2024 Central Java gubernatorial election
{{Short description|None}}
{{Use dmy dates|date=March 2025}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2024 Central Java gubernatorial election
| country = Indonesia
| flag_image = Coat of arms of Central Java.svg
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2018 Central Java gubernatorial election
| alliance1 = KIM Plus
| alliance2 = –
| previous_year = 2018
| next_election = 2029 Central Java gubernatorial election
| next_year = 2029
| election_date = {{Start date|2024|11|27|df=y}}
| registered = 28,427,616
| turnout = 73.13%{{Cite web|title=Berita Acara dan Sertifikat Rekapitulasi Hasil Penghitungan Perolehan Suara Dari Setiap Kabupaten/Kota dalam Pemilihan Gubernur dan Wakil Gubernur Tahun 2024|url=https://sirekappilkada-obj-formd.kpu.go.id/177b/pilkada/100_DC1_pkwkp_191097_1733577084_08f09de1-0677-49f4-88a9-d7e1b8a2817e.pdf|website=Komisi Pemilihan Umum|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241208145708/https://sirekappilkada-obj-formd.kpu.go.id/177b/pilkada/100_DC1_pkwkp_191097_1733577084_08f09de1-0677-49f4-88a9-d7e1b8a2817e.pdf|archive-date=2024-12-08|url-status=live|access-date=2024-12-08}}
| image1 = Ahmad_Luthfi_as_Candidate_for_Governor_of_Central_Java,_2024.png
| candidate1 = Ahmad Luthfi
| party1 = Gerindra Party
| running_mate1 = Taj Yasin Maimoen
| popular_vote1 = 11,390,191
| percentage1 = 59.14%
| image2 = Andika_Perkasa_as_Candidate_for_Governor_of_Central_Java,_2024.png
| candidate2 = Andika Perkasa
| party2 = Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle
| running_mate2 = Hendrar Prihadi
| popular_vote2 = 7,870,084
| percentage2 = 40.86%
| map_image = 2024 Central Java gubernatorial election results map by district (Gerindra colour scheme).svg
| map_caption = Results map by district
| title = Governor
| before_election = Nana Sudjana (acting)
| before_party = Independent politician
| after_election = Ahmad Luthfi
| after_party = Gerindra Party
}}
The 2024 Central Java gubernatorial election was held on 27 November 2024 as part of nationwide local elections to elect the governor and vice governor of Central Java for a five-year term. The election was contested by former Commander of the Indonesian National Armed Forces Andika Perkasa, primarily backed by the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P), and former provincial chief of police Ahmad Luthfi, backed by a wide coalition of parties led by Luthfi's Gerindra Party. Luthfi won the election with 59% of the vote, defeating Perkasa, who received 40%.
Electoral system
The election, like other local elections in 2024, follow the first-past-the-post system where the candidate with the most votes wins the election, even if they do not win a majority.{{cite news |title=Pilkada Hanya Satu Putaran |url=https://kedaikopi.co/infografik/pilkada-hanya-satu-putaran/ |access-date=20 May 2024 |work=kedaikopi.co |date=22 July 2020 |language=id}} It is possible for a candidate to run uncontested, in which case the candidate is still required to win a majority of votes "against" an "empty box" option. Should the candidate fail to do so, the election will be repeated on a later date.{{cite news |last1=Mardika |first1=Nando Yussele |title=Jika Kotak Kosong Menang, Pilkada Akan Diulang? |url=https://www.hukumonline.com/klinik/a/jika-kotak-kosong-menang-pilkada-akan-diulang--lt5fa3d3b3f2139/ |access-date=16 April 2024 |work=hukumonline.com |date=5 November 2020 |language=id}}
Candidates
According to electoral regulations, in order to qualify for the election, candidates were required to secure support from 24 seats in the Central Java Regional House of Representatives (DPRD). The Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle, with 33 seats, is the only political party eligible to nominate a candidate without forming a coalition.{{cite news |last1=Gitiyarko |first1=Vincentius |title=PDI-P Pertahankan Jateng sebagai "Kandang Banteng" |url=https://www.kompas.id/baca/riset/2024/03/21/pdi-p-pertahankan-jawa-tengah-sebagai-kandang-banteng |access-date=17 May 2024 |work=Kompas |date=22 March 2024 |language=id}} However, following a Constitutional Court of Indonesia decision in August 2024, the political support required to nominate a candidate was lowered to between 6.5 and 10 percent of the popular vote.{{cite news |last1=Wibawana |first1=Widhia Arum |title=PKPU Nomor 10 Tahun 2024: Isi Pasal Perubahan dan Link Unduh |url=https://news.detik.com/pilkada/d-7508797/pkpu-nomor-10-tahun-2024-isi-pasal-perubahan-dan-link-unduh |access-date=26 August 2024 |work=detiknews |date=26 August 2024 |language=id-ID}} Candidates may alternatively demonstrate support in form of photocopies of identity cards, which in Central Java's case corresponds to 1.84 million copies. No independent candidates registered with the General Elections Commission for the gubernatorial election.{{cite news |title=Ditutup! KPU Pastikan Tak Ada Calon Perorangan Mendaftar untuk Pilgub Jateng |url=https://jateng.solopos.com/kpu-resmi-tutup-pendaftaran-jalur-perseorangan-pilgub-jateng-2024-1920472 |access-date=17 May 2024 |work=Solo Pos |date=13 May 2024 |language=id}}
The previous governor, Ganjar Pranowo, had served two full terms and was therefore ineligible to contest the election.{{cite news |title=Ganjar Serahkan Cagub Jateng ke PDIP |url=https://rmol.id/politik/read/2024/05/10/619905/ganjar-serahkan-cagub-jateng-ke-pdip |access-date=17 May 2024 |work=Rmol.id |date=10 May 2024 |language=id}}{{cite web |title=Pemerintah Tegaskan Masa Jabatan Kepala Daerah Hanya Dua Periode |url=https://www.mkri.id/index.php?page=web.Berita&id=16636&menu=2 |publisher=Constitutional Court of Indonesia |access-date=17 May 2024 |language=id |date=6 October 2020}}
= Declared =
The following candidates qualified to contest the election:
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; text-align:center;" |
colspan=2|1 |
colspan=2 style="background:#f1f1f1;"|Candidate from PDIP |
style="width:3em; font-size:135%; background:#{{HexShade|{{party color|Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle}}}}; width:200px;"|Andika Perkasa
!style="width:3em; font-size:135%; background:#{{HexShade|{{party color|Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle}}}}; width:200px;"|Hendrar Prihadi |
---|
style="color:#000; font-size:100%; background:#{{HexShade|{{party color|Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle}}|0.8}};"
|style="width:3em; width:200px;"|for Governor |style="width:3em; width:200px;"|for Vice Governor |
File:Jenderal_TNI_Andika_Perkasa,_Panglima_TNI.jpg |
Commander of the Indonesian National Armed Forces (2021–2022)
|Head of the Government Goods/Services Procurement Policy Institute of the Republic of Indonesia (LKPP) (2022–present) |
colspan=2 style="background:#{{HexShade|{{party color|Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle}}|0.8}};"|Parties |
colspan=2 style="align:center"|{{Center block|{{composition bar|33|120|{{party color|Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle}}|width=250|per=1}}}} PDIP (33 seats) |
On 26 August, the third declaration candidates of PDI-P officially announced Andika Perkasa and Hendrar Prihadi running as governor and vice governor.{{cite news |title=Andika Perkasa-Hendrar Prihadi Resmi Diusung PDI-P pada Pilkada Jateng, Airin-Ade Sumardi pada Pilkada Banten |url=https://nasional.kompas.com/read/2024/08/26/14071321/andika-perkasa-hendrar-prihadi-resmi-diusung-pdi-p-pada-pilkada-jateng-airin|access-date=26 August 2024 |work=KOMPAS.com |date=26 August 2024 |language=id}}
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; text-align:center;" |
colspan=2|2 |
colspan=2 style="background:#f1f1f1;"|Candidate from Gerindra and Independent |
style="width:3em; font-size:135%; background:#{{HexShade|{{party color|Great Indonesia Movement Party}}}}; width:200px;"|Ahmad Luthfi
!style="width:3em; font-size:135%; background:#{{HexShade|{{party color|Great Indonesia Movement Party}}}}; width:200px;"|{{color|white|Taj Yasin Maimoen}} |
---|
style="color:#000; font-size:100%; background:#{{HexShade|{{party color|Great Indonesia Movement Party}}|0.8}};"
|style="width:3em; width:200px;"|for Governor |style="width:3em; width:200px;"|for Vice Governor |
File:Irjen Pol Ahmad Luthfi (cropped).jpg |
Inspector General of the Ministry of Trade (2024–present) Head of Central Java Police (2020–2024) |Vice Governor of Central Java (2018–2023) |
colspan=2 style="background:#{{HexShade|{{party color|Great Indonesia Movement Party}}|0.8}};"|Parties |
colspan=2 style="align:center"|{{Center block|{{composition bar|51|120|{{party color|Great Indonesia Movement Party}}|width=250|per=1}}}} Golkar (17 seats) Gerindra (17 seats) PKS (11 seats) PAN (4 seats) PSI (2 seats) |
The chief of the provincial police, Ahmad Luthfi, declared his willingness to run as a gubernatorial candidate in late June 2024.{{cite news |title=Irjen Pol Ahmad Luthfi Siap Mundur Jika Diusung Jadi Cagub Jateng |url=https://www.metrotvnews.com/play/bVDCgXYo-irjen-pol-ahmad-luthfi-siap-mundur-jika-diusung-jadi-cagub-jateng |access-date=30 July 2024 |work=Metro TV News |date=24 June 2024 |language=id}} By 25 July 2024, four political parties: Golkar, Gerindra, PAN, and PSI, had announced their endorsement of Luthfi.{{cite news |title=4 Partai Sepakat Dukung Ahmad Luthfi pada Pilkada Jateng, Deklarasi Agustus |url=https://regional.kompas.com/read/2024/07/25/135624978/4-partai-sepakat-dukung-ahmad-luthfi-pada-pilkada-jateng-deklarasi-agustus |access-date=30 July 2024 |work=KOMPAS.com |date=25 July 2024 |language=id}} He was assigned as Inspector General in the Ministry of Trade in late July 2024, after receiving the endorsements.{{cite news |title=Kapolda Jateng Irjen Ahmad Luthfi Dimutasi ke Kemendag |url=https://regional.kompas.com/read/2024/07/27/173350578/kapolda-jateng-irjen-ahmad-luthfi-dimutasi-ke-kemendag |access-date=30 July 2024 |work=KOMPAS.com |date=27 July 2024 |language=id}}
= Potential =
The following p individuals were either publicly mentioned as potential candidates, or considered as such by the press:
- {{ill|Bambang Wuryanto|id}} (PDI-P), member of the House of Representatives from Central Java IV district (Karanganyar, Wonogiri, and Sragen).{{cite news |title=Profil Bambang Pacul, Politisi Senior PDIP yang Dinilai Layak Jadi Calon Gubernur Jateng |url=https://www.tribunnews.com/mata-lokal-memilih/2024/03/15/profil-bambang-pacul-politisi-senior-pdip-yang-dinilai-layak-jadi-calon-gubernur-jateng |access-date=17 May 2024 |work=Tribunnews.com |date=17 May 2024 |language=id-ID}}
- Hendrar Prihadi (PDI-P), Mayor of Semarang (2013-2022).{{Cite web |title=Survei Cagub Jateng 2024, Elektabilitas Taj Yasin Tertinggi |url=https://www.kompas.tv/regional/514041/survei-cagub-jateng-2024-elektabilitas-taj-yasin-tertinggi |access-date=2024-06-10 |website=KOMPAS.tv |language=id}}
- Andika Perkasa (PDI-P), former Commander of the Indonesian National Armed Forces (2021-2022).{{Cite web |last=Media |first=Kompas Cyber |date=2024-07-29 |title=Potensi Adu Kuat Andika Perkasa Vs Ahmad Luthfi di Pilkada Jateng, Golkar: Enggak Masalah |url=https://regional.kompas.com/read/2024/07/30/065000378/potensi-adu-kuat-andika-perkasa-vs-ahmad-luthfi-di-pilkada-jateng-golkar- |access-date=2024-08-01 |website=KOMPAS.com |language=id}}
- Taj Yasin Maimoen (PPP), former vice governor (2018-2023).{{cite news |last1=Purbaya |first1=Angling Adhitya |title=Sekjen PPP: Gus Yasin Paling Potensial Jadi Cagub Jateng 2024 |url=https://www.detik.com/jateng/berita/d-6539756/sekjen-ppp-gus-yasin-paling-potensial-jadi-cagub-jateng-2024 |access-date=17 May 2024 |work=detikjateng |date=28 January 2023 |language=id-ID}}
- {{ill|Yusuf Chudlori|id|Muhammad Yusuf Chudlori}} (PKB), chairman of PKB's Central Java branch.{{cite news |last1=Purbaya |first1=Angling Adhitya |title=Alasan PKB Pede Usung Gus Yusuf Jadi Calon Gubernur Jateng |url=https://www.detik.com/jateng/berita/d-7345915/alasan-pkb-pede-usung-gus-yusuf-jadi-calon-gubernur-jateng |access-date=17 May 2024 |work=detikjateng |date=17 May 2024 |language=id-ID}}
= Declined =
The following individuals were mentioned as potential candidates, but ultimately declined to run:
- {{ill|Dico Ganinduto|id}} (Golkar), Regent of Kendal.{{Cite web |last=Pamungkas |first=Satria S. |title=Prestasi Dico Ganinduto, Bupati Kendal yang Didukung Maju Pilwalkot Semarang Setelah Batal Nyagub Jateng - Pantura Post |url=https://www.panturapost.com/persona/2074872730/prestasi-dico-ganinduto-bupati-kendal-yang-didukung-maju-pilwalkot-semarang-setelah-batal-nyagub-jateng |access-date=2024-08-01 |website=Prestasi Dico Ganinduto, Bupati Kendal yang Didukung Maju Pilwalkot Semarang Setelah Batal Nyagub Jateng - Pantura Post |language=id}}
- Gibran Rakabuming Raka, Mayor of Surakarta (2021-2024).{{Cite web |last=Hutajulu |first=Matius Alfons |title=Survei Cagub Jateng Versi PPI: Gibran Teratas, Muncul Nama Sri Mulyani |url=https://news.detik.com/pemilu/d-6786594/survei-cagub-jateng-versi-ppi-gibran-teratas-muncul-nama-sri-mulyani |access-date=2024-06-10 |website=detiknews |language=id-ID}}{{Cite web |last=Saputra |first=Imam Yuda |date=December 12, 2023 |title=Ini Deretan Tokoh yang Masuk Bursa Cagub Jateng 2024 |url=https://jateng.solopos.com/ini-deretan-tokoh-yang-masuk-bursa-cagub-jateng-2024-1817944 |access-date=June 10, 2024 |website=Solopos}} (ran for Vice President)
- Kaesang Pangarep (PSI), chairman of the Indonesian Solidarity Party and son of former President Joko Widodo.{{cite news |last1=Rahmawati |first1=Dwi |date=22 July 2024 |title=NasDem Pastikan Dukung Penuh Kaesang Jika Maju di Pilgub Jateng |url=https://news.detik.com/pemilu/d-7451202/nasdem-pastikan-dukung-penuh-kaesang-jika-maju-di-pilgub-jateng |access-date=22 July 2024 |work=detiknews |language=id-ID}}{{Cite web |last=Hidayat |first=Mohammad Arief |date=2024-08-24 |title=Ahmad Luthfi Sebut Kaesang Urung Dicalonkan di Pilkada Jateng karena Pertimbangan Politik |url=https://www.viva.co.id/berita/politik/1745383-ahmad-luthfi-sebut-kaesang-urung-dicalonkan-di-pilkada-jateng-karena-pertimbangan-politik?page=all |access-date=2024-08-30 |website=www.viva.co.id |language=id}}
- Sudaryono (Gerindra), chairman of Gerindra's Central Java branch.{{Cite web |last=Hamdi |first=Imam |date=2024-07-18 |title=Sudaryono Batal Maju Pilgub Jateng, Golkar: Peta Politik Berubah |url=https://nasional.tempo.co/read/1893053/sudaryono-batal-maju-pilgub-jateng-golkar-peta-politik-berubah |access-date=2024-08-01 |website=Tempo |language=en}}
Political map
Following the 2024 Indonesian general election, ten political parties are represented in the Central Java Regional House of Representatives:{{cite news |title=Cek! Ini Daftar Lengkap 120 Caleg Lolos DPRD Jateng pada Pemilu 2024 |url=https://jateng.solopos.com/cek-ini-daftar-lengkap-120-caleg-lolos-dprd-jateng-pada-pemilu-2024-1887976 |access-date=17 May 2024 |work=Solo Pos |date=22 March 2024 |language=id}}
class="wikitable" |
colspan="4" | |
colspan="2"|Political parties
! Seat count |
---|
bgcolor={{party colour|Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle}}|
| Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P) | {{Composition bar compact|33|120|hex={{party colour|Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle}}}} |
bgcolor={{party colour|National Awakening Party}}|
| National Awakening Party (PKB) | {{Composition bar compact|20|120|hex={{party colour|National Awakening Party}}}} |
bgcolor={{party colour|Golkar}}|
| Party of Functional Groups (Golkar) | {{Composition bar compact|17|120|hex={{party colour|Golkar}}}} |
bgcolor={{party colour|Great Indonesia Movement Party}}|
| Great Indonesia Movement Party (Gerindra) | {{Composition bar compact|17|120|hex={{party colour|Great Indonesia Movement Party}}}} |
bgcolor={{party colour|Prosperous Justice Party (2020)}}|
| Prosperous Justice Party (PKS) | {{Composition bar compact|11|120|hex={{party colour|Prosperous Justice Party (2020)}}}} |
bgcolor={{party colour|Democratic Party (Indonesia)}}|
| Democratic Party (Demokrat) | {{Composition bar compact|7|120|hex={{party colour|Democratic Party (Indonesia)}}}} |
bgcolor={{party colour|United Development Party}}|
| United Development Party (PPP) | {{Composition bar compact|6|120|hex={{party colour|United Development Party}}}} |
bgcolor={{party colour|National Mandate Party}}|
| National Mandate Party (PAN) | {{Composition bar compact|4|120|hex={{party colour|National Mandate Party}}}} |
bgcolor={{party colour|NasDem Party}}|
| {{Composition bar compact|3|120|hex={{party colour|NasDem Party}}}} |
bgcolor={{party color|Indonesian Solidarity Party}}|
| Indonesian Solidarity Party (PSI) | {{Composition bar compact|2|120|hex={{party color|Indonesian Solidarity Party}}}} |
Opinion polls
= Pre-election polls =
class="wikitable sortable"
!rowspan="3"|Poll source !rowspan="3"|Date !rowspan="3"|Sample size !70px ! ! !70px !70px ! !70px !60px !rowspan="3"|Others !rowspan="3"|Lead !rowspan="3"|Error margin |
style="background:{{party color|Indonesian Solidarity Party}};"|
!style="background:#2B3A55;"| !style="background:{{party color|Great Indonesia Movement Party}};"| !style="background:{{party color|Indonesian Democratic Party – Struggle}};"| !style="background:{{party color|Indonesian Democratic Party – Struggle}};"| !style="background:{{party color|Golkar}};"| !style="background:{{party color|United Development Party}};"| !style="background:{{party color|Indonesian Democratic Party – Struggle}};"| |
---|
Kaesang Pangarep |
rowspan="3"| Lembaga Survei Indonesia{{Cite news |last= |first= |date=2024-06-30 |title=Survei LSI Pilgub Jateng: Ahmad Luthfi 5,2%, Kaesang 2,5%, Sudaryono 2,1% |language=id |url=https://news.detik.com/pemilu/d-7415990/survei-lsi-pilgub-jateng-ahmad-luthfi-5-2-kaesang-2-5-sudaryono-2-1|access-date=3 July 2024 }}
|rowspan="3"| 21 - 26 June 2024 |rowspan="3"| 1,200 | 2.5% | style="background:#2B3A55;color:#FFFFFF;"|5.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | style="background:#{{HexShade|{{party color|Independent}}|0.8}};"|- | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.5% | style="background:#2B3A55;color:#FFFFFF;" |2.7% |rowspan="3"| +/- 2.8% |
style="background:#{{HexShade|{{party color|Indonesian Solidarity Party}}|0.8}};"|15.9%
| 12.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | style="background:#{{HexShade|{{party color|Independent}}|0.8}};"|- | 18.0% | style="background:#{{HexShade|{{party color|Indonesian Solidarity Party}}}};color:#FFFFFF;" |3.0% |
style="background:#{{HexShade|{{party color|Indonesian Solidarity Party}}|0.8}};"|25.6%
| 16.1% | 6.0% | 9.7% | style="background:#{{HexShade|{{party color|Independent}}|0.8}};"|- | style="background:#{{HexShade|{{party color|Independent}}|0.8}};"|- | 13.4% | style="background:#{{HexShade|{{party color|Independent}}|0.8}};"|- | 6.2% | style="background:#{{HexShade|{{party color|Indonesian Solidarity Party}}}};color:#FFFFFF;" |9.5% |
Parameter Politik Indonesia{{Cite news |last= |first= |date=2024-05-29 |title=Survei Pilkada Jateng Versi PPI: Taj Yasin 10,9 Persen, Hendi 7,7 Persen, Dico 7,1 Persen |language=id |url=https://nasional.kompas.com/read/2024/05/29/18445471/survei-pilkada-jateng-versi-ppi-taj-yasin-109-persen-hendi-77-persen-dico-71|access-date=3 July 2024 }}
| 15 - 21 May 2024 | 800 | 2.3% | 1.8% | style="background:#{{HexShade|{{party color|Independent}}|0.8}};"|- | 2.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | style="background:#{{HexShade|{{party color|United Development Party}}|0.8}};"|10.9% | 1.4% | 9.4% | style="background:#{{HexShade|{{party color|United Development Party}}}};color:#FFFFFF;" |2.7% | 3.5% |
Results
{{Election results
|party1=Gerindra Party
|cand1=Ahmad Luthfi
|votes1 =11390191
|vp1=Taj Yasin Maimoen
|party2=Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle
|cand2=Andika Perkasa
|votes2=7870084
|vp2=Hendrar Prihadi
|invalid=1528502
|electorate=28427616
|source=[https://sirekappilkada-obj-formd.kpu.go.id/177b/pilkada/100_DC1_pkwkp_191097_1733577084_08f09de1-0677-49f4-88a9-d7e1b8a2817e.pdf KPU Jawa Tengah]
}}