Tropical cyclone#Mechanics

{{Short description|Type of rapidly rotating storm system}}

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File:Dramatic Views of Hurricane Florence from the International Space Station From 9 12 (42828603210) (cropped).jpg viewed from International Space Station in 2018. The eye, eyewall, and surrounding rainbands are characteristics of tropical cyclones.]]

{{Tropicalcyclone}}

A tropical cyclone is a rapidly rotating storm system with a low-pressure area, a closed low-level atmospheric circulation, strong winds, and a spiral arrangement of thunderstorms that produce heavy rain and squalls. Depending on its location and strength, a tropical cyclone is called a hurricane ({{IPAc-en|ˈ|h|ʌr|ᵻ|k|ən|,_|-|k|eɪ|n}}), typhoon ({{IPAc-en|t|aɪ|'|f|uː|n}}), tropical storm, cyclonic storm, tropical depression, or simply cyclone. A hurricane is a strong tropical cyclone that occurs in the Atlantic Ocean or northeastern Pacific Ocean. A typhoon is the same thing which occurs in the northwestern Pacific Ocean. In the Indian Ocean and South Pacific, comparable storms are referred to as "tropical cyclones". In modern times, on average around 80 to 90 named tropical cyclones form each year around the world, over half of which develop hurricane-force winds of {{convert|65|kn|km/h mph|lk=in|abbr=on|round=5}} or more.{{cite report |url=https://cyclone.wmo.int/pdf/Global-Guide-to-Tropical-Cyclone-Forecasting.pdf |title=Global Guide to Tropical Cyclone Forecasting: 2017 |date=April 17, 2018 |publisher=World Meteorological Organization |access-date=September 6, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190714014847/https://cyclone.wmo.int/pdf/Global-Guide-to-Tropical-Cyclone-Forecasting.pdf |archive-date=July 14, 2019 |url-status=live}}

Tropical cyclones typically form over large bodies of relatively warm water. They derive their energy through the evaporation of water from the ocean surface, which ultimately condenses into clouds and rain when moist air rises and cools to saturation. This energy source differs from that of mid-latitude cyclonic storms, such as nor'easters and European windstorms, which are powered primarily by horizontal temperature contrasts. Tropical cyclones are typically between {{convert|100|and|2000|km|mi|abbr=on}} in diameter. The strong rotating winds of a tropical cyclone are a result of the conservation of angular momentum imparted by the Earth's rotation as air flows inwards toward the axis of rotation. As a result, cyclones rarely form within 5° of the equator. Tropical cyclones are very rare in the South Atlantic (although occasional examples do occur) due to consistently strong wind shear and a weak Intertropical Convergence Zone. In contrast, the African easterly jet and areas of atmospheric instability give rise to cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea.

Heat energy from the ocean acts as the accelerator for tropical cyclones. This causes inland regions to suffer far less damage from cyclones than coastal regions, although the impacts of flooding are felt across the board. Coastal damage may be caused by strong winds and rain, high waves (due to winds), storm surges (due to wind and severe pressure changes), and the potential of spawning tornadoes. Climate change affects tropical cyclones in several ways. Scientists found that climate change can exacerbate the impact of tropical cyclones by increasing their duration, occurrence, and intensity due to the warming of ocean waters and intensification of the water cycle.{{Cite journal |last1=Knutson |first1=Thomas |last2=Camargo |first2=Suzana J. |last3=Chan |first3=Johnny C. L. |last4=Emanuel |first4=Kerry |last5=Ho |first5=Chang-Hoi |last6=Kossin |first6=James |last7=Mohapatra |first7=Mrutyunjay |last8=Satoh |first8=Masaki |last9=Sugi |first9=Masato |last10=Walsh |first10=Kevin |last11=Wu |first11=Liguang |date=August 6, 2019 |title=Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Assessment: Part II. Projected Response to Anthropogenic Warming |journal=Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society |language=en |volume=101 |issue=3 |pages=BAMS–D–18–0194.1 |bibcode=2020BAMS..101E.303K |doi=10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0194.1 |issn=0003-0007 |doi-access=free|hdl=1721.1/124705 |hdl-access=free }}{{Cite web |date=May 18, 2020 |title=Major tropical cyclones have become '15% more likely' over past 40 years |url=https://www.carbonbrief.org/major-tropical-cyclones-have-become-15-more-likely-over-past-40-years |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200808212654/https://www.carbonbrief.org/major-tropical-cyclones-have-become-15-more-likely-over-past-40-years |archive-date=August 8, 2020 |access-date=August 31, 2020 |website=Carbon Brief |language=en}} Tropical cyclones draw in air from a large area and concentrate the water content of that air into precipitation over a much smaller area. This replenishing of moisture-bearing air after rain may cause multi-hour or multi-day extremely heavy rain up to {{convert|40|km|mi|abbr=on}} from the coastline, far beyond the amount of water that the local atmosphere holds at any one time. This in turn can lead to river flooding, overland flooding, and a general overwhelming of local water control structures across a large area. {{TOC limit|3}}

Definition and terminology

A tropical cyclone is the generic term for a warm-cored, non-frontal synoptic-scale low-pressure system over tropical or subtropical waters around the world.{{cite web |title=Glossary of NHC Terms |url=https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210216200241/https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml |archive-date=February 16, 2021 |access-date=February 18, 2021 |publisher=United States National Hurricane Center}}{{cite web |title=Tropical cyclone facts: What is a tropical cyclone? |url=https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/weather/tropical-cyclones/facts#What%20is%20a%20TC |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210202123840/https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/weather/tropical-cyclones/facts |archive-date=February 2, 2021 |access-date=February 25, 2021 |publisher=United Kingdom Met Office}} The systems generally have a well-defined center which is surrounded by deep atmospheric convection and a closed wind circulation at the surface. A tropical cyclone is generally deemed to have formed once mean surface winds in excess of {{convert|35|kn|km/h mph|round=5|abbr=on}} are observed. It is assumed at this stage that a tropical cyclone has become self-sustaining and can continue to intensify without any help from its environment.

Depending on its location and strength, a tropical cyclone is referred to by different names, including hurricane, typhoon, tropical storm, cyclonic storm, tropical depression, or simply cyclone. A hurricane is a strong tropical cyclone that occurs in the Atlantic Ocean or northeastern Pacific Ocean, and a typhoon occurs in the northwestern Pacific Ocean. In the Indian Ocean and South Pacific, comparable storms are referred to as "tropical cyclones", and such storms in the Indian Ocean can also be called "severe cyclonic storms".

Tropical refers to the geographical origin of these systems, which form almost exclusively over tropical seas. Cyclone refers to their winds moving in a circle, whirling round their central clear eye, with their surface winds blowing counterclockwise in the Northern Hemisphere and clockwise in the Southern Hemisphere. The opposite direction of circulation is due to the Coriolis effect.

Formation

{{Main|Tropical cyclogenesis}}

File:Hurricane-en.svg|alt=A schematic diagram of a tropical cyclone]]

Tropical cyclones tend to develop during the summer, but have been noted in nearly every month in most tropical cyclone basins. Tropical cyclones on either side of the Equator generally have their origins in the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), where winds blow from either the northeast or southeast.{{cite web |title=Tropical cyclone facts: How do tropical cyclones form? |url=https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/weather/tropical-cyclones/facts#How%20do%20TCs%20form |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210202123840/https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/weather/tropical-cyclones/facts |archive-date=February 2, 2021 |access-date=March 1, 2021 |publisher=United Kingdom Met Office}} Within this broad area of low-pressure, air is heated over the warm tropical ocean and rises in discrete parcels, which causes thundery showers to form. These showers dissipate quite quickly; however, they can group together into large clusters of thunderstorms. This creates a flow of warm, moist, rapidly rising air, which starts to rotate cyclonically as it interacts with the rotation of the earth.

Several factors are required for these thunderstorms to develop further, including sea surface temperatures of around {{convert|27|°C|°F|abbr=on}} and low vertical wind shear surrounding the system,{{r|Form|A15}} atmospheric instability, high humidity in the lower to middle levels of the troposphere, enough Coriolis force to develop a low-pressure center, and a pre-existing low-level focus or disturbance.{{cite web |last=Landsea |first=Chris |author-link=Chris Landsea |title=How do tropical cyclones form? |url=http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/A15.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090827030639/http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/A15.html |archive-date=August 27, 2009 |access-date=October 9, 2017 |work=Frequently Asked Questions |publisher=Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, Hurricane Research Division}}

There is a limit on tropical cyclone intensity which is strongly related to the water temperatures along its path.{{cite web |last=Berg |first=Robbie |title=Tropical cyclone intensity in relation to SST and moisture variability |url=http://ams.confex.com/ams/pdfpapers/37899.pdf |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110610113232/http://ams.confex.com/ams/pdfpapers/37899.pdf |archive-date=June 10, 2011 |access-date=September 23, 2010 |publisher=Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric, and Earth Science (University of Miami)}} and upper-level divergence.{{cite journal |last1=Zhang |first1=Da-Lin |last2=Zhu |first2=Lin |date=September 12, 2012 |title=Roles of upper-level processes in tropical cyclogenesis |url=https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2012GL053140 |journal=Geophysical Research Letters |publisher=AGU |volume=39 |issue=17 |bibcode=2012GeoRL..3917804Z |doi=10.1029/2012GL053140 |s2cid=53341455 |access-date=October 4, 2022 |issn=0094-8276}}

An average of 86 tropical cyclones of tropical storm intensity form annually worldwide. Of those cyclones, 47 reach strengths higher than {{convert|74|mph|km/h|abbr=on|order=flip}}, and 20 become intense tropical cyclones, of at least Category 3 intensity on the Saffir–Simpson scale.{{cite web |author=Chris Landsea |author-link=Chris Landsea |date=January 4, 2000 |title=Climate Variability table — Tropical Cyclones |url=http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Landsea/climvari/table.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121002045230/http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Landsea/climvari/table.html |archive-date=October 2, 2012 |access-date=October 19, 2006 |publisher=Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration}}

Climate oscillations such as El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Madden–Julian oscillation modulate the timing and frequency of tropical cyclone development.{{cite web |last=Landsea |first=Christopher |title=AOML Climate Variability of Tropical Cyclones paper |url=http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Landsea/climvari/index.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211026211517/https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Landsea/climvari/index.html |archive-date=October 26, 2021 |access-date=September 23, 2010 |publisher=Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory}}{{cite journal |last1=Aiyyer |first1=Anantha |last2=Molinari |first2=John |date=August 1, 2008 |title=MJO and Tropical Cyclogenesis in the Gulf of Mexico and Eastern Pacific: Case Study and Idealized Numerical Modeling |journal=Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences |publisher=American Meteorological Society |volume=65 |issue=8 |pages=2691–2704 |bibcode=2008JAtS...65.2691A |doi=10.1175/2007JAS2348.1 |s2cid=17409876 |doi-access=free}}{{cite journal |last1=Zhao |first1=Chen |last2=Li |first2=Tim |date=October 20, 2018 |title=Basin dependence of the MJO modulating tropical cyclone genesis |url=https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-018-4502-y |url-status=live |journal=Climate Dynamics |publisher=Springer |volume=52 |issue=9–10 |pages=6081–6096 |doi=10.1007/s00382-018-4502-y |s2cid=134747858 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221002213931/https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-018-4502-y |archive-date=October 2, 2022 |access-date=October 5, 2022}}{{cite journal |last1=Camargo |first1=Suzana J. |last2=Emanuel |first2=Kerry A. |last3=Sobel |first3=Adam H. |date=October 1, 2007 |title=Use of a Genesis Potential Index to Diagnose ENSO Effects on Tropical Cyclone Genesis |journal=Journal of Climate |publisher=American Meteorological Society |volume=20 |issue=19 |pages=4819–4834 |bibcode=2007JCli...20.4819C |doi=10.1175/JCLI4282.1 |s2cid=17340459 |doi-access=free}} Rossby waves can aid in the formation of a new tropical cyclone by disseminating the energy of an existing, mature storm.{{cite journal |last1=Molinari |first1=John |last2=Lombardo |first2=Kelly |last3=Vollaro |first3=David |date=April 1, 2007 |title=Tropical Cyclogenesis within an Equatorial Rossby Wave Packet |journal=Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences |publisher=American Meteorological Society |volume=64 |issue=4 |pages=1301–1317 |bibcode=2007JAtS...64.1301M |doi=10.1175/JAS3902.1 |s2cid=12920242 |doi-access=free}}{{cite journal |last1=Li |first1=Tim |last2=Fu |first2=Bing |date=May 1, 2006 |title=Tropical Cyclogenesis Associated with Rossby Wave Energy Dispersion of a Preexisting Typhoon. Part I: Satellite Data Analyses |journal=Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences |publisher=American Meteorological Society |volume=63 |issue=5 |pages=1377–1389 |bibcode=2006JAtS...63.1377L |doi=10.1175/JAS3692.1 |s2cid=15372289 |doi-access=free}} Kelvin waves can contribute to tropical cyclone formation by regulating the development of the westerlies.{{cite journal |last1=Schreck III |first1=Carl J. |last2=Molinari |first2=John |date=September 1, 2011 |title=Tropical Cyclogenesis Associated with Kelvin Waves and the Madden–Julian Oscillation |journal=Monthly Weather Review |publisher=American Meteorological Society |volume=139 |issue=9 |pages=2723–2734 |bibcode=2011MWRv..139.2723S |doi=10.1175/MWR-D-10-05060.1 |s2cid=16983131 |doi-access=free}} Cyclone formation is usually reduced 3 days prior to the wave's crest and increased during the 3 days after.{{cite journal |last1=Schreck III |first1=Carl J. |date=October 1, 2015 |title=Kelvin Waves and Tropical Cyclogenesis: A Global Survey |journal=Monthly Weather Review |publisher=American Meteorological Society |volume=143 |issue=10 |pages=3996–4011 |bibcode=2015MWRv..143.3996S |doi=10.1175/MWR-D-15-0111.1 |s2cid=118859063 |doi-access=free}}

= Formation regions and warning centers =

{{Main|Tropical cyclone basins|Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre}}

class="wikitable"

|+Tropical cyclone basins and official warning centers

scope="col" | Basin

! scope="col" | Warning center

! scope="col" | Area of responsibility

! scope="col" | Notes

colspan="4" style="text-align: center;" |Northern Hemisphere
scope="row" | North Atlantic

| United States National Hurricane Center (Miami)

| Equator northward, African Coast – 140°W

|

scope="row" | Eastern Pacific

| United States Central Pacific Hurricane Center (Honolulu)

| Equator northward, 140–180°W

|

scope="row" | Western Pacific

| Japan Meteorological Agency

| Equator – 60°N, 180–100°E

| {{Typhoon committee operational plan}}

scope="row" | North Indian Ocean

| India Meteorological Department

| Equator northwards, 100–40°E

|

colspan="4" style="text-align: center;" |Southern Hemisphere
scope="row" | South-West
Indian Ocean

| Météo-France Reunion

| Equator – 40°S, African Coast – 90°E

|

rowspan="3" scope="row" | Australian region

| Indonesian Meteorology, Climatology,
and Geophysical Agency
(BMKG)

| Equator – 10°S, 90–141°E

| {{RA V Tropical cyclone operational plan}}

Papua New Guinea National Weather Service

| Equator – 10°S, 141–160°E

|

Australian Bureau of Meteorology

| 10–40°S, 90–160°E

|

rowspan="2" scope="row" | Southern Pacific

| Fiji Meteorological Service

| Equator – 25°S, 160°E – 120°W

|

Meteorological Service of New Zealand

| 25–40°S, 160°E – 120°W

|

The majority of tropical cyclones each year form in one of seven tropical cyclone basins, which are monitored by a variety of meteorological services and warning centers. Ten of these warning centers worldwide are designated as either a Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre or a Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre by the World Meteorological Organization's (WMO) tropical cyclone programme. These warning centers issue advisories which provide basic information and cover a systems present, forecast position, movement and intensity, in their designated areas of responsibility.

Meteorological services around the world are generally responsible for issuing warnings for their own country. There are exceptions, as the United States National Hurricane Center and Fiji Meteorological Service issue alerts, watches and warnings for various island nations in their areas of responsibility. The United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center and Fleet Weather Center also publicly issue warnings about tropical cyclones on behalf of the United States Government. The Brazilian Navy Hydrographic Center names South Atlantic tropical cyclones, however the South Atlantic is not a major basin, and not an official basin according to the WMO.{{cite web |year=2011 |title=Normas Da Autoridade Marítima Para As Atividades De Meteorologia Marítima |url=https://www.marinha.mil.br/dhn/sites/www.marinha.mil.br.dhn/files/normam/normam_19.pdf |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150206213534/http://www.mar.mil.br/dhn/dhn/downloads/normam/normam_19.pdf |archive-date=February 6, 2015 |access-date=October 5, 2018 |publisher=Brazilian Navy |language=pt}}

Interactions with climate

{{main|Tropical cyclones by year}}

Each year on average, around 80 to 90 named tropical cyclones form around the world, of which over half develop hurricane-force winds of {{convert|65|kn|km/h mph|abbr=on|round=5}} or more. Worldwide, tropical cyclone activity peaks in late summer, when the difference between temperatures aloft and sea surface temperatures is the greatest. However, each particular basin has its own seasonal patterns. On a worldwide scale, May is the least active month, while September is the most active month. November is the only month in which all the tropical cyclone basins are in season.{{cite web |author=Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, Hurricane Research Division |title=Frequently Asked Questions: When is hurricane season? |url=http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/G1.html |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090506152735/http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/G1.html |archive-date=May 6, 2009 |access-date=July 25, 2006 |publisher=National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration}}

In the Northern Atlantic Ocean, a distinct cyclone season occurs from June 1 to November 30, sharply peaking from late August through September. The statistical peak of the Atlantic hurricane season is September 10.

The Northeast Pacific Ocean has a broader period of activity, but in a similar time frame to the Atlantic.{{cite web |author=McAdie, Colin |date=May 10, 2007 |title=Tropical Cyclone Climatology |url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/climo/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150321161433/http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/climo/ |archive-date=March 21, 2015 |access-date=June 9, 2007 |publisher=National Hurricane Center}} The Northwest Pacific sees tropical cyclones year-round, with a minimum in February and March and a peak in early September. In the North Indian basin, storms are most common from April to December, with peaks in May and November. In the Southern Hemisphere, the tropical cyclone year begins on July 1 and runs all year-round encompassing the tropical cyclone seasons, which run from November 1 until the end of April, with peaks in mid-February to early March.

Of various modes of variability in the climate system, El Niño–Southern Oscillation has the largest effect on tropical cyclone activity.{{Cite web |last=Ramsay |first=Hamish |year=2017 |title=The Global Climatology of Tropical Cyclones |url=https://oxfordre.com/view/10.1093/acrefore/9780199389407.001.0001/acrefore-9780199389407-e-79 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210815230620/https://oxfordre.com/view/10.1093/acrefore/9780199389407.001.0001/acrefore-9780199389407-e-79 |archive-date=August 15, 2021 |access-date= |website=Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Natural Hazard Science |publisher=Oxford University Press |language=en |doi=10.1093/acrefore/9780199389407.013.79 |isbn=9780199389407}} Most tropical cyclones form on the side of the subtropical ridge closer to the equator, then move poleward past the ridge axis before recurving into the main belt of the Westerlies.{{cite web |author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center |year=2006 |title=3.3 JTWC Forecasting Philosophies |url=http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/forecaster_handbooks/Philippines2/Forecasters%20Handbook%20for%20the%20Philippine%20Islands%20and%20Surrounding%20Waters%20Typhoon%20Forecasting.3.pdf |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20071129132730/http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/forecaster_handbooks/Philippines2/Forecasters%20Handbook%20for%20the%20Philippine%20Islands%20and%20Surrounding%20Waters%20Typhoon%20Forecasting.3.pdf |archive-date=November 29, 2007 |access-date=February 11, 2007 |publisher=United States Navy}} When the subtropical ridge position shifts due to El Niño, so will the preferred tropical cyclone tracks. Areas west of Japan and Korea tend to experience much fewer September–November tropical cyclone impacts during El Niño and neutral years.{{Cite journal |last1=Wu |first1=M.C. |last2=Chang |first2=W.L. |last3=Leung |first3=W.M. |year=2004 |title=Impacts of El Niño–Southern Oscillation Events on Tropical Cyclone Landfalling Activity in the Western North Pacific |journal=Journal of Climate |volume=17 |issue=6 |pages=1419–1428 |bibcode=2004JCli...17.1419W |citeseerx=10.1.1.461.2391 |doi=10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<1419:IOENOE>2.0.CO;2}}

During La Niña years, the formation of tropical cyclones, along with the subtropical ridge position, shifts westward across the western Pacific Ocean, which increases the landfall threat to China and much greater intensity in the Philippines. The Atlantic Ocean experiences depressed activity due to increased vertical wind shear across the region during El Niño years.{{Cite journal |last=Klotzbach |first=Philip J. |year=2011 |title=El Niño–Southern Oscillation's Impact on Atlantic Basin Hurricanes and U.S. Landfalls |journal=Journal of Climate |language=en |volume=24 |issue=4 |pages=1252–1263 |bibcode=2011JCli...24.1252K |doi=10.1175/2010JCLI3799.1 |issn=0894-8755 |doi-access=free}} Tropical cyclones are further influenced by the Atlantic Meridional Mode, the Quasi-biennial oscillation and the Madden–Julian oscillation.{{Citation |last1=Camargo |first1=Suzana J. |title=The Influence of Natural Climate Variability on Tropical Cyclones, and Seasonal Forecasts of Tropical Cyclone Activity |work=Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones |volume=4 |pages=325–360 |year=2010 |url=https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/9789814293488_0011 |access-date= |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210815051723/https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/9789814293488_0011 |archive-date=August 15, 2021 |url-status=live |series=World Scientific Series on Asia-Pacific Weather and Climate |publisher=WORLD SCIENTIFIC |doi=10.1142/9789814293488_0011 |isbn=978-981-4293-47-1 |last2=Sobel |first2=Adam H. |last3=Barnston |first3=Anthony G. |last4=Klotzbach |first4=Philip J.}}

{{TC Season Stats}}

=Influence of climate change=

{{Main|Tropical cyclones and climate change}}

File:1980- Atlantic region category 4 and 5 hurricanes - NYTimes and NOAA.svg )]]

File:2024 Climate change increasing Atlantic hurricane peak wind speeds.svg

File:202307 Survey - climate change "major factor" in extreme weather - Washington Post.svg differ along political lines, on whether climate change was a "major factor" contributing to various extreme weather events experienced by respondents in 2023.{{cite news |last1=Ajasa |first1=Amudalat |last2=Clement |first2=Scott |last3=Guskin |first3=Emily |date=August 23, 2023 |title=Partisans remain split on climate change contributing to more disasters, and on their weather becoming more extreme |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2023/08/23/extreme-weather-climate-change-poll/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://archive.today/20230823125945/https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2023/08/23/extreme-weather-climate-change-poll/ |archive-date=August 23, 2023 |newspaper=The Washington Post}} "Severe storms" includes hurricanes.]]

The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report summarize the latest scientific findings about the impact of climate change on tropical cyclones. According to the report, we have now better understanding about the impact of climate change on tropical storm than before. Major tropical storms likely became more frequent in the last 40 years. We can say with high confidence that climate change increase rainfall during tropical cyclones. We can say with high confidence that a 1.5 degree warming lead to "increased proportion of and peak wind speeds of intense tropical cyclones". We can say with medium confidence that regional impacts of further warming include more intense tropical cyclones and/or extratropical storms.{{cite book |title=Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change |date=2023 |publisher=IPCC |location=Geneva, Switzerland |pages=46, 51, 69, 98 |url=https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/syr/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_SYR_FullVolume.pdf |access-date=28 October 2024}}

Climate change can affect tropical cyclones in a variety of ways: an intensification of rainfall and wind speed, a decrease in overall frequency, an increase in the frequency of very intense storms and a poleward extension of where the cyclones reach maximum intensity are among the possible consequences of human-induced climate change. Tropical cyclones use warm, moist air as their fuel. As climate change is warming ocean temperatures, there is potentially more of this fuel available.{{Cite web |date=May 18, 2020 |title=Major tropical cyclones have become '15% more likely' over past 40 years |url=https://www.carbonbrief.org/major-tropical-cyclones-have-become-15-more-likely-over-past-40-years |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200808212654/https://www.carbonbrief.org/major-tropical-cyclones-have-become-15-more-likely-over-past-40-years |archive-date=August 8, 2020 |access-date=August 31, 2020 |website=Carbon Brief |language=en}}

Between 1979 and 2017, there was a global increase in the proportion of tropical cyclones of Category 3 and higher on the Saffir–Simpson scale. The trend was most clear in the North Atlantic and in the Southern Indian Ocean. In the North Pacific, tropical cyclones have been moving poleward into colder waters and there was no increase in intensity over this period.{{Cite journal |last1=Kossin |first1=James P. |last2=Knapp |first2=Kenneth R. |last3=Olander |first3=Timothy L. |last4=Velden |first4=Christopher S. |date=May 18, 2020 |title=Global increase in major tropical cyclone exceedance probability over the past four decades |url=https://www.pnas.org/content/pnas/117/22/11975.full.pdf |url-status=live |journal=Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences |language=en |volume=117 |issue=22 |pages=11975–11980 |bibcode=2020PNAS..11711975K |doi=10.1073/pnas.1920849117 |issn=0027-8424 |pmc=7275711 |pmid=32424081 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201119095015/https://www.pnas.org/content/pnas/117/22/11975.full.pdf |archive-date=November 19, 2020 |access-date=October 6, 2020 |doi-access=free}} With {{Convert|2|C-change|F-change}} warming, a greater percentage (+13%) of tropical cyclones are expected to reach Category 4 and 5 strength. A 2019 study indicates that climate change has been driving the observed trend of rapid intensification of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin. Rapidly intensifying cyclones are hard to forecast and therefore pose additional risk to coastal communities.{{Cite book |last1=Collins |first1=M. |title=IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate |last2=Sutherland |first2=M. |last3=Bouwer |first3=L. |last4=Cheong |first4=S.-M. |last5=Frölicher |first5=T. |last6=Jacot Des Combes |first6=H. |last7=Koll Roxy |first7=M. |last8=Losada |first8=I. J. |last9=McInnes |first9=K. |year=2019 |pages=602 |chapter=Chapter 6: Extremes, Abrupt Changes and Managing Risks |display-authors=4 |access-date=October 6, 2020 |chapter-url=https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/sites/3/2019/11/10_SROCC_Ch06_FINAL.pdf |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191220151131/https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/sites/3/2019/11/10_SROCC_Ch06_FINAL.pdf |archive-date=December 20, 2019 |url-status=live |last12=Susanto |last10=Ratter |last11=Rivera-Arriaga |first12=R. D. |last14=Tibig |first11=E. |last13=Swingedouw |first14=L. |first13=D. |first10=B.}}

Warmer air can hold more water vapor: the theoretical maximum water vapor content is given by the Clausius–Clapeyron relation, which yields ≈7% increase in water vapor in the atmosphere per {{Convert|1|C-change|F-change}} warming.{{cite journal |author1=Thomas R. Knutson |author2=Joseph J. Sirutis |author3=Ming Zhao |year=2015 |title=Global Projections of Intense Tropical Cyclone Activity for the Late Twenty-First Century from Dynamical Downscaling of CMIP5/RCP4.5 Scenarios |url=https://digitalcommons.odu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1323&context=ccpo_pubs |url-status=live |journal=Journal of Climate |volume=28 |issue=18 |pages=7203–7224 |bibcode=2015JCli...28.7203K |doi=10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0129.1 |s2cid=129209836 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200105210405/https://digitalcommons.odu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1323&context=ccpo_pubs |archive-date=January 5, 2020 |access-date=October 6, 2020 |doi-access=free}}{{cite journal |author=Knutson |display-authors=et al |year=2013 |title=Dynamical Downscaling Projections of Late 21st Century Atlantic Hurricane Activity: CMIP3 and CMIP5 Model-based Scenarios |url=https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/research_highlight/dynamical-downscaling-projections-of-late-21st-century-atlantic-hurricane-activity-cmip3-and-cmip5-model-based-scenarios/ |url-status=live |journal=Journal of Climate |volume=26 |issue=17 |pages=6591–6617 |bibcode=2013JCli...26.6591K |doi=10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00539.1 |s2cid=129571840 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201005005313/https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/research_highlight/dynamical-downscaling-projections-of-late-21st-century-atlantic-hurricane-activity-cmip3-and-cmip5-model-based-scenarios/ |archive-date=October 5, 2020 |access-date=October 6, 2020 |doi-access=free}} All models that were assessed in a 2019 review paper show a future increase of rainfall rates. Additional sea level rise will increase storm surge levels.{{Cite book |last1=Collins |first1=M. |title=IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate |last2=Sutherland |first2=M. |last3=Bouwer |first3=L. |last4=Cheong |first4=S.-M. |last5=Frölicher |first5=T. |last6=Jacot Des Combes |first6=H. |last7=Koll Roxy |first7=M. |last8=Losada |first8=I. J. |last9=McInnes |first9=K. |year=2019 |pages=603 |chapter=Chapter 6: Extremes, Abrupt Changes and Managing Risks |ref={{harvid|IPCC SROCC Ch6|2019}} |display-authors=4 |access-date=October 6, 2020 |chapter-url=https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/sites/3/2019/11/10_SROCC_Ch06_FINAL.pdf |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191220151131/https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/sites/3/2019/11/10_SROCC_Ch06_FINAL.pdf |archive-date=December 20, 2019 |url-status=live |last12=Susanto |last10=Ratter |last11=Rivera-Arriaga |first12=R. D. |last14=Tibig |first11=E. |last13=Swingedouw |first14=L. |first13=D. |first10=B.}}{{cite news |date=August 29, 2017 |title=Hurricane Harvey shows how we underestimate flooding risks in coastal cities, scientists say |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2017/08/29/hurricane-harvey-shows-how-we-underestimate-flooding-risks-in-coastal-cities-scientists-say |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170830031541/https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2017/08/29/hurricane-harvey-shows-how-we-underestimate-flooding-risks-in-coastal-cities-scientists-say/ |archive-date=August 30, 2017 |access-date=August 30, 2017 |newspaper=The Washington Post}} It is plausible that extreme wind waves see an increase as a consequence of changes in tropical cyclones, further exacerbating storm surge dangers to coastal communities.{{Cite journal |last1=Walsh |first1=K. J. E. |last2=Camargo |first2=S. J. |last3=Knutson |first3=T. R. |last4=Kossin |first4=J. |last5=Lee |first5=T. -C. |last6=Murakami |first6=H. |last7=Patricola |first7=C. |date=December 1, 2019 |title=Tropical cyclones and climate change |journal=Tropical Cyclone Research and Review |language=en |volume=8 |issue=4 |pages=240–250 |bibcode=2019TCRR....8..240W |doi=10.1016/j.tcrr.2020.01.004 |issn=2225-6032 |doi-access=free |hdl-access=free |hdl=11343/192963}} The compounding effects from floods, storm surge, and terrestrial flooding (rivers) are projected to increase due to global warming.

There is currently no consensus on how climate change will affect the overall frequency of tropical cyclones. A majority of climate models show a decreased frequency in future projections. For instance, a 2020 paper comparing nine high-resolution climate models found robust decreases in frequency in the Southern Indian Ocean and the Southern Hemisphere more generally, while finding mixed signals for Northern Hemisphere tropical cyclones.{{Cite journal |last1=Roberts |first1=Malcolm John |last2=Camp |first2=Joanne |last3=Seddon |first3=Jon |last4=Vidale |first4=Pier Luigi |last5=Hodges |first5=Kevin |last6=Vannière |first6=Benoît |last7=Mecking |first7=Jenny |last8=Haarsma |first8=Rein |last9=Bellucci |first9=Alessio |last10=Scoccimarro |first10=Enrico |last11=Caron |first11=Louis-Philippe |year=2020 |title=Projected Future Changes in Tropical Cyclones Using the CMIP6 HighResMIP Multimodel Ensemble |journal=Geophysical Research Letters |language=en |volume=47 |issue=14 |pages=e2020GL088662 |bibcode=2020GeoRL..4788662R |doi=10.1029/2020GL088662 |issn=1944-8007 |pmc=7507130 |pmid=32999514 |s2cid=221972087}} Observations have shown little change in the overall frequency of tropical cyclones worldwide,{{Cite web |title=Hurricanes and Climate Change |url=https://www.ucsusa.org/global-warming/science-and-impacts/impacts/hurricanes-and-climate-change.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190924043720/https://www.ucsusa.org/global-warming/science-and-impacts/impacts/hurricanes-and-climate-change.html |archive-date=September 24, 2019 |access-date=September 29, 2019 |website=Union of Concerned Scientists |language=en}} with increased frequency in the North Atlantic and central Pacific, and significant decreases in the southern Indian Ocean and western North Pacific.{{Cite journal |last1=Murakami |first1=Hiroyuki |last2=Delworth |first2=Thomas L. |last3=Cooke |first3=William F. |last4=Zhao |first4=Ming |last5=Xiang |first5=Baoqiang |last6=Hsu |first6=Pang-Chi |year=2020 |title=Detected climatic change in global distribution of tropical cyclones |journal=Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences |language=en |volume=117 |issue=20 |pages=10706–10714 |bibcode=2020PNAS..11710706M |doi=10.1073/pnas.1922500117 |issn=0027-8424 |pmc=7245084 |pmid=32366651 |doi-access=free}}

There has been a poleward expansion of the latitude at which the maximum intensity of tropical cyclones occurs, which may be associated with climate change.{{cite journal |author1=James P. Kossin |author2=Kerry A. Emanuel |author3=Gabriel A. Vecchi |year=2014 |title=The poleward migration of the location of tropical cyclone maximum intensity |journal=Nature |volume=509 |issue=7500 |pages=349–352 |bibcode=2014Natur.509..349K |doi=10.1038/nature13278 |pmid=24828193 |s2cid=4463311 |hdl-access=free |hdl=1721.1/91576}} In the North Pacific, there may also have been an eastward expansion. Between 1949 and 2016, there was a slowdown in tropical cyclone translation speeds. It is unclear still to what extent this can be attributed to climate change: climate models do not all show this feature.

A 2021 study review article concluded that the geographic range of tropical cyclones will probably expand poleward in response to climate warming of the Hadley circulation.{{cite journal |last1=Studholme |first1=Joshua |last2=Fedorov |first2=Alexey V. |last3=Gulev |first3=Sergey K. |last4=Emanuel |first4=Kerry |last5=Hodges |first5=Kevin |date=December 29, 2021 |title=Poleward expansion of tropical cyclone latitudes in warming climates |url=https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-021-00859-1 |url-status=live |journal=Nature Geoscience |volume=15 |pages=14–28 |doi=10.1038/s41561-021-00859-1 |s2cid=245540084 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220104110552/https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-021-00859-1 |archive-date=January 4, 2022 |access-date=January 4, 2022}}

When hurricane winds speed rise by 5%, its destructive power rise by about 50%. Therefore, as climate change increased the wind speed of Hurricane Helene by 11%, it increased the destruction from it by more than twice.{{cite web |last1=Nuccitelli |first1=Dana |title=Climate change made Hurricane Helene and other 2024 disasters more damaging, scientists find |url=https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/10/climate-change-made-hurricane-helene-and-other-2024-disasters-more-damaging-scientists-find/ |website=Yale Climate Connections |date=October 9, 2024 |publisher=The Yale Center for Climate Communication, Yale School of the Environment |access-date=28 October 2024}} According to World Weather Attribution the influence of climate change on the rainfall of some latest hurricanes can be described as follows:{{cite web |title=Yet another hurricane wetter, windier and more destructive because of climate change |url=https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/yet-another-hurricane-wetter-windier-and-more-destructive-because-of-climate-change/ |website=World Weather Attribution |access-date=28 October 2024}}

class="wikitable"

|+ Impact of climate change on the rainfall during some recent hurricanes according to World Weather Attribution.

The name of the hurricaneHow much climate change increased rainfall
Hurricane Katrina4%
Hurricane Irma6%
Hurricane Maria9%
Hurricane Florence5%
Hurricane Dorian5-18%
Hurricane Ian18%
Hurricane Harvey7-38%
Hurricane Helene10%

Intensity

Tropical cyclone intensity is based on wind speeds and pressure. Relationships between winds and pressure are often used in determining the intensity of a storm.{{cite journal |last1=Knapp |first1=Kenneth R. |last2=Knaff |first2=John A. |last3=Sampson |first3=Charles R. |last4=Riggio |first4=Gustavo M. |last5=Schnapp |first5=Adam D. |title=A Pressure-Based Analysis of the Historical Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Intensity Record |journal=Monthly Weather Review |date=August 1, 2013 |volume=141 |issue=8 |pages=2611–2631 |doi=10.1175/MWR-D-12-00323.1 |publisher=American Meteorological Society |bibcode=2013MWRv..141.2611K |s2cid=19031120 |doi-access=free}} Tropical cyclone scales, such as the Saffir-Simpson hurricane wind scale and Australia's scale (Bureau of Meteorology), only use wind speed for determining the category of a storm.{{cite web |title=What is a Tropical Cyclone? |url=http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/tropical-cyclone-knowledge-centre/understanding/tc-info/ |publisher=Bureau of Meteorology |access-date=October 7, 2022 |archive-date=October 3, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221003062556/http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/tropical-cyclone-knowledge-centre/understanding/tc-info/ |url-status=live}}{{cite web |title=Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale |url=https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php |publisher=National Hurricane Center |access-date=October 7, 2022 |archive-date=June 20, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200620093804/https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php |url-status=live}} The most intense storm on record is Typhoon Tip in the northwestern Pacific Ocean in 1979, which reached a minimum pressure of {{convert|870|hPa|inHg|lk=on|abbr=on}} and maximum sustained wind speeds of {{convert|165|kn|m/s km/h mph|abbr=on|round=5}}.{{Cite journal |last1=Dunnavan |first1=G.M. |last2=Diercks |first2=J.W. |year=1980 |title=An Analysis of Super Typhoon Tip (October 1979) |journal=Monthly Weather Review |volume=108 |issue=11 |pages=1915–1923 |bibcode=1980MWRv..108.1915D |doi=10.1175/1520-0493(1980)108<1915:AAOSTT>2.0.CO;2 |doi-access=free}} The highest maximum sustained wind speed ever recorded was {{convert|185|kn|m/s km/h mph|abbr=on|round=5}} in Hurricane Patricia in 2015—the most intense cyclone ever recorded in the Western Hemisphere.{{cite web|last1=Pasch|first1=Richard|title=Hurricane Patricia Discussion Number 14|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDEP5+shtml/230834.shtml?|publisher=National Hurricane Center|date=October 23, 2015|quote=Data from three center fixes by the Hurricane Hunters indicate that the intensity, based on a blend of 700 mb-flight level and SFMR-observed surface winds, is near 175 kt. This makes Patricia the strongest hurricane on record in the National Hurricane Center's area of responsibility (AOR) which includes the Atlantic and the eastern North Pacific basins.|access-date=October 23, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151025142113/http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDEP5+shtml/230834.shtml|archive-date=October 25, 2015|url-status=live}}

= Factors =

Warm sea surface temperatures are required for tropical cyclones to form and strengthen. The commonly-accepted minimum temperature range for this to occur is {{convert|26–27|C|F|abbr=on}}, however, multiple studies have proposed a lower minimum of {{convert|25.5|C|F|abbr=on}}.{{cite journal |last1=Tory |first1=K. J. |last2=Dare |first2=R. A. |date=October 15, 2015 |title=Sea Surface Temperature Thresholds for Tropical Cyclone Formation |url=https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/28/20/jcli-d-14-00637.1.xml?tab_body=pdf |url-status=live |journal=Journal of Climate |publisher=American Meteorological Society |volume=28 |issue=20 |page=8171 |bibcode=2015JCli...28.8171T |doi=10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00637.1 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210428230055/https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/28/20/jcli-d-14-00637.1.xml?tab_body=pdf |archive-date=April 28, 2021 |access-date=April 28, 2021 |doi-access=free}}{{cite journal |last1=Lavender |first1=Sally |last2=Hoeke |first2=Ron |last3=Abbs |first3=Deborah |date=March 9, 2018 |title=The influence of sea surface temperature on the intensity and associated storm surge of tropical cyclone Yasi: a sensitivity study |url=https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/18/795/2018/ |url-status=live |journal=Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences |publisher=Copernicus Publications |volume=18 |issue=3 |pages=795–805 |bibcode=2018NHESS..18..795L |doi=10.5194/nhess-18-795-2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210428224550/https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/18/795/2018/ |archive-date=April 28, 2021 |access-date=April 28, 2021 |doi-access=free}} Higher sea surface temperatures result in faster intensification rates and sometimes even rapid intensification.{{cite journal |last1=Xu |first1=Jing |last2=Wang |first2=Yuqing |date=April 1, 2018 |title=Dependence of Tropical Cyclone Intensification Rate on Sea SurfaceTemperature, Storm Intensity, and Size in the Western North Pacific |url=https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/wefo/33/2/waf-d-17-0095_1.xml?tab_body=pdf |url-status=live |journal=Weather and Forecasting |publisher=American Meteorological Society |volume=33 |issue=2 |pages=523–527 |bibcode=2018WtFor..33..523X |doi=10.1175/WAF-D-17-0095.1 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210428230055/https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/wefo/33/2/waf-d-17-0095_1.xml?tab_body=pdf |archive-date=April 28, 2021 |access-date=April 28, 2021 |doi-access=free}} High ocean heat content, also known as Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential, allows storms to achieve a higher intensity.{{cite web |last1=Brown |first1=Daniel |title=Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasting: Still a Challenging Proposition |url=https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/outreach/presentations/NHC2017_IntensityChallenges.pdf |publisher=National Hurricane Center |access-date=April 27, 2021 |page=7 |date=April 20, 2017 |archive-date=April 27, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210427013208/https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/outreach/presentations/NHC2017_IntensityChallenges.pdf |url-status=live}} Most tropical cyclones that experience rapid intensification are traversing regions of high ocean heat content rather than lower values. High ocean heat content values can help to offset the oceanic cooling caused by the passage of a tropical cyclone, limiting the effect this cooling has on the storm.{{cite journal |last1=Lin |first1=I. |last2=Goni |first2=Gustavo |last3=Knaff |first3=John |last4=Forbes |first4=Cristina |last5=Ali |first5=M. |date=May 31, 2012 |title=Ocean heat content for tropical cyclone intensity forecasting and its impact on storm surge |url=https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/docs/I-Ilin.pdf |url-status=live |journal=Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards |publisher=Springer Science+Business Media |volume=66 |issue=3 |pages=3–4 |doi=10.1007/s11069-012-0214-5 |issn=0921-030X |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210427013210/https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/docs/I-Ilin.pdf |archive-date=April 27, 2021 |access-date=April 27, 2021 |s2cid=9130662}} Faster-moving systems are able to intensify to higher intensities with lower ocean heat content values. Slower-moving systems require higher values of ocean heat content to achieve the same intensity.{{cite journal |last1=Chih |first1=Cheng-Hsiang |last2=Wu |first2=Chun-Chieh |title=Exploratory Analysis of Upper-Ocean Heat Content and Sea Surface Temperature Underlying Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification in the Western North Pacific |journal=Journal of Climate |date=February 1, 2020 |volume=33 |issue=3 |pages=1031–1033 |doi=10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0305.1 |bibcode=2020JCli...33.1031C |s2cid=210249119 |url=https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/33/3/jcli-d-19-0305.1.xml?tab_body=pdf |access-date=April 27, 2021 |archive-date=April 27, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210427013208/https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/33/3/jcli-d-19-0305.1.xml?tab_body=pdf |url-status=live}}

The passage of a tropical cyclone over the ocean causes the upper layers of the ocean to cool substantially, a process known as upwelling,{{cite journal |last1=Hu |first1=Jianyu |last2=Wang |first2=Xiao Hua |date=September 2016 |title=Progress on upwelling studies in the China seas |journal=Reviews of Geophysics |publisher=AGU |volume=54 |issue=3 |pages=653–673 |bibcode=2016RvGeo..54..653H |doi=10.1002/2015RG000505 |s2cid=132158526 |doi-access=free}} which can negatively influence subsequent cyclone development. This cooling is primarily caused by wind-driven mixing of cold water from deeper in the ocean with the warm surface waters. This effect results in a negative feedback process that can inhibit further development or lead to weakening. Additional cooling may come in the form of cold water from falling raindrops (this is because the atmosphere is cooler at higher altitudes). Cloud cover may also play a role in cooling the ocean, by shielding the ocean surface from direct sunlight before and slightly after the storm passage. All these effects can combine to produce a dramatic drop in sea surface temperature over a large area in just a few days.{{cite web|author1=D'Asaro, Eric A. |author2=Black, Peter G. |name-list-style=amp |url=https://ams.confex.com/ams/last2000/techprogram/paper_12726.htm |title=J8.4 Turbulence in the Ocean Boundary Layer Below Hurricane Dennis |year=2006 |access-date=February 22, 2008 |publisher=University of Washington |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120330131407/http://iop.apl.washington.edu/opd/user/dasaro/DENNIS/HurrConf.pdf |archive-date=March 30, 2012}} Conversely, the mixing of the sea can result in heat being inserted in deeper waters, with potential effects on global climate.{{cite journal |last1=Fedorov |first1=Alexey V. |last2=Brierley |first2=Christopher M. |last3=Emanuel |first3=Kerry |date=February 2010 |title=Tropical cyclones and permanent El Niño in the early Pliocene epoch |journal=Nature |language=en |volume=463 |issue=7284 |pages=1066–1070 |bibcode=2010Natur.463.1066F |doi=10.1038/nature08831 |issn=0028-0836 |pmid=20182509 |hdl-access=free |hdl=1721.1/63099 |s2cid=4330367}}

Vertical wind shear decreases tropical cyclone predicability, with storms exhibiting wide range of responses in the presence of shear.{{cite journal |last1=Zhang |first1=Fuqing |last2=Tao |first2=Dandan |title=Effects of Vertical Wind Shear on the Predictability of Tropical Cyclones |journal=Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences |date=March 1, 2013 |volume=70 |issue=3 |pages=975–983 |doi=10.1175/JAS-D-12-0133.1 |doi-access=free|bibcode=2013JAtS...70..975Z}} Wind shear often negatively affects tropical cyclone intensification by displacing moisture and heat from a system's center.{{cite web |last1=Stovern |first1=Diana |last2=Ritchie |first2=Elizabeth |title=Modeling the Effect of Vertical Wind Shear on Tropical Cyclone Size and Structure |pages=1–2 |url=https://ams.confex.com/ams/pdfpapers/169136.pdf |access-date=April 28, 2021 |website=American Meteorological Society |archive-date=June 18, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210618212223/https://ams.confex.com/ams/pdfpapers/169136.pdf |url-status=live}} Low levels of vertical wind shear are most optimal for strengthening, while stronger wind shear induces weakening.{{cite journal |last1=Wingo |first1=Matthew |last2=Cecil |first2=Daniel |title=Effects of Vertical Wind Shear on Tropical Cyclone Precipitation |journal=Monthly Weather Review |date=March 1, 2010 |volume=138 |issue=3 |pages=645–662 |doi=10.1175/2009MWR2921.1 |publisher=American Meteorological Society |bibcode=2010MWRv..138..645W |s2cid=73622535 |doi-access=free}}{{cite journal |last1=Liang |first1=Xiuji |last2=Li |first2=Qingqing |date=March 1, 2021 |title=Revisiting the response of western North Pacific tropical cyclone intensity change to vertical wind shear in different directions |journal=Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters |volume=14 |issue=3 |page=100041 |doi=10.1016/j.aosl.2021.100041 |bibcode=2021AOSL...1400041L |doi-access=free}} Dry air entraining into a tropical cyclone's core has a negative effect on its development and intensity by diminishing atmospheric convection and introducing asymmetries in the storm's structure.{{cite journal |last1=Shi |first1=Donglei |last2=Ge |first2=Xuyang |last3=Peng |first3=Melinda |title=Latitudinal dependence of the dry air effect on tropical cyclone development |journal=Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans |date=September 2019 |volume=87 |page=101102 |doi=10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2019.101102 |url=https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0377026519300193 |access-date=May 14, 2022 |bibcode=2019DyAtO..8701102S |s2cid=202123299}}{{cite journal |last1=Wang |first1=Shuai |last2=Toumi |first2=Ralf |date=June 1, 2019 |title=Impact of Dry Midlevel Air on the Tropical Cyclone Outer Circulation |journal=Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences |publisher=American Meteorological Society |volume=76 |issue=6 |pages=1809–1826 |bibcode=2019JAtS...76.1809W |doi=10.1175/JAS-D-18-0302.1 |hdl=10044/1/70065 |s2cid=145965553|doi-access=free |hdl-access=free}}{{cite journal |last1=Alland |first1=Joshua J. |last2=Tang |first2=Brian H. |last3=Corbosiero |first3=Kristen L. |last4=Bryan |first4=George H. |title=Combined Effects of Midlevel Dry Air and Vertical Wind Shear on Tropical Cyclone Development. Part II: Radial Ventilation |journal=Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences |date=February 24, 2021 |volume=78 |issue=3 |pages=783–796 |doi=10.1175/JAS-D-20-0055.1 |url=https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/atsc/78/3/JAS-D-20-0055.1.xml |access-date=May 14, 2022 |publisher=American Meteorological Society |bibcode=2021JAtS...78..783A |s2cid=230602004 |archive-date=May 14, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220514132936/https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/atsc/78/3/JAS-D-20-0055.1.xml |url-status=live}} Symmetric, strong outflow leads to a faster rate of intensification than observed in other systems by mitigating local wind shear.{{cite journal |last1=Rappin |first1=Eric D. |last2=Morgan |first2=Michael C. |last3=Tripoli |first3=Gregory J. |title=The Impact of Outflow Environment on Tropical Cyclone Intensification and Structure |journal=Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences |date=February 1, 2011 |volume=68 |issue=2 |pages=177–194 |doi=10.1175/2009JAS2970.1 |publisher=American Meteorological Society |bibcode=2011JAtS...68..177R |s2cid=123508815 |doi-access=free}}{{cite journal |last1=Shi |first1=Donglei |last2=Chen |first2=Guanghua |title=The Implication of Outflow Structure for the Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones under Vertical Wind Shear |journal=Monthly Weather Review |date=December 10, 2021 |volume=149 |issue=12 |pages=4107–4127 |doi=10.1175/MWR-D-21-0141.1 |url=https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/mwre/149/12/MWR-D-21-0141.1.xml |access-date=May 15, 2022 |publisher=American Meteorological Society |bibcode=2021MWRv..149.4107S |s2cid=244001444 |archive-date=May 14, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220514131433/https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/mwre/149/12/MWR-D-21-0141.1.xml |url-status=live}}{{cite journal |last1=Ryglicki |first1=David R. |last2=Doyle |first2=James D. |last3=Hodyss |first3=Daniel |last4=Cossuth |first4=Joshua H. |last5=Jin |first5=Yi |last6=Viner |first6=Kevin C. |last7=Schmidt |first7=Jerome M. |title=The Unexpected Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones in Moderate Vertical Wind Shear. Part III: Outflow–Environment Interaction |journal=Monthly Weather Review |date=August 1, 2019 |volume=147 |issue=8 |pages=2919–2940 |doi=10.1175/MWR-D-18-0370.1 |publisher=American Meteorological Society |bibcode=2019MWRv..147.2919R |s2cid=197485216 |doi-access=free}} Weakening outflow is associated with the weakening of rainbands within a tropical cyclone.{{cite journal |last1=Dai |first1=Yi |last2=Majumdar |first2=Sharanya J. |last3=Nolan |first3=David S. |title=The Outflow–Rainband Relationship Induced by Environmental Flow around Tropical Cyclones |journal=Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences |date=July 1, 2019 |volume=76 |issue=7 |pages=1845–1863 |doi=10.1175/JAS-D-18-0208.1 |publisher=American Meteorological Society |bibcode=2019JAtS...76.1845D |s2cid=146062929 |doi-access=free}} Tropical cyclones may still intensify, even rapidly, in the presence of moderate or strong wind shear depending on the evolution and structure of the storm's convection.{{cite journal |last1=Ryglicki |first1=David R. |last2=Cossuth |first2=Joshua H. |last3=Hodyss |first3=Daniel |last4=Doyle |first4=James D. |title=The Unexpected Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones in Moderate Vertical Wind Shear. Part I: Overview and Observations |journal=Monthly Weather Review |date=November 1, 2018 |volume=146 |issue=11 |pages=3773–3800 |doi=10.1175/MWR-D-18-0020.1|doi-access=free|bibcode=2018MWRv..146.3773R}}{{cite journal |last1=Rios-Berrios |first1=Rosimar |last2=Finocchio |first2=Peter M. |last3=Alland |first3=Joshua J. |last4=Chen |first4=Xiaomin |last5=Fischer |first5=Michael S. |last6=Stevenson |first6=Stephanie N. |last7=Tao |first7=Dandan |title=A Review of the Interactions between Tropical Cyclones and Environmental Vertical Wind Shear |journal=Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences |date=October 27, 2023 |volume=81 |issue=4 |pages=713–741 |doi=10.1175/JAS-D-23-0022.1|url=https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/60689}}

The size of tropical cyclones plays a role in how quickly they intensify. Smaller tropical cyclones are more prone to rapid intensification than larger ones.{{cite journal |last1=Carrasco |first1=Cristina |last2=Landsea |first2=Christopher |last3=Lin |first3=Yuh-Lang |title=The Influence of Tropical Cyclone Size on Its Intensification |journal=Weather and Forecasting |date=June 1, 2014 |volume=29 |issue=3 |pages=582–590 |doi=10.1175/WAF-D-13-00092.1 |publisher=American Meteorological Society |bibcode=2014WtFor..29..582C |s2cid=18429068 |doi-access=free}} The Fujiwhara effect, which involves interaction between two tropical cyclones, can weaken and ultimately result in the dissipation of the weaker of two tropical cyclones by reducing the organization of the system's convection and imparting horizontal wind shear.{{cite journal |last1=Lander |first1=Mark |last2=Holland |first2=Greg J. |date=October 1993 |title=On the interaction of tropical-cyclone-scale vortices. I: Observations |url=https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/qj.49711951406 |journal=Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society |publisher=Royal Meteorological Society |volume=119 |issue=514 |pages=1347–1361 |bibcode=1993QJRMS.119.1347L |doi=10.1002/qj.49711951406}} Tropical cyclones typically weaken while situated over a landmass because conditions are often unfavorable as a result of the lack of oceanic forcing.{{cite journal |last1=Andersen |first1=Theresa K. |last2=Shepherd |first2=J. Marshall |title=A global spatiotemporal analysis of inland tropical cyclone maintenance or intensification |journal=International Journal of Climatology |date=March 21, 2013 |volume=34 |issue=2 |pages=391–402 |doi=10.1002/joc.3693 |url=https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/joc.3693 |access-date=October 7, 2022 |publisher=Royal Meteorological Society|s2cid=129080562}} The Brown ocean effect can allow a tropical cyclone to maintain or increase its intensity following landfall, in cases where there has been copious rainfall, through the release of latent heat from the saturated soil.{{cite book |last1=Andersen |first1=Theresa |chapter-url=https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-319-47594-3_5 |title=Hurricanes and Climate Change |last2=Sheperd |first2=Marshall |date=February 17, 2017 |publisher=Springer |isbn=978-3-319-47592-9 |pages=117–134 |chapter=Inland Tropical Cyclones and the "Brown Ocean" Concept |doi=10.1007/978-3-319-47594-3_5 |access-date=May 20, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220515125238/https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-319-47594-3_5 |archive-date=May 15, 2022 |url-status=live}} Orographic lift can cause a significant increase in the intensity of the convection of a tropical cyclone when its eye moves over a mountain, breaking the capped boundary layer that had been restraining it.{{cite journal |last1=Houze |first1=Robert A. Jr. |title=Orographic effects on precipitating clouds |journal=Reviews of Geophysics |date=January 6, 2012 |volume=50 |issue=1 |doi=10.1029/2011RG000365 |publisher=AGU |bibcode=2012RvGeo..50.1001H |s2cid=46645620 |doi-access=free}} Jet streams can both enhance and inhibit tropical cyclone intensity by influencing the storm's outflow as well as vertical wind shear.{{cite journal |last1=Ito |first1=Kosuke |last2=Ichikawa |first2=Hana |title=Warm ocean accelerating tropical cyclone Hagibis (2019) through interaction with a mid-latitude westerly jet |journal=Scientific Online Letters on the Atmosphere |date=August 31, 2020 |volume=17A |pages=1–6 |doi=10.2151/sola.17A-001 |url=https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/advpub/0/advpub_17A-001/_pdf/-char/ja |access-date=October 7, 2022 |publisher=Meteorological Society of Japan |s2cid=224874804 |archive-date=October 7, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221007004526/https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/advpub/0/advpub_17A-001/_pdf/-char/ja |url-status=live |doi-access=free}}{{cite journal |last1=Do |first1=Gunwoo |last2=Kim |first2=Hyeong-Seog |title=Effect of Mid-Latitude Jet Stream on the Intensity of Tropical Cyclones Affecting Korea: Observational Analysis and Implication from the Numerical Model Experiments of Typhoon Chaba (2016) |journal=Atmosphere |date=August 18, 2021 |volume=12 |issue=8 |page=1061 |doi=10.3390/atmos12081061 |publisher=MDPI |bibcode=2021Atmos..12.1061D |doi-access=free}}

=Rapid intensification=

{{main|Rapid intensification}}

On occasion, tropical cyclones may undergo a process known as rapid intensification, a period in which the maximum sustained winds of a tropical cyclone increase by {{Convert|30|kn|km/h mph|lk=in|abbr=on}} or more within 24 hours.{{cite web|title=Glossary of NHC Terms|url=https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#r|publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Hurricane Center|access-date=June 2, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190912164011/https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#r|archive-date=September 12, 2019|url-status=live}} Similarly, rapid deepening in tropical cyclones is defined as a minimum sea surface pressure decrease of {{convert|1.75|hPa|inHg|abbr=on}} per hour or {{convert|42|hPa|inHg|abbr=on}} within a 24-hour period; explosive deepening occurs when the surface pressure decreases by {{convert|2.5|hPa|inHg|abbr=on}} per hour for at least 12 hours or {{convert|5|hPa|inHg|abbr=on}} per hour for at least 6 hours.{{cite journal |last1=Oropeza |first1=Fernando |last2=Raga |first2=Graciela B. |title=Rapid deepening of tropical cyclones in the northeastern Tropical Pacific: The relationship with oceanic eddies |journal=Atmósfera |date=January 2015 |volume=28 |issue=1 |pages=27–42 |doi=10.1016/S0187-6236(15)72157-0 |bibcode=2015Atmo...28...27O |doi-access=free}}

For rapid intensification to occur, several conditions must be in place. Water temperatures must be extremely high, near or above {{Convert|30|C|F}}, and water of this temperature must be sufficiently deep such that waves do not upwell cooler waters to the surface. On the other hand, Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential is one of such non-conventional subsurface oceanographic parameters influencing the cyclone intensity.

Wind shear must be low. When wind shear is high, the convection and circulation in the cyclone will be disrupted. Usually, an anticyclone in the upper layers of the troposphere above the storm must be present as well—for extremely low surface pressures to develop, air must be rising very rapidly in the eyewall of the storm, and an upper-level anticyclone helps channel this air away from the cyclone efficiently.{{cite web|author=Diana Engle|title=Hurricane Structure and Energetics|publisher=Data Discovery Hurricane Science Center|access-date=October 26, 2008|url=http://www.newmediastudio.org/DataDiscovery/Hurr_ED_Center/Hurr_Structure_Energetics/Hurr_Struct.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080527094650/http://www.newmediastudio.org/DataDiscovery/Hurr_ED_Center/Hurr_Structure_Energetics/Hurr_Struct.html|archive-date=May 27, 2008}} However, some cyclones such as Hurricane Epsilon have rapidly intensified despite relatively unfavorable conditions.{{cite web |author1=Brad Reinhart |author2=Daniel Brown |date=October 21, 2020 |title=Hurricane Epsilon Discussion Number 12 |url=https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2020/al27/al272020.discus.012.shtml |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210321030619/https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2020/al27/al272020.discus.012.shtml |archive-date=March 21, 2021 |access-date=February 4, 2021 |website=nhc.noaa.gov |publisher=National Hurricane Center |location=Miami, Florida}}{{cite news |last=Cappucci |first=Matthew |date=October 21, 2020 |title=Epsilon shatters records as it rapidly intensifies into major hurricane near Bermuda |newspaper=The Washington Post |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/10/21/hurricane-epsilon-bermuda-record/ |url-status=live |access-date=February 4, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201210231234/https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/10/21/hurricane-epsilon-bermuda-record/ |archive-date=December 10, 2020}}

= Dissipation =

File:Paulette 2020-09-10 1620Z.jpg, in 2020, is an example of a sheared tropical cyclone, with deep convection slightly removed from the center of the system.|alt=Satellite image of a cyclone where the thickest clouds are displaced from the central vortex]]

There are a number of ways a tropical cyclone can weaken, dissipate, or lose its tropical characteristics. These include making landfall, moving over cooler water, encountering dry air, or interacting with other weather systems; however, once a system has dissipated or lost its tropical characteristics, its remnants could regenerate a tropical cyclone if environmental conditions become favorable.{{cite web |last1=Lam |first1=Linda |date=September 4, 2019 |title=Why the Eastern Caribbean Sea Can Be a 'Hurricane Graveyard' |url=https://weather.com/safety/hurricane/news/2019-08-27-caribbean-sea-graveyard-tropical-storms-hurricanes-hostile |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210704114314/https://weather.com/safety/hurricane/news/2019-08-27-caribbean-sea-graveyard-tropical-storms-hurricanes-hostile |archive-date=July 4, 2021 |access-date=April 6, 2021 |website=The Weather Channel |publisher=TWC Product and Technology}}{{cite report |url=https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/pdfs/ADA046589.pdf |title=The Regeneration of South China Sea Tropical Cyclones in the Bay of Bengal |last1=Sadler |first1=James C. |last2=Kilonsky |first2=Bernard J. |date=May 1977 |publisher=Naval Environmental Prediction Research Facility |location=Monterey, California |access-date=April 6, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210622094956/https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/pdfs/ADA046589.pdf |archive-date=June 22, 2021 |url-status=live |via=Defense Technical Information Center}}

A tropical cyclone can dissipate when it moves over waters significantly cooler than {{convert|26.5|C|F}}. This will deprive the storm of such tropical characteristics as a warm core with thunderstorms near the center, so that it becomes a remnant low-pressure area. Remnant systems may persist for several days before losing their identity. This dissipation mechanism is most common in the eastern North Pacific. Weakening or dissipation can also occur if a storm experiences vertical wind shear which causes the convection and heat engine to move away from the center. This normally ceases the development of a tropical cyclone.{{cite book |author=Chang, Chih-Pei |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=N8QYOdqGdgkC&pg=PA484 |title=East Asian Monsoon |publisher=World Scientific |year=2004 |isbn=978-981-238-769-1 |oclc=61353183 |access-date=November 22, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210814124330/https://books.google.com/books?id=N8QYOdqGdgkC&pg=PA484 |archive-date=August 14, 2021 |url-status=live}} In addition, its interaction with the main belt of the Westerlies, by means of merging with a nearby frontal zone, can cause tropical cyclones to evolve into extratropical cyclones. This transition can take 1–3 days.{{cite web|url=http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/~chu/chap6/se300.htm|author=United States Naval Research Laboratory|work=Tropical Cyclone Forecasters' Reference Guide|title=Tropical Cyclone Intensity Terminology|access-date=November 30, 2006|date=September 23, 1999|author-link=United States Naval Research Laboratory|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120712084743/http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/~chu/chap6/se300.htm|archive-date=July 12, 2012|url-status=dead}}

Should a tropical cyclone make landfall or pass over an island, its circulation could start to break down, especially if it encounters mountainous terrain.{{cite web|url=http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/C2.html |title=Anatomy and Life Cycle of a Storm: What Is the Life Cycle of a Hurricane and How Do They Move?|year=2020|publisher=United States Hurricane Research Division|access-date=February 17, 2021|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210217090448/https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd-faq/|archive-date=February 17, 2021}} When a system makes landfall on a large landmass, it is cut off from its supply of warm moist maritime air and starts to draw in dry continental air. This, combined with the increased friction over land areas, leads to the weakening and dissipation of the tropical cyclone. Over a mountainous terrain, a system can quickly weaken. Over flat areas, it may endure for two to three days before circulation breaks down and dissipates.

Over the years, there have been a number of techniques considered to try to artificially modify tropical cyclones.{{cite web|url=http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/C2.html |title=Attempts to Stop a Hurricane in its Track: What Else has been Considered to Stop a Hurricane?|year=2020|publisher=United States Hurricane Research Division|access-date=February 17, 2021|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210217090448/https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd-faq/|archive-date=February 17, 2021}} These techniques have included using nuclear weapons, cooling the ocean with icebergs, blowing the storm away from land with giant fans, and seeding selected storms with dry ice or silver iodide. These techniques, however, fail to appreciate the duration, intensity, power or size of tropical cyclones.

= Assessment methods =

{{broader|Dvorak technique|Scatterometer}}

A variety of methods or techniques, including surface, satellite, and aerial, are used to assess the intensity of a tropical cyclone. Reconnaissance aircraft fly around and through tropical cyclones, outfitted with specialized instruments, to collect information that can be used to ascertain the winds and pressure of a system. Tropical cyclones possess winds of different speeds at different heights. Winds recorded at flight level can be converted to find the wind speeds at the surface.{{cite journal |last1=Knaff |first1=John |last2=Longmore |first2=Scott |last3=DeMaria |first3=Robert |last4=Molenar |first4=Debra |date=February 1, 2015 |title=Improved Tropical-Cyclone Flight-Level Wind Estimates Using RoutineInfrared Satellite Reconnaissance |url=https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/apme/54/2/jamc-d-14-0112.1.xml?tab_body=pdf |url-status=live |journal=Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology |publisher=American Meteorological Society |volume=54 |issue=2 |page=464 |bibcode=2015JApMC..54..463K |doi=10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0112.1 |s2cid=17309033 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210424010841/https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/apme/54/2/jamc-d-14-0112.1.xml?tab_body=pdf |archive-date=April 24, 2021 |access-date=April 23, 2021|doi-access=free}} Surface observations, such as ship reports, land stations, mesonets, coastal stations, and buoys, can provide information on a tropical cyclone's intensity or the direction it is traveling.

Wind-pressure relationships (WPRs) are used as a way to determine the pressure of a storm based on its wind speed. Several different methods and equations have been proposed to calculate WPRs.{{cite journal |last1=Knaff |first1=John |last2=Reed |first2=Kevin |last3=Chavas |first3=Daniel |date=November 8, 2017 |title=Physical understanding of the tropical cyclone wind-pressure relationship |journal=Nature Communications |volume=8 |issue=1360 |page=1360 |bibcode=2017NatCo...8.1360C |doi=10.1038/s41467-017-01546-9 |pmc=5678138 |pmid=29118342}}{{cite journal |last1=Kueh |first1=Mien-Tze |date=May 16, 2012 |title=Multiformity of the tropical cyclone wind–pressure relationship in the western North Pacific: discrepancies among four best-track archives |journal=Environmental Research Letters |publisher=IOP Publishing |volume=7 |issue=2 |pages=2–6 |bibcode=2012ERL.....7b4015K |doi=10.1088/1748-9326/7/2/024015 |doi-access=free}} Tropical cyclones agencies each use their own, fixed WPR, which can result in inaccuracies between agencies that are issuing estimates on the same system. The ASCAT is a scatterometer used by the MetOp satellites to map the wind field vectors of tropical cyclones. The SMAP uses an L-band radiometer channel to determine the wind speeds of tropical cyclones at the ocean surface, and has been shown to be reliable at higher intensities and under heavy rainfall conditions, unlike scatterometer-based and other radiometer-based instruments.{{cite journal |last1=Meissner |first1=Thomas |last2=Ricciardulli |first2=L. |last3=Wentz |first3=F. |last4=Sampson |first4=C. |title=Intensity and Size of Strong Tropical Cyclones in 2017 from NASA's SMAP L-Band Radiometer |url=https://ams.confex.com/ams/33HURRICANE/webprogram/Paper339308.html |website=American Meteorological Society |access-date=April 21, 2021 |date=April 18, 2018 |archive-date=April 21, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210421211403/https://ams.confex.com/ams/33HURRICANE/webprogram/Paper339308.html |url-status=live}}

The Dvorak technique plays a large role in both the classification of a tropical cyclone and the determination of its intensity. Used in warning centers, the method was developed by Vernon Dvorak in the 1970s, and uses both visible and infrared satellite imagery in the assessment of tropical cyclone intensity. The Dvorak technique uses a scale of "T-numbers", scaling in increments of 0.5 from T1.0 to T8.0. Each T-number has an intensity assigned to it, with larger T-numbers indicating a stronger system. Tropical cyclones are assessed by forecasters according to an array of patterns, including curved banding features, shear, central dense overcast, and eye, to determine the T-number and thus assess the intensity of the storm.{{cite book |last1=DeMaria |first1=Mark |last2=Knaff |first2=John |last3=Zehr |first3=Raymond |title=Satellite-based Applications on Climate Change |date=2013 |publisher=Springer |pages=152–154 |bibcode=2013saag.book.....J |url=https://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/resources/docs/DeMaria_Knaff_StarBook2013.pdf |access-date=April 21, 2021 |archive-date=April 22, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210422013741/https://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/resources/docs/DeMaria_Knaff_StarBook2013.pdf |url-status=live}}

The Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies works to develop and improve automated satellite methods, such as the Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) and SATCON. The ADT, used by a large number of forecasting centers, uses infrared geostationary satellite imagery and an algorithm based upon the Dvorak technique to assess the intensity of tropical cyclones. The ADT has a number of differences from the conventional Dvorak technique, including changes to intensity constraint rules and the usage of microwave imagery to base a system's intensity upon its internal structure, which prevents the intensity from leveling off before an eye emerges in infrared imagery.{{cite journal |last1=Olander |first1=Timothy |last2=Veldan |first2=Christopher |title=The Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) for Estimating Tropical Cyclone Intensity: Update and New Capabilities |journal=American Meteorological Society |date=August 1, 2019 |volume=34 |issue=4 |pages=905–907 |doi=10.1175/WAF-D-19-0007.1 |bibcode=2019WtFor..34..905O |url=https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/wefo/34/4/waf-d-19-0007_1.xml?tab_body=pdf |access-date=April 21, 2021 |doi-access=free |archive-date=April 21, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210421201604/https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/wefo/34/4/waf-d-19-0007_1.xml?tab_body=pdf |url-status=live}} The SATCON weights estimates from various satellite-based systems and microwave sounders, accounting for the strengths and flaws in each individual estimate, to produce a consensus estimate of a tropical cyclone's intensity which can be more reliable than the Dvorak technique at times.{{cite journal |last1=Velden |first1=Christopher |last2=Herndon |first2=Derrick |title=A Consensus Approach for Estimating Tropical Cyclone Intensity from Meteorological Satellites: SATCON |journal=American Meteorological Society |date=July 21, 2020 |volume=35 |issue=4 |pages=1645–1650 |doi=10.1175/WAF-D-20-0015.1 |bibcode=2020WtFor..35.1645V |url=https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/wefo/35/4/wafD200015.xml?tab_body=pdf |access-date=April 21, 2021 |doi-access=free |archive-date=April 21, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210421204850/https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/wefo/35/4/wafD200015.xml?tab_body=pdf |url-status=live}}{{cite journal |last1=Chen |first1=Buo-Fu |last2=Chen |first2=Boyo |last3=Lin |first3=Hsuan-Tien |last4=Elsberry |first4=Russell |title=Estimating tropical cyclone intensity by satellite imagery utilizing convolutional neural networks |journal=American Meteorological Society |date=April 2019 |volume=34 |issue=2 |page=448 |doi=10.1175/WAF-D-18-0136.1 |bibcode=2019WtFor..34..447C |url=https://opensky.ucar.edu/islandora/object/articles%3A22481/datastream/PDF |access-date=April 21, 2021 |doi-access=free |archive-date=April 21, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210421204900/https://opensky.ucar.edu/islandora/object/articles:22481/datastream/PDF |url-status=live|hdl=10945/62506 |hdl-access=free }}

=Intensity metrics=

Multiple intensity metrics are used, including accumulated cyclone energy (ACE), the Hurricane Surge Index, the Hurricane Severity Index, the Power Dissipation Index (PDI), and integrated kinetic energy (IKE). ACE is a metric of the total energy a system has exerted over its lifespan. ACE is calculated by summing the squares of a cyclone's sustained wind speed, every six hours as long as the system is at or above tropical storm intensity and either tropical or subtropical.{{cite journal|author1=Davis, Kyle |author2=Zeng, Xubin |title=Seasonal Prediction of North Atlantic Accumulated Cyclone Energy and Major Hurricane Activity |journal=Weather and Forecasting |date=February 1, 2019 |volume=34 |issue=1 |pages=221–232 |doi=10.1175/WAF-D-18-0125.1 |publisher=American Meteorological Society|bibcode=2019WtFor..34..221D |hdl=10150/632896 |s2cid=128293725 |doi-access=free |hdl-access=free}} The calculation of the PDI is similar in nature to ACE, with the major difference being that wind speeds are cubed rather than squared.{{cite journal|author1=Villarini, Gabriele |author2=Vecchi, Gabriel A |title=North Atlantic Power Dissipation Index (PDI) and Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE): Statistical Modeling and Sensitivity to Sea Surface Temperature Changes |journal=Journal of Climate |date=January 15, 2012 |volume=25 |issue=2 |pages=625–637 |doi=10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00146.1 |publisher=American Meteorological Society|bibcode=2012JCli...25..625V |s2cid=129106927}}

The Hurricane Surge Index is a metric of the potential damage a storm may inflict via storm surge. It is calculated by squaring the dividend of the storm's wind speed and a climatological value ({{cvt|33|m/s|mph|disp=or}}), and then multiplying that quantity by the dividend of the radius of hurricane-force winds and its climatological value ({{cvt|96.6|km|mi|disp=or}}). This can be represented in equation form as:

:\left(\frac{v}{33\ \mathrm{m/s}}\right)^2\times\left(\frac{r}{96.6\ \mathrm{km}}\right)\,

where v is the storm's wind speed and r is the radius of hurricane-force winds.{{cite journal |last1=Islam |first1=Md. Rezuanal |last2=Lee |first2=Chia-Ying |last3=Mandli |first3=Kyle T. |last4=Takagi |first4=Hiroshi |date=August 18, 2021 |title=A new tropical cyclone surge index incorporating the effects of coastal geometry, bathymetry and storm information |journal=Scientific Reports |volume=11 |issue=1 |page=16747 |bibcode=2021NatSR..1116747I |doi=10.1038/s41598-021-95825-7 |pmc=8373937 |pmid=34408207 |doi-access=free}} The Hurricane Severity Index is a scale that can assign up to 50 points to a system; up to 25 points come from intensity, while the other 25 come from the size of the storm's wind field.{{cite journal |last1=Rezapour |first1=Mehdi |last2=Baldock |first2=Tom E. |title=Classification of Hurricane Hazards: The Importance of Rainfall |journal=Weather and Forecasting |date=December 1, 2014 |volume=29 |issue=6 |pages=1319–1331 |doi=10.1175/WAF-D-14-00014.1 |publisher=American Meteorological Society|bibcode=2014WtFor..29.1319R |s2cid=121762550 |doi-access=free}} The IKE model measures the destructive capability of a tropical cyclone via winds, waves, and surge. It is calculated as:

:\int_{Vol} \frac{1}{2}pu^2d_{v}\,

where p is the density of air, u is a sustained surface wind speed value, and d_v is the volume element.{{cite book |author1=Kozar, Michael E|author2=Misra, Vasubandhu |chapter=Integrated Kinetic Energy in North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones: Climatology, Analysis, and Seasonal Applications |title=Hurricane Risk |date=February 16, 2019 |volume=1 |publisher=Springer |isbn=978-3-030-02402-4 |pages=43–69 |doi=10.1007/978-3-030-02402-4_3|s2cid=133717045}}

Classification and naming

= Classification =

{{Main|Tropical cyclone scales}}

File:Maria, Bopha and Saomai 2006-08-07 0435Z.jpg at different stages of development. The weakest (left) demonstrates only the most basic circular shape. A stronger storm (top right) demonstrates spiral banding and increased centralization, while the strongest (lower right) has developed an eye.|alt=Satellite image of three simultaneous tropical cyclones]]

Around the world, tropical cyclones are classified in different ways, based on the location (tropical cyclone basins), the structure of the system and its intensity. For example, within the Northern Atlantic and Eastern Pacific basins, a tropical cyclone with wind speeds of over {{convert|65|kn|km/h mph|lk=in|abbr=on}} is called a hurricane, while it is called a typhoon or a severe cyclonic storm within the Western Pacific or North Indian oceans.{{RA IV Hurricane Operational Plan}}{{North Indian Ocean tropical cyclone operational plan}} When a hurricane passes west across the International Dateline in the Northern Hemisphere, it becomes known as a typhoon. This happened in 2014 for Hurricane Genevieve, which became Typhoon Genevieve.[https://abc7news.com/cyclones-typhoons-hurricane-accuweather/1370370/#:~:text=The%20only%20time%20when%20a,line%20and%20became%20Typhoon%20Genevieve. "Learn the difference between hurricanes, cyclones and typhoons"], ABC, Inc., KGO-TV San Francisco, Channel 7 News. Retrieved May 25, 2023.

Within the Southern Hemisphere, it is either called a hurricane, tropical cyclone or a severe tropical cyclone, depending on if it is located within the South Atlantic, South-West Indian Ocean, Australian region or the South Pacific Ocean. The descriptors for tropical cyclones with wind speeds below {{cvt|65|kn|km/h mph|round=5}} vary by tropical cyclone basin and may be further subdivided into categories such as "tropical storm", "cyclonic storm", "tropical depression", or "deep depression".

=Naming=

{{Main|Tropical cyclone naming|History of tropical cyclone naming}}

The practice of using given names to identify tropical cyclones dates back to the late 1800s and early 1900s and gradually superseded the existing system—simply naming cyclones based on what they hit.{{cite journal |author=Smith, Ray |year=1990 |title=What's in a Name? |url=http://www.metsoc.org.nz/system/files/journals/10/1/1990_101_24-26_rsmith.pdf |url-status=dead |journal=Weather and Climate |publisher=The Meteorological Society of New Zealand |volume=10 |issue=1 |pages=24–26 |doi=10.2307/44279572 |jstor=44279572 |bibcode=1990WCli...10...24S |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20141129194207/http://www.metsoc.org.nz/system/files/journals/10/1/1990_101_24-26_rsmith.pdf |archive-date=November 29, 2014 |access-date=August 25, 2014 |s2cid=201717866}}{{cite web |author=Dorst, Neal M |date=October 23, 2012 |title=They Called the Wind Mahina: The History of Naming Cyclones |url=ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/dorst/Mahina.pptx |work=Hurricane Research Division, Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory |publisher=National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |page=Slides 8–72}} The system currently used provides positive identification of severe weather systems in a brief form, that is readily understood and recognized by the public. The credit for the first usage of personal names for weather systems is generally given to the Queensland Government Meteorologist Clement Wragge who named systems between 1887 and 1907. This system of naming weather systems fell into disuse for several years after Wragge retired, until it was revived in the latter part of World War II for the Western Pacific. Formal naming schemes have subsequently been introduced for the North and South Atlantic, Eastern, Central, Western and Southern Pacific basins as well as the Australian region and Indian Ocean.

At present, tropical cyclones are officially named by one of twelve meteorological services and retain their names throughout their lifetimes to provide ease of communication between forecasters and the general public regarding forecasts, watches, and warnings. Since the systems can last a week or longer, and more than one can be occurring in the same basin at the same time, the names are thought to reduce the confusion about what storm is being described. Names are assigned in order from predetermined lists with one, three, or ten-minute sustained wind speeds of more than {{convert|65|km/h|mph|round=5|abbr=on}} depending on which basin it originates.

Standards vary from basin to basin. Some tropical depressions are named in the Western Pacific. Tropical cyclones have to have a significant amount of gale-force winds occurring around the center before they are named within the Southern Hemisphere. The names of significant tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic Ocean, Pacific Ocean, and Australian region are retired from the naming lists and replaced with another name. Tropical cyclones that develop around the world are assigned an identification code consisting of a two-digit number and suffix letter by the warning centers that monitor them.{{cite report |url=http://www.ofcm.gov/publications/nhop/FCM-P12-2017.pdf |title=National Hurricane Operations Plan |author=Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorological Services and Supporting Research |date=May 2017 |publisher=National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |pages=26–28 |access-date=October 14, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181015042240/https://www.ofcm.gov/publications/nhop/FCM-P12-2017.pdf |archive-date=October 15, 2018 |url-status=live}}

= Related cyclone types =

{{See also|Cyclone|Extratropical cyclone|Subtropical cyclone}}

In addition to tropical cyclones, there are two other classes of cyclones within the spectrum of cyclone types. These kinds of cyclones, known as extratropical cyclones and subtropical cyclones, can be stages a tropical cyclone passes through during its formation or dissipation.{{cite web |author=Lander, Mark A. |display-authors=etal |date=August 3, 2003 |title=Fifth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones |url=http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/iwtc/Lander4-1.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090509043704/http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/iwtc/Lander4-1.html |archive-date=May 9, 2009 |access-date=May 6, 2009 |publisher=World Meteorological Organization}} An extratropical cyclone is a storm that derives energy from horizontal temperature differences, which are typical in higher latitudes. A tropical cyclone can become extratropical as it moves toward higher latitudes if its energy source changes from heat released by condensation to differences in temperature between air masses. Although not as frequently, an extratropical cyclone can transform into a subtropical storm, and from there into a tropical cyclone.{{cite web |author=Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, Hurricane Research Division |title=Frequently Asked Questions: What is an extra-tropical cyclone? |url=http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/A7.html |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20070209121005/http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/A7.html |archive-date=February 9, 2007 |access-date=July 25, 2006 |publisher=National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration}} From space, extratropical storms have a characteristic "comma-shaped" cloud pattern.{{cite web |date=February 25, 2008 |title=Lesson 14: Background: Synoptic Scale |url=http://profhorn.meteor.wisc.edu/wxwise/satmet/lesson14/Satextracyclone.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090220150352/http://profhorn.meteor.wisc.edu/wxwise/satmet/lesson14/Satextracyclone.html |archive-date=February 20, 2009 |access-date=May 6, 2009 |publisher=University of Wisconsin–Madison}} Extratropical cyclones can also be dangerous when their low-pressure centers cause powerful winds and high seas.{{cite web |year=2008 |title=An Overview of Coastal Land Loss: With Emphasis on the Southeastern United States. |url=http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2003/of03-337/winter.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090212222023/http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2003/of03-337/winter.html |archive-date=February 12, 2009 |access-date=May 6, 2009 |publisher=United States Geological Survey}}

A subtropical cyclone is a weather system that has some characteristics of a tropical cyclone and some characteristics of an extratropical cyclone. They can form in a wide band of latitudes, from the equator to 50°. Although subtropical storms rarely have hurricane-force winds, they may become tropical in nature as their cores warm.{{cite web |author=Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, Hurricane Research Division |title=Frequently Asked Questions: What is a sub-tropical cyclone? |url=http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/A6.html |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111011042947/http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/A6.html |archive-date=October 11, 2011 |access-date=July 25, 2006 |publisher=National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration}}

Structure

=Eye and center=

{{main|Eye (cyclone)}}

File:Staring Down Hurricane Florence.jpg as seen from the International Space Station]]

At the center of a mature tropical cyclone, air sinks rather than rises. For a sufficiently strong storm, air may sink over a layer deep enough to suppress cloud formation, thereby creating a clear "eye". Weather in the eye is normally calm and free of convective clouds, although the sea may be extremely violent.{{cite web|url=http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jetstream/tropics/tc_structure.htm|author=National Weather Service|work=JetStream – An Online School for Weather|publisher=National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration|title=Tropical Cyclone Structure|access-date=May 7, 2009|date=October 19, 2005|author-link=National Weather Service|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131207193757/http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jetstream/tropics/tc_structure.htm|archive-date=December 7, 2013|url-status=live}} The eye is normally circular and is typically {{convert|30|–|65|km|mi|abbr=on}} in diameter, though eyes as small as {{convert|3|km|mi|abbr=on}} and as large as {{convert|370|km|mi|abbr=on}} have been observed.{{cite web |last=Pasch |first=Richard J. |author2=Eric S. Blake |author3=Hugh D. Cobb III |author4=David P. Roberts |url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL252005_Wilma.pdf |title=Tropical Cyclone Report: Hurricane Wilma: 15–25 October 2005 |publisher=National Hurricane Center |date=September 28, 2006 |access-date=December 14, 2006 |archive-date=March 4, 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160304000300/http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL252005_Wilma.pdf |url-status=live}}{{Cite journal| doi = 10.1175/1520-0493(1999)127<1157:TMEAVO>2.0.CO;2| title = The Mean Evolution and Variability of the Asian Summer Monsoon: Comparison of ECMWF and NCEP–NCAR Reanalyses| journal = Monthly Weather Review| volume = 127| issue = 6| pages = 1157–1186| year = 1999| last1 = Annamalai| first1 = H.| last2 = Slingo| first2 = J.M.| last3 = Sperber| first3 = K.R.| last4 = Hodges| first4 = K.| bibcode = 1999MWRv..127.1157A| url = https://digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc793439/| access-date = December 12, 2019| archive-date = August 1, 2020| archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20200801195058/https://digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc793439/| url-status = live| doi-access = free}}

The cloudy outer edge of the eye is called the "eyewall". The eyewall typically expands outward with height, resembling an arena football stadium; this phenomenon is sometimes referred to as the "stadium effect". The eyewall is where the greatest wind speeds are found, air rises most rapidly, clouds reach their highest altitude, and precipitation is the heaviest. The heaviest wind damage occurs where a tropical cyclone's eyewall passes over land.

In a weaker storm, the eye may be obscured by the central dense overcast, which is the upper-level cirrus shield that is associated with a concentrated area of strong thunderstorm activity near the center of a tropical cyclone.{{cite web|author=American Meteorological Society|url=http://amsglossary.allenpress.com/glossary/browse?s=c&p=19|title=AMS Glossary: C|work=Glossary of Meteorology|access-date=December 14, 2006|publisher=Allen Press|author-link=American Meteorological Society|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110126121255/http://amsglossary.allenpress.com/glossary/browse?s=c&p=19|archive-date=January 26, 2011|url-status=live}}

The eyewall may vary over time in the form of eyewall replacement cycles, particularly in intense tropical cyclones. Outer rainbands can organize into an outer ring of thunderstorms that slowly moves inward, which is believed to rob the primary eyewall of moisture and angular momentum. When the primary eyewall weakens, the tropical cyclone weakens temporarily. The outer eyewall eventually replaces the primary one at the end of the cycle, at which time the storm may return to its original intensity.{{cite web|author=Atlantic Oceanographic and Hurricane Research Division |title=Frequently Asked Questions: What are "concentric eyewall cycles" (or "eyewall replacement cycles") and why do they cause a hurricane's maximum winds to weaken? |publisher=National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |access-date=December 14, 2006 |url=http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/D8.html |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20061206051303/http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/D8.html |archive-date=December 6, 2006}}

{{clear}}

=Size=

class="wikitable" style="float: right; font-size: 92%; margin: 1em 0 1em 1em;"

|+Size descriptions of tropical cyclones

scope="col" | ROCI (Diameter)

! scope="col" | Type

scope="row" | Less than 2 degrees latitude

| Very small/minor

scope="row" | 2 to 3 degrees of latitude

| Small

scope="row" | 3 to 6 degrees of latitude

| Medium/average/normal

scope="row" | 6 to 8 degrees of latitude

| Large

scope="row" | Over 8 degrees of latitude

| Very large{{cite web|url=http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/frequently-asked-questions-1#tcsize|title=Q: What is the average size of a tropical cyclone?|year=2009|publisher=Joint Typhoon Warning Center|access-date=May 7, 2009|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131004062635/http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/frequently-asked-questions-1/#tcsize|archive-date=October 4, 2013|url-status=dead}}

File:1988- US Gulf Coast hurricane diameters.svg

There are a variety of metrics commonly used to measure storm size. The most common metrics include the radius of maximum wind, the radius of {{Convert|34|kn|m/s km/h mph|adj=on}} wind (i.e. gale force), the radius of outermost closed isobar (ROCI), and the radius of vanishing wind.{{cite web|url=http://www.cawcr.gov.au/publications/BMRC_archive/tcguide/ch2/ch2_4.htm |title=Global Guide to Tropical Cyclone Forecasting: chapter 2: Tropical Cyclone Structure |date=May 7, 2009 |publisher=Bureau of Meteorology |access-date=May 6, 2009 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110601213941/http://www.cawcr.gov.au/publications/BMRC_archive/tcguide/ch2/ch2_4.htm |archive-date=June 1, 2011}}{{Cite journal | doi = 10.1029/2010GL044558| title = A QuikSCAT climatology of tropical cyclone size| journal = Geophysical Research Letters| volume = 37| issue = 18| year = 2010| last1 = Chavas | first1 = D.R.| last2 = Emanuel | first2 = K.A. | pages = n/a| bibcode=2010GeoRL..3718816C| hdl = 1721.1/64407| s2cid = 16166641| hdl-access = free}} An additional metric is the radius at which the cyclone's relative vorticity field decreases to 1×10−5 s−1.

On Earth, tropical cyclones span a large range of sizes, from {{convert|100–2000|km|mi|abbr=on}} as measured by the radius of vanishing wind. They are largest on average in the northwest Pacific Ocean basin and smallest in the northeastern Pacific Ocean basin. If the radius of outermost closed isobar is less than two degrees of latitude ({{convert|222|km|mi|abbr=on}}), then the cyclone is "very small" or a "midget". A radius of 3–6 latitude degrees ({{convert|333|–|670|km|mi|abbr=on}}) is considered "average sized". "Very large" tropical cyclones have a radius of greater than 8 degrees ({{convert|888|km|mi|abbr=on}}). Observations indicate that size is only weakly correlated to variables such as storm intensity (i.e. maximum wind speed), radius of maximum wind, latitude, and maximum potential intensity.{{Cite journal |title=A comparison of Large and Small Tropical cyclones |journal=Monthly Weather Review |volume=112 |issue=7 |pages=1408–1418 |last=Merrill |first=Robert T |year=1984 |doi=10.1175/1520-0493(1984)112<1408:ACOLAS>2.0.CO;2 |bibcode=1984MWRv..112.1408M |hdl=10217/200 |s2cid=123276607 |hdl-access=free}} Typhoon Tip is the largest cyclone on record, with tropical storm-force winds {{convert|2170|km|mi|abbr=on}} in diameter. The smallest storm on record is Tropical Storm Marco of 2008, which generated tropical storm-force winds only {{convert|37|km|mi|abbr=on}} in diameter.{{cite web|author=Dorst, Neal |author2=Hurricane Research Division |title=Frequently Asked Questions: Subject: E5) Which are the largest and smallest tropical cyclones on record? |publisher=National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory |url=http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/E5.html |access-date=June 12, 2013 |date=May 29, 2009 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081222095921/http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/E5.html |archive-date=December 22, 2008}}

Movement

The movement of a tropical cyclone (i.e. its "track") is typically approximated as the sum of two terms: "steering" by the background environmental wind and "beta drift".{{Cite journal| doi = 10.1175/1520-0469(1983)040<0328:TCMEIP>2.0.CO;2| title = Tropical Cyclone Motion: Environmental Interaction Plus a Beta Effect| journal = Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences| volume = 40| issue = 2| pages = 328–342| year = 1983| last1 = Holland| first1 = G.J.| bibcode = 1983JAtS...40..328H| s2cid = 124178238| doi-access = free}} Some tropical cyclones can move across large distances, such as Hurricane John, the second longest-lasting tropical cyclone on record, which traveled {{convert|13280|km|mi|abbr=on}}, the longest track of any Northern Hemisphere tropical cyclone, over its 31-day lifespan in 1994.{{cite web|author=Dorst, Neal |author2=Hurricane Research Division |title=Subject: E6) Frequently Asked Questions: Which tropical cyclone lasted the longest? |access-date=June 12, 2013 |publisher=National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory |url=http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/E7.html |date=January 26, 2010 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090506175506/http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/E7.html |archive-date=May 6, 2009}}{{cite web|author=Dorst, Neal |author2=Delgado, Sandy |author3=Hurricane Research Division |title=Frequently Asked Questions: Subject: E7) What is the farthest a tropical cyclone has travelled? |access-date=June 12, 2013 |publisher=National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory |url=http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/E7.html |date=May 20, 2011 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090506175506/http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/E7.html |archive-date=May 6, 2009}}{{cite news|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2023/03/07/cyclone-freddy-indian-ocean-hurricane/|newspaper=the Washington Post|title=Deadly cyclone Freddy has become Earth's longest-lived tropical storm|date=March 7, 2023|access-date=September 27, 2023}}

=Environmental steering=

Environmental steering is the primary influence on the motion of tropical cyclones. It represents the movement of the storm due to prevailing winds and other wider environmental conditions, similar to "leaves carried along by a stream".{{cite web|author=Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, Hurricane Research Division|title=Frequently Asked Questions: What determines the movement of tropical cyclones?|publisher=National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|access-date=July 25, 2006|url=http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/G6.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120716182608/http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/G6.html|archive-date=July 16, 2012|url-status=live}}

Physically, the winds, or flow field, in the vicinity of a tropical cyclone may be treated as having two parts: the flow associated with the storm itself, and the large-scale background flow of the environment.{{cite journal |last1=Galarneau |first1=Thomas J. |last2=Davis |first2=Christopher A. |title=Diagnosing Forecast Errors in Tropical Cyclone Motion |journal=Monthly Weather Review |date=February 1, 2013 |volume=141 |issue=2 |pages=405–430 |doi=10.1175/MWR-D-12-00071.1 |publisher=American Meteorological Society|bibcode=2013MWRv..141..405G |s2cid=58921153 |doi-access=free}} Tropical cyclones can be treated as local maxima of vorticity suspended within the large-scale background flow of the environment. In this way, tropical cyclone motion may be represented to first-order as advection of the storm by the local environmental flow.{{cite journal |last1=Carr |first1=L. E. |last2=Elsberry |first2=Russell L. |title=Observational Evidence for Predictions of Tropical Cyclone Propagation Relative to Environmental Steering |journal=Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences |date=February 15, 1990 |volume=47 |issue=4 |pages=542–546 |doi=10.1175/1520-0469(1990)047<0542:OEFPOT>2.0.CO;2 |publisher=American Meteorological Society|bibcode=1990JAtS...47..542C |s2cid=121754290 |doi-access=free|hdl=10945/48910 |hdl-access=free }} This environmental flow is termed the "steering flow" and is the dominant influence on tropical cyclone motion. The strength and direction of the steering flow can be approximated as a vertical integration of the winds blowing horizontally in the cyclone's vicinity, weighted by the altitude at which those winds are occurring. Because winds can vary with height, determining the steering flow precisely can be difficult.

The pressure altitude at which the background winds are most correlated with a tropical cyclone's motion is known as the "steering level".{{cite journal |last1=Wu |first1=Chun-Chieh |last2=Emanuel |first2=Kerry A. |title=Potential vorticity Diagnostics of Hurricane Movement. Part 1: A Case Study of Hurricane Bob (1991) |journal=Monthly Weather Review |date=January 1, 1995 |volume=123 |issue=1 |pages=69–92 |doi=10.1175/1520-0493(1995)123<0069:PVDOHM>2.0.CO;2 |publisher=American Meteorological Society|bibcode=1995MWRv..123...69W |doi-access=free}} The motion of stronger tropical cyclones is more correlated with the background flow averaged across a thicker portion of troposphere compared to weaker tropical cyclones whose motion is more correlated with the background flow averaged across a narrower extent of the lower troposphere.{{cite journal |last1=Velden |first1=Christopher S. |last2=Leslie |first2=Lance M. |title=The Basic Relationship between Tropical Cyclone Intensity and the Depth of the Environmental Steering Layer in the Australian Region |journal=Weather and Forecasting |date=June 1, 1991 |volume=6 |issue=2 |pages=244–253 |doi=10.1175/1520-0434(1991)006<0244:TBRBTC>2.0.CO;2 |publisher=American Meteorological Society|bibcode=1991WtFor...6..244V |doi-access=free}} When wind shear and latent heat release is present, tropical cyclones tend to move towards regions where potential vorticity is increasing most quickly.{{cite journal |last1=Chan |first1=Johnny C.L. |title=The Physics of Tropical Cyclone Motion |journal=Annual Review of Fluid Mechanics |date=January 2005 |volume=37 |issue=1 |pages=99–128 |doi=10.1146/annurev.fluid.37.061903.175702 |publisher=Annual Reviews|bibcode=2005AnRFM..37...99C}}

Climatologically, tropical cyclones are steered primarily westward by the east-to-west trade winds on the equatorial side of the subtropical ridge—a persistent high-pressure area over the world's subtropical oceans. In the tropical North Atlantic and Northeast Pacific oceans, the trade winds steer tropical easterly waves westward from the African coast toward the Caribbean Sea, North America, and ultimately into the central Pacific Ocean before the waves dampen out.{{cite web|author=Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, Hurricane Research Division |title=Frequently Asked Questions: What is an easterly wave? |publisher=National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |access-date=July 25, 2006 |url=http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/A4.html |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20060718105909/http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/A4.html |archive-date=July 18, 2006}} These waves are the precursors to many tropical cyclones within this region.{{Cite journal | doi = 10.1175/1520-0493(1995)123<0887:ATSO>2.0.CO;2| title = Atlantic Tropical Systems of 1993| journal = Monthly Weather Review| volume = 123| issue = 3| pages = 887–896| year = 1995| last1 = Avila | first1 = L.A. | last2 = Pasch | first2 = R.J. |bibcode = 1995MWRv..123..887A | doi-access = free}} In contrast, in the Indian Ocean and Western Pacific in both hemispheres, tropical cyclogenesis is influenced less by tropical easterly waves and more by the seasonal movement of the Intertropical Convergence Zone and the monsoon trough.{{cite web|author=DeCaria, Alex|work=ESCI 344 – Tropical Meteorology|publisher=Millersville University|url=http://snowball.millersville.edu/~adecaria/ESCI344/esci344_lesson05_TC_climatology.html|title = Lesson 5 – Tropical Cyclones: Climatology.|year=2005|access-date=February 22, 2008| archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20080507051727/http://snowball.millersville.edu/~adecaria/ESCI344/esci344_lesson05_TC_climatology.html| archive-date = May 7, 2008}} Other weather systems such as mid-latitude troughs and broad monsoon gyres can also influence tropical cyclone motion by modifying the steering flow.{{cite journal |last1=Carr |first1=Lester E. |last2=Elsberry |first2=Russell L. |title=Monsoonal Interactions Leading to Sudden Tropical Cyclone Track Changes |journal=Monthly Weather Review |date=February 1, 1995 |volume=123 |issue=2 |pages=265–290 |doi=10.1175/1520-0493(1995)123<0265:MILTST>2.0.CO;2 |publisher=American Meteorological Society|bibcode=1995MWRv..123..265C |doi-access=free}}

=Beta drift=

In addition to environmental steering, a tropical cyclone will tend to drift poleward and westward, a motion known as "beta drift".{{cite journal |last1=Wang |first1=Bin |last2=Elsberry |first2=Russell L. |last3=Yuqing |first3=Wang |last4=Liguang |first4=Wu |title=Dynamics in Tropical Cyclone Motion: A Review |journal=Chinese Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences |year=1998 |volume=22 |issue=4 |pages=416–434 |url=http://www.soest.hawaii.edu/MET/Faculty/bwang/bw/paper/wang58.pdf |access-date=April 6, 2021 |publisher=Allerton Press |via=University of Hawaii |archive-date=June 17, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210617170921/https://www.soest.hawaii.edu/MET/Faculty/bwang/bw/paper/wang58.pdf |url-status=live}} This motion is due to the superposition of a vortex, such as a tropical cyclone, onto an environment in which the Coriolis force varies with latitude, such as on a sphere or beta plane.{{cite journal |last1=Holland |first1=Greg J. |title=Tropical Cyclone Motion: Environmental Interaction Plus a Beta Effect |journal=Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences |date=February 1, 1983 |volume=40 |issue=2 |pages=328–342 |doi=10.1175/1520-0469(1983)040<0328:TCMEIP>2.0.CO;2 |publisher=American Meteorological Society|bibcode=1983JAtS...40..328H |doi-access=free}} The magnitude of the component of tropical cyclone motion associated with the beta drift ranges between {{convert|1|–|3|m/s|km/h mph|abbr=on}} and tends to be larger for more intense tropical cyclones and at higher latitudes. It is induced indirectly by the storm itself as a result of feedback between the cyclonic flow of the storm and its environment.{{cite journal |last1=Fiorino |first1=Michael |last2=Elsberry |first2=Russell L. |title=Some Aspects of Vortex Structure Related to Tropical Cyclone Motion |journal=Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences |date=April 1, 1989 |volume=46 |issue=7 |pages=975–990 |doi=10.1175/1520-0469(1989)046<0975:SAOVSR>2.0.CO;2 |publisher=American Meteorological Society|bibcode=1989JAtS...46..975F |doi-access=free}}

Physically, the cyclonic circulation of the storm advects environmental air poleward east of center and equatorial west of center. Because air must conserve its angular momentum, this flow configuration induces a cyclonic gyre equatorward and westward of the storm center and an anticyclonic gyre poleward and eastward of the storm center. The combined flow of these gyres acts to advect the storm slowly poleward and westward. This effect occurs even if there is zero environmental flow.{{cite journal |last1=Li |first1=Xiaofan |last2=Wang |first2=Bin |title=Barotropic Dynamics of the Beta Gyres and Beta Drift |journal=Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences |date=March 1, 1994 |volume=51 |issue=5 |pages=746–756 |doi=10.1175/1520-0469(1994)051<0746:BDOTBG>2.0.CO;2 |publisher=American Meteorological Society|bibcode=1994JAtS...51..746L |doi-access=free}}{{cite journal |last1=Willoughby |first1=H. E. |title=Linear Normal Modes of a Moving, Shallow-Water Barotropic Vortex |journal=Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences |date=September 1, 1990 |volume=47 |issue=17 |pages=2141–2148 |doi=10.1175/1520-0469(1990)047<2141:LNMOAM>2.0.CO;2 |publisher=American Meteorological Society|bibcode= 1990JAtS...47.2141W|doi-access=free}} Due to a direct dependence of the beta drift on angular momentum, the size of a tropical cyclone can affect the influence of beta drift on its motion; beta drift imparts a greater influence on the movement of larger tropical cyclones than that of smaller ones.{{cite journal |last1=Hill |first1=Kevin A. |last2=Lackmann |first2=Gary M. |title=Influence of Environmental Humidity on Tropical Cyclone Size |journal=Monthly Weather Review |date=October 1, 2009 |volume=137 |issue=10 |pages=3294–3315 |doi=10.1175/2009MWR2679.1 |publisher=American Meteorological Society|bibcode=2009MWRv..137.3294H |doi-access=free}}{{cite journal |last1=Sun |first1=Yuan |last2=Zhong |first2=Zhong |last3=Yi |first3=Lan |last4=Li |first4=Tim |last5=Chen |first5=Ming |last6=Wan |first6=Hongchao |last7=Wang |first7=Yuxing |last8=Zhong |first8=Kai |title=Dependence of the relationship between the tropical cyclone track and western Pacific subtropical high intensity on initial storm size: A numerical investigation: SENSITIVITY OF TC AND WPSH TO STORM SIZE |journal=Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres |date=November 27, 2015 |volume=120 |issue=22 |pages=11,451–11,467 |doi=10.1002/2015JD023716 |publisher=John Wiley & Sons|doi-access=free}}

=Multiple storm interaction=

{{Main|Fujiwhara effect}}

A third component of motion that occurs relatively infrequently involves the interaction of multiple tropical cyclones. When two cyclones approach one another, their centers will begin orbiting cyclonically about a point between the two systems. Depending on their separation distance and strength, the two vortices may simply orbit around one another, or else may spiral into the center point and merge. When the two vortices are of unequal size, the larger vortex will tend to dominate the interaction, and the smaller vortex will orbit around it. This phenomenon is called the Fujiwhara effect, after Sakuhei Fujiwhara.{{cite news|url=http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/weather/wfujiwha.htm|title=Fujiwhara effect describes a stormy waltz|access-date=February 21, 2008|work=USA Today|date=November 9, 2007|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121105134542/http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/weather/wfujiwha.htm|archive-date=November 5, 2012|url-status=live}}

=Interaction with the mid-latitude westerlies=

{{See also|Westerlies}}

File:Ioke 2006 track.png, showing recurvature off the Japanese coast in 2006|alt=Path of a tropical cyclone]]

Though a tropical cyclone typically moves from east to west in the tropics, its track may shift poleward and eastward either as it moves west of the subtropical ridge axis or else if it interacts with the mid-latitude flow, such as the jet stream or an extratropical cyclone. This motion, termed "recurvature", commonly occurs near the western edge of the major ocean basins, where the jet stream typically has a poleward component and extratropical cyclones are common.{{cite web|url=http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/~chu/chap4/se200.htm|date=April 10, 2007|title=Section 2: Tropical Cyclone Motion Terminology|publisher=United States Naval Research Laboratory|access-date=May 7, 2009|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120212182753/http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/~chu/chap4/se200.htm|archive-date=February 12, 2012|url-status=dead}} An example of tropical cyclone recurvature was Typhoon Ioke in 2006.{{cite web|url=http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/summaries/2006.php#ioke|title=Hurricane Ioke: 20–27 August 2006|date=May 2007|access-date=June 9, 2007|author=Powell, Jeff|work=2006 Tropical Cyclones Central North Pacific|publisher=Central Pacific Hurricane Center|display-authors=etal|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160306135254/http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/summaries/2006.php#ioke|archive-date=March 6, 2016|url-status=live}}

Effects

{{Main|Effects of tropical cyclones|Tropical cyclone effects by region}}

=Natural phenomena caused or worsened by tropical cyclones=

Tropical cyclones out at sea cause large waves, heavy rain, floods and high winds, disrupting international shipping and, at times, causing shipwrecks.{{cite web|author1=Roth, David|author2=Cobb, Hugh|name-list-style=amp|year=2001|title=Eighteenth Century Virginia Hurricanes|publisher=NOAA|access-date=February 24, 2007|url=http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/research/roth/va18hur.htm|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130501032117/http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/research/roth/va18hur.htm|archive-date=May 1, 2013|url-status=live}} Tropical cyclones stir up water, leaving a cool wake behind them, which causes the region to be less favorable for subsequent tropical cyclones. On land, strong winds can damage or destroy vehicles, buildings, bridges, and other outside objects, turning loose debris into deadly flying projectiles. The storm surge, or the increase in sea level due to the cyclone, is typically the worst effect from landfalling tropical cyclones, historically resulting in 90% of tropical cyclone deaths.{{Cite journal | doi = 10.1093/epirev/mxi011| title = Epidemiology of Tropical Cyclones: The Dynamics of Disaster, Disease, and Development| journal = Epidemiologic Reviews| volume = 27| pages = 21–35| year = 2005| last1 = Shultz | first1 = J.M.| last2 = Russell | first2 = J.| last3 = Espinel | first3 = Z. | pmid=15958424| doi-access = free}} Cyclone Mahina produced the highest storm surge on record, {{convert|13|m|ft|abbr=on}}, at Bathurst Bay, Queensland, Australia, in March 1899.{{cite journal|title=The World Record Storm Surge and the Most Intense Southern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclone: New Evidence and Modeling|first1=Jonathan|last1= Nott|first2=Camilla |last2=Green|first3=Ian |last3=Townsend|first4=Jeffrey|last4= Callaghan|journal=Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society|date=July 9, 2014|issue=95|volume=5|page=757|doi=10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00233.1|bibcode=2014BAMS...95..757N|doi-access=free}}

Other ocean-based hazards that tropical cyclones produce are rip currents and undertow. These hazards can occur hundreds of kilometers (hundreds of miles) away from the center of a cyclone, even if other weather conditions are favorable.{{cite journal |last1=Carey |first1=Wendy |last2=Rogers |first2=Spencer |title=Rip Currents — Coordinating Coastal Research, Outreach and Forecast Methodologies to Improve Public Safety |journal=Solutions to Coastal Disasters Conference 2005 |date=April 26, 2012 |pages=285–296 |doi=10.1061/40774(176)29 |url=https://ascelibrary.org/doi/abs/10.1061/40774(176)29 |access-date=May 25, 2022 |publisher=American Society of Civil Engineers |isbn=9780784407745 |archive-date=May 26, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220526171028/https://ascelibrary.org/doi/abs/10.1061/40774%28176%2929 |url-status=live}}{{cite journal |last1=Rappaport |first1=Edward N. |title=Loss of Life in the United States Associated with Recent Atlantic Tropical Cyclones |journal=Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society |date=September 1, 2000 |volume=81 |issue=9 |pages=2065–2074 |doi=10.1175/1520-0477(2000)081<2065:LOLITU>2.3.CO;2 |url=https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/81/9/1520-0477_2000_081_2065_lolitu_2_3_co_2.xml?tab_body=pdf |access-date=May 25, 2022 |publisher=American Meteorological Society |bibcode=2000BAMS...81.2065R |s2cid=120065630 |archive-date=May 26, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220526171031/https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/81/9/1520-0477_2000_081_2065_lolitu_2_3_co_2.xml?tab_body=pdf |url-status=live |doi-access=free}}

The broad rotation of a landfalling tropical cyclone, and vertical wind shear at its periphery, spawns tornadoes. Tornadoes can also be spawned as a result of eyewall mesovortices, which persist until landfall.{{cite web|author=Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, Hurricane Research Division |title=Frequently Asked Questions: Are TC tornadoes weaker than midlatitude tornadoes? |publisher=National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |access-date=July 25, 2006 |url=http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/L6.html |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090914103006/http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/L6.html |archive-date=September 14, 2009}} Hurricane Ivan produced 120 tornadoes, more than any other tropical cyclone.{{cite web |last1=Grazulis |first1=Thomas P. |last2=Grazulis |first2=Doris |title=Top 25 Tornado-Generating Hurricanes |url=http://www.tornadoproject.com/alltorns/tophurricanes.htm |website=The Tornado Project |publisher=Environmental Films |access-date=November 8, 2021 |location=St. Johnsbury, Vermont |date=February 27, 2018 |archive-date=December 12, 2013 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131212032233/http://www.tornadoproject.com/alltorns/tophurricanes.htm |url-status=live}} Lightning activity is produced within tropical cyclones. This activity is more intense within stronger storms and closer to and within the storm's eyewall.{{cite journal |last1=Bovalo |first1=C. |last2=Barthe |first2=C. |last3=Yu |first3=N. |last4=Bègue |first4=N. |title=Lightning activity within tropical cyclones in the South West Indian Ocean |journal=Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres |date=July 16, 2014 |volume=119 |issue=13 |pages=8231–8244 |doi=10.1002/2014JD021651 |publisher=AGU |bibcode=2014JGRD..119.8231B |s2cid=56304603 |doi-access=free}}{{cite journal |last1=Samsury |first1=Christopher E. |last2=Orville |first2=Richard E. |title=Cloud-to-Ground Lightning in Tropical Cyclones: A Study of Hurricanes Hugo (1989) and Jerry (1989) |journal=Monthly Weather Review |date=August 1, 1994 |volume=122 |issue=8 |pages=1887–1896 |doi=10.1175/1520-0493(1994)122<1887:CTGLIT>2.0.CO;2 |publisher=American Meteorological Society |bibcode=1994MWRv..122.1887S |doi-access=free}} Tropical cyclones can increase the amount of snowfall a region experiences by delivering additional moisture.{{cite journal |last1=Collier |first1=E. |last2=Sauter |first2=T. |last3=Mölg |first3=T. |last4=Hardy |first4=D. |title=The Influence of Tropical Cyclones on Circulation, Moisture Transport, and Snow Accumulation at Kilimanjaro During the 2006–2007 Season |journal= Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres|date=June 10, 2019 |volume=124 |issue=13 |pages=6919–6928 |doi=10.1029/2019JD030682 |url=https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2019JD030682 |access-date=May 25, 2022 |publisher=AGU |bibcode=2019JGRD..124.6919C |s2cid=197581044}} Wildfires can be worsened when a nearby storm fans their flames with its strong winds.{{cite journal |last1=Osborne |first1=Martin |last2=Malavelle |first2=Florent F. |last3=Adam |first3=Mariana |last4=Buxmann |first4=Joelle |last5=Sugier |first5=Jaqueline |last6=Marenco |first6=Franco |title=Saharan dust and biomass burning aerosols during ex-hurricane Ophelia: observations from the new UK lidar and sun-photometer network |journal=Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics |date=March 20, 2019 |volume=19 |issue=6 |pages=3557–3578 |doi=10.5194/acp-19-3557-2019 |url=https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/19/3557/2019/ |access-date=May 25, 2022 |publisher=Copernicus Publications |bibcode=2019ACP....19.3557O |s2cid=208084167 |archive-date=January 24, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220124090205/https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/19/3557/2019/ |url-status=live |doi-access=free |hdl=10871/36358 |hdl-access=free}}{{cite journal |last1=Moore |first1=Paul |title=An analysis of storm Ophelia which struck Ireland on 16 October 2017 |journal=Weather |date=August 3, 2021 |volume=76 |issue=9 |pages=301–306 |doi=10.1002/wea.3978 |url=https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/wea.3978 |access-date=May 25, 2022 |publisher=Royal Meteorological Society |bibcode=2021Wthr...76..301M |s2cid=238835099}}

=Effect on property and human life=

File:Hurricane Ike Bolivar Peninsula, TX.jpg in Bolivar Peninsula, Texas]]

File:1980- Cost of billion dollar hurricanes - US - variwide chart - NOAA data.svg

Tropical cyclones regularly affect the coastlines of most of Earth's major bodies of water along the Atlantic, Pacific, and Indian oceans. Tropical cyclones have caused significant destruction and loss of human life, resulting in about 2 million deaths since the 19th century.{{cite journal|url=https://www.who.int/bulletin/volumes/90/2/11-088302/en/|title=Reduced death rates from cyclones in Bangladesh: what more needs to be done?|first1=Ubydul|last1= Haque|first2=Masahiro|last2= Hashizume|first3=Korine N |last3=Kolivras|first4=Hans J |last4=Overgaard|first5=Bivash |last5=Das|first6=Taro |last6=Yamamoto|date=March 16, 2011|access-date=October 12, 2020|journal=Bulletin of the World Health Organization|archive-date=October 5, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201005083126/https://www.who.int/bulletin/volumes/90/2/11-088302/en/|url-status=dead}} Large areas of standing water caused by flooding lead to infection, as well as contributing to mosquito-borne illnesses. Crowded evacuees in shelters increase the risk of disease propagation. Tropical cyclones significantly interrupt infrastructure, leading to power outages, bridge and road destruction, and the hampering of reconstruction efforts.{{cite news|date=August 30, 2005 |title=Hurricane Katrina Situation Report #11|publisher=Office of Electricity Delivery and Energy Reliability (OE) United States Department of Energy|access-date=February 24, 2007|url=http://www.oe.netl.doe.gov/docs/katrina/katrina_083005_1600.pdf|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20061108202531/http://www.oe.netl.doe.gov/docs/katrina/katrina_083005_1600.pdf|archive-date=November 8, 2006|url-status=dead}}{{cite journal |last1=Adam |first1=Christopher |last2=Bevan |first2=David |title=Tropical cyclones and post-disaster reconstruction of public infrastructure in developing countries |journal=Economic Modelling |date=December 2020 |volume=93 |pages=82–99 |doi=10.1016/j.econmod.2020.07.003 |url=https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0264999319311824 |access-date=May 25, 2022 |s2cid=224926212}}

Winds and water from storms can damage or destroy homes, buildings, and other manmade structures.{{cite book |last1=Cuny |first1=Frederick C. |editor1-last=Abrams |editor1-first=Susan |title=Disasters and Development |date=1994 |url=https://oaktrust.library.tamu.edu/bitstream/handle/1969.1/159887/cuny_intertect_000001_49.pdf?sequence=1 |publisher=INTERTECT Press |isbn=0-19-503292-6 |page=45 |access-date=May 25, 2022 |archive-date=May 26, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220526171026/https://oaktrust.library.tamu.edu/bitstream/handle/1969.1/159887/cuny_intertect_000001_49.pdf?sequence=1 |url-status=live}}{{cite journal |last1=Le Dé |first1=Loïc |last2=Rey |first2=Tony |last3=Leone |first3=Frederic |last4=Gilbert |first4=David |title=Sustainable livelihoods and effectiveness of disaster responses: a case study of tropical cyclone Pam in Vanuatu |journal=Natural Hazards |date=January 16, 2018 |volume=91 |issue=3 |pages=1203–1221 |doi=10.1007/s11069-018-3174-6 |url=https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11069-018-3174-6 |access-date=May 25, 2022 |publisher=Springer |bibcode=2018NatHa..91.1203L |s2cid=133651688 |archive-date=May 26, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220526012645/https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11069-018-3174-6 |url-status=live}} Tropical cyclones destroy agriculture, kill livestock, and prevent access to marketplaces for both buyers and sellers; both of these result in financial losses.{{cite journal |last1=Perez |first1=Eddie |last2=Thompson |first2=Paul |title=Natural Hazards: Causes and Effects: Lesson 5—Tropical Cyclones (Hurricanes, Typhoons, Baguios, Cordonazos, Tainos) |journal=Prehospital and Disaster Medicine |date=September 1995 |volume=10 |issue=3 |pages=202–217 |doi=10.1017/S1049023X00042023 |url=https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/prehospital-and-disaster-medicine/article/abs/natural-hazards-causes-and-effects-lesson-5tropical-cyclones-hurricanes-typhoons-baguios-cordonazos-tainos/82B619E71E1132507E0A856CC713E7AF |publisher=Cambridge University Press |pmid=10155431 |s2cid=36983623 |access-date=May 25, 2022 |archive-date=May 26, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220526171028/https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/prehospital-and-disaster-medicine/article/abs/natural-hazards-causes-and-effects-lesson-5tropical-cyclones-hurricanes-typhoons-baguios-cordonazos-tainos/82B619E71E1132507E0A856CC713E7AF |url-status=live}}{{cite journal |last1=Debnath |first1=Ajay |title=Condition of Agricultural Productivity of Gosaba C.D. Block, South24 Parganas, West Bengal, India after Severe Cyclone Aila |journal=International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications |date=July 2013 |volume=3 |issue=7 |pages=97–100 |url=http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.416.3757&rep=rep1&type=pdf#page=98 |citeseerx=10.1.1.416.3757 |access-date=May 25, 2022 |issn=2250-3153 |archive-date=May 26, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220526171026/http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.416.3757&rep=rep1&type=pdf#page=98 |url-status=live}}{{cite journal |last1=Needham |first1=Hal F. |last2=Keim |first2=Barry D. |last3=Sathiaraj |first3=David |title=A review of tropical cyclone-generated storm surges: Global data sources, observations, and impacts |journal=Reviews of Geophysics |date=May 19, 2015 |volume=53 |issue=2 |pages=545–591 |doi=10.1002/2014RG000477 |publisher=AGU |bibcode=2015RvGeo..53..545N |s2cid=129145744 |doi-access=free}} Powerful cyclones that make landfall – moving from the ocean to over land – are some of the most powerful, although that is not always the case. An average of 86 tropical cyclones of tropical storm intensity form annually worldwide, with 47 reaching hurricane or typhoon strength, and 20 becoming intense tropical cyclones, super typhoons, or major hurricanes (at least of Category 3 intensity).{{cite web | first1= Chris|last1= Landsea | url = http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Landsea/climvari/table.html | title = Climate Variability table — Tropical Cyclones | publisher = Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration | access-date = October 19, 2006 | author-link = Chris Landsea | archive-date = October 2, 2012 | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20121002045230/http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Landsea/climvari/table.html | url-status = live}}

== Africa ==

In Africa, tropical cyclones can originate from tropical waves generated over the Sahara Desert,{{cite web|first1=Jonathan|last1= Belles|title=Why Tropical Waves Are Important During Hurricane Season|date=August 28, 2018|publisher=Weather.com|access-date=October 2, 2020|url=https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/tropical-wave-explainer-tropics-hurricanes|archive-date=October 1, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201001221202/https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/tropical-wave-explainer-tropics-hurricanes|url-status=live}} or otherwise strike the Horn of Africa and Southern Africa.{{cite news|first1=Matthew |last1=Schwartz|date=November 22, 2020|title=Somalia's Strongest Tropical Cyclone Ever Recorded Could Drop 2 Years' Rain In 2 Days|publisher=NPR|url=https://www.npr.org/2020/11/22/937790467/somalias-strongest-tropical-cyclone-ever-recorded-could-drop-2-years-rain-in-2-d|access-date=November 23, 2020|archive-date=November 23, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201123000841/https://www.npr.org/2020/11/22/937790467/somalias-strongest-tropical-cyclone-ever-recorded-could-drop-2-years-rain-in-2-d|url-status=live}}{{cite journal|title=Projected changes in tropical cyclones over the South West Indian Ocean under different extents of global warming|first1=M. S.|last1= Muthige|first2=J. |last2=Malherbe|first3=F. A. |last3=Englebrecht|first4=S. |last4=Grab|first5=A. |last5=Beraki|first6=T. R. |last6=Maisha|first7=J. |last7=Van der Merwe|journal=Environmental Research Letters|year=2018|volume=13|number=6|page=065019|doi=10.1088/1748-9326/aabc60|bibcode=2018ERL....13f5019M|s2cid=54879038 |doi-access=free}} Cyclone Idai in March 2019 hit central Mozambique, becoming the deadliest tropical cyclone on record in Africa, with 1,302 fatalities, and damage estimated at US$2.2 billion.{{cite web |last1=Masters |first1=Jeff |title=Africa's Hurricane Katrina: Tropical Cyclone Idai Causes an Extreme Catastrophe |url=https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/Africas-Hurricane-Katrina-Tropical-Cyclone-Idai-Causes-Extreme-Catastrophe |website=Weather Underground |access-date=March 23, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190322214331/https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/Africas-Hurricane-Katrina-Tropical-Cyclone-Idai-Causes-Extreme-Catastrophe |archive-date=March 22, 2019 |url-status=live}}{{cite web |title=Global Catastrophe Recap: First Half of 2019 |url=http://thoughtleadership.aonbenfield.com//Documents/20190723-analytics-if-1h-global-report.pdf |publisher=Aon Benfield |access-date=August 12, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190812000713/http://thoughtleadership.aonbenfield.com//Documents/20190723-analytics-if-1h-global-report.pdf |archive-date=August 12, 2019 |url-status=live}} Réunion island, located east of Southern Africa, experiences some of the wettest tropical cyclones on record. In January 1980, Cyclone Hyacinthe produced 6,083 mm (239.5 in) of rain over 15 days, which was the largest rain total recorded from a tropical cyclone on record.{{cite web|author=Lyons, Steve|date=February 17, 2010|title=La Reunion Island's Rainfall Dynasty!|url=http://www.weather.com/blog/weather/8_21280.html|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140210080403/http://www.weather.com/blog/weather/8_21280.html|archive-date=February 10, 2014|access-date=February 4, 2014|publisher=The Weather Channel}}{{cite report|url=http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/meteoreunion2/climatologie/records/rec_RR1.html|title=Précipitations extrêmes|publisher=Meteo France|access-date=April 15, 2013|date=|archive-date=February 21, 2014|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140221182557/http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/meteoreunion2/climatologie/records/rec_RR1.html|url-status=live}}{{cite journal|author=Randall S. Cerveny|display-authors=etal|date=June 2007|title=Extreme Weather Records|journal=Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society|volume=88|issue=6|pages=856, 858|bibcode=2007BAMS...88..853C|doi=10.1175/BAMS-88-6-853|doi-access=free}}

== Asia ==

In Asia, tropical cyclones from the Indian and Pacific oceans regularly affect some of the most populated countries on Earth. In 1970, a cyclone struck Bangladesh, then known as East Pakistan, producing a {{convert|20|ft|m|abbr=on|order=flip}} storm surge that killed at least 300,000 people. This made it the deadliest tropical cyclone on record.{{cite journal|title=The Deadliest Tropical Cyclone in history?|first1=Neil L. |last1=Frank|first2=S. A. |last2=Husain|date=June 1971|journal=Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society|volume=52|number=6|page=438 |doi=10.1175/1520-0477(1971)052<0438:TDTCIH>2.0.CO;2 |bibcode=1971BAMS...52..438F |s2cid=123589011 |doi-access=free}} In October 2019, Typhoon Hagibis struck the Japanese island of Honshu and inflicted US$15 billion in damage, making it the costliest storm on record in Japan.{{cite report|url=http://thoughtleadership.aon.com/Documents/20200122-if-natcat2020.pdf|title=Weather, Climate & Catastrophe Insight: 2019 Annual Report|date=January 22, 2020|publisher=AON Benfield|access-date=January 23, 2020|archive-date=January 22, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200122154950/http://thoughtleadership.aon.com/Documents/20200122-if-natcat2020.pdf|url-status=live}} The islands that comprise Oceania, from Australia to French Polynesia, are routinely affected by tropical cyclones.{{cite report|year=2007|page=45|url=http://www.ga.gov.au/webtemp/image_cache/GA10821.pdf|title=Natural hazards in Australia: Identifying risk analysis requirements|first1=Alan |last1=Sharp|first2=Craig |last2=Arthur|author3=Bob Cechet|author4=Mark Edwards|publisher=Geoscience Australia|access-date=October 11, 2020|archive-date=October 31, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201031165443/http://www.ga.gov.au/webtemp/image_cache/GA10821.pdf|url-status=live}}{{cite report |type=Information Sheet: 35 |title=The Climate of Fiji |url=https://www.met.gov.fj/ClimateofFiji.pdf |publisher=Fiji Meteorological Service |access-date=April 29, 2021 |date=April 28, 2006 |archive-date=March 20, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210320081515/https://www.met.gov.fj/ClimateofFiji.pdf |url-status=live}}{{cite report |title=Republic of Fiji: Third National Communication Report to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change |url=https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/Fiji_TNC%20Report.pdf |publisher=United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change |page=62 |date=April 27, 2020 |access-date=August 23, 2021 |archive-date=July 6, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210706131843/https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/Fiji_TNC%20Report.pdf |url-status=live}} In Indonesia, a cyclone struck the island of Flores in April 1973, killing 1,653 people, making it the deadliest tropical cyclone recorded in the Southern Hemisphere.{{cite news|title=Death toll|agency=Australian Associated Press|url=https://trove.nla.gov.au/newspaper/article/110715084?searchTerm=flores&searchLimits=exactPhrase|newspaper=The Canberra Times|date=June 18, 1973|access-date=April 22, 2020|archive-date=August 27, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200827205214/https://trove.nla.gov.au/newspaper/article/110715084?searchTerm=flores&searchLimits=exactPhrase|url-status=live}}{{cite web |last1=Masters |first1=Jeff |title=Africa's Hurricane Katrina: Tropical Cyclone Idai Causes an Extreme Catastrophe |url=https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/Africas-Hurricane-Katrina-Tropical-Cyclone-Idai-Causes-Extreme-Catastrophe |website=Weather Underground |access-date=March 23, 2019 |archive-date=August 4, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190804083147/https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/Africas-Hurricane-Katrina-Tropical-Cyclone-Idai-Causes-Extreme-Catastrophe |url-status=live}}

== North and South America ==

Atlantic and Pacific hurricanes regularly affect North America. In the United States, hurricanes Katrina in 2005 and Harvey in 2017 are the country's costliest ever natural disasters, with monetary damage estimated at US$125 billion. Katrina struck Louisiana and largely destroyed the city of New Orleans,{{Cite web |url=https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/billions/events/US/1980-2020 |title=Billion-Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters|publisher=National Centers for Environmental Information |access-date=August 23, 2021 |archive-date=August 11, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210811152237/https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/billions/events/US/1980-2020 |url-status=live}}{{Cite report |url=https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL092017_Harvey.pdf |first1=Eric S.|last1=Blake|first2=David A.|last2=Zelensky|title=Tropical Cyclone Report: Hurricane Harvey|access-date=August 23, 2021 |archive-date=January 26, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180126083538/https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL092017_Harvey.pdf |publisher=National Hurricane Center|url-status=live}} while Harvey caused significant flooding in southeastern Texas after it dropped {{convert|60.58|in|mm|abbr=on}} of rainfall; this was the highest rainfall total on record in the country.

The Caribbean islands are regularly hit by hurricanes, which have caused multiple humanitarian crises in Haiti since 2004 due in part to the lack of infrastructure and high population density in urban areas.{{cite web |title=Building a resilient Haiti |url=https://www.unops.org/news-and-stories/stories/building-a-resilient-haiti |website=UNOPS |access-date=8 October 2024}}{{cite web |title=Disaster risk reduction in Haiti |url=https://unfccc.int/ttclear/misc_/StaticFiles/gnwoerk_static/TEC_NSI/7fe85d474c964de893e62da77926a738/d198abc4edb249128c1b15ad81e371f0.pdf#page=6 |website=UNFCCC |access-date=8 October 2024}} In 2004, hurricane Jeanne caused severe flooding and mudslides, and a total estimated 3,006 deaths.{{cite web |title=Hurricane Relief |url=http://hurricane.info.usaid.gov/ |website=USAID |access-date=8 October 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20041015085858/http://hurricane.info.usaid.gov/ |archive-date=15 October 2004}} More recently, in 2016, hurricane Matthew caused US$2.8 billion in damages, killing an estimated 674 people.{{cite web |title=After Hurricane Matthew, Many Victims in Haiti Feel Abandoned |url=http://www.govtech.com/em/disaster/After-Hurricane-Matthew-Many-Victims-in-Haiti-Feel-Abandoned.html |website=govtech.com |date=July 17, 2017 |publisher=Miami Herald |access-date=8 October 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170717190251/http://www.govtech.com/em/disaster/After-Hurricane-Matthew-Many-Victims-in-Haiti-Feel-Abandoned.html |archive-date=17 July 2017}}{{cite web |title=Hurricane Matthew |url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL142016_Matthew.pdf |website=nhc.noaa.gov |access-date=8 October 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170405073622/http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL142016_Matthew.pdf |archive-date=5 April 2017}}

The northern portion of South America experiences occasional tropical cyclones, with 173 fatalities from Tropical Storm Bret in August 1993.{{cite web |last1=Pielke |first1=R. A. Jr. |last2=Rubiera |first2=J |last3=Landsea |first3=C |last4=Fernández |first4=M. L. |last5=Klein |first5=R |year=2003 |title=Hurricane Vulnerability in Latin America & The Caribbean |url=http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/admin/publication_files/resource-1769-2003.21.pdf |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20060810043441/http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/admin/publication_files/resource-1769-2003.21.pdf |archive-date=August 10, 2006 |access-date=July 20, 2006 |publisher=National Hazards Review}}{{cite report |url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/storm_wallets/atlantic/atl1993/bret/prenhc/prelim03.gif |title=Tropical Storm Bret Preliminary Report |last1=Rappaport |first1=Ed |date=December 9, 1993 |publisher=National Hurricane Center |page=3 |access-date=August 11, 2015 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160303220621/http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/storm_wallets/atlantic/atl1993/bret/prenhc/prelim03.gif |archive-date=March 3, 2016 |format=GIF |url-status=live}} The South Atlantic Ocean is generally inhospitable to the formation of a tropical storm.{{cite book |author=Landsea, Christopher W. |title=Tropical Cyclone Frequently Asked Question |date=July 13, 2005 |publisher=United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Hurricane Research Division |chapter=Subject: Tropical Cyclone Names: G6) Why doesn't the South Atlantic Ocean experience tropical cyclones? |access-date=February 7, 2015 |chapter-url=http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/G6.html |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150327070050/http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/G6.html |archive-date=March 27, 2015 |url-status=live}} However, in March 2004, Hurricane Catarina struck southeastern Brazil as the first hurricane on record in the South Atlantic Ocean.{{cite journal |last1=McTaggart-Cowan |first1=Ron |last2=Bosart |first2=Lance F. |last3=Davis |first3=Christopher A. |last4=Atallah |first4=Eyad H. |last5=Gyakum |first5=John R. |last6=Emanuel |first6=Kerry A. |date=November 2006 |title=Analysis of Hurricane Catarina (2004) |url=https://texmex.mit.edu/pub/emanuel/PAPERS/cowan_etal_2006.pdf |url-status=live |journal=Monthly Weather Review |publisher=American Meteorological Society |volume=134 |issue=11 |pages=3029–3053 |bibcode=2006MWRv..134.3029M |doi=10.1175/MWR3330.1 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210830230858/http://texmex.mit.edu/pub/emanuel/PAPERS/cowan_etal_2006.pdf |archive-date=August 30, 2021 |access-date=May 23, 2022}}

== Europe ==

Europe is rarely affected by tropical cyclones; however, the continent regularly encounters storms after they transitioned into extratropical cyclones. Only one tropical depression – Vince in 2005 – struck Spain,{{cite report|first=James L.|last=Franklin|title=Tropical Cyclone Report: Hurricane Vince|publisher=National Hurricane Center|date=February 22, 2006|access-date=August 14, 2011|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL242005_Vince.pdf|archive-date=October 2, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151002011818/http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL242005_Vince.pdf|url-status=live}} and only one subtropical cycloneSubtropical Storm Alpha in 2020 – struck Portugal.{{cite report|title=Subtropical Storm Alpha Discussion Number 2|url=https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2020/al24/al242020.discus.002.shtml?|publisher=National Hurricane Center|access-date=September 18, 2020|date=September 18, 2020|first1=Eric|last1=Blake|archive-date=October 9, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201009024154/https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2020/al24/al242020.discus.002.shtml|url-status=live}} Occasionally, there are tropical-like cyclones in the Mediterranean Sea.{{cite journal|author=Emanuel, K.|url=https://www.researchgate.net/publication/26438265|title=Genesis and maintenance of 'Mediterranean hurricanes'|journal=Advances in Geosciences|date=June 2005|volume=2|pages=217–220|doi=10.5194/adgeo-2-217-2005|bibcode=2005AdG.....2..217E|doi-access=free|access-date=May 23, 2022|archive-date=May 23, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220523221113/https://www.researchgate.net/publication/26438265_Genesis_and_maintenance_of_Mediterranean_hurricanes|url-status=live}}

=Environmental effects=

Although cyclones take an enormous toll in lives and personal property, they may be important factors in the precipitation regimes of places they affect, as they may bring much-needed precipitation to otherwise dry regions.National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. [http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Epac_hurr/Epac_hurricane.html 2005 Tropical Eastern North Pacific Hurricane Outlook.] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150612041026/http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Epac_hurr/Epac_hurricane.html |date=June 12, 2015}}. Retrieved May 2, 2006. Their precipitation may also alleviate drought conditions by restoring soil moisture, though one study focused on the Southeastern United States suggested tropical cyclones did not offer significant drought recovery.{{cite news |title=Summer tropical storms don't fix drought conditions |url=https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/05/150527150948.htm |newspaper=ScienceDaily |access-date=April 10, 2021 |date=May 27, 2015 |archive-date=October 9, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211009103634/https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/05/150527150948.htm |url-status=live}}{{cite journal |last1=Yoo |first1=Jiyoung |last2=Kwon |first2=Hyun-Han |last3=So |first3=Byung-Jin |last4=Rajagopalan |first4=Balaji |last5=Kim |first5=Tae-Woong |title=Identifying the role of typhoons as drought busters in South Korea based on hidden Markov chain models: ROLE OF TYPHOONS AS DROUGHT BUSTERS |journal=Geophysical Research Letters |date=April 28, 2015 |volume=42 |issue=8 |pages=2797–2804 |doi=10.1002/2015GL063753|doi-access=free}}{{cite journal |last1=Kam |first1=Jonghun |last2=Sheffield |first2=Justin |last3=Yuan |first3=Xing|author4-link=Eric Franklin Wood |last4=Wood |first4=Eric F. |title=The Influence of Atlantic Tropical Cyclones on Drought over the Eastern United States (1980–2007) |journal=Journal of Climate |date=May 15, 2013 |volume=26 |issue=10 |pages=3067–3086 |doi=10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00244.1 |publisher=American Meteorological Society|bibcode=2013JCli...26.3067K |doi-access=free}} Tropical cyclones also help maintain the global heat balance by moving warm, moist tropical air to the middle latitudes and polar regions,{{cite web|url=http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jetstream/tropics/tc.htm|author=National Weather Service|work=JetStream – An Online School for Weather|publisher=National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration|title=Tropical Cyclone Introduction|access-date=September 7, 2010|date=October 19, 2005|author-link=National Weather Service|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120614093509/http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jetstream/tropics/tc.htm|archive-date=June 14, 2012|url-status=live}} and by regulating the thermohaline circulation through upwelling.{{cite journal|last=Emanuel|first=Kerry|title=Contribution of tropical cyclones to meridional heat transport by the oceans|journal=Journal of Geophysical Research|date=July 2001|volume=106|issue=D14|pages=14771–14781|doi=10.1029/2000JD900641|bibcode = 2001JGR...10614771E |doi-access=free}} Research on Pacific cyclones has demonstrated that deeper layers of the ocean receive a heat transfer from these powerful storms.Alex Fox. (June 20, 2023). "New Measurements Suggest Tropical Cyclones May Influence Global Climate". [https://scripps.ucsd.edu/news/new-measurements-suggest-tropical-cyclones-may-influence-global-climate UC San Diego. Scripps Institution of Oceanography website] Retrieved June 30, 2023.{{Cite journal |last1=Gutiérrez Brizuela |first1=Noel |last2=Alford |first2=Matthew H. |last3=Xie |first3=Shang-Ping |author-link3=Shang-Ping Xie |last4=Sprintall |first4=Janet |last5=Voet |first5=Gunnar |last6=Warner |first6=Sally J. |last7=Hughes |first7=Kenneth |last8=Moum |first8=James N. |title=Prolonged thermocline warming by near-inertial internal waves in the wakes of tropical cyclones |journal=Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America |date=2023 |volume=120 |issue=26 |pages=e2301664120 |doi=10.1073/pnas.2301664120 |issn=0027-8424 |pmid=37339203|doi-access=free |pmc=10293854 |bibcode=2023PNAS..12001664G}}

The storm surge and winds of hurricanes may be destructive to human-made structures, but they also stir up the waters of coastal estuaries, which are typically important fish breeding locales.{{cite book|author=Christopherson, Robert W.|year=1992|title=Geosystems: An Introduction to Physical Geography|pages=222–224|publisher=Macmillan Publishing Company|location=New York|isbn=978-0-02-322443-0}} Ecosystems, such as saltmarshes and Mangrove forests, can be severely damaged or destroyed by tropical cyclones, which erode land and destroy vegetation.{{cite journal |last1=Khanna |first1=Shruti |last2=Santos |first2=Maria J. |last3=Koltunov |first3=Alexander |last4=Shapiro |first4=Kristen D. |last5=Lay |first5=Mui |last6=Ustin |first6=Susan L. |title=Marsh Loss Due to Cumulative Impacts of Hurricane Isaac and the Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill in Louisiana |journal=Remote Sensing |date=February 17, 2017 |volume=9 |issue=2 |page=169 |doi=10.3390/rs9020169 |publisher=MDPI|bibcode=2017RemS....9..169K |doi-access=free}}{{cite journal |last1=Osland |first1=Michael J. |last2=Feher |first2=Laura C. |last3=Anderson |first3=Gordon H. |last4=Varvaeke |first4=William C. |last5=Krauss |first5=Ken W. |last6=Whelan |first6=Kevin R.T. |last7=Balentine |first7=Karen M. |last8=Tiling-Range |first8=Ginger |last9=Smith III |first9=Thomas J. |last10=Cahoon |first10=Donald R. |title=A Tropical Cyclone-Induced Ecological Regime Shift: Mangrove Forest Conversion to Mudflat in Everglades National Park (Florida, USA) |journal=Wetlands and Climate Change |date=May 26, 2020 |volume=40 |issue=5 |pages=1445–1458 |doi=10.1007/s13157-020-01291-8 |url=https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13157-020-01291-8 |access-date=May 27, 2022 |publisher=Springer |bibcode=2020Wetl...40.1445O |s2cid=218897776 |archive-date=May 17, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220517122435/https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13157-020-01291-8 |url-status=live}} Tropical cyclones can cause harmful algae blooms to form in bodies of water by increasing the amount of nutrients available.{{cite journal |last1=Zang |first1=Zhengchen |last2=Xue |first2=Z. George |last3=Xu |first3=Kehui |last4=Bentley |first4=Samuel J. |last5=Chen |first5=Qin |last6=D'Sa |first6=Eurico J. |last7=Zhang |first7=Le |last8=Ou |first8=Yanda |title=The role of sediment-induced light attenuation on primary production during Hurricane Gustav (2008) |journal=Biogeosciences |date=October 20, 2020 |volume=17 |issue=20 |pages=5043–5055 |doi=10.5194/bg-17-5043-2020 |url=https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/17/5043/2020/ |access-date=May 19, 2022 |publisher=Copernicus Publications |bibcode=2020BGeo...17.5043Z |s2cid=238986315 |archive-date=January 19, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220119222647/https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/17/5043/2020/ |url-status=live |doi-access=free |hdl=1912/26507 |hdl-access=free}}{{cite journal |last1=Huang |first1=Wenrui |last2=Mukherjee |first2=Debraj |last3=Chen |first3=Shuisen |title=Assessment of Hurricane Ivan impact on chlorophyll-a in Pensacola Bay by MODIS 250 m remote sensing |journal=Marine Pollution Bulletin |date=March 2011 |volume=62 |issue=3 |pages=490–498 |doi=10.1016/j.marpolbul.2010.12.010 |url=https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0025326X10005333 |access-date=May 19, 2022 |pmid=21272900 |bibcode=2011MarPB..62..490H}} Insect populations can decrease in both quantity and diversity after the passage of storms.{{cite journal |last1=Chen |first1=Xuan |last2=Adams |first2=Benjamin J. |last3=Platt |first3=William J. |last4=Hooper-Bùi |first4=Linda M. |title=Effects of a tropical cyclone on salt marsh insect communities and post-cyclone reassembly processes |journal=Ecography |date=February 28, 2020 |volume=43 |issue=6 |pages=834–847 |doi=10.1111/ecog.04932 |publisher=Wiley Online Library |s2cid=212990211 |doi-access=free |bibcode=2020Ecogr..43..834C}} Strong winds associated with tropical cyclones and their remnants are capable of felling thousands of trees, causing damage to forests.{{cite news |title=Tempestade Leslie provoca grande destruição nas Matas Nacionais |trans-title=Storm Leslie wreaks havoc in the National Forests |url=https://www.noticiasdecoimbra.pt/tempestade-leslie-provoca-grande-destruicao-nas-matas-nacionais/ |access-date=May 27, 2022 |work=Notícias de Coimbra |date=October 17, 2018 |language=pt |archive-date=January 28, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190128031143/https://www.noticiasdecoimbra.pt/tempestade-leslie-provoca-grande-destruicao-nas-matas-nacionais/ |url-status=live}}

When hurricanes surge upon shore from the ocean, salt is introduced to many freshwater areas and raises the salinity levels too high for some habitats to withstand. Some are able to cope with the salt and recycle it back into the ocean, but others can not release the extra surface water quickly enough or do not have a large enough freshwater source to replace it. Because of this, some species of plants and vegetation die due to the excess salt.{{cite web|last=Doyle|first=Thomas|title=Wind damage and Salinity Effects of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita on Coastal Baldcypress Forests of Louisiana|url=http://pubs.usgs.gov/circ/1306/pdf/c1306_ch6_f.pdf|access-date=February 13, 2014|year=2005|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160304040402/http://pubs.usgs.gov/circ/1306/pdf/c1306_ch6_f.pdf|archive-date=March 4, 2016|url-status=live}} Hurricanes can carry toxins and acids onshore when they make landfall. The floodwater can pick up the toxins from different spills and contaminate the land that it passes over. These toxins are harmful to the people and animals in the area, as well as the environment around them.{{cite web|last=Cappielo|first=Dina|title=Spills from hurricanes stain coast With gallery|url=http://www.chron.com/news/hurricanes/article/Spills-from-hurricanes-stain-coast-With-gallery-1915858.php|work=Houston Chronicle|access-date=February 12, 2014|year=2005|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140425055112/http://www.chron.com/news/hurricanes/article/Spills-from-hurricanes-stain-coast-With-gallery-1915858.php|archive-date=April 25, 2014|url-status=live}} Tropical cyclones can cause oil spills by damaging or destroying pipelines and storage facilities.{{cite journal |last1=Pine |first1=John C. |title=Hurricane Katrina and Oil Spills: Impact on Coastal and Ocean Environments |journal=Oceanography |year=2006 |volume=19 |issue=2 |pages=37–39 |url=https://tos.org/oceanography/assets/docs/19-2_pine.pdf |access-date=May 19, 2022 |publisher=The Oceanography Society |doi=10.5670/oceanog.2006.61 |bibcode=2006Ocgpy..19b..37P |archive-date=January 20, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220120022223/https://tos.org/oceanography/assets/docs/19-2_pine.pdf |url-status=live}}{{cite journal |last1=You |first1=Zai-Jin |title=Tropical Cyclone-Induced Hazards Caused by Storm Surges and Large Waves on the Coast of China |journal=Geosciences |date=March 18, 2019 |volume=9 |issue=3 |page=131 |doi=10.3390/geosciences9030131 |bibcode=2019Geosc...9..131Y |issn=2076-3263|doi-access=free}}{{cite journal |last1=Santella |first1=Nicholas |last2=Steinberg |first2=Laura J. |last3=Sengul |first3=Hatice |title=Petroleum and Hazardous Material Releases from Industrial Facilities Associated with Hurricane Katrina |journal=Risk Analysis |date=April 12, 2010 |volume=30 |issue=4 |pages=635–649 |doi=10.1111/j.1539-6924.2010.01390.x |pmid=20345576 |bibcode=2010RiskA..30..635S |s2cid=24147578 |url=https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2010.01390.x |access-date=May 21, 2022}} Similarly, chemical spills have been reported when chemical and processing facilities were damaged.{{cite journal |last1=Qin |first1=Rongshui |last2=Khakzad |first2=Nima |last3=Zhu |first3=Jiping |title=An overview of the impact of Hurricane Harvey on chemical and process facilities in Texas |journal=International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction |date=May 2020 |volume=45 |page=101453 |doi=10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101453 |url=https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S2212420919313949 |access-date=May 19, 2022 |bibcode=2020IJDRR..4501453Q |s2cid=214418578}}{{cite journal |last1=Misuri |first1=Alessio |last2=Moreno |first2=Valeria Casson |last3=Quddus |first3=Noor |last4=Cozzani |first4=Valerio |title=Lessons learnt from the impact of hurricane Harvey on the chemical and process industry |journal=Reliability Engineering & System Safety |date=October 2019 |volume=190 |page=106521 |doi=10.1016/j.ress.2019.106521 |url=https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0951832019303990 |access-date=May 19, 2022 |s2cid=191214528}} Waterways have become contaminated with toxic levels of metals such as nickel, chromium, and mercury during tropical cyclones.{{cite news |last1=Cañedo |first1=Sibely |title=Tras el Huracán Willa, suben niveles de metales en río Baluarte |trans-title=After Hurricane Willa, metal levels rise in the Baluarte River|url=https://www.noroeste.com.mx/publicaciones/view/huracan-willa-azoto-en-el-sur-y-niveles-de-cromo-niquel-y-mercurio-subieron-en-rio-baluarte-1159453 |access-date=May 19, 2022 |publisher=Noreste |date=March 29, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200930145023/https://www.noroeste.com.mx/publicaciones/view/huracan-willa-azoto-en-el-sur-y-niveles-de-cromo-niquel-y-mercurio-subieron-en-rio-baluarte-1159453 |archive-date=September 30, 2020 |language=es}}{{cite journal |last1=Dellapenna |first1=Timothy M. |last2=Hoelscher |first2=Christena |last3=Hill |first3=Lisa |last4=Al Mukaimi |first4=Mohammad E. |last5=Knap |first5=Anthony |title=How tropical cyclone flooding caused erosion and dispersal of mercury-contaminated sediment in an urban estuary: The impact of Hurricane Harvey on Buffalo Bayou and the San Jacinto Estuary, Galveston Bay, USA |journal=Science of the Total Environment |date=December 15, 2020 |volume=748 |page=141226 |doi=10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141226 |pmid=32818899 |pmc=7606715 |bibcode=2020ScTEn.74841226D}}

Tropical cyclones can have an extensive effect on geography, such as creating or destroying land. Cyclone Bebe increased the size of Tuvalu island, Funafuti Atoll, by nearly 20%.{{cite journal |last1=Volto |first1=Natacha |last2=Duvat |first2=Virginie K.E. |title=Applying Directional Filters to Satellite Imagery for the Assessment of Tropical Cyclone Impacts on Atoll Islands |journal=Coastal Research |date=July 9, 2020 |volume=36 |issue=4 |pages=732–740 |doi=10.2112/JCOASTRES-D-19-00153.1 |url=https://meridian.allenpress.com/jcr/article-abstract/36/4/732/440511/Applying-Directional-Filters-to-Satellite-Imagery |access-date=May 21, 2022 |publisher=Meridian Allen Press |s2cid=220323810 |archive-date=January 25, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210125103957/https://meridian.allenpress.com/jcr/article-abstract/36/4/732/440511/Applying-Directional-Filters-to-Satellite-Imagery |url-status=live}}{{cite journal |last1=Onaka |first1=Susumu |last2=Ichikawa |first2=Shingo |last3=Izumi |first3=Masatoshi |last4=Uda |first4=Takaaki |last5=Hirano |first5=Junichi |last6=Sawada |first6=Hideki |title=Effectiveness of Gravel Beach Nourishment on Pacific Island |journal=Asian and Pacific Coasts |year=2017 |pages=651–662 |doi=10.1142/9789813233812_0059 |url=https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/9789813233812_0059 |access-date=May 21, 2022 |publisher=World Scientific |isbn=978-981-323-380-5 |archive-date=May 16, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220516233836/https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/9789813233812_0059 |url-status=live}}{{cite journal |last1=Kench |first1=P.S. |last2=McLean |first2=R.F. |last3=Owen |first3=S.D. |last4=Tuck |first4=M. |last5=Ford |first5=M.R. |title=Storm-deposited coral blocks: A mechanism of island genesis, Tutaga island, Funafuti atoll, Tuvalu |journal=Geology |date=October 1, 2018 |volume=46 |issue=10 |pages=915–918 |doi=10.1130/G45045.1 |url=https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/gsa/geology/article-abstract/46/10/915/548204/Storm-deposited-coral-blocks-A-mechanism-of-island |access-date=May 21, 2022 |publisher=Geo Science World |bibcode=2018Geo....46..915K |s2cid=135443385}} Hurricane Walaka destroyed the small East Island in 2018,{{cite book |last1=Bush |first1=Martin J. |title=Climate Change and Renewable Energy |date=October 9, 2019 |publisher=Springer |isbn=978-3-030-15423-3 |pages=421–475 |chapter-url=https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-030-15424-0_9 |access-date=May 21, 2022 |chapter=How to End the Climate Crisis |doi=10.1007/978-3-030-15424-0_9 |s2cid=211444296 |archive-date=May 17, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220517014331/https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-030-15424-0_9 |url-status=live}}{{cite journal |last1=Baker |first1=Jason D. |last2=Harting |first2=Albert L. |last3=Johanos |first3=Thea C. |last4=London |first4=Joshua M. |last5=Barbieri |first5=Michelle M. |last6=Littnan |first6=Charles L. |title=Terrestrial Habitat Loss and the Long-term Viability of the French Frigate Shoals Hawaiian Monk Seal Subpopulation |journal=NOAA Technical Memorandum NMFS-PIFSC |date=August 2020 |doi=10.25923/76vx-ve75 |url=https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/26090 |access-date=May 20, 2022 |publisher=NOAA Fisheries |archive-date=May 12, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220512003115/https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/26090 |url-status=live}} which destroyed the habitat for the endangered Hawaiian monk seal, as well as, threatened sea turtles and seabirds.{{cite book |last1=Tokar |first1=Brian |last2=Gilbertson |first2=Tamra |title=Climate Justice and Community Renewal: Resistance and Grassroots Solutions |date=March 31, 2020 |page=70 |publisher=Routledge |isbn=9781000049213 |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=ORHaDwAAQBAJ&q=hurricane+walaka+east+island+monk+seal |access-date=May 27, 2022 |archive-date=May 17, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220517122435/https://books.google.com/books?id=ORHaDwAAQBAJ&dq=hurricane+walaka+east+island+monk+seal&lr=&source=gbs_navlinks_s |url-status=live}} Landslides frequently occur during tropical cyclones and can vastly alter landscapes. Some storms are capable of causing hundreds to tens of thousands of landslides.{{cite journal |last1=Samodra |first1=Guruh |last2=Ngadisih |first2=Ngadisih |last3=Malawani |first3=Mukhamad Ngainul |last4=Mardiatno |first4=Djati |last5=Cahyadi |first5=Ahmad |last6=Nugroho |first6=Ferman Setia |title=Frequency–magnitude of landslides affected by the 27–29 November 2017 Tropical Cyclone Cempaka in Pacitan, East Java |journal=Journal of Mountain Science |date=April 11, 2020 |volume=17 |issue=4 |pages=773–786 |url=https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11629-019-5734-y |access-date=May 21, 2022 |publisher=Springer |doi=10.1007/s11629-019-5734-y |bibcode=2020JMouS..17..773S |s2cid=215725140 |archive-date=May 17, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220517014552/https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11629-019-5734-y |url-status=live}}{{cite journal |last1=Zinke |first1=Laura |title=Hurricanes and landslides |journal= Nature Reviews Earth & Environment|date=April 28, 2021 |volume=2 |issue=5 |page=304 |doi=10.1038/s43017-021-00171-x |url=https://www.nature.com/articles/s43017-021-00171-x |access-date=May 21, 2022 |bibcode=2021NRvEE...2..304Z |s2cid=233435990 |archive-date=May 17, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220517015939/https://www.nature.com/articles/s43017-021-00171-x |url-status=live}}{{cite journal |last1=Tien |first1=Pham Van |last2=Luong |first2=Le Hong |last3=Duc |first3=Do Minh |last4=Trinh |first4=Phan Trong |last5=Quynh |first5=Dinh Thi |last6=Lan |first6=Nguyen Chau |last7=Thuy |first7=Dang Thi |last8=Phi |first8=Nguyen Quoc |last9=Cuong |first9=Tran Quoc |last10=Dang |first10=Khang |last11=Loi |first11=Doan Huy |title=Rainfall-induced catastrophic landslide in Quang Tri Province: the deadliest single landslide event in Vietnam in 2020 |journal=Landslides |date=April 9, 2021 |volume=18 |issue=6 |pages=2323–2327 |doi=10.1007/s10346-021-01664-y |url=https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10346-021-01664-y |access-date=May 21, 2022 |publisher=Springer |bibcode=2021Lands..18.2323V |s2cid=233187785 |archive-date=May 17, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220517014536/https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10346-021-01664-y |url-status=live}}{{cite journal |last1=Santos |first1=Gemma Dela Cruz |title=2020 tropical cyclones in the Philippines: A review |journal=Tropical Cyclone Research and Review |date=September 20, 2021 |volume=10 |issue=3 |pages=191–199 |doi=10.1016/j.tcrr.2021.09.003 |bibcode=2021TCRR...10..191S |s2cid=239244161 |doi-access=free}} Storms can erode coastlines over an extensive area and transport the sediment to other locations.{{cite journal |last1=Mishra |first1=Manoranjan |last2=Kar |first2=Dipika |last3=Debnath |first3=Manasi |last4=Sahu |first4=Netrananda |last5=Goswami |first5=Shreerup |title=Rapid eco-physical impact assessment of tropical cyclones using geospatial technology: a case from severe cyclonic storms Amphan |journal=Natural Hazards |date=August 30, 2021 |volume=110 |issue=3 |pages=2381–2395 |doi=10.1007/s11069-021-05008-w |url=https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11069-021-05008-w |access-date=May 21, 2022 |publisher=Springer |s2cid=237358608 |archive-date=May 17, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220517010258/https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11069-021-05008-w |url-status=live}}{{cite journal |last1=Tamura |first1=Toru |last2=Nicholas |first2=William A. |last3=Oliver |first3=Thomas S. N. |last4=Brooke |first4=Brendan P. |title=Coarse-sand beach ridges at Cowley Beach, north-eastern Australia: Their formative processes and potential as records of tropical cyclone history |journal=Sedimentology |date=July 14, 2017 |volume=65 |issue=3 |pages=721–744 |doi=10.1111/sed.12402 |publisher=Wiley Library |s2cid=53403886 |doi-access=free}}

Observation and forecasting

=Observation=

{{Main|Tropical cyclone observation}}

File:Isidore091902-p3sunset.jpg's rainbands photographed at {{convert|7000|ft|m|abbr=on|order=flip}}|alt=Aerial view of storm clouds]]

File:NOAA Lockheed WP-3D Orion "Hurricane Hunter" (N42RF) at SENEX Air Quality-Climate Research Study (9119691512).jpg" – WP-3D Orion is used to go into the eye of a hurricane for data collection and measurements purposes.|alt=Head-on view of an airplane]]

Tropical cyclones have occurred around the world for millennia. Reanalyses and research are being undertaken to extend the historical record, through the usage of proxy data such as overwash deposits, beach ridges and historical documents such as diaries.{{cite journal |author=Nott, Jonathan |date=March 1, 2011 |title=A 6000 year tropical cyclone record from Western Australia |url=https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0277379110004324 |url-status=live |journal=Quaternary Science Reviews |volume=30 |issue=5 |pages=713–722 |bibcode=2011QSRv...30..713N |doi=10.1016/j.quascirev.2010.12.004 |issn=0277-3791 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201221144531/https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0277379110004324 |archive-date=December 21, 2020 |access-date=March 13, 2021}} Major tropical cyclones leave traces in overwash records and shell layers in some coastal areas, which have been used to gain insight into hurricane activity over the past thousands of years.{{Citation |last1=Muller |first1=Joanne |title=Recent Advances in the Emerging Field of Paleotempestology |work=Hurricanes and Climate Change: Volume 3 |pages=1–33 |year=2017 |editor-last=Collins |editor-first=Jennifer M. |access-date= |place=Cham |publisher=Springer International Publishing |language=en |doi=10.1007/978-3-319-47594-3_1 |isbn=978-3-319-47594-3 |s2cid=133456333 |last2=Collins |first2=Jennifer M. |last3=Gibson |first3=Samantha |last4=Paxton |first4=Leilani |editor2-last=Walsh |editor2-first=Kevin}} Sediment records in Western Australia suggest an intense tropical cyclone in the 4th millennium BC.

Proxy records based on paleotempestological research have revealed that major hurricane activity along the Gulf of Mexico coast varies on timescales of centuries to millennia.{{cite conference |last=Liu |first=Kam-biu |year=1999 |title=Millennial-scale variability in catastrophic hurricane landfalls along the Gulf of Mexico coast |conference=23rd Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology |location=Dallas, TX |publisher=American Meteorological Society |pages=374–377}}{{cite journal |last=Liu |first=Kam-biu |author2=Fearn, Miriam L. |year=2000 |title=Reconstruction of Prehistoric Landfall Frequencies of Catastrophic Hurricanes in Northwestern Florida from Lake Sediment Records |journal=Quaternary Research |volume=54 |issue=2 |pages=238–245 |bibcode=2000QuRes..54..238L |doi=10.1006/qres.2000.2166 |s2cid=140723229}} In the year 957, a powerful typhoon struck southern China, killing around 10,000 people due to flooding.{{cite web |author=G. Huang |author2=W.W. S. Yim |date=January 2001 |title=Reconstruction of an 8,000-year record of typhoons in the Pearl River estuary, China |url=https://hub.hku.hk/bitstream/10722/188774/2/Content.pdf?accept=1 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210720175126/https://hub.hku.hk/bitstream/10722/188774/2/Content.pdf?accept=1 |archive-date=July 20, 2021 |access-date=April 2, 2021 |website=University of Hong Kong}} The Spanish colonization of Mexico described "tempestades" in 1730,{{cite book |author=Arnold Court |url=http://babel.hathitrust.org/cgi/pt?id=uc1.31822009671892;seq=10;size=125;view=image |title=Tropical Cyclone Effects on California |publisher=California State University |year=1980 |series=NOAA technical memorandum NWS WR; 159 |location=Northridge, California |pages=2, 4, 6, 8, 34 |access-date=February 2, 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181001115852/https://babel.hathitrust.org/cgi/pt?id=uc1.31822009671892;seq=10;size=125;view=image |archive-date=October 1, 2018 |url-status=live}} although the official record for Pacific hurricanes only dates to 1949.{{hurdat}} In the south-west Indian Ocean, the tropical cyclone record goes back to 1848.{{cite report |url=https://library.wmo.int/doc_num.php?explnum_id=6291 |title=Operational procedures of TC satellite analysis at RSMC La Reunion |author=Philippe Caroff |date=June 2011 |publisher=World Meteorological Organization |access-date=April 22, 2013 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210427174202/https://library.wmo.int/doc_num.php?explnum_id=6291 |archive-date=April 27, 2021 |url-status=live |display-authors=etal}} In 2003, the Atlantic hurricane reanalysis project examined and analyzed the historical record of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic back to 1851, extending the existing database from 1886.{{cite web |author=Christopher W. Landsea |display-authors=etal |title=Documentation for 1851–1910 Alterations and Additions to the HURDAT Database |url=https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hurdat/august01/rpibook-jan03.htm |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210615030803/https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hurdat/august01/rpibook-jan03.htm |archive-date=June 15, 2021 |access-date=April 27, 2021 |series=The Atlantic Hurricane Database Re-analysis Project |publisher=Hurricane Research Division}}

Before satellite imagery became available during the 20th century, many of these systems went undetected unless it impacted land or a ship encountered it by chance. Often in part because of the threat of hurricanes, many coastal regions had sparse population between major ports until the advent of automobile tourism; therefore, the most severe portions of hurricanes striking the coast may have gone unmeasured in some instances. The combined effects of ship destruction and remote landfall severely limit the number of intense hurricanes in the official record before the era of hurricane reconnaissance aircraft and satellite meteorology. Although the record shows a distinct increase in the number and strength of intense hurricanes, therefore, experts regard the early data as suspect.{{cite web |author=Neumann, Charles J |title=1.3: A Global Climatology |url=http://www.cawcr.gov.au/publications/BMRC_archive/tcguide/ch1/ch1_3.htm |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110601213525/http://www.cawcr.gov.au/publications/BMRC_archive/tcguide/ch1/ch1_3.htm |archive-date=June 1, 2011 |access-date=November 30, 2006 |work=Global Guide to Tropical Cyclone Forecasting |publisher=Bureau of Meteorology}} The ability of climatologists to make a long-term analysis of tropical cyclones is limited by the amount of reliable historical data.{{cite journal |last1=Knutson |first1=Thomas |last2=Camargo |first2=Suzana |last3=Chan |first3=Johnny |last4=Emanuel |first4=Kerry |last5=Ho |first5=Chang-Hoi |last6=Kossin |first6=James |last7=Mohapatra |first7=Mrutyunjay |last8=Satoh |first8=Masaki |last9=Sugi |first9=Masato |last10=Walsh |first10=Kevin |last11=Wu |first11=Liguang |date=October 1, 2019 |title=TROPICAL CYCLONES AND CLIMATE CHANGE ASSESSMENT Part I: Detection and Attribution |url=https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/100/10/bams-d-18-0189.1.xml?tab_body=pdf |url-status=live |journal=American Meteorological Society |volume=100 |issue=10 |page=1988 |bibcode=2019BAMS..100.1987K |doi=10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0189.1 |s2cid=191139413 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210813210000/https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/100/10/bams-d-18-0189.1.xml?tab_body=pdf |archive-date=August 13, 2021 |access-date=April 17, 2021 |hdl-access=free |hdl=1721.1/125577}}

In the 1940s, routine aircraft reconnaissance started in both the Atlantic and Western Pacific basin in the mid-1940s, which provided ground truth data. Early flights were only made once or twice a day. In 1960, Polar-orbiting weather satellites were first launched by the United States National Aeronautics and Space Administration, but were not declared operational until 1965. It took several years for some of the warning centers to take advantage of this new viewing platform and develop the expertise to associate satellite signatures with storm position and intensity.

Intense tropical cyclones pose a particular observation challenge, as they are a dangerous oceanic phenomenon, and weather stations, being relatively sparse, are rarely available on the site of the storm itself. In general, surface observations are available only if the storm is passing over an island or a coastal area, or if there is a nearby ship. Real-time measurements are usually taken in the periphery of the cyclone, where conditions are less catastrophic and its true strength cannot be evaluated. For this reason, there are teams of meteorologists that move into the path of tropical cyclones to help evaluate their strength at the point of landfall.{{cite web|url=http://users.ce.ufl.edu/~fcmp/overview/overview.htm|author=Florida Coastal Monitoring Program|title=Project Overview|access-date=March 30, 2006|publisher=University of Florida|archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20060503084406/http://users.ce.ufl.edu/~fcmp/overview/overview.htm |archive-date = May 3, 2006|url-status=dead}}

Tropical cyclones are tracked by weather satellites capturing visible and infrared images from space, usually at half-hour to quarter-hour intervals. As a storm approaches land, it can be observed by land-based Doppler weather radar. Radar plays a crucial role around landfall by showing a storm's location and intensity every several minutes.{{cite web|date=December 9, 2006|title=Observations|url=http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/HAW/observations.php|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120212231044/http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/HAW/observations.php|archive-date=February 12, 2012|access-date=May 7, 2009|publisher=Central Pacific Hurricane Center}} Other satellites provide information from the perturbations of GPS signals, providing thousands of snapshots per day and capturing atmospheric temperature, pressure, and moisture content.{{Cite web|date=June 1, 2020|title=NOAA harnessing the power of new satellite data this hurricane season|url=https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/noaa-harnessing-power-of-new-satellite-data-hurricane-season|access-date=March 25, 2021|website=National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|archive-date=March 18, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210318001639/https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/noaa-harnessing-power-of-new-satellite-data-hurricane-season|url-status=live}}

In situ measurements, in real-time, can be taken by sending specially equipped reconnaissance flights into the cyclone. In the Atlantic basin, these flights are regularly flown by United States government hurricane hunters.{{cite web |title=Hurricane Hunters (homepage) |url=http://www.hurricanehunters.com |publisher=Hurricane Hunter Association |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120530232904/http://www.hurricanehunters.com/ |archive-date=May 30, 2012 |url-status=live |access-date=March 30, 2006}} These aircraft fly directly into the cyclone and take direct and remote-sensing measurements. The aircraft launch GPS dropsondes inside the cyclone. These sondes measure temperature, humidity, pressure, and especially winds between flight level and the ocean's surface. A new era in hurricane observation began when a remotely piloted Aerosonde, a small drone aircraft, was flown through Tropical Storm Ophelia as it passed Virginia's eastern shore during the 2005 hurricane season. A similar mission was also completed successfully in the western Pacific Ocean.{{cite news|author=Lee, Christopher|title=Drone, Sensors May Open Path Into Eye of Storm|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/10/07/AR2007100700971_pf.html|newspaper=The Washington Post|access-date=February 22, 2008|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121111093844/http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/10/07/AR2007100700971_pf.html|archive-date=November 11, 2012|url-status=live}}

=Forecasting=

{{See also|Tropical cyclone track forecasting|Tropical cyclone prediction model|Tropical cyclone rainfall forecasting}}

File:NHC Atlantic Forecast Error Trends.png

High-speed computers and sophisticated simulation software allow forecasters to produce computer models that predict tropical cyclone tracks based on the future position and strength of high- and low-pressure systems. Combining forecast models with increased understanding of the forces that act on tropical cyclones, as well as with a wealth of data from Earth-orbiting satellites and other sensors, scientists have increased the accuracy of track forecasts over recent decades.{{cite web|author=National Hurricane Center|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/verification/verify6.shtml?#FIG1|work=National Hurricane Center Forecast Verification|title=Annual average model track errors for Atlantic basin tropical cyclones for the period 1994–2005, for a homogeneous selection of "early" models|access-date=November 30, 2006|publisher=National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|date=May 22, 2006|author-link=National Hurricane Center|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120510225232/http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/verification/verify6.shtml#FIG1|archive-date=May 10, 2012|url-status=live}}

However, scientists are not as skillful at predicting the intensity of tropical cyclones.{{cite web|author=National Hurricane Center|work=National Hurricane Center Forecast Verification|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/verification/verify5.shtml?|title=Annual average official track errors for Atlantic basin tropical cyclones for the period 1989–2005, with least-squares trend lines superimposed|access-date=November 30, 2006|publisher=National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|date=May 22, 2006|author-link=National Hurricane Center|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120510225314/http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/verification/verify5.shtml|archive-date=May 10, 2012|url-status=live}} The lack of improvement in intensity forecasting is attributed to the complexity of tropical systems and an incomplete understanding of factors that affect their development. New tropical cyclone position and forecast information is available at least every six hours from the various warning centers.{{cite web|work=Tropical Cyclone Program (TCP)|publisher=World Meteorological Organization|title=Regional Specialized Meteorological Center|date=April 25, 2006|access-date=November 5, 2006|url=http://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/rsmcs.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100814135352/http://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/rsmcs.html|archive-date=August 14, 2010|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=http://www.met.gov.fj/services.php|title=Services|author=Fiji Meteorological Service|access-date=June 4, 2017|year=2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170618023828/http://www.met.gov.fj/services.php|archive-date=June 18, 2017|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/products-and-services-notice|title=Products and Service Notice|author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center|publisher=United States Navy|year=2017|access-date=June 4, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170609092158/http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/products-and-services-notice|archive-date=June 9, 2017|url-status=dead}}{{cite web|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_Product_Description.pdf|title=National Hurricane Center Product Description Document: A User's Guide to Hurricane Products|author=National Hurricane Center|date=March 2016|access-date=June 3, 2017|publisher=National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170617023135/http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_Product_Description.pdf|archive-date=June 17, 2017|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=http://www.jma.go.jp/jma/jma-eng/jma-center/rsmc-hp-pub-eg/advisory.html|title=Notes on RSMC Tropical Cyclone Information|publisher=Japan Meteorological Agency|year=2017|access-date=June 4, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170319230044/http://www.jma.go.jp/jma/jma-eng/jma-center/rsmc-hp-pub-eg/advisory.html|archive-date=March 19, 2017|url-status=live}}

=Geopotential height=

{{main|Geopotential height}}

In meteorology, geopotential heights are used when creating forecasts and analyzing pressure systems. Geopotential heights represent the estimate of the real height of a pressure system above the average sea level.{{cite web |title=Geopotential Height |url=https://www.weather.gov/source/zhu/ZHU_Training_Page/Miscellaneous/Heights_Thicknesses/thickness_temperature.htm |publisher=National Weather Service |access-date=October 7, 2022 |archive-date=March 24, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220324054919/https://www.weather.gov/source/zhu/ZHU_Training_Page/Miscellaneous/Heights_Thicknesses/thickness_temperature.htm |url-status=live}} Geopotential heights for weather are divided up into several levels. The lowest geopotential height level is {{convert|850|hPa|inHg|sigfig=4|abbr=on}}, which represents the lowest {{convert|5000|ft|m|abbr=on|disp=flip}} of the atmosphere. The moisture content, gained by using either the relative humidity or the precipitable water value, is used in creating forecasts for precipitation.{{cite web |title=Constant Pressure Charts: 850 mb |url=https://www.weather.gov/jetstream/850mb |publisher=National Weather Service |access-date=October 7, 2022 |archive-date=May 4, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220504135947/https://www.weather.gov/jetstream/850mb |url-status=live}}

The next level, {{convert|700|hPa|inHg|sigfig=4|abbr=on}}, is at a height of {{convert|7700–10500|ft|m|abbr=on|disp=flip}}. 700 hPa is regarded as the highest point in the lower atmosphere. At this layer, both vertical movement and moisture levels are used to locate and create forecasts for precipitation.{{cite web |title=Constant Pressure Charts: 700 mb |url=https://www.weather.gov/jetstream/300mb |publisher=National Weather Service |access-date=October 7, 2022 |archive-date=June 29, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220629223346/https://www.weather.gov/jetstream/300mb |url-status=live}} The middle level of the atmosphere is at {{convert|500|hPa|inHg|sigfig=4|abbr=on}} or a height of {{convert|16000–20000|ft|m|abbr=on|disp=flip}}. The 500 hPa level is used for measuring atmospheric vorticity, commonly known as the spin of air. The relative humidity is also analyzed at this height to establish where precipitation is likely to materialize.{{cite web |title=Constant Pressure Charts: 500 mb |url=https://www.weather.gov/jetstream/500mb |publisher=National Weather Service |access-date=October 7, 2022 |archive-date=May 21, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220521143701/https://www.weather.gov/jetstream/500mb |url-status=live}} The next level occurs at {{convert|300|hPa|inHg|sigfig=4|abbr=on}} or a height of {{convert|27000–32000|ft|m|abbr=on|disp=flip}}.{{cite web |title=Constant Pressure Charts: 300 mb |url=https://www.weather.gov/jetstream/300mb |publisher=National Weather Service |access-date=October 7, 2022 |archive-date=October 7, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221007215843/https://www.weather.gov/jetstream/300mb |url-status=live}} The top-most level is located at {{convert|200|hPa|inHg|sigfig=4|abbr=on}}, which corresponds to a height of {{convert|35000–41000|ft|m|abbr=on|disp=flip}}. Both the 200 and 300 hPa levels are mainly used to locate the jet stream.{{cite web |title=Constant Pressure Charts: 200 mb |url=https://www.weather.gov/jetstream/200mb |publisher=National Weather Service |access-date=October 7, 2022 |archive-date=August 5, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220805062247/https://www.weather.gov/jetstream/200mb |url-status=live}}

Tropical Cyclone Awareness and Response

= Preparations =

{{main|Tropical cyclone preparedness|Tropical cyclone engineering}}

File:Hurricane_Route_sign_Tulane_Avenue_floodlines.jpg shows lines from long standing floodwaters after Hurricane Katrina.]]

Ahead of the formal season starting, people are urged to prepare for the effects of a tropical cyclone by politicians and weather forecasters, among others. They prepare by determining their risk to the different types of weather, tropical cyclones cause, checking their insurance coverage and emergency supplies, as well as determining where to evacuate to if needed.{{cite web |date=February 18, 2021 |title=Hurricane Seasonal Preparedness Digital Toolkit |url=https://www.ready.gov/ru/node/5121 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210321121554/https://www.ready.gov/ru/node/5121 |archive-date=March 21, 2021 |access-date=April 6, 2021 |publisher=Ready.gov}}{{cite conference |last1=Gray |first1=Briony |last2=Weal |first2=Mark |last3=Martin |first3=David |year=2019 |title=Proceedings of the 52nd Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences |conference=52nd Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences |publisher=University of Hawaii |doi=10.24251/HICSS.2019.338 |isbn=978-0-9981331-2-6 |doi-access=free |hdl-access=free |chapter=The Role of Social Networking in Small Island Communities: Lessons from the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season |hdl=10125/59718}}{{cite journal |last1=Morrissey |first1=Shirley A. |last2=Reser |first2=Joseph P. |date=May 1, 2003 |title=Evaluating the Effectiveness of Psychological Preparedness Advice in Community Cyclone Preparedness Materials |url=https://search.informit.org/doi/10.3316/informit.281780145360789 |url-status=live |journal=The Australian Journal of Emergency Management |volume=18 |issue=2 |pages=46–61 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220523221113/https://search.informit.org/doi/10.3316/informit.281780145360789 |archive-date=May 23, 2022 |access-date=April 6, 2021}} When a tropical cyclone develops and is forecast to impact land, each member nation of the World Meteorological Organization issues various watches and warnings to cover the expected effects.{{cite web |date=April 8, 2020 |title=Tropical Cyclones |url=https://public-old.wmo.int/en/our-mandate/focus-areas/natural-hazards-and-disaster-risk-reduction/tropical-cyclones |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231218180931/https://public-old.wmo.int/en/our-mandate/focus-areas/natural-hazards-and-disaster-risk-reduction/tropical-cyclones |archive-date=December 18, 2023 |access-date=April 6, 2021 |publisher=World Meteorological Organization}} However, there are some exceptions with the United States National Hurricane Center and Fiji Meteorological Service responsible for issuing or recommending warnings for other nations in their area of responsibility.{{cite web |title=Fiji Meteorological Services |url=http://www.moit.gov.fj/about-us/27-departments/fiji-meteorological-services |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210814123025/http://www.moit.gov.fj/about-us/27-departments/fiji-meteorological-services |archive-date=August 14, 2021 |access-date=April 6, 2021 |website=Ministry of Infrastructure & Meteorological Services |publisher=Ministry of Infrastructure & Transport}}{{cite web |title=About the National Hurricane Center |url=https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutintro.shtml |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201012163706/https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutintro.shtml |archive-date=October 12, 2020 |access-date=April 6, 2021 |publisher=National Hurricane Center |location=Miami, Florida}}{{cite book |url=https://library.wmo.int/doc_num.php?explnum_id=3781 |title=Regional Association IV – Hurricane Operational Plan for NOrth America, Central America and the Caribbean |date=2017 |publisher=World Meteorological Organization |isbn=9789263111630 |access-date=April 6, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201114181542/https://library.wmo.int/doc_num.php?explnum_id=3781 |archive-date=November 14, 2020 |url-status=live}}{{rp|2–4}}

An important decision in individual preparedness is determining if and when to evacuate an area that will be affected by a tropical cyclone.{{Cite web |title=National Hurricane Center – "Be Prepared" |url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/HAW2/english/disaster_prevention.shtml |access-date=November 9, 2023}} Tropical cyclone tracking charts allow people to track ongoing systems to form their own opinions regarding where the storms are going and whether or not they need to prepare for the system being tracked, including possible evacuation. This continues to be encouraged by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and National Hurricane Center.{{cite web |author=National Ocean Service |author-link=National Ocean Service |date=September 7, 2016 |title=Follow That Hurricane! |url=http://oceanservice.noaa.gov/education/for_fun/FollowthatHurricane.pdf |access-date=June 2, 2017 |publisher=National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration}}

= Response =

{{Main|Tropical cyclone response}}

{{Expand section|date=October 2022}}

File:DSS Supports Hurricane Dorian Relief Efforts in the Bahamas (49091289561).jpg in the Bahamas|alt=View of tropical cyclone damage from a helicopter]]

Hurricane response is the disaster response after a hurricane. Activities performed by hurricane responders include assessment, restoration, and demolition of buildings; removal of debris and waste; repairs to land-based and maritime infrastructure; and public health services including search and rescue operations.{{Cite web |year=2005 |title=OSHA's Hazard Exposure and Risk Assessment Matrix for Hurricane Response and Recovery Work: List of Activity Sheets |url=https://www.osha.gov/SLTC/etools/hurricane/sheets.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180929041351/https://www.osha.gov/SLTC/etools/hurricane/sheets.html |archive-date=September 29, 2018 |access-date=September 25, 2018 |website=U.S. Occupational Safety and Health Administration |language=en-US}} Hurricane response requires coordination between federal, tribal, state, local, and private entities.{{Cite web |title=Before You Begin – The Incident Command System (ICS) |url=https://www.aiha.org/publications-and-resources/HealthandSafetyIssuesinNaturalDisasters/Pages/Before-You-Begin.aspx |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180929041449/https://www.aiha.org/publications-and-resources/HealthandSafetyIssuesinNaturalDisasters/Pages/Before-You-Begin.aspx |archive-date=September 29, 2018 |access-date=September 26, 2018 |website=American Industrial Hygiene Association |language=en-us}} According to the National Voluntary Organizations Active in Disaster, potential response volunteers should affiliate with established organizations and should not self-deploy, so that proper training and support can be provided to mitigate the danger and stress of response work.{{Cite web |title=Volunteer |url=https://www.nvoad.org/howtohelp/volunteer-3/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180929041523/https://www.nvoad.org/howtohelp/volunteer-3/ |archive-date=September 29, 2018 |access-date=September 25, 2018 |website=National Voluntary Organizations Active in Disaster |language=en-US}}

Hurricane responders face many hazards. Hurricane responders may be exposed to chemical and biological contaminants including stored chemicals, sewage, human remains, and mold growth encouraged by flooding,{{Cite journal |year=2017 |title=Hurricane Key Messages for Employers, Workers and Volunteers |url=https://www.hsdl.org/?abstract&did=815992 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181124162356/https://www.hsdl.org/?abstract&did=815992 |archive-date=November 24, 2018 |access-date=September 24, 2018 |website=U.S. National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health}}{{Cite web |title=Hazardous Materials and Conditions |url=https://www.aiha.org/publications-and-resources/HealthandSafetyIssuesinNaturalDisasters/Pages/Hazardous-Materials.aspx |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180929080011/https://www.aiha.org/publications-and-resources/HealthandSafetyIssuesinNaturalDisasters/Pages/Hazardous-Materials.aspx |archive-date=September 29, 2018 |access-date=September 26, 2018 |website=American Industrial Hygiene Association |language=en-us}}{{Cite web |title=Mold and Other Microbial Growth |url=https://www.aiha.org/publications-and-resources/HealthandSafetyIssuesinNaturalDisasters/Pages/Mold-and-Other-Microbial-Growth.aspx |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180929041433/https://www.aiha.org/publications-and-resources/HealthandSafetyIssuesinNaturalDisasters/Pages/Mold-and-Other-Microbial-Growth.aspx |archive-date=September 29, 2018 |access-date=September 26, 2018 |website=American Industrial Hygiene Association |language=en-us}} as well as asbestos and lead that may be present in older buildings.{{Cite web |year=2005 |title=OSHA's Hazard Exposure and Risk Assessment Matrix for Hurricane Response and Recovery Work: Recommendations for General Hazards Commonly Encountered during Hurricane Response and Recovery Operations |url=https://www.osha.gov/SLTC/etools/hurricane/recommendations.html#encounter |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180929041128/https://www.osha.gov/SLTC/etools/hurricane/recommendations.html#encounter |archive-date=September 29, 2018 |access-date=September 25, 2018 |website=U.S. Occupational Safety and Health Administration |language=en-US}} Common injuries arise from falls from heights, such as from a ladder or from level surfaces; from electrocution in flooded areas, including from backfeed from portable generators; or from motor vehicle accidents.{{Cite web |title=Electrical Hazards |url=https://www.aiha.org/publications-and-resources/HealthandSafetyIssuesinNaturalDisasters/Pages/Electrical-Hazards-Floods.aspx |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180929041458/https://www.aiha.org/publications-and-resources/HealthandSafetyIssuesinNaturalDisasters/Pages/Electrical-Hazards-Floods.aspx |archive-date=September 29, 2018 |access-date=September 26, 2018 |website=American Industrial Hygiene Association |language=en-us}} Long and irregular shifts may lead to sleep deprivation and fatigue, increasing the risk of injuries, and workers may experience mental stress associated with a traumatic incident. Heat stress is a concern as workers are often exposed to hot and humid temperatures, wear protective clothing and equipment, and have physically difficult tasks.

Extraterrestrial tropical cyclones

{{see also|Extraterrestrial vortex}}

File:Garcia et al. 2024 figure 1.webm red dwarf exoplanets.]]

Limited research has been conducted on the possibility of tropical cyclogenesis on other worlds. Polar vortices with structures similar to tropical cyclones have been found on other planets in the Solar System, such as Venus's north polar vortex and Saturn's Hexagon.{{Cite web |title=The puzzling 'eye of a hurricane' on Venus |url=https://www.esa.int/Science_Exploration/Space_Science/Venus_Express/The_puzzling_eye_of_a_hurricane_on_Venus |access-date=2020-04-24 |website=www.esa.int |language=en |archive-date=August 12, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200812123811/http://www.esa.int/Science_Exploration/Space_Science/Venus_Express/The_puzzling_eye_of_a_hurricane_on_Venus |url-status=live }}{{cite web |title=The eye of Saturn |author=Eleanor Imster |date=August 12, 2014 |url=https://earthsky.org/space/the-eye-of-saturn/ |access-date=December 25, 2024}} The four giant planets frequently generate large and extremely powerful storm systems, such as the Great Red Spot on Jupiter and the Great Dark Spots on Neptune, but these storms are anticyclones.{{Cite journal |last1=Parisi |first1=Marzia |display-authors=et al. |date=2021-11-19 |title=The depth of Jupiter's Great Red Spot constrained by Juno gravity overflights |url=https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abf1396 |journal=Science |language=en |volume=374 |issue=6570 |pages=964–968 |doi=10.1126/science.abf1396 |pmid=34709940 |bibcode=2021Sci...374..964P |s2cid=240153766 |issn=0036-8075|hdl=11573/1605351 |hdl-access=free }}{{cite journal |last1=Polvani |first1=L. M. |display-authors=et al. |title=Simple Dynamical Models of Neptune's Great Dark Spot |date=September 1990 |journal=Science |volume=249 |issue=4975 |pages=1393–1398 |doi=10.1126/science.249.4975.1393 |pmid=17812167 |bibcode=1990Sci...249.1393P }} Tropical cyclones are regarded as a feature unique to Earth.

Titan, the largest moon of Saturn, is the only other world in the Solar System known to host large bodies of liquid on its surface. It also hosts a "methane cycle," where liquid hydrocarbons power weather systems much like water does on Earth.{{cite journal |last1=Battalio |first1=Joseph Michael |last2=Lora |first2=Juan Manuel |title=Global Impacts From High-Latitude Storms on Titan |date=September 2021 |journal=Geophysical Research Letters |volume=48 |issue=18 |id=e94244 |doi=10.1029/2021GL094244 |bibcode=2021GeoRL..4894244B |doi-access=free |pmid=34776555 |pmc=8588012 }} Despite the appearance of many cloud features, no low-level cyclones have been observed. A 2013 study determined that Titan's tropics are not favorable for tropical cyclogenesis, as its equatorial regions only host isolated lakes and is subject to high wind shear. The Coriolis force is also much weaker on Titan due to its long rotation period (nearly 16 days). However, the study found that hydrocarbon polar seas may contain enough thermal energy to power tropical cyclones. Genesis could be aided by waves generated in the Seasonal Convergence Zone (SCZ), Titan's counterpart to the ITCZ; unlike the ITCZ, the SCZ swings from polar region to polar region as seasons progress. Wind shear in the polar regions is more favorable for tropical cyclogenesis, and the high latitudes in which the polar seas are located could help counter the low Coriolis force to an extent.{{cite journal |last1=Tokano |first1=Tetsuya |title=Are tropical cyclones possible over Titan's polar seas? |date=April 2013 |journal=Icarus |volume=223 |issue=2 |pages=766–774 |doi=10.1016/j.icarus.2013.01.023 |bibcode=2013Icar..223..766T }}

Exoplanetary climates may be influenced by tropical cyclones, encouraging theoretical analyses of tropical cyclone frequency and distribution on Earth-like exoplanets.{{cite journal |last1=Bin |first1=Jiayu |display-authors=et al. |title=Low probability of tropical cyclones on ocean planets in the habitable zones of M dwarfs |date=January 2018 |journal=Icarus |volume=299 |pages=364–369 |doi=10.1016/j.icarus.2017.08.007 |bibcode=2018Icar..299..364B }} Earth-sized exoplanets are expected to be common around dim red dwarf stars;{{cite journal|title=First limits on the occurrence rate of short-period planets orbiting brown dwarfs|journal=Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society|first1=Matthias Y.|last1=He|first2=Amaury H. M. J.|last2=Triaud|first3=Michaël|last3=Gillon|volume=464|issue=3|pages= 2687–2697|arxiv=1609.05053|doi=10.1093/mnras/stw2391|year=2017|doi-access=free |bibcode=2017MNRAS.464.2687H}} for these planets to sustain liquid water oceans, they must orbit very close to their parent star.{{cite journal|last1=Bolmont|first1=E.|last2=Selsis|first2=F.|last3=Owen|first3=J. E.|last4=Ribas|first4=I.|last5=Raymond|first5=S. N.|last6=Leconte|first6=J.|last7=Gillon|first7=M.|title=Water loss from terrestrial planets orbiting ultracool dwarfs: implications for the planets of TRAPPIST-1|journal=Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society|date=21 January 2017|volume=464|issue=3|pages=3728–3741|arxiv=1605.00616|bibcode=2017MNRAS.464.3728B|doi=10.1093/mnras/stw2578|doi-access=free }} As a result, many such planets are likely to be tidally locked, with slower rotation periods and one hemisphere permanently facing the star.{{cite journal |last1=Yan |first1=Mingyu |last2=Yang |first2=Jun |title=Hurricanes on tidally locked terrestrial planets: fixed surface temperature experiments |date=November 2020 |journal=Astronomy & Astrophysics |volume=643 |pages=A37 |id=A37 |doi=10.1051/0004-6361/202038203 |bibcode=2020A&A...643A..37Y |arxiv=2007.02560 }} Early planetary climate models with Earth-like atmospheres suggested that tidally locked exoplanets are capable of hosting environments conducive for tropical cyclogenesis, albeit favorability is limited by their slow rotation rates. Further simulations supported the viability of tropical cyclones on tidally-locked planets. A 2020 study found that tropical cyclones are more common for planets near the inner edge of the habitable zone, with cyclones forming in both the day and night hemispheres on such planets. A 2024 study further explored the influence of rotation periods on tropical cyclogenesis, concluding that planets with intermediate (8 day) rotation periods are most favorable for tropical cyclogenesis, though weak tropical cyclone-like systems spawned on planets with long (16 day) rotation periods as well.{{cite journal |last1=Garcia |first1=Valeria |last2=Smith |first2=Cole M. |last3=Chavas |first3=Daniel R. |last4=Komacek |first4=Thaddeus D. |title=Tropical Cyclones on Tidally Locked Rocky Planets: Dependence on Rotation Period |date=April 2024 |journal=The Astrophysical Journal |volume=965 |issue=1 |page=5 |id=5 |doi=10.3847/1538-4357/ad2ea5 |doi-access=free |bibcode=2024ApJ...965....5G |arxiv=2402.16687 }}

See also

References

{{Reflist}}