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2012 Vermont gubernatorial election

{{Short description|none}}

{{for|related races|2012 United States gubernatorial elections}}

{{Use American English|date=January 2025}}

{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2012 Vermont gubernatorial election

| country = Vermont

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2010 Vermont gubernatorial election

| previous_year = 2010

| next_election = 2014 Vermont gubernatorial election

| next_year = 2014

| election_date = {{Start date|2012|11|6}}

| image1 = File:Peter Shumlin (cropped).jpg

| image_size = 150x150px

| nominee1 = Peter Shumlin

| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)

| popular_vote1 = 170,749

| percentage1 = 57.80%

| image2 = File:Randy Brock for Vermont Lt Governor 2016 - 20151020-IMG 7818 (cropped).jpg

| nominee2 = Randy Brock

| party2 = Republican Party (United States)

| popular_vote2 = 110,940

| percentage2 = 37.55%

| map = {{switcher

|x220px

|County results

|x220px

|Municipality results

|x220px

|Precinct results}}

| map_caption = Shumlin: {{legend0|#A5B0FF|40-50%}} {{legend0|#7996E2|50-60%}} {{legend0|#6674DE|60-70%}} {{legend0|#584CDE|70-80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80-90%}}
Brock: {{legend0|#FFB2B2|40-50%}} {{legend0|#E27F7F|50-60%}} {{legend0|#D75D5D|60-70%}}
Tie: {{legend0|#d2b1d9|40–50%}} {{legend0|#808080|No votes}}

| title = Governor

| before_election = Peter Shumlin

| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)

| after_election = Peter Shumlin

| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)

}}

{{ElectionsVT}}

The 2012 Vermont gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, to elect the Governor of Vermont. Incumbent Democratic Governor Peter Shumlin won re-election to a second term, making this the only one of his gubernatorial elections in which he won a majority of the vote. In his 2010 and 2014 races, the Vermont General Assembly was required to choose a winner in accordance with the state constitution, because no candidate won a majority.

Democratic nomination

=Candidates=

  • Peter Shumlin, incumbent{{cite web|url=http://www.vpr.net/news_detail/94827/shumlin-announces-his-re-election-bid/|title=Shumlin Announces His Re-election Bid|date=June 12, 2012|access-date=June 12, 2012|work=Vermont Public Radio}}

Republican nomination

=Candidates=

  • Randy Brock, state senator and former state auditor{{cite web|url=http://vtdigger.org/2011/12/07/story-video-vermont-gop-backs-brock-for-2012-gubernatorial-bid/|title=Vermont GOP backs Brock for 2012 gubernatorial bid|date=December 7, 2011|access-date=December 11, 2011|work=VTDigger.org|first=Anne|last=Galloway}}{{cite web|url=http://www.wcax.com/story/16207108/brock-to-announce-political-plans-today|title=Brock to run for governor|date=December 7, 2011|access-date=December 11, 2011|work=WCAX|first=Susie|last=Steimle|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120406101612/http://www.wcax.com/story/16207108/brock-to-announce-political-plans-today|archive-date=April 6, 2012|url-status=dead}}

==Declined==

  • Brian Dubie, former lieutenant governor and 2010 gubernatorial nominee
  • Thom Lauzon, mayor of Barre{{cite web|url=http://rutlandherald.typepad.com/vermonttoday/2011/12/lauzon-wants-2-more-years-in-barre.html|title=Lauzon wants 2 more years in Barre|date=December 21, 2011|access-date=February 15, 2012|work=Vermont Today|first1=Darren|last1=Marcy|first2=Cristina|last2=Kumka}}
  • Patricia McDonald, Vermont Republican Party Chairwoman and former state representative
  • Roy Newton, newspaper publisher (did not file){{cite web|url=http://www.burlingtonfreepress.com/article/20120425/NEWS03/120425060/1095/Rutland-publisher-seeks-GOP-bid-governor|title=Rutland publisher seeks GOP bid for governor|date=April 25, 2012|access-date=April 27, 2012|work=The Burlington Free Press|first=Terri|last=Hallenbeck}}
  • Tom Salmon, state auditor{{cite web|url=http://www.burlingtonfreepress.com/article/20110923/NEWS03/110924001/Salmon-says-he-wants-remain-Vermont-Auditor|title=Salmon says he wants to remain as Vermont Auditor|date=September 23, 2011|access-date=September 24, 2011|work=The Burlington Free Press|first=Nancy|last=Remsen}}{{Dead link|date=June 2023 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}
  • Phil Scott, lieutenant governor
  • Mark Snelling, 2010 candidate for lieutenant governor and son of former governor Richard Snelling

Progressive nomination

=Candidates=

  • Martha Abbott, chairwoman of the Vermont Progressive Party{{cite web|url=http://7d.blogs.com/blurt/2012/05/prog-candidate-to-challenge-gov-shumlin-at-least-for-now.html|title=Prog Candidate to Challenge Gov. Shumlin — At Least For Now|date=May 21, 2012|access-date=May 23, 2012|work=Seven Days|first=Paul|last=Heintz}} (resigned nomination in order to aid Shumlin by avoiding split in progressive/liberal votes)

General election

=Candidates=

  • Randy Brock (R), state senator and former state auditor
  • Dave Eagle (Liberty Union)
  • Cris Ericson (U.S. Marijuana), perennial candidate who also ran for the U.S. Senate{{cite news|url=https://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/story/2011-11-02/2012-elections-preview-northeast/51128662/1|title=A look ahead to the key races in the Northeast in 2012|date=November 13, 2011|access-date=February 15, 2012|work=USA Today|first=Alicia|last=McCarty}}
  • Emily Peyton (Independent){{cite web|url=http://vtdigger.org/2012/06/13/sanders-papers-filed-peyton-running-for-governor/|title=Sanders' papers filed, Peyton running for governor|date=June 13, 2012|access-date=June 23, 2012|work=VTDigger.org|first=Taylor|last=Dobbs}}
  • Peter Shumlin (D), incumbent

=Debates=

  • [https://www.c-span.org/video/?308767-1/vermont-gubernatorial-debate Complete video of debate], October 13, 2012 - C-SPAN

= Predictions =

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
Source

! Ranking

! As of

align=left | The Cook Political Report{{cite web | title=2012 Governor Race Ratings for November 1, 2012 | url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/governor-race-ratings/139101 | website=The Cook Political Report | access-date=November 30, 2018}}

| {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}}

| November 1, 2012

align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball{{cite web | title=PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM | url=http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/projection-obama-will-likely-win-second-term/ | website=Sabato's Crystal Ball | access-date=November 30, 2018 | archive-date=December 1, 2018 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181201094552/http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/projection-obama-will-likely-win-second-term/ | url-status=dead }}

| {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

| November 5, 2012

align=left | Rothenberg Political Report{{cite web | title=2012 Gubernatorial Ratings | url=http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2012-gubernatorial-ratings-november-2-2012 | work=Gubernatorial Ratings | publisher=The Rothenberg Political Report | access-date=November 30, 2018}}

| {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

| November 2, 2012

align=left | Real Clear Politics{{cite web | title=2012 Elections Map - 2012 Governor Races | url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/governor/2012_elections_governor_map.html| publisher=Real Clear Politics | access-date=November 30, 2018}}

| {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

| November 5, 2012

=Polling=

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! Poll source

! style="width:150px;"| Date(s)
administered

! class=small | Sample
size

! Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Peter
Shumlin (D)

! style="width:100px;"| Randy
Brock (R)

! Undecided

Castleton Polling[https://web.archive.org/web/20130723103611/http://www.castleton.edu/polling/aug12/8-22-12results.htm Castleton Polling]

| align=center| August 11–21, 2012

| align=center| 477

| align=center| ± 4.5%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 60%

| align=center| 26%

| align=center| 13%

Vermont Business Magazine[https://web.archive.org/web/20120522161611/http://www.wcax.com/story/18579959/poll-shumlin-would-win-gubernatorial-race Vermont Business Magazine]

| align=center| May 7–16, 2012

| align=center| 607

| align=center| ± 4.0%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 60%

| align=center| 27%

| align=center| 11%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_VT_0803513.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| July 28–31, 2011

| align=center| 1,233

| align=center| ± 2.8%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 51%

| align=center| 29%

| align=center| 20%

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! Poll source

! style="width:120px;"| Date(s)
administered

! class=small | Sample
size

! Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Peter
Shumlin (D)

! style="width:100px;"| Brian
Dubie (R)

! Undecided

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| July 28–31, 2011

| align=center| 1,233

| align=center| ± 2.8%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 48%

| align=center| 40%

| align=center| 12%

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! Poll source

! style="width:120px;"| Date(s)
administered

! class=small | Sample
size

! Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Peter
Shumlin (D)

! style="width:100px;"| Thom
Lauzon (R)

! Undecided

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| July 28–31, 2011

| align=center| 1,233

| align=center| ± 2.8%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 52%

| align=center| 25%

| align=center| 23%

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! Poll source

! style="width:120px;"| Date(s)
administered

! class=small | Sample
size

! Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Peter
Shumlin (D)

! style="width:100px;"| Tom
Salmon (R)

! Undecided

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| July 28–31, 2011

| align=center| 1,233

| align=center| ± 2.8%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 50%

| align=center| 31%

| align=center| 18%

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! Poll source

! style="width:120px;"| Date(s)
administered

! class=small | Sample
size

! Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Peter
Shumlin (D)

! style="width:100px;"| Phil
Scott (R)

! Undecided

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| July 28–31, 2011

| align=center| 1,233

| align=center| ± 2.8%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 50%

| align=center| 33%

| align=center| 17%

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! Poll source

! style="width:120px;"| Date(s)
administered

! class=small | Sample
size

! Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Peter
Shumlin (D)

! style="width:100px;"| Mark
Snelling (R)

! Undecided

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| July 28–31, 2011

| align=center| 1,233

| align=center| ± 2.8%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 50%

| align=center| 29%

| align=center| 21%

{{hidden end}}

=Results=

{{Election box begin

| title = 2012 Vermont gubernatorial election{{Cite web|url=http://vtelectionarchive.sec.state.vt.us/elections/search/year_from:2012/year_to:2012/office_id:3/stage:General|title=American Airlines - Login|access-date=January 13, 2019|archive-date=January 13, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190113232126/http://vtelectionarchive.sec.state.vt.us/elections/search/year_from:2012/year_to:2012/office_id:3/stage:General|url-status=dead}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

| candidate = Peter Shumlin (incumbent)

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 170,749

| percentage = 57.80%

| change = +8.36%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

| candidate = Randy Brock

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 110,940

| percentage = 37.55%

| change = -10.14%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

| candidate = Emily Peyton

| party = Independent (United States)

| votes = 5,868

| percentage = 1.99%

| change = +1.71%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

| candidate = Cris Ericson

| party = United States Marijuana Party

| votes = 5,583

| percentage = 1.89%

| change = +1.14%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

| candidate = Dave Eagle

| party = Liberty Union Party

| votes = 1,303

| percentage = 0.44%

| change = +0.26%

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link

| votes = 969

| percentage = 0.33%

| change = +0.06%

}}

{{Election box total

| votes = 295,412

| percentage = 100.00%

| change = N/A

}}

{{Election box hold with party link no swing

|winner = Democratic Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

== Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic ==

See also

References

{{reflist|30em}}

External links

  • [https://web.archive.org/web/19991128055457/http://vermont-elections.org/ Elections and Campaign Finance Division] at the Vermont Secretary of State

Campaign sites (Archived)

  • [https://web.archive.org/web/20120806024151/http://randybrock.com/splash/index.html Randy Brock (R) for Governor]
  • [https://web.archive.org/web/20120731201557/http://www.shumlinforgovernor.com/ Peter Shumlin (D) for Governor]

{{2012 United States elections}}

Vermont

Gubernatorial

2012