Harrow East (UK Parliament constituency)

{{Short description|Parliamentary constituency in the United Kingdom, 1945 onwards}}

{{Use British English|date=May 2013}}

{{Use dmy dates|date=November 2022}}

{{Infobox UK constituency main

|name = Harrow East

|parliament = uk

|image = {{maplink|frame=yes|frame-align=center|plain=yes|raw={{Wikipedia:Map data/Harrow East (UK Parliament constituency)}}|frame-height=200|frame-width=250}}

|caption = Interactive map of boundaries from 2024

|image2 = 233px

|caption2 = Location within Greater London

|year = 1945

|abolished =

|type = Borough

|previous = Hendon & Harrow (parts of)

|next =

|elects_howmany = One

|population =

|electorate = 76,299 (2023) {{cite web

|url= https://boundarycommissionforengland.independent.gov.uk/2023-review/the-2023-review-of-parliamentary-constituency-boundaries-in-england-volume-two-constituency-names-designations-and-composition/2023-volume-two-constituency-names-designations-and-composition-london/#lg_harrow-east-bc-76299

|title= The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituency Boundaries in England – Volume two: Constituency names, designations and composition – London

|publisher=Boundary Commission for England

|access-date=19 June 2024

|df=dmy

}}

|mp = Bob Blackman

|party = Conservative

|region = England

|county = Greater London

|towns = Stanmore, Kenton, Queensbury, Belmont, Harrow Weald, Canons Park

|european = London

}}

Harrow East is a constituency{{#tag:ref|A borough constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)|group= n}} in Greater London created in 1945 and represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since 2010 by Bob Blackman, a Conservative.{{#tag:ref|As with all constituencies, Harrow East elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.|group= n}}

Constituency profile

{{update section|date=September 2022}}

The censuses of 2001 and 2011 show the overwhelmingly most common housing type of the area to be semi-detached houses – almost a majority – followed by mid-rise apartments (whether purpose-built or converted from older houses), then terraced houses and then detached houses. They also show a consistently lower-than-average proportion of social housing than for Greater London.[http://neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk Parish: Key Statistics: Population.] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20030211201309/http://www.neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk/ |date=11 February 2003 }} (2011 census). Retrieved 2016-05-04.

The constituency is served by three separate commuter railway lines running into central London, and has many parks and sports grounds. Few arterial roads bisect Harrow East – further east is the start of the M1 motorway, and in the middle of seats further south in north-west London are the A40 Western Avenue and North Circular Road, omitting the boundaries drawn from the arterial road-building projects of the 1940s-to-1970s period.

Harrow East has a large Hindu population, a demographic which has shifted heavily away from Labour towards the Conservatives during Blackman's tenure as MP. The Conservatives generally perform worse than Labour amongst most ethnic minority groups;{{cite web |url=https://www.britishfuture.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/Mind-the-gap-report-2017.pdf |title=Mind the gap: How the ethnic minority vote cost Theresa May her majority |first1=Sunder |last1=Katwala |first2=Steve |last2=Ballinger |date=September 2017 |publisher=British Future}} it was the most ethnically diverse Conservative-held constituency in the general elections of 2015 and 2017.

History

The seat was created in 1945 and has been varied due to two sets of major ward reconfigurations and by other national boundary reforms. The predecessor seats were Hendon and to a much lesser extent Harrow.

From 1945 to 2010, it was a stronger area for the Labour Party than neighbouring Harrow West; nevertheless, the seat had been mostly held by the Conservative Party. Labour did win here in landslide victories in 1945, 1966 and 1997, and after the latter, held on in the two subsequent general elections. Commencing with the 1979 general election, and prior to the 2024 general election, the seat was a bellwether by reflecting the national result. The 2017 result produced the 29th-most marginal majority of the Conservative Party's 317 seats by percentage of majority.[http://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/defence/conservative Conservative Defence 2022 – Election Polling] Election Polling. Retrieved 2018-02-08

The seat was regained in 2010 by the Conservative Bob Blackman on a high turnout whilst Labour's incumbent managed to hold on to Harrow West, as boundary changes had favoured Labour there. Residents in the borough include fewer people in the category of no qualifications than the national average, in 2011, at 16.8%.{{cite web |url=http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/guide-method/census/2011/census-data/2011-census-interactive-content/index.html |title=2011 census interactive maps |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160129132219/http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/guide-method/census/2011/census-data/2011-census-interactive-content/index.html |archive-date=29 January 2016}} by comparison, the London Borough of Haringey has 17.8% and Three Rivers District has 17.4%.

In the 2024 general election, Harrow East had the second-largest percentage majority of any Conservative-held seat in the country, behind only Richmond and Northallerton, the seat of then-Prime Minister Rishi Sunak; it was the only seat in the country where the Conservatives exceeded 50% of the vote.

Boundaries

{{maplink|raw={{Wikipedia:Map data/Harrow East (UK Parliament constituency) 2010}}|frame-width=260|frame=yes|text=Map of boundaries 2010-2024}}

1945–1950: The Urban District of Harrow wards of Kenton, Stanmore North, Stanmore South, Wealdstone North, Wealdstone South, and part of Harrow Weald ward.

1950–1955: As above, but the whole of Harrow Weald, and without Wealdstone North or Wealdstone South.

1955–1974: The Municipal Borough of Harrow wards of Belmont, Harrow Weald, Queensbury, Stanmore North and Stanmore South.

1974–1978: The London Borough of Harrow wards of Belmont, Harrow Weald, Queensbury, Stanmore North and Stanmore South.

1978–1983: The London Borough of Harrow wards of Canons, Centenary, Harrow Weald, Kenton East, Stanmore Park, Stanmore South and Wemborough.

1983–2010: The London Borough of Harrow wards of Canons, Centenary, Greenhill, Harrow Weald, Kenton East, Kenton West, Marlborough, Stanmore Park, Stanmore South, Wealdstone and Wemborough.

2010–2024: The London Borough of Harrow wards of Belmont, Canons, Edgware, Harrow Weald, Kenton East, Kenton West, Queensbury, Stanmore Park and Wealdstone.

2024–present: The London Borough of Brent ward of Queensbury, and he London Borough of Harrow wards of Belmont, Canons, Centenary, Edgware, Harrow Weald, Kenton East, Kenton West, and Stanmore.{{Cite web |title=The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023 |url=https://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2023/1230/schedules/made |at=Schedule 1 Part 3 London region}}

:The Borough of Brent ward of Queensbury was transferred from the abolished constituency of Brent North, thus uniting the parts of the suburb of Queensbury in Brent with those in Harrow. Other boundary changes included the transfer of Wealdstone to Harrow West.

Members of Parliament

class="wikitable"
colspan="2"|ElectionMember{{Rayment-hc|h|1|date=March 2012}}

!Party

style="color:inherit;background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |

| 1945

| Frederick Skinnard

| Labour

style="color:inherit;background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |

| 1950

| Ian Harvey

| Conservative

style="color:inherit;background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |

| 1959 by-election

| Anthony Courtney

| Conservative

style="color:inherit;background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |

| 1966

| Roy Roebuck

| Labour

style="color:inherit;background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |

| 1970

| Hugh Dykes

| Conservative

style="color:inherit;background-color: {{party color|Labour Party (UK)}}" |

| 1997

| Tony McNulty

| Labour

style="color:inherit;background-color: {{party color|Conservative Party (UK)}}" |

| 2010

| Bob Blackman

| Conservative

Election results

= Elections in the 2020s =

With 53.3% of the vote, Blackman received the highest vote share for any Conservative candidate that stood in the election, and was the only Conservative elected with an absolute majority.https://x.com/bobblackman/status/1810683566323622369?s=46&t=Plop77OWWRPqprDhBsIahQ {{Bare URL inline|date=August 2024}} He was one of three Conservative MPs to be re-elected with increased majorities.https://x.com/bobblackman/status/1810683562363965625?s=46&t=Plop77OWWRPqprDhBsIahQ {{Bare URL inline|date=August 2024}}

{{Election box begin|title=General election 2024: Harrow East{{cite web|url=https://www.harrow.gov.uk/downloads/file/32287/Statement_of_Persons_Nominated_and_Notice_of_Poll_Harrow_East.pdf |title=Statement of Person Nominated and Notice of Poll: Harrow East Constituency |publisher=Harrow Council|date=7 June 2024}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link|party=Conservative Party (UK)|candidate=Bob Blackman|votes=25,466|percentage=53.3|change=–1.3}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Labour Party (UK)|candidate=Primesh Patel|votes=13,786|percentage=28.9|change=–8.5}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Reform UK|candidate=Roger Clark|votes=2,188|percentage=4.6|change=+4.4}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Independent|candidate=Sabira Lakha|votes=2,097|percentage=4.4|change=N/A}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Green Party of England and Wales|candidate=Seb Newsam|votes=2,006|percentage=4.2|change=+3.9}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Liberal Democrats (UK)|candidate=Reetendra Nath Banerji|votes=1,511|percentage=3.2|change=–4.3}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Workers Party of Britain|candidate=Sarajulhaq Parwani|votes=723|percentage=1.5|change=N/A}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 11,680

|percentage = 24.4

|change = +7.9

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 47,777

|percentage = 62.5

|change = –6.1

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 76,386

}}

{{Election box hold with party link

|winner = Conservative Party (UK)

|swing = +3.6

}}

{{election box end}}

=Elections in the 2010s=

class="wikitable"
colspan="4" | 2019 notional result{{Cite web|url=https://electionresults.parliament.uk/general-elections/5 |title=Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019 |date= |access-date=11 July 2024 |work=Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News |publisher=UK Parliament}}
bgcolor="#DDDDFF" width="130px" colspan="2" | Party

! bgcolor="#DDDDFF" width="50px" | Vote

! bgcolor="#DDDDFF" width="30px" | %

{{party color cell|Conservative Party (UK)}}

| Conservative

align=right| 28,555align=right| 54.6
{{party color cell|Labour Party (UK)}}

| Labour

align=right| 19,568align=right| 37.4
{{party color cell|Liberal Democrats (UK)}}

| Liberal Democrats

align=right| 3,930align=right| 7.5
{{party color cell|Green Party of England and Wales}}

| Green

align=right| 136align=right| 0.3
{{party color cell|Brexit Party}}

| Brexit Party

align=right| 98align=right| 0.2
colspan="4" bgcolor="#EAECF0"|
colspan="2"|Turnout

|align=right|52,287

|align=right|68.5

colspan="2"|Electorate

|align=right|76,299

{{Election box begin|title=General election 2019: Harrow East{{cite web |url=https://www.harrow.gov.uk/downloads/file/26710/statement-of-persons-nominated-and-notice-of-poll-harrow-east |title=Statement of Persons Nominated and Notice of Poll for Harrow East Constituency |date=14 November 2019 |publisher=Harrow London Borough Council |access-date=24 November 2019}}{{cite web |url=https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-8749/CBP-8749.pdf |date=28 January 2020 |title=Commons Briefing Paper 8749. General Election 2019: results and analysis |publisher=House of Commons Library |location=London |access-date=19 January 2022 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211118043715/https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-8749/CBP-8749.pdf |archive-date=18 November 2021}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link|

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Bob Blackman

|votes = 26,935

|percentage = 54.4

|change = +5.0

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = Pamela Fitzpatrick

|votes = 18,765

|percentage = 37.9

|change = -8.1

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Liberal Democrats (UK)

|candidate = Adam Bernard

|votes = 3,791

|percentage = 7.7

|change = +4.6

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 8,170

|percentage = 16.5

|change = +13.1

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 49,491

|percentage = 68.6

|change = -2.3

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 72,120

}}

{{Election box hold with party link

|winner = Conservative Party (UK)

|swing = +6.5

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin|title=General election 2017: Harrow East{{cite news |url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000731 |title=Harrow East parliamentary constituency |publisher=BBC News}}{{cite web |url=https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-7979/CBP-7979.pdf |title=Commons Briefing Paper 7979. General Election 2017: results and analysis |edition=Second |date=29 January 2019 |orig-date=7 April 2018 |publisher=House of Commons Library |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191112183438/https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-7979/CBP-7979.pdf |archive-date=12 November 2019}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Bob Blackman

|votes = 25,129

|percentage = 49.4

|change = -0.9

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = Navin Shah

|votes = 23,372

|percentage = 46.0

|change = +5.4

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Liberal Democrats (UK)

|candidate = Adam Bernard

|votes = 1,573

|percentage = 3.1

|change = +1.0

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Green Party of England and Wales

|candidate = Emma Wallace

|votes = 771

|percentage = 1.5

|change = -0.2

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 1,757

|percentage = 3.4

|change = -6.3

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 50,845

|percentage = 70.9

|change = +1.9

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 71,755

}}

{{Election box hold with party link

|winner = Conservative Party (UK)

|swing = -3.1

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin|title=General election 2015: Harrow East{{cite web|title=Election Data 2015|url=http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_2015.txt|publisher=Electoral Calculus|access-date=17 October 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151017112223/http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_2015.txt|archive-date=17 October 2015}}{{cite web|url=http://www.harrow.gov.uk/www2/mgElectionAreaResults.aspx?XXR=0&ID=112&RPID=85339698|title=Election results for Harrow East, 7 May 2015|last=webmaster@harrow.gov.uk|date=1 January 2004}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Bob Blackman

|votes = 24,668

|percentage = 50.3

|change = +5.6

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = Uma Kumaran

|votes = 19,911

|percentage = 40.6

|change = +3.0

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = UK Independence Party

|candidate = Aidan Powlesland

|votes = 2,333

|percentage = 4.8

|change = +2.9

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Liberal Democrats (UK)

|candidate = Ross Barlow

|votes = 1,037

|percentage = 2.1

|change = -12.2

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Green Party of England and Wales

|candidate = Emma Wallace

|votes = 846

|percentage = 1.7

|change = 0.0

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition

|candidate = Nana Asante

|votes = 205

|percentage = 0.4

|change = New

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 4,757

|percentage = 9.7

|change = +2.6

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 49,000

|percentage = 69.0

|change = +1.9

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 70,981

}}

{{Election box hold with party link

|winner = Conservative Party (UK)

|swing = +1.3

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{See also|Opinion polling in United Kingdom constituencies, 2010–15#Harrow East}}

{{Election box begin|title= General election 2010: Harrow East{{cite web|title=Election Data 2010|url=http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_2010.txt|publisher=Electoral Calculus|access-date=17 October 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130726162034/http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_2010.txt|archive-date=26 July 2013 }}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Bob Blackman

|votes = 21,435

|percentage = 44.7

|change = +6.1

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = Tony McNulty

|votes = 18,032

|percentage = 37.6

|change = −7.9

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Liberal Democrats (UK)

|candidate = Nahid Boethe

|votes = 6,850

|percentage = 14.3

|change = +0.1

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = UK Independence Party

|candidate = Abhijit Pandya

|votes = 896

|percentage = 1.9

|change = +0.1

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Green Party of England and Wales

|candidate = Madeleine Atkins

|votes = 793

|percentage = 1.7

|change = New

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 3,403

|percentage = 7.1

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 48,006

|percentage = 67.1

|change = +5.8

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 70,510

}}

{{Election box gain with party link

|winner = Conservative Party (UK)

|loser = Labour Party (UK)

|swing = -7.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Elections in the 2000s=

{{Election box begin|title=General election 2005: Harrow East{{cite web|title=Election Data 2005|url=http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_2005ob.txt|publisher=Electoral Calculus|access-date=18 October 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111015054249/http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_2005ob.txt|archive-date=15 October 2011}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = Tony McNulty

|votes = 23,445

|percentage = 46.1

|change = −9.2

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = David Ashton

|votes = 18,715

|percentage = 36.8

|change = +4.6

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Liberal Democrats (UK)

|candidate = Pash Nandhra

|votes = 7,747

|percentage = 15.2

|change = +2.7

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = UK Independence Party

|candidate = Paul Cronin

|votes = 916

|percentage = 1.8

|change = New

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 4,730

|percentage = 9.3

|change = -13.8

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 50,823

|percentage = 60.5

|change = +2.1

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 83,904

}}

{{Election box hold with party link

|winner = Labour Party (UK)

|swing = −6.9

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin|title=General election 2001: Harrow East{{cite web|title=Election Data 2001|url=http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_2001ob.txt|publisher=Electoral Calculus|access-date=18 October 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111015054450/http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_2001ob.txt|archive-date=15 October 2011}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = Tony McNulty

|votes = 26,590

|percentage = 55.3

|change = +2.8

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Peter Wilding

|votes = 15,466

|percentage = 32.2

|change = −3.2

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Liberal Democrats (UK)

|candidate = George Kershaw

|votes = 6,021

|percentage = 12.5

|change = +4.3

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 11,124

|percentage = 23.1

|change = +6.0

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 48,077

|percentage = 58.4

|change = −12.8

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 82,269

}}

{{Election box hold with party link

|winner = Labour Party (UK)

|swing = +3.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Elections in the 1990s=

{{Election box begin|title=General election 1997: Harrow East{{cite web|title=Election Data 1997|url=http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_1997.txt|publisher=Electoral Calculus|access-date=18 October 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111015054424/http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_1997.txt|archive-date=15 October 2011}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = Tony McNulty

|votes = 29,962

|percentage = 52.5

|change = +18.7

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Hugh Dykes

|votes = 20,189

|percentage = 35.4

|change = -17.4

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Liberal Democrats (UK)

|candidate = Baldev Sharma

|votes = 4,697

|percentage = 8.2

|change = -2.7

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Referendum Party (UK)

|candidate = Bernard Casey

|votes = 1,537

|percentage = 2.7

|change = New

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = UK Independence Party

|candidate = A.J. Scholefield

|votes = 464

|percentage = 0.8

|change = New

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Natural Law Party

|candidate = Andrew Planton

|votes = 171

|percentage = 0.3

|change = -0.1

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 9,737

|percentage = 17.1

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 57,020

|percentage = 71.3

|change = -6.5

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 79,981

}}

{{Election box gain with party link

|winner = Labour Party (UK)

|loser = Conservative Party (UK)

|swing = -18.1

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin|title=General election 1992: Harrow East{{cite web|title=Election Data 1992|url=http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_1992ob.txt|publisher=Electoral Calculus|access-date=18 October 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111015054418/http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_1992ob.txt|archive-date=15 October 2011}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Hugh Dykes

|votes = 30,752

|percentage = 52.9

|change = −1.3

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = Tony McNulty

|votes = 19,654

|percentage = 33.8

|change = +10.2

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Liberal Democrats (UK)

|candidate = V.M. Chamberlain

|votes = 6,360

|percentage = 10.9

|change = -11.3

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Liberal Party (UK, 1989)

|candidate = P. Burrows

|votes = 1,142

|percentage = 2.0

|change = New

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Natural Law Party

|candidate = S. Hamza

|votes = 212

|percentage = 0.4

|change = New

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Anti-Federalist League

|candidate = J. Lester

|votes = 49

|percentage = 0.1

|change = New

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 11,098

|percentage = 19.1

|change = -11.6

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 58,169

|percentage = 77.8

|change = +4.4

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 74,733

}}

{{Election box hold with party link

|winner = Conservative Party (UK)

|swing = -6.2

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Elections in the 1980s=

{{Election box begin|title=General election 1987: Harrow East{{cite web|title=Election Data 1987|url=http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_1987.txt|publisher=Electoral Calculus|access-date=18 October 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111015054243/http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_1987.txt|archive-date=15 October 2011}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link|

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Hugh Dykes

|votes = 32,302

|percentage = 54.2

|change = +4.4

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = David John Brough

|votes = 14,029

|percentage = 23.6

|change = +1.3

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Liberal Party (UK)

|candidate = Zerbanoo Gifford

|votes = 13,251

|percentage = 22.2

|change = −5.7

}}

{{Election box majority|

|votes = 18,273

|percentage = 30.6

|change = +8.7

}}

{{Election box turnout|

|votes = 59,582

|percentage = 73.5

|change = +1.0

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 81,124

}}

{{Election box hold with party link|

|winner = Conservative Party (UK)

|swing =

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin |

|title=General election 1983: Harrow East{{cite web|title=Election Data 1983|url=http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_1983.txt|publisher=Electoral Calculus|access-date=18 October 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111015054231/http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/electdata_1983.txt|archive-date=15 October 2011}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link|

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Hugh Dykes

|votes = 28,834

|percentage = 49.8

|change = -4.5

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Liberal Party (UK)

|candidate = Richard Hains

|votes = 16,166

|percentage = 27.9

|change = +17.5

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = David Brough

|votes = 12,941

|percentage = 22.3

|change = -11.5

}}

{{Election box majority|

|votes = 12,668

|percentage = 21.9

|change = +1.4

}}

{{Election box turnout|

|votes = 57,941

|percentage = 72.5

|change = -5.4

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 79,926

}}

{{Election box hold with party link|

|winner = Conservative Party (UK)

|swing =

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Elections in the 1970s=

{{Election box begin |

|title=General election 1979: Harrow East

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link|

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Hugh Dykes

|votes = 20,871

|percentage = 54.32

|change = +8.10

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = David Miles{{cite book|title=Election Expenses|date=1980|isbn=0102374805|page=14|publisher=Parliament of the United Kingdom}}

|votes = 12,993

|percentage = 33.82

|change = -2.99

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Liberal Party (UK)

|candidate = Martin Savitt

|votes = 3,984

|percentage = 10.37

|change = -6.60

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = National Front (UK)

|candidate = Leslie Le Croissette

|votes = 572

|percentage = 1.49

|change = New

}}

{{Election box majority|

|votes = 7,878

|percentage = 20.50

|change = +11.09

}}

{{Election box turnout|

|votes = 36,936

|percentage = 77.85

|change = +2.95

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 49,354

}}

{{Election box hold with party link|

|winner = Conservative Party (UK)

|swing =

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin |

|title=General election October 1974: Harrow East

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link|

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Hugh Dykes

|votes = 17,073

|percentage = 46.22

|change = +1.57

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = R.W. Lewis

|votes = 13,595

|percentage = 36.81

|change = +3.32

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Liberal Party (UK)

|candidate = J. McDonnell

|votes = 6,268

|percentage = 16.97

|change = -4.90

}}

{{Election box majority|

|votes = 3,478

|percentage = 9.41

|change = -1.75

}}

{{Election box turnout|

|votes = 36,936

|percentage = 74.90

|change = -7.48

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 49,315

}}

{{Election box hold with party link|

|winner = Conservative Party (UK)

|swing =

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin |

|title=General election February 1974: Harrow East

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link|

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Hugh Dykes

|votes = 17,978

|percentage = 44.65

|change = -6.35

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = K.W. Childerhouse

|votes = 13,485

|percentage = 33.49

|change = -7.00

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Liberal Party (UK)

|candidate = J. McDonnell

|votes = 8,805

|percentage = 21.87

|change = +13.55

}}

{{Election box majority|

|votes = 4,493

|percentage = 11.16

|change = +0.65

}}

{{Election box turnout|

|votes = 40,268

|percentage = 82.38

|change = +6.44

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 48,878

}}

{{Election box hold with party link|

|winner = Conservative Party (UK)

|swing =

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin |

|title=General election 1970: Harrow East

{{Cite book|title=The Times' Guide to the House of Commons|year=1970}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link|

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Hugh Dykes

|votes = 19,517

|percentage = 51.00

|change = +7.55

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = Roy Roebuck

|votes = 15,496

|percentage = 40.49

|change = -3.92

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Liberal Party (UK)

|candidate = Michael Colne

|votes = 3,185

|percentage = 8.32

|change = -3.82

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Independent (politician)

|candidate = Geoffrey Cramp

|votes = 72

|percentage = 0.19

|change = New

}}

{{Election box majority|

|votes = 4,021

|percentage = 10.51

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box turnout|

|votes = 38,270

|percentage = 75.94

|change = -6.82

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 50,395

}}

{{Election box gain with party link|

|winner = Conservative Party (UK)

|loser = Labour Party (UK)

|swing =

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Elections in the 1960s=

{{Election box begin |

|title=General election 1966: Harrow East

{{Cite book|title=The Times' Guide to the House of Commons|year=1966}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link|

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = Roy Roebuck

|votes = 17,374

|percentage = 44.41

|change = -2.65

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Anthony Courtney

|votes = 16,996

|percentage = 43.45

|change = -9.49

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Liberal Party (UK)

|candidate = Michael Colne

|votes = 4,749

|percentage = 12.14

|change = New

}}

{{Election box majority|

|votes = 378

|percentage = 0.96

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box turnout|

|votes = 39,119

|percentage = 82.76

|change = +2.78

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 47,267

}}

{{Election box gain with party link|

|winner = Labour Party (UK)

|loser = Conservative Party (UK)

|swing =

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin |

|title=General election 1964: Harrow East

{{Cite book|title=The Times' Guide to the House of Commons|year=1964}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link|

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Anthony Courtney

|votes = 20,307

|percentage = 52.94

|change = -4.28

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = Jo Richardson

|votes = 18,048

|percentage = 47.06

|change = +4.28

}}

{{Election box majority|

|votes = 2,259

|percentage = 5.88

|change = -8.56

}}

{{Election box turnout|

|votes = 38,355

|percentage = 79.98

|change = -4.56

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 47,954

}}

{{Election box hold with party link|

|winner = Conservative Party (UK)

|swing =

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Elections in the 1950s=

{{Election box begin |

|title=General election 1959: Harrow East

{{Cite book|title=The Times' Guide to the House of Commons|year=1959}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link|

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Anthony Courtney

|votes = 23,554

|percentage = 57.22

|change = +2.79

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = Merlyn Rees

|votes = 17,607

|percentage = 42.78

|change = -2.79

}}

{{Election box majority|

|votes = 5,947

|percentage = 14.44

|change = +5.58

}}

{{Election box turnout|

|votes = 41,161

|percentage = 84.54

|change = +1.92

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 49,273

}}

{{Election box hold with party link|

|winner = Conservative Party (UK)

|swing =

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin |

|title= 1959 Harrow East by-election{{Cite web |url=http://www.harrow-elections.co.uk/resources/1954AppendJ.pdf |title=Archived copy |access-date=26 December 2014 |archive-date=26 December 2014 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20141226210759/http://www.harrow-elections.co.uk/resources/1954AppendJ.pdf |url-status=dead }}{{cite web|url=http://by-elections.co.uk/59.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121010071857/http://by-elections.co.uk/59.html|title=1959 By Election Results|archive-date=2012-10-10|url-status=dead|access-date=2015-08-15}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link|

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Anthony T. Courtney

|votes = 17,776

|percentage = 52.8

|change = -1.63

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = Merlyn Rees

|votes = 15,546

|percentage = 46.2

|change = +0.63

}}

{{Election box candidate|

|party = National Union of Small Shopkeepers

|candidate = Thomas Lynch

|votes = 348

|percentage = 1.0

|change = New

}}

{{Election box majority|

|votes = 2,220

|percentage = 6.6

|change = -2.2

}}

{{Election box turnout|

|votes = 28,795

|percentage = 68.96

|change = -13.64

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 48,820

}}

{{Election box hold with party link|

|winner = Conservative Party (UK)

|swing = -1.1

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin |

|title=General election 1955: Harrow East

{{Cite book|title=The Times' Guide to the House of Commons|year=1955}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link|

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Ian Harvey

|votes = 22,243

|percentage = 54.43

|change = +4.58

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = Merlyn Rees

|votes = 18,621

|percentage = 45.57

|change = +1.59

}}

{{Election box majority|

|votes = 3,622

|percentage = 8.86

|change = +2.99

}}

{{Election box turnout|

|votes = 40,864

|percentage = 82.62

|change = -5.24

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 49,460

}}

{{Election box hold with party link|

|winner = Conservative Party (UK)

|swing =

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin |

|title=General election 1951: Harrow East

{{Cite book|title=The Times' Guide to the House of Commons|year=1951}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link|

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Ian Harvey

|votes = 26,896

|percentage = 49.85

|change = +5.1

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = Robert D Rees

|votes = 23,725

|percentage = 43.98

|change = +2.9

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Liberal Party (UK)

|candidate = Geoffrey JE Rhodes

|votes = 3,329

|percentage = 6.17

|change = -5.91

}}

{{Election box majority|

|votes = 3,171

|percentage = 5.87

|change = +3.10

}}

{{Election box turnout|

|votes = 53,950

|percentage = 87.86

|change = +0.63

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 61,408

}}

{{Election box hold with party link|

|winner = Conservative Party (UK)

|swing =

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{Election box begin |

|title=General election 1950: Harrow East

{{Cite book|title=The Times' Guide to the House of Commons|year=1950}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link|

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Ian Harvey

|votes = 23,680

|percentage = 44.75

|change = +9.70

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = Frederick Skinnard

|votes = 22,216

|percentage = 41.98

|change = -4.46

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Liberal Party (UK)

|candidate = Desmond Banks

|votes = 6,393

|percentage = 12.08

|change = -0.55

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Communist Party of Great Britain

|candidate = Bill Seaman{{cite web|last1=Stevenson|first1=Graham|title=Seaman Bill|url=http://www.grahamstevenson.me.uk/index.php/biographies/s-u/s/512-bill-seaman-|access-date=22 April 2017}}

|votes = 633

|percentage = 1.20

|change = -4.67

}}

{{Election box majority|

|votes = 1,464

|percentage = 2.77

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box turnout|

|votes = 52,922

|percentage = 87.23

|change = +9.89

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 60,668

}}

{{Election box gain with party link|

|winner = Conservative Party (UK)

|loser = Labour Party (UK)

|swing =

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Elections in the 1940s=

{{Election box begin |

|title=General election 1945: Harrow East}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link|

|party = Labour Party (UK)

|candidate = Frederick Skinnard

|votes = 27,613

|percentage = 46.44

|change =

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Conservative Party (UK)

|candidate = Fredman Ashe Lincoln

|votes = 20,843

|percentage = 35.05

|change =

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Liberal Party (UK)

|candidate = Anthony Gibbs

|votes = 7,513

|percentage = 12.63

|change =

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Communist Party of Great Britain

|candidate = G Driver

|votes = 3,493

|percentage = 5.87

|change =

}}

{{Election box majority|

|votes = 6,770

|percentage = 11.39

|change =

}}

{{Election box turnout|

|votes = 59,462

|percentage = 77.34

|change =

}}

{{Election box registered electors|

|reg. electors = 76,883

}}

{{Election box new seat win|

|winner = Labour Party (UK)

}}

{{Election box end}}

See also

Notes

{{Reflist|group=n}}

References

{{Reflist}}