2024 New Brunswick general election
{{Short description|Canadian provincial election}}
{{Use mdy dates|date = October 2024}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2024 New Brunswick general election
| country = New Brunswick
| type = parliamentary
| ongoing = no
| party_colour = no
| party_name = no
| previous_election = 2020 New Brunswick general election
| previous_year = 2020
| election_date = October 21, 2024
| next_election =
| next_year = Next
| seats_for_election = 49 seats in the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick
| majority_seats = 25
| opinion_polls = #Opinion polls
| turnout = 66.1% ({{decrease}} 0.04 pp){{cite news |last1=Huras |first1=Adam |title=Five key numbers from Monday's election |url=https://tj.news/new-brunswick/five-key-numbers-from-mondays-election |access-date=October 22, 2024 |work=Telegraph-Journal |date=October 22, 2024}}
| image2 = File:Blaine Higgs in 2024.jpg
| colour2 = {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|nohash}}
| leader2 = Blaine Higgs
| party2 = {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|name}}
| leader_since2 = {{nowrap|October 22, 2016}}
| leaders_seat2 = Quispamsis
(lost re-election)
| last_election2 = 27 seats, 39.34%
| seats_before2 = 25
| seats1 = 31
| seats2 = 16
| seat_change1 = {{increase}}15
| popular_vote1 = 180,803
| percentage1 = 48.24%
| seat_change2 = {{decrease}}9
| popular_vote2 = 131,329
| percentage2 = 35.04%
| swing1 = {{increase}}13.89%
| swing2 = {{decrease}}4.30%
| 1blank =
| 1data1 =
| image1 = Susan Holt Quispamsis 2024.jpg
| colour1 = {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|nohash}}
| leader1 = Susan Holt
| party1 = {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|name}}
| leader_since1 = August 6, 2022
| leaders_seat1 = Fredericton South-Silverwood{{efn|Holt was the incumbent MLA for Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore, but chose to run in her home riding of Fredericton South-Silverwood, newly created by redistribution.}}
| last_election1 = 17 seats, 34.35%
| seats_before1 = 16
| 1data2 =
| image3 = David Coon 2023 cropped.jpg
| colour3 = {{Canadian party colour|NB|Green|nohash}}
| leader3 = David Coon
| party3 = {{Canadian party colour|NB|Green|name}}
| leader_since3 = {{nowrap|September 22, 2012}}
| leaders_seat3 = Fredericton-Lincoln{{efn|Coon was the incumbent MLA for Fredericton South, but chose to run in Fredericton-Lincoln after his riding was dissolved by redistribution.}}
| last_election3 = 3 seats, 15.24%
| seats_before3 = 3
| seats3 = 2
| seat_change3 = {{decrease}} 1
| popular_vote3 = 51,558
| percentage3 = 13.76%
| swing3 = {{decrease}}1.48%
| 1data3 =
| title = Premier
| before_election = Blaine Higgs
| before_party = {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|name}}
| posttitle = Premier after election
| after_election = Susan Holt
| after_party = {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|name}}
| map_image = {{Switcher| 300px| Results by riding| 300px| Results by polling area| default=1}}
| map_size =
| elected_members = elected members
| outgoing_members = outgoing members
}}
The 2024 New Brunswick general election was held on October 21, 2024, where 49 members were elected to the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick. It was formally called upon the dissolution of the 60th New Brunswick Legislature on September 19, 2024.{{cite news |last1=Chillibeck|first1=John|title=NBers heading to the polls Oct. 21 |url=|work=Telegraph-Journal |date=September 21, 2024|page=1}}
The incumbent Progressive Conservative Party of New Brunswick (PC) government, led by Premier Blaine Higgs since 2018, sought re-election to a third consecutive term. The party was defeated by the New Brunswick Liberal Association, led by Susan Holt, with them set to form a majority government in a landslide victory. Higgs was defeated in his own riding of Quispamsis, the first time since 1987 that a sitting New Brunswick Premier lost in their own riding. Upon taking office, Holt became the first woman premier of New Brunswick.
2023 redistribution
The Electoral Boundaries and Representation Commission is obliged after every second general election to investigate and report whether boundary adjustments are required to the Province's constituencies.{{Cite canlaw|short title=Electoral Boundaries and Representation Act|abbr=R.S.N.B.|year=2014|chapter=106|link=https://canlii.ca/t/533g8}} It was required to ensure that revised constituencies have populations that fall within 25% of the determined electoral quotient, and it made its report with recommendations in March 2023.{{cite book |author= |date=|title=Final Report|url=https://www2.gnb.ca/content/dam/gnb/Corporate/Promo/electoral-electorales/ebrc-final-report.pdf|location=Fredericton|publisher=Electoral Boundaries and Representation Commission|isbn=978-1-4605-3413-7 }}
Objections were raised as to the alignments proposed for Shediac-Cap-Acadie and Tantramar, specifically with respect to the eastern portion of Cap-Acadie (a francophone-majority town) having been placed in the latter,{{cite book |author= |date=|title=Amended Final Report: Response to objections|url=https://www2.gnb.ca/content/dam/gnb/Corporate/Promo/electoral-electorales/amended-final-report.pdf|location=Fredericton|publisher=Electoral Boundaries and Representation Commission|page=6|isbn=978-1-4605-3456-4}} and special legislation was passed to allow a variance in the proposed boundaries.{{Cite canlaw|short title=An Act Respecting the Proposed Electoral District of Tantramar|abbr=S.N.B.|year=2023|chapter=1|link=https://canlii.ca/t/55z5t}}
The following changes took effect:
class="wikitable" | |
Abolished | New |
---|---|
colspan="2"|Renaming of constituencies | |
* Carleton
| | |
* Edmundston-Madawaska Centre
| | |
* Fundy-The Isles-Saint John West
| | |
* Gagetown-Petitcodiac
| | |
* Hampton
| | |
* Kent South
| | |
* Portland-Simonds
| | |
* Saint John Lancaster
| | |
* Shediac-Beaubassin-Cap-Pelé
| | |
* Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou
| | |
* Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins
| | |
* Victoria-La Vallée
| | |
colspan="2"|Abolition of constituencies | |
* Tracadie-Sheila
| | |
colspan="2"|Drawn from other constituencies | |
| | |
|
| |
colspan="2"|Merger of constituencies | |
* Albert
| | |
colspan="2"|Reorganization of constituencies | |
* Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore
| | |
* Dieppe
| | |
* Fredericton South
| | |
* Miramichi
| |
{{reflist|group=a}}
Of the 49 constituencies, 17 have Francophone majorities:
{{col-begin}}{{col-break}}
; Northern Region
- Restigouche West
- Restigouche East
- Belle-Baie-Belledune
- Bathurst
- Hautes-Terres-Nepisiguit
- Caraquet
- Shippagan-Les-Îles
- Tracadie
{{col-break}}
; Southeast Region
- Kent North
- Beausoleil-Grand-Bouctouche-Kent
- Shediac Bay-Dieppe
- Shediac-Cap-Acadie
- Dieppe-Memramcook
- Champdoré-Irishtown
{{col-break}}
; Upper River Valley Region
- Grand Falls-Vallée-des-Rivières-Saint-Quentin
- Edmundston-Vallée-des-Rivières
- Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston
{{col-end}}
Background
The Legislative Assembly Act was amended in 2017 to provide that an election should be held every four years on the third Monday in October;{{Cite canlaw|short title=An Act to Amend the Legislative Assembly Act|abbr=S.N.B.|year=2017|chapter=33|link=https://canlii.ca/t/5394c}} the election still must be held on a Monday if called sooner.{{cite news |last1=Waugh |first1=Andrew |title=ANALYSIS: The summer push for your vote |url=https://tj.news/new-brunswick/analysis-the-summer-push-for-your-vote |access-date=June 17, 2024 |work=Telegraph-Journal |date=June 16, 2024}}
=Minor party deregistrations and registrations=
On October 31, 2020, after failing to nominate ten candidates in the 2020 election, the KISS NB was deregistered.{{cite web |last1=Poffenroth |first1=Kimberly A. |title=Report of the Chief Electoral Officer Fortieth General Provincial Election September 14, 2020 |url=https://www.electionsnb.ca/content/dam/enb/pdf/2020-prov-rpt.pdf |website=Elections New Brunswick |access-date=15 August 2023}}
On March 30, 2022, Kris Austin and Michelle Conroy announced their departures from the People's Alliance to join the Progressive Conservatives explaining they believed they could better represent their ridings from within government.{{Cite web |title=People's Alliance leader Kris Austin steps down, joins N.B. Progressive Conservatives - New Brunswick|url=https://globalnews.ca/news/8721876/kris-austin-steps-down-progressive-conservatives/ |access-date=2022-03-30 |website=Global News |language=en-US}}{{Cite web |last=Poitras |first=Jacques |date=March 30, 2022 |title=People's Alliance MLAs cross the floor to join Tory government |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/kris-austin-alliance-joins-new-brunswick-conservatives-1.6402535 |url-status=live |access-date=March 30, 2022 |website=CBC|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220331000828/https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/kris-austin-alliance-joins-new-brunswick-conservatives-1.6402535 |archive-date=2022-03-31 }} Premier and Progressive Conservative leader Blaine Higgs reiterated the party's support for official bilingualism when questioned about the People's Alliance's previous stances on the issue which were criticized by the Acadian Society of New Brunswick. The Peoples Alliance was deregistered on March 31, 2022, but re-registered by interim leader Rick DeSaulniers in May 2022.{{Cite web |date=2022-03-30 |title=Les deux députés de la People's Alliance joignent les conservateurs |url=https://www.acadienouvelle.com/actualites/2022/03/30/les-deux-deputes-de-la-peoples-alliance-joignent-les-conservateurs/ |access-date=2022-03-30 |website=Acadie Nouvelle |language=fr-FR}}{{Cite news |last=Poitras |first=Jacques |date=2022-04-22 |title=People's Alliance supporters push to resurrect party ahead of June byelections |work=CBC News |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/peoples-alliance-new-brunswick-politics-1.6427534 |access-date=2022-04-22}}{{Cite news |last=Poitras |first=Jacques |date=May 31, 2022 |title=People's Alliance lives on, chooses new leader |work=CBC News |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/panb-rick-desaulniers-new-leader-1.6472539}}
The Libertarian Party of New Brunswick was registered in July 2024, and put forward candidates in 18 ridings.{{cite news |last1=Huras |first1=Adam |title=New political party registers in New Brunswick ahead of provincial election |url=https://tj.news/new-brunswick/new-political-party-registers-in-new-brunswick-ahead-of-provincial-election |access-date=August 6, 2024 |work=Telegraph-Journal |publisher=Postmedia Network |date=August 5, 2024}}https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/peoples-alliance-election-nb-2024-1.7348847
In September 2024, the Social Justice Party of New Brunswick and the Consensus NB Party were created, however both failed to nominate at least 10 candidates as required to maintain party status and each will be deregistered following the 2024 election.{{cite web |last1=Huras |first1=Adam |title=Two more political parties register in New Brunswick |url=https://tj.news/new-brunswick/two-more-political-parties-register-in-new-brunswick |website=Telegraph-Journal |publisher=Postmedia Network |access-date=14 September 2024 |date=12 September 2024}}{{cite web |last1=Poitras |first1=Jacques |title=PCs, Liberals are only parties to run full slate of election candidates |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/pcs-liberals-candidates-full-slate-1.7339879 |website=CBC News |access-date=2 October 2024 |date=2 October 2024}}
=Current standings=
class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;"
|+ Standings in the 60th Legislature of New Brunswick |
colspan="2" rowspan="2"|Affiliation
!colspan="2"|Assembly members |
---|
2020 election results
!Current {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|row-name}} |27 |25 {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|row-name}} |17 |16 {{Canadian party colour|NB|Green|row-name}} |3 |3 {{Canadian party colour|NB|PANB|row-name}} |2 |0 {{Canadian party colour|CA|Independent|row-name}} |0 |1 |
style="text-align:left;" colspan="3"|Vacant
|4 |
style="text-align:left;" colspan="2"|Total members
|49 |45 |
style="text-align:left;" colspan="2"|Total seats
|49 |49 |
=Summary of seat changes=
class="wikitable" style="border: none;"
! colspan="8" |Changes in seats held (2020–present) |
rowspan="2" |Seat
! colspan="4" |Before ! colspan="3" |Change |
---|
Date
!Member !Party !Reason !Date !Member !Party |
Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin
| rowspan="2" |August 17, 2021 |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|colour&name|short}} | rowspan="2" |Resigned to run in Miramichi—Grand Lake in the 2021 federal election (Stewart was elected). | rowspan="2" |June 20, 2022 |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|colour&name|short}} |
Miramichi Bay-Neguac
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|colour&name|short}} |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|colour&name|short}} |
Fredericton-Grand Lake
| rowspan="2" |March 30, 2022 |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PANB|colour&name|short}} |Changed affiliation, resigning as People's Alliance leader and announcing his intention to deregister the party. | rowspan="2" | | |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|colour&name|short}} |
Miramichi
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PANB|colour&name|short}} |Changed affiliation. | |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|colour&name|short}} |
Fredericton West-Hanwell
|October 16, 2022 |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|colour&name|short}} |Expelled from the PC caucus having resigned his ministerial role. | | |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Independent|colour&name|short}} |
Dieppe
|October 21, 2022 |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|colour&name|short}} |Resigned to head to the private sector. | rowspan="3" |April 24, 2023 |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|colour&name|short}} |
Restigouche-Chaleur
|November 27, 2022 |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|colour&name|short}} |Resigned to run for Mayor of Belle-Baie in 2022 elections; elected. |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|colour&name|short}} |
Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore
|November 27, 2022 |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|colour&name|short}} |Resigned to run for Mayor of Hautes-Terres in 2022 elections; elected. |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|colour&name|short}} |
Saint John Harbour
|February 8, 2024{{cite web |last1=Perry |first1=Brad |title=MLA Arlene Dunn officially resigns |url=https://www.country94.ca/2024/02/14/mla-arlene-dunn-officially-resigns/ |website=Country 94 |publisher=Acadia Broadcasting |date=14 February 2024 |access-date=3 March 2024}} |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|colour&name|short}} |Resigned. | | | |
Portland-Simonds
|April 30, 2024{{cite web |last1=Poitras |first1=Jacques |title=Looks like Trevor Holder and Gary Crossman have officially resigned their seats. |url=https://twitter.com/poitrasCBC/status/1785320633934483741 |website=Twitter |date=30 April 2024 |access-date=30 April 2024}} |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|colour&name|short}} |Resigned. | | | |
Hampton
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|colour&name|short}} |Resigned. | | | |
Albert
|June 20, 2024{{cite web |last1=Perry |first1=Brad |title=Mike Holland resigns as minister, MLA |url=https://www.919thebend.ca/2024/06/20/mike-holland-resigns-as-minister-mla/ |website=91.9 The Bend |publisher=Acadia Broadcasting |date=20 June 2024 |access-date=20 June 2024}}{{cite web |last1=Matt |first1=Sean |title=N.B. energy minister resigns, premier shuffles cabinet |url=https://atlantic.ctvnews.ca/more/n-b-energy-minister-resigns-premier-shuffles-cabinet-1.6934412 |website=CTV News |publisher=Bell Media |date=20 June 2024 |access-date=20 June 2024}} |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|colour&name|short}} |Resigned (after final legislative session). | | | |
Issues
=Education=
New Brunswick has been experiencing major education shortcomings during the 2020s, with the province experiencing massive shortages in teachers and school psychologists,{{cite news |last1=Jones |first1=Robert |title=N.B.'s English school system down to 6 psychologists serving 73,000 students |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/few-school-psychologists-in-english-school-system-1.7044127 |access-date=June 12, 2024 |work=CBC News |date=November 30, 2023}}{{cite news |last1=Brown |first1=Silas |title=English schools in N.B. are facing a chronic lack of school psychologists. Here's why. - New Brunswick |url=https://globalnews.ca/news/10417208/new-brunswick-school-psychologist-shortage/ |access-date=June 12, 2024 |work=Global News |date=April 11, 2024}} along with school bus drivers in some areas. Schools throughout the province have also reported exceptionally low child literacy rates, with a 2021–22 report concluding that literacy standards were not met by around 40% of the province's fourth grade students, the lowest it has been in 18 years.{{cite news |last1=Brown |first1=Silas |title=N.B. child literacy rates at lowest level in 18 years: report - New Brunswick |url=https://globalnews.ca/news/9283571/nb-child-literacy-rates/ |access-date=June 12, 2024 |work=Global News |date=November 16, 2022}} Kelly Lamrock, the New Brunswick Child and Youth advocate, further reported that child literacy rates had declined by 29% over the past decade.{{cite news |last1=Leger |first1=Isabelle |title=Child literacy declined by 29% over a decade, says N.B. child and youth advocate |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/child-literacy-nb-decade-reading-1.6654092 |access-date=June 12, 2024 |work=CBC News |date=November 16, 2022}} After being released in November 2023, the 2022–23 report for fourth grade student literacy rates showed further decline, with 43.4% scoring "below appropriate achievement" after being assessed for English reading.{{cite news |last1=Drost |first1=Phillip |title='Disappointing' reading scores need immediate action, N.B. child and youth advocate says |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/literacy-rates-grade-4-new-brunswick-lamrock-1.7034451 |access-date=June 12, 2024 |work=CBC News |date=November 21, 2023}}
In late 2023, the New Brunswick Teachers' Association (NBTA) called for the provincial government to address concerns raised from an internal survey of its members. Among the concerns noted were "understaffed classrooms and overcrowded buildings, with uncertified community members, people without a bachelor of education, sometimes taking the place of actual teachers because of shortages." Many of the 2,916 survey participants reported teaching in overcrowded and poorly ventilated schools, with half also experiencing verbal and physical abuse. Those who called for these issues to be addressed included Liberal leader Susan Holt as well as Kevin Arseneau, a Green MLA for Kent North.{{cite news |last1=Rudderham |first1=Hannah |title=Province's teachers work in overcrowded classrooms, face verbal, physical abuse: survey |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/nb-teachers-association-urgent-issues-1.7027785 |access-date=June 12, 2024 |work=CBC News |date=November 14, 2023}}
In May 2024, the NBTA projected over 1,200 anglophone teachers that will be eligible for retirement within the next five years, with Peter Lagacy, the NBTA president, adding that this is "an alarming number when we look at how many we have coming into the system."{{cite news |last1=Awde |first1=Savannah |title='Alarming' number of teachers to retire in coming years, NBTA says |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/teacher-resource-crisis-retirements-1.7213664 |access-date=June 12, 2024 |work=CBC News |date=May 24, 2024}}
==Staff shortages==
New Brunswick's public school system has been notably experiencing shortages in teachers,{{cite news |title=Retirements, population rise create looming teacher shortage in New Brunswick: study |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/province-teacher-shortage-unb-1.7092505 |access-date=June 12, 2024 |work=CBC News |agency=The Canadian Press |date=January 24, 2024}}{{cite news |last1=Brown |first1=Silas |title=Concerns raised about teacher shortage in N.B. just days before start of school year - New Brunswick |url=https://globalnews.ca/news/9932412/nbta-concerns-teacher-shortages/ |access-date=June 12, 2024 |work=Global News |date=August 31, 2023}} school psychologists and, in certain areas, bus drivers.{{cite news |last1=Sweet |first1=Jennifer |title=School bus driver shortage persists in Fredericton area |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/school-bus-driver-shortage-1.7100380 |access-date=June 12, 2024 |work=CBC News |date=January 31, 2024}}
While proposing changes for Policy 713, Higgs proposed for "extra counsellors, extra support." According to figures from November 2023, however, the number of school psychologists dropped; out of a total of 28 "full-time equivalent" school psychologist positions filled throughout the province, only six served the province's English school system of approximately 73,000 students.
==School busing shortcomings==
An audit which took place between January and February in 2024 concluded that the provincial Department of Education "lacks oversight on school bus safety and driver requirements."{{cite news |last1=Farley |first1=Sam |title=Province has no effective system to ensure school bus safety, says N.B. auditor general |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/school-bus-safety-auditor-general-report-1.7224296 |access-date=June 12, 2024 |work=CBC News |date=June 5, 2024}} Using a sample size of 65 bus drivers out of a total of around 1,300, the audit reported that 46% of New Brunswick's school bus drivers had ineligible licensing requirements. Additionally, 20% were hired without checking for criminal records, and further percentages of bus drivers had no evidence of bus training (37%) and first aid training (42%). The audit also conducted vehicle inspections on a number of buses, with 45% having deficiencies.{{cite news |last1=Perry |first1=Brad |title=Not all school bus drivers meet licensing, training requirements: audit |url=https://www.thewave.ca/2024/06/05/not-all-school-bus-drivers-meet-licensing-training-requirements-audit/ |access-date=June 12, 2024 |work=CHWV-FM |date=June 5, 2024 |language=en}}{{cite news |title=New Brunswick school bus drivers fail to meet licensing, training requirements: audit - New Brunswick |url=https://globalnews.ca/news/10544291/nb-school-bus-drivers-audit/ |access-date=June 12, 2024 |work=Global News |agency=The Canadian Press |date=June 4, 2024}} Francine Landry, the Liberal MLA for Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston, criticized the provincial government led by Higgs for "touting their record on keeping children safe, while failing to fulfil the most basic requirements for doing so." Education Minister Bill Hogan responded, saying that "clearly there's some work to be done in that area in making sure that they're inspected on time."
==Policy 713==
{{main|Policy 713}}
Policy 713, a provincial education policy which sets minimum requirements for public schools and districts in the province related to individuals identifying and perceived as LGBTQIA2S+, became the subject of massive debate following a 2023 decision made to review and ultimately revise the policy by the Progressive Conservative-led government under Higgs and Bill Hogan, the Minister of Education and Early Childhood Development. In the aftermath of its revision, a third of the Progressive Conservative caucus members elected under Higgs have either resigned or announced that they would not seek re-election, with some criticizing Higgs' leadership and highlighting a growing disconnect between their personal beliefs and the party's stance. The revision has led to the government becoming involved in legal disputes with its education departments as well as with the Canadian Civil Liberties Association, who filed a lawsuit against the government, citing violations against the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms and New Brunswick's human rights and education acts. The issue has been the subject of widespread coverage and dispute, and has been covered by major news publications including The Washington Post,{{cite news |last1=Coletta |first1=Amanda |title=Canadian leader: Teachers can't use student pronouns without parent okay |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/06/28/canada-deadnaming-blaine-higgs/ |access-date=21 May 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post |date=28 June 2023}} The New York Times,{{cite news |last1=Austen |first1=Ian |title=Deadnaming Children Would Be Allowed Under School Policy |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/17/world/canada/deadnaming-children-schools-new-brunswick.html |access-date=21 May 2024 |work=The New York Times |date=17 June 2023}} and BBC.{{cite news |last1=Yousif |first1=Nadine |title=Policy 713: LGBT school policy change causes political turmoil in Canada |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-66061514 |access-date=21 May 2024 |work=BBC |date=30 June 2023}}
Lindsay Jones of The Globe And Mail called the Policy 713 dispute as having "emerged as perhaps the key issue in the next election."{{cite news |last1=Jones |first1=Lindsay |title=New Brunswick election hangs in the balance as government faces challenge over gender-identity rules |url=https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-new-brunswick-election-hangs-in-the-balance-as-government-faces/ |access-date=21 May 2024 |work=The Globe and Mail |date=20 May 2024 |language=en-CA}}
=Healthcare=
Healthcare in New Brunswick has been described as being in a "state of chaos,"{{cite news |last1=Sturgeon |first1=Nathalie |title='State of chaos': Man spends 5 days in hospital, speaks out on health-care crisis |url=https://globalnews.ca/news/10200323/fredericton-hospital-patient-health-care-crisis/ |access-date=29 May 2024 |work=Global News |date=2 January 2024}} with hospitals throughout the province experiencing an overcapacity of patients,{{cite news |last1=Bailey |first1=Mitchell |last2=Sturgeon |first2=Nathalie |title=Growing concerns over ER capacity in N.B. and how it's 'busting at the seams' - New Brunswick |url=https://globalnews.ca/news/10201642/emergency-departments-in-new-brunswick-growing-concerns/ |access-date=29 May 2024 |work=Global News |date=3 January 2024}} excessively long waiting times,{{cite news |last1=MacKinnon |first1=Bobbi-Jean |title=Horizon's target for reduced ER wait times is 4 times national guideline |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/horizon-emergency-department-wait-time-goal-reduce-national-guideline-mesheau-inquest-1.7169351 |access-date=29 May 2024 |work=CBC News |date=12 April 2024}} and health workers experiencing burnout.{{cite news |last1=Webb |first1=Steven |title=Burned-out workers from health care system now make up majority of counsellor's clients |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/more-health-care-workers-seeking-mental-health-help-1.6687601 |access-date=29 May 2024 |work=CBC News |date=18 December 2022}} During a February 2023 press conference, Blaine Higgs stated that "if every doctor in our province took two or three more patients a week, we wouldn't have a backlog."{{cite news |title=Higgs's comments about family doctors could hurt recruitment, says N.B. Medical Society |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/higgs-family-doctors-more-patients-new-brunswick-medical-society-president-recruitment-1.6756135 |access-date=29 May 2024 |work=CBC News |date=22 February 2023}} In an Angus Reid survey that recorded Canadians' satisfaction with how their province is dealing with healthcare, New Brunswick recorded the largest drop in satisfaction rate compared to rates surveyed at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, with a rate of just 11 percent, compared to a previous rate of 42 percent.{{cite news |last1=Brown |first1=Laura |title=Just 11 per cent of NBers satisfied with province's handling of health care: Angus Reid survey |url=https://atlantic.ctvnews.ca/more/just-11-per-cent-of-nbers-satisfied-with-province-s-handling-of-health-care-angus-reid-survey-1.6718363 |access-date=29 May 2024 |work=CTV Atlantic |date=9 January 2024 |language=en}}
Following overcrowding at the Dr. Everett Chalmers Regional Hospital emergency room at the start of 2024, Green leader David Coon called for "immediate changes" as well as for the government to increase funding.{{cite news |last1=Farley |first1=Sam |title=Green leader calls for changes to Fredericton ER after 'pandemonium' over holidays |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/david-coon-calls-for-changes-more-funding-fredericton-er-1.7073880 |access-date=June 2, 2024 |work=CBC News |date=January 4, 2024}}
According to Rob McKee, the Liberal health critic, 160,000 people in New Brunswick, or roughly 20 percent of the population, do not have a family doctor or nurse practitioner as of late May 2024. The numbers were disputed by Bruce Fitch, the Minister of Health.{{cite news |last1=Chilibeck |first1=John |title=Number of NBers without a family doc up to 160K: Grit MLA |url=https://tj.news/new-brunswick/number-of-nbers-without-a-family-doc-up-to-160k-grit-mla |access-date=June 6, 2024 |work=Telegraph-Journal |date=May 29, 2024}}
During the final session of the 60th legislature held on June 7, 2024, Higgs and Holt clashed during question period; one of the topics included the funding spent on travel nurses, amounting to nearly {{CAD|174 million}}, which was revealed to have been "partly mismanaged" according to a report by the auditor general.{{cite news |title=N.B. legislature wraps up before election with tense exchanges and emotional speeches |url=https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-nb-legislature-wraps-up-before-election-with-tense-exchanges-and/ |access-date=June 7, 2024 |work=The Globe and Mail |agency=The Canadian Press |date=June 7, 2024 |language=en-CA}}
Both the Liberal and Green parties made promises to re-launch research efforts into the province's mysterious neurological disease upon forming majority government.{{cite news |last1=Seeley |first1=Sarah |title=Liberals promise to reopen mystery disease research |url=https://tj.news/new-brunswick/liberals-promise-to-reopen-mystery-disease-research |access-date=September 1, 2024 |work=Telegraph-Journal |date=August 31, 2024}}
=Housing=
Since 2019, housing prices have nearly doubled in New Brunswick. In home prices, the province marked the highest percentage of increases compared to the rest of the Canadian provinces and territories.{{cite news |last1=Cox |first1=Aidan |title=Priced out: Dramatic increase in house prices puts goal of ownership on pause for some in N.B. |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/new-brunswick-home-prices-1.7162099 |access-date=June 24, 2024 |work=CBC News |date=April 5, 2024}} New Brunswick has also seen major increases in homelessness within its communities and cities, with Fredericton, Saint John, and Moncton collectively experiencing an 80% increase in homelessness between 2021 and 2023.{{cite news |last1=Silberman |first1=Alexandre |title=Sharp increase in people sleeping rough in New Brunswick |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/nb-homeless-count-sharp-increase-1.7074494 |access-date=June 24, 2024 |work=CBC News |date=January 4, 2024}} Housing critics have claimed that "landlords have almost all the power" in the province.{{cite news |last1=O'Donnell |first1=Susan |title=The Green's new rent control bill: will it protect renters in New Brunswick? |url=https://nbmediacoop.org/2020/11/22/the-greens-new-rent-control-bill-will-it-protect-renters-in-new-brunswick/ |access-date=June 24, 2024 |work=NB Media Co-op |date=November 22, 2020}}
Both the Liberal and Green parties have attempted to implement rent regulation in the province,{{cite news |last1=Intiar |first1=Inda |title=Liberals, Greens Want To See Rent Control Law In N.B. |url=https://huddle.today/2020/11/12/liberals-greens-want-to-see-rent-control-law-in-n-b/ |access-date=June 24, 2024 |work=Huddle |date=November 13, 2020 |language=en-CA}} with the right to housing being highlighted by the Green Party legislative members, whether to consider it a human right or to push for rural area housing rights. During a legislative session on November 20, 2020, held shortly after the opening of the 60th legislature, Green Party leader David Coon introduced Bill 18, which would have made changes to the Residential Tenancies Act, including a cap on annual rent increases as well as ensuring that "rent can only be raised once a year for a tenant and not in their first year." At the time, New Brunswick was the only province that allowed for landlords to make multiple increases on rent each year. Coon added that "we need to ensure that tenants who cannot afford large increases in their rents are not left out in the cold without housing this winter." After six months of debate, the bill was ultimately rejected after all Progressive Conservative and People's Alliance MLAs unanimously voted against it. The New Brunswick Coalition for Tenants Rights, who had criticized the proposed bill for "not going far enough," expressed disappointment in the government decision.{{cite news |last1=O'Donnell |first1=Susan |title=New Brunswick government rejects rent control bill despite no plan to tackle housing crisis |url=https://nbmediacoop.org/2021/06/04/new-brunswick-government-rejects-rent-control-bill-despite-no-plan-to-tackle-housing-crisis/ |access-date=June 24, 2024 |work=NB Media Co-op |date=June 4, 2021}}
In March 2022, the government introduced a temporary 3.8% rent cap,{{cite news |last1=Moore |first1=Nick |title=N.B. renters welcome one-year cap with hopes for it to become lower, permanent |url=https://atlantic.ctvnews.ca/n-b-renters-welcome-one-year-cap-with-hopes-for-it-to-become-lower-permanent-1.5832244 |access-date=June 24, 2024 |work=CTV Atlantic |date=March 23, 2022 |language=en}} set to expire at the end of the year.{{cite news |last1=Ibrahim |first1=Hadeel |title=Rent cap will expire this year, no extension, minister says |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/rental-housing-rent-cap-cancelled-1.6662730 |access-date=June 24, 2024 |work=CBC News |date=November 24, 2022}} Opposition parties soon afterwards called for an extension on this cap, while it was opposed by the government.{{cite news |last1=Brown |first1=Silas |title=Government defeats push by opposition parties to extend N.B. rent cap |url=https://globalnews.ca/news/8869732/n-b-government-housing-crisis-rent-cap-extension/ |access-date=June 24, 2024 |work=Global News |date=May 25, 2022}} Coon, saying that the government has not "gone far enough to eliminate loopholes that allow landlords to get around the government's temporary cap on rent increases," also made proposals to the provincial bill to address loopholes in this legislation, but faced rejection from the majority Progressive Conservatives.{{cite news |last1=Urquhart |first1=Mia |title='Mute' PC MLAs thwart attempts to close loopholes in rent-cap bill |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/rent-cap-not-permanent-1.6466507 |access-date=June 24, 2024 |work=CBC News |date=May 26, 2022}}
In December 2023, St. Stephen mayor Allan MacEachern declared a state of emergency due to an increase in homelessness after the recent death of a homeless person in the municipality; the declaration also accused the provincial government of failing to offer housing and social services.{{cite news |last1=Bates |first1=Andrew |title=N.B. public safety minister calls town's state of emergency over homelessness 'frivolous,' despite fatality|url=https://www.saltwire.com/atlantic-canada/news/nb-public-safety-minister-calls-towns-state-of-emergency-over-homelessness-frivolous-despite-fatality-100918646/ |access-date=June 24, 2024 |work=SaltWire |date=December 6, 2023 |language=en}}{{cite news |last1=Armstrong |first1=Lyndsay |title=N.B. minister's comments on homeless state of emergency lack compassion: mayor |url=https://globalnews.ca/news/10151887/st-stephen-homelessness-mayor-state-of-emergency/ |access-date=June 24, 2024 |work=Global News |date=December 6, 2023}} Public Safety Minister Kris Austin terminated the declaration soon afterwards,{{cite news |last1=MacRae |first1=Avery |title=State of emergency order terminated in St. Stephen less than 48 hours after its announcement |url=https://atlantic.ctvnews.ca/public-safety-minster-terminates-state-of-emergency-order-in-st-stephen-1.6676458 |access-date=June 24, 2024 |work=CTV Atlantic |date=December 6, 2023 |language=en}} likening it to car accidents by saying that "people die all the time in car accidents, and we do not declare state of emergencies for that."{{cite news |last1=Rudderham |first1=Hannah |title=St. Stephen declares state of emergency over homelessness after man's death |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/st-stephen-emergency-homelessness-1.7049333 |access-date=June 24, 2024 |work=CBC News |date=December 5, 2023}} Austin also blamed "leftist agendas that are degrading our society" as well as the federal government for the issue.{{cite news |title=Growing homelessness a provincial emergency, says tenants' group |url=https://nbmediacoop.org/2023/12/11/growing-homelessness-a-provincial-emergency-says-tenants-group/ |access-date=June 24, 2024 |work=NB Media Co-op |date=December 12, 2023}}
In June 2024, the provincial government quietly made changes to its renting policies, allowing for landlords to make annual rent increases for up to 4.7% for the next year starting in July 2024; this increase exceeds the current inflation rate.{{cite news |last1=Simpson |first1=Barbara |title=Landlords get more room to raise rents |url=https://tj.news/new-brunswick/landlords-get-more-room-to-raise-rents |access-date=June 24, 2024 |work=Telegraph-Journal |date=June 19, 2024}}{{cite news |last1=Jones |first1=Robert |title=Rent increase protections for New Brunswick tenants weakened by provincial changes |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/rent-increase-protections-weakened-new-brunswick-1.7240114 |access-date=June 24, 2024 |work=CBC News |date=June 20, 2024}} Coon criticized this change, calling out Higgs as "caving to the lobbying of large corporate property owners."{{cite news |title=Higgs Has Once Again Failed Renters |url=https://greencaucusvert.ca/higgs-has-once-again-failed-renters/ |access-date=June 24, 2024 |work=Office of the Green Party Caucus |date=June 20, 2024 |language=en-CA}}
=Out-of-province activities=
New Brunswick, unlike most provinces, allows political party funding from non-residents. In January 2024, Liberal and Green leaders Holt and Coon both made a promise to forbid New Brunswick political party donations from out-of-province sources in response to Higgs going to Alberta and British Columbia on a fundraising trip for his party.{{cite news |last1=Poitras |first1=Jacques |author1-link=Jacques Poitras |title=N.B. Liberals, Greens would ban out-of-province party fundraising |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/nb-liberal-greens-would-ban-fundraising-outside-nb-1.7088052 |access-date=20 May 2024 |work=CBC News |date=19 January 2024}}
In August 2024, right-leaning lobbyist group Campaign Life Coalition mailed flyers to 160,000 homes in New Brunswick,{{cite news |last1=Nurse |first1=Andrew |title=The New Brunswick election is a referendum on Blaine Higgs's divisive conservatism |url=https://theconversation.com/the-new-brunswick-election-is-a-referendum-on-blaine-higgss-divisive-conservatism-231447 |access-date=September 13, 2024 |work=The Conversation |date=September 5, 2024}} making the accusation that schools in the province are "pushing transgenderism".{{cite news |last1=Awde |first1=Savannah |title=Anti-abortion group sends flyers in support of N.B.'s parental rights policies |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/flyers-anti-abortion-group-1.7304195 |access-date=September 13, 2024 |work=CBC News |date=August 26, 2024}} Both Liberal and Green leaders condemned the flyers, with Higgs additionally having been urged to do so as well.
Campaign
=Candidates by Party=
class="wikitable" |
colspan="2"|Party
!Leader{{cite web |last1=Butler |first1=Nicholas |title=Consolidated Registry |url=https://www.electionsnb.ca/content/dam/enb/pdf/registries/consolidated-registry-registre-consolide.pdf?random=1711324800014 |website=Elections New Brunswick |access-date=2 October 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241002015509/https://www.electionsnb.ca/content/dam/enb/pdf/registries/consolidated-registry-registre-consolide.pdf?random=1711324800014 |archive-date=2 October 2024 |date=1 October 2024}} !Candidates {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|row-name}} |style="text-align:right;" |49 {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|row-name}} |style="text-align:right;" |49 {{Canadian party colour|NB|Green|row-name}} |style="text-align:right;" |46 |
---|
{{Canadian party colour|NB|NDP|row-name}}
|style="text-align:right;" |23 |
{{Canadian party colour|NB|Libertarian|row-name}}
| Keith Tays |style="text-align:right;" |18 |
{{Canadian party colour|NB|PANB|row-name}}
|style="text-align:right;" |13 |
{{Canadian party colour|NB|Independent|background}} |
| colspan=2 | Independent | style="text-align:right;" |4 |
{{Canadian party colour|NB|Consensus|background}} |
| style="text-align:left;" |Consensus NB |Len O'Brien |style="text-align:right;" |3 |
{{Canadian party colour|NB|Social Justice|row-name}}
|Tanya Roberts |style="text-align:right;" |2 |
class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;"
|+ Candidate contests{{cite web |url=https://www1.gnb.ca/Elections/en/prov24oct21/provcandidatelist-e.asp?ElectionID=116/|title=List of candidates|author= |date=|website=www1.gnb.ca|publisher=Elections New Brunswick|access-date=October 1, 2024}} !rowspan="2"|Number of nominated | |||||||||||
{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}} align="center" |PC
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}} align="center" |Lib |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Green|background}} align="center" |Grn |{{Canadian party colour|NB|NDP|background}} align="center" |NDP |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Libertarian|background}} align="center" |Ltn |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PANB|background}} align="center" |PANB |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Independent|background}} align="center" |{{abbr|Ind|Independent}} |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Consensus|background}} align="center" |{{abbr|CNB|Consensus NB}} |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Social Justice|background}} align="center" |{{abbr|SJP|Social Justice}} !Totals | |||||||||||
style="text-align:left;" |2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||||||
style="text-align:left;" |3 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 33 | |||||
style="text-align:left;" |4 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 72 | ||
style="text-align:left;" |5 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 55 | |
style="text-align:left;" |6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 36 | |
style="text-align:left;" |7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | ||
style="text-align:left;" |Total | 49 | 49 | 49 | 46 | 23 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 207 |
=Progressive Conservative=
In November 2023, the Progressive Conservatives hired Steve Outhouse as its campaign manager. Outhouse had previously served as chief of staff and as director of communications for federal Conservative cabinet ministers, and served as campaign manager for the re-election of the United Conservative Party in the 2023 Alberta general election.{{cite news |last1=Huras |first1=Adam |title=Who is Steve Outhouse? Higgs's new star campaign manager |url=https://tj.news/new-brunswick/who-is-steve-outhouse-higgss-new-star-campaign-manager |access-date=17 May 2024 |work=Telegraph-Journal |date=12 November 2023}} In April 2024, Outhouse was also hired as principal secretary to Premier Blaine Higgs, which is a taxpayer-funded position that will earn up to {{CAD|124,656}} during the six-month contract.{{cite news |last1=Poitras |first1=Jacques |title=PC campaign manager joins Premier's Office, will earn taxpayer salary |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/pc-campaign-manager-steve-outhouse-joins-premiers-office-1.7170842 |access-date=17 May 2024 |work=CBC News |date=11 April 2024}} The contract drew criticism from Green leader David Coon, who estimated the position's pay band as being at a much lower rate of {{CAD|150,000–175,000}} annually,{{cite news |last1=Waugh |first1=Andrew |title=$20,776 a month: What NBers are paying Steve Outhouse |url=https://tj.news/new-brunswick/20776-a-month-what-nbers-are-paying-steve-outhouse |access-date=1 May 2024 |work=Telegraph-Journal |date=25 April 2024}} as well as from Liberal MLA and former Progressive Conservative Robert Gauvin, who stated that it was "unfair that New Brunswick taxpayers are paying him for that," believing that "this contract should be cut and the money should be reimbursed." Higgs defended the value of the contract by reading extensively from Outhouse's resumé and stating that he comes with, "an extensive degree of credentials and relevant experience to what we experience as a government."{{cite news |last1=Poitras |first1=Jacques |author1-link=Jacques Poitras |title=Higgs defends hiring of Conservative consultants at taxpayer expense |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/higgs-defends-conservative-consultants-taxpayer-expense-1.7185106 |access-date=15 May 2024 |work=CBC News |date=25 April 2024}}
Jacques Poitras of CBC News described the Progressive Conservative campaign under Outhouse's contract as adopting "a more pointed, aggressive style of advertising against the opposition Liberals." The campaign particularly attacked Susan Holt while "trying to link her to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's carbon tax and other policies." Jeff Carr, a Progressive Conservative MLA who previously announced that he would not be seeking candidacy in the election, criticized a post his party made targeting a 2014 quote by Holt regarding "closing some schools in the province." Carr stated that the post omitted important context "for political gain (misleading the electorate)," calling it "disappointing."
The Progressive Conservative party launched their re-election campaign at a Quispamsis church on September 19, 2024.{{cite news |last1=Waugh |first1=Andrew |title=PCs to kick off election campaign tonight |url=https://tj.news/new-brunswick/pcs-to-kick-off-election-campaign-tonight |access-date=September 19, 2024 |work=Telegraph-Journal |date=September 19, 2024}} Blaine Higgs received critical attention for telling a joke about a deceased Liberal voter at the end of his campaign launch speech,{{cite news |last1=Waugh |first1=Andrew |title=Higgs ends campaign launch speech with 'joke' about dead Liberal voter |url=https://tj.news/new-brunswick/pcs-to-kick-off-election-campaign-tonight |access-date=September 21, 2024 |work=Telegraph-Journal |date=September 19, 2024}} with Susan Holt describing it as "a complete lack of judgment on the premier's part".{{cite news |last1=Lau |first1=Rebecca |title=N.B. election: Higgs went to 'very dark place' with Liberal joke, opponent says |url=https://globalnews.ca/news/10765994/nb-election-2024-blaine-higgs-joke-criticism/ |access-date=September 21, 2024 |work=Global News |date=September 20, 2024}} David Coon additionally criticized the joke, stating that "to call it a joke would suggest it was funny, and there was nothing funny about it".{{cite news |title=New Brunswick's Blaine Higgs has lowest approval of any premier in Canada, poll shows |url=https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-new-brunswicks-blaine-higgs-has-lowest-approval-of-any-premier-in/ |access-date=September 21, 2024 |work=The Globe and Mail |agency=The Canadian Press |date=September 20, 2024 |language=en-CA}}
The Progressive Conservative campaign has consisted of promoting its promise to lower the harmonized sales tax (HST) from 15% to 13%,{{cite news |last1=Cox|first1=Aidan|title=Higgs pledges to cut provincial sales-tax rate if re-elected |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/blaine-higgs-new-brunswick-election-hst-taxes-1.7267613 |work=CBC News |date=July 18, 2024 |access-date=September 25, 2024}} and highlighting the fiscal surpluses under their government. The campaign has also promoted fears of an elected Liberal government taking the province "back into the red",{{cite web |title=The Liberal $6 Billion Question |url=https://pcnb.ca/backinthered/ |website=www.pcnb.ca |access-date=25 September 2024}} referring to the consecutive deficits under the previous Liberal government, during which Susan Holt served as senior economic development advisor to then-Premier Brian Gallant.{{cite news |last1=Mott|first1=Sean|title=Profile on Liberal leader Susan Holt |url=https://atlantic.ctvnews.ca/more/profile-on-liberal-leader-susan-holt-1.7032353 |work=CTV News Atlantic |date=September 10, 2024 |access-date=October 12, 2024 }}
The Progressive Conservatives released their campaign platform on October 12, 2024.{{Cite tweet |number=1845200412833456185 |user=pcnbca |title=Our PCNB team will not try to buy your vote with 100 promises. [...] |date=2024-10-12 |access-date=2024-11-02 |author=PCNB}}
=Liberal=
Throughout the months leading up to the election, Liberal leader Susan Holt started distancing herself from Prime Minister Justin Trudeau amongst attacks from the Progressive Conservatives attempting to link them together throughout the decline in popularity for Trudeau. Holt stated that "the New Brunswick Liberal Party is a separate entity from the federal party the prime minister leads."{{cite news |last1=Poitras |first1=Jacques |author1-link=Jacques Poitras |title=N.B. Liberal Leader Holt keeps distance from Trudeau as election nears |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/liberal-leader-holt-trudeau-1.7172193 |access-date=27 May 2024 |work=CBC News |date=12 April 2024}}
When asked by Brunswick News about her summer campaign plans, Holt shared plans of touring around the province and stopping by each riding, with 207 "touchpoints" with "festivals and celebrations," while also focusing on her home riding.
The Liberal party officially launched their election campaign in Fredericton on September 8, 2024.{{cite news |last1=Awde |first1=Savannah |title=Liberals launch official campaign ahead of election call |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/liberals-launch-campaign-election-1.7316773 |access-date=September 19, 2024 |work=CBC News |date=September 8, 2024}}
The Liberals released their campaign platform on October 3, 2024.{{cite web |title=Team Holt: Focused on You |url=https://nbliberal.ca/wp-content/uploads/teamholt_ourplatform_2024-1.pdf |website=www.nbliberal.ca |publisher=New Brunswick Liberal Association |date=3 October 2024 |access-date=4 October 2024}} The platform's costing table was flagged by media and criticized by the Progressive Conservatives for a seeming mistake that resulted in counting a portion of HST revenue twice.{{cite news |last1=Poitras |first1=Jacques |author1-link=Jacques Poitras |title=Liberal platform contains no alternative to federal carbon tax |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/liberal-platform-no-alertnative-carbon-tax-1.7341839 |access-date=4 October 2024 |work=CBC News |date=3 October 2024}}{{Cite tweet |user=poitrasCBC |number=1841905692094923041 |date=October 3, 2024 |title=Interesting math in Liberal platform: table adds the $450m/yr from not doing the Higgs HST cut to the existing government revenue projections (from March budget) based on a 15 per cent HST, meaning that revenue's being counted twice. |access-date=4 October 2024 |link=https://x.com/poitrasCBC/status/1841905692094923041}} The error suggests that instead of a net surplus of $549 million over five years, the platform's implementation would result in a net deficit of over $1 billion.{{Cite tweet |user=pcnbca |number=1841944897139450328 |date=October 3, 2024 |title=Budgets don't balance themselves...and you can't just make up your own numbers, either. |access-date=4 October 2024 |link=https://x.com/pcnbca/status/1841944897139450328}}
=Greens=
In late 2023, Green Party leader David Coon stated that his goal was to "elect as many Green MLAs as possible." Additionally, Coon proposed that he would be open to the idea of collaborating with the Liberals to prevent Higgs from remaining in power if an early election resulted in the PCs losing their majority. Coon's negotiation proposal reflected his stance from the 2018 election when he was willing to talk with both parties, prior to the Progressive Conservatives securing the backing from the People's Alliance.{{cite news |last1=Poitras |first1=Jacques |author1-link=Jacques Poitras |title=Green leader says he'd strike deal with Liberals to oust Higgs |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/green-leader-coon-says-he-d-strike-deal-to-oust-higgs-1.6980278 |access-date=20 May 2024 |work=CBC News |date=28 September 2023}}
Coon, like Holt, was also asked by Brunswick News about his campaign plans for the summer; he shared that he, along with his deputies, Kevin Arseneau and Megan Mitton, are going to be "fanning out across the province, launching new candidates' campaigns that haven't been launched yet, and attending festivals and events, and generally holding our own events as well." Coon said that the largest issues that all Green candidates have noticeably heard are healthcare, along with "affordability and affordable housing," adding that "People want to see change. They want to see change that's for the better, not change back." Coon also highlighted a lack in rural development in the province, mentioning that "there's plenty of talk about communities losing services" in rural areas.
The Green Party's fall campaign officially launched on September 18, 2024.{{cite news |last1=Moore |first1=Nick |title=N.B. Green Party kicks off campaign with minority government musings |url=https://atlantic.ctvnews.ca/n-b-green-party-kicks-off-campaign-with-minority-government-musings-1.7043648 |access-date=September 19, 2024 |work=CTV Atlantic |date=18 September 2024 |language=en}} During his campaign launch speech, Coon confirmed that he will have a "wish list" ready to bring into negotiations with other parties, in anticipation of the Green Party not forming government and no other party getting a majority of seats. Higgs has compared the Greens potentially providing confidence to a Liberal government to the "coalition" between the Liberal Party of Canada and the New Democratic Party at the federal level, despite the Liberal-NDP arrangement being a confidence and supply agreement and not a coalition as it's usually defined.{{cite news |last1=Poitras|first1=Jacques|title=Green leader now a target as Higgs raises spectre of 'coalition' |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/green-leader-higgs-coalition-1.7329678 |work=CTV News Atlantic |date=September 23, 2024 |access-date=September 25, 2024}}
Debates
On May 28, 2024, a CUPE Local 1292-sponsored leaders' debate covering the topic of healthcare was aired on Rogers TV;{{Cite AV media |url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BZ31GFg-WQA |title=New Brunswick Provincial Leaders' Debate on Health Care - May 28th, 2024 |date=May 28, 2024 |access-date=May 29, 2024 |publisher=Rogers TV |host=Terry Seguin |via=YouTube}} Blaine Higgs, Susan Holt and David Coon were invited to participate, though Higgs declined to attend.{{cite news |last1=Waugh |first1=Andrew |title=Higgs a no-show for leaders' health-care debate |url=https://tj.news/new-brunswick/union-sponsors-n-b-leaders-health-care-debate |access-date=29 May 2024 |work=Telegraph-Journal |date=28 May 2024}}
On September 25, 2024, a leaders' debate between Higgs, Holt, and Coon took place at the Capitol Theatre in Moncton. The debate was aired on CBC Television and was moderated by Clare MacKenzie and Jacques Poitras.{{cite news |title=New Brunswick Votes 2024: Leaders On The Record debate on Sept. 25 |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/n-b-election-leaders-debate-sept-25-1.7329649 |access-date=September 25, 2024 |work=CBC News |date=September 20, 2024}}
On October 9, 2024, a leaders' debate between Holt, Coon, and Alex White took place at the Tom Morrison Theatre at Fredericton High School. Higgs and Rick DeSaulniers were invited but declined to attend. The debate was aired on Rogers TV and moderated by Andrew Holland.{{cite web |title=2024 New Brunswick Leaders Debate |url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jTYJYLLxWUw |website=www1.youtube.com |date=9 October 2024 |access-date=10 October 2024}}{{cite news |last1=Perry |first1=Brad |title=Health care, housing dominate N.B. leaders debate |url=https://www.country94.ca/2024/10/09/health-care-housing-dominate-n-b-leaders-debate/ |access-date=10 October 2024 |work=CHSJ-FM Country 94 |date=9 October 2024}}
On October 11, 2024, a Forum "Women Count!" with the party leaders was organized by the NB Coalition for Equity Pay. Susan Holt, David Coon and Alex White were present. Higgs declined the invitation. They discussed women issues in the Province. The Forum was broadcast on Rogers TV.
On October 16, 2024, a leaders' roundtable will be held at St. Thomas University in Fredericton, hosted by CTV Atlantic.{{cite news |last1=Price |first1=Melanie |title=CTV Atlantic to host leaders roundtable ahead of New Brunswick election |url=https://atlantic.ctvnews.ca/ctv-atlantic-to-host-leaders-roundtable-ahead-of-new-brunswick-election-1.7061283 |access-date=October 3, 2024 |work=CTV Atlantic |date=October 3, 2024}}
Opinion polls
File:2024 New Brunswick election polls.svg
class="wikitable sortable tpl-blanktable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:14px" |
style="height:40px;"
!rowspan="2" |Polling Firm !rowspan="2" |Last Date !rowspan="2" class="unsortable"|Link !style="width: 40px"| PC !style="width: 40px"| Liberal !style="width: 40px"| Green !style="width: 40px"| PA !style="width: 40px"| NDP ! rowspan="2" |Margin of error ! rowspan="2" |Sample size ! rowspan="2" |Polling method !rowspan="2"| Lead |
style="background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}"|
!style="background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}"| !style="background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Green}}"| !style="background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PANB}}"| !style="background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|NDP}}"| |
---|
style="background:#ffd;"
|Election 2024 |October 21, 2024 |[https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/new-brunswick/2024/results/ HTML] |35.04 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|48.24 |13.76 |0.87 |1.30 | {{n/a}} | {{n/a}} | {{n/a}} |{{Party shading/Liberal}} |13.20 |
Forum Research
|October 20, 2024 |{{cite web |title=Liberals set to win New Brunswick election |url=https://poll.forumresearch.com/post/3177/liberals-set-to-win-new-brunswick-election/ |website=Forum Research |access-date=21 October 2024 |date=20 October 2024}} |37.1 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|45.7 |10.7 |2.0 |2.7 |±3.0 pp |2,428 |IVR |{{Party shading/Liberal}} |8.6 |
Mainstreet Research
|October 19, 2024 |{{cite web |title=Mainstreet Research Survey - New Brunswick |url=https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/66c8dfb086a015b3b519e988/671440853e1222417e93bef3_Mainstreet_NB_Oct_Final_2024_Public.pdf |website=Mainstreet Research |access-date=20 October 2024 |date=19 October 2024}} |38 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|48 |10 |1 | - |±3.6 pp |724 |Smart IVR |{{Party shading/Liberal}} |10 |
Mainstreet Research
|October 3, 2024 |{{cite web |title=Mainstreet Research Survey - New Brunswick |url=https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/66c8dfb086a015b3b519e988/670017993416c39db2072501_Mainstreet_NB_Oct_2024_Public.pdf |website=Mainstreet Research |access-date=4 October 2024 |date=3 October 2024}} |37 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|44 |14 |2 | - |±3.3 pp |906 |Smart IVR |{{Party shading/Liberal}} |7 |
Mainstreet Research
|September 17, 2024 |{{cite web |title=Mainstreet Research Survey - New Brunswick |url=https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/66c8dfb086a015b3b519e988/66ed8448e6d300ae28a68f23_Mainstreet_NB_Sept_2024_Public.pdf |website=Mainstreet Research |access-date=30 September 2024 |date=19 September 2024}} |39 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|41 |13 |4 | - |±4.0 pp |609 |Smart IVR |{{Party shading/Liberal}} |2 |
Narrative Research
|August 17, 2024 |{{cite news |last1=Huras |first1=Adam |title=Holt Liberals have lead two months ahead of election: new poll |url=https://tj.news/new-brunswick/holt-liberals-have-lead-two-months-ahead-of-election-new-poll |access-date=August 23, 2024 |work=Telegraph-Journal |date=August 23, 2024}} |33 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|44 |17 |1 |4 |±4.9 pp |400 |telephone |{{Party shading/Liberal}} |11 |
Nanos Research
|July 31, 2024 |{{cite web |title=New Brunswick's Progressive Conservatives and Liberals in dead heat. |url=https://nanos.co/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/2024-2651-N.B.-Political-July-Omni-Populated-report.pdf |website=Nanos Research |access-date=21 August 2024 |date=15 August 2024}} |{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}|36 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|36 |14 |5 |10 |±4.7 pp |447 |telephone/online |0 |
Narrative Research
|May 30, 2024 |34 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|37 |13 |1 |13 |±4.9 pp |400 |telephone | {{Party shading/Liberal}} |3 |
Narrative Research
|February 22, 2024 |34 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|40 |15 |2 |8 |±4.9 pp |400 |telephone | {{Party shading/Liberal}} |6 |
Narrative Research
|November 27, 2023 |35 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|41 |10 |2 |13 |±4.9 pp |400 |telephone | {{Party shading/Liberal}} |6 |
Narrative Research
|August 21, 2023 |36 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|38 |16 |1 |8 |±4.9 pp |400 |telephone | {{Party shading/Liberal}} |2 |
Narrative Research
|May 17, 2023 |{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}|34 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|34 |19 |2 |10 |±4.9 pp |400 |telephone |0 |
Narrative Research
|February 25, 2023 |{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}|37 |35 |17 |2 |9 |±4.6 pp |450 |telephone |{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}|2 |
Leger
|December 23, 2022 |22 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|40 |15 |9 |12 |±4.4 pp |500 |online | {{Party shading/Liberal}} |18 |
Narrative Research
|November 27, 2022 |30 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|39 |18 |2 |10 |±4.0 pp |611 |telephone | {{Party shading/Liberal}} |9 |
Narrative Research
|August 24, 2022 |30 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|41 |14 |5 |11 |±4.2 pp |525 |telephone | {{Party shading/Liberal}} |11 |
colspan="12" |Susan Holt is elected leader of the Liberal Party (August 6, 2022) |
Angus Reid
|June 13, 2022 |31 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|36 |14 |5 |13 |±6.0 pp |247 |online | {{Party shading/Liberal}} |5 |
Narrative Research
|May 19, 2022 |{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}|34 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|34 |17 |4 |9 |±4.0 pp |607 |telephone |0 |
Nanos Research
|April 11, 2022 |36.6 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|38.8 |14.2 |1.2 |8.6 |±4.8 pp |423 |online/telephone | {{Party shading/Liberal}} |2.2 |
colspan="12" |Both People's Alliance MLAs join the Progressive Conservatives, with Kris Austin announcing intention to de-register the party (March 30, 2022) |
Angus Reid
|March 15, 2022 |31 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|32 |15 |13 |9 |±6.0 pp |251 |online | {{Party shading/Liberal}} |1 |
Narrative Research
|February 27, 2022 |{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}|34 |31 |16 |5 |11 |±4.2 pp |545 |telephone |{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}|3 |
Angus Reid
|January 10, 2022 |26 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|37 |16 |10 |8 |±7.0 pp |216 |online | {{Party shading/Liberal}} |11 |
MQO Research
|December 14, 2021 |29 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|36 |16 |5 |11 |±4.9 pp |400 |telephone (rolling) | {{Party shading/Liberal}} |7 |
Narrative Research
|November 24, 2021 |28 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|38 |14 |5 |13 |±3.5 pp |800 |telephone | {{Party shading/Liberal}} |10 |
Stratcom
|November 6, 2021 |20.5 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|39.8 |17.9 |12.0 | - |±2.8 pp |1,184 |IVR | {{Party shading/Liberal}} |19.3 |
Angus Reid
|October 3, 2021 |{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}|31 |{{Party shading/Liberal}}|31 |12 |12 |13 |±2.0 pp |265 |online |0 |
Narrative Research
|August 17, 2021 |{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}|33 |29 |22 |5 |11 |±2.0 pp |604 |telephone |{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}|4 |
Angus Reid
|June 7, 2021 |{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}|36 |31 |17 |12 |4 |±2.0 pp |248 |online |{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}|5 |
Narrative Research
|May 31, 2021 |{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}|39 |28 |18 |6 |8 |±3.5 pp |800 |telephone (rolling) |{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}|11 |
MQO Research
|March 18, 2021 |{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}|38 |31 |17 |5 |6 |±4.9 pp |400 |telephone (rolling) |{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}|7 |
Narrative Research
|February 17, 2021 |{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}|35 |32 |20 |6 |6 |±3.5 pp |800 |telephone (rolling) |{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}|3 |
Narrative Research
|November 22, 2020 |{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}|41 |28 |20 |4 |6 |±3.5 pp |800 |telephone (rolling) |{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}|13 |
colspan="12" align="center" |Kevin Vickers resigns as Liberal Party leader; MLA for Dieppe Roger Melanson becomes interim leader (September 14, 2020) |
style="background:#ffd;"
|September 14, 2020 |[https://www.electionsnb.ca/content/dam/enb/pdf/2020-prov-rpt.pdf/// HTML] |{{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}|39.34 |34.35 |15.24 |9.19 |1.66 | {{n/a}} | {{n/a}} | {{n/a}} | {{Party shading/Conservative (Canada)}}|4.99 |
Candidates
{{reflist|group=a}}
;Abbreviations
- CNB - Consensus NB Party
- Green - Green Party of New Brunswick
- Liberal - New Brunswick Liberal Association
- Ltn. - Libertarian Party of New Brunswick
- NDP - New Brunswick New Democratic Party
- PANB - People's Alliance of New Brunswick
- PC - Progressive Conservative Party of New Brunswick
- SJP - Social Justice Party of New Brunswick
;Legend
NOTE: Candidates' names are as registered with Elections New Brunswick{{cite web |title=List of Candidates |url=https://www1.gnb.ca/Elections/en/prov24oct21/provcandidatelist-e.asp?ElectionID=116 |website=Elections New Brunswick |access-date=20 September 2024}}
bold denotes party leader
† denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election or was defeated in nomination contest
=Northern=
{{Canadian politics/candlist header|province=NB|PC|Liberal|Green|NDP|Libertarian}}
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Restigouche West
|
|Diane Cyr
1,733
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Gilles LePage
3,993
|
|Myriam Cormier
380
|
|
|
|Ronald Geraghty
116
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Gilles LePage
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Restigouche East
|
|Normand Pelletier
2,271
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Guy H. Arseneault
3,590
|
|Gilles Cormier
389
|
|Daisy Petersen
501
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Guy Arseneault
Campbellton-Dalhousie
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Belle-Baie-Belledune
|
|Louis Robichaud
1,254
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Marco LeBlanc
5,053
|
|Rachel Boudreau
1,411
|
|Tyler (Ty) Boulay
293
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Marco LeBlanc
Restigouche-Chaleur
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Bathurst
|
|Kim Chamberlain
2,029
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|René Legacy
3,357
|
|Robert Kryszko
325
|
|Jeff Frenette
212
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|René Legacy
Bathurst West-Beresford
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Hautes-Terres-Nepisiguit
|
|Jason Purdy
1,454
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Luc Robichaud
4,675
|
|
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Susan Holt
''Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Caraquet
|
|Jean Paul Lanteigne
719
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Isabelle Thériault
6,002
|
|
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Isabelle Thériault
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Shippagan-Les-Îles
|
|François Robichaud
530
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Eric Mallet
5,021
|
|Wilfred Roussel
1,111
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Eric Mallet
Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Tracadie
|
|Gertrude McLaughlin
537
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Keith Chiasson
5,030
|
|Serge Brideau
3,829
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Keith Chiasson
Tracadie-Sheila
|}
=Miramichi and Kent=
{{Canadian politics/candlist header|province=NB|Progressive Conservative|Liberal|Green|PANB|Other}}
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Miramichi Bay-Neguac
|
|Rejean Savoie
3,146
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Sam Johnston
4,219
|
|Wayne Hitchcock
711
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Réjean Savoie
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Miramichi East
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Michelle Conroy
3,633
|
|Veronique Arsenault
2,921
|
|Josh Shaddick
355
|
|Tom L'Huillier
236
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Michelle Conroy
Miramichi
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Miramichi West
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Mike Dawson
3,814
|
|Mark Hambrook
2,254
|
|Genevieve MacRae
273
|
|Rhonda L'Huillier
229
|
|Richard Sutherland ({{abbr|Ind.|Independent}})
112
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Mike Dawson
Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Kent North
|
|Carl Cosby
1,441
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Pat Finnigan
3,928
|
|Kevin Arseneau
3,251
|
|Carole Boudreau
145
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Green|background}}|
|Kevin Arseneau
|-
|rowspan=2 style="background:whitesmoke;"|Beausoleil-Grand-Bouctouche-Kent
|rowspan=2 |
|rowspan=2 |Ann Bastarache
1,761
|rowspan=2 {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|rowspan=2 |Benoît Bourque
5,794
|rowspan=2 |
|rowspan=2 |Bernadette Morin
1,220
|rowspan=2 |
|rowspan=2 |
|
|Lenny O'Brien (CNB)
112
|rowspan=2 {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|rowspan=2 |Benoît Bourque
Kent South
|-
|
|Eddy Richard (Ltn.)
90
|}
=Southeastern=
{{Canadian politics/candlist header|province=NB|Progressive Conservative|Liberal|Green|Libertarian|Other}}
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Shediac Bay-Dieppe
|
|René Ephestion
1,803
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Robert Gauvin
6,530
|
|Chantal Landry
1,254
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Robert Gauvin
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Shediac-Cap-Acadie
|
|Christine Arseneault
1,322
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
||Jacques LeBlanc
5,438
|
|Jean Bourgeois
2,901
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Jacques LeBlanc
Shediac-Beaubassin-Cap-Pelé
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Tantramar
|
|Bruce Phinney
1,166
|
|John Higham
1,276
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Green|background}}|
|Megan Mitton
2,468
|
|Donna Allen
57
|
|Evelyne Godfrey (NDP)
84
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Green|background}}|
|Megan Mitton
Memramcook-Tantramar
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Dieppe-Memramcook
|
|Dean Léonard
1,311
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Natacha Vautour
5,600
|
|Jacques Giguère
1,531
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Moncton East
|
|Paolo (PJ) Andreetti
1,903
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Alexandre Cédric Doucet
4,449
|
|Diani Blanco
736
|
|
|
|Alex Gagne (NDP)
329
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Moncton Centre
|
|Dave Melanson
1,738
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Rob McKee
3,501
|
|Sarah Colwell
711
|
|
|
|James Ryan (NDP)
242
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Sherry Wilson#
Moncton Southwest
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;" |Moncton South
|
|Greg Turner
2,229
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Claire Johnson
3,559
|
|Vincent Merola
900
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Greg Turner
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Moncton Northwest
|
|Ernie Steeves
3,536
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Tania Sodhi
3,761
|
|Ana Santana
804
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Ernie Steeves
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Champdoré-Irishtown
|
|Ricky Gautreau
2,450
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Lyne Chantal Boudreau
3,732
|
|Matthew Ian Clark
743
|
|Adam Hennessey
103
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Riverview
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Rob Weir
3,114
|
|Scott Grant
2,740
|
|Sarah Lord
1,978
|
|Rebecca Mallaley
69
|
|Desiree Despres (NDP)
128
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Albert-Riverview
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Sherry Wilson
4,363
|
|Dave Gouthro
2,599
|
|Liam MacDougall
972
|
|William Jones
97
|
|Sharon Buchanan (PANB)
297
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Vacant|background}}|
|Vacant
Albert
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Arcadia-Butternut Valley-Maple Hills
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Don Monahan
4,284
|
|Connie Larson
2,289
|
|Brian Boucher
1,093
|
|Anthony Matthews
149
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Ross Wetmore†
Gagetown-Petitcodiac
|}
=Southern=
{{Canadian politics/candlist header|province=NB|Progressive Conservative|Liberal|Green|NDP|Libertarian|Other}}
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Sussex-Three Rivers
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Tammy Scott-Wallace
3,789
|
|Bruce Northrup
3,282
|
|Teri McMackin
1,235
|
|
|
|Wayne Wheeler
159
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Tammy Scott-Wallace
Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Hampton-Fundy-St. Martins
|
|Faytene Grasseschi
3,035
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|John Herron
3,259
|
|Laura Myers
1,553
|
|Gordie Stackhouse
171
|
|Barbara Dempsey
120
|
|Peter Graham (PANB)
153
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Vacant|background}}|
|Vacant
Hampton
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Quispamsis
|
|Blaine Higgs
3,668
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Aaron Kennedy
3,861
|
|Andrew Conradi
378
|
|Alex White
360
|
|
|
|David Raymond Amos ({{abbr|Ind.|Independent}})
42
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Blaine Higgs
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Rothesay
|
|Hugh J. (Ted) Flemming
3,373
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Alyson Townsend
4,085
|
|Zara MacKay-Boyce
549
|
|
|
|Austin Venedam
85
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Ted Flemming
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Saint John East
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Glen Savoie
3,181
|
|David Alston
3,147
|
|Gerald Irish
514
|
|Josh Floyd
252
|
|Denise Campbell
92
|
|Tanya Graham (PANB)
118
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Glen Savoie
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Saint John Portland-Simonds
|
|Paul Dempsey
2,497
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|John Dornan
3,546
|
|P.J. Duncan
438
|
|Bobby MartinWithdrew.
162
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Vacant|background}}|
|Vacant
Portland-Simonds
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Saint John Harbour
|
|Adam Smith
1,563
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|David Hickey
3,413
|
|Mariah Darling
715
|
|Kenneth Procter
228
|
|Shelley Craig
82
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Vacant|background}}|
|Vacant
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Saint John West-Lancaster
|
|Kim Costain
2,787
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Kate Elman Wilcott
3,525
|
|Joanna Killen
864
|
|Jane Ryan
330
|
|Sherie Vukelic
69
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Dorothy Shephard†
Saint John Lancaster
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Kings Centre
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Bill Oliver
3,821
|
|Brian Stephenson
2,557
|
|Bruce Dryer
1,136
|
|
|
|Crystal Tays
139
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Bill Oliver
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fundy-The Isles-Saint John Lorneville
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Ian Lee
3,971
|
|Patty Borthwick
2,052
|
|Rhonda Connell
346
|
|Chris Wanamaker
158
|
|Keith Tays
88
|
|Sharon Greenlaw (CNB)
113
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Andrea Anderson-Mason†
Fundy-The Isles-Saint John West
|-
| rowspan=2 style="background:whitesmoke;" |Saint Croix
| rowspan=2 {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
| rowspan=2 |Kathy Bockus
3,271
| rowspan=2 |
| rowspan=2 |Troy Lyons
2,063
| rowspan=2 |
| rowspan=2 |Mark Groleau
1,442
| rowspan=2 |
| rowspan=2 |Bola Ademolu
90
| rowspan=2 |
| rowspan=2 |Krysten Mitchell
82
|
|Kris Booth ({{abbr|Ind.|Independent}})
170
| rowspan=2 {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
| rowspan=2 |Kathy Bockus
|-
|
|Alex Tessmann (PANB)
96
|}
=Capital Region=
{{Canadian politics/candlist header|province=NB|Progressive Conservative|Liberal|Green|PANB|NDP|Libertarian}}
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Oromocto-Sunbury
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Mary E. Wilson
4,381
|
|Stephen Horsman
2,725
|
|Emerald Gibson
868
|
|
|
|Glenna Hanley
341
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Mary Wilson
Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fredericton-Grand Lake
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Kris Austin
4,456
|
|Kevin Dignam
2,277
|
|Ken Washburn
862
|
|Rick DeSaulniers
461
|
|Arthur Taylor
195
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Kris Austin
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fredericton-Lincoln
|
|Daniel Chippin
2,307
|
|Joni Leger
2,244
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Green|background}}|
|David Coon
3,646
|
|
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Green|background}}|
|David Coon
Fredericton South
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fredericton South-Silverwood
|
|Nicolle Carlin
2,287
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Susan Holt
4,605
|
|Simon Ouellette
1,860
|
|
|
|Nicki Lyons-MacFarlane
165
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Independent|background}}|
|Dominic Cardy†
Fredericton West-Hanwell
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fredericton North
|
|Jill Green
2,753
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Luke Randall
4,130
|
|Anthea Plummer
922
|
|Glen Davis
107
|
|Matthew Stocek
120
|
|Andrew Vandette
46
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Jill Green
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Fredericton-York
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Ryan Cullins
3,572
|
|Tanya Whitney
2,527
|
|Pam Allen-LeBlanc
1,673
|
|Michael Broderick
256
|
|Steven J. LaForest
133
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Ryan Cullins
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Hanwell-New Maryland
|
|Judy Wilson-Shee
3,948
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Cindy Miles
4,006
|
|Susan Jonah
1,051
|
|Kris Hurtubise
177
|
|Joël Cyr LaPlante
119
|
|Meryl W. Sarty
67
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Jeff Carr†
New Maryland-Sunbury
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Carleton-York
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Richard Ames
4,622
|
|Chris Duffie
2,136
|
|Burt Folkins
675
|
|Sterling Wright
415
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Richard Ames
|}
=Upper River Valley=
{{Canadian politics/candlist header|province=NB|Progressive Conservative|Liberal|Green|NDP|Other}}
|-
| rowspan=2 style="background:whitesmoke;"|Woodstock-Hartland
| rowspan=2 {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
| rowspan=2 |Bill Hogan
4,199
| rowspan=2 |
| rowspan=2 |Marisa Pelkey
2,549
| rowspan=2 |
| rowspan=2 |Jada Roche
276
| rowspan=2 |
| rowspan=2 |Bo Sheaves
138
|
|Ernest Culberson ({{abbr|Ind.|Independent}})
209
| rowspan=2 {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
| rowspan=2 |Bill Hogan
Carleton
|-
|
|Charlie Webber (PANB)
575
|-
|style="background:whitesmoke;"|Carleton-Victoria
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Margaret Johnson
4,798
|
|Julian Moulton
2,159
|
|Rebecca Blaevoet
451
|
|
|
|Tasha Rossignol (SJP)
290
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}|
|Margaret Johnson
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Grand Falls-Vallée-des-Rivières-Saint-Quentin
|
|Marc-André Ross
2,493
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Chuck Chiasson
4,976
|
|Dani McLean-Godbout
540
|
|
|
|
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Chuck Chiasson
Victoria-La Vallée
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Edmundston-Vallée-des-Rivières
|
|Roger Quimper
1,049
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Jean-Claude (JC) D'Amours
5,573
|
|
|
|
|
|Sylvain Gerald Voisine (SJP)
186
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Jean-Claude D'Amours
Edmundston-Madawaska Centre
|-
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston
|
|Michel Morin
1,970
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Francine Landry
4,798
|
|Alain Martel
218
|
|André Martin
114
|
|Richard Barahoga (CNB)
53
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}|
|Francine Landry
|}
Results
{{Main|Results of the 2024 New Brunswick general election}}
{{See also|61st New Brunswick Legislature}}
New Brunswick has 568,901 eligible voters. Advance polling took place on October 12 and 15, 2024.{{cite news |last1=Huizinga |first1=Raechel |title=Thousands in New Brunswick cast ballots in Saturday's advance poll |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/new-brunswick-advanced-voting-2024-1.7351456 |access-date=October 15, 2024 |work=CBC News |date=October 13, 2024}} On October 21, multiple news outlets projected a Liberal Majority government. The result was projected roughly 36 minutes after the polls closed. Susan Holt will become the first female premier in New Brunswick.{{cite news |title=New Brunswick election results: Live numbers from the 2024 vote|url=https://globalnews.ca/news/10801598/new-brunswick-election-live-results/ |access-date=October 22, 2024 |work=Global News |date=October 21, 2024}} Premier Blaine Higgs lost his own seat in the riding of Quispamsis. Five other cabinet ministers were also defeated.
{{row hover highlight}}
class="wikitable mw-datatable" style="text-align:right;"
|+ Initial count results{{cite news |title=New Brunswick election results: Live numbers from the 2024 vote|url=https://globalnews.ca/news/10801598/new-brunswick-election-live-results/ |access-date=October 21, 2024 |work=Global News |date=October 21, 2024}} | |||||
colspan=10; style=text-align:center | File:Nouveau-Brunswick Assemblée législative 2024.svg | |||||
rowspan="2" colspan="2" style="width:20%" | Party
! rowspan="2" | Party leader ! rowspan="2" | Candidates ! colspan="3" | Seats ! colspan="3" | Popular vote | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024
! 2020 ! ± ! # ! % ! Change ({{abbr|pp|Change in percentage value}}) | |||||
{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" | Susan Holt | 49 | 31 | 17 | {{increase}} 14
| 180,803 | 48.24 | {{increase}}13.89 | |
{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" | Blaine Higgs | 49 | 16 | 27 | {{decrease}} 11
| 131,329 | 35.04 | {{decrease}} 4.30 | |
{{Canadian party colour|NB|Green|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" | David Coon | 46 | 2 | 3 | {{decrease}}1
| 51,558 | 13.76 | {{decrease}} 1.48 | |
{{Canadian party colour|NB|NDP|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" | Alex White | 23 | 0 | 0 | {{steady}}
| 4,865 | 1.30 | {{decrease}} 0.36 | |
{{Canadian party colour|NB|PANB|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" | Rick DeSaulniers | 13 | 0 | 2 | {{decrease}} 2
| 3,265 | 0.87 | {{decrease}} 8.32 | |
{{Canadian party colour|NB|Libertarian|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" | Keith Tays | 18 | 0 | {{NA}} | {{steady}}
| 1,710 | 0.46 | New | |
{{Canadian party colour|NB|Independent|row}}
| style="text-align:left;" colspan="2" | Independent | 4
| 0 | 0 | {{steady}}
| 533 | 0.14 | {{decrease}} 0.04 |
{{Canadian party colour|NB|Social Justice|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" | Tanya Roberts | 2 | 0 | {{NA}} | {{steady}}
| 476 | 0.13 | New | |
{{Canadian party colour|NB|Consensus NB|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" | Len O'Brien | 3 | 0 | {{NA}} | {{steady}}
| 278 | 0.07 | New | |
bgcolor="#f8f9fa"
| style="text-align:left;" colspan="3" | Total | 207 | style="text-align:center;" colspan="3"| 49 | 374,817
| style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"| 100.00% | ||||
|Total valid votes
| | | | | |374,817 | | |
=Synopsis of results=
{{sticky header}}
class="wikitable sortable mw-collapsible sticky-header-multi" style="text-align:right; font-size:85%"
|+ 2024 New Brunswick general election - synopsis of riding results{{Cite web |url= https://www3.gnb.ca/elections/results-resultats/2024-10-21/results-resultats.html#at/39be1a9e-8d88-4ba3-ac85-821f63870eab/ar/50/|title= Unofficial Results|author= |date= |website= |publisher= Elections New Brunswick|access-date= October 26, 2024}} | ||||||||||||||||
rowspan="3" scope="col" | Riding
! colspan="10" scope="col" | Winning party ! rowspan="3" scope="col" | Turnout ! colspan="8" scope="col" | VotesParties receiving more than 1% of the popular vote in either 2024 or 2020 are listed separately. | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
colspan="2" rowspan="2" scope="col" | 2020
! colspan="2" rowspan="2" scope="col" | 1st place ! rowspan="2" scope="col" | Votes ! rowspan="2" scope="col" | Share ! rowspan="2" scope="col" | Margin ! rowspan="2" scope="col" | Margin ! colspan="2" rowspan="2" scope="col" | 2nd place ! Lib ! PC ! Green ! NDP ! PA ! {{abbr|Ind|Independent}} ! {{abbr|Other|Other minor parties}} ! rowspan="2" | Total | ||||||||||||||||
style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}};"|
! style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}};"| ! style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Green}};"| ! style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|NB|NDP}};"| ! style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PANB}};"| ! style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Independent}};"| ! style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Other}};"| | ||||||||||||||||
colspan="2"| | colspan="2"| | colspan="2"| | ||||||||||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Albert-Riverview
| colspan="2" style="background-color:#FFFFFF; text-align:center;" | New |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 4,363 | 52.39% | 1,764 | 21.18%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 64.30% | 2,599 | style="background-color:#FFFF00;"|4,363 | 972 | – | 297 | – | 97 | 8,328 | |||
style="background-color:#B9E5B9;"
| style="text-align:left;"|Arcadia-Butternut Valley-Maple Hills |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 4,284 | 54.82% | 1,995 | 25.53%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|67.27% | 2,289 | 4,284 | 1,093 | – | – | – | 149 | 7,815 | ||
style="text-align:left;background-color:#ADD8E6;"|Bathurst
| colspan="2" style="background-color:#FFFFFF; text-align:center;" | New |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 3,357 | 56.68% | 1,328 | 22.42%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 60.41% | style="background-color:#FFFF00;"|3,357 | 2,029 | 325 | 212 | – | – | – | 5,923 | |||
style="text-align:left;background-color:#ADD8E6;"|Beausoleil-Grand-Bouctouche-Kent
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 5,794 | 64.54% | 4,033 | 44.93%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|69.86% | style="background-color:#DCDCDC;"|5,794 | 1,761 | 1,220 | – | – | – | style="background-color:#F0E68C;"|202 | 8,977 | ||
style="text-align:left;background-color:#ADD8E6;"|Belle-Baie-Belledune
| colspan="2" style="background-color:#FFFFFF; text-align:center;" | New |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 5,053 | 63.08% | 3,642 | 45.46%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Green|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Green
| 64.21% | style="background-color:#FFFF00;"|5,053 | 1,254 | 1,411 | 293 | – | – | – | 8,011 | |||
style="text-align:left;background-color:#ADD8E6;"|Caraquet
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 6,002 | 89.30% | 5,283 | 78.60%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|69.03% | style="background-color:#DCDCDC;"|6,002 | 719 | – | – | – | – | – | 6,721 | ||
style="text-align:left;"|Carleton-Victoria
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 4,798 | 62.33% | 2,639 | 34.28%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 59.96% | 2,159 | style="background-color:#DCDCDC;"|4,798 | 451 | – | – | – | 290 | 7,698 | ||
style="text-align:left;"|Carleton-York
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 4,622 | 58.89% | 2,486 | 31.68%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|68.24% | 2,136 | style="background-color:#DCDCDC;"|4,622 | 675 | – | 415 | – | – | 7,848 | ||
style="text-align:left;background-color:#ADD8E6;"|Champdoré-Irishtown
| colspan="2" style="background-color:#FFFFFF; text-align:center;" | New |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 3,732 | 53.10% | 1,282 | 18.24%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|68.64% | 3,732 | 2,450 | 743 | – | – | – | 103 | 7,028 | |||
style="text-align:left;background-color:#ADD8E6;"|Dieppe-Memramcook
| colspan="2" style="background-color:#FFFFFF; text-align:center;" | New |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 5,600 | 66.33% | 4,069 | 48.20%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Green|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Green
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|70.24% | 5,600 | 1,311 | 1,531 | – | – | – | – | 8,442 | |||
style="text-align:left;background-color:#ADD8E6;"|Edmundston-Vallée-des-Rivières
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 5,573 | 81.86% | 4,524 | 66.45%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 63.43% | style="background-color:#DCDCDC;"|5,573 | 1,049 | – | – | – | – | 186 | 6,808 | ||
style="text-align:left;"|Fredericton-Lincoln
| colspan="2" style="background-color:#FFFFFF; text-align:center;" | New |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Green|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Green
| 3,646 | 44.48% | 1,339 | 16.34%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|69.61% | 2,244 | 2,307 | style="background-color:#FFFF00;"|3,646 | – | – | – | – | 8,197 | |||
style="text-align:left;"|Fredericton North
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 4,130 | 51.13% | 1,377 | 17.05%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|66.79% | 4,130 | style="background-color:#DCD0FF;"|2,753 | 922 | 120 | 107 | – | 46 | 8,078 | ||
style="text-align:left;"|Fredericton South-Silverwood
| colspan="2" style="background-color:#FFFFFF; text-align:center;" | New |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 4,605 | 51.64% | 2,318 | 26.00%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|71.31% | style="background-color:#FFFF00;"|4,605 | 2,287 | 1,860 | 165 | – | – | – | 8,917 | |||
style="text-align:left;"|Fredericton-Grand Lake
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PANB|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PA
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 4,456 | 54.01% | 2,179 | 26.41%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|67.05% | 2,277 | style="background-color:#EABB94;"|4,456 | 862 | 195 | style="background-color:#EEBBBB;"|461 | – | – | 8,251 | ||
style="text-align:left;"|Fredericton-York
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 3,572 | 43.77% | 1,045 | 12.80%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|69.93% | 2,527 | style="background-color:#DCDCDC;"|3,572 | 1,673 | 133 | 256 | – | – | 8,161 | ||
style="background-color:#B9E5B9;"
| style="text-align:left;"|Fundy-The Isles-Saint John Lorneville |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 3,971 | 59.02% | 1,919 | 28.52%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 65.27% | 2,052 | 3,971 | 346 | 158 | – | – | style="background-color:#F0E68C;"|201 | 6,728 | ||
style="text-align:left;background-color:#ADD8E6;"|Grand Falls-Vallée-des-Rivières-Saint-Quentin
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 4,976 | 62.13% | 2,483 | 31.00%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 62.35% | style="background-color:#DCDCDC;"|4,976 | 2,493 | 540 | – | – | – | – | 8,009 | ||
style="background-color:#B9E5B9;"
| style="text-align:left;"|Hampton-Fundy-St. Martins |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 3,259 | 39.31% | 224 | 2.70%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|72.99% | style="background-color:#FFA07A;"|3,259 | 3,035 | 1,553 | 171 | 153 | – | 120 | 8,291 | ||
style="text-align:left;"|Hanwell-New Maryland
| colspan="2" style="background-color:#FFFFFF; text-align:center;" | New |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 4,006 | 42.76% | 58 | 0.62%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|74.97% | 4,006 | 3,948 | 1,051 | 119 | 177 | – | 67 | 9,368 | |||
style="text-align:left;background-color:#ADD8E6;"|Hautes-Terres-Nepisiguit
| colspan="2" style="background-color:#FFFFFF; text-align:center;" | New |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 4,675 | 76.28% | 3,221 | 52.55%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 63.65% | 4,675 | 1,454 | – | – | – | – | – | 6,129 | |||
style="text-align:left;background-color:#ADD8E6;"|Kent North
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Green|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Green
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 3,928 | 44.81% | 677 | 7.72%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Green|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Green
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|67.99% | style="background-color:#FFA07A;"|3,928 | 1,441 | style="background-color:#DCD0FF;"|3,251 | – | 145 | – | – | 8,765 | ||
style="text-align:left;"|Kings Centre
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 3,821 | 49.93% | 1,264 | 16.52%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|66.50% | 2,557 | style="background-color:#DCDCDC;"|3,821 | 1,136 | – | – | – | 139 | 7,653 | ||
style="text-align:left;background-color:#ADD8E6;"|Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 4,798 | 67.08% | 2,828 | 39.54%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 64.96% | style="background-color:#DCDCDC;"|4,798 | 1,970 | 218 | 114 | – | – | 53 | 7,153 | ||
style="text-align:left;"|Miramichi Bay-Neguac
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 4,219 | 52.24% | 1,073 | 13.29%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 65.39% | 4,219 | style="background-color:#87CEFA;"|3,146 | 711 | – | – | – | – | 8,076 | ||
style="text-align:left;"|Miramichi East
| colspan="2" style="background-color:#FFFFFF; text-align:center;" | New |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 3,633 | 50.85% | 712 | 9.97%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|71.13% | 2,921 | 3,633 | 355 | – | 236 | – | – | 7,145 | |||
style="text-align:left;"|Miramichi West
| colspan="2" style="background-color:#FFFFFF; text-align:center;" | New |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 3,814 | 57.08% | 1,560 | 23.35%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|67.80% | 2,254 | 3,814 | 273 | – | 229 | 112 | – | 6,682 | |||
style="background-color:#B9E5B9;"
| style="text-align:left;"|Moncton Centre |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 3,501 | 56.54% | 1,763 | 28.47%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 57.02% | style="background-color:#EEBBBB;"|3,501 | 1,738 | 711 | 242 | – | – | – | 6,192 | ||
style="background-color:#B9E5B9;"
| style="text-align:left;"|Moncton East |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 4,449 | 59.98% | 2,546 | 34.33%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 60.31% | 4,449 | 1,903 | 736 | 329 | – | – | – | 7,417 | ||
style="text-align:left;"|Moncton Northwest
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 3,761 | 46.43% | 225 | 2.78%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 65.77% | 3,761 | style="background-color:#DCD0FF;"|3,536 | 804 | – | – | – | – | 8,101 | ||
style="text-align:left;"|Moncton South
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 3,559 | 53.21% | 1,330 | 19.89%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 59.13% | 3,559 | style="background-color:#DCD0FF;"|2,229 | 900 | – | – | – | – | 6,688 | ||
style="text-align:left;"|Oromocto-Sunbury
| colspan="2" style="background-color:#FFFFFF; text-align:center;" | New |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 4,381 | 52.69% | 1,656 | 19.92%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 63.05% | 2,725 | style="background-color:#FFFF00;"|4,381 | 868 | 341 | – | – | – | 8,315 | |||
style="text-align:left;"|Quispamsis
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 3,861 | 46.47% | 193 | 2.32%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|74.26% | 3,861 | style="background-color:#DCD0FF;"|3,668 | 378 | 360 | – | 42 | – | 8,309 | ||
style="text-align:left;background-color:#ADD8E6;"|Restigouche East
| colspan="2" style="background-color:#FFFFFF; text-align:center;" | New |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 3,590 | 53.18% | 1,319 | 19.54%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|68.87% | style="background-color:#FFFF00;"|3,590 | 2,271 | 389 | 501 | – | – | – | 6,751 | |||
style="text-align:left;background-color:#ADD8E6;"|Restigouche West
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 3,993 | 64.18% | 2,260 | 36.32%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 62.56% | style="background-color:#DCDCDC;"|3,993 | 1,733 | 380 | – | – | – | 116 | 6,222 | ||
style="background-color:#B9E5B9;"
| style="text-align:left;"|Riverview |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 3,114 | 38.78% | 374 | 4.66%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|66.99% | 2,740 | 3,114 | 1,978 | 128 | – | – | 69 | 8,029 | ||
style="text-align:left;"|Rothesay
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 4,085 | 50.48% | 712 | 8.80%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|72.82% | 4,085 | style="background-color:#DCD0FF;"|3,373 | 549 | – | – | – | 85 | 8,092 | ||
style="text-align:left;"|Saint Croix
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 3,271 | 45.34% | 1,208 | 16.75%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 62.32% | 2,063 | style="background-color:#DCDCDC;"|3,271 | 1,442 | 90 | 96 | 170 | 82 | 7,214 | ||
style="text-align:left;"|Saint John East
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 3,181 | 43.55% | 34 | 0.47%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 60.39% | 3,147 | style="background-color:#DCDCDC;"|3,181 | 514 | 252 | 118 | – | 92 | 7,304 | ||
style="background-color:#B9E5B9;"
| style="text-align:left;"|Saint John Harbour |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 3,413 | 56.87% | 1,850 | 30.83%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 50.52% | 3,413 | 1,563 | 715 | 228 | – | – | 82 | 6,001 | ||
style="background-color:#B9E5B9;"
| style="text-align:left;"|Saint John Portland-Simonds |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 3,546 | 53.38% | 1,049 | 15.79%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 56.12% | 3,546 | 2,497 | 438 | 162 | – | – | – | 6,643 | ||
style="background-color:#B9E5B9;"
| style="text-align:left;"|Saint John West-Lancaster |{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 3,525 | 46.53% | 738 | 9.74%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|66.89% | 3,525 | 2,787 | 864 | 330 | – | – | 69 | 7,575 | ||
style="text-align:left;background-color:#ADD8E6;"|Shediac Bay-Dieppe
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 6,530 | 68.11% | 4,727 | 49.31%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|69.61% | style="background-color:#DCDCDC;"|6,530 | 1,803 | 1,254 | – | – | – | – | 9,587 | ||
style="text-align:left;background-color:#ADD8E6;"|Shediac-Cap-Acadie
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 5,438 | 56.29% | 2,537 | 26.26%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Green|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Green
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|70.20% | style="background-color:#DCDCDC;"|5,438 | 1,322 | 2,901 | – | – | – | – | 9,661 | ||
style="text-align:left;background-color:#ADD8E6;"|Shippagan-Les-Îles
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 5,021 | 75.37% | 3,910 | 58.69%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Green|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Green
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|68.75% | style="background-color:#DCDCDC;"|5,021 | 530 | style="background-color:#EEBBBB;"|1,111 | – | – | – | – | 6,662 | ||
style="text-align:left;"|Sussex-Three Rivers
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 3,789 | 44.76% | 507 | 5.99%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|66.13% | style="background-color:#EEBBBB;"|3,282 | style="background-color:#DCDCDC;"|3,789 | 1,235 | – | – | – | 159 | 8,465 | ||
style="text-align:left;"|Tantramar
| colspan="2" style="background-color:#FFFFFF; text-align:center;" | New |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Green|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Green
| 2,468 | 48.86% | 1,192 | 23.60%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 61.53% | 1,276 | 1,166 | style="background-color:#FFFF00;"|2,468 | 84 | – | – | 57 | 5,051 | |||
style="text-align:left;background-color:#ADD8E6;"|Tracadie
| colspan="2" style="background-color:#FFFFFF; text-align:center;" | New |{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 5,030 | 53.53% | 1,201 | 12.78%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Green|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Green
| style="background-color:#F5F5DC;"|74.70% | style="background-color:#FFFF00;"|5,030 | 537 | 3,829 | – | – | – | – | 9,396 | |||
style="text-align:left;"|Woodstock-Hartland
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC
| 4,199 | 52.84% | 1,650 | 20.77%
|{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib
| 65.56% | 2,549 | style="background-color:#DCDCDC;"|4,199 | 276 | 138 | 575 | 209 | – | 7,946 |
{{reflist|group=a}}
:{{Color box|#ADD8E6|border=silver}} = Francophone-majority constituency
:{{Color box|#B9E5B9|border=silver}} = Open seat
:{{Color box|#F5F5DC|border=silver}} = Turnout is above provincial average
:{{Color box|#DCDCDC|border=silver}} = Winning candidate was in previous Legislature
:{{Color box|#EABB94|border=silver}} = Incumbent had switched allegiance
:{{Color box|#FFFF00|border=silver}} = Previously incumbent in another riding
:{{Color box|#EEBBBB|border=silver}} = Not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
:{{Color box|#87CEFA|border=silver}} = Incumbency arose from byelection gain
:{{Color box|#DCD0FF|border=silver}} = Other incumbents renominated
:{{Color box|#FFA07A|border=silver}} = Previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
:{{Color box|#F0E68C|border=silver}} = Multiple candidates
=Comparative analysis for ridings (2024 vs 2020)=
class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right;"
|+ Summary of riding results by vote share for winning candidate and swing (vs 2020)Derived from {{cite web |author= |date= |title= Provincial Election Results|url= https://www.electionsnb.ca/content/enb/en/resources/publications/election-results.html|website= electionsnb.ca|publisher= Elections New Brunswick|access-date=April 17, 2025}} | ||||||
rowspan="2" colspan="4" |Riding and winning party
! colspan="4" |Vote shareShare won by winning candidate, with difference noted from share achieved by the same party in 2020. ! colspan="4" |SwingPositive indicates improvement to standing of party winning in 2020; negative points to 2020's second-place party being swung to. | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%
! colspan="3" | Change (pp) ! To ! colspan="3" | Change (pp) | ||||||
colspan="2"| | colspan="3"| | colspan="3"| | ||||
style="text-align:left;"|Albert-Riverview | {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC | style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | 52.39 | colspan=7 style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | |
style="text-align:left;"|Arcadia-Butternut Valley-Maple Hills | {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC | style="text-align:left;"|Hold | 54.82 | {{bartable | |
4.28| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}}} | colspan=4 style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | N/APeople's Alliance came in 2nd in 2020, but did not field a candidate in 2024. | |||||
style="text-align:left;"|Bathurst | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | 56.68 | colspan=7 style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | |
style="text-align:left;"|Beausoleil-Grand-Bouctouche-Kent | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="text-align:left;"|Hold | 64.54 | {{bartable|9.32| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | {{bartable|9.96| | ||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Belle-Baie-Belledune | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | 63.08 | colspan=7 style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | |
style="text-align:left;"|Caraquet | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="text-align:left;"|Hold | 89.30 | {{bartable|17.04| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | colspan=4 style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | N/AGreens came in 2nd in 2020, but did not field a candidate in 2024. | |||||
style="text-align:left;"|Carleton-Victoria | {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC | style="text-align:left;"|Hold | 62.33 | {{bartable|17.11| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|PC | {{bartable|14.49| | ||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Carleton-York | {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC | style="text-align:left;"|Hold | 58.89 | {{bartable|1.07| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|PC | {{bartable|7.17| | ||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Champdoré-Irishtown | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | 53.10 | colspan=7 style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | |
style="text-align:left;"|Dieppe-Memramcook | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | 66.33 | colspan=7 style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | |
style="text-align:left;"|Edmundston-Vallée-des-Rivières | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="text-align:left;"|Hold | 81.86 | {{bartable|7.39| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | {{bartable|5.80| | ||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Fredericton-Lincoln | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Green|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Green | style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | 44.48 | colspan=7 style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | |
style="text-align:left;"|Fredericton North | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="text-align:left;"|Gain | 51.13 | {{bartable|32.47| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|PC | {{bartable|6.47| | ||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Fredericton South-Silverwood | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | 51.64 | colspan=7 style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | |
style="text-align:left;"|Fredericton-Grand Lake | {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC | style="text-align:left;"|Gain | 54.01 | {{bartable|23.39| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|PC | {{bartable | ||||
32.11| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Fredericton-York | {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC | style="text-align:left;"|Hold | 43.77 | {{bartable|1.36| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|PC | {{bartable|2.42| | ||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Fundy-The Isles-Saint John Lorneville | {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC | style="text-align:left;"|Hold | 59.02 | {{bartable | |
7.45| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | {{bartable | ||||
13.88| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Grand Falls-Vallée-des-Rivières-Saint-Quentin | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="text-align:left;"|Hold | 62.13 | {{bartable|1.89| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|PC | {{bartable | ||||
0.33| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Hampton-Fundy-St. Martins | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="text-align:left;"|Gain | 39.31 | {{bartable|24.23| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | {{bartable | ||||
24.07| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Hanwell-New Maryland | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | 42.76 | colspan=7 style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | |
style="text-align:left;"|Hautes-Terres-Nepisiguit | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | 76.28 | colspan=7 style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | |
style="text-align:left;"|Kent North | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="text-align:left;"|Gain | 44.81 | {{bartable|10.19| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | {{bartable | ||||
10.28| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Kings Centre | {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC | style="text-align:left;"|Hold | 49.93 | {{bartable | |
11.61| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|Green | {{bartable | ||||
6.47| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Green}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Madawaska Les Lacs-Edmundston | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="text-align:left;"|Hold | 67.08 | {{bartable|0.54| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|PC | {{bartable | ||||
0.70| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Miramichi Bay-Neguac | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="text-align:left;"|Hold | 52.24 | {{bartable|8.68| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | {{bartable|1.69| | ||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Miramichi East | {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC | style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | 50.85 | colspan=7 style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | |
style="text-align:left;"|Miramichi West | {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC | style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | 57.08 | colspan=7 style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | |
style="text-align:left;"|Moncton Centre | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="text-align:left;"|Hold | 56.54 | {{bartable|17.63| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | {{bartable|16.78| | ||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Moncton East | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="text-align:left;"|Gain | 59.98 | {{bartable|24.63| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | {{bartable | ||||
22.07| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Moncton Northwest | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="text-align:left;"|Gain | 46.43 | {{bartable|15.76| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | {{bartable | ||||
11.80| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Moncton South | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="text-align:left;"|Gain | 53.21 | {{bartable|22.95| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | {{bartable | ||||
15.85| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Oromocto-Sunbury | {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC | style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | 52.69 | colspan=7 style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | |
style="text-align:left;"|Quispamsis | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="text-align:left;"|Gain | 46.47 | {{bartable|31.82| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | {{bartable | ||||
27.89| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Restigouche East | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | 53.18 | colspan=7 style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | |
style="text-align:left;"|Restigouche West | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="text-align:left;"|Hold | 64.18 | {{bartable|2.02| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | {{bartable|8.82| | ||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Riverview | {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC | style="text-align:left;"|Hold | 38.78 | {{bartable | |
21.29| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | {{bartable | ||||
19.51| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Rothesay | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="text-align:left;"|Gain | 50.48 | {{bartable|29.46| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | {{bartable | ||||
24.53| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Saint Croix | {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC | style="text-align:left;"|Hold | 45.34 | {{bartable|0.16| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|PC | {{bartable|15.53| | ||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Saint John East | {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC | style="text-align:left;"|Hold | 43.55 | {{bartable | |
12.81| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | {{bartable | ||||
14.78| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Saint John Harbour | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="text-align:left;"|Gain | 56.87 | {{bartable|33.96| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|Green | {{bartable | ||||
2.02| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Green}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Saint John Portland-Simonds | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="text-align:left;"|Gain | 53.38 | {{bartable|24.63| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | {{bartable | ||||
21.07| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Saint John West-Lancaster | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="text-align:left;"|Gain | 46.53 | {{bartable|24.12| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | {{bartable | ||||
20.78| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Shediac Bay-Dieppe | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="text-align:left;"|Hold | 68.11 | {{bartable|7.97| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | {{bartable|9.88| | ||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Shediac-Cap-Acadie | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="text-align:left;"|Hold | 56.29 | {{bartable|2.62| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|Green | {{bartable | ||||
0.40| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Green}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Shippagan-Les-Îles | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="text-align:left;"|Hold | 75.37 | {{bartable | |
8.41| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|PC | {{bartable | ||||
3.81| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}}} | ||||||
style="text-align:left;"|Sussex-Three Rivers | {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC | style="text-align:left;"|Hold | 44.76 | {{bartable | |
11.53| | ||||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}}} | colspan=4 style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | N/A | |||||
style="text-align:left;"|Tantramar | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Green|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Green | style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | 48.86 | colspan=7 style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | |
style="text-align:left;"|Tracadie | {{Canadian party colour|NB|Liberal|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|Lib | style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | 53.53 | colspan=7 style="background-color:#F1E5AC; text-align:center;" | New | |
style="text-align:left;"|Woodstock-Hartland | {{Canadian party colour|NB|PC|background}}| | style="text-align:left;"|PC | style="text-align:left;"|Hold | 52.84 | {{bartable|4.97| | |
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}}} | style="text-align:left;"|PC | {{bartable|11.79| | ||||
1|1em|background:{{Canadian party colour|NB|PC}}}} |
{{reflist|group=a}}
Notes
{{notelist}}
References
{{reflist}}
=Opinion poll sources=
{{reflist|group="p"|}}
{{New Brunswick elections}}
New Brunswick general election