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2012 Andalusian regional election

{{Short description|Election in the Spanish region of Andalusia}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2012 Andalusian regional election

| country = Andalusia

| type = parliamentary

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2008 Andalusian regional election

| previous_year = 2008

| next_election = 2015 Andalusian regional election

| next_year = 2015

| outgoing_members =

| elected_members =

| seats_for_election = All 109 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia

| majority_seats = 55

| opinion_polls = #Opinion polls

| registered = 6,392,620 File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg2.6%

| turnout = 3,885,137 (60.8%)
File:Red Arrow Down.svg11.9 pp

| election_date = 25 March 2012

| image1 = 170x170px

| leader1 = Javier Arenas

| party1 = People's Party of Andalusia

| leader_since1 = 18 April 2004

| leaders_seat1 = Almería

| last_election1 = 47 seats, 38.5%

| seats1 = 50

| seat_change1 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg3

| popular_vote1 = 1,570,833

| percentage1 = 40.7%

| swing1 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg2.2 pp

| image2 = 170x170px

| leader2 = José Antonio Griñán

| party2 = PSOE–A

| leader_since2 = 23 April 2009

| leaders_seat2 = Seville

| last_election2 = 56 seats, 48.4%

| seats2 = 47

| seat_change2 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg9

| popular_vote2 = 1,527,923

| percentage2 = 39.6%

| swing2 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg8.8 pp

| image3 = 170x170px

| leader3 = Diego Valderas

| party3 = United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia

| leader_since3 = 10 October 2000

| leaders_seat3 = Huelva

| last_election3 = 6 seats, 7.1%

| seats3 = 12

| seat_change3 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg6

| popular_vote3 = 438,372

| percentage3 = 11.3%

| swing3 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg4.2 pp

| map_image = AndalusiaProvinceMapParliament2012.png

| map_size = 375px

| map_caption = Constituency results map for the Parliament of Andalusia

| title = President

| before_election = José Antonio Griñán

| before_party = Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia

| after_election = José Antonio Griñán

| after_party = Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia

}}

The 2012 Andalusian regional election was held on Sunday, 25 March 2012, to elect the 9th Parliament of the autonomous community of Andalusia. All 109 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with a regional election in Asturias.

Being a Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE–A) stronghold for decades, the People's Party (PP) had scored a decisive win in the region in the November 2011 general election and was widely expected to come out on top in the regional election for the first time in its history, with opinion polls suggesting it could win an absolute majority on its own. The election, however, came to be seen as the first major electoral test for the national government of Mariano Rajoy since coming to power in December 2011, with Rajoy's policies of raising taxes and the passing of a new, harsher labour reform having triggered a general strike for 29 March. Incumbent President José Antonio Griñán chose not to hold the election simultaneously with the 2011 general election, the first time since 1994 that both elections were not held at the same time.

Final results showed a surprising close race between the PP and the PSOE–A, the first emerging out on top but falling five seats short of an overall majority. In contrast, the PSOE–A held its own and retained 47 seats despite polls predicting a tougher defeat, allowing Griñán to remain in power through a coalition government with United Left (IULV–CA), which doubled its seat count from 6 to 12 and was placed in a "kingmaker" position.{{cite news |last=Romero |first=José Antonio |date=25 March 2012 |url=https://elpais.com/politica/2012/03/25/actualidad/1332711507_316592.html |title=La izquierda vence en Andalucía |language=es |newspaper=El País |location=Madrid |access-date=23 January 2022}}

Overview

=Electoral system=

The Parliament of Andalusia was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Andalusia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Andalusian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.{{cite act |title=Ley Orgánica 2/2007, de 19 de marzo, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía para Andalucía |type=Organic Law |number=2 |language=es |date=19 March 2007 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-2007-5825&tn=1&p=20110411 |access-date=16 September 2017}} Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Andalusia and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2011 required for Andalusians abroad to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote ({{langx|es|Voto rogado}}).{{cite web |last=Reig Pellicer |first=Naiara |date=16 December 2015 |url=http://www.cafebabel.co.uk/politics/article/spanish-elections-begging-for-the-right-to-vote.html |title=Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote |website=cafebabel.co.uk |access-date=17 July 2017}}

The 109 members of the Parliament of Andalusia were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Almería, Cádiz, Córdoba, Granada, Huelva, Jaén, Málaga and Seville, with each being allocated an initial minimum of eight seats and the remaining 45 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the number of seats in each province did not exceed two times that of any other).{{cite act |title=Ley 1/1986, de 2 de enero, Electoral de Andalucía |type=Law |number=1 |language=es |date=2 January 1986 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1986-2788&tn=1&p=20111215 |access-date=16 September 2017}}

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency was entitled the following seats:

class="wikitable" style="text-align:left;"
width="50"| Seats

! width="200"| Constituencies

align="center"| 18

| Seville

align="center"| 17

| Málaga{{font color|green|(+1)}}

align="center"| 15

| Cádiz

align="center"| 13

| Granada

align="center"| 12

| Almería, Córdoba

align="center"| 11

| Huelva, Jaén{{font color|red|(–1)}}

The use of the electoral method resulted in an effective threshold based on the district magnitude and the distribution of votes among candidacies.{{cite web |last=Gallagher |first=Michael |date=30 July 2012 |url=http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php |title=Effective threshold in electoral systems |publisher=Trinity College, Dublin |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170730092518/http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php |access-date=22 July 2017|archive-date=30 July 2017 }}

=Election date=

The term of the Parliament of Andalusia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Regional Government of Andalusia (BOJA), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication barring any date within from 1 July to 31 August. The previous election was held on 9 March 2008, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 9 March 2012. The election decree was required to be published in the BOJA no later than 14 February 2012, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 8 April 2012.{{cite act |title=Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General |type=Organic Law |number=5 |language=es |date=19 June 1985 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=20110716 |access-date=28 December 2016}}

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Andalusia and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.{{cite act |title=Ley 6/2006, de 24 de octubre, del Gobierno de la Comunidad Autónoma de Andalucía |type=Law |number=6 |language=es |date=24 October 2006 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-2006-20848&tn=1&p=20081211 |access-date=17 September 2017}}

Several dates were considered for the election. Initially scheduled for either 4 or 18 March, the result of the general election on 20 November 2011 made it advisable for Griñán to push the date further away to the last Sunday of March, in order to push the legislature to the limit and distance himself from the November election result.{{cite news |date=1 February 2011 |url=https://elpais.com/diario/2011/02/01/espana/1296514818_850215.html |title=Las elecciones andaluzas serán el 4 de marzo de 2012 |language=es |newspaper=El País |location=Seville |access-date=23 January 2022}}{{cite news |date=27 November 2011 |url=https://www.publico.es/espana/elecciones-andalucia-seran-25-marzo.html |title=Las elecciones en Andalucía serán el 25 de marzo |language=es |newspaper=Público |access-date=23 January 2022}} This marked the first time since 1994 that an Andalusian regional election was not held concurrently with a Spanish general election, as then-Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero had announced a general election—initially scheduled for March 2012—four months ahead of schedule, on 20 November 2011, whereas Griñán chose not to follow suit and to maintain the date of the regional election for early 2012.{{cite news |agency=EFE |date=29 July 2011 |url=https://www.diariovasco.com/rc/20110729/mas-actualidad/nacional/gobierno-andaluz-adelantara-elecciones-201107291439.html |title=Griñán no adelantará las autonómicas en Andalucía |language=es |newspaper=Diario Vasco |location=Seville |access-date=23 January 2022}}

Background

The 2008 election had seen Manuel Chaves secure a sixth term in office as president of the Regional Government of Andalusia, having governed the autonomous community uninterruptedly during the previous 18 years. However, Chaves's long tenure had already started taking a toll on his popularity in opinion polls, and in April 2009 he vacated the regional presidency in order to become third deputy prime minister in the second government of José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero. José Antonio Griñán, second vice president of the Andalusian government since 2008 and regional minister for Economy and Finance since 2004, succeeded Chaves at the helm of the regional government.

During Griñán's term, his party had to deal with the worsening economic situation resulting from the financial crisis affecting Spain since 2008, with rising unemployment reaching record heights and traditional savings banks being dismantled for being economically unsustainable.{{cite news |last=Rubio |first=Juan |date=24 May 2015 |url=https://elcorreoweb.es/economia/que-fue-de-las-cajas-de-ahorros-andaluzas-GL379585 |title=¿Qué fue de las cajas de ahorros andaluzas? |language=es |newspaper=El Correo de Andalucía |location=Seville |access-date=23 January 2022}} The PSOE–A also had to cope with the political fallout resulting from the ERE scandal, a corruption scheme involving the ruling party, as well as the Workers' Commissions (CCOO) and General Union of Workers (UGT) trade unions, which saw irregular payments to politicians, civil servants and companies aligned to the PSOE in exchange for loyalties and favours meant to sustain the party in power. Those payments were charged to an economic fund intended to support companies with problems—more specifically, those that were forced to undergo "Employment Regulation Procedures" (in Spanish, Expedientes de Regulación de Empleo or ERE, terminology that gave the scandal its name)—. The scandal first came under investigation in January 2011, and by the time of the 2012 regional election judicial inquiries reached out to government officers and renown figures.{{cite news |last=Moreno |first=Silvia |url=https://lab.elmundo.es/sentencia-eres-andalucia/index.html |title=Cronología del caso ERE |language=es |newspaper=El Mundo |access-date=23 January 2022}}

The opposition People's Party (PP) of Mariano Rajoy won a resounding victory in the 2011 general election in Andalusia, winning in both seats and popular vote for the first time ever in this autonomous community since the Spanish transition to democracy: the PP obtained 1,985,612 votes (45.57%) and 33 seats to Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE–A)'s 1,594,893 votes (36.60%) and 25 seats, after losing 800,000 votes and 11 seats from those won in the 2008 general election. United Left (IULV–CA) won 2 seats from Seville and Málaga and 8.27% of the share with 360,212 votes. Results projections based on the results of the general election gave the PP an absolute majority with 58 seats—out of 109 up for election—, with the PSOE in a distant second place with 43 seats. IULV–CA would keep its 6 seats on the projections while Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) could enter the Parliament of Andalusia with 2 seats. Had those results been confirmed, it would have meant the end of a 30 year-long hegemony of Socialist rule in the community, the party having been in power since the creation of the Andalusian autonomous community.{{cite news |date=22 November 2011 |url=https://www.libertaddigital.com/nacional/2011-11-22/como-se-compondria-el-parlamento-andaluz-con-los-resultados-de-las-generales-1276442141/ |title=El PP se haría con la Junta de Andalucía con los resultados de las generales |language=es |newspaper=Libertad Digital |access-date=23 January 2022}}

The regularly scheduled 2012 election in Andalusia, which was unexpectedly joined by a snap election in Asturias, came to be seen as the first major electoral test for the national government of Mariano Rajoy since coming to power in December 2011.{{cite news |last=Díez |first=Anabel |date=23 March 2012 |url=https://elpais.com/politica/2012/03/23/actualidad/1332534957_503952.html |title=El test de Rajoy y Rubalcaba |language=es |newspaper=El País |access-date=23 January 2022}} Rajoy's policies of raising taxes and the passing of a new, harsher labour reform had triggered a general strike scheduled for 29 March.{{cite news |last=Gómez |first=Manuel Vicente |date=10 February 2012 |url=https://elpais.com/economia/2012/02/10/actualidad/1328911729_685382.html |title=La reforma facilita y abarata el despido |language=es |newspaper=El País |location=Madrid |access-date=23 January 2022}}{{cite news |agency=Agencias |date=9 March 2012 |url=https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2012/03/09/economia/1331290549.html |title=El 29 de marzo, huelga general |language=es |newspaper=El Mundo |location=Madrid |access-date=23 January 2022}}

Parliamentary composition

The Parliament of Andalusia was officially dissolved on 31 January 2012, after the publication of the dissolution decree in the Official Gazette of the Regional Government of Andalusia.{{cite journal |journal=Boletín Oficial de la Junta de Andalucía |issue=20 |date=31 January 2012 |page=6 |issn=2253-802X |title=Decreto del Presidente 1/2012, de 30 de enero, de disolución del Parlamento de Andalucía y de convocatoria de elecciones |url=https://www.juntadeandalucia.es/boja/2012/20/d1.pdf |language=es}} The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.{{cite web |url=http://www.historiaelectoral.com/aandalucia.html |title=Elecciones al Parlamento de Andalucía (1982 - 2018) |language=es |website=Historia Electoral.com |access-date=25 September 2017}}

class="wikitable" style="text-align:left;"

|+ Parliamentary composition in January 2015

rowspan="2" colspan="2"| Groups

! rowspan="2" colspan="2"| Parties

! colspan="2"| Legislators

Seats

! Total

width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}"|

| Socialist Parliamentary Group

| width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}"|

| PSOE–A

| 56

| 56

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}"|

| Andalusian People's Parliamentary Group

| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}"|

| PP

| 47

| 47

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia}}"|

| United Left/The Greens Parliamentary Group

| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia}}"|

| IULV–CA

| 6

| 6

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

class="wikitable" style="line-height:1.35em; text-align:left;"
colspan="2" rowspan="2"| Candidacy

! rowspan="2"| Parties and
alliances

! colspan="2" rowspan="2"| Leading candidate

! rowspan="2"| Ideology

! colspan="2"| Previous result

! rowspan="2"| {{abbr|Gov.|Government}}

! rowspan="2"| {{abbr|Ref.|References}}

Vote %

! Seats

width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}"|

| align="center"| PSOE–A

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A)

}}

| 50px

| José Antonio Griñán

| Social democracy

| align="center"| 48.4%

| {{big|56}}

| {{ya}}

| {{cite news |date=22 April 2009 |title=José Antonio Griñán, elegido nuevo presidente de la Junta con el único apoyo del PSOE |url=https://www.diariocordoba.com/lo-ultimo/2009/04/22/jose-antonio-grinan-elegido-nuevo-38133024.html |language=es |newspaper=Diario Córdoba |access-date=23 January 2022}}
{{cite news |agency=Europa Press |date=18 September 2010 |title=Griñán será el candidato en 2012 por el apoyo "casi unánime" del PSOE |url=https://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/Grinan-candidato-apoyo-unanime-PSOE_0_406759484.html |language=es |newspaper=Diario de Sevilla |location=Seville |access-date=23 January 2022}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}"|

| align="center"| PP

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| People's Party (PP)

}}

| 50px

| Javier Arenas

| Conservatism
Christian democracy

| align="center"| 38.5%

| {{big|47}}

| {{na}}

| {{cite news |agency=EFE |date=20 September 2008 |title=Javier Arenas, reelegido presidente del PP andaluz por cuarta vez |url=https://www.rtve.es/noticias/20080920/javier-arenas-reelegido-presidente-del-pp-andaluz-cuarta-vez/160985.shtml |language=es |publisher=RTVE |access-date=23 January 2022}}
{{cite news |last=Tortosa |first=María Dolores |date=15 January 2012 |title=Javier Arenas será candidato por Almería |url=https://www.diariosur.es/20120115/local/malaga/javier-arenas-sera-candidato-201201151340.html |language=es |newspaper=Diario Sur |location=Málaga |access-date=23 January 2022}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia}}"|

| align="center"| IULV–CA

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA)

}}

| 50px

| Diego Valderas

| Socialism
Communism

| align="center"| 7.1%

| {{big|6}}

| {{na}}

| {{cite news |last=Valenzuela |first=Marina |date=24 April 2011 |title=Valderas se autopropone ya como candidato a la Junta |url=https://www.elplural.com/autonomias/andalucia/valderas-se-autopropone-ya-como-candidato-a-la-junta_65509102 |language=es |newspaper=El Plural |access-date=23 January 2022}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Andalusian Party}}"|

| align="center"| PA

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| Andalusian Party (PA)

}}

| 50px

| Pilar González

| Andalusian nationalism
Social democracy

| align="center"|
2.8%
{{efn|Results for CA in the 2008 election.}}

| {{big|0}}

| {{na}}

|

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Union, Progress and Democracy}}"|

| align="center"| UPyD

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)

}}

| 50px

| Martín de la Herrán

| Social liberalism
Radical centrism

| align="center"| 0.6%

| {{big|0}}

| {{na}}

|

Campaign

=Party slogans=

class="wikitable" style="text-align:left;"
style="text-align:left;" colspan="2"| {{nowrap|Party or alliance}}

! Original slogan

! English translation

! {{abbr|Ref.|References}}

width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}"|

| PSOE–A

| « Andalucía, por el camino seguro »

| "Andalusia, through the safe way"

| {{cite news |date=8 March 2012 |url=https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2012/03/08/andalucia/1331209824.html |title=La campaña de los 5.000 kilómetros |language=es |newspaper=El Mundo |access-date=8 May 2022}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}"|

| PP

| « El cambio andaluz »

| "The Andalusian change"

|

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia}}"|

| IULV–CA

| « Rebélate! »

| "Rebel!"

|

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Andalusian Party}}"|

| PA

| « PAlante »

| "Forward"

|

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Union, Progress and Democracy}}"|

| UPyD

| « Lo que nos une »

| "What unites us"

|

=Election debates=

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"

|+ 2012 Andalusian regional election debates

rowspan="3"| Date

! rowspan="3"| Organisers

! rowspan="3"| Moderator(s)

! colspan="5"| {{smaller|  }} {{Colors|black|#90FF90| P }} {{smaller|Present{{efn|Denotes a main invitee attending the event.}}  }} {{Colors|black|#FF9090| A }} {{smaller|Absent invitee }}

scope="col" style="width:5em;"| PSOE–A

! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| PP

! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| IULV–CA

! rowspan="2" scope="col" style="width:5em;"| Audience

! rowspan="2"| {{abbr|Ref.|References}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia}};"|

style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| 12 March

| style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| Canal Sur

| style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| Mabel Mata

| {{Yes|P
{{smaller|Griñán}}}}

| {{No|A}}

| {{Yes|P
{{smaller|Valderas}}}}

| 10.1%
{{smaller|(358,000)}}

| {{cite news |last=Tortosa |first=María Dolores |date=13 March 2012 |url=https://www.diariosur.es/v/20120313/andalucia/andalucia-20122012/ausencia-arenas-debate-canal-20120313.html |title=La ausencia de Arenas en el debate de Canal Sur tensa la campaña |language=es |newspaper=Diario Sur |access-date=5 May 2022}}
{{cite news |date=14 March 2012 |url=https://www.diariodesevilla.es/andaluzas2012/Valderas-Grinan-reunen-andaluces_0_569643078.html |title=Valderas y Griñán reúnen a 358.000 andaluces |language=es |newspaper=Diario de Sevilla |access-date=5 May 2022}}

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

=Graphical summary=

{{wide image|OpinionPollingAndalusiaRegionalElection2012.svg|750px|Local regression trend line of poll results from 9 March 2008 to 25 March 2012, with each line corresponding to a political party.}}

=Voting intention estimates=

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 55 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Andalusia.

;{{smaller|Color key:}}

{{smaller|{{legend2|#EAFFEA|Exit poll|border=1px solid #AAAAAA}}}}

class="wikitable collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:center; font-size:95%; line-height:16px;"
style="height:42px;"

! style="width:250px;" rowspan="2"| Polling firm/Commissioner

! style="width:125px;" rowspan="2"| Fieldwork date

! style="width:50px;" rowspan="2"| Sample size

! style="width:45px;" rowspan="2"| Turnout

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo PSOE-A.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:People's Party (Spain) Logo (2008-2015).svg

! style="width:35px;"| IULV

! style="width:35px;"| File:PA logo.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo de UPyD.png

! style="width:30px;" rowspan="2"| Lead

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Andalusian Party}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Union, Progress and Democracy}};"|

colspan="10" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2012 regional election

| 25 Mar 2012

| {{N/A}}

| 60.8

| 39.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=47}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 40.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=50}}

| 11.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=12}}

| 2.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 3.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 1.1

colspan="10" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#EAFFEA;"

| Ipsos/RTVA{{cite web|title=El PP roza la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía, según el sondeo de Ipsos |url=http://www.canalsur.es/el_pp_roza_la_mayoria_absoluta_en_andalucia_segun_el_sondeo_de_ipsos/197913.html |language=es |work=Canal Sur |date=25 March 2012}}{{cite web|title=El PP roza la mayoría absoluta, según el sondeo de Canal Sur |url=http://www.elperiodico.com/es/politica/20120325/el-pp-roza-la-mayoria-absoluta-segun-el-sondeo-de-canal-sur-1586642 |language=es |work=El Periódico de Catalunya |date=25 March 2012}}

| 25 Mar 2012

|?

| 60.4

| 39.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=45/48}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 42.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=52/55}}

| 9.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8/10}}

| 2.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 3.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 2.8

GAD3{{cite web|title=El PP ganará el domingo por mayoría absoluta pese al leve repunte de Griñán |url=http://www.libertaddigital.com/nacional/2012-03-19/el-pp-ganara-el-domingo-por-mayoria-absoluta-pese-al-leve-repunte-de-grinan-1276453417/ |language=es |work=Libertad Digital |date=19 March 2012}}

| 19 Mar 2012

|?

|?

| 38.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=44/48}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 46.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=55/58}}

| 8.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7/9}}

| 2.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 2.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 8.6

UJA{{cite web |title=El PP de Arenas se mueve en el entorno de la mayoría absoluta |url=http://diariodigital.ujaen.es/files_viccom/1903201204.pdf |language=es |work=Diario Jaén |date=19 March 2012 |access-date=6 March 2015 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150402092358/http://diariodigital.ujaen.es/files_viccom/1903201204.pdf |archive-date=2 April 2015 |url-status=dead }}

| 12–16 Mar 2012

| 1,500

|?

| 36.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=43/45}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 42.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=53/56}}

| 10.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9/10}}

| 2.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| 3.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 6.1

Sigma Dos/El Mundo{{cite web|title=El PP sigue sin amarrar la mayoría absoluta a una semana de los comicios |url=http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-CFAfKrA3Ui0/T2Vyk-NrR_I/AAAAAAAABMw/Q2s36eNYUvo/s1600/3+ENCUESTA+EL+MUNDO+SIGMA+DOS+Elecciones+Andalucia+Resultado+estimado+por+provincias.jpg |language=es |work=El Mundo |date=18 March 2012}}

| 12–15 Mar 2012

| 2,000

|?

| 36.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=43/44}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 45.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=54/57}}

| 8.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7/9}}

| 2.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| 3.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1/2}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 9.8

Metroscopia/El País{{cite web |title=Victoria clara del PP en Andalucía |url=https://politica.elpais.com/politica/2012/03/17/actualidad/1332013184_144743.html |language=es |work=El País |date=17 March 2012}}{{cite web |title=Victoria clara del PP en Andalucía (El País) |url=http://www.electometro.es:80/2012/03/el-pp-consigue-la-mayoria-absoluta-y-el-psoe-se-desploma-el-pais/ |language=es |work=Electómetro |date=18 March 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120406205654/http://www.electometro.es/2012/03/el-pp-consigue-la-mayoria-absoluta-y-el-psoe-se-desploma-el-pais/ |archive-date=6 April 2012 |access-date=8 August 2021 |url-status=live }}

| 6–15 Mar 2012

| 1,200

|?

| 34.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=41}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 47.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=59}}

| 8.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 2.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 3.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 12.9

NC Report/La Razón{{cite web|title=Arenas arrebata al PSOE 245.000 votantes para su mayoría absoluta |url=http://www.larazon.es/noticia/8897-arenas-arrebata-al-psoe-245-000-votantes-para-su-mayoria-absoluta |language=es |work=La Razón |date=19 March 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120321205901/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/8897-arenas-arrebata-al-psoe-245-000-votantes-para-su-mayoria-absoluta |archive-date=21 March 2012 }}{{cite web |title=El PP aventaja en 10 puntos al PSOE y consigue la mayoría absoluta (La Razón) |url=http://www.electometro.es:80/2012/03/el-pp-aventaja-en-10-puntos-al-psoe-y-consigue-la-mayoria-absoluta-la-razon |language=es |work=Electómetro |date=19 March 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120422101856/http://www.electometro.es/2012/03/el-pp-aventaja-en-10-puntos-al-psoe-y-consigue-la-mayoria-absoluta-la-razon |archive-date=22 April 2012 |access-date=8 August 2021 |url-status=live }}

| 1–15 Mar 2012

| 2,700

| 67.6

| 36.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=42/44}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 46.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=55/57}}

| 9.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7/9}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| 4.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/2}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 9.9

Opinión 2000/Cadena SER{{cite web |title=El PP alcanza la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía |url=http://cadenaser.com/ser/2012/03/16/espana/1331859013_850215.html |language=es |work=Cadena SER |date=16 March 2012}}{{cite web |title=Comunidad Autónoma de Andalucía. Resultados Encuesta. Marzo 2012 |url=http://www.cadenaser.com/static/pulsometro/anteriores/Pulsometro160312andalucia.pdf |language=es |work=Instituto de Opinión 2000 |date=16 March 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120627161317/http://www.cadenaser.com/static/pulsometro/anteriores/Pulsometro160312andalucia.pdf |archive-date=27 June 2012 }}

| 12–13 Mar 2012

| 800

|?

| 36.0

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 46.7

| 8.8

| 4.1

| 2.8

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 10.7

IMC/ABC{{cite web |title=Arenas afianza su mayoría absoluta |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2012/03/18/020.html |language=es |work=ABC Sevilla |date=18 March 2012}}{{cite web |title=Ni Sevilla resiste la marea del PP |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2012/03/18/021.html |language=es |work=ABC Sevilla |date=18 March 2012}}

| 7–12 Mar 2012

| 1,000

|?

| 35.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=43}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 47.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=58}}

| 8.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 1.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 4.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 11.4

Low Cost/La Gaceta{{cite web|title=Arenas ganará en Andalucía por mayoría absoluta |url=http://www.intereconomia.com/noticias-gaceta/politica/arenas-ganara-andalucia-por-mayoria-absoluta-20120317 |language=es |work=Intereconomía |date=18 March 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120319035004/http://www.intereconomia.com/noticias-gaceta/politica/arenas-ganara-andalucia-por-mayoria-absoluta-20120317 |archive-date=19 March 2012 }}

| 5–12 Mar 2012

| 1,500

|?

| 37.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=44}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 45.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=57}}

| 8.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| –

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 8.0

GAD3{{cite web|title=PP-A ganaría por mayoría absoluta con 56-58 escaños y 9,4 puntos sobre el PSOE-A, según una encuesta de GAD3 |url=http://www.europapress.es/andalucia/elecciones-00761/noticia-pp-ganaria-mayoria-absoluta-56-58-escanos-94-puntos-psoe-encuesta-gad3-20120309152722.html |language=es |work=Europa Press |date=9 March 2012}}{{cite web |title=El PP andaluz supera al PSOE en 9,4 puntos (GAD3) |url=http://www.electometro.es:80/2012/03/el-pp-andaluz-supera-al-psoe-en-94-puntos-gad3/ |language=es |work=Electómetro |date=12 March 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120414195006/http://www.electometro.es/2012/03/el-pp-andaluz-supera-al-psoe-en-94-puntos-gad3/ |archive-date=14 April 2012 |access-date=8 August 2021 |url-status=live }}

| 5–8 Mar 2012

| 750

| 63

| 36.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=42/45}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 46.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=56/58}}

| 9.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7/10}}

| 2.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 2.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 9.4

NC Report/La Razón{{cite web|title=El PSOE pierde 662.000 votantes |url=http://www.larazon.es/noticia/7851-el-psoe-pierde-662-000-votantes |language=es |work=La Razón |date=12 March 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120314165743/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/7851-el-psoe-pierde-662-000-votantes |archive-date=14 March 2012 }}{{cite web |title=El PP andaluz capta 250.000 votos del PSOE (La Razón) |url=http://www.electometro.es:80/2012/03/el-pp-andaluz-capta-250-000-votos-del-psoe-la-razon |language=es |work=Electómetro |date=12 March 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120415022205/http://www.electometro.es/2012/03/el-pp-andaluz-capta-250-000-votos-del-psoe-la-razon |archive-date=15 April 2012 |access-date=8 August 2021 |url-status=live }}

| 20 Feb–6 Mar 2012

| 2,700

| 67.7

| 35.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=41/44}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 45.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=55/57}}

| 9.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8/9}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| 4.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/2}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 10.0

Commentia/Grupo Joly{{cite web|title=El PP de Javier Arenas se sitúa en el umbral de la mayoría absoluta |url=http://www.diariodesevilla.es/andaluzas2012/PP-Javier-Arenas-mayoria-absoluta_0_568743177.html |language=es |work=Diario de Sevilla |date=11 March 2012}}{{cite web |title=El PSOE recorta distancias en Andalucía (Grupo Joly) |url=http://www.electometro.es:80/2012/03/el-psoe-recorta-distancias-en-andalucia-grupo-joly/ |language=es |work=Electómetro |date=12 March 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120314222859/http://www.electometro.es/2012/03/el-psoe-recorta-distancias-en-andalucia-grupo-joly/ |archive-date=14 March 2012 |access-date=8 August 2021 |url-status=live }}

| 13–29 Feb 2012

| 1,001

|?

| 36.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=44/47}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 45.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=54/57}}

| 8.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7/8}}

| 2.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 3.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 8.3

CIS{{cite web |title=Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas 2012. Comunidad Autónoma de Andalucía (Estudio nº 2931. Febrero 2012) |url=http://datos.cis.es/pdf/Es2931mar_A.pdf |language=es |work=CIS |date=8 March 2012}}{{cite web |title=El sondeo del CIS no garantiza al PP la conquista de Andalucía |url=http://hemeroteca.lavanguardia.com/preview/2012/03/09/pagina-12/89036546/pdf.html |language=es |work=La Vanguardia |date=9 March 2012}}

| 15–27 Feb 2012

| 3,139

|?

| 37.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=44/46}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 44.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=54/55}}

| 9.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9/10}}

| 2.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 2.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 7.2

Sigma Dos/El Mundo{{cite web|title=El PP tiene en su mano la mayoría absoluta a un mes de los comicios |url=http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-Kyhu2OUW1VY/T0xlVkEEgfI/AAAAAAAAA0o/nmITEX2aajs/s1600/2+SONDEO+EL+MUNDO+-+SIGMA+DOS+Elecciones+en+Andalucia+El+PP+aventaja+en+8,7++puntos+al+PSOE+pero+podria+depender+de+UPyD+para+gobernar.jpg |language=es |work=El Mundo |date=28 February 2012}}

| 22–24 Feb 2012

| 2,000

|?

| 36.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=42/44}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 45.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=54/57}}

| 9.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8/9}}

| 2.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| 4.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1/2}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 8.7

GESPA/PP{{cite web |title=Encuesta preelectoral Andalucía. Febrero 2012 |url=http://s.libertaddigital.com/doc/encuenta-gespa-para-el-pp-41912517.pdf |language=es |work=GESPA |date=27 February 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140814213833/http://s.libertaddigital.com/doc/encuenta-gespa-para-el-pp-41912517.pdf |archive-date=14 August 2014 }}

| 6–22 Feb 2012

| 2,000

|?

| 37.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=43/44}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 46.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=56/58}}

| 7.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6/7}}

| 2.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 3.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 9.5

IMC/ABC{{cite web |title=El PP consolida la mayoría absoluta |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2012/02/28/020.html |language=es |work=ABC Sevilla |date=28 February 2012}}{{cite web |title=El PP ganaría en todas las provincias menos en Sevilla |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2012/02/29/046.html |language=es |work=ABC Sevilla |date=29 February 2012}}

| 8–16 Feb 2012

| 1,500

|?

| 36.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=43/44}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 46.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=56/60}}

| 8.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5/7}}

| 2.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 4.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1/2}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 10.1

Nexo/CEPES–A{{cite web |title=Un sondeo rebaja las opciones de Arenas de lograr la mayoría absoluta |url=http://www.cepes-andalucia.es/fileadmin/media/noticias/Resenas_12_Mar/res_44036234.pdf |language=es |work=El Correo de Andalucía |date=28 February 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140728030917/http://www.cepes-andalucia.es/fileadmin/media/noticias/Resenas_12_Mar/res_44036234.pdf |archive-date=28 July 2014 }}{{cite web |title=Un sondeo del PP le da la mayoría absoluta con 9,5 puntos sobre el PSOE |url=http://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/sondeo-PP-mayoria-absoluta-PSOE_0_564844133.html |language=es |work=Diario de Sevilla |date=27 February 2012}}

| 1–14 Feb 2012

| 1,600

| 71.5

| 37.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=46/47}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 45.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=53/57}}

| 7.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6/8}}

| 2.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| 3.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 7.5

NC Report/La Razón{{cite web|title=El PP conquista Sevilla ante el descalabro de Griñán |url=http://www.larazon.es/noticia/5182-el-pp-conquista-sevilla-ante-el-descalabro-de-grinan |language=es |work=La Razón |date=14 February 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120215135609/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/5182-el-pp-conquista-sevilla-ante-el-descalabro-de-grinan |archive-date=15 February 2012 }}

| 1–13 Feb 2012

|?

| 67.6

| 34.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=41}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 47.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=57}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 13.2

NC Report/La Razón{{cite web|title=Arenas tumba a Griñán |url=http://www.larazon.es/noticia/2428-arenas-tumba-a-grinan |language=es |work=La Razón |date=30 January 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120201180205/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/2428-arenas-tumba-a-grinan |archive-date=1 February 2012 }}{{cite web |title=Cinco partidos podrían entrar en el Parlamento Andaluz (La Razón) |url=http://www.electometro.es:80/2012/01/cinco-partidos-podrian-entrar-en-el-parlamento-andaluz-la-razon/ |language=es |work=Electómetro |date=30 January 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120305002514/http://www.electometro.es/2012/01/cinco-partidos-podrian-entrar-en-el-parlamento-andaluz-la-razon/ |archive-date=5 March 2012 |access-date=8 August 2021 |url-status=live }}

| 30 Jan 2012

|?

| 67.3

| 35.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=44}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 46.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=55}}

| 8.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 2.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 3.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 11.3

IMC/ABC{{cite web |title=El hundimiento del PSOE consolida la mayoría absoluta del PP en Andalucía |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2012/02/03/018.html |language=es |work=ABC |date=3 February 2012}}

| 16–24 Jan 2012

| 1,500

|?

| 35.2

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 47.1

| 8.5

| 2.1

| 4.7

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 11.9

Low Cost/Libertad Digital{{cite web|title=La mayoría absoluta de Arenas pende de dos escaños |url=http://www.libertaddigital.com/nacional/2012-01-22/la-mayoria-absoluta-del-pp-en-andalucia-pende-de-dos-escanos-en-disputa-1276447691/ |language=es |work=Libertad Digital |date=22 January 2012}}{{cite web |title=El PP conseguiría una ajustada mayoría absoluta en Andalucía (Libertad Digital) |url=http://www.electometro.es:80/2012/01/el-pp-conseguiria-una-ajustada-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-libertad-digital/ |language=es |work=Electómetro |date=24 January 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120201192738/http://www.electometro.es/2012/01/el-pp-conseguiria-una-ajustada-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-libertad-digital/ |archive-date=1 February 2012 |access-date=8 August 2021 |url-status=live }}

| 22 Jan 2012

| 2,400

|?

| 36.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=44}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 43.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=56}}

| 9.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| –

| 4.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 7.1

CADPEA/UGR{{cite web|title=Estudio General de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. EGOPA Otoño 2011 |url=http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_51/CUADERNO%20EGOPA%20OTO%C3%91O%202011.pdf |language=es |work=CADPEA |date=12 January 2012|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120621025822/http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_51/CUADERNO%20EGOPA%20OTO%C3%91O%202011.pdf |archive-date=21 June 2012 }}{{cite web |title=El escenario más probable en Andalucía es una mayoría absoluta del PP |url=http://www.electometro.es:80/2012/01/el-escenario-mas-probable-en-andalucia-es-una-mayoria-absoluta-del-pp/ |language=es |work=Electómetro |date=20 January 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120123112545/http://www.electometro.es/2012/01/el-escenario-mas-probable-en-andalucia-es-una-mayoria-absoluta-del-pp/ |archive-date=23 January 2012 |access-date=8 August 2021 |url-status=live }}

| 1–30 Dec 2011

| 3,200

| 63.4

| 37.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=45/47}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 47.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=56/58}}

| 6.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5/6}}

| 2.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 3.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 9.4

style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2011 general election

| 20 Nov 2011

| {{N/A}}

| 68.9

| 36.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(44)}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 45.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(58)}}

| 8.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(5)}}

| 1.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(0)}}

| 4.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(2)}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 9.0

Commentia/Grupo Joly{{cite web|title=Barómetro Joly de Opinión Pública en Andalucía: resultados acumulados a octubre de 2011 (9ª ola) |url=http://media.grupojoly.com//0000958500/0000958532.pdf |language=es |work=Commentia |date=6 November 2011|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111109220731/http://media.grupojoly.com//0000958500/0000958532.pdf |archive-date=9 November 2011 }}{{cite web |title=Andaluzas: Arenas le saca 14,6 puntos a Griñan (Grupo Joly) |url=http://www.electometro.es:80/2011/11/andaluzas-arenas-le-saca-146-puntos-a-grinan-grupo-joly/ |language=es |work=Electómetro |date=6 November 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111228011057/http://www.electometro.es/2011/11/andaluzas-arenas-le-saca-146-puntos-a-grinan-grupo-joly/ |archive-date=28 December 2011 |access-date=8 August 2021 |url-status=live }}

| 18–24 Oct 2011

| 501

|?

| 34.8

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 49.4

| 8.4

| 2.0

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 14.6

IESA/CSIC{{cite web |title=Barómetro de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. Noviembre, 2011 |url=http://www.iesa.csic.es/publicaciones/200520130.pdf |language=es |work=IESA |date=30 November 2011 |access-date=5 January 2018 |archive-date=6 January 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180106071927/http://www.iesa.csic.es/publicaciones/200520130.pdf |url-status=dead }}{{cite web |title=Javier Arenas ganaría las próximas elecciones al Parlamento de Andalucía (IESA) |url=http://www.electometro.es:80/2011/11/javier-arenas-ganaria-las-proximas-elecciones-al-parlamento-de-andalucia-iesa |language=es |work=Electómetro |date=30 November 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120108022819/http://www.electometro.es/2011/11/javier-arenas-ganaria-las-proximas-elecciones-al-parlamento-de-andalucia-iesa |archive-date=8 January 2012 |access-date=8 August 2021 |url-status=live }}

| 26 Sep–21 Oct 2011

| 3,682

| 69.8

| 36.0

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 46.4

| 8.1

| 2.8

| 3.2

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 10.4

ABC{{cite web|title=Maquillan un sondeo oficial para que Griñán supere a Arenas en valoración |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2011/07/29/034.html |language=es |work=ABC Sevilla |date=29 July 2011}}

| 29 Jul 2011

|?

| 68.2

| 33.2

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 50.2

| 8.3

| 2.3

| 1.5

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 17.0

Sigma Dos/PP{{cite web|title=Otra encuesta, la primera tras el 22M, da al PP mayoría absoluta |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2011/07/24/046.html |language=es |work=ABC Sevilla |date=24 July 2011}}

| 14–19 Jul 2011

| 800

|?

| 34.2

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 50.4

| 7.7

| 2.8

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 16.2

CADPEA/UGR{{cite web|title=Estudio General de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. EGOPA Verano 2011 |url=http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_50/EGOPA%20VERANO%202011.pdf |language=es |work=CADPEA |date=29 July 2011|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110924195126/http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_50/EGOPA%20VERANO%202011.pdf |archive-date=24 September 2011 }}

| 6 Jun–11 Jul 2011

| 3,600

| 69.9

| 34.3

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 48.9

| 8.3

| 2.4

| 1.4

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 14.6

IMOP/PSOE{{cite web|title=Una encuesta interna del PSOE da al PP 7 puntos de ventaja en Andalucía |url=http://elcorreoweb.es/historico/una-encuesta-interna-del-psoe-da-al-pp-7-puntos-de-ventaja-en-andalucia-LGEC338157 |language=es |work=El Correo de Andalucía |date=28 July 2011}}

| 4–10 Jul 2011

| 1,514

|?

| 39.0

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 46.0

| 6.8

| 2.5

| 3.0

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 7.0

style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2011 local elections

| 22 May 2011

| {{N/A}}

| 65.8

| 32.5

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 39.4

| 12.0

| 5.7

| 1.8

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 6.9

Sigma Dos/El Mundo{{cite web|title=El PP amarra la mayoría pero frena su ascenso |url=http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-Kpdd_uIkeaw/TbZa099SRTI/AAAAAAAAA0c/bb9kH4YrUjI/s1600/4d+SONDEO+EL+MUNDO-SIGMA+DOS+%2528III%2529++Andalucia+El+PP+amarra+la+mayoria.jpg |language=es |work=El Mundo |date=26 April 2011}}{{cite web |title=El Mundo 25-27 de Abril 2011 |url=https://es.scribd.com/document/141982762/El-Mundo-25-27-de-Abril-2011 |language=es |work=El Mundo |date=25 April 2011}}{{cite web |title=El PP ganaría con mayoría absoluta en Andalucía (El Mundo) |url=http://www.electometro.es:80/2011/04/el-pp-ganaria-con-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-el-mundo/ |language=es |work=Electómetro |date=26 April 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110429021911/http://www.electometro.es/2011/04/el-pp-ganaria-con-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-el-mundo/ |archive-date=29 April 2011 |access-date=8 August 2021 |url-status=live }}

| 12–15 Apr 2011

| 1,200

|?

| 36.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=43/46}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 48.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=56/60}}

| 7.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6/7}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 11.2

Metroscopia/El País{{cite web |title=El PP ganaría por mayoría absoluta en Andalucía tras 30 años de autonomía |url=https://elpais.com/diario/2011/02/28/espana/1298847607_850215.html |language=es |work=El País |date=28 February 2011}}{{cite web |title=Vuelco electoral en Andalucía tras 30 años de gobierno socialista (El País) |url=http://www.electometro.es:80/2011/02/vuelco-electoral-en-andalucia-tras-30-anos-de-gobierno-socialista-el-pais/ |language=es |work=Electómetro |date=28 February 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110303151311/http://www.electometro.es/2011/02/vuelco-electoral-en-andalucia-tras-30-anos-de-gobierno-socialista-el-pais/ |archive-date=3 March 2011 |access-date=8 August 2021 |url-status=live }}

| 21–22 Feb 2011

| 804

|?

| 35.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=45}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 47.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=57}}

| 8.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 12.3

IMC/ABC{{cite web |title=El PP saca siete puntos al PSOE y consolida sus opciones de gobernar |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2011/02/28/038.html |language=es |work=ABC Sevilla |date=28 February 2011}}{{cite web |title=El PP saca siete puntos al PSOE y consolida sus opciones de gobernar |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2011/02/28/018.html |language=es |work=ABC |date=28 February 2011}}

| 10–20 Feb 2011

| 1,600

|?

| 38.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=45}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 45.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=57}}

| 7.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 2.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 7.1

Sigma Dos/Vocento{{cite web |title=El PP dobla la ventaja sobre el PSOE en un año y se sitúa en la mayoría absoluta |url=http://www.lavozdigital.es/cadiz/20110227/local/andalucia/dobla-ventaja-sobre-psoe-201102271150.html |language=es |work=La Voz de Cádiz |date=27 February 2011}}{{cite web |title=El PP dobla la ventaja sobre el PSOE en un año y se sitúa en la mayoría absoluta |url=http://www.diariosur.es/20110227/andalucia/dobla-ventaja-sobre-psoe-20110227.html |language=es |work=Diario Sur |date=27 February 2011}}

| 15–18 Feb 2011

| 800

|?

| 38.2

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 47.6

| 7.7

| 1.3

| 1.8

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 9.4

Commentia/Grupo Joly{{cite web|title=El PP acrecienta la diferencia con el PSOE y lo deja a 10,2 puntos |url=http://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/PP-acrecienta-diferencia-PSOE-puntos_0_455354893.html |language=es |work=Diario de Sevilla |date=27 February 2011}}{{cite web |title=Arenas amplía su ventaja sobre Griñán (Barómetro grupo Joly) |url=http://www.electometro.es:80/2011/02/arenas-amplia-su-ventaja-sobre-grinan-barometro-grupo-joly/ |language=es |work=Electómetro |date=27 February 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110228201623/http://www.electometro.es/2011/02/arenas-amplia-su-ventaja-sobre-grinan-barometro-grupo-joly/ |archive-date=28 February 2011 |access-date=8 August 2021 |url-status=live }}

| 9–16 Feb 2011

| 500

|?

| 36.9

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 47.1

| 8.5

| 2.9

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 10.2

GESPA/PP{{cite web |title=El PP obtendría la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía (Gespa) |url=http://www.electometro.es:80/2011/02/el-pp-obtendria-la-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-gespa/ |language=es |work=Electómetro |date=21 February 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110225210338/http://www.electometro.es/2011/02/el-pp-obtendria-la-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-gespa/ |archive-date=25 February 2011 |access-date=8 August 2021 |url-status=live }}

| 1–4 Feb 2011

| 1,111

|?

| 37.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=45}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 46.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=56/57}}

| 7.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7/8}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 9.1

Nexo/CEPES–A{{cite web |title=Instantáneas de la Sociedad Andaluza. Febrero, 2011 |url=http://www.cepes-andalucia.es/fileadmin/media/noticias/Tripticos/20110221_Resumen_Informe_Instantaneas_de_la_Sociedad_Andaluza.pdf |language=es |work=CEPES–A |date=21 February 2011|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110303151158/http://www.cepes-andalucia.es/fileadmin/media/noticias/Tripticos/20110221_Resumen_Informe_Instantaneas_de_la_Sociedad_Andaluza.pdf |archive-date=3 March 2011 }}{{cite web |title=Otra encuesta sitúa a Arenas al filo de la mayoría absoluta y al PSOE en caída libre |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2011/02/22/040.html |language=es |work=ABC Sevilla |date=22 February 2011}}

| 18 Jan–2 Feb 2011

| 1,200

| 73.0

| 39.7

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 46.2

| 7.6

| 3.2

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 6.5

NC Report/La Razón{{cite web |title=El PP conquista los grandes feudos de los socialistas |url=http://www.larazon.es:80/noticia/1719-el-pp-conquista-los-grandes-feudos-de-los-socialistas |language=es |work=La Razón |date=22 January 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110305113906/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/1719-el-pp-conquista-los-grandes-feudos-de-los-socialistas |archive-date=5 March 2011 |access-date=6 May 2013 |url-status=dead }}{{cite web |title=El PP, a un paso de la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía y Castilla La Mancha (La Razón) |url=http://www.electometro.es:80/2011/01/el-pp-a-un-paso-de-la-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-y-castilla-la-mancha-la-razon/ |language=es |work=Electómetro |date=22 January 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110126225812/http://www.electometro.es/2011/01/el-pp-a-un-paso-de-la-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-y-castilla-la-mancha-la-razon/ |archive-date=26 January 2011 |access-date=8 August 2021 |url-status=live }}

| 30 Dec–3 Jan 2011

|?

|?

| 39.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=46/47}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 46.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=53/54}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 7.1

Sigma Dos/El Mundo{{cite web|title=El PP de Arenas obtiene una mayoría absoluta más sólida que la del PSOE |url=http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_0X0fuad8-LY/TSgtJE6hG0I/AAAAAAAAAMg/Ox9wySP_fWQ/s1600/4+Super+ENCUESTA+SIGMA+DOS-+EL+MUNDO+ANDALUCIA.jpg |language=es |work=El Mundo |date=8 January 2011}}{{cite web |title=Vuelco andaluz (El Mundo) |url=http://www.electometro.es:80/2011/01/vuelco-andaluz-el-mundo/ |language=es |work=Electómetro |date=8 January 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110111054112/http://www.electometro.es/2011/01/vuelco-andaluz-el-mundo/ |archive-date=11 January 2011 |access-date=8 August 2021 |url-status=live }}

| 20–23 Dec 2010

| 1,200

|?

| 36.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=41/46}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 49.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=56/64}}

| 7.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4/7}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 12.9

CADPEA/UGR{{cite web|title=Estudio General de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. EGOPA Otoño 2010 |url=http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_49/CUADERNO%20EGOPA%20OTO%C3%91O%2010.pdf |language=es |work=CADPEA |date=24 January 2011|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110720162222/http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_49/CUADERNO%20EGOPA%20OTO%C3%91O%2010.pdf |archive-date=20 July 2011 }}

| 24 Nov–22 Dec 2010

| 3,200

| 75.2

| 36.2

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 45.4

| 8.2

| 2.3

| 1.4

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 9.2

IESA/CSIC{{cite web |title=Barómetro de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. Diciembre, 2010 |url=http://www.iesa.csic.es/publicaciones/301120111.pdf |language=es |work=IESA |date=20 December 2010 |access-date=6 May 2013 |archive-date=27 June 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120627093301/http://www.iesa.csic.es/publicaciones/301120111.pdf |url-status=dead }}{{cite web |title=El PP sostiene que la encuesta del IESA le otorgaría 58 escaños |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2010/12/23/037.html |language=es |work=ABC Sevilla |date=23 December 2010}}

| 18 Oct–18 Nov 2010

| 3,655

| 71.0

| 37.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=43}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 46.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=58}}

| 8.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 2.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 1.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 9.1

Commentia/Grupo Joly{{cite web|title=El giro político de Zapatero apenas recorta la ventaja del PP andaluz |url=http://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/politico-Zapatero-ventaja-PP-andaluz_0_421758330.html |language=es |work=Diario de Sevilla |date=7 November 2010}}{{cite web |title=El PP roza la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía (barómetro grupo Joly) |url=http://www.electometro.es:80/2010/11/el-pp-roza-la-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-barometro-grupo-joly/ |language=es |work=Electómetro |date=7 November 2010 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20101110023542/http://www.electometro.es/2010/11/el-pp-roza-la-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-barometro-grupo-joly/ |archive-date=10 November 2010 |access-date=8 August 2021 |url-status=live }}

| 21–27 Oct 2010

| 502

|?

| 39.1

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 46.2

| 7.0

| 2.7

| 2.1

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 7.1

GESPA/PP{{cite web |title=Un nuevo sondeo da al PP-A la mayoría absoluta por cuarta vez consecutiva |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2010/10/04/041.html |language=es |work=ABC Sevilla |date=4 October 2010}}{{cite web |title=Sondeo de opinión pública en Andalucía. Septiembre 2010 |url=http://www.abc.es/gestordocumental/uploads/nacional/Encuesta%20Septiembre%202010.pdf |language=es |work=GESPA |date=3 October 2010}}{{cite web |title=El PP obtendría la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía (encuesta propia) |url=http://www.electometro.es:80/2010/10/el-pp-obtendria-la-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-encuesta-propia/ |language=es |work=Electómetro |date=3 October 2010 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20101208043702/http://www.electometro.es/2010/10/el-pp-obtendria-la-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-encuesta-propia/ |archive-date=8 December 2010 |access-date=8 August 2021 |url-status=live }}

| 20–26 Sep 2010

| 1,111

|?

| 38.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=45/46}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 45.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=56/57}}

| 7.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 2.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 1.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 7.3

CADPEA/UGR{{cite web|title=Estudio General de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. EGOPA Verano 2010 |url=http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_42/Cuaderno%20EGOPA%20Verano%202010.pdf |language=es |work=CADPEA |date=28 July 2010|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100928031441/http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_42/Cuaderno%20EGOPA%20Verano%202010.pdf |archive-date=28 September 2010 }}

| 7 Jun–6 Jul 2010

| 3,200

| 72.1

| 38.0

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 45.1

| 8.1

| 2.1

| 1.5

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 7.1

Commentia/Grupo Joly{{cite web|title=El PP rompe el empate con creces y adelanta al PSOE en siete puntos |url=http://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/PP-creces-adelanta-PSOE-puntos_0_381861912.html |language=es |work=Diario de Sevilla |date=27 June 2010}}

| 10–15 Jun 2010

| 806

|?

| 38.1

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 45.4

| 8.5

| 2.5

| 1.5

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 7.3

IMC/ABC{{cite web |title=El PP llega a las puertas de la Junta al lograr por primera vez mayoría absoluta |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2010/06/21/036.html |language=es |work=ABC Sevilla |date=21 June 2010}}

| 8–12 Jun 2010

| 817

|?

| 38.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=46}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 44.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=56}}

| 7.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 2.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 5.6

Metroscopia/El País{{cite web |title=El PP avanza y gana en Andalucía |url=https://elpais.com/diario/2010/02/28/espana/1267311604_850215.html |language=es |work=El País |date=28 February 2010}}{{cite web |title=El PP, a un paso del vuelco electoral |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2010/03/01/042.html |language=es |work=ABC Sevilla |date=1 March 2010}}

| 15–18 Feb 2010

| 804

|?

| 41.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=49}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 43.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=54}}

| 7.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 2.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 2.3

Commentia/Grupo Joly{{cite web|title=El PP no pasa del empate técnico en Andalucía |url=http://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/PP-pasa-empate-tecnico-Andalucia_0_345865637.html |language=es |work=Diario de Sevilla |date=27 February 2010}}

| 9–15 Feb 2010

| 1,000

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 42.9

| 42.5

| 7.5

| 2.5

| 2.0

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 0.4

Sigma Dos/Vocento{{cite web |title=El PP supera al PSOE en 3,9 puntos y lograría una amplia mayoría |url=http://www.lavozdigital.es/cadiz/20100228/local/andalucia/supera-psoe-puntos-lograria-201002280946.html |language=es |work=La Voz de Cádiz |date=28 February 2010}}

| 8–15 Feb 2010

| 800

|?

| 41.8

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 45.7

| 6.2

| 1.4

| 1.6

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 3.9

IMC/ABC{{cite web |title=El PP gana al PSOE por 2,1 puntos y se queda a tres escaños de la mayoría absoluta |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2010/02/21/044.html |language=es |work=ABC Sevilla |date=21 February 2010}}

| 25 Jan–12 Feb 2010

| 1,600

|?

| 40.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=51}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 42.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=52}}

| 7.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 2.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 2.1

CADPEA/UGR{{cite web|title=Estudio General de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. EGOPA Invierno 2009-2010 |url=http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_40/CUADERNILLO%20EGOPA%20INVIERNO%202009-2010.pdf |language=es |work=CADPEA |date=18 February 2010|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100928034329/http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_40/CUADERNILLO%20EGOPA%20INVIERNO%202009-2010.pdf |archive-date=28 September 2010 }}

| 7–29 Jan 2010

| 3,200

| 76.7

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 43.2

| 41.9

| 7.1

| 2.8

| 1.4

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 1.3

PULSO/El Correo{{cite web|title=Una maratón con 'foto finish' |url=http://elcorreoweb.es/historico/una-maraton-con-foto-finish-GFEC218358 |language=es |work=El Correo de Andalucía |date=20 February 2010}}

| 11–28 Jan 2010

| 1,800

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 41.8

| 41.1

| 6.4

| 2.4

| 2.6

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 0.7

Nexo/CEPES–A{{cite web |title=Instantáneas de la Sociedad Andaluza. Febrero del 2010 |url=http://media.grupojoly.com//0000501000/0000501083.pdf |language=es |work=CEPES–A |date=16 February 2010|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140808175207/http://media.grupojoly.com//0000501000/0000501083.pdf |archive-date=8 August 2014 }}{{cite web |title=Un nuevo sondeo da al PP como vencedor en las elecciones autonómicas |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2010/02/16/036.html |language=es |work=ABC Sevilla |date=16 February 2010}}

| 20–28 Jan 2010

| 1,207

| 71.0

| 41.3

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 41.9

| 6.9

| 3.9

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 0.6

IESA/CSIC{{cite web |title=Barómetro de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. 2009 |url=http://www.iesa.csic.es/publicaciones/141220123.pdf |language=es |work=IESA |date=15 January 2010 |access-date=5 January 2018 |archive-date=6 January 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180106073520/http://www.iesa.csic.es/publicaciones/141220123.pdf |url-status=dead }}{{cite web |title=El PP ganaría hoy por primera vez al PSOE en las elecciones andaluzas |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2010/01/16/016.html |language=es |work=ABC |date=16 January 2010}}

| 1–30 Nov 2009

| 3,645

| 70.5

| 41.6

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 43.2

| 7.1

| 2.4

| 1.8

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 1.6

Commentia/Grupo Joly{{cite web|title=El desgaste de Zapatero y la respuesta a la crisis contagian al PSOE andaluz |url=http://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/desgaste-Zapatero-respuesta-contagian-PSOE_0_306269817.html |language=es |work=Diario de Sevilla |date=18 October 2009}}

| 23 Sep–2 Oct 2009

| 1,002

| 75

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 42.7

| 42.2

| 7.1

| 2.4

| 2.6

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 0.5

CADPEA/UGR{{cite web|title=Estudio General de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. EGOPA Verano 2009 |url=http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_39/CUADERNILLO%20EGOPA%20VERANO%202009.pdf |language=es |work=CADPEA |date=31 July 2009|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100928031643/http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_39/CUADERNILLO%20EGOPA%20VERANO%202009.pdf |archive-date=28 September 2010 }}

| 9 Jun–9 Jul 2009

| 3,200

| 74.9

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 46.2

| 39.7

| 6.7

| 2.6

| 1.1

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 6.5

Commentia/Grupo Joly{{cite web|title=El PSOE le sigue sacando 6,5 puntos al PP a pesar de la marcha de su líder |url=http://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/PSOE-sacando-puntos-PP-marcha_0_272672959.html |language=es |work=Diario de Sevilla |date=28 June 2009}}

| 28 Jun 2009

|?

| 75

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 45.6

| 39.1

| 7.5

| 2.7

| 2.4

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 6.5

GESPA/PP{{cite web |title=Un sondeo del PP le sitúa a 1,3 puntos del PSOE en intención de voto |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2009/07/04/040.html |language=es |work=ABC Sevilla |date=4 July 2009}}

| 16–24 Jun 2009

| 2,500

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 44.1

| 42.8

| 6.5

| 1.5

| 2.1

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 1.3

Grupo ESTIO/El Correo{{cite web |title=Un sondeo da mayoría absoluta al PSOE andaluz |url=https://elpais.com/diario/2009/06/22/andalucia/1245622933_850215.html |language=es |work=El País |date=22 June 2009}}

| 25 May–19 Jun 2009

| 1,400

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 48.6

| 40.2

| 6.2

| 1.8

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 8.4

style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2009 EP election

| 7 Jun 2009

| {{N/A}}

| 41.7

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 48.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(58)}}

| 39.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(48)}}

| 5.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(3)}}

| 1.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(0)}}

| 2.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(0)}}

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 8.5

Sigma Dos/Vocento{{cite web |title=Ligero desgaste del PSOE y mejora del PP |url=http://www.lavozdigital.es/cadiz/20090228/ciudadanos/ligero-desgaste-psoe-mejora-20090228.html |language=es |work=La Voz de Cádiz |date=28 February 2009}}{{cite web |title=El desgaste pasa factura al PSOE |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2009/03/01/050.html |language=es |work=ABC Sevilla |date=1 March 2009}}

| 19–23 Feb 2009

| 800

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 46.8

| 40.5

| 7.2

| 1.9

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 6.3

Metroscopia/El País{{cite web |title=El PP se sitúa a un punto del PSOE en Andalucía |url=https://elpais.com/elpais/2009/02/28/actualidad/1235812617_850215.html |language=es |work=El País |date=28 February 2009}}

| 10–12 Feb 2009

| 800

| 73.3

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 44.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=53/55}}

| 43.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=49/50}}

| 6.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5/6}}

| 2.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 1.1

Commentia/Grupo Joly{{cite web|title=El PSOE le sigue sacando siete puntos al PP a pesar de la crisis |url=http://www.diariodesevilla.es/sevilla/PSOE-sacando-puntos-PP-crisis_0_236676693.html |language=es |work=Diario de Sevilla |date=28 February 2009}}

| 29 Jan–11 Feb 2009

| 1,000

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 46.2

| 39.1

| 7.5

| 2.8

| 1.2

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 7.1

IMC/ABC{{cite web |title=El PSOE pierde su mayoría absoluta por la subida del PP, que se sitúa a sólo tres puntos |url=http://hemeroteca.sevilla.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2009/02/28/040.html |language=es |work=ABC Sevilla |date=28 February 2009}}

| 5–9 Feb 2009

| 1,600

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 45.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=54}}

| 42.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=49}}

| 6.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 1.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 3.2

Nexo/CEPES–A{{cite web |title=El PSOE baja tres puntos en intención de voto mientras el PP sigue subiendo |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2009/02/24/041.html |language=es |work=ABC Sevilla |date=24 February 2009}}

| 20–30 Jan 2009

| 1,202

| 70.5

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 45.8

| 39.6

| 7.9

| 3.1

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 6.2

Idea Asesores/PP{{cite web |title=Un sondeo del PP apunta el empate |url=https://elpais.com/diario/2009/01/10/andalucia/1231543331_850215.html |language=es |work=El País |date=10 January 2009}}{{cite web |title=Un sondeo del PP lo sitúa en "empate técnico" con el PSOE en las autonómicas |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2009/01/10/035.html |language=es |work=ABC Sevilla |date=10 January 2009}}

| 9–19 Dec 2008

| 2,000

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 44.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=52}}

| 43.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=51}}

| 7.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 1.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 1.6

CADPEA/UGR{{cite web|title=Estudio General de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. EGOPA Otoño 2008 |url=http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_32/EGOPA%20OTO%C3%91O%202008.pdf |language=es |work=CADPEA |date=22 January 2009|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140809184948/http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_32/EGOPA%20OTO%C3%91O%202008.pdf |archive-date=9 August 2014 }}

| 14 Nov–12 Dec 2008

| 3,200

| 74.7

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 46.2

| 38.8

| 7.5

| 2.2

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 7.4

IESA/CSIC{{cite web |title=Barómetro de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. Diciembre, 2008 |url=http://www.iesa.csic.es/publicaciones/031220130.pdf |language=es |work=IESA |date=10 January 2009 |access-date=5 January 2018 |archive-date=6 January 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180106072613/http://www.iesa.csic.es/publicaciones/031220130.pdf |url-status=dead }}{{cite web |title=La crisis castiga a Chaves, aunque volvería a ganar por mayoría absoluta |url=https://elpais.com/diario/2009/01/10/andalucia/1231543325_850215.html |language=es |work=El País |date=10 January 2009}}{{cite web|title=El PSOE andaluz aventaja en 6,2 puntos al PP en intención de voto |url=https://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/PSOE-andaluz-aventaja-PP-intencion_0_221678319.html |language=es |work=Diario de Sevilla |date=9 January 2009}}

| 10 Nov–5 Dec 2008

| 3,658

| 71.8

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 47.0

| 40.8

| 6.2

| 2.5

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 6.2

Commentia/Grupo Joly{{cite web|title=El PSOE apenas sufre el efecto de la crisis |url=http://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/PSOE-apenas-sufre-efecto-crisis_0_197080913.html |language=es |work=Diario de Sevilla |date=19 October 2008}}

| 20 Sep–2 Oct 2008

| 1,000

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 46.5

| 39.6

| 7.3

| 2.2

| 1.2

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 6.9

CADPEA/UGR{{cite web|title=Estudio General de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. EGOPA Verano 2008 |url=http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_31/cuadernillo%20EGOPA%20VERANO%202008.pdf |language=es |work=CADPEA |date=31 July 2008|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100928031824/http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_31/cuadernillo%20EGOPA%20VERANO%202008.pdf |archive-date=28 September 2010 }}

| 2 Jun–4 Jul 2008

| 3,200

| 74.0

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 46.7

| 38.1

| 7.9

| 2.0

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 8.6

colspan="10" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2008 regional election

| 9 Mar 2008

| {{N/A}}

| 72.7

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 48.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=56}}

| 38.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=47}}

| 7.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 2.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 0.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 9.9

colspan="10" style="background:#A0A0A0"|

=Voting preferences=

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

class="wikitable collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:center; font-size:90%; line-height:16px;"
style="height:42px;"

! style="width:250px;" rowspan="2"| Polling firm/Commissioner

! style="width:125px;" rowspan="2"| Fieldwork date

! style="width:50px;" rowspan="2"| Sample size

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo PSOE-A.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:People's Party (Spain) Logo (2008-2015).svg

! style="width:35px;"| IULV

! style="width:35px;"| File:PA logo.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo de UPyD.png

! style="width:35px;" rowspan="2"| {{Qmark}}

! style="width:35px;" rowspan="2"| {{cross}}

! style="width:30px;" rowspan="2"| Lead

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Andalusian Party}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Union, Progress and Democracy}};"|

colspan="11" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2012 regional election

| 25 Mar 2012

| {{N/A}}

| 24.5

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 25.2

| 7.0

| 1.6

| 2.1

| {{N/A}}

| 37.8

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 0.7

colspan="11" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
CIS

| 15–27 Feb 2012

| 3,139

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 29.6

| 25.3

| 7.9

| 1.6

| 1.7

| 19.9

| 9.6

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 4.3

CADPEA/UGR

| 1–30 Dec 2011

| 3,200

| 21.4

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 31.3

| 6.6

| 1.6

| 2.0

| 22.6

| 8.8

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 9.9

IESA/CSIC

| 26 Sep–21 Oct 2011

| 3,682

| 23.4

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 32.4

| 5.8

| 1.9

| 2.2

| 23.3

| 6.1

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 9.0

CADPEA/UGR

| 6 Jun–11 Jul 2011

| 3,600

| 18.5

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 32.0

| 5.9

| 1.8

| 1.6

| 27.8

| 8.3

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 13.5

IMC/ABC

| 10–20 Feb 2011

| 1,600

| 28.9

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 32.5

| 4.6

| 1.8

| –

| 25.9

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 3.6

CADPEA/UGR

| 24 Nov–22 Dec 2010

| 3,200

| 20.8

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 27.0

| 5.0

| 1.5

| 1.3

| 24.2

| 12.6

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 6.2

IESA/CSIC

| 18 Oct–18 Nov 2010

| 3,655

| 22.5

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 30.8

| 5.4

| 2.0

| 1.3

| 27.8

| 6.8

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 8.3

CADPEA/UGR

| 7 Jun–6 Jul 2010

| 3,200

| 22.5

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 25.4

| 5.7

| 1.6

| 1.4

| 21.7

| 13.6

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 2.9

IMC/ABC

| 25 Jan–12 Feb 2010

| 1,600

| 31.7

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 32.4

| 3.5

| 1.9

| –

| 25.4

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 0.7

CADPEA/UGR

| 7–29 Jan 2010

| 3,200

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 24.7

| 24.0

| 5.1

| 2.2

| 1.9

| 21.6

| 14.0

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 0.7

Nexo/CEPES–A

| 20–28 Jan 2010

| 1,207

| 22.2

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 26.3

| 4.2

| 2.8

| 1.8

| 23.4

| 10.0

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 4.1

IESA/CSIC

| 1–30 Nov 2009

| 3,645

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 28.7

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 28.7

| 5.3

| 2.2

| 0.6

| 21.8

| 8.1

| style="background:gray; color:white;"| Tie

CADPEA/UGR

| 9 Jun–9 Jul 2009

| 3,200

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 26.9

| 22.6

| 5.1

| 1.3

| 2.4

| 24.1

| 13.1

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 4.3

CADPEA/UGR

| 14 Nov–12 Dec 2008

| 3,200

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 31.9

| 21.0

| 4.5

| 1.4

| 1.0

| 23.5

| 11.6

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 10.9

IESA/CSIC

| 10 Nov–5 Dec 2008

| 3,658

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 32.0

| 27.0

| 4.8

| 2.2

| –

| 22.8

| 6.9

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 5.0

CADPEA/UGR

| 2 Jun–4 Jul 2008

| 3,200

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 28.2

| 23.6

| 5.6

| 2.4

| 0.9

| 21.3

| 11.1

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 4.6

colspan="11" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2008 regional election

| 9 Mar 2008

| {{N/A}}

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 35.3

| 28.3

| 5.2

| 2.0

| 0.4

| {{N/A}}

| 26.4

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 7.0

colspan="11" style="background:#A0A0A0"|

=Victory preferences=

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

class="wikitable collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:center; font-size:90%; line-height:16px;"
style="height:42px;"

! style="width:250px;" rowspan="2"| Polling firm/Commissioner

! style="width:125px;" rowspan="2"| Fieldwork date

! style="width:50px;" rowspan="2"| Sample size

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo PSOE-A.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:People's Party (Spain) Logo (2008-2015).svg

! style="width:35px;"| IULV

! style="width:35px;"| File:PA logo.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo de UPyD.png

! style="width:35px;" rowspan="2"| Other/
None

! style="width:35px;" rowspan="2"| {{Qmark}}

! style="width:30px;" rowspan="2"| Lead

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Andalusian Party}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Union, Progress and Democracy}};"|

Opinión 2000/Cadena SER

| 12–13 Mar 2012

| 800

| 30.9

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 38.4

| 6.5

| 2.0

| 2.8

| 7.5

| 12.1

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 7.5

CIS

| 15–27 Feb 2012

| 3,139

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 33.6

| 28.3

| 9.1

| 2.1

| 2.1

| 2.0

| 22.8

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 5.3

IESA/CSIC

| 26 Sep–21 Oct 2011

| 3,682

| 26.8

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 35.0

| 6.9

| 2.7

| 2.0

| 2.7

| 23.8

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 8.2

Metroscopia/El País

| 21–22 Feb 2011

| 804

| 36.0

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 49.0

| –

| –

| –

| colspan="2"| 15.0

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 13.0

IESA/CSIC

| 18 Oct–18 Nov 2010

| 3,655

| 25.8

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 35.0

| 6.1

| 2.8

| 1.6

| 1.4

| 27.4

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 9.2

GESPA/PP

| 20–26 Sep 2010

| 1,111

| 27.6

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 33.4

| 6.8

| 5.3

| 1.1

| 2.3

| 26.9

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 5.8

CADPEA/UGR

| 7 Jun–6 Jul 2010

| 3,200

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 28.8

| 28.3

| 8.1

| 3.5

| 1.8

| 2.3

| 27.3

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 0.5

Metroscopia/El País

| 15–18 Feb 2010

| 804

| 37.0

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 42.0

| –

| –

| –

| colspan="2"| 21.0

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 5.0

IESA/CSIC

| 1–30 Nov 2009

| 3,645

| 31.0

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 31.2

| 6.3

| 3.2

| 1.9

| 2.0

| 24.5

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 0.2

Metroscopia/El País

| 10–12 Feb 2009

| 800

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 43.0

| 42.0

| –

| –

| –

| colspan="2"| 15.0

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 1.0

IESA/CSIC

| 10 Nov–5 Dec 2008

| 3,658

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 35.0

| 29.7

| 6.2

| 3.0

| –

| colspan="2"| 26.1

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 5.3

=Victory likelihood=

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

class="wikitable collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:center; font-size:90%; line-height:16px;"
style="height:42px;"

! style="width:250px;" rowspan="2"| Polling firm/Commissioner

! style="width:125px;" rowspan="2"| Fieldwork date

! style="width:50px;" rowspan="2"| Sample size

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo PSOE-A.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:People's Party (Spain) Logo (2008-2015).svg

! style="width:35px;"| IULV

! style="width:35px;"| File:PA logo.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo de UPyD.png

! style="width:35px;" rowspan="2"| Other/
None

! style="width:35px;" rowspan="2"| {{Qmark}}

! style="width:30px;" rowspan="2"| Lead

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Andalusian Party}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Union, Progress and Democracy}};"|

GAD3

| 19 Mar 2012

|?

| 22.0

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 63.0

| –

| –

| –

| colspan="2"| 15.0

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 41.0

Opinión 2000/Cadena SER

| 12–13 Mar 2012

| 800

| 12.9

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 65.4

| 0.9

| 0.3

| 0.3

| 0.1

| 20.3

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 52.5

IMC/ABC

| 7–12 Mar 2012

| 1,000

| 20.0

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 62.9

| –

| –

| –

| 0.6

| 16.5

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 42.9

CIS

| 15–27 Feb 2012

| 3,139

| 18.9

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 57.0

| 0.9

| 0.2

| 0.0

| 0.2

| 22.8

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 38.1

GESPA/PP

| 6–22 Feb 2012

| 2,000

| 19.7

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 61.8

| –

| –

| –

| 0.4

| 18.2

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 42.1

IMC/ABC

| 16–24 Jan 2012

| 1,500

| 19.4

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 64.6

| –

| –

| –

| colspan="2"| 16.0

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 45.2

IESA/CSIC

| 26 Sep–21 Oct 2011

| 3,682

| 16.9

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 61.7

| 0.3

| 0.5

| 0.1

| 0.3

| 20.1

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 44.8

IMC/ABC{{cite web |title=Probabilidad de que gane el PP las próximas elecciones andaluzas |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2011/02/28/039.html |language=es |work=ABC Sevilla |date=28 February 2011}}

| 10–20 Feb 2011

| 1,600

| 37.9

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 47.2

| –

| –

| –

| colspan="2"| 14.9

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 9.3

IESA/CSIC

| 18 Oct–18 Nov 2010

| 3,655

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 35.5

| 34.5

| 0.7

| 0.4

| 0.3

| 0.4

| 28.3

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 1.0

CADPEA/UGR

| 7 Jun–6 Jul 2010

| 3,200

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 54.9

| 26.9

| 0.5

| 0.1

| 0.1

| 0.3

| 17.2

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 28.0

IMC/ABC{{cite web |title=Para salir de la crisis |url=http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2010/06/21/037.html |language=es |work=ABC Sevilla |date=21 June 2010}}

| 8–12 Jun 2010

| 817

| 40.0

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 41.6

| –

| –

| –

| colspan="2"| 18.4

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 1.6

IMC/ABC

| 25 Jan–12 Feb 2010

| 1,600

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 52.6

| 32.0

| –

| –

| –

| colspan="2"| 15.4

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 20.6

IESA/CSIC

| 1–30 Nov 2009

| 3,645

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 52.1

| 20.5

| 0.6

| 0.5

| 0.1

| 0.4

| 25.9

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 31.6

IMC/ABC

| 5–9 Feb 2009

| 1,600

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 72.9

| 9.8

| –

| –

| –

| 0.6

| 16.7

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 63.1

IESA/CSIC

| 10 Nov–5 Dec 2008

| 3,658

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 62.8

| 12.8

| 0.8

| 0.3

| –

| colspan="2"| 23.3

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 50.0

=Preferred President=

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Regional Government of Andalusia.

class="wikitable collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:center; font-size:90%; line-height:14px;"
style="height:42px;"

! style="width:250px;" rowspan="3"| Polling firm/Commissioner

! style="width:125px;" rowspan="3"| Fieldwork date

! style="width:50px;" rowspan="3"| Sample size

! style="width:35px;"| 50px

! style="width:55px;"| 50px

! style="width:55px;"| 50px

! style="width:55px;"| 50px

! style="width:55px;"| 50px

! style="width:55px;" rowspan="3"| Other/
None/
Not
care

! style="width:55px;" rowspan="3"| {{Qmark}}

! style="width:30px;" rowspan="3"| Lead

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Andalusian Party}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Union, Progress and Democracy}};"|

{{small|Griñán
{{small|PSOE–A}}}}

! {{small|Arenas
{{small|PP}}}}

! {{small|Valderas
{{small|IULV}}}}

! {{small|González
{{small|PA}}}}

! {{small|Herrán
{{small|UPyD}}}}

Metroscopia/El País

| 6–15 Mar 2012

| 1,200

| 34.0

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 42.0

| –

| –

| –

| colspan="2"| 24.0

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 8.0

Opinión 2000/Cadena SER

| 12–13 Mar 2012

| 800

| 30.6

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 39.3

| 6.3

| –

| –

| 12.9

| 11.0

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 8.7

CIS

| 15–27 Feb 2012

| 3,139

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 30.7

| 29.4

| 8.6

| –

| –

| 7.0

| 24.3

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 1.7

GESPA/PP

| 6–22 Feb 2012

| 2,000

| 27.4

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 36.4

| 5.7

| 3.2

| 2.6

| 8.2

| 16.7

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 9.0

IMOP/PSOE

| 4–10 Jul 2011

| 1,514

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 47.1

| 25.0

| –

| –

| –

| colspan="2"| 27.9

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 22.1

=Predicted President=

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president.

class="wikitable collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:center; font-size:90%; line-height:14px;"
style="height:42px;"

! style="width:250px;" rowspan="3"| Polling firm/Commissioner

! style="width:125px;" rowspan="3"| Fieldwork date

! style="width:50px;" rowspan="3"| Sample size

! style="width:35px;"| 50px

! style="width:55px;"| 50px

! style="width:55px;"| 50px

! style="width:55px;" rowspan="3"| Other/
None/
Not
care

! style="width:55px;" rowspan="3"| {{Qmark}}

! style="width:30px;" rowspan="3"| Lead

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia}};"|

{{small|Griñán
{{small|PSOE–A}}}}

! {{small|Arenas
{{small|PP}}}}

! {{small|Valderas
{{small|IULV}}}}

Opinión 2000/Cadena SER

| 12–13 Mar 2012

| 800

| 20.1

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 60.3

| 1.4

| 0.9

| 17.4

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 40.2

Voter turnout

The table below shows registered vote turnout on election day without including voters from the Census of Absent-Residents (CERA).

class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right;"
rowspan="3"| Province

! colspan="10"| Time

colspan="3"| 14:00

! colspan="3"| 18:00

! colspan="3"| 20:00

2008

! 2012

! +/–

! 2008

! 2012

! +/–

! 2008

! 2012

! +/–

align="left"| Almería

| 40.32%

| 29.23%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –11.09

| 60.52%

| 45.97%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –14.55

| 74.66%

| 60.51%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –14.15

align="left"| Cádiz

| 37.19%

| 25.76%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –11.43

| 55.85%

| 41.86%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –13.99

| 68.12%

| 54.29%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –13.83

align="left"| Córdoba

| 39.91%

| 31.85%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –8.06

| 60.88%

| 50.23%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –10.65

| 76.62%

| 66.50%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –10.12

align="left"| Granada

| 39.98%

| 30.86%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –9.12

| 61.01%

| 49.43%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –11.58

| 75.89%

| 65.43%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –10.46

align="left"| Huelva

| 36.24%

| 27.02%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –9.22

| 55.62%

| 44.13%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –11.49

| 70.40%

| 60.84%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –9.56

align="left"| Jaén

| 38.97%

| 32.90%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –6.07

| 61.25%

| 52.36%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –8.89

| 79.26%

| 70.74%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –8.52

align="left"| Málaga

| 39.93%

| 28.09%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –11.84

| 59.49%

| 44.67%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –14.82

| 72.31%

| 58.05%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –14.26

align="left"| Seville

| 36.26%

| 29.97%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –6.29

| 60.72%

| 49.54%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –11.18

| 74.38%

| 64.93%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –9.45

style="background:#CDCDCD;"

| align="left"| Total

| 39.07%

| 29.30%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –9.77

| 59.51%

| 47.21%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –12.30

| 73.65%

| 62.23%

| style="background:#FFE8E8; color:red;"| –11.42

colspan="10" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"|
align="left" colspan="10"| Sources{{cite web |date=25 March 2012 |url=https://www.juntadeandalucia.es/justiciaeinterior/resultados2012/01AV/DAV01000CI_L1.htm |title=Avances de participación |language=es |website=juntadeandalucia.es |publisher=Regional Government of Andalusia |access-date=20 February 2022}}

Results

=Overall=

class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;"

|+ ← Summary of the 25 March 2012 Parliament of Andalusia election results →

colspan="7"| File:AndalusiaParliamentDiagram2012.svg
style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2" colspan="2" width="525"| Parties and alliances

! colspan="3"| Popular vote

! colspan="2"| Seats

width="75"| Votes

! width="45"| %

! width="45"| ±pp

! width="35"| Total

! width="35"| +/−

width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}"|

| align="left"| People's Party (PP)

| 1,570,833

40.67style="color:green;"| +2.22

| 50

style="color:green;"| +3
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}"|

| align="left"| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A)

| 1,527,923

39.56style="color:red;"| –8.85

| 47

style="color:red;"| –9
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia}}"|

| align="left"| United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA)

| 438,372

11.35style="color:green;"| +4.29

| 12

style="color:green;"| +6
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Union, Progress and Democracy}}"|

| align="left"| Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)

| 129,407

3.35style="color:green;"| +2.73

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Andalusian Party}}"|

| align="left"| Andalusian Party (PA)1

| 96,770

2.51style="color:red;"| –0.25

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Equo}}"|

| align="left"| Equo (Equo)

| 20,383

0.53New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals}}"|

| align="left"| Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA)

| 8,781

0.23New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Blank Seats}}"|

| align="left"| Blank Seats (EB)

| 5,660

0.15New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Hartos.org}}"|

| align="left"| Hartos.org (Hartos.org)

| 4,966

0.13New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain}}"|

| align="left"| Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE)

| 4,119

0.11style="color:green;"| +0.05

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|We Won't Pay this Crisis}}"|

| align="left"| We Won't Pay this Crisis (ECNP)

| 2,680

0.07New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Falange Española de las JONS (1976)}}"|

| align="left"| Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS)

| 2,407

0.06style="color:green;"| +0.02

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|For a Fairer World}}"|

| align="left"| For a Fairer World (PUM+J)

| 1,704

0.04New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizen Forum (Spain)}}"|

| align="left"| Andalusian Platform–Citizen Forum (FC)

| 1,634

0.04New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Liberal Democratic Centre}}"|

| align="left"| Liberal Democratic Centre (CDL)

| 1,406

0.04New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Regionalist Party for Eastern Andalusia}}"|

| align="left"| Regionalist Party for Eastern Andalusia (PRAO)

| 1,071

0.03New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management}}"|

| align="left"| Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn)

| 1,040

0.03style="color:red;"| –0.03

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Communist Unification of Spain}}"|

| align="left"| Communist Unification of Spain (UCE)

| 1,026

0.03New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Humanist Party (Spain)}}"|

| align="left"| Humanist Party (PH)

| 896

0.02style="color:red;"| –0.07

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Andalusian Horticulture Party}}"|

| align="left"| Andalusian Horticulture Party (PHAN)

| 832

0.02New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialists and Republicans (Spain)}}"|

| align="left"| Socialists and Republicans (SyR)

| 787

0.02New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Andalusian Convergence}}"|

| align="left"| Andalusian Convergence (CAnda)

| 762

0.02style="color:red;"| –0.15

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Spanish Alternative}}"|

| align="left"| Spanish Alternative (AES)

| 653

0.02New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens of Democratic Centre}}"|

| align="left"| Citizens of Democratic Centre (CCD)

| 643

0.02New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Republican Social Movement}}"|

| align="left"| Republican Social Movement (MSR)

| 628

0.02New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Democratic Majority (Spain)}}"|

| align="left"| Democratic Majority (MD)

| 515

0.01New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Family and Life Party}}"|

| align="left"| Family and Life Party (PFyV)

| 408

0.01style="color:red;"| –0.01

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Engine and Sports Alternative}}"|

| align="left"| Engine and Sports Alternative (AMD)

| 362

0.01New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Andalusian Social Democratic Party}}"|

| align="left"| Andalusian Social Democratic Party (PSDA)

| 345

0.01style="color:red;"| –0.02

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Group and Union for the Progress of Almeria}}"|

| align="left"| Group and Union for the Progress of Almeria (AUPAL)

| 216

0.01New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Andalusian Nationalist People}}"|

| align="left"| Andalusian Nationalist People (PNdeA)

| 156

0.00New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Regionalist Call for Andalusia}}"|

| align="left"| Regionalist Call for Andalusia (CReA)

| 146

0.00New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Andalusian Solidary Independent Republican Party}}"|

| align="left"| Andalusian Solidary Independent Republican Party (RISA)

| 135

0.00New

| 0

±0
align="left" colspan="2"| Blank ballots

| 35,081

0.91style="color:red;"| –0.15

| bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"|

colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"|
style="font-weight:bold;"

| align="left" colspan="2"| Total

| 3,862,747

bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"|

| 109

±0
colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"|
align="left" colspan="2"| Valid votes

| 3,862,747

99.42style="color:green;"| +0.05

| bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2" rowspan="5"|

align="left" colspan="2"| Invalid votes

| 22,390

0.58style="color:red;"| –0.05
style="font-weight:bold;"

| align="left" colspan="2"| Votes cast / turnout

| 3,885,137

60.78style="color:red;"| –11.89
align="left" colspan="2"| Abstentions

| 2,507,483

39.22style="color:green;"| +11.89
style="font-weight:bold;"

| align="left" colspan="2"| Registered voters

| 6,392,620

bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"|
colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"|
align="left" colspan="7"| Sources{{cite web |url=http://www.juntadeandalucia.es/justiciaeinterior/siel/busquedaAvanzadaAction.html?vuelta=1&codComunidad=1&codTipoEleccion=5&codPeriodo=201203&totalAnd=on&codProvincia=0&codMunicipio=0&codDistrito=0 |title=Electoral Results Consultation. Parliament of Andalusia. March 2012. Andalusia totals |language=es |website=Regional Government of Andalusia |access-date=25 September 2017}}{{cite web |url=http://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/documentos/ANDALUCIA_2012_Resultados.pdf |title=Parliament of Andalusia election results, 25 March 2012 |date=17 April 2012 |language=es |website=Central Electoral Commission |access-date=25 September 2017}}
colspan="7" style="text-align:left; max-width:790px;"| {{hidden|ta1=left|title=Footnotes:|content={{ubl

| 1 Andalusian Party results are compared to Andalusian Coalition totals in the 2008 election.}}}}

{{bar box

|title=Popular vote

|titlebar=#ddd

|width=550px

|barwidth=500px

|bars=

{{bar percent|PP|{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}|40.67}}

{{bar percent|PSOE–A|{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}|39.56}}

{{bar percent|IULV–CA|{{party color|United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia}}|11.35}}

{{bar percent|UPyD|{{party color|Union, Progress and Democracy}}|3.35}}

{{bar percent|PA|{{party color|Andalusian Party}}|2.51}}

{{bar percent|Others|#777777|1.67}}

{{bar percent|Blank ballots|#DDDDDD|0.91}}

}}

{{bar box

|title=Seats

|titlebar=#ddd

|width=550px

|barwidth=500px

|bars=

{{bar percent|PP|{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}|45.87}}

{{bar percent|PSOE–A|{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}|43.12}}

{{bar percent|IULV–CA|{{party color|United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia}}|11.01}}

}}

=Distribution by constituency=

class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right; line-height:20px;"
rowspan="3"| Constituency

! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| PP

! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| PSOE–A

! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| IULV–CA

colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}"|

! colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}"|

! colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia}}"|

data-sort-type="number"| %

! data-sort-type="number"| S

! data-sort-type="number"| %

! data-sort-type="number"| S

! data-sort-type="number"| %

! data-sort-type="number"| S

align="left"| Almería

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 51.2

| 7

| 35.4

| 4

| 7.1

| 1

align="left"| Cádiz

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 40.5

| 7

| 35.6

| 6

| 12.7

| 2

align="left"| Córdoba

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 39.7

| 5

| 38.9

| 5

| 13.3

| 2

align="left"| Granada

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 43.5

| 6

| 39.5

| 6

| 10.0

| 1

align="left"| Huelva

| 38.6

| 5

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 43.4

| 5

| 10.9

| 1

align="left"| Jaén

| 41.1

| 5

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 44.5

| 5

| 8.8

| 1

align="left"| Málaga

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 43.7

| 8

| 35.3

| 7

| 12.2

| 2

align="left"| Seville

| 35.3

| 7

| style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 43.1

| 9

| 12.2

| 2

style="background:#CDCDCD;"

| align="left"| Total

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Andalusia}}; color:white;"| 40.7

| 50

| 39.6

| 47

| 11.3

| 12

colspan="7"|
style="text-align:left; font-weight:normal; background:#F9F9F9" colspan="7"| Sources

Aftermath

=Government formation=

{{Further|Second government of José Antonio Griñán}}

On 3 May 2012, as a result of the PSOE–IU coalition agreement, José Antonio Griñán was re-elected as regional President. One IU deputy, Juan Manuel Sánchez Gordillo, cast an invalid vote in protest for not being able to elect a candidate of his own party.

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"
colspan="3" align="center" bgcolor="#C0C0C0"| Investiture
José Antonio Griñán (PSOE–A)
colspan="2" width="150px"| Ballot →

! 3 May 2012{{efn|1 IULV–CA MP cast an invalid ballot.}}

colspan="2"| Required majority →

| 55 out of 109 {{tick|15}}

width="1px" style="background:green;"|

| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = Yes

| • PSOE–A (47)

| • IULV–CA (11)

}}

| {{Composition bar|58|109|green|width=125px}}

style="color:inherit;background:red;"|

| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = No

| • PP (50)

}}

| {{Composition bar|50|109|red|width=125px}}

style="color:inherit;background:gray;"|

| align="left"| Abstentions

| {{Composition bar|0|109|gray|width=125px}}

style="color:inherit;background:black;"|

| align="left"| Absentees

| {{Composition bar|0|109|black|width=125px}}

align="left" colspan="3"| Sources

=2013 investiture=

{{Further|First government of Susana Díaz}}

In July 2013, President Griñán announced he was resigning from his office. As regional minister Susana Díaz was the only person able to gather the required endorsements to run in the primary election that was held to elect Griñán's successor, she was unanimously proclaimed as the party's candidate for the Presidency of the Regional Government of Andalusia. As a result, on 5 September 2013 the Parliament of Andalusia elected Díaz as new regional premier.

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"
colspan="3" align="center" bgcolor="#C0C0C0"| Investiture
Susana Díaz (PSOE–A)
colspan="2" width="150px"| Ballot →

! 5 September 2013{{efn|1 IULV–CA MP did not cast any ballot.}}

colspan="2"| Required majority →

| 55 out of 109 {{tick|15}}

width="1px" style="background:green;"|

| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = Yes

| • PSOE–A (47)

| • IULV–CA (11)

}}

| {{Composition bar|58|109|green|width=125px}}

style="color:inherit;background:red;"|

| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = No

| • PP (48)

}}

| {{Composition bar|48|109|red|width=125px}}

style="color:inherit;background:gray;"|

| align="left"| Abstentions

| {{Composition bar|0|109|gray|width=125px}}

style="color:inherit;background:black;"|

| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = Absentees

| • PP (2)

}}

| {{Composition bar|2|109|black|width=125px}}

align="left" colspan="3"| Sources

Notes

{{notelist}}

References

;Opinion poll sources

{{reflist|group="p"}}

;Other

{{reflist}}

{{Andalusian elections}}

{{Regional elections in Spain in the 2010s|state=autocollapse}}

{{Use dmy dates|date=June 2017}}

Category:2012 in Andalusia

Andalusia

Category:Regional elections in Andalusia

Category:March 2012 in Europe