2014 United States Senate election in Alaska
{{Short description|none}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=July 2024}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2014 United States Senate election in Alaska
| country = Alaska
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2008 United States Senate election in Alaska
| previous_year = 2008
| next_election = 2020 United States Senate election in Alaska
| next_year = 2020
| election_date = November 4, 2014
| image1 = File:Senator Dan Sullivan official (cropped).jpg
| nominee1 = Dan Sullivan
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 135,445
| percentage1 = 47.96%
| image2 = File:Mark Begich, official portrait, 112th Congress (cropped).jpg
| image_size = 150x150px
| nominee2 = Mark Begich
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 129,431
| percentage2 = 45.83%
| map_caption = Sullivan: {{legend0|#FFB2B2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}}
Begich: {{legend0|#A5B0FF|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}}
| title = U.S. Senator
| before_election = Mark Begich
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| after_election = Dan Sullivan
| after_party = Republican Party (United States)
| map = {{Switcher
| 350px
| State house district results| default = 2
| 350px
| Borough and census area results
}}
}}
{{Elections in Alaska sidebar}}
The 2014 United States Senate election in Alaska took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alaska, concurrently with the election of the governor of Alaska, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
This was one of the seven Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Mitt Romney won in the 2012 presidential election. Incumbent Senator Mark Begich ran for re-election to a second term in office. Primary elections were held on August 19, 2014. Begich was renominated and the Republicans picked former Commissioner of the Alaska Department of Natural Resources Dan Sullivan.{{cite web|url=http://www.elections.alaska.gov/ei_ed_2013_dates.php|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121230005101/http://www.elections.alaska.gov/ei_ed_2013_dates.php|url-status=dead|archive-date=December 30, 2012|title=2014 Election Dates and Hours|author=State of Alaska Division of Elections|website=State of Alaska Division of Elections|access-date=April 2, 2014}}
On November 7, Sullivan held an 8,000-vote lead,{{cite web|url=http://www.adn.com/article/20141106/after-noisy-us-senate-campaign-both-candidates-go-quiet-votes-still-uncounted|title=After noisy U.S. Senate campaign, both candidates go quiet with votes still uncounted|publisher=Alaska Dispatch News|date=November 6, 2014|access-date=November 7, 2014}} which on November 11 had shrunk slightly to 7,991 votes.{{cite news|url=http://www.adn.com/article/20141111/highs-lows-campaigns-votes-are-tallied-alaska-election|title=Highs, lows for campaigns as votes are tallied in Alaska election|date=November 11, 2014|access-date=November 12, 2014|publisher=Alaska Dispatch News}} Multiple media outlets called the race for Sullivan on November 12{{cite web|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/republican-dan-sullivan-beats-sen-mark-begich-win-alaska-race-n246721|title=Republican Dan Sullivan Beats Sen. Mark Begich to Win Alaska Race|work=NBC News|date=November 12, 2014|access-date=November 15, 2014}}{{cite web|url=https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2014/11/another-senate-loss-for-democrats/382660/|title=Another Senate Loss for Democrats|publisher=The Atlantic|date=November 12, 2014|access-date=November 15, 2014}} and Begich conceded to Sullivan on November 17.{{cite web|url=http://www.biconews.com/2014/11/17/republicans-take-the-senate-debates-continue-on-health-care-and-immigration-reform/|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20141129054101/http://www.biconews.com/2014/11/17/republicans-take-the-senate-debates-continue-on-health-care-and-immigration-reform/|url-status=dead|archive-date=November 29, 2014|title=Republicans Take the Senate – Debates Continue on Health Care and Immigration Reform – The Bi-College News}}Joseph, Cameron. [https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/224455-begich-concedes-alaska-senate-race/ Begich concedes Alaska Senate race], The Hill, November 17, 2014. Republican Sean Parnell simultaneously lost the gubernatorial election to independent candidate Bill Walker, marking just the fifth time in the last 50 years in which U.S. Senate and gubernatorial incumbents from different political parties were simultaneously defeated in the same state.{{cite web |url=http://editions.lib.umn.edu/smartpolitics/2014/11/19/mark-begich-and-sean-parnell-j/ |title= Mark Begich and Sean Parnell Join Small Group in Defeat |work=Smart Politics |first=Eric |last=Ostermeier |date= November 19, 2014}}{{efn| The others were 1990 in Minnesota, 1982 in Nevada, 1978 in New Hampshire, and 1978 in Massachusetts}}
Background
Democrat Mark Begich won the 2008 election, defeating seven-term Republican incumbent Ted Stevens by just under 4,000 votes. A few days before the election, Stevens had been convicted of a felony, but the case against Stevens was later dismissed by the Justice Department after the election, when serious issues of prosecutorial misconduct emerged. In the 2012 presidential election, Mitt Romney easily won Alaska by 13 points, which made Begich a prime target during an election cycle in which Republicans needed a net gain of six seats to retake control of the Senate.
Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary
Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination.
=Democratic candidates=
==Declared==
- Mark Begich, incumbent U.S. Senator{{cite web|url=http://www.adn.com/2009/04/08/753646/stevens-files-candidacy-for-2014.html |title=Stevens files candidacy for 2014 election |publisher=ADN.com |date=April 8, 2009 |access-date=November 5, 2012 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121004230017/http://www.adn.com/2009/04/08/753646/stevens-files-candidacy-for-2014.html |archive-date=October 4, 2012 }}
- William Bryk, attorney and perennial candidate from New York{{cite web|author=Zaz Hollander|url=http://www.adn.com/2013/11/21/3190311/brooklyn-lawyer-takes-on-begich.html|title=Brooklyn lawyer takes on Begich - without leaving home|work=Anchorage Daily News|date=November 21, 2013|access-date=November 22, 2013}}
=Alaskan Independence candidates=
==Declared==
- Zachary Kile, orthopedic surgeon{{cite web|url=http://www.650keni.com/onair/scott-rhode-14142/ten-observations-about-2014-candidates-12421453|title=Ten Observations About 2014 Candidates|publisher=KENI|date=June 3, 2014|access-date=June 4, 2014|author=Scott Rhode}}
- Vic Kohring, former Republican state representative
=Libertarian candidates=
==Declared==
- Mark Fish, former chairman of the Alaska Libertarian Party, former Sarah Palin and Joe Miller staffer and Republican nominee for the state house in 2008{{cite web|url=http://amandacoyne.com/politics/alaska-libertarian-mark-fish-runs-for-u-s-senate-seat|title=Alaska Libertarian Mark Fish runs for U.S. Senate seat|publisher=Amanda Coyne|date=May 14, 2014|access-date=June 4, 2014|author=Amanda Coyne}}
- Scott Kohlhaas, former chairman of the Alaska Libertarian Party and perennial candidate{{cite web|url=http://www.newsminer.com/u-s-senate-scott-kohlhaas/article_593fc4e4-2710-11e4-a011-0017a43b2370.html|title=U.S. Senate — Scott Kohlhaas|publisher=NewsMiner.com|date=August 18, 2014|access-date=August 22, 2014}}
- Thom Walker, University of Alaska Brooks Range research station operations manager{{cite web|url=http://www.ktoo.org/2014/08/22/walker-wins-primary-libertarian-senate-nomination|title=Walker wins primary … for Libertarian Senate nomination|publisher=KTOO|date=August 22, 2014|access-date=August 22, 2014|author=Alexandra Gutierrez}}
==Declined==
- Joe Miller, former magistrate judge, Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014{{cite web|url=https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/210630-sen-begich-faces-tough-reelection-challenge-in-gop-friendly/|title=Sen. Begich faces tough reelection challenge in GOP-friendly Alaska|work=Roll Call|first=Cameron|last=Joseph|date=June 26, 2014|access-date=June 26, 2014}}{{cite web|url=https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/215212-joe-miller-says-hell-back-gop-nominee-against-begich-in-alaska/|work=The Hill|title=Joe Miller says he'll back GOP nominee against Begich in Alaska|date=August 15, 2014|access-date=August 15, 2014|first=Cameron|last=Joseph}}
=Results=
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary results{{cite web|url=http://www.elections.alaska.gov/results/14PRIM/data/results.htm |title=2014 Primary Elections August 19, 2014 Official Results |publisher=State of Alaska Division of Elections |access-date=September 8, 2014}}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Mark Begich (incumbent)
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 58,092
| percentage = 83.31%
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Thom Walker
| party = Alaska Libertarian Party
| votes = 3,167
| percentage = 4.54%
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Vic Kohring
| party = Alaskan Independence Party
| votes = 2,557
| percentage = 3.67%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = William Bryk
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 2,024
| percentage = 2.90%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Zachary Kile
| party = Alaskan Independence Party
| votes = 1,869
| percentage = 2.68%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Mark Fish
| party = Alaska Libertarian Party
| votes = 1,290
| percentage = 1.85%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Scott Kohlhaas
| party = Alaska Libertarian Party
| votes = 734
| percentage = 1.05%
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 69,733
| percentage = 100.00%
}}
{{Election box end}}
=Subsequent events=
In an upset, the unknown Thom Walker won the Libertarian nomination despite not campaigning and raising no money. Libertarians speculated that he was a Republican "plant" designed to keep a more viable Libertarian from winning the nomination and then taking votes away from the Republican nominee in the general election. They further speculated that Walker was chosen because he shared a surname with Bill Walker (no relation), who was running as an independent candidate in the 2014 gubernatorial election, and that voters may have been confused because Bill Walker did not appear on the primary ballot and thus they may have voted for Thom Walker in error. This confusion could have extended to the general election, with voters picking Thom Walker for the Senate, thinking he was Bill Walker.{{cite web|url=http://www.adn.com/article/20140822/walker-no-other-walker-wins-libertarian-us-senate-nomination|title=Walker -- no, the other Walker -- wins Libertarian US Senate nomination|publisher=Alaska Dispatch New|date=August 22, 2014|access-date=September 19, 2014}}
Walker withdrew from the race on August 27, saying that "my work location and schedule will have me out of town, out of contact and off the campaign trail for too long." The Libertarian executive board replaced him as the nominee with Mark Fish.{{cite web|url=http://www.adn.com/article/20140827/alaska-libertarian-candidate-us-senate-withdraws|title=Alaska Libertarian candidate for U.S. Senate withdraws|publisher=Alaska Dispatch New |date=August 27, 2014|access-date=September 19, 2014}}
Alaskan Independence nominee Vic Kohring, who had changed his voter registration from Republican to Alaskan Independence just before the filing deadline, withdrew from the race on September 2 and endorsed Dan Sullivan. The Alaskan Independence Party did not name a replacement nominee before the deadline for them to do so had passed.{{cite web|url=http://www.newsminer.com/news/alaska_news/independence-party-candidate-exits-us-senate-race/article_8f87de26-33a2-11e4-9874-001a4bcf6878.html|title=Independence party candidate exits US Senate race|publisher=NewsMiner.com|date=September 3, 2014|access-date=September 19, 2014}}
Republican primary
=Candidates=
==Declared==
File:Sullivan (15373065277).jpg
- John Jaramillo, air force veteran{{cite web|url=http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/20130528/joe-miller-takes-another-step-toward-2014-us-senate-run|title=Joe Miller takes another step toward 2014 US Senate run|date=May 28, 2013|access-date=July 9, 2013|work=Alaska Dispatch|first=Ben|last=Anderson}}
- Joe Miller, former U.S. magistrate judge and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010{{cite web|url=http://www.politico.com/story/2013/05/joe-miller-alaska-senate-2014-91960.html?hp=r5|title=Joe Miller files papers for Senate|date=May 28, 2013|access-date=May 29, 2013|work=Politico|first=Alexander|last=Burns}}
- Dan Sullivan, former Commissioner of the Alaska Department of Natural Resources and former Alaska Attorney General{{cite web|url=http://www.politico.com/story/2013/09/alaska-senate-race-2014-dan-sullivan-96730.html|title=Alaska Senate race 2014: Dan Sullivan to run|date=September 12, 2013|access-date=September 12, 2013|work=Politico|first=James|last=Hohmann}}
- Mead Treadwell, Lieutenant Governor of Alaska{{cite web|url=http://atr.rollcall.com/republican-annouces-challenge-against-begich/|title=Republican Announces Begich Challenge|date=June 18, 2013|access-date=June 18, 2013|work=Roll Call|first=Kyle|last=Trygstad}}
==Withdrew==
- Kathleen Tonn, anti-abortion activist{{cite web|url=http://www.newsminer.com/news/alaska_news/begala-scheduled-to-headline-begich-fundraiser/article_21afd1dc-ee44-11e2-b392-001a4bcf6878.html|title=Begala scheduled to headline fundraiser for Democrat Begich in Alaska|date=July 16, 2013|access-date=August 13, 2013|work=Newsminer}}{{cite web|url=http://www.alaskacommons.com/2014/02/01/kathleen-tonn-is-out-of-the-senate-race-but-her/|title=Tonn Out of Senate Primary Race|date=February 1, 2014|access-date=April 6, 2014|work=Alaska Commons|last=Bailey|first=Chris}}
==Declined==
- Timothy Mark Burgess, judge on the United States District Court for the District of Alaska{{cite web|url=http://www.adn.com/2013/02/23/2799969/alaska-ear-good-news-22413.html|title=Miller Mulls a Begich Challenge|date=February 23, 2013|access-date=February 27, 2013|work=Anchorage Daily News|first=Rich|last=Mauer}}
- Loren Leman, former lieutenant governor{{cite web|url=http://atr.rollcall.com/alaska-republicans-lining-up-to-take-on-mark-begich/|title=Alaska: Republicans Lining Up to Take on Mark Begich|date=November 13, 2012|access-date=February 27, 2013|work=Roll Call|first=Kyle|last=Trygstad}}
- Lesil McGuire, state senator{{cite web|url=http://www.adn.com/2013/06/05/2928145/mcguire-files-to-run-for-lieutenant.html|title=McGuire files to run for lieutenant governor|date=June 5, 2013|access-date=June 10, 2013|work=Anchorage Daily News|first=Kyle|last=Hopkins|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130609163114/http://www.adn.com/2013/06/05/2928145/mcguire-files-to-run-for-lieutenant.html|archive-date=June 9, 2013|url-status=dead}}{{cite web|url=http://www.adn.com/2014/06/02/3498565/mcguire-withdraws-from-lieutenant.html?sp=/99/100/&ihp=1|title=McGuire withdraws from lieutenant governor race just before filing deadline|date=June 2, 2014|access-date=June 4, 2014|work=Anchorage Daily News|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140606203448/http://www.adn.com/2014/06/02/3498565/mcguire-withdraws-from-lieutenant.html?sp=%2F99%2F100%2F&ihp=1|archive-date=June 6, 2014|url-status=dead}}
- Sarah Palin, former Governor of Alaska and nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2008 [http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/03/12/sarah-palin-tw-shannon_n_4951731.html Sarah Palin Ups Her 2014 Game, Endorses In Competitive GOP Senate Primary]
- Sean Parnell, Governor of Alaska (ran for re-election and lost){{cite web|url=http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/20130503/its-official-sean-parnell-will-seek-second-full-term-alaska-governor|archive-url=https://archive.today/20130628100328/http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/20130503/its-official-sean-parnell-will-seek-second-full-term-alaska-governor|url-status=dead|archive-date=June 28, 2013|title=Neither Democrats nor Republicans shocked Parnell is running again|date=May 4, 2013|access-date=May 25, 2013|work=Alaska Dispatch|first=Pat|last=Forgey}}
- Dan Sullivan, Mayor of Anchorage (ran for Lieutenant Governor and lost){{cite web|url=http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/news/article/anchorage-mayor-not-running-in-alaska-senate-race|title=Anchorage Mayor Not Running in Alaska Senate Race|date=May 23, 2013|access-date=May 25, 2013|work=The Rothenberg Political Report|first=Nathan L.|last=Gonzales}}
==Filed==
- Ted Stevens, former U.S. Senator. Stevens had filed to run for his old seat, but he was killed in a plane crash on August 9, 2010.{{cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2010/08/11/us/11crash.html?pagewanted=all |title=Former Senator Ted Stevens Killed in Plane Crash|work=The New York Times|first1=William|last1=Yardley|first2=Liz|last2=Robbins|date=August 10, 2010}}
=Endorsements=
{{Endorsements box
| title = Joe Miller
| list =
Individuals
- Sarah Palin, former Governor of Alaska and nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2008{{cite web|url=http://m.juneauempire.com/state/2014-08-15/sarah-palin-endorses-joe-miller-senate-race|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140819084839/http://m.juneauempire.com/state/2014-08-15/sarah-palin-endorses-joe-miller-senate-race|url-status=dead|archive-date=August 19, 2014|title=Sarah Palin endorses Joe Miller, again|date=August 15, 2014}}
Organizations
- [http://www.combatveteransforcongress.org/ Combat Veterans for Congress]{{cite web|url=http://joemiller.us/2013/12/press-release-joe-miller-endorsed-combat-veterans-congress-pac|title=Combat Veterans for Congress PAC Endorses Joe Miller for U.S. Senate|publisher=Joe Miller for Senate|date=December 23, 2013|access-date=February 24, 2014}}
- Gun Owners of America{{cite web|url=http://www.goapvf.org/endorsements/127-joe-miller|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140302172318/http://www.goapvf.org/endorsements/127-joe-miller|url-status=dead|archive-date=March 2, 2014|title=GOA Political Victory Fund Endorses Miller for Senate|publisher=Gun Owners of America Political Victory Fund|access-date=February 24, 2014}}}}
{{Endorsements box
| title = Dan Sullivan
| list =
Individuals
- Lyman Hoffman, member of the Alaska Senate (Democrat){{cite news|url=http://kyuk.org/lyman-hoffman-endorses-dan-sullivan-for-senate/|agency=KYUK|title=Lyman Hoffman Endorses Dan Sullivan for Senate|first=Ben|last=Matheson|date=October 24, 2014|access-date=January 21, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150121104746/http://kyuk.org/lyman-hoffman-endorses-dan-sullivan-for-senate/|archive-date=January 21, 2015|url-status=dead}}
- Condoleezza Rice, former United States Secretary of State[https://web.archive.org/web/20140325040319/http://www.therepublic.com/w/AK--Alaska-Senate-Sullivan US Senate hopeful Sullivan out with new ad, casts self as fighter Alaska needs], therepublic.com; accessed November 6, 2014.
- Tara Sweeney, co-chair of the Alaska Federation of Natives{{Cite web|date=October 25, 2020|first=Tara |last=Sweeney Updated|title=Sullivan has been a champion for rural Alaska|url=https://www.adn.com/opinions/2020/10/24/sullivan-has-been-a-champion-for-rural-alaska/|access-date=October 16, 2021|website=Anchorage Daily News|language=en}}
Organizations
- Club for Growth{{cite web|url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2014/03/12/club_for_growth_backs_sullivan_in_alaska_race_121900.html|title=Club for Growth Backs Sullivan in Alaska Race|date=March 12, 2014|access-date=March 13, 2014|work=Real Clear Politics|author=Caitlin Huey-Burns}}}}
{{Endorsements box
| title = Mead Treadwell
| list =
Individuals
- Jack Coghill, former lieutenant governor and Alaska Constitutional Convention delegate{{cite web|url=http://www.newsminer.com/news/local_news/treadwell-campaigns-in-fairbanks-for-u-s-senate-seat/article_064131ca-1ce8-11e3-a486-0019bb30f31a.html|title=Treadwell campaigns in Fairbanks for U.S. Senate seat|date=September 13, 2013|access-date=February 24, 2014|work=Fairbanks Daily News-Miner|first=Matt|last=Buxton}}
- Mark R. Hamilton, former President of the University of Alaska{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/Mead_Treadwell/status/378613991188074498|title=I am honored and humbled to have the support of Mark Hamilton|date=September 13, 2013|access-date=February 24, 2014|publisher=Twitter|first=Mead|last=Treadwell}}
- Ryan Stassel, snowboarder{{cite web|url=http://atr.rollcall.com/olympic-sochi-snowboarder-senate-endorsement|title=Olympic Snowboarder Makes Senate Endorsement|date=February 20, 2014|access-date=February 24, 2014|work=Roll Call|first=Kyle|last=Trygstad}}
}}
{{Endorsements box
| title = Declined to endorse
| list =
=Polling=
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%" |
valign= bottom
! style="width:200px;"| Poll source ! style="width:150px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! class=small | Margin of ! style="width:60px;"| John ! style="width:60px;"| Loren ! style="width:60px;"| Joe ! style="width:60px;"| Sarah ! style="width:60px;"| Sean ! style="width:60px;"| Dan A. ! style="width:60px;"| Dan S. ! style="width:60px;"| Kathleen ! style="width:60px;"| Mead ! Other/ |
Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)[http://amandacoyne.com/politics/new-poll-has-sullivan-surging-leading-treadwell-by-17-points-miller-by-25/ Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)]
| align=center| August 4–5, 2014 | align=center| 500 | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 17% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — |{{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 42% | align=center| — | align=center| 25% | align=center| 16% |
Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AK_8051205.pdf Public Policy Polling]
| align=center| {{nowrap|July 31 – August 3, 2014}} | align=center| 337 | align=center| ± 5.3% | align=center| 2% | align=center| — | align=center| 20% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 35% | align=center| — | align=center| 29% | align=center| 14% |
Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)[http://amandacoyne.com/politics/polls-show-tightening-in-gop-senate-primary/ Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)]
| align=center| July 29–31, 2014 | align=center| 375 | align=center| ± 5.5% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 16% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 35% | align=center| — | align=center| 27% | align=center| 22% |
Hellenthal & Assoc.[http://amandacoyne.com/politics/new-poll-shows-a-tightening-in-senate-race-oil-tax-repeal-winning/ Hellenthal & Assoc.]
| align=center| June 17–28, 2014 | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 21% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 35% | align=center| — | align=center| 31% | align=center| 13% |
Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)[https://web.archive.org/web/20140701033239/http://juneauempire.com/state/2014-06-26/dan-sullivan-still-leads-primary-pack#.U7JGjtxvX-s/ Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)]
| align=center| June 16–18, 2014 | align=center| 500 | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 13% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 36% | align=center| — | align=center| 27% | align=center| 24% |
Dittman Research (R-A. Sullivan)[http://amandacoyne.com/politics/new-poll-shows-gop-senate-candidates-treadwell-and-sullivan-neck-and-neck/ Dittman Research (R-A. Sullivan)]
| align=center| May 27–29, 2014 | align=center| 500 | align=center| ± 4.4% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 12% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 37% | align=center| — | align=center| 35% | align=center| 16% |
Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AK_513.pdf Public Policy Polling]
| align=center| May 8–11, 2014 | align=center| 313 | align=center| ± 5.5% | align=center| 3% | align=center| — | align=center| 14% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 40% | align=center| — | align=center| 26% | align=center| 17% |
Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)[https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/205191-sullivan-narrowly-trails-begich-in-internal-poll/ Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)]
| align=center| April 27–28, 2014 | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 12% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 38% | align=center| — | align=center| 22% | align=center| 29% |
Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AK_204.pdf Public Policy Polling]
| align=center| {{nowrap|January 30 – February 1, 2014}} | align=center| 442 | align=center| ± 4.7% | align=center| 2% | align=center| — | align=center| 20% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 30% | align=center| 4% | align=center| 25% | align=center| 19% |
Ivan Moore[http://amandacoyne.com/politics/early-republican-senate-race-poll-released/ Ivan Moore]
| align=center| December 15–22, 2013 | align=center| 335 | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 19% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 29% | align=center| — | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 34% | align=center| 18% |
rowspan=3|Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_AK_073013.pdf Public Policy Polling]
| rowspan=3 align=center| July 25–28, 2013 | rowspan=3 align=center| 507 | rowspan=3 align=center| ± 4.4% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 12% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 36% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 15% | align=center| — | align=center| 26% | align=center| 11% |
align=center| —
| align=center| — | align=center| 24% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 25% | align=center| — | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 33% | align=center| 19% |
align=center| —
| align=center| — | align=center| 30% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 53% | align=center| 18% |
rowspan=2|Harper Polling[http://harperpolling.com/polls/alaska-senate-primary-palin-leads#palin Harper Polling]
| rowspan=2 align=center| May 6–7, 2013 | rowspan=2 align=center| 379 | rowspan=2 align=center| ± 5.0% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 14% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 32% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 30% | align=center| 24% |
align=center| —
| align=center| — | align=center| 19% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 52% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 29% |
rowspan=2|Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_AK_020713.pdf Public Policy Polling]
| rowspan=2 align=center| February 4–5, 2013 | rowspan=2 align=center| 537 | rowspan=2 align=center| ± 4.2% | align=center| — | align=center| 16% | align=center| 17% | align=center| — | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 24% | align=center| 19% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 14% | align=center| 11% |
align=center| —
| align=center| 20% | align=center| 19% | align=center| — | align=center| — | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 29% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 23% | align=center| 9% |
Harper Polling[https://web.archive.org/web/20130203211803/http://conservativeintel.com/2013/01/31/palin-in-u-s-senate-poll/ Harper Polling]
| align=center| January 29–30, 2013 | align=center| 1,157 | align=center| ± 2.9% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 12% | align=center| 27% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 32% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 14% | align=center| 15% |
=Results=
[[File:2014AKSenGOP.svg|thumb|325px|Results by state house district
{{collapsible list
|title=Sullivan
|{{legend|#de8787|Sullivan—40–50%}}
|{{legend|#e9afaf|Sullivan—30–40%}}
}}
{{collapsible list
|title=Miller
|{{legend|#ffb380|Miller—30–40%}}
|{{legend|#ff9955|Miller—40–50%}}
}}
]]
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Dan Sullivan
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 44,740
| percentage = 40.05%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Joe Miller
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 35,904
| percentage = 32.14%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Mead Treadwell
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 27,807
| percentage = 24.90%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = John Jaramillo
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 3,246
| percentage = 2.91%
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 111,697
| percentage = 100.00%
}}
{{Election box end}}
Independents
=Candidates=
==Declared==
- Ted Gianoutsos, founder of the Veterans Party of Alaska and perennial candidate{{cite news|url=http://www.elections.alaska.gov/ci_pg_cl_2014_genr.php|title=November 4, 2014 General Election Candidate List|access-date=August 22, 2014|work=Alaska Secretary of State|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140820200902/http://www.elections.alaska.gov/ci_pg_cl_2014_genr.php|archive-date=August 20, 2014|url-status=dead}}
- Sid Hill, political gadfly{{cite web|url=http://www.frontiersman.com/news/crowded-field-files-for-state-elections/article_3810b116-edae-11e3-8e54-001a4bcf887a.html|title=Crowded field files for state elections|date=June 6, 2014|access-date=August 22, 2014|work=Mat-Su Valley Frontiersman|author=Andrew Wellner}}
- Stubbs, cat and mayor of Talkeetna, Alaska{{Cite news |url=http://www.businessinsider.com/a-cat-mayor-just-announced-his-campaign-for-senate-in-alaska-2014-11 |title=A Cat Mayor Just 'Announced' His Campaign For Senate In Alaska |last=Campbell |first=Colin |date=November 4, 2014 |work=Business Insider |access-date=July 24, 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170805024433/http://www.businessinsider.com/a-cat-mayor-just-announced-his-campaign-for-senate-in-alaska-2014-11 |archive-date=August 5, 2017 |url-status=live }}
==Declined==
- Joe Miller, former magistrate judge and Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010{{cite web|url=http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/04/how-sarah-palin-ruined-the-alaska-senate-race-105916_full.html|title=She Can See This Disaster From Her House|date=April 22, 2014|access-date=April 24, 2014|work=Politico|author=Forrest A. Nabors}}
General election
=Fundraising=
class="wikitable sortable" | ||||
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on Hand | Debt |
---|---|---|---|---|
{{party shading/Democratic}} | Mark Begich (D) | $7,918,887 | $8,487,590 | $721,505 | 0 |
{{party shading/Republican}} | Dan Sullivan (R) | $6,093,368 | $7,579,632 | $449,506 | $43,000 |
=Debates=
Begich and Sullivan participated in a televised debate regarding fisheries on August 27, 2014, at the University of Alaska Anchorage.{{cite news|url=http://www.adn.com/article/20141001/tough-topic-tough-audience-sullivan-debate-begich-fisheries-issues-kodiak |title=Tough topic, tough audience for Sullivan in debate with Begich on fisheries issues in Kodiak |work=Alaska Dispatch News |first=Nathaniel |last=Herz |date=October 1, 2014}} Another televised debate concerning natural resources was held on October 1 in Kodiak, Alaska.{{cite news|url=http://www.adn.com/article/20141023/begich-sullivan-spar-over-natural-resources-us-senate-debate |title=Begich, Sullivan spar over natural resources in US Senate debate |work=Alaska Dispatch News |first=Nathaniel |last=Herz |date=October 23, 2014}}
- [https://www.c-span.org/video/?322450-1/alaska-senate-debate Complete video of debate]
= Predictions =
=Polling=
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%" |
valign= bottom
! style="width:290px;"| Poll source ! style="width:200px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! class=small | Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Mark ! style="width:100px;"| Dan ! Other ! Undecided |
rowspan=2|Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/AKResults.pdf Public Policy Polling]
| align=center rowspan=2| November 1–2, 2014 | align=center rowspan=2| 1,052 | align=center rowspan=2| ± 3.0% | align=center| 45% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 46% | align=center| 4%Mark Fish (L) 2%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 2% | align=center| 5% |
align=center| 46%
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 47% | align=center| — | align=center| 7% |
Rasmussen Reports[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/alaska/election_2014_alaska_senate Rasmussen Reports]
| align=center| October 27–30, 2014 | align=center| 887 | align=center| ± 4.0% | align=center| 42% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 47% | align=center| — | align=center| 11% |
Ivan Moore[http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/ivan-moore-21129 Ivan Moore]
| align=center| October 24–26, 2014 | align=center| 544 | align=center| — | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 48% | align=center| 42% | align=center| 7% | align=center| 4% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/senate-races-battleground-tracker/ CBS News/NYT/YouGov]
| align=center| October 16–23, 2014 | align=center| 561 | align=center| ± 9.0% | align=center| 44% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 48% | align=center| 0% | align=center| 9% |
Harstad Strategic Research[https://web.archive.org/web/20141025030858/http://www.senatemajority.com/wpress/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/Harstad-AlaskaSenate-PollUpdate-Memo.Oct23.pdf Harstad Strategic Research]
| align=center| October 18–22, 2014 | align=center| 700 | align=center| — | align=center| 44% | align=center| 44% | align=center| 4% | align=center| 7% |
Hellenthal & Associates[https://www.scribd.com/doc/244305469/AK-Sen-AK-Gov-Hellenthal-Associates-Oct-2014 Hellenthal & Associates]
| align=center| October 15–21, 2014 | align=center| 403 | align=center| ± 4.9% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 49% | align=center| 39% | align=center| 7%Mark Fish (L) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 4% | align=center| 6% |
Rasmussen Reports
| align=center| October 8–12, 2014 | align=center| 700 | align=center| ± 4.0% | align=center| 45% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 48% | align=center| 3% | align=center| 3% |
Fox News[http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2014/10/08/fox-news-poll-sullivan-has-44-40-percent-advantage-over-begich-in-alaska/ Fox News]
| align=center| October 4–7, 2014 | align=center| 706 | align=center| ± 3.5% | align=center| 40% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 44% | align=center| 6%Mark Fish (L) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%, Other 2% | align=center| 10% |
rowspan=2|CNN/ORC[http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2014/images/10/08/aksenaterace.pdf CNN/ORC]
| align=center rowspan=2| October 1–6, 2014 | align=center| 704 LV | align=center| ± 3.5% | align=center| 44% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 50% | align=center| — | align=center| 5% |
align=center| 875 RV
| align=center| ± 3.4% | align=center| 44% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 48% | align=center| — | align=center| 8% |
Hickman Analytics[https://web.archive.org/web/20141019233602/http://consumerenergyalliance.org/wp/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/AK-Topline-Tables-Release.pdf Hickman Analytics]
| align=center| September 26 – October 2, 2014 | align=center| 400 | align=center| ± 4.9% | align=center| 41% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 46% | align=center| 4%Mark Fish (L) 4%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1% | align=center| 9% |
CBS News/New York Times[http://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/senate-races-battleground-tracker/ CBS News/New York Times]
| align=center| September 20 – October 1, 2014 | align=center| 593 | align=center| ± 5.0% | align=center| 42% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 48% | align=center| 2% | align=center| 8% |
Rassmussen Reports[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/alaska/election_2014_alaska_senate Rassmussen Reports]
| align=center| September 23–24, 2014 | align=center| 750 | align=center| ± 4.0% | align=center| 43% |{{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 48% | align=center| 5% | align=center| 4% |
Marc Hellenthal[http://amandacoyne.com/politics/another-local-poll-shows-senate-candidate-leading-against-begich/#more-6823 Marc Hellenthal]
| align=center| September 12–24, 2014 | align=center| 400 | align=center| — | align=center| 42% |{{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 46% | align=center| 7%Mark Fish (L) | align=center| 5% |
rowspan=2|Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AK_923925.pdf Public Policy Polling]
| align=center rowspan=2| September 18–21, 2014 | align=center rowspan=2| 880 | align=center rowspan=2| ± 3.3% | align=center| 41% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 43% | align=center| 5%Mark Fish (L) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 2% | align=center| 11% |
align=center| 42%
| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 45% | align=center| — | align=center| 13% |
Dittman[https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/218922-gop-poll-dem-trails-in-alaska-senate-race/ Dittman]
| align=center| September 14–17, 2014 | align=center| 800 | align=center| ± 3.5% | align=center| 43% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 49% | align=center| — | align=center| 8% |
Hays Research/AFL-CIO[https://www.scribd.com/doc/239975371/AK-Sen-AK-Gov-for-AFL-CIO-Sept-2014 Hays Research/AFL-CIO]
| align=center| September 13–14, 2014 | align=center| 500 | align=center| ± 4.4% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 41% | align=center| 36% | align=center colspan=2| 23% |
Harstad Strategic Research[https://www.scribd.com/doc/239641767/AK-Sen-Harstad-Research-for-Senate-Majority-PAC Harstad Strategic Research]
| align=center| September 7–10, 2014 | align=center| 709 | align=center| ± 4.0% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 45% | align=center| 40% | align=center| 7% | align=center| 8% |
CBS News/New York Times[https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/2014-battleground-tracker-wave-2-alaska/ CBS News/New York Times]
| align=center| August 18 – September 2, 2014 | align=center| 412 | align=center| ± 6.0% | align=center| 38% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 43% | align=center| 6% | align=center| 12% |
Harstad Strategic Research
| align=center| August 24–27, 2014 | align=center| 807 | align=center| ± 4.0% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 41% | align=center| 40% | align=center| 10% | align=center| 8% |
ccAdvertising[http://gallery.mailchimp.com/0a361110a8a816b64fb4521ff/files/AK_FLYER_14_824.pdf ccAdvertising]
| align=center| August 21–24, 2014 | align=center| 4,403 | align=center| — | align=center| 31% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 42% | align=center| — | align=center| 27% |
Rasmussen Reports
| align=center| August 20–21, 2014 | align=center| 750 | align=center| ± 4% | align=center| 45% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 47% | align=center| 3% | align=center| 4% |
rowspan=2|Public Policy Polling
| align=center rowspan=2| July 31 – August 1, 2014 | align=center rowspan=2| 673 | align=center rowspan=2| ± 3.8% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 43% | align=center| 37% | align=center| 7%Mark Fish (L) 4%, Vic Kohring (AI) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 0%, Sidney Hill (I) 0% | align=center| 12% |
{{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 45%
| align=center| 41% | align=center| — | align=center| 14% |
Harstad Strategic Research
| align=center| July 20–24, 2014 | align=center| 808 | align=center| ± 4.0% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 44% | align=center| 37% | align=center| 10% | align=center| 9% |
CBS News/New York Times[http://www.cbsnews.com/news/2014-midterms-republicans-narrowly-favored-to-capture-senate-in-november/ CBS News/New York Times]
| align=center| July 5–24, 2014 | align=center| 452 | align=center| ± 5.2% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 46% | align=center| 35% | align=center| 9% | align=center| 10% |
Basswood Research[http://amandacoyne.com/politics/maryland-based-pollster-has-sullivan-beating-begich-by-5-points/ Basswood Research]
| align=center| June 29–30, 2014 | align=center| 500 | align=center| ± 4.4% | align=center| 40% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 45% | align=center| — | align=center| 15% |
Moore Information (R-Sullivan)[https://web.archive.org/web/20140701033239/http://juneauempire.com/state/2014-06-26/dan-sullivan-still-leads-primary-pack#.U7JGjtxvX-s Moore Information (R-Sullivan)]
| align=center| June 16–18, 2014 | align=center| 500 | align=center| ± 4.0% | align=center| 43% | align=center| 43% | align=center| — | align=center| 14% |
Public Policy Polling
| align=center| May 8–11, 2014 | align=center| 582 | align=center| ± 4.1% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 42% | align=center| 37% | align=center| 7%Zachary Kile 5%, Ted Gianoutsos 1%, Sidney Hill 1% | align=center| 14% |
Moore Information (R-Sullivan)[https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/205191-sullivan-narrowly-trails-begich-in-internal-poll/ Moore Information (R-Sullivan)]
| align=center| April 27–28, 2014 | align=center| 500 | align=center| ± 4.0% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 44% | align=center| 42% | align=center| — | align=center| 14% |
Magellan Strategies[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Magellan_Alaska_0414.pdf Magellan Strategies]
| align=center| April 14, 2014 | align=center| 603 | align=center| ± 4.0% | align=center| 41% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 46% | align=center| 7% | align=center| 6% |
Rasmussen Reports
| align=center| March 19–20, 2014 | align=center| 750 | align=center| ± 4.0% | align=center| 44% | align=center| 44% | align=center| 3% | align=center| 9% |
Public Policy Polling
| align=center| January 30 – February 1, 2014 | align=center| 850 | align=center| ± 3.4% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 41% | align=center| 37% | align=center| 9%Zachary Kile 6%, Ted Gianoutsos 1%, Sidney Hill 2% | align=center| 13% |
Harper Polling[http://www.americancrossroads.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/AC-Toplines-2-7-14.pdf Harper Polling]
| align=center| January 20–22, 2014 | align=center| 677 | align=center| ± 3.8% | align=center| 41% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 47% | align=center| — | align=center| 12% |
Harper Polling[http://images.politico.com/global/2013/10/14/alaska.html Harper Polling]
| align=center| September 24–25, 2013 | align=center| 731 | align=center| ± 3.6% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 43% | align=center| 41% | align=center| — | align=center| 16% |
Public Policy Polling
| align=center| July 25–28, 2013 | align=center| 890 | align=center| ± 3.3% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 46% | align=center| 39% | align=center| — | align=center| 15% |
{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}
with Leman
class="wikitable" |
valign= bottom
! style="width:185px;"| Poll source ! style="width:200px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! class=small | Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Mark ! style="width:100px;"| Loren ! style="width:100px;"| Zachary ! Other ! Undecided |
Public Policy Polling
| align=center| February 4–5, 2013 | align=center| 1,129 | align=center| ± 2.9% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 50% | align=center| 40% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 10% |
with Miller
class="wikitable" |
valign= bottom
! style="width:185px;"| Poll source ! style="width:200px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! class=small | Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Mark ! style="width:100px;"| Joe ! style="width:100px;"| Zachary ! Other ! Undecided |
Public Policy Polling
| align=center| July 31 – August 1, 2014 | align=center| 673 | align=center| ± 3.8% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 45% | align=center| 32% | align=center| — | align=center| 12%Mark Fish (L) 6%, Vic Kohring (AI) 4%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%, Sidney Hill (I) 1% | align=center| 11% |
Public Policy Polling
| align=center| May 8–11, 2014 | align=center| 582 | align=center| ± 4.1% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 43% | align=center| 27% | align=center| 4% | align=center| 2%Ted Gianoutsos 0%, Sidney Hill 2% | align=center| 23% |
Rasmussen Reports
| align=center| March 19–20, 2014 | align=center| 750 | align=center| ± 4% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 49% | align=center| 38% | align=center| — | align=center| 3% | align=center| 10% |
Public Policy Polling
| align=center| January 30 – February 1, 2014 | align=center| 850 | align=center| ± 3.4% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 45% | align=center| 25% | align=center| 5% | align=center| 3% | align=center| 21% |
Harper Polling
| align=center| January 20–22, 2014 | align=center| 677 | align=center| ± 3.76% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 51% | align=center| 32% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 17% |
Harper Polling
| align=center| September 24–25, 2013 | align=center| 731 | align=center| ± 3.62% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 55% | align=center| 28% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 18% |
Public Policy Polling
| align=center| July 25–28, 2013 | align=center| 890 | align=center| ± 3.3% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 55% | align=center| 32% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 13% |
Public Policy Polling
| align=center| February 4–5, 2013 | align=center| 1,129 | align=center| ± 2.9% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 58% | align=center| 30% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 12% |
Harper Polling[https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/140936-sen-begich-leads-in-gop-poll/ Harper Polling]
| align=center| January 29–30, 2013 | align=center| 1,157 | align=center| ± 2.88% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 52% | align=center| 29% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 19% |
class="wikitable" |
valign= bottom
! style="width:185px;"| Poll source ! style="width:200px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! class=small | Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Mark ! style="width:100px;"| Dan ! style="width:100px;"| Joe ! Other ! Undecided |
Hays Research Group[http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/20140211/treadwell-camp-says-new-us-senate-poll-ignores-space-time-continuum Hays Research Group]
| align=center| February 9, 2014 | align=center| 502 | align=center| ± 3.3% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 45% | align=center| 33% | align=center| 10% | align=center| — | align=center| — |
with Palin
class="wikitable" |
valign= bottom
! style="width:185px;"| Poll source ! style="width:200px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! class=small | Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Mark ! style="width:100px;"| Sarah ! style="width:100px;"| Zachary ! Other ! Undecided |
Public Policy Polling
| align=center| May 8–11, 2014 | align=center| 582 | align=center| ± 4.1% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 41% | align=center| 35% | align=center| 6% | align=center| 15% |
Public Policy Polling
| align=center| January 30 – February 1, 2014 | align=center| 850 | align=center| ± 3.4% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 44% | align=center| 40% | align=center| 4% | align=center| 2% | align=center| 11% |
Hays Research Group[https://web.archive.org/web/20140416174109/http://www.haysresearch.com/resources/Hays-Palin-Begich-release-082113.pdf Hays Research Group]
| align=center| August 14–15, 2013 | align=center| 388 | align=center| ± 4.9% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 55% | align=center| 37% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 8% |
Public Policy Polling
| align=center| July 25–28, 2013 | align=center| 890 | align=center| ± 3.3% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 52% | align=center| 40% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 8% |
Public Policy Polling
| align=center| February 4–5, 2013 | align=center| 1,129 | align=center| ± 2.9% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 54% | align=center| 38% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 8% |
Harper Polling
| align=center| January 29–30, 2013 | align=center| 1,157 | align=center| ± 2.88% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 47% | align=center| 40% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 13% |
with Parnell
class="wikitable" |
valign= bottom
! style="width:185px;"| Poll source ! style="width:200px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! class=small | Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Mark ! style="width:100px;"| Sean ! Undecided |
Public Policy Polling
| align=center| February 4–5, 2013 | align=center| 1,129 | align=center| ± 2.9% | align=center| 48% | align=center| 48% | align=center| 4% |
Harper Polling
| align=center| January 29–30, 2013 | align=center| 1,157 | align=center| ± 2.88% | align=center| 40% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 46% | align=center| 14% |
with Dan A. Sullivan
class="wikitable" |
valign= bottom
! style="width:185px;"| Poll source ! style="width:200px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! class=small | Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Mark ! style="width:100px;"| Dan A. ! Undecided |
Public Policy Polling
| align=center| February 4–5, 2013 | align=center| 1,129 | align=center| ± 2.9% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 47% | align=center| 41% | align=center| 12% |
with Treadwell
class="wikitable" |
valign= bottom
! style="width:185px;"| Poll source ! style="width:200px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! class=small | Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Mark ! style="width:100px;"| Mead ! style="width:100px;"| Zachary ! Other ! Undecided |
rowspan=2|Public Policy Polling
| align=center rowspan=2| July 31 – August 1, 2014 | align=center rowspan=2| 673 | align=center rowspan=2| ± 3.8% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 42% | align=center| 37% | align=center| — | align=center| 8%Mark Fish (L) 5%, Vic Kohring (AI) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 0%, Sidney Hill (I) 0% | align=center| 12% |
{{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 44%
| align=center| 41% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 15% |
CBS News/New York Times
| align=center| July 5–24, 2014 | align=center| 452 | align=center| ± 5.8% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 47% | align=center| 45% | align=center| — | align=center| 9% | align=center| 10% |
Public Policy Polling
| align=center| May 8–11, 2014 | align=center| 582 | align=center| ± 4.1% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 41% | align=center| 33% | align=center| 6% | align=center| 3%Ted Gianoutsos 1%, Sidney Hill 2% | align=center| 17% |
Rasmussen Reports
| align=center| March 19–20, 2014 | align=center| 750 | align=center| ± 4% | align=center| 43% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 47% | align=center| — | align=center| 3% | align=center| 6% |
Public Policy Polling
| align=center| January 30 – February 1, 2014 | align=center| 850 | align=center| ± 3.4% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 43% | align=center| 37% | align=center| 5% | align=center| 2% | align=center| 13% |
Harper Polling
| align=center| January 20–22, 2014 | align=center| 677 | align=center| ± 3.76% | align=center| 41% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 47% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 12% |
Harper Polling
| align=center| September 24–25, 2013 | align=center| 731 | align=center| ± 3.62% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 43% | align=center| 42% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 15% |
Hays Research Group[https://web.archive.org/web/20140117042040/http://www.haysresearch.com/resources/Hays-Release-4-Begich-Treadwell.pdf Hays Research Group]
| align=center| August 14–15, 2013 | align=center| 388 | align=center| ± 4.9% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 50.4% | align=center| 38.5% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 11.1% |
Public Policy Polling
| align=center| July 25–28, 2013 | align=center| 890 | align=center| ± 3.3% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 44% | align=center| 40% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 17% |
Public Policy Polling
| align=center| February 4–5, 2013 | align=center| 1,129 | align=center| ± 2.9% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 47% | align=center| 39% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 14% |
Harper Polling
| align=center| January 29–30, 2013 | align=center| 1,157 | align=center| ± 2.88% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 44% | align=center| 34% | align=center| — | align=center| — | align=center| 22% |
{{hidden end}}
=Results=
{{Election box begin | title=2014 United States Senate election in Alaska{{cite news|url=http://www.elections.alaska.gov/results/14GENR/data/results.pdf|title=2014 General Election November 4, 2014 Official Results |date=November 11, 2014 |access-date=November 27, 2014 |publisher=elections.alaska.gov }}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link|
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|candidate = Dan Sullivan
|votes = 135,445
|percentage = 47.96%
|change = +1.46%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|candidate = Mark Begich (incumbent)
|votes = 129,431
|percentage = 45.83%
|change = −1.94%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
|party = Alaska Libertarian Party
|candidate = Mark Fish
|votes = 10,512
|percentage = 3.72%
|change = +1.94%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
|party = Independent (United States)
|candidate = Ted Gianoutsos
|votes = 5,636
|percentage = 2.00%
|change = +1.56%
}}
{{Election box write-in with party link
|votes = 1,376
|percentage = 0.49%
|change = +0.15%
}}
{{Election box total
|votes = 282,400
|percentage = 100.00%
|change = N/A
}}
{{Election box gain with party link no swing
|winner = Republican Party (United States)
|loser = Democratic Party (United States)
|swing =
}}
{{Election box end}}
==Boroughs and Census Areas that flipped from Democratic to Republican==
- Fairbanks North Star (largest city: Fairbanks)
- Kodiak Island (largest city: Kodiak Island)
- Petersburg
==Boroughs and Census Areas that flipped Republican to Democratic==
- Aleutians East Borough (largest city: Akutan)
See also
- 2014 Alaska gubernatorial election
- 2014 United States Senate elections
- 2014 United States elections
- Stubbs (cat), notable write-in candidate and honorary Mayor of Talkeetna, Alaska
References
{{Reflist}}
Notes
{{notelist}}
External links
- [http://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_elections_in_Alaska,_2014 U.S. Senate elections in Alaska, 2014] at Ballotpedia
- [http://senate.ontheissues.org/2014_AK_Senate.htm Alaska Senate debate excerpts], OnTheIssues.org
- [http://www.opensecrets.org/races/summary.php?id=AKS1&cycle=2014 Campaign contributions] at OpenSecrets
Campaign websites
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20130924015608/http://www.markbegich.com/ Mark Begich for U.S. Senate]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20130823094019/http://www.sullivan2014.com/ Dan Sullivan for U.S. Senate]
- [http://www.kohringalaska.com/ Vic Kohring for U.S. Senate]
{{2014 United States elections}}