Petrostate

{{short description|Countries that primarily produce oil or natural gas}}

A petrostate, oil state or petrocracy is a polity whose economy is heavily dependent on the extraction and export of oil or natural gas. Petrostates are conventionally independent nations; however writers like Samuel Weston and Andrew Nikiforuk describes major oil-producing subnational entities like Wyoming,{{cite web|last=Western|first=Samuel|title=The Wyoming Petrocracy: State's Biggest Strength Also Vulnerability|url=https://wyofile.com/the-wyoming-petrocracy-states-biggest-strength-also-vulnerability/|website=WYOFILE|publisher=Newspack|date=October 27, 2008}} Alberta and Louisiana as also petrostates.{{cite book|last=Nikiforuk|first=Andrew|title=Tar sands: dirty oil and the future of a continent|year=2010|publisher=Greystone Books|location=Vancouver |isbn=9781553655558|pages=25, 108, 173-182, 194-195, 210}} A petromonarchy or oil monarchy is a petrostate run by a dynastic absolute monarch;{{cite journal|title=Les minorités et l'organisation de l'espace de l'Orient arabe|first=André|last=Bourgey|journal=Cahiers de la Méditerranée|year=1990|volume=41|pages=183-204|language=French}} one run by another type of autocrat is a petro-dictatorship.{{cite journal|author1-link=Daniel Treisman|doi=10.1146/annurev-polisci-050718-043546|doi-access=free|title=Economic Development and Democracy: Predispositions and Triggers|year=2020|last1=Treisman|first1=Daniel|journal=Annual Review of Political Science|volume=23|pages=241–257}}

The presence alone of large oil and gas industries does not define a petrostate: major oil producers that also have diversified economies are not classified as petrostates due to their ability to generate income from various industries and sectors beyond the oil industry.{{cite web|url=https://www.cato.org/publications/commentary/petrostates-changing-world| title=Petrostates in a Changing World|first=Emma|last=Ashford|date=7 October 2015|access-date=22 June 2020}} Petrostates typically have highly concentrated political and economic power, resting in the hands of an elite, as well as unaccountable political institutions that are susceptible to corruption.{{cite web|url=https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/venezuela-crisis| title=Venezuela: The Rise and Fall of a Petrostate|website=Council on Foreign Relations|access-date=22 June 2020|date=24 January 2019|first=Rocio|last=Cara Labrador}}

Countries considered to be petrostates

Various countries have been identified as current or former petrostates:

{{div col|colwidth=15em}}

  • Algeria
  • Angola{{cite journal | url=https://www.jstor.org/stable/41290174 | jstor=41290174 | title=The Resource Curse and Oil Revenues in Angola and Venezuela | last1=Hammond | first1=John L. | journal=Science & Society | date=2011 | volume=75 | issue=3 | pages=348–378 | doi=10.1521/siso.2011.75.3.348 | url-access=subscription }}
  • Azerbaijan{{cite web | url=https://www.investmentmonitor.ai/features/baku-oil-dependence-azerbaijan-economy/ | title=Why Baku is backing away from oil dependence | date=11 August 2021 }}{{cite news | url=https://taz.de/Politische-Lage-in-Aserbaidschan/!5093603/ | title=Politische Lage in Aserbaidschan: Petrokratie in Familienbesitz | newspaper=Die Tageszeitung: Taz | date=18 May 2012 | last1=Donath | first1=Klaus-Helge }}
  • Brunei{{cite journal|doi=10.1108/PR-04-2016-0081|title=Can HRM alleviate the negative effects of the resource curse on firms? Evidence from Brunei|year=2017|last1=Darwish|first1=Tamer K.|last2=Mohamed|first2=Abdul Fattaah|last3=Wood|first3=Geoffrey|last4=Singh|first4=Satwinder|last5=Fleming|first5=Jocelyne|journal=Personnel Review|volume=46|issue=8|pages=1931–1947|url=http://eprints.glos.ac.uk/4472/1/Main%20Document-PR.pdf|hdl=10072/402179|s2cid=157431894 |hdl-access=free}}
  • Cameroon
  • Chad
  • Ecuador
  • Equatorial Guinea
  • Guyana{{Cite news |title=The Boom of Guyana’s Oil Industry: Opportunities and Challenges of the New Petrostate |journal=E-International Relations |last=Clavijo |first=William |date=7 Aug 2020 |url=https://www.e-ir.info/2020/08/07/the-boom-of-guyanas-oil-industry-opportunities-and-challenges-of-the-new-petrostate/ |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200827140333/https://www.e-ir.info/2020/08/07/the-boom-of-guyanas-oil-industry-opportunities-and-challenges-of-the-new-petrostate/ |archive-date=27 Aug 2020}}{{Cite news |title=ExxonMobil builds ‘petro-state’ in Guyana, amid warnings of environmental disaster |last=Bispo |first=Fábio |date=8 April 2025 |url=https://infoamazonia.org/en/2025/04/08/exxonmobil-builds-petro-state-in-guyana-amid-warnings-of-environmental-disaster/ |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20250409004723/https://infoamazonia.org/en/2025/04/08/exxonmobil-builds-petro-state-in-guyana-amid-warnings-of-environmental-disaster/ |archive-date=9 April 2025 |work={{interlanguage link|InfoAmazonia|pt}}}}
  • Indonesia
  • Iran
  • Iraq{{cite journal|title=Stepping into the just transition journey: The energy transition in petrostates|first1=Qaraman|last1=Hasan|first2=Raphael J.|last2=Heffron|first3=Soran|last3=Mohtadi|first4=Brian D.|last4=Blankenship|first5=Indra|last5=Overland|first6=Johannes|last6=Urpelainen|journal=Energy Research and Social Science|volume=113|date=July 2024}}
  • Kazakhstan
  • Kuwait
  • Libya
  • Mexico
  • Nigeria
  • Norway{{cite web|last1=Bindman|first1=Polly|last2=Ferris|first2=Nick|publisher=Energy Monitor|url=https://www.energymonitor.ai/policy/inside-norways-efforts-to-move-on-from-oil-and-gas|date=April 4, 2023|title=Inside Norway's efforts to move on from oil and gas}}
  • Oman
  • Qatar
  • Republic of the Congo
  • Russia{{cite book|last=Goldman|first=Marshall I.|title=Petrostate: Putin, Power and the New Russia |year=2008|publisher=Oxford University Press|isbn=978-0195340730}}{{cite book |author-link=Alexander Etkind|last=Etkind|first=Alexander|title=Russia Against Modernity|date=21 April 2023|publisher=Polity|isbn=978-1509556571}}{{cite web|last=Etkind|first=Alexander|title=Oil, climate and war: The curse of the petrostate|url=https://ceureviewofbooks.com/longread/oil-climate-and-war-the-curse-of-the-petrostate/|website=CEU Review of Books |publisher=CEU Press|location=Budapest|date=May 2024}}
  • Saudi Arabia
  • Trinidad and Tobago{{cite book|last=Ashford|first=Emma|title=Oil, the State, and War: The Foreign Policies of Petrostates|date=June 2022|publisher=Georgetown University Press|isbn=9781647122393|pages=20, 56, 245, 266}}
  • Turkmenistan{{cite book|last=Colgan|first=Jeff|title=Petro-Aggression: When Oil Causes War|year=2013|publisher=Cambridge University Press|isbn=9781107029675|page=67}}
  • United Arab Emirates
  • Uzbekistan{{cite conference|first=Morena|last=Skalamera|title=The varying levels of contrasting adaptation in Central Asia’s climate change politics|conference=Central Asian Survey|date=25 July 2024}}
  • Venezuela

{{div col end}}

Economy

{{See also|Dutch disease}}

Petrostates rely on oil as a primary source of income, which can make their economies vulnerable to fluctuations in oil prices. When oil prices are high, they tend to thrive, but they can struggle during periods of low oil prices. The reliance on oil and natural gas may preclude the development of other industries, known as Dutch disease. Light industries, including textiles and clothing, are key factors that drive women to participate in the workforce. Petrostates thus often have lower rates of female workers, which can impede women's access to social and political freedoms.

Petrostates are typified by weak economies, where products are more frequently imported than domestically produced. Diversification can successfully occur in limited circumstances, such as Mexico becoming part of the North American Free Trade Agreement, or Dubai leveraging its location to become a hub of commerce and tourism. Most petrostates do not attempt economic diversification, instead seeking economic domination through large, state-owned oil companies.

Governance

Petrostates are characterised by an extreme abundance of non-tax revenue{{cite journal|last= Meierding|first=Emily|journal=Comparative Politics|volume=54|issue=4|date=July 2022|pages=671-694|publisher=City University of New York|title=Over a Barrel? Oil Busts and Petrostate Stability}} and typically extremely low or often zero direct taxes. This is because the extremely capital-intensive nature of oil and natural gas extraction means that negotiation between corporations and government is uniquely important to the development of these resources.{{cite journal|last=Karl|first=Terry Lynn|year=1999|title=The Perils of the Petro-State: Reflections on the Paradox of Plenty|journal=Journal of International Affairs|volume=53|issue=1|pages=31–48}} Moreover, unlike direct taxes, oil revenue is amassed without developing networks with citizens.{{cite thesis|last=Weller|first=Nicholas William|degree=Doctor of Philosophy|title=The Causes and Consequences of Tax Policy|url=https://escholarship.org/content/qt79s1d1fw/qt79s1d1fw.pdf|page=56}} Petrostates, it is argued, depend upon their rentier dynamic and could not survive if they lose access to these rents.{{cite thesis|last=Badie|first=Dina|title=Petro-Patrons: Economic Security and the U.S. in the Gulf|degree=Ph.D|year=2012|publisher=University of Connecticut}}

In some petrostates, leaders and governments may become more authoritarian as they accumulate significant wealth and power through the control of the oil sector. They may use these resources to maintain political control, suppress opposition, and stifle democratic institutions. For example, Steven Fish identifies oil wealth as one of the major reasons for Russia's failed democratization. He explains that revenue from oil exports fueled corruption, and corruption, in turn, hampered Russia's political liberalization. Furthermore, he notes that Britain's and Norway's resource wealth did not lead to authoritarianism because "sturdy democratic regimes" were already in place.{{Cite book|last=Fish|first=M. Steven|url=https://books.google.com/books?id=0_wLBAAAQBAJ&q=Fish,+M.+S.+(2005).+Democracy+derailed+in+Russia:+The+failure+of+open+politics.+Cambridge+University+Press. |title=Democracy Derailed in Russia: The Failure of Open Politics |date=2005-08-29|publisher=Cambridge University Press|isbn=978-1-139-44685-3 |language=en}} Similarly, Michael Ross argues that “the case of Russia since 1998 illustrates how oil revenues can endanger a weak democracy by boosting the popularity of an elected incumbent, who gradually removes checks and balances on their own authority”.{{Cite book |last=Ross|first=Michael Lewin |title=The oil curse: how petroleum wealth shapes the development of nations |year=2013|publisher=Princeton University Press|isbn=978-0-691-15963-8 |edition=1. paperback printing |location=Princeton, New Jersey}}

In many petrostates, rulers invest in social welfare programs, including healthcare, education, and subsidies for essential goods. For example, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, and Qatar have invested in education, healthcare, and public amenities to improve the quality of life for their citizens.{{Cite journal|last1=Khoja|first1=Tawfiq |last2=Rawaf |first2=Salman |last3=Qidwai |first3=Waris |last4=Rawaf |first4=David |last5=Nanji |first5=Kashmira |last6=Hamad |first6=Aisha |date=2017-08-21 |title=Health Care in Gulf Cooperation Council Countries: A Review of Challenges and Opportunities |journal=Cureus |volume=9 |issue=8 |pages=e1586 |language=en |doi=10.7759/cureus.1586 |doi-access=free |issn=2168-8184 |pmc=5650259 |pmid=29062618}}{{Cite journal |last1=De Jong |first1=Martin |last2=Hoppe |first2=Thomas |last3=Noori |first3=Negar |date=2019-04-30 |title=City Branding, Sustainable Urban Development and the Rentier State. How Do Qatar, Abu Dhabi and Dubai Present Themselves in the Age of Post Oil and Global Warming? |journal=Energies |language=en |volume=12 |issue=9 |pages=1657 |doi=10.3390/en12091657 |issn=1996-1073 |doi-access=free |url=http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:75e6933d-b365-42fd-817d-7bfb279d0ba8 }}

=International influence=

Successful, stable democracies are the worst possible outcome for authoritarian petrostates, since they are potentially less subservient to the extremely wealthy petrostate rulers{{cite conference|last=Clarke|first=Killeen|title=The New Rentierism in the Middle East: How Gulf Oil Wealth Has Kept Democracy at Bay since 2011|publisher=Brandeis University|conference=Crown Center for Middle Eastern Studies|date=March 2025|url=https://www.brandeis.edu/crown/publications/middle-east-briefs/pdfs/101-200/meb164.pdf}} and could inspire similar examples elsewhere including within the petrostates themselves.{{cite magazine|magazine=Middle East Research and Information Project|first=Jonathan|last=Fenton-Harvey|title=Regional Uprisings Confront Gulf-Backed Counterrevolution|volume=292|issue=3|url=https://merip.org/2019/12/regional-uprisings-confront-gulf-backed-counterrevolution/}} Petrostate wealth may thus contribute to international democratic backsliding: when stable authoritarian regimes within their sphere of influence become unviable, the oil states either support even autocratic rulers not otherwise allied with them, or allow or even encourage the nations in question to collapse into permanent conflict.

Remittances from petrostates may also stabilise autocratic regimes in nations whose citizens provide cheap expatriate labour. These remittances can be captured as indirect taxes{{cite thesis|date=August 2017|last=Culver|first=Christopher Allan|title=Remittances and Autocratic Regime Durability|degree=Doctor of Philosophy|publisher=College of the Liberal Arts, Pennsylvania State University|location=University Park|url=https://etda.libraries.psu.edu/files/final_submissions/14788}} by governments otherwise extremely short of capital,See {{cite journal|journal=International Organization|volume=77|issue=2|title=The Great Revenue Divergence|first1=Alexander |last1=Lee|first2=Jack|last2=Paine|date=August 8, 2022|publisher=Cambridge University Press|pages=363-404}} and allow the ruling elites of the labour-supplying countries cheaper consumer goods. Authoritarian petrostates are also known to be models of governance for right-wing populist rulers like Donald Trump, and for wealthy corporations seeking a system of rule without taxes or democracy.See {{cite book|title=Crack-Up Capitalism: Market Radicals and the Dream of a World Without Democracy|first=Quinn|last=Slobodian|isbn=9780141993775|date=April 4, 2023|publisher=Penguin Books Limited}}

Resource curse

{{See also|Resource curse}}

Global energy prices can cause turbulent and unpredictable swings in a petrostate's economy. Undiversified reliance on oil and gas industries can cause political and economic crises when the price of oil drops. Over-investment in these industries at the expense of other sectors, such as manufacturing and agriculture, can hurt economic growth and competitiveness. Petrostates can suffer from the resource curse, meaning that their abundance of natural resources can have detrimental impacts on other parts of the economy, as well as negative social and political impacts.{{Cite journal |last1=Gaddy |first1=Clifford G. |last2=Ickes. |first2=Barry W. |date=2005 |title=Resource rents and the Russian economy |url=https://doi.org/10.2747/1538-7216.46.8.559 |journal=Eurasian Geography and Economics |volume=46 |issue=8 |pages=559–583|doi=10.2747/1538-7216.46.8.559 |s2cid=153812247 |url-access=subscription }}

Petrostates, it has been argued, see increasing inequality with increasing wealth, because they do not depend upon the labour of their inhabitants but upon a tiny elite's luck in owning their valuable resources. It is also argued that they have no incentives to abide by rules regarding reduction of greenhouse gas emissions, and that consuming states have no ability to control the polluting petrostates.

Environmental and climate concerns

The extraction and production of oil can have significant environmental and ecological impacts, including pollution, habitat destruction, and greenhouse gas emissions. This can lead to environmental concerns and criticism, both domestically and internationally.

Recent studies challenge the assumption that the transition to sustainable energy will lead to the decline of petrostates, suggesting that their future depends on production costs and social factors.{{Cite journal |last1=Goldthau |first1=Andreas |last2=Westphal |first2=Kirsten |date=2019 |title=Why the Global Energy Transition Does Not Mean the End of the Petrostate |url=https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1758-5899.12649 |journal=Global Policy |language=en |volume=10 |issue=2 |pages=279–283 |doi=10.1111/1758-5899.12649 |s2cid=158105333 |issn=1758-5880|url-access=subscription }}{{Cite journal |last1=Bradshaw |first1=Michael |last2=Van de Graaf |first2=Thijs |last3=Connolly |first3=Richard |date=2019 |title=Preparing for the new oil order? Saudi Arabia and Russia |journal=Energy Strategy Reviews |language=en |volume=26 |pages=100374 |doi=10.1016/j.esr.2019.100374|doi-access=free |hdl=1854/LU-8623818 |hdl-access=free }} Furthermore, the low-carbon transition might provide new export opportunities for petrostates as energy-intensive sectors in developed countries decrease, potentially leading some, particularly in the Middle East, to further specialize in high-carbon sectors.

Since the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, Alexander Etkind has suggested that petrostates are engaging in wars because of the existential economic threat decarbonization poses to their rulers’ power and wealth. He also argues that petrostates pay absolutely nothing for the emissions and costs of climate change their oil creates abroad, nor for the emissions produced by burning oil at home. The corporate identity of state-owned oil and gas corporations has also helped insulate petrostates from requirements to restrict fossil fuel production and caused them to attempt to claim that continued fossil fuel production can be decoupled from greenhouse gas emissions.{{cite journal|last=Mason|first=Michael|title=Theorising the climate change accountability of Persian Gulf petrostates|journal=Environmental Policy and Governance|date=2023|volume=33|pages=631-640}} This is in spite of serious impacts of climate change in many extremely rich petrostates: they have tended to avoid playing the victim and to align with other, less affected major polluters even when severely threatened.{{cite book|last=McDermott Hughes |first=David |title=Energy Without Conscience: Oil, Climate Change, and Complicity|year=2017 |publisher=Duke University Press |page=134 |chapter=Climate Change and the Victim Slot}} Russia and other Central Asian petrostates also have begun in recent years to lead a powerful backlash against movements to decarbonise in the European Union.

Cultural narratives

The presence of a booming oil industry influences a nation's cultural landscape. It may manifest in conspicuous consumption, urban development, and the emergence of specific cultural symbols associated with wealth and status.

The petrostate narrative often becomes intertwined with the national identity, notably in Russia{{Cite journal |last=Rutland |first=Peter |date=2015-01-02 |title=Petronation? Oil, gas, and national identity in Russia |url=http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/1060586X.2014.952537 |journal=Post-Soviet Affairs |language=en |volume=31 |issue=1 |pages=66–89 |doi=10.1080/1060586X.2014.952537 |issn=1060-586X|url-access=subscription }}{{Cite journal |last=Kuteleva |first=Anna |date=2020-01-02 |title=Discursive Politics of Energy in EU–Russia Relations: Russia as an "Energy Superpower" and a "Raw-Material Appendage" |url=https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10758216.2018.1520601 |journal=Problems of Post-Communism |language=en |volume=67 |issue=1 |pages=78–92 |doi=10.1080/10758216.2018.1520601 |s2cid=158115925 |issn=1075-8216|url-access=subscription }}{{Cite book |last=Maugeri |first=Leonardo |title=The age of oil: the mythology, history, and future of the world's most controversial resource |date=2006 |publisher=Praeger |isbn=978-0-275-99008-4 |edition=1. publ |location=Westport, Conn.}} and in Saudi Arabia.{{Cite book |last=Hertog |first=Steffen |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=YNM4vMi7FtcC |title=Princes, Brokers, and Bureaucrats: Oil and the State in Saudi Arabia |date=2011-04-27 |publisher=Cornell University Press |isbn=978-0-8014-5753-1 |language=en}}{{Cite book |last=Vitalis |first=Robert |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=sulOEAAAQBAJ&pg=PR9 |title=America's Kingdom: Mythmaking on the Saudi Oil Frontier |date=2009-03-02 |publisher=Verso Books |isbn=978-1-84467-313-1 |language=en}} The story of an oil-rich nation can influence collective memory and national pride. Cultural narratives might emphasize self-reliance, economic strength, or the role of oil in nation-building.

See also

References

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Category:Authoritarianism

Category:Petroleum politics