2020 United States Senate election in Montana
{{Short description|none}}
{{distinguish|2020 Montana Senate election}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=November 2020}}
{{use American English|date=November 2020}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2020 United States Senate election in Montana
| country = Montana
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2014 United States Senate election in Montana
| previous_year = 2014
| next_election = 2026 United States Senate election in Montana
| next_year = 2026
| election_date = November 3, 2020
| image1 = File:Steve Daines, Official Portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg
| image_size = x150px
| nominee1 = Steve Daines
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 333,174
| percentage1 = 55.01%
| image2 = File:Steve Bullock by Gage Skidmore.jpg
| nominee2 = Steve Bullock
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 272,463
| percentage2 = 44.99%
| map_image = {{switcher |300px |County results |300px |Precinct results |default=1}}
| map_size = 300px
| map_caption = Daines: {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#c21b18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#a80000|>90%}}
Bullock: {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}
{{legend0|#808080|No data}}
| title = U.S. Senator
| before_election = Steve Daines
| before_party = Republican Party (United States)
| after_election = Steve Daines
| after_party = Republican Party (United States)
| turnout = 81.33% {{increase}}{{cite web |url=https://sosmt.gov/elections/voter-turnout/|title=Montana Voter Turnout|newspaper=Montana Secretary of State - Christi Jacobsen|date=22 February 2018 |access-date=2022-05-26}}
}}{{Elections in Montana}}
The 2020 United States Senate election in Montana was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Montana. It was held concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. The primaries for both the Democratic and Republican nominations took place on June 2, 2020. Incumbent senator Steve Daines won the Republican primary, while Montana governor Steve Bullock won the Democratic primary.{{Cite web|last=Drake|first=Phil|title=Daines, Bullock take party primaries in Montana US Senate race|url=https://www.greatfallstribune.com/story/news/2020/06/02/montana-primary-2020-steve-bullock-steve-daines-senate-results/5310110002/|access-date=2020-11-29|website=Great Falls Tribune|language=en-US}}
Originally, this seat was projected to be a safe Republican hold.{{cite news |title=Here's who we think will win the 2020 elections in Montana |url=https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/montana/ |website=Politico |date=November 19, 2019 |access-date=April 12, 2020}} However, Bullock entered the race on the last day to file, shifting the dynamics of the contest dramatically; many political pundits then considered it a competitive race and a potential pickup for Democrats.{{cite web |last1=Nilsen |first1=Ella |last2=Zhou |first2=Li |title=Gov. Steve Bullock just made the Montana Senate race competitive for Democrats |url=https://www.vox.com/2020/3/9/21166028/steve-bullock-montana-senate-rac |website=Vox |date=March 9, 2020 |access-date=April 12, 2020}} One poll showed Bullock leading by seven points.{{cite web |title=Western States Coronavirus Survey - Montana - Politics and Policy Questions |url=https://helpslab.montana.edu/documents/western_states_2020_coronavirus_survey/PoliticsPolicy_Montana_Frequencies_01May2020_RELEASE.pdf |publisher=Montana State University - HELPS Lab}} Democrats outspent Republicans $82 million to $63 million on this race; it was one of the most expensive Senate races in the 2020 cycle.{{Cite web|date=2020-11-01|title=Trump noticeably absent from key US Senate race in Montana|url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireStory/trump-noticeably-absent-key-us-senate-race-montana-73958019|access-date=2021-02-16|website=ABC News|language=en-us}} On Election Day, Daines prevailed by a relatively comfortable 10% margin following a trend of Republican Senate candidates outperforming expectations.
Despite his loss, Bullock did outperform Biden, who lost Montana by a 16.4% margin.{{cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-montana-senate.html|title=Montana U.S. Senate Election Results|work=The New York Times |date=November 3, 2020 |access-date=11 February 2021}} He also flipped two counties won by Donald Trump in the presidential contest — Lewis and Clark and Roosevelt.
This election marked the first time since 2000 where Montana voted for a Republican governor, president, and senator all on the same ballot. As the Green Party was removed from the ballot and both Libertarian nominees withdrew, this was the first time since 1988 that there were no third-party candidates running for either United States House of Representatives or United States Senate in Montana.{{Cite news |date=September 13, 2020 |title=No Alternative Candidates on Montana Ballot for Any Congressional Race |work=Ballot Access News |url=http://ballot-access.org/2020/09/13/no-alternative-candidates-on-montana-ballot-for-any-congressional-race/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://archive.today/20200913205414/http://ballot-access.org/2020/09/13/no-alternative-candidates-on-montana-ballot-for-any-congressional-race/ |archive-date=September 13, 2020 |access-date=September 13, 2020 }} This was the first time ever that an incumbent Republican senator was re-elected to this seat.
Republican primary
=Candidates=
==Nominee==
==Eliminated in primary==
- John Driscoll, former Democratic Speaker of the Montana House of Representatives (1977–1979){{cite news |last1=Michels |first1=Holly |title=Filing deadline for Montana ballot sees last-minute surprises |url=https://helenair.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/it-s-the-last-day-to-get-on-montana-ballot/article_84b479c9-e705-5b93-a912-7a31573c0b5b.html |website=Helena Independent Record |date=March 9, 2020}}
- Daniel Larson, hardware store manager
=Endorsements=
{{Endorsements box
|title=Steve Daines
|list=
;Individuals
- Donald Trump Jr., son of President Donald Trump{{cite news |last1=Trump |first1=Donald Jr. |date=November 25, 2019 |title=Montana's A-Team: Daines, Rosendale, Gianforte |url=https://missoulian.com/opinion/columnists/montana-s-a-team-daines-rosendale-gianforte/article_9c5cab4e-e830-5d50-b104-68ca74374d7e.html |work=Missoulian |language=en |access-date=22 December 2019}}
}}
=Results=
[[File:Montana U.S. Senate Republican primary, 2020.svg|thumb|300px|Results by county
{{collapsible list
|title={{legend|#e27f7f|Daines}}
|{{legend|#c21b18|80–90%}}
|{{legend|#A80000|90–100%}}
}}
]]
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results{{Cite web |url=https://sosmt.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020PrimaryReportStateCanvass.pdf|title=2020 Statewide Primary Election Canvass|publisher=Montana Secretary of State |access-date= June 2, 2020}}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Steve Daines (incumbent)
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 192,942
| percentage = 88.02%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = John Driscoll
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 13,944
| percentage = 6.36%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Daniel Larson
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 12,319
| percentage = 5.62%
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 219,205
| percentage = 100.00%
}}
{{Election box end}}
Democratic primary
Following Steve Bullock's entry shortly before the March 9 filing deadline, several Democrats dropped from the race.
=Candidates=
==Nominee==
- Steve Bullock, incumbent governor of Montana and former candidate for president of the United States in 2020{{cite news |last1=Arkin |first1=James |title=Bullock enters Montana Senate race |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/09/bullock-enters-montana-senate-race-124260 |website=Politico |language=en |date=March 9, 2020}}{{cite news |last1=Pramuk |first1=Jacob |title=Montana Gov. Steve Bullock launches Senate bid, a boost in Democrats' push for majority |url=https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/09/steve-bullock-will-run-for-senate-in-montana-in-2020-election.html |website=CNBC |language=en |date=March 9, 2020}}
==Eliminated in primary==
- John Mues, nuclear engineer and U.S. Navy veteran{{cite news |last1=Michels |first1=Holly |title=Democrat John Mues joins U.S. Senate race |url=https://missoulian.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/democrat-john-mues-joins-u-s-senate-race/article_3d134989-6fe5-532f-9b64-46cf9e9765e7.html |work=Missoulian |date=July 11, 2019}}
==Withdrawn==
- Jack Ballard, former professor at Montana State University Billings (endorsed Bullock){{cite news|title=Ballard drops from U.S. Senate Race |url=https://www.greatfallstribune.com/story/news/2019/09/13/montana-democrat-drops-u-s-senate-race/2313094001/ |website=Great Falls Tribune |date=September 13, 2019 |access-date=September 14, 2019}}
- Wilmot Collins, mayor of Helena (endorsed Bullock){{cite tweet |last1=Collins |first1=Wilmot |user=CollinsWilmot |number=1237147675054600192 |date=March 9, 2020 |title=Thank you, Montana. It's been my honor to run for U.S. Senate. Today I'm suspending my campaign and endorsing Governor Steve Bullock. |access-date=9 March 2020}}
- Mike Knoles, mathematician, physicist, and data analyst (endorsed Bullock){{Cite tweet |number=1236997949730611207 |user=KnolesMichael |title=With @GovernorBullock joining the Montana Senate race, I'll be dropping This race is too important to let my ego dictate decisions. @SteveDaines must go, and I will do everything I can to make sure we #FlipTheSenate I'll find another vector. Right now we've got a seat to flip! |author=Mike Knoles |date=March 9, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200309125612/https://twitter.com/KnolesMichael/status/1236997949730611207 |archive-date=March 9, 2020 |url-status=dead}} (remained on ballot)
- Cora Neumann, public health expert and founder of the Global First Ladies Alliance{{cite tweet |last=Neumann |first=Cora |user=CoraforMT |number=1237028772018180097 |date=March 9, 2020 |title=Today, I am announcing that I am withdrawing from the race for U.S. Senate and supporting Governor Steve Bullock's campaign. |access-date=March 9, 2020}} (endorsed Bullock){{cite tweet |user=LA_Hagen |number=1237018996026814465 |date=March 9, 2020 |title=With Bullock's entrance into #MTSEN, Democrat Cora Neumann drops out and endorses him}}
- Josh Seckinger, fishing guide (endorsed Bullock){{cite news |last1=Stein |first1=Perrin |title=Bozeman Senate candidate drops out of race, supports Bullock |url=https://www.bozemandailychronicle.com/news/politics/bozeman-senate-candidate-drops-out-of-race-supports-bullock/article_548ab9a5-c981-50c1-a3b4-044e0ec54df2.html |website=Bozeman Daily Chronicle}}
==Declined==
- Michael Punke, writer and former U.S. ambassador to the World Trade Organization{{cite news|last1=Lippman|first1=Daniel|title='The Revenant' author considering run for Montana Senate or governor|url=https://www.politico.com/story/2019/05/10/michael-punke-montana-election-1422087|work=Politico|date=May 10, 2019|access-date=May 10, 2019}}{{cite tweet |last=Punke |first=Michael |user=MPunke |number=1142825782642958336 |date=June 23, 2019 |title=As my friends and family know, I have been considering a run for Montana's senator or governor. I'm grateful for the encouragement I received. I have decided not to seek election this cycle. For my family &me, it's not the right time. Thx to all who offered advice &encouragement. |access-date=2019-06-23}}
- Brian Schweitzer, former governor of Montana{{cite web |last1=Singiser |first1=Steve |title=Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours? |url=https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2019/2/17/1832410/-Here-s-our-ultimate-Democratic-wishlist-for-Senate-in-2020-Who-s-on-yours |website=Daily Kos |access-date=19 February 2019}}
- Kathleen Williams, former state representative and nominee for Montana's at-large congressional district in 2018 (running for Montana's at-large congressional district){{cite news|title=Williams launches new bid for Montana US House seat|url=https://nbcmontana.com/news/local/williams-launches-new-bid-for-montana-us-house-seat|agency=Associated Press|publisher=KECI|date=April 5, 2019|access-date=April 5, 2019}}
=Endorsements=
{{Endorsements box
|title=Steve Bullock
|list=
;Federal officials
- Kamala Harris, U.S. senator from California (2017-2021), 2020 Democratic vice presidential nominee{{Cite web|url=https://medium.com/@KamalaHarris/kamala-harris-endorsements-68f1711e105|title=Kamala Harris Endorsements|date=May 9, 2020}}
}}
=Results=
[[File:Montana U.S. Senate Democratic primary, 2020.svg|thumb|300px|Results by county
{{collapsible list
| title = {{legend|#7996e2|Bullock}}
| {{legend|#3933e5|80–90%}}
| {{legend|#0d0596|90–100%}}
}}
]]
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Steve Bullock
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 144,949
| percentage = 95.45%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = John Mues
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 3,740
| percentage = 2.46%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Mike Knoles (withdrawn)
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 3,165
| percentage = 2.09%
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 151,854
| percentage = 100.00%
}}
{{Election box end}}
Other candidates
=Libertarian Party=
After Susan Geise officially withdrew, the Montana Libertarian Party could name a replacement candidate for the general election.{{cite news |title=Susan Good Geise: Montana Libertarian withdraws from U.S. Senate race |url=https://missoulacurrent.com/government/2020/05/libertarian-senate/ |website=Missoula Current |date=May 18, 2020}}{{cite web |title=Statement from the Montana Libertarian Party as Susan Good Geise withdraws from the US Senate race in Montana |url=https://www.facebook.com/notes/montana-libertarian-party/statement-from-the-montana-libertarian-party-as-susan-good-geise-withdraws-from-/2591793854427773/ |via=Facebook |date=May 16, 2020}} However, during a meeting to select a replacement candidate, a majority of party officials selected not to have a replacement candidate, with "none of the above" winning the most votes.{{cite web |last1=Dennison |first1=Mike |title=Libertarians won't have 2020 candidate for U.S. Senate in Montana |url=https://www.ktvh.com/news/election-2020/libertarians-wont-have-2020-candidate-for-u-s-senate-in-montana |website=KTVH |access-date=August 7, 2020 |date=August 6, 2020}}
==Withdrawn==
- Eric Fulton, Republican candidate for District 65 of the Montana House of Representatives in 2014{{cite web |url=https://app.mt.gov/cgi-bin/filing/index.cgi?ACTION=LIST_NON_LEG |publisher=Montana Secretary of State |title=Candidate Filing |newspaper=Montana Secretary of State - Christi Jacobsen |date=March 18, 2020 |access-date=June 2, 2020}}
- Susan Geise, Lewis and Clark County commissioner and former chair of the Montana Republican Party{{cite news |title=Geise enters 2020 run for U.S. Senate as Libertarian |url=https://www.greatfallstribune.com/story/news/2020/03/19/geise-enters-2020-run-u-s-senate-montana-libertarian/2878351001/ |website=Great Falls Tribune |date=March 20, 2020}}{{cite web |title=May 15, 2020 — Susan Good Geise |url=https://www.susangoodgeise.com/ |website=Susan Good Geise for US Senate |date=May 15, 2020 |access-date=June 23, 2020 |archive-date=June 26, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200626075021/https://www.susangoodgeise.com/ |url-status=dead }}
= Green Party =
{{main|Green Party of Montana#2020 election}}
==Disqualified==
- Wendie Fredrickson, former audit reviewer for Montana State Department of Public Health and Human Services{{cite news |author=Holly Michels |date=May 18, 2020 |title=Greens say 'Go Green Montana' group isn't affiliated|url=https://helenair.com/news/local/greens-say-go-green-montana-group-isnt-affiliated/article_73d2a137-7887-5df7-a33a-6ece62418c91.html |website=Helena Independent Record |language=en |access-date=2020-06-03}}{{cite web |last1=Michels |first1=Holly |title=Helena judge again takes Green Party off the ballot |url=https://helenair.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/helena-judge-again-takes-green-party-off-the-ballot/article_2701fe97-88bb-5388-ab7f-340724b3f880.html |website=Helena Independent Record |access-date=August 7, 2020 |date=August 7, 2020}}
==Eliminated in primary==
==Results==
[[File:Montana U.S. Senate Green primary, 2020.svg|thumb|300px|Results by county
{{legend|#aaffaa|Fredrickson}}
{{legend|#55aa55|Daneke}}
{{legend|#666666|Tie}}
{{legend|#999999|No vote}}
]]
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Green primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Wendie Fredrickson
| party = Green Party (United States)
| votes = 504
| percentage = 66.40%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Dennis Daneke
| party = Green Party (United States)
| votes = 255
| percentage = 33.60%
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 758
| percentage = 100.00%
}}
{{Election box end}}
General election
= Debate =
| class="wikitable sortable"
! rowspan="2" |Host ! rowspan="2" |Date & time ! rowspan="2" |Link(s) ! colspan="2" |Participants |
| Steve Daines (R)
!Steve Bullock (D) |
|---|
| align="center" |Montana Broadcasters Association
| align="center" |August 8, 2020 |{{Yes|Present}} |{{Yes|Present}} |
| align="center" |Montana Television Network
| align="center" |October 10, 2020 | align="center" |{{Cite web|title=Montana U.S. Senate Debate|url=https://www.c-span.org/video/?476760-1/montana-us-senate-debate|date=2020-10-10|website=C-SPAN}} |{{Yes|Present}} |{{Yes|Present}} |
=Predictions=
=Additional general election endorsements=
{{Endorsements box
|title=Steve Daines (R)
|list=
;U.S. executive branch officials
- Nikki Haley, U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018), 116th governor of South Carolina (2011–2017){{cite web |title=Steve Daines for Senate |publisher=WinRed |url=https://secure.winred.com/steve-daines/haley |postscript=. Campaign donation page with Nikki Haley endorsement.}}
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017-2021){{Cite web|url=https://ballotpedia.org/Steve_Daines|title=Noteworthy endorsements|access-date=November 2, 2020}}
;U.S. senators
- Ted Cruz, U.S. senator from Texas (2013-present){{cite web |title=Steve Daines for Senate |publisher=WinRed |url=https://secure.winred.com/steve-daines/cruz-a?sc=20200508_ad_YT_CRUZ-V3&gclid=Cj0KCQjw3ZX4BRDmARIsAFYh7ZKKrFedfZFAkItf8OLNYFGHG5lbvfVSrgnhb26KuKeyHu_5LKZ0QAMaAgv4EALw_wcB |postscript=. Campaign donation page with Ted Cruz endorsement.}}
- Lindsey Graham, U.S. senator from South Carolina (2003-present){{Cite web|url=https://secure.winred.com/steve-daines/graham-a?sc=20200508_ad_YT_GRAHAM-V3&gclid=CjwKCAjwmrn5BRB2EiwAZgL9ohvMZc-fzCrrbDg3jT2nhyobyu6l5UJ6pKWK8xnoXlqBQOB3elxi9xoC404QAvD_BwE|title=Steve Daines for Senate|website=WinRed}}
- Mitch McConnell, U.S. senator from Kentucky (1985-present) and Senate Majority Leader (2015-2021){{Cite web|url=https://secure.winred.com/steve-daines/mcconnell-a|title=Steve Daines for Senate|website=WinRed}}
- Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida (2011-present){{Cite web|url=https://secure.winred.com/steve-daines/rubio-a|title=Steve Daines for Senate|website=WinRed}}
;Organizations
- Campaign for Working Families
- Club for Growth{{Cite web|url=https://justfacts.votesmart.org/candidate/evaluations/135720/steve-daines|title=2020 Endorsements|access-date=November 2, 2020}}
- Crow Tribe of Montana{{cite news |title=Crow Tribal Chairman endorses Trump campaign |url=https://indiancountrytoday.com/news/crow-tribal-chairman-endorses-trump-campaign-0XWBbrkBP0KzVwQnkjQo3A |newspaper=Ict News |date=September 15, 2020 |access-date=September 29, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200918150716/https://indiancountrytoday.com/news/crow-tribal-chairman-endorses-trump-campaign-0XWBbrkBP0KzVwQnkjQo3A |archive-date=September 18, 2020 |url-status=live}}
- FreedomWorks{{cite web |title=Steve Daines' Ratings and Endorsements |publisher=Vote Smart |url=https://justfacts.votesmart.org/candidate/evaluations/135720/steve-daines}}
- National Association of Home Builders
- National Right to Life Committee
- NRA Political Victory Fund{{cite web |title=Montana Grades & Endorsements |url=https://www.nrapvf.org/grades/montana/ |website=nrapvf.org |publisher=NRA-PVF |access-date=15 February 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201103182831/https://www.nrapvf.org/grades/montana |archive-date=3 November 2020 |url-status=usurped}}{{cite web |title=NRA Endorses Steve Daines |date=May 13, 2020 |publisher=Montana Right Now |url=https://www.montanarightnow.com/all_abc_fox/nra-endorses-steve-daines/article_fe105278-94fa-11ea-ab56-3f890f9cd6a3.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200520172732/https://www.montanarightnow.com/all_abc_fox/nra-endorses-steve-daines/article_fe105278-94fa-11ea-ab56-3f890f9cd6a3.html|archive-date=May 20, 2020|url-status=live}}
- Senate Conservatives Fund{{cite web |title=Building A Conservative Senate |publisher=Senate Conservatives Fund |url=https://www.senateconservatives.com/}}
- Susan B. Anthony List
- Tea Party Express
}}
{{Endorsements box
|title=Steve Bullock (D)
|list=
;Federal officials
- Amy Klobuchar, U.S. senator from Minnesota (2007–present), candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination{{Cite web|url=https://amyklobuchar.com/winbig/|title=The Win Big Project|website=The Win Big Project}}
- Jon Tester, U.S. senator from Montana (2007-2025), president of the Montana Senate (2005-2007){{Cite web|url=https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9yc3MuYXJ0MTkuY29tL3RoZS1hbC1mcmFua2VuLXBvZGNhc3Q/episode/Z2lkOi8vYXJ0MTktZXBpc29kZS1sb2NhdG9yL1YwLzdLRUtacnBJV0FZVWlzSWdhN3pneFZBWHF1Y2dMV1JKeGFvYVhHQTl1ZHc|title=The Al Franken Podcast - Montana Sen. Jon Tester on How Dems Win Back Rural America|first=The Al Franken|last=Podcast|website=Google Podcasts}}
;Newspapers
- Billings Gazette{{cite web |title=Gazette endorsement: For U.S. Senate, Steve Bullock |url=https://billingsgazette.com/opinion/editorial/gazette-endorsement-for-u-s-senate-steve-bullock/article_07b83032-5585-50c4-a8a9-9ad11f7cadd1.html |website=The Billings Gazette |language=en |date=October 25, 2020}}
- Missoulian{{cite web |title=Montanans should send Governor Bullock to the Senate |url=https://missoulian.com/opinion/editorial/montanans-should-send-governor-bullock-to-the-senate/article_22559f2e-b6fa-5219-93b0-856eb6741cdb.html |website=Missoulian |language=en |date=October 25, 2020}}
- The Montana Standard{{cite web |title=Standard endorsement: For Senate, we recommend Steve Bullock |url=https://mtstandard.com/opinion/editorial/standard-endorsement-for-senate-we-recommend-steve-bullock/article_3cecc0ba-01df-5856-988b-18a000e5e629.html |website=Montana Standard |date=October 25, 2020 |language=en}}
;Organizations
- Center for Biological Diversity{{Cite web|url=https://centeractionfund.org/2020-endorsements/|title=2020 Endorsements}}
- End Citizens United{{cite web |last1=Muller |first1=Tiffany |title=End Citizens United Endorses Governor Steve Bullock for Montana Senate|url=https://endcitizensunited.org/latest-news/press-releases/end-citizens-united-endorses-governor-steve-bullock-for-montana-senate/ |website=End Citizens United |date=March 9, 2020}}
- Human Rights Campaign{{cite web|last1=Acosta|first1=Lucas|title=Human Rights Campaign Endorses Gov. Steve Bullock for U.S. Senate|url=https://www.hrc.org/blog/human-rights-campaign-endorses-gov.-steve-bullock-for-ussenate|website=Human Rights Campaign|language=en|date=May 27, 2020}}{{dead link|date=April 2024|bot=medic}}{{cbignore|bot=medic}}
- Jewish Democratic Council of America{{Cite web |last=Kornbluh |first=Jacob |date=2020-06-17 |title=Jewish Dems roll out new round of congressional endorsements |url=https://jewishinsider.com/2020/06/jewish-dems-roll-out-new-round-of-congressional-endorsements/ |access-date=2023-03-06 |website=Jewish Insider |language=en-US}}
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs{{cite web|title=Meet the 2020 Candidates|url=https://www.jacpac.org/story/18/07/09/meet-2020-candidatesJTA|website=Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs}}{{Dead link|date=January 2022 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}
- League of Conservation Voters{{cite web|last=Connon|first=Courtnee|url=https://www.lcv.org/article/lcv-action-fund-endorses-steve-bullock-u-s-senate/|title=LCV Action Fund Endorses Steve Bullock for U.S. Senate|work=League of Conservation Voters|date=May 14, 2020}}
- The Lincoln Project{{cite news |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/504275-lincoln-project-backs-bullock-in-montana-senate-race|title=Lincoln Project Backs Bullock in Montana Senate Race|work=The Hill |last1=Manchester |first1=Julia|date=June 24, 2020|access-date=June 25, 2020}}
- Montana State Council of Professional Fire Fighters{{Cite web|url=https://www.mtproff.org/|title=Home | Montana Firefighters Occupational Health and Safety|website=MTPROFF|access-date=September 19, 2020|archive-date=September 29, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200929002941/https://www.mtproff.org/|url-status=dead}}
- NARAL Pro-Choice America{{cite web|title=NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Steve Bullock for U.S. Senate|url=https://www.prochoiceamerica.org/2020/06/17/naral-pro-choice-america-endorses-steve-bullock/|website=NARAL Pro-Choice America|date=June 17, 2020}}
- National Organization for Women{{cite web|title=2020 Federal Endorsements - NOW PAC|url=https://www.nowpac.org/federal2020|website=nowpac.org}}
- Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund{{cite web |title=NRDC Action Fund Endorses 14 for House, Senate|url=https://www.nrdcactionfund.org/news/nrdc-action-fund-endorses-14-for-house-senate/|website=nrdcactionfund.org |date=September 3, 2020}}
- Planned Parenthood{{cite web |title=2020 Endorsements |url=https://www.plannedparenthoodaction.org/2020-endorsements |website=www.plannedparenthoodaction.org |language=en |access-date=June 10, 2020 |archive-date=April 12, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200412100919/https://www.plannedparenthoodaction.org/2020-endorsements |url-status=dead }}
;Unions
- Communications Workers of America{{Cite web|url=https://cwa-union.org/news/releases/communications-workers-of-america-endorses-governor-steve-bullock-mt-for-us-senate|title=Communications Workers of America Endorses Governor Steve Bullock (MT) for US Senate|date=June 11, 2020|website=Communications Workers of America}}
- Montana AFL-CIO{{cite web |title=Endorsements|url=https://www.mtaflcio.org/endorsements|website=mtaflcio.com|publisher=Montana AFL-CIO}}
- Montana Federation of Public Employees{{Cite web|url=https://mfpe.org/2020elections/|title=2020 Election Endorsements|publisher=Montana Federation of Public Employees}}
- National Education Association{{cite web|title=U.S. Senate - Education Votes|url=https://educationvotes.nea.org/us-senate/|website=educationvotes.nea.org}}
- United Auto Workers{{cite web |title=Montana – Official UAW Endorsements |url=http://uawendorsements.org/map/montana/ |website=uawendorsements.org |publisher=United Automobile Workers}}
}}
=Polling=
Graphical summary
{{Graph:Chart
| width=700
| height=400
| xAxisTitle=
| yAxisTitle=%support
| xAxisAngle = -40
| legend=Candidate
| interpolate = bundle
| size = 77
| xType = date
| y1Title=Daines
| y2Title=Bullock
| y3Title=Other/Undecided
| type=line
|xGrid=
| x=
2020/03/13,2020/04/21,2020/04/27,2020/06/26,2020/07/10,2020/07/13,2020/07/16,2020/08/02,2020/09/05,2020/09/16,2020/10/02,2020/10/05,2020/10/06,2020/10/09,2020/10/18,2020/10/20,2020/10/20,2020/10/24,2020/10/25,2020/10/27,2020/11/02
|y1=
47,46,39,43,44,49,47,50,50,45,47,47,52,48,48.7,48,49,47,48,47,50
|y2=
47,49,46,47,46,47,44,44,47,44,49,48,43,48,46.7,47,46,48,48,48,46
|y3=
06,05,15,10,10,04,19,06,03,11,04,4,6,4,4.6,5,6,5, ,6,3
| colors = #E81B23, #3333FF, #DCDCDC
| showSymbols = 1
| yGrid = true
| linewidth = 2.0
}}
Aggregate polls
{{Use mdy dates|date=July 2020}}
| class="wikitable sortable"
|+ !colspan="7"|Steve Bullock vs. Steve Daines |
| Source of poll aggregation
!Dates administered !Dates updated !Other/Undecided{{efn|Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.}} !Margin |
|---|
| Real Clear Politics[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/mt/montana_senate_daines_vs_bullock-7063.html Real Clear Politics]
|October 5–24, 2020 |October 30, 2020 |46.4% |{{party shading/Republican}}|48.8% |4.8% |{{party shading/Republican}}|{{hs|2.4}}Daines + 2.4 |
| 270 to Win[https://www.270towin.com/2020-senate-polls/montana/ 270 to Win]
|October 19, 2020 |October 28, 2020 |47.2% |{{party shading/Republican}}|48.0% |4.8% |{{party shading/Republican}}|{{hs|3.0}}Daines + 0.8 |
| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
| valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Steve ! style="width:100px;"| Steve ! Other / |
| style="text-align:left;"|Change Research[https://changeresearch.com/post/final-public-polling-2020/ Change Research]
|October 29 – November 2, 2020 |920 (LV) |± 3.5% |{{party shading/Republican}}|50% |46% |3%{{efn|Did not vote, "Don't recall", and Undecided with 1%; Would not vote with 0%}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling (D)[https://www.protectourcare.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Health-Care-a-Key-Issue-for-Montana-Voters-Trust-Bullock-Over-Daines-to-Protect-Their-Health-Care.pdf Public Policy Polling (D)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organization.}}
|October 26–27, 2020 |886 (LV) |± 3.3% |47% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|48% |6%{{efn|Undecided with 6%}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|The Progress Campaign (D)[https://twitter.com/WhosWinning2020/status/1322213380309061633 The Progress Campaign (D)]
|October 25, 2020 | – (V){{efn|Not yet released}} | – |48% |48% | – |
| style="text-align:left;"|Montana State University Billings[http://www.msubillings.edu/class/nams/polls/2020-mountain-states-poll-report.pdf Montana State University Billings]
|October 19–24, 2020 |546 (LV) |± 4.2% |47% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|48% |5%{{efn|Undecided with 5%|name="U5"}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|Siena College/NYT Upshot[https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/mt101820-crosstabs/1bf52689f78606b4/full.pdf Siena College/NYT Upshot]
|October 18–20, 2020 |758 (LV) |± 4.4% |{{party shading/Republican}}|49% |46% |6%{{efn|"Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 5%}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|Strategies 360[https://nbcmontana.com/news/beyond-the-podium/nbc-montanastrategies-360-poll-shows-extremely-tight-montana-races Strategies 360]
|October 15–20, 2020 |500 (LV) |± 4.4% |{{party shading/Republican}}|48% |47% | 5%{{efn|name="U5"}} |
| rowspan=3 style="text-align:left;"|RMG Research[http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/19/montana-senate-race-daines-r-49-bullock-d-47/ RMG Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201020064451/http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/19/montana-senate-race-daines-r-49-bullock-d-47/ |date=October 20, 2020 }}
|rowspan=3|October 15–18, 2020 |rowspan=3|800 (LV) |rowspan=3|± 3.5% |{{party shading/Republican}}|49%{{efn|Standard VI response}} |47% |5%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 4%|name="SOC1U4"}} |
| 47%{{efn|Results generated with high Democratic turnout model}}
|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48% |5%{{efn|name="SOC1U4"}} |
| {{party shading/Republican}}|50%{{efn|Results generated with high Republican turnout model}}
|45% |5%{{efn|name="SOC1U4"}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling[https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/polls/montana-senate-tight-as-can-be/ Public Policy Polling]
|October 9–10, 2020 |798 (V) |± 3.5% |48% |48% |4%{{efn|Undecided with 4%}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College[https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/montana-2020-republicans-hold-advantages-in-presidential-us-senate-and-governor-races Emerson College]
|October 4–7, 2020 |500 (LV) |± 3.7% |{{party shading/Republican}}|52% |43% |6%{{efn|"Someone else" with 1%; Undecided with 5%|name="SE1U5"}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|Data For Progress (D)[https://filesforprogress.org/memos/2020-senate-project/week-3/MT.pdf Data For Progress (D)]
|September 30 – October 5, 2020 |737 (LV) |± 3.6% |47% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|48% |4%{{efn|Geise (G) with 0%; Undecided with 4%}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|Montana State University Bozeman[https://helpslab.montana.edu/documents/treasure_state_2020_election_surveys/Senate_Overview_Final_11Oct2020.pdf Montana State University Bozeman] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201015021521/https://helpslab.montana.edu/documents/treasure_state_2020_election_surveys/Senate_Overview_Final_11Oct2020.pdf |date=October 15, 2020 }}
|September 14 – October 2, 2020 |1,609 (LV) |± 3.9% |47% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|49% |4%{{efn|"Other" with 1%; Undecided with 3%}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|Siena College/NYT Upshot[https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/mt-crosstabs/4da3e297acefb561/full.pdf Siena College/NYT Upshot]
|September 14–16, 2020 |625 (LV) |± 4.8% |{{party shading/Republican}}|45% |44% |11%{{efn|Fredrickson (G) with 4%; would not vote with 1%; "someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 6%}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates[https://www.aarp.org/research/topics/politics/info-2020/2020-election-battleground-state-surveys.html Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by AARP.}}
|August 30 – September 5, 2020 |800 (LV) |± 3.5% |{{party shading/Republican}}|50% |47% |3%{{efn|Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 2%}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College[https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/montana-2020-trump-holds-strong-as-biden-coalesces-support Emerson College]
| July 31 – August 2, 2020 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.0% | {{party shading/Republican}}|50% | 44% | 6%{{efn|name="SE1U5"}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|Spry Strategies (R)[https://americanprinciplesproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/APP.Montana.pdf Spry Strategies (R)]{{efn-ua|This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501 that supports the Republican Party.}}
| July 11–16, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | {{party shading/Republican}}|47% | 44% | 9%{{efn|"Another candidate" with 5%; Undecided with 4%}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|Civiqs/Daily Kos[https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_DailyKos_MT_banner_book_2020_07_ba6t8k.pdf Civiqs/Daily Kos]
| July 11–13, 2020 | 873 (RV) | ± 4.2% |{{party shading/Republican}}|49% |47% |3%{{efn|Undecided with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling[https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/MontanaPoll071220.pdf Public Policy Polling]
| July 9–10, 2020 | 1,224 (V) | ± 2.8% | 44% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|46% | 10%{{efn|Undecided with 10%}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|University of Montana[https://www.umt.edu/bigskypoll/Polls/summer2020/summer2020---aggregate.pdf University of Montana]
| June 17–26, 2020 | 517 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|47% | 10%{{efn|Undecided with 9.7%}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|Montana State University Bozeman[http://helpslab.montana.edu/documents/western_states_2020_coronavirus_survey/PoliticsPolicy_Montana_Frequencies_01May2020_RELEASE.pdf Montana State University Bozeman]
|April 10–27, 2020 |459 (LV) | ± 4.6% |39% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|46% |15%{{efn|Undecided with 7%; "someone else" with 6%; would not vote with 1%}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|The Progress Campaign (D)[https://becd085d-5f24-4974-b9b5-73518197155a.filesusr.com/ugd/83fab9_bbce745701f747fba1f45856469d7572.pdf The Progress Campaign (D)]
|April 14–21, 2020 |712 (LV) | ± 4.6% |46% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|49% |5% |
| style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling (D)[https://www.endcitizensunited.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Montana-Poll.pdf Public Policy Polling (D)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by End Citizens United, an organization which has exclusively supported Democratic candidates.}}
| March 12–13, 2020 | 903 (V) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}
University of Montana polls did not account for certain presumed withdrawals of major party candidates after their primaries in the following polls.
Steve Daines vs Steve Bullock, Wilmot Collins, Mike Knoles, Cora Neumann, and John Mues
| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
| valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Democratic ! style="width:100px;"| Steve |
| style="text-align:left;"|University of Montana[https://www.umt.edu/bigskypoll/Methodology/Spring2020_Aggregate%20Report%20with%20Xtabs.pdf University of Montana]
| February 12–22, 2020 | 498 (LV) | ± 4.4% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|53%{{efn|Steve Bullock with 38%; Wilmot Collins with 4%; Cora Neumann with 7%; Mike Knoles and John Mues with 2%}} | 47% |
Steve Daines vs Jack Ballard, Wilmot Collins, and John Mues
| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
| valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Democratic ! style="width:100px;"| Steve |
| style="text-align:left;"|University of Montana[http://www.umt.edu/bigskypoll/Methodology/FINALFINALBSP%204.0%20Aggregate%20Report%20with%20Xtabs.pdf University of Montana]
| September 26 – October 3, 2019 | 303 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 36%{{efn|Jack Ballard with 18%; Wilmot Collins and John Mues with 9%}} | {{party shading/Republican}}|64% |
{{hidden end}}
= Results =
{{Election box begin
| title = United States Senate election in Montana, 2020{{cite web |title=2020 Statewide General Election Canvass |url=https://sosmt.gov/wp-content/uploads/State_Canvass_Report.pdf |website=Montana Secretary of State |access-date=December 2, 2020}}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
|party=Republican Party (United States)
|candidate=Steve Daines (incumbent)
|votes=333,174
|percentage=55.01%
|change=-2.78%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
|party=Democratic Party (United States)
|candidate=Steve Bullock
|votes=272,463
|percentage=44.99%
|change=+4.92%
}}
{{Election box total
| votes = 605,637
| percentage = 100.00%
}}
{{Election box hold with party link no swing
| winner = Republican Party (United States)
}}
{{Election box end}}
==By county==
{{collapse top|1=By county|left=yes|bg=#B0CEFF;line-height:135%;|border=none}}
| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right;font-size:90%;line-height:1.3"
! colspan="2" |Steve Daines ! colspan="2" |Steve Bullock ! colspan="2" |Margin ! rowspan="2" |Total |
| data-sort-type="number" |#
! data-sort-type="number" |% ! data-sort-type="number" |# ! data-sort-type="number" |% ! data-sort-type="number" |# ! data-sort-type="number" |% |
|---|
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Beaverhead
| {{party shading/Republican}} |3,775 | {{party shading/Republican}} |66.64 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,890 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |33.36 | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,885 | {{party shading/Republican}} |33.27 | {{party shading/Republican}} |5,665 |
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Big Horn
| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,106 | {{party shading/Republican}} |43.94 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,687 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |56.06 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |
| 581
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |
| 12.12
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,793 |
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Blaine
| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,343 | {{party shading/Republican}} |42.84 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,792 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |57.16 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |
| 449
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |
| 14.32
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |3,135 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Broadwater
| {{party shading/Republican}} |3,107 | {{party shading/Republican}} |75.60 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,003 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |24.40 | {{party shading/Republican}} |2,104 | {{party shading/Republican}} |51.19 | {{party shading/Republican}} |4,110 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Carbon
| {{party shading/Republican}} |4,404 | {{party shading/Republican}} |62.96 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,591 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |37.04 | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,813 | {{party shading/Republican}} |25.92 | {{party shading/Republican}} |6,995 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Carter
| {{party shading/Republican}} |767 | {{party shading/Republican}} |86.08 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |94 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |10.55 | {{party shading/Republican}} |673 | {{party shading/Republican}} |75.53 | {{party shading/Republican}} |891 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Cascade
| {{party shading/Republican}} |22,312 | {{party shading/Republican}} |55.73 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |17,727 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |44.27 | {{party shading/Republican}} |4,585 | {{party shading/Republican}} |11.45 | {{party shading/Republican}} |40,039 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Chouteau
| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,813 | {{party shading/Republican}} |60.59 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,179 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |39.40 | {{party shading/Republican}} |634 | {{party shading/Republican}} |21.19 | {{party shading/Republican}} |2,992 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Custer
| {{party shading/Republican}} |3,995 | {{party shading/Republican}} |68.17 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,865 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |31.83 | {{party shading/Republican}} |2,130 | {{party shading/Republican}} |36.35 | {{party shading/Republican}} |5,860 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Daniels
| {{party shading/Republican}} |787 | {{party shading/Republican}} |76.41 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |243 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |23.59 | {{party shading/Republican}} |544 | {{party shading/Republican}} |52.82 | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,030 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Dawson
| {{party shading/Republican}} |3,634 | {{party shading/Republican}} |75.35 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,189 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |24.65 | {{party shading/Republican}} |2,445 | {{party shading/Republican}} |50.70 | {{party shading/Republican}} |4,823 |
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Deer Lodge
| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,921 | {{party shading/Republican}} |39.35 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,961 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |60.65 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |
| 1,040
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |
| 21.30
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,882 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Fallon
| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,341 | {{party shading/Republican}} |85.09 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |235 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |14.91 | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,106 | {{party shading/Republican}} |70.18 | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,576 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Fergus
| {{party shading/Republican}} |4,746 | {{party shading/Republican}} |72.63 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,788 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |27.36 | {{party shading/Republican}} |2,958 | {{party shading/Republican}} |45.27 | {{party shading/Republican}} |6,534 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Flathead
| {{party shading/Republican}} |37,861 | {{party shading/Republican}} |63.06 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |22,180 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |36.94 | {{party shading/Republican}} |15,681 | {{party shading/Republican}} |26.12 | {{party shading/Republican}} |60,041 |
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Gallatin
| {{party shading/Republican}} |31,829 | {{party shading/Republican}} |44.65 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |39,450 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |55.35 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |
| 7,621
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |
| 10.69
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |71,279 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Garfield
| {{party shading/Republican}} |736 | {{party shading/Republican}} |90.98 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |73 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |9.02 | {{party shading/Republican}} |663 | {{party shading/Republican}} |81.95 | {{party shading/Republican}} |809 |
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Glacier
| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,687 | {{party shading/Republican}} |29.50 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,032 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |70.50 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |
| 2,345
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |
| 41.00
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,719 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Golden Valley
| {{party shading/Republican}} |405 | {{party shading/Republican}} |80.36 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |99 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |19.64 | {{party shading/Republican}} |306 | {{party shading/Republican}} |60.71 | {{party shading/Republican}} |504 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Granite
| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,360 | {{party shading/Republican}} |64.73 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |741 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |35.27 | {{party shading/Republican}} |619 | {{party shading/Republican}} |29.46 | {{party shading/Republican}} |2,101 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Hill
| {{party shading/Republican}} |3,746 | {{party shading/Republican}} |51.86 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |3,477 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |48.14 | {{party shading/Republican}} |269 | {{party shading/Republican}} |3.72 | {{party shading/Republican}} |7,223 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Jefferson
| {{party shading/Republican}} |5,206 | {{party shading/Republican}} |63.70 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,967 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |36.30 | {{party shading/Republican}} |2,239 | {{party shading/Republican}} |27.40 | {{party shading/Republican}} |8,173 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Judith Basin
| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,026 | {{party shading/Republican}} |76.11 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |322 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |23.89 | {{party shading/Republican}} |704 | {{party shading/Republican}} |52.22 | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,348 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Lake
| {{party shading/Republican}} |8,964 | {{party shading/Republican}} |53.91 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |7,664 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |46.09 | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,300 | {{party shading/Republican}} |7.82 | {{party shading/Republican}} |16,628 |
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Lewis and Clark
| {{party shading/Republican}} |20,554 | {{party shading/Republican}} |48.35 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |21,955 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |51.65 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |
| 1,401
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |
| 3.30
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |42,509 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Liberty
| {{party shading/Republican}} |789 | {{party shading/Republican}} |72.52 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |299 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |27.48 | {{party shading/Republican}} |490 | {{party shading/Republican}} |45.04 | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,088 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Lincoln
| {{party shading/Republican}} |8,490 | {{party shading/Republican}} |72.45 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |3,228 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |27.55 | {{party shading/Republican}} |5,262 | {{party shading/Republican}} |44.90 | {{party shading/Republican}} |11,718 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Madison
| {{party shading/Republican}} |4,103 | {{party shading/Republican}} |67.06 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,015 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |32.93 | {{party shading/Republican}} |2,088 | {{party shading/Republican}} |34.13 | {{party shading/Republican}} |6,118 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |McCone
| {{party shading/Republican}} |946 | {{party shading/Republican}} |84.24 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |177 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |15.76 | {{party shading/Republican}} |769 | {{party shading/Republican}} |68.48 | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,123 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Meagher
| {{party shading/Republican}} |812 | {{party shading/Republican}} |72.63 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |306 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |27.37 | {{party shading/Republican}} |506 | {{party shading/Republican}} |45.26 | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,118 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Mineral
| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,735 | {{party shading/Republican}} |68.01 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |816 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |31.99 | {{party shading/Republican}} |919 | {{party shading/Republican}} |36.02 | {{party shading/Republican}} |2,551 |
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Missoula
| {{party shading/Republican}} |25,529 | {{party shading/Republican}} |35.56 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |46,268 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |64.44 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |
| 20,739
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |
| 28.88
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |71,797 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Musselshell
| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,341 | {{party shading/Republican}} |81.31 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |538 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |18.69 | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,803 | {{party shading/Republican}} |62.63 | {{party shading/Republican}} |2,879 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Park
| {{party shading/Republican}} |5,841 | {{party shading/Republican}} |50.32 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,766 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |49.68 | {{party shading/Republican}} |75 | {{party shading/Republican}} |0.65 | {{party shading/Republican}} |11,607 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Petroleum
| {{party shading/Republican}} |300 | {{party shading/Republican}} |85.47 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |51 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |14.53 | {{party shading/Republican}} |249 | {{party shading/Republican}} |70.94 | {{party shading/Republican}} |351 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Phillips
| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,895 | {{party shading/Republican}} |79.69 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |483 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |20.31 | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,412 | {{party shading/Republican}} |59.38 | {{party shading/Republican}} |2,378 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Pondera
| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,933 | {{party shading/Republican}} |64.33 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,072 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |35.67 | {{party shading/Republican}} |861 | {{party shading/Republican}} |28.65 | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,005 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Powder River
| {{party shading/Republican}} |957 | {{party shading/Republican}} |84.17 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |180 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |15.83 | {{party shading/Republican}} |777 | {{party shading/Republican}} |68.34 | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,137 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Powell
| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,240 | {{party shading/Republican}} |70.53 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |936 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |29.47 | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,304 | {{party shading/Republican}} |41.06 | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,176 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Prairie
| {{party shading/Republican}} |586 | {{party shading/Republican}} |78.45 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |161 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |21.55 | {{party shading/Republican}} |425 | {{party shading/Republican}} |56.89 | {{party shading/Republican}} |747 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Ravalli
| {{party shading/Republican}} |18,706 | {{party shading/Republican}} |65.47 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |9,868 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |34.53 | {{party shading/Republican}} |8,838 | {{party shading/Republican}} |30.93 | {{party shading/Republican}} |28,574 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Richland
| {{party shading/Republican}} |4,669 | {{party shading/Republican}} |80.63 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,122 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |19.37 | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,547 | {{party shading/Republican}} |61.25 | {{party shading/Republican}} |5,791 |
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Roosevelt
| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,891 | {{party shading/Republican}} |46.89 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,142 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |53.11 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |
| 251
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |
| 6.22
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,033 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Rosebud
| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,436 | {{party shading/Republican}} |64.55 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,338 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |35.45 | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,098 | {{party shading/Republican}} |29.09 | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,774 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Sanders
| {{party shading/Republican}} |5,395 | {{party shading/Republican}} |71.12 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,191 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |28.88 | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,204 | {{party shading/Republican}} |42.24 | {{party shading/Republican}} |7,586 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Sheridan
| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,356 | {{party shading/Republican}} |67.00 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |668 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |33.00 | {{party shading/Republican}} |688 | {{party shading/Republican}} |33.99 | {{party shading/Republican}} |2,024 |
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Silver Bow
| {{party shading/Republican}} |6,641 | {{party shading/Republican}} |35.28 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |12,183 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |64.72 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |
| 5,542
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |
| 29.44
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |18,824 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Stillwater
| {{party shading/Republican}} |4,370 | {{party shading/Republican}} |76.08 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,374 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |23.92 | {{party shading/Republican}} |2,996 | {{party shading/Republican}} |52.16 | {{party shading/Republican}} |5,744 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Sweet Grass
| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,834 | {{party shading/Republican}} |74.58 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |625 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |25.42 | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,209 | {{party shading/Republican}} |49.17 | {{party shading/Republican}} |2,459 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Teton
| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,541 | {{party shading/Republican}} |68.56 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,165 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |31.44 | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,376 | {{party shading/Republican}} |37.13 | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,706 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Toole
| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,528 | {{party shading/Republican}} |71.97 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |595 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |28.03 | {{party shading/Republican}} |933 | {{party shading/Republican}} |43.95 | {{party shading/Republican}} |2,123 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Treasure
| {{party shading/Republican}} |376 | {{party shading/Republican}} |81.03 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |88 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |18.97 | {{party shading/Republican}} |288 | {{party shading/Republican}} |62.07 | {{party shading/Republican}} |464 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Valley
| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,953 | {{party shading/Republican}} |69.34 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,306 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |30.66 | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,647 | {{party shading/Republican}} |38.67 | {{party shading/Republican}} |4,259 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Wheatland
| {{party shading/Republican}} |789 | {{party shading/Republican}} |74.50 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |270 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |25.50 | {{party shading/Republican}} |519 | {{party shading/Republican}} |49.01 | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,059 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Wibaux
| {{party shading/Republican}} |491 | {{party shading/Republican}} |82.38 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |105 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |17.62 | {{party shading/Republican}} |386 | {{party shading/Republican}} |64.76 | {{party shading/Republican}} |596 |
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Yellowstone
| {{party shading/Republican}} |49,276 | {{party shading/Republican}} |58.59 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |34,833 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |41.41 | {{party shading/Republican}} |14,443 | {{party shading/Republican}} |17.17 | {{party shading/Republican}} |84,109 |
| class="sortbottom"
! Totals |333,174 |55.01 |272,463 |44.99 |60,711 |10.02 |605,637 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Gallatin (largest municipality: Bozeman)
- Lewis and Clark (largest municipality: Helena)
- Roosevelt (largest municipality: Wolf Point)
{{collapse bottom}}
Notes
{{notelist}}
Partisan clients
{{notelist-ua}}
References
{{Reflist}}
Further reading
- {{citation |title=The Senate seats most likely to flip parties in November |author=Amber Phillips |date= October 9, 2020 |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/10/09/senate-seats-most-likely-flip-parties-november/ |work= Washingtonpost.com }}
External links
- {{citation |author= Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association |work=Voting & Elections Toolkits |url= https://godort.libguides.com/votingtoolkit/montana |title= Montana }}
- {{citation |work=Vote.org |location=Oakland, CA |url= https://www.vote.org/state/montana/ |title= Montana: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links }}
- {{cite web |title= League of Women Voters of Montana |url= https://www.lwv.org/local-leagues/find-local-league }} (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- {{Ballotpedia|Montana|Montana}}
Official campaign websites
- [https://stevebullock.com/ Steve Bullock (D) for Senate]
- [https://www.stevedaines.com/ Steve Daines (R) for Senate]
{{2020 United States elections}}