2023. The first two objects that were detected and had their Earth-MOID calculated before Earth impact were the small asteroids {{mpl|2008 TC|3}} and 2014 AA. 2014 AA is listed with a MOID of {{convert|0.00000045|AU|km mi|abbr=on}},[https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/tools/sbdb_lookup.html#/?sstr=2014AA JPL SBDB: 2014 AA] (Earth impactor on 1 January 2014) and is the second smallest MOID calculated for an Apollo asteroid after {{mpl|2020 QY|2}} with an Earth-MOID of {{convert|0.00000039|AU|km mi|abbr=on}}.[https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/tools/sbdb_lookup.html#/?sstr=2020QY2 JPL SBDB: 2020 QY2] (Near-Earth asteroid roughly 2–meters in diameter)

class="wikitable sortable"

|+Potentially hazardous asteroids with Earth MOID < 0.0004 AU (~60,000 km or ~5 Earth diameters) include:

ObjectEarth MOID
(AU)
Size (m)
(approximate)
(H)
{{mpl|2016 FG|60}}{{convert|0.000076|AU|km mi|abbr=on|lk=on}}align="center"|300align="center"|21.1
{{mpl|(177049) 2003 EE|16}}{{convert|0.000107|AU|km mi|abbr=on}}align="center"|320align="center"|19.8
{{mpl|2012 HZ|33}}{{convert|0.000131|AU|km mi|abbr=on}}align="center"|260align="center"|20.4
{{mpl|2010 JE|88}}{{convert|0.000148|AU|km mi|abbr=on}}align="center"|180align="center"|21.5
{{mpl|(137108) 1999 AN|10}}{{convert|0.000153|AU|km mi|abbr=on}}align="center"|1300align="center"|17.9
{{mpl|2022 BX|1}}{{convert|0.000177|AU|km mi|abbr=on}}align="center"|170align="center"|21.7
{{mpl|2003 EG|16}}{{convert|0.000179|AU|km mi|abbr=on}}align="center"|490align="center"|19.4
{{mpl|2021 NQ|5}}{{convert|0.000187|AU|km mi|abbr=on}}align="center"|210align="center"|21.2
{{mpl|(442037) 2010 PR|66}}{{convert|0.000238|AU|km mi|abbr=on}}align="center"|695align="center"|19.3
{{mpl|(216985) 2000 QK|130}}{{convert|0.000252|AU|km mi|abbr=on}}align="center"|200align="center"|21.3
99942 Apophis{{convert|0.000257|AU|km mi|abbr=on}}align="center"|370align="center"|19.7
{{mpl|(89958) 2002 LY|45}}{{convert|0.000261|AU|km mi|abbr=on}}align="center"|1300align="center"|17.2
{{mpl|(35396) 1997 XF|11}}{{convert|0.000305|AU|km mi|abbr=on}}align="center"|704align="center"|17.0
162173 Ryugu{{convert|0.000315|AU|km mi|abbr=on}}align="center"|896align="center"|19.6
{{mpl|(143651) 2003 QO|104}}{{convert|0.000321|AU|km mi|abbr=on}}align="center"|2300align="center"|16.1
{{mpl|(85236) 1993 KH
} || {{convert|0.000335|AU|km mi|abbr=on}} ||align="center"|500 ||align="center"|18.8

|-

| {{mpl|(471240) 2011 BT|15}} || {{convert|0.000368|AU|km mi|abbr=on}} ||align="center"|150 ||align="center"|21.4

|}

class="wikitable sortable"

|+Numbered periodic comets with Earth MOID < 0.02 AU (~3 million km) include:

ObjectEpochEarth MOID
(AU)
3D/Biela1832{{convert|0.0005|AU|km mi LD|abbr=on|lk=on}}
109P/Swift-Tuttle1995{{convert|0.0009|AU|km mi LD|abbr=on}}
55P/Tempel–Tuttle1998{{convert|0.0085|AU|km mi LD|abbr=on}}
255P/Levy2007{{convert|0.0088|AU|km mi LD|abbr=on}}
15P/Finlay2015{{convert|0.0092|AU|km mi LD|abbr=on}}
73P–BW2022{{convert|0.0093|AU|km mi LD|abbr=on}}[https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/tools/sbdb_lookup.html#/?des=73P-BW JPL SBDB: 73P-BW] (Short-lived comet fragment)
252P/LINEAR2016{{convert|0.0122|AU|km mi LD|abbr=on}}
460P/PanSTARRS2016{{convert|0.0163|AU|km mi LD|abbr=on}}
289P/Blanpain2019{{convert|0.0165|AU|km mi LD|abbr=on}}
21P/Giacobini–Zinner2017{{convert|0.0179|AU|km mi LD|abbr=on}}

class="wikitable sortable"

|+Some well known Main-belt asteroids
with Earth MOID < 1 AU

ObjectEarth MOID
(AU)
6 Hebe{{Convert|0.975|AU|e6km e6mi LD|abbr=unit|lk=on}}
7 Iris{{Convert|0.850|AU|e6km e6mi LD|abbr=unit}}
8 Flora{{Convert|0.873|AU|e6km e6mi LD|abbr=unit}}
12 Victoria{{Convert|0.824|AU|e6km e6mi LD|abbr=unit}}
18 Melpomene{{Convert|0.811|AU|e6km e6mi LD|abbr=unit}}
84 Klio{{Convert|0.798|AU|e6km e6mi LD|abbr=unit}}
228 Agathe{{Convert|0.657|AU|e6km e6mi LD|abbr=unit}}

See also

References

{{reflist | refs =

{{cite web

|title=JPL Small-Body Database Search Engine: Group: PHA and Orbit Constraint: Earth MOID < 0.0004 (AU)

|type=currently defined at an epoch of 2023-Sep-13

|publisher=JPL Solar System Dynamics

|url=https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/tools/sbdb_query.html

|access-date=2023-09-20}}

{{cite web

|type=last observation: 2020-06-17; arc: 4.29 years

|title=JPL Small-Body Database: (2016 FG60)

|url=https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/sbdb.cgi?sstr=2016FG60

|publisher=Jet Propulsion Laboratory

|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190528050554/https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/sbdb.cgi?sstr=2016FG60

|archive-date=2019-05-28

|url-status=live

|accessdate=2023-09-23}}

}}