2014 Alaska gubernatorial election
{{Short description|none}}
{{for|related races|2014 United States gubernatorial elections}}
{{Use American English|date=January 2025}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2013}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2014 Alaska gubernatorial election
| country = Alaska
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2010 Alaska gubernatorial election
| previous_year = 2010
| next_election = 2018 Alaska gubernatorial election
| next_year = 2018
| election_date = November 4, 2014
| image1 = File:Bill Walker.jpg
| image_size = x150px
| nominee1 = Bill Walker
| party1 = Independent
| alliance1 = Democratic
| running_mate1 = Byron Mallott
| popular_vote1 = 134,658
| percentage1 = 48.10%
| image2 = File:Former Governor of Alaska Sean Parnell.jpg
| nominee2 = Sean Parnell
| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| running_mate2 = Dan Sullivan
| popular_vote2 = 128,435
| percentage2 = 45.88%
| map_caption = Walker: {{legend0|#D9D9D9|40–50%}} {{legend0|#BDBDBD|50–60%}} {{legend0|#969696 |60–70%}} {{legend0|#737373|70–80%}}
Parnell: {{legend0|#FFB2B2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#D75D5D|60–70%}}
| title = Governor
| before_election = Sean Parnell
| before_party = Republican Party (United States)
| after_election = Bill Walker
| after_party = Independent politician
| map = {{Switcher
| 350px
| Borough and census area results
| 350px
| State house district results| default = 1
}}
}}
{{Elections in Alaska sidebar}}
The 2014 Alaska gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Alaska, concurrently with the election of Alaska's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican governor Sean Parnell ran for re-election to a second full term in office, but incumbent lieutenant governor Mead Treadwell instead chose to run for the U.S. Senate. Primary elections were held on August 19, 2014, to determine party nominees for the office, with separate primaries held for governor and lieutenant governor and the winners running together on the same ticket.
Parnell was renominated; his running mate was Anchorage Mayor Dan Sullivan.Not to be confused with former commissioner of the Alaska Department of Natural Resources Dan Sullivan who ran as the Republican nominee in the U.S. Senate election which was held at the same time. The Democrats nominated businessman and former executive director of the Alaska Permanent Fund Byron Mallott, whose running mate was State Senator Hollis French. Also running as an independent was former Republican mayor of Valdez Bill Walker, whose running mate was Craig Fleener, the former deputy commissioner of the Alaska Department of Fish and Game.
On September 2, 2014, Walker and Mallott merged their campaigns to appear on the November ballot as a single independent ticket, which the Alaska Democratic Party endorsed. On this ticket, Walker ran for governor with Mallott as his running mate. Both candidates' former running mates withdrew.{{cite news|url=http://www.adn.com/article/20140901/walker-mallott-join-forces-governors-race|title=Walker, Mallott to join forces in governor's race|date=September 1, 2014|access-date=September 2, 2014|publisher=Alaska Dispatch News}} Parnell was considered vulnerable, as reflected in his low approval ratings. The consensus among The Cook Political Report, Governing, The Rothenberg Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Daily Kos Elections, and others was that the contest was a tossup. Former Republican governor Sarah Palin, who had praised Parnell as her successor when she resigned in 2009, endorsed Walker and Mallott, taking issue with Parnell's tax cuts for the oil and gas industry.
On November 7, Walker and Mallott held a 3,165-vote lead,{{cite news|url=http://www.adn.com/article/20141106/governors-race-walker-has-edge-or-maybe-not|title=In governor's race, Walker has edge -- or maybe not|date=November 6, 2014|access-date=November 7, 2014|publisher=Alaska Dispatch News}} which on November 11 had grown to 4,004 out of some 244,000 votes cast, or 1.6%.{{cite news|url=http://www.adn.com/article/20141111/highs-lows-campaigns-votes-are-tallied-alaska-election |title=Highs, lows for campaigns as votes are tallied in Alaska election |date=November 11, 2014 |access-date=November 12, 2014 |publisher=Alaska Dispatch News}} Walker began preparing for a transition but the race remained officially uncalled and Parnell refused to concede.{{cite news|url=http://www.adn.com/article/20141112/parnell-says-race-isnt-over-walker-moves-ahead-transition-planning|title=Parnell says race isn't over as Walker moves ahead with transition planning|date=November 12, 2014|access-date=November 14, 2014|publisher=Alaska Dispatch News}}{{cite news|url=http://www.alaskajournal.com/Alaska-Journal-of-Commerce/November-Issue-3-2014/Governors-race-uncalled-Walker-plans-transition/|title=Governor's race uncalled; Walker plans transition|date=November 13, 2014|access-date=November 14, 2014|publisher=Alaska Journal}}{{cite news|url=http://www.chron.com/news/article/Walker-introduces-co-chairs-of-transition-team-5889300.php|title=Walker introduces co-chairs of transition team|date=November 12, 2014|access-date=November 14, 2014|publisher=Houston Chronicle}}{{cite web|url=http://www.adn.com/article/20141107/number-uncounted-votes-grows-alaska-us-senate-race|title=Number of uncounted votes grows in Alaska U.S. Senate race|publisher=Alaska Dispatch News|date=November 7, 2014|access-date=November 7, 2014}}{{cite news|url=http://www.adn.com/article/20141110/more-50000-votes-remain-be-counted-heated-alaska-races |title=More than 50,000 votes remain to be counted in heated Alaska races |access-date=November 12, 2014 |date=November 10, 2014 |publisher=Alaska Dispatch News}} On November 14, after Walker and Mallott extended their lead to 4,634 votes,{{cite news|url=http://www.adn.com/article/20141114/friday-vote-count-makes-walker-victory-race-governor-look-certain |title=Friday vote count makes Walker victory in race for governor look certain |access-date=November 14, 2014 |date=November 15, 2014 |publisher=Alaska Dispatch News}} multiple media outlets called the race.{{cite news|url=http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/11/14/alaska-governor-walker-parnell_n_6162488.html |title=Alaska Governor Race: Incumbent Republican Sean Parnell Loses To Independent Bill Walker |access-date=November 14, 2014 |date=November 15, 2014 |work=The Huffington Post}}{{cite news|url=http://www.latimes.com/nation/politics/politicsnow/la-pn-unity-ticket-defeats-alaska-republican-governor-20141114-story.html |title=Unity ticket defeats Alaska GOP Gov. Sean Parnell in drawn-out race |access-date=November 14, 2014 |date=November 15, 2014 |work=Los Angeles Times}} Parnell conceded the following day.{{cite web |url=http://www.adn.com/article/20141115/parnell-concedes-governors-race |title=Parnell concedes governor's race |work=Alaska Dispatch News |date=November 15, 2014 |access-date=November 27, 2014}} His loss – coupled with Democrat Mark Begich's defeat in the U.S. Senate election – marked just the fifth time in the last 50 years in which an incumbent governor and senator from different political parties were defeated in the same state in the same election cycle.{{cite web |url=http://editions.lib.umn.edu/smartpolitics/2014/11/19/mark-begich-and-sean-parnell-j/ |title= Mark Begich and Sean Parnell Join Small Group in Defeat |work=Smart Politics |first=Eric |last=Ostermeier |date= November 19, 2014}}{{efn| The others were 1990 in Minnesota, 1982 in Nevada, 1978 in New Hampshire, and 1978 in Massachusetts}}
Republican primary
=Governor=
==Candidates==
===Declared===
- Gerald L. "Tap" Heikes, minister, candidate for governor in 2006 and 2010 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008{{cite news|url=http://www.elections.alaska.gov/ci_pg_cl_2014_prim.php|title=2014 Primary Official Candidate List|access-date=June 4, 2014|work=Alaska Secretary of State|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140630031311/http://www.elections.alaska.gov/ci_pg_cl_2014_prim.php|archive-date=June 30, 2014|url-status=dead|df=mdy-all}}
- Russ Millette, former chairman-elect of the Alaska Republican Party{{cite news|url=http://www.adn.com/2014/05/23/3482968/ousted-gop-leader-plans-run-for.html |title=Ousted GOP leader plans run for governor |date=May 23, 2014 |access-date=May 25, 2014 |agency=Associated Press |work=Anchorage Daily News |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140526072513/http://www.adn.com/2014/05/23/3482968/ousted-gop-leader-plans-run-for.html |archive-date=May 26, 2014 }}
- Sean Parnell, incumbent governor{{cite web |author=Forgey, Pat |url=http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/20130503/its-official-sean-parnell-will-seek-second-full-term-alaska-governor |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131017094600/http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/20130503/its-official-sean-parnell-will-seek-second-full-term-alaska-governor |url-status=dead |archive-date=October 17, 2013 |title=Alaska Gov. Sean Parnell to seek re-election in 2014 |publisher=Alaska Dispatch |date=2013-05-04 |access-date=2013-10-16 }}
- Brad Snowden, candidate for governor in 2002
===Withdrew===
- Bill Walker, former mayor of Valdez and candidate for governor in 2010 (ran as an independent){{cite web|url=http://www.adn.com/2013/04/25/2878908/walker-announces-run-for-alaska.html |title=Walker announces 2014 run for Alaska governor |date=April 25, 2013 |access-date=April 26, 2013 |work=Anchorage Daily News |first=Mark |last=Thiessen |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130429132359/http://www.adn.com/2013/04/25/2878908/walker-announces-run-for-alaska.html |archive-date=April 29, 2013 }}{{cite web|url=http://www.newsminer.com/news/politics/walker-planning-to-run-as-independent-for-alaska-governor/article_d963e46e-fafe-11e2-b481-001a4bcf6878.html|title=Walker planning to run as independent for Alaska governor|date=August 1, 2013|access-date=August 5, 2013|work=Newsminer}}
==Polling==
{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}
| class="wikitable" |
| valign= bottom
! style="width:150px;"| Poll source ! style="width:190px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Sean ! style="width:100px;"| Bill ! style="width:40px;"| Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_AK_073013.pdf Public Policy Polling]
| align=center| July 25–28, 2013 | align=center| 507 | align=center| ± 4.4% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 60% | align=center| 22% | align=center| 18% |
{{hidden end}}
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results{{cite web|url=http://www.elections.alaska.gov/results/14PRIM/data/results.htm |title=2014 Primary Elections August 19, 2014 Official Results |publisher=State of Alaska Division of Elections |access-date=September 8, 2014}}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Sean Parnell (incumbent)
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 80,903
| percentage = 75.86
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Russ Millette
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 11,296
| percentage = 10.59
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Brad Snowden
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 10,594
| percentage = 9.93
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Gerald L. "Tap" Heikes
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 3,855
| percentage = 3.61
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 106,648
| percentage = 100
}}
{{Election box end}}
=Lieutenant governor=
==Candidates==
===Declared===
- Dan Sullivan, Mayor of Anchorage{{cite web|url=http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/news/article/anchorage-mayor-not-running-in-alaska-senate-race|title=Anchorage Mayor Not Running in Alaska Senate Race|date=May 23, 2013|access-date=May 25, 2013|work=The Rothenberg Political Report|first=Nathan L.|last=Gonzales}}
- Kelly Wolf, Kenai Peninsula Borough Assemblyman and former state representative{{cite web|url=http://radiokenai.net/assembly-member-running-for-lieutenant-governor/|title=Assembly Member Running for Lieutenant Governor|date=June 2, 2014|access-date=May 16, 2014|work=Anchorage Daily News}}
===Withdrew===
- Lesil McGuire, state senator{{cite web|url=http://www.adn.com/2013/06/05/2928145/mcguire-files-to-run-for-lieutenant.html |title=McGuire files to run for lieutenant governor |date=June 5, 2013 |access-date=June 10, 2013 |work=Anchorage Daily News |first=Kyle |last=Hopkins |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130609163114/http://www.adn.com/2013/06/05/2928145/mcguire-files-to-run-for-lieutenant.html |archive-date=June 9, 2013 }}{{cite web|url=http://www.adn.com/2014/06/02/3498565/mcguire-withdraws-from-lieutenant.html?sp=/99/100/&ihp=1 |title=McGuire withdraws from lieutenant governor race just before filing deadline |date=June 2, 2014 |access-date=June 4, 2014 |work=Anchorage Daily News |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140606203448/http://www.adn.com/2014/06/02/3498565/mcguire-withdraws-from-lieutenant.html?sp=%2F99%2F100%2F&ihp=1 |archive-date=June 6, 2014 }}
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Dan Sullivan
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 74,758
| percentage = 70.70
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Kelly Wolf
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 30,985
| percentage = 29.30
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 105,743
| percentage = 100
}}
{{Election box end}}
Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary
Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination.
=Governor=
==Democratic candidates==
===Declared===
- Byron Mallott, businessman, former mayor of Juneau, former president of the Alaska Federation of Natives and former executive director of the Alaska Permanent Fund{{cite news|url=http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/20130903/byron-mallott-announces-decision-run-alaska-governor|title=Byron Mallot announces decision to run for Alaska governor|date=September 3, 2013|access-date=September 3, 2013|work=Alaska Dispatch|first=Alex|last=DeMarban|archive-date=December 14, 2013|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131214012930/http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/20130903/byron-mallott-announces-decision-run-alaska-governor|url-status=dead}}
- Phil Stoddard, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 1984 and candidate for governor in 1986
===Withdrew===
- Hollis French, state senator and candidate for governor in 2010 (running for lieutenant governor){{cite news|url=http://www.alaskacommons.com/2013/10/16/hollis-french-swaps-roles-2014-gubernatorial-field-likely-set/|title=Hollis French Swaps Roles, 2014 Gubernatorial Field Likely Set.|date=October 16, 2013|access-date=November 5, 2013|publisher=Alaska Commons|author=John Aronno}}
===Declined===
- Ethan Berkowitz, former Minority Leader of the Alaska House of Representatives, nominee for lieutenant governor in 2006, for Congress in 2008 and governor in 2010{{cite news|url=http://juneauempire.com/state/2013-05-06/treadwell-ramps-senate-after-parnell-announcement#.UYpBVLXvvqo|title=Treadwell ramps up for Senate after Parnell announcement|date=May 6, 2013|access-date=May 8, 2013|work=Juneau Empire|first=Mark D.|last=Miller|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130607154902/http://juneauempire.com/state/2013-05-06/treadwell-ramps-senate-after-parnell-announcement#.UYpBVLXvvqo|archive-date=June 7, 2013|url-status=dead}}
- Les Gara, state representative{{cite news|url=http://www.adn.com/2013/08/22/3037328/gara-decides-to-seek-re-election.html |title=Gara decides to seek re-election to Alaska House |date=August 22, 2013 |access-date=August 23, 2013 |agency=Associated Press |work=Anchorage Daily News |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130831171312/http://www.adn.com/2013/08/22/3037328/gara-decides-to-seek-re-election.html |archive-date=August 31, 2013 }}
- Scott McAdams, former mayor of Sitka and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010{{cite news |author=Caldwell, Suzanna |url=http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/20130403/less-more-former-senate-candidate-scott-mcadams-sheds-100-pounds |title=Less is more as former Senate candidate Scott McAdams sheds 100 pounds |publisher=Alaska Dispatch |date=2013-04-03 |access-date=2013-10-16 |archive-date=October 16, 2013 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131016065543/http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/20130403/less-more-former-senate-candidate-scott-mcadams-sheds-100-pounds |url-status=dead }}
- Bill Wielechowski, state senator{{cite news|url=http://www.newsminer.com/news/alaska_news/wielechowski-taking-look-at-alaska-governor-s-race/article_cefe9816-c8b8-11e2-93d9-0019bb30f31a.html|title=Wielechowski taking look at governor's race|date=May 29, 2013|access-date=May 30, 2013|agency=Associated Press|publisher=News Miner}}{{cite web|url=http://www.650keni.com/onair/scott-rhode-14142/ten-observations-about-2014-candidates-12421453 |title=Ten Observations About 2014 Candidates |publisher=KENI |date=June 3, 2014 |access-date=June 4, 2014 |author=Scott Rhode}}
==Libertarian candidates==
===Declared===
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Byron Mallott
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 42,327
| percentage = 66.89
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Phil Stoddard
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 10,514
| percentage = 16.62
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Carolyn Clift
| party = Alaska Libertarian Party
| votes = 10,436
| percentage = 16.49
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 63,277
| percentage = 100
}}
{{Election box end}}
=Lieutenant governor=
==Democratic candidates==
===Declared===
- Hollis French, state senator and candidate for governor in 2010
- Bob Williams, teacher{{cite web|url=http://www.ktoo.org/2014/06/03/sen-lesil-mcguire-withdrawing-lieutenant-govs-race/ |title=Sen. Lesil McGuire withdrawing from lieutenant gov's race |publisher=KTOO |date=June 3, 2014 |access-date=June 4, 2014 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140607011042/http://www.ktoo.org/2014/06/03/sen-lesil-mcguire-withdrawing-lieutenant-govs-race/ |archive-date=June 7, 2014 }}
==Libertarian candidates==
===Declared===
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Hollis French
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 40,271
| percentage = 62.08
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Bob Williams
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 16,358
| percentage = 25.22
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Andrew C. Lee
| party = Alaska Libertarian Party
| votes = 8,238
| percentage = 12.70
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 64,867
| percentage = 100
}}
{{Election box end}}
Others
=Constitution Party=
- J. R. Myers, founder and chairman of the Alaska Constitution Party{{cite web|author=Redlich, Warren|url=http://www.independentpoliticalreport.com/2013/10/constitution-party-candidate-for-alaska/ |title=Constitution Party Candidate for Alaska |publisher=Independent Political Report |date=2013-10-01 |access-date=2013-10-16}}
=Independent=
- Bill Walker, former mayor of Valdez and Republican candidate for governor in 2010
:*Running mate: Byron Mallott, businessman, former mayor of Juneau, former president of the Alaska Federation of Natives and former executive director of the Alaska Permanent Fund
:*Former running mate: Craig Fleener, former deputy commissioner of the Alaska Department of Fish and Game{{cite web|url=http://www.adn.com/article/20131014/walker-chooses-fleener-running-mate-independent-bid-governor|title=Walker chooses Fleener as running mate in independent bid for governor|date=October 14, 2013|access-date=July 24, 2014|work=Alaska Dispatch News|first=Lisa|last=Demer}}
General election
=Campaign=
Parnell drew criticism during his re-election campaign over his support of billions in tax reductions for the petrochemical industry as well an exploding scandal featuring five years of alleged cover ups with regard to rampant sexual abuse, cronyism, corruption and whistleblower suppression, in the Alaska National Guard.[http://www.adn.com/article/20141002/parnell-defends-handling-alaska-national-guard-dysfunction-plans-more-firings Parnell defends handling alaska national guard dysfunction, plans more firings], Alaska Dispatch News, Jill Burke and Richard Mauer, October 2, 2014. Retrieved October 3, 2014.[http://www.adn.com/article/20141001/parnell-waited-years-take-direct-action-national-guard-misconduct Parnell waited years to take direct action on National Guard misconduct], Alaska Dispatch News, Jill Burke and Richard Mauer, October 1, 2014. Retrieved October 3, 2014.[http://www.ktuu.com/news/news/anchorage-sb21-debate-draws-standingroomonly-crowd/27122724 Debate draws standing-room-only crowd] {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150602091610/http://www.ktuu.com/news/news/anchorage-sb21-debate-draws-standingroomonly-crowd/27122724 |date=June 2, 2015 }}, KTUU, Caslon Hatch. July 23, 2014. Retrieved October 3, 2014.
In October 2014, former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin endorsed Walker and Mallott. The endorsement was prompted by Parnell's oil and gas industry tax cuts, which dismantled her administration's "Alaska's Clear and Equitable Share" (ACES) plan. She had previously supported a referendum to repeal the tax cuts, which was narrowly defeated[http://ballotpedia.org/Alaska_Oil_Tax_Cuts_Veto_Referendum,_Ballot_Measure_1_(August_2014) narrowly defeated] in August 2014. Walker and Mallott made the repeal of the tax cuts a centerpiece of their campaign.{{cite news|url=http://www.nationaljournal.com/politics/palin-endorses-independent-democratic-ticket-for-alaska-governor-against-gop-successor-20141023 |title=Palin Endorses Independent-Democratic Ticket for Alaska Governor Against GOP Successor |work=National Journal |date=October 23, 2014 |access-date=October 24, 2014 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20141024003923/http://www.nationaljournal.com/politics/palin-endorses-independent-democratic-ticket-for-alaska-governor-against-gop-successor-20141023 |archive-date=October 24, 2014 |df=mdy }}
=Debates=
- [https://www.c-span.org/video/?322083-1/alaska-governors-debate Complete video of debate], October 1, 2014 - C-SPAN
= Predictions =
=Polling=
| class="wikitable" |
| valign= bottom
! style="width:190px;"| Poll source ! style="width:200px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Sean ! style="width:100px;"| Byron ! style="width:100px;"| Bill ! style="width:40px;"| Other ! style="width:40px;"| Undecided |
| rowspan=2|Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/AKResults.pdf Public Policy Polling]
| style="text-align:center;" rowspan="2"| November 1–2, 2014 | style="text-align:center;" rowspan="2"| 1,052 | style="text-align:center;" rowspan="2"| ± 3% | align=center| 45% | align=center| — | {{party shading/Independent}} align=center| 46% | align=center| 4%Carolyn Clift (L) 2%, J.R. Myers (I) 2% | align=center| 5% |
| align=center| 47%
| align=center| — | {{party shading/Independent}} align=center| 48% | align=center| — | align=center| 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/alaska/election_2014_alaska_governor Rasmussen Reports]
| align=center| October 27–30, 2014 | align=center| 887 | align=center| ± 4% | align=center| 43% | align=center| — | {{party shading/Independent}} align=center| 50% | align=center| — | align=center| 7% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
| align=center| October 16–23, 2014 | align=center| 561 | align=center| ± 9% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 42% | align=center| — | align=center| 39% | align=center| 0% | align=center| 20% |
| Hellenthal & Associates[https://www.scribd.com/doc/244305469/AK-Sen-AK-Gov-Hellenthal-Associates-Oct-2014 Hellenthal & Associates]
| align=center| October 15–21, 2014 | align=center| 403 | align=center| ± 4.88% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 44% | align=center| — | align=center| 43% | align=center| 5%Carolyn Clift (L) 4%, J.R. Myers (I) 1% | align=center| 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports
| align=center| October 8–12, 2014 | align=center| 700 | align=center| ± 4% | align=center| 41% | align=center| — | {{party shading/Independent}} align=center| 50% | align=center| 2% | align=center| 7% |
| Fox News[http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2014/10/08/fox-news-poll-sullivan-has-44-40-percent-advantage-over-begich-in-alaska/ Fox News]
| align=center| October 4–7, 2014 | align=center| 706 | align=center| ± 3.5% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 42% | align=center| — | align=center| 37% | align=center| 8%Carolyn Clift (L) 4%, J.R. Myers (I) 1%, Other 3% | align=center| 13% |
| rowspan=2|CNN/ORC[http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2014/images/10/08/aksenaterace.pdf CNN/ORC]
| style="text-align:center;" rowspan="2"| October 1–6, 2014 | align=center| 704 LV | align=center| ± 3.5% | align=center| 45% | align=center| — | {{party shading/Independent}} align=center| 51% | align=center| — | align=center| 3% |
| align=center| 875 RV
| align=center| ± 3.4% | align=center| 46% | align=center| — | {{party shading/Independent}} align=center| 49% | align=center| 1% | align=center| 5% |
| Hickman Analytics[https://web.archive.org/web/20141019233602/http://consumerenergyalliance.org/wp/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/AK-Topline-Tables-Release.pdf Hickman Analytics]
| align=center| September 26 – October 2, 2014 | align=center| 400 | align=center| ± 4.9% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 46% | align=center| — | align=center| 38% | align=center| 7%Carolyn Clift (L) 5%, J.R. Myers (I) 2% | align=center| 10% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/09/governor-races-headline-results CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
| align=center| September 20 – October 1, 2014 | align=center| 593 | align=center| ± 5% | align=center| 40% | align=center| — | {{party shading/Independent}} align=center| 45% | align=center| 1% | align=center| 14% |
| Rasmussen Reports
| align=center| September 23–24, 2014 | align=center| 713 | align=center| ± 4% | align=center| 42% | align=center| — | {{party shading/Independent}} align=center| 47% | align=center| 5% | align=center| 6% |
| rowspan=2|Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AK_923925.pdf Public Policy Polling]
| style="text-align:center;" rowspan="2"| September 18–21, 2014 | style="text-align:center;" rowspan="2"| 880 | style="text-align:center;" rowspan="2"| ± 3.3% | align=center| 41% | align=center| — | {{party shading/Independent}} align=center| 42% | align=center| 5%Carolyn Clift (L) 3%, J.R. Myers (I) 2% | align=center| 13% |
| align=center| 41%
| align=center| — | {{party shading/Independent}} align=center| 45% | align=center| — | align=center| 14% |
| Hays Research/AFL-CIO[https://www.scribd.com/doc/239975371/AK-Sen-AK-Gov-for-AFL-CIO-Sept-2014 Hays Research/AFL-CIO]
| align=center| September 13–14, 2014 | align=center| 500 | align=center| ± 4.38% | align=center| 30% | align=center| — | {{party shading/Independent}} align=center| 37% | style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"| 33% |
| Hays Research*[http://amandacoyne.com/politics/new-poll-has-walker-beating-parnell-in-2-way-governors-race/ Hays Research*]
| align=center| August 20–22, 2014 | align=center| 474 | align=center| ± 4.5% | align=center| 40% | align=center| — | {{party shading/Independent}} align=center| 43% | align=center| — | align=center| 15% |
| Rasmussen Reports
| align=center| August 20–21, 2014 | align=center| 750 | align=center| ± 4% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 47% | align=center| 36% | align=center| — | align=center| 11% | align=center| 6% |
| rowspan=3|Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AK_8051205.pdf Public Policy Polling]
| style="text-align:center;" rowspan="3"| July 31 – August 1, 2014 | style="text-align:center;" rowspan="3"| 673 | style="text-align:center;" rowspan="3"| ± 3.8% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 37% | align=center| 22% | align=center| 20% | align=center| 5%Carolyn Clift (L) 3%, J.R. Myers (C) 2% | align=center| 16% |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 48%
| align=center| 37% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 14% |
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 41%
| align=center| — | align=center| 40% | align=center| — | align=center| 19% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
| align=center| July 5–24, 2014 | align=center| 450 | align=center| ± 5.2% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 55% | align=center| 29% | align=center| — | align=center| 6% | align=center| 8% |
| Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AK_513.pdf Public Policy Polling]
| align=center| May 8–11, 2014 | align=center| 582 | align=center| ± 4.1% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 37% | align=center| 27% | align=center| 17% | align=center| 4%J.R. Myers (C) | align=center| 15% |
| Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AK_204.pdf Public Policy Polling]
| align=center| January 30 – February 1, 2014 | align=center| 850 | align=center| ± 3.4% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 41% | align=center| 25% | align=center| 16% | align=center| 15% |
- * Internal poll for Bill Walker campaign
{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}
| class="wikitable" |
| valign= bottom
! style="width:150px;"| Poll source ! style="width:190px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Sean ! style="width:100px;"| Ethan ! style="width:40px;"| Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| July 25–28, 2013 | align=center| 890 | align=center| ± 3.3% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 51% | align=center| 38% | align=center| 12% |
| Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_AK_020713.pdf Public Policy Polling]
| align=center| February 4–5, 2013 | align=center| 1,129 | align=center| ± 2.9% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 50% | align=center| 41% | align=center| 9% |
| class="wikitable" |
| valign= bottom
! style="width:150px;"| Poll source ! style="width:190px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Sean ! style="width:100px;"| Hollis ! style="width:40px;"| Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| July 25–28, 2013 | align=center| 890 | align=center| ± 3.3% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 54% | align=center| 33% | align=center| 13% |
| class="wikitable" |
| valign= bottom
! style="width:150px;"| Poll source ! style="width:190px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Sean ! style="width:100px;"| Les ! style="width:40px;"| Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| July 25–28, 2013 | align=center| 890 | align=center| ± 3.3% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 53% | align=center| 33% | align=center| 14% |
| class="wikitable" |
| valign= bottom
! style="width:150px;"| Poll source ! style="width:190px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Sean ! style="width:100px;"| Scott ! style="width:40px;"| Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| February 4–5, 2013 | align=center| 1,129 | align=center| ± 2.9% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 52% | align=center| 34% | align=center| 15% |
| class="wikitable" |
| valign= bottom
! style="width:150px;"| Poll source ! style="width:190px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Sean ! style="width:100px;"| Mike ! style="width:40px;"| Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| February 4–5, 2013 | align=center| 1,129 | align=center| ± 2.9% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 51% | align=center| 29% | align=center| 20% |
| class="wikitable" |
| valign= bottom
! style="width:150px;"| Poll source ! style="width:190px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Sean ! style="width:100px;"| Joe ! style="width:40px;"| Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| February 4–5, 2013 | align=center| 1,129 | align=center| ± 2.9% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 51% | align=center| 25% | align=center| 24% |
| class="wikitable" |
| valign= bottom
! style="width:150px;"| Poll source ! style="width:190px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Sean ! style="width:100px;"| Bill ! style="width:40px;"| Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling
| align=center| July 25–28, 2013 | align=center| 890 | align=center| ± 3.3% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 52% | align=center| 33% | align=center| 15% |
{{hidden end}}
=Results=
{{Election box begin
| title = 2014 Alaska gubernatorial election{{cite news|url=http://www.elections.alaska.gov/results/14GENR/data/results.htm |title=2014 General Election November 4, 2014 Official Results |date=November 11, 2014 |access-date=November 27, 2014 |publisher=elections.alaska.gov }}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
| party = Independent
| candidate = Bill Walker
| votes = 134,658
| percentage = 48.10%
| change = +48.10%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| candidate = Sean Parnell (incumbent)
| votes = 128,435
| percentage = 45.88%
| change = -13.18%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
| party = Alaska Libertarian Party
| candidate = Carolyn Clift
| votes = 8,985
| percentage = 3.21%
| change = +2.16%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
| party = Constitution Party (United States)
| candidate = J. R. Myers
| votes = 6,987
| percentage = 2.50%
| change = N/A
}}
{{Election box write-in with party link
| votes = 893
| percentage = 0.32%
| change = -0.04%
}}
{{Election box total
| votes = 279,958
| percentage = 100.00%
| change = N/A
}}
{{Election box gain with party link no swing
|winner = Independent
|loser = Republican Party (United States)
}}
{{Election box end}}
==Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Republican to Independent==
- Denali Borough (largest city: Healy)
- Fairbanks North Star (largest city: Fairbanks)
- Petersburg
- Valdez–Cordova Census Area (largest city: Valdez)
- Aleutians West Census Area (largest city: Unalaska)
- Anchorage
- Bethel Census Area (largest city: Bethel)
- Kusilvak Census Area (largest city: Hooper Bay)
- Haines Borough (largest census-designated place: Haines)
- Kodiak Island (largest city: Kodiak Island)
- Lake & Peninsula Borough (largest city: Newhalen)
- North Slope Borough (largest city: Utqiaġvik)
- Prince of Wales–Hyder Census Area (largest city: Craig)
- Yukon–Koyukuk Census Area (largest city: Fort Yukon)
- Juneau
==Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Democratic to Independent==
- Nome Census Area (largest city: Nome)
- Dilingham Census Area (largest city: Dilingham)
- Northwest Arctic Borough (largest city: Kotzebue)
- Sitka
- Skagway
- Hoonah–Angoon Census Area (largest town: Hoonah)
- Yakutat
See also
References
{{Reflist}}
Notes
{{notelist}}
External links
- [http://ballotpedia.org/Alaska_gubernatorial_election,_2014 Alaska gubernatorial election, 2014] at Ballotpedia
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20140521221620/http://www.byronmallott.com/ Byron Mallott for Governor]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20140528164244/http://jr4gov.com/ J. R. Myers for Governor]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20141026013115/http://www.parnell2014.com/ Sean Parnell for Governor] incumbent
- {{usurped|1=[https://web.archive.org/web/20141030033940/http://walkerforalaska.com/ Bill Walker for Governor]}}
{{Alaska gubernatorial elections}}
{{2014 United States elections}}
{{Notable third party performances in United States elections}}