2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina
{{Short description|none}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}}
{{main|2024 United States presidential election}}
{{row hover highlight}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina
| country = North Carolina
| type = Presidential
| college_voted = yes
| previous_election = 2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina
| previous_year = 2020
| election_date = November 5, 2024
| next_election = 2028 United States presidential election in North Carolina
| next_year = 2028
| turnout = 73.73%{{Cite web |title=Voter Turnout |url=https://www.ncsbe.gov/results-data/voter-turnout#general |website=North Carolina State Board of Elections}} {{decrease}} 1.62 pp
| title = President
| before_election = Joe Biden
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| after_election = Donald Trump
| after_party = Republican Party (United States)
| image2 = File:Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg
| nominee2 = Kamala Harris
| home_state2 = California
| running_mate2 = Tim Walz
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| image1 = TrumpPortrait (3x4a).jpg
| nominee1 = Donald Trump
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| home_state1 = Florida
| running_mate1 = JD Vance
| image_size = 200x200px
| map_size = 400px
| map_caption = {{col-begin}}
{{col-3}}
Trump
{{legend|#F2B3BE|40–50%}}
{{legend|#E27F90|50–60%}}
{{legend|#CC2F4A|60–70%}}
{{legend|#D40000|70–80%}}
{{legend|#AA0000|80–90%}}
{{legend|#800000|90–100%}}
{{col-3}}
Harris
{{legend|#B9D7FF|40–50%}}
{{legend|#86B6F2|50–60%}}
{{legend|#4389E3|60–70%}}
{{legend|#1666CB|70–80%}}
{{legend|#0645B4|80–90%}}
{{legend|#002B84|90–100%}}
{{col-3}}
Tie/No Votes
{{legend|#D4C4DC}}
{{legend|#808080}}
{{col-end}}
| electoral_vote1 = 16
| popular_vote1 = 2,898,423
| percentage1 = 50.86%
| electoral_vote2 = 0
| popular_vote2 = 2,715,375
| percentage2 = 47.65%
| map = {{Switcher
| 400px
| County results
| 400px
| Congressional district results
| 400px
| Precinct results
}}
}}
{{Elections in North Carolina sidebar}}
The 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. North Carolina voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.{{#invoke:cite web||last1=Wang |first1=Hansi |last2=Jin |first2=Connie |last3=Levitt |first3=Zach |title=Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats |url=https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats |publisher=NPR |access-date=August 20, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats |archive-date=August 19, 2021 |date=April 26, 2021 |url-status=live}}
While Republican presidential candidates won close victories in 2012, 2016, and 2020, even as polls indicated a narrow win by Democrat Joe Biden in 2020, at the state level, Democrat Roy Cooper won the 2016 and 2020 gubernatorial elections. Because of these results, the presidential election was expected to be competitive. Today a purple to slightly red state, North Carolina was targeted by both parties in 2024, with major news organizations marking the state as a tossup or slightly leaning towards the Republican candidate, Donald Trump, who carried the state with a margin similar to his 2016 result.{{#invoke:cite web||title=270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map |url=https://www.270towin.com/ |access-date=2024-03-19 |website=270toWin.com}} Incumbent president Biden was initially poised to run for re-election but withdrew on July 21 and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris.
Despite North Carolina Republicans struggling down-ballot, especially due to controversial Republican gubernatorial nominee Mark Robinson, Trump won the state by 3.21%, keeping it in the Republican column for the fourth election cycle in a row. Trump won the state himself for the third straight election. North Carolina remains the only battleground state that Trump won all three times.
Primary elections
=Democratic primary=
{{main|2024 North Carolina Democratic presidential primary}}
In North Carolina, candidates can make the primary ballot either by being nominated by the state party or by filing a nominating petition with at least 10,000 signatures.{{#invoke:cite web||title=2024 Fact Sheet - Running for President |url=https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/Candidate%20Filing/2024_Fact_Sheet_Running_for_President.pdf |access-date=December 26, 2023 |website=North Carolina State Board of Elections}} The North Carolina Democratic Party submitted only Joe Biden as a candidate,{{#invoke:cite web||date=2023-12-07 |title=Biden primary foe Phillips will challenge states where he missed ballot {{!}} Semafor |url=https://www.semafor.com/article/12/07/2023/biden-primary-foe-phillips-will-challenge-states-that-left-him-off-ballot |access-date=2023-12-26 |website=www.semafor.com |language=en}} and no candidate submitted 10,000 signatures by the December 22, 2023, deadline.{{#invoke:cite web||date=2023-12-26 |title=North Carolina's 2024 presidential primary candidates approved |url=https://www.carolinajournal.com/north-carolinas-2024-presidential-primary-candidates-approved/ |access-date=2023-12-26 |website=Carolina Journal - |language=en-US}}
The cancellation was criticized by the Dean Phillips campaign, who started an online petition to get his candidacy on the ballot and threatened legal challenges.{{#invoke:cite web||date=2023-12-22 |title=Dean Phillips, a Democrat running for president, says North Carolina is wrong to keep him off ballot |url=https://www.wunc.org/politics/2023-12-22/dean-phillips-democrat-president-north-carolina-wrong-ballot |access-date=2023-12-26 |website=WUNC |language=en}} Marianne Williamson and Cenk Uygur also criticized the moves.
In addition to the candidates on the ballot, the "No Preference" option appeared on the Democratic, Republican, and Libertarian Presidential Preference Primary ballots. In 2012, when President Barack Obama did not face primary opposition in North Carolina, approximately twenty percent of voters opted for the "No Preference" option.{{#invoke:cite web|| url=https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=705389 | title=Our Campaigns - NC US President - D Primary Race - May 08, 2012 }}
The North Carolina Democratic presidential primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
{{2024NCDem}}
=Republican primary=
{{main|2024 North Carolina Republican presidential primary}}
The North Carolina Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.{{2024NCRep}}
=Libertarian primary=
{{Main|2024 North Carolina Libertarian presidential primary}}
The North Carolina Libertarian primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Ten candidates were presented on the ballot.{{#invoke:cite news||last=News Staff |first=FOX Carolina |title=Here are the 10 Libertarian candidates in the 2024 NC Presidential Primary |url=https://www.foxcarolina.com/2024/02/29/here-are-10-libertarian-candidates-2024-nc-primary-election/?outputType=amp |work=FOX News}}
| class="wikitable sortable tpl-blanktable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
|+ North Carolina Libertarian primary, March 5, 2024 | |
| Candidate
! Votes ! Percentage | |
|---|---|
| style="text-align:left;" | None of the Above
| 2,058 | 40.5% | |
| {{Party shading/Libertarian}}
| style="text-align:left;" | Chase Oliver | 676 | 13.3% | |
| style="text-align:left;" | Jacob Hornberger
| 357 |7.0% | |
| style="text-align:left;" | Joshua Smith
| 354 | 7.0% | |
| style="text-align:left;" | Michael Rectenwald
| 195 | 3.8% | |
| style="text-align:left;" | Charles Ballay
| 183 | 3.6% | |
| style="text-align:left;" | Lars Mapstead
| 176 | 3.5% | |
| style="text-align:left;" | Mike ter Maat
| 137 | 2.7% | |
| style="text-align:left;" | Other{{#tag:ref|464 votes (9.1%) for David (TrimeTaveler) Dunlap, 320 votes (6.3%) for Beau Lindsey, 162 votes (3.2%) for Josh "Toad" Anderson.|group=lower-alpha}}
| 946 | 18.7% | |
| style="background:#eee;"
! Total: ! 5,082 ! 100.0% | |
| colspan="3" style="text-align:left;" | Source:{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://er.ncsbe.gov/?election_dt=03/05/2024&county_id=0&office=FED&contest=2569|title=03/05/2024 UNOFFICIAL PRIMARY ELECTION RESULTS – STATEWIDE|work=North Carolina State Board of Elections|accessdate=June 22, 2024}} |
General election
=Events and rule changes=
Voters must now show a voter ID at the polls and provide a copy of their ID with their mail-in ballots. Mail-in ballots received after election day also will not be counted.{{#invoke:cite web||last1=Alexander |first1=Ayanna |last2=Robertson |first2=Gary D. |last3=Cassidy |first3=Christina A. |date=2024-03-02 |title=North Carolina is among GOP states to change its voting rules. The primary will be a test |url=https://apnews.com/article/voting-laws-voter-id-republicans-north-carolina-1c2d5b033620244a7ea5012adf669b30 |access-date=2024-08-30 |website=AP News |language=en}} There will also be more partisan poll-watchers.{{#invoke:cite news||last=Jacobs |first=Rusty |date=September 2, 2023 |title=Voting in North Carolina faces some big changes with a Republican-backed bill |url=https://www.npr.org/2023/09/02/1197252802/north-carolina-voting-legislation |work=NPR}} The laws are similar to others passed in Republican-controlled states which Democrats have criticized as voter suppression. Common Cause North Carolina and the League of Women Voters of North Carolina have been educating voters on the new rules.
On September 12, 2024, the Republican National Committee sued to block the use of digital IDs, popular with students at the University of North Carolina, as a form of voter ID.{{#invoke:cite news||last=Queen |first=Jack |date=September 20, 2024 |title=North Carolina judge rejects Republican challenge to student voter IDs |url=https://www.reuters.com/legal/north-carolina-judge-rejects-republican-challenge-student-voter-ids-2024-09-20/ |access-date=September 23, 2024 |agency=Reuters}} The plaintiffs sought a temporary restraining order, and alleged that the digital IDs did not comply with the state's voter identification requirements and were susceptible to fraud. On September 20, 2024, Wake County Superior Court Judge Keith Gregory rejected the request for a temporary restraining order, stating that the Republican National Committee had not "advanced any credible link between the State Board's approval of Mobile One Cards and a heightened risk of ineligible voters casting illegal votes."
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was granted the status of presidential candidate in July 2024 for North Carolina after state authorities recognized the political party he founded, "We the People," which allowed Kennedy to qualify using 13,757 signatures, instead of the 82,542 signatures required for a candidate with no party.{{#invoke:cite news||last1=Meryl Kornfield |first1=Meryl |title=What to know about RFK Jr.'s 'We the People' party |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/05/02/rfk-jr-we-the-people-party/ |access-date=September 14, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post |date=May 2, 2024 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20240507161249/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/05/02/rfk-jr-we-the-people-party/ |archive-date=May 7, 2024}}{{#invoke:cite news||last1=Somasundaram |first1=Praveena |title=RFK Jr. fought to get on N.C. ballots. Now he's suing to get off them. |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/01/rfk-election-north-carolina-ballot/ |access-date=September 14, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post |date=September 1, 2024 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20240902014742/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/01/rfk-election-north-carolina-ballot/ |archive-date=September 2, 2024}} The North Carolina Democratic Party filed a lawsuit alleging that Kennedy was improperly using his party to avoid higher qualification requirements, but this lawsuit against Kennedy was unsuccessful. On August 27, Kennedy asked state authorities to remove him as a presidential candidate in North Carolina; on August 28, the We the People party officially made the same request to state authorities; both requests were initially denied due to ballots already being printed and upcoming deadlines, with North Carolina law mandating that absentee ballots should be mailed by authorities from September 6.{{#invoke:cite news||last1=Sherman |first1=Lucille |title=RFK Jr. will remain on North Carolina's 2024 ballot |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/08/29/rfk-jr-nc-ballot-withdrawal-request-2024-election |access-date=September 14, 2024 |work=Axios |date=August 29, 2024}}{{#invoke:cite news||last1=Robertson |first1=Gary |title=RFK Jr. can't get off ballot in North Carolina, can't get back on it in New York |url=https://apnews.com/article/north-carolina-kennedy-ballot-elections-board-d59aeb239392e4c6800df89e01f666ed |access-date=September 14, 2024 |agency=Associated Press |date=August 30, 2024}}
Kennedy responded by launching a lawsuit demanding to be removed as a presidential candidate in North Carolina, with Kennedy previously saying that "by staying on the ballot in the battleground states, I would likely hand the election over to the Democrats", while Kennedy remained as a presidential candidate in non-battleground states and indicated that his lawsuit to become a presidential candidate in New York would continue.{{#invoke:cite news||last1=Jacobs |first1=Rusty |title=State elections board ordered to reprint ballots without RFK Jr.'s name; Board appealing |url=https://www.wunc.org/politics/2024-09-07/state-elections-board-reprint-ballots-rfk-jr-appeal |access-date=September 14, 2024 |work=WUNC (FM) |date=September 7, 2024}} While Wake County Superior Court ruled against Kennedy, he appealed and the North Carolina Court of Appeals ruled for Kennedy on September 6, ordering for authorities to reprint ballots without Kennedy as a candidate. The North Carolina Supreme Court affirmed the Court of Appeals' decision on September 9, so authorities went to reprint the ballots, which delayed the mailing date from the originally stipulated September 6 date to become September 20 for military and overseas voters and September 24 for other voters.{{#invoke:cite news||last1=Robertson |first1=Gary |title=North Carolina's absentee ballot release was delayed by RFK Jr. ruling, but will begin next week |url=https://apnews.com/article/north-carolina-absentee-ballots-kennedy-delay-be1c92ab8e5e52e0ad1741acc1bb0da9 |access-date=September 14, 2024 |agency=Associated Press |date=September 14, 2024}}
=Predictions=
| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center"
!Source !Ranking !As of | |
| align=left | The Cook Political Report{{#invoke:cite web | title=2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings |url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/presidential-race-ratings |website= |publisher=Cook Political Report}}
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |November 4, 2024 |
| align="left" | Sabato's Crystal Ball{{#invoke:cite web | title=2024 Electoral College ratings |url=https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2024-president/ |publisher=Sabato's Crystal Ball}}
| {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} |November 4, 2024 |
| align="left" | Decision Desk HQ/The Hill{{#invoke:cite web | title=2024 presidential predictions |url=https://elections2024.thehill.com/predictions/president |work=The Hill}}
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |November 4, 2024 |
| align="left" | CNN{{#invoke:cite web | title=Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270 |url=https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/electoral-college-map?game-id=2024-PG-CNN-ratings&game-view=map |publisher=CNN}}
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |November 4, 2024 |
| align="left" | CNalysis{{cite web |title=2024 Presidential Forecast |url=https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/president |website=projects.cnalysis.com |publisher=CNalysis |access-date=5 November 2024}}
| {{USRaceRating|Tilt|D|flip}} |November 4, 2024 | |
| align="left" | The Economist{{#invoke:cite news | title=Trump v Harris: The Economist's presidential election prediction model |url=https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/prediction-model/president |newspaper=The Economist |language=en}}
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |November 4, 2024 |
| align="left" | 538{{#invoke:cite web | last1=Morris |first1=G. Elliott |title=2024 Election Forecast |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/ |website=FiveThirtyEight |date=June 11, 2024 |language=en}}
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |November 4, 2024 |
| align="left" | Inside Elections{{#invoke:cite web | date= |title=Presidential Ratings |url=https://insideelections.com/ratings/president |access-date= |website= |publisher=Inside Elections}}
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |November 4, 2024 |
| align="left" | NBC News{{#invoke:cite web | title=Presidential Election Preview 2024 |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/president-electoral-college-battleground-states |website= |date=December 17, 2024 |publisher=NBC News}}
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} |November 4, 2024 |
=Polling=
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Aggregate polls
| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:17px"
!Source of poll !Dates !Dates ! class="unsortable" |Kamala ! class="unsortable" |Donald ! Other / !Margin |
| 270ToWin[https://www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/north-carolina 270ToWin]
|October 23 – November 4, 2024 |November 5, 2024 |47.3% | style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |48.6% |4.1% | style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |Trump +1.3% |
| 538[https://web.archive.org/web/20230405052936/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/north-carolina/ 538]
|through November 4, 2024 |November 5, 2024 |47.4% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48.3% |4.3% | style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|Trump +0.9% |
| Silver Bulletin[https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model Silver Bulletin]
|through November 4, 2024 |November 5, 2024 |47.7% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48.8% |3.5% | style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|Trump +1.1% |
| The Hill/DDHQ[https://elections2024.thehill.com/north-carolina/harris-trump-north-carolina/ The Hill/DDHQ]
|through November 4, 2024 |November 5, 2024 | 47.9% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49.4% |2.7% | style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |Trump +1.5% |
| colspan="3" |Average
|47.6% | style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |48.8% |3.6% | style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |Trump +1.2% |
| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px" | |||
| valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample | name=key|group=lower-alpha}}
! Margin ! class="unsortable" | Donald ! class="unsortable" | Kamala ! class="unsortable" | Other / | ||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="4"|HarrisX{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://elections.harrisx.com/public/BG_STATE_POLLS_NC.html|title=HarrisX Battleground State Poll (Nov 3-5): North Carolina|website=HarrisX|date=November 5, 2024}}
|rowspan="4"|November 3–5, 2024 |rowspan="2"|1,815 (RV) |rowspan="4"|± 2.3% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |48% |47% |5% | ||
| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |50.5%{{#tag:ref | name="lean"|group=lower-alpha}}
|49.5% |– | ||
| rowspan="2"|1,600 (LV)
|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49% |48% |3% | |||
| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |50.2%{{#tag:ref | name="lean"|group=lower-alpha}}
|49.8% |– | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|AtlasIntel{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://cdn.atlasintel.org/616d82d3-e782-4d6e-b690-9eed1523fe75.pdf|title=Atlas Poll - US Key States - November 4, 2024|website=AtlasIntel|date=November 4, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-11-04" |November 3–4, 2024 |1,219 (LV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |50% |48% |2% | ||
| style="text-align:left;" |Patriot Polling{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://patriotpolling.com/our-polls/f/final-2024-presidential-poll|title=Final 2024 Presidential Poll|first=Lucca|last=Ruggieri|website=Patriot Polling|date=November 3, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-11-03" |November 1–3, 2024 |799 (RV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |51% |49% |– | ||
| style="text-align:left;" |InsiderAdvantage (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://insideradvantage.com/insideradvantage-surveys-az-mi-wi-pa-nc/|title=InsiderAdvantage Surveys: AZ, MI, WI, PA, NC|website=InsiderAdvantage|date=November 3, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-11-02" |November 1–2, 2024 |800 (LV) |± 3.4% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49% |47% |4%{{#tag:ref | name="Other2"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="text-align:left;"|AtlasIntel{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://cdn.atlasintel.org/f41e83be-de61-4d59-9c46-f5f91cbf00fa.pdf|title=Atlas Poll - US Swing States - November 2, 2024|website=AtlasIntel|date=November 2, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-11-02" |November 1–2, 2024 |1,310 (LV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |51% |47% |2% | ||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Emerson College{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/november-2024-final-swing-state-polls-too-close-to-call-election-for-president/|title=November 2024 Final Swing State Polls: Too-Close-To-Call Election for President|website=Emerson College Polling|date=November 4, 2024}}
|rowspan="2"|October 30 – November 2, 2024 |rowspan="2"|860 (LV) |rowspan="2"|± 3.3% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49% |48% |3%{{#tag:ref | name="SE1"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |50%{{#tag:ref | name="lean"|group=lower-alpha}}
|49% |1%{{#tag:ref | name="SE1"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|The New York Times/Siena College{{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/03/us/politics/harris-trump-times-siena-poll.html|title=Harris and Trump Battle to the Wire in Swing States, Times/Siena Polls Find|first1=Lisa|last1=Lerer|first2=Ruth|last2=Igielnik|website=The New York Times |date=November 3, 2024}}
|rowspan="2"|October 28 – November 2, 2024 |1,010 (RV) |rowspan="2"|± 3.5% |44% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |48% |8% | ||
| 1,010 (LV)
|46% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |48% |6% | |||
| style="text-align:left;" |ActiVote{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.activote.net/trump-takes-the-lead-in-north-carolina/|title=Trump takes the lead in North Carolina|first=Victor|last=Allis|website=ActiVote|date=November 3, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-11-02" |October 17 – November 2, 2024 |400 (LV) |± 4.9% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |51% |49% |– | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Morning Consult
| data-sort-value="2024-11-01" |October 23 − November 1, 2024 |1,056 (LV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |47% |4% | |||
| style="text-align:left;"|AtlasIntel{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://cdn.atlasintel.org/ff8a5b86-e293-44f4-8162-166002248f55.pdf|title=Atlas Poll - US Swing States - October 31, 2024|website=AtlasIntel|date=October 31, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-10-31" |October 30–31, 2024 |1,373 (LV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|51% |47% |2% | ||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|YouGov{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20241101.pdf|title=The Times / SAY Poll: October 25-31, 2024|website=YouGov|date=November 1, 2024}}{{#tag:ref | name=times|group=upper-alpha}}
|rowspan="2"|October 25–31, 2024 |987 (RV) |rowspan="2"|± 4.2% |49% |49% |2% | |
| 949 (LV)
|style="color:black;background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |49% |1% | |||
| style="text-align:left;"|Rasmussen Reports (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_trump_leads_in_pennsylvania_nevada_north_carolina|title=Election 2024: Trump Leads in Pennsylvania, Nevada, North Carolina|website=Rasmussen Reports|date=November 1, 2024}}{{#tag:ref | name=AT|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-10-30" |October 25–30, 2024 |751 (LV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |47% |3%{{#tag:ref | name="Other1"|group=lower-alpha}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|AtlasIntel{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://cdn.atlasintel.org/12bd169b-6db5-44be-9429-90f44ba0d845.pdf|title=Atlas Poll - US Swing States - October 29, 2024|website=AtlasIntel|date=October 29, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-10-29" |October 25–29, 2024 |1,665 (LV) |± 3.0% |48% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49% |3% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Trafalgar Group (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/NC-24-General-1029_Report.pdf|title=North Carolina Presidential Survey - October 2024|website=The Trafalgar Group|date=October 29, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-10-28" |October 25–28, 2024 |1,091 (LV) |± 2.9% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |46% |5%{{#tag:ref | name="Other1"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Fox News{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-trump-still-narrowly-ahead-harris-north-carolina|title=Fox News Poll: Trump still narrowly ahead of Harris in North Carolina
|first=Dana|last=Blanton|website=Fox News|date=October 30, 2024}} |rowspan="2"|October 24–28, 2024 |1,113 (RV) |rowspan="2"|± 3.0% |49% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |1% | ||
| 872 (LV)
|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |49% |1% | |||
| style="text-align:left;"|SurveyUSA{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7ddb5308-26ff-4f6a-92f1-80d09e31c6ee|title=One Week Out, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris Dead Even in North Carolina, With 16 Critical Electoral Votes Hanging in the Balance|date=October 29, 2024|website=SurveyUSA}}{{#tag:ref | name=WRAL|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-10-26" |October 23–26, 2024 |853 (LV) |± 4.1% |47% |47% |6%{{#tag:ref | name="Other2"|group=lower-alpha}} |
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|CES/YouGov{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/stateprezapp2024/|title=2024 presidential vote preferences by state|website=Cooperative Election Study|date=October 29, 2024}}
|rowspan="2"|October 1–25, 2024 |2,330 (A) |rowspan="2"|– |48% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49% |3% | ||
| 2,308 (LV)
|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |48% |2% | |||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Emerson College{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2024-polls-trump-and-harris-locked-in-tight-race/|title=October 2024 Polls: Trump and Harris Locked in Tight Race|website=Emerson College Polling|date=October 24, 2024}}
|rowspan="2"|October 21–22, 2024 |rowspan="2"|950 (LV) |rowspan="2"|± 3.1% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |48% |2%{{#tag:ref | name="SE2"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |50%{{#tag:ref | name="lean"|group=lower-alpha}}
|48% |2%{{#tag:ref | name="SE2"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Marist College{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/marist-north-carolina-poll-u-s-presidential-contest-in-north-carolina-october-2024/|title=Marist North Carolina Poll: U.S. Presidential Contest in North Carolina, October 2024|website=Marist Poll|date=October 24, 2024}}
|rowspan="2"|October 17–22, 2024 |1,410 (RV) |± 3.3% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |48% |3%{{#tag:ref|"Another party's candidates" with 2%|name="APC2"|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| 1,226 (LV)
|± 3.6% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |48% |2%{{#tag:ref | name="APC1"|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|SoCal Strategies (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://substack.com/inbox/post/150584661|title=On Point/Red Eagle Politics/SoCal Strategies North Carolina Poll|website=Substack|date=October 22, 2024}}{{#tag:ref | name=OPREP|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-10-21" |October 20–21, 2024 |702 (LV) |± 3.7% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |46% |5% | |
| style="text-align:left;" |InsiderAdvantage (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://insideradvantage.com/insideradvantage-survey-trump-leads-harris-by-two-points-in-north-carolina/|title=InsiderAdvantage Survey: Trump Leads Harris by Two points in North Carolina
|website=InsiderAdvantage|date=October 22, 2024}} | data-sort-value="2024-10-20" |October 19–20, 2024 |800 (LV) |± 3.5% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49% |47% |4%{{#tag:ref | name="Other2"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="text-align:left;"|High Point University/SurveyUSA{{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.highpoint.edu/blog/2024/10/hpu-poll-north-carolina-presidential-race-remains-close-2/|title=HPU Poll: North Carolina Presidential Race Remains Close|date=October 22, 2024|website=High Point University}}
| data-sort-value="2024-10-20" |October 17–20, 2024 |1,164 (RV) |± 3.5% |46% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |47% |7%{{#tag:ref | name="Other1"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;" |Bloomberg/Morning Consult{{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-10-23/new-poll-has-trump-harris-tied-in-key-states-just-12-days-to-election|title=Two Weeks Out, Trump and Harris Are Locked in a Dead Heat|first1=Gregory|last1=Korte|first2=Nancy|last2=Cook|newspaper=Bloomberg|date=October 23, 2024}}
| rowspan="2" |October 16–20, 2024 |755 (RV) | rowspan="2" |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |47% |3% | ||
| 702 (LV)
|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |48% |2% | |||
| style="text-align:left;"|AtlasIntel{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://cdn.atlasintel.org/023fa4e7-4d28-4903-b4cd-57241a0f5e08.pdf|title=Atlas Poll - US Swing States - October 2024|website=AtlasIntel|date=October 19, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-10-17" |October 12–17, 2024 |1,674 (LV) |± 2.0% |49% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|51% |– | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Elon University{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.elon.edu/u/elon-poll/elon-poll-october-29-2024/|title=Elon Poll: Hurricane Helene factors into dead-even presidential election in N.C.|website=Elon University|date=October 29, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-10-17" |October 10–17, 2024 |800 (RV) |± 4.0% |46% |46% |8%{{#tag:ref|"Another candidate" with 4%|name="AC4"|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Morning Consult
| data-sort-value="2024-10-15" |October 6−15, 2024 |1,072 (LV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |48% |3% | |||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|The Washington Post/Schar School{{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/10/21/harris-trump-post-schar-school-poll/|title=Harris and Trump locked in dead heat in seven-state poll, with some voters still deciding|first1=Scott|last1=Clement|first2=Emily|last2=Guskin|first3=Dan|last3=Keating|first4=Dan|last4=Balz|newspaper=The Washington Post|date=October 21, 2024}}
|rowspan="2"|September 30 – October 15, 2024 |965 (RV) |rowspan="2"|± 3.9% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |45% |6% | ||
| 965 (LV)
|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |47% |3% | |||
| style="text-align:left;" |Quinnipiac University{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3914|title=Swing State Poll 2024: Georgia, North Carolina: Trump Holds Lead In GA, Harris On Upside Of Tight Race In NC, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; NC Gubernatorial Race: Stein Leads Robinson By Double Digits|website=Quinnipiac University Poll|date=October 16, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-10-14" |October 10–14, 2024 |1,031 (LV) |± 3.1% |47% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |50% |3% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Rasmussen Reports (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_trump_now_5_in_north_carolina|title=Election 2024: Trump Now +5 in North Carolina|website=Rasmussen Reports|date=October 15, 2024}}{{#tag:ref | name=AT|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-12" |October 9–14, 2024 |1,042 (LV) |± 3.0% | style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |51% |46% |3%{{#tag:ref | name="Other1"|group=lower-alpha}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|Trafalgar Group (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/NC-24-General-1015_Report.pdf|title=North Carolina Presidential Survey - October 2024|website=The Trafalgar Group|date=October 15, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-12" |October 10–13, 2024 |1,085 (LV) |± 2.9% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|47% |45% |6%{{#tag:ref|"Other" with 4%|name="Other4"|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R){{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.mediaite.com/news/trump-releases-internal-poll-showing-himself-ahead-in-every-swing-state-all-but-one-are-within-the-margin-of-error/|title=Trump Releases Internal Poll Showing Himself Ahead In Every Swing State — All But One Are Within the Margin of Error|first=Isaac|last=Schorr|website=Mediaite|date=October 10, 2024}}{{#tag:ref|Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign|name=TrumpCampaign|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-10-09" |October 6–9, 2024 |800 (LV) |± 3.5% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |47% |5% | ||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Emerson College{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2024-state-polls-mixed-movement-across-swing-states-shows-dead-heat/|title=October 2024 State Polls: Mixed Movement Across Swing States Shows Dead Heat|website=Emerson College Polling|date=October 10, 2024}}
|rowspan="2"|October 5–8, 2024 |rowspan="2"|1,000 (LV) |rowspan="2"|± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49% |48% |3%{{#tag:ref | name="SE1"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |50%{{#tag:ref | name="lean"|group=lower-alpha}}
|49% |1%{{#tag:ref | name="SE1"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="text-align:left;"|The Wall Street Journal{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/trump-harris-swing-state-poll-october-2024-c3ca9414|title=Battle for Swing States Is Tied, Trump Has Edge on Top Issues, WSJ Poll Shows|first=Aaron|last=Zitner|website=The Wall Street Journal|date=October 11, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-10-08" |September 28 – October 8, 2024 |600 (RV) |± 5.0% |47% |47% |6% | ||
| style="text-align:left;" |ActiVote{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.activote.net/harris-has-small-lead-in-north-carolina/|title=Harris has small lead in North Carolina|first=Victor|last=Allis|website=ActiVote|date=October 7, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-10-06" |September 7 – October 6, 2024 |400 (LV) |± 4.9% |49% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |51% |– | ||
| style="text-align:left;" |InsiderAdvantage (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://insideradvantage.com/insideradvantage-sunbelt-battleground-surveys-trump-enjoys-slim-lead-in-arizona-nevada-and-north-carolina-georgia-tied/|title=InsiderAdvantage 'Sunbelt Battleground' Surveys: Trump Enjoys Slim Lead in Arizona, Nevada, and North Carolina; Georgia Tied|website=InsiderAdvantage|date=October 1, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-30" |September 29–30, 2024 |800 (LV) |± 3.5% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |50% |49% |1% | ||
| style="text-align:left;" |Quinnipiac University{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3909|title=Swing State Poll 2024: Georgia, North Carolina: Trump Ahead In GA, On Upside Of Tight Race In NC, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; NC Governor Race: More Voters Say Robinson Should Stay In Race|website=Quinnipiac University Poll|date=October 1, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-29" |September 25–29, 2024 |953 (LV) |± 3.2% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49% |48% |3% | ||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|The Washington Post{{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/10/01/harris-trump-north-carolina-washington-post-poll/|title=N.C. presidential race close as Helene recovery begins, Post poll finds|first1=Emily|last1=Guskin|first2=Scott|last2=Clement|first3=Dan|last3=Balz|newspaper=The Washington Post|date=October 1, 2024}}
|rowspan="2"|September 25–29, 2024 |1,001 (RV) |rowspan="2"|± 3.5% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |50% |47% |3%{{#tag:ref | name="SE1"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| 1,001 (LV)
|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |50% |48% |2%{{#tag:ref | name="SE1"|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| style="text-align:left;" |Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.pgpf.org/sites/default/files/PGPF-Battleground-Poll-Topline-Results-by-State.pdf|title=PGPF Battleground Poll Topline Results by State|website=Peter G. Peterson Foundation|date=October 9, 2024}}{{#tag:ref|Poll sponsored by the Peter G. Peterson Foundation|name=PGPF|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-29" |September 23–29, 2024 |401 (LV) |± 4.9% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |47% |5% | ||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|High Point University{{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.highpoint.edu/blog/2024/10/hpu-poll-presidential-race-remains-close-for-north-carolina-voters/|title=HPU Poll: Presidential Race Remains Close for North Carolina Voters|date=October 3, 2024|website=High Point University}}
|rowspan="2"|September 20–29, 2024 |814 (RV) |± 3.6% |46% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |48% |6%{{#tag:ref | name="SE2"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| 589 (LV)
|± 4.9% |48% |48% |4%{{#tag:ref | name="SE2"|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Emerson College{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/september-2024-arizona-and-north-carolina-polls-harris-and-trump-neck-and-neck-in-key-swing-states/|title=September 2024 Arizona and North Carolina Polls: Harris and Trump Neck-and-Neck in Key Swing States|website=Emerson College Polling|date=October 1, 2024}}{{#tag:ref|Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld|group=upper-alpha}}
|rowspan="2"|September 27–28, 2024 |rowspan="2"|850 (LV) |rowspan="2"|± 3.3% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49% |48% |3%{{#tag:ref | name="SE1"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |50%{{#tag:ref | name="lean"|group=lower-alpha}}
|49% |1%{{#tag:ref | name="SE1"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|RMG Research{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://napolitaninstitute.org/2024/10/04/north-carolina-trump-51-harris-47/|title=NORTH CAROLINA: Trump 51% Harris 47%|website=Napolitan Institute|date=October 4, 2024}}{{#tag:ref|Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute|name=NI|group=upper-alpha}}
|rowspan="2"|September 25–27, 2024 |rowspan="2"|780 (LV) |rowspan="2"|± 3.5% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |46% |5%{{#tag:ref|"Some other candidate" with 2%|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|51%{{#tag:ref | name="lean"|group=lower-alpha}}
|47% |2%{{#tag:ref|"Some other candidate" with 1%|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|AtlasIntel{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://cdn.atlasintel.org/9e0da6ea-7e9c-498c-89e3-511bd7344cd0.pdf|title=Atlas Poll - US Swing States - September 2024|website=AtlasIntel|date=September 28, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-25" |September 20–25, 2024 |1,173 (LV) |± 3.0% |48% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|51% |1% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/swing-state-polling-finds-deadlocked-presidential|title=Swing State Polling Finds Deadlocked Presidential Contest, 'Blue Wall' Senate Races Tighten|first1=Amy|last1=Walter|first2=Jessica|last2=Taylor|date=October 2, 2024|website=Cook Political Report}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-25" |September 19–25, 2024 |411 (LV) |– |49% |49% |2% | ||
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;" |Bloomberg/Morning Consult{{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-09-26/harris-holds-thin-lead-over-trump-in-swing-state-poll-election-2024|title=Kamala Harris Holds Razor-Thin Lead Across Swing States in Tight 2024 Race|first1=Gregory|last1=Korte|first2= Mark|last2=Niquette |newspaper=Bloomberg |date=September 26, 2024}}
| rowspan="2" |September 19–25, 2024 |889 (RV) | rowspan="2" |± 3.0% |47% | style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |50% |3% | ||
| 828 (LV)
|48% | style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |50% |2% | |||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Fox News{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-harris-trump-close-race-north-carolina|title=Fox News Poll: Harris, Trump in close race in North Carolina|first=Victoria|last=Balara|website=Fox News|date=September 27, 2024}}
|rowspan="2"|September 20−24, 2024 |991 (RV) |± 3.0% |48% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |2% | ||
| 787 (LV)
|± 3.5% | style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |50% |49% |1% | |||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Marist College{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/u-s-presidential-contest-north-carolina-september-2024/|title=U.S. Presidential Contest: North Carolina, September 2024 - Marist North Carolina Poll|website=Marist Poll|date=September 26, 2024}}
|rowspan="2"|September 19−24, 2024 |1,507 (RV) |± 3.5% |48% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |3%{{#tag:ref|"Another party's candidates" with 1%|name="APC1"|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| 1,348 (LV)
|± 3.7% |49% |49% |2%{{#tag:ref | name="APC1"|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|The Bullfinch Group{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65fc824cf835683ce2d3549b/66f2fc6cef3551afcccb8041_Independent%20Center%20Sep%202024%20SE%20Swing%20Survey%20Toplines.pdf|title=Independent Center September 2024 SE Swing Survey Toplines|website=The Independent Center|date=September 24, 2024}}{{#tag:ref|Poll conducted for The Independent Center|name=icenter|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-23" |September 20–23, 2024 |600 (RV) |± 4.0% |48% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |3% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Rasmussen Reports (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_trump_3_in_n_c_harris_3_in_virginia_tied_in_michigan|title=Election 2024: Trump +3 in N.C, Harris +3 in Virginia, Tied in Michigan|website=Rasmussen Reports|date=September 27, 2024}}{{#tag:ref|Poll sponsored by American Thinker|name=AT|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-22" |September 19−22, 2024 |1,078 (LV) |± 3.0% | style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49% |46% |5%{{#tag:ref | name="Other2"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2" |The New York Times/Siena College{{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/23/us/politics/times-siena-polls-arizona-georgia-north-carolina.html|title=Trump Shows Signs of Strength in Sun Belt Battlegrounds, Polls Find|first1=Adam|last1=Nagourney|first2=Ruth|last2=Igielnik|first3=Camille|last3=Baker|work=The New York Times |date=September 23, 2024|via=NYTimes.com}}
| rowspan="2" |September 17–21, 2024 |682 (RV) |rowspan="2"|± 4.2% | style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |48% |47% |5% | ||
| 682 (LV)
| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49% |47% |4% | |||
| style="text-align:left;"|Meredith College{{#invoke:cite web | title=An in-depth examination of North Carolina voter attitudes on important current issues |url=https://www.meredith.edu/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/Meredith-Poll-Report-September-2024.docx.pdf |publisher=Meredith College |access-date=30 September 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-18" |September 18−20, 2024 |802 (LV) |± 3.5% |48% |48% |4%{{#tag:ref|"Third party candidates" & "Undecided" with 2%|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Victory Insights{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Cqm7dyeTxFQGSbW2BH6YQqbv0plTVv7C/view|title=NORTH CAROLINA POLL: DONALD TRUMP LEADS, MARK ROBINSON TRAILS|first=Ben|last=Galbraith|website=Google Drive|date=September 19, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-18" |September 16−18, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |45% |6% | ||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Emerson College{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/september-2024-swing-state-polls-trump-and-harris-locked-in-tight-presidential-race/|title=September 2024 Swing State Polls: Trump and Harris Locked in Tight Presidential Race|website=Emerson College Polling|date=September 19, 2024}}
|rowspan="2"|September 15–18, 2024 |rowspan="2"|1,000 (LV) |rowspan="2"|± 3.0% |48% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |3%{{#tag:ref | name="SE1"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| 49%{{#tag:ref | name="lean"|group=lower-alpha}}
|style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |1%{{#tag:ref | name="SE1"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Morning Consult
| data-sort-value="2024-09-18" |September 9−18, 2024 |1,314 (LV) |± 3.0% |47% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |4% | |||
| style="text-align:left;"|Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/topics/voter-opinion-research/politics/north-carolina-older-voter-survey-2024.doi.10.26419-2fres.00813.038.pdf|title=NORTH CAROLINA VOTER SURVEY - Sep 2024|website=AARP|date=September 25, 2024}}{{#tag:ref|Poll commissioned by AARP|name=AARP|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-17" |September 11–17, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |47% |3%{{#tag:ref | name="Other1"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="text-align:left;"|TIPP Insights{{#invoke:cite web | title=New Battleground Poll – Trump Pulls Ahead, Post Debate |url=https://amgreatness.com/2024/09/13/new-battleground-poll-trump-pulls-ahead-post-debate/ |publisher=American Greatness |access-date=14 September 2024 |date=13 September 2024}}{{#tag:ref | name=AG|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-12" |September 11–13, 2024 |973 (LV) |± 3.2% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |46% |5% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Elon University{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.elon.edu/u/elon-poll/elon-poll-september-24-2024/|title=Elon Poll finds Harris, Trump too close to call in N.C., and Stein with double-digit lead in governor's race|website=Elon University|date=September 24, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-13" |September 4−13, 2024 |800 (RV) |± 3.8% |45% | style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |46% |9%{{#tag:ref | name="AC3"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Trafalgar Group (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/NC-24-General-0913_Report.pdf|title=North Carolina Presidential Survey - September 2024|website=The Trafalgar Group|date=September 13, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-12" |September 11–12, 2024 |1,094 (LV) |± 2.9% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |46% |6%{{#tag:ref|"Other" with 2%|name="Other2"|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2" |Quantus Insights (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://quantus.substack.com/p/2024-presidential-election-survey-d1d?r=42r82k|title=2024 Presidential Election Survey: A Tight Race in North Carolina|website=Substack|date=September 13, 2024}}{{#tag:ref|Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics|name=TP|group=upper-alpha}}
|rowspan="2"|September 11–12, 2024 |rowspan="2"|815 (LV) |rowspan="2"|± 3.4% | style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |48% |47% |5%{{#tag:ref|"Some other candidate" with 3%|name="SOC3"|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |50%
|48% |2%{{#tag:ref|"Would not vote" with 2%|group=lower-alpha}} | |||
| style="text-align:left;" |Quinnipiac University{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3904|title=Swing State Poll 2024: North Carolina: Harris vs. Trump Too Close To Call, Georgia: Trump Has Slight Edge In Tight Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; NC Governor's Race: Stein Leads Robinson 51% - 41%|website=Quinnipiac University Poll|date=September 9, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-08" |September 4–8, 2024 |940 (LV) |± 3.2% |47% | style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |50% |3%{{#tag:ref|"Someone else" with 2%|name="SE2"|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Morning Consult{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-election-state-polls|title=Tracking the 2024 Election: State by State|first1=Cameron|last1=Easley|first2=Eli|last2=Yokley|website=Morning Consult|date=September 9, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-08" |August 30 – September 8, 2024 |1,369 (LV) |± 3.0% |48% |48% |4% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|SurveyUSA{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.wral.com/story/harris-has-slight-edge-in-neck-and-neck-race-with-trump-in-nc-wral-news-poll-shows/21616373/|title=Harris has slight edge in neck-and-neck race with Trump in NC, WRAL News Poll shows|first=Will|last=Doran|date=September 9, 2024|website=WRAL}}{{#tag:ref|Poll sponsored by WRAL-TV|name=WRAL|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-07" |September 4–7, 2024 |900 (LV) |± 4.9% |46% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |5% | ||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.faupolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/Mainstreet_NC_Sept_2024_Public-1.pdf|title=Mainstreet Research Survey - North Carolina|website=FAU Polling|date=September 9, 2024}}
|rowspan="2"|September 5–6, 2024 |692 (RV) |rowspan="2"|± 3.7% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|47% |46% |7%{{#tag:ref|"Another candidate" with 3%|name="AC3"|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| 619 (LV)
|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |47% |5%{{#tag:ref|"Another candidate" with 2%|name="AC2"|group=lower-alpha}} | |||
| style="text-align:left;" |Patriot Polling{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://patriotpolling.com/our-polls/f/trump-and-harris-in-dead-heat|title=Trump and Harris in dead heat|website=Patriot Polling|date=September 5, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-03" |September 1–3, 2024 |804 (RV) |– | style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |50% |48% |2% | ||
| style="text-align:left;" |InsiderAdvantage (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://insideradvantage.com/north-carolina-trump-leads-harris-by-one-point-rounded-numbers-below-tabs/|title=North Carolina: Trump Leads Harris by One Point; (Rounded Numbers Below Tabs)|date=August 31, 2024|website=InsiderAdvantage}}
| data-sort-value="2024-08-31" |August 29–31, 2024 |800 (LV) |± 3.5% | style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49% |48% |3%{{#tag:ref | name="AC2"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="text-align:left;" |ActiVote{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.activote.net/trump-and-harris-exactly-tied-in-north-carolina/|title=Trump and Harris exactly tied in North Carolina|first=Victor |last=Allis |website=ActiVote|date=August 31, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-08-31" |August 6–31, 2024 |400 (LV) |± 4.9% |50% |50% |– | ||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Emerson College{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/august-2024-swing-state-polls-toss-up-presidential-election-in-swing-states/|title=August 2024 Swing State Polls: Toss-up Presidential Election in Swing States|website=Emerson Polling|date=August 29, 2024}}
|rowspan="2"|August 25–28, 2024 |rowspan="2"|775 (LV) |rowspan="2"|± 3.5% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |48% |3% | ||
| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50%{{#tag:ref | name="lean"|group=lower-alpha}}
|49% |1%{{#tag:ref|"Someone else" with 1%|name="SE1"|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|SoCal Strategies (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://substack.com/home/post/p-148195967|title=On Point/On Point/Red Eagle Politics/SoCal Strategies North Carolina Poll|website=Substack|date=August 27, 2024}}{{#tag:ref|Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics|name=OPREP|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-08-27" |August 26–27, 2024 |612 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |46% |4% | ||
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;" |Bloomberg/Morning Consult{{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-29/election-2024-poll-harris-leads-or-ties-with-trump-in-swing-states |title=Harris Edges Trump in Key States, With Sun Belt Now Up for Grabs |first1=Gregory |last1=Korte |newspaper= Bloomberg |date=August 29, 2024}}
| rowspan="2" |August 23–26, 2024 |645 (LV) |rowspan="2"|± 4.0% |49% |49% |2% | ||
| 700 (RV)
|47% | style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49% |4% | |||
| style="text-align:left;"|Fox News{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-harris-closes-gap-trump-sun-belt-states|title=Fox News Poll: Harris closes gap with Trump in Sun Belt states|first1=Victoria|last1=Balara|first2=Dana|last2=Blanton|website=Fox News|date=August 28, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-08-26 |August 23–26, 2024 |999 (RV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |49% |1%{{#tag:ref | name="Other1"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="background:lightyellow;"
| style="border-right-style:hidden;" | | style="border-right-style:hidden; " data-sort-value="2024-08-21" | August 23, 2024 | colspan="5" | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | |||
| style="background:lightyellow;"
| style="border-right-style:hidden;" | | style="border-right-style:hidden; " data-sort-value="2024-08-22" | August 22, 2024 | colspan="5" | Democratic National Convention concludes | |||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|High Point University/SurveyUSA{{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.highpoint.edu/blog/2024/08/hpu-poll-north-carolina-presidential-race-remains-close/|title=HPU Poll: North Carolina Presidential Race Remains Close|date=August 22, 2024|website=High Point University}}
|rowspan="2"|August 19–21, 2024 |1,053 (RV) |rowspan="2"|± 4.0% |45% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|46% |9% | ||
| 941 (LV)
|47% |47% |6% | |||
| style="text-align:left;" |Spry Strategies (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://americanprinciplesproject.org/elections/new-app-polling-trump-leads-3-of-5-swing-states-voters-reject-democrats-cultural-extremism/|title=New APP Polling: Trump Leads in 3 of 5 Swing States, Voters Reject Democrats' Cultural Extremism|website=American Principles Project|date=August 29, 2024}}{{#tag:ref|Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project|name=APP|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-08-20" |August 14–20, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |47% |47% |6% | ||
| style="background:lightyellow;"
| style="border-right-style:hidden;" | | style="border-right-style:hidden; " data-sort-value="2024-08-19" | August 19, 2024 | colspan="5" | Democratic National Convention begins | |||
| style="text-align:left;"|Focaldata{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.semafor.com/article/08/18/2024/harris-leads-trump-in-five-of-seven-battlegrounds-poll|title=Harris leads Trump in five of seven battlegrounds: poll|last1=Chalfant |first1=Morgan |last2=Sarlin |first2= Benjy|date=August 19, 2024|website=Semafor}}
| data-sort-value="2024-08-16" |August 6–16, 2024 |702 (LV) |± 3.7% |50% |50% |– | ||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|The New York Times/Siena College{{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/08/17/us/elections/times-siena-poll-north-carolina-toplines.html|title= Toplines: August 2024 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in North Carolina|work=The New York Times |date=August 17, 2024|via=NYTimes.com}}
|rowspan="2"|August 9–14, 2024 |655 (RV) |rowspan="2"|± 4.2% |46% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |5% | ||
| 655 (LV)
|47% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |4% | |||
| style="text-align:left;"|Trafalgar Group (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/NC-24-General-0809_Report.pdf|title=North Carolina Statewide Presidential Survey - August 2024|website=The Trafalgar Group|date=August 10, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-07-29" |August 6–8, 2024 |1,082 (LV) |± 2.9% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |45% |6% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Navigator Research (D){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://navigatorresearch.org/navigating-the-vote-2024-presidential-battleground/|title=Navigating the Vote: 2024 Presidential Battleground|last1=Russell |first1=Rachael |date=August 20, 2024|website=Navigator Research}}
| data-sort-value="2024-08-08" |July 31 – August 8, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |46% |6% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/fight-redefine-2024-race-president|title=The Fight To Redefine the 2024 Race for President|first=Amy|last=Walter|date=August 14, 2024|website=Cook Political Report}}
| data-sort-value="2024-08-08" |July 26 – August 8, 2024 |403 (LV) |– |47% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |5% | ||
| style="background:lightyellow;"
| style="border-right-style:hidden;" | | style="border-right-style:hidden; " data-sort-value="2024-08-06" | August 6, 2024 | colspan="5" | Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | |||
| style="text-align:left;"|Bloomberg/Morning Consult{{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll|title=Kamala Harris Wipes Out Trump's Swing-State Lead in Election Dead Heat|first1=Nancy |last1=Cook |first2=Michael |last2=Sasso |newspaper=Bloomberg |date=July 30, 2024|via=www.bloomberg.com}}
| data-sort-value="2024-07-28" |July 24–28, 2024 |706 (RV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |46% |6% | ||
| style="background:lightyellow;"
| style="border-right-style:hidden; background:lightyellow;" | | style="border-right-style:hidden; " data-sort-value="2024-07-21" | July 21, 2024 | colspan="5" | Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | |||
| style="background:lightyellow;"
| style="border-right-style:hidden;" | | style="border-right-style:hidden; " data-sort-value="2024-07-15" | July 15–19, 2024 | colspan="5" | Republican National Convention | |||
| style="background:lightyellow;"
| style="border-right-style:hidden;" | | style="border-right-style:hidden; " data-sort-value="2024-07-13" | July 13, 2024 | colspan="5" | Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | |||
| style="text-align:left;"|Bloomberg/Morning Consult{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2024/05/Bloomberg-Election-Tracking-Wave-8-Toplines-Crosstabs.pdf|title=Bloomberg Election Tracking Wave 8 Toplines Crosstabs|website=Morning Consult|date=May 22, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-05-22" |May 7–13, 2024 |704 (RV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |40% |10% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/north-carolina-2024-poll-trump-47-biden-44/|title=North Carolina 2024 Poll: Trump 47%, Biden 44%|first=Camille|last=Mumford|date=February 21, 2024|website=Emerson Polling}}
| data-sort-value="2024-02-21" |February 14–16, 2024 |1,000 (RV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |41% |9% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:17px"
!Source of poll !Dates !Dates ! class="unsortable" |Kamala ! class="unsortable" |Donald ! class="unsortable" |Jill ! class="unsortable" |Cornel ! class="unsortable" |Chase ! class="unsortable" | Others/ !Margin |
| Race to the WH[https://www.racetothewh.com/president/polls Race to the WH]
|through October 2, 2024 |October 15, 2024 |47.1% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|47.8% |1.0% |0.8% |{{N/A}} |3.3% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|Trump +0.8% |
| 270toWin[https://www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/north-carolina 270toWin]
|October 1 – 11, 2024 |October 11, 2024 |46.6% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|47.0% |0.8% |1.0% |0.5% |4.1% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|Trump +0.4% |
| colspan="3" |Average
|47.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|47.5% |0.8% |0.8% |0.6% |3.3% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|Trump +0.5% |
| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px" | |||
| valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample | name=key|group=lower-alpha}}
! Margin ! class="unsortable" | Donald ! class="unsortable" | Kamala ! class="unsortable" | Cornel ! class="unsortable" | Jill ! class="unsortable" | Chase ! class="unsortable" | Other / | ||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="4"|HarrisX
|rowspan="4"|November 3–5, 2024 |rowspan="2"|1,815 (RV) |rowspan="4"|± 2.3% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |48% |46% |1% |1% |– |4% | |||
| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49.0%{{#tag:ref | name="lean"|group=lower-alpha}}
|48.5% |1.6% |0.9% |– |– | ||
| rowspan="2"|1,600 (LV)
|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49% |48% |1% |0% |– |2% | |||
| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49.2%{{#tag:ref | name="lean"|group=lower-alpha}}
|49.0% |1.2% |0.6% |– |– | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|AtlasIntel
| data-sort-value="2024-11-04" |November 3–4, 2024 |1,219 (LV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |50% |48% |– |1% |0% |1%{{#tag:ref | name="Other1"|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|AtlasIntel
| data-sort-value="2024-11-02" |November 1–2, 2024 |1,310 (LV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |50% |47% |– |1% |0% |2%{{#tag:ref | name="Other1"|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|The New York Times/Siena College
|rowspan="2"|October 28 – November 2, 2024 |1,010 (RV) |rowspan="2"|± 3.5% |43% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |47% |0% |0% |1% |9% | |||
| 1,010 (LV)
|45% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |48% |0% |0% |0% |7% | |||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="3"|Focaldata{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.focaldata.com/blog/our-final-report-on-the-us-presidential-election|title=Our final report on the US presidential election|website=Focaldata|date=November 4, 2024}}
|rowspan="3"|October 3 – November 1, 2024 |1,787 (LV) |– |48% |48% |– |1% |1% |2% | ||
| 1,785 (RV)
|± 2.2% |46% |style="background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |50% |– |1% |1% |2% | |||
| 1,987 (A)
|– |46% |style="background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |48% |– |2% |1% |4% | |||
| style="text-align:left;"|AtlasIntel
| data-sort-value="2024-10-31" |October 30–31, 2024 |1,373 (LV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|51% |47% |– |1% |0% |1% | |||
| style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/final-us-swing-states-voting-intention-28-31-october/|title=Final US Swing States Voting Intention (28-31 October)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=November 1, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-10-31" |October 28–31, 2024 |1,123 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |48% |47% |– |1% |1% |3% | ||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|YouGov{{#tag:ref | name=times|group=upper-alpha}}
|rowspan="2"|October 25–31, 2024 |987 (RV) |rowspan="2"|± 4.2% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |47% |0% |1% |– |4% | ||
| 949 (LV)
|style="color:black;background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |48% |0% |1% |– |2% | |||
| style="text-align:left;"|AtlasIntel
| data-sort-value="2024-10-29" |October 25–29, 2024 |1,665 (LV) |± 3.0% |48% |48% |– |1% |0% |3%{{#tag:ref | name="Other1"|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|East Carolina University{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/trump-up-2-points-over-harris-in-north-carolina-as-election-day-nears-josh-stein-maintains-comfortable-lead-over-mark-robinson-in-race-for-nc-governor|title=Trump Up 2 Points over Harris in North Carolina as Election Day Nears; Josh Stein Maintains Comfortable Lead Over Mark Robinson in Race for NC Governor |first1=Peter|last1=Francia|first2=Jonathan|last2=Morris|website=ECU Center for Survey Research|date=November 4, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-10-29" |October 24–29, 2024 |1,250 (LV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |48% |0% |0% |0% |2% | ||
| style="text-align:left;" |CNN/SSRS{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/31/politics/cnn-poll-georgia-north-carolina/index.html|title=CNN Polls: Harris and Trump remain neck and neck in Georgia and North Carolina |first1=Jennifer|last1=Agiesta|first2=Ariel|last2=Edwards-Levy|first3=Edward|last3=Wu|website=CNN|date=October 31, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-10-28" |October 23–28, 2024 |750 (LV) |± 4.5% |47% |style="background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |48% |1% |1% |1% |2% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-25-27-october-2024/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25-27 October 2024) |website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=October 29, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-10-27" |October 25–27, 2024 |770 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |48% |46% |– |1% |1% |4% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.uml.edu/docs/2024-Oct31-NC-Topline_tcm18-392299.pdf|title=UMass Lowell / YouGov - Survey of North Carolina Likely Voters|date=October 31, 2024|website=University of Massachusetts Lowell}}
| data-sort-value="2024-10-23" |October 16–23, 2024 |650 (LV) |± 4.2% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |47% |45% |1% |1% |0% |6%{{#tag:ref | name="Terry0"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-20-22-october-2024/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (20 – 22 October 2024)
|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=October 25, 2024}} | data-sort-value="2024-10-22" |October 20–22, 2024 |679 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |47% |– |1% |0% |4% | ||
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;" |Bloomberg/Morning Consult
| rowspan="2" |October 16–20, 2024 |755 (RV) | rowspan="2" |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |46% |– |1% |3% |1% | |||
| 702 (LV)
|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |48% |– |1% |1% |1% | |||
| style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-18-october-2024/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 18 October 2024)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=October 21, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-10-18" |October 16–18, 2024 |843 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |45% |– |1% |0% |6% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|AtlasIntel
| data-sort-value="2024-10-17" |October 12–17, 2024 |1,674 (LV) |± 2.0% |49% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |0% |1% |0% |– | |||
| style="text-align:left;"|Cygnal (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.carolinajournal.com/trump-harris-neck-and-neck-in-nc-as-presidential-race-enters-closing-weeks/|title=Trump, Harris neck-and-neck in NC as presidential race enters closing weeks|first=David|last=Bass|date=October 17, 2024|website=The Carolina Journal}}{{#tag:ref | name=Cjournal|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-10-15" |October 6–15, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |47% |47% |1% |0% |1% |4%{{#tag:ref | name="Terry0"|group=lower-alpha}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-12-14-october-2024/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 14 October 2024)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=October 16, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-10-14" |October 12–14, 2024 |620 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |46% |– |0% |1% |5% | ||
| style="text-align:left;" |Quinnipiac University
| data-sort-value="2024-10-14" |October 10–14, 2024 |1,031 (LV) |± 3.1% |47% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49% |0% |0% |1% |3%{{#tag:ref | name=Terry0|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-27-september-2-october-2024/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (27 September – 2 October 2024)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=October 7, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-10-02" |September 27 – October 2, 2024 |753 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|47% |45% |– |1% |0% |7% | ||
| style="text-align:left;" |Quinnipiac University
| data-sort-value="2024-09-29" |September 25–29, 2024 |953 (LV) |± 3.2% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |47% |1% |1% |0% |2%{{#tag:ref | name="Terry0"|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|East Carolina University{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/trump-lead-harris-by-two-in-north-carolina-josh-stein-opens-large-lead-over-mark-robinson-in-race-for-nc-governor|title=Trump Leads Harris by Two in North Carolina; Josh Stein Opens Large Lead over Mark Robinson in Race for NC Governor|first1=Peter|last1=Francia|first2=Jonathan|last2=Morris|website=ECU Center for Survey Research|date=September 30, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-26" |September 23–26, 2024 |1,005 (LV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |47% |0% |0% |1% |3% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|AtlasIntel
| data-sort-value="2024-09-25" |September 20–25, 2024 |1,173 (LV) |± 3.0% |47% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|51% |1% |1% |0% |– | |||
| style="text-align:left;" |CNN/SSRS{{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/27/politics/cnn-poll-harris-trump-north-carolina-nebraska/index.html|title=CNN Poll: Harris and Trump are tied in North Carolina, while vice president leads in Nebraska's 2nd District|first=Ariel|last=Edwards-Levy|website=CNN|date=September 27, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-25" |September 20–25, 2024 |931 (LV) |± 3.9% |48% |48% |1% |0% |1% |2% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
| data-sort-value="2024-09-25" |September 19–25, 2024 |411 (LV) |– |46% | style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49% |1% |2% |– |2% | |||
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;" |Bloomberg/Morning Consult
| rowspan="2" |September 19–25, 2024 |889 (RV) | rowspan="2" |± 3.0% |46% | style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |48% |– |1% |3% |2% | |||
| 828 (LV)
|47% | style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49% |– |0% |2% |2% | |||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Fox News
|rowspan="2"|September 20−24, 2024 |991 (RV) |± 3.0% |47% | style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |48% |1% |1% |1% |2% | |||
| 787 (LV)
|± 3.5% | style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49% |47% |1% |1% |1% |1% | |||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2" |The New York Times/Siena College
| rowspan="2" |September 17–21, 2024 |682 (RV) |rowspan="2"|± 4.2% |46% |46% |– |0% |1% |7% | |||
| 682 (LV)
| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |47% |45% |– |0% |1% |7% | |||
| style="text-align:left;"|Meredith College{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.meredith.edu/news/latest-meredith-poll-illustrates-n-c-s-2024-battleground-status/|title=Latest Meredith Poll Illustrates N.C.'s 2024 Battleground Status|website=Meredith College|date=September 27, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-20" |September 18–20, 2024 |802 (LV) |± 3.5% |48% |48% |0% |1% |1% |2%{{#tag:ref | name="Terry0"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-19-september-2024/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16 – 19 September 2024)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=September 23, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-19" |September 16–19, 2024 |868 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |47% |– |0% |0% |5% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D){{#tag:ref | name=AARP|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-17" |September 11–17, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |46% |1% |1% |1% |3% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Cygnal (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.carolinajournal.com/trump-harris-tied-in-new-nc-poll-of-likely-voters/|title=Trump, Harris tied in new CJ poll of likely voters in North Carolina|first=David|last=Bass|date=September 19, 2024|website=The Carolina Journal}}{{#tag:ref|Poll sponsored by The Carolina Journal|name=Cjournal|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-16" |September 15–16, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|46% |45% |2% |0% |1% |6%{{#tag:ref|Randall Terry (C) with 0%|name="Terry0"|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-6-9-september-2024/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (6 – 9 September 2024)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=September 10, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-06" |September 6–9, 2024 |495 (LV) |– |44% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|45% |– |0% |0% |11% | ||
| style="text-align:left;" |Quinnipiac University
| data-sort-value="2024-09-08" |September 4–8, 2024 |940 (LV) |± 3.2% |46% | style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49% |0% |1% |0% |4%{{#tag:ref | name="SE1"|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|YouGov{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20240904_state_poll_results_XTElWNX.pdf#page=99|title=The Times / SAY Poll: North Carolina|website=YouGov|date=September 5, 2024}}{{#tag:ref | name=times|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-03" |August 23 – September 3, 2024 |1,000 (RV) |± 3.9% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|47% |46% |0% |1% |– |6%{{#tag:ref | name="Other1"|group=lower-alpha}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|East Carolina University{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/north-carolina-election-heats-up-trump-leads-harris-by-1-point-in-north-carolina-stein-widens-advantage-over-robinson-in-race-for-governor|title=North Carolina Election Heats Up: Trump leads Harris by 1 point in North Carolina; Stein widens advantage over Robinson in race for Governor|first1=Peter|last1=Francia|first2=Jonathan|last2=Morris|website=ECU Center for Survey Research|date=September 3, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-08-28" |August 26–28, 2024 |920 (LV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |47% |0% |0% |1% |4% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-25-28-august-2024/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25 – 28 August 2024)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=August 30, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-08-28" |August 25–28, 2024 |1,071 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|45% |44% |– |1% |1% |9% | ||
| rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;" |Bloomberg/Morning Consult
| rowspan="2" |August 23–26, 2024 |700 (RV) |rowspan="2"|± 4.0% |47% | style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |48% |– |1% |2% |2% | |||
| 645 (LV)
|48% |48% |– |1% |2% |1% | |||
| style="text-align:left;"|Fox News
| data-sort-value="2024-08-26 |August 23–26, 2024 |999 (RV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |47% |2% |1% |1% |1%{{#tag:ref|"Other" with 1%|name="Other1"|group=lower-alpha}} |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px" | ||
| valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample | name=key|group=lower-alpha}}
! Margin ! class="unsortable" | Donald ! class="unsortable" | Kamala ! class="unsortable" | Robert F. ! class="unsortable" | Cornel ! class="unsortable" | Jill ! class="unsortable" | Chase ! class="unsortable" | Other / | |
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Fox News
|rowspan="2"|October 24–28, 2024 |1,113 (RV) |rowspan="2"|± 3.0% |47% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |1% |1% |1% |1% |1% | ||
| 872 (LV)
|style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |47% |1% |1% |1% |1% |– | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|The Wall Street Journal
| data-sort-value="2024-10-08" |September 28 – October 8, 2024 |600 (RV) |± 5.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|46% |45% |0% |1% |1% |2% |5% | ||
| style="text-align:left;" |Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R){{#tag:ref | name=PGPF|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-29" |September 23–29, 2024 |401 (LV) |± 4.9% |47% |47% |0% |0% |0% |0% |6% | |
| style="text-align:left;" |Spry Strategies (R){{#tag:ref | name=APP|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-08-20" |August 14–20, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |45% | style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |47% |3% |– |1% |– |4% | |
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="3"|Focaldata
|rowspan="3"|August 6–16, 2024 |702 (LV) |rowspan="3"|± 3.7% |46% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|47% |5% |– |1% |0% |1% | ||
| 702 (RV)
|44% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|47% |6% |– |1% |0% |2% | ||
| 702 (A)
|43% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|47% |7% |– |1% |0% |2% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-12-15-august-2024/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 15 August 2024)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=August 19, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-08-15" |August 12–15, 2024 |601 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|47% |44% |2% |– |0% |1% |6% | |
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|The New York Times/Siena College
|rowspan="2"|August 9–14, 2024 |655 (RV) |rowspan="2"|± 4.2% |42% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|45% |5% |0% |2% |1% |4% | ||
| 655 (LV)
|44% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|46% |4% |0% |1% |1% |4% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|YouGov Blue (D){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://carolinaforward.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Carolina-ForwardYouGov-August-2024-Toplines.pdf|title=Carolina Forward August 2024 - Toplines|website=Carolina Forward|date=August 11, 2024}}{{#tag:ref|Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward|name=CarolinaFWD1|group=upper-alpha}}
|August 5–9, 2024 |802 (RV) |± 3.9% |46% |46% |2% |0% |0% |0% |5% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Navigator Research (D)
| data-sort-value="2024-08-08" |July 31 – August 8, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |46% |46% |3% |0% |1% |0% |4% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
| data-sort-value="2024-08-08" |July 26 – August 8, 2024 |403 (LV) |– |44% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|46% |4% |0% |1% |– |5% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Cygnal (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.carolinajournal.com/polls/with-harris-as-presidential-nominee-race-tightens-in-north-carolina|title=August 2024 – With Harris as Presidential Nominee, Race Tightens in North Carolina|date=August 9, 2024|website=The Carolina Journal}}{{#tag:ref | name=Cjournal|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-08-05" |August 4–5, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|47% |44% |4% |– |0% |1% |4% |
| style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-31-july-3-august-2024/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (31 July – 3 August 2024)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=August 6, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-08-03" |July 31 – August 3, 2024 |714 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|44% |41% |4% |– |0% |1% |10% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Bloomberg/Morning Consult
| data-sort-value="2024-07-28" |July 24–28, 2024 |706 (RV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|45% |44% |5% |– |0% |4% |2% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-22-24-july-2024/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (22-24 July 2024)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=July 25, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-07-26" |July 22–24, 2024 |586 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|46% |43% |4% |– |0% |0% |7% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px" | |
| valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample | name=key|group=lower-alpha}}
! Margin ! class="unsortable" | Donald ! class="unsortable" | Kamala ! class="unsortable" | Robert F. ! class="unsortable" | Jill ! class="unsortable" | Other / |
| style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling (D){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240722_swing_PPP.pdf|title=Battleground State Surveys Show Harris can Defeat Trump|website=FiveThirtyEight|date=July 21, 2024}}{{#tag:ref|Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC|name=clean|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-07-21" |July 17–20, 2024 |573 (RV) |± 4.1% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |44% |2% |2% |4% |
{{hidden end}}
{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#CFF|title=Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px" | ||
| valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample | name=key|group=lower-alpha}}
! Margin ! class="unsortable" | Donald ! class="unsortable" | Joe ! class="unsortable" | Other / | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Quantus Insights (R){{#tag:ref | name=TP|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-09-12" |September 11–12, 2024 |815 (LV) |± 3.4% | style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}" |49% |42% |9%{{#tag:ref | name="SOC3"|group=lower-alpha}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling (D){{#tag:ref | name=clean|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-07-21" |July 17–20, 2024 |573 (RV) |± 4.1% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |46% |4% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/july-2024-swing-state-polls/|title=July 2024 Swing State Polls|first=Camille|last=Mumford|date=July 18, 2024|website=Emerson Polling}}{{#tag:ref | name=DNext|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-07-18" |July 15–16, 2024 |1,000 (RV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |41% |11% |
| style="text-align:left;"|Echelon Insights{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://netchoice.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/NetChoice-July-2024-Biden-Antitrust-Survey-Topline-1.pdf|title=NetChoice June 2024 Antitrust Survey Topline|website=NetChoice|date=July 29, 2024}}{{#tag:ref|Poll sponsored by NetChoice|name=NC|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-07-08" |July 1–8, 2024 |610 (LV) |± 5.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|47% |45% |8% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Bloomberg/Morning Consult{{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-06/biden-narrows-trump-s-election-lead-in-key-states-after-debate-poll|title=Biden Narrows Gap With Trump in Swing States Despite Debate Loss|first1= Gregory |last1=Korte |first2=Mark |last2= Niquette|newspaper=Bloomberg |date=July 6, 2024|via=www.bloomberg.com}}
| data-sort-value="2024-07-06" |July 1–5, 2024 |696 (RV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|46% |43% |11% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Spry Strategies (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.carolinajournal.com/opinion/poll-lawfare-backfires-on-biden-as-trump-stays-strong-in-nc/|title=Poll: Lawfare backfires on Biden, as Trump stays strong in NC|first=Dallas|last=Woodhouse|date=June 17, 2024|website=The Carolina Journal}}
| data-sort-value="2024-06-17" |June 7–11, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |44% |8% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|East Carolina University{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/trump-leads-biden-by-5-points-in-north-carolina-gubernatorial-election-remains-close-with-stein-up-1-on-robinson-trump-guilty-verdict-has-little-impact-on-nc-voter-intentions-for-november|title=Trump leads Biden by 5 points in North Carolina; Gubernatorial election remains close with Stein up 1 on Robinson; Trump guilty verdict has little impact on NC voter intentions for November|first1=Peter|last1=Francia|first2=Jonathan|last2=Morris|website=ECU Center for Survey Research|date=June 8, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-06-03" |May 31 – June 3, 2024 |1,332 (LV) |± 3.1% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |43% |9% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|North Star Opinion Research (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://cdn.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2024/06/LAW-May-NC-Toplines.pdf|title=SURVEY OF NORTH CAROLINA LIKELY VOTERS - MAY 29–JUNE 2, 2024|website=American Greatness|date=June 3, 2024}}{{#tag:ref|Poll sponsored by American Greatness|name=AG|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-06-03" |May 29 – June 2, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |41% |10% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Rasmussen Reports (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/north_carolina_voters_want_stronger_immigration_enforcement|title=North Carolina Voters Want Stronger Immigration Enforcement|website=Rasmussen Reports|date=June 6, 2024}}{{#tag:ref|Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA|name=NUSA|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-06-05" |May 26–27, 2024 |1,053 (LV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|51% |43% |6% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Change Research (D){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://docs.google.com/document/d/1n0slwwadxhk19S_J0cHDUyYWh6ufQs-kAyPBpgk0s9c/edit|title=Carolina Forward - NC Statewide - Toplines - May 2024|website=Google Docs|date=May 22, 2024}}{{#tag:ref | name=forward|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-05-22" |May 13–18, 2024 |835 (LV) |± 3.8% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|45% |43% |12% |
| style="text-align:left;"|Prime Group{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240522_prime_CSOR.pdf|title=Swing State Poll: Biden and Trump in a Tight Race, Kennedy Struggles to Qualify for Debate|website=FiveThirtyEight|date=May 22, 2024}}{{#tag:ref|Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates|name=citizens|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-05-22" |May 9–16, 2024 |472 (RV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|51% |49% |– | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Bloomberg/Morning Consult{{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-22/violence-around-2024-election-feared-by-half-of-swing-state-voters-poll|title=Half of Swing-State Voters Fear Violence Around US Election|first=Gregory |last=Korte |newspaper=Bloomberg|date=May 22, 2024|via=www.bloomberg.com}}
| data-sort-value="2024-05-22" |May 7–13, 2024 |704 (RV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |42% |9% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/unique-election-driven-traditional-issue|title=A Unique Election Driven by a Traditional Issue|first1=Amy|last1=Walter|first2=David|last2=Wasserman|date=May 24, 2024|website=Cook Political Report}}
| data-sort-value="2024-05-23" |May 6–13, 2024 |601 (LV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |41% |11% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|High Point University{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2023/08/103memo.pdf|title=HIGH POINT UNIVERSITY POLL 103 :: MEMO RELEASE 5/22/2024|website=High Point University|date=May 22, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-05-23" |May 5–9, 2024 |804 (RV) |± 3.2% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|44% |42% |14% | |
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Emerson College{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/trump-holds-edge-over-biden-in-seven-key-swing-state-polls/|title=Trump Holds Edge Over Biden in Seven Key Swing State Polls|first=Camille|last=Mumford|date=April 30, 2024|website=Emerson Polling}}
|rowspan="2"|April 25–29, 2024 |rowspan="2"|1,000 (RV) |rowspan="2"|± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|47% |42% |11% | |
| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|52%{{#tag:ref|With voters who lean towards a given candidate|name="lean"|group=lower-alpha}}
|48% |– | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|John Zogby Strategies{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.kennedy24.com/biden_real_spoiler_kennedy_only_candidate_who_can_beat_trump|title=Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump|website=Kennedy24|date=May 1, 2024}}{{#tag:ref|Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign|name=Kennedy|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-05-01" |April 13–21, 2024 |641 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |45% |6% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Bloomberg/Morning Consult{{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-24/biden-trails-trump-in-6-of-7-key-states-poll-shows-election-2024|title=Biden's Gains Against Trump Vanish on Deep Economic Pessimism, Poll Shows|first=Gregory|last=Korte|newspaper=Bloomberg |date=April 24, 2024|via=www.bloomberg.com}}
| data-sort-value="2024-04-24" |April 8–15, 2024 |703 (RV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|51% |41% |8% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Mason-Dixon{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4603458-trump-leads-biden-in-north-carolina-poll/|title=Trump leads Biden in North Carolina: Poll|first=Julia|last=Mueller|newspaper=The Hill|date=April 19, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-04-19" |April 9–13, 2024 |635 (RV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |43% |8% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac University{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3895|title=North Carolina 2024: Trump On Upside Of Too-Close-To-Call Race, Quinnipiac University North Carolina Poll Finds; Governor's Race: Stein Leads Robinson 52% - 44%|date=April 10, 2024|website=Quinnipiac University Poll}}
| data-sort-value="2024-04-10" |April 4–8, 2024 |1,401 (RV) |± 2.6% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |46% |6% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|High Point University{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.highpoint.edu/blog/2024/04/hpu-poll-n-c-registered-voters-say-inflation-and-national-security-are-top-issues-for-d-c/|title=HPU Poll: N.C. Registered Voters Say Inflation and National Security Are Top Issues for D.C.|website=High Point University|date=April 11, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-04-11" |March 22–30, 2024 |829(RV) |± 3.4% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|45% |42% |14% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|The Wall Street Journal{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://s.wsj.net/public/resources/documents/WSJ_Swing_States_Partial_March_2024.pdf|title=The Wall Street Journal Targeted Presidential States Multimodal Survey|website=The Wall Street Journal|date=April 2, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-04-02" |March 17–24, 2024 |600 (RV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |43% |8% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Marist College{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-battleground-2024-north-carolina/|title=The Battleground 2024: North Carolina|website=Marist Poll|date=March 20, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-03-20" |March 11–14, 2024 |1,197 (RV) |± 3.6% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|51% |48% |1% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Bloomberg/Morning Consult{{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-26/election-2024-poll-biden-gains-on-trump-in-six-swing-states|title=Biden Gains Ground Against Trump in Six Key States, Poll Shows|first=Gregory|last=Korte|newspaper=Bloomberg |date=March 26, 2024|via=www.bloomberg.com}}
| data-sort-value="2024-03-26" |March 8–12, 2024 |699 (RV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |43% |8% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|SurveyUSA{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.wral.com/story/trump-leads-in-nc-as-biden-struggles-with-younger-voters-wral-news-poll-shows/21323732/|title=Trump leads in NC as Biden struggles with younger voters, WRAL News poll shows|first=Will|last=Doran|date=March 11, 2024|website=WRAL}}{{#tag:ref | name=WRAL|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-03-11" |March 3–9, 2024 |598 (LV) |± 4.9% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |45% |5% |
| style="text-align:left;"|Cygnal (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.carolinajournal.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/21726-JLF-NC-March-24-Toplines.pdf|title=Survey of Likely General Election Voters North Carolina Statewide|website=The Carolina Journal|date=March 12, 2024}}{{#tag:ref | name=JLF|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-03-12" |March 6–7, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|45% |40% |15% |
| style="text-align:left;"|Bloomberg/Morning Consult{{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-29/biden-age-worries-swing-state-voters-trump-seen-as-dangerous-poll-shows|title=Biden Is Too Old But Trump Is Dangerous, Swing-State Poll Shows|first=Gregory|last=Korte|newspaper=Bloomberg |date=February 29, 2024|via=www.bloomberg.com}}
| data-sort-value="2024-02-29" |February 12–20, 2024 |704 (RV) |± 5.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |41% |9% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College
| data-sort-value="2024-02-21" |February 14–16, 2024 |1,000 (RV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|47% |44% |9% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Fox News{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-biden-north-carolina-support|title=Fox News Poll: Trump ahead of Biden in North Carolina with 50% support|first=Victoria|last=Balara|date=February 14, 2024|website=Fox News}}
| data-sort-value="2024-02-14" |February 8–12, 2024 |1,099 (RV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|50% |45% |5% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Meredith College{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.meredith.edu/news/meredith-poll-explores-primary-preferences-opinions-on-policy-issues-and-importance-of-democracy/|title=Meredith Poll Explores Primary Preferences, Opinions on Policy Issues, and Importance of Democracy|first=Melyssa|last=Allen|website=Meredith College|date=February 5, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-02-05" |January 26–31, 2024 |760 (RV) |± 3.5% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|44% |39% |17% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Bloomberg/Morning Consult{{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-31/trump-guilty-verdict-loses-half-of-key-state-voters-in-election-2024|title=Trump Risks Losing More Than Half of Swing-State Voters If Found Guilty|first1=Jordan|last1=Fabian|first2=Gregory|last2=Korte|newspaper=Bloomberg |date=January 31, 2024|via=www.bloomberg.com}}
| data-sort-value="2024-01-31" |January 16–21, 2024 |706 (RV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |39% |12% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Bloomberg/Morning Consult{{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-us-election-key-state-voter-polling/december-2023-poll/|title=Biden Forgave Billions in Student Debt. Poll Shows It's Not Enough For Gen Z|first1=Nancy|last1=Cook|first2=Jennah|last2=Haque|first3=Gregory|last3=Korte|first4=Denise|last4=Lu|first5=Elena|last5=Mejía|newspaper=Bloomberg |date=December 14, 2023|via=www.bloomberg.com}}
| data-sort-value="2023-12-14" |November 27 – December 6, 2023 |704 (RV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |40% |11% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Bloomberg/Morning Consult{{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-09/trump-leads-biden-with-key-state-voters-on-israel-hamas-war-immigration#xj4y7vzkg|title=Biden's Focus Is on Foreign Conflicts, But Swing-State Voter Worries Are Closer to Home|first1=Gregory|last1=Korte|first2=Iain|last2=Marlow|newspaper=Bloomberg|date=November 9, 2023|via=www.bloomberg.com}}
| data-sort-value="2023-11-09" |October 30 – November 7, 2023 |702 (RV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |39% |13% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Meredith College{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://c7p4g5i9.rocketcdn.me/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/Meredith-Poll-Report-November-2023.docx.pdf|title=An in-depth examination of North Carolina voter attitudes on important current issues|work=Meredith College|date=November 5, 2023}}
| data-sort-value="2023-11-05" |November 1–5, 2023 |755 (RV) |± 3.5% |39% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|40% |22%{{#tag:ref|"Someone else" with 17%|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Bloomberg/Morning Consult{{#invoke:cite news | url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-19/trump-leads-biden-in-key-us-states-as-voters-worry-about-economy-poll|title=Trump Is Winning Over Swing-State Voters Wary of Biden's Economic Plan|first1=Nancy|last1=Cook|first2=Gregory|last2=Korte|newspaper=Bloomberg|date=October 19, 2023|via=www.bloomberg.com}}
| data-sort-value="2023-10-19" |October 5–10, 2023 |702 (RV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|47% |43% |10% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-7-9-october-2023/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (7-9 October 2023)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=October 15, 2023}}
| data-sort-value="2023-10-15" |October 7–9, 2023 |736 (LV) | – |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|43% |38% |20% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Change Research (D){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://carolinaforward.org/blog/reproductive-freedom-amendment/|title=NC Voters Want a Reproductive Freedom Constitutional Amendment – Carolina Forward|website=Carolina Forward|date=September 11, 2023}}{{#tag:ref|Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward|name=forward|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2023-09-11" |September 1–5, 2023 |914 (LV) |± 3.6% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|46% |42% |12% | |
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Prime Group{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/23872659/no-labels.pdf|title=Survey of Registered Voters Nationwide AZ, GA, MI, NC, NV, PA, WI|work=Prime Group|date=July 13, 2023}}{{#tag:ref | name=citizens|group=upper-alpha}}
|rowspan="2"| June 14–28, 2023 |rowspan="2"|500 (RV) |rowspan="2"|– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|54% |46% |– |
| style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|45%
|37% |18%{{#tag:ref|No Labels candidate|group=lower-alpha}} | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Opinion Diagnostics{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.opiniondiagnostics.com/nc-elections-and-policy-poll|title=NC Elections and Policy Poll|website=Opinion Diagnostics|date=June 8, 2023}}
| data-sort-value="2023-06-08" |June 5–7, 2023 |902 (LV) |± 3.3% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|43% |40% |18% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Cygnal (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.johnlocke.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/20783-JLF-NC-Mar23-Toplines.pdf|title=Survey of Likely General Election Voters North Carolina Statewide|website=The John Locke Foundation|date=March 27, 2023}}{{#tag:ref | name=JLF|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2023-03-27" |March 26–27, 2023 |605 (LV) |± 4.0% |43% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|45% |12% |
| style="text-align:left;"|Differentiators (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://ncvalues.org/pr-robinson-narrowly-leads-stein-desantis-over-biden-trump/|title=PR: Robinson narrowly leads Stein, DeSantis over Biden & Trump|first=Laura|last=Macklem|website=NC Values Coalition|date=January 25, 2023}}{{#tag:ref|Poll sponsored by NC Values Coalition, a sponsor of the Republican Party|name=NCVC|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2023-01-12" |January 9–12, 2023 |500 (LV) |± 4.5% |45% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |7% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://emersoncollegepolling.com/north-carolina-2022-budd-holds-five-point-lead-over-beasley-for-us-senate/|title=North Carolina 2022: Budd Holds Five-Point Lead Over Beasley for US Senate|first=Camille|last=Mumford|date=November 2, 2022|website=Emerson Polling}}
| data-sort-value="2022-10-29" |October 27–29, 2022 |1,000 (LV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|51% |40% |9% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling (D){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://carolinaforward.org/blog/2024-election-preview/|title=A Preview of What's to Come in 2024|website=Carolina Forward|date=November 28, 2022}}{{#tag:ref | name=forward|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2022-10-08" |October 7–8, 2022 |606 (RV) |– |44% |44% |12% |
| style="text-align:left;"|SurveyUSA{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.wral.com/story/who-would-win-nc-in-2024-biden-and-trump-neck-and-neck-in-hypothetical-rematch-wral-news-poll-shows/20505030/|title=Who would win NC in 2024? Biden and Trump neck-and-neck in hypothetical rematch, WRAL poll shows|first=Bryan|last=Anderson|date=October 3, 2022|website=WRAL}}{{#tag:ref | name=WRAL|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2022-10-02" |September 28 – October 2, 2022 |918 (RV) |± 3.9% |43% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|45% |12% |
| style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://myfox8.com/news/north-carolina/the-race-tightens-beasley-closes-in-on-budd-in-latest-north-carolina-senate-poll/|title=The race tightens: Beasley closes in on Budd in latest North Carolina Senate poll|date=September 20, 2022}}
| data-sort-value="2022-09-16" |September 15–16, 2022 |1,000 (LV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|47% |42% |11% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|East Carolina University{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/ecu-poll-shows-budd-with-narrow-lead-over-beasley|title=ECU Poll Shows Budd With Narrow Lead Over Beasley|first1=Peter|last1=Francia|first2=Jonathan|last2=Morris|website=ECU Center for Survey Research|date=September 13, 2022}}
| data-sort-value="2022-09-10" |September 7–10, 2022 |1,020 (LV) |± 3.6% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|46% |45% |9% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Blueprint Polling (D){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://chismstrategies.com/dobbs-decision-tilts-nc-senate-race-toward-beasley/|title=Dobbs Decision Tilts NC Senate Race Toward Beasley|first=Amy|last=LeMenager|website=Chism Strategies |date=August 9, 2022}}
| data-sort-value="2022-08-06" |August 4–6, 2022 |656 (LV) |± 3.8% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|45% |39% |17% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|PEM Management Corporation (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://boltonsuperpac.com/pdfs/crostabs_07282022.pdf|title=Bolton Super PAC Crosstabs|website=Bolton Super PAC|date=July 28, 2022}}{{#tag:ref|Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC|name="BoltonPAC"|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2022-07-24" |July 22–24, 2022 |300 (LV) |± 5.7% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |41% |11% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|East Carolina University{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/ecu-poll-ted-budd-leads-cheri-beasley-by-eight-points-among-registered-voters-in-north-carolina-republicans-lead-generic-congressional-vote-by-three-in-nc-biden-s-approval-rating-at-just-thirty-five-percent-in-the-tar-heel-state|title=ECU Poll: Ted Budd leads Cheri Beasley by eight points among registered voters in North Carolina; Republicans lead generic congressional vote by three in NC; Biden's approval rating at just thirty-five percent in the Tar Heel state|first1=Peter|last1=Francia|first2=Jonathan|last2=Morris|website=ECU Center for Survey Research|date=May 23, 2022}}
| data-sort-value="2022-05-20" |May 19–20, 2022 |635 (RV) |± 4.5% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|46% |37% |16% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px" | ||
| valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample | name=key|group=lower-alpha}}
! Margin ! class="unsortable" | Donald ! class="unsortable" | Joe ! class="unsortable" | Robert ! class="unsortable" | Cornel ! class="unsortable" | Jill ! class="unsortable" | Other / | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling (D){{#tag:ref | name=clean|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-07-21" |July 17–20, 2024 |573 (RV) |± 4.1% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |42% |2% |– |2% |6% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-18-july-2024/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (16-18 July 2024)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=July 21, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-07-18" |July 16–18, 2024 |461 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|45% |39% |5% |– |1% |10%{{#tag:ref|Chase Oliver (L) with 1%|name="Oliver1"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College{{#tag:ref|Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC|name=DNext|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-07-18" |July 15–16, 2024 |1,000 (RV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|47% |38% |6% |1% |1% |7%{{#tag:ref | name="Oliver1"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="text-align:left;"|YouGov{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/documents/Times_SAY24_20240712_state_poll_results.pdf#page=102|title=The Times / SAY Poll: North Carolina|website=YouGov|date=July 15, 2024}}{{#tag:ref|Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University|name=times|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-07-15" |July 4–12, 2024 |1,000 (RV) |± 3.7% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|44% |40% |4% |0% |1% |11% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-8-10-july-2024/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (8-10 July 2024)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=July 15, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-07-10" |July 8–10, 2024 |420 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|44% |42% |4% |– |1% |9%{{#tag:ref|Chase Oliver (L) with 0%|name="Oliver0"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Echelon Insights{{#tag:ref | name=NC|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-07-08" |July 1–8, 2024 |610 (LV) |± 5.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|43% |41% |7% |2% |1% |6%{{#tag:ref | name="Oliver1"|group=lower-alpha}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|Bloomberg/Morning Consult
| data-sort-value="2024-07-06" |July 1–5, 2024 |696 (RV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|42% |40% |7% |1% |1% |9%{{#tag:ref | name="Oliver1"|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-8-11-june-2024/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (8-11 June 2024)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=June 17, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-07-10" |June 8–11, 2024 |534 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|43% |40% |7% |– |1% |9%{{#tag:ref | name="Oliver0"|group=lower-alpha}} |
| style="text-align:left;"|North Star Opinion Research (R){{#tag:ref | name=AG|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-06-03" |May 29 – June 2, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|44% |32% |9% |3% |2% |10% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Prime Group{{#tag:ref | name=citizens|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-05-22" |May 9–16, 2024 |472 (RV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|45% |42% |11% |2% |1% |– | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Bloomberg/Morning Consult
| data-sort-value="2024-05-22" |May 7–13, 2024 |704 (RV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|46% |38% |7% |1% |1% |7% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
| data-sort-value="2024-05-23" |May 6–13, 2024 |601 (LV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|44% |36% |8% |3% |1% |8% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College
| data-sort-value="2024-04-30" |April 25–29, 2024 |1,000 (RV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|46% |37% |6% |1% |1% |9% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Meeting Street Insights (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://carolinaleader.com/new-poll-predicts-a-bumpy-general-election-ride/|title=New CLC Poll Predicts a Bumpy Election Ride|website=Carolina Leader|date=May 29, 2024}}{{#tag:ref|Poll sponsored by Carolina Partnership for Reform & Carolina Leadership Coalition|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-05-29" |April 25–28, 2024 |500 (RV) |± 4.4% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|40% |35% |11% |– |2% |12%{{#tag:ref|Charles Ballay (L) with 2%|group=lower-alpha}} | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Bloomberg/Morning Consult
| data-sort-value="2024-04-24" |April 8–15, 2024 |703 (RV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|48% |38% |5% |1% |0% |8% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac University
| data-sort-value="2024-04-10" |April 4–8, 2024 |1,401 (RV) |± 2.6% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|41% |38% |12% |3% |3% |3% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|The Wall Street Journal
| data-sort-value="2024-04-02" |March 17–24, 2024 |600 (RV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|42% |34% |10% |2% |1% |11% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Bloomberg/Morning Consult
| data-sort-value="2024-03-26" |March 8–12, 2024 |699 (RV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|45% |39% |7% |1% |0% |8% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Bloomberg/Morning Consult
| data-sort-value="2024-02-29" |February 12–20, 2024 |704 (RV) |± 5.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|45% |35% |9% |1% |1% |9% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College
| data-sort-value="2024-02-21" |February 14–16, 2024 |1,000 (RV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|46% |37% |5% |1% |1% |10% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|East Carolina University{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/mark-robinson-and-josh-stein-clear-favorites-to-win-nominations-in-primary-elections-for-governor-likely-general-election-matchup-tied|title=Mark Robinson and Josh Stein Clear Favorites to win Nominations in Primary Elections for Governor; Likely General Election Matchup Tied|first1=Peter|last1=Francia|first2=Jonathan|last2=Morris|website=ECU Center for Survey Research|date=February 16, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-02-16" |February 9–12, 2024 |1,207 (LV) |± 3.3% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|47% |44% |2% |1% |1% |5% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Fox News
| data-sort-value="2024-02-14" |February 8–12, 2024 |1,099 (RV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|46% |37% |8% |1% |2% |6% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Bloomberg/Morning Consult{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2024/01/2401055_Bloomberg_2024-Election-Tracking-Wave-4_Crosstabs_All-States-compressed-1.pdf|title=Swing States Tracking Poll #2401055|website=Morning Consult|date=January 31, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-01-31" |January 16–21, 2024 |706 (RV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|45% |32% |9% |1% |1% |12% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Bloomberg/Morning Consult{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2023/12/231206-Morning-Consult-Bloomberg-2024-Election-Swing-State-Polling.pdf#page=104|title=Morning Consult/Bloomberg 2024 Election Swing State Polling|website=Morning Consult|date=December 14, 2023}}
| data-sort-value="2023-12-14" |November 27 – December 6, 2023 |704 (RV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|45% |34% |8% |1% |1% |11% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px" | ||
| valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample | name=key|group=lower-alpha}}
! Margin ! class="unsortable" | Donald ! class="unsortable" | Joe ! class="unsortable" | Robert ! class="unsortable" | Other / | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Spry Strategies (R)
| data-sort-value="2024-06-06" |June 7–11, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|45% |37% |8% |10% | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|Change Research (D){{#tag:ref | name=forward|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-04-11" |May 13–18, 2024 |835 (LV) |± 3.8% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|41% |38% |11% |10% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Cygnal (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.carolinajournal.com/polls/robinson-stein-neck-and-neck-for-governors-mansion/|title=May 2024 – Robinson, Stein neck and neck for governor's mansion|website=The Carolina Journal|date=May 9, 2024}}{{#tag:ref | name=Cjournal|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-04-11" |May 4–5, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|43% |38% |9% |10% |
| style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-2-4-may-2024/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (2-4 May 2024)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=May 13, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-05-13" |May 2–4, 2024 |700 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|44% |37% |7% |12% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Meredith College{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://c7p4g5i9.rocketcdn.me/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Meredith-Poll-April-2024-Report.docx.pdf|title=An in-depth examination of North Carolina voter attitudes on important current issues|work=Meredith College|date=April 22, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-04-11" |April 11–17, 2024 |711 (LV) |± 3.5% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|41% |39% |9% |11% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Cygnal (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.carolinajournal.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/21803-CJ-NC-Apr24-Toplines.pdf|title=Survey of Likely General Election Voters North Carolina Statewide|website=The John Locke Foundation|date=April 11, 2024}}{{#tag:ref|Poll sponsored by the John Locke Foundation|name=JLF|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-04-11" |April 7–8, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|43% |39% |7% |11% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-14-17-march-2024/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (14-17 March 2024)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=March 25, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-03-25" |March 14–17, 2024 |642 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|43% |39% |8% |10% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Marist College
| data-sort-value="2024-03-20" |March 11–14, 2024 |1,197 (RV) |± 3.6% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|46% |43% |11% |– | ||
| style="text-align:left;"|North Star Opinion Research (R){{#invoke:cite web | url=https://www.amworkers.com/news|title=Key Findings from Survey of North Carolina Likely Voters|first1=Jon|last1=McHenry|first2=Dan|last2=Judy|date=February 6, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240208195956/https://www.amworkers.com/news |archive-date=February 8, 2024 }}{{#tag:ref|Poll sponsored by the League of American Workers|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-02-06" |January 30 – February 4, 2024 |600 (LV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|39% |32% |16% |13% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-28-30-december-2023/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (28-30 December 2023)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=January 8, 2024}}
| data-sort-value="2024-01-08" |December 28–30, 2023 |1,220 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|37% |33% |11% |19% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-27-29-november-2023/|title=Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (27-29 November 2023)|website=Redfield & Wilton Strategies|date=December 5, 2023}}
| data-sort-value="2023-12-05" |November 27–29, 2023 |620 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|44% |35% |8% |13% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies
| data-sort-value="2023-10-15" |October 7–9, 2023 |736 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|41% |38% |9% |14% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px" | |
| valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample | name=key|group=lower-alpha}}
! Margin ! class="unsortable" | Donald ! class="unsortable" | Joe ! class="unsortable" | Robert F. ! class="unsortable" | Cornel ! class="unsortable" | Other / |
| style="text-align:left;"|Bloomberg/Morning Consult{{#invoke:cite web | url=https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2023/11/231105-Morning-Consult-Bloomberg-2024-Election-Survey-All-States-Toplines.pdf#page=87|title=Morning-Consult/Bloomberg 2024 Election Survey All States Toplines|website=Morning Consult|date=November 9, 2023}}
| data-sort-value="2023-11-09" |October 30 – November 7, 2023 |702 (RV) |± 4.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|42% |33% |9% |2% |14% |
{{Hidden end}}
{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#CFF|title=Hypothetical polling with other candidates|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px" | |
| valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample | name=key|group=lower-alpha}}
! Margin ! class="unsortable" | Donald ! class="unsortable" | Robert F. ! class="unsortable" | Other / |
| style="text-align:left;"|John Zogby Strategies{{#tag:ref | name=Kennedy|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-05-01" |April 13–21, 2024 |641 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|45% |39% |16% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px" | |
| valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample | name=key|group=lower-alpha}}
! Margin ! class="unsortable" | Robert F. ! class="unsortable" | Joe ! class="unsortable" | Other / |
| style="text-align:left;"|John Zogby Strategies{{#tag:ref | name=Kennedy|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-05-01" |April 13–21, 2024 |641 (LV) |– |style="background-color:{{party color|Independent}}"|50% |40% |10% |
Donald Trump vs. Roy Cooper vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px" | |
| valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample | name=key|group=lower-alpha}}
! Margin ! class="unsortable" | Donald ! class="unsortable" | Roy ! class="unsortable" | Robert ! class="unsortable" | Jill ! class="unsortable" | Other / |
| style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling (D){{#tag:ref | name=clean|group=upper-alpha}}
| data-sort-value="2024-07-21" |July 17–20, 2024 |573 (RV) |± 4.1% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|45% |41% |3% |2% |9% |
Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom
| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px" | |
| valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample | name=key|group=lower-alpha}}
! Margin ! class="unsortable" | Donald ! class="unsortable" | Gavin ! class="unsortable" | Other / |
| style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College
| data-sort-value="2024-02-21" |February 14–16, 2024 |1,000 (RV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|49% |34% |17% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px" | |
| valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample | name=key|group=lower-alpha}}
! Margin ! class="unsortable" | Nikki ! class="unsortable" | Joe ! class="unsortable" | Other / |
| style="text-align:left;"|Fox News
| data-sort-value="2024-02-14" |February 8–12, 2024 |1,099 (RV) |± 3.0% |style="background-color:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|46% |41% |13% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;line-height:17px" | |
| valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample | name=key|group=lower-alpha}}
! Margin ! class="unsortable" | Nikki ! class="unsortable" | Joe ! class="unsortable" | Robert F. ! class="unsortable" | Cornel ! class="unsortable" | Jill ! class="unsortable" | Other / |
| style="text-align:left;"|East Carolina University
| data-sort-value="2024-02-16" |February 9–12, 2024 |1,207 (LV) |± 3.3% |32% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|40% |10% |2% |0% |16% | |
| style="text-align:left;"|Fox News
| data-sort-value="2024-02-14" |February 8–12, 2024 |1,099 (RV) |± 3.0% |31% |style="color:black;background-color:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}}"|33% |19% |2% |2% |13% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden
{{hidden end}}
= Results =
{{Election box begin |title=2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina{{cite web|url=https://dl.ncsbe.gov/?prefix=State_Board_Meeting_Docs/2024-11-26/Canvass/ |title=NC - State_Composite_Abstract_Report-Contest.pdf |date=November 26, 2024|access-date=December 30, 2024}}}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate={{ubl|Donald Trump|JD Vance}}|votes=2,898,424|percentage=50.86%|change=+0.93%}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Democratic Party (United States)|candidate={{ubl|Kamala Harris|Tim Walz}}|votes=2,715,378|percentage=47.65%|change=-0.94%}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Green Party (United States)|candidate={{ubl|Jill Stein|Butch Ware}}|votes=24,762|percentage=0.43%|change=+0.21%}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Libertarian Party (United States)|candidate={{ubl|Chase Oliver|Mike ter Maat}}|votes=22,125|percentage=0.39%|change=-0.49%}}
{{Election box candidate|party=Justice for All|candidate={{ubl|Cornel West|Melina Abdullah}}|color=tan|votes=12,099|percentage=0.21%|change=+0.21%}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Constitution Party (United States)|candidate={{ubl|Randall Terry|Stephen Broden}}|votes=6,863|percentage=0.12%|change=-0.02%}}
{{Election box write-in with party link|votes=19,494|percentage=0.33%|change=+0.09%}}
{{Election box total|votes=5,699,145|percentage=100.00%|change=N/A}}
{{Election box end}}
==By county==
| width="60%" class="wikitable sortable"
! rowspan="2" |County ! colspan="2" |Donald Trump ! colspan="2" |Kamala Harris ! colspan="2" |Various candidates ! colspan="2" |Margin ! rowspan="2" |Total | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |#
! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |% ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |# ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |% ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |# ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |% ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |# ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |% | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Alamance | {{party shading/Republican}} |47,937 | {{party shading/Republican}} |53.36% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |40,624 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |45.22% | {{party shading/Others}} |1,270 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.41% | {{party shading/Republican}} |7,313 | {{party shading/Republican}} |8.14% | {{party shading/Republican}} |89,831 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Alexander | {{party shading/Republican}} |16,404 | {{party shading/Republican}} |79.33% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,060 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |19.64% | {{party shading/Others}} |213 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.03% | {{party shading/Republican}} |12,344 | {{party shading/Republican}} |59.69% | {{party shading/Republican}} |20,677 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Alleghany | {{party shading/Republican}} |4,900 | {{party shading/Republican}} |75.43% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,533 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |23.60% | {{party shading/Others}} |63 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.97% | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,367 | {{party shading/Republican}} |51.83% | {{party shading/Republican}} |6,496 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Anson | {{party shading/Republican}} |5,525 | {{party shading/Republican}} |50.80% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,253 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |48.30% | {{party shading/Others}} |97 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.89% | {{party shading/Republican}} |272 | {{party shading/Republican}} |2.50% | {{party shading/Republican}} |10,875 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Ashe | {{party shading/Republican}} |11,629 | {{party shading/Republican}} |71.55% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,431 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |27.26% | {{party shading/Others}} |193 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.19% | {{party shading/Republican}} |7,198 | {{party shading/Republican}} |44.29% | {{party shading/Republican}} |16,253 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Avery | {{party shading/Republican}} |7,181 | {{party shading/Republican}} |75.68% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,220 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |23.40% | {{party shading/Others}} |88 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.93% | {{party shading/Republican}} |4,961 | {{party shading/Republican}} |52.28% | {{party shading/Republican}} |9,489 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Beaufort | {{party shading/Republican}} |17,296 | {{party shading/Republican}} |65.09% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |9,049 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |34.05% | {{party shading/Others}} |227 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.85% | {{party shading/Republican}} |8,247 | {{party shading/Republican}} |31.04% | {{party shading/Republican}} |26,572 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Bertie | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,840 | {{party shading/Republican}} |41.80% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,279 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |57.47% | {{party shading/Others}} |67 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.73% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 1,439
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 15.67%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |9,186 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Bladen | {{party shading/Republican}} |10,035 | {{party shading/Republican}} |59.86% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |6,620 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |39.49% | {{party shading/Others}} |109 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.65% | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,415 | {{party shading/Republican}} |20.37% | {{party shading/Republican}} |16,764 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Brunswick | {{party shading/Republican}} |67,658 | {{party shading/Republican}} |61.86% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |40,557 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |37.08% | {{party shading/Others}} |1,163 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.06% | {{party shading/Republican}} |27,101 | {{party shading/Republican}} |24.78% | {{party shading/Republican}} |109,378 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Buncombe | {{party shading/Republican}} |59,016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |36.77% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |98,662 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |61.47% | {{party shading/Others}} |2,832 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.76% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 39,646
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 24.70%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |160,510 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Burke | {{party shading/Republican}} |32,130 | {{party shading/Republican}} |70.08% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |13,272 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |28.95% | {{party shading/Others}} |445 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.97% | {{party shading/Republican}} |18,858 | {{party shading/Republican}} |41.13% | {{party shading/Republican}} |45,847 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Cabarrus | {{party shading/Republican}} |63,746 | {{party shading/Republican}} |53.03% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |54,494 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |45.34% | {{party shading/Others}} |1,962 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.63% | {{party shading/Republican}} |9,252 | {{party shading/Republican}} |7.69% | {{party shading/Republican}} |120,202 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Caldwell | {{party shading/Republican}} |33,009 | {{party shading/Republican}} |75.81% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |10,146 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |23.30% | {{party shading/Others}} |385 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.88% | {{party shading/Republican}} |22,863 | {{party shading/Republican}} |52.51% | {{party shading/Republican}} |43,540 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Camden | {{party shading/Republican}} |4,716 | {{party shading/Republican}} |74.81% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,522 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |24.14% | {{party shading/Others}} |66 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.05% | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,194 | {{party shading/Republican}} |50.67% | {{party shading/Republican}} |6,304 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Carteret | {{party shading/Republican}} |32,508 | {{party shading/Republican}} |70.95% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |12,813 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |27.97% | {{party shading/Others}} |496 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.08% | {{party shading/Republican}} |19,695 | {{party shading/Republican}} |42.98% | {{party shading/Republican}} |45,817 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Caswell | {{party shading/Republican}} |7,445 | {{party shading/Republican}} |61.84% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,493 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |37.32% | {{party shading/Others}} |102 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.85% | {{party shading/Republican}} |2,952 | {{party shading/Republican}} |24.52% | {{party shading/Republican}} |12,040 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Catawba | {{party shading/Republican}} |59,577 | {{party shading/Republican}} |68.39% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |26,569 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |30.50% | {{party shading/Others}} |963 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.11% | {{party shading/Republican}} |33,008 | {{party shading/Republican}} |37.89% | {{party shading/Republican}} |87,109 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Chatham | {{party shading/Republican}} |22,507 | {{party shading/Republican}} |43.03% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |29,014 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |55.48% | {{party shading/Others}} |780 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.49% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 6,507
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 12.45%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |52,301 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Cherokee | {{party shading/Republican}} |13,883 | {{party shading/Republican}} |77.89% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |3,686 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |20.68% | {{party shading/Others}} |255 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.43% | {{party shading/Republican}} |10,197 | {{party shading/Republican}} |57.21% | {{party shading/Republican}} |17,824 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Chowan | {{party shading/Republican}} |4,587 | {{party shading/Republican}} |60.74% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,895 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |38.33% | {{party shading/Others}} |70 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.93% | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,692 | {{party shading/Republican}} |22.41% | {{party shading/Republican}} |7,552 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Clay | {{party shading/Republican}} |5,761 | {{party shading/Republican}} |74.55% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,899 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |24.57% | {{party shading/Others}} |68 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.88% | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,862 | {{party shading/Republican}} |49.98% | {{party shading/Republican}} |7,728 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Cleveland | {{party shading/Republican}} |34,654 | {{party shading/Republican}} |67.02% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |16,603 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |32.11% | {{party shading/Others}} |449 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.87% | {{party shading/Republican}} |18,051 | {{party shading/Republican}} |34.91% | {{party shading/Republican}} |51,706 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Columbus | {{party shading/Republican}} |17,592 | {{party shading/Republican}} |66.63% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |8,648 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |32.76% | {{party shading/Others}} |162 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.61% | {{party shading/Republican}} |8,944 | {{party shading/Republican}} |33.87% | {{party shading/Republican}} |26,402 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Craven | {{party shading/Republican}} |33,477 | {{party shading/Republican}} |59.60% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |22,011 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |39.18% | {{party shading/Others}} |685 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.22% | {{party shading/Republican}} |11,466 | {{party shading/Republican}} |20.42% | {{party shading/Republican}} |56,173 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Cumberland | {{party shading/Republican}} |59,840 | {{party shading/Republican}} |42.59% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |78,631 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |55.96% | {{party shading/Others}} |2,042 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.45% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 18,791
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 13.37%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |140,513 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Currituck | {{party shading/Republican}} |13,235 | {{party shading/Republican}} |73.31% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,604 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |25.50% | {{party shading/Others}} |214 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.19% | {{party shading/Republican}} |8,631 | {{party shading/Republican}} |47.81% | {{party shading/Republican}} |18,053 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Dare | {{party shading/Republican}} |14,792 | {{party shading/Republican}} |58.71% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |10,074 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |39.98% | {{party shading/Others}} |330 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.31% | {{party shading/Republican}} |4,718 | {{party shading/Republican}} |18.73% | {{party shading/Republican}} |25,196 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Davidson | {{party shading/Republican}} |67,959 | {{party shading/Republican}} |72.72% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |24,150 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |25.84% | {{party shading/Others}} |1,343 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.44% | {{party shading/Republican}} |43,809 | {{party shading/Republican}} |46.88% | {{party shading/Republican}} |93,452 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Davie | {{party shading/Republican}} |19,398 | {{party shading/Republican}} |72.25% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |6,988 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |26.03% | {{party shading/Others}} |464 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.73% | {{party shading/Republican}} |12,410 | {{party shading/Republican}} |46.22% | {{party shading/Republican}} |26,850 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Duplin | {{party shading/Republican}} |14,677 | {{party shading/Republican}} |64.10% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |8,057 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |35.19% | {{party shading/Others}} |164 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.72% | {{party shading/Republican}} |6,620 | {{party shading/Republican}} |28.91% | {{party shading/Republican}} |22,898 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Durham | {{party shading/Republican}} |32,853 | {{party shading/Republican}} |18.16% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |144,450 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |79.85% | {{party shading/Others}} |3,609 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.99% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 111,597
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 61.69%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |180,912 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Edgecombe | {{party shading/Republican}} |9,355 | {{party shading/Republican}} |38.26% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |14,900 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |60.95% | {{party shading/Others}} |193 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.79% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 5,545
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 22.69%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |24,448 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Forsyth | {{party shading/Republican}} |87,292 | {{party shading/Republican}} |42.64% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |114,145 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |55.76% | {{party shading/Others}} |3,289 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.61% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 26,853
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 13.12%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |204,726 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Franklin | {{party shading/Republican}} |23,938 | {{party shading/Republican}} |56.10% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |18,167 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |42.58% | {{party shading/Others}} |562 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.32% | {{party shading/Republican}} |5,771 | {{party shading/Republican}} |13.52% | {{party shading/Republican}} |42,667 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Gaston | {{party shading/Republican}} |73,828 | {{party shading/Republican}} |61.91% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |44,062 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |36.95% | {{party shading/Others}} |1,366 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.15% | {{party shading/Republican}} |29,766 | {{party shading/Republican}} |24.96% | {{party shading/Republican}} |119,256 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Gates | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,538 | {{party shading/Republican}} |60.29% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,268 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |38.65% | {{party shading/Others}} |62 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.06% | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,270 | {{party shading/Republican}} |21.64% | {{party shading/Republican}} |5,868 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Graham | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,883 | {{party shading/Republican}} |81.25% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |839 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |17.56% | {{party shading/Others}} |57 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.19% | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,044 | {{party shading/Republican}} |63.69% | {{party shading/Republican}} |4,779 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Granville | {{party shading/Republican}} |17,383 | {{party shading/Republican}} |54.15% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |14,365 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |44.75% | {{party shading/Others}} |356 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.11% | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,018 | {{party shading/Republican}} |9.40% | {{party shading/Republican}} |32,104 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Greene | {{party shading/Republican}} |4,965 | {{party shading/Republican}} |58.76% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |3,437 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |40.67% | {{party shading/Others}} |48 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.57% | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,528 | {{party shading/Republican}} |18.09% | {{party shading/Republican}} |8,450 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Guilford | {{party shading/Republican}} |109,077 | {{party shading/Republican}} |38.27% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |171,118 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |60.03% | {{party shading/Others}} |4,858 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.70% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 62,041
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 21.76%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |285,053 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Halifax | {{party shading/Republican}} |9,778 | {{party shading/Republican}} |40.80% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |14,014 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |58.48% | {{party shading/Others}} |173 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.72% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 4,236
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 17.68%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |23,965 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Harnett | {{party shading/Republican}} |39,440 | {{party shading/Republican}} |61.86% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |23,472 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |36.81% | {{party shading/Others}} |845 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.33% | {{party shading/Republican}} |15,968 | {{party shading/Republican}} |25.05% | {{party shading/Republican}} |63,757 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Haywood | {{party shading/Republican}} |23,393 | {{party shading/Republican}} |61.80% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |13,913 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |36.76% | {{party shading/Others}} |545 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.44% | {{party shading/Republican}} |9,480 | {{party shading/Republican}} |25.04% | {{party shading/Republican}} |37,851 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Henderson | {{party shading/Republican}} |39,497 | {{party shading/Republican}} |56.45% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |29,361 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |41.96% | {{party shading/Others}} |1,116 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.59% | {{party shading/Republican}} |10,136 | {{party shading/Republican}} |14.49% | {{party shading/Republican}} |69,974 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Hertford | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,561 | {{party shading/Republican}} |36.18% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |6,191 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |62.90% | {{party shading/Others}} |91 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.92% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 2,630
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 26.72%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |9,843 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Hoke | {{party shading/Republican}} |10,547 | {{party shading/Republican}} |46.33% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |11,896 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |52.25% | {{party shading/Others}} |324 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.42% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 1,349
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 5.92%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |22,767 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Hyde | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,465 | {{party shading/Republican}} |60.51% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |931 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |38.46% | {{party shading/Others}} |25 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.03% | {{party shading/Republican}} |534 | {{party shading/Republican}} |22.05% | {{party shading/Republican}} |2,421 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Iredell | {{party shading/Republican}} |72,801 | {{party shading/Republican}} |65.66% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |36,739 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |33.14% | {{party shading/Others}} |1,335 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.20% | {{party shading/Republican}} |36,062 | {{party shading/Republican}} |32.52% | {{party shading/Republican}} |110,875 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Jackson | {{party shading/Republican}} |11,796 | {{party shading/Republican}} |53.76% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |9,746 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |44.42% | {{party shading/Others}} |400 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.82% | {{party shading/Republican}} |2,050 | {{party shading/Republican}} |9.34% | {{party shading/Republican}} |21,942 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Johnston | {{party shading/Republican}} |74,878 | {{party shading/Republican}} |60.06% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |48,116 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |38.59% | {{party shading/Others}} |1,684 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.35% | {{party shading/Republican}} |26,762 | {{party shading/Republican}} |21.47% | {{party shading/Republican}} |124,678 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Jones | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,409 | {{party shading/Republican}} |62.40% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,007 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |36.74% | {{party shading/Others}} |47 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.86% | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,402 | {{party shading/Republican}} |25.66% | {{party shading/Republican}} |5,463 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Lee | {{party shading/Republican}} |17,489 | {{party shading/Republican}} |58.14% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |12,245 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |40.71% | {{party shading/Others}} |347 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.15% | {{party shading/Republican}} |5,244 | {{party shading/Republican}} |17.43% | {{party shading/Republican}} |30,081 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Lenoir | {{party shading/Republican}} |14,564 | {{party shading/Republican}} |52.95% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |12,700 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |46.18% | {{party shading/Others}} |239 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.87% | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,864 | {{party shading/Republican}} |6.77% | {{party shading/Republican}} |27,503 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Lincoln | {{party shading/Republican}} |40,183 | {{party shading/Republican}} |72.29% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |14,842 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |26.70% | {{party shading/Others}} |557 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.00% | {{party shading/Republican}} |25,341 | {{party shading/Republican}} |45.59% | {{party shading/Republican}} |55,582 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Macon | {{party shading/Republican}} |14,981 | {{party shading/Republican}} |68.30% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |6,675 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |30.43% | {{party shading/Others}} |278 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.27% | {{party shading/Republican}} |8,306 | {{party shading/Republican}} |37.87% | {{party shading/Republican}} |21,934 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Madison | {{party shading/Republican}} |8,275 | {{party shading/Republican}} |60.75% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,090 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |37.37% | {{party shading/Others}} |256 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.88% | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,185 | {{party shading/Republican}} |23.38% | {{party shading/Republican}} |13,621 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Martin | {{party shading/Republican}} |6,601 | {{party shading/Republican}} |54.83% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,360 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |44.52% | {{party shading/Others}} |79 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.66% | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,241 | {{party shading/Republican}} |10.31% | {{party shading/Republican}} |12,040 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |McDowell | {{party shading/Republican}} |17,520 | {{party shading/Republican}} |74.06% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,911 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |24.99% | {{party shading/Others}} |224 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.95% | {{party shading/Republican}} |11,609 | {{party shading/Republican}} |49.07% | {{party shading/Republican}} |23,655 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Mecklenburg | {{party shading/Republican}} |187,770 | {{party shading/Republican}} |32.51% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |376,454 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |65.19% | {{party shading/Others}} |13,281 | {{party shading/Others}} |2.30% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 188,684
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 32.68%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |577,505 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Mitchell | {{party shading/Republican}} |6,843 | {{party shading/Republican}} |77.39% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,915 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |21.66% | {{party shading/Others}} |84 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.95% | {{party shading/Republican}} |4,928 | {{party shading/Republican}} |55.73% | {{party shading/Republican}} |8,842 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Montgomery | {{party shading/Republican}} |9,044 | {{party shading/Republican}} |68.48% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,055 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |30.71% | {{party shading/Others}} |107 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.81% | {{party shading/Republican}} |4,989 | {{party shading/Republican}} |37.77% | {{party shading/Republican}} |13,206 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Moore | {{party shading/Republican}} |39,617 | {{party shading/Republican}} |64.12% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |21,436 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |34.69% | {{party shading/Others}} |737 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.19% | {{party shading/Republican}} |18,181 | {{party shading/Republican}} |29.43% | {{party shading/Republican}} |61,790 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Nash | {{party shading/Republican}} |26,431 | {{party shading/Republican}} |50.37% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |25,508 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |48.61% | {{party shading/Others}} |532 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.01% | {{party shading/Republican}} |923 | {{party shading/Republican}} |1.76% | {{party shading/Republican}} |52,471 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |New Hanover | {{party shading/Republican}} |67,949 | {{party shading/Republican}} |48.98% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |68,814 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |49.60% | {{party shading/Others}} |1,971 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.42% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 865
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 0.62%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |138,734 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Northampton | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,905 | {{party shading/Republican}} |42.38% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,239 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |56.85% | {{party shading/Others}} |71 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.77% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 1,334
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 14.47%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |9,215 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Onslow | {{party shading/Republican}} |54,960 | {{party shading/Republican}} |67.29% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |25,684 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |31.44% | {{party shading/Others}} |1,037 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.27% | {{party shading/Republican}} |29,276 | {{party shading/Republican}} |35.85% | {{party shading/Republican}} |81,681 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Orange | {{party shading/Republican}} |20,806 | {{party shading/Republican}} |23.70% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |65,444 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |74.53% | {{party shading/Others}} |1,557 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.77% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 44,638
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 50.83%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |87,807 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Pamlico | {{party shading/Republican}} |5,229 | {{party shading/Republican}} |65.56% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,676 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |33.55% | {{party shading/Others}} |71 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.89% | {{party shading/Republican}} |2,553 | {{party shading/Republican}} |32.01% | {{party shading/Republican}} |7,976 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Pasquotank | {{party shading/Republican}} |10,537 | {{party shading/Republican}} |51.80% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |9,549 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |46.94% | {{party shading/Others}} |257 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.26% | {{party shading/Republican}} |988 | {{party shading/Republican}} |4.86% | {{party shading/Republican}} |20,343 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Pender | {{party shading/Republican}} |26,042 | {{party shading/Republican}} |66.93% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |12,460 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |32.02% | {{party shading/Others}} |407 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.05% | {{party shading/Republican}} |13,582 | {{party shading/Republican}} |34.91% | {{party shading/Republican}} |38,909 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Perquimans | {{party shading/Republican}} |5,278 | {{party shading/Republican}} |68.85% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,269 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |29.60% | {{party shading/Others}} |119 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.55% | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,009 | {{party shading/Republican}} |39.25% | {{party shading/Republican}} |7,666 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Person | {{party shading/Republican}} |13,509 | {{party shading/Republican}} |61.30% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |8,295 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |37.64% | {{party shading/Others}} |232 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.05% | {{party shading/Republican}} |5,214 | {{party shading/Republican}} |23.66% | {{party shading/Republican}} |22,036 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Pitt | {{party shading/Republican}} |40,403 | {{party shading/Republican}} |46.37% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |45,595 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |52.33% | {{party shading/Others}} |1,132 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.30% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 5,192
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 5.96%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |87,130 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Polk | {{party shading/Republican}} |8,107 | {{party shading/Republican}} |62.04% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,827 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |36.94% | {{party shading/Others}} |134 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.03% | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,280 | {{party shading/Republican}} |25.10% | {{party shading/Republican}} |13,068 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Randolph | {{party shading/Republican}} |59,357 | {{party shading/Republican}} |78.09% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |15,951 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |20.99% | {{party shading/Others}} |700 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.92% | {{party shading/Republican}} |43,406 | {{party shading/Republican}} |57.10% | {{party shading/Republican}} |76,008 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Richmond | {{party shading/Republican}} |11,931 | {{party shading/Republican}} |60.04% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |7,787 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |39.18% | {{party shading/Others}} |155 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.78% | {{party shading/Republican}} |4,144 | {{party shading/Republican}} |20.86% | {{party shading/Republican}} |19,873 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Robeson | {{party shading/Republican}} |29,647 | {{party shading/Republican}} |63.39% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |16,728 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |35.77% | {{party shading/Others}} |395 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.84% | {{party shading/Republican}} |12,919 | {{party shading/Republican}} |27.62% | {{party shading/Republican}} |46,770 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Rockingham | {{party shading/Republican}} |33,447 | {{party shading/Republican}} |67.44% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |15,676 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |31.61% | {{party shading/Others}} |472 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.95% | {{party shading/Republican}} |17,771 | {{party shading/Republican}} |35.83% | {{party shading/Republican}} |49,595 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Rowan | {{party shading/Republican}} |50,807 | {{party shading/Republican}} |67.39% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |23,788 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |31.55% | {{party shading/Others}} |799 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.06% | {{party shading/Republican}} |27,019 | {{party shading/Republican}} |35.84% | {{party shading/Republican}} |75,394 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Rutherford | {{party shading/Republican}} |25,456 | {{party shading/Republican}} |73.42% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |8,914 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |25.71% | {{party shading/Others}} |300 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.87% | {{party shading/Republican}} |16,542 | {{party shading/Republican}} |47.71% | {{party shading/Republican}} |34,670 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Sampson | {{party shading/Republican}} |18,178 | {{party shading/Republican}} |64.46% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |9,797 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |34.74% | {{party shading/Others}} |226 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.80% | {{party shading/Republican}} |8,381 | {{party shading/Republican}} |29.72% | {{party shading/Republican}} |28,201 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Scotland | {{party shading/Republican}} |7,767 | {{party shading/Republican}} |53.10% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |6,754 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |46.18% | {{party shading/Others}} |105 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.72% | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,013 | {{party shading/Republican}} |6.92% | {{party shading/Republican}} |14,626 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Stanly | {{party shading/Republican}} |27,518 | {{party shading/Republican}} |74.95% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |8,881 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |24.19% | {{party shading/Others}} |315 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.86% | {{party shading/Republican}} |18,637 | {{party shading/Republican}} |50.76% | {{party shading/Republican}} |36,714 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Stokes | {{party shading/Republican}} |21,548 | {{party shading/Republican}} |79.29% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,380 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |19.80% | {{party shading/Others}} |247 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.91% | {{party shading/Republican}} |16,168 | {{party shading/Republican}} |59.49% | {{party shading/Republican}} |27,175 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Surry | {{party shading/Republican}} |28,565 | {{party shading/Republican}} |76.16% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |8,613 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |22.96% | {{party shading/Others}} |330 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.88% | {{party shading/Republican}} |19,952 | {{party shading/Republican}} |53.20% | {{party shading/Republican}} |37,508 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Swain | {{party shading/Republican}} |4,311 | {{party shading/Republican}} |61.13% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,643 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |37.48% | {{party shading/Others}} |98 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.39% | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,668 | {{party shading/Republican}} |23.65% | {{party shading/Republican}} |7,052 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Transylvania | {{party shading/Republican}} |11,492 | {{party shading/Republican}} |55.30% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |8,972 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |43.18% | {{party shading/Others}} |316 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.52% | {{party shading/Republican}} |2,520 | {{party shading/Republican}} |12.12% | {{party shading/Republican}} |20,780 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Tyrrell | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,057 | {{party shading/Republican}} |60.16% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |680 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |38.70% | {{party shading/Others}} |20 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.14% | {{party shading/Republican}} |377 | {{party shading/Republican}} |21.46% | {{party shading/Republican}} |1,757 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Union | {{party shading/Republican}} |86,271 | {{party shading/Republican}} |61.91% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |51,168 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |36.72% | {{party shading/Others}} |1,916 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.37% | {{party shading/Republican}} |35,103 | {{party shading/Republican}} |25.19% | {{party shading/Republican}} |139,355 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Vance | {{party shading/Republican}} |8,614 | {{party shading/Republican}} |42.87% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |11,292 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |56.20% | {{party shading/Others}} |186 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.93% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 2,678
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 13.33%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |20,092 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Wake | {{party shading/Republican}} |236,735 | {{party shading/Republican}} |36.22% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |402,984 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |61.66% | {{party shading/Others}} |13,861 | {{party shading/Others}} |2.12% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 166,249
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 25.44%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |653,580 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Warren | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,976 | {{party shading/Republican}} |39.71% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,872 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |58.64% | {{party shading/Others}} |165 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.65% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 1,896
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 18.93%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |10,013 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Washington | {{party shading/Republican}} |2,768 | {{party shading/Republican}} |46.57% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |3,138 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |52.79% | {{party shading/Others}} |38 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.64% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 370
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 6.22%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,944 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Watauga | {{party shading/Republican}} |15,254 | {{party shading/Republican}} |46.09% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |17,225 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |52.05% | {{party shading/Others}} |616 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.86% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 1,971
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 5.96%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |33,095 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Wayne | {{party shading/Republican}} |31,580 | {{party shading/Republican}} |57.67% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |22,618 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |41.30% | {{party shading/Others}} |564 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.03% | {{party shading/Republican}} |8,962 | {{party shading/Republican}} |16.37% | {{party shading/Republican}} |54,762 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Wilkes | {{party shading/Republican}} |28,812 | {{party shading/Republican}} |79.33% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |7,194 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |19.81% | {{party shading/Others}} |314 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.86% | {{party shading/Republican}} |21,618 | {{party shading/Republican}} |59.52% | {{party shading/Republican}} |36,320 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Wilson | {{party shading/Republican}} |19,750 | {{party shading/Republican}} |49.32% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |19,909 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |49.72% | {{party shading/Others}} |386 | {{party shading/Others}} |0.96% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 159
| {{party shading/Democratic}} | |||||||||
| 0.40%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |40,045 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Yadkin | {{party shading/Republican}} |16,439 | {{party shading/Republican}} |80.60% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |3,739 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |18.33% | {{party shading/Others}} |219 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.07% | {{party shading/Republican}} |12,700 | {{party shading/Republican}} |62.27% | {{party shading/Republican}} |20,397 | |||||||||
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}} |Yancey | {{party shading/Republican}} |7,509 | {{party shading/Republican}} |66.55% | {{party shading/Democratic}} |3,635 | {{party shading/Democratic}} |32.22% | {{party shading/Others}} |139 | {{party shading/Others}} |1.23% | {{party shading/Republican}} |3,874 | {{party shading/Republican}} |34.33% | {{party shading/Republican}} |11,283 | |||||||||
| Totals | 2,898,423 | 50.86% | 2,715,375 | 47.65% | 85,343 | 1.49% | 183,048 | 3.21% | 5,699,141 |
==Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican==
- Anson (largest municipality: Wadesboro)
- Nash (largest municipality: Rocky Mount)
- Pasquotank (largest municipality: Elizabeth City)
{{align|right|{{Switcher| 300px|Swing by county
{{collapsible list| title = Legend|
{{legend|#aaeeff|Democratic — +2.5-5%}}|
{{legend|#d5f6ff|Democratic — +0-2.5%}}|
{{legend|#ffd5d5|Republican — +0-2.5%}}|
{{legend|#ffaaaa|Republican — +2.5-5%}}|
{{legend|#ff8080|Republican — +5-7.5%}}|
{{legend|#ff5555|Republican — +7.5-10%}}}}|
300px|County flips
{{collapsible list| title = Legend| {{col-begin}}
{{col-2}}
Democratic
{{legend|#92c5de|Hold}}
{{col-2}}
Republican
{{legend|#f48882|Hold}}
{{legend|#ca0120|Gain from Democratic}}
{{col-end}}}}}}}}
==By congressional district==
Trump won 11 of 14 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.{{cite web|url=https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ZHx5E0-5vuXxcZShBgsAl_vwAntkkanGqYQp0owNjoQ/edit?gid=0#gid=0 | title=2024 Pres by CD|website=www.docs.google.com}}{{User-generated inline|date=November 2024|certain=yes}}
| class=wikitable
! District ! Trump ! Harris ! Representative |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|1|1st}} | 51.06% | 47.97% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Don Davis |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|2|2nd}} | 31.92% | 66.21% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Deborah Ross |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|3|3rd}} | 60.33% | 38.52% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Greg Murphy |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|4|4th}} | 26.53% | 71.81% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Valerie Foushee |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|5|5th}} | 58.22% | 40.40% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Virginia Foxx |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|6|6th}} | 58.11% | 41.10% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Addison McDowell |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|7|7th}} | 56.31% | 42.52% | {{party shading/Republican}}|David Rouzer |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|8|8th}} | 59.14% | 39.58% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Mark Harris |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|9|9th}} | 57.50% | 41.71% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Richard Hudson |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|10|10th}} | 58.18% | 40.51% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Pat Harrigan |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|11|11th}} | 53.96% | 44.50% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Chuck Edwards |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|12|12th}} | 25.99% | 72.22% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Alma Adams |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|13|13th}} | 57.97% | 41.11% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Brad Knott |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|North Carolina|14|14th}} | 57.06% | 41.94% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Tim Moore |
Analysis
Although a Southern Bible Belt state, North Carolina has been competitive since the late 2000s – a trend primarily attributed to population growth – as the state has been narrowly decided in every presidential election by less than a 4% margin since 2008, when Barack Obama very narrowly carried the state and became the only Democratic presidential candidate to do so since Jimmy Carter of neighboring Georgia in 1976. However, Republicans have won every single federal statewide race in North Carolina since 2010. It flipped back into the GOP column in 2012 and has been narrowly won by Republican nominee Donald Trump in the past two cycles. This presidential election marks the first time since 2012 that the winning candidate won the election with an absolute majority of the vote.
Trump's margin of victory was more than double that of his 2020 margin, though it was slightly less than his 2016 margin. His 50.86% of the vote was the highest percentage won in the state since 2004. This marked the fifth consecutive election where North Carolina was decided by less than 5%, the longest ongoing such streak out of any state. Trump became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying New Hanover County since Dwight D. Eisenhower in 1956. This is the first time since 2008 the state voted for the winner of the national popular vote. Anson County voted Republican for the first time since 1972 and Pasquotank County since 1988.
Potentially due to the effects of Hurricane Helene, Western North Carolina was one of the few areas of the country to swing towards the Democrats between 2020 and 2024. Despite over 90% of American counties shifting toward Trump during this time period,{{Cite news |last1=Bloch |first1=Matthew |last2=Collins |first2=Keith |last3=Gebeloff |first3=Robert |last4=Hernandez |first4=Marco |last5=Khurana |first5=Malika |last6=Levitt |first6=Zach |date=2024-11-06 |title=Early Results Show a Red Shift Across the U.S. |url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/06/us/politics/presidential-election-2024-red-shift.html |access-date=2024-11-12 |work=The New York Times |language=en-US |issn=0362-4331}} ten counties in the region bucked this trend and supported Harris to a greater extent than Joe Biden.{{#tag:ref|These were Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Haywood, Henderson, Macon, Madison, Mitchell, Polk and Transylvania.{{cite news | url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-president.html | title=Presidential Election Results: Trump Wins | work=The New York Times | date=November 5, 2024 }}|group=lower-alpha}}
See also
Notes
{{notelist|refs=Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear}}
Partisan clients
{{notelist-ua}}
References
{{Reflist|30em}}
{{2024 United States elections}}
{{State results of the 2024 U.S. presidential election}}
{{Elections in North Carolina footer}}