2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico#District 1
{{Short description|none}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=April 2015}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
| country = New Mexico
| type = legislative
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
| previous_year = 2016
| next_election = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
| next_year = 2020
| seats_for_election = All 3 New Mexico seats to the United States House of Representatives
| election_date = {{Start date|2018|11|06}}
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
| last_election1 = 2
| seats1 = 3
| seat_change1 = {{increase}}1
| popular_vote1 = 400,702
| percentage1 = 58.25%
| swing1 = {{increase}}2.24%
| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| last_election2 = 1
| seats2 = 0
| seat_change2 = {{decrease}}1
| popular_vote2 = 262,714
| percentage2 = 38.20%
| swing2 = {{decrease}}5.79%
| map_image = {{switcher |220px |Election results by district |220px |Election results by county |default=1}}
| map_caption = {{col-begin}}
{{col-2}}
Democratic
{{legend|#86B6F2|50–60%}}
{{legend|#4389e3|60–70%}}
{{legend|#1666cb|70–80%}}
{{legend|#0645b4|80–90%}}
{{col-2}}
Republican
{{legend|#e27f90|50–60%}}
{{legend|#cc2f4a|60–70%}}
{{legend|#D40000|70–80%}}
{{col-end}}
}}
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the state of New Mexico, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
The Democratic party gained the 2nd Congressional seat, gaining unitary control of New Mexico's Congressional (House and Senate) delegation for the first time since 2008 and improving the advantage in the House delegation for New Mexico from 2–1 in favor of Democrats to 3–0.
{{Toclimit|limit=2}}
Overview
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico by district:{{cite web|last=Johnson|first=Cheryl L.|title=Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018|url=http://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/Election-Statistics/|publisher=Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives|access-date=2019-04-27|date=2019-02-28|df=mdy-all}}
class="wikitable plainrowheaders sortable" style="font-size:100%;"
! scope=col rowspan=3|District ! scope=col colspan=2|Democratic ! scope=col colspan=2|Republican ! scope=col colspan=2|Others ! scope=col colspan=2|Total ! scope=col rowspan=3|Result | |||||||||
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}"| | scope=col colspan=2 style="background:{{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}"| | scope=col colspan=2| | scope=col colspan=2| | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
scope=col data-sort-type="number"|Votes | scope=col data-sort-type="number"|% | scope=col data-sort-type="number"|Votes | scope=col data-sort-type="number"|% | scope=col data-sort-type="number"|Votes | scope=col data-sort-type="number"|% | scope=col data-sort-type="number"|Votes | scope=col data-sort-type="number"|% | ||
{{Party shading/Democratic}}|District 1 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|147,336 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|59.13% | 90,507 | 36.33% | 11,319 | 4.54% | 249,162 | 100% | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|Democratic hold |
{{Party shading/Republican}}|District 2 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|101,489 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|50.93% | 97,767 | 49.07% | align=center colspan=2|n/a | 199,256 | 100% | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|Democratic gain | |
{{Party shading/Democratic}}|District 3 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|148,501 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|60.64% | 76,427 | 31.21% | 13,265 | 5.42% | 244,893 | 100% | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|Democratic hold |
class="sortbottom" style="font-weight:bold"
| align=left|Total | 404,026 | 58.27% | 264,701 | 38.18% | 24,584 | 3.55% | 693,311 | 100% |
{{ElectionsNM}}
District 1
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2018 New Mexico's 1st congressional district election
| country = New Mexico
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico#District 1
| previous_year = 2016
| next_election = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico#District 1
| next_year = 2020
| image_size = x150px
| image1 = File:Deb Haaland official portrait, 116th congress 2 (1).jpg
| nominee1 = Deb Haaland
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 147,336
| percentage1 = 59.1%
| image2 = File:Janice Arnold Jones Alamogordo 2010.jpg
| nominee2 = Janice Arnold-Jones
| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 90,507
| percentage2 = 36.3%
| map_image = {{switcher |230px |County results|230px |Precinct results |default=1}}
| map_caption = Haaland: {{legend0|#A5B0FF|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}
Jones: {{legend0|#FFB2B2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}}
{{legend0|#808080|No votes}}
| title = U.S. Representative
| before_election = Michelle Lujan Grisham
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| after_election = Deb Haaland
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)
}}
{{See also|New Mexico's 1st congressional district}}
The 1st district is centered around the Albuquerque metropolitan area. Democrat Michelle Lujan Grisham, who had represented the district since 2013, was reelected to a third term with 65% of the vote in 2016. Lujan Grisham did not run for reelection and instead successfully ran for governor of New Mexico.{{cite news|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/908217/u-s-rep-michelle-lujan-grisham-announces-2018-gubernatorial-bid.html|title=U.S. Rep. Michelle Lujan Grisham announces 2018 gubernatorial bid|work=Albuquerque Journal|last=Boyd|first=Dan|date=December 13, 2016|access-date=December 13, 2016}}
New Mexico's 1st district was one of 36 Democrat-held House districts targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.{{cite web|url=https://www.nrcc.org/2017/02/08/nrcc-announces-initial-offensive-targets-2018-cycle/|title=NRCC Announces Initial Offensive Targets For The 2018 Cycle - NRCC|date=February 8, 2017|access-date=June 6, 2018}}
=Democratic primary=
==Candidates==
===Declared===
- Deb Haaland, former chair of the New Mexico Democratic Party and nominee for lieutenant governor of New Mexico in 2014{{Cite news|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/haaland-former-dem-party-state-chairwoman-running-for-congress/article_c99ed6c6-4b18-59bd-9b3d-a14c557bfc50.html|title=Haaland, former Dem Party state chairwoman, running for Congress|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Oxford|first=Andrew|date=May 2, 2017|access-date=May 5, 2017}}
- Damian Lara, attorney{{Cite web|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/1010509/lara-announces-bid-for-u-s-house-seat.html|title=Fifth democrat joins race to replace Lujan Grisham|work=Albuquerque Journal|last=McKay|first=Dan|date=May 30, 2017|access-date=May 31, 2017}}
- Damon Martinez, former United States Attorney for the District of New Mexico{{Cite web|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/1030891/damon-martinez-enters-race-for-abq-congressional-seat.html|title=Ex-U.S. attorney enters race for ABQ-based congressional seat|work=Albuquerque Journal|last=Boyd|first=Dan|date=July 10, 2017|access-date=July 10, 2017}}
- Antoinette Sedillo Lopez, former law professor and executive director of Enlace Comunitario, an anti-domestic violence non-profit{{cite web|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/990809/sedillo-lopez-launches-run-for-1st-congressional-district.html|title=Sedillo Lopez launches run for 1st Congressional District|work=Albuquerque Journal|last=Shepard|first=Maggie|date=April 20, 2017|access-date=April 21, 2017}}
===Withdrew===
- Annie Chavez, Sandia National Laboratories government relations official{{Cite news|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/1039323/annie-chavez-jumps-into-abq-congressional-seat-fray.html|title=8th Dem candidate enters race for congressional seat|work=Albuquerque Journal|last=Boyd|first=Dan|date=July 27, 2017|access-date=July 28, 2017}}{{Cite news|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/1072191/annie-chavez-suspends-congressional-run.html|title=Chavez drops out of congressional race due to health concerns|work=Albuquerque Journal|last=McKay|first=Dan|date=October 2, 2017|access-date=October 3, 2017}}
- Pat Davis, Albuquerque city councilman{{cite web|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/albuquerque-city-councilman-running-for-u-s-house/article_576ac22d-14b3-5d7b-bdd0-92313e63dbaf.html|title=Albuquerque city councilman running for U.S. House|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|date=April 4, 2017|access-date=April 5, 2017}}{{cite web|url=https://www.kob.com/politics-news/pat-davis-drops-out-/4927420/|title=Democrat Pat Davis drops out of congressional race, endorses Haaland|last=KOB Web Staff|date=May 29, 2018|work=KOB|access-date=May 29, 2018|archive-date=May 29, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180529224730/https://www.kob.com/politics-news/pat-davis-drops-out-/4927420/|url-status=dead}} (endorsed Haaland)
- Dennis Dinge, physicist{{Cite news|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/briefs/n-m-physicist-announces-run-for-lujan-grisham-s-seat/article_c0c24e94-c29c-50b0-a56d-bcc73bd2427d.html|title=N.M. physicist announces run for Lujan Grisham’s seat|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Oxford|first=Andrew|date=May 8, 2017|access-date=May 9, 2017}}{{Cite web|url=https://www.facebook.com/dingeNM1/|title=Security Check Required|website=www.facebook.com|language=en|access-date=2017-11-13}}
===Declined===
- Terry Brunner, USDA Rural Development state director and former state director for former U.S. senator Jeff Bingaman{{cite web|url=http://nmpoliticalreport.com/135174/heres-whos-considering-running-to-replace-lujan-grisham-in-congress/|title=Here’s who’s considering running to replace Lujan Grisham in Congress|work=New Mexico Political Report|last=Lyman|first=Andy|date=December 14, 2016|access-date=January 19, 2017}}
- Jacob Candelaria, state senator{{cite web|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/909028/bernalillo-county-commissioner-considers-congressional-race.html|title=Lujan Grisham’s run shaking up politics|work=Albuquerque Journal|last=McKay|first=Dan|date=December 14, 2016|access-date=January 19, 2017}}
- Tanya Giddings, Bernalillo County assessor
- Javier Martinez, state representative
- Michael Padilla, state senator{{cite news|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/state-sen-padilla-will-run-for-lieutenant-governor/article_c6dbf115-3813-590f-a017-33babd7349a1.html|title=State Sen. Padilla will run for lieutenant governor|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Terrell|first=Steve|date=July 19, 2017|access-date=September 1, 2017}}
- Ken Sanchez, Albuquerque city councilman
- Maggie Hart Stebbins, Bernalillo County commissioner
==Polling==
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:30px"| Pat ! style="width:30px"| Deb ! style="width:30px"| Damian ! style="width:30px"| Damon ! style="width:30px"| Paul ! style="width:30px"| Antoinette ! Other ! Undecided |
style="text-align:left;"|Albuquerque Journal[https://www.abqjournal.com/1176833 Albuquerque Journal]
| May 20–24, 2018 | 395 | ± 4.9% | 5% | 19% | 4% | {{Party shading/Democratic}}| 22% | 3% | 17% | — | {{Party shading/Undecided}}| 29% |
style="text-align:left;"|Lake Research Partners (D)[https://www.scribd.com/document/379503743/NM-01-Lake-Research-for-VoteVets-May-2018 Lake Research Partners (D)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored for Damon Martinez.}}
| May 13–14, 2018 | 390 | ± 5.0% | — | 20% | — | 23% | — | {{Party shading/Democratic}}| 25% | 5% | {{Party shading/Undecided}}| 27% |
style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling (D)[http://joemonahansnewmexico.blogspot.com/2018_04_22_archive.html#1511650707237639832#1511650707237639832 Public Policy Polling (D)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored for Pat Davis.}}
| April 13–15, 2018 | 508 | ± 4.4 | 11% | {{Party shading/Democratic}}| 15% | — | 7% | — | {{Party shading/Democratic}}| 15% | — | {{Party shading/Undecided}}| 43% |
== Endorsements ==
{{Endorsements box|title=Deb Haaland|list=
;Organizations
- Congressional Black Caucus PAC{{cite web |title=Historic Endorsement for New Mexico’s First Congressional District Campaign |url=https://greaterdiversity.com/congressional-black-caucus-pac-endorses-deb-haaland-congress/ |publisher=Greater Diversity News |access-date=9 November 2023 |date=15 January 2018}}
- National Organization for Women (NOW PAC){{cite web |last1=Clark |first1=Carol |title=National Organization For Women PAC Endorses Deb Haaland For Congress |url=https://ladailypost.com/national-organization-for-women-pac-endorses-deb-haaland-for-congress/ |publisher=Los Alamos Daily Post |access-date=9 November 2023 |date=21 February 2018}}
;Individuals
- James Clyburn, U.S. representative (D-SC){{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/Deb4CongressNM/status/967453988881747968|title=Deb Haaland on Twitter|access-date=June 6, 2018}}
- Diane Denish, former lieutenant governor of New Mexico{{cite web |title=Ex-Lt. Gov. Denish endorses Haaland for Congress |url=https://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/briefs/ex-lt-gov-denish-endorses-haaland-for-congress/article_baa8344a-643f-5be4-b21c-b4f34d053c67.html |publisher=The Santa Fe New Mexican |access-date=9 November 2023 |date=24 October 2017}}
- Fred Harris, former U.S. Senator and Chair of the National Democratic Party (D-OK)
- Martin Heinrich, U.S. senator (D-NM){{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/TeamHeinrich/status/1049359806690017280|title=For too long, our native communities have been underrepresented and undervalued in Washington. This November, we have the chance to make progress by electing the first Native American woman to Congress. @Deb4CongressNM #IndigenousPeoplesDay2018|work=Twitter|author=Martin Heinrich}}
- Pramila Jayapal, U.S. representative (D-WA){{cite web |url= https://www.abqjournal.com/1114612/newman-haaland-win-congressional-endorsements-from-cruz-jayapal.html |title= NM candidates for Congress win high-level endorsements from D.C. |author= Michael Coleman - Journal Washington Bureau |website= www.abqjournal.com |access-date= June 6, 2018}}
- Ben Ray Lujan, U.S. representative (D-NM)
- Terry McAuliffe, former governor of Virginia{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/TerryMcAuliffe/status/1020723190111318016|title=Terry McAuliffe on Twitter|access-date=July 22, 2018}}
- Gwen Moore, U.S. representative (D-WI){{cite web |title=Rep. Gwen Moore (WI-4) endorses Deb Haaland |url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=FbnTh6I4dqk |publisher=YouTube |access-date=9 November 2023 |date=17 February 2018}}
- Barack Obama, former president of the United States{{cite web |title=President Obama endorses Deb Halaand for Congress |url=https://www.krqe.com/news/politics-government/president-obama-endorses-deb-halaand-for-congress/ |publisher=KRQE |access-date=9 November 2023 |date=1 August 2018}}
- Tom Perez, chair of the Democratic National Committee{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/TomPerez/status/1020428605707497472|title=Tom Perez on Twitter|access-date=July 22, 2018}}
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator (D-MA){{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/Deb4CongressNM/status/1019310873024782337|title=Deb Haaland on Twitter|access-date=July 22, 2018}}
}}
== Debate ==
class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"
|+ 2018 New Mexico's 1st congressional district Democratic primary debate |
scope="col" | {{abbr|No.|Number}}
! scope="col" | Date ! scope="col" | Host ! scope="col" | Moderator ! scope="col" | Link ! scope="col"| Democratic ! scope="col"| Democratic ! scope="col"| Democratic ! scope="col"| Democratic ! scope="col"| Democratic ! scope="col"| Democratic ! scope="col"| Democratic ! scope="col"| Democratic |
---|
colspan="5" rowspan="2" |Key: {{Colors|black|#90ff90| P }} Participant {{Colors|black|#FFFFDD| A }} Absent {{Colors|black|#ff9090| N }} Not invited {{Colors|black|#CCFFCC| I }} Invited {{color box|#f0e68c|W}} Withdrawn ! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"| ! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"| ! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"| ! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"| ! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"| ! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"| ! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"| ! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"| |
scope="col" | Annie Chavez
! scope="col" | Pat Davis ! scope="col" | Dennis Dinge ! scope="col" | Deb Haaland ! scope="col" | Damian Lara ! scope="col" | Antoinette Sedillo Lopez ! scope="col" | Damon Martinez ! scope="col" | Paul Moya |
1
| style="white-space:nowrap;" | May. 20, 2018 | style="white-space:nowrap;" | KOAT-TV | style="white-space:nowrap;" | Doug Fernandez | style="white-space:nowrap;" |[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e_W0ZEg1_p8 YouTube] | {{No|N}} | {{Yes|P}} | {{No|N}} | {{Yes|P}} | {{Yes|P}} | {{Yes|P}} | {{Yes|P}} | {{Yes|P}} |
== Pre-primary convention results ==
Candidates for the Democratic nomination needed to either receive the votes of 20% of the delegates at the convention on March 10, or collect and submit signatures to the secretary of state to have made it to the June 5 primary.
class="wikitable" |
valign= bottom
! Candidate ! Percentage of delegates won ! Automatically on ballot |
Pat Davis
|13.55% |{{nay}} |
---|
Deb Haaland
|bgcolor=lightgreen|34.80% |{{aye}} |
Damian Lara
|12.09% |{{nay}} |
Damon Martinez
|10.81% |{{nay}} |
Paul Moya
|3.66% |{{nay}} |
Antoinette Sedillo-Lopez
|bgcolor=lightgreen|25.09% |{{aye}} |
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic primary results{{cite web |title=New Mexico Election Results |url=https://electionresults.sos.state.nm.us/?eid=112|publisher=New Mexico Secretary of State |language=en |date=June 6, 2018}}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Deb Haaland
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 25,444
| percentage = 40.6
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Damon Martinez
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 16,182
| percentage = 25.8
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Antoinette Sedillo Lopez
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 12,919
| percentage = 20.6
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Paul Moya
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 3,691
| percentage = 5.9
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Pat Davis (withdrawn)
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 2,385
| percentage = 3.8
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Damian Lara
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 2,063
| percentage = 3.3
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 62,687
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box end}}
=Republican primary=
==Candidates==
===Declared===
- Janice Arnold-Jones, former Albuquerque city councilwoman (2013–2014) and former state representative (2003–2011){{Cite news|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/republican-enters-race-for-st-congressional-district-seat/article_9563d7d7-376f-5ab1-ac69-fee9b5c1ddc2.html|title=Republican enters race for 1st Congressional District seat|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Terrell|first=Steve|date=June 19, 2017|access-date=June 20, 2017}}
===Declined===
- Richard Berry, former mayor of Albuquerque (2009–2017)
- Wayne Johnson, Bernalillo County commissioner
- John Sanchez, lieutenant governor of New Mexico and nominee for governor of New Mexico in 2002
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Janice Arnold-Jones
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 19,316
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 19,316
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box end}}
=Libertarian primary=
==Candidates==
===Declared===
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Libertarian primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Lloyd Princeton
| party = Libertarian Party (United States)
| votes = 244
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 244
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box end}}
=General election=
==Predictions==
==Forum==
class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"
|+ 2018 New Mexico's 1st congressional district candidate forum |
scope="col" | {{abbr|No.|Number}}
! scope="col" | Date ! scope="col" | Host ! scope="col" | Moderator ! scope="col" | Link ! scope="col"| Democratic ! scope="col"| Republican ! scope="col"| Libertarian |
---|
colspan="5" rowspan="2" |Key: {{Colors|black|#90ff90| P }} Participant {{Colors|black|#FFFFDD| A }} Absent {{Colors|black|#ff9090| N }} Not invited {{Colors|black|#CCFFCC| I }} Invited {{color box|#f0e68c|W}} Withdrawn ! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"| ! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Republican Party (US)}}"| ! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Libertarian Party (US)}}"| |
scope="col" | Deb Haaland
! scope="col" | Janice Arnold-Jones ! scope="col" | Lloyd Princeton |
1
| style="white-space:nowrap;" | Sep. 20, 2018 | style="white-space:nowrap;" | KENW (TV) | style="white-space:nowrap;" | Gene Grant | style="white-space:nowrap;" |[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hXxiw3at04o YouTube] | {{Yes|P}} | {{Yes|P}} | {{Yes|P}} |
==Polling==
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Deb ! style="width:100px;"| Janice ! style="width:100px;"| Lloyd ! Undecided |
style="text-align:left;"|Research & Polling, Inc.[https://www.abqjournal.com/1241736/herrell-torres-small-locked-in-tight-race-for-congress.html Research & Polling, Inc.]
| October 26 — November 1, 2018 | 419 | ± 4.8% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 50% | 38% | 5% | 7% |
style="text-align:left;"|Carroll Strategies[https://web.archive.org/web/20181102222941/https://www.kob.com/kobtvimages/repository/cs/files/Poll%20Results.pdf Carroll Strategies]
| October 29, 2018 | 452 | — | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 51% | 43% | 3% | 2% |
style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College[https://www.emerson.edu/news-events/emerson-college-today/emerson-poll-democrats-favored-pick-governorships-mi-nm-hold-us-senate-seat-nj#.W9cTsdf7TIX Emerson College]
| October 24–26, 2018 | 327 | ± 5.7% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 51% | 41% | — | 6% |
style="text-align:left;"|Research & Polling, Inc.[https://www.abqjournal.com/1221685/haaland-ahead-of-arnoldjones-4941.html Research & Polling, Inc.]
| September 7–13, 2018 | 410 | ± 4.8% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 49% | 41% | 3% | 8% |
style="text-align:left;"|Carroll Strategies[http://nmpoliticalreport.com/852901/poll-lujan-grisham-leads-pearce-in-governors-race/ Carroll Strategies]
| June 15–16, 2018 | 419 | — | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 47% | 43% | 4% | 6% |
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change
| title = New Mexico's 1st congressional district, 2018{{Cite web |title=Official Results 2018 General [Election] November 6, 2018 |date=November 27, 2018 |publisher=New Mexico Secretary of State |url=https://electionresults.sos.state.nm.us/resultsSW.aspx?type=FED&map=CTY&eid=2698 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220624005257/https://electionresults.sos.state.nm.us/resultsSW.aspx?eid=2698&type=FED&map=CTY |archive-date=June 24, 2022 |url-status=live}}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Deb Haaland
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 147,336
| percentage = 59.1
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Janice Arnold-Jones
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 90,507
| percentage = 36.3
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Lloyd Princeton
| party = Libertarian Party (United States)
| votes = 11,319
| percentage = 4.5
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 249,162
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box hold with party link no change
| winner = Democratic Party (United States)
}}
{{Election box end}}
District 2
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2018 New Mexico's 2nd congressional district election
| country = New Mexico
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico#District 2
| previous_year = 2016
| next_election = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico#District 2
| next_year = 2020
| image_size = x150px
| image1 = File:Xochitl Torres Small, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg
| nominee1 = Xochitl Torres Small
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 101,489
| percentage1 = 50.9%
| image2 = File:Yvette Herrell official photo, 117th Congress (cropped).jpg
| nominee2 = Yvette Herrell
| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 97,767
| percentage2 = 49.1%
| map_image = {{switcher |230px |County results|210px |Precinct results |default=1}}
| map_size =
| map_caption = Torres Small: {{legend0|#8da9e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#678cd7|60–70%}} {{legend0|#4170cd|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3358a2|80–90%}} {{legend0|#244079|>90%}}
Herrell: {{legend0|#ed8783|50-60%}} {{legend0|#e55651|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d02923|70–80%}} {{legend0|#b00600|80–90%}} {{legend0|#850400|>90%}}
| title = U.S. Representative
| before_election = Steve Pearce
| before_party = Republican Party (United States)
| after_election = Xochitl Torres Small
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)
}}
{{See also|New Mexico's 2nd congressional district}}
The 2nd district is very expansive, covering rural Southern New Mexico, including Alamogordo, Las Cruces, and Roswell. Republican Steve Pearce, who had represented the district since 2011 and previously represented the district from 2003 to 2009, was reelected to a fourth consecutive and seventh total term with 63% of the vote in 2016. Pearce did not run for reelection and instead ran unsuccessfully for governor of New Mexico.
New Mexico's 2nd district was one of the 80 Republican-held seats that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee was targeting in 2018.[http://dccc.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/MEMO-Charging-Forward-DCCC-Announces-Battlefield-Expansion-18.pdf DCCC Announces Battlefield Expansion] It was successfully picked up by the Democrats.
=Democratic primary=
==Candidates==
===Declared===
- Madeline Hildebrandt, U.S. Army veteran and history professor{{Cite news|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/all-eyes-on-pearce-s-next-step/article_6c63b87b-bcc5-525e-8c1d-732fcad6bb48.html|title=All eyes on Pearce’s next step|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Oxford|first=Andrew|date=June 11, 2017|access-date=June 19, 2017}}
- Xochitl Torres Small, water rights attorney{{cite web |title=Las Cruces water attorney Xochitl Torres Small to seek seat being vacated by Pearce |url=https://www.lcsun-news.com/story/news/local/new-mexico/2018/01/17/xochitl-torres-small-steve-pearce-congressional-seat-las-cruces/1037896001/ |website=Las Cruces Sun-News |date=January 17, 2018}}
===Withdrew===
- David Baake, attorney{{cite web |title=Democrat Baake to run for Pearce seat |url=https://www.lcsun-news.com/story/news/politics/2017/06/29/democrat-david-baake-run-pearce-seat/440220001/ |publisher=Las Cruces Sun-News |access-date=2 July 2023 |date=29 June 2017}}{{cite web |title=Three Candidates Remain In Race For Democratic Nomination In New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District |url=https://www.krwg.org/regional/2018-01-20/three-candidates-remain-in-race-for-democratic-nomination-in-new-mexicos-2nd-congressional-district |publisher=KRWG-TV |access-date=2 July 2023 |date=20 January 2018}}
- Ronald Fitzherbert, activist{{cite web |last1=Haussamen |first1=Heath |title=Dunn will run for U.S. House instead of land commissioner |url=https://nmpolitics.net/index/2017/07/dunn-will-run-for-u-s-house-instead-of-land-commissioner/ |publisher=NMPolitics.net |access-date=2 July 2023 |date=18 July 2017}}
- Tony Martinez, former pharmaceutical industry executive{{cite web|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/1079386/endorsements-gaining-steam-for-congressional-seat-excerpt-bingaman-to-endorse-martinez.html|title=Endorsements gaining steam|work=The Albuquerque Journal|last=Oxford|first=Andrew|date=July 4, 2017|access-date=July 5, 2017|archive-date=October 18, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171018140956/https://www.abqjournal.com/1079386/endorsements-gaining-steam-for-congressional-seat-excerpt-bingaman-to-endorse-martinez.html|url-status=dead}}
- Adolf Zubia, former Las Cruces Fire Chief{{cite web|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/former-las-cruces-fire-chief-jumps-into-race-for-st/article_b6fe623f-a197-5efc-89a4-b2ced183dca0.html|title=Former Las Cruces fire chief jumps into race for 1st Congressional District|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Oxford|first=Andrew|date=July 24, 2017|access-date=July 24, 2017}}
===Disqualified===
- Angel Peñas{{cite web |title=Angel Peña announces bid for New Mexico Congressional District 2 |url=https://www.lcsun-news.com/story/news/local/2017/12/22/angel-pena-announces-bid-new-mexico-congressional-district-2/976626001/ |publisher=Las Cruces Sun-News |access-date=2 July 2023 |date=22 December 2017}}{{cite web |title=Angel Peña disqualified from New Mexico congressional race |url=https://www.lcsun-news.com/story/news/local/2018/02/12/angel-pena-disqualified-new-mexico-congressional-race/331584002/ |publisher=Las Cruces Sun-News |access-date=2 July 2023 |date=12 February 2018}}{{cite web |title=Angel Peña to challenge disqualification from congressional race |url=https://www.lcsun-news.com/story/news/local/2018/02/14/angel-pena-challenge-disqualification-congressional-race/339249002/ |publisher=Las Cruces Sun-News |access-date=2 July 2023 |date=14 February 2018}}{{cite web |last1=McKay |first1=Dan |title=Judge upholds Angel Peña disqualification from congressional race |url=https://www.lcsun-news.com/story/news/local/2018/02/27/judge-thomson-angel-pena-petition-disqualification-congressional-district-race/377629002/ |publisher=Las Cruces Sun-News |access-date=2 July 2023 |date=27 February 2018}}
===Declined===
- Joe Cervantes, state senator (running for governor){{cite web|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/all-eyes-on-pearce-s-next-step/article_6c63b87b-bcc5-525e-8c1d-732fcad6bb48.html|title=All eyes on Pearce’s next step|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Oxford|first=Andrew|date=June 11, 2017|access-date=June 14, 2017}}{{cite news|url=http://nmpoliticalreport.com/347802/las-cruces-legislator-cites-budget-jobs-crisis-for-why-hes-running-for-governor/|title=Las Cruces legislator cites budget, jobs crisis for why he’s running for governor|work=NMPolitics.net|last=Peters|first=Joey|date=July 7, 2017|access-date=July 10, 2017}}
- Howie Morales, state senator and candidate for governor of New Mexico in 2014 (running for lieutenant governor){{Cite news|url=http://www.lcsun-news.com/story/news/politics/2017/08/22/morales-not-run-pearce-seat/591266001/|title=Morales will not run for Pearce seat|work=Las Cruces Sun-News|date=August 22, 2017|access-date=September 17, 2017}}
== Forum ==
class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"
|+ 2018 New Mexico's 2nd congressional district Democratic candidate forum |
scope="col" | {{abbr|No.|Number}}
! scope="col" | Date ! scope="col" | Host ! scope="col" | Moderator ! scope="col" | Link ! scope="col"| Democratic ! scope="col"| Democratic |
---|
colspan="5" rowspan="2" |Key: {{Colors|black|#90ff90| P }} Participant {{Colors|black|#FFFFDD| A }} Absent {{Colors|black|#ff9090| N }} Not invited {{Colors|black|#CCFFCC| I }} Invited {{color box|#f0e68c|W}} Withdrawn ! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"| ! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"| |
scope="col" | David Baake
! scope="col" | Madeline Hildebrandt |
1
| style="white-space:nowrap;" | Dec. 12, 2017 | style="white-space:nowrap;" | KRWG-TV | style="white-space:nowrap;" | Fred Martino | style="white-space:nowrap;" |[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=86pclMMQu9c YouTube] | {{Yes|P}} | {{Yes|P}} |
== Pre-primary convention results ==
Candidates for the Democratic nomination needed to either receive the votes of 20% of the delegates at the convention on March 10, or collect and submit signatures to the secretary of state to have made it to the June 5 primary.
class="wikitable" |
valign= bottom
! Candidate ! Percentage of delegates won ! Automatically on ballot |
Xochitl Torres Small
|bgcolor=lightgreen|65.75% |{{aye}} |
---|
Madeline Hildebrandt
|bgcolor=lightgreen|34.25% |{{aye}} |
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Xochitl Torres Small
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 25,395
| percentage = 72.6
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Madeline Hildebrandt
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 9,577
| percentage = 27.4
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 34,972
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box end}}
=Republican primary=
==Candidates==
===Declared===
- Gavin Clarkson, former professor at New Mexico State University{{cite web |last1=D'Ammassa |first1=Algernon |title=Gavin Clarkson says he is the candidate to keep NM congressional seat Republican |url=https://www.demingheadlight.com/story/news/politics/2018/06/01/gavin-clarkson-hits-gop-rivals-his-race-new-mexico-congressional-seat/661519002/ |website=The Deming Headlight |access-date=April 1, 2021 |archive-date=November 14, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201114203747/https://www.demingheadlight.com/story/news/politics/2018/06/01/gavin-clarkson-hits-gop-rivals-his-race-new-mexico-congressional-seat/661519002/ |url-status=dead }}
- Clayburn Griffin, former staffer for Gary Johnson's 2012 and 2016 presidential campaigns{{cite web |title=Former Gary Johnson campaign worker Clayburn Griffin to run for Pearce's seat |url=https://www.lcsun-news.com/story/news/2018/01/15/former-gary-johnson-campaign-worker-clayburn-griffin-run-pearces-seat/1034109001/ |website=Las Cruces Sun-News}}
- Yvette Herrell, state representative{{Cite news|url=http://www.alamogordonews.com/story/news/local/community/2017/07/12/yvette-herrell-running-congressional-seat-vacated-pearce/470703001/|title=Yvette Herrell running for Congressional seat vacated by Pearce|work=Alamogordo Daily News|last=Barbati|first=Duane|date=July 11, 2017|access-date=July 11, 2017}}
- Monty Newman, former mayor of Hobbs and former chair of the Republican Party of New Mexico{{Cite news|url=http://www.demingheadlight.com/story/news/2017/08/14/former-hobbs-mayor-runs-congress/566490001/|title=Former Hobbs Mayor runs for Congress|work=Deming Headlight|last=D'Ammassa|first=Algernon|date=August 14, 2017|access-date=August 14, 2017|archive-date=August 15, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170815004654/http://www.demingheadlight.com/story/news/2017/08/14/former-hobbs-mayor-runs-congress/566490001/|url-status=dead}}
===Withdrew===
- Aubrey Dunn, New Mexico Commissioner of Public Lands (running for U.S. Senate as a Libertarian){{Cite news|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/nm-land-commissioner-aubrey-dunn-announces-bid-for-congress/article_6ae48280-6bef-11e7-b1a6-8f4f20dfbb71.html|title=NM Land Commissioner Aubrey Dunn announces bid for Congress|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Oxford|first=Andrew|date=July 18, 2017|access-date=July 18, 2017}}{{cite web|url=http://nmpolitics.net/index/2017/10/dunn-drops-out-of-2nd-congressional-district-race/|title=Dunn drops out of 2nd Congressional District race|work=NMPolitics.net|last=Haussamen|first=Heath|date=October 2, 2017|access-date=October 3, 2017}}
==Endorsements==
{{Endorsements box
| title = Yvette Herrell
| list =
;Organizations
}}
{{Endorsements box
| title = Monty Newman
| list =
;Individuals
- Ted Cruz, U.S. senator from Texas and presidential candidate in 2016{{cite news|url=https://twitter.com/MontyNewmanNM/status/948933196061720576|title=I look forward to working with @TedCruz on legislation that will improve the lives of New Mexicans. #nmpol|work=Twitter|author=Monty Newman}}
}}
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Yvette Herrell
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 16,023
| percentage = 49.0
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Monty Newman
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 10,474
| percentage = 32.0
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Gavin Clarkson
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 4,060
| percentage = 12.4
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Clayburn Griffin
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 2,143
| percentage = 6.6
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 32,700
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box end}}
=General election=
==Predictions==
class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
!Source !Ranking !As of |
align=left | The Cook Political Report
|{{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |November 5, 2018 |
align=left | Inside Elections
|{{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |November 5, 2018 |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball
|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|flip}} |November 5, 2018 |
align="left" |RCP
|{{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |November 5, 2018 |
align="left" |Daily Kos
|{{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |November 5, 2018 |
align="left" |538
|{{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |November 7, 2018 |
==Polling==
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Yvette ! style="width:100px;"| Xochitl ! Undecided |
style="text-align:left;"|Research & Polling, Inc.
| October 26 — November 1, 2018 | 413 | ± 4.8% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 46% | 45% | 9% |
style="text-align:left;"|Carroll Strategies
| October 29, 2018 | 338 | — | {{party shading/Republican}}| 47% | 42% | 11% |
style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College
| October 24–26, 2018 | 278 | ± 6.1% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
style="text-align:left;"|NYT Upshot/Siena College[https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-nm02-3.html NYT Upshot/Siena College]
| October 19–23, 2018 |522 | ± 4.6% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 45% | 44% | 11% |
style="text-align:left;"|The Tarrance Group (R)[https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/yvette-herrell-holds-slim-lead-new-mexico-open-seat-race-republican-poll-finds The Tarrance Group (R)]{{efn-ua|name="Herrell"|Poll sponsored for Yvette Herrell.}}
| September 30 — October 2, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 49% | 45% | 6% |
style="text-align:left;"|NYT Upshot/Siena College[https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/NM02P1release_final.pdf NYT Upshot/Siena College]
| September 13–18, 2018 | 503 | ± 4.9% | 45% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 46% | 10% |
style="text-align:left;"|Research & Polling, Inc.[https://www.abqjournal.com/1221684/herrell-leads-torres-small-in-southern-nm.htmll Research & Polling, Inc.]
| September 7–13, 2018 | 405 | ± 4.9% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 48% | 41% | 11% |
style="text-align:left;"|Carroll Strategies
| June 15–16, 2018 | 334 | — | {{party shading/Republican}}| 49% | 35% | 17% |
style="text-align:left;"|DCCC Targeting & Analytics (D)[http://nmpoliticalreport.com/852504/dccc-poll-says-torres-small-down-2-percentage-points-in-cd2/ DCCC Targeting & Analytics (D)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.}}
| June 6–11, 2018 | 456 | ± 4.6% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 45% | 43% | — |
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change
| title = New Mexico's 2nd congressional district, 2018
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Xochitl Torres Small
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 101,489
| percentage = 50.9
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Yvette Herrell
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 97,767
| percentage = 49.1
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 199,256
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box gain with party link no change
| winner = Democratic Party (United States)
| loser = Republican Party (United States)
}}
{{Election box end}}
District 3
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2018 New Mexico's 3rd congressional district election
| country = New Mexico
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico#District 3
| previous_year = 2016
| next_election = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico#District 3
| next_year = 2020
| image_size = x150px
| image1 = File:BenLujan2016 (cropped).jpg
| nominee1 = Ben Ray Luján
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 155,201
| percentage1 = 63.4%
| image2 = File:3x4.svg
| nominee2 = Jerald McFall
| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 76,427
| percentage2 = 31.2%
| image3 = File:3x4.svg
| nominee3 = Chris Manning
| party3 = Libertarian Party (United States)
| popular_vote3 = 13,265
| percentage3 = 5.4%
| map_image = 2018 NM-3 Counties.svg
| map_size =
| map_caption = County results
McFall: {{legend0|#ed8783|50-60%}} {{legend0|#e55651|60–70%}}
Lujan: {{legend0|#8da9e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#678cd7|60–70%}} {{legend0|#4170cd|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3358a2|80–90%}}
| map2_image = NM3 House 2018.svg
| map2_size =
| map2_caption = Precinct results
Lujan: {{legend0|#A5B0FF|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}
McFall: {{legend0|#FFB2B2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}
Tie: {{legend0|#d2b1d9|40–50%}}
{{legend0|#808080|No votes}}
| title = U.S. Representative
| before_election = Ben Ray Luján
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| after_election = Ben Ray Luján
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)
}}
{{See also|New Mexico's 3rd congressional district}}
The 3rd district covers Northern New Mexico, including the capital Santa Fe, as well as Farmington, Las Vegas, and Taos. The district also expands into parts of rural Eastern New Mexico, taking in Clovis and Portales. Democrat Ben Ray Luján, who had represented the district since 2009, was reelected to a fifth term with 62% of the vote in 2016.
New Mexico's 3rd district was one of 36 Democrat-held House districts targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018.
=Democratic primary=
==Candidates==
===Declared===
- Ben Ray Luján, incumbent U.S. Representative
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Ben Ray Luján (incumbent)
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 63,909
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 63,909
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box end}}
=Republican primary=
==Candidates==
===Declared===
- Jerald McFall, farmer and former ski instructor{{cite web |last1=Halasz Graham |first1=Sarah |title=District 3 challengers say unseating Luján will be an arduous task |url=https://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/district-3-challengers-say-unseating-luj-n-will-be-an-arduous-task/article_d1512466-508b-5994-939e-d06e868a90d7.html |website=Santa Fe New Mexican |date=October 19, 2018}}
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Jerald Steve McFall
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 20,480
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 20,480
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box end}}
=Libertarian primary=
==Candidates==
===Declared===
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Libertarian primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Christopher Manning
| party = Libertarian Party (United States)
| votes = 201
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 201
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box end}}
=General election=
==Predictions==
class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
!Source !Ranking !As of |
align=left | The Cook Political Report
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} |November 5, 2018 |
align=left | Inside Elections
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} |November 5, 2018 |
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} |November 5, 2018 |
align="left" |RCP
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} |November 5, 2018 |
align="left" |Daily Kos
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} |November 5, 2018 |
align="left" |538
|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} |November 7, 2018 |
==Polling==
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Ben ! style="width:100px;"| Jerald ! style="width:100px;"| Christopher ! Undecided |
style="text-align:left;"|Carroll Strategies
| October 29, 2018 | 410 | — | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 57% | 33% | 4% | 6% |
style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College
| October 24–26, 2018 | 331 | ± 5.7% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 54% | 37% | — | 5% |
style="text-align:left;"|Carroll Strategies
| June 15–16, 2018 | 446 | — | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 58% | 30% | 5% | 7% |
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change
| title = New Mexico's 3rd congressional district, 2018
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Ben Ray Luján (incumbent)
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 155,201
| percentage = 63.4
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Jerald Steve McFall
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 76,427
| percentage = 31.2
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Christopher Manning
| party = Libertarian Party (United States)
| votes = 13,265
| percentage = 5.4
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 244,893
| percentage = 100.0
}}
{{Election box hold with party link no change
| winner = Democratic Party (United States)
}}
{{Election box end}}
References
{{reflist}}
Notes
{{notelist}}
Partisan clients
{{notelist-ua}}
External links
- [https://votesmart.org/election/2018/C/NM/2018-congressional Candidates] at Vote Smart
- [https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_Mexico,_2018 Candidates] at Ballotpedia
- [https://www.fec.gov/data/elections/?cycle=2018&state=NM&sort=district Campaign finance] at FEC
- [https://www.opensecrets.org/races/election?id=NM&cycle=2018 Campaign finance] at OpenSecrets
Official campaign websites of first district candidates
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20180102190433/https://www.janiceforcongress2018.com/ Janice Arnold-Jones (R) for Congress]
- [https://debforcongress.com/ Deb Haaland (D) for Congress] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210309170722/https://debforcongress.com/ |date=March 9, 2021 }}
Official campaign websites for second district candidates
- [https://www.herrellforcongress.com/ Yvette Herrell (R) for Congress]
- [https://www.xochforcongress.com/ Xochitl Torres Small (D) for Congress] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180702233447/https://www.xochforcongress.com/ |date=July 2, 2018 }}
Official campaign websites for third district candidates
- [http://www.benrlujan.com/ Ben Ray Luján (D) for Congress]
- [http://www.mcfallforcongress.com/ Jerald Steve McFall (R) for Congress]
{{2018 United States elections}}