:en:2024 United States presidential election
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{{for|related races|2024 United States elections}}
{{pp-vandalism|small=yes}}
{{split|Results and aftermath of the 2024 United States presidential election|date=April 2025}}
{{Use American English|date=November 2024}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=April 2025}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2024 United States presidential election
| country = United States
| type = presidential
| opinion_polls = Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election
| college_voted = yes
| previous_election = 2020 United States presidential election
| previous_year = 2020
| next_election = 2028 United States presidential election
| next_year = 2028
| election_date = November 5, 2024
| votes_for_election = 538 members of the Electoral College
| needed_votes = 270 electoral
| turnout = 64.1% ({{decrease}} 2.5 pp){{cite web |title=2024 General Election Turnout |url=https://election.lab.ufl.edu/2024-general-election-turnout/ |website=University of Florida |access-date=April 3, 2025}}
| map_image = {{2024 United States presidential election imagemap}}
| map_size =
| image1 = TrumpPortrait.jpg
| image_size = 200x200px
| nominee1 = Donald Trump
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| home_state1 = Florida
| running_mate1 = JD Vance
| electoral_vote1 = 312
| states_carried1 = 31 + {{ushr|ME|2|ME-02}}
| popular_vote1 = 77,302,580{{Cite web |url=https://www.fec.gov/resources/cms-content/documents/2024presgeresults.pdf |title=2024 Presidential Election Results |publisher=Federal Election Commission |date=January 16, 2025 |access-date=January 16, 2025}}
| image2 = Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg
| nominee2 = Kamala Harris
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| home_state2 = California
| running_mate2 = Tim Walz
| electoral_vote2 = 226
| states_carried2 = 19 + DC + {{ushr|NE|2|NE-02}}
| map_caption = Presidential election results map. Red denotes U.S. states won by Trump/Vance and blue denotes those won by Harris/Walz. Numbers indicate electoral votes cast by each state and the District of Columbia.{{Cite web |title=Presidential Election 2024 Live Results: Donald Trump wins |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/president-results |publisher=NBC News |access-date=November 15, 2024}}
| title = President
| before_election = Joe Biden
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| posttitle = Elected President
| after_election = Donald Trump
| after_party = Republican Party (United States)
}}
{{US 2024 presidential elections series}}
A presidential election was held in the United States on November 5, 2024. The Republican Party's ticket—Donald Trump, who was the 45th president of the United States from 2017 to 2021, and JD Vance, then-junior U.S. senator from Ohio—defeated the Democratic Party's ticket—Kamala Harris, the incumbent U.S. vice president, and Tim Walz, the 41st governor of Minnesota.
The incumbent president, Joe Biden of the Democratic Party, initially ran for re-election and became the party's presumptive nominee. However, after a poor debate performance in June intensified concerns about his age and health, Biden ended his re-election campaign on July 21 and endorsed Harris as his successor. Harris was voted the party's nominee by Democratic delegates on August 5. Harris selected Walz as her running mate. The Harris-Walz ticket supported national abortion protections; LGBT rights; housing subsidies; strengthening the Affordable Care Act; banning price gouging; increasing the number of Border Patrol agents; and continued military aid to Ukraine and Israel in their respective wars.
Trump, who lost the 2020 presidential election to Biden, ran for re-election again. He was shot in the ear in an assassination attempt on July 13, 2024. Trump was nominated as the Republican Party's presidential candidate during the 2024 Republican National Convention alongside his running mate, Vance. The Trump-Vance ticket supported mass deportation of illegal immigrants;{{Efn|While Trump's proposed deportation program primarily targeted illegal immigrants, he also pledged to displace legal immigrants.}} an isolationist "America First" foreign policy agenda with skepticism of Ukraine and support of Israel; anti-transgender policies; and tariffs. The Trump campaign made false and misleading statements, including claims of electoral fraud in 2020. Trump's political movement was seen by historians and former Trump administrators as authoritarian.
Trump won the Electoral College with 312 electoral votes, while Harris received 226. Trump won every swing state, including the first win of Nevada by Republicans since 2004. Trump won the national popular vote with a plurality of 49.8%, making him the first Republican to win the popular vote since George W. Bush in 2004. Trump became the first president since Grover Cleveland in 1892 to be elected to a non-consecutive second term and the first Republican to be elected to a non-consecutive second term. Analysts attributed the outcome to the 2021–2023 inflation surge, a global anti-incumbent wave, the unpopularity of the Biden administration, Trump's gains with the working class, and the Mexico–United States border crisis.
Background
File:Absentee Ballot, 2024.jpg, listing the presidential and vice presidential candidates]]
{{further|United States presidential election#Procedure}}
In 2020, incumbent Republican President Donald Trump sought re-election, but was defeated by Democratic challenger Joe Biden. Democratic U.S. Senator Kamala Harris of California was elected vice president in 2020 as Biden's running mate.{{Cite web|url=https://apnews.com/article/joe-biden-wins-white-house-ap-fd58df73aa677acb74fce2a69adb71f9|title=Biden defeats Trump for White House, says 'time to heal'|date=November 8, 2020|website=AP News}}
Trump is the first president in American history to be impeached twice, and the first to run for president again after impeachment. As Trump was acquitted by the Senate in both cases, he was not barred from seeking reelection to the presidency in 2024.{{Cite news |last=Bacon |first=Perry Jr. |date=February 5, 2020 |title=What Happens When An Impeached President Runs For Reelection? |url=https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-impeachment-acquitted/ |website=FiveThirtyEight |access-date=May 31, 2024 |archive-date=June 1, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240601001058/https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-impeachment-acquitted/ |url-status=live}}
File:USA electoral votes 2024 hex cartogram.svg of the number of electoral college votes. States with opposite outcomes from 2020 are hatched.]]
= Election interference =
{{Main|Election interference}}
{{Further|Republican efforts to restrict voting following the 2020 presidential election|Attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election|January 6 United States Capitol attack}}
Several state courts and officials, including the Colorado Supreme Court,{{Cite news |last1=Halpert |first1=Madeline |last2=Drenon |first2=Brandon |date=December 19, 2023 |title=Colorado Supreme Court kicks Trump off ballot, citing 'insurrection' |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-67768873 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231220202057/https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-67768873 |archive-date=December 20, 2023 |access-date=December 21, 2023 |publisher=BBC News}} a state Circuit Court in Illinois,{{Cite web |last=Smith |first=Mitch |date=February 28, 2024 |title=Judge Orders Trump Removed From Illinois Primary Ballots |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/28/us/trump-removal-illinois-primary-ballot.html |access-date=February 28, 2024 |work=The New York Times |archive-date=February 29, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240229005213/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/28/us/trump-removal-illinois-primary-ballot.html |url-status=live}} and the Secretary of State of Maine, ruled that Trump was ineligible to hold office under Section 3 of the Fourteenth Amendment to the United States Constitution for his role in the January 6 Capitol attack, and thus attempted to disqualify him from appearing on the ballot.{{Cite web |date=December 28, 2023 |title=Trump back on ballot in Colorado while state Republicans appeal ban to Supreme Court |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/colorado-republican-party-appeal-u-s-supreme-court-trump-ballot-ban/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231229062034/https://www.cbsnews.com/news/colorado-republican-party-appeal-u-s-supreme-court-trump-ballot-ban/ |archive-date=December 29, 2023 |access-date=December 29, 2023 |publisher=CBS News}}{{Cite news |last1=Freiman |first1=Jordan |last2=Kaufman |first2=Katrina |last3=Kazarian |first3=Grace |date=December 28, 2023 |title=Maine secretary of state disqualifies Trump from primary ballot |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-maine-primary-ballot-disqualified-secretary-of-state-shenna-bellows/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231229014916/https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-maine-primary-ballot-disqualified-secretary-of-state-shenna-bellows/ |archive-date=December 29, 2023 |access-date=December 29, 2023 |publisher=CBS News}} These attempts were unsuccessful. On March 4, 2024, the U.S. Supreme Court unanimously ruled in Trump v. Anderson that states cannot determine eligibility for a national election under Section 3. The Court held that only Congress has the authority to disqualify candidates, or to pass legislation that allows courts to do so.{{cite news |last=Fritze |first=John |date=March 4, 2024 |title=Supreme Court keeps Trump on Colorado ballot, rejecting 14th Amendment push |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/04/politics/trump-supreme-court-colorado-14th-amendment/index.html |publisher=CNN |access-date=March 4, 2024 |archive-date=March 4, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240304151515/https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/04/politics/trump-supreme-court-colorado-14th-amendment/index.html |url-status=live}}
== Donald Trump's false claims of interference ==
{{Further|Big lie#Donald Trump's false claims of a stolen election|Election denial movement in the United States|Republican Party efforts to disrupt the 2024 United States presidential election}}
File:20240524 Trump groundwork for election denial.svg
Trump made false claims of voter fraud in the 2020 presidential election and denied the validity of the election results.{{cite web |last=Samuels |first=Brett |date=June 13, 2022 |title=Trump releases 12-page response to Jan. 6 hearing |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/3522080-trump-releases-12-page-response-to-jan-6-hearing/ |access-date=November 10, 2022 |work=The Hill |archive-date=June 19, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220619163035/https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/3522080-trump-releases-12-page-response-to-jan-6-hearing/ |url-status=live}}{{Cite web |last=Feinberg |first=Andrew |date=August 29, 2022 |title=Trump demands 'new election immediately' in bizarre post on Truth Social |url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-new-election-truth-social-b2155158.html |access-date=November 10, 2022 |work=The Independent |archive-date=November 18, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221118175952/https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-new-election-truth-social-b2155158.html |url-status=live}} In July 2024, The New York Times reported that "the Republican Party and its conservative allies are engaged in an unprecedented legal campaign targeting the American voting system", by restricting voting for partisan advantage ahead of Election Day and preparing to mount "legally dubious" challenges against the certification process if Trump were to lose.{{cite news |last1=Rutenberg |first1=Jim |last2=Corasaniti |first2=Nick |title=Unbowed by Jan. 6 Charges, Republicans Pursue Plans to Contest a Trump Defeat |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/13/us/politics/republican-election-campaign-2024.html |work=The New York Times |date=July 13, 2024 |archive-date=July 13, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240713192154/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/13/us/politics/republican-election-campaign-2024.html |url-status=live}}
In the lead-up to the 2024 election, the Republican Party made false claims of massive "noncitizen voting" by immigrants in an attempt to delegitimize the election in the event of a Trump defeat.{{Cite news |last=Broadwater |first=Luke |date=May 21, 2024 |title=House G.O.P. Moves to Crack Down on Noncitizen Voting, Sowing False Narrative |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/21/us/politics/republicans-noncitizen-voting-false-narrative.html |url-access=subscription |access-date=May 23, 2024 |archive-date=May 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240523003707/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/21/us/politics/republicans-noncitizen-voting-false-narrative.html |url-status=live}}{{Cite news |last=Swenson |first=Ali |date=May 18, 2024 |title=Noncitizen voting, already illegal in federal elections, becomes a centerpiece of 2024 GOP messaging |publisher=Associated Press |url=https://apnews.com/article/voting-immigrants-noncitizen-trump-republicans-2024-1c65429c152c2a10514b5156eacf9ca7 |access-date=May 18, 2024 |archive-date=May 18, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240518130616/https://apnews.com/article/voting-immigrants-noncitizen-trump-republicans-2024-1c65429c152c2a10514b5156eacf9ca7 |url-status=live}}{{Cite news |last1=Levine |first1=Sam |last2=Leingang |first2=Rachel |date=May 17, 2024 |title=Trump and Johnson spread unfounded fears by urging non-citizen voting ban |work=The Guardian |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/may/17/trump-johnson-non-citizen-voting-ban |access-date=May 18, 2024 |archive-date=June 19, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240619170423/https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/may/17/trump-johnson-non-citizen-voting-ban |url-status=live}} The claims were made as part of larger Republican Party efforts to disrupt the 2024 election and election denial movement.{{Cite news |last1=Riccardi |first1=Nicholas |last2=Mascaro |first2=Lisa |date=May 21, 2024 |title=Election deniers moving closer to GOP mainstream, report shows, as Trump allies fill Congress |publisher=Associated Press |url=https://apnews.com/article/congress-election-lies-2024-certification-president-460cde281d48e62e09e24c7573d6a9ff |access-date=May 23, 2024 |archive-date=May 21, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240521145524/https://apnews.com/article/congress-election-lies-2024-certification-president-460cde281d48e62e09e24c7573d6a9ff |url-status=live}} Trump and several other Republicans stated that they would not accept the results of the 2024 election if they believe they are "unfair".{{Cite news |last=Basu |first=Zachary |date=May 22, 2024 |title=Trump spreads false "assassination" claims as voters fear violence |work=Axios |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/05/22/trump-assassination-biden-fbi-violence |access-date=May 23, 2024 |archive-date=May 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240523020552/https://www.axios.com/2024/05/22/trump-assassination-biden-fbi-violence |url-status=live }}
Trump's previous comments suggesting he could "terminate" the Constitution to reverse his election loss,{{cite web |url=https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/trump-termination-us-constitution/ |title=Did Trump Say Election Fraud Allows for 'Termination' of US Constitution? |last=Ibrahim |first=Nur |date=December 5, 2022 |website=Snopes |access-date=December 9, 2023 |archive-date=May 31, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230531041042/https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/trump-termination-us-constitution/ |url-status=live}}{{Cite news |last=Astor |first=Maggie |date=December 4, 2022 |title=Trump's Call for 'Termination' of Constitution Draws Rebukes |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/04/us/politics/trump-constitution-republicans.html |access-date=December 4, 2022 |archive-date=December 4, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221204194225/https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/04/us/politics/trump-constitution-republicans.html |url-status=live}} his claim that he would only be a dictator on "day one" of his presidency and not afterwards,{{cite news |title=Trump says he would be a dictator only on 'Day One' if he wins a second term |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/donald-trump-sean-hannity-dictator-day-one/ |publisher=CBS News |date=December 6, 2023 |last=Ronaldi |first=Olivia Ronaldi |access-date=December 6, 2023 |archive-date=December 6, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231206165724/https://www.cbsnews.com/news/donald-trump-sean-hannity-dictator-day-one/ |url-status=live}} his promise to use the Justice Department to go after his political enemies,{{cite news |title=The Radical Strategy Behind Trump's Promise to 'Go After' Biden |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/15/us/politics/trump-indictment-justice-department.html |work=The New York Times |date=June 15, 2023 |last1=Swan |first1=Jonathan |last2=Savage |first2=Charlie |last3=Haberman |first3=Maggie |access-date=December 9, 2023 |archive-date=December 9, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231209211754/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/15/us/politics/trump-indictment-justice-department.html |url-status=live |url-access=subscription}} his plan to use the Insurrection Act of 1807 to deploy the military for law enforcement in primarily Democratic cities and states,{{cite news |last1=Arnsdorf |first1=Isaac |last2=Dawsey |first2=Josh |last3=Barrett |first3=Devlin |date=November 5, 2023 |title=Trump and allies plot revenge, Justice Department control in a second term |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/11/05/trump-revenge-second-term/ |access-date=December 10, 2023 |newspaper=The Washington Post |archive-date=November 5, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231105234529/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/11/05/trump-revenge-second-term/ |url-status=live}}{{cite news |last1=Fields |first1=Gary |url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-military-insurrection-act-2024-election-03858b6291e4721991b5a18c2dfb3c36 |title=Trump hints at expanded role for the military within the US. A legacy law gives him few guardrails |publisher=Associated Press |date=November 27, 2023 |access-date=December 10, 2023 |archive-date=December 10, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231210210436/https://apnews.com/article/trump-military-insurrection-act-2024-election-03858b6291e4721991b5a18c2dfb3c36 |url-status=live}} attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election, his baseless predictions of voter fraud in the 2024 election,{{Cite web |date=October 7, 2023 |title=Trump Is Lying About Another Election Being 'Stolen' From Him – The One Still A Year Away |url=https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-2024-election-lies_n_652040d0e4b09f4b8d401148 |access-date=October 7, 2023 |website=HuffPost |archive-date=October 7, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231007162752/https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-2024-election-lies_n_652040d0e4b09f4b8d401148 |url-status=live}} and his public embrace and celebration of the January 6 United States Capitol attack,{{Cite news |last1=Feuer |first1=Alan |last2=Haberman |first2=Maggie |date=April 13, 2024 |title=Inside Donald Trump's Embrace of the Jan. 6 Rioters |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/13/us/politics/trump-jan-6.html |access-date=April 14, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240413202258/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/13/us/politics/trump-jan-6.html |archive-date=April 13, 2024 }} raised concerns over the state of democracy in the United States.{{cite news |title=Talk of a Trump Dictatorship Charges the American Political Debate |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/09/us/politics/trump-dictatorship.html |work=The New York Times |date=December 9, 2023 |last1=Baker |first1=Peter |access-date=December 9, 2023 |archive-date=December 9, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231209203046/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/09/us/politics/trump-dictatorship.html |url-status=live |url-access=subscription}}{{cite news |title=Lawmakers in 32 states have introduced bills to restrict voting so far this legislative session |url=https://www.cnn.com/2023/02/22/politics/restrict-voting-bills-introduced-us/index.html |publisher=CNN |date=February 22, 2023 |last1=Mizelle |first1=Shawna |access-date=December 9, 2023 |archive-date=December 10, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231210004722/https://www.cnn.com/2023/02/22/politics/restrict-voting-bills-introduced-us/index.html |url-status=live}}{{cite news |title=How The Republican Push To Restrict Voting Could Affect Our Elections |url=https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-the-republican-push-to-restrict-voting-could-affect-our-elections/ |work=FiveThirtyEight |date=May 17, 2021 |last1=Skelley |first1=Geoffrey |access-date=December 9, 2023 |archive-date=October 21, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231021064741/https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-the-republican-push-to-restrict-voting-could-affect-our-elections/ |url-status=live}}{{Cite news |last=Gardner |first=Amy |date=March 26, 2021 |title=After Trump tried to intervene in the 2020 vote, state Republicans are moving to take more control of elections |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/republicans-election-control/2021/03/26/064fffcc-8cb4-11eb-a730-1b4ed9656258_story.html |url-status=live |newspaper=The Washington Post |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220614185326/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/republicans-election-control/2021/03/26/064fffcc-8cb4-11eb-a730-1b4ed9656258_story.html |access-date=December 9, 2023 |archive-date=June 14, 2022}} Trump's political operation said that it planned to deploy more than 100,000 attorneys and volunteers to polling places across battleground states, with an "election integrity hotline" for poll watchers and voters to report alleged voting irregularities.{{cite news |last1=Isenstadt |first1=Alex |date=April 19, 2024 |title=Trump campaign says it will deploy thousands of election workers to monitor poll sites |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/04/19/trump-campaign-election-monitoring-00153217 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240422072236/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/04/19/trump-campaign-election-monitoring-00153217 |archive-date=April 22, 2024 |access-date=July 18, 2024 |work=Politico}}
== Interference by foreign nations ==
{{Main|Foreign interference in the 2024 United States elections}}
Before the election, U.S. officials and former officials stated that foreign interference in the 2024 election was likely. Three major factors cited were "America's deepening domestic political crises, the collapse of controversial attempts to control political speech on social media, and the rise of generative AI".{{Cite web |last1=Chalfant |first1=Morgan |date=March 6, 2024 |title=U.S. braces for foreign interference in 2024 election |url=https://www.semafor.com/article/03/06/2024/us-braces-for-foreign-interference-in-2024-election |access-date=March 6, 2024 |website=Semafor |archive-date=March 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240311102441/https://www.semafor.com/article/03/06/2024/us-braces-for-foreign-interference-in-2024-election |url-status=live}} China, Russia, and Iran were identified as mounting influence operations and attempts to interfere with the 2024 election. U.S. intelligence officials described the efforts as part of broader efforts by authoritarian nations to use the internet to erode support for democracy.{{Cite web |last1=Klepper |first1=David |date=September 3, 2024 |title=China-linked 'Spamouflage' network mimics Americans online to sway US political debate |url=https://apnews.com/article/china-disinformation-network-foreign-influence-us-election-a2b396518bafd8e36635a3796c8271d7 |access-date=September 4, 2024 |publisher=The Associated Press |archive-date=September 4, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240904180359/https://apnews.com/article/china-disinformation-network-foreign-influence-us-election-a2b396518bafd8e36635a3796c8271d7 |url-status=live}}
=== China ===
{{Further|Chinese interference in the 2024 United States elections}}
China was identified as interfering with the 2024 election through propaganda and disinformation campaigns linked to its Spamouflage operation. U.S. intelligence agencies described the effort as not targeting any particular candidate but focusing on issues important to the Chinese government, such as Taiwan, and "undermining confidence in elections, voting, and the U.S. in general". As early as April 1, 2024, The New York Times reported that the Chinese government had created fake pro-Trump accounts on social media "promoting conspiracy theories, stoking domestic divisions and attacking President Biden ahead of the election in November".{{cite news |last1=Hsu |first1=Tiffany |last2=Myers |first2=Steven Lee |date=April 1, 2024 |title=China's Advancing Efforts to Influence the U.S. Election Raise Alarms |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/01/business/media/china-online-disinformation-us-election.html |access-date=April 3, 2024 |work=The New York Times |archive-date=April 3, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240403091121/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/01/business/media/china-online-disinformation-us-election.html |url-status=live}}
=== Russia ===
{{Further|Russian interference in the 2024 United States elections}}
According to disinformation experts and intelligence agencies, Russia spread disinformation ahead of the 2024 election to damage Biden and Democrats, boost candidates supporting isolationism, and undercut support for Ukraine aid and NATO.{{Cite web |last1=De Luce |first1=Dan |date=February 26, 2024 |title=Russia's 2024 election interference has already begun |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/news/investigations/russias-2024-election-interference-already-begun-rcna134204 |access-date=April 3, 2024 |publisher=NBC News |archive-date=April 1, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240401102919/https://www.nbcnews.com/news/investigations/russias-2024-election-interference-already-begun-rcna134204 |url-status=live}}{{cite news |last1=Barnes |first1=Julian E. |last2=Sanger |first2=David E. |date=March 27, 2024 |title=Russia Amps Up Online Campaign Against Ukraine Before U.S. Elections |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/27/us/politics/russian-ukraine-us-interference.html |access-date=April 3, 2024 |work=The New York Times |archive-date=April 2, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240402012022/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/27/us/politics/russian-ukraine-us-interference.html |url-status=live}} On September 4, 2024, the United States publicly accused Russia of interfering in the 2024 election and announced several steps to combat Russian influence including sanctions, indictments, and seizing of web domains used to spread propaganda and disinformation. U.S. intelligence agencies assessed that Russia preferred Trump to win the election, viewing him as more critical of American support for Ukraine.{{Cite news |last1=Barnes |first1=Julian E. |last2=Thrush |first2=Glenn |last3=Myers |first3=Steven Lee |date=September 4, 2024 |title=U.S. Announces Plan to Counter Russian Influence Ahead of 2024 Election |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/04/us/politics/russia-election-influence.html |access-date=September 4, 2024 |newspaper=The New York Times |archive-date=September 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240911074009/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/04/us/politics/russia-election-influence.html |url-status=live}}
=== Iran ===
{{Further|Iranian interference in the 2024 United States elections}}
Iran was identified as interfering with the 2024 presidential election through front companies connected to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and hacking attempts against the Trump, Biden, and Harris campaigns starting as early as May 2024. Iran launched propaganda and disinformation campaigns through fake news websites and accounts on social media to tip the election against former president Trump. The New York Times stated the efforts were an attempt at "sowing internal discord and discrediting the democratic system in the United States more broadly in the eyes of the world".{{Cite web |last=Collier |first=Kevin |date=August 14, 2024 |title=Google says it observed Iran trying to hack the Trump and Biden-Harris campaigns |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/security/google-says-observed-iran-trying-hack-trump-biden-harris-campaigns-rcna166645 |access-date=August 16, 2024 |website=USA Today |archive-date=August 16, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240816091952/https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/security/google-says-observed-iran-trying-hack-trump-biden-harris-campaigns-rcna166645 |url-status=live}}{{Cite news |last1=Myers |first1=Steven Lee |last2=Hsu |first2=Tiffany |last3=Fassihi |first3=Farnaz |date=September 4, 2024 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/04/business/media/iran-disinformation-us-presidential-race.html |title=Iran Emerges as a Top Disinformation Threat in U.S. Presidential Race |work=The New York Times |archive-date=September 4, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240904160052/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/04/business/media/iran-disinformation-us-presidential-race.html/ |url-status=live}}{{Cite web |last=Morrison |first=Dan |date=August 12, 2024 |title=FBI probes Trump hack, Harris team says it was also targeted in failed attempt |url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/08/12/trump-hack-harris-fbi/74775669007/ |access-date= |website=USA Today |archive-date=August 15, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240815191443/https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/08/12/trump-hack-harris-fbi/74775669007/ |url-status=live}}
= Voter roll purges =
{{Further|Republican efforts to restrict voting following the 2020 presidential election}}
Multiple Republican-led administrations removed voters from their states' voter rolls in the lead up to the election, which critics argued violates the National Voter Registration Act.{{Cite web |last=Timm |first=Jane |date=August 29, 2024 |title=GOP crackdowns on noncitizen voting ensnare newly naturalized Americans |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/gop-crackdowns-noncitizen-voting-ensnare-newly-naturalized-americans-rcna168234 |access-date=November 2, 2024 |publisher=NBC News}}{{Cite news |last=Levine |first=Sam |date=August 30, 2024 |title='The chilling effect': behind GOP-led states' efforts to purge some voters from the rolls |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/aug/30/gop-led-states-voting-rights |access-date=November 2, 2024 |work=The Guardian |issn=0261-3077}}{{Cite news |author-link=Mark Joseph Stern |last=Stern |first=Mark Joseph |date=October 30, 2024 |title=The Supreme Court Just Carved an Outrageous Loophole Into a Major Voting Rights Law |url=https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2024/10/us-presidential-election-supreme-court-virginia-voter-rolls-purge.html |access-date=November 2, 2024 |work=Slate |issn=1091-2339}} In July 2024, 160,000 inactive or infrequent voters were removed from Ohio's voter rolls.{{Cite web |last=Trau |first=Morgan |date=May 3, 2024 |title=How to find out if you are still registered to vote before Ohio's purge |url=https://www.news5cleveland.com/news/politics/ohio-politics/how-to-find-out-if-you-are-still-registered-to-vote-before-ohios-purge |access-date=November 2, 2024 |website=WEWS-TV}}{{Cite web |last=Trau |first=Morgan |date=July 12, 2024 |title=Advocates concerned with Ohio's mass voter purge set to remove 500 people experiencing homelessness • Ohio Capital Journal |url=https://ohiocapitaljournal.com/2024/07/12/advocates-concerned-with-ohios-mass-voter-purge-set-to-remove-500-people-experiencing-homelessness/ |access-date=November 2, 2024 |website=Ohio Capital Journal}} The Ohio chapters of Common Cause and the League of Women Voters threatened lawsuits against the state over the purge.{{Cite web |date=October 4, 2024 |title=Advocates urge Ohio to restore voter registrations removed in alleged violations of federal law |url=https://apnews.com/article/election-2024-ohio-voter-registration-challenges-03c8c82f0742c963afa680882fedbc37 |access-date=November 2, 2024 |website=AP News}}{{Cite web |last=Luca |first=Giacomo |date=October 8, 2024 |title=Early voting begins Tuesday in Ohio, Indiana as concerns grow over voter roll purge |url=https://www.wlwt.com/article/2024-early-voting-ohio-indiana-voter-roll-purge-concerns/62539978 |access-date=November 2, 2024 |website=WLWT}}
In August 2024, Governor Glenn Youngkin of Virginia signed an executive order removing 6,303 voters suspected of being non-citizens from Virginia's voter rolls.{{Cite web |last=Gamboa |first=Suzanne |date=August 23, 2024 |title=A Virginia voter roll purge sparks renewed rhetoric over 'non-citizens' casting ballots |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/news/latino/virginia-governor-youngkin-voter-purge-noncitizens-errors-election-rcna167925 |access-date=October 30, 2024 |publisher=NBC News}}{{Cite news |last=Mirshahi |first=Dean |date=August 8, 2024 |title=Youngkin's election security order gets Trump's praise and Democratic criticism |url=https://www.wric.com/news/virginia-news/youngkins-election-security-order-gets-trumps-praise-and-democratic-criticism/ |access-date=October 30, 2024 |work=WRIC}} In October 2024, the U.S. Department of Justice sued the Virginia Board of Elections and Virginia commissioner of elections over the voter purge, alleging that it violated the National Voter Registration Act.{{Cite news |last=Ward |first=Jasper |date=October 11, 2024 |title=Justice Dept sues Virginia for violating federal election law |url=https://www.reuters.com/legal/us-justice-dept-sues-virginia-violating-federal-election-law-2024-10-11/ |access-date=October 30, 2024 |work=Reuters}}{{Cite web |last=Lim |first=Clarissa-Jan |date=October 25, 2024 |title=Justice Department sues Virginia for its voter purge over nonexistent 'noncitizen voting' |url=https://www.msnbc.com/top-stories/latest/virginia-voter-purge-noncitizen-justice-department-lawsuit-rcna175155 |access-date=October 30, 2024 |publisher=MSNBC}} The suit also found a number of alleged non-citizens purged were actually citizens.{{Cite web |last=Sneed |first=Tierney |date=October 27, 2024 |title=Appeals court keeps Virginia voter purge program blocked, setting up Supreme Court fight |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/27/politics/virginia-voter-purge-court-ruling/index.html |access-date=October 30, 2024 |publisher=CNN}} District judge Patricia Tolliver Giles ruled that the removal was illegal, ordering the state to stop purging voter rolls and to restore the voter registration of more than 1,600 voters who had been removed.{{Cite news |last=Lo Wang |first=Hansi |date=October 25, 2024 |title=A judge orders Virginia to restore registered voters purged too close to Election Day |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/10/25/nx-s1-5163389/virginia-voter-purge |access-date=October 30, 2024 |publisher=NPR}} The 4th Circuit Court of Appeals then upheld the order.{{Cite web |last=Quinn |first=Melissa |date=October 30, 2024 |title=Supreme Court clears way for Virginia to remove 1,600 alleged noncitizens from voter rolls – CBS News |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/supreme-court-virginia-voter-rolls/ |access-date=October 30, 2024 |website=CBS News}}{{Cite news |last=Joffe-Block |first=Jude |date=October 30, 2024 |title=U.S. citizens are among the voters removed in Virginia's controversial purge |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/10/29/nx-s1-5169204/virginia-noncitizen-voter-purge |work=Morning Edition |publisher=NPR}} The administration filed an emergency appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court, which sided with Virginia in a 6–3 decision along ideological lines, allowing the state to continue purging voter rolls.{{Cite web |date=October 30, 2024 |title=Supreme Court's conservative justices allow Virginia to resume its purge of voter registrations |url=https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-virginia-voter-registration-purge-ba3d785d9d2d169d9c02207a42893757 |access-date=October 30, 2024 |website=AP News}}
In August 2024, Alabama Secretary of State Wes Allen announced a process for purging 3,251 registered Alabama voters and referred them to the state attorney general's office for criminal prosecution.{{Cite web |date=October 16, 2024 |title=Federal judge blocks Alabama's voter purge program ahead of election |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/federal-judge-blocks-alabama-voter-purge-program-rcna175808 |access-date=November 2, 2024 |publisher=NBC News}} In September 2024, the Department of Justice sued Alabama for violating the National Voter Registration Act.{{Cite web |last=Cole |first=Devan |date=September 29, 2024 |title=Justice Department sues Alabama over its effort to remove more than 3,000 names from voter rolls too close to election |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/29/politics/alabama-justice-department-election-lawsuit/index.html |access-date=November 2, 2024 |publisher=CNN}}{{Cite news |last=Lo Wang |first=Hansi |date=September 27, 2024 |title=Justice Department sues Alabama, claiming it purged voters too close to the election |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/09/27/nx-s1-5131578/alabama-noncitizen-voter-purge-lawsuit |access-date=November 2, 2024 |publisher=NPR}} In October 2024, district judge Anna Manasco ruled in favor of the Department of Justice, ordering the state to restore the voter registrations.{{Cite news |last=Rubin |first=April |date=October 16, 2024 |title=Federal judge orders Alabama to halt voter purge program and restore eligible voters |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/10/16/alabama-voter-purge-federal-judge-order-restore |work=Axios}}{{Cite web |last=Riddle |first=Safiyah |date=October 16, 2024 |title=A federal judge halts an Alabama program that purged thousands of legal voters |url=https://apnews.com/article/alabama-voter-purge-allen-secretary-state-judge-6cec74a5bc2afef14beae6827d4cf971 |access-date=November 2, 2024 |website=AP News}} Alabama secretary of state's chief of staff Clay Helms testified that 2,000 of the purged voters were legally registered citizens.
= Criminal and civil legal proceedings involving Donald Trump =
{{Main|Indictments against Donald Trump}}
{{Further|Federal prosecution of Donald Trump (election obstruction case)|Georgia election racketeering prosecution|Federal prosecution of Donald Trump (classified documents case)|Prosecution of Donald Trump in New York|Personal and business legal affairs of Donald Trump}}
Trump was the subject of various criminal and civil legal proceedings before and during his 2024 re-election campaign. Specifically, Trump was found liable in a civil proceeding for financial fraud in 2023, was found liable for both sexual abuse and defamation in 2023, and was found liable for defamation in a related civil proceeding in 2024. In 2024, Trump was criminally convicted of 34 felonies related to falsifying business records.{{Cite web |date=December 28, 2023 |title=How Trump's criminal and civil cases could shape the 2024 campaign |url=https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/how-trumps-criminal-and-civil-cases-could-shape-the-2024-campaign |access-date=April 14, 2024 |website=PBS NewsHour |archive-date=April 14, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240414044859/https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/how-trumps-criminal-and-civil-cases-could-shape-the-2024-campaign |url-status=live}} Trump and other Republicans made numerous false and misleading statements regarding Trump's various legal proceedings, including false claims that they were "rigged" or consisted of "election interference" orchestrated by Biden and the Democratic Party.{{Cite news |last=Qiu |first=Linda |date=May 31, 2024 |title=Trump and Allies Assail Conviction With Faulty Claims |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/31/us/politics/trump-speech-fact-check.html |url-access=subscription |access-date=June 9, 2024 |archive-date=June 1, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240601040801/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/31/us/politics/trump-speech-fact-check.html |url-status=live}}
File:Classified intelligence material found during search of Mar-a-Lago.jpg in 2022]]
On May 30, 2024, Trump was found guilty by a jury of all 34 felony counts in The People of the State of New York v. Donald J. Trump. The jury found that Trump falsified business records relating to hush money payments made to pornographic film star Stormy Daniels to ensure her silence about a sexual encounter between them. This conviction made Trump the first former U.S. president to be convicted of a crime.{{Cite news |title=The Trump Manhattan Criminal Verdict, Count By Count |work=The New York Times |last1=Gamio |first1=Lazaro |last2=Yourish |first2=Karen |last3=Haag |first3=Matthew |last4=Bromwich |first4=Jonah E. |last5=Haberman |first5=Maggie |last6=Lai |first6=K.K. Rebecca |date=May 30, 2024 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/05/30/nyregion/trump-hush-money-verdict.html |access-date=May 30, 2024 |archive-date=May 30, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240530210216/https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/05/30/nyregion/trump-hush-money-verdict.html |url-status=live}} On January 10, 2025, Trump was given a no-penalty sentence known as an unconditional discharge.{{Cite web|url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-hush-money-sentencing-stormy-daniels-33e070bd3c1acb609bba13f23d784a3a|title=Trump gets no-penalty sentence in his hush money case, while calling it 'despicable'|date=January 10, 2025|website=AP News}}
Trump faced other criminal charges as well. In United States of America v. Donald J. Trump, Trump faced four criminal counts for his alleged role in attempting to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election and involvement in the January 6 United States Capitol attack; the case was dismissed following Trump's re-election in November 2024.{{Cite web|url=https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-tanya-chutkan-washington-case-dismissed-2024-election-1991663|title=Read in full: How Judge Chutkan dismissed Donald Trump case|last=O'Driscoll |first=Sean|date=November 26, 2024|website=Newsweek}} In The State of Georgia v. Donald J. Trump, et al., Trump was charged with eight criminal counts for his alleged attempts to overturn the results of the 2020 United States presidential election in Georgia. District Attorney Fani Willis was disqualified from prosecuting the case; Willis has appealed that decision.{{Cite web|url=https://abcnews.go.com/US/da-fani-willis-appeals-disqualification-trumps-georgia-election/story?id=117510125|title=DA Fani Willis appeals her disqualification from Trump's Georgia election interference casewebsite=ABC News|last=Rubin|first=Olivia| website=ABC News |date=January 9, 2025}} In United States of America v. Donald J. Trump, Waltine Nauta, and Carlos De Oliveira, Trump faced 40 criminal counts relating to his hoarding of classified documents and alleged obstruction of efforts to retrieve them;{{Cite news |title=Keeping Track of the Trump Criminal Cases |work=The New York Times |date=July 26, 2023 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/us/trump-investigations-charges-indictments.html |access-date=April 27, 2024 |archive-date=April 27, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240427135145/https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/us/trump-investigations-charges-indictments.html |url-status=live}} the case was dismissed in July 2024.{{cite news |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/07/15/nx-s1-5040355/judge-dismisses-trump-classified-docs-case |title=Judge dismisses Trump classified docs case |work=NPR |last=Johnson |first=Carrie |date=July 15, 2024 |access-date=April 22, 2025}}
On May 9, 2023, in E. Jean Carroll v. Donald J. Trump, an anonymous jury found Trump civilly liable{{Cite web |last=Berman |first=Dan |date=March 23, 2023 |title=Carroll v. Trump jurors will be anonymous, judge says, citing Trump's reaction to hush money investigation |url=https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/23/politics/carroll-trump-jury/index.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230402112134/https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/23/politics/carroll-trump-jury/index.html |archive-date=April 2, 2023 |access-date=March 24, 2023 |publisher=CNN}} for sexual abuse/rape{{efn|name=def|New York Penal Law defines rape as vaginal penetration by the penis, which Carroll stated perhaps entered only "halfway".{{cite web |title=Memorandum Opinion Denying Defendant's Rule 59 Motion |url=https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nysd.590045/gov.uscourts.nysd.590045.212.0.pdf |access-date=July 19, 2023 |website=CourtListener |publisher=United States District Court |archive-date=July 19, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230719204757/https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nysd.590045/gov.uscourts.nysd.590045.212.0.pdf |url-status=live}}{{Cite news |last=Blake |first=Aaron |date=July 19, 2023 |title=Judge clarifies: Yes, Trump was found to have raped E. Jean Carroll |language=en-US |newspaper=The Washington Post |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/07/19/trump-carroll-judge-rape/ |access-date=July 20, 2023 |archive-date=January 16, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240116123815/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/07/19/trump-carroll-judge-rape/ |url-status=live}}{{Cite web |last=Herrmann |first=Mark |date=July 24, 2023 |title=The Impact Of The Denial Of A New Trial On Trump's Defamation Counterclaim Against E. Jean Carroll |url=https://abovethelaw.com/2023/07/the-impact-of-the-denial-of-a-new-trial-on-trumps-defamation-counterclaim-against-e-jean-carroll/ |access-date=July 25, 2023 |website=Above the Law |language=en-US}}{{cite web |last1=Reiss |first1=Adam |last2=Gregorian |first2=Dareh |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/judge-tosses-trumps-counterclaim-e-jean-carroll-finding-rape-claim-sub-rcna98577 |title=Judge tosses Trump's counterclaim against E. Jean Carroll, finding rape claim is 'substantially true' |publisher=NBC News |date=August 7, 2023 |access-date=August 13, 2023}}}}{{efn|name=def2|A state law passed in late January 2024 expanded the state's legal definition of rape to include nonconsensual vaginal, anal, and oral contact, effective non-retroactively beginning in September 2024.{{Cite news |last=The AP |date=January 30, 2024 |title=New York to expand definition of rape after E Jean Carroll's case against Trump |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/jan/30/new-york-rape-definition-expanded-bill-kathy-hochul-e-jean-carroll-donald-trump |access-date=January 31, 2024 |work=The Guardian |language=en-GB |archive-date=January 31, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240131040506/https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/jan/30/new-york-rape-definition-expanded-bill-kathy-hochul-e-jean-carroll-donald-trump |url-status=live}}}}{{clarify|date=April 2025}} and defamation, and ordered him to pay Carroll $5 million in damages.{{cite news |url=https://www.reuters.com/legal/jurors-set-deliberate-civil-rape-case-against-donald-trump-2023-05-09/ |title=Jury finds Trump sexually abused writer E. Jean Carroll, awards her $5 mln |first1=Jack |last1=Queen |first2=Luc |last2=Cohen |work=Reuters |date=May 9, 2023 |access-date=May 9, 2023 |archive-date=May 9, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230509190650/https://www.reuters.com/legal/jurors-set-deliberate-civil-rape-case-against-donald-trump-2023-05-09/ |url-status=live}} In a related case brought by Carroll against Trump, a jury awarded Carroll $83.3 million.{{Cite web |last=Boboltz |first=Sara |date=January 26, 2024 |title=Jury Awards E. Jean Carroll Over $80 Million In Case Against Trump |url=https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-e-jean-carroll-defamation-assault-verdict_n_65b3cac3e4b0d407294ef204 |website=HuffPost |language=en |archive-date=January 27, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240127020539/https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-e-jean-carroll-defamation-assault-verdict_n_65b3cac3e4b0d407294ef204 |url-status=live }} As of April 2025, appeals were ongoing in both cases.{{Cite web|url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-e-jean-carroll-defamation-case-justice-department/|title=Justice Department wants to step in for Trump in E. Jean Carroll appeal|last1=Kates|first1=Graham |last2=Kaufman|first2=Katrina|date=April 17, 2025|website=www.cbsnews.com}}
In September 2023, Trump was found civilly liable for financial fraud in New York v. Trump.{{Cite web|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-66931855|title=Donald Trump liable for business fraud, says judge in New York civil case|date=September 26, 2023|via=www.bbc.com}} In February 2024, he was ordered to pay a $354.8 million fine, together with approximately $100 million in interest.{{Cite web|url=https://abcnews.go.com/US/live-updates/trump-fraud-trial/questioning-of-controller-ends-on-dramatic-note-103789840?id=103642561&entryId=104978329|title=Judge limits testimony about 'trophy properties'|website=ABC News|last1=Charalambous |first1=Peter|last2=Katersky|first2=Aaron|date=February 16, 2024}} As of January 29, 2025, an appeal was ongoing.{{Cite web|url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jan/29/trump-appeals-hush-money-conviction|title=Donald Trump appeals his New York hush-money conviction|work=The Guardian |date=January 29, 2025}}
Trump made efforts to delay his trials until after the 2024 election.{{Cite web |last1=Feuer |first1=Alan |last2=Haberman |first2=Maggie |title=Trump's Court Delays Pile Up While the Presidential Race Gathers Speed |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/14/us/politics/trump-trial-delays-manhattan-documents.html |date=March 14, 2024 |access-date=April 27, 2024 |website=The New York Times |archive-date=April 28, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240428013541/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/14/us/politics/trump-trial-delays-manhattan-documents.html |url-status=live}}{{Cite web |last1=Knutson |first1=Jacob |title=Where the legal debate stands on whether Trump can pardon himself |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/01/09/trump-pardon-felony-president |date=January 9, 2024 |access-date=April 27, 2024 |website=Axios |archive-date=April 28, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240428013541/https://www.axios.com/2024/01/09/trump-pardon-felony-president |url-status=live}} On July 1, 2024, the Supreme Court delivered a 6–3 decision in Trump v. United States, ruling that Trump had absolute immunity for acts he committed as president within his core constitutional purview, at least presumptive immunity for official acts within the outer perimeter of his official responsibility, and no immunity for unofficial acts.{{cite news |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme-court/supreme-court-rules-trump-may-immunity-federal-election-inter-rcna149135 |title=Supreme Court provides win to Trump, ruling he has immunity for many acts in election interference indictment |first=Lawrence |last=Hurley |publisher=NBC News |date=July 1, 2024 |access-date=July 1, 2024 |archive-date=July 1, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240701143716/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme-court/supreme-court-rules-trump-may-immunity-federal-election-inter-rcna149135 |url-status=live}}{{Cite web |last=Fisher |first=Joe |date=July 1, 2024 |title=Supreme Court rules Trump has partial immunity for official acts only |url=https://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2024/07/01/supreme-court-trump-immunity-opinion/2581719843674 |access-date=July 1, 2024 |website=United Press International |archive-date=July 1, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240701175056/https://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2024/07/01/supreme-court-trump-immunity-opinion/2581719843674/ |url-status=live}}{{Cite web |date=July 1, 2024 |title=Highlights of the Supreme Court Ruling on Presidential Immunity |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/01/us/politics/supreme-court-immunity-ruling-highlights.html |first=Charlie |last=Savage |author-link=Charlie Savage (author) |website=The New York Times |access-date=July 2, 2024 |archive-date=July 2, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240702183135/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/01/us/politics/supreme-court-immunity-ruling-highlights.html |url-status=live}}
= Age and health concerns =
== Joe Biden ==
{{main|Age and health concerns about Joe Biden}}
Mass media, lawmakers, and Donald Trump raised concerns about President Biden's age, including his cognitive state, during and after the 2020 United States presidential election. According to a February 2024 poll, Biden's age and health were major or moderate concerns for 86% of voters generally,{{cite web |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/11/poll-biden-too-old-for-another-term-00140852 |title=Poll: Overwhelming majority of Americans think Biden is too old for another term |date=February 11, 2024 |first1=Kelly |last1=Garrity |website=Politico |access-date=February 13, 2024 |archive-date=February 13, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240213044558/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/11/poll-biden-too-old-for-another-term-00140852 |url-status=live}} up from 76% in 2020.{{Cite web |date=February 8, 2024 |title=Age isn't just a number. It's a profound and growing problem for Biden. |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/08/biden-mental-fitness-major-focus-00140503 |access-date=February 9, 2024 |website=Politico |archive-date=February 9, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240209185017/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/08/biden-mental-fitness-major-focus-00140503 |url-status=live}} According to another February 2024 poll, most of those who voted for Biden in 2020 believed he was too old to be an effective president; The New York Times noted that these concerns "cut across generations, gender, race and education".{{cite news |last1=Lerer |first1=Lisa |last2=Igielnik |first2=Ruth |title=Majority of Biden's 2020 Voters Now Say He's Too Old to Be Effective |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/03/us/politics/biden-age-trump-poll.html |access-date=March 3, 2024 |work=The New York Times |date=March 3, 2024 |archive-date=March 3, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240303155011/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/03/us/politics/biden-age-trump-poll.html |url-status=live}}
Concerns about Biden's age and health increased after a poor performance by Biden during a debate against Trump in June 2024. That performance led a number of commentators and Democratic lawmakers to call for Biden to drop out of the 2024 presidential race.{{Cite web |date=July 17, 2024 |title=Rep. Schiff calls on Biden to drop out, citing 'serious concerns' that he can't win |url=https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2024-07-17/schiff-calls-on-biden-to-drop-out-citing-serious-concerns-that-he-can-win |access-date=July 18, 2024 |website=Los Angeles Times |language=en-US |archive-date=July 19, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240719090526/https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2024-07-17/schiff-calls-on-biden-to-drop-out-citing-serious-concerns-that-he-can-win |url-status=live}} In July 2024, Biden withdrew his candidacy while stating that he would continue serving as president until the conclusion of his term.
== Donald Trump ==
{{Main|Age and health concerns about Donald Trump}}
In the summer before the election, polling showed at least half of Americans thought that Trump, who is 78 years old, was too old to serve a second term, with 80% unsure he would be able to finish out a second term.{{Cite web |last1=Kilander |first1=Gustaf |date=August 7, 2024 |title=Half of voters voice concerns about Trump's age ahead of election |url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/donald-trump-age-polls-2024-election-b2592619.html |website=The Independent}} Numerous public figures, media sources, and mental health professionals speculated that Trump may have some form of dementia, which runs in his family.{{Cite news |last=Kranish |first=Michael |date=July 22, 2024 |title=Trump's age and health under renewed scrutiny after Biden's exit |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/22/trump-age-health/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240723001043/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/22/trump-age-health/ |archive-date=July 23, 2024 |access-date=August 20, 2024 |newspaper=Washington Post}} Experts for the science publication STAT who analyzed changes in Trump's speeches between 2015 and 2024 noted shorter sentences, more tangents, more repetition, and more confusion of words and phrases. Doctors suggested these changes could relate to Trump's moods or could indicate the beginning of Alzheimer's. One expert noted an increase in expressions of all-or-nothing thinking by Trump. A sharp rise in all-or-nothing thinking is also linked to cognitive decline.{{Cite magazine |last=Rashid |first=Hafiz |date=August 8, 2024 |title=Cognitive Decline? Experts Find Evidence Trump's Mind Is Slowing |url=https://newrepublic.com/post/184690/cognitive-decline-experts-find-evidence-trumps-mind-slowing |access-date=August 19, 2024 |magazine=The New Republic}} The New York Times reported that Trump's 2024 speeches had grown "darker, harsher, longer, angrier, less focused, more profane and increasingly fixated on the past", and that experts considered this increase in tangential speech and behavioral disinhibition as a possible consequence of advancing age and cognitive decline.{{Cite news |last1=Baker |first1=Peter |last2=Freedman |first2=Dylan |date=October 6, 2024 |title=Trump's Speeches, Increasingly Angry and Rambling, Reignite the Question of Age |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/06/us/politics/trump-speeches-age-cognitive-decline.html |access-date=October 8, 2024 |archive-date=October 8, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241008051103/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/06/us/politics/trump-speeches-age-cognitive-decline.html |url-status=live}} Trump was also criticized for his lack of transparency around his medical records and health.{{cite web |last1=Wierson |first1=Arick |date=April 14, 2022 |title=Why Trump's offhand comment about his health could be a watershed moment |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/think/opinion/trumps-comment-health-watershed-moment-2024-election-rcna24298 |work=MSNBC |access-date=August 20, 2024 |archive-date=September 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240911074541/https://www.nbcnews.com/think/opinion/trumps-comment-health-watershed-moment-2024-election-rcna24298 |url-status=live}}
= Violent rhetoric =
{{Main|Political violence in the 2024 United States presidential election}}
{{See also|Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign#Violent and dehumanizing statements}}
File:President Biden Addresses the Nation, July 14, 2024 (no ASL).webm
Several scholars, lawmakers, intelligence agencies, and the members of the public expressed concerns about political violence surrounding the 2024 election.{{Cite news |last1=Pezenik |first1=Sasha |last2=Margolin |first2=Josh |date=February 2, 2024 |title=The top threats facing the 2024 election |publisher=ABC News |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2024-election-face-complicated-array-threats-dhs/story?id=106879560 |access-date=July 13, 2024 |archive-date=July 7, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240707005110/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2024-election-face-complicated-array-threats-dhs/story?id=106879560 |url-status=live}}{{Cite news |last=Solender |first=Andrew |date=May 30, 2024 |title=Lawmakers fear potential unrest after Trump verdict |work=Axios |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/05/31/congress-violence-trump-guilty-verdict |access-date=July 13, 2024 |archive-date=July 3, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240703234559/https://www.axios.com/2024/05/31/congress-violence-trump-guilty-verdict |url-status=live}} The fears came amidst increasing threats and acts of physical violence targeting public officials and election workers at all levels of government.{{Cite news |last1=Hakim |first1=Danny |last2=Bensinger |first2=Ken |last3=Sullivan |first3=Eileen |date=May 20, 2024 |title='We'll See You at Your House': How Fear and Menace Are Transforming Politics |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/19/us/politics/political-violence.html |url-access=subscription |access-date=July 13, 2024 |archive-date=June 24, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240624192316/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/19/us/politics/political-violence.html |url-status=live}}{{Cite news |last1=Walton |first1=Daniel |date=July 30, 2024 |title='Ripe for political violence': US election officials are quitting at an alarming rate |work=The Guardian |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/jul/30/us-election-officials-leaving-2024-elections-north-carolina |url-access=subscription |access-date=July 13, 2024 |archive-date=April 8, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240408072653/https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/jul/30/us-election-officials-leaving-2024-elections-north-carolina |url-status=live}} Trump was identified as a key figure in increasing political violence in the United States both for and against him.{{Cite news |last=Baker |first=Peter |date=September 16, 2024 |title=Trump, Outrage and the Modern Era of Political Violence |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/16/us/politics/trump-violence-assassination-attempt.html |access-date=September 28, 2024 |archive-date=September 26, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240926210759/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/16/us/politics/trump-violence-assassination-attempt.html |url-status=live }}{{Cite journal |last1=Nacos |first1=Brigitte L. |last2=Shapiro |first2=Robert Y. |last3=Bloch-Elkon |first3=Yaeli |year=2020 |title=Donald Trump: Aggressive Rhetoric and Political Violence |journal=Perspectives on Terrorism |publisher=International Centre for Counter-Terrorism |volume=14 |issue=5 |pages=2–25 |issn=2334-3745 |jstor=26940036 |jstor-access=free}}{{Cite journal |last1=Piazza |first1=James |last2=Van Doren |first2=Natalia |date=October 8, 2022 |title=It's About Hate: Approval of Donald Trump, Racism, Xenophobia and Support for Political Violence |url=https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/1532673X221131561 |journal=American Politics Research |volume=51 |issue=3 |pages=299–314 |access-date=September 28, 2024 |issn=1532-673X |doi=10.1177/1532673X221131561 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240929000738/https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/1532673X221131561 |archive-date=September 29, 2024}} Political violence was at its highest since the 1970s, and the most recent violence came from right-wing assailants.{{Cite news |last1=Parker |first1=Ned |last2=Eisler |first2=Peter |date=October 21, 2024 |title=New cases of political violence roil US ahead of contentious election |work=Reuters |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/new-cases-political-violence-roil-us-ahead-contentious-election-2024-10-21/ |access-date=October 22, 2024}}{{Cite news |last1=Parker |first1=Ned |last2=Eisler |first2=Peter |date=August 9, 2023 |title=Political violence in polarized U.S. at its worst since 1970s |work=Reuters |url=https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/usa-politics-violence/}} Trump increasingly embraced far-right extremism, conspiracy theories such as Q-Anon, and far-right militia movements to a greater extent than any modern American president.{{Cite news |last1=Baker |first1=Peter |date=December 1, 2022 |title=Trump Embraces Extremism as He Seeks to Reclaim Office |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/01/us/politics/trump-extremism-candidacy.html |url-access=subscription |access-date=July 13, 2024 |archive-date=April 16, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240416102953/https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/01/us/politics/trump-extremism-candidacy.html |url-status=live }}{{Cite news |last1=Swenson |first1=Ali |last2=Kunzelman |first2=Michael |date=November 18, 2023 |title=Fears of political violence are growing as the 2024 campaign heats up and conspiracy theories evolve |publisher=Associated Press |url=https://apnews.com/article/depape-paul-pelosi-qanon-conspiracy-theories-violence-390ad310fa34b0edb925d88540a7ddcd |url-access=subscription |access-date=July 13, 2024 |archive-date=May 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240511205554/https://apnews.com/article/depape-paul-pelosi-qanon-conspiracy-theories-violence-390ad310fa34b0edb925d88540a7ddcd |url-status=live }} Trump also espoused dehumanizing, combative, and violent rhetoric,{{Cite web|url=https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2024/10/trump-violent-rhetoric-timeline/680403/|title=A Brief History of Trump's Violent Remarks|website=theatlantic.com|first1=Isabel|last1=Fattal|first2=Stephanie|last2=Bai|date=October 31, 2024}} and promised retribution against his political enemies. Trump played down but refused to rule out violence following the 2024 election, stating "it depends".{{cite news |last1=Ibssa |first1=Lalee |last2=Kim |first2=Soo Rin |date=April 30, 2024 |title=Trump says 'it depends' if there will be violence if he loses 2024 election to Biden |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-asked-violence-loses-november-election-biden-depends/story?id=109787140 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240430182158/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-asked-violence-loses-november-election-biden-depends/story?id=109787140 |archive-date=April 30, 2024 |access-date=April 30, 2024 |publisher=ABC News}} Trump also suggested using the military against "the enemy from within" on Election Day that he described as "radical left lunatics", Democratic politicians, and those opposed to his candidacy.{{cite news |last1=Stracqualursi |first1=Veronica |title=Trump suggests using military against 'enemy from within' on Election Day |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/13/politics/trump-military-enemy-from-within-election-day/index.html |publisher=CNN |date=October 14, 2024}}{{cite news |last1=Lerer |first1=Lisa |last2=Gold |first2=Michael |title=Trump Escalates Threats to Political Opponents He Deems the 'Enemy' |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/15/us/politics/trump-opponents-enemy-within.html |work=The New York Times |date=October 15, 2024 }}
Nominations
= Republican Party =
{{Main|2024 Republican Party presidential primaries|2024 Republican Party presidential candidates}}
File:Republican Party presidential primaries results, 2024.svg, which went to Nikki Haley (orange).]]
Trump filed and announced his candidacy a week following the 2022 midterm elections.{{cite news |last1=Jackson |first1=David |last2=Mansfield |first2=Erin |last3=Looker |first3=Rachel |title=Donald Trump files federal paperwork for 2024 presidential run as GOP debates party future: live updates |url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2022/11/16/donald-trump-president-candidacy-2024-live-updates/10297004002/ |access-date=November 15, 2022 |work=USA Today |date=November 15, 2022 |archive-date=November 16, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221116000312/https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2022/11/16/donald-trump-president-candidacy-2024-live-updates/10297004002/ |url-status=live}} Trump was considered an early frontrunner for the Republican presidential nomination.{{Cite web |last=Bravender |first=Robin |date=November 10, 2021 |title=A top campaign strategist for Ted Cruz and Glenn Youngkin says 'if Trump runs, Trump will be the nominee' in 2024 |url=https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-republican-nominee-2024-biden-kamala-harris-jeff-roe-2021-11 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220109061340/https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-republican-nominee-2024-biden-kamala-harris-jeff-roe-2021-11 |archive-date=January 9, 2022 |access-date=January 9, 2022 |work=Business Insider }} He had announced in March 2022 that his former vice president Mike Pence would not be his running mate.{{Cite web |last=Hagen |first=Lisa |date=March 16, 2022 |title=Trump Appears to Rule Out Pence as Running Mate in Potential 2024 Run |url=https://www.usnews.com/news/politics/articles/2022-03-16/trump-appears-to-rule-out-pence-as-running-mate-in-potential-2024-run |access-date=June 16, 2023 |work=US News & World Report |archive-date=June 16, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230616124509/https://www.usnews.com/news/politics/articles/2022-03-16/trump-appears-to-rule-out-pence-as-running-mate-in-potential-2024-run |url-status=live}}
Trump faced opposition in the primaries. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis was initially viewed as the main challenger to Trump for the Republican nomination, having raised more campaign funds in the first half of 2022 and posting more favorable polling numbers than Trump by the end of 2022.{{Cite web |last=Margaritoff |first=Marco |date=July 16, 2022 |title=Trump Fundraising Slows For First Time In 18 Months, Trails DeSantis |url=https://www.huffpost.com/entry/donald-trump-fundraising-slows_n_62d2be11e4b0f69130305225 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220720105743/https://www.huffpost.com/entry/donald-trump-fundraising-slows_n_62d2be11e4b0f69130305225 |archive-date=July 20, 2022 |access-date=July 18, 2022 |work=HuffPost}}{{cite web |last1=Pengelly |first1=Martin |date=December 15, 2022 |title=Trump 'is in trouble', says insider after DeSantis surges in 2024 polls |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/dec/14/desantis-trump-2024-republican-presidential-poll |access-date=January 22, 2023 |work=The Guardian |archive-date=January 19, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230119185124/https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/dec/14/desantis-trump-2024-republican-presidential-poll |url-status=live}}{{cite web |last1=Fineout |first1=Gary |date=December 15, 2022 |title=DeSantis builds his conservative resume as Trump flounders |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/12/15/desantis-trump-gop-same-sex-marriage-covid-00074027 |access-date=January 22, 2023 |work=Politico |archive-date=January 22, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230122151256/https://www.politico.com/news/2022/12/15/desantis-trump-gop-same-sex-marriage-covid-00074027 |url-status=live}} On May 24, 2023, DeSantis announced his candidacy on Twitter in an online conversation with Twitter CEO Elon Musk. At the end of July 2023, FiveThirtyEight{{'}}s national polling average of the Republican primaries had Trump at 52 percent, and DeSantis at 15.{{Cite web |last=Morris |first=G. Elliott |date=June 28, 2023 |title=Who's ahead in the national polls? |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/national/ |access-date=July 30, 2023 |publisher=FiveThirtyEight |archive-date=July 27, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230727015337/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/national/ |url-status=dead}}
Following the Iowa caucuses, in which Trump posted a landslide victory, DeSantis and businessman Vivek Ramaswamy dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump, leaving the former president and Nikki Haley, the former South Carolina governor who served in Trump's cabinet, as the only remaining major candidates.{{Cite web |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/15/us/politics/vivek-ramaswamy-drops-out.html |title=Vivek Ramaswamy, Wealthy Political Novice Who Aligned With Trump, Quits Campaign |date=January 15, 2024 |last=Weisman |first=Jonathan |work=The New York Times |access-date=January 15, 2024 |archive-date=January 16, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240116042653/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/15/us/politics/vivek-ramaswamy-drops-out.html |url-status=live}}{{cite web |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/ron-desantis-planning-drop-presidential-bid-sunday-rcna134953 |title=Ron DeSantis suspends his presidential bid and endorses Trump |publisher=NBC News |last1=Hernández |first1=Alec |last2=Dixon |first2=Matt |last3=Burns |first3=Dasha |last4=Allen |first4=Jonathan |date=January 21, 2024 |access-date=January 21, 2024 |archive-date=January 21, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240121202226/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/ron-desantis-planning-drop-presidential-bid-sunday-rcna134953 |url-status=live}} Trump continued to win all four early voting contests while Haley's campaign struggled to gain momentum.{{cite news |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/02/24/south-carolina-gop-primary-trump-haley/ |title=3 takeaways from the South Carolina GOP primary |newspaper=The Washington Post |date=February 24, 2024 |access-date=February 27, 2024 |last1=Blake |first1=Aaron |archive-date=February 29, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240229015737/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/02/24/south-carolina-gop-primary-trump-haley/ |url-status=live}} On March 6, 2024, the day after winning only one primary out of fifteen on Super Tuesday, Haley suspended her campaign.{{cite web |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/06/nikki-haley-drop-out-republican-primary-00145301 |title=Nikki Haley drops out of Republican primary |work=Politico |date=March 6, 2024 |access-date=March 6, 2024 |last=Allison |first=Natalie |archive-date=March 7, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240307211401/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/06/nikki-haley-drop-out-republican-primary-00145301 |url-status=live}}{{cite web |last1=Peoples |first1=Steve |last2=Kinnard |first2=Meg |date=March 6, 2024 |title=Nikki Haley suspends her campaign and leaves Donald Trump as the last major Republican candidate |url=https://apnews.com/article/nikki-haley-republican-trump-super-tuesday-losses-95ab56b68a8eefbbf04ef90f2f00ef29 |access-date=August 9, 2024 |work=Associated Press}} On March 12, 2024, Trump officially became the presumptive Republican presidential nominee.{{Cite web |last1=Allison |first1=Natalie |date=March 12, 2024 |title=It's official: Donald Trump is the GOP's presumptive presidential nominee |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/12/donald-trump-clinches-republican-presidential-nomination-00146675 |access-date=March 12, 2024 |website=Politico |archive-date=March 13, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240313041639/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/12/donald-trump-clinches-republican-presidential-nomination-00146675 |url-status=live}} Trump was injured in an assassination attempt on July 13, 2024, when a bullet grazed his ear.{{cite web |last1=Herb |first1=Jeremy |last2=Andone |first2=Dakin |title=How the assassination attempt on Trump unfolded |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2024/07/14/politics/what-happened-trump-assassination-attempt/index.html |work=CNN |access-date=October 12, 2024 |date=July 14, 2024}} This was the first time a president or major party presidential candidate was injured in an assassination attempt since Ronald Reagan in 1981.{{cite web |last1=Burack |first1=Emily |title=A History of Presidential Assassination Attempts, from Andrew Jackson to Donald Trump |url=https://www.townandcountrymag.com/society/politics/g61600601/presidential-assassination-atttempts-history-explained/ |work=Town & Country |access-date=October 12, 2024 |date=July 16, 2024}} On July 15, 2024, the first day of the Republican National Convention, Trump officially announced that Senator JD Vance of Ohio would be his running mate.{{cite news |last=Samuels |first=Brett |date=July 15, 2024 |title=Trump picks JD Vance for VP |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4708066-donald-trump-jd-vance-vice-president-joe-biden/ |work=The Hill |access-date=July 15, 2024 |archive-date=July 15, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240715193551/https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4708066-donald-trump-jd-vance-vice-president-joe-biden/ |url-status=live}} On July 18, 2024, for the third consecutive time, Trump accepted the nomination from the Republican National Convention to become the Republican presidential nominee.{{cite web |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/19/politics/takeaways-rnc-day-4/index.html |title=Takeaways from the final night of the Republican National Convention |date=July 19, 2024 |access-date=July 22, 2024 |work=CNN |archive-date=July 22, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240722015254/https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/19/politics/takeaways-rnc-day-4/index.html |url-status=live}}
= Republican nominees =
{{Donald Trump series|expanded=Campaigns}}
{{Main|Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign|2024 Republican Party vice presidential candidate selection|2024 Republican National Convention}}
| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; text-align:center;" |
| colspan="30" style="background:#F1F1F1;" |File:Republican Disc.svg2024 Republican Party ticket |
| style="width:3em; font-size:135%; background:{{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}; width:200px;" | Donald Trump
! style="width:3em; font-size:135%; background:{{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}; width:200px;" | JD Vance |
|---|
| style="width:3em; font-size:100%; color:#000; background:#FFD0D7; width:200px;" |for President
| style="width:3em; font-size:100%; color:#000; background:#FFD0D7; width:200px;" |for Vice President |
| File:TrumpPortrait (3x4a).jpg |
| 45th President of the United States (2017–2021) | U.S. Senator |
| colspan="2" |Campaign |
| colspan="2" |File:Logo for the Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign.svg |
==Withdrawn candidates==
= Democratic Party =
{{Main|2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries|2024 Democratic Party presidential candidates}}
File:Democratic Party presidential primaries results by delegate allocation, 2024.svg, which went to Jason Palmer (purple).]]
On April 25, 2023, President Biden officially announced his bid for re-election, confirming that Vice President Harris would remain his running mate.{{cite news |last1=Rafford |first1=Claire |title=Biden commits to Harris as his running mate for 2024 |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/19/biden-commits-to-harris-as-his-running-mate-2024-527418 |access-date=January 19, 2022 |work=Politico |date=January 19, 2022 |archive-date=January 27, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220127211518/https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/19/biden-commits-to-harris-as-his-running-mate-2024-527418 |url-status=live}}{{Cite news |last=Evans |first=Gareth |date=April 25, 2023 |title=President Joe Biden launches 2024 re-election campaign |publisher=BBC News |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-65381883 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230425102039/https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-65381883 |archive-date=April 25, 2023 |access-date=November 10, 2023}}
Concerns about Biden's age were prominent, given that he was the oldest person to assume the office at age 78, which would make him 82 at the end of his first term and 86 at the end of a potential second term.{{Cite web |last=Gittleson |first=Ben |date=December 22, 2021 |title=Biden tells ABC's David Muir 'yes' he'll run again, Trump rematch would 'increase the prospect' |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/biden-tells-abcs-david-muir-hell-run-trump/story?id=81901418 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220130091322/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/biden-tells-abcs-david-muir-hell-run-trump/story?id=81901418 |archive-date=January 30, 2022 |access-date=January 21, 2022 |publisher=ABC News}} An April 2023 poll indicated that 70 percent of Americans, including 51 percent of Democrats, believed Biden should not seek a second term, with nearly half citing his age as the reason. Biden's approval rating stood at 41 percent, with 55 percent disapproving.{{Cite web |last=Silver |first=Nate |date=January 28, 2021 |title=How Popular Is Joe Biden? |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/ |access-date=June 16, 2023 |publisher=FiveThirtyEight |archive-date=January 28, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210128032510/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/ |url-status=dead}} Speculation also arose that Biden might face a primary challenge from the Democratic Party's progressive faction;{{Cite web |last=Otterbein |first=Holly |date=January 1, 2022 |title=The left is already looking to 2024. Some want to see a Biden primary challenge. |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/01/progressives-2024-primary-challenge-526299 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220107154419/https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/01/progressives-2024-primary-challenge-526299 |archive-date=January 7, 2022 |access-date=January 8, 2022 |website=Politico}}{{Cite web |last=Dorman |first=John L. |date=January 2, 2022 |title=Former Sanders presidential campaign manager says Biden will have 'a progressive challenger' in 2024 |url=https://www.businessinsider.com/biden-progressive-challenger-2024-jeff-weaver-sanders-democratic-party-2022-1 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220104014213/https://www.businessinsider.com/biden-progressive-challenger-2024-jeff-weaver-sanders-democratic-party-2022-1 |archive-date=January 4, 2022 |access-date=January 8, 2022 |website=Business Insider}} however, after Democrats outperformed expectations in the 2022 midterm elections, many believed Biden's chances of securing the party's nomination had increased.{{Cite web |last=Enten |first=Harry |date=December 18, 2022 |title=How the midterms changed the 2024 primaries for Biden and Trump |url=https://www.cnn.com/2022/12/18/politics/biden-trump-2024-primaries-elections-desantis/index.html |publisher=CNN |access-date=December 29, 2022 |archive-date=December 30, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221230123609/https://www.cnn.com/2022/12/18/politics/biden-trump-2024-primaries-elections-desantis/index.html |url-status=live}} On July 28, 2022, Representative Dean Phillips of Minnesota became the first incumbent Democratic member of Congress to say President Biden should not run for re-election and called for "generational change" pointing to Biden's age.{{cite web |last1=Garrison |first1=Joey |date=July 29, 2022 |title=Democratic Rep. Dean Phillips says he doesn't want Biden to run for reelection in 2024 |url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2022/07/29/democratic-rep-dean-phillips-says-biden-should-not-run-2024/10186625002/ |access-date=November 19, 2024 |publisher=USA Today}}{{cite web |last1=Zhao |first1=Christina |date=July 29, 2022 |title=Democratic Rep. Dean Phillips says he doesn't want Biden to run in 2024 |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/joe-biden/democratic-rep-dean-phillips-says-doesnt-want-biden-run-2024-rcna40653 |access-date=November 19, 2024 |publisher=NBC News}}
Despite a handful of primary challengers, including Representative Dean Phillips, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Marianne Williamson, and Jason Palmer, Biden easily became the presumptive nominee of the party on March 12, 2024.{{Cite web |last=Davis O'Brien |first=Rebecca |date=October 9, 2023 |title=Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to Run for President as Independent, Leaving Democratic Primary |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/09/us/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr-independent.html |access-date=October 9, 2023 |website=The New York Times |archive-date=October 9, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231009165734/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/09/us/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr-independent.html |url-status=live}}{{Cite news |last=Leingang |first=Rachel |date=March 6, 2024 |title=Biden challenger Dean Phillips drops out of US presidential race |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/mar/06/dean-phillips-drops-out |access-date=September 30, 2024 |work=The Guardian |language=en-GB}}{{Cite web |last1=Sangal |first1=Aditi |last2=Hammond |first2=Elise |last3=Forrest |first3=Jack |last4=Chowdhury |first4=Maureen |date=March 12, 2024 |title=Live updates: Biden secures Democratic nomination as Trump inches closer to GOP one |url=https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/primary-elections-georgia-washington-mississippi-03-12-24/index.html |access-date=March 13, 2024 |website=CNN |archive-date=March 12, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240312235041/https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/primary-elections-georgia-washington-mississippi-03-12-24/index.html |url-status=live}} Palmer, who won the American Samoa caucuses, became the first candidate to win a contested primary against an incumbent president since Ted Kennedy in 1980.{{Cite web |last=Pipia |first=Lindsey |title=American Samoa primary victor Jason Palmer bows out of the presidential race |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/american-samoa-primary-victor-jason-palmer-bows-presidential-race-rcna152509 |date=May 15, 2024 |access-date=June 5, 2024 |publisher=NBC News |archive-date=June 5, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240605075226/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/american-samoa-primary-victor-jason-palmer-bows-presidential-race-rcna152509 |url-status=live}} Biden also faced significant opposition from uncommitted voters and the Uncommitted National Movement in their protest vote movement against Biden due to his support for Israel during the Gaza war, which collectively won 36 delegates.{{cite web |last=Nichols |first=John |date=June 10, 2024 |title=What the "Uncommitted" Campaign Has Already Won |url=https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/uncommitted-primary-total-results-biden/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240614163924/https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/uncommitted-primary-total-results-biden/ |archive-date=June 14, 2024 |access-date=August 6, 2024 |website=The Nation}}
File:President Biden Addresses the Nation, July 24, 2024 (Video).webm on his decision three days earlier to withdraw from the race.]]
Following a "disastrous" June 2024 debate performance against Trump that "inflamed age concerns",{{Cite web|url=https://apnews.com/article/biden-drops-out-2024-election-ddffde72838370032bdcff946cfc2ce6|title=Biden drops out of 2024 race after disastrous debate inflamed age concerns. VP Harris gets his nod|date=July 21, 2024|website=AP News}} Biden withdrew from the race on July 21, 2024, and endorsed Kamala Harris as his successor.{{cite news |title=Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/2024/07/21/election-2024-biden-trump-campaign-updates/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240721131822/https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/2024/07/21/election-2024-biden-trump-campaign-updates/ |archive-date=July 21, 2024 |access-date=July 21, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post}} Harris quickly announced her campaign and secured enough delegate endorsements by July 22 to become the presumptive nominee.{{cite web |last1=Hutzler |first1=Alexandra |last2=Reinstein |first2=Julia |last3=Peller |first3=Lauren |last4=El-Bawab |first4=Nadine |last5=Sarnoff |first5=Leah |date=July 22, 2024 |title=Election 2024 updates: Harris secures enough delegates to become presumptive nominee |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-updates/biden-drops-out-updates/?id=112113289 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240724153603/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-updates/biden-drops-out-updates/?id=112113289 |archive-date=July 24, 2024 |access-date=July 22, 2024 |publisher=ABC News}} Biden's withdrawal made him the first eligible incumbent president since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968 not to seek re-election, and the first to withdraw after securing enough delegates to win the nomination.{{cite web |date=July 23, 2024 |title=The president has dropped of out the race. What's next? |url=https://www.cpr.org/2024/07/23/president-biden-drops-out-of-race-whats-next/ |access-date=July 23, 2024 |website=Colorado Public Radio |archive-date=July 28, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240728121843/https://www.cpr.org/2024/07/23/president-biden-drops-out-of-race-whats-next/ |url-status=live}} Harris is the first nominee who did not participate in the presidential primaries since Vice President Hubert Humphrey, also in 1968, and the first since the modern Democratic Party primary procedure was created in 1972 (prior to which most states did not hold primary elections).{{cite web |url=https://www.nbcchicago.com/news/local/chicago-politics/party-like-its-1968-history-repeats-itself-biden-decision-throws-chicago-dnc-into-uncertain-future/3496610/ |title=Party like it's 1968? History repeats itself, Biden decision throws Chicago DNC into uncertain future |date=July 21, 2024 |access-date=July 24, 2024 |website=NBC Chicago |publisher=NBC News |archive-date=July 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240723014742/https://www.nbcchicago.com/news/local/chicago-politics/party-like-its-1968-history-repeats-itself-biden-decision-throws-chicago-dnc-into-uncertain-future/3496610/ |url-status=live}}
On August 5, 2024, after five days of online balloting, Democratic National Convention delegates voted to make Harris the party's 2024 presidential nominee.{{Cite web |date=August 5, 2024 |title=Kamala Harris is now Democratic presidential nominee, will face off against Donald Trump this fall |url=https://apnews.com/article/harris-democratic-presidential-nomination-eb43b6b346cc644b2d195315cb2bfb20 |access-date=December 19, 2024 |website=AP News}} She selected Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate the following day{{cite web |title=Kamala Harris picks Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her VP running mate |date=August 6, 2024 |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/tim-walz-vp-kamala-harris-running-mate-2024/ |publisher=CBS News |access-date=August 17, 2024}} and accepted the party's nomination on August 22.{{Cite web|url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/harris-dnc-speech/|title=Harris accepts historic presidential nomination, says election offers "fleeting opportunity" to move past "bitterness, cynicism" |last=Quinn|first=Melissa|date=August 23, 2024|website=www.cbsnews.com}}
= Democratic nominees =
{{Kamala Harris series|expanded=Presidential campaigns}}
{{Main|Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign|2024 Democratic Party vice presidential candidate selection|2024 Democratic National Convention}}
| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; text-align:center;" |
| colspan="30" style="background:#f1f1f1;" |File:Democratic Disc.svg2024 Democratic Party ticket |
| style="width:3em; font-size:135%; background:#2633FF; color:white; width:200px;" | Kamala Harris
! style="width:3em; font-size:135%; background:#2633FF; color:white; width:200px;" | Tim Walz |
|---|
| style="width:3em; font-size:100%; color:#000; background:#C8EBFF; width:200px;" |for President
| style="width:3em; font-size:100%; color:#000; background:#C8EBFF; width:200px;" |for Vice President |
| File:Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg |
| 49th Vice President of the United States (2021–2025) | 41st |
| colspan="2" |Campaign |
| colspan="2" |File:Harris Walz 2024 presidential campaign logo (light blue).svg |
==Withdrawn candidates==
| class="wikitable mw-collapsible mw-collapsed" style="font-size:90%" |
| †
| colspan="9" style="text-align:center; width:700px; font-size:120%; color:white; background:{{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}};"|Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the primaries |
| scope="col" style="width:3em; font-size:120%;"|Joe Biden
! scope="col" style="width:3em; font-size:120%;"|Marianne Williamson ! scope="col" style="width:3em; font-size:120%;"|Jason Palmer ! scope="col" style="width:3em; font-size:120%;"|Dean Phillips ! scope="col" style="width:3em; font-size:120%;"|Robert F. Kennedy Jr. |
|---|
| File:Joe Biden presidential portrait.jpg
|File:Marianne Williamson (48541662667) (cropped).jpg |File:Jason Palmer (53866316279) (cropped) (2).jpg |
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|46th |Author |Venture Capitalist |U.S. |Environmental Lawyer |
| File:Biden-Harris 2024 logo.svg
|File:Marianne Williamson 2024 presidential campaign logo.png |File:Jason Palmer 2024 campaign logo.png |
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|{{abbr|W|withdrew}}: July 21 |{{abbr|W|withdrew}}: June 11 |{{abbr|W|withdrew}}: May 15 |{{abbr|W|withdrew}}: March 6 |{{abbr|W|withdrew}}: October 9, 2023 |
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|{{Cite web|url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/marianne-williamson-signals-end-2024-bid-now-presidential/story?id=111054784|title=Marianne Williamson signals end of 2024 bid now that presidential primaries have ended|first=|last=|website=ABC News}} |
Campaign issues
= Campaign themes =
{{See also|Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign#Platform|Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign#Platform|2024 United States elections#Issues}}
== Harris campaign ==
Harris framed her campaign as "a choice between freedom and chaos" and based it around the ideals of "freedom" and "the future".{{Cite news |last=Thompson |first=Alex |date=August 1, 2024 |title=Harris ditches Biden's strategy with "freedom" focus |work=Axios |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/08/01/kamala-harris-joe-biden-president-strategy-election |access-date=August 1, 2024 |url-status=live |archive-date=August 1, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240801175846/https://www.axios.com/2024/08/01/kamala-harris-joe-biden-president-strategy-election}}{{Cite news |last1=Miller |first1=Zeke |last2=Megerian |first2=Chris |last3=Boak |first3=Josh |date=July 24, 2024 |title=Harris tells roaring Wisconsin crowd November election is 'a choice between freedom and chaos' |publisher=Associated Press |url=https://apnews.com/article/harris-election-president-wisconsin-democrats-012c6474b8b23960d2cf616e92989a4b |access-date=August 1, 2024 |archive-date=August 1, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240801053652/https://apnews.com/article/harris-election-president-wisconsin-democrats-012c6474b8b23960d2cf616e92989a4b |url-status=live}} The Harris campaign sought to highlight her experience as an attorney general and a prosecutor to "prosecute the case" against Trump by pointing out his 34 felony convictions and the impacts of the overturning of Roe v. Wade.{{Cite news |last=McCammon |first=Sarah |date=September 10, 2024 |title=The Harris campaign takes its attacks against Trump over abortion on the road |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/09/10/nx-s1-5099060/harris-campaign-abortion-reproductive-freedom-bus-tour-ivf-trump |publisher=NPR}}{{Cite news |last=Hutzler |first=Alexandra |date=July 23, 2024 |title=The prosecutor vs. the felon. Democrats see winning contrast between Harris and Trump. |publisher=ABC News |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/prosecutor-felon-democrats-winning-contrast-harris-trump/story?id=112198602 |access-date=August 1, 2024 |archive-date=July 31, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240731235706/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/prosecutor-felon-democrats-winning-contrast-harris-trump/story?id=112198602 |url-status=live}} Harris had taken liberal positions on a number of issues in her bid for the 2020 Democratic nomination; in 2024, she shifted several of those positions toward the political center and embraced many of Biden's domestic policy stances.{{Cite news |last=Epstein |first=Reid J. |date=July 29, 2024 |title=Why the Kamala Harris of Four Years Ago Could Haunt Her in 2024 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/29/us/politics/kamala-harris-2020-positions.html |access-date=August 5, 2024 |work=The New York Times |language=en-US |archive-date=August 4, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240804235849/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/29/us/politics/kamala-harris-2020-positions.html |url-status=live}} Harris focused her economic proposals on the cost of groceries, housing and healthcare.{{Cite news |last=Sullivan |first=Helen |date=August 15, 2024 |title=Kamala Harris economic plan to focus on groceries, housing and healthcare |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/aug/14/kamala-harris-economic-policy-aides |access-date=September 19, 2024 |work=The Guardian |language=en-GB}}
== Trump campaign ==
{{see also|Trumpism|Rhetoric of Donald Trump}}
A central campaign theme for Trump's second presidential bid was "retribution".{{cite news |title=Trump's 'retribution' campaign theme has apparent roots in old Confederate code, new book says |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trumps-retribution-campaign-theme-apparent-roots-confederate-code/story?id=104553311 |publisher=ABC News |date=November 2, 2023 |author1=Alexandra Hutzler |access-date=December 6, 2023 |archive-date=September 26, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240926133945/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trumps-retribution-campaign-theme-apparent-roots-confederate-code/story?id=104553311 |url-status=live}}{{cite news |title=Trump zeroes in on a key target of his 'retribution' agenda: Government workers |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-retribution-agenda-government-workers-schedule-f-rcna78785 |publisher=NBC News |date=April 26, 2023 |author1=Allan Smith |access-date=December 6, 2023 |archive-date=September 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240911074445/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-retribution-agenda-government-workers-schedule-f-rcna78785 |url-status=live}} Trump framed the 2024 election as "the final battle", and openly promised to leverage the power of the presidency for political reprisals.{{cite news |title=Trump, Vowing 'Retribution,' Foretells a Second Term of Spite |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/07/us/politics/trump-2024-president.html |work=The New York Times |date=March 7, 2023 |author1=Maggie Haberman |author2=Shane Goldmacher |access-date=December 6, 2023 |archive-date=December 5, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231205174058/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/07/us/politics/trump-2024-president.html |url-status=live}} Trump heavily ran on immigration as a central campaign focus. Trump's campaign focused on dark and apocalyptic rhetoric about the state of the country and predicting doom if he did not win.{{Cite news |last=Parker |first=Ashley |date=September 23, 2024 |title=Donald Trump's imaginary and frightening world |newspaper=The Washington Post |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/23/trump-imaginary-world/ |access-date=September 25, 2024 |archive-date=September 24, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240924030135/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/23/trump-imaginary-world/ |url-status=live}}{{Cite news |last=Seitz-Wald |first=Alex |date=September 20, 2024 |title=Apocalypse delayed: Trump keeps promising a doom that never comes |work= |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/apocalypse-delayed-trump-promising-doom-never-comes-rcna170151 |access-date=September 25, 2024 |archive-date=September 24, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240924065554/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/apocalypse-delayed-trump-promising-doom-never-comes-rcna170151 |url-status=live}}{{Cite news |last1=Parker |first1=Ashley |last2=LeVine |first2=Marianne |last3=Godwin |first3=Ross |date=March 11, 2024 |title=Trump's freewheeling speeches offer a dark vision of a second term |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/11/trump-campaign-speech-anatomy/ |access-date=March 17, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post |archive-date=March 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240311161549/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/11/trump-campaign-speech-anatomy/ |url-status=live |issn=0190-8286}} The Associated Press stated that "Trump's rallies take on the symbols, rhetoric and agenda of Christian nationalism."{{Cite news |last=Peter |first=Smith |date=May 18, 2024 |title=Jesus is their savior, Trump is their candidate. Ex-president's backers say he shares faith, values |url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-christian-evangelicals-conservatives-2024-election-43f25118c133170c77786daf316821c3 |access-date=June 2, 2024 |publisher=Associated Press |archive-date=May 24, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240524232811/https://apnews.com/article/trump-christian-evangelicals-conservatives-2024-election-43f25118c133170c77786daf316821c3 |url-status=live}} During his 2024 presidential campaign, Trump made numerous false and misleading statements.{{Cite news |last=Rector |first=Kevin |date=August 16, 2024 |title=News Analysis: Trump seeks to reclaim spotlight with old playbook of lying, talking smack to media |work=Los Angeles Times |url=https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2024-08-16/2024-election-trump-news-conference-analysis |access-date=August 24, 2024 |archive-date=August 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240823194457/https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2024-08-16/2024-election-trump-news-conference-analysis |url-status=live}}{{Cite news |last=Kessler |first=Glenn |date=March 14, 2024 |title=Trump has a bunch of new false claims. Here's a guide. |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/14/trump-crazy-new-claims-fact-checked/ |url-access=subscription |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240315001325/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/14/trump-crazy-new-claims-fact-checked/ |archive-date=March 15, 2024 |access-date=August 24, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post}}{{Cite news |last1=Itkowitz |first1=Colby |last2=Allam |first2=Hannah |date=August 19, 2024 |title=With false 'coup' claims, Trump primes supporters to challenge a Harris win |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/08/19/trump-stolen-election-coup-overthrow/ |url-access=subscription |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240824204443/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/08/19/trump-stolen-election-coup-overthrow/ |archive-date=August 24, 2024 |access-date=August 24, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post}} Trump has been described as using the "big lie"{{Cite web|url=https://www.thedailybeast.com/george-conway-gets-specific-about-trump-hitler-comparison/|title=George Conway: Trump Is Using Hitler's Propaganda Playbook|date=October 5, 2024|website=The Daily Beast}} and firehose of falsehood{{Cite web |last=Stelter |first=Brian |date=November 30, 2020 |title='Firehose of falsehood:' How Trump is trying to confuse the public about the election outcome |url=https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/30/media/trump-election-confusion-reliable-sources/index.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201130051851/https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/30/media/trump-election-confusion-reliable-sources/index.html |archive-date=November 30, 2020 |access-date=August 24, 2024 |publisher=CNN}} propaganda techniques.
= Abortion =
{{Main|Abortion in the United States}}
File:Pro-ChoiceMarch 3792 (52075189799).jpg protesters in Washington, D.C. in May 2022, as part of the Bans Off Our Bodies protest following the leaked draft opinion overturning Roe v. Wade]]
File:March for Life (49435740948).jpg in Washington, D.C.]]
Abortion access was a key topic during the campaign;{{Cite web |title=Here's why abortion will be such a big issue for the ballot come November |url=https://www.nbcboston.com/news/local/heres-why-abortion-will-be-such-a-big-issue-for-the-ballot-come-november/3305057/ |access-date=August 9, 2024 |work=NBC |date=March 11, 2024 |archive-date=March 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240311222821/https://www.nbcboston.com/news/local/heres-why-abortion-will-be-such-a-big-issue-for-the-ballot-come-november/3305057/ |url-status=live}} it was on the ballot in up to ten states in 2024, including the swing states of Arizona and Nevada.{{Cite news |date=September 4, 2024 |title=States where abortion is on the ballot in the 2024 election |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/abortion-ballot-measures/ |newspaper=Washington Post |access-date=September 9, 2024 |archive-date=September 5, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240905071415/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/abortion-ballot-measures/ |url-status=live}} Some pundits argued abortion-rights referendums could help Harris in November.{{Cite web |last=Roth |first=Samantha-Jo |title=Harris banks on abortion ballot measures for Southwest path to victory |url=https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/harris-banks-on-abortion-ballot-measures-for-southwest-path-to-victory/ar-AA1oxuJJ |website=Washington Examiner |access-date=September 9, 2024 |archive-date=September 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240911074546/https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/harris-banks-on-abortion-ballot-measures-for-southwest-path-to-victory/ar-AA1oxuJJ |url-status=live}}{{Cite web |title=Abortion Rights Are on the Ballot in Arizona. Will It Impact the Presidential Race? |url=https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/abortion-rights-are-on-the-ballot-in-arizona-will-it-impact-the-presidential-race/ar-AA1qdHmS?ocid=BingNewsSerp |website=The Wall Street Journal |access-date=September 9, 2024 |archive-date=September 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240911074546/https://login.microsoftonline.com/common/oauth2/v2.0/authorize?client_id=d7b530a4-7680-4c23-a8bf-c52c121d2e87&scope=User.Read%20openid%20profile%20offline_access&redirect_uri=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.msn.com%2Fstaticsb%2Fstatics%2Flatest%2Fauth%2Fauth-redirect-blank.html&client-request-id=a3610fad-e9b8-47e2-805f-104a730179e5&response_mode=fragment&response_type=code&x-client-SKU=msal.js.browser&x-client-VER=2.18.0&x-client-OS=&x-client-CPU=&client_info=1&code_challenge=sUso6bz9X7u19yBGVxn1aBnv5GUz6zmaJW0wJJjraj0&code_challenge_method=S256&prompt=none&nonce=688f2ea7-b1c3-4da7-83dc-9804bb4552e7&state=eyJpZCI6ImNiNTE3MTU1LWRlOTUtNDQzYy1hYTY2LTNhNmEwMDFhNDg3NyIsIm1ldGEiOnsiaW50ZXJhY3Rpb25UeXBlIjoic2lsZW50In19 |url-status=live}}{{Cite web |last=Bickerton |first=James |title=Is Florida in Play for Kamala Harris? |url=https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/is-florida-in-play-for-kamala-harris/ar-AA1qeKVX?ocid=BingNewsSerp |website=Newsweek |access-date=September 9, 2024 |archive-date=September 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240911074546/https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/is-florida-in-play-for-kamala-harris/ar-AA1qeKVX?ocid=BingNewsSerp |url-status=live}} Democrats predominantly advocate for abortion access as a right,{{Cite web |last=Feiner |first=Lauren |date=May 20, 2022 |title=Democratic senators concerned about phone location data being used to track people seeking abortions |url=https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/20/democrats-urge-ftc-protect-data-privacy-for-people-seeking-abortions.html |access-date=April 12, 2023 |website=CNBC |archive-date=May 20, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220520165916/https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/20/democrats-urge-ftc-protect-data-privacy-for-people-seeking-abortions.html |url-status=live}} while Republicans generally favor significantly restricting the legality of abortion.{{Cite web |last=Kilgore |first=Ed |date=June 21, 2023 |title=House GOP Forges Ahead on Wildly Unpopular National Abortion Ban |url=https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2023/06/house-gop-forges-ahead-on-unpopular-national-abortion-ban.html |access-date=November 15, 2023 |website=Intelligencer |archive-date=November 15, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231115065948/https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2023/06/house-gop-forges-ahead-on-unpopular-national-abortion-ban.html |url-status=live}} Since becoming the presumptive nominee, Harris indicated her support for passing legislation which would restore the federal abortion right protections previously guaranteed by Roe.{{cite web |last1=Messerly |first1=Megan |last2=Ollstein |first2=Alice Miranda |date=July 29, 2024 |title=Kamala Harris' call for 'reproductive freedom' means restoring Roe |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/29/kamala-harris-abortion-restoring-roe-00171657 |website=Politico |access-date=August 9, 2024 |archive-date=August 21, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240821202234/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/29/kamala-harris-abortion-restoring-roe-00171657 |url-status=live}}{{cite news |last1=Astor |first1=Maggie |date=July 21, 2024 |title=Where Kamala Harris Stands on the Issues: Abortion, Immigration and More |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/21/us/politics/kamala-harris-abortion-immigration-economy-israel.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240721215822/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/21/us/politics/kamala-harris-abortion-immigration-economy-israel.html |archive-date=July 21, 2024 |access-date=July 22, 2024 |work=The New York Times}} She argued Trump would let his anti-abortion allies implement Project 2025 proposals to restrict abortion and contraception throughout the United States.{{Cite web |last=Prokop |first=Andrew |date=August 23, 2024 |title=Kamala Harris just revealed her formula for taking down Trump |url=https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/368489/kamala-harris-dnc-speech-takeaways-analysis |access-date=August 23, 2024 |website=Vox |language=en-US |archive-date=August 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240823083521/https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/368489/kamala-harris-dnc-speech-takeaways-analysis |url-status=live}}
Trump claimed credit for overturning Roe but criticized Republicans pushing for total abortion bans.{{Cite web |date=May 17, 2023 |title=Trump: 'I was able to kill Roe v. Wade' |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-was-able-kill-roe-v-wade-rcna84897 |access-date=February 5, 2024 |publisher=NBC News |archive-date=February 5, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240205132002/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-was-able-kill-roe-v-wade-rcna84897 |url-status=live}}{{Cite web |date=September 16, 2023 |title=Trump criticizes Republicans pushing abortion bans with no exceptions: 'You're not going to win' |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-bring-country-together-abortion-meet-the-press-rcna105311 |access-date=February 5, 2024 |publisher=NBC News |archive-date=February 5, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240205173558/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-bring-country-together-abortion-meet-the-press-rcna105311 |url-status=live}} Trump said he would leave the issue of abortion for the states to decide but would allow red states to monitor women's pregnancies and prosecute them if they have an abortion.{{cite magazine |last=Cortellessa |first=Eric |date=April 30, 2024 |title=How Far Trump Would Go |url=https://time.com/6972021/donald-trump-2024-election-interview/ |url-status=live |magazine=Time |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240511000706/https://time.com/6972021/donald-trump-2024-election-interview/ |archive-date=May 11, 2024 |access-date=May 11, 2024}} In his home state of Florida, Trump announced he would vote "No" on Amendment 4, an abortion rights referendum, preserving the six-week ban.{{Cite web |title=Trump pivoted on Florida's abortion ban. Here's what anti-abortion leaders want next. |url=https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-pivoted-on-florida-s-abortion-ban-here-s-what-anti-abortion-leaders-want-next/ar-AA1q2bI7?ocid=BingNewsSerp |website=Politico |access-date=September 9, 2024 |archive-date=September 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240911075103/https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-pivoted-on-florida-s-abortion-ban-here-s-what-anti-abortion-leaders-want-next/ar-AA1q2bI7?ocid=BingNewsSerp |url-status=live}} The announcement came one day after he initially criticized the six-week ban for being "too short" and said he would vote to lengthen it.{{cite news |last1=McCammon |first1=Sarah |title='I'll be voting no.' Trump clarifies his stance on the abortion amendment in Florida |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/08/29/g-s1-20187/trump-abortion-amendment-4-florida-ivf-funding-reproductive-rights |publisher=NPR |date=August 20, 2024}} Trump repeated a false claim that Democrats support abortions after birth and "executing" babies.{{cite news |last1=McCammon |first1=Sarah |date=September 10, 2024 |title=Trump repeats the false claim that Democrats support abortion 'after birth' in debate |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/09/10/nx-s1-5107942/abortion-roe-wade-ivf-donald-trump-kamala-harris-debate-2024 |access-date=November 14, 2024 |publisher=NPR}}{{cite news |last=Doan |first=Laura |date=September 11, 2024 |title=Trump falsely claims Democrats support abortions "after birth." Here's a fact check. |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-falsely-claims-democrats-support-abortions-after-birth/ |access-date=November 14, 2024 |publisher=CBS News}}
= Border security and immigration =
{{Main|Mexico–United States border crisis |Border security in the United States}}
{{Further|Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign#Immigration|Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign#Immigration}}
File:Attorney General Harris Tours U.S.-Mexico Border N2063 border 1.jpg at the border in 2011 to discuss strategies to combat transnational gang crime]]
Border security and immigration were among the top issues concerning potential voters in the election.{{cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/17/briefing/immigration-policy-democrats.html |title=A 2024 Vulnerability |work=The New York Times |date=January 17, 2024 |last1=Leonhardt |first1=David |access-date=January 26, 2024 |archive-date=January 26, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240126192037/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/17/briefing/immigration-policy-democrats.html |url-status=live}}{{Cite web |url=https://apnews.com/article/democracy-2024-election-trump-biden-poll-39309519c8473175c25ab5a305e629ba |title=Americans agree that the 2024 election will be pivotal for democracy, but for different reasons |date=December 15, 2023 |publisher=Associated Press |access-date=December 16, 2023 |archive-date=December 16, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231216014504/https://apnews.com/article/democracy-2024-election-trump-biden-poll-39309519c8473175c25ab5a305e629ba |url-status=live}} Polling showed that most Americans want to reduce immigration,{{Cite web |last=M. Jones |first=Jeffrey |date=July 12, 2024 |title=Sharply More Americans Want to Curb Immigration to U.S. |url=https://news.gallup.com/poll/647123/sharply-americans-curb-immigration.aspx |access-date=July 21, 2024 |website=Gallup |archive-date=July 20, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240720215320/https://news.gallup.com/poll/647123/sharply-americans-curb-immigration.aspx |url-status=live}} and that a substantial minority of white Republicans were concerned about White demographic decline.{{Cite web |last=Frankovic |first=Kathy |date=August 19, 2021 |title=White Republicans see the white population decline in America as a bad thing |url=https://today.yougov.com/politics/articles/37643-white-republicans-see-white-population-decline |access-date=July 21, 2024 |website=YouGov |archive-date=November 29, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231129194903/https://today.yougov.com/politics/articles/37643-white-republicans-see-white-population-decline |url-status=live}} In 2023 and early 2024, a surge of migrants entering through the border with Mexico occurred.{{Cite news |url=https://www.economist.com/united-states/2024/01/25/how-americas-failed-immigration-policies-might-cost-joe-biden-the-election |title=America's immigration policies are failing |newspaper=The Economist |access-date=January 26, 2024 |archive-date=January 26, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240126191707/https://www.economist.com/united-states/2024/01/25/how-americas-failed-immigration-policies-might-cost-joe-biden-the-election |url-status=live}} By June 2024, illegal crossings reached a three-year low following four consecutive monthly drops, which senior officials attributed to increased enforcement between the United States and Mexico, the weather, and Biden's executive order (A Proclamation on Securing the Border) increasing asylum restrictions.{{Cite news |first=Camilo |last=Montoya-Galvez |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/border-crossings-us-mexico-border-june-2024/ |title=Illegal crossings at U.S.-Mexico border fall to 3-year low, the lowest level under Biden |newspaper=CBS News |date=July 1, 2024 |access-date=July 12, 2024 |archive-date=July 10, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240710231729/https://www.cbsnews.com/news/border-crossings-us-mexico-border-june-2024/ |url-status=live}}
Harris promised to fight for "strong border security" coupled with an earned pathway to citizenship. Harris highlighted her work in combating transnational gangs, drug cartels, and human traffickers while attorney general.{{cite news |last1=Daniels |first1=Eugene |last2=Schneider |first2=Elena |title=Harris promises to go tough on border security |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/09/harris-promises-to-go-tough-on-border-security-00173485 |work=Politico |date=August 9, 2024 |access-date=August 10, 2024 |archive-date=August 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240811003141/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/09/harris-promises-to-go-tough-on-border-security-00173485 |url-status=live}} As vice president, Harris announced in 2023 that she pledged of US$950 million from private companies into Central American communities to address the causes of mass migration, such as poverty. Harris stated she believes the immigration system is "broken" and needs to be fixed, and she said most Americans believe this. Harris also advocated for stricter asylum rules than President Biden.{{Cite news |last1=Ward |first1=Myah |last2=Sentner |first2=Irie |date=September 27, 2024 |title=Harris in Arizona visit vows to outdo Biden on border security |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/09/27/harris-border-asylum-policy-biden-00181473 |work=Politico}} Harris supported increasing the number of U.S. Border Patrol agents and accused Trump of being unserious on border security.{{Cite web |last1=Alvarez |first1=Priscilla |last2=Blackburn |first2=Piper Hudspeth |date=July 31, 2024 |title=Harris goes on offensive on immigration, comparing her record with Trump's |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/30/politics/harris-immigration-trump/index.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240731030729/https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/30/politics/harris-immigration-trump/index.html |archive-date=July 31, 2024 |access-date=July 31, 2024 |website=CNN}} As vice president, Harris also supported a bipartisan bill that would have funded additional border agents and closed the border if too crowded; the bill was rejected by Trump. Trump called on House and Senate Republicans to kill the bill arguing it would hurt his and Republican's reelection campaigns and deny them the ability to run on immigration as a campaign issue.{{cite news |title=Senate GOP blocks bipartisan border deal and foreign aid package in key vote |url=https://edition.cnn.com/politics/live-news/senate-vote-border-bill-aid-02-07-24/index.html |publisher=CNN |date=February 7, 2024 |access-date=April 3, 2024 |archive-date=March 24, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240324052232/https://edition.cnn.com/politics/live-news/senate-vote-border-bill-aid-02-07-24/index.html |url-status=live |first1=Elise |last1=Hammond |first2=Michelle |last2=Shen |first3=Jack |last3=Forrest |first4=Shania |last4=Shelton}}{{cite news |last1=Kane |first1=Paul |title=Senate Republicans retreating into the same ungovernable chaos as House GOP |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/02/07/senate-republicans-retreating-into-same-ungovernable-chaos-house-gop/ |newspaper=The Washington Post |date=February 7, 2024 |access-date=April 3, 2024 |archive-date=February 7, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240207191403/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/02/07/senate-republicans-retreating-into-same-ungovernable-chaos-house-gop/ |url-status=live}}{{cite news |last1=Alemany |first1=Jacqueline |last2=Sotomayor |first2=Marianna |last3=Caldwell |first3=Leigh Ann |last4=Goodwin |first4=Liz |date=January 7, 2024 |title=GOP leaders face unrest amid chaotic, bungled votes |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/02/07/republicans-disarray-house-senate-border/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240619170449/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/02/07/republicans-disarray-house-senate-border/ |archive-date=June 19, 2024 |access-date=April 3, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post}}{{cite news |last1=Goodwin |first1=Liz |last2=Caldwell |first2=Leigh Ann |last3=Hauslohner |first3=Abigail |date=February 7, 2024 |title=Senate GOP blocks border deal; future of Ukraine, Israel aid unclear |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/02/07/senate-border-security-vote/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240208172040/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/02/07/senate-border-security-vote/ |archive-date=February 8, 2024 |access-date=April 3, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post}}{{Cite web |last1=Cowan |first1=Richard |last2=Costas |first2=Picas |date=February 5, 2024 |title=US Senate unveils $118 billion bill on border security, aid for Ukraine, Israel |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-senate-unveils-118-billion-bipartisan-bill-tighten-border-security-aid-2024-02-04/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240605222353/https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-senate-unveils-118-billion-bipartisan-bill-tighten-border-security-aid-2024-02-04/ |archive-date=June 5, 2024 |access-date=February 5, 2024 |work=Reuters}} Harris criticized Trump for his opposition to the bill on the campaign trail, and promised to sign the bill into law as president.{{Cite web |last1=Restuccia |first1=Andrew |last2=Hackman |first2=Michelle |title=Kamala Harris Pledges to Sign Bipartisan Border Bill |url=https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/dnc-harris-speech-election-2024/card/harris-pledges-to-sign-bipartisan-border-bill-csVc4bVyNHlyx9yqnyyE |access-date=August 24, 2024 |date=August 23, 2024 |work=The Wall Street Journal |archive-date=August 24, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240824052300/https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/dnc-harris-speech-election-2024/card/harris-pledges-to-sign-bipartisan-border-bill-csVc4bVyNHlyx9yqnyyE |url-status=live}}
File:President Trump Travels to Arizona (50040937841).jpg on the southern border if elected.]]
Trump stated that if he were elected, he would increase deportations, send the U.S. military to the border, expand U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement detentions through workplace raids, deputize local law enforcement to handle border security, increase U.S. Customs and Border Patrol funding, as well as finish building the wall on the southern border.{{cite web |last=Garsd |first=Jasmine |date=December 13, 2023 |title=Where the Republican presidential candidates stand on immigration |url=https://www.npr.org/2023/12/13/1218935981/republican-candidates-immigration |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240210211541/https://www.npr.org/2023/12/13/1218935981/republican-candidates-immigration |archive-date=February 10, 2024 |access-date=February 10, 2024 |publisher=NPR}} Trump has said he will deport both legal and illegal immigrants.{{Cite news |last=Oliphant |first=James |date=October 4, 2024 |title=Trump's already harsh rhetoric on migrants is turning darker as Election Day nears |work=Reuters |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trumps-already-harsh-rhetoric-migrants-is-turning-darker-election-day-nears-2024-10-04/ |access-date=October 5, 2024 |archive-date=October 5, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241005195654/https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trumps-already-harsh-rhetoric-migrants-is-turning-darker-election-day-nears-2024-10-04/ |url-status=live}}{{Cite news |last=Phifer |first=Donica |date=October 3, 2024 |title=Trump floats deporting legal Haitian migrants living in Ohio |work=Axios |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/10/03/trump-springfield-haitian-migrants-tps |access-date=October 5, 2024 |archive-date=October 5, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241005120932/https://www.axios.com/2024/10/03/trump-springfield-haitian-migrants-tps?__cf_chl_rt_tk=Pwa6jpc9xooGPXZfSzeGSc9Tnb1r1J6.1LUQN0DGnQo-1728130172-0.0.1.1-6207 |url-status=live}} The New York Times reported that Trump was considering "an extreme expansion of his first-term crackdown on immigration", such as "preparing to round up undocumented people already in the United States on a vast scale and detain them in sprawling camps while they wait to be expelled".{{cite news |last1=Savage |first1=Charlie |last2=Haberman |first2=Maggie |last3=Swan |first3=Jonathan |date=November 11, 2023 |title=Sweeping Raids, Giant Camps and Mass Deportations: Inside Trump's 2025 Immigration Plans |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/11/us/politics/trump-2025-immigration-agenda.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240425100016/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/11/us/politics/trump-2025-immigration-agenda.html |archive-date=April 25, 2024 |access-date=April 26, 2024 |work=The New York Times}} Trump stated his intention to deport 11 million people through the construction of detention camps and deploy the military, relying on presidential wartime powers under the 18th-century Alien Enemies Act.{{Cite news |last=Ward |first=Myah |date=October 12, 2024 |title=We watched 20 Trump rallies. His racist, anti-immigrant messaging is getting darker. |work=Politico |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/12/trump-racist-rhetoric-immigrants-00183537 |access-date=October 12, 2024 }} Trump made false claims of a "migrant crime wave" that are not supported by data, and provided no evidence to back up his claims.{{Cite news |last1=Olympia |first1=Sonnier |last2=Haake |first2=Garrett |date=February 29, 2024 |title=Trump's claims of a migrant crime wave are not supported by national data |publisher=NBC News |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/trumps-claims-migrant-crime-wave-are-not-supported-national-data-rcna140896 |access-date=June 23, 2024 |archive-date=June 22, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240622153032/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/trumps-claims-migrant-crime-wave-are-not-supported-national-data-rcna140896 |url-status=live}}{{Cite news |last=Reid |first=Tim |date=September 29, 2024 |title=Trump escalates harsh rhetoric against immigrants, Harris |work=Reuters |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-escalates-dark-rhetoric-against-immigrants-harris-2024-09-28/ |access-date=October 5, 2024 |archive-date=October 5, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241005195813/https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-escalates-dark-rhetoric-against-immigrants-harris-2024-09-28/ |url-status=live}}
In regards to his anti-immigrant nativism,{{Cite news |last=Bender |first=Michael C. |date=September 22, 2024 |title=On the Trail, Trump and Vance Sharpen a Nativist, Anti-Immigrant Tone |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/22/us/politics/trump-vance-nativist.html |access-date=September 25, 2024 |archive-date=September 24, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240924045958/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/22/us/politics/trump-vance-nativist.html |url-status=live }} Trump's tone grew harsher from his previous time as president, and used fearmongering,{{Cite news |last=Chidi |first=George |date=August 3, 2024 |title=Name-calling and hyperbole: Trump continues fear-mongering fest at Georgia rally |work=The Guardian |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/aug/03/trump-rally-georgia-crime-immigration |access-date=September 24, 2024 |archive-date=September 15, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240915220511/https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/aug/03/trump-rally-georgia-crime-immigration |url-status=live}}{{Cite news |last=Bump |first=Philip |date=April 4, 2024 |title=The new border fearmongering: China is 'building an army' in the U.S. |newspaper=The Washington Post |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/04/04/trump-china-army-border/ |access-date=September 25, 2024 |archive-date=September 25, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240925213200/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/04/04/trump-china-army-border/ |url-status=live}} racial stereotypes, and more dehumanizing rhetoric when referring to illegal immigrants. Trump repeatedly called some immigrants subhuman, stating they are "not human", "not people", and "animals",{{Cite news |last1=Layne |first1=Nathan |last2=Slattery |first2=Gram |last3=Reid |first3=Tim |date=April 3, 2024 |title=Trump calls migrants 'animals,' intensifying focus on illegal immigration |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-expected-highlight-murder-michigan-woman-immigration-speech-2024-04-02/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240617123326/https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-expected-highlight-murder-michigan-woman-immigration-speech-2024-04-02/ |archive-date=June 17, 2024 |access-date=April 3, 2024 |work=Reuters }}{{Cite news |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/16/trump-immigrants-not-people/ |title=Trump says some undocumented immigrants are 'not people' |first=Marisa |last=Iati |date=March 16, 2024 |access-date=March 17, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post |archive-date=March 16, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240316225300/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/16/trump-immigrants-not-people/ |url-status=live}}{{cite news |last1=Huynh |first1=Anjali |last2=Gold |first2=Michael |title=Trump Says Some Migrants Are 'Not People' and Predicts a 'Blood Bath' if He Loses |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/16/us/politics/trump-speech-ohio.html |work=The New York Times |date=March 17, 2024 |access-date=April 26, 2024 |archive-date=April 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240423095503/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/16/us/politics/trump-speech-ohio.html |url-status=live}} who will "rape, pillage, thieve, plunder and kill" American citizens, that they are "stone-cold killers", "monsters", "vile animals", "savages", and "predators" that will "walk into your kitchen, they'll cut your throat",{{Cite news |last=Michael |first=Gold |date=October 1, 2024 |title=Trump's Consistent Message Online and Onstage: Be Afraid |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/01/us/politics/trump-fear-speeches.html |access-date=October 1, 2024 |archive-date=October 1, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241001180636/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/01/us/politics/trump-fear-speeches.html/ |url-status=live}}{{Cite news |last=Hutzler |first=Alexandra |date=September 30, 2024 |title=Trump takes dark rhetoric to new level in final weeks of 2024 campaign: ANALYSIS |publisher=ABC News |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-takes-dark-rhetoric-new-level-final-weeks/story?id=114360594 |access-date=October 1, 2024 |archive-date=October 1, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241001054628/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-takes-dark-rhetoric-new-level-final-weeks/story?id=114360594 |url-status=live}} and "grab young girls and slice them up right in front of their parents". Other rhetoric includes false statements that foreign leaders are deliberately emptying insane asylums to send "prisoners, murderers, drug dealers, mental patients, terrorists" across the southern border as migrants,{{Cite news |url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-immigration-crime-battleground-election-aa4b0912322dee09cf475ffad7c8cec7 |title=Trump accuses Biden of causing a border 'bloodbath' as he escalates his immigration rhetoric |last1=Cappelletti |first1=Joey |last2=Colvin |first2=Jill |last3=Gomez |first3=Adriana |date=April 2, 2024 |access-date=April 3, 2024 |publisher=The Associated Press}} that they are "building an army" of "fighting age" men to attack Americans "from within",{{Cite news |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-hold-south-bronx-new-york-campaign-rally-push-black-voters-2024-05-23/ |title=Trump, without evidence, claims migrants in U.S. illegally 'building army' to attack Americans |last1=Coster |first1=Helen |last2=Layne |first2=Nathan |date=April 3, 2024 |access-date=May 24, 2024 |publisher=Reuters}} and are the "enemy from within" who are ruining the "fabric" of the country. Since fall 2023, Trump claimed that immigrants are "poisoning the blood of our country", which drew comparisons to racial hygiene rhetoric used by White supremacists and Adolf Hitler.{{cite news |last1=Sullivan |first1=Kate |title=Trump's anti-immigrant comments draw rebuke |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2023/10/06/politics/trump-anti-immigrant-comments/index.html |publisher=CNN |date=October 6, 2023 |access-date=November 17, 2023 |archive-date=November 15, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231115194416/https://edition.cnn.com/2023/10/06/politics/trump-anti-immigrant-comments/index.html |url-status=live}}{{cite news |last1=LeVine |first1=Marianne |last2=Kornfield |first2=Maryl |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/2023/10/12/trump-immigrants-comments-criticism/ |title=Trump's anti-immigrant onslaught sparks fresh alarm heading into 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post |date=October 12, 2023 |access-date=November 16, 2023 |archive-date=June 19, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240619170447/https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/2023/10/12/trump-immigrants-comments-criticism/ |url-status=live}}{{cite news |last=Astor |first=Maggie |title=Trump Doubles Down on Migrants 'Poisoning' the Country |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/17/us/politics/trump-fox-interview-migrants.html |work=The New York Times |date=March 17, 2024 |access-date=April 26, 2024 |archive-date=April 25, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240425195313/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/17/us/politics/trump-fox-interview-migrants.html |url-status=live}}{{cite news |last=Gabriel |first=Trip |title=Trump Escalates Anti-Immigrant Rhetoric With 'Poisoning the Blood' Comment |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/05/us/politics/trump-immigration-rhetoric.html |work=The New York Times |date=October 5, 2023 |access-date=April 26, 2024 |archive-date=January 17, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240117102659/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/05/us/politics/trump-immigration-rhetoric.html |url-status=live}} In the 20 rallies that occurred after Trump's debate with Harris, Politico cited experts who found that Trump's rhetoric strongly echoed authoritarian and Nazi ideology; Trump made claims that immigrants are genetically predisposed to commit crimes and have "bad genes".{{Cite news |last=Svitek |first=Patrick |date=October 7, 2024 |title=Trump suggests 'bad genes' to blame for undocumented immigrants who commit murders |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/10/07/trump-undocumented-immigrants-bad-genes/ |access-date=October 7, 2024 |newspaper=Washington Post |language=en-US}}
= Climate change =
{{Main|Climate change in the United States}}
{{Further|Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign#Climate change and energy|Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign#Energy, environment, and climate change}}
{{See also|Environmental policy of the first Donald Trump administration|Climate change denial|Inflation Reduction Act}}
Climate change and energy policy played a role in the 2024 presidential campaign. In 2023, the United States saw a record in crude oil production with over 13.2 million barrels of crude per day, beating the 13 million barrels per day produced at the peak of Trump's presidency.{{cite news |title=U.S. oil production hit a record under Biden. He seldom mentions it. |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/12/31/us-oil-production-has-hit-record-under-biden-he-hardly-mentions-it/ |last1=Halper |first1=Evan |last2=Olorunnipa |first2=Toluse |newspaper=The Washington Post |date=December 31, 2023 |access-date=January 20, 2024 |archive-date=January 18, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240118150742/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/12/31/us-oil-production-has-hit-record-under-biden-he-hardly-mentions-it/ |url-status=live}} The United States also dealt with supply shocks caused by the 2021–2024 global energy crisis due to the COVID-19 pandemic and Russian invasion of Ukraine.{{Cite web |date=October 2022 |title=IEA Global Energy Crisis |url=https://www.iea.org/topics/global-energy-crisis |publisher=International Energy Agency |access-date=December 6, 2022 |archive-date=December 6, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221206212447/https://www.iea.org/topics/global-energy-crisis |url-status=live}} An advocate for environmental justice to address the impact of climate change on lower-income areas and people of color, Harris supported Biden's climate legislation. In 2022, Harris helped pass the Inflation Reduction Act,{{Cite news |last=Bolton |first=Alexander |date=July 29, 2024 |title=Behind hoopla, Democrats anxious about Harris |work=The Hill |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/4795432-kamala-harris-democratic-anxiety/ |access-date=August 1, 2024 |archive-date=July 30, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240730045711/https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/4795432-kamala-harris-democratic-anxiety/ |url-status=live}} the largest investment in addressing climate change and clean energy in American history,{{Cite web |last=Bordoff |first=Jason |date=December 2022 |title=America's Landmark Climate Law |url=https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/2022/12/america-landmark-climate-law-bordoff |access-date=January 16, 2024 |website=International Monetary Fund |archive-date=January 18, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240118035504/https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/2022/12/america-landmark-climate-law-bordoff |url-status=live}} putting the United States on track to meet emissions reduction targets by 50–52% below 2005 levels by 2030.{{Cite magazine |last=McCarthy |first=Gina |date=August 16, 2023 |title=The Inflation Reduction Act Took U.S. Climate Action Global. Here's What Needs To Happen Next |url=https://time.com/6305001/inflation-reduction-act-what-happens-next/ |access-date=January 20, 2024 |magazine=TIME |language=en |archive-date=January 19, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240119015654/https://time.com/6305001/inflation-reduction-act-what-happens-next/ |url-status=live}} Harris' campaign stated that she would not support a ban on fracking.
Trump ridiculed the idea of man-made climate change,{{cite news |title=No more going wobbly in climate fight, Trump supporters vow |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/01/12/trump-second-term-climate-science-2024-00132289 |work=Politico |date=January 16, 2024 |access-date=January 18, 2024 |last=Waldman |first=Scott |archive-date=January 17, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240117142253/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/01/12/trump-second-term-climate-science-2024-00132289 |url-status=live}}{{cite news |title=On Fox, Donald Trump Calls Climate Change A 'Hoax': 'In The 1920's They Were Talking About Global Freezing' |url=https://www.forbes.com/sites/markjoyella/2022/03/21/on-fox-donald-trump-calls-climate-change-a-hoax-in-the-1920s-they-were-talking-about-global-freezing/?sh=4361ef3f3787 |work=Forbes |date=March 21, 2022 |access-date=December 11, 2023 |last1=Joyella |first1=Mark |archive-date=December 12, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231212042756/https://www.forbes.com/sites/markjoyella/2022/03/21/on-fox-donald-trump-calls-climate-change-a-hoax-in-the-1920s-they-were-talking-about-global-freezing/?sh=4361ef3f3787 |url-status=live}}{{cite web |url=https://www.cfr.org/blog/campaign-roundup-republican-presidential-candidates-climate-change |title=Campaign Roundup: The Republican Presidential Candidates on Climate Change |last=Lindsay |first=James M. |date=December 1, 2023 |publisher=Council on Foreign Relations |access-date=December 11, 2023 |archive-date=December 12, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231212042757/https://www.cfr.org/blog/campaign-roundup-republican-presidential-candidates-climate-change |url-status=live}} and repeatedly referred to his energy policy under the mantra "drill, baby, drill".{{cite news |title=Trump Promises To "Drill, Baby, Drill" If Elected |url=https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Trump-Promises-To-Drill-Baby-Drill-If-Elected.html |work=Oilprice.com |date=May 11, 2023 |access-date=December 11, 2023 |last1=Geiger |first1=Julianne |archive-date=December 12, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231212042758/https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Trump-Promises-To-Drill-Baby-Drill-If-Elected.html |url-status=live}} Trump said he would increase oil drilling on public lands and offer tax breaks to oil, gas, and coal producers, and stated his goal for the United States to have the lowest cost of electricity and energy of any country in the world. Trump also promised to roll back electric vehicle initiatives, proposed once again the United States withdrawal from the Paris Agreement, and rescind several environmental regulations.{{cite news |title=Trump's Violent Language Toward EVs |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/18/climate/trump-electric-vehicles-blood-bath.html |work=The New York Times |date=March 18, 2024 |last1=Friedman |first1=Lisa |access-date=March 21, 2024 |archive-date=March 21, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240321023506/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/18/climate/trump-electric-vehicles-blood-bath.html |url-status=live}} Trump stated his intention to roll back parts of the Inflation Reduction Act.{{cite news |title=Specter of second Trump term looms over global climate talks |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2023/12/11/trump-climate-talks-cop28-dubai/ |newspaper=Washington Post |date=December 11, 2023 |access-date=December 11, 2023 |last1=Joselow |first1=Maxine |last2=Puko |first2=Timothy}} The implementation of Trump's plans would add around 4 billion tons of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere by 2030, also having effects on the international level. If the policies do not change further, it would add 15 billion tons by 2040 and 27 billion by 2050. Although the exact calculation is difficult, researchers stated: "Regardless of the precise impact, a second Trump term that successfully dismantles Biden's climate legacy would likely end any global hopes of keeping global warming below 1.5C."{{cite web |last1=Evans |first1=Simon |last2=Viisainen |first2=Verner |title=Analysis: Trump election win could add 4bn tonnes to US emissions by 2030 |url=https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-trump-election-win-could-add-4bn-tonnes-to-us-emissions-by-2030/ |website=Carbon Brief |date=March 6, 2024 |access-date=November 1, 2024}}
= Democracy =
{{Main|Attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election|Democratic backsliding in the United States|Election denial movement in the United States}}
{{See also|Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign#Authoritarian and antidemocratic statements|Donald Trump and fascism|Indictments against Donald Trump|Project 2025}}
{{#invoke:multiple image|
| align = right
| image1 = 2021 storming of the United States Capitol DSC09156 collage.png
| footer = The election was the first presidential election following Trump's attempts to overturn the 2020 election and the January 6 United States Capitol attack. It also came amidst Trump's federal indictment for attempting to overturn the 2020 election and involvement in the attack and racketeering charges for attempting to overturn Biden's victory in Georgia.
}}
Polling before the election indicated profound dissatisfaction with the state of American democracy.{{Cite news |last1=Balz |first1=Dan |last2=Ence Morse |first2=Clara |date=August 18, 2023 |title=American democracy is cracking. These forces help explain why. |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/08/18/american-democracy-political-system-failures/ |access-date=November 15, 2023 |newspaper=The Washington Post |archive-date=November 15, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231115151758/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/08/18/american-democracy-political-system-failures/ |url-status=live}}{{Cite web |last=Leonhardt |first=David |date=September 17, 2022 |title=A Crisis Coming: The Twin Threats to American Democracy |url-access=subscription |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/17/us/american-democracy-threats.html |access-date=November 15, 2023 |website=The New York Times |archive-date=November 1, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231101094836/https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/17/us/american-democracy-threats.html |url-status=live}}{{Cite news |last=Gambino |first=Lauren |date=November 5, 2023 |title=With the US election a year away, most Americans don't want Biden or Trump |work=The Guardian |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/nov/05/us-presidential-election-biden-trump-polls |access-date=November 15, 2023 |archive-date=November 16, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231116135016/https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/nov/05/us-presidential-election-biden-trump-polls |url-status=live}} According to an October 25 ABC/Ipsos poll, 49% of Americans saw Trump as a fascist, described as "a political extremist who seeks to act as a dictator, disregards individual rights and threatens or uses force against their opponents". Meanwhile, only 22% saw Harris as a fascist by this definition.{{Cite news |last1=Langer |first1=Gary |last2=Sparks |first2=Steven |date=October 25, 2024 |title=Half of Americans see Donald Trump as a fascist: Poll |publisher=ABC News |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/donald-trump-fascist-concerns-poll/story?id=115083795 |access-date=October 25, 2024}} Some Republicans were concerned that Trump's former impeachment and four criminal indictments were attempts to influence the election and keep him from office;{{Cite web |title=Is Our Democracy Under Threat? |url=https://www.rutgers.edu/news/our-democracy-under-threat |access-date=May 3, 2023 |website=rutgers.edu |archive-date=October 25, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221025225321/https://www.rutgers.edu/news/our-democracy-under-threat |url-status=live}} however, there is no evidence that Trump's criminal trials were "election interference" orchestrated by Biden and the Democratic Party, and Trump also continued to repeat false claims that the 2020 election was rigged and stolen from him.{{cite news |last1=Riccardi |first1=Nicholas |last2=Price |first2=Michelle L. |date=December 16, 2023 |title=Trump calls Biden the 'destroyer' of democracy despite his own efforts to overturn 2020 election |url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-biden-democracy-election-2024-f2f824f056ae9f81f4e688fe590f41b4 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231215220821/https://apnews.com/article/trump-biden-democracy-election-2024-f2f824f056ae9f81f4e688fe590f41b4 |archive-date=December 15, 2023 |access-date=December 16, 2023 |publisher=Associated Press}}
Trump's 2024 presidential campaign was criticized by legal experts, historians, and political scientists for making increasingly dehumanizing, violent, and authoritarian statements.{{cite news |last1=Colvin |first1=Jill |last2=Barrow |first2=Bill |date=December 7, 2023 |title=Trump's vow to only be a dictator on 'day one' follows growing worry over his authoritarian rhetoric |url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-hannity-dictator-authoritarian-presidential-election-f27e7e9d7c13fabbe3ae7dd7f1235c72 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231208055611/https://apnews.com/article/trump-hannity-dictator-authoritarian-presidential-election-f27e7e9d7c13fabbe3ae7dd7f1235c72 |archive-date=December 8, 2023 |access-date=December 8, 2023 |work=Associated Press}}{{cite news |last1=Bender |first1=Michael C. |last2=Gold |first2=Michael |date=November 20, 2023 |title=Trump's Dire Words Raise New Fears About His Authoritarian Bent |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/20/us/politics/trump-rhetoric-fascism.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231208010902/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/20/us/politics/trump-rhetoric-fascism.html |archive-date=December 8, 2023 |access-date=December 8, 2023 |work=The New York Times}}{{cite news |last=Stone |first=Peter |title='Openly authoritarian campaign': Trump's threats of revenge fuel alarm |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/nov/22/trump-revenge-game-plan-alarm |work=The Guardian |date=November 22, 2023 |access-date=December 9, 2023 |archive-date=November 27, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231127003512/https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/nov/22/trump-revenge-game-plan-alarm |url-status=live}} Trump's platform called for the vast expansion of presidential powers and the executive branch over every part of the federal government.{{Cite news |last1=Savage |first1=Charlie |date=April 24, 2024 |title=Trump's Immunity Claim Joins His Plans to Increase Executive Power |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/24/us/trump-immunity-president-supreme-court.html |access-date=April 24, 2024 |archive-date=April 24, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240424183452/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/24/us/trump-immunity-president-supreme-court.html |url-status=live}} Trump called for stripping employment protections for thousands of career civil service employees (a provision known as Schedule F appointment that had been adopted by Trump at the end of 2020) and replacing them with political loyalists if deemed an "obstacle to his agenda" within federal agencies, the United States Intelligence Community, State Department, and Department of Defense.{{cite news |last1=Swan |first1=Jonathan |last2=Savage |first2=Charlie |last3=Maggie |first3=Haberman |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/17/us/politics/trump-plans-2025.html |title=Trump and Allies Forge Plans to Increase Presidential Power in 2025 |work=The New York Times |date=July 17, 2023 |access-date=December 6, 2023 |archive-date=November 13, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231113042523/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/17/us/politics/trump-plans-2025.html |url-status=live}} Trump repeatedly stated his intention to have the Justice Department investigate and arrest his domestic political rivals, judges, prosecutors, and witnesses involved in his criminal trials.{{Cite news |last=Liptak |first=Adam |date=June 5, 2024 |title=Trump's Vows to Prosecute Rivals Put Rule of Law on the Ballot |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/05/us/trump-retribution-justice.html |url-access=subscription |access-date=June 9, 2024 |archive-date=June 9, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240609020425/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/05/us/trump-retribution-justice.html |url-status=live}}{{cite news |last=Peter |first=Stone |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/nov/10/trump-fbi-rivals-2024-election |title=Trump suggests he would use FBI to go after political rivals if elected in 2024 |work=The Guardian |date=November 10, 2023 |access-date=January 6, 2024 |archive-date=June 7, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240607095354/https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/nov/10/trump-fbi-rivals-2024-election |url-status=live}}{{cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/27/magazine/trump-rallies-rhetoric.html |title=Donald Trump Has Never Sounded Like This |work=New York Magazine |date=April 27, 2024 |access-date=April 27, 2024 |last1=Homans |first1=Charles |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240719002646/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/27/magazine/trump-rallies-rhetoric.html |archive-date=July 19, 2024 |url-status=live}} Calling the January 6, 2021, Capitol attack a "day of love", Trump promised to pardon those charged for their involvement and called them "hostages" and "great, great patriots".{{cite news |last1=FitzGerald |first1=James |date=October 17, 2024 |title=Trump calls 6 January 'day of love' when asked about Capitol riot |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ckgnxej1dn0o |publisher=BBC News}}{{cite news |last=Weissert |first=Will |date=January 4, 2024 |title=One attack, two interpretations: Biden and Trump both make the Jan. 6 riot a political rallying cry |url=https://apnews.com/article/biden-trump-january-6-anniversary-speech-campaign-0777d1f89342fac32bcc230d0d854043 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240105225517/https://apnews.com/article/biden-trump-january-6-anniversary-speech-campaign-0777d1f89342fac32bcc230d0d854043 |archive-date=January 5, 2024 |access-date=January 6, 2024 |publisher=Associated Press}}{{cite news |last=Mascaro |first=Lisa |date=January 6, 2024 |title=On Jan. 6 many Republicans blamed Trump for the Capitol riot. Now they endorse his presidential bid |url=https://apnews.com/article/jan-6-trump-biden-insurrection-congress-690af49cbf1f7a5696545b1ebbe45c47 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240106051107/https://apnews.com/article/jan-6-trump-biden-insurrection-congress-690af49cbf1f7a5696545b1ebbe45c47 |archive-date=January 6, 2024 |access-date=January 6, 2024 |publisher=Associated Press}}{{cite news |last1=Price |first1=Michelle L. |last2=Colvin |first2=Jill |last3=Beaumont |first3=Thomas |date=January 6, 2024 |title=Trump downplays Jan. 6 on the anniversary of the Capitol siege and calls jailed rioters 'hostages' |url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-iowa-caucuses-young-conservatives-campaign-2ca7441852577795123845811b06bc06 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240106192139/https://apnews.com/article/trump-iowa-caucuses-young-conservatives-campaign-2ca7441852577795123845811b06bc06 |archive-date=January 6, 2024 |access-date=January 6, 2024 |publisher=Associated Press}} Trump played down the possibility of violence if he were to lose the 2024 election, but did not rule it out altogether.
Trump's 2024 campaign rhetoric has been described as fascist.{{cite news |title=When Trump tells you he's an authoritarian, believe him |url=https://www.vox.com/2023/11/14/23958866/trump-vermin-authoritarian-democracy |work=Vox |date=November 14, 2023 |author1=Michael C. Bender |author2=Michael Gold |access-date=December 8, 2023 |archive-date=December 8, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231208113419/https://www.vox.com/2023/11/14/23958866/trump-vermin-authoritarian-democracy |url-status=live}}{{cite magazine |last=Cassidy |first=John |date=November 14, 2023 |title=Trump's Fascistic Rhetoric Only Emphasizes the Stakes in 2024 |url=https://www.newyorker.com/news/our-columnists/trumps-fascistic-rhetoric-only-emphasizes-the-stakes-in-2024 |magazine=The New Yorker |location=New York City |publisher=Condé Nast |access-date=December 8, 2023 |archive-date=October 9, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241009121304/https://www.newyorker.com/news/our-columnists/trumps-fascistic-rhetoric-only-emphasizes-the-stakes-in-2024 |url-status=live}}{{cite magazine |last=Browning |first=Christopher R. |date=July 25, 2023 |title=A New Kind of Fascism |url=https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2023/07/trump-second-term-isolationist-fascism/674791/ |magazine=The Atlantic |location=Washington, D.C. |publisher=Laurene Powell Jobs |access-date=December 8, 2023 |archive-date=September 26, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240926135407/https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2023/07/trump-second-term-isolationist-fascism/674791/ |url-status=live}} Trump said his political opponents are a greater threat to the United States than countries such as Russia, China, and North Korea.{{Cite news |last=LeVine |first=Marianne |date=November 12, 2023 |title=Trump calls political enemies 'vermin,' echoing dictators Hitler, Mussolini |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/11/12/trump-rally-vermin-political-opponents |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231113051831/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/11/12/trump-rally-vermin-political-opponents/ |archive-date=November 13, 2023 |access-date=November 12, 2023 |newspaper=The Washington Post}}{{cite news |last=Gold |first=Michael |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/13/us/politics/trump-vermin-rhetoric-fascists.html |title=After Calling Foes 'Vermin,' Trump Campaign Warns Its Critics Will Be 'Crushed' |work=The New York Times |date=November 13, 2023 |access-date=November 16, 2023}} He urged that the U.S. Armed Forces be deployed on American soil to fight "the enemy from within", which—according to Trump—included "radical left lunatics" and Democratic politicians such as Adam Schiff.{{Cite news |last=Vazquez |first=Maegan |date=October 13, 2024 |title=Trump urges using military to handle 'radical left lunatics' on Election Day |newspaper=The Washington Post |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/10/13/trump-military-enemies-within/ |access-date=October 13, 2024}} Trump repeatedly voiced support for outlawing political dissent and criticism he considers misleading or challenges his claims to power.{{Cite news |last=Blake |first=Aaron |date=September 24, 2024 |title=Trump keeps talking about criminalizing dissent |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/24/trump-keeps-talking-about-criminalizing-dissent/ |access-date=October 1, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post |archive-date=September 27, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240927204013/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/24/trump-keeps-talking-about-criminalizing-dissent/ |url-status=live}}{{Cite news |last=Kapur |first=Sahil |date=October 13, 2024 |title='Totally illegal': Trump escalates rhetoric on outlawing political dissent and criticism |publisher=NBC News |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/totally-illegal-trump-escalates-rhetoric-outlawing-political-dissent-c-rcna174280 |access-date=October 13, 2024}} Trump previously tried to have his political rivals prosecuted during his first term.{{Cite web |last=Bagchi |first=Aysha |date=September 12, 2024 |title=Donald Trump threatens to imprison Biden, Harris, Pelosi, and others. Experts are worried |url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/09/12/trump-prosecution-threats-political-rivals/75060866007/ |access-date=September 12, 2024 |website=USA Today |language=en-US}}
Harris was tasked by Biden with protecting democracy through voting rights legislation through her work on the For the People Act. Harris supported efforts to defend election workers and counter Republican efforts to restrict voting following the 2020 presidential election. Harris also stated her intent to pass the Freedom to Vote Act and John Lewis Rights Voting Rights Advancement Act if elected.{{Cite news |last=Berman |first=Ari |date=August 6, 2024 |title=As the Voting Rights Act Nears 60, Conservative Judges Are Gutting It From Every Angle |url=https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2024/08/as-the-voting-rights-act-turns-59-supreme-court-trump/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240807014105/https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2024/08/as-the-voting-rights-act-turns-59-supreme-court-trump/ |archive-date=August 7, 2024 |access-date=August 24, 2024 |work=Mother Jones}}
= Economic issues =
{{Main|Economy of the United States}}
{{Further|Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign#Economy|Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign#Economy and trade|U.S. federal government response to the COVID-19 pandemic}}
File:Inflation 2018-2024 US vs. EuroZone.png, with the gray column indicating the COVID-19 recession]]
Voters consistently cited the economy as their top issue in the 2024 election.{{cite news |date=September 9, 2024 |title=Issues and the 2024 election |url=https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/09/09/issues-and-the-2024-election/ |publisher=Pew Research Center}} Following the COVID-19 pandemic, a global surge in inflation ensued that raised prices on many goods, although the U.S. inflation rate had declined significantly during 2023 and 2024.{{Cite news |last=Goldmacher |first=Shane |date=October 17, 2022 |title=Republicans Gain Edge as Voters Worry About Economy, Times/Siena Poll Finds |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/17/us/politics/republicans-economy-nyt-siena-poll.html |access-date=October 21, 2022 |archive-date=October 20, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221020235453/https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/17/us/politics/republicans-economy-nyt-siena-poll.html |url-status=live}}{{Cite web |last=Montanaro |first=Domenico |date=March 29, 2023 |title=Poll: Dangers for both parties on the economy, crime and transgender rights |url=https://www.npr.org/2023/03/29/1166486046/poll-economy-inflation-transgender-rights-republicans-democrats-biden |access-date=May 10, 2023 |publisher=NPR |archive-date=March 29, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230329090442/https://www.npr.org/2023/03/29/1166486046/poll-economy-inflation-transgender-rights-republicans-democrats-biden |url-status=live}}{{Cite web |url=https://www.newsweek.com/election-2024-poll-how-voters-feel-about-key-issues-1813658 |title=Election 2024 poll: How voters feel about key issues |first=Darragh |last=Roche |date=July 19, 2023 |website=Newsweek |access-date=January 26, 2024 |archive-date=January 26, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240126202104/https://www.newsweek.com/election-2024-poll-how-voters-feel-about-key-issues-1813658 |url-status=live}} The New York Times reported that both candidates "embraced a vision of a powerful federal government, using its muscle to intervene in markets in pursuit of a stronger and more prosperous economy". The Wall Street Journal reported that economists found Trump's proposed policies created a greater risk of stoking inflation and generating higher budget deficits, relative to the Harris plan.{{cite news |last1=Timiraos |first1=Nick |title=Economists Warn of New Inflation Hazards After Election |url=https://www.wsj.com/economy/trump-harris-election-inflation-0797554a?mod=hp_lead_pos1 |work=The Wall Street Journal |date=October 28, 2024}} Twenty-three Nobel Prize-winning economists signed a letter characterizing the Harris economic plan as "vastly superior" to the Trump plan.{{cite news |last1=Mattingly |first1=Phil |title=23 Nobel Prize-winning economists call Harris' economic plan 'vastly superior' to Trump's |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/23/politics/nobel-prize-economists-harris-economic-plan/index.html |publisher=CNN |date=October 23, 2024}} Trump's designated government efficiency leader Elon Musk said in October that he expected Trump's plan would involve more than $2 trillion in federal spending cuts and would cause "some temporary hardship."{{cite news |last1=Romm |first1=Tony |title=Musk's plan to cut $2 trillion in U.S. spending could bring economic turmoil |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/10/29/elon-musk-2-trillion-budget-cuts-trump-election/ |newspaper=The Washington Post |date=October 29, 2024}}{{cite news |last1=Rappeport |first1=Alan |last2=Schleifer |first2=Theodore |title=Elon Musk Sees Trump's Economic Plans Causing 'Temporary Hardship' |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/29/us/politics/elon-musk-trump-economy-hardship.html |work=The New York Times |date=October 29, 2024}} Harris ran on a pro-union platform.{{cite news |last=Cancryn |first=Adam |title=Harris' blue-collar pitch: New candidate, same pro-labor policies |work=Politico |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/07/harris-blue-collar-labor-detroit-00173066 |date=August 7, 2024 |access-date=August 8, 2024 |archive-date=August 8, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240808175114/https://www.politico.com/web/20240808175114/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/07/harris-blue-collar-labor-detroit-00173066 |url-status=live}} She promoted the passage of the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, funding for small business, and previously supported an act as senator to provide a $6,000 tax credit for middle and low-income families. Harris promised to address price gouging, bring down costs, ban hidden fees and late charges from financial institutions, limit "unfair" rent increases and cap prescription drug costs, which she said would "lower costs and save many middle-class families thousands of dollars a year".{{cite news |last1=Messerly |first1=Megan |last2=Cancryn |first2=Adam |last3=Schneider |first3=Elena |title=Everything was going Kamala Harris' way. Then came the market sell-off. |work=Politico |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/06/market-sell-off-democrats-harris-00172740 |date=August 6, 2024 |access-date=August 6, 2024 |archive-date=August 6, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240806202050/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/06/market-sell-off-democrats-harris-00172740 |url-status=live}}
The New York Times described Harris' economic policy as embracing "the idea that the federal government must act aggressively to foster competition and correct distortions in private markets". Harris proposed raising taxes on corporations and high-earners to fund services for the lower and middle classes and reduce the deficit. Harris stated she supported increasing the top tier capital gains tax rate to 28%, up from 20% and lower than Biden's proposed 39.6%. Harris stated her support for a Billionaire Minimum Income Tax, increasing the tax on stock buybacks to 4%, and a ten-fold tax reduction for small business ranging from $5,000 to $50,000 in relief.{{cite news |last1=Tausche |first1=Kayla |last2=Luhby |first2=Tami |last3=Williams |first3=Michael |title=Harris breaks with Biden on capital gains tax, proposing a smaller increase |work=CNN |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/04/politics/kamala-harris-capital-gains-tax/index.html |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240904211922/https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/04/politics/kamala-harris-capital-gains-tax/index.html |archive-date=September 4, 2024 |url-status=live}} Harris also supported efforts to create a tax on unrealized gains for those with more than a $100 million in net worth if they do not pay a minimum 25% tax rate on their income inclusive of unrealized gains so long as 80% of said wealth is in tradeable assets. The plan would impact a small percentage of the wealthy in the United States, and Axios reported most tech founders and investors would be spared.{{cite news |last=Primack |first=Dan |title=The reality of Kamala Harris' plan to tax unrealized capital gains |work=Axios |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/08/23/kamala-harris-unrealized-capital-gains-tax |date=August 23, 2024 |access-date=August 23, 2024 |archive-date=August 29, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240829214737/https://www.axios.com/2024/08/23/kamala-harris-unrealized-capital-gains-tax |url-status=live}} Harris also announced support for restoring the corporate tax rate to 28% among several other tax proposals to raise taxes and close loopholes for corporations and the wealthy that would bring in $5 trillion in additional revenue over 10 years.{{cite news |last1=Duehren |first1=Andrew |title=What We Know About Kamala Harris's $5 Trillion Tax Plan So Far |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/22/us/politics/kamala-harris-tax-plan.html |work=The New York Times |date=August 22, 2024 |archive-date=August 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240823164100/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/22/us/politics/kamala-harris-tax-plan.html |url-status=live}} Harris proposed tax breaks to companies delivering economic benefit, such as manufacturing technologies that mitigate climate change and building affordable housing, and proposed a ban on corporate price gouging to "help the food industry become more competitive".{{Cite news |last=Tankersley |first=Jim |date=August 16, 2024 |title=Harris and Trump Offer a Clear Contrast on the Economy |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/16/business/economy/harris-trump-economy-inflation.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240817002443/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/16/business/economy/harris-trump-economy-inflation.html |archive-date=August 17, 2024 |access-date=August 16, 2024 |work=The New York Times}} Harris also expressed support for student debt relief, and said she supported raising the minimum wage.{{cite news |first1=Nicholas |last1=Nehamas |first2=Reid J. |last2=Epstein |first3=Kellen |last3=Browning |access-date=August 11, 2024 |title=Rallying in Las Vegas, Harris Pledges to End Federal Taxes on Tips |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/10/us/politics/harris-trump-taxes-tips.html |newspaper=The New York Times |date=August 11, 2024 |via=NYTimes.com |archive-date=August 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240811043551/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/10/us/politics/harris-trump-taxes-tips.html |url-status=live}}
In response to the housing crisis in the United States, Harris said she would increase home construction to reduce housing costs, arguing that it negatively impacts the economy and hurts working-class families. Harris proposed directing $40 billion to construction companies to build starter homes, and promised to send $25,000 in down-payment assistance to every first time home buyer. Harris said she would urge Congress to enforce fair housing laws and pass a bill to bar property owners from using services that "coordinate" rents through the passage of the Preventing the Algorithmic Facilitation of Rental Housing Cartels Act, and also call on Congress to pass the Stop Predatory Investing Act by removing tax benefits to Wall Street firms that buy up large numbers of single-family homes.{{Cite news |last=Sherman |first=Natalie |date=August 16, 2024 |title=New homes and end to price-gouging: Harris sets economic goals |publisher=BBC News |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy8xqy0jv24o |access-date=August 17, 2024 |archive-date=August 17, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240817055831/https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy8xqy0jv24o |url-status=live}}{{Cite news |last=Alcindor |first=Yamiche |date=August 15, 2024 |title=Harris to endorse protections for renters and removal of key tax benefits for Wall St. investors buying homes |publisher=NBC News |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/harris-endorse-protections-renters-removal-key-tax-benefits-wall-st-in-rcna166821 |access-date=August 17, 2024 |archive-date=August 17, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240817095136/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/harris-endorse-protections-renters-removal-key-tax-benefits-wall-st-in-rcna166821 |url-status=live}} Trump proposed further individual and corporate tax cuts beyond the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.{{cite news |last1=Oliphant |first1=James |last2=Slattery |first2=Gram |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/payback-time-trump-plans-mass-firings-deportations-second-term-2023-11-14/ |title=Trump's second-term agenda: deportations, trade wars, drug dealer death penalty |work=Reuters |date=April 24, 2024 |access-date=April 27, 2024 |archive-date=December 5, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231205184238/https://www.reuters.com/world/us/payback-time-trump-plans-mass-firings-deportations-second-term-2023-11-14/ |url-status=live}} Trump argued that keeping taxes low for the wealthy increases job creation,{{cite news |last1=Boak |first1=Josh |last2=Colvin |first2=Jill |date=April 15, 2024 |title=Tax Day reveals a major split in how Joe Biden and Donald Trump would govern |url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-biden-income-taxes-irs-returns-filings-55d3031de64251169eb247f52430618d |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240427184733/https://apnews.com/article/trump-biden-income-taxes-irs-returns-filings-55d3031de64251169eb247f52430618d |archive-date=April 27, 2024 |access-date=April 27, 2024 |publisher=Associated Press}} and that these policies coupled with a crackdown in illegal immigration and reduction in inflation would help the middle class. Trump said he would reduce regulation of business through the creation of an efficiency commission led by Musk,{{Cite web |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2024/09/05/politics/trump-economic-plans-musk-government-commission/index.html |title=Trump says Elon Musk has agreed to lead proposed government efficiency commission as ex-president unveils new economic plans |first1=Alayna |last1=Treene |first2=Tami |last2=Luhby |first3=Katie |last3=Lobosco |first4=Steve |last4=Contorno |first5=Kate |last5=Sullivan |date=September 5, 2024 |website=CNN |access-date=September 9, 2024 |archive-date=September 9, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240909140617/https://edition.cnn.com/2024/09/05/politics/trump-economic-plans-musk-government-commission/index.html |url-status=live}} along with reducing environmental regulation. By October 2024, Musk was Trump's second-largest individual campaign donor.{{cite news |last1=Durkee |first1=Alison |title=Elon Musk Is Now Trump's 2nd-Biggest Financial Backer: Donates Nearly $120 Million To Super PAC |url=https://www.forbes.com/sites/alisondurkee/2024/10/24/elon-musk-donates-another-436-million-to-pro-trump-america-pac/ |work=Forbes |date=October 25, 2024}} Trump said deporting millions of immigrants would bring housing prices down, although most economists argue it could raise prices by removing construction workers who use less real estate.{{Cite news |last1=Smialek |first1=Jeanna |last2=DePillis |first2=Lydia |last3=Rodriguez |first3=Natasha |date=October 11, 2024 |title=Trump Blames Immigrant Surge for Housing Crisis. Most Economists Disagree. |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/11/business/economy/trump-housing-crisis-deportations.html |work=The New York Times}} Trump and Harris support not taxing tips for at least hospitality and service workers.{{Cite web |last=Grabenstein |first=Hannah |date=September 4, 2024 |title=Killing taxes on tips sounds good, but experts say it doesn't solve the real problem |url=https://www.pbs.org/newshour/economy/trump-and-harris-say-theyll-kill-taxes-on-tips-how-would-that-work |access-date=October 12, 2024 |website=PBS News |language=en-us}} Trump suggested that he would abolish the federal income tax and replace it with tariffs. In June 2024, Trump discussed the idea of eliminating the income tax in a private meeting with Republican politicians.{{Cite web |url=https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/13/trump-all-tariff-policy-to-replace-income-tax.html |title=Trump floats eliminating U.S. income tax and replacing it with tariffs on imports |first1=Emily |last1=Wilkins |first2=Kevin |last2=Breuninger |date=June 13, 2024 |website=CNBC |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241009065041/https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/13/trump-all-tariff-policy-to-replace-income-tax.html |archive-date=October 9, 2024}} In October 2024, Trump suggested that he would scrap the income tax if he wins, pointing out that tariffs were the main sources of revenue in the 19th century.{{Cite web |url=https://www.telegraph.co.uk/us/politics/2024/10/24/donald-trump-suggests-abolish-federal-income-tax-entirely/ |title=Donald Trump suggests he may abolish income tax |work=The Daily Telegraph |first=Joe |last=Barnes |date=October 24, 2024 |access-date=November 1, 2024}}
Trump's stated trade policy involves the United States decoupling from the global economy and having the country become more self-contained and exerting its power through individual trade dealings. This would be attempted largely through a universal baseline tariff, set from 10% to 20% on all imports,{{cite news |last1=Alicia |first1=Wallace |title=Harris and Trump both hate inflation. Their economic proposals could cause prices to go higher |work=CNN |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/19/economy/trump-harris-inflation/index.html |date=August 19, 2024 |access-date=August 19, 2024 |archive-date=August 21, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240821132308/https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/19/economy/trump-harris-inflation/index.html |url-status=live}} with increased penalties if trade partners manipulate their currency or engage in unfair trade practices. Trump called for 100% tariffs on cars made outside the United States and a minimum 60% tariff on Chinese goods.{{cite news |title=Trump's inflation bomb: How his second-term plans could make it worse |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/05/08/trump-biden-2024-economy-inflation |work=Axios |date=May 8, 2024 |access-date=May 11, 2024 |last1=Basu |first1=Zachary |archive-date=May 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240511021720/https://www.axios.com/2024/05/08/trump-biden-2024-economy-inflation |url-status=live}} Trump stated his plans to urge Congress to pass a Trump Reciprocal Trade Act to bestow presidential authority to impose a reciprocal tariff on any country that imposed one on the United States. The Washington Post reported in January 2024 that Trump was preparing for a massive trade war.{{cite news |last1=Stein |first1=Jeff |title=Donald Trump is preparing for a massive new trade war with China |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/01/27/trump-china-trade-war/ |newspaper=The Washington Post |date=January 27, 2024 |access-date=April 4, 2024 |archive-date=January 27, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240127180735/https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/01/27/trump-china-trade-war/ |url-status=live}} Trump's trade policies were described as protectionist,{{cite news |title=Donald Trump's second term would be a protectionist nightmare |url=https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2023/10/31/donald-trumps-second-term-would-be-a-protectionist-nightmare |newspaper=The Economist |date=October 31, 2023 |access-date=May 11, 2024 |archive-date=May 12, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240512030659/https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2023/10/31/donald-trumps-second-term-would-be-a-protectionist-nightmare |url-status=live}} neo-mercantilist, or autarkist,{{cite news |title=A New Tax on Imports and a Split From China: Trump's 2025 Trade Agenda |url-access=subscription |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/26/us/politics/trump-2025-trade-china.html |work=The New York Times |date=December 26, 2023 |access-date=December 10, 2023 |last1=Savage |first1=Charlie |last2=Swan |first2=Jonathan |last3=Haberman |first3=Maggie |archive-date=December 26, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231226104124/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/26/us/politics/trump-2025-trade-china.html |url-status=live}}{{cite journal |doi=10.1093/isr/viaa092 |title=The Return of National Self-Sufficiency? Excavating Autarkic Thought in a De-Globalizing Era |year=2021 |last=Helleiner |first=Eric |journal=International Studies Review |volume=23 |issue=3 |pages=933–957 |doi-access=free |issn=1468-2486|pmc=7928914 }} and increasing inflation became a more common critique of Trump's economic plans.{{Cite web |last=Levitz |first=Eric |date=April 24, 2024 |title=Trump's team keeps promising to increase inflation |url=https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/24137666/trump-agenda-inflation-prices-dollar-devaluation-tariffs |access-date=July 23, 2024 |website=Vox |language=en-US |archive-date=July 10, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240710050420/https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/24137666/trump-agenda-inflation-prices-dollar-devaluation-tariffs |url-status=live}}{{Cite news |last=Burns |first=Tobias |date=July 10, 2024 |title=Experts see potential for higher inflation under Trump |url=https://thehill.com/business/4762000-higher-inflation-trump-possible-experts/ |work=The Hill |access-date=July 31, 2024 |archive-date=July 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240723181956/https://thehill.com/business/4762000-higher-inflation-trump-possible-experts/ |url-status=live}}{{Cite web |last=Wiseman |first=Paul |date=May 21, 2024 |title=Trump or Biden? Either way, US seems poised to preserve heavy tariffs on imports |url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-biden-trade-tariffs-china-inflation-1c17b1d223080b7a594326905380845a |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240521101833/https://apnews.com/article/trump-biden-trade-tariffs-china-inflation-1c17b1d223080b7a594326905380845a |archive-date=May 21, 2024 |access-date=July 12, 2024 |publisher=Associated Press }}{{Cite news |date=July 11, 2024 |title=Trumponomics would not be as bad as most expect |url=https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2024/07/11/trumponomics-would-not-be-as-bad-as-most-expect |access-date=July 23, 2024 |newspaper=The Economist |archive-date=August 8, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240808041441/https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2024/07/11/trumponomics-would-not-be-as-bad-as-most-expect |url-status=live}} In June 2024, 16 Nobel Prize in Economics laureates signed an open letter arguing that Trump's fiscal and trade policies coupled with efforts to limit the Federal Reserve's independence would reignite inflation in the United States.{{cite news |last=Nichols |first=Hans |date=June 25, 2024 |title=Scoop: 16 Nobel economists see a Trump inflation bomb |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/06/25/nobel-prize-winners-biden-economy-trump-inflation |access-date=June 26, 2024 |website=Axios |publisher=Cox Enterprises}}{{cite news |last=Picciotto |first=Rebecca |date=June 25, 2024 |title=Sixteen Nobel Prize-winning economists warn a second Trump term would 'reignite' inflation |url=https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/25/nobel-prize-economists-warn-trump-inflation.html |access-date=June 26, 2024 |publisher=CNBC |archive-date=June 26, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240626002547/https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/25/nobel-prize-economists-warn-trump-inflation.html |url-status=live}}{{Cite web |last=Picchi |first=Aimee |date=June 25, 2024 |title=16 Nobel Prize-winning economists warn that Trump's economic plans could reignite inflation |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-economy-nobel-prize-winners-letter-inflation-warning/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240709175720/https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-economy-nobel-prize-winners-letter-inflation-warning/ |archive-date=July 9, 2024 |access-date=July 12, 2024 |website=www.cbsnews.com |language=en-US }} Moody's,{{Cite news |last=Bade |first=Gavin |date=August 4, 2024 |title=Trump's trade guru plots an even more disruptive second term |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/04/robert-lighthizer-trump-adviser-trade-00172530 |work=Politico |access-date=August 5, 2024 |archive-date=August 4, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240804190644/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/04/robert-lighthizer-trump-adviser-trade-00172530 |url-status=live}} as well as most economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal in July 2024, predicted that inflation would be worse under Trump than Biden, a result due in part to tariffs, a crack down on illegal immigration, and larger deficits.{{Cite news |last1=Kiernan |first1=Paul |last2=DeBarros |first2=Anthony |date=July 11, 2024 |title=Economists Say Inflation Would Be Worse Under Trump Than Biden |url=https://www.wsj.com/economy/economists-say-inflation-would-be-worse-under-trump-than-biden-263bc900 |work=The Wall Street Journal |access-date=July 31, 2024 |archive-date=August 2, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240802080650/https://www.wsj.com/economy/economists-say-inflation-would-be-worse-under-trump-than-biden-263bc900 |url-status=live}} Trump incorrectly insisted foreign exporters pay tariffs imposed by the U.S. government; American importers pay tariffs on goods upon arrival at U.S. ports, meaning tariffs are taxes that raise prices for imported products Americans buy.{{cite news |last1=Wiseman |first1=Paul |title=Trump favors huge new tariffs. What are they, and how do they work? |url=https://apnews.com/article/tariffs-trump-taxes-imports-inflation-consumers-prices-c2eef295a078a76ce2bb7fedb0c5e58c |publisher=Associated Press |date=September 27, 2024 }}{{cite news |title=Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties |url=https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/B235RC1Q027SBEA |publisher=U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis |date=September 26, 2024}}{{Cite web |last=Chu |first=Ben |date=October 14, 2024 |title=Would Donald Trump's taxes on trade hurt US consumers? |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c20myx1erl6o |access-date=October 15, 2024 |publisher=BBC |language=en-GB}} One non-partisan analysis estimated the proposed tariffs would cost $1,700 per year for the average household. The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget found that Trump's plans would grow the national debt at roughly twice the rate of Harris' plan,{{Cite news |last=Rubin |first=Richard |date=October 7, 2024 |title=Trump's Plan Boosts Budget Deficits by $7.5 Trillion, Double Harris's Proposal |url=https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-s-plan-boosts-budget-deficits-by-75-trillion-double-harris-s-proposal/ar-AA1rNYyr |work=Wall Street Journal |via=MSN.com}} while the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy found Trump's plan would only benefit the top 5% of earners.{{Cite news |last1=Duehren |first1=Andrew |last2=Rappeport |first2=Alan |date=October 7, 2024 |title=Trump's Plans Could Increase U.S. Debt While Raising Costs for Most Americans |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/07/us/politics/trump-economic-plans-debt-costs.html?campaign_id=56&emc=edit_cn_20241007&instance_id=136283&nl=on-politics®i_id=72736460&segment_id=179852&te=1&user_id=25bc2c0fd14be5c690faf9999a50984c |work=New York Times}}
= Education =
{{Main|Education in the United States}}
{{Further|Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign#Education|2020s controversies around critical race theory|Parental rights movement}}
Trump pledged to terminate the U.S. Department of Education,{{Cite news |last1=Sullivan |first1=Kate |last2=Lobosco |first2=Katie |date=September 13, 2023 |title=Trump wants to close the Department of Education, joining calls by GOP rivals |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2023/09/13/politics/trump-department-of-education-states-2024/index.html |access-date=September 13, 2023 |work=CNN |archive-date=September 14, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230914084933/https://edition.cnn.com/2023/09/13/politics/trump-department-of-education-states-2024/index.html |url-status=live}}{{Cite web |last=Lobosco |first=Katie |date=September 20, 2024 |title=Trump wants to shut down the Department of Education. Here's what that could mean |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/20/politics/department-of-education-shut-down-trump/index.html |access-date=October 11, 2024 |work=CNN}} claiming it has been infiltrated by "radical zealots and Marxists".{{Cite news |last=McGraw |first=Meredith |date=January 26, 2023 |title=Trump unveils new education policy loaded with culture war proposals |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2023/01/26/trump-unveils-education-policy-culture-war-00079784 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231216050140/https://www.politico.com/news/2023/01/26/trump-unveils-education-policy-culture-war-00079784 |archive-date=December 16, 2023 |access-date=December 16, 2023 |work=Politico}} At the American Federation of Teachers national convention, Harris attacked recent efforts to ban books in school libraries.{{Cite news |last=Stanford |first=Libby |date=July 25, 2024 |title=Kamala Harris Rallies Teachers: 'God Knows We Don't Pay You Enough' |url=https://www.edweek.org/policy-politics/kamala-harris-rallies-teachers-god-knows-we-dont-pay-you-enough/2024/07 |access-date=August 20, 2024 |work=Education Week |language=en |issn=0277-4232 |archive-date=August 20, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240820041348/https://www.edweek.org/policy-politics/kamala-harris-rallies-teachers-god-knows-we-dont-pay-you-enough/2024/07 |url-status=live}} She also previously called for raising teachers' wages.{{Cite news |last=Goldstein |first=Dana |date=July 25, 2024 |title=With Speech to Teachers, Harris Waded into a Fiery Education Debate |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/25/us/kamala-harris-teachers-union-speech.html |access-date=August 20, 2024 |work=The New York Times |archive-date=August 20, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240820041348/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/25/us/kamala-harris-teachers-union-speech.html |url-status=live}}
= Healthcare issues =
{{Further|Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign#Healthcare|Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign#Healthcare and social services}}
Unlike previous elections, healthcare reform played a much more minor role in the 2024 presidential election.{{Cite web |title=Why Is Health Care Reform Absent This Election? |url=https://jacobin.com/2024/11/health-care-2024-election |access-date=December 19, 2024 |website=jacobin.com |language=en-US}} Harris stated that she no longer supported a single-payer healthcare system as she had in 2020.{{Cite news |last1=John |first1=Arit |last2=Tausche |first2=Kayla |date=July 30, 2024 |title=Harris recalibrates policy stances as she adjusts to role atop Democratic ticket |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/30/politics/harris-shifts-policy-stances/index.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240801002949/https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/30/politics/harris-shifts-policy-stances/index.html |archive-date=August 1, 2024 |access-date=August 1, 2024 |publisher=CNN}} Instead, she said she intended to protect and expand items legislated during the Obama and Biden administrations. She said she would "maintain and grow" the Affordable Care Act, while Trump said that he would replace it with his own healthcare plan.{{Cite web |url=https://www.ajmc.com/view/harris-defends-aca-while-trump-calls-for-much-better-healthc-plan-during-debate |title=Harris Defends ACA While Trump Calls for "Much Better" Health Plan During Debate |date=September 11, 2024 |website=AJMC}} Harris also supported limiting yearly out-of-pocket drug costs for seniors, and expanding the $35 cap on insulin for seniors on Medicare to younger individuals in the program as well. Generally, both candidates supported using the government to rein in prescription drug costs.{{Cite web |last=Sanger-Katz |first=Margot |date=September 14, 2024 |title=The Campaign Issue That Isn't: Health Care Reform |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/13/upshot/election-health-care-issue.html |access-date=December 19, 2024 |website=The New York Times}} Trump suggested he was open to cutting entitlement programs, such as Social Security and Medicare, part of an effort to "[cut] waste" as described by his campaign. During his first term, several budget proposals did suggest cuts to the programs.{{cite news |title=Trump Mentions Cutting Entitlements, and Biden Pounces |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/11/us/politics/trump-mentions-cutting-entitlements-and-biden-pounces.html |work=The New York Times |date=March 11, 2024 |access-date=March 11, 2024 |last=Browning |first=Kellen |archive-date=March 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240311202251/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/11/us/politics/trump-mentions-cutting-entitlements-and-biden-pounces.html |url-status=live}}{{cite news |title=Trump tees up a Biden broadside on Social Security |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/11/trump-biden-social-security-2024-elections-00146307 |work=Politico |date=March 11, 2024 |access-date=March 21, 2024 |last=Cancryn |first=Adam |archive-date=March 22, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240322002140/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/11/trump-biden-social-security-2024-elections-00146307 |url-status=live}} Additionally, Vance and Speaker of the House Mike Johnson suggested cuts to the ACA, including around pre-existing conditions, were part of Trump's plan.{{Cite web |last=Scott |first=Dylan |date=October 31, 2024 |title=Republicans are serious about cutting people's health care |url=https://www.vox.com/health-care/381484/2024-election-donald-trump-health-care-mike-johnson-obamacare |access-date=October 31, 2024 |website=Vox |language=en-US}} After Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump, Kennedy advocated for his "Make America Healthy Again" agenda, pledging to combat the upward trend in chronic disease patients, with Trump saying Kennedy would "go wild" regarding policy on food and medicines.{{Cite news |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2024/10/18/trump-rfk-maha-health/ |title=Trump, RFK vow to 'Make America Healthy Again,' raising hopes and doubts |first1=Dan |last1=Diamond |first2=Rachel |last2=Roubein |first3=Lauren |last3=Weber |date=October 18, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post}}{{Cite web |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4956319-trump-says-hell-let-rfk-jr-go-wild-on-health-and-food-in-potential-second-term/ |title=Trump says he'll let RFK Jr. 'go wild' on health and food in potential second term |first=Brett |last=Samuels |date=October 27, 2024 |website=The Hill |access-date=November 1, 2024}}
= Foreign policy =
{{Further|Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign#Foreign policy|Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign#Foreign policy}}
File:P20220221ES-0298-1 (51974425940).jpg signing Executive Order 14065 in February 2022 in response to Russia's imminent invasion of Ukraine. The United States has given billions worth of military aid to Ukraine following the Russian invasion of the country in 2022.]]
The Russian invasion of Ukraine, the Gaza war, and Chinese expansionism were some of the main foreign policy issues of the election. Harris signaled she would generally follow Biden's foreign policy on NATO and Ukraine, supporting both in the aftermath of the Russian invasion.{{cite news |first1=Matt |last1=Spetalnick |first2=Simon |last2=Lewis |date=July 21, 2024 |title=Tougher tone on Israel, steady on NATO: how a Harris foreign policy could look |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/tougher-tone-israel-steady-nato-how-harris-foreign-policy-could-look-2024-07-21/ |work=Reuters |access-date=July 22, 2024}} A supporter of the two-state solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict,{{Cite news |last1=Bazail-Eimil |first1=Eric |last2=Gould |first2=Joe |last3=Herszenhorn |first3=Miles J. |last4=Kine |first4=Phelim |date=July 21, 2024 |title=What a Kamala Harris foreign policy could look like |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/21/kamala-harris-foreign-policy-00170143 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240722011118/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/21/kamala-harris-foreign-policy-00170143 |archive-date=July 22, 2024 |access-date=July 22, 2024 |work=Politico}} Harris was expected to continue Biden's approach;{{Cite news |date=July 22, 2024 |title=How Kamala Harris views the world: From Gaza and Russia to China and India |url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/7/22/how-kamala-harris-views-the-world-from-gaza-and-russia-to-china-and-india |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240722152950/https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/7/22/how-kamala-harris-views-the-world-from-gaza-and-russia-to-china-and-india |archive-date=July 22, 2024 |access-date=July 22, 2024 |work=Al Jazeera}} she was seen as tougher on Israel and more sympathetic to Palestinians than Biden or Trump. Harris advocated for "de-risking" from China, a policy that encourages reducing Western economic dependence on China.{{cite web |last=Garrity |first=Kelly |date=September 10, 2023 |title=Harris on China: We need to lead |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2023/09/10/kamala-harris-china-relationship-00114893 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240716050644/https://www.politico.com/news/2023/09/10/kamala-harris-china-relationship-00114893 |archive-date=July 16, 2024 |access-date=July 22, 2024 |website=POLITICO}} Harris was expected to continue deepening American alliances in Asia and the Pacific with the intention of curbing China's rising power both economically and militarily.{{Cite web |date=July 22, 2024 |title=A look at Harris' views on US policy toward China |url=https://www.voanews.com/a/a-look-at-harris-views-on-u-s-policy-toward-china/7709060.html |access-date=July 24, 2024 |website=Voice of America |archive-date=July 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240723174055/https://www.voanews.com/a/a-look-at-harris-views-on-u-s-policy-toward-china/7709060.html |url-status=live}}
Trump's 2024 campaign promoted an isolationist foreign policy based on "America First".{{cite news |title=Fears of a NATO Withdrawal Rise as Trump Seeks a Return to Power |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/09/us/politics/trump-2025-nato.html |work=The New York Times |date=December 9, 2023 |access-date=April 3, 2023 |last1=Swan |first1=Jonathan |last2=Savage |first2=Charlie |last3=Haberman |first3=Maggie |archive-date=December 10, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231210004722/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/09/us/politics/trump-2025-nato.html |url-status=live |url-access=subscription}}{{Cite web |last=Brownstein |first=Ronald |date=March 28, 2023 |title=In 2024, Republicans may complete a historic foreign policy reversal |url=https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/28/politics/gop-foreign-policy-debate-2024/index.html |access-date=June 29, 2023 |website=CNN |archive-date=March 28, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230328053900/https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/28/politics/gop-foreign-policy-debate-2024/index.html |url-status=live}} Trump said that America's allies "treat us actually worse than our so-called enemies", and added: "We protect them and then they screw us on trade." He also vowed to impose tariffs on trade partners; economists said this could spark trade wars.{{cite news |title=Not just China, Trump 2.0 could spell trouble for U.S. allies as he doubles down on tariff talk |url=https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/26/not-just-china-trump-2point0-could-spell-trouble-for-us-allies-as-he-doubles-down-on-tariff-talk-.html |work=CNBC |date=September 26, 2024}} He promised to "fundamentally reevaluate" NATO, shifting the country's defense spending from Europe towards Asia.{{cite news |title=Trump's plans if he returns to the White House include deportation raids, tariffs and mass firings |url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-policies-agenda-election-2024-second-term-d656d8f08629a8da14a65c4075545e0f |publisher=Associated Press |date=November 12, 2023 |last1=Colvin |first1=Jill |access-date=December 10, 2023 |archive-date=December 10, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231210193036/https://apnews.com/article/trump-policies-agenda-election-2024-second-term-d656d8f08629a8da14a65c4075545e0f |url-status=live}} Although NATO members are obliged to defend any other member who is attacked, Trump said he would encourage Russia to "do whatever the hell they want" to NATO allies that did not spend enough on defense.{{cite news |last=Baker |first=Peter |title=Favoring Foes Over Friends, Trump Threatens to Upend International Order |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/11/us/politics/trump-nato.html |work=The New York Times |date=February 11, 2024 |access-date=February 11, 2024 |url-access=subscription |archive-date=February 20, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240220135129/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/11/us/politics/trump-nato.html |url-status=live}} NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg responded: "Any suggestion that allies will not defend each other undermines all of our security."{{cite news |last1=Hayden |first1=Jones |last2=Ward |first2=Myah |last3=Cienski |first3=Jan |title=Trump says he would 'encourage' Russia to attack NATO allies who don't pay up |url=https://www.politico.eu/article/trump-says-he-would-encourage-russia-to-attack-nato-members-that-dont-pay-enough/ |access-date=February 12, 2024 |work=Politico Europe |date=February 11, 2024 |archive-date=February 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240211124317/https://www.politico.eu/article/trump-says-he-would-encourage-russia-to-attack-nato-members-that-dont-pay-enough/ |url-status=live}} Trump vowed that even before he was inaugurated, he would negotiate an end to the Russo-Ukrainian War in one day, He promised to quickly cut the amount of military and financial aid to Ukraine,{{cite news |title=Trump threatens to cut US aid to Ukraine quickly if reelected |url=https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-trump-ukraine-russia-war-threatens-cut-aid-election-2024/ |work=Politico Europe |date=June 16, 2024 |access-date=June 23, 2024 |last=Hayden |first=Jones |archive-date=June 22, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240622225321/https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-trump-ukraine-russia-war-threatens-cut-aid-election-2024/ |url-status=live}} and make Europeans reimburse the United States the cost of rebuilding its old stockpiles; however, most of the money for Ukraine actually goes to American factories that make weapons and military equipment.{{cite news |title=Biden emphasizes that majority of Ukraine aid package would be spent in U.S. |url=https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/biden-emphasizes-that-majority-of-ukraine-aid-package-would-be-spend-in-u-s |work=PBS News |date=February 20, 2024}}{{cite web |title=How Much U.S. Aid Is Going to Ukraine? |url=https://www.cfr.org/article/how-much-us-aid-going-ukraine |website=Council on Foreign Relations |format=September 24, 2024}}{{cite web |title=Fact Sheet: US Assistance to Ukraine |url=https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/fact-sheet-us-assistance-ukraine |website=Institute for the Study of War}} Trump previously said he might recognize Russia's illegal annexation of Crimea,{{cite news |title=Trump Discussed Pulling U.S. From NATO, Aides Say Amid New Concerns Over Russia |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/14/us/politics/nato-president-trump.html |work=The New York Times |date=January 14, 2019 |access-date=December 10, 2023 |last1=Barnes |first1=Julian E. |last2=Helene |first2=Cooper |archive-date=January 13, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210113003803/https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/14/us/politics/nato-president-trump.html |url-status=live}} and suggested the 2022 invasion could have been prevented by Ukraine giving up parts of its own country to Russia. Trump was seen as more pro-Israel and less sympathetic to Palestine than Biden or Harris.{{cite news |title=Where does Donald Trump stand on Israel, Palestine and the Middle East? |url=https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/donald-trump-middle-east-foreign-policy |work=Middle East Eye |date=November 5, 2024}} Trump promised a tougher stance against China, and at the same time questioned whether the United States should defend Taiwan.{{cite news |title=Taiwan braces for America's election |url=https://www.economist.com/asia/2024/08/15/taiwan-braces-for-americas-election |newspaper=The Economist |date=August 15, 2024 |access-date=August 17, 2024 |archive-date=August 17, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240817014917/https://www.economist.com/asia/2024/08/15/taiwan-braces-for-americas-election |url-status=live}} Trump suggested withdrawing troops from South Korea if it does not pay more to support American troops there.
== Gaza war views ==
File:16.Rally.March4Gaza.FP.WDC.13January2024 (53463909030).jpg in January 2024]]
{{Further|Gaza war protest vote movements|Gaza war protests in the United States}}
Polling indicated that the majority of voters support a ceasefire and American mediation in the Gaza war.{{#invoke:cite news||last1=Lange|first1=Jason|last2=Spetalnick|first2=Matt|date=November 15, 2023|title=US public support for Israel drops; majority backs a ceasefire, Reuters/Ipsos shows|work=Reuters|url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us-public-support-israel-drops-majority-backs-ceasefire-reutersipsos-2023-11-15/|access-date=November 17, 2023}} According to a YouGov poll in March 2024, 52% of Americans supported stopping weapons shipments to Israel, coming largely from Americans who voted for Biden in 2020 (62% support) and people who did not vote in 2020 (60%). Republicans opposed halting weapons shipments by 25 points.{{cite web |title=Poll: Majority of Americans Say Biden Should Halt Weapons Shipments to Israel |url=https://www.cepr.net/press-release/poll-majority-of-americans-say-biden-should-halt-weapons-shipments-to-israel/ |access-date=September 8, 2024 |website=ceps.net |date=March 5, 2024 |publisher=CEPR}} Republicans generally supported arms to Israel, while Democrats were divided on the issue.{{cite web |title=Majority of Americans favor US military aid to Israel until hostages are returned, new polling says |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/29/politics/israel-gaza-americans-poll-chicago/index.html |website=cnn.com |date=August 29, 2024 |publisher=CNN |access-date=September 8, 2024}}
Harris was expected to largely continue Biden's approach to the Israeli–Palestinian conflict, although she is seen as tougher on Israel and more sympathetic to Palestinians than Biden or Trump. Following the 2023 Hamas-led attack on Israel, Harris at first supported Israel's offensive,{{Cite news |last1=Kingston |first1=Shannon K. |last2=Flaherty |first2=Anne |last3=Luna |first3=Nathan |date=July 22, 2024 |title=Harris on foreign policy: Her experience and where she stands |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/harris-foreign-policy-experience-stands/story?id=112151509 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240722233146/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/harris-foreign-policy-experience-stands/story?id=112151509 |archive-date=July 22, 2024 |access-date=July 23, 2024 |publisher=ABC News}} saying "the threat Hamas poses to the people of Israel must be eliminated". Since then, she criticized Israel's actions and the Gaza humanitarian crisis. In March 2024, Harris opposed Israel's invasion of Rafah, called for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza, and called the situation in Gaza a "humanitarian catastrophe". Harris supported continued aid to Israel and Palestine but insisted that Israel should agree to a ceasefire and hostage deal and both sides should move towards a two-state solution.{{Cite news |last1=Al-Sheikh |first1=Y. L. |last2=Fayyazi |first2=Nickan |date=July 26, 2024 |title=Kamala Harris Will Shift on Gaza Only if We Make Her |url=https://www.thenation.com/article/activism/kamala-harris-gaza-policy-pressure/ |access-date=July 30, 2024 |website=The Nation |issn=0027-8378 |archive-date=July 27, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240727215050/https://www.thenation.com/article/activism/kamala-harris-gaza-policy-pressure/ |url-status=live}} In the Democratic primaries, the Uncommitted National Movement led a protest campaign against Biden over the war, calling for a ceasefire and arms embargo on Israel. It received over 700,000 votes and 36 delegates.{{cite web |title=The pro-Palestinian 'uncommitted' movement is at a standstill with top Democrats as the DNC begins |url=https://apnews.com/article/dnc-uncommitted-arab-american-palestinian-gaza-93f9edb25a602c95ee226bd2645e4298 |website=apnews.com |date=August 17, 2024 |publisher=Associated Press |access-date=September 4, 2024}} Harris was seen as more sympathetic to Palestinians, and she and her campaign interacted more with Arab-American and Uncommitted leaders;{{cite web |title=Leaders of the movement that protested Biden on Israel express some hope on Harris |work=NPR |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/08/12/nx-s1-5060109/israel-gaza-uncommitted-michigan-harris |publisher=NPR |access-date=August 22, 2024}} however, Harris refused to halt weapons shipments to Israel or shift policy much from Biden, saying Israel has a right to defend itself.{{cite web |title=Let's dispel the myth that Harris will be any different from Biden on Gaza and Israel |date=August 30, 2024 |url=https://www.msnbc.com/top-stories/latest/kamala-harris-israel-gaza-cnn-biden-rcna168949 |publisher=MSNBC |access-date=September 8, 2024}}{{cite web |title=Harris Says Would Not Change Biden Policy On Arms For Israel |url=https://www.barrons.com/news/harris-says-would-not-change-biden-policy-on-arms-for-israel-6526ef92 |publisher=Barrons |access-date=August 30, 2024}} By October, Uncommitted encouraged its members to vote for Harris.{{Cite news |last=Weisman |first=Jonathan |date=October 8, 2024 |title=Pro-Palestinian 'Uncommitted' Group Comes Out Firmly Against Trump |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/08/us/politics/palestine-uncommitted-trump.html |access-date=October 8, 2024 |archive-date=October 8, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241008171628/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/08/us/politics/palestine-uncommitted-trump.html |url-status=live}}
During his first term as president, Trump brought in more pro-Israel policies than any president before.{{cite news |last=Stack |first=Liam |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Trump Has History of Strong Support for Israel |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/06/world/middleeast/trump-israel-support.html |access-date=November 10, 2024 |work=The New York Times |issn=1553-8095}} He presented himself as a stronger defender of Israel, and was seen as less sympathetic to Palestine than Biden or Harris. Trump is expected to continue arming Israel, likely with "no strings attached" for humanitarian concerns.{{cite news |title=Trump's erratic foreign policy to meet 'a world on fire' |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trumps-erratic-foreign-policy-meet-a-world-fire-2024-11-06/ |work=Reuters |date=November 6, 2024}} He voiced strong support for Israel's war on Hamas and Gaza, saying that Israel must "finish the problem".{{cite news |title=Trump's Gaza comments highlight tough choice for peace-supporting US voters |url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/3/6/trumps-talk-on-gaza-highlights-stark-choice-for-voters-in-us-election |date=March 6, 2024 |work=Al Jazeera English |access-date=March 9, 2024}} Trump told donors he would "crush" pro-Palestinian protests, deport non-citizen protesters, and "set the movement back 25 or 30 years".{{cite news |last1=Dawsey |first1=Josh |last2=DeYoung |first2=Karen |last3=LeVine |first3=Marianne |title=Trump told donors he will crush pro-Palestinian protests, deport demonstrators |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/05/27/trump-israel-gaza-policy-donors/ |date=May 27, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post |access-date=June 1, 2024 |archive-date=June 1, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240601213721/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/05/27/trump-israel-gaza-policy-donors/ |url-status=live}}{{cite web |last=Narea |first=Nicole |date=June 1, 2024 |title=What Trump really thinks about the war in Gaza |url=https://www.vox.com/politics/353037/trump-gaza-israel-protests-biden-election-2024 |website=Vox |access-date=September 8, 2024}} Trump said he would ban Gaza residents from entering the United States.{{cite news |last1=Hillyard |first1=Vaughn |last2=Smith |first2=Allan |title=Trump breaks silence on Israel's military campaign in Gaza: 'Finish the problem' |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-israel-gaza-finish-problem-rcna141905 |date=March 5, 2024 |publisher=NBC News |access-date=March 9, 2024}} At times, he was critical of Israel's war in Gaza, saying Israel should "get it over with ... get back to peace and stop killing people".{{cite news |title=Trump says Israel has to get war in Gaza over 'fast' and warns it is 'losing the PR war' |url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-biden-israel-pr-hugh-hewitt-21faee332d95fec99652c112fbdcd35d |publisher=Associated Press |date=April 4, 2024}}{{cite news |last=Ravid |first=Barak |title=Netanyahu's office denies call with Trump about the Gaza hostage-ceasefire deal |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/08/15/trump-netanyahu-gaza-hostage-ceasefire-deal-call |work=Axios |date=August 15, 2024 |access-date=October 11, 2024}}
Israeli-American billionaire Miriam Adelson sought support from candidate Trump for Israel's annexation of the West Bank, pledging more than $100 million to Trump's campaign in exchange for U.S. recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the region.{{cite news |last=Slyomovics |first=Nettanel |date=June 3, 2024 |title=Trump Is Desperate for Miriam Adelson's Cash. Her Condition: West Bank Annexation |url=https://www.haaretz.com/us-news/2024-06-03/ty-article/.premium/trump-is-desperate-for-cash-but-donors-have-conditions/0000018f-df3a-db29-a3ef-ff3a27530000 |url-access=subscription |url-status=live |archive-url=https://archive.today/20240823012916/https://www.haaretz.com/us-news/2024-06-03/ty-article/.premium/trump-is-desperate-for-cash-but-donors-have-conditions/0000018f-df3a-db29-a3ef-ff3a27530000 |archive-date=August 23, 2024 |access-date=June 4, 2024 |website=Haaretz}}{{Cite web |date=February 10, 2024 |title=Trump meets with GOP megadonor Miriam Adelson |url=https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-meets-with-gop-megadonor-miriam-adelson/ar-BB1i7lHp |access-date=February 22, 2024 |website=Politico}} In January 2025, the Times of Israel reported that Adelson gave Trump's campaign at least $100 million in October 2024, making her that campaign's third largest donor.{{cite news |last=Cramer |first=Philissa |date=January 21, 2025 |title=Pro-Israel megadonor Miriam Adelson takes center stage at Trump's inauguration |url=https://www.timesofisrael.com/pro-israel-megadonor-miriam-adelson-takes-center-stage-at-trumps-inauguration/ |access-date=March 20, 2025 |website=Times of Israel}}
= LGBTQ rights =
{{Main|LGBTQ rights in the United States|Transgender rights in the United States}}
{{Further|Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign#LGBTQ rights|Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign#LGBTQ rights and civil rights|2020s anti-LGBTQ movement in the United States}}
In the 2020s, conservative politicians in state legislatures introduced a growing number of bills that restrict the rights of LGBTQ people, especially transgender people.{{Cite news |last1=Rogers |first1=Kaleigh |last2=Radcliffe |first2=Mary |date=May 25, 2023 |title=Over 100 Anti-LGBTQ+ Laws Passed In The Last Five Years—Half Of Them This Year |url=https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/anti-lgbtq-laws-red-states/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230525195300/https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/anti-lgbtq-laws-red-states/ |archive-date=May 25, 2023 |access-date=May 30, 2023 |work=FiveThirtyEight}} A strong supporter of LGBTQ people's rights,{{cite web |title=Where does Kamala Harris stand on queer and trans issues? |website=Xtra Magazine |date=July 22, 2024 |url=https://xtramagazine.com/video/kamala-harris-gay-trans-rights-266957 |access-date=July 23, 2024 |archive-date=July 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240723015314/https://xtramagazine.com/video/kamala-harris-gay-trans-rights-266957 |url-status=live}} Harris denounced legislative attacks on transgender rights in states across the country.{{cite news |last=Tracy |first=Matt |title=A look at Vice President Kamala Harris' LGBTQ record |website=Gay City News |date=July 22, 2024 |url=https://gaycitynews.com/vice-president-kamala-harris-lgbtq-record/ |access-date=July 23, 2024 |archive-date=July 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240723030223/https://gaycitynews.com/vice-president-kamala-harris-lgbtq-record/ |url-status=live}}{{cite news |last=Boyer |first=Dave |title=Kamala Harris predicts November victory at LGBTQ fundraiser in Cape Cod |website=The Washington Times |date=July 20, 2024 |url=https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2024/jul/20/kamala-harris-predicts-november-victory-lgbtq-fund/ |access-date=July 23, 2024 |archive-date=July 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240723013115/https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2024/jul/20/kamala-harris-predicts-november-victory-lgbtq-fund/ |url-status=live}}{{better source needed|date=April 2025}} Trump promised to roll back policies regarding transgender individuals. Harris and Walz campaigned as supporters of LGBTQ+ rights.{{Cite web|url=https://www.advocate.com/election/kamala-harris-gender-care-interview|title=Kamala Harris defends position on gender-affirming care|website=www.advocate.com|last=Wiggins |first=Christopher |date=October 23, 2024 }}{{Cite web|url=https://apnews.com/article/walz-harris-lgbtq-human-rights-campaign-44cc5b75d61ae14025a4133a3123d915|title=Walz touts Democratic record of defending LGBTQ+ rights, says Harris will advance cause if elected|date=September 8, 2024|website=AP News}} Trump stated he would rescind Biden's Title IX protections "on day one" for transgender students using bathrooms, locker rooms, and pronouns that align with their gender identities.{{cite news |title=Trump Promises Rollback On Trans Rights: Here's What He's Said |url=https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2024/05/10/trump-promises-rollback-on-trans-rights-heres-what-hes-said/?sh=51549ef4dae0 |work=Forbes |date=May 10, 2024 |access-date=May 11, 2024 |last=Dorn |first=Sara |archive-date=May 12, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240512031225/https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2024/05/10/trump-promises-rollback-on-trans-rights-heres-what-hes-said/?sh=51549ef4dae0 |url-status=live}} Trump stated he would enact a federal law that would recognize only two genders and claimed that being transgender is a concept only recently manufactured by "the radical left".{{Cite web |last=Migdon |first=Brooke |date=February 1, 2023 |title=Trump vows to punish doctors, hospitals that provide gender-affirming care to transgender minors |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/3839471-trump-vows-to-punish-doctors-hospitals-that-provide-gender-affirming-care-to-transgender-minors/ |access-date=February 10, 2024 |website=The Hill |archive-date=February 5, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240205033541/https://thehill.com/homenews/3839471-trump-vows-to-punish-doctors-hospitals-that-provide-gender-affirming-care-to-transgender-minors/ |url-status=live}} Trump previously withdrew Title IX provisions that allowed transgender youth to have access to the bathrooms of their choice, and he attempted to roll-back several transgender-related policies in the Affordable Care Act.{{cite news |title=Trump unveils sweeping attack on trans rights |url=https://www.axios.com/2023/01/31/trump-transgender-rights-lgbtq |work=Axios |date=January 31, 2023 |access-date=December 16, 2023 |last=Chen |first=Shawna |archive-date=December 16, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231216044358/https://www.axios.com/2023/01/31/trump-transgender-rights-lgbtq |url-status=live}} Trump repeated a false claim that children undergo transgender surgery while at school, without parental knowledge or consent.{{cite news |last1=Lavietes |first1=Matt |title=Trump repeats false claims that children are undergoing transgender surgery during the school day |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/nbc-out/out-politics-and-policy/trump-false-claims-schools-transgender-surgeries-rcna170217 |publisher=NBC News |date=September 9, 2024}}{{cite news |last1=Dale |first1=Daniel |title=Fact check: Trump falsely claims schools are secretly sending children for gender-affirming surgeries |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2024/09/04/politics/donald-trump-fact-check-children-gender-affirming-surgery/index.html |publisher=CNN |date=September 4, 2024}} His campaign's "Kamala is for they/them, President Trump is for you" attack ad was the most effective of the campaign, shifting the race 2.7 percentage points in favor of Trump after viewers watched it.{{r|nyt20241107}}
= Assassination attempts =
File:Former President Donald Trump paying respect to Corey Comperatore (53887491621).jpg standing alongside the fire department uniform of Corey Comperatore, who was killed during the attempted assassination of Trump]]
On July 13, 2024, Trump survived an assassination attempt while addressing a campaign rally near Butler, Pennsylvania.{{Cite web |last=Baker |first=Graeme |date=July 14, 2024 |title=Biden condemns 'sick' attempt on Trump's life |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c98qnvn8dzeo |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240714184148/https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c98qnvn8dzeo |archive-date=July 14, 2024 |access-date=July 14, 2024 |publisher=BBC}} Trump was shot and wounded on his right ear by Thomas Matthew Crooks,{{Cite news |last1=Barnes |first1=Julian E. |last2=Gold |first2=Michael |last3=Levien |first3=Simon J. |date=July 13, 2024 |title=Live Updates: Trump 'Safe' After Shooting at Rally; Suspect Killed |url=https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/07/13/us/biden-trump-election |url-access=subscription |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240713223053/https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/07/13/us/biden-trump-election |archive-date=July 13, 2024 |access-date=July 13, 2024 |work=The New York Times}}{{Cite news |date=July 14, 2024 |title=FBI identifies Thomas Matthew Crooks as 'subject involved' in Trump rally shooting |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/fbi-identifies-thomas-matthew-crooks-subject-involved-trump-rally-shooting-2024-07-14/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240714061941/https://www.reuters.com/world/us/fbi-identifies-thomas-matthew-crooks-subject-involved-trump-rally-shooting-2024-07-14/ |archive-date=July 14, 2024 |access-date=July 14, 2024 |work=Reuters}} who fired eight rounds with an AR-15–style rifle from the roof of a building approximately {{convert|400|ft|abbr=off}} from the stage; the shots killed one audience member and critically injured two others. Seconds later, Crooks was shot and killed by the U.S. Secret Service's counter-sniper team.{{cite press release |last=Cheatle |first=Kimberly |date=July 15, 2024 |title=Statement From U.S. Secret Service Director Kimberly Cheatle |url=https://www.secretservice.gov/newsroom/releases/2024/07/statement-us-secret-service-director-kimberly-cheatle |url-status=live |publisher=United States Secret Service |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240715190946/https://www.secretservice.gov/newsroom/releases/2024/07/statement-us-secret-service-director-kimberly-cheatle |archive-date=July 15, 2024 |access-date=July 15, 2024 }} On September 11, 2024, a bipartisan Senate report identified tech issues and other preventable mistakes by the Secret Service during the event.{{Cite news |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/bipartisan-report-trump-shooting-secret-service-failures-tech-rcna172433 |title=Bipartisan report on Trump shooting identifies Secret Service tech issues and 'preventable' mistakes |last1=Nobles |first1=Ryan |last2=Reilly |first2=Ryan J. |last3=Thorp V |first3=Frank |publisher=NBC News |date=September 25, 2024 |access-date=September 28, 2024 |archive-date=September 28, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240928141432/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/bipartisan-report-trump-shooting-secret-service-failures-tech-rcna172433 |url-status=live}} On September 15, 2024, Trump survived a separate assassination attempt at Trump International Golf Club in West Palm Beach, Florida. The suspect did not fire his weapon, and no deaths or injuries were reported.{{Cite web |date=September 16, 2024 |title=Trump 'assassination attempt': Suspect charged after second apparent plot |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/live-blog/trump-assassination-attempt-live-updates-rcna171241 |access-date=September 24, 2024 |publisher=NBC News}} The suspect, Ryan Wesley Routh, is in custody.{{Cite news |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2024/09/16/us/ryan-routh-trump-what-we-know-intl-hnk/index.html |title=What we know about Ryan Wesley Routh, the suspect in the apparent second Trump assassination attempt |first=Rob |last=Picheta |publisher=CNN |date=September 16, 2024 |access-date=September 27, 2024 |archive-date=September 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240923082026/https://edition.cnn.com/2024/09/16/us/ryan-routh-trump-what-we-know-intl-hnk/index.html |url-status=live}}
= Violence towards election workers =
Since the 2020 election and continuing into the 2024 election, the election denial movement prompted thousands of death threats directed at election workers, officials, and their families, with some receiving letters laced with fentanyl.{{cite news |last=Sullivan |first=Eileen |date=April 13, 2024 |title=Election Workers Face Flood of Threats, but Charges Are Few |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/13/us/politics/election-workers-threats.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241005065258/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/13/us/politics/election-workers-threats.html |archive-date=October 5, 2024 |access-date=September 28, 2024 |newspaper=The New York Times}}{{Cite web |last=Wong |first=Matteo |date=October 25, 2024 |title='Stop Counting Votes, or We're Going to Murder Your Children' |url=https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2024/10/election-workers-threats-trump/680362/ |access-date=October 25, 2024 |website=The Atlantic}} As of March 2024, the Department of Justice's Election Threats Task Force had charged 20 people with threat-related crimes.{{Cite web |last=Timm |first=Jane C. |date=March 25, 2024 |title=The DOJ is investigating dozens of threats against election workers |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/doj-investigating-dozens-threats-election-workers-rcna145014 |access-date=October 21, 2024 |publisher=NBC News}} In September 2024, suspicious packages were sent to state election officials in several states, which resulted in evacuations. The inclusion of white powder in most of the packages mirrored the 2001 anthrax attacks; the substance in Oklahoma packages was identified as flour.{{cite news |last1=Alanez |first1=Tonya |last2=Gross |first2=Samantha J. |date=September 17, 2024 |title=FBI, USPS intercept suspicious envelope sent to Mass. elections division |url=https://www.bostonglobe.com/2024/09/17/metro/fbi-intercepts-suspicious-package-sent-to-mass-elections-office/ |newspaper=The Boston Globe}} Threats led some election workers to resign, and affected recruitment of temporary poll workers.{{Cite news |last1=Carlton |first1=Jim |last2=Bergengruen |first2=Vera |date=October 19, 2024 |title='It Feels Very Dystopian.' Republican County Officials Brace for Election Deniers—Again |url=https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/maricopa-country-arizona-election-worker-threats-a4ebf3a3 |access-date=October 21, 2024 |work=The Wall Street Journal}}{{Cite web |last1=Edlin |first1=Ruby |last2=Norden |first2=Lawrence |date=April 25, 2023 |title=Poll of Election Officials Shows High Turnover Amid Safety Threats and Political Interference |url=https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/poll-election-officials-shows-high-turnover-amid-safety-threats-and |access-date=October 21, 2024 |website=Brennan Center for Justice}} In locations where funds were available, efforts to protect election workers involved active shooter training, provision of first aid kits and Narcan, bulletproof vests, bulletproof glass, metal detectors, armed guards, police snipers, and drones.
= Violence towards voters =
On October 30, 2024, an 18-year-old man in Jacksonville, Florida, was arrested for aggravated assault and improper exhibition of a dangerous weapon after brandishing a machete at two women outside an early voting center. He, along with seven other teenagers, allegedly approached and antagonized members of the opposing political party as they were demonstrating. Neither the teenager's nor the women's political parties were disclosed, although later posts by the Duval Democratic Party described the teenager's party as a "group of young men carrying Trump flags".{{Cite web |last=Musa |first=Amanda |date=October 30, 2024 |title=Florida teen arrested after brandishing machete outside early voting location, police say |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/30/us/florida-teen-machete-arrest-early-voting/index.html |access-date=October 31, 2024 |publisher=CNN}} On November 1, 2024, a voter wearing a "Let's Go Brandon" hat was reportedly struck by a poll worker after a verbal altercation over his hat at an Orangeburg County, South Carolina, polling location.{{Cite web |last1=Wilder |first1=Anna |last2=Monk |first2=John |date=November 1, 2024 |title='Let's Go Brandon' hat sparks physical altercation at early voting site in Orangeburg, SC |url=https://www.thestate.com/news/politics-government/article294901794.html |access-date=November 4, 2024 |website=The State}} Also on November 1, a man in Bath, New York, was arrested for assaulting someone in a supermarket for wearing a Trump hat.{{Cite news |last=Lewis |first=Ray |date=November 4, 2024 |title=NY man charged with assaulting person for wearing 'Trump 2024' hat at supermarket |url=https://kfoxtv.com/news/nation-world/ny-man-charged-with-assaulting-person-wearing-trump-2024-hat-at-supermarket-police-say-the-bath-village-police-department-said-60-year-old-robert-yott-election-donald-trump-kamala-harris-new-york-southern-tier |access-date=November 8, 2024 |work=KFOX14}}
= Arson of ballot boxes =
In late October 2024, multiple fires were reported at ballot drop boxes in Portland, Oregon, and Vancouver, Washington. The fires damaged hundreds of ballots, requiring election officials to identify and offer new ballots to those affected by the fires. Prior to the fires, the Federal Bureau of Investigation and the Department of Homeland Security had issued a bulletin raising concerns that "election-related grievances" could motivate domestic extremist activity and that ballot drop boxes could potentially be "attractive targets".{{Cite web |last=Chavez |first=Nicole |date=October 28, 2024 |title=Ballot drop box fires under investigation in Oregon, Washington |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/28/us/ballot-box-fires-oregon-washington/index.html |access-date=October 28, 2024 |publisher=CNN}}{{Cite web |last1=Berry |first1=Allison |last2=Bell |first2=Evan |date=October 28, 2024 |title=Hundreds of ballots possibly burned after Vancouver ballot box arson: FBI investigating |url=https://katu.com/news/local/vancouver-ballot-box-seen-smoking-same-morning-as-portland-ballot-box-arson |access-date=October 28, 2024 |website=KATU}} In Phoenix, Arizona, a fire was started in a mail collection box, destroying some ballots and other mail. A suspect was arrested and claimed that the fire was unrelated to the election.{{Cite web |last1=Deliso |first1=Meredith |last2=Romero |first2=Laura |date=October 24, 2024 |title=Ballots damaged after USPS mailbox lit on fire in Phoenix: Police |url=https://abcnews.go.com/US/phoenix-ballots-usps-mailbox-fire-damage/story?id=115110037 |access-date=October 28, 2024 |publisher=ABC News}}
Third-party and independent candidates
{{Main|Third-party and independent candidates for the 2024 United States presidential election}}
A number of independent candidates announced presidential runs, most notably Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West. Several third parties, including the Libertarian Party, the Green Party, the Party for Socialism and Liberation, the Constitution Party, and the American Solidarity Party also announced presidential nominees.{{Cite news |last1=Gómez |first1=Martín González |last2=Astor |first2=Maggie |date=February 22, 2023 |title=Who's Running for President in 2024? |url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/us/politics/presidential-candidates-2024.html# |access-date=November 6, 2024 |work=The New York Times |language=en-US |issn=0362-4331}} Kennedy dropped out of the race in August 2024, although he remained on the ballot in many states. The No Labels organization abandoned its efforts to run a centrist candidate in April 2024.{{cite news |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4575052-no-labels-party-passes-2024-election-candidate/ |title=No Labels abandons 2024 presidential effort |last1=Mueller |first1=Julia |last2=Trudo |first2=Hanna |date=April 4, 2024 |access-date=April 4, 2024 |work=The Hill |archive-date=April 4, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240404195251/https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4575052-no-labels-party-passes-2024-election-candidate/ |url-status=live}}
= With majority ballot access =
== Libertarian Party ==
{{Main|2024 Libertarian Party presidential primaries|2024 Libertarian National Convention|Chase Oliver 2024 presidential campaign}}
Chase Oliver was chosen by the Libertarian Party as its presidential nominee on May 26, 2024, at the 2024 Libertarian National Convention. Oliver was the party's nominee in the 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia.{{cite news |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4687416-libertarian-party-chooses-chase-oliver-as-presidential-nominee/ |title=Libertarian Party chooses Chase Oliver as presidential nominee |last=Robertson |first=Nick |work=The Hill |date=May 26, 2024 |access-date=May 27, 2024 |archive-date=May 27, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240527032219/https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4687416-libertarian-party-chooses-chase-oliver-as-presidential-nominee/ |url-status=live}} Oliver achieved ballot access in 47 states, and was eligible to receive write-in votes in the District of Columbia, Illinois, New York, and Tennessee.{{cite web |title=2024 Presidential Candidate Ballot Access by State |url=https://www.thegreenpapers.com/G24/President-BallotAccessByState.phtml |website=The Green Papers |access-date=October 22, 2024}}{{cite news |last1=Smith |first1=Erica |title=State certifies 12 write-in candidates for president |url=https://www.timesunion.com/state/article/new-york-certifies-12-write-in-candidates-19846450.php |access-date=October 23, 2024 |work=Times Union (Albany) |date=October 22, 2024}}
{{Nominee table
| party logo = Libertarian Disc.svg
| party = Libertarian Party (United States)
| top text color=black
| header = 2024 Libertarian Party ticket
| president = Chase Oliver
| vice president = Mike ter Maat
| president portrait = Chase Oliver by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
| vp portrait = Mike Ter Maat on the "LibertyDad" Podcast.jpg
| experience = Sales account executive
from Georgia
| vp experience = Economist
from Virginia
| campaign = Chase Oliver 2024 presidential campaign
| campaignlogo = Chase Oliver 2024 Campaign Logo.svg
| top color = Gold
| bottom color=#ffffbf}}
== Green Party ==
{{Jill Stein series}}
{{main|2024 Green Party presidential primaries|2024 Green National Convention|Jill Stein 2024 presidential campaign}}
The party's nominee in 2012 and 2016, Stein is a physician and a former member of the Lexington Town Meeting. On August 16, Stein selected academic Butch Ware as her running mate.{{cite news |date=November 10, 2023 |title=Jill Stein, Cornell West, Chase Oliver: Who else is running for president in 2024? |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-67383271 |access-date=August 25, 2024 |publisher=BBC News |language=en-GB |author1=Debusmann, Bernd Jr. |author2=Cabral, Sam}} Stein achieved ballot access in 38 states, and was eligible to receive write-in votes in seven states. She was not eligible to receive write-in votes in the remaining states or the District of Columbia.{{cite web |title=Ballot access for presidential candidates |url=https://ballotpedia.org/Ballot_access_for_presidential_candidates |website=Ballotpedia |access-date=October 2, 2024}}
{{Nominee table
| party logo = Green Party of the United States social media logo.svg
| party = Green Party of the United States
| header = 2024 Green Party ticket
| president = Jill Stein
| vice president = Butch Ware
| president portrait = Jill Stein by Gage Skidmore 3.jpg
| vp portrait = Butch Ware in 2024.jpg
| experience = Physician
from Massachusetts
| vp experience = Academic
from California
| campaign = Jill Stein 2024 presidential campaign
| campaignlogo = SteinWare.png
| campaign logo size =
| bottom color = #6BDE9D
}}
= With partial ballot access =
These third-party candidates had ballot access in some states, but not enough to get 270 votes needed to win the presidency, without running a write-in campaign.
- American Solidarity Party: Peter Sonski, Connecticut school board member{{Cite web |date=June 3, 2023 |title=Peter Sonski is the American Solidarity Party 2024 Presidential nominee |url=https://ballot-access.org/2023/06/03/peter-sonski-is-the-american-solidarity-party-2024-presidential-nominee/ |first1=Bill |last1=Redpath |access-date=June 3, 2023 |website=Ballot Access News |archive-date=June 3, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230603135219/https://ballot-access.org/2023/06/03/peter-sonski-is-the-american-solidarity-party-2024-presidential-nominee/ |url-status=live}}
- Approval Voting Party: Blake Huber, activist and nominee for president in 2020{{Cite web |url=https://ballot-access.org/2024/05/28/approval-voting-nominates-blake-huber-for-president/ |title=Approval Voting Party Nominates Blake Huber for President |work=Ballot Access News |date=May 28, 2024 |access-date=July 17, 2024 |archive-date=May 31, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240531101801/https://ballot-access.org/2024/05/28/approval-voting-nominates-blake-huber-for-president/ |url-status=live}}
- Constitution Party: Randall Terry, anti-abortion activist and perennial candidate{{cite news |last1=Winger |first1=Richard |title=Randall Terry Wins Constitution Party's Presidential Nomination |url=https://ballot-access.org/2024/04/27/randall-terry-wins-constitution-partys-presidential-nomination/ |access-date=April 27, 2024 |work=Ballot Access News |date=April 27, 2024 |archive-date=April 27, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240427170926/https://ballot-access.org/2024/04/27/randall-terry-wins-constitution-partys-presidential-nomination/ |url-status=live}}
- Independent American Party: Joel Skousen, survivalist and consultant{{Cite web |last=Winger |first=Richard |date=May 28, 2024 |title=Nevada and Utah Constitution Parties Nominate Joel Skousen for President |url=https://ballot-access.org/2024/05/28/nevada-and-utah-constitution-parties-nominate-joel-skousen-for-president/ |work=Ballot Access News}}
- Natural Law Party: Robert F. Kennedy Jr., environmental lawyer and author, the party's nominee in addition to his run as an independent before he withdrew from the race ahead of the election but was not removed from ballots{{Cite web |url=https://www.fox2detroit.com/news/supreme-court-rejects-last-chance-bid-rfk-jr-get-off-michigan-ballot |title=Last-chance bid by Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to be removed from Michigan ballot rejected |date=October 29, 2024 |website=FOX 2 Detroit}}
- Prohibition Party: Michael Wood, businessman{{cite web |title=Prohibition Party Chooses National 2024 Ticket |first1=Richard |last1=Winger |url=https://ballot-access.org/2023/05/10/prohibition-party-chooses-national-2024-ticket/ |publisher=Ballot Access News |date=May 10, 2023 |access-date=November 13, 2023 |archive-date=November 29, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231129193022/https://ballot-access.org/2023/05/10/prohibition-party-chooses-national-2024-ticket/ |url-status=live}}
- Party for Socialism and Liberation: Claudia De la Cruz, political activist{{Cite web |date=September 11, 2023 |title=Party for Socialism and Liberation Announces 2024 Presidential Ticket |url=https://independentpoliticalreport.com/2023/09/party-for-socialism-and-liberation-announces-2024-presidential-ticket/ |first1=Jordan Willow |last1=Evans |access-date=September 27, 2023 |website=Independent Political Report |archive-date=September 13, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230913021711/https://independentpoliticalreport.com/2023/09/party-for-socialism-and-liberation-announces-2024-presidential-ticket |url-status=live}}{{Cite web |title=2024 Candidate Filings |url=https://vote.utah.gov/2024-candidate-filings/ |website=Utah Voter Information |access-date=January 14, 2024 |archive-date=January 15, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240115191754/https://vote.utah.gov/2024-candidate-filings/ |url-status=live}}
- Socialist Equality Party: Joseph Kishore, writer and SEP nominee in 2020{{cite web |title=Socialist Equality Party selects Joseph Kishore and Jerry White as its presidential and vice presidential candidates for the 2024 US election |first=Nick |last=Barrickman |work=World Socialist Web Site |date=February 27, 2024 |access-date=March 16, 2024 |url=https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2024/02/27/qfmi-f27.html |archive-date=March 16, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240316205756/https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2024/02/27/qfmi-f27.html |url-status=live}}
- Socialist Workers Party: Rachele Fruit, hotel worker and trade unionist{{cite news |title=Vote Socialist Workers Party! Rachele Fruit • Margaret Trowe for president & vice president |first=Vivian |last=Sahner |work=The Militant |volume=88 |issue=9 |date=March 4, 2024 |access-date=March 16, 2024 |url=https://themilitant.com/2024/02/24/vote-socialist-workers-party-2/ |archive-date=March 6, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240306112613/https://themilitant.com/2024/02/24/vote-socialist-workers-party-2/ |url-status=live}}
- Socialist Party USA: Bill Stodden, nonprofit executive{{cite web |url=https://www.spusa2024.org/about-me/ |title=About Stodden & Cholensky – SPUSA 2024 |author= |date=2024 |website=spusa2024.org |publisher=Stodden Cholensky 2024 |access-date=September 23, 2024}}
= Independent candidates =
The following notable individual(s) ran independently for president.
- Cornel West, academic, anti-war activist, and public intellectual, previously a People's Party and Green Party primaries candidate,{{Cite web |last=Hippensteel |first=Chris |date=June 14, 2023 |title=Cornel West to Run for President With Green Party, Ditches People's Party |url=https://www.thedailybeast.com/cornel-west-wants-to-run-for-president-with-green-party-ditches-peoples-party |access-date=July 16, 2023 |website=The Daily Beast}}{{Cite web |last=Kennedy |first=Kaitlyn |date=June 15, 2023 |title=Cornel West announces presidential run with the Green Party |url=https://www.tag24.com/politics/us-politics/cornel-west-announces-presidential-run-with-the-green-party-2863655 |access-date=July 16, 2023 |website=TAG24}} who launched an independent campaign{{cite news |last=Thomas |first=Ken |date=October 5, 2023 |title=Cornel West Slams Biden, Trump, and Runs as 2024 Independent |url=https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/cornel-west-slams-biden-trump-and-runs-as-2024-independent-d44a2af5 |access-date=October 5, 2023 |work=The Wall Street Journal}}{{Cite news |last=Lopez |first=Ashley |date=April 17, 2024 |title=Some independent candidates start their own political parties to ease ballot access |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/04/17/1245071939/robert-kennedy-cornel-west-new-minor-parties |publisher=NPR}}
= Withdrawn candidates =
The following notable individual(s) announced and then suspended their campaigns before the election:
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr., environmental lawyer, author, 2024 Democratic presidential candidate and 2024 independent presidential candidate (endorsed Trump){{Cite news |last1=Trudo |first1=Hannah |last2=Mueller |first2=Julia |date=August 23, 2024 |title=RFK Jr. suspends campaign, throws support behind Trump |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4844566-rfk-jr-suspends-campaign-trump/ |access-date=August 23, 2024 |work=The Hill}}
Timeline
{{Main|Timeline of the 2024 United States presidential election}}
Opinion polling and forecasts <span class="anchor" id="Opinion polling and forecasts"></span>
= Opinion polling aggregation =
{{Main|Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election}}
{{See also|Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election}}
== Harris and Trump ==
{{Main|Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election#Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump}}
==Harris vs. Trump vs. Kennedy Jr. vs. Stein vs. Oliver vs. West==
{{Main|Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election#Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver vs. Cornel West}}
= Electoral College forecasts =
Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts of the composition of the Electoral College. These forecasts use a variety of factors to estimate the likelihood of each candidate winning the Electoral College electors for that state. Most election predictors use the following ratings:
- "tossup": no advantage
- "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
- "lean" or "leans": slight advantage
- "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
- "very likely" (used by some predictors): massive advantage that is stronger than "likely"
- "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
Below is a list of states considered by one or more forecast to be competitive; states that are deemed to be "safe" or "solid" by forecasters The Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, CNalysis, Decision Desk HQ, and YouGov are omitted for brevity.{{Efn|States rated safe by all other forecasts but FiveThirtyEight and The Economist are omitted. The FiveThirtyEight forecast and The Economist each rate only a handful of states as "safe".{{cite web |last1=Morris |first1=G. Elliott |title=2024 Election Forecast |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/ |archive-url=https://archive.today/20240611181726/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/ |url-status=dead |archive-date=June 11, 2024 |website=FiveThirtyEight |access-date=November 5, 2024 |date=November 5, 2024}}}}
{{sticky header}}
| class="wikitable sortable sticky-header" style="font-size:90%; |
| style="vertical-align:bottom"
! State ! {{Tooltip|EVs|Electoral votes}} ! PVI ! data-sort-type="number"| 2020 ! data-sort-type="number"| 2020 ! IE ! Cook ! CNalysis ! Sabato ! CNN !DDHQ !538 !Economist !YouGov !2024 Result |
| Colorado
| align=center|10 | {{Shading PVI|D|4}} | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−55.4" | 55.4% D | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−13.5" | 13.50% | {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−54.4" | Harris |
|---|
| New Mexico
| align=center|5 | {{Shading PVI|D|3}} | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−54.3" | 54.3% D | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−10.79" | 10.79% | {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | style="background:#99f" data-sort-value=−3.5 | Very Likely D | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−51.9" | Harris |
| Virginia
| align=center|13 | {{Shading PVI|D|3}} | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−54.1" | 54.1% D | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−10.11" | 10.11% | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−51.8" | Harris |
| Maine{{efn|name=ME/NE}}
| align=center|2 | {{Shading PVI|D|2}} | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−53.1" | 53.1% D | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−9.07" | 9.07% | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−52.4" | Harris |
| nowrap| New Hampshire
| align=center|4 | {{Shading PVI|D|1}} | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−52.7" | 52.7% D | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−7.35" | 7.35% | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−50.7" | Harris |
| Minnesota
| align=center|10 | {{Shading PVI|D|1}} | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−52.4" | 52.4% D | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−7.11" | 7.11% | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−50.9" | Harris |
| NE–02{{efn|name=ME/NE}}
| align=center|1 | {{Shading PVI|EVEN}} | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−52.0" | 52.0% D{{efn|name=Districts|The boundaries of Maine and Nebraska's congressional districts have since changed because of redistricting.}} | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−6.50" | 6.50% | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−51.3" | Harris |
| Michigan
| align=center|15 | {{Shading PVI|R|1}} | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−50.6" | 50.6% D | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−2.78" | 2.78% | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="49.7" | Trump |
| Nevada
| align=center|6 | {{Shading PVI|R|1}} | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−50.1" | 50.1% D | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−2.39" | 2.39% | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tilt|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="50.7" | Trump |
| Pennsylvania
| align=center|19 | {{Shading PVI|R|2}} | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−50.0" | 50.0% D | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−1.16" | 1.16% | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="50.4" | Trump |
| Wisconsin
| align=center|10 | {{Shading PVI|R|2}} | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−49.5" | 49.5% D | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−0.63" | 0.63% | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="49.6" | Trump |
| Arizona
| align=center|11 | {{Shading PVI|R|2}} | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−49.4" | 49.4% D | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−0.31" | 0.31% | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tilt|R|flip}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R|flip}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R|flip}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R|flip}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="52.1" | Trump |
| Georgia
| align=center|16 | {{Shading PVI|R|3}} | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−49.5" | 49.5% D | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" data-sort-value="−0.24" | 0.24% | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R|flip}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="50.7" | Trump |
| North Carolina
| align=center|16 | {{Shading PVI|R|3}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="49.9" | 49.9% R | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="1.35%" | 1.35% | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tilt|D|Flip}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="50.9" | Trump |
| Florida
| align=center|30 | {{Shading PVI|R|3}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="51.2" | 51.2% R | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="3.36" | 3.36% | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="56.1" | Trump |
| Texas
| align=center|40 | {{Shading PVI|R|5}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="52.1" | 52.1% R | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="5.58" | 5.58% | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="56.1" | Trump |
| ME–02{{efn|name=ME/NE|Unlike the other 48 states and Washington, D.C., which award all of their electors to the candidate who receives the most votes in that state, Maine and Nebraska award two electors to the winner of the statewide vote and one each to the candidate who receives the most votes in each congressional district.}}
| align=center|1 | {{Shading PVI|R|6}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="52.3" | 52.3% R{{efn|name=Districts}} |style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="7.44" | 7.44% | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | style="background:#f99" data-sort-value=3.5 | Very Likely R | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="53.7" | Trump |
| Ohio
| align=center|17 | {{Shading PVI|R|6}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="53.3" | 53.3% R | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="8.03" | 8.03% | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="55.1" | Trump |
| Iowa
| align=center|6 | {{Shading PVI|R|6}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="53.1" | 53.1% R | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="8.20" | 8.20% | {{USRaceRating|Tilt|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Tilt|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="55.7" | Trump |
| Alaska
| align=center|3 | {{Shading PVI|R|8}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="52.8" | 52.8% R | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="10.06" | 10.06% | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | style="background:#f99" data-sort-value=3.5 | Very Likely R | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} |{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="54.5" | Trump |
| NE–01{{efn|name=ME/NE}}
| align=center|1 | {{Shading PVI|R|9}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="54.3" | 54.3% R{{efn|name=Districts}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="11.00" | 11.00% | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="55.5" | Trump |
| Kansas
| align=center|6 | {{Shading PVI|R|10}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="55.4" | 56.14% R | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="13.5" | 14.63% | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Very Likely|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" data-sort-value="57.2" | Trump |
| class="sortbottom"
! colspan=5 | Overall | style="background:#FFFFFF" | D – 226 | style="background:#FFFFFF" | D – 226 | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" | D – 308 | style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" | D – 276 | style="background:#FFFFFF" | D – 226 | style="background:#FFFFFF" | D – 226 | style="background:#FFFFFF" | D – 241 | style="background:#FFFFFF" | D – 241 | style="background:#FFFFFF" | D – 240 | style="background-color:#FFB6B6" | R – 312 |
Debates
{{Main|2024 United States presidential debates}}
In April 2022, the Republican National Committee voted unanimously to withdraw from the Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD).{{cite news |title=Republicans say they're quitting the 'biased' Commission on Presidential Debates |first=Eric |last=McDaniel |publisher=NPR |date=April 14, 2022 |access-date=January 24, 2024 |url=https://www.npr.org/2022/04/14/1092916451/republicans-say-theyre-quitting-the-biased-commission-on-presidential-debates}} In May 2024, the Biden campaign proposed hosting two debates outside of the CPD timetable and refusing to participate in CPD-hosted debates. Biden and Trump agreed to debates on CNN on June 27 and ABC News on September 10.{{Cite news |last1=Boak |first1=Josh |last2=Miller |first2=Zeke |last3=Colvin |first3=Jill |date=May 15, 2024 |title=Biden and Trump agree to presidential debates in June on CNN and in September on ABC |url=https://apnews.com/article/2024-election-presidential-debates-biden-trump-6b1d1dbb2ed61c7637041b23662d7da8 |access-date=May 15, 2024 |publisher=Associated Press}} The Harris camp suggested that another debate could be held in October after the September 10 debate with Trump.{{Cite web |last=Bohannon |first=Molly |title=Harris Offers 2 Debates With Trump: 'The Debate About Debates Is Over' |url=https://www.forbes.com/sites/mollybohannon/2024/08/15/harris-offers-2-debates-with-trump-the-debate-about-debates-is-over/ |access-date=August 16, 2024 |work=Forbes}} On September 12, Trump announced that there would be no third presidential debate.{{Cite web |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn9l9500vg7o |title=Trump rules out another presidential debate against Harris |publisher=BBC |last1=Debusmann Jr |first1=Bernd |date=September 12, 2024 |access-date=September 13, 2024}}
= June 27 presidential debate: Biden vs. Trump =
{{Main|2024 Joe Biden–Donald Trump presidential debate}}
CNN hosted the first major debate of the election on June 27 in Atlanta, with 51 million viewers watching.{{Cite web |last=Gold |first=Hadas |date=June 28, 2024 |title=51.27 million viewers tuned in to CNN's presidential debate with Biden and Trump |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/28/media/ratings-debate-trump-biden-cnn/index.html |access-date=July 1, 2024 |publisher=CNN}} Media outlets characterized Biden's debate performance as a "disaster". Some pundits noted that he frequently lost his train of thought and gave meandering, confused answers.{{Cite magazine |last=Shephard |first=Alex |date=June 27, 2024 |title=Ditch Biden. That Debate Performance Was a Disaster. |url=https://newrepublic.com/article/183242/joe-biden-debate-performance-disaster-trump |access-date=July 1, 2024 |magazine=The New Republic}}{{cite news |date=June 27, 2024 |title='Babbling' and 'hoarse': Biden's debate performance sends Democrats into a panic |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/biden-debate-performance-democrats-panic-rcna157279 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240628025208/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/biden-debate-performance-democrats-panic-rcna157279 |archive-date=June 28, 2024 |access-date=June 28, 2024 |publisher=NBC News}}{{cite news |date=June 27, 2024 |title=A 'disaster': Biden's shaky start in debate with Trump rattles Democrats |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/disaster-bidens-shaky-start-debate-with-trump-rattles-democrats-2024-06-28/ |work=Reuters |access-date=November 17, 2024}} G. Elliott Morris and Kaleigh Rogers of ABC News' 538 argued that, although he had won the debate on policy, Biden had failed to reassure voters that he was capable of serving as president for another four years.{{cite web |last1=Elliot G. |first1=Morris |last2=Kaleigh |first2=Rogers |date=June 27, 2024 |title=Biden's biggest weakness – his age – on full display tonight at debate: ANALYSIS |url=https://abcnews.go.com/538/bidens-biggest-weakness-age-full-display-thursday-debate-analysis/story?id=111500745 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240628035529/https://abcnews.go.com/538/bidens-biggest-weakness-age-full-display-thursday-debate-analysis/story?id=111500745 |archive-date=June 28, 2024 |publisher=ABC News}} After the debate, elected officials, party strategists, and fundraisers discussed replacing Biden as the party's candidate, including whether prominent Democrats should make a public statement asking him to step aside.{{Cite news |last1=Ryan |first1=Brad |last2=Clark |first2=Emily |last3=Macmillan |first3=Jade |last4=Thorpe |first4=Andrew |last5=Bevan |first5=Matt |date=June 27, 2024 |title=Biden stumbles as Trump deflects in 'game-changing' presidential debate—as it happened |url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-06-28/us-presidential-debate-joe-biden-donald-trump-atlanta-cnn/104029404 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240628073808/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-06-28/us-presidential-debate-joe-biden-donald-trump-atlanta-cnn/104029404 |archive-date=June 28, 2024 |access-date=June 28, 2024 |publisher=ABC News}} In response, Biden initially stated that he would not be dropping out, and prominent Democratic politicians, including Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, reiterated their support for Biden following the debate.{{Cite web |date=July 5, 2024 |title=Biden dismisses age questions in interview as he tries to salvage reelection effort |url=https://apnews.com/article/president-joe-biden-campaign-wisconsin-abc-news-e4657f86f5e82b10a5fefb526bc49b08 |access-date=July 6, 2024 |publisher=Associated Press |last1=Long |first1=Colleen |last2=Kim |first2=Seung Min}}{{Cite news |last=Cameron |first=Chris |date=June 28, 2024 |title=Obama Defends Biden: 'Bad Debate Nights Happen' |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/28/us/politics/obama-biden-debate.html |access-date=June 29, 2024 |work=The New York Times}}{{Cite web |last=Teshome |first=Eden |date=June 28, 2024 |title=Hillary Clinton after debate: 'I'll be voting Biden' |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4746275-hillary-clinton-after-debate-voting-biden/ |access-date=June 29, 2024 |work=The Hill}} The debate performance led to Biden ultimately withdrawing his bid for re-election on July 21.{{Cite web|url=https://www.ap.org/news-highlights/elections/2024/biden-drops-out-of-2024-race-after-disastrous-debate-inflamed-age-concerns-vp-harris-gets-his-nod/|title=Biden drops out of 2024 race after disastrous debate inflamed age concerns. VP Harris gets his nod|first=Juan|last=Mejia|date=July 21, 2024|website=The Associated Press}}
= September 10 presidential debate: Harris vs. Trump =
{{Further|2024 United States presidential debates#September 10: Second presidential debate (ABC, Philadelphia)}}
The second presidential debate was held on Tuesday, September 10, by ABC News;{{Cite web |date=September 11, 2024 |title=Presidential Debate TV Review: Kamala Harris Baits Raging Donald Trump Into His Worst Self In Face-Off |url=https://deadline.com/2024/09/presidential-debate-highlights-recap-trump-harris-1236084242/ |work=Deadline Hollywood |last1=Patten |first1=Dominic |last2=Johnson |first2=Ted |access-date=November 17, 2024}} 67.1 million viewers watched it.{{cite web |url=https://deadline.com/2024/09/trump-harris-debate-ratings-1236085057/ |title=ABC News' Trump-Harris Debate Draws 67.1 Million, Far More Than June's Trump-Biden Event |work=Deadline Hollywood |date=September 11, 2024 |access-date=September 14, 2024 |last1=Johnson |first1=Ted}} Although Trump had proposed a debate on Fox News,{{cite web |last1=Marquez |first1=Alexandra |last2=Alcindor |first2=Yamiche |title=Trump ditches upcoming ABC debate, proposes Fox News debate instead |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/trump-ditches-abc-debate-agrees-fox-news-kamala-rcna164992 |publisher=NBC News |date=August 3, 2024 |access-date=August 6, 2024}} he later accepted the debate on ABC.{{cite web |last1=Lynch |first1=James |title=Trump Confirms ABC Debate against Kamala Harris Will Move Forward |url=https://www.nationalreview.com/news/trump-confirms-abc-debate-against-kamala-harris-will-move-forward/ |website=National Review |date=August 27, 2024 |access-date=August 27, 2024}} The debate was held at the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia and lasted for about 100 minutes.{{Cite web |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2024/09/08/politics/kamala-harris-donald-trump-debate/index.html |title=Harris prepares for the showdown she's long sought with Trump as he takes more informal approach |first1=Eric |last1=Bradner |first2=Jeff |last2=Zeleny |first3=Alayna |last3=Treene |first4=Arit |last4=John |date=September 8, 2024 |publisher=CNN |access-date=November 17, 2024}} ABC's debate topics included abortion, the economy, foreign policy, and immigration.{{Cite news |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/harris-trump-presidential-debate-transcript/story?id=113560542 |title=Read: Harris-Trump presidential debate transcript |first=Riley |last=Hoffman |publisher=ABC News |date=September 10, 2024 |access-date=September 20, 2024}} Polling showed voters thought Harris won the debate by what The Washington Post described as a "historically large" margin.{{cite news |last=Blake |first=Aaron |title=How resounding was Kamala Harris's debate win? Let's look at the polls. |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/11/kamala-harris-debate-performance-polls/ |newspaper=The Washington Post |date=September 11, 2024 |access-date=November 17, 2024}} During the debate, Trump made numerous false assertions and extreme statements, including false claims about immigrants eating pets and Democrats supporting infanticide.{{Cite web |last=Ulmer |first=Alexandra |date=September 11, 2024 |title=At debate, Trump shares falsehoods about pet-eating, infanticide |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/debate-trump-shares-falsehoods-about-pet-eating-infanticide-2024-09-11/ |access-date=September 11, 2024 |work=Reuters}} CNN found that Trump made over 30 false claims during the debate, while Harris made only one.{{cite web |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/10/politics/fact-check-debate-trump-harris/index.html |title=Fact-checking the ABC News presidential debate |publisher=CNN |date=September 11, 2024 |access-date=September 27, 2024}} Republicans attributed Trump's low debate performance to their perception of biased debate moderation by ABC News because the moderators fact-checked him more than four times but did not fact-check Harris.{{Cite web |url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-harris-abc-muir-debate-80459d35f25c8fd3207c558bdb7e2339 |title=As Trump and Harris spar, ABC's moderators grapple with conducting a debate in a polarized country |date=September 11, 2024 |publisher=Associated Press |last1=Bauder |first1=David |access-date=September 13, 2024}}{{Cite web |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/09/11/republicans-blame-moderators-trump-debate-performance-00178591 |title=Republicans have an answer for Trump's poor debate performance |website=Politico |date=September 11, 2024 |access-date=September 13, 2024 |last1=Ngo |first1=Emily |last2=Leonard |first2=Kimberly |last3=Allison |first3=Natalie |last4=Piper |first4=Jessica |last5=Otterbein |first5=Holly}}
= October 1 vice presidential debate: Vance vs. Walz =
{{Further|2024 United States presidential debates#October 1: Vice presidential debate (CBS, New York City)}}
Vice presidential candidates JD Vance and Tim Walz participated in a debate hosted by CBS News on October 1 at the CBS Broadcast Center in New York City.{{cite news |last1=Price |first1=Michelle L. |last2=Megerian |first2=Chris |last3=Colvin |first3=Jill |last4=Weissert |first4=Will |title=Walz and Vance go in depth on policy while attacking each other's running mates in VP debate |url=https://apnews.com/article/vance-walz-vice-presidential-debate-election-66ff2e5e45a8dda55b0a2242fc238fdc |publisher=Associated Press |date=October 2, 2024}}[https://www.npr.org/2024/09/30/nx-s1-5119486/vance-walz-debate-2024-when-watch-time Vance and Walz debate in New York City tonight. Here's what you need to know] NPR Topics discussed during the debate included immigration, abortion, and the economy.[https://www.nbcnews.com/data-graphics/graphic-tracking-topics-2024-presidential-debate-rcna173246 Graphic: The topics mentioned in the VP debate] NBC News[https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/oct/01/vice-presidential-debate-walz-vance Walz and Vance clash over abortion and immigration in vice-presidential debate] The Guardian Fact checking was primarily done online,{{Cite web |last=Bauder |first=David |date=September 27, 2024 |title=CBS News says it will be up to Vance and Walz to fact-check each other in veep debate |url=https://apnews.com/article/cbs-debate-vice-president-fact-check-7a3b31c98ab092dd44915df57a359d10 |access-date=September 29, 2024 |publisher=Associated Press News |archive-date=September 28, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240928232522/https://apnews.com/article/cbs-debate-vice-president-fact-check-7a3b31c98ab092dd44915df57a359d10 |url-status=live}} with Vance making more false and misleading claims than Walz.{{Cite web |date=October 2, 2024 |title=Fact-checking the CBS News vice presidential debate between Vance and Walz |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/01/politics/fact-check-vance-walz-debate/index.html |access-date=October 26, 2024 |publisher=CNN}} Forty-three million viewers watched the debate.{{cite news |last1=Stelter |first1=Brian |title=43 million watched Walz-Vance VP debate, in significant drop from 2020 matchup |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/02/media/vp-debate-ratings-vance-walz-cbs/index.html |access-date=October 5, 2024 |publisher=CNN |date=October 2, 2024}} Many debate watchers viewed the debate as "positive" and "civil". According to polling, both candidates polled about even among viewers who were asked who won the debate.{{Cite web |last1=Pinto |first1=Jennifer De |last2=Backus |first2=Fred |last3=Khanna |first3=Kabir |last4=Salvanto |first4=Anthony |date=October 2, 2024 |title=Who won the VP debate? Here's what debate watchers said in CBS News poll |publisher=CBS News |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-news-vp-debate-poll-2024/ |access-date=October 3, 2024}}
= Minor debates and forums =
{{main|Third-party and independent candidates for the 2024 United States presidential election#Debates and forums}}
Various debates and forums were held, sponsored by the Free & Equal Elections Foundation.{{cite web |title=Free & Equal Debate History |url=https://freeandequal.org/debates/ |access-date=November 5, 2024 |work=Free and Equal}} Robert F. Kennedy Jr. organized a separate debate, taking place during the Trump–Harris event.{{cite web |date=June 27, 2024 |title=Robert Kennedy didn't make the debate stage but he answered the same questions during a rival event |url=https://apnews.com/article/kennedy-rfk-debate-campaign-trail-284054ed5b3f470fab9715938b4af87c |access-date=November 10, 2024 |publisher=AP News}}
Results
= Electoral results =
{{start U.S. presidential ticket box|pv_footnote=|ev_footnote=}}
{{U.S. presidential ticket box row|name=Donald Trump|party=Republican|state=Florida|pv=77,302,580|pv_pct=49.80%|ev=312|vp_name=JD Vance|vp_state=Ohio}}
{{U.S. presidential ticket box row|name=Kamala Harris|party=Democratic|state=California|pv=75,017,613|pv_pct=48.32%|ev=226|vp_name=Tim Walz|vp_state=Minnesota}}
{{U.S. presidential ticket box row|name=Jill Stein|party=Green|state=Massachusetts|pv=862,049|pv_pct=0.56%|ev=0|vp_name=Butch Ware|vp_state=California}}
{{U.S. presidential ticket box row|name=Robert F. Kennedy Jr.|party=Independent|state=California|pv=756,393|pv_pct=0.49%|ev=0|vp_name=Nicole Shanahan|vp_state=California}}
{{U.S. presidential ticket box row|name=Chase Oliver|party=Libertarian|state=Georgia|pv=650,126|pv_pct=0.42%|ev=0|vp_name=Mike ter Maat|vp_state=Virginia}}
{{U.S. presidential ticket box other|footnote=|pv=649,541|pv_pct=0.42%}}
{{end U.S. presidential ticket box|pv=155,238,302|pv_pct=100.00%|ev=538|to_win=270}}
{{#invoke:bar|box
|title=Popular vote
|titlebar=#ddd
|width=600px
|barwidth=410px
|bars=
{{#invoke:bar|percent|Trump|{{party color|Republican Party (US)}}|49.80}}
{{#invoke:bar|percent|Harris|{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}|48.32}}
{{#invoke:bar|percent|Stein|{{party color|Green Party (US)}}|0.56}}
{{#invoke:bar|percent|Kennedy|{{party color|Independent (politician)}}|0.49}}
{{#invoke:bar|percent|Oliver|{{party color|Libertarian Party (US)}}|0.42}}
{{#invoke:bar|percent|Others|#777777|0.41}}
}}
{{#invoke:bar|box
|title=Electoral vote
|titlebar=#ddd
|width=600px
|barwidth=410px
|bars=
{{#invoke:bar|percent|Trump|{{party color|Republican Party (US)}}|57.99}}
{{#invoke:bar|percent|Harris|{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}|42.01}}
}}
=Results by state=
Final reports as compiled from the certified vote totals of each state or district.{{Cite web |url=https://apnews.com/projects/election-results-2024/?office=P |title=2024 Presidential Election Results |publisher=Associated Press |date=January 2, 2025 |access-date=January 2, 2025}}
| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;line-height:1.2"
|+ style=line-height:1.5|Legend | |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6" | |
| style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" | |
| EV | Electoral votes |
| † | At-large results (for Maine and Nebraska, which both split electoral votes) |
| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right;font-size:90%;line-height:1.2"
! rowspan=2 {{verth|stp=1|State or ! colspan="3" rowspan="1" |Trump/Vance ! colspan="3" rowspan="1" |Harris/Walz ! colspan="3" rowspan="1" |Stein/Ware ! colspan="3" rowspan="1" |Kennedy/Shanahan ! colspan="3" rowspan="1" |Oliver/Maat ! colspan="3" rowspan="1" |Others ! colspan="2" rowspan="1" |Margin !Margin ! colspan="1" rowspan="2" |Total |
| data-sort-type="number" style="padding-left:0.2em"| Votes
!data-sort-type="number"| % !data-sort-type="number" {{verth|stp=1|va=middle|{{abbr|EV|Electoral votes}}}} !data-sort-type="number" style="padding-left:0.2em"| Votes !data-sort-type="number"| % !data-sort-type="number" {{verth|stp=1|va=middle|{{abbr|EV|Electoral votes}}}} !data-sort-type="number" style="padding-left:0.2em"| Votes !data-sort-type="number"| % !data-sort-type="number" {{verth|stp=1|va=middle|{{abbr|EV|Electoral votes}}}} !data-sort-type="number" style="padding-left:0.2em"| Votes !data-sort-type="number"| % !data-sort-type="number" {{verth|stp=1|va=middle|{{abbr|EV|Electoral votes}}}} !data-sort-type="number" style="padding-left:0.2em"| Votes !data-sort-type="number"| % !data-sort-type="number" {{verth|stp=1|va=middle|{{abbr|EV|Electoral votes}}}} !data-sort-type="number" style="padding-left:0.2em"| Votes !data-sort-type="number"| % !data-sort-type="number" {{verth|stp=1|va=middle|{{abbr|EV|Electoral votes}}}} !data-sort-type="number" style="padding-left:0.2em"| Votes !data-sort-type="number"| % !data-sort-type="number"| % |
|---|
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Alabama{{Cite web |url=https://www.sos.alabama.gov/alabama-votes |title=Alabama Votes - Alabama Secretary of State - Final Canvass of Results for the 2024 General Election |website=sos.alabama.gov |date=November 26, 2024 |access-date=December 3, 2024}} |1,462,616 |64.57% |9 |772,412 |34.10% |– |4,319 |0.19% |– |12,075 |0.53% |– |4,930 |0.22% |– |8,738 |0.39% |– |690,204 |30.47% |5.01% |2,265,090 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Alaska[https://www.elections.alaska.gov/enr/ Election Night Reporting - Alaska 2024 General Election Official Results] |184,458 |54.54% |3 |140,026 |41.41% |– |2,342 |0.69% |– |5,670 |1.68% |– |3,040 |0.90% |– |2,641 |0.78% |– |44,432 |13.13% |3.07% |338,177 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Arizona{{Cite web |url=https://azsos.gov/elections/election-information/2024-election-info |title=2024 General Election Signed Canvass (Signed Nov 25, 2024) - pdf |date=November 22, 2024 |access-date=December 3, 2024}} |1,770,242 |52.22% |11 |1,582,860 |46.69% |– |18,319 |0.54% |– |– |– |– |17,898 |0.53% |– |842 |0.02% |– |187,382 |5.53% |5.84% |3,390,161 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Arkansas{{cite web |url=https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/AR/122502/web.345435/#/summary |title=Official Results |website=Clarity Elections |date=November 5, 2024 |access-date=November 30, 2024}} |759,241 |64.20% |6 |396,905 |33.56% |– |4,275 |0.36% |– |13,255 |1.12% |– |5,715 |0.48% |– |3,285 |0.28% |– |362,336 |30.64% |3.02% |1,182,676 |
| style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF"
|style=text-align:center| California{{Cite web |url=https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results/general-election-nov-5-2024/statement-vote |title=General Election - Statement of Vote - Complete Statement of Vote (PDF) |website=sos.ca.gov |date=December 13, 2024 |access-date=December 13, 2024}} |6,081,697 |38.33% |– |9,276,179 |58.47% |54 |167,814 |1.06% |– |197,645 |1.25% |– |66,662 |0.42% |– |75,478 |0.48% |– |−3,194,482 |−20.14% |9.02% |15,865,475 |
| style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF"
|style=text-align:center| Colorado{{Cite web |url=https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/2024 |title=2024 Electoral College Results |date=December 6, 2024 |access-date=December 22, 2024}} |1,377,441 |43.14% |– |1,728,159 |54.13% |10 |17,344 |0.54% |– |35,623 |1.12% |– |21,439 |0.67% |– |12,739 |0.40% |– |−350,718 |−10.99% |2.51% |3,192,745 |
| style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF"
|style=text-align:center| Connecticut{{Cite web |url=https://ctemspublic.tgstg.net/#/home |title=Public Reporting - Connecticut Secretary of State Election Night Reporting - ELECTION CENTER - Official Results |website=ctemspublic.tgstg.net |access-date=December 5, 2024}} |736,918 |41.89% |– |992,053 |56.40% |7 |14,281 |0.81% |– |8,448 |0.48% |– |6,729 |0.38% |– |581 |0.03% |– |−255,135 |−14.51% |5.56% |1,759,010 |
| style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF"
|style=text-align:center| Delaware{{cite web |url=https://elections.delaware.gov/results/html/index.shtml?dc=report&electionId=GE2024 |title=Delaware Official Election Results |website=Department of Elections – State of Delaware |date=November 5, 2024 |access-date=November 25, 2024}} |214,351 |41.79% |– |289,758 |56.49% |3 |914 |0.18% |– |4,636 |0.90% |– |2,038 |0.40% |– |1,215 |0.24% |– |−75,407 |−14.70% |4.27% |512,912 |
| style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF"
|style=text-align:center| District of Columbia{{Cite web |title=General Election 2024 - Certified Results |url=https://electionresults.dcboe.org/election_results/2024-General-Election |access-date=December 2, 2024 |website=electionresults.dcboe.org |date=December 2, 2024}} |21,076 |6.47% |– |294,185 |90.28% |3 |– |– |– |2,778 |0.85% |– |– |– |– |7,830 |2.40% |– |−273,109 |−83.81% |2.94% |325,869 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Florida{{cite web |url=https://floridaelectionwatch.gov/FederalOffices/President |title=2024 General Election - November 5, 2024 - Official Election Results |website=Florida Election Watch |date=November 5, 2024 |access-date=November 25, 2024}} |6,110,125 |56.09% |30 |4,683,038 |42.99% |– |43,155 |0.40% |– |– |– |– |31,972 |0.29% |– |25,462 |0.23% |– |1,427,087 |13.10% |9.74% |10,893,752 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Georgia{{Cite web |url=https://results.sos.ga.gov/results/public/Georgia/elections/2024NovGen |title=OFFICIAL RESULTS |website=results.sos.ga.gov |date=November 22, 2024 |access-date=December 3, 2024}} |2,663,117 |50.72% |16 |2,548,017 |48.53% |– |18,229 |0.35% |– |– |– |– |20,684 |0.39% |– |858 |0.02% |– |115,100 |2.19% |2.42% |5,250,905 |
| style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF"
|style=text-align:center| Hawaii{{Cite web |url=https://elections.hawaii.gov/election-results/ |title=Statewide Summary - Final Report |website=elections.hawaii.gov |date=November 13, 2024 |access-date=November 30, 2024}} |193,661 |37.48% |– |313,044 |60.59% |4 |4,387 |0.85% |– |– |– |– |2,733 |0.53% |– |2,876 |0.56% |– |−119,383 |−23.11% |6.35% |516,701 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Idaho{{Cite web |url=https://results.voteidaho.gov/presidential.html |title=Presidential Official Results |website=results.voteidaho.gov |date=November 26, 2024 |access-date=December 3, 2024}}{{cite web |title=Canvass Report |website=VoteIdaho.Gov |date=November 26, 2024 |url=https://sos.idaho.gov/elections/data/results/2024/2024_general_canvass.pdf |access-date=January 28, 2025}} |605,246 |66.87% |4 |274,972 |30.38% |– |2,973 |0.33% |– |12,812 |1.42% |– |4,462 |0.49% |– |4,592 |0.51% |– |330,274 |36.49% |5.72% |905,057 |
| style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF"
|style=text-align:center| Illinois{{Cite web|url=https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionVoteTotals.aspx|title=Election Vote Totals Results|website=www.elections.il.gov}} |2,449,079 |43.47% |– |3,062,863 |54.37% |19 |31,023 |0.55% |– |80,426 |1.43% |– |3,510 |0.06% |– |6,409 |0.11% |– |−613,784 |−10.90% |6.09% |5,633,310 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Indiana |1,720,347 |58.58% |11 |1,163,603 |39.62% |– |– |– |– |29,325 |1.00% |– |20,425 |0.70% |– |2,977 |0.10% |– |556,744 |18.96% |2.89% |2,936,677 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Iowa{{cite web |url=https://electionresults.iowa.gov/IA/122322/web.345435/#/summary |title=2024 General Election - 11/5/2024 - Official Results |website=Election Results Iowa |date=December 2, 2024 |access-date=December 2, 2024}} |927,019 |55.73% |6 |707,278 |42.52% |– |– |– |– |13,122 |0.79% |– |7,218 |0.43% |– |8,869 |0.53% |– |219,741 |13.21% |5.01% |1,663,506 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Kansas{{Cite web |url=https://sos.ks.gov/elections/election-results.html |title=2024 Official General Election Results - pdf |access-date=December 3, 2024}} |758,802 |57.16% |6 |544,853 |41.04% |– |– |– |– |16,322 |1.23% |– |7,614 |0.57% |– |– |– |– |213,949 |16.12% |1.48% |1,327,591 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Kentucky |1,337,494 |64.47% |8 |704,043 |33.94% |– |7,566 |0.36% |– |16,769 |0.81% |– |6,422 |0.31% |– |2,236 |0.11% |– |633,451 |30.53% |4.59% |2,074,530 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Louisiana{{cite web |url=https://voterportal.sos.la.gov/graphical |title=Official results – Presidential Electors |website=Voter Portal Louisiana |date=November 5, 2024 |access-date=November 25, 2024}} |1,208,505 |60.22% |8 |766,870 |38.21% |– |7,138 |0.36% |– |6,641 |0.3% |– |6,835 |0.34% |– |10,986 |0.55% |– |441,635 |22.01% |3.40% |2,006,975 |
| style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF"
|style=text-align:center class=nowrap| Maine †{{Cite web |url=https://www.maine.gov/sos/cec/elec/results/results24.html#Nonranked |title=Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions, Elections and Voting, Tabulations: November 5, 2024 General Election – Non-Ranked Choice Offices - U.S. President by County/Town |website=maine.gov |access-date=December 2, 2024}} |377,977 |45.46% |– |435,652 |52.40% |2 |8,967 |1.08% |– |– |– |– |5,286 |0.64% |– |3,493 |0.42% |– |−57,675 |−6.94% |2.13% |831,375 |
| style="background:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}};font-style:italic"
|style=text-align:center| {{abbrlink|ME-1|Maine's 1st congressional district}} |165,214 |38.09% |– |258,863 |59.69% |1 |4,828 |1.11% |– |– |– |– |2,802 |0.65% |– |2,002 |0.46% |– |−93,649 |−21.60% |1.49% |433,709 |
| style="background:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}};font-style:italic"
|style=text-align:center| {{abbrlink|ME-2|Maine's 2nd congressional district}} |212,763 |53.50% |1 |176,789 |44.46% |– |4,139 |1.04% |– |– |– |– |2,484 |0.62% |– |1,491 |0.37% |– |35,974 |9.05% |1.61% |397,666 |
| style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF"
|style=text-align:center| Maryland{{Cite web |url=https://elections.maryland.gov/elections/2024/general_Results/gen_results_2024_1.html |title=Official 2024 Presidential General Election Results for President and Vice President of the United States |website=elections.maryland.gov |date=December 5, 2024 |access-date=December 5, 2024}} |1,035,550 |34.08% |– |1,902,577 |62.62% |10 |33,134 |1.09% |– |28,819 |0.95% |– |15,570 |0.51% |– |22,684 |0.75% |– |−867,027 |−28.54% |4.67% |3,038,334 |
| style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF"
|style=text-align:center| Massachusetts{{Cite web |url=https://electionstats.state.ma.us/elections/view/165300/ |title=2024 President General Election |website=PD43+ |access-date=December 3, 2024}} |1,251,303 |36.02% |– |2,126,518 |61.22% |11 |26,545 |0.76% |– |– |– |– |17,735 |0.51% |– |51,567 |1.48% |– |−875,215 |−25.20% |8.26% |3,473,668 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Michigan{{cite web |url=https://mvic.sos.state.mi.us/votehistory/Index?type=C&electionDate=11-5-2024 |title=2024 Michigan STATE GENERAL, OFFICIAL Election Results |website=Michigan Voter Information Center |date=November 22, 2024 |access-date=November 26, 2024}} |2,816,636 |49.73% |15 |2,736,533 |48.31% |– |44,607 |0.79% |– |26,785 |0.47% |– |22,440 |0.40% |– |17,185 |0.30% |– |80,103 |1.42% |4.20% |5,664,186 |
| style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF"
|style=text-align:center| Minnesota{{Cite web |title=2024 State Canvassing Board Certificate |url=https://officialdocuments.sos.state.mn.us/Files/GetDocument/145965 |website=Minnesota Secretary of State |date=November 21, 2024 |access-date=November 25, 2024}} |1,519,032 |46.68% |– |1,656,979 |50.92% |10 |16,275 |0.50% |– |24,001 |0.74% |– |15,155 |0.47% |– |22,478 |0.69% |– |−137,947 |−4.24% |2.87% |3,253,920 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Mississippi{{Cite web |url=https://www.sos.ms.gov/elections-voting/2024-general-election |title=OFFICIAL 2024 GENERAL ELECTION CERTIFIED RESULTS - Certification of Vote for Electors for President and Vice President - pdf |website=sos.ms.gov |date=December 2, 2024 |access-date=December 4, 2024}} |747,744 |60.89% |6 |466,668 |38.00% |– |1,873 |0.15% |– |5,387 |0.44% |– |2,536 |0.21% |– |3,800 |0.31% |– |281,076 |22.89% |6.34% |1,228,008 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Missouri{{cite web |url=https://enr.sos.mo.gov/ |title=State of Missouri - General Election, November 05, 2024 - Official Results |website=State of Missouri – Election Night Results |date=December 5, 2024 |access-date=December 5, 2024}} |1,751,986 |58.49% |10 |1,200,599 |40.08% |– |17,135 |0.57% |– |– |– |– |23,876 |0.80% |– |1,731 |0.06% |– |551,387 |18.41% |3.02% |2,995,327 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Montana |352,079 |58.39% |4 |231,906 |38.46% |– |2,878 |0.48% |– |11,825 |1.96% |– |4,275 |0.71% |– |27 |0.004% |– |120,173 |19.93% |3.56% |602,990 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Nebraska †{{Cite web |url=https://sos.nebraska.gov/elections/2024-elections |title=2024 General Election Official Results |date=December 2, 2024 |website=Nebraska Secretary of State}} |564,816 |59.32% |2 |369,995 |38.86% |– |2,887 |0.30% |– |– |– |– |6,399 |0.67% |– |8,085 |0.85% |– |194,821 |20.46% |1.40% |952,182 |
| style="background:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}};font-style:italic"
|style=text-align:center| {{abbrlink|NE-1|Nebraska's 1st congressional district}} |177,666 |55.49% |1 |136,153 |42.52% |– |1,011 |0.32% |– |– |– |– |2,420 |0.76% |– |2,944 |0.92% |– |41,513 |12.96% | -1.96% |320,194 |
| style="background:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}};font-style:italic"
|style=text-align:center| {{abbrlink|NE-2|Nebraska's 2nd congressional district}} |148,905 |46.73% |– |163,541 |51.32% |1 |1,110 |0.35% |– |– |– |– |2,001 |0.63% |– |3,089 |0.97% |– | -14,636 | -4.59% |1.91% |318,646 |
| style="background:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}};font-style:italic"
|style=text-align:center| {{abbrlink|NE-3|Nebraska's 3rd congressional district}} |238,245 |76.03% |1 |70,301 |22.44% |– |766 |0.24% |– |– |– |– |1,978 |0.63% |– |2,052 |0.65% |– |167,944 |53.60% |0.58% |313,342 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Nevada[https://silverstateelection.nv.gov/USPresidential/ Silver State 2024 Official General Election Results] |751,205 |50.59% |6 |705,197 |47.49% |– |– |– |– |– |– |– |6,059 |0.41% |– |22,379 |1.51% |– |46,008 |3.10% |5.49% |1,484,840 |
| style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF"
|style=text-align:center|New Hampshire{{Cite web |url=https://www.sos.nh.gov/2024-general-election-results |title=2024 General Election Results - President of the United States |access-date=December 4, 2024}} |395,523 |47.87% |– |418,488 |50.65% |4 |3,680 |0.45% |– |– |– |– |4,425 |0.54% |– |4,073 |0.49% |– |−22,965 |−2.78% |4.57% |826,189 |
| style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF"
|style=text-align:center| New Jersey{{Cite web |url=https://www.nj.gov/state/elections/election-information-2024.shtml |title=Official General Election Results: U.S. President - pdf |date=December 5, 2024 |access-date=December 5, 2024}} |1,968,215 |46.06% |– |2,220,713 |51.97% |14 |39,041 |0.91% |– |23,479 |0.55% |– |10,500 |0.25% |– |10,777 |0.25% |– |−252,498 |−5.91% |10.03% |4,272,725 |
| style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF"
|style=text-align:center| New Mexico{{cite web |url=https://electionresults.sos.nm.gov/resultsSW.aspx?type=FED&map=CTY |title=President and Vice President of the United States |website=New Mexico Election Official Results Center |date=November 26, 2024 |access-date=December 3, 2024}} |423,391 |45.85% |– |478,802 |51.85% |5 |4,611 |0.50% |– |9,553 |1.03% |– |3,745 |0.41% |– |3,301 |0.36% |– |−55,411 |−6.00% |4.79% |923,403 |
| style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF"
|style=text-align:center| New York{{Cite web |url=https://elections.ny.gov/election-results |title=Certified November 5, 2024 General Election Results, approved 12.09.2024 |date=December 9, 2024 |access-date=December 10, 2024}} |3,578,899 |43.31% |– |4,619,195 |55.91% |28 |46,698 |0.57% |– |– |– |– |5,338 |0.06% |– |12,365 |0.15% |– |−1,040,296 |−12.60% |10.53% |8,262,495 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| North Carolina{{cite web |url=https://dl.ncsbe.gov/?prefix=State_Board_Meeting_Docs/2024-11-26/Canvass/ |title=NC - State_Composite_Abstract_Report-Contest.pdf |date=November 26, 2024 |access-date=December 3, 2024}} |2,898,423 |50.86% |16 |2,715,375 |47.65% |– |24,762 |0.43% |– |– |– |– |22,125 |0.39% |– |38,456 |0.67% |– |183,048 |3.21% |1.86% |5,699,141 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| North Dakota{{cite web |url=https://results.sos.nd.gov/ResultsSW.aspx?text=All&type=SW&map=CTY |title=Official Statewide Results President & Vice-President of the United States |website=North Dakota Election Results |date=November 5, 2024 |access-date=November 25, 2024}} |246,505 |66.96% |3 |112,327 |30.51% |– |– |– |– |– |– |– |6,227 |1.69% |– |3,096 |0.84% |– |134,178 |36.45% |3.11% |368,155 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Ohio{{cite web |url=https://www.ohiosos.gov/elections/election-results-and-data/2024-official-election-results/ |title=2024 Official Election Results - General Election: November 5, 2024 - President - Results by County (XLSX) |website=Ohio Secretary of State |date=November 5, 2024 |access-date=December 5, 2024}} |3,180,116 |55.14% |17 |2,533,699 |43.93% |– |– |– |– |– |– |– |28,200 |0.49% |– |25,773 |0.45% |– |646,417 |11.21% |3.18% |5,767,788 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Oklahoma{{cite web |url=https://results.okelections.gov/OKER/?elecDate=20241105 |title=OK Official Election Results |website=Oklahoma State Election Board |date=November 5, 2024 |access-date=November 12, 2024}} |1,036,213 |66.16% |7 |499,599 |31.90% |– |– |– |– |16,020 |1.02% |– |9,198 |0.59% |– |5,143 |0.33% |– |536,614 |34.26% |1.17% |1,566,173 |
| style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF"
|style=text-align:center| Oregon{{Cite web |url=https://sos.oregon.gov/elections/Pages/electionhistory.aspx |title=November 5, 2024 - Official Results of November General pdf |website=Oregon Secretary of State |date= |access-date=December 13, 2024}} |919,480 |40.97% |– |1,240,600 |55.27% |8 |19,099 |0.85% |– |33,733 |1.50% |– |9,061 |0.40% |– |22,520 |1.00% |– |−321,120 |−14.30% |1.79% |2,244,493 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Pennsylvania{{Cite web |url=https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/General/SummaryResults |title=Pennsylvania Elections - Summary Official Results |website=electionreturns.pa.gov |access-date=December 5, 2024}} |3,543,308 |50.37% |19 |3,423,042 |48.66% |– |34,538 |0.49% |– |– |– |– |33,318 |0.47% |– |24,526 |0.35% |– |120,266 |1.71% |2.87% |7,058,732 |
| style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF"
|style=text-align:center| Rhode Island{{Cite web |url=https://www.ri.gov/election/results/2024/general_election/ |title=Official Election Results |website=ri.gov |access-date=November 27, 2024}} |214,406 |41.76% |– |285,156 |55.54% |4 |2,900 |0.56% |– |5,045 |0.98% |– |1,617 |0.31% |– |4,262 |0.83% |– |−70,750 |−13.78% |7.00% |513,386 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| South Carolina{{cite web |url=https://www.enr-scvotes.org/SC/122436/web.345435/#/summary |title=Official Results |website=Election Night Reporting SC Votes |date=November 5, 2024 |access-date=November 25, 2024}} |1,483,747 |58.23% |9 |1,028,452 |40.36% |– |8,117 |0.32% |– |– |– |– |12,669 |0.50% |– |15,155 |0.59% |– |455,295 |17.87% |6.19% |2,548,140 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| South Dakota{{cite web |url=https://sdsos.gov/elections-voting/upcoming-elections/general-information/default.aspx |title=2024 General Election State Canvass and Certificate |date=November 12, 2024 |access-date=December 3, 2024}} |272,081 |63.43% |3 |146,859 |34.24% |– |– |– |– |7,204 |1.68% |– |2,778 |0.65% |– |– |– |– |125,222 |29.19% |3.03% |428,922 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Tennessee{{Cite web |url=https://sos.tn.gov/elections/results#2024 |title=2024 Election Results, November 5, 2024, Results by Office |access-date=December 3, 2024}} |1,966,865 |64.19% |11 |1,056,265 |34.47% |– |8,967 |0.29% |– |21,535 |0.70% |– |– |– |– |10,310 |0.34% |– |910,600 |29.72% |6.51% |3,063,942 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Texas{{cite web |url=https://results.texas-election.com/races |title=Texas Elections Division – Official Election Results |website=Texas Election Night Results |date=November 26, 2024 |access-date=December 3, 2024}} |6,393,597 |56.14% |40 |4,835,250 |42.46% |– |82,701 |0.73% |– |– |– |– |68,557 |0.60% |– |8,569 |0.08% |– |1,558,347 |13.68% |8.10% |11,388,674 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Utah{{Cite web |url=https://vote.utah.gov/election-results-data-historical-information/ |title=2024 November General Election Statewide Canvass |date=November 25, 2024 |access-date=December 3, 2024}} |883,818 |59.38% |6 |562,566 |37.79% |– |8,222 |0.55% |– |– |– |– |16,902 |1.14% |– |16,986 |1.14% |– |321,252 |21.59% |1.11% |1,488,494 |
| style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF"
|style=text-align:center| Vermont{{Cite web|url=https://electionresults.vermont.gov/#/federal|title=:: Vermont Election Night Results ::|website=electionresults.vermont.gov}} |119,395 |32.32% |– |235,791 |63.83% |3 |893 |0.24% |– |5,905 |1.60% |– |1,828 |0.49% |– |5,610 |1.52% |– |−116,396 |−31.51% |3.90% |369,422 |
| style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF"
|style=text-align:center| Virginia{{Cite web |url=https://enr.elections.virginia.gov/results/public/Virginia/elections/2024NovemberGeneral |title=2024 November General OFFICIAL RESULTS |website=elections.virginia.gov |date=December 2, 2024 |access-date=December 2, 2024}} |2,075,085 |46.05% |– |2,335,395 |51.83% |13 |34,888 |0.77% |– |– |– |– |19,814 |0.44% |– |40,759 |0.90% |– |−260,310 |−5.78% |4.35% |4,505,941 |
| style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF"
|style=text-align:center| Washington{{cite web |title=Official Canvass of the Returns of the General Election Held on November 5, 2024 |url=https://www.sos.wa.gov/sites/default/files/2024-12/Official%20Canvass%20of%20the%20Returns%20G2024_%20Certification%2012%2004%202024.pdf |publisher=Secretary of State of Washington |date=December 4, 2024 |access-date=December 4, 2024}} |1,530,923 |39.01% |– |2,245,849 |57.23% |12 |29,754 |0.76% |– |54,868 |1.40% |– |16,428 |0.42% |– |46,421 |1.18% |– |−714,926 |−18.22% |0.98% |3,924,243 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| West Virginia |533,556 |69.97% |4 |214,309 |28.10% |– |2,531 |0.33% |– |8,947 |1.17% |– |3,047 |0.40% |– |192 |0.03% |– |319,247 |41.87% |2.94% |762,582 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Wisconsin{{Cite web |url=https://elections.wi.gov/election-result/2024-general-election-results |title=County by County Report_POTUS.pdf |access-date=December 1, 2024 |date=November 29, 2024}} |1,697,626 |49.60% |10 |1,668,229 |48.74% |– |12,275 |0.36% |– |17,740 |0.52% |– |10,511 |0.31% |– |16,537 |0.48% |– |29,397 |0.86% |1.49% |3,422,918 |
| style="background-color:#FFB6B6"
|style=text-align:center| Wyoming{{Cite web |url=https://sos.wyo.gov/Elections/Docs/2024/2024GeneralResults.aspx |title=Wyoming Secretary of State - 2024 Official General Election Results - Statewide Candidates Summary |website=sos.wyo.gov |access-date=December 3, 2024}} |192,633 |71.60% |3 |69,527 |25.84% |– |– |– |– |– |– |– |4,193 |1.56% |– |2,695 |1.00% |– |123,106 |45.76% |2.38% |269,048 |
| Total
!style=padding:0|77,302,580 !style=padding:0|49.80% !style=padding:0|312 !style=padding:0|75,017,613 !style=padding:0|48.32% !style=padding:0|226 !style=padding:0|862,049 !style=padding:0|0.56% !{{right}}– !style=padding:0|756,393 !style=padding:0|0.49% !{{right}}– !style=padding:0|650,126 !style=padding:0|0.42% !{{right}}– !style=padding:0|649,541 !style=padding:0|0.42% !{{right}}– !style=padding:0|2,284,967 !style=padding:0|1.48% !style=padding:0|5.94% !style=padding:0|155,238,302 |
| !colspan="3"| Trump/Vance Republican !colspan="3"| Harris/Walz !colspan="3"| Stein/Ware !colspan="3"| Kennedy/Shanahan !colspan="3"| Oliver/Maat !colspan="3"| Others !colspan="2"| Margin ! Margin ! Total |
== States that flipped from Democratic to Republican ==
=Territorial straw polls=
Non-binding straw polls on the day of the Presidential general election to gauge the preference for president were held in the US territories of Guam and Puerto Rico. These polls, however, have no official say in the election.
Winners of the territory are in bold.
| class="wikitable sortable"
|+ Election results ! rowspan="2" scope="col" |Territory ! colspan="4" scope="col" style="border-left:3px solid darkgray;" |Winner ! colspan="4" scope="col" style="border-left:3px solid darkgray;" |Runner-up ! colspan="4" scope="col" style="border-left:3px solid darkgray;" |Other candidate{{efn|For purpose of this list, other candidates are defined as those who were in third place in Guam.|name=}} ! colspan="2" scope="col" style="border-left:3px solid darkgray;" |Margin ! data-sort-type="number" scope="col" | Margin swing ! rowspan="2" class="unsortable" scope="col" |{{Abbr|Ref.|Reference(s)}} |
| colspan="2" scope="col" style="border-left:3px solid darkgray;" |Candidate
! data-sort-type="number" scope="col" |Votes ! data-sort-type="number" scope="col" |% ! colspan="2" scope="col" style="border-left:3px solid darkgray;" |Candidate ! data-sort-type="number" scope="col" |Votes ! data-sort-type="number" scope="col" |% ! colspan="2" scope="col" style="border-left:3px solid darkgray;" |Candidate ! data-sort-type="number" scope="col" |Votes ! data-sort-type="number" scope="col" |% ! data-sort-type="number" scope="col" style="border-left:3px solid darkgray;" |Votes ! data-sort-type="number" scope="col" |% ! data-sort-type="number" scope="col" |% |
|---|
| Guam
| style="text-align:left; border-left:3px solid darkgray; background-color:{{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}};" | |{{Sortname|Kamala|Harris}} {{Abbr|(D)|Democratic Party}} |13,510 |49.46 | style="text-align:left; border-left:3px solid darkgray; background-color:{{party color|Republican Party (United States)}};" | |{{Sortname|Donald|Trump}} {{Abbr|(R)|Republican Party}}{{Double-dagger|alt=national winner}} |12,624 |46.22 | style="text-align:left; border-left:3px solid darkgray; background:{{party color|Independent}};" | |{{Sortname|Robert F.|Kennedy Jr.}} {{Abbr|(I)|Independent candidate}} |938 |3.43 | style="border-left:3px solid darkgray;" |886 |3.24% |−10.33% |
| Puerto Rico
| style="text-align:left; border-left:3px solid darkgray; background-color:{{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}};" | |{{Sortname|Kamala|Harris}} {{Abbr|(D)|Democratic Party}} |724,947 |63.62 | style="text-align:left; border-left:3px solid darkgray; background-color:{{party color|Republican Party (United States)}};" | |{{Sortname|Donald|Trump}} {{Abbr|(R)|Republican Party}}{{Double-dagger|alt=national winner}} |263,270 |23.10 | style="text-align:left; border-left:3px solid darkgray; background:{{party color|white}};" | |Write in candidates |18,285 |1.60 | style="border-left:3px solid darkgray;" |461,677 |40.5% |– |
= Close states =
The seven swing states in the 2024 election were the Rust Belt states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, as well as the Sun Belt states of Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina.{{cite web |date=August 23, 2024 |title=Seven swing states set to decide the 2024 US election |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c511pyn3xw3o |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240724045607/https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c511pyn3xw3o |archive-date=July 24, 2024 |access-date=August 24, 2024 |publisher=BBC}}
States where the margin of victory was under 1 percentage point (10 electoral votes; all won by Trump):
- Wisconsin, 0.87% (29,397 votes) – 10 electoral votes
States/districts where the margin of victory was between 1 and 5 percentage points (87 electoral votes; 72 won by Trump, 15 won by Harris):
- Michigan, 1.41% (80,103 votes) – 15 electoral votes
- Pennsylvania, 1.71% (120,266 votes) – 19 electoral votes (tipping-point state)
- Georgia, 2.20% (115,100 votes) – 16 electoral votes
- New Hampshire, 2.78% (22,965 votes) – 4 electoral votes
- Nevada, 3.10% (46,008 votes) – 6 electoral votes
- North Carolina, 3.21% (183,046 votes) – 16 electoral votes
- Minnesota, 4.24% (137,947 votes) – 10 electoral votes
- Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, 4.59% (14,636 votes) – 1 electoral vote
States/districts where the margin of victory was between 5% and 10% (46 electoral votes; 12 won by Trump, 34 by Harris):
- Arizona, 5.53% (187,382 votes) – 11 electoral votes
- Virginia, 5.78% (260,310 votes) – 13 electoral votes
- New Jersey, 5.91% (252,498 votes) – 14 electoral votes
- New Mexico, 6.00% (55,411 votes) – 5 electoral votes
- Maine, 6.94% (57,514 votes) – 2 electoral votes
- Maine's 2nd congressional district, 9.03% (33,297 votes) – 1 electoral vote
Red denotes states or congressional districts won by Republican Donald Trump; Blue denotes those won by Democrat Kamala Harris.
= County statistics =
Counties with highest percentage of Democratic vote:{{Cite web |title=2024 Presidential Election Statistics |url=https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/stats.php?year=2024&f=0&off=0&elect=0 |website=uselectionatlas.org |access-date=November 27, 2024}}
- District of Columbia – 90.28%{{efn|The District of Columbia is not a state or a county, but a district with three electoral votes.}}
- Prince George's County, Maryland – 85.90%
- Petersburg, Virginia – 85.52%{{efn|Petersburg, Virginia is not a state or a county, but an independent city.}}
- Baltimore, Maryland – 84.55%{{efn|Baltimore, Maryland is not a state or a county, but an independent city.}}
- Oglala Lakota County, South Dakota – 83.83%
Counties with highest percentage of Republican vote:
- Grant County, Nebraska – 95.90%
- Roberts County, Texas – 95.63%
- Borden County, Texas – 95.61%
- King County, Texas – 95.56%
- Hayes County, Nebraska – 95.55%
= Maps =
File:Results by state, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote 2024.svg|Results by vote share in each state. Darker shades denote a higher vote share for the winning candidate. This map does not depict the results in Maine or Nebraska's congressional districts, which vote by congressional district and not at-large.
File:2024 United States presdential election results by margin of victory.svg|Results by margin of victory in each state.{{efn|In Maine and Nebraska, electoral votes are allocated by congressional district, with two votes going to the state at-large. The insets in those states illustrate this distribution and have no geographical significance.}}
File:ElectorScaledUS2024.svg|A discontinuous cartogram of state results, scaled by their Electoral College contribution
File:2024 Presidential Election by County.svg|Results by county, shaded by winner.{{efn|name="equivalent"|County equivalents are used in Alaska and Louisiana. The District of Columbia has no primary subdivisions.}}
File:2024 United States presidential election results map by county.svg|Results by county, shaded by winner's vote share.{{efn|name="equivalent"|County equivalents are used in Alaska and Louisiana. The District of Columbia has no primary subdivisions.}}
File:2024 Presidential Election by County Flips.svg|Results by county flips from 2020 to the 2024 presidential election.{{efn|name="equivalent"|County equivalents are used in Alaska and Louisiana. The District of Columbia has no primary subdivisions.}}
File:U.S. Presidential Election Swing by County from 2020 to 2024.svg|The term "swing" refers to the shift in county margins from the 2020 presidential election to the 2024 presidential election.{{Cite news |title=Presidential Election Results: Trump Wins |work=The New York Times |date=November 5, 2024 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-president.html}}
File:2020 - 2024 Presidential election trend.svg|Trend{{efn|The term "trend" refers to the swing in county vote margins relative to the national swing in the popular vote.}} in county margins from 2020 to the 2024 presidential election.
File:2024 U.S. Presidential Election by Congressional District.svg|Results by congressional district, shaded by winner.
Analysis of results
File:1828- Margin of victory in US presidential elections - popular vote.svg—to inflate the actual degree of voter support—he failed to receive 50% of the popular vote.{{cite news |last1=Bump |first1=Philip |title=Trump's 2024 'mandate' isn't as robust as Biden's was in 2020 |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/11/18/trumps-2024-mandate-isnt-robust-bidens-was-2020/ |newspaper=The Washington Post |date=November 18, 2025 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20241118200100/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/11/18/trumps-2024-mandate-isnt-robust-bidens-was-2020/ |archive-date=November 18, 2024 |url-status=live }} His 1.5% margin of victory in 2024 (shown in chart) places his victory in only the 20th percentile of presidential election victory margins since 1828.Woolley, John T. and Peters, Gerhard, Eds. {{cite web |title=Presidential Election Margin of Victory |url=https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/statistics/data/presidential-election-mandates |publisher=The American Presidency Project (University of California) |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20250329061727/https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/statistics/data/presidential-election-mandates |archive-date=March 29, 2025 |date=November 6, 2024 |url-status=live}}]]
File:Presidential Election Results Swing by State from 2020 to 2024.svg to 2024. No state shifted Democratic. Relative to 2016, only 28 states shifted to the right by 2024, with an average shift relative to 2016 of only 1 point.]]
Trump is the first president since Grover Cleveland in 1892 to win non-consecutive terms.{{Cite web|url=https://apnews.com/article/grover-cleveland-president-nonconsecutive-terms-7ea2c92c72911462ccb1bc2e7352fa23|title=Trump isn't first to be second: Grover Cleveland set precedent of nonconsecutive presidential terms|date=November 6, 2024|website=AP News}} The 2024 election was also the first since 1892 where the White House party was defeated in three consecutive elections.{{Cite web |last=Wolf |first=Zachary B. |date=November 9, 2024 |title=Analysis: Trump's win was real but not a landslide. Here's where it ranks {{!}} CNN Politics |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/09/politics/donald-trump-election-what-matters/index.html |access-date=April 17, 2025 |website=CNN |language=en}} Trump is the first Republican since George W. Bush in 2004 to win the popular vote and the first Republican since George W. Bush to win a second term in the White House. Trump is also the first non-incumbent Republican to have won the popular vote since George H. W. Bush in 1988.{{Cite web |last=Jachim |first=Nick |date=November 6, 2024 |title=When was the last time the Republican Party won the popular vote? |access-date=November 29, 2024 |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/nexstar_media_wire/4976301-when-was-the-last-time-the-republican-party-won-the-popular-vote/ |website=The Hill}}{{cite news |last=Bigg |first=Matthew |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Trump Is on Track to Win the Popular Vote |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/us/politics/trump-popular-vote-election-2024.html |access-date=November 6, 2024 |work=The New York Times |archive-url=http://web.archive.org/web/20241111074742/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/us/politics/trump-popular-vote-election-2024.html |archive-date=November 11, 2024 |url-status=live}} Trump won 49.8% of the popular vote, with a 1.48% margin of victory.{{cite web |title=2024 National Popular Vote Tracker |url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/vote-tracker/2024/electoral-college |access-date=November 29, 2024 |publisher=Cook Political Report}} While winning the popular vote, Trump did not win a majority of the popular vote; he is the first Republican since Richard Nixon in 1968 to win the popular vote with a plurality.{{cite news |last=Kilgore |first=Ed |date=November 22, 2024 |title=Trump Has Lost His Popular-Vote Majority |url=https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/election-results-show-trump-has-lost-popular-vote-majority.html |access-date=November 26, 2024 |work=New York Magazine |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241126180602/https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/election-results-show-trump-has-lost-popular-vote-majority.html |archive-date=November 26, 2024 |url-status=live}}
Trump won 312 electoral college votes, carrying 31 of 50 states.{{cite web |last=McFall |first=Marni Rose |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Kamala Harris On Course to Do Worse Than Hillary Clinton in Electoral College |url=https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-electoral-college-result-worse-hillary-clinton-2024-election-donald-trump-1981331 |access-date=November 23, 2024 |website=Newsweek}} Trump won all seven swing states{{Cite web|url=https://www.axios.com/2024/11/10/trump-sweeps-seven-swing-states|title=Trump officially sweeps all 7 swing states|first=Avery|last=Lotz|date=November 10, 2024|website=Axios}}{{Cite web|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn5w9w160xdo|title=Just how big was Donald Trump's election victory?|date=November 23, 2024|website=www.bbc.com}} and is the first Republican presidential candidate to win Nevada since George W. Bush in 2004.{{Cite web|url=https://www.8newsnow.com/news/politics/trump-becomes-1st-republican-presidential-candidate-to-win-nevada-since-2004/|title=Trump becomes 1st Republican presidential candidate to win Nevada since 2004|date=November 6, 2024|website=8newsnew.com|last=Charns |first=David |access-date=November 7, 2024}}
The 2024 presidential election was the first presidential election since 1976 in which all 50 states and Washington, D.C. shifted towards the same party.{{Cite web |url=https://abcnews.go.com/538/americas-swing-2024-wide-deep/story?id=116639076 |title=America's swing to the right in 2024 was wide, if not always deep |date=December 10, 2024 |access-date=December 11, 2024 |first=Geoffrey |last=Skelley |publisher=ABC News}}{{cite news |last=Haddad |first=Mohammed |date=November 10, 2024 |title=US election results map 2024: How does it compare to 2020 |url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/11/10/us-election-results-map-2024-how-does-it-compare-to-2020 |access-date=November 12, 2024 |work=Al Jazeera}} Approximately 90% of counties swung towards Trump between the 2020 and 2024 elections, encompassing both rural and urban areas.{{Cite news |last1=Bloch |first1=Matthew |last2=Collins |first2=Keith |last3=Gebeloff |first3=Robert |last4=Hernandez |first4=Marco |last5=Khurana |first5=Malika |last6=Levitt |first6=Zach |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Early Results Show a Red Shift Across the U.S. |url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/06/us/politics/presidential-election-2024-red-shift.html |access-date=November 10, 2024 |work=The New York Times |issn=0362-4331}} The 2024 election was the first presidential election since 1932 in which the losing candidate failed to flip a single county.{{cite news |url=https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/other/major-disappointment-kamala-harris-fails-to-flip-a-single-county-in-presidential-election/ar-AA1vmSNW |title='Major disappointment': Kamala Harris fails to flip a single county in presidential election |publisher=Sky News Australia |via=MSM |access-date=December 13, 2024}} The swings against Kamala Harris were inversely correlated to population density, shrinking the urban-rural divide slightly.{{Cite web|url=https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/how-the-other-half-votes-the-big-counties-versus-the-rest-of-the-country-in-2024/|title=How the Other Half Votes: The Big Counties Versus the Rest of the Country in 2024|first1=Kyle|last1=Kondik|website=Sabato's Crystal Ball|date=January 9, 2025|access-date=February 8, 2024}} Even among states that voted heavily for Biden in the 2020 election, Trump's gains were significant.{{Cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/11/08/donald-trump-win-electoral-map-00187135|title=The Stunning Geography of Trump's Victory|date=November 8, 2024|access-date=November 10, 2024|website=Politico|first1=Charlie|last1=Mahtesian}} The states of New York and New Jersey swung over ten points toward Trump, and Trump also made gains in Harris' home state of California. Post-election research by the Brookings Institution found that while Trump made inroads with minority voters, the Republican Party had "hardly" created a multiracial coalition, arguing that saying so was premature and that such support "could very well be a blip" based more on economic concerns.{{cite web |last=Frey |first=William H. |date=November 12, 2024 |title=Trump gained some minority voters, but the GOP is hardly a multiracial coalition |url=https://www.brookings.edu/articles/trump-gained-some-minority-voters-but-the-gop-is-hardly-a-multiracial-coalition/ |access-date=November 27, 2024 |work=Brookings Institution |archive-date=November 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241123162124/https://www.brookings.edu/articles/trump-gained-some-minority-voters-but-the-gop-is-hardly-a-multiracial-coalition/ |url-status=live}}
While Trump made gains among young voters compared to Republicans in recent presidential elections, especially among young men,{{cite web |last1=Lange |first1=Jason |last2=Erickson |first2=Bo |last3=Heath |first3=Brad |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Trump's return to power fueled by Hispanic, working-class voter support |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trumps-return-power-fueled-by-hispanic-working-class-voter-support-2024-11-06/ |website=Reuters |access-date=November 11, 2024}} exit polls found Harris still won young voters by 51 to 54 percent of voters under 30.{{Cite news |last=Qiu |first=Linda |date=December 16, 2024 |title=Fact-Checking Trump's First Post-Election News Conference |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/16/us/politics/trump-news-conference-fact-check.html |access-date=December 16, 2024 |work=The New York Times |issn=0362-4331}} Almost all demographic groups swung towards Trump from 2020; the exceptions to this trend included non-religious voters, LGBT voters, White women with college degrees, Black women, and voters making over $100,000 a year. According to exit polls, Harris' strongest income demographic consisted of voters making over $200,000 a year; she won those voters by a margin of 52-46%.{{Cite news |last1=Suss |first1=Joel |last2=Xiao |first2=Eva |last3=Burn-Murdoch |first3=John |last4=Murray |first4=Clara |last5=Vincent |first5=Jonathan |date=November 9, 2024 |title=Poorer voters flocked to Trump — and other data points from the election |url=https://www.ft.com/content/6de668c7-64e9-4196-b2c5-9ceca966fe3f |access-date=November 12, 2024 |work=Financial Times}}
Aged 78 on Election Day, Trump is the oldest person ever to be elected U.S. president;{{cite web |last1=Hajela |first1=Deepti |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Trump isn't first to be second: Grover Cleveland set precedent of non-consecutive presidential terms |url=https://apnews.com/article/grover-cleveland-president-nonconsecutive-terms-7ea2c92c72911462ccb1bc2e7352fa23 |access-date=November 6, 2024 |publisher=Associated Press}} Vance, aged 40, is the first Millennial to be elected vice president. Trump is also the first former president to win a state since Theodore Roosevelt in 1912. This was the first election since 1944 in which a presidential candidate won two elections with different vice presidential candidates; Trump replaced his 2016 and 2020 running mate, Mike Pence, with Senator JD Vance.{{cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=JD Vance, first millennial Vice President-elect of US, was once a harsh critic of Donald Trump: What changed? |url=https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/jd-vance-trumps-running-mate-and-u-s-first-millennial-vice-president-elect-was-once-a-harsh-critic-of-the-gop-supremo-what-changed/articleshow/115026609.cms |access-date=November 11, 2024 |website=The Economic Times}}
Exit poll
= Voter demographics =
| class="wikitable mw-collapsible sortable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:1.2"
|+ 2024 presidential election exit poll{{Cite web |title=Exit poll results 2024 {{!}} CNN Politics |url=https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/exit-polls/national-results/general/president/0 |access-date=November 10, 2024 |website=CNN}} compared to 9% in 2020.{{Cite web |title=National Results 2020 President exit polls. |url=https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/national-results |access-date=November 10, 2024 |website=CNN}} |
| Demographic subgroup
! style="background-color:#FFB6B6" |Trump ! style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" |Harris ! % of ! Rep. ! Dem. |
|---|
| Total vote
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 50 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 48 | style="text-align:right;" | 100 | style="text-align:right;" | +3 | style="text-align:right;" | −3 |
| colspan="6" |Ideology |
| Liberals
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 7 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 91 | style="text-align:right;" | 23 | style="text-align:right;" | −3 | style="text-align:right;" | +2 |
| Moderates
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 40 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 58 | style="text-align:right;" | 42 | style="text-align:right;" | +6 | style="text-align:right;" | −6 |
| Conservatives
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 90 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 9 | style="text-align:right;" | 35 | style="text-align:right;" | +5 | style="text-align:right;" | −5 |
| colspan="6" |Party |
| Democrats
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 4 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 95 | style="text-align:right;" | 31 | style="text-align:right;" | −2 | style="text-align:right;" | +1 |
| Republicans
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 94 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 5 | style="text-align:right;" | 35 | style="text-align:right;" | 0 | style="text-align:right;" | −1 |
| Independents
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 46 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 49 | style="text-align:right;" | 34 | style="text-align:right;" | +5 | style="text-align:right;" | −5 |
| colspan="6" | Gender |
| Men
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 55 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 43 | style="text-align:right;" | 47 | style="text-align:right;" | +2 | style="text-align:right;" | −2 |
| Women
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 45 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 53 | style="text-align:right;" | 53 | style="text-align:right;" | +3 | style="text-align:right;" | −4 |
| colspan="6" | Marital status |
| Married
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 56 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 42 | style="text-align:right;" | 54 | style="text-align:right;" | +3 | style="text-align:right;" | −3 |
| Unmarried
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 42 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 55 | style="text-align:right;" | 46 | style="text-align:right;" | +2 | style="text-align:right;" | −3 |
| colspan="6" |Gender by marital status |
| Married men
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 60 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 38 | style="text-align:right;" | 28 | style="text-align:right;" | +5 | style="text-align:right;" | −5 |
| Married women
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 47 | style="text-align:right;" | 26 | style="text-align:right;" | +1 | style="text-align:right;" | −1 |
| Unmarried men
| style="text-align:right;background:#fff3f3"| 48 | style="text-align:right;background:#f0f0ff"| 48 | style="text-align:right;" | 19 | style="text-align:right;" | +3 | style="text-align:right;" | −4 |
| Unmarried women
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 38 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 61 | style="text-align:right;" | 26 | style="text-align:right;" | +2 | style="text-align:right;" | −1 |
| colspan="6" | Race/ethnicity |
| White
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 57 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 42 | style="text-align:right;" | 71 | style="text-align:right;" | −1 | style="text-align:right;" | +1 |
| Black
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 13 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 86 | style="text-align:right;" | 11 | style="text-align:right;" | +1 | style="text-align:right;" | −1 |
| Latino
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 46 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 51 | style="text-align:right;" | 11 | style="text-align:right;" | +13 | style="text-align:right;" | −14 |
| Asian
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 40 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 55 | style="text-align:right;" | 3 | style="text-align:right;" | +4 | style="text-align:right;" | −8 |
| Native American/American Indian
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 68 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 31 | style="text-align:right;" | 1 | style="text-align:right;" | N/A | style="text-align:right;" | N/A |
| Other
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 44 | style="text-align:right;" | 2 | style="text-align:right;" | +11 | style="text-align:right;" | −11 |
| colspan="6" | Gender by race/ethnicity |
| White men
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 60 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 38 | style="text-align:right;" | 34 | style="text-align:right;" | −1 | style="text-align:right;" | 0 |
| White women
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 53 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 46 | style="text-align:right;" | 37 | style="text-align:right;" | −2 | style="text-align:right;" | +2 |
| Black men
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 21 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 77 | style="text-align:right;" | 5 | style="text-align:right;" | +2 | style="text-align:right;" | −2 |
| Black women
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 7 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 92 | style="text-align:right;" | 7 | style="text-align:right;" | −2 | style="text-align:right;" | +2 |
| Latino men
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 54 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 44 | style="text-align:right;" | 6 | style="text-align:right;" | +18 | style="text-align:right;" | −15 |
| Latina women
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 39 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 58 | style="text-align:right;" | 6 | style="text-align:right;" | +9 | style="text-align:right;" | −11 |
| Other
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 47 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 49 | style="text-align:right;" | 6 | style="text-align:right;" | +9 | style="text-align:right;" | −9 |
| colspan="6" | Religion |
| Protestant/Other Christian
|style="text-align:right;background:#ffb6b6"| 63 |style="text-align:right;background:#f0f0ff"| 36 |style="text-align:right"| 43 | style="text-align:right;" | +3 | style="text-align:right;" | −3 |
| Catholic
|style="text-align:right;background:#ffb6b6"| 59 |style="text-align:right;background:#f0f0ff"| 39 |style="text-align:right"| 21 | style="text-align:right;" | +12 | style="text-align:right;" | −13 |
| Jewish
|style="text-align:right;background:#fff3f3"| 22 |style="text-align:right;background:#b0ceff"| 78 |style="text-align:right"| 2 | style="text-align:right;" | 0 | style="text-align:right;" | +2 |
| Other religion
|style="text-align:right;background:#fff3f3"| 34 |style="text-align:right;background:#b0ceff"| 61 |style="text-align:right"| 10 | style="text-align:right;" | +5 | style="text-align:right;" | −7 |
| No religious affiliation
|style="text-align:right;background:#fff3f3"| 27 |style="text-align:right;background:#b0ceff"| 71 |style="text-align:right"| 24 | style="text-align:right;" | −4 | style="text-align:right;" | +6 |
| colspan="6" | Religion by race |
| White Protestant
|style="text-align:right;background:#ffb6b6"| 72 |style="text-align:right;background:#f0f0ff"| 26 |style="text-align:right"| 31 | style="text-align:right;" | 0 | style="text-align:right;" | −1 |
| White Catholic
|style="text-align:right;background:#ffb6b6"| 63 |style="text-align:right;background:#f0f0ff"| 35 |style="text-align:right"| 15 | style="text-align:right;" | +7 | style="text-align:right;" | −9 |
| White Jewish
|style="text-align:right;background:#fff3f3"| 20 |style="text-align:right;background:#b0ceff"| 79 |style="text-align:right"| 2 | style="text-align:right;" | N/A | style="text-align:right;" | N/A |
| White other religion
|style="text-align:right;background:#fff3f3"| 42 |style="text-align:right;background:#b0ceff"| 55 |style="text-align:right"| 5 | style="text-align:right;" | +9 | style="text-align:right;" | −10 |
| White no religious affiliation
|style="text-align:right;background:#fff3f3"| 26 |style="text-align:right;background:#b0ceff"| 71 |style="text-align:right"| 17 | style="text-align:right;" | −11 | style="text-align:right;" | +10 |
| colspan="6" | White evangelical or born again Christian |
| Yes
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 82 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 17 | style="text-align:right;" | 23 | style="text-align:right;" | +6 | style="text-align:right;" | −7 |
| No
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 40 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 58 | style="text-align:right;" | 77 | style="text-align:right;" | +4 | style="text-align:right;" | −4 |
| colspan="6" | Age |
| 18–24 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 43 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 54 | style="text-align:right;" | 8 | style="text-align:right;" | +12 | style="text-align:right;" | −11 |
| 25–29 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 45 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 53 | style="text-align:right;" | 5 | style="text-align:right;" | +2 | style="text-align:right;" | −1 |
| 30–39 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 45 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 51 | style="text-align:right;" | 15 | style="text-align:right;" | −1 | style="text-align:right;" | 0 |
| 40–49 years old
| style="text-align:right;background:#fff3f3" | 49 | style="text-align:right;background:#f0f0ff" | 49 | style="text-align:right;" | 15 | style="text-align:right;" | +5 | style="text-align:right;" | −5 |
| 50–64 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 56 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 43 | style="text-align:right;" | 27 | style="text-align:right;" | +4 | style="text-align:right;" | −4 |
| 65 and older
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 50 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 49 | style="text-align:right;" | 28 | style="text-align:right;" | −2 | style="text-align:right;" | +2 |
| colspan="6" | Age by gender |
| Men 18–29 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 49 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 48 | style="text-align:right;" | 7 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| Men 30–44 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 45 | style="text-align:right;" | 11 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| Men 45–64 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 59 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 39 | style="text-align:right;" | 16 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| Men 65 and older
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 56 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 43 | style="text-align:right;" | 12 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| Women 18–29 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 38 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 61 | style="text-align:right;" | 7 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| Women 30–44 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 41 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 56 | style="text-align:right;" | 12 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| Women 45–64 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 50 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 49 | style="text-align:right;" | 19 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| Women 65 years and older
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 46 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 53 | style="text-align:right;" | 16 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| colspan="6" | Age by race |
| White 18–29 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 49 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 49 | style="text-align:right;" | 8 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| White 30–44 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 54 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 44 | style="text-align:right;" | 15 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| White 45–64 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 61 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 37 | style="text-align:right;" | 25 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| White 65 and older
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 56 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 43 | style="text-align:right;" | 23 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| Black 18–29 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 16 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 83 | style="text-align:right;" | 2 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| Black 30–44 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 15 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 83 | style="text-align:right;" | 3 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| Black 45–64 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 14 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 84 | style="text-align:right;" | 4 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| Black 65 and older
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 6 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 93 | style="text-align:right;" | 3 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| Latino 18–29 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 45 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 51 | style="text-align:right;" | 2 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| Latino 30–44 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 45 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 52 | style="text-align:right;" | 3 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| Latino 45–64 years old
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 48 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 51 | style="text-align:right;" | 4 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| Latino 65 and older
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 41 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 58 | style="text-align:right;" | 2 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| Others
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 47 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 49 | style="text-align:right;" | 6 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| colspan="6" |LGBT |
| Yes
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 12 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 86 | style="text-align:right;" | 8 | style="text-align:right;" | −11 | style="text-align:right;" | +11 |
| No
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 53 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 45 | style="text-align:right;" | 92 | style="text-align:right;" | +5 | style="text-align:right;" | −6 |
| colspan="6" |First time voter |
| Yes
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 55 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 44 | style="text-align:right;" | 8 | style="text-align:right;" | +23 | style="text-align:right;" | −20 |
| No
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 49 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 49 | style="text-align:right;" | 92 | style="text-align:right;" | 0 | style="text-align:right;" | 0 |
| colspan="6" |Education |
| No college degree
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 56 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 43 | style="text-align:right;" | 57 | style="text-align:right;" | +6 | style="text-align:right;" | −5 |
| College graduate
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 42 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 56 | style="text-align:right;" | 43 | style="text-align:right;" | −1 | style="text-align:right;" | +1 |
| colspan="6" |Educational attainment |
| High school or less
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 62 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 36 | style="text-align:right;" | 15 | style="text-align:right;" | +8 | style="text-align:right;" | −10 |
| Some college education
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 51 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 47 | style="text-align:right;" | 26 | style="text-align:right;" | +4 | style="text-align:right;" | −4 |
| Associate degree
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6" | 57 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff" | 41 | style="text-align:right;" | 16 | style="text-align:right;" | +7 | style="text-align:right;" | −6 |
| Bachelor's degree
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 45 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 53 | style="text-align:right;" | 24 | style="text-align:right;" | −2 | style="text-align:right;" | +2 |
| Postgraduate degree
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 38 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 59 | style="text-align:right;" | 19 | style="text-align:right;" | +1 | style="text-align:right;" | −3 |
| colspan="6" |Education by race |
| White college graduates
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 45 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 53 | style="text-align:right;" | 33 | style="text-align:right;" | −3 | style="text-align:right;" | +2 |
| White no college degree
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 66 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 32 | style="text-align:right;" | 38 | style="text-align:right;" | −1 | style="text-align:right;" | 0 |
| Non-White college graduates
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 32 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 65 | style="text-align:right;" | 10 | style="text-align:right;" | +5 | style="text-align:right;" | −5 |
| Non-White no college degree
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 34 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 64 | style="text-align:right;" | 18 | style="text-align:right;" | +8 | style="text-align:right;" | −8 |
| colspan="6" |Education by race/gender |
| White women with college degrees
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 41 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 58 | style="text-align:right;" | 17 | style="text-align:right;" | −4 | style="text-align:right;" | +4 |
| White women without college degrees
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 63 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 35 | style="text-align:right;" | 20 | style="text-align:right;" | 0 | style="text-align:right;" | −1 |
| White men with college degrees
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 50 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 48 | style="text-align:right;" | 16 | style="text-align:right;" | −1 | style="text-align:right;" | 0 |
| White men without college degrees
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 69 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 29 | style="text-align:right;" | 18 | style="text-align:right;" | −1 | style="text-align:right;" | +1 |
| Non-White
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 33 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 64 | style="text-align:right;" | 29 | style="text-align:right;" | +7 | style="text-align:right;" | −7 |
| colspan="6" |Income |
| Under $30,000
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 46 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 50 | style="text-align:right;" | 11 | style="text-align:right;" | 0 | style="text-align:right;" | −4 |
| $30,000–49,999
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 46 | style="text-align:right;" | 16 | style="text-align:right;" | +8 | style="text-align:right;" | −10 |
| $50,000–99,999
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 46 | style="text-align:right;" | 32 | style="text-align:right;" | +10 | style="text-align:right;" | −10 |
| $100,000–199,999
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 46 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 51 | style="text-align:right;" | 28 | style="text-align:right;" | −11 | style="text-align:right;" | +10 |
| Over $200,000
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 46 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 52 | style="text-align:right;" | 13 | style="text-align:right;" | −2 | style="text-align:right;" | +4 |
| colspan="6" | Union households |
| Yes
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 45 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 53 | style="text-align:right;" | 19 | style="text-align:right;" | +4 | style="text-align:right;" | −3 |
| No
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 51 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 47 | style="text-align:right;" | 81 | style="text-align:right;" | +2 | style="text-align:right;" | −3 |
| colspan="6" | Military service |
| Veterans
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 65 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 34 | style="text-align:right;" | 13 | style="text-align:right;" | +11 | style="text-align:right;" | −10 |
| Non-veterans
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 48 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 50 | style="text-align:right;" | 87 | style="text-align:right;" | +3 | style="text-align:right;" | −3 |
| colspan="6" | Region |
| East
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 44 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 54 | style="text-align:right;" | 20 | style="text-align:right;" | +4 | style="text-align:right;" | −4 |
| Midwest
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 46 | style="text-align:right;" | 22 | style="text-align:right;" | +1 | style="text-align:right;" | −1 |
| South
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 56 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 43 | style="text-align:right;" | 35 | style="text-align:right;" | +3 | style="text-align:right;" | −3 |
| West
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 43 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 54 | style="text-align:right;" | 22 | style="text-align:right;" | +2 | style="text-align:right;" | −3 |
| colspan="6" | Area type |
| Urban
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 38 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 60 | style="text-align:right;" | 29 | style="text-align:right;" | 0 | style="text-align:right;" | 0 |
| Suburban
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 51 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 47 | style="text-align:right;" | 52 | style="text-align:right;" | +3 | style="text-align:right;" | −3 |
| Rural
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 64 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 34 | style="text-align:right;" | 19 | style="text-align:right;" | +7 | style="text-align:right;" | −8 |
| colspan="6" | White suburban voters by gender |
| White suburban women
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 53 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 46 | style="text-align:right;" | 20 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| White suburban men
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 62 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 36 | style="text-align:right;" | 18 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
| Other voters
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 45 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 52 | style="text-align:right;" | 62 | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" | |
= Issue questions =
| class="wikitable mw-collapsible sortable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:1.2" |
| Response category
! style="background-color:#FFB6B6" |Trump ! style="color:black;background-color:#B0CEFF" |Harris ! % of |
|---|
| Total vote
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 50 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 48 | style="text-align:right;" | 100 |
| colspan="4" | Biden job approval |
| Strongly disapprove
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 94 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 4 | style="text-align:right;" | 45 |
| Somewhat disapprove
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 42 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 54 | style="text-align:right;" | 14 |
| Somewhat approve
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 4 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 95 | style="text-align:right;" | 24 |
| Strongly approve
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 1 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 98 | style="text-align:right;" | 15 |
| colspan="4" | 2020 presidential vote |
| Biden
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 5 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 93 | style="text-align:right;" | 44 |
| Trump
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 95 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 4 | style="text-align:right;" | 44 |
| Another candidate
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 44 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 34 | style="text-align:right;" | 2 |
| Did not vote
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 49 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 46 | style="text-align:right;" | 10 |
| colspan="4" | Feeling about the way things are going in U.S. |
| Angry
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 73 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 26 | style="text-align:right;" | 31 |
| Dissatisfied
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 55 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 42 | style="text-align:right;" | 42 |
| Satisfied
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 16 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 83 | style="text-align:right;" | 19 |
| Enthusiastic
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 9 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 91 | style="text-align:right;" | 6 |
| colspan="4" | America's best days are |
| In the future
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 40 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 58 | style="text-align:right;" | 61 |
| In the past
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 67 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 31 | style="text-align:right;" | 34 |
| colspan="4" | Quality of candidate that mattered most |
| Has ability to lead
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 66 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 33 | style="text-align:right;" | 30 |
| Can bring needed change
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 74 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 24 | style="text-align:right;" | 28 |
| Has good judgment
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 15 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 83 | style="text-align:right;" | 20 |
| Cares about people like me
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 25 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 72 | style="text-align:right;" | 18 |
| colspan="4" | Vote for president mainly |
| For your candidate
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 55 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 44 | style="text-align:right;" | 73 |
| Against their opponent
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 36 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 60 | style="text-align:right;" | 24 |
| colspan="4" | Candidate viewed as too extreme |
| Trump is too extreme
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 2 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 97 | style="text-align:right;" | 45 |
| Harris is too extreme
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 99 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 1 | style="text-align:right;" | 39 |
| Both Harris and Trump are too extreme
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 67 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 22 | style="text-align:right;" | 8 |
| Neither Harris or Trump is too extreme
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 67 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 27 | style="text-align:right;" | 4 |
| colspan="4" | Decided on presidential vote |
| Before September
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 51 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 49 | style="text-align:right;" | 80 |
| In September
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 46 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 52 | style="text-align:right;" | 6 |
| In October
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 42 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 49 | style="text-align:right;" | 5 |
| In last week
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 56 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 42 | style="text-align:right;" | 3 |
| In last few days
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 47 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 42 | style="text-align:right;" | 3 |
| colspan="4" | Feeling if Trump elected president |
| Excited
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 98 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 2 | style="text-align:right;" | 22 |
| Optimistic
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 94 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 5 | style="text-align:right;" | 27 |
| Concerned
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 12 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 84 | style="text-align:right;" | 14 |
| Scared
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 1 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 97 | style="text-align:right;" | 35 |
| colspan="4" | Feeling if Harris elected president |
| Excited
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 1 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 99 | style="text-align:right;" | 23 |
| Optimistic
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 6 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 93 | style="text-align:right;" | 25 |
| Concerned
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 89 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 7 | style="text-align:right;" | 20 |
| Scared
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 98 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 1 | style="text-align:right;" | 30 |
| colspan="4" | Favorable opinion of |
| Only Harris
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 1 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 99 | style="text-align:right;" | 44 |
| Only Trump
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 99 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 0 | style="text-align:right;" | 44 |
| Both Harris and Trump
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 47 | style="text-align:right;" | 2 |
| Neither
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 32 | style="text-align:right;" | 8 |
| colspan="4" | Issue regarded as most important |
| Democracy
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 18 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 80 | style="text-align:right;" | 34 |
| Economy
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 81 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 18 | style="text-align:right;" | 32 |
| Abortion
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 24 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 76 | style="text-align:right;" | 14 |
| Immigration
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 89 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 9 | style="text-align:right;" | 12 |
| Foreign policy
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 56 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 39 | style="text-align:right;" | 4 |
| colspan="4" | Democracy threatened in the United States |
| Democracy in U.S. very threatened
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 47 | style="text-align:right;" | 39 |
| Democracy in U.S. somewhat threatened
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 48 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 50 | style="text-align:right;" | 34 |
| Democracy in U.S. somewhat secure
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 47 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 50 | style="text-align:right;" | 17 |
| Democracy in U.S. very secure
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 54 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 44 | style="text-align:right;" | 8 |
| colspan="4" | Confident election being conducted fairly and accurately |
| Very confident
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 13 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 84 | style="text-align:right;" | 35 |
| Somewhat confident
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 59 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 39 | style="text-align:right;" | 32 |
| Not very confident
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 82 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 16 | style="text-align:right;" | 21 |
| Not at all confident
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 80 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 18 | style="text-align:right;" | 10 |
| colspan="4" | Concerned about violence as result of election |
| Yes
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 42 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 56 | style="text-align:right;" | 70 |
| No
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 69 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 29 | style="text-align:right;" | 28 |
| colspan="4" | Condition of the nation's economy |
| Poor
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 88 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 10 | style="text-align:right;" | 33 |
| Not so good
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 46 | style="text-align:right;" | 35 |
| Good
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 7 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 92 | style="text-align:right;" | 27 |
| Excellent
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 11 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 89 | style="text-align:right;" | 5 |
| colspan="4" | Family's financial situation today |
| Worse than four years ago
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 82 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 16 | style="text-align:right;" | 47 |
| About the same
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 27 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 71 | style="text-align:right;" | 29 |
| Better than four years ago
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 14 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 83 | style="text-align:right;" | 24 |
| colspan="4" | Inflation caused family hardship within past year |
| Severe hardship
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 76 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 23 | style="text-align:right;" | 22 |
| Moderate hardship
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 46 | style="text-align:right;" | 53 |
| No hardship
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 21 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 78 | style="text-align:right;" | 24 |
| colspan="4"| Candidate trusted more to handle the economy |
| Trump
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 93 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 5 | style="text-align:right;" | 53 |
| Harris
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 1 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 98 | style="text-align:right;" | 46 |
| colspan="4" | Abortion should be |
| Legal in all cases
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 9 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 88 | style="text-align:right;" | 33 |
| Legal in most cases
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 49 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 49 | style="text-align:right;" | 33 |
| Illegal in most cases
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 92 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 7 | style="text-align:right;" | 25 |
| Illegal in all cases
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 88 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 11 | style="text-align:right;" | 5 |
| colspan="4"| Candidate trusted more to handle abortion |
| Trump
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 96 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 2 | style="text-align:right;" | 46 |
| Harris
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 5 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 93 | style="text-align:right;" | 49 |
| colspan="4" | Opinion of Supreme Court |
| Approve
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 85 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 14 | style="text-align:right;" | 36 |
| Disapprove
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 27 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 72 | style="text-align:right;" | 59 |
| colspan="4"| Most undocumented immigrants in the U.S. should be |
| Offered chance at legal status
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 22 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 76 | style="text-align:right;" | 56 |
| Deported
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 87 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 11 | style="text-align:right;" | 40 |
| colspan="4"| Candidate trusted more to handle immigration |
| Trump
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 91 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 7 | style="text-align:right;" | 53 |
| Harris
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 1 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 97 | style="text-align:right;" | 44 |
| colspan="4" | U.S. support for Israel is |
| Too strong
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 30 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 67 | style="text-align:right;" | 31 |
| About right
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 39 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 60 | style="text-align:right;" | 30 |
| Not strong enough
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 82 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 18 | style="text-align:right;" | 31 |
| colspan="4"| Candidate trusted more to handle crime and safety |
| Trump
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 95 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 4 | style="text-align:right;" | 52 |
| Harris
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 1 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 98 | style="text-align:right;" | 47 |
| colspan="4"| Candidate trusted more to handle a crisis |
| Trump
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 95 | style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 3 | style="text-align:right;" | 51 |
| Harris
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 1 | style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 97 | style="text-align:right;" | 47 |
=Polling accuracy=
Following polling inaccuracies in connection with the 2020 presidential election, pollsters took steps to avoid similar errors in 2024.{{cite news |last=Cohn |first=Nate |date=October 6, 2024 |title=How One Polling Decision Is Leading to Two Distinct Stories of the Election |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/06/upshot/polling-methods-election.html |access-date=November 16, 2024 |work=The New York Times}}{{cite news |last=Cohn |first=Nate |date=October 22, 2024 |title=Two Theories for Why the Polls Failed in 2020, and What It Means for 2024 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/22/upshot/polling-errors-2024-election.html |access-date=November 16, 2024 |work=The New York Times}} Despite these efforts, national polls underestimated Trump's support once again in 2024.{{cite web |last=Sherman |first=Natalie |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Did the US election polls fail? |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj4ve004llxo |access-date=November 16, 2024 |website=BBC News}} In 2016, national polls were fairly accurate; however, Trump overperformed the polls in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, leading to his Electoral College victory. In 2020, polls had overestimated Biden's margin over Trump by approximately 4% in competitive states.{{cite web |last=Morris |first=G. Elliott |date=October 30, 2024 |title=Trump and Harris are both a normal polling error away from a blowout |url=https://abcnews.go.com/538/trump-harris-normal-polling-error-blowout/story?id=115283593 |access-date=November 16, 2024 |website=ABC News}} In 2024, pollsters underestimated Trump's support by smaller margins than they did in 2016 and 2020,{{cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Opinion polls underestimated Donald Trump again |url=https://www.economist.com/united-states/2024/11/07/opinion-polls-underestimated-donald-trump-again |access-date=November 9, 2024 |newspaper=The Economist |issn=0013-0613}} and their underestimation of that support was within the realm of a normal polling error.{{cite web |last=Morris |first=G. Elliot |date=November 8, 2024 |title=2024 polls were accurate but still underestimated Trump |url=https://abcnews.go.com/538/2024-polls-accurate-underestimated-trump/story?id=115652118 |access-date=November 16, 2024 |website=ABC News}}{{cite web |last=Warren |first=J. D. |date=November 13, 2024 |title=Were the 2024 election polls wrong? UCR expert weighs in |url=https://news.ucr.edu/articles/2024/11/13/were-2024-election-polls-wrong-ucr-expert-weighs |access-date=November 16, 2024 |website=UCR News}} Going into the election, most polls showed the race to be neck and neck and within the margin of error.{{cite web |last=Schwartz |first=Doug |date=October 23, 2024 |title=Why the margin of error matters more than ever in reading 2024 election polls – a pollster with 30 years of experience explains |url=https://theconversation.com/why-the-margin-of-error-matters-more-than-ever-in-reading-2024-election-polls-a-pollster-with-30-years-of-experience-explains-240633 |access-date=November 16, 2024 |website=The Conversation}} In every swing state, Trump outperformed his final polling numbers by approximately 3%, which is in line with a typical margin of error.{{cite web |last=Montanaro |first=Domenico |date=November 13, 2024 |title=The polls underestimated Trump's support — again. Here's why |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/11/12/nx-s1-5188445/2024-election-polls-trump-kamala-harris |access-date=November 16, 2024 |website=NPR}} Compared with the 2020 polls, the margin of error in 2024 in swing states was lower and high-quality national polls were more accurate.
Polling averages vastly underestimated Trump's strength in both safe red and safe blue states.{{cite web |last=Silver |first=Nate |date=November 12, 2024 |title=It's 2004 all over again |url=https://www.natesilver.net/p/its-2004-all-over-again |access-date=November 17, 2024 |website=Silver Bulletin}} Florida and Texas were both projected to go for Trump by about 7%; he won each of them by about 13%. Pollster Ann Selzer released a poll in Iowa that had Harris winning the state by 3%,{{cite web |last=Pfannenstiel |first=Brianne |date=November 2, 2024 |title=Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day. Here's how |url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/ |access-date=November 9, 2024 |website=The Des Moines Register}} only for Trump to take the state by 13%. On the other hand, New Jersey was projected to be a safe state for Harris but most news stations waited until 90% of the vote was in before calling it for Harris, as she was only leading by 5%.{{cite web |last=Friedman |first=Matt |date=November 6, 2024 |title=New Jersey's rightward shift |url=https://www.politico.com/newsletters/new-jersey-playbook/2024/11/06/new-jerseys-rightward-shift-00187683 |access-date=November 9, 2024 |website=Politico}}{{cite web |last=Johnson |first=Brent |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Is N.J. turning red? What Trump's leap in Jersey support means for Democratic stronghold. |url=https://www.nj.com/politics/2024/11/long-a-democratic-stronghold-is-nj-turning-red.html |access-date=November 17, 2024 |website=NJ.com}}
Aftermath
File:Donald Trump projected winner in US presidential race.opus report on Trump's victory]]
File:Peter Boghossian (12).jpg, Gladden Pappin, and Miklós Szánthó]]
= Reactions =
Crisis services for the LGBTQ+ community saw a sharp increase in usage during the election week. The Trevor Project's crisis lines saw a 125% increase since around midnight on election night according to a statement by CEO Jaymes Black on November 6, and followed an about 200% increase in election related conversations that had been seen between November 3–4. By November 8, it was reported that the organization saw an overall increase by 700%. The Crisis Text Line also reported that 56% of their users reported as LGBTQ+ on election day.{{Cite web |last=Cross |first=Greta |date=November 7, 2024 |title=LGBTQ+ hotlines experience influx in crisis calls amid 2024 presidential election |url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/life/health-wellness/2024/11/07/lgbtq-hotlines-crisis-center-presidential-election/76092268007/ |access-date=November 9, 2024 |website=USA Today |language=en-US}}{{Cite web |date=November 8, 2024 |title=LGBTQ+ youth calls to mental health crisis line spiked by 700 percent after Election Day |url=https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/lgbtq-youth-calls-to-mental-health-crisis-line-spiked-by-700-percent-after-election-day |access-date=November 9, 2024 |website=PBS News |language=en-US}}
A company that assists wealthy Americans in securing foreign citizenship saw a 200× jump in inquiries following the election.{{cite news |newspaper=The Boston Globe |title=If you're wealthy and anti-Trump, fleeing the US may be an option. But you'll have to get in line. |last=Miller |first=Kara |date=November 8, 2024 |url=https://www.bostonglobe.com/2024/11/08/business/wealthy-americans-move-trump-election/}}
== Political ==
File:Harris concedes presidential win to Trump - VOA News.webm
Democrats had split reactions to the loss, with differing views on why Harris lost the election. Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders criticized the Democratic campaign afterward, saying the party "abandoned working class people" and found that "the working class has abandoned them". He further blamed "big money" and "well-paid consultants" for the loss, and argued against sending billions of dollars in military aid to Israel.{{cite web |title=Bernie Sanders blasts Democratic Party following Kamala Harris loss |date=November 6, 2024 |last1=Pecorin |first1=Allison |last2=Deliso |first2=Meredith |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/bernie-sanders-response-presidential-election/story?id=115582079 |access-date=November 7, 2024 |publisher=ABC News}} While expressing respect for Sanders and his views, former House speaker Nancy Pelosi disagreed with the claim that the "Democratic Party has abandoned the working-class families", instead blaming the party's loss on Biden's late exit and the lack of an open Democratic primary. The New York Times reported Pelosi felt cultural issues were more to blame for the party's losses among working-class voters.{{cite web |last=Peller |first=Lauren |date=November 8, 2024 |title=Pelosi blames Harris' loss on Biden's late exit and no open Democratic primary |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/pelosi-blames-harris-loss-bidens-late-exit-open/story?id=115652125 |access-date=November 9, 2024 |publisher=ABC News}}
Democratic National Committee chair Jaime Harrison dismissed Sanders' criticism as "straight-up BS".{{Cite news |last=Pengelly |first=Martin |date=November 7, 2024 |title='Straight-up BS': Democratic chair attacks Bernie Sanders' election critique |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/nov/07/bernie-sanders-democrats-election |access-date=November 10, 2024 |work=The Guardian |issn=0261-3077}}{{Cite web |last=Writer |first=Aila Slisco |date=November 7, 2024 |title=DNC chair rips Bernie Sanders' election comment: "Straight up BS" |url=https://www.newsweek.com/dnc-chair-rips-bernie-sanders-election-comment-straight-bs-1982458 |access-date=November 10, 2024 |website=Newsweek}} Sanders also wrote an article in The Boston Globe, in which he offered a list of "working class priorities" that Democrats should fight for. In it, he acknowledged some positive changes achieved by Biden but said that they were "almost never discussed within the context of a grossly unfair economy that continues to fail ordinary Americans" and did not address the anger of the working class.{{cite web |last=Sanders |first=Bernie |date=November 11, 2024 |title=Democrats must choose: The elites or the working class |url=https://www.bostonglobe.com/2024/11/10/opinion/democratic-party-working-class-bernie-sanders/ |archive-url=https://archive.today/20241111035546/https://www.bostonglobe.com/2024/11/10/opinion/democratic-party-working-class-bernie-sanders/ |archive-date=November 11, 2024 |access-date=November 11, 2024 |website=The Boston Globe}}
Senator Chris Murphy (D-CT) believed that the Democrats could not connect to a large amount of voters, and should embrace populism going forward.{{Cite web |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/4983135-murphy-on-democrats-losses-our-tent-is-too-small/ |title=Murphy on Democrats' losses: 'Our tent is too small' |website=The Hill |date=November 10, 2024}}{{Cite web |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5004624-murphy-democrats-populism-election/ |title=Chris Murphy argues Democrats need to embrace populism |website=The Hill |date=November 22, 2024}} Representative Ritchie Torres (D-NY), who represents the Bronx, said he wasn't surprised by Harris' loss. Torres attributed Trump's victory to public discontent over inflation and immigration, and believed that Harris ran an effective campaign, but could not overcome the difficult electoral environment.{{Cite web |url=https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2024/11/democrats-lost-voters-ritchie-torres/680599/ |title=The Cumulative Toll of Democrats' Delusion |first1=Michael |last1=Powell |website=The Atlantic |access-date=November 15, 2024 |date=November 9, 2024}}
File:P20241113CS-0503 (cropped).jpg (right) and President-elect Donald Trump (left) meet in the Oval Office of the White House as part of the presidential transition.]]
Representative Lloyd Doggett (D-TX), who was the first sitting Democrat in Congress to openly call for President Joe Biden to withdraw from the presidential election after the first presidential debate, stated, "I only regret I didn't do it earlier. I think it's unfortunate that he took three weeks to decide. I believe that the only person in our caucus who doesn't share some responsibility for the outcome is Dean Phillips, who came out early. I accept responsibility as well that there's more that we could have done."{{cite news |last1=Schnell |first1=Mychael |last2=Lillis |first2=Mike |title=Shellshocked Dems return to Capitol to reckon with drubbing |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4987568-shellshocked-dems-return-to-capitol-to-reckon-with-drubbing/ |work=The Hill |access-date=December 9, 2024 |date=November 12, 2024}}
On November 6, the day after Trump's victory, Harris publicly conceded her loss.{{Cite news |last1=Bose |first1=Nandita |last2=Mason |first2=Jeff |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Kamala Harris concedes election to Trump but vows to fight on |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/kamala-harris-concedes-election-vows-fight-2024-11-06/ |access-date=November 7, 2024 |work=Reuters}}
== Financial ==
Wall Street's main indexes reported record highs on the day after the election, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 3.57%, the S&P 500 up 2.53%, and Nasdaq up 2.95%.{{cite web |last1=Pauline Mattackal |first1=Lisa |last2=Biswas |first2=Ankika |title=Wall Street hits record high as Trump returns as US president |url=https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/sp-500-futures-soar-record-high-after-trump-claims-victory-2024-11-06/ |work=Reuters |access-date=November 6, 2024 |date=November 6, 2024}}
== "Stolen election" conspiracy theories ==
Following Trump's victory, some Harris supporters on X shared election denial conspiracy theories, claiming that millions of ballots were "left uncounted" and there being something "not right" with the election. Such posts falsely claiming Trump "stole" the election peaked at noon the day after at 94,000 posts per hour, with many receiving amplification and gaining over a million views each. According to Gordon Crovitz, the CEO of the media rating system NewsGuard, the phrase "Trump cheated" received 92,100 mentions on the platform from midnight until the Wednesday morning after.{{cite magazine |last=Gilbert |first=David |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Election Denial Conspiracy Theories Are Exploding on X. This Time They're Coming From the Left |url=https://www.wired.com/story/election-denial-conspiracy-theories-x-left-blueanon/ |access-date=November 7, 2024 |magazine=Wired |publisher=Condé Nast}} Besides the claims from Harris' supporters, some Trump supporters baselessly claimed the disparity between other years, the 2020 election, and a then-incomplete 2024 voting total indicated voter fraud in the 2020 election.
One major "basis" these false claims were founded upon was a claim that Biden won 20 million more votes in his prior election bid than Harris had in hers, at the time.{{cite web |last=Goldin |first=Melissa |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Fact Focus: A multimillion vote gap between 2020 and 2024 fuels false election narratives |url=https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-20-million-missing-votes-election-2024-5c92a9b2530232fc8ac80968a1362518 |work=AP News |access-date=November 7, 2024}}{{cite web |last1=Martino |first1=Matt |last2=Workman |first2=Michael |last3=Carter |first3=Lucy |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Following the US election result, new fronts for false election fraud claims have opened online |url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-11-08/democrat-election-conspiracy-theories/104573550 |publisher=ABC News |access-date=November 7, 2024}} American journalist and conspiracy theorist Wayne Madsen commented on Threads: "I'm beginning to believe our election was massively hacked just like happened a few weeks ago in the Republic of Georgia."{{cite news |last=Czopek |first=Madison |date=November 9, 2024 |title=Fact Check: Did 20 million Democratic votes 'disappear' in the US election? |url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/11/9/fact-check-did-20-million-democratic-votes-disappear |access-date=November 11, 2024 |publisher=Al Jazeera Media Network}} At the time these fallacies were disseminated, votes were still being counted in many states.{{cite web |last=Winter |first=Emery |date=November 6, 2024 |title=No, there are not nearly 20 million 'unaccounted for' votes |url=https://www.kgw.com/article/news/verify/elections-verify/unaccounted-2024-votes-20-million-18-million-fact-check/536-4a6cb71e-fb8d-4616-a848-f22c53ccf3b2 |publisher=KGW |access-date=November 7, 2024}} An estimate around the time using the Associated Press vote percentage total found that 16.2 million votes across twenty states and D.C. had yet to be counted. Statistical analysis of voting asserted that despite continued counting, the projections were already set and new ballots would not sway the outcomes of any of the states and D.C. The Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency director Jen Easterly refuted the false claims, and wrote in a statement that there was "no evidence of any malicious activity that had a material impact on the security or integrity of our election infrastructure". Another false claim alleges Musk used the satellite internet constellation Starlink to change the results of the election. Chief technology officer Chip Trowbridge of voting system manufacturer Clear Ballot dismissed the claim and added no machine used to scan voting ballots have any network connection whatsoever.{{cite magazine |last=Whisnant |first=Gabe |date=November 10, 2024 |title=Left-Wing 'Starlink' Election Conspiracy Theory Spreads Online |url=https://www.newsweek.com/starlink-musk-trump-election-conspiracy-theory-spreads-online-1983444 |access-date=November 11, 2024 |magazine=Newsweek}}
== Text message harassment ==
Numerous Black Americans across multiple states reported receiving threatening, racist text messages the day after the election. Some of the texts referenced the incoming Trump administration, but the sender{{clarify|same sender for all?|date=April 2025}} remained unknown as of November 10, 2024.{{cite web |last1=Alexander |first1=Ayanna |last2=Swenson |first2=Ali |last3=Fields |first3=Gary |date=November 10, 2024 |title=Racist text messages referencing slavery raise alarms in multiple states and prompt investigations |url=https://apnews.com/article/text-messages-slavery-racism-black-americans-fbi-708973521d2974bec7514b8622877290 |access-date=November 12, 2024 |website=AP News}} Days later, several Hispanic and LGBTQIA students also reported receiving similar harassment through text messages and emails.{{cite web |first=Ashley |last=Fields |date=November 16, 2024 |title=FBI investigates offensive messages targeting Hispanic, LGBTQ people |url=https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/4993942-fbi-investigates-offensive-messages-targeting-hispanic-lgbtq-people/ |access-date=November 16, 2024 |website=The Hill}}
Media analysis
= Harris' loss =
Harris' loss to Trump received substantial media analysis. Proposed explanations for the outcome of the race included inflation, the immigration crisis, a global incumbency backlash, Biden's late exit from the race, and the lack of an open Democratic primary process. Democrats and others argued about what went wrong and how the party should move forward.{{Cite web |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/us/politics/democrats-kamala-harris.html |title=Devastated Democrats Play the Blame Game, and Stare at a Dark Future |website=The New York Times |first1=Reid J. |last1=Epstein |first2=Lisa |last2=Lerer |first3=Nicholas |last3=Nehamas |date=November 7, 2024 |access-date=November 7, 2024}}{{Cite web |url=https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/383897/harris-lost-debate-why-trump-won |title=The debate over why Harris lost is in full swing. Here's a guide. |access-date=November 15, 2024 |date=November 11, 2024 |first1=Andrew |last1=Prokop |website=Vox }}
==Electoral environment==
According to Gallup, most factors with respect to the electoral environment favored Republicans and Trump. These included low confidence in the economy, Republicans outnumbering Democrats in party affiliation (48-45%), low national satisfaction, Republicans being favored to address the economy and immigration, and Biden's low job approval rating. Harris was viewed more favorably on character and had an advantage on some issues.{{Cite web |url=https://news.gallup.com/opinion/gallup/653303/political-fundamentals-foreshadowed-trump-victory.aspx |title=Political Fundamentals Foreshadowed Trump Victory |date=November 8, 2024 |access-date=November 15, 2024 |website=Gallup |first1=Megan |last1=Brenan |first2=Jeffrey M. |last2=Jones |first3=Lydia |last3=Saad}} No incumbent party has won when a president had below a 45% approval rating, either losing reelection (Jimmy Carter in 1980, George H. W. Bush in 1992, and Trump himself in 2020) or the incumbent party lost the White House (Hubert Humphrey in 1968).
According to exit polls, voters disapproved of Biden's performance 59-39%, and disapproved of how things were going in the United States 73-25%. Also, voters judged the economy negatively 68-32%, and said that inflation had caused them hardship 75-24%. A YouGov poll conducted from November 6–7, 2024 found that if Biden had been the Democratic nominee, Trump would have won the popular vote 49-42%.{{Cite web |url=https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_KJi77QW.pdf#page=68 |date=November 8, 2024 |access-date=November 15, 2024 |website=YouGov |title=40. Trial Heat - Biden v Trump}} Nonpartisan election forecasters, including The Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, stated before the election that Biden would have been almost certain to lose.{{Cite web |url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/six-states-move-toward-trump-electoral-college-ratings |title=Six States Move Toward Trump in Electoral College Ratings |date=July 9, 2024 |website=The Cook Political Report |first1=Amy |last1=Walter |access-date=November 15, 2024}}{{Cite web |url=https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/if-biden-stays-a-glimpse-into-a-grim-electoral-future-for-democrats/ |title=If Biden Stays: A Glimpse into a Grim Electoral Future for Democrats |date=July 18, 2024 |access-date=November 15, 2024 |website=Sabato's Crystal Ball |first1=Kyle |last1=Kondik |first2=J. Miles |last2=Coleman }}
Harris did improve compared to Biden among voters making over $100,000 a year. NBC News found that Trump made larger gains in counties with tougher housing markets.{{cite web |title=Toughest housing markets shifted toward Trump, data shows |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/data-graphics/housing-market-trump-win-2024-election-rcna179153 |website=nbcnews.com |date=November 10, 2024 |publisher=NBC News |access-date=April 26, 2025}}
Almost every incumbent party worldwide facing election in 2024 lost vote share, including in South Africa, India, France, the United Kingdom, and Japan.{{cite web |url=https://apnews.com/article/global-elections-2024-incumbents-defeated-c80fbd4e667de86fe08aac025b333f95 |title=The 'super year' of elections has been super bad for incumbents as voters punish them in droves |work=AP News |date=November 17, 2024 |access-date=November 20, 2024}}{{Cite web |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/06/06/world-elections-anti-incumbent-leaders-backlash |title=Voters everywhere rage against the incumbents |first1=Zachary |last1=Basu |first2=Dave |last2=Lawler |date=June 6, 2024 |access-date=November 15, 2024 |website=Axios}} Among democracies, over 80 percent saw the incumbent party lose support compared to the last election.{{Cite web |url=https://abcnews.go.com/538/democrats-incumbent-parties-lost-elections-world/story?id=115972068 |title=Democrats aren't alone — incumbent parties have lost elections all around the world |website=ABC News |first1=Cooper |last1=Burton |date=November 18, 2024 |access-date=November 20, 2024}} This is the first time this has ever happened since 1905 (when data was first recorded) and the first time in the history of democracy, as universal suffrage began in 1894.{{cite news |last=Burn-Murdoch |first=John |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Democrats join 2024's graveyard of incumbents |url=https://www.ft.com/content/e8ac09ea-c300-4249-af7d-109003afb893 |access-date=November 8, 2024 |work=Financial Times }}{{Cite news |last=Burn-Murdoch |first=John |date=December 29, 2024 |title=What the 'year of democracy' taught us, in 6 charts |url=https://www.ft.com/content/350ba985-bb07-4aa3-aa5e-38eda7c525dd |access-date=December 30, 2024 |work=Financial Times }}
All 50 states and the District of Columbia shifted rightward compared to 2020. Trump's gains in nearly all geographic areas and among nearly every demographic group provides strong evidence of anti-incumbent backlash.{{Cite web |url=https://goodauthority.org/news/where-to-start-to-explain-trumps-win/ |title=Where to start to explain Trump's win |first1=John |last1=Sides |website=Good Authority |date=November 6, 2024 |access-date=November 15, 2024}}{{cite web |url=https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/383208/donald-trump-victory-kamala-harris-global-trend-incumbents |title=The global trend that pushed Donald Trump to victory |website=Vox |first1=Zack |last1=Beauchamp |date=November 6, 2024 }} The shifts toward Trump were much less in the swing states where both campaigns focused compared to safe states. The two states with the largest shifts toward Trump, New York and New Jersey, were both won by Harris. Harris had very little room to fall in the swing states, given that Biden had won most of them by very small margins in 2020.{{Cite web |title=The left's comforting myth about why Harris lost |url=https://www.vox.com/politics/385394/why-kamala-harris-lost-2024-democrats-moderation |date=November 15, 2024 |access-date=November 15, 2024 |first1=Eric |last1=Levitz}}
Statistician and election analyst Nate Silver argued before the election that the national electoral environment was difficult for Democrats.{{Cite web |url=https://www.natesilver.net/p/24-reasons-that-trump-could-win |title=24 reasons that Trump won|date=October 20, 2024 |website=Silver Bulletin |first1=Nate |last1=Silver |access-date=November 15, 2024}} This view was also shared by The New York Times political analyst Nate Cohn.{{Cite web |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/02/upshot/democrats-trump-election.html |title=Why Are Democrats Having Such a Hard Time Beating Trump? |first1=Nate |last1=Cohn |date=November 2, 2024 |access-date=November 15, 2024 |website=The New York Times}} After the election, Silver felt that Harris was a replacement-level candidate who did much better than Biden would have, but was unable to separate herself from Biden's record and was negatively perceived by swing voters due to her previous positions.{{Cite web |url=https://www.natesilver.net/p/kamala-harris-was-a-replacement-level |title=Kamala Harris was a replacement-level candidate |access-date=November 15, 2024 |date=November 15, 2024 |first1=Nate |last1=Silver |website=Silver Bulletin}} Amy Walter, editor of the nonpartisan The Cook Political Report, also argued that the electoral environment was inherently difficult for Harris because the top issue for voters was inflation during the Biden-Harris administration.{{Cite web |url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/democrats-solution-winning-2028-wont-come-over-analyzing-2024?check_logged_in=1 |title=Democrats' Solution For Winning in 2028 Won't Come From Over-Analyzing 2024 Results |date=December 11, 2024 |first1=Amy |last1=Walter |website=The Cook Political Report |access-date=December 11, 2024}}
Ronald Brownstein of The Atlantic, who spoke with members of Harris' campaign, argued that the extent of Biden's unpopularity and public discontent with the economy proved too much for Harris to overcome. Brownstein compared the election to the 1968 election (when unpopular incumbent Lyndon B. Johnson withdrew his candidacy and Vice President Hubert Humphrey lost to Richard Nixon) and the 1980 presidential election (when incumbent Jimmy Carter lost to Ronald Reagan due to stagflation and the 1970s energy crisis). Members of Harris' campaign stated after the election that their internal polling never showed Harris ahead of Trump and they did not believe that Harris was the favorite to win the election.{{Cite web |url=https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2024/12/harris-team-election/680844/ |title=Why They Lost |date=December 2, 2024 |website=The Atlantic |first1=Ronald |last1=Brownstein |access-date=December 4, 2024 }} David Plouffe, a senior campaign advisor to Harris, claimed that even making the race competitive was a win for Harris' staff.{{cite web |last1=Woodward |first1=Sam |title=Kamala Harris advisers: Internal polling never showed VP ahead |url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/11/27/kamala-harris-advisers-internal-polling/76626278007/ |website=USA Today |access-date=January 30, 2025}}
==Analyst assessments==
File:Educational Attainment in the States won by Kamala Harris in 2024.png
The Independent{{'}}s Jon Sopel wrote that the most pressing issues that decided Harris' defeat were matters Biden had been perceived as a failure at by the American public; these included the fact that, as part of the global 2021–2023 inflation surge, inflation went up by 20% and real wages had not adjusted to match, and the state of the Mexico–United States border. Sopel said that by "embracing the Biden agenda, [Harris] was simply tying herself to his unpopularity".{{cite news |last=Sopel |first=Jon |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Kamala's catastrophe: How it all went so badly wrong |url=https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/kamala-harris-why-lose-donald-trump-b2642997.html |work=The Independent |issn=1741-9743 |access-date=November 7, 2024}}
In a Time piece, Henry M. J. Tonks tied the result to the party's prioritization of professional class workers and suburbs over working class, blue-collar voters. He argued the shift away from working-class voters had been occurring since the late 1960s in response to the Vietnam War and the growth of the tech industry.{{Cite web |last=Tonks |first=Henry M. J. |title=The Democratic Party Realignment That Empowered Trump |url=https://time.com/7173651/democratic-party-alignment-history/ |magazine=Time |date=November 7, 2024 |access-date=November 7, 2024}} Of the electoral jurisdictions that Harris won – 19 states, DC, and Nebraska's second congressional district – all except New Mexico had above-average educational attainment.{{Cite web |url=https://unherd.com/newsroom/is-obama-the-reason-democrats-are-now-underdogs/ |title=Is Obama the reason Democrats are now 'underdogs'? |first1=Michael |last1=Cuenco |date=August 21, 2024 |access-date=November 7, 2024}}
CNN's Edward-Isaac Dovere felt that some problems, such as the problems with her staff, could have been solved, but other problems such as her ties with Biden could not have been solved. Dovere mused that had Biden stepped down earlier, the Democratic Party might have had the time to launch a proper primary campaign. He also mused that Walz was chosen because he could not "outshine" her, and that this reflected her "newfound confidence and her long-standing insecurity".{{cite web |last=Dovere |first=Edward-Isaac |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Where Harris' campaign went wrong |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/06/politics/harris-campaign-went-wrong/index.html |access-date=November 7, 2024 |publisher=CNN}} The Economic Times cited surveys showing "broad negative sentiment" about the economy, and Harris being "relentlessly hammered" by Trump during campaigns about this. The Economic Times cited University of Richmond School of Law professor Carl Tobias's appraisal of Trump's stance on immigration winning over Harris', and mentioned how Trump had increased his support from Hispanics, especially near the Mexican–American border and in areas impacted by recent immigration.{{cite web |date=November 6, 2024 |title=What went wrong for Kamala Harris? |url=https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/global-trends/us-presidential-election-results-what-went-wrong-for-kamala-harris/articleshow/115041640.cms |access-date=November 7, 2024 |work=The Economic Times |issn=0013-0389}} Harris campaigning at multiple events with former Republican representative Liz Cheney has been suggested as a contributing factor as to why she lost.{{Cite magazine |url=https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/liz-cheney-electoral-fiasco-kamala-harris/ |title=Liz Cheney Was an Electoral Fiasco for Kamala Harris |magazine=The Nation |date=November 12, 2024}}{{Cite magazine |url=https://newrepublic.com/post/188237/democrats-warned-kamala-harris-campaign-liz-cheney |title=Democrats Say Kamala Harris Ignored Their Dire Warnings on Liz Cheney |magazine=The New Republic |date=November 8, 2024}}{{Cite news |url=https://www.startribune.com/rep-ilhan-omar-says-harris-walz-tapping-liz-cheney-was-huge-misstep/601187033 |title=Rep. Ilhan Omar says Harris-Walz tapping Liz Cheney was 'huge misstep' |newspaper=Minnesota Star Tribune |date=November 26, 2024}}
Los Angeles Times{{'}}s Noah Bierman felt Harris could not overcome being the "turn the page" candidate, and cited former president Barack Obama's lead strategist David Axelrod, who said: "If you're the vice president of an administration people want to fire, you're way behind the eight-ball to start." Bierman wrote that besides criminal context, Trump "never followed a script, scoffed at the rules and spoke directly to the economic and cultural anxieties of the country".{{cite news |last=Bierman |first=Noah |date=November 6, 2024 |title=What went wrong for Harris: Trying to 'turn the page' while still in office |url=https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2024-11-06/2024-election-what-went-wrong-for-kamala-harris |access-date=November 7, 2024 |work=Los Angeles Times |issn=2165-1736}} In The New York Times, Timothy Shenk argued that Democrats failed to articulate a vision for the future other than being against Trump and did not lean into a message of economic populism that polled best with swing voters but also that the election looked more like a rejection of Biden than the embrace of Trump.{{Cite news |last=Shenk |first=Timothy |date=November 8, 2024 |title=Opinion: It's Time to Resist the Resistance |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/08/opinion/democrats-resistance-trump.html |access-date=November 9, 2024 |archive-date=November 9, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241109010305/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/08/opinion/democrats-resistance-trump.html |url-status=live |issn=0362-4331}} In another The New York Times article, Nate Cohn analyzed exit polls showing Trump's gains among Non-White and young voters, suggesting Trump's populist message resonated with many voters previously considered part of the Democratic Party's base.{{Cite web |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/25/upshot/democrats-trump-working-class.html |title=How Democrats Lost Their Base and their Message|website=The New York Times |first1=Nate |last1=Cohn |date=November 25, 2024 |access-date=November 25, 2024}} Jen Psaki, who served as Biden's first press secretary, suggested that Harris focusing on Anti-Trump Republicans was not a winning strategy.{{Cite web |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4981367-jen-psaki-democratic-party-focus/ |title=Psaki: Democrats paid too much attention to anti-Trump GOP |website=The Hill |date=November 8, 2024}}
Charlie Cook, founder of the nonpartisan The Cook Political Report, said that swing voters broke in favor of Trump due to anger over inflation associated with the Biden-Harris administration, causing Trump to sweep the swing states. However, Democrats did better in down-ballot races, meaning Trump did not have a strong coattail effect.{{Cite web |url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/more-ripple-wave |title=More a Ripple Than a Wave |first1=Charlie |last1=Cook |date=November 14, 2024 |access-date=November 14, 2024 |website=The Cook Political Report}} The Atlantic{{'}}s Ronald Brownstein argued that the Democratic Party's success in the 2022 midterm elections, when Trump was not on the ballot, had led them to underestimate Trump's support. Democrats also performed better than Harris in down-ballot races, suggesting voters likely assigned their blame over the economy on the Biden-Harris administration rather than the Democratic Party at-large.{{Cite web |url=https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2024/11/democrats-2022-error-message/680661/ |title=The Democrats' 2022 Error Message |first1=Ronald |last1=Brownstein |website=The Atlantic |date=November 14, 2024 |access-date=November 14, 2024}}
The BBC's Courtney Subramanian said Harris "couldn't shake the anti-Biden sentiment that permeated much of the electorate", that she "failed to deliver a convincing argument about why she should lead the country", did not state a strategy to combat economic frustrations, and failed to address widespread concerns over immigration.{{cite web |last=Subramanian |first=Courtney |title=Why Kamala Harris lost: A flawed candidate or doomed campaign? |date=November 7, 2024 |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cjr4l5j2v9do |publisher=BBC |access-date=November 7, 2024}} Vox{{'}}s Nicole Narea highlighted inflation outpacing wages in certain industries, rising unemployment, and rising consumer debt and falling savings as key economic indicators that Democrats "may have missed".{{cite web |last=Narea |first=Nicole |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Why Democrats couldn't sell a strong economy, in 3 charts |url=https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/383397/economy-inflation-2024-election-democrats-trump |access-date=November 7, 2024 |website=Vox}} In another Vox article, Andrew Prokop argued Harris suffered from a worldwide backlash to incumbents over inflation, as well as her struggles unifying the party over Gaza, failing to be a change candidate, and her difficulty in defending or abandoning positions she took during her 2020 presidential run.{{cite web |last=Prokop |first=Andrew |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Why Kamala Harris lost |url=https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/382945/kamala-harris-lost-donald-trump-why |access-date=November 7, 2024 |website=Vox}}
= Trump's victory =
Although many conventional metrics indicated that the American economy had recovered from the COVID-19 pandemic (wages increased and inflation was in check), and although migrant crossings at the U.S.-Mexico border had declined significantly since earlier in the Biden administration, an AP article stated that Trump was able to convince voters to support him in 2024 by promising to fix the economy and block the flow of immigrants at the border.{{Cite web|url=https://www.cbs17.com/news/political-news/ap-politics/ap-early-election-takeaways-next-president-will-lead-fractured-nation/|title=Election takeaways: Trump's decisive victory in a deeply divided nation |website=CBS17.com|last1=Peoples |first1=Steve |last2=Barrow |first2=Bill |date=November 6, 2024}} According to exit polls, voters whose top issues were the economy and immigration largely voted for Trump.{{Cite web |url=https://www.ft.com/content/b0a60325-4c93-49a0-8dc6-817f0d8281fc |title=This was an election on the US economy. And for many Americans, the economy sucks |date=November 8, 2024 |website=The Financial Times |access-date=November 8, 2024 |first1=Tej |last1=Parikh}}
Time{{'}}s Eric Cortellessa wrote that the thesis of Trump's campaign boiled down to this simple slogan: "Max out the men and hold the women". To accomplish this goal, Trump "relentlessly" emphasized the economy and immigration. Cortellessa also mentioned Trump's minimization of his numerous controversies and his success in having his criminal trials postponed until after the election. He said that Trump's "advanced age and increasingly incoherent trail rhetoric" were taken in stride by voters, and that "much of the country read Trump's legal woes as part of a larger corrupt conspiracy to deny him, and them, power".{{cite web |last=Cortellessa |first=Eric |date=November 6, 2024 |title=How Trump Won |url=https://time.com/7172052/how-donald-trump-won-2024/ |magazine=Time |issn=0040-781X |access-date=November 8, 2024}} NPR wrote that "Americans have continued to chafe at higher than pre-pandemic prices and the lack of affordable housing", and that much of the voter placed the blame "squarely" on the Biden administration. NPR said demographics played an important role in the election, with White voters going up as a share of the electorate from 67% to 71% and Trump winning 46% of Latinos. NPR also noted that polls underestimated Trump's level of support in battleground states and across the nation.{{cite web |last=Montanaro |first=Domenico |date=November 8, 2024 |title=Why Trump won — 9 takeaways from the 2024 election |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/11/08/g-s1-33274/2024-election-how-trump-won-takeaways |publisher=NPR |access-date=November 8, 2024}}
The New York Times asserted that "[Trump] made one essential bet: that his grievances would become the grievances of the MAGA movement, and then the G.O.P., and then more than half the country. It paid off." The Times added that Trump's several setbacks actually benefited his public image and approval, as "his mug shot became a best-selling shirt. His criminal conviction inspired $100 million in donations in one day. The images of him bleeding after a failed assassination attempt became the symbol of what supporters saw as a campaign of destiny."{{cite news |last1=Goldmacher |first1=Shane |last2=Haberman |first2=Maggie |last3=Swan |first3=Jonathan |title=How Trump Won, and How Harris Lost |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/us/politics/trump-win-election-harris.html |work=The New York Times |date=November 7, 2024 |issn=1553-8095 |access-date=November 8, 2024}}
NBC mentioned a Democratic strategist's contention that male voters' belief that they were "being left behind, that society doesn't have a place for them" was a major factor in men's support for Trump. The network said that Trump's approval ratings among non-college-educated and middle-income voters, especially among Latinos and young men, showed that he had made strides in his promise to assemble a multiracial, working-class coalition.{{cite news |last1=Seitz-Wald |first1=Alex |last2=Gomez |first2=Henry J. |last3=Korecki |first3=Natasha |date=November 7, 2024 |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/how-trump-won-harris-lost-2024-election-rcna178840 |title=How Trump won — and how Harris lost — the 2024 election |publisher=NBC News |access-date=November 8, 2024}} Trump increased his support from Hispanics from 2020 to 2024, especially near the Mexican–American border and in areas impacted by recent immigration.
Several observers pointed to shifting habits in how Americans consume media and a growing lack of trust in mainstream news outlets.{{cite news |last1=Roig-Franzia |first1=Manuel |last2=Izadi |first2=Elahe |last3=Scribner |first3=Herb |date=November 8, 2024 |title=As Trump joined the podcast revolution, legacy media got left out |newspaper=The Washington Post |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/style/media/2024/11/08/podcasts-joe-rogan-trump/ |access-date=November 9, 2024 |archive-date=November 9, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241109031605/https://www.washingtonpost.com/style/media/2024/11/08/podcasts-joe-rogan-trump/ |url-status=live |issn=0190-8286}}{{Cite news |last1=Simonetti |first1=Isabella |last2=Steele |first2=Anne |date=November 8, 2024 |title=Trump's Win Cemented It: New Media Is Leaving the Old Guard Behind |work=The Wall Street Journal |url=https://www.wsj.com/business/media/new-media-social-media-presidential-election-591b0644 |access-date=November 9, 2024 |issn=0099-9660}} Trump embraced alternative media through podcasts and online streamers such as Joe Rogan, Adin Ross, Theo Von, and the Nelk Boys. The New York Times reported that such avenues "presented a way for Mr. Trump to sidestep more confrontational interviews with professional journalists, where he might face tough questions, fact-checks and detailed policy debates. The influencers he met with rarely challenged Mr. Trump, and often lavished him with praise."{{Cite news |last1=Grynbaum |first1=Michael M. |last2=Koblin |first2=John |date=November 7, 2024 |title=A Master of the Media Evolved Yet Again in 2024 |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/business/media/trump-media-strategy-podcasts.html |access-date=November 9, 2024 |archive-date=November 7, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241107113522/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/business/media/trump-media-strategy-podcasts.html |url-status=live |issn=0362-4331}} Observers also highlighted Trump's courting of the "manosphere",{{Cite news |last=Wendling |first=Mike |date=October 12, 2024 |title='He's just a bro': Trump's attempts to woo the 'manosphere' |work=BBC News |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj9j43890k7o |access-date=November 9, 2024 |archive-date=November 9, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241109032936/https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj9j43890k7o |url-status=live}} a collection of what The Guardian described as "male podcasters, influencers and public figures" that "marketed themselves as free-thinking pundits who evaded the bounds of political classification".{{cite news |last=Haskins |first=Caroline |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Rogan, Musk and an emboldened manosphere salute Trump's win: 'Let that sink in' |work=The Guardian |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/nov/07/joe-rogan-elon-musk-heterodoxy-trump-win-reaction |access-date=November 9, 2024 |archive-date=November 8, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241108021749/https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/nov/07/joe-rogan-elon-musk-heterodoxy-trump-win-reaction |url-status=live}} Post-election research showed that nearly 40% of young voters got their news from social media influencers, and that a majority of those influencers leaned right.{{Cite news |last=Reilly |first=Liam |date=November 18, 2024 |title=Nearly 40% of young Americans get their news from influencers. Many of them lean to the right, study finds |work=CNN |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/18/media/news-influencers-social-media-conservative-study/index.html |access-date=November 21, 2024 |archive-date=November 20, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241120025122/https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/18/media/news-influencers-social-media-conservative-study/index.html |url-status=live}}
The New York Times reported that Trump's super PAC had joined a long list of presidential campaigns that made a "technological leap or innovation" while targeting key voters. The Times highlighted the use of targeted advertising of individual undecided voters on streaming video platforms that allowed the PAC to save money, while Harris largely targeted ads on streaming platforms by geography. It reported the Trump team's findings that the undecided electorate was younger, black, and Hispanic, and that such voters largely used streaming media over traditional broadcast television.{{Cite news |last=Goldmacher |first=Shane |date=December 5, 2024 |title=How Trump Targeted Undecided Voters Without Breaking the Bank |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/05/us/politics/trump-streaming-ads-strategy.html |issn=0362-4331}}
Journalist Elizabeth Spiers argued that Trump's strong support among young white men could be attributed to his campaign "channeling what psychologists call 'hegemonic masculinity{{' "}}. Spiers added that "For men unhappy with their status, this view offers a group of people to blame, which feels more tangible than blaming systemic problems like rising economic inequality and the difficulty of adapting to technological and cultural changes."{{cite news |last1=Spiers |first1=Elizabeth |title=Trump Offered Men Something That Democrats Never Could |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/06/opinion/trump-white-young-men.html |access-date=November 6, 2024 |work=The New York Times |date=November 6, 2024 |url-access=limited}}
= Viewership =
{{col-begin}}
{{col-break}}
| class="wikitable" style="font-size:95%"
|+ Legend |
| style="background:#e5d1cb"
|Cable news network |
| style="background:#dfe2e9"
|Broadcast network |
{{col-break}}
| class="wikitable" style="text-align: right"
|+Total television viewers, 8:00 to 11:00{{nbsp}}p.m.{{nbsp}}EST{{Cite web |url=https://www.adweek.com/tvnewser/election-night-2024-ratings-cable-broadcast/ |title=A Deeper Dive Into Election Night 2024 Ratings: Fox News Leads All Networks |first=Mark |last=Mwachiro |date=November 7, 2024}} ! Network !! Viewers | |
| style="background:#e5d1cb"
| Fox News | 10,300,000 |
| style="background:#e5d1cb"
| MSNBC | 6,000,000 |
| style="background:#dfe2e9"
| ABC | 5,900,000 |
| style="background:#dfe2e9"
| NBC | 5,500,000 |
| style="background:#e5d1cb"
| CNN | 5,100,000 |
| style="background:#dfe2e9"
| CBS | 3,600,000 |
| style="background:#dfe2e9"
| Fox | 2,000,000 |
| style="background:#e5d1cb"
| Newsmax | 950,000 |
| style="background:#e5d1cb"
| FBN | 897,000 |
| style="background:#e5d1cb" | 265,000 |
{{col-break}}
| class="wikitable" style="text-align: right"
|+Total cable TV viewers, 6:00{{nbsp}}p.m. to 3:00{{nbsp}}a.m.{{nbsp}}EST ! Network !! Viewers | |
| style="background:#e5d1cb"
| Fox News | 8,600,000 |
| style="background:#e5d1cb"
| MSNBC | 4,300,000 |
| style="background:#e5d1cb"
| CNN | 3,800,000 |
{{col-break}}
| class="wikitable" style="text-align: right"
|+Television viewers 25 to 54, 8:00 to 11:00{{nbsp}}p.m.{{nbsp}}EST ! Network !! Viewers | |
| style="background:#e5d1cb"
| Fox News | 3,100,000 |
| style="background:#dfe2e9"
| ABC | 2,300,000 |
| style="background:#dfe2e9"
| NBC | 2,200,000 |
| style="background:#e5d1cb"
| CNN | 2,200,000 |
| style="background:#e5d1cb"
| MSNBC | 1,800,000 |
| style="background:#dfe2e9"
| CBS | 1,300,000 |
| style="background:#dfe2e9"
| Fox | 872,000 |
| style="background:#e5d1cb"
| FBN | 418,000 |
| style="background:#e5d1cb"
| Newsmax | 153,000 |
| style="background:#e5d1cb" | 68,000 |
{{col-break}}
| class="wikitable" style="text-align: right"
|+ Cable TV viewers 25 to 54, 6:00{{nbsp}}p.m. to 3:00{{nbsp}}a.m.{{nbsp}}EST ! Network !! Viewers | |
| style="background:#e5d1cb"
| Fox News | 2,600,000 |
| style="background:#e5d1cb"
| CNN | 1,600,000 |
| style="background:#e5d1cb"
| MSNBC | 1,200,000 |
{{col-end}}
See also
{{#invoke:Portal|portal|2020s|Politics|United States}}
Notes
References
{{reflist|refs=
{{cite web |last=Sahil |first=Kapur |date=April 17, 2024 |title=7 big issues at stake in the 2024 election |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/issues-trump-biden-2024-election-health-care-abortion-tax-immigration-rcna147637 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240703012241/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/issues-trump-biden-2024-election-health-care-abortion-tax-immigration-rcna147637 |archive-date=July 3, 2024 |access-date=April 17, 2024 |publisher=NBC News}}
}}
External links
- [https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/us/elections/2024-election-map-precinct-results.html An Extremely Detailed Map of the 2024 Election] from The New York Times
- {{cite web |url=https://misinfodashboard.newslit.org |title=Misinformation Dashboard: Election 2024. A tool tracking the topics and tactics of 2024 election misinformation |publication-date=2024 |publisher=News Literacy Project |access-date=September 30, 2024}}
- {{Cite web |last=Dovere |first=Edward-Isaac |title=Where Harris' campaign went wrong |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2024/11/06/politics/harris-campaign-went-wrong/index.html |access-date=November 7, 2024 |date=November 6, 2024 |publisher=CNN}}
- {{cite episode |title=The Choice 2024: Harris vs. Trump |series=Frontline |series-link=Frontline (American TV program) |network=PBS |station=WGBH |date=September 24, 2024 |season=43 |number=2 |url=https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/documentary/the-choice-2024-harris-vs-trump/ |access-date=November 28, 2024}}
- {{cite episode |title=The VP Choice: Vance vs. Walz |series=Frontline |network=PBS |station=WGBH |date=October 8, 2024 |season=43 |number=3 |url=https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/documentary/the-vp-choice-vance-walz/ |access-date=November 28, 2024}}
Further reading
=Books=
- {{Cite book|title=All or Nothing: How Trump Recaptured America|first1=Michael|last1=Wolff|date=February 25, 2025|publisher=Crown|isbn=978-0593735381}}
- {{Cite book|title=Revenge: The Inside Story of Trump's Return to Power|first1=Alex|last1=Isenstadt|date=March 18, 2025|publisher=Grand Central Publishing|isbn=978-1538765517}}
- {{Cite book|title=Fight: Inside the Wildest Battle for the White House|date=April 1, 2025|isbn=978-0063438644|publisher=William Morrow|first1=Jonathan|last1=Allen|first2=Amie|last2=Parnes|url=https://www.amazon.com/Fight-Inside-Wildest-Battle-White-ebook/dp/B0DB8P3PYJ/ref=tmm_kin_swatch_0}}
- {{Cite book|title=Uncharted: How Trump Beat Biden, Harris, and the Odds in the Wildest Campaign in History|date=April 8, 2025|first1=Chris|last1=Whipple|publisher=Harper Influence|isbn=978-0063386211}}
- {{Cite book|title=Original Sin: President Biden's Decline, Its Cover-Up, and His Disastrous Choice to Run Again|date=May 20, 2025|first1=Jake|last1=Tapper|first2=Alex|last2=Thompson|publisher=Penguin Press|url=https://www.amazon.com/Original-Sin-President-Cover-Up-Disastrous/dp/B0DTYKCJC9|isbn=979-8217060672}}
- {{Cite book|title=2024: How Trump Retook the White House and the Democrats Lost America|date=July 8, 2025|publisher=Penguin Press|first1=Josh|last1=Dawsey|first2=Tyler|last2=Pager|first3=Isaac|last3=Arnsdorf|isbn=978-0593832530 }}
{{2024 United States presidential election}}
{{United States presidential elections}}
{{2024 United States elections}}
{{U.S. presidential primaries}}
{{Second presidency of Donald Trump}}
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Category:2024 in international relations
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Category:Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign
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Category:Joe Biden 2024 presidential campaign
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