2020 Montana gubernatorial election
{{Short description|none}}
{{for|related races|2020 United States gubernatorial elections}}
{{Use American English|date=January 2025}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2020 Montana gubernatorial election
| country = Montana
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| turnout = 81.33%{{increase}}6.89{{cite web |url=https://sosmt.gov/elections/voter-turnout/|title=Montana Voter Turnout|newspaper=Montana Secretary of State - Christi Jacobsen|date=22 February 2018 |access-date=2022-05-26}}
| previous_election = 2016 Montana gubernatorial election
| previous_year = 2016
| next_election = 2024 Montana gubernatorial election
| next_year = 2024
| election_date = November 3, 2020
| image1 = File:Greg Gianforte 115th congress (cropped 2).jpg
| image_size = 150x150px
| nominee1 = Greg Gianforte
| running_mate1 = Kristen Juras
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 328,548
| percentage1 = 54.43%
| image2 = File:Mike Cooney in 2017.jpg
| nominee2 = Mike Cooney
| running_mate2 = Casey Schreiner
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 250,860
| percentage2 = 41.56%
| map_image = {{switcher |300px |County results |300px |Precinct results |default=1}}
| map_size = 300px
| map_caption = Gianforte: {{legend0|#FFB2B2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}
Cooney: {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}
{{legend0|#808080|No data}}
| title = Governor
| before_election = Steve Bullock
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| after_election = Greg Gianforte
| after_party = Republican Party (United States)
}}
{{Elections in Montana}}
The 2020 Montana gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the next governor of Montana, concurrently with the U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the U.S. Senate and the House of Representatives and various state and local elections. It resulted in voters selecting Greg Gianforte over Mike Cooney. Incumbent Democratic governor Steve Bullock was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term in office, and he ran unsuccessfully for Montana's Class II Senate seat.{{cite web |last1=Arkin |first1=James |title=Bullock enters Montana Senate race |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/09/bullock-enters-montana-senate-race-124260 |website=POLITICO |language=en |date=March 9, 2020}}
Bullock's lieutenant governor, Mike Cooney, was the Democratic nominee, while the Republican nominee was Montana's at-large representative Greg Gianforte, who won the election, making him the first Republican governor of Montana since Judy Martz left office in 2005.{{cite web |last1=Gstalter |first1=Morgan |title=GOP Rep. Greg Gianforte wins Montana governor's race |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/524417-gop-rep-greg-gianforte-wins-montana-governors-race |website=The Hill |language=en |date=January 18, 2021}} This was the only gubernatorial seat to change partisan control in the 2020 elections. This election marked the first time since the 1920s that Republicans controlled all state constitutional offices and a majority of the Legislature.{{cite web |last1=Streep |first1=Abe |title=How Montana Took a Hard Right Turn Toward Christian Nationalism |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/11/magazine/montana-republicans-christian-nationalism.html |website=New York Times |language=en |date=Jan 11, 2023}}
Democratic primary
=Candidates=
==Nominee==
- Mike Cooney, Lieutenant Governor of Montana and former Secretary of State of Montana and candidate in 2000{{cite news|title=Montana lieutenant governor joins governor's race|url=https://apnews.com/62c46ec323644ece94c8fbab20f3be79|work=Associated Press News|date=July 3, 2019|access-date=July 3, 2019}}
- Running mate: Casey Schreiner, Minority Leader of the Montana House of Representatives{{cite web |last1=Cates-Carney |first1=Corin |title=Cooney Names Schreiner As Running Mate In Gov Race |url=https://www.mtpr.org/post/cooney-names-schreiner-running-mate-gov-race |website=mtpr.org |publisher=Montana Public Radio |language=en |date=February 28, 2020}}
==Eliminated in primary==
- Whitney Williams, businesswoman and daughter of former U.S. Representative Pat Williams{{cite web |last1=Volz |first1=Matt |title=Williams now 4th Democrat in governor's race |url=https://www.greatfallstribune.com/story/news/2019/10/03/whitney-williams-enters-montana-governors-race/3850953002/ |website=Great Falls Tribune |publisher=Associated Press |access-date=October 3, 2019 |date=October 3, 2019}}
- Running mate: Buzz Mattelin, farmer and president of the National Barley Growers Association
==Withdrawn==
- Reilly Neill, former state representative{{cite web |agency=Associated Press |title=Former Montana lawmaker Neill drops out of governor's race |url=https://nbcmontana.com/news/local/former-montana-lawmaker-neill-drops-out-of-governors-race |website=KECI |date=January 22, 2020}}{{cite web |last1=Drake |first1=Phil |title=Democrat Neill drops from Montana governor's race |url=https://www.greatfallstribune.com/story/news/2020/01/21/democrat-drops-montana-governors-race/4533895002/ |website=Great Falls Tribune |language=en |date=January 21, 2020}}
- Casey Schreiner, Minority Leader of the Montana House of Representatives (running for Lieutenant Governor){{cite news|url=https://missoulian.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/casey-schreiner-ends-montana-gubernatorial-campaign/article_3eb835d9-f2ea-5cba-be7f-b09a0155572d.html|title=Casey Schreiner ends Montana gubernatorial campaign|last1=Bridge|first1=Thom|date=February 3, 2020|work=The Missoulian|access-date=February 3, 2019}}{{cite web |last1=Michels |first1=Holly |title=Cooney picks Schreiner as running mate in race for governor |url=https://mtstandard.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/cooney-picks-schreiner-as-running-mate-in-race-for-governor/article_a7226656-dab4-50e9-9d63-ee87f9c93480.html |website=Montana Standard |date=28 February 2020 |access-date=29 February 2020 |language=en}}
==Declined==
- Ryan Busse, businessman{{cite web|last=Kondik|first=Kyle|title=Governors 2019-2020: Democrats try to hold the line in red-state battles|url=http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/governors-2019-2020-democrats-try-to-hold-the-line-in-red-state-battles/|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181209124513/http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/governors-2019-2020-democrats-try-to-hold-the-line-in-red-state-battles/|url-status=dead|archive-date=December 9, 2018|access-date=December 7, 2018|work=Sabato's Crystal Ball|date=December 6, 2018}}
- Wilmot Collins, Mayor of Helena and former 2020 candidate for the U.S. Senate{{cite news|last1=Hanson|first1=Amy Beth|title=Mayor who was refugee from Liberia announces run for Senate|url=https://www.apnews.com/3c8797288e36480b86a961a371db1956|work=Associated Press News|date=May 13, 2019|access-date=May 13, 2019}}
- John Heenan, attorney and candidate for Montana's at-large congressional district in 2018
- Michael Punke, writer and former U.S. Ambassador to the World Trade Organization{{cite news|url=https://www.politico.com/story/2019/05/10/michael-punke-montana-election-1422087|title='The Revenant' author considering run for Montana Senate or governor|last1=Lippman|first1=Daniel|date=May 10, 2019|access-date=May 10, 2019|publisher=Politico}}{{Cite web|url=https://twitter.com/MPunke/status/1142825782642958336|title=As my friends and family know, I have been considering a run for Montana's senator or governor. I'm grateful for the encouragement I received. I have decided not to seek election this cycle. For my family &me, it's not the right time. Thx to all who offered advice &encouragement.|last=Punke|first=Michael|date=2019-06-23|website=@MPunke|language=en|access-date=2019-06-23}}
- Brian Schweitzer, former Governor of Montana (endorsed Williams){{cite web |last1=Ambarian |first1=Jonathon |title=Democratic gubernatorial candidate Williams gets endorsement from former Gov. Schweitzer |url=https://www.kpax.com/news/western-montana-news/williams-received-high-profile-endorsement |website=KPAX |language=en |date=February 27, 2020}}
- Kathleen Williams, former state representative and nominee for Montana's at-large congressional district in 2018 (running for the U.S. House){{cite news|title=Williams launches new bid for Montana US House seat|url=https://nbcmontana.com/news/local/williams-launches-new-bid-for-montana-us-house-seat|agency=Associated Press|publisher=KECI|date=April 5, 2019|access-date=April 5, 2019}}
= Endorsements =
{{Endorsements box
|title=Mike Cooney
|list=
Statewide politicians
- Jacob Bachmeier, state representative{{Cite web|url=https://ballotpedia.org/Mike_Cooney#Endorsements|title=Mike Cooney|language=en|website=ballotpedia.org}}
- Mary Ann Dunwell, state representative{{Cite web|url=https://www.cooneyformontana.com/rep-dunwell-endorses-cooney-for-governor/|title=Rep. Dunwell endorses Cooney for governor|date=January 18, 2020|website=cooneyformontana.com|access-date=May 9, 2020|archive-date=September 13, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200913063502/https://www.cooneyformontana.com/rep-dunwell-endorses-cooney-for-governor/|url-status=usurped}}
- Moffie Funk, state representative
- Steve Bullock, incumbent Governor of Montana and former candidate for President in 2020{{cite web |last1=Cates-Carney |first1=Corin |title=Gov. Bullock Endorses Lt. Gov. Cooney In Gubernatorial Race |url=https://www.mtpr.org/post/gov-bullock-endorses-lt-gov-cooney-gubernatorial-race |website=mtpr.org |publisher=Montana Public Radio |language=en |date=October 25, 2019}}
Federal politicians
- Jon Tester, U.S. Senator (MT){{Cite web|url=https://www.ktvh.com/news/montana-news/tester-endorses-cooney-in-contested-democratic-gov-primary|title=Tester endorses Cooney in contested Democratic gov primary|date=April 29, 2020|website=ktvh.com}}
Organizations
- AFL–CIO Montana{{citation needed|date=March 2022}}
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Local 190{{Cite web|url=https://www.cooneyformontana.com/mike-cooneys-momentum-grows-with-three-big-labor-endorsements/|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200913071759/https://www.cooneyformontana.com/mike-cooneys-momentum-grows-with-three-big-labor-endorsements/|url-status=usurped|archive-date=September 13, 2020|title=Mike Cooney's Momentum Grows with Three Big Labor Endorsements
|date=April 8, 2020|website=cooneyformontana.com}}
}}
{{Endorsements box
|title=Whitney Williams
|list=
Statewide politicians
- Brian Schweitzer, former Governor of Montana
Local politicians
- John Engen, Mayor of Missoula{{cite web |last1=Engen |first1=John |title=Guest view: Missoula's mayor on why Whitney Williams should be Montana's next governor |url=https://mtstandard.com/opinion/columnists/guest-view-missoula-s-mayor-on-why-whitney-williams-should/article_9fd8dc38-dea9-55e9-8caa-5b45e3eed541.html |website=Montana Standard |language=en |date=November 12, 2019}}
Organizations
- EMILY's List{{cite web |last1=Schriock |first1=Stephanie |title=EMILY's List Endorses Whitney Williams for Montana Governor |url=https://www.emilyslist.org/news/entry/emilys-list-endorses-whitney-williams-for-montana-governor |website=emilyslist.org |publisher=EMILY's List |language=en |date=October 8, 2019}}
}}
=Polling=
Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:50px;"| Mike ! style="width:50px;"| Reilly ! style="width:50px;"| Casey ! style="width:50px;"| Whitney ! Other / |
style="text-align:left;"|Montana State University Billings[https://www.msubillings.edu/cas/nams/polls/2019%20Mountain%20States%20Poll%20Report.pdf Montana State University Billings] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191025005153/http://www.msubillings.edu/cas/nams/polls/2019%20Mountain%20States%20Poll%20Report.pdf |date=2019-10-25 }}
|October 7–16, 2019 | style="background: red; color: white;" | 40 (LV) | – | {{party shading/Democratic}}|19% | 2% | 6% | 11% | {{party shading/Undecided}}|62% |
=Results=
[[File:Montana gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2020.svg|thumb|300px|Results by county
{{collapsible list
| title = {{legend|#7996e2ff|Cooney}}
|{{legend|#7996e2ff|50–60%}}
|{{legend|#6674deff|60–70%}}
|{{legend|#584cdeff|70–80%}}
}}
{{collapsible list
| title = {{legend|#cdafdcf0|Tie}}
|{{legend|#cdafdcf0|50–60%}}
}}
{{collapsible list
| title = {{legend|#aade87|Williams}}
|{{legend|#aade87|50–60%}}
}}
]]
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic primary results{{Cite web |url=https://sosmt.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020PrimaryReportStateCanvass.pdf|title=2020 STATEWIDE PRIMARY ELECTION CANVASS|publisher=Montana Secretary of State |access-date= June 2, 2020}}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Mike Cooney
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 81,527
| percentage = 54.86%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Whitney Williams
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 67,066
| percentage = 45.14%
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 148,593
| percentage = 100.00%
}}
{{Election box end}}
Republican primary
=Candidates=
==Nominee==
- Greg Gianforte, incumbent U.S. Representative for Montana's at-large congressional district and nominee for Governor of Montana in 2016{{cite web|last=Michels|first=Holly K.|title=Gianforte files to run for governor in 2020|url=https://helenair.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/gianforte-files-to-run-for-governor-in/article_9f84d0da-2a79-5066-b2c3-23e9b418b5d2.html|work=Independent Record|date=June 7, 2019}}
:*Running mate: Kristen Juras, businesswoman and attorney{{cite news |last1=Drake |first1=Phil |title=Gianforte names Great Falls attorney Kristen Juras as lieutenant governor running mate |url=https://www.greatfallstribune.com/story/news/2020/03/01/greg-gianforte-great-falls-attorney-kristen-juras-lieutenant-governor-running-mate/4922976002/ |publisher=Great Falls Tribune |date=March 1, 2020 |access-date=May 26, 2020}}
==Eliminated in primary==
- Tim Fox, Attorney General of Montana{{Cite web|url=https://ktvq.com/news/montana-news/2019/03/27/montanas-2020-governors-race-buckle-up/|title=Montana's 2020 governor's race: Buckle up|date=2019-03-28|website=KTVQ.com|language=en-US|access-date=2019-03-28}}{{Cite web|url=https://ktvh.com/news/2019/06/06/gianforte-files-fundraising-paperwork-to-run-for-governor-in-2020/|title=Gianforte files fundraising paperwork to run for governor in 2020|date=2019-06-06|website=KTVH.com|language=en-US|access-date=2019-06-07}}{{cite news|last1=Dennison|first1=Mike|title=Attorney General Fox launches gubernatorial bid|url=https://krtv.com/news/2019/01/24/attorney-general-fox-launches-gubernatorial-bid/|publisher=KRTV|date=January 24, 2019|access-date=January 24, 2019|archive-date=January 25, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190125021416/https://krtv.com/news/2019/01/24/attorney-general-fox-launches-gubernatorial-bid/|url-status=dead}}{{Cite web|url=https://helenair.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/fox-unfazed-by-prospect-that-gianforte-may-enter-montana-s/article_3002e5c9-e421-5549-996d-fc7441552aa6.html|title=Fox unfazed by prospect that Gianforte may enter Montana's race for governor|last=patrick.reilly@missoulian.com|first=PATRICK REILLY|website=Helena Independent Record|date=22 March 2019 |language=en|access-date=2019-03-25}}
:*Running mate: Jon Knokey, former state representative
- Albert Olszewski, state senator and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018{{cite news|last1=Dennison|first1=Mike|title=Montana 2020: Gianforte gubernatorial run would have 'domino effect' on statewide races|url=https://krtv.com/news/montana-politics/2019/03/20/montana-2020-gianforte-gubernatorial-run-would-have-domino-effect-on-statewide-races/|publisher=KRTV|date=March 20, 2019|access-date=March 21, 2019}}
:*Running mate: Kenneth Bogner, state senator{{cite news |last1=Drake |first1=Phil |title=Olszewski picks Bogner to run as lieutenant governor |url=https://www.greatfallstribune.com/story/news/2019/10/03/montana-gubernatorial-candidate-picks-running-mate/3858972002/ |publisher=Great Falls Tribune |date=October 4, 2019 |access-date=May 26, 2020}}
==Withdrawn==
- Gary Perry, former state senator{{cite news|url=https://fox28spokane.com/fox-has-212k-in-bank-as-gop-governors-race-narrows/|title=Fox has 212k in bank as GOP governor's race narrows|publisher=fox28spokane.com|date=July 5, 2019|accessdate=July 9, 2019|archive-date=July 6, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190706162934/https://fox28spokane.com/fox-has-212k-in-bank-as-gop-governors-race-narrows/|url-status=dead}}
- Corey Stapleton, Secretary of State of Montana, candidate for Governor of Montana in 2012 and candidate for the U.S. House in 2014 (running for the U.S. House){{cite news|last1=Drake|first1=Phil|title=Stapleton announces run for U.S. House seat|url=https://www.greatfallstribune.com/story/news/2019/06/15/stapleton-run-montanas-u-s-house-seat/1464511001/|newspaper=Great Falls Tribune|date=June 15, 2019|access-date=June 15, 2019}}
- Pete Ziehli
==Declined==
- Matt Rosendale, Montana State Auditor and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2018 (running for the U.S. House){{cite news|last1=Pathé|first1=Simone|title=On heels of Senate loss, Matt Rosendale running for Congress — again|url=http://www.rollcall.com/news/heels-senate-loss-matt-rosendale-running-congress|publisher=Roll Call|date=June 17, 2019|access-date=June 17, 2019|archive-date=June 17, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190617173217/http://www.rollcall.com/news/heels-senate-loss-matt-rosendale-running-congress|url-status=dead}}
- Ryan Zinke, former United States Secretary of Interior and former U.S. Representative for Montana's at-large congressional district{{cite news |agency= Associated Press |title= Zinke says he won't run for Montana governor in 2020 |url=https://www.greatfallstribune.com/story/news/2018/11/09/zinke-says-he-wont-run-montana-governor-2020/1946803002/ |access-date=November 12, 2018 |publisher=Great Falls Tribune |date= November 9, 2018}}{{cite news |last=Lefebvre |first=Ben |title= Zinke prepares to leave Trump's Cabinet |url= https://www.politico.com/story/2018/11/08/ryan-zinke-fox-news-956537 |access-date= November 12, 2018 |publisher=Politico |date= November 8, 2018}}
= Endorsements =
{{Endorsements box
|title=Greg Gianforte
|list=
Individuals
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman, son of President Donald Trump{{cite news |last1=Trump |first1=Donald Jr. |title=Montana's A-Team: Daines, Rosendale, Gianforte |url=https://missoulian.com/opinion/columnists/montana-s-a-team-daines-rosendale-gianforte/article_9c5cab4e-e830-5d50-b104-68ca74374d7e.html |access-date=22 December 2019 |work=missoulian.com |language=en}}
Organizations
- Crow Tribe of Montana{{cite news |title=Crow Tribal Chairman endorses Trump campaign |url=https://indiancountrytoday.com/news/crow-tribal-chairman-endorses-trump-campaign-0XWBbrkBP0KzVwQnkjQo3A |newspaper=Ict News |access-date=September 29, 2020}}
- Susan B. Anthony List{{Cite web|url=https://www.sba-list.org/candidate/greg-gianforte|title=Greg Gianforte|access-date=2019-12-06|archive-date=2019-12-06|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191206204726/https://www.sba-list.org/candidate/greg-gianforte|url-status=dead}}
}}
=Polling=
Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:50px;"| Tim ! style="width:50px;"| Greg ! style="width:50px;"| Albert ! Other / |
style="text-align:left;"|Montana State University Billings[https://www.msubillings.edu/cas/nams/polls/2019%20Mountain%20States%20Poll%20Report.pdf Montana State University Billings] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191025005153/http://www.msubillings.edu/cas/nams/polls/2019%20Mountain%20States%20Poll%20Report.pdf |date=2019-10-25 }}
|October 7–16, 2019 | style="background: red; color: white;" | 99 (LV) | – |25% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 33% |9% |32% |
style="text-align:left;"|Gravis Marketing[https://orlando-politics.com/2019/09/04/gravis-releases-montana-poll/#prettyPhoto Gravis Marketing]
| August 28–30, 2019 | 433 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 29% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 56% | 15% | – |
style="text-align:left;"|Moore Information[https://www.greatfallstribune.com/story/news/2019/08/02/montana-governor-scares-gop-adviser/1899217001/ Moore Information]{{efn-ua|Commissioned by Gianforte|name="R1"}}
| July 7–10, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 17% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 56% | 5% | 23% |
=Results=
[[File:Montana gubernatorial Republican primary, 2020.svg|thumb|300px|Results by county
{{collapsible list
| title = {{legend|#E27F7F|Gianforte}}
|{{legend|#FFB2B2|40–50%}}
|{{legend|#E27F7F|50–60%}}
|{{legend|#D75D5D|60–70%}}
|{{legend|#D72F30|70–80%}}
}}
{{collapsible list
| title = {{legend|#FF9A50|Fox}}
|{{legend|#FFB580|40–50%}}
|{{legend|#FF9A50|50–60%}}
}}
]]
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Greg Gianforte
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 119,247
| percentage = 53.44%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Tim Fox
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 60,823
| percentage = 27.26%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Albert Olszewski
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 43,080
| percentage = 19.30%
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 223,150
| percentage = 100.00%
}}
{{Election box end}}
Other candidates
=Libertarian Party=
==Nominee==
- Lyman Bishop, founder and CEO of Hoplite Armor{{cite web |last1=Michels |first1=Holly K. |title=Filing deadline for Montana ballot sees last-minute surprises |url=https://www.bozemandailychronicle.com/news/politics/filing-deadline-for-montana-ballot-sees-last-minute-surprises/article_e30ba5e8-740b-550e-87bf-04a5d48b2569.html |website=Bozeman Daily Chronicle |date=March 10, 2020}}
- Running mate: John Nesper
==Withdrawn==
- Ron Vandevender, nominee for lieutenant governor in 2016 and nominee for governor in 2012{{cite news|title=Former Democratic legislator to run for Montana governor|url=https://missoulian.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/former-democratic-legislator-to-run-for-montana-governor/article_c04c019f-2c63-5a6b-817b-09ec50e0419e.html|agency=Associated Press|newspaper=The Missoulian|date=June 10, 2019|access-date=June 10, 2019}}{{cite news |access-date=April 24, 2020 |date=February 9, 2020 |url=https://eu.greatfallstribune.com/story/news/2020/02/09/so-what-would-you-do-montana-gubernatorial-candidates-asked-garcia/4707691002/ |work=Great Falls Tribune |first=Phil |last=Drake |title=So what would you do? Candidates asked about Garcia}}{{cite news |access-date=April 24, 2020 |date=March 26, 2020 |url=https://news.ballotpedia.org/2020/03/16/seven-candidates-file-to-run-for-governor-of-montana/ |title=Seven candidates file to run for governor of Montana |first=Brittony |last=Maag |work=Ballotpedia News}}
=Green Party=
==Disqualified==
- Robert Barb{{cite web |last1=Michels |first1=Holly |title=Helena judge again takes Green Party off the ballot |url=https://helenair.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/helena-judge-again-takes-green-party-off-the-ballot/article_2701fe97-88bb-5388-ab7f-340724b3f880.html |website=Helena Independent Record |access-date=August 7, 2020 |date=August 7, 2020}}
- Running mate: Joshua Thomas
==Results==
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Green primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Robert Barb
| party = Green Party (United States)
| votes = 713
| percentage = 100.0%
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 713
| percentage = 100.0%
}}
{{Election box end}}
General election
=Debate=
class="wikitable sortable"
! rowspan="2" |Host ! rowspan="2" |Date & Time ! rowspan="2" |Link(s) ! colspan="2" |Participants |
Mike Cooney (D)
!Greg Gianforte (R) |
---|
align="center" |Montana PBS
| align="center" |October 6, 2020 | align="center" |{{Cite web|title=Montana Gubernatorial Debate|url=https://www.c-span.org/video/?476188-1/montana-gubernatorial-debate|date=2020-10-06|website=C-SPAN}} |{{Yes|Present}} |{{Yes|Present}} |
=Predictions=
=Endorsements=
{{Endorsements box
|title=Mike Cooney (D)
|list=
Statewide and local politicians
- Jacob Bachmeier, state representative
- Steve Bullock, Governor of Montana and former candidate for President in 2020
- Mary Ann Dunwell, state representative
- Moffie Funk, state representative
Federal politicians
- Jon Tester, U.S. Senator (MT)
Organizations
- AFL–CIO Montana{{citation needed|date=March 2022}}
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Local 190
- Montana Federation of Public Employees{{citation needed|date=March 2022}}
}}
{{Endorsements box
|title=Greg Gianforte (R)
|list=
U.S. Presidents
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United Stateshttps://amp/s/amp.greatfallstribune.com/amp/3510309001{{Dead link|date=August 2021 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}
Individuals
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman, son of President Donald Trump
Organizations
}}
=Polling=
{{Graph:Chart
| width=700
| height=400
| xAxisTitle=
| yAxisTitle=%support
| xAxisAngle = -40
| legend=Candidate
| interpolate = bundle
| size = 77
| xType = date
| y1Title=Mike Cooney
| y2Title=Greg Gianforte
| y3Title=Other/Undecided
| type=line
|xGrid=
| x= 2020/04/21, 2020/06/17, 2020/07/10, 2020/07/13, 2020/07/31, 2020/08/18, 2020/09/14, 2020/10/02, 2020/10/07, 2020/10/15, 2020/10/18, 2020/10/20, 2020/10/20, 2020/10/24, 2020/11/02
| y1= 41, 36, 42, 44, 41, 46, 39, 42, 41, 41, 44, 41, 44, 45, 44
| y2= 43, 46, 46, 47, 50, 47, 45, 47, 54, 48, 48, 48, 48, 45, 48
| y3= 16, 18, 12, 9, 10, , 16, 11, 5, 11, 8, 11, 8, 11, 6
| colors = #3333FF, #E81B23, #DCDCDC,
| showSymbols = 1
| yGrid = true
| linewidth = 2.0
}}
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Mike ! style="width:100px;"| Greg ! Other / |
style="text-align:left;"|Change Research[https://changeresearch.com/post/final-public-polling-2020/ Change Research]
|October 29 – November 2, 2020 |920 (LV) |± 3.5% |44% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 48% |6%{{efn|Bishop (L) with 3%; "Don't recall" with 2%; Did not vote with 1%; Would not vote with 0%; Undecided with 1%}} |
style="text-align:left;"|Montana State University Billings[http://www.msubillings.edu/class/nams/polls/2020-mountain-states-poll-report.pdf Montana State University Billings]
|October 19–24, 2020 |546 (LV) |± 4.2% |45% |45% |11%{{efn|Bishop (L) with 2%; Undecided with 9%}} |
style="text-align:left;"|Siena College/NYT Upshot[https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/mt101820-crosstabs/1bf52689f78606b4/full.pdf Siena College/NYT Upshot]
|October 18–20, 2020 |758 (LV) |± 4.4% |44% |{{party shading/Republican}}|48% |8%{{efn|Bishop (L) with 4%; "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 4%}} |
style="text-align:left;"|Strategies 360/NBCMT[https://nbcmontana.com/news/beyond-the-podium/nbc-montanastrategies-360-poll-shows-extremely-tight-montana-races Strategies 360/NBCMT]
|October 15–20, 2020 |500 (LV) |± 4.4% |41% |{{party shading/Republican}}|48% | 11%{{efn|Bishop (L) with 4%; Undecided with 7%}} |
rowspan=3 style="text-align:left;"|RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/25/mt-governor-gianforter-48-cooneyd-45/ RMG Research/PoliticalIQ] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201026211610/http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/25/mt-governor-gianforter-48-cooneyd-45/ |date=2020-10-26 }}
|rowspan=3|October 15–18, 2020 |rowspan=3|800 (LV) |rowspan=3|± 3.5% |45%{{efn|Standard VI response}} |{{party shading/Republican}}|48% |5%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 2%; Undecided with 3%}} |
{{party shading/Democratic}}|47%{{efn|Results generated with high Democratic turnout model}}
|46% |5%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 2%; Undecided with 3%}} |
43%{{efn|Results generated with high Republican turnout model}}
|{{party shading/Republican}}|50% |5%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 2%; Undecided with 3%}} |
style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College[https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/montana-2020-republicans-hold-advantages-in-presidential-us-senate-and-governor-races Emerson College]
|October 4–7, 2020 |500 (LV) |± 3.7% |41% |{{party shading/Republican}}|54% |5%{{efn|"Someone else" with 1%; Undecided with 4%}} |
style="text-align:left;"|Montana State University Bozeman[https://helpslab.montana.edu/documents/treasure_state_2020_election_surveys/Governor_Overview_Final_11Oct2020.pdf Montana State University Bozeman] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201015162255/https://helpslab.montana.edu/documents/treasure_state_2020_election_surveys/Governor_Overview_Final_11Oct2020.pdf |date=2020-10-15 }}
|September 14 – October 2, 2020 |1,605 (LV) |± 3.9% |42% |{{party shading/Republican}}|47% |11%{{efn|"Other" with 4% (including Bishop (L) with <2%); Undecided with 7%}} |
style="text-align:left;"|Siena College/NYT Upshot[https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/mt-crosstabs/4da3e297acefb561/full.pdf Siena College/NYT Upshot]
|September 14–16, 2020 |625 (LV) |± 4.8% |39% |{{party shading/Republican}}|45% |16%{{efn|Bishop (L) with 4%; Barb (G) and would not vote with 1%; "someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 10%}} |
style="text-align:left;"|Global Strategy Group (D)[https://globalstrategygroup.app.box.com/s/j8vieq0a2gxmspgqpw8s7jeqt1uie2jh Global Strategy Group (D)] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200904101854/https://globalstrategygroup.app.box.com/s/j8vieq0a2gxmspgqpw8s7jeqt1uie2jh |date=2020-09-04 }}
|August 18–23, 2020 |600 (LV) | – |46% |{{party shading/Republican}}|47% | – |
style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College[https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/montana-2020-trump-holds-strong-as-biden-coalesces-support Emerson College]
|July 31 – August 2, 2020 |584 (LV) |± 4.0% |41% |{{party shading/Republican}}|50% |10%{{efn|"Someone else" with 3%; Undecided with 7%}} |
style="text-align:left;"|Civiqs/Daily Kos[https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_DailyKos_MT_banner_book_2020_07_ba6t8k.pdf Civiqs/Daily Kos]
| July 11–13, 2020 | 873 (RV) | ± 4.2% |44% |{{party shading/Republican}}|47% |9%{{efn|"Someone else" with 5%; Undecided with 4%}} |
style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling[https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/polls/bullock-most-popular-montana-politician-narrowly-leads-daines/ Public Policy Polling]{{efn-ua|Poll's funding was crowdsourced by Election Twitter.}}
| July 9–10, 2020 | 1,224 (V) | ± 2.8% | 42% | {{party shading/Republican}}|46% | 12%{{efn|Undecided with 12%}} |
style="text-align:left;"|University of Montana[http://www.umt.edu/bigskypoll/Polls/summer2020/summer2020---aggregate.pdf University of Montana]
| June 17–26, 2020 | 517 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | {{party shading/Republican}}|46% | 18%{{efn|Undecided with 18.3%}} |
style="text-align:left;"|The Progress Campaign (D)[https://becd085d-5f24-4974-b9b5-73518197155a.filesusr.com/ugd/83fab9_ea0b6be5c6aa40798a1707ad61c90d59.pdf The Progress Campaign (D)]
| April 14–21, 2020 | 1,712 (RV) | ± 4.6% |41% |{{party shading/Republican}}|43% |16%{{efn|Undecided with 16%}} |
{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}
with Mike Cooney, Tim Fox, Greg Gianforte, Albert Olszewski, Ron Vandevender and Whitney Williams
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:50px;"| Democratic ! style="width:50px;"| Republican ! style="width:50px;"| Ron |
style="text-align:left;"|University of Montana[https://www.umt.edu/bigskypoll/Methodology/Spring2020_Aggregate%20Report%20with%20Xtabs.pdf University of Montana]
| February 12–22, 2020 | 498 (LV) | ± 4.4% |35.1%{{efn|Cooney with 21%; Williams with 14.1%}} |{{party shading/Republican}}|61.7%{{efn|Gianforte with 35%; Fox with 21.6%; Olszewski with 6.9%}} |1.3% |
with Mike Cooney, Tim Fox, Greg Gianforte, Reilly Neill, Albert Olszewski, Gary Perry, Casey Schreiner and Whitney Williams
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:50px;"| Democratic ! style="width:50px;"| Republican |
style="text-align:left;"|University of Montana[http://www.umt.edu/bigskypoll/Methodology/FINALFINALBSP%204.0%20Aggregate%20Report%20with%20Xtabs.pdf University of Montana]
| September 26 – October 3, 2019 | 303 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 40%{{efn|Cooney with 23%; Williams with 7.9%; Schreiner with 6%; Neill with 3.1%}} | {{party shading/Republican}}|60.1%{{efn|Gianforte with 35.1%; Fox with 16.1%; Olszewski with 8.1%; Perry with 0.8%}} |
with Tim Fox, Matt Rosendale, Corey Stapleton, Kathleen Williams and Whitney Williams
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:50px;"| Democratic ! style="width:50px;"| Republican ! Other / |
style="text-align:left;"|University of Montana[http://www.umt.edu/bigskypoll/Methodology/BSP%203.0%20Aggregate%20Report%20with%20Xtabs_Final.pdf University of Montana]
|February 21 – March 1, 2019 |293 (RV) |± 5.7% |32.4%{{efn|Kathleen Williams with 26.6%; Cooney with 5.2%; Whitney Williams with 0.6%}} |{{party shading/Republican}}|48.4%{{efn|Fox with 16.8%; Gianforte with 16.1%; Stapleton with 8%; Rosendale with 7.5%}} |19.2%{{efn|"Someone else" with 15.4%; "none/do not plan to vote" with 3.8%}} |
{{hidden end}}
=Results=
{{Election box begin
| title = 2020 Montana gubernatorial election{{cite news|title=Montana Statewide Election Results|url=https://electionresults.mt.gov/resultsSW.aspx?type=STATE&map=CTY|publisher=Montana Secretary of State|date=November 3, 2020|access-date=November 18, 2020}}https://sosmt.gov/wp-content/uploads/State_Canvass_Writein_by_County.pdf
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
|candidate = {{ubl|Greg Gianforte|Kristen Juras}}
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|votes = 328,548
|percentage = 54.43%
|change = +8.08%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
|candidate = {{ubl|Mike Cooney|Casey Schreiner}}
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|votes = 250,860
|percentage = 41.56%
|change = -8.69%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
|candidate = {{ubl|Lyman Bishop|John Nesper}}
|party = Libertarian Party (United States)
|votes = 24,179
|percentage = 4.01%
|change = +0.61%
}}
{{Election box write-in with party link
|votes = 21
|percentage = 0.00%
|change = N/A
}}
{{Election box total
|votes = 603,608
|percentage = 100.00%
|change =
}}
{{Election box turnout
|votes = 612,075
|percentage = 81.33%
|change =
}}
{{Election box registered electors
|reg. electors = 752,538
}}
{{Election box gain with party link no swing
|winner = Republican Party (United States)
|loser = Democratic Party (United States)
}}
{{Election box end}}
== By county ==
class="wikitable sortable"
! rowspan="2" |County ! colspan="2" |Greg Gianforte Kristen Juras Republican ! colspan="2" |Mike Cooney Casey Schreiner Democratic ! colspan="2" |Lyman Bishop John Nesper Libertarian ! colspan="2" |Margin ! rowspan="2" |Total votes |
%
!# !% !# !% !# !% !# |
---|
Beaverhead
|66.81% |3,779 |29.49% |1,668 |3.70% |209 |39.32% |2,111 |5,656 |
Big Horn
|43.35% |2,078 |52.42% |2,513 |4.23% |203 |-9.07% |-445 |4,794 |
Blaine
|43.79% |1,365 |51.94% |1,619 |4.27% |133 |-8.15% |-254 |3,117 |
Broadwater
|73.97% |3,032 |22.64% |928 |3.39% |139 |51.33% |2,104 |4,099 |
Carbon
|60.81% |4,303 |35.30% |2,498 |3.89% |275 |25.51% |1,805 |7,076 |
Carter
|87.28% |748 |10.62% |91 |2.10% |18 |76.66% |657 |857 |
Cascade
|55.79% |22,221 |39.97% |15,922 |4.24% |1,689 |15.82% |6,299 |39,832 |
Chouteau
|61.10% |1,816 |35.26% |1,048 |3.63% |108 |25.84% |768 |2,972 |
Custer
|67.66% |3,971 |27.59% |1,619 |4.75% |279 |40.07% |2,352 |5,869 |
Daniels
|76.11% |768 |21.51% |217 |2.38% |24 |54.60% |551 |1,009 |
Dawson
|73.02% |3,524 |23.29% |1,124 |3.69% |178 |49.73% |2,400 |4,826 |
Deer Lodge
|38.60% |1,881 |56.37% |2,747 |5.03% |245 |-17.77% |-866 |4,873 |
Fallon
|82.83% |1,288 |14.02% |218 |3.15% |49 |68.81% |1,070 |1,555 |
Fergus
|72.89% |4,737 |24.11% |1,567 |3.00% |195 |48.78% |3,170 |6,499 |
Flathead
|62.20% |37,213 |34.08% |20,387 |3.72% |2,225 |28.12% |16,826 |59,825 |
Gallatin
|44.21% |31,368 |51.85% |36,788 |3.94% |2,800 |7.64% |5,420 |70,956 |
Garfield
|92.37% |751 |5.91% |48 |1.72% |14 |86.46% |703 |813 |
Glacier
|30.07% |1,709 |65.62% |3,730 |4.31% |245 |-35.55% |-2,021 |5,684 |
Golden Valley
|81.31% |409 |15.91% |80 |2.78% |14 |65.40% |329 |503 |
Granite
|64.37% |1,348 |31.47% |659 |4.16% |87 |32.90% |689 |2,094 |
Hill
|50.72% |3,642 |43.81% |3,146 |5.47% |393 |6.91% |496 |7,181 |
Jefferson
|62.39% |5,097 |34.17% |2,791 |3.44% |281 |28.22% |2,306 |8,169 |
Judith Basin
|75.56% |1,017 |20.88% |281 |3.56% |48 |54.68% |746 |1,346 |
Lake
|53.73% |8,913 |41.50% |6,885 |4.77% |791 |12.23% |2,028 |16,589 |
Lewis and Clark
|47.05% |19,969 |49.54% |21,022 |3.41% |1,448 |-2.49% |-1,053 |42,439 |
Liberty
|72.76% |788 |24.75% |268 |2.49% |27 |48.01% |520 |1,083 |
Lincoln
|70.74% |8,279 |25.64% |3,001 |3.62% |424 |45.10% |5,278 |11,704 |
Madison
|65.57% |3,992 |30.83% |1,877 |3.60% |219 |34.74% |2,115 |6,088 |
McCone
|82.45% |921 |14.77% |165 |2.78% |31 |67.68% |756 |1,117 |
Meagher
|74.01% |823 |23.02% |256 |2.97% |33 |50.99% |567 |1,112 |
Mineral
|67.20% |1,715 |27.67% |706 |5.13% |131 |39.53% |1,009 |2,552 |
Missoula
|35.55% |25,448 |60.67% |43,426 |3.78% |2,706 |-25.12% |-17,978 |71,580 |
Musselshell
|80.77% |2,318 |15.68% |450 |3.55% |102 |65.09% |1,868 |2,870 |
Park
|50.07% |5,798 |46.32% |5,364 |3.61% |418 |3.75% |434 |11,580 |
Petroleum
|85.43% |299 |12.57% |44 |2.00% |7 |72.86% |255 |350 |
Phillips
|80.40% |1,908 |17.36% |412 |2.24% |53 |63.04% |1,496 |2,373 |
Pondera
|66.10% |1,981 |30.43% |912 |3.47% |104 |35.67% |1,069 |2,997 |
Powder River
|83.53% |943 |14.35% |162 |2.12% |24 |69.18% |781 |1,129 |
Powell
|69.41% |2,212 |26.64% |849 |3.95% |126 |42.77% |1,363 |3,187 |
Prairie
|74.52% |544 |21.92% |160 |3.56% |26 |52.60% |384 |730 |
Ravalli
|65.11% |18,557 |31.17% |8,883 |3.72% |1,063 |33.94% |9,674 |28,503 |
Richland
|78.31% |4,506 |17.67% |1,017 |4.02% |231 |60.64% |3,489 |5,754 |
Roosevelt
|46.39% |1,859 |48.94% |1,961 |4.67% |187 |-2.55% |-102 |4,007 |
Rosebud
|63.06% |2,363 |32.99% |1,236 |3.95% |148 |30.07% |1,127 |3,747 |
Sanders
|70.47% |5,346 |24.65% |1,870 |4.88% |370 |45.82% |3,476 |7,586 |
Sheridan
|64.48% |1,300 |31.45% |634 |4.07% |82 |33.03% |666 |2,016 |
Silver Bow
|34.57% |6,490 |61.23% |11,495 |4.20% |788 |-26.66% |-5,005 |18,773 |
Stillwater
|74.96% |4,292 |22.06% |1,263 |2.98% |171 |52.90% |3,029 |5,726 |
Sweet Grass
|73.57% |1,801 |22.59% |553 |3.84% |94 |50.98% |1,248 |2,448 |
Teton
|67.76% |2,497 |28.58% |1,053 |3.66% |135 |39.18% |1,444 |3,685 |
Toole
|73.10% |1,546 |22.13% |468 |4.78% |101 |50.97% |1,078 |2,115 |
Treasure
|77.82% |358 |19.35% |89 |2.83% |13 |58.47% |269 |460 |
Valley
|68.24% |2,899 |27.83% |1,182 |3.93% |167 |40.41% |1,717 |4,248 |
Wheatland
|72.36% |767 |23.68% |251 |3.96% |42 |48.68% |516 |1,060 |
Wibaux
|79.49% |465 |17.95% |105 |2.56% |15 |61.54% |360 |585 |
Yellowstone
|57.03% |48,586 |36.57% |31,152 |6.40% |5453 |20.46% |17,434 |85,191 |
Total
|54.43% |328,548 |41.56% |250,860 |4.01% |24,179 |12.87% |77,688 |603,587 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Cascade (largest city: Great Falls)
- Hill (largest city: Havre)
- Lake (largest city: Polson)
- Park (largest city: Livingston)
Notes
{{notelist}}
Partisan clients
{{notelist-ua}}
References
{{Reflist}}
External links
Official campaign websites
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20201003141638/https://www.lyman2020.com/ Lyman Bishop (L) for Governor]
- {{usurped|1=[https://web.archive.org/web/20201031170019/https://cooneyformontana.com/ Mike Cooney (D) for Governor]}}
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20201030144740/https://gregformontana.com/ Greg Gianforte (R) for Governor]
{{2020 United States elections}}