2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana#District 2

{{Short description|none}}

{{for|related races|2024 United States House of Representatives elections}}

{{Distinguish|2024 Montana House of Representatives election}}

{{use mdy dates|date=February 2023}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana

| country = Montana

| type = legislative

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana

| previous_year = 2022

| election_date = November 5, 2024

| next_election = 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana

| next_year = 2026

| seats_for_election = Both Montana seats to the United States House of Representatives

| turnout =

| party1 = Republican Party (United States)

| last_election1 = 2

| seats1 = 2

| seat_change1 = {{steady}}

| popular_vote1 = 350,361

| percentage1 = 58.61%

| swing1 = {{increase}} 5.75%

| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)

| last_election2 = 0

| seats2 = 0

| seat_change2 = {{steady}}

| popular_vote2 = 237,496

| percentage2 = 39.73%

| swing2 = {{increase}} 5.49%

| map_image = {{switcher

|301px

|Election results by district

|301px

|Election results by county}}

| map_caption = {{col-begin}}

{{col-2}}

Republican:

{{legend|#F2B3BE|40–50%}}

{{legend|#E27F90|50–60%}}

{{legend|#CC2F4A|60–70%}}

{{legend|#D40000|70–80%}}

{{legend|#AA0000|80–90%}}

{{legend|#800000|90–100%}}

{{col-2}}

Democratic:

{{legend|#86B6F2|50–60%}}

{{legend|#4389E3|60–70%}}

{{col-end}}

}}

{{ElectionsMT}}

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Montana, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with the U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections took place on June 4, 2024.

{{Horizontal TOC|nonum=yes|limit=2}}

District 1

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2024 Montana's 1st congressional district election

| country = Montana

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana#District 1

| previous_year = 2022

| election_date =

| next_election = 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana#District 1

| next_year = 2026

| image_size = x150px

| image1 = Rep. Ryan Zinke official photo, 118th Congress (cropped).jpg

| nominee1 = Ryan Zinke

| party1 = Republican Party (United States)

| popular_vote1 = 168,529

| percentage1 = 52.3%

| image2 = Monica Tranel on Vlogbrothers (cropped).jpg

| nominee2 = Monica Tranel

| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)

| popular_vote2 = 143,783

| percentage2 = 44.6%

| map_image = {{switcher|225px|County results|175px|Precinct results|default=1}}

| map_size =

| map_caption =Zinke: {{legend0|#f1b4b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#ed8783|50–60%}} {{legend0|#e55651|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d02923|70–80%}} {{legend0|#b00600|80–90%}} {{legend0|#850400|>90%}}
Tranel: {{legend0|#b4c7ec|40–50%}} {{legend0|#8da9e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#678cd7|60–70%}} {{legend0|#4170cd|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3358a2|80–90%}}
{{legend0|#808080|No votes}}

| title = U.S. Representative

| before_election = Ryan Zinke

| before_party = Republican Party (United States)

| after_election = Ryan Zinke

| after_party = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{see also|Montana's 1st congressional district}}

The 1st district is based in mountainous Western Montana, including the cities of Missoula, Kalispell, Bozeman and Butte. The incumbent was Republican Ryan Zinke, who was elected with 49.7% of the vote in 2022.{{cite web|url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/charts/house-charts/national-house-vote-tracker/2022|title=2022 National House Vote Tracker|access-date=December 29, 2023|website=Cook Political Report}} He initially had expressed interest in running for U.S. Senate against incumbent Jon Tester, but chose not to do so.{{cite news|last=Warren|first=Bradley|title=Congressman Ryan Zinke officially endorses Tim Sheehy for US Senate|date=Jul 5, 2023|website=Nonstop Local—ABC FOX|url=https://www.montanarightnow.com/news/congressman-ryan-zinke-officially-endorses-tim-sheehy-for-us-senate/article_e6938d18-1b3e-11ee-9514-fbc2223e1ef3.html|quote=There was speculation Zinke could enter the race, but that speculation now shut down with this endorsement.}}

=Republican primary=

==Nominee==

==Eliminated in primary==

  • Mary Todd, innkeeper and candidate for this district in 2022

==Endorsements==

{{Endorsements box

|title=Ryan Zinke

|width=50em

|list=

;Executive branch officials

;Organizations

  • AIPAC{{Cite web |title=- AIPAC Political Portal |url=https://candidates.aipacpac.org/page/featured |access-date=2024-05-13 |website=candidates.aipacpac.org}}
  • National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund{{Cite web |last=NRA-PVF |title=NRA-PVF {{!}} Grades {{!}} Montana |url=https://www.nrapvf.org/grades/montana |access-date=2024-05-13 |website=NRA-PVF |language=en}}

}}

==Fundraising==

class="wikitable sortable"
colspan=4 |Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
style="text-align:center;"

!Candidate

!Raised

!Spent

!Cash on hand

{{party shading/Republican}}|Mary Todd (R)

|$87,253{{efn|$76,300 of this total was self-funded by Todd}}

|$67,177

|$20,075

{{party shading/Republican}}|Ryan Zinke (R)

|$5,752,008

|$3,341,562

|$2,520,494

colspan="4" |Source: Federal Election Commission{{cite web |title=2024 Election United States House - Montana 1st |url=https://www.fec.gov/data/elections/house/MT/01/2024/ |website=fec.gov |publisher=Federal Election Commission |access-date=February 2, 2024}}

== Results ==

{{Election box begin no change

| title=Republican primary results{{Cite web|url=https://montanafreepress.org/2024-election-coverage/primary-results/|title=Montana 2024 Elections: Montana Primary Results|website=Montana Free Press|date=3 July 2024|accessdate=30 October 2024}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate=Ryan Zinke (incumbent)

| party=Republican Party (United States)

| votes=66,409

| percentage=73.7

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate=Mary Todd

| party=Republican Party (United States)

| votes=23,647

| percentage=26.3

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes=90,056

| percentage=100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Democratic primary=

==Nominee==

  • Monica Tranel, lawyer, former Olympic rower, and nominee for this district in 2022{{cite web|url=https://www.montanarightnow.com/news/montana-democrat-monica-tranel-announces-run-for-u-s-congress/article_e9ec2978-1d1b-11ee-ad10-b7f566abf9ae.html|title=Montana Democrat Monica Tranel announces run for U.S. Congress|last1=Corrin|last2=Warren|first1=Noah|first2=Bradley|date=July 10, 2023|access-date=July 10, 2023|website=KTMF|quote=Zinke plans to run for reelection, setting up a potential rematch of the 2022 race.}}

==Endorsements==

{{Endorsements box

|title=Monica Tranel

|width=50

|list=

;U.S. representatives

  • Lois Frankel, U.S. representative from {{ushr|FL|22}} (2013–present){{Cite web |date=2023-08-03 |title=Elect Democratic Women Endorses Monica Tranel in Montana's 1st Congressional District |url=https://electdemocraticwomen.org/elect-democratic-women-endorses-monica-tranel-in-montanas-1st-congressional-district/ |access-date=2023-08-24 |website=Elect Democratic Women |language=en-US}}
  • Annie Kuster, U.S. representative for {{ushr|NH|2}} (2013–2025)
  • Pat Ryan, U.S. representative for {{ushr|NY|18}} (2023–present)

;Statewide officials

;State legislators

  • Dave Fern, state representative from the 5th district (2017–present){{Cite web |last=Sagner |first=Denali |date=2023-07-13 |title=Tranel Hones in on Montana's 'Purple DNA' at Kalispell Launch Event |url=https://flatheadbeacon.com/2023/07/13/tranel-hones-in-on-montanas-purple-dna-at-kalispell-launch-event/ |access-date=2023-08-15 |website=Flathead Beacon |language=en}}
  • Shannon O'Brien, state senator from the 46th district (2021–present){{Cite web |last=Montanan |first=Daily|date=2023-07-11 |title=Tranel announces another bid for Congress |url=https://missoulacurrent.com/tranel-montanas-congress/ |access-date=2023-08-15 |website=The Missoula Current News - Daily News in Missoula Montana |language=en}}

;Organizations

  • DCCC Red to Blue{{Cite web |date=2024-01-29 |title=Democrats launch their first slate of challengers in the fight for the House majority |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/democrats-endorse-candidates-house-majority-rcna135967 |access-date=2024-01-29 |website=NBC News |language=en}}
  • Democratic Majority for Israel{{cite news |last1=Schneider |first1=Elena |title=Pro-Israel group wades into several contested Democratic primaries |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/08/dmfi-democratic-primaries-2024-00140267 |access-date=February 8, 2024 |work=Politico |date=February 8, 2024 |language=en}}
  • EMILY's List{{Cite web |title=EMILYs List Endorses Monica Tranel for Montana's 1st Congressional District |url=https://emilyslist.org/news/emilys-list-endorses-monica-tranel-for-montanas-1st-congressional-district/ |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230927152257/https://emilyslist.org/news/emilys-list-endorses-monica-tranel-for-montanas-1st-congressional-district/ |archive-date=September 27, 2023 |access-date=September 27, 2023 |date=September 27, 2023 |last=Chou |first=Lauren |website=EMILYs List |language=en-US}}
  • Jewish Democratic Council of America{{Cite web |title=Jewish Dems Endorse in Key House and Senate Races, Pledge Resources to Mobilize Jewish Voters |url=https://jewishdems.org/press_release/jewish-dems-endorse-in-key-house-and-senate-races-pledge-resources-to-mobilize-jewish-voters/|date=2023-03-28 |website=Jewish Democratic Council of America |language=en-US}}
  • League of Conservation Voters{{Cite web |title=LCV Action Fund Announces Slate of New U.S. House Endorsements |url=https://www.lcv.org/media-center/lcv-action-fund-announces-slate-of-new-u-s-house-endorsements/ |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230928180025/https://www.lcv.org/web/20230928180025/https://www.lcv.org/media-center/lcv-action-fund-announces-slate-of-new-u-s-house-endorsements/ |archive-date=2023-09-28 |access-date=2023-09-28 |website=League of Conservation Voters |language=en-US}}
  • National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare(Post-primary){{Cite web |last=NCPSSM |title=National Seniors' Group Proudly Endorses Tester, Tranel in Montana |url=https://www.ncpssm.org/documents/news-releases/national-seniors-group-proudly-endorses-tester-tranel/ |access-date=2024-06-24 |website=NCPSSM |language=en-US}}
  • National Organization for Women PAC{{Cite web |title=2024 Federal Endorsements |url=https://www.nowpac.org/2024-federal-endorsements |access-date=2024-02-05 |website=NOW PAC |language=en-US}}
  • NewDem Action Fund{{Cite web |date=2023-10-26 |title=NewDem Action Fund Announces New Red-to-Blue Candidate Endorsement Slate |url=http://newdemactionfund.com/press-releases/2023/10/25/newdem-action-fund-announces-new-red-to-blue-candidate-endorsement-slate |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231026180745/https://newdemactionfund.com/press-releases/2023/10/25/newdem-action-fund-announces-new-red-to-blue-candidate-endorsement-slate |archive-date=2023-10-26 |access-date=2023-10-26 |website=NewDem Action Fund |language=en-US}}
  • Planned Parenthood Action Fund{{Cite web |title=New Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsements: We Can Flip The House By Electing These Reproductive Rights Champions in 2024 |url=https://www.plannedparenthoodaction.org/pressroom/new-planned-parenthood-action-fund-endorsements-we-can-flip-the-house-by-electing-these-reproductive-rights-champions-in-2024 |access-date=2024-02-15 |website=www.plannedparenthoodaction.org |language=en}}
  • Reproductive Freedom for All{{Cite web |date=2023-10-24 |title=Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Slate of Champions for the U.S. House |url=https://reproductivefreedomforall.org/news/reproductive-freedom-for-all-endorses-slate-of-champions-for-the-u-s-house/ |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231024142708/https://reproductivefreedomforall.org/news/reproductive-freedom-for-all-endorses-slate-of-champions-for-the-u-s-house/ |archive-date=2023-10-24 |access-date=2023-10-24 |website=Reproductive Freedom for All |language=en-US}}

;Labor unions

  • National Education Association{{Cite web |title=Our Recommended Candidates |url=https://educationvotes.nea.org/our-recommended-candidates/ |access-date=2024-05-13 |website=Education Votes |language=en-US}}

}}

==Fundraising==

class="wikitable sortable"
colspan=4 |Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
style="text-align:center;"

!Candidate

!Raised

!Spent

!Cash on hand

{{party shading/Democratic}}|Monica Tranel (D)

|$2,340,724

|$826,277

|$1,524,332

colspan="4" |Source: Federal Election Commission

== Results ==

{{Election box begin no change|title=Democratic primary results}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change|candidate=Monica Tranel|party=Democratic Party (United States)|votes=59,806|percentage=100.0}}{{Election box total no change|votes=59,806|percentage=100.0}}{{Election box end}}

=Libertarian primary=

==Nominee==

  • Dennis Hayes, remodeling contractor

==Eliminated in primary==

  • Ernie Noble, construction worker

== Results ==

{{Election box begin no change|title=Libertarian primary results}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change|party=Libertarian Party (United States)|candidate=Dennis Hayes|votes=390|percentage=65.4}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Libertarian Party (United States)|candidate=Ernie Noble|votes=206|percentage=34.6}}

{{Election box total no change|votes=596|percentage=100.0}}

{{Election box end}}

=General election=

==Predictions==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

align=left | The Cook Political Report{{cite web | title=2024 House Race Ratings: Another Competitive Fight for Control

| url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/2024-house-race-ratings-another-competitive-fight-control|website= Cook Political Report | access-date=February 3, 2023}}

| {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}}

| October 4, 2024

align=left | Inside Elections{{cite web |title=First 2024 House Ratings |url=https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/house |website=Inside Elections |access-date=March 10, 2023}}

| {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}}

|September 15, 2023

align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball{{Cite web |url=https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/initial-house-ratings-battle-for-majority-starts-as-a-toss-up/ |title=Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up |publisher=Sabato's Crystal Ball |date=February 23, 2023}}

| {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}}

| February 23, 2023

align=left | Elections Daily{{Cite web |date=2023-09-13 |title=Election Ratings |url=https://elections-daily.com/election-ratings/ |access-date=2023-09-17 |website=Elections Daily |language=en-US}}

| {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}}

|September 7, 2023

align=left | CNalysis{{cite web|url=https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/house|title=2024 House Forecast|date=November 20, 2023|access-date=December 29, 2023}}

| {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}}

|November 16, 2023

== Polling ==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear|name="Key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:100px;"| Ryan
Zinke (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Monica
Tranel (D)

! style="width:100px;"| Dennis
Hayes (L)

! class="unsortable" | Undecided

style="text-align:left|Impact Research (D)[https://x.com/jamesd0wns/status/1848707565422559590 Impact Research (D)]{{Efn-ua|name=tranel}}

|October 14–17, 2024

|500 (LV)

|± 4.4%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|46%

|45%

|4%

|5%

style="text-align:left|Guidance Polling and Strategy[https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000192-a04a-d119-a1b2-b5dbfe030000 Guidance Polling and Strategy]{{Efn-ua|Poll sponsored by the Congressional Leadership Fund}}

|October 13–16, 2024

|400 (LV)

|± 4.9%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|52%

|44%

|–

|4%

style="text-align:left|Montana State University[https://www.msubillings.edu/class/nams/polls/2024-mountain-states-poll-report.pdf Montana State University]

|September 30 – October 16, 2024

|(A)

|–

|{{party shading/Republican}}|44%

|37%

|4%

|15%

style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Noble Predictive Insights[https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/montana-1-poll-tranel-and-tester-on-the-edge Noble Predictive Insights]{{Efn-ua|Poll sponsored by Inside Elections}}

|rowspan="2"|September 11–14, 2024

|rowspan="2"|432 (LV)

|rowspan="2"|± 4.7%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|49%

|44%

|–

|7%

{{party shading/Republican}}|47%

|43%

|3%

|7%

style="text-align:left|DCCC (D)[https://dailymontanan.com/2024/09/24/tranel-tightens-race-in-western-montana-in-her-bid-to-unseat-zinke/ DCCC (D)]

|September 11–13, 2024

|864 (LV)

|± 3.3%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|46%

|45%

|–

|9%{{Efn|"Undecided" with 4%}}

style="text-align:left|Impact Research (D)[https://x.com/jamesd0wns/status/1832040923405938766 Impact Research (D)]{{Efn-ua|name=tranel|Poll sponsored by Tranel's campaign}}

|August 26–29, 2024

|500 (LV)

|± 4.4%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|46%

|44%

|4%

|5%

style="text-align:left|Fabrizio Ward (R)/
David Binder Research
(D)[https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/topics/voter-opinion-research/politics/ohio-older-voter-survey-2024-report.doi.10.26419-2fres.00813.022.pdf Fabrizio Ward (R)/
David Binder Research (D)]
{{Efn-ua|Poll sponsored by AARP}}

|August 25–29, 2024

|310 (LV)

|–

|{{party shading/Republican}}|49%

|43%

|–

|8%

style="text-align:left|Impact Research (D){{Efn-ua|name=tranel}}

|May 2024

|–

|–

|{{party shading/Republican}}|46%

|42%

|6%

|6%

style="text-align:left|Impact Research (D){{Efn-ua|name=tranel}}

|February 2024

|–

|–

|{{party shading/Republican}}|52%

|43%

|0%

|5%

== Results ==

{{Election box begin no change|title=2024 Montana's 1st congressional district election{{#invoke:cite web|| title=2024 Statewide General Election Canvass | website=Secretary of State of Montana | date=2024-12-11 | url=https://sosmt.gov/docs/31/post-election/66775/2024-general-election-report-state-canvass | access-date=2024-12-11}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Ryan Zinke (incumbent)|votes=168,529|percentage=52.3}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Democratic Party (United States)|candidate=Monica Tranel|votes=143,783|percentage=44.6}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Libertarian Party (United States)|candidate=Dennis Hayes|votes=9,954|percentage=3.1}}

{{Election box total no change|votes=322,266|percentage=100.0}}{{Election box hold with party link no change

| winner = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

== By county ==

width="60%" class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center"
rowspan="2" |County

! colspan="2" |Ryan Zinke
Republican

! colspan="2" |Monica Tranel
Democratic

! colspan="2" |Various candidates
Other parties

! colspan="2" |Margin

! rowspan="2" |Total

style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |#

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |%

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |#

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |%

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |#

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |%

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |#

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |%

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Beaverhead

| {{party shading/Republican}} |3,987

| {{party shading/Republican}} |68.65%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,642

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |28.27%

| {{party shading/Others}} |179

| {{party shading/Others}} |3.08%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,345

| {{party shading/Republican}} |40.28%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |5,808

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Deer Lodge

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,092

| {{party shading/Republican}} |42.88%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,590

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |53.08%

| {{party shading/Others}} |197

| {{party shading/Others}} |4.04%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}

498

| {{party shading/Democratic}}

10.21%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,879

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Flathead

| {{party shading/Republican}} |40,681

| {{party shading/Republican}} |64.32%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |20,801

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |32.89%

| {{party shading/Others}} |1,764

| {{party shading/Others}} |2.79%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |19,880

| {{party shading/Republican}} |31.43%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |63,246

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Gallatin

| {{party shading/Republican}} |31,673

| {{party shading/Republican}} |45.35%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |36,178

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |51.81%

| {{party shading/Others}} |1,983

| {{party shading/Others}} |2.84%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}

4,505

| {{party shading/Democratic}}

6.45%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |69,834

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Glacier

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,779

| {{party shading/Republican}} |34.91%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |3,131

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |61.44%

| {{party shading/Others}} |186

| {{party shading/Others}} |3 65%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}

1,352

| {{party shading/Democratic}}

26.53%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,096

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Granite

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,463

| {{party shading/Republican}} |67.17%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |630

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |28.93%

| {{party shading/Others}} |85

| {{party shading/Others}} |3.9%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |833

| {{party shading/Republican}} |38.25%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,178

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Lake

| {{party shading/Republican}} |9,520

| {{party shading/Republican}} |56.18%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |6,909

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |40.77%

| {{party shading/Others}} |517

| {{party shading/Others}} |3.05%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,611

| {{party shading/Republican}} |15.41%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |16,946

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Lincoln

| {{party shading/Republican}} |8,534

| {{party shading/Republican}} |72.63%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,756

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |23.46%

| {{party shading/Others}} |460

| {{party shading/Others}} |3.91%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |5,778

| {{party shading/Republican}} |49.17%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |11,750

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Madison

| {{party shading/Republican}} |4,508

| {{party shading/Republican}} |69.74%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,751

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |27.09%

| {{party shading/Others}} |205

| {{party shading/Others}} |3.17%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,757

| {{party shading/Republican}} |42.65%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |6,464

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Mineral

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,950

| {{party shading/Republican}} |68.81%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |748

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |26.39%

| {{party shading/Others}} |136

| {{party shading/Others}} |4.80%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,202

| {{party shading/Republican}} |42.41%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,834

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Missoula

| {{party shading/Republican}} |26,195

| {{party shading/Republican}} |35.95%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |44,611

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |61.22%

| {{party shading/Others}} |2,066

| {{party shading/Others}} |2.84%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}

18,416

| {{party shading/Democratic}}

25.27%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |72,872

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Pondera

| {{party shading/Republican}} |523

| {{party shading/Republican}} |60.96%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |306

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |35.66%

| {{party shading/Others}} |29

| {{party shading/Others}} |3.38%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |217

| {{party shading/Republican}} |25.29%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |858

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Powell

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,371

| {{party shading/Republican}} |72.35%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |757

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |23.10%

| {{party shading/Others}} |149

| {{party shading/Others}} |4.55%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,614

| {{party shading/Republican}} |49.26%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |3,277

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Ravalli

| {{party shading/Republican}} |19,972

| {{party shading/Republican}} |66.78%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |9,062

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |30.30%

| {{party shading/Others}} |873

| {{party shading/Others}} |2.92%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |10,910

| {{party shading/Republican}} |36.48%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |29,907

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Sanders

| {{party shading/Republican}} |5,886

| {{party shading/Republican}} |73.04%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,854

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |23.01%

| {{party shading/Others}} |319

| {{party shading/Others}} |3.96%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |4,032

| {{party shading/Republican}} |50 03%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |8,059

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Silver Bow

| {{party shading/Republican}} |7,395

| {{party shading/Republican}} |40.51%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |9,954

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |55.08%

| {{party shading/Others}} |806

| {{party shading/Others}} |4.41%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}

2,662

| {{party shading/Democratic}}

36.48%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |18,258

style="text-align:center;"

!Totals!!168,529!!52.29%!!143,783!!44.62%!!9,954!!3.09%!!24,746!!7.68%!!322,266

District 2

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2024 Montana's 2nd congressional district election

| country = Montana

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana#District 2

| previous_year = 2022

| election_date =

| next_election = 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana#District 2

| next_year = 2026

| image_size = x150px

| image1 = Rep. Troy Downing official photo, 119th Congress (cropped).jpg

| nominee1 = Troy Downing

| party1 = Republican Party (United States)

| popular_vote1 = 181,832

| percentage1 = 65.7%

| image2 = Democrat Precinct 14 Committeeman John Brian Driscoll at age 75 (cropped).jpg

| nominee2 = John Driscoll

| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)

| popular_vote2 = 93,713

| percentage2 = 33.9%

| map_image = {{switcher|225px|County results|225px|Precinct results|default=1}}

| map_size =

| map_caption = Downing: {{legend0|#f1b4b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#ed8783|50–60%}} {{legend0|#e55751|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d02823|70–80%}} {{legend0|#b00600|80–90%}} {{legend0|#850000|>90%}}
Driscoll: {{legend0|#8da9e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#678cd7|60–70%}} {{legend0|#4170cd|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3358a2|80–90%}} {{legend0|#244079|>90%}}

| title = U.S. Representative

| before_election = Matt Rosendale

| before_party = Republican Party (United States)

| after_election = Troy Downing

| after_party = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{see also|Montana's 2nd congressional district}}

The 2nd district encompasses much of the state east of the Continental Divide, including the cities of Billings, Great Falls and Helena. The incumbent was Republican Matt Rosendale, who was re-elected with 56.6% of the vote in 2022. He announced in February 2024 that he would run for U.S. Senate against incumbent Jon Tester, but dropped out of the race one week later.{{cite web |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/15/rosendale-drops-montana-senate-bid-00141812 |title=Rosendale drops Montana Senate bid |date=February 15, 2024 |work=Politico |first1=Ally |last1=Mutnick |first2=Olivia |last2=Beavers |first3=Burgess |last3=Everett}} On March 8, 2024, Rosendale announced that he would not be seeking any office in 2024.{{Cite web |last=Schnell |first=Mychael |date=2024-03-08 |title=Rosendale drops reelection bid, will retire at end of term |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4519349-rosendale-drops-reelection-bid-will-retire-at-end-of-term/ |access-date=2024-03-08 |website=The Hill |language=en-US}}

=Republican primary=

==Nominee==

  • Troy Downing, Montana State Auditor (2021–present) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018{{cite news |title=Troy Downing announces campaign for Congress |url=https://www.ktvq.com/news/montana-news/troy-downing-announces-campaign-for-congress |work=KTVQ |date=November 1, 2023 |access-date=November 1, 2023}}

==Eliminated in primary==

  • Elsie Arntzen, Montana Superintendent of Public Instruction (2017–present) and candidate for the {{ushr|MT|AL|at-large district}} in 2014{{cite news |work=NBC News |author=West, Bowen |access-date=February 15, 2024 |date=February 12, 2024 |url=https://nbcmontana.com/news/local/arntzen-announces-run-for-congress |title=Arntzen announces run for Congress}}
  • Kyle Austin, pharmacist and candidate for this district in 2022{{cite news |title=Federal Primary 2024 |url=https://prodcandidatefiling.mt.gov/candidatefiling/CandidateList.aspx?e=450002570 |publisher=Montana Secretary of State |date=January 11, 2024}}
  • Kenneth Bogner, president pro tempore of the Montana Senate (2023–present) from the 19th district (2019–present) and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2020{{cite news |last1=Warren |first1=Bradley |last2=Corrin |first2=Noah |title=Montana State Senator Ken Bogner announces run for U.S. Congress |url=https://www.kulr8.com/elections/montana-state-senator-ken-bogner-announces-run-for-u-s-congress/article_11b36524-ae81-11ee-a798-370e02f5a1c2.html |access-date=January 9, 2024 |work=KULR-TV |date=January 9, 2024 |language=en}}
  • Ric Holden, former state senator from the 1st district (1995–2003)
  • Joel Krautter, former state representative from the 35th district (2019–2021){{cite news |last1=Murray |first1=David |title=Holden joins growing field in run to represent eastern House District |url=https://www.greatfallstribune.com/story/news/local/2023/09/25/former-state-senator-ric-holden-announces-bid-for-congress/70947653007/ |access-date=September 25, 2023 |work=Great Falls Tribune |date=September 25, 2023}}
  • Denny Rehberg, former U.S. representative from the {{ushr|MT|AL|at-large district}} (2001–2013), former Lieutenant Governor of Montana (1991–1997), and nominee for U.S. Senate in 1996 and 2012{{Cite web |last=Lutey |first=Tom |date=2024-02-21 |title=Denny Rehberg launches U.S. House campaign |url=https://billingsgazette.com/news/state-regional/denny-rehberg-congress-house-rosendale/article_085aff14-d0dc-11ee-9d1c-2bdc88383dcd.html |access-date=2024-02-21 |website=Billings Gazette |language=en}}
  • Stacy Zinn, retired DEA agent{{cite news |last1=Buffington |first1=Posie |title=Stacy Zinn announces run for Montana congressional district two |url=https://www.kulr8.com/news/stacy-zinn-announces-run-for-montana-congressional-district-two/article_ff4877be-7ce2-11ee-af97-af5ed1a2b2b7.html |publisher=KULR8 |date=November 6, 2023 |access-date=November 20, 2023}}

== Withdrawn ==

  • Matt Rosendale, incumbent U.S. representative
  • Ed Walker, former state senator from the 29th district (2011–2015) and candidate for the {{ushr|MT|AL|at-large district}} in 2017 (remained on ballot)

==Endorsements==

{{Endorsements box

|title=Elsie Arntzen

|width=50em

|list=

;U.S. representatives

  • Bob Good, chair of the Freedom Caucus (2024) and {{ushr|VA|5|VA-05}} (2021–2025){{cite news |last1=Roth |first1=Samantha-Jo |title=Freedom Caucus chairman endorses Republican in crowded primary for Rosendale House seat - Washington Examiner |url=https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/2951039/freedom-caucus-chairman-endorses-republican-rosendale-house-seat/ |access-date=April 11, 2024 |work=The Washington Examiner |date=April 3, 2024}}
  • Harriet Hageman, {{ushr|WY|AL|WY-AL}} (2023–present)

;Organizations

  • House Freedom Fund{{Cite web |title=Big Win and Nine New Endorsements|url=https://housefreedomfund.substack.com/p/big-win-and-nine-new-endorsements |access-date=2024-05-08 |website=House Freedom Fund |date=May 8, 2024 |language=en-US}}

}}

{{Endorsements box

|title=Ken Bogner

|width=50em

|list=

;Executive branch officials

}}

{{Endorsements box

|title=Joel Krautter

|width=50em

|list=

;Labor unions

}}

{{Endorsements box

|title=Declined to endorse

|width=50em

|list=

;U.S. representatives

  • Matt Rosendale, {{ushr|MT|2|MT-02}} (2021–2025){{cite news |last1=Ambarian |first1=Jonathon |title=Endorsements come in for Montana eastern district primary, some big players still on the sideline |url=https://www.ktvh.com/news/endorsements-come-in-for-montana-eastern-district-primary-some-big-players-still-on-the-sideline |access-date=April 11, 2024 |work=KTVH-DT |date=April 11, 2024 |language=en}}

}}

==Fundraising==

class="wikitable sortable"
colspan=4 |Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
style="text-align:center;"

!Candidate

!Raised

!Spent

!Cash on hand

{{party shading/Republican}}|Elsie Arntzen (R)

|$871,444{{efn|$750,000 of this total was self-funded by Arntzen}}

|$805,097

|$66,347

{{party shading/Republican}}|Kenneth Bogner (R)

|$54,359

|$43,425

|$10,933

{{party shading/Republican}}|Troy Downing (R)

|$1,818,816{{efn|$1,050,000 of this total was self-funded by Downing}}

|$1,383,494

|$435,322

{{party shading/Republican}}|Ric Holden (R)

|$49,248{{efn|$32,072 of this total was self-funded by Holden}}

|$46,540

|$2,708

{{party shading/Republican}}|Joel Krautter (R)

|$76,533{{efn|$6,240 of this total was self-funded by Krautter}}

|$67,136

|$9,397

{{party shading/Republican}}|Denny Rehberg (R)

|$601,991{{efn|$450,000 of this total was self-funded by Rehberg}}

|$453,928

|$148,063

{{party shading/Republican}}|Stacy Zinn (R)

|$41,460

|$3,091

|$38,369

colspan="4" |Source: Federal Election Commission{{cite web |title=2024 Election United States House - Montana 2nd |url=https://www.fec.gov/data/elections/house/MT/02/2024/ |website=fec.gov |publisher=Federal Election Commission |access-date=February 2, 2024}}

==Polling==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
style="vertical-align:bottom"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="Key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:60px;"| Elsie
Arntzen

! style="width:60px;"| Kenneth
Bogner

! style="width:60px;"| Troy
Downing

! style="width:60px;"| Ric
Holden

! style="width:60px;"| Denny
Rehberg

! style="width:60px;"| Stacy
Zinn

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Cygnal (R)[https://www.scribd.com/document/731252619/Latest-Polling-in-MT-02 Cygnal (R)]{{efn-ua|name="Downing"|Poll sponsored by Elect Principled Veterans Fund, which supports Downing's campaign}}

|May 8–9, 2024

|410 (LV)

|± 4.8%

|5%

|4%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|28%

|2%

|12%

|8%

|3%{{efn|Joel Krautter with 2%; Kyle Austin with 1%; Ed Walker with 0%}}

|{{party shading/Undecided}}|40%

style="text-align:left;"|Guidant Polling & Strategy[https://twitter.com/JacobRubashkin/status/1783591297351098569 Guidant Polling & Strategy]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by Downing's campaign}}

|April 14–17, 2024

|400 (LV)

|± 4.9%

|10%

|–

|{{party shading/Republican}}|38%

|–

|26%

|–

|–

|27%

style="text-align:left;"|Cygnal (R)[https://www.scribd.com/document/724357250/MT-02-Toplines Cygnal (R)]{{efn-ua|name="Downing"}}

|April 15–16, 2024

|415 (LV)

|± 4.8%

|7%

|4%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|21%

|1%

|11%

|3%

|3%{{efn|Joel Krautter with 2%; Kyle Austin with 1; Ed Walker with 0%}}

|{{party shading/Undecided}}|51%

style="text-align:left;"|Moore Information[https://twitter.com/JacobRubashkin/status/1766171040638455949 Moore Information]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by supporters of Rehberg's campaign}}

|February 1, 2024

|500 (LV)

|–

|5%

|3%

|16%

|2%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|26%

|2%

|9%{{efn|Joel Krautter and Ed Walker with 1%; "Other" with 7%}}

|{{party shading/Undecided}}|37%

== Results ==

[[File:2024 MT-2 GOP Primary.svg|thumb|Results by county:

{{collapsible list

| title = {{legend|#FFB2B2|Downing}}|{{legend|#FFE0EA|20-30%}}|{{legend|#FFC8CD|30-40%}}|{{legend|#FFB2B2|40-50%}}

}}{{collapsible list

| title = {{legend|#FFDAC1|Rehberg}}|{{legend|#FFDAC1|20-30%}}

}}{{collapsible list

| title = {{legend|#73bc84|Bogner}}|{{legend|#ebf7ee|20-30%}}|{{legend|#d6efdc|30-40%}}|{{legend|#a3d5af|40-50%}}|{{legend|#73bc84|50-60%}}

}}{{collapsible list

| title = {{legend|#f0e6be|Holden}}|{{legend|#f8f2de|20-30%}}|{{legend|#f0e6be|30-40%}}

}}]]

{{Election box begin no change|title=Republican primary results}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Troy Downing|votes=36,269|percentage=36.1}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Denny Rehberg|votes=17,182|percentage=17.1}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Stacy Zinn|votes=13,581|percentage=13.5}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Elsie Arntzen|votes=9,468|percentage=9.4}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Kenneth Bogner|votes=9,026|percentage=9.0}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Ric Holden|votes=7,108|percentage=7.1}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Joel Krautter|votes=3,432|percentage=3.4}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Kyle Austin|votes=3,177|percentage=3.2}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Ed Walker (withdrawn)|votes=1,168|percentage=1.2}}

{{Election box total no change|votes=100,411|percentage=100.0}}

{{Election box end}}

=Democratic primary=

==Nominee==

==Eliminated in primary==

  • Ming Cabrera, salesman{{cite news |access-date=6 September 2023 |work=Montana Public Radio |last=Ragar |first=Shaylee |date=6 September 2023 |url=https://www.mtpr.org/montana-news/2023-09-06/another-democrat-joins-montanas-eastern-district-u-s-house-race |title=Another Democrat joins Montana's eastern district U.S. House race}}
  • Kevin Hamm, IT consultant{{cite web |last1=Ehrlick |first1=Darrell |title=Hamm announces bid for Congress |url=https://dailymontanan.com/2023/05/16/hamm-announces-bid-for-congress/ |publisher=Daily Montanan |date=16 May 2023}}
  • Steve Held, actor and rancher

==Fundraising==

class="wikitable sortable"
colspan=4 |Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
style="text-align:center;"

!Candidate

!Raised

!Spent

!Cash on hand

{{party shading/Democratic}}|Ming Cabrera (D)

|$60,007{{efn|$2,740 of this total was self-funded by Cabrera}}

|$41,424

|$18,582

{{party shading/Democratic}}|Kevin Hamm (D)

|$62,689

|$57,628

|$5,061

{{party shading/Democratic}}|Steve Held (D)

|$86,570{{efn|$45,000 of this total was self-funded by Held}}

|$67,945

|$18,624

colspan="4" |Source: Federal Election Commission

== Results ==

[[File:2024 MT-2 Dem Primary.svg|thumb|{{collapsible list

| title = {{legend|#7996E2|Driscoll}}|{{legend|#BDD3FF|30-40%}}|{{legend|#A5B0FF|40-50%}}|{{legend|#7996E2|50-60%}}|{{legend|#6674DE|60-70%}}

}}{{collapsible list

| title = {{legend|#51C2C2|Held}}|{{legend|#ACF2F2|30-40%}}|{{legend|#7DDDDD|40-50%}}|{{legend|#51C2C2|50-60%}}

}}{{collapsible list

| title = {{legend|#FFC5DA|Cabrera}}|{{legend|#FFC5DA|30-40%}}

}}]]

{{Election box begin no change|title=Democratic primary results}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change|party=Democratic Party (United States)|candidate=John Driscoll|votes=13,420|percentage=33.3}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Democratic Party (United States)|candidate=Steve Held|votes=10,649|percentage=26.4}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Democratic Party (United States)|candidate=Ming Cabrera|votes=8,408|percentage=20.9}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Democratic Party (United States)|candidate=Kevin Hamm|votes=7,813|percentage=19.4}}

{{Election box total no change|votes=40,290|percentage=100.0}}

{{Election box end}}

=General election=

==Predictions==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

align=left | The Cook Political Report

| {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

| February 2, 2023

align=left | Inside Elections

| {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

|September 15, 2023

align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball

| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

| February 23, 2023

align=left | Elections Daily

| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|September 7, 2023

align=left | CNalysis

| {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

|November 16, 2023

== Polling ==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="Key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:100px;"| Troy
Downing (R)

! style="width:100px;"| John
Driscoll (D)

! class="unsortable" | Other /
Undecided

style="text-align:left|Montana State University

|September 30 – October 16, 2024

|(A)

|–

|{{party shading/Republican}}|43%

|26%

|31%{{efn|Metzger (I) with 4%; Neill (D) with 3%}}

style="text-align:left|Fabrizio Ward (R)/
David Binder Research
(D){{Efn-ua|Poll sponsored by AARP.}}

|August 25–29, 2024

|290 (LV)

|–

|{{party shading/Republican}}|52%

|31%

|17%

== Results ==

{{Election box begin no change|title=2024 Montana's 2nd congressional district electionhttps://sosmt.gov/docs/31/post-election/66774/2024-general-election-report-state-canvass-write-in}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Troy Downing|votes=181,832|percentage=65.7}}{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Democratic Party (United States)|candidate=John Driscoll|votes=93,713|percentage=33.9}}{{Election box write-in with party link no change|votes=1,107|percentage=0.4}}{{Election box total no change|votes=276,652|percentage=100.0}}{{Election box hold with party link no change

| winner = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

== By county ==

width="60%" class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center"
rowspan="2" |County

! colspan="2" |Troy Downing
Republican

! colspan="2" |John Driscoll
Democratic

! colspan="2" |Write-in
Various

! colspan="2" |Margin

! rowspan="2" |Total

style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |#

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |%

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |#

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |%

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |#

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |%

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |#

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |%

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Big Horn

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,115

| {{party shading/Republican}} |47.83%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,305

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |52.13%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |2

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.05%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}

190

| {{party shading/Democratic}}

4.30%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,422

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Blaine

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,491

| {{party shading/Republican}} |49.92%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,414

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |47.34%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |82

| {{party shading/Independent}} |2.75%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |77

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2.58%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,987

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Broadwater

| {{party shading/Republican}} |3,833

| {{party shading/Republican}} |81.14%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |886

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |18.76%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |5

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.11%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,947

| {{party shading/Republican}} |62.38%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |4,724

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Carbon

| {{party shading/Republican}} |4,919

| {{party shading/Republican}} |67.86%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,314

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |31.92%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |16

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.22%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,605

| {{party shading/Republican}} |35.94%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |7,249

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Carter

| {{party shading/Republican}} |774

| {{party shading/Republican}} |92.25%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |65

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |7.75%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.00%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |709

| {{party shading/Republican}} |84.51%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |839

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Cascade

| {{party shading/Republican}} |23,122

| {{party shading/Republican}} |62.53%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |13,725

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |37.12%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |131

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.35%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |9,397

| {{party shading/Republican}} |25.41%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |36,978

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Chouteau

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,963

| {{party shading/Republican}} |68.33%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |909

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |31.64%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |1

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.03%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,054

| {{party shading/Republican}} |36.69%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,873

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Custer

| {{party shading/Republican}} |4,293

| {{party shading/Republican}} |75.34%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,374

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |24.11%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |31

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.54%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,919

| {{party shading/Republican}} |51.23%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |5,698

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Daniels

| {{party shading/Republican}} |780

| {{party shading/Republican}} |83.87%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |150

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |16.13%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.00%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |630

| {{party shading/Republican}} |67 74%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |930

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Dawson

| {{party shading/Republican}} |3,628

| {{party shading/Republican}} |80.09%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |860

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |18.98%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |42

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.93%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,768

| {{party shading/Republican}} |61.10%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |4,530

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Fallon

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,299

| {{party shading/Republican}} |89.03%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |156

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |10.69%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |4

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.27%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,143

| {{party shading/Republican}} |78.34%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,459

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Fergus

| {{party shading/Republican}} |5,132

| {{party shading/Republican}} |77.37%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,482

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |22.34%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |19

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.29%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |3,650

| {{party shading/Republican}} |55.03%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |6,633

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Garfield

| {{party shading/Republican}} |737

| {{party shading/Republican}} |95.59%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |33

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |4.28%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |1

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.13%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |704

| {{party shading/Republican}} |91.31%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |771

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Golden Valley

| {{party shading/Republican}} |448

| {{party shading/Republican}} |86.49%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |70

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |13.51%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.00%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |378

| {{party shading/Republican}} |72.97%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |518

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Hill

| {{party shading/Republican}} |3,904

| {{party shading/Republican}} |58.57%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,719

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |40.79%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |43

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.65%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,185

| {{party shading/Republican}} |17.78%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |6,666

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Jefferson

| {{party shading/Republican}} |5,685

| {{party shading/Republican}} |69.19%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,506

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |30.50%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |26

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.32%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |3,179

| {{party shading/Republican}} |38.69%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |8,217

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Judith Basin

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,091

| {{party shading/Republican}} |81.12%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |248

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |18.44%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |6

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.45%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |843

| {{party shading/Republican}} |62.68%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,345

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Lewis and Clark

| {{party shading/Republican}} |22,256

| {{party shading/Republican}} |53.81%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |18,845

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |45.57%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |258

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.62%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |3,411

| {{party shading/Republican}} |8.25%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |41,359

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Liberty

| {{party shading/Republican}} |767

| {{party shading/Republican}} |78.67%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |207

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |21.23%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |1

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.10%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |560

| {{party shading/Republican}} |57.44%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |975

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |McCone

| {{party shading/Republican}} |928

| {{party shading/Republican}} |87.14%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |132

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |12.39%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |5

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.47%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |796

| {{party shading/Republican}} |74.74%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,065

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Meagher

| {{party shading/Republican}} |922

| {{party shading/Republican}} |79.41%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |239

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |20.59%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.00%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |683

| {{party shading/Republican}} |58.83%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,161

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Musselshell

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,574

| {{party shading/Republican}} |86.90%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |388

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |13.10%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.00%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,186

| {{party shading/Republican}} |73.89%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,962

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Park

| {{party shading/Republican}} |6,230

| {{party shading/Republican}} |54.07%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,255

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |45.60%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |38

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.33%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |975

| {{party shading/Republican}} |8.46%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |11,523

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Petroleum

| {{party shading/Republican}} |289

| {{party shading/Republican}} |88.92%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |36

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |11.08%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.00%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |253

| {{party shading/Republican}} |77.85%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |325

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Phillips

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,797

| {{party shading/Republican}} |83.04%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |364

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |16.82%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |3

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.14%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,433

| {{party shading/Republican}} |66.22%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,164

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Pondera

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,473

| {{party shading/Republican}} |75.65%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |474

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |24.35%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.00%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |999

| {{party shading/Republican}} |51.31%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,947

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Powder River

| {{party shading/Republican}} |959

| {{party shading/Republican}} |88.31%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |127

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |11.69%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.00%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |832

| {{party shading/Republican}} |76.61%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,086

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Prairie

| {{party shading/Republican}} |560

| {{party shading/Republican}} |83.21%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |113

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |16.79%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.00%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |447

| {{party shading/Republican}} |66.42%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |673

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Richland

| {{party shading/Republican}} |4,372

| {{party shading/Republican}} |84.76%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |782

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |15.16%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |4

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.08%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |3,590

| {{party shading/Republican}} |69.60%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |5,158

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Roosevelt

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,980

| {{party shading/Republican}} |51.48%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,864

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |48.47%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |2

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.05%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |116

| {{party shading/Republican}} |3.02%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |3,846

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Rosebud

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,484

| {{party shading/Republican}} |67.96%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,163

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |31.82%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |8

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.22%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,321

| {{party shading/Republican}} |36.14%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |3,655

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Sheridan

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,340

| {{party shading/Republican}} |73.34%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |481

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |26.33%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |6

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.33%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |859

| {{party shading/Republican}} |47.02%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,827

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Stillwater

| {{party shading/Republican}} |4,804

| {{party shading/Republican}} |82.18%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,042

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |17.82%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.00%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |3,762

| {{party shading/Republican}} |64.35%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |5,846

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Sweet Grass

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,833

| {{party shading/Republican}} |77.80%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |521

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |22.11%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |2

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.08%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,312

| {{party shading/Republican}} |55.69%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,356

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Teton

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,592

| {{party shading/Republican}} |73.51%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |923

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |26.18%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |11

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.31%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,669

| {{party shading/Republican}} |47.33%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |3,526

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Toole

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,601

| {{party shading/Republican}} |79.65%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |406

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |20.20%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |3

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.15%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,195

| {{party shading/Republican}} |59.45%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,010

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Treasure

| {{party shading/Republican}} |381

| {{party shading/Republican}} |86.59%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |59

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |13.41%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.00%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |322

| {{party shading/Republican}} |73.18%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |440

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Valley

| {{party shading/Republican}} |3,030

| {{party shading/Republican}} |75.92%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |951

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |23.83%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |10

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.25%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,079

| {{party shading/Republican}} |52.09%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |3,991

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Wheatland

| {{party shading/Republican}} |873

| {{party shading/Republican}} |81.21%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |196

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |18.23%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |6

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.56%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |677

| {{party shading/Republican}} |62.98%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,075

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Wibaux

| {{party shading/Republican}} |459

| {{party shading/Republican}} |86.28%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |70

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |13.16%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |3

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.56%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |389

| {{party shading/Republican}} |73.12%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |532

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Yellowstone

| {{party shading/Republican}} |52,114

| {{party shading/Republican}} |64.89%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |27,859

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |34.69%

| {{party shading/Independent}} |338

| {{party shading/Independent}} |0.42%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |24,255

| {{party shading/Republican}} |30.20%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |80,311

style="text-align:center;"

!Totals!!181,832!!65.73%!!93,713!!33.87%!!1,107!!0.40%!!88,119!!31.85%!!276,652

See also

Notes

{{notelist}}

Partisan clients

{{notelist-ua}}

References

{{reflist}}